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No health care system in the world is stable, and all user fees), medical management (review of use,
systems would undergo considerable change in the next disease management, use of guidelines), and care
20 years. The drivers of change in the industrialized delivery (telemedicine).
nations are reaching the limits of welfare state, exhaust-
ing traditional methods and tools for containing costs
and experiencing increased consumer sophistication and The Environment
demands. Change is being driven in the developing
world by the growth of the middle class, greater de- An organization's environment consists of the forces and
mands from that middle class, and the globalization of conditions that surround and pervade it. An organiza-
economics. The following factors will influence more tion's success or failure is wholly dependent on how
changes in health care system: effectively it copes with the competing demands of its
environment. A typical hospital has two environmental
• Health transition—demographic, epidemiological, components: one external and the other internal. The
emergence of infectious diseases external environment can be further subdivided into
• Latest advances in the technology—diagnostic, two: the general, and the task environment. The general
therapeutic, preventive environment consists of political legal dimension, eco-
• Discovery and innovation in organ transplanta- nomic dimension, socio-cultural dimension, technologi-
tion cal dimension, the organization's international dimension.
• Robot and computer assisted medical interventions These dimensions might affect its activities and pose a
• Molecular biology threat or an opportunity to it.
• Genetic engineering and gene therapy The task environment includes those external groups
• Information super highway and forces with which an organization has direct contact
• Total quality management and transactions—competitors, suppliers, regulators,
• Consumerism patients, health care professionals and agencies, unions,
• Cost-effectiveness and professional associations.
• Ethical and legal issues The primary components of the internal environment
• Research and development consist of the self, the tasks, the process and skills, the
• Evidence-based medicine formal organizational design, the organizational culture,
• Managed care—managing demand (capitation, the individual employees or people system, together
with the leadership function and shared vision of the Patients are expected to exercise a choice of what
organization. services they want through their general practitioner who
By analysing the forces in the general environment is expected to act as their advocate in finding the best
and determining the interactive effects these have on the quality services.
task and internal environments, management can de- The pressures on health services to develop new
velop appropriate strategies and structures to meet these approaches have come, in the main, from a combination
demands. of the medical profession and industry developing com-
plex equipment or drugs. The pressure to find new
solutions is fed, on the one hand, by professionals and
Pressures for Change their need to do research into new methods, and on the
other, by private industry requiring to develop new
DEMOGRAPHIC markets.
The main problem faced by hospital services is their Improving health revolves around improving the
length of someone's life and the quality of life he/she
increasing costs or the changes needed to make them
can achieve, if a particular treatment is given.
more efficient. This always seems to come back to the
Providing the services that give most improvement in
cost of caring for and treating elderly people and the
health is, therefore, quite likely to cut across the devel-
'burden' that such treatment imposes on the hospital
opment of new scientific discoveries.
services. There is a feeling that the combination of
increasing demands from elderly people and increasing
severity of their disabilities will require more and more TECHNOLOGICAL
hospital services and that little of this can be substituted
The full development of new scientific knowledge in
for by services in the patient's home. Quite a high
proportion of the hospital beds for the acute specialities medicine depends on:
are occupied by elderly people. • the existence of knowledge which can be applied;
• people with the skills to apply the knowledge;
ECONOMIC • social and political acceptability of the advance;
• financial backing for its development;
Health care costs are a concern for every country. The
• marketing skills for the development; and
USA spends about 14 per cent of its gross domestic • financial spread for widespread manufacture.
product on health care. This compares with 9 per cent
in Canada, France and Germany, about 6 per cent in The speed of development of scientific ideas and
Japan and the UK, and less than 2 per cent in India. The making them into useful products is affected by social,
price of hospitals and other institutional care has been economic, and political conditions. Pressure on hospitals
rising very rapidly in all countries. Interestingly, New to use new technology has often been driven by industry
Zealand and the UK have felt driven to make rapid and where developing these technologies may be a spin-off
extensive changes to the administrative structure of its from other work. Several advances in technology have
health services by splitting it into two groups: purchasers been taken up by the medical profession for the devel-
of health services, who plan the service and providers, opment of home and community-based care. Develop-
who provide the care for patients. Health services ments in management methods are as useful to health
provide the service itself (consultation, operations), service as any manufacturing company. Telecommuni-
employ staff, thus having an effect on the individual and cations and computer technology are good examples of
the society, on the country (fitter people), and on patients this. Many of the new technologies will help with the
(they live longer and feel better). There are many types development of a less institutionalized health service.
of 'managed internal market' throughout the world, each The development of monoclonal antibodies will be es-
with different approaches, different external limits, and pecially useful in reducing the need for in-patient care.
different methods of funding. In the UK, each purchas- Some other technologies that will lessen the need for in-
ing group is based on a geographical area and is given patient service in future include diagnostic kits and desk
funds according to the population in that area. Each top analysers, assessment systems using personal com-
health authority decides which providers to purchase its puters, new vaccines, laparoscopy and endoscopy, vas-
services from. The essence of the managed market in the cular catheters with or without lasers, laser microsurgery
UK is that there is competition between the NHS Trusts, and vaporization (e.g., for tumours), computer-controlled
the Public providers, private health providers and others, prosthesis, treatment and drug delivery systems.
including voluntary groups for the health authority's Technology can provide more interactive ways of
finance. curing, caring, and training.
CONSUMER CHOICE - Continuous process improvement
- Total participation at all levels.
One of the most powerful ways of deciding whether
the quality of care is reasonable is to ask the patients Quality begins with the values held by the organiza-
who have been treated by that service as to how it tion providing the care. The people providing the service
affected them. This is not simply because of a desire to may spend time concentrating on the particular audit
please, or to boost the reputation of a service and, processes which can be monitored, giving less time to
therefore, the people providing it. Patient satisfaction is other, less tangible, and therefore less measurable, parts
important because satisfied patients are more likely to of the work.
cooperate with the people giving them health care. They The development of clinical guidelines is an approach
are more likely to take advice they have been given. to improving the quality of care. It may concentrate on
the positive side of setting out best practice in some
detail. It relies on experts to help set up the guidelines.
FUTURE TRENDS The best guidelines have the advantage of cutting across
The proportion and types of surgical operations carried different speciality boundaries, giving advice on which
out in day units, in contrast to conventional care in a parts of the service can be given by general practitioners
hospital is increasing steadily. The use of day surgery and which need specialist care.
has spread to virtually all the specialities. Some surgeons Some basic measures to show the quality of care
have gone so far as to suggest that virtually all minor given include:
and moderately complex surgery can be performed on
- hospital mortality
a day basis with considerable financial savings.
- adverse events (e.g., nosocomial infection)
Surgery is gradually giving way to medical care
- malpractice suits
in a number of specialities, including cardiovascular,
- disciplinary action against doctors
gastrointestinal, treatment of cancers, etc. Developments
- sanctions from peer reviews
in immunological control will allow specific treatment
- doctors' performance in treating specific diseases
to be given to destroy abnormal cells using medical,
- number of services available
rather than surgical techniques. For other diseases,
- external evaluations
such as diabetes, gene therapy is likely to be important
- specialization of doctors
in cutting down the long-term reliance on specialist
- patients' assessment of their care.
help.
Quality management systems include medical audit,
surgical audit, nursing audit, clinical audit, quality circles,
Quality Management TQM, etc.
REFERENCES
Amin Tabish (1994). ' The Cutting Edge of HRD in Health
Care Organizations', JAHA, 6(2): 35-41.
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