Log-Pearson Frequency Analysis Spreadsheet, Version 2.

5, 6/2014

Project: 0
Streamgage: 0
Date: 12/30/1899 Performed By: 0

Without Generalized Skew Recurrence Percent K-Value Peak(4)

Interval(2)
Chance Discharge
Average: #DIV/0! (years) (cfs)
Standard Deviation: #DIV/0! 500 0.2 Err:502 #DIV/0!
Skew Coefficient(1): Err:502 200 0.5 Err:502 #DIV/0!
100 1 Err:502 #DIV/0!
Length of systematic record: 0 50 2 Err:502 #DIV/0!
Number of historic peaks: 0 25 4 Err:502 #DIV/0!
Length of Data Record: 0 10 10 Err:502 #DIV/0!
Length of Historic Record:(5) ---- 5 20 Err:502 #DIV/0!
2 50 Err:502 #DIV/0!
1.25 80 Err:502 #DIV/0!
With Weighted Generalized Skew 1.05 95 Err:502 #DIV/0!
500 0.2 Err:502 ----
Generalized Skew Coefficient(3): 200 0.5 Err:502 ----
Variance of Generalized Skew(3): 100 1 Err:502 ----
A: Err:502 50 2 Err:502 ----
B: Err:502 25 4 Err:502 ----
station skew: Err:502 10 10 Err:502 ----
MSE Station Skew: Err:502 5 20 Err:502 ----
Weighted skew coefficient(1): Err:502 2 50 Err:502 ----
1.25 80 Err:502 ----
1.05 95 Err:502 ----

(1) Station and generalized skews must be between -2.00 and +3.00 in this spreadsheet.
(2) Considering the relatively short length of many gage records, less frequent peak estimates need to be used with caution
(3) Computed one of four ways (see "generalized skew coefficient" worksheet): Mean and variance (standard deviation 2)
of station skews coefficients in region; skew isolines drawn on a map or regions; skew prediction equations; read
from Plate 1 of Bulletin 17B (reproduced in this spreadsheet), with Variance of Generalized Skew = 0.302.
(4) Results are automatically rounded to three significant figures.
(5) Historic frequency analysis assumes that intervening years reflect systematic record.

Comments:
A n n u a l P e a k D is c h a rg e ( c f s )

Plot:

12

10

Natural Resources Conservation Service 02/21/2019

4

2
 12

Ann
10

N u m b e r o f P e a k E v e n ts
2

0
Peak 1900 2100 2300 2500 2700 2900
Date
3100 3300 3500 3700

Timing:

1
1
1
0
0
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Mon th

Natural Resources Conservation Service 02/21/2019

 Page 1 of 3 Log-Pearson Frequency Analysis Spreadsheet, Version 2.5, 6/2014

Project: 0
Streamgage: 0
Date: 12/30/1899 Performed By: 0

95% Confidence Limits Input Data Station ID: 0 Latitude, Longitude:

Upper Lower Drainage Area (mi2): 0
(cfs) (cfs) Number of low outliers eliminated: 0
#DIV/0! #DIV/0!
#DIV/0! #DIV/0!

Historic?
Outlier?
#DIV/0! #DIV/0!
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! Date Discharge Date Discharge
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! (cfs) (cfs)
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! 1 ---- ---- n ### 51 ---- ----
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! 2 ---- ---- n ### 52 ---- ----
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! 3 ---- ---- n ### 53 ---- ----
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! 4 ---- ---- n ### 54 ---- ----
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! 5 ---- ---- n ### 55 ---- ----
---- ---- 6 ---- ---- n ### 56 ---- ----
---- ---- 7 ---- ---- n ### 57 ---- ----
---- ---- 8 ---- ---- n ### 58 ---- ----
---- ---- 9 ---- ---- n ### 59 ---- ----
---- ---- 10 ---- ---- n ### 60 ---- ----
---- ---- 11 ---- ---- n ### 61 ---- ----
---- ---- 12 ---- ---- n ### 62 ---- ----
---- ---- 13 ---- ---- n ### 63 ---- ----
---- ---- 14 ---- ---- n ### 64 ---- ----
---- ---- 15 ---- ---- n ### 65 ---- ----
16 ---- ---- n ### 66 ---- ----
17 ---- ---- n ### 67 ---- ----
need to be used with caution. 18 ---- ---- n ### 68 ---- ----
ance (standard deviation 2) 19 ---- ---- n ### 69 ---- ----
diction equations; read 20 ---- ---- n ### 70 ---- ----
d Skew = 0.302. 21 ---- ---- n ### 71 ---- ----
22 ---- ---- n ### 72 ---- ----
23 ---- ---- n ### 73 ---- ----
24 ---- ---- n ### 74 ---- ----
25 ---- ---- n ### 75 ---- ----
26 ---- ---- n ### 76 ---- ----
27 ---- ---- n ### 77 ---- ----
28 ---- ---- n ### 78 ---- ----
29 ---- ---- n ### 79 ---- ----
30 ---- ---- n ### 80 ---- ----
31 ---- ---- n ### 81 ---- ----
32 ---- ---- n ### 82 ---- ----
33 ---- ---- n ### 83 ---- ----
34 ---- ---- n ### 84 ---- ----
35 ---- ---- n ### 85 ---- ----
36 ---- ---- n ### 86 ---- ----
37 ---- ---- n ### 87 ---- ----

Natural Resources Conservation Service 02/21/2019

 38 ---- ---- n ### 88 ---- ----
39 ---- ---- n ### 89 ---- ----
40 ---- ---- n ### 90 ---- ----
41 ---- ---- n ### 91 ---- ----
42 ---- ---- n ### 92 ---- ----
3300 3500 3700 3900 43 ---- ---- n ### 93 ---- ----
44 ---- ---- n ### 94 ---- ----
45 ---- ---- n ### 95 ---- ----
46 ---- ---- n ### 96 ---- ----
47 ---- ---- n ### 97 ---- ----
48 ---- ---- n ### 98 ---- ----
49 ---- ---- n ### 99 ---- ----
9 10 11 12 50 ---- ---- n ### 100 ---- ----

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2.5, 6/2014 Page 2 of 3 Log-Pearson Frequency Analysis Spreadsheet, Version

Project: 0
Streamgage: 0
Date: 12/30/1899 Performed By:

Latitude, Longitude: -- -- Discharge-Frequen

County: --
State: --
12
Log-Pearson Analysis
Log-Pearson
Historic?

Historic?
Outlier?

Outlier?

Discharge (cfs)
LogPearson - Upper 95% Confidence
Date Discharge LogPearson - Lower 95% Confidence
10
(cfs) Weibull Plotting Position
n ### 101 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 102 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 103 ---- ---- n ### 8
n ### 104 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 105 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 106 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 107 ---- ---- n ### 6
n ### 108 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 109 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 110 ---- ---- n ###
4
n ### 111 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 112 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 113 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 114 ---- ---- n ### 2
n ### 115 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 116 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 117 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 118 ---- ---- n ### 0
n ### 119 ---- ---- n ### 1
n ### 120 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 121 ---- ---- n ### Discharge-Frequency, with
n ### 122 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 123 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 124 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 125 ---- ---- n ###
12
Log-Pearson Analysis
n ### 126 ---- ---- n ### Log-Pearson
n ### 127 ---- ---- n ### LogPearson - Upper 95% Confidence
LogPearson - Lower 95% Confidence
Discharge (cfs)

n ### 128 ---- ---- n ### 10 Weibull Plotting Position

n ### 129 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 130 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 131 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 132 ---- ---- n ###
8
n ### 133 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 134 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 135 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 136 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 137 ---- ---- n ### 6

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 6
n ### 138 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 139 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 140 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 141 ---- ---- n ### 4
n ### 142 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 143 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 144 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 145 ---- ---- n ### 2
n ### 146 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 147 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 148 ---- ---- n ###
n ### 149 ---- ---- n ### 0
n ### 150 ---- ---- n ### 1

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s Spreadsheet, Version 2.5, 6/2014 Page 3 of 3

Discharge-Frequency, with Gage Skew

0

earson Analysis
earson
arson - Upper 95% Confidence Limit
arson - Lower 95% Confidence Limit
l Plotting Position

10 Recurrence Interval (years) 100

harge-Frequency, with Weighted Generalized Skew

0

Pearson Analysis
Pearson
earson - Upper 95% Confidence Limit
earson - Lower 95% Confidence Limit
ull Plotting Position

Natural Resources Conservation Service 02/21/2019

 10 Recurrence Interval (years) 100

Natural Resources Conservation Service 02/21/2019

Log-Pearson Frequency Analysis Spreadsheet, Version 2.5, 6/2014

Project: Log-Pearson Spreadsheet Check

Streamgage: # USGS 09361500 ANIMAS RIVER AT DURANGO, CO.
Date: 6/9/2014 Performed By: Steven Yochum; Hydrologist, NRCS CO State Office

Without Generalized Skew Recurrence Percent K-Value Peak(4)

Interval(2)
Chance Discharge
Average: 8.6321 (years) (cfs)
Standard Deviation: 0.450324384 500 0.2 2.832 20,100
Skew Coefficient(1): -0.037820673 200 0.5 2.540 17,600
100 1 2.298 15,800
Length of systematic record: 101 50 2 2.034 14,000
Number of historic peaks: 2 25 4 1.738 12,300
Length of Data Record: 103 10 10 1.277 9,970
Length of Historic Record:(5) 114 5 20 0.844 8,200
2 50 0.006 5,630
1.25 80 -0.840 3,840
With Weighted Generalized Skew 1.05 95 -1.656 2,660
500 0.2 2.773 19,600
Generalized Skew Coefficient(3): 0.160 200 0.5 2.568 17,800
Variance of Generalized Skew(3): 0.314 100 1 2.319 15,900
A: -0.326974 50 2 2.049 14,100
B: 0.930167 25 4 1.748 12,300
station skew: -0.037821 10 10 1.281 9,990
MSE Station Skew: 0.05381685 5 20 0.842 8,200
Weighted skew coefficient(1): -0.008876688 2 50 0.002 5,610
1.25 80 -0.841 3,840
1.05 95 -1.647 2,670

(1) Station and generalized skews must be between -2.00 and +3.00 in this spreadsheet.
(2) Considering the relatively short length of many gage records, less frequent peak estimates need to be used with caution
(3) Computed one of four ways (see "generalized skew coefficient" worksheet): Mean and variance (standard deviation 2)
of station skews coefficients in region; skew isolines drawn on a map or regions; skew prediction equations; read
from Plate 1 of Bulletin 17B (reproduced in this spreadsheet), with Variance of Generalized Skew = 0.302.
(4) Results are automatically rounded to three significant figures.
(5) Historic frequency analysis assumes that intervening years reflect systematic record.

Comments: (I) Generalized skew attained by computing mean and variance of skews of 40 San Juan Mountain streamgages.
(II) High outliers were not eliminated due to the uncertainty about whether or not these peaks appropriately represent the
the hydrologic regime of this mountain watershed.
A n n u a l P e a k D is c h a rg e ( c f s )

(III) Low outlier (2002) eliminated from analysis.

Plot:

30000

25000

20000

15000

Natural Resources Conservation Service 02/21/2019

10000

5000
 30000

Ann
25000

20000

15000

10000

N u m b e r o f P e a k E v e n ts
5000

0
Peak 1900 1920 1940 1960
Date
1980 2000

Timing:

60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Mon th

Natural Resources Conservation Service 02/21/2019

 Page 1 of 3 Log-Pearson Frequency Analysis Spreadsheet, Version 2.5, 6/2014

Project: Log-Pearson Spreadsheet Check

Streamgage: # USGS 09361500 ANIMAS RIVER AT DURANGO, CO.
O State Office Date: 6/9/2014 Performed By: Steven Yochum; Hydrolog

95% Confidence Limits Input Data Station ID: 09361500 Latitude, Longitude:
Upper Lower Drainage Area (mi2): 692
(cfs) (cfs) Number of low outliers eliminated: 1
24,100 17,300
20,800 15,400

Historic?
Outlier?
18,400 13,900
16,200 12,500 Date Discharge Date Discharge
13,900 11,000 (cfs) (cfs)
11,100 9,100 1 05/28/1900 3,830 y n 51 06/04/1960 4,630
8,980 7,560 2 09/06/1909 10,000 y n 52 05/28/1961 4,250
6,050 5,230 3 10/05/1911 25,000 n y 53 05/10/1962 4,280
4,170 3,510 4 05/27/1913 3,700 n n 54 05/09/1963 3,300
2,950 2,350 5 06/02/1914 8,330 n n 55 05/24/1964 4,450
23,400 16,900 6 06/22/1915 4,430 n n 56 06/21/1965 5,560
21,100 15,500 7 06/11/1916 6,140 n n 57 05/08/1966 3,640
18,600 14,000 8 06/16/1917 8,460 n n 58 05/23/1967 3,730
16,300 12,500 9 06/09/1918 4,400 n n 59 06/06/1968 5,980
14,000 11,100 10 05/28/1919 5,600 n n 60 05/23/1969 4,560
11,100 9,110 11 05/22/1920 9,260 n n 61 09/06/1970 11,600
8,980 7,560 12 06/14/1921 9,300 n n 62 06/22/1971 3,290
6,040 5,220 13 06/10/1922 7,800 n n 63 06/02/1972 3,160
4,160 3,510 14 05/28/1923 4,680 n n 64 06/11/1973 7,590
2,960 2,360 15 06/15/1924 4,500 n n 65 05/27/1974 2,910
16 09/19/1925 6,000 n n 66 06/16/1975 7,400
17 06/06/1926 5,000 n n 67 06/06/1976 4,030
need to be used with caution. 18 06/29/1927 20,000 n n 68 06/07/1977 1,460
ance (standard deviation 2) 19 06/01/1928 4,450 n n 69 06/16/1978 5,080
diction equations; read 20 05/26/1929 4,950 n n 70 05/28/1979 7,810
d Skew = 0.302. 21 06/13/1930 4,200 n n 71 06/11/1980 8,220
22 06/04/1931 2,230 n n 72 06/08/1981 4,220
23 05/23/1932 5,270 n n 73 06/13/1982 3,920
24 06/02/1933 5,360 n n 74 05/31/1983 6,050
Mountain streamgages. 25 05/10/1934 2,410 n n 75 05/25/1984 7,480
eaks appropriately represent the 26 06/15/1935 6,560 n n 76 06/09/1985 7,950
27 05/06/1936 3,890 n n 77 06/07/1986 6,160
28 05/18/1937 4,970 n n 78 06/07/1987 5,530
29 06/30/1938 7,180 n n 79 06/08/1988 3,590
30 05/22/1939 2,750 n n 80 05/24/1989 2,780
31 05/15/1940 3,170 n n 81 06/06/1990 4,660
32 05/14/1941 10,500 n n 82 06/09/1991 3,610
33 06/12/1942 5,450 n n 83 05/27/1992 3,690
34 05/03/1943 3,940 n n 84 05/28/1993 6,800
35 05/16/1944 6,990 n n 85 06/04/1994 4,720
36 06/15/1945 4,370 n n 86 06/16/1995 7,310
37 06/09/1946 4,330 n n 87 05/17/1996 4,130

Natural Resources Conservation Service 02/21/2019

 38 06/10/1947 5,130 n n 88 06/02/1997 7,220
39 05/19/1948 8,720 n n 89 06/03/1998 4,040
40 06/19/1949 12,700 n n 90 06/18/1999 4,640
41 06/01/1950 3,280 n n 91 05/24/2000 3,960
42 05/28/1951 4,320 n n 92 05/16/2001 5,170
1980 2000 2020 43 06/11/1952 8,450 n n 93 09/12/2002 ----
44 06/13/1953 5,430 n n 94 05/29/2003 4,680
45 05/21/1954 3,090 n n 95 09/20/2004 4,170
46 06/09/1955 4,790 n n 96 05/25/2005 8,550
47 06/01/1956 4,070 n n 97 05/25/2006 3,590
48 06/06/1957 9,360 n n 98 10/07/2006 7,720
49 05/28/1958 7,960 n n 99 05/21/2008 6,220
9 10 11 12 50 06/07/1959 3,140 n n 100 05/12/2009 5,510

Natural Resources Conservation Service 02/21/2019

 2.5, 6/2014 Page 2 of 3 Log-Pearson Frequency Analysis Spreadsheet, Version

Project: Log-Pearson Spreadsheet Check

Streamgage: # USGS 09361500 ANIMAS RIVER AT DURANGO,
Steven Yochum; Hydrologist, NRCS CO State Office Date: 6/9/2014 Performed By:

Latitude, Longitude: 37-16-45 107-52-47 Discharge-Frequen

County: La Plata # USGS 09361500 ANIMAS
State: Colorado
25,000
Log-Pearson Analysis
Log-Pearson
Historic?

Historic?

Discharge (cfs)
Outlier?

Outlier?
LogPearson - Upper 95% Confidence
Date Discharge LogPearson - Lower 95% Confidence
(cfs) 20,000 Weibull Plotting Position
n n 101 5/29/2010 5140 n n
n n 102 6/7/2011 5570 n n
n n 103 5/6/2012 2290 n n
n n 104 5/18/2013 2990 n n
15,000
n n 105 ---- ---- n n
n n 106 ---- ---- n n
n n 107 ---- ---- n n
n n 108 ---- ---- n n
n n 109 ---- ---- n n 10,000
n n 110 ---- ---- n n
n n 111 ---- ---- n n
n n 112 ---- ---- n n
n n 113 ---- ---- n n 5,000
n n 114 ---- ---- n n
n n 115 ---- ---- n n
n n 116 ---- ---- n n
n n 117 ---- ---- n n
n n 118 ---- ---- n n 0
n n 119 ---- ---- n n 1
n n 120 ---- ---- n n
n n 121 ---- ---- n n Discharge-Frequency, with
n n 122 ---- ---- n n # USGS 09361500 ANIMAS
n n 123 ---- ---- n n
n n 124 ---- ---- n n 25,000
n n 125 ---- ---- n n Log-Pearson Analysis
n n 126 ---- ---- n n Log-Pearson
LogPearson - Upper 95% Confidence
n n 127 ---- ---- n n LogPearson - Lower 95% Confidence
Discharge (cfs)

n n 128 ---- ---- n n Weibull Plotting Position

n n 129 ---- ---- n n 20,000
n n 130 ---- ---- n n
n n 131 ---- ---- n n
n n 132 ---- ---- n n
n n 133 ---- ---- n n
n n 134 ---- ---- n n 15,000
n n 135 ---- ---- n n
n n 136 ---- ---- n n
n n 137 ---- ---- n n

Natural Resources Conservation Service 10,000 02/21/2019

 15,000

n n 138 ---- ---- n n

n n 139 ---- ---- n n 10,000
n n 140 ---- ---- n n
n n 141 ---- ---- n n
n n 142 ---- ---- n n
n n 143 ---- ---- n n
n n 144 ---- ---- n n 5,000
n n 145 ---- ---- n n
n n 146 ---- ---- n n
n n 147 ---- ---- n n
n n 148 ---- ---- n n
n n 149 ---- ---- n n 0
n n 150 ---- ---- n n 1

Natural Resources Conservation Service 02/21/2019

 s Spreadsheet, Version 2.5, 6/2014 Page 3 of 3

MAS RIVER AT DURANGO, CO.

Steven Yochum; Hydrologist, NRCS CO State Office

Discharge-Frequency, with Gage Skew

# USGS 09361500 ANIMAS RIVER AT DURANGO, CO.

earson Analysis
earson
earson - Upper 95% Confidence Limit
earson - Lower 95% Confidence Limit
ll Plotting Position

10 Recurrence Interval (years) 100

harge-Frequency, with Weighted Generalized Skew

# USGS 09361500 ANIMAS RIVER AT DURANGO, CO.

Pearson Analysis
Pearson
Pearson - Upper 95% Confidence Limit
Pearson - Lower 95% Confidence Limit
ull Plotting Position

Natural Resources Conservation Service 02/21/2019

 10 Recurrence Interval (years) 100

Natural Resources Conservation Service 02/21/2019

Log-Pearson Frequency Analysis Spreadsheet, Version 2.5, 6/2014

Project: Log-Pearson Spreadsheet Check

Streamgage: CACHE LA POUDRE RIV AT MO OF CN, NR FT COLLINS, CO
Date: 5/30/2014 Performed By: Steven Yochum; Hydrologist, NRCS CO State Office

Without Generalized Skew Recurrence Percent K-Value Peak(4)

Interval(2)
Chance Discharge
Average: 8.0576 (years) (cfs)
Standard Deviation: 0.505458113 500 0.2 3.474 18,300
Skew Coefficient(1): 0.48956125 200 0.5 3.031 14,600
100 1 2.679 12,200
Length of systematic record: 131 50 2 2.306 10,100
Number of historic peaks: 0 25 4 1.907 8,280
Length of Data Record: 131 10 10 1.322 6,160
Length of Historic Record:(5) ---- 5 20 0.809 4,750
2 50 -0.081 3,030
1.25 80 -0.856 2,050
With Weighted Generalized Skew 1.05 95 -1.494 1,480
500 0.2 3.540 18,900
Generalized Skew Coefficient(3): 0.833 200 0.5 3.081 15,000
Variance of Generalized Skew(3): 0.339 100 1 2.716 12,500
A: -0.290835 50 2 2.332 10,300
B: 0.812714 25 4 1.923 8,350
station skew: 0.489561 10 10 1.325 6,170
MSE Station Skew: 0.063261982 5 20 0.805 4,740
Weighted skew coefficient(1): 0.543639053 2 50 -0.090 3,020
1.25 80 -0.856 2,050
1.05 95 -1.477 1,500

(1) Station and generalized skews must be between -2.00 and +3.00 in this spreadsheet.
(2) Considering the relatively short length of many gage records, less frequent peak estimates need to be used with caution
(3) Computed one of four ways (see "generalized skew coefficient" worksheet): Mean and variance (standard deviation 2)
of station skews coefficients in region; skew isolines drawn on a map or regions; skew prediction equations; read
from Plate 1 of Bulletin 17B (reproduced in this spreadsheet), with Variance of Generalized Skew = 0.302.
(4) Results are automatically rounded to three significant figures.
(5) Historic frequency analysis assumes that intervening years reflect systematic record.

Comments: (I) Generalized skew attained by computing mean and variance of skews for 11 simular Front Range streamgages.
(II) High outliers was not eliminated due to the possibility that this peak is needed to appropriately represent the
the hydrologic regime of this watershed.
A n n u a l P e a k D is c h a rg e ( c f s )

Plot:

14000

12000

10000

8000

Natural Resources6000
Conservation Service 02/21/2019
4000

2000
 14000

Ann
12000

10000

8000

6000

N u m b e r o f P e a k E v e n ts
4000

2000

0
Peak 1900 1920 1940 1960
Date
1980 2000

Timing:

1
1
1
0
0
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Mon th

Natural Resources Conservation Service 02/21/2019

 Page 1 of 3 Log-Pearson Frequency Analysis Spreadsheet, Version 2.5, 6/2014

Project: Log-Pearson Spreadsheet Check

Streamgage: CACHE LA POUDRE RIV AT MO OF CN, NR FT COLLINS, CO
O State Office Date: 5/30/2014 Performed By: Steven Yochum; Hydrolog

95% Confidence Limits Input Data Station ID: 06752000 Latitude, Longitude:
Upper Lower Drainage Area (mi2): 1054
(cfs) (cfs) Number of low outliers eliminated: 0
22,600 15,300
17,700 12,500

Historic?
Outlier?
14,500 10,600
11,800 8,910 Date Discharge Date Discharge
9,460 7,390 (cfs) (cfs)
6,860 5,610 1 1882-06-28 1,730 n n 51 05/23/1932 3,200
5,190 4,390 2 1883-06-22 7,900 n n 52 06/11/1933 3,500
3,260 2,820 3 1884-05-20 6,850 n n 53 05/10/1934 1,660
2,220 1,870 4 1885-06-05 4,040 n n 54 07/22/1935 4,110
1,640 1,320 5 1886-08-18 4,820 n n 55 06/01/1936 3,280
23,500 15,800 6 1887-06-02 3,000 n n 56 06/02/1937 2,020
18,200 12,800 7 1888-06-19 1,800 n n 57 06/22/1938 6,180
14,800 10,800 8 1889-06-01 2,100 n n 58 06/06/1939 2,580
12,000 9,020 9 1890-06-02 1,900 n n 59 08/17/1940 3,510
9,540 7,450 10 1891-06-09 21,000 n y 60 05/26/1941 2,180
6,870 5,620 11 1892-06-21 3,200 n n 61 06/12/1942 3,300
5,180 4,380 12 1893-06-11 3,200 n n 62 06/02/1943 3,380
3,240 2,800 13 1894-06-06 4,000 n n 63 06/10/1944 2,770
2,220 1,870 14 1895-06-03 4,000 n n 64 06/25/1945 2,110
1,650 1,340 15 1896-05-30 2,500 n n 65 06/07/1946 2,900
16 1897-05-24 3,300 n n 66 06/22/1947 4,660
17 1898-06-03 1,900 n n 67 05/22/1948 2,850
need to be used with caution. 18 1899-06-21 4,200 n n 68 06/05/1949 6,090
ance (standard deviation 2) 19 05/29/1900 5,000 n n 69 06/17/1950 2,910
diction equations; read 20 05/21/1901 12,000 n n 70 08/03/1951 4,630
d Skew = 0.302. 21 05/16/1902 2,500 n n 71 06/08/1952 3,660
22 06/09/1903 4,100 n n 72 06/14/1953 2,490
23 05/20/1904 ---- n n 73 05/21/1954 1,220
24 06/09/1905 4,700 n n 74 06/09/1955 1,840
ront Range streamgages. 25 06/13/1906 3,000 n n 75 05/25/1956 3,040
opriately represent the 26 06/16/1907 4,000 n n 76 06/30/1957 4,370
27 08/01/1908 2,700 n n 77 05/29/1958 3,770
28 06/19/1909 5,900 n n 78 06/08/1959 2,680
29 06/02/1910 2,240 n n 79 06/05/1960 2,580
30 06/09/1911 2,470 n n 80 06/10/1961 2,960
31 06/27/1912 3,820 n n 81 06/30/1962 2,440
32 05/31/1913 2,700 n n 82 06/16/1963 1,450
33 06/02/1914 5,380 n n 83 05/27/1964 1,940
34 06/20/1915 2,700 n n 84 06/11/1965 4,810
35 06/18/1916 2,340 n n 85 05/31/1966 1,180
36 06/23/1917 7,000 n n 86 06/23/1967 2,210
37 06/20/1918 5,200 n n 87 06/21/1968 2,630

Natural Resources Conservation Service 02/21/2019

 38 05/30/1919 1,670 n n 88 05/31/1969 2,390
39 06/09/1920 4,510 n n 89 06/26/1970 3,050
40 06/08/1921 5,230 n n 90 06/17/1971 3,870
41 06/14/1922 4,450 n n 91 06/04/1972 3,400
42 06/15/1923 8,550 n n 92 06/14/1973 3,780
1980 2000 2020 43 06/14/1924 7,440 n n 93 06/17/1974 2,940
44 06/22/1925 1,780 n n 94 07/03/1975 2,510
45 06/07/1926 4,350 n n 95 08/01/1976 7,340
46 06/10/1927 2,410 n n 96 06/06/1977 1,740
47 07/29/1928 4,050 n n 97 06/16/1978 3,740
48 06/09/1929 3,430 n n 98 06/17/1979 3,290
49 05/31/1930 10,200 n n 99 06/12/1980 3,860
9 10 11 12 50 06/08/1931 2,280 n n 100 06/08/1981 2,420

Natural Resources Conservation Service 02/21/2019

 2.5, 6/2014 Page 2 of 3 Log-Pearson Frequency Analysis Spreadsheet, Version

Project: Log-Pearson Spreadsheet Check

FT COLLINS, CO Streamgage: CACHE LA POUDRE RIV AT MO OF CN, NR FT CO
Steven Yochum; Hydrologist, NRCS CO State Office Date: 5/30/2014 Performed By:

Latitude, Longitude: N 40° 39' 52"W 105° 13' 26" Discharge-Frequen

County: Larimer CACHE LA POUDRE RIV AT M
State: Colorado
16,000
Log-Pearson Analysis
Log-Pearson
Historic?

Historic?

Discharge (cfs)
Outlier?

Outlier?
LogPearson - Upper 95% Confidence
14,000
Date Discharge LogPearson - Lower 95% Confidence
(cfs) Weibull Plotting Position
n n 101 6/30/1982 3170 n n 12,000
n n 102 6/21/1983 6590 n n
n n 103 5/25/1984 4000 n n
n n 104 6/9/1985 3520 n n 10,000
n n 105 6/7/1986 3920 n n
n n 106 6/9/1987 1670 n n
n n 107 6/11/1988 2740 n n 8,000
n n 108 5/31/1989 1570 n n
n n 109 6/12/1990 2520 n n
6,000
n n 110 6/2/1991 4520 n n
n n 111 5/27/1992 1720 n n
n n 112 6/19/1993 2730 n n 4,000
n n 113 6/1/1994 1850 n n
n n 114 6/18/1995 4730 n n
n n 115 6/13/1996 2830 n n 2,000
n n 116 6/9/1997 3310 n n
n n 117 6/4/1998 1880 n n
n n 118 4/30/1999 5820 n n 0
n n 119 5/30/2000 1790 n n 1
n n 120 5/30/2001 1740 n n
n n 121 5/31/2002 880 n n Discharge-Frequency, with
n n 122 6/1/2003 3770 n n CACHE LA POUDRE RIV AT M
n n 123 7/1/2004 1600 n n
n n 124 5/26/2005 2270 n n 16,000
n n 125 5/23/2006 1800 n n Log-Pearson Analysis
n n 126 6/16/2007 2010 n n Log-Pearson
LogPearson - Upper 95% Confidence
n n 127 6/3/2008 2530 n n 14,000 LogPearson - Lower 95% Confidence
Discharge (cfs)

n n 128 5/25/2009 1920 n n Weibull Plotting Position

n n 129 5/12/2010 4770 n n
n n 130 7/1/2011 4180 n n 12,000
n n 131 6/6/2012 933 n n
n n 132 9/13/2013 9730 n n
n n 133 ---- ---- n n 10,000
n n 134 ---- ---- n n
n n 135 ---- ---- n n
n n 136 ---- ---- n n 8,000
n n 137 ---- ---- n n

Natural Resources Conservation Service 02/21/2019

6,000
 8,000
n n 138 ---- ---- n n
n n 139 ---- ---- n n
6,000
n n 140 ---- ---- n n
n n 141 ---- ---- n n
n n 142 ---- ---- n n
n n 143 ---- ---- n n 4,000
n n 144 ---- ---- n n
n n 145 ---- ---- n n
n n 146 ---- ---- n n 2,000
n n 147 ---- ---- n n
n n 148 ---- ---- n n
n n 149 ---- ---- n n 0
n n 150 ---- ---- n n 1

Natural Resources Conservation Service 02/21/2019

 s Spreadsheet, Version 2.5, 6/2014 Page 3 of 3

IV AT MO OF CN, NR FT COLLINS, CO
Steven Yochum; Hydrologist, NRCS CO State Office

Discharge-Frequency, with Gage Skew

ACHE LA POUDRE RIV AT MO OF CN, NR FT COLLINS, CO

earson Analysis
earson
earson - Upper 95% Confidence Limit
earson - Lower 95% Confidence Limit
ll Plotting Position

10 Recurrence Interval (years) 100

harge-Frequency, with Weighted Generalized Skew

ACHE LA POUDRE RIV AT MO OF CN, NR FT COLLINS, CO

Pearson Analysis
Pearson
Pearson - Upper 95% Confidence Limit
Pearson - Lower 95% Confidence Limit
ull Plotting Position

Natural Resources Conservation Service 02/21/2019

 10 Recurrence Interval (years) 100

Natural Resources Conservation Service 02/21/2019

The station skew coefficient is sensitive to outliers (extreme events), possibly resulting in a biased frequency analys
The accuracy of skew coefficient can be improved and the risk of bias minimized by weighing the station skew with
The following four methods are recommended by Bullitin 17b for developing generalized skew:
(1) For at least 40 stations with at least 25 years of data, or all stations within a hydrophysiographic provence,
(2) For at least 40 stations with at least 25 years of data, or all stations within a hydrophysiographic provence,
(3) For at least 40 stations with at least 25 years of data, or all stations within a hydrophysiographic provence,
(4) In the absence of a more detailed study, a generalized skew coefficient may be read from Plate 1 of Bullitin

For more information on these techniques, see "Guidelines for Determining Flood Flow Frequency, Bulletin 17b of t
 in a biased frequency analysis.
eighing the station skew with generalized skew coefficients.

drophysiographic provence, determine the arithmetic mean and variance of the skew coefficents for all stations.
drophysiographic provence, develop an isoline map of skew coefficients for the region.
drophysiographic provence, develop a prediction equation (regression equation) for skew coefficient.
e read from Plate 1 of Bullitin 17b (mean square error = 0.302).

w Frequency, Bulletin 17b of the Hydrology Committee" or chapter ?? of the NRCS Stream Restoration Guide.
Table of K-Values:
Recurrance Interval: 1.0526 1.25 2 5 10 25 50
Percent Chance: 95 80 50 20 10 4 2
1 -2.00 -1.996 -0.609 0.307 0.777 0.895 0.959 0.980
2 -1.90 -1.989 -0.627 0.294 0.788 0.920 0.996 1.023
3 -1.80 -1.981 -0.643 0.282 0.799 0.945 1.035 1.069
4 -1.70 -1.972 -0.660 0.268 0.808 0.970 1.075 1.116
5 -1.60 -1.962 -0.675 0.254 0.817 0.994 1.116 1.166
6 -1.50 -1.951 -0.690 0.240 0.825 1.018 1.157 1.217
7 -1.40 -1.938 -0.705 0.225 0.832 1.041 1.198 1.270
8 -1.30 -1.925 -0.719 0.210 0.838 1.064 1.240 1.324
9 -1.20 -1.910 -0.732 0.195 0.844 1.086 1.282 1.379
10 -1.10 -1.894 -0.745 0.180 0.848 1.107 1.324 1.435
11 -1.00 -1.877 -0.758 0.164 0.852 1.128 1.366 1.492
12 -0.90 -1.858 -0.769 0.148 0.854 1.147 1.407 1.549
13 -0.80 -1.839 -0.780 0.132 0.856 1.166 1.448 1.606
14 -0.70 -1.819 -0.790 0.116 0.857 1.183 1.488 1.663
15 -0.60 -1.797 -0.800 0.099 0.857 1.200 1.528 1.720
16 -0.50 -1.774 -0.808 0.083 0.856 1.216 1.567 1.777
17 -0.40 -1.750 -0.816 0.066 0.855 1.231 1.606 1.834
18 -0.30 -1.726 -0.824 0.050 0.853 1.245 1.643 1.890
19 -0.20 -1.700 -0.830 0.033 0.850 1.258 1.680 1.945
20 -0.10 -1.673 -0.836 0.017 0.846 1.270 1.716 2.000
21 0.00 -1.645 -0.842 0.000 0.842 1.282 1.751 2.054
22 0.10 -1.616 -0.846 -0.017 0.836 1.292 1.785 2.107
23 0.20 -1.586 -0.850 -0.033 0.830 1.301 1.818 2.159
24 0.30 -1.555 -0.853 -0.050 0.824 1.309 1.849 2.211
25 0.40 -1.524 -0.855 -0.066 0.816 1.317 1.880 2.261
26 0.50 -1.491 -0.856 -0.083 0.808 1.323 1.910 2.311
27 0.60 -1.458 -0.857 -0.099 0.800 1.328 1.939 2.359
28 0.70 -1.423 -0.857 -0.116 0.790 1.333 1.967 2.407
29 0.80 -1.388 -0.856 -0.132 0.780 1.336 1.993 2.453
30 0.90 -1.353 -0.854 -0.148 0.769 1.339 2.018 2.498
31 1.00 -1.317 -0.852 -0.164 0.758 1.340 2.043 2.542
32 1.10 -1.280 -0.848 -0.180 0.745 1.341 2.066 2.585
33 1.20 -1.243 -0.844 -0.195 0.732 1.340 2.087 2.626
34 1.30 -1.206 -0.838 -0.210 0.719 1.339 2.108 2.666
35 1.40 -1.168 -0.832 -0.225 0.705 1.337 2.128 2.706
36 1.50 -1.131 -0.825 -0.240 0.690 1.333 2.146 2.743
37 1.60 -1.093 -0.817 -0.254 0.675 1.329 2.163 2.780
38 1.70 -1.056 -0.808 -0.268 0.660 1.324 2.179 2.815
39 1.80 -1.020 -0.799 -0.282 0.643 1.318 2.193 2.848
40 1.90 -0.984 -0.788 -0.294 0.627 1.310 2.207 2.881
41 2.00 -0.949 -0.777 -0.307 0.609 1.302 2.219 2.912
42 2.10 -0.914 -0.765 -0.319 0.592 1.294 2.230 2.942
43 2.20 -0.882 -0.752 -0.330 0.574 1.284 2.240 2.970
44 2.30 -0.850 -0.739 -0.341 0.555 1.274 2.248 2.997
45 2.40 -0.819 -0.725 -0.351 0.537 1.262 2.256 3.023
46 2.50 -0.790 -0.711 -0.360 0.518 1.250 2.262 3.048
47 2.60 -0.762 -0.696 -0.368 0.499 1.238 2.267 3.071
 48 2.70 -0.736 -0.681 -0.376 0.479 1.224 2.272 3.093
49 2.80 -0.711 -0.666 -0.384 0.460 1.210 2.275 3.114
50 2.90 -0.688 -0.651 -0.390 0.440 1.195 2.277 3.134
51 3.00 -0.665 -0.636 -0.396 0.420 1.180 2.278 3.152

Outlier Test K-Values: (one-sided 10% significance level k values for a normal distribution)
Sample Size K Value
10 2.036
11 2.088
12 2.134
13 2.175
14 2.213
15 2.247
16 2.279
17 2.309
18 2.335
19 2.361
20 2.385
21 2.408
22 2.429
23 2.448
24 2.467
25 2.486
26 2.502
27 2.519
28 2.534
29 2.549
30 2.563
31 2.577
32 2.591
33 2.604
34 2.616
35 2.628
36 2.639
37 2.650
38 2.661
39 2.671
40 2.682
41 2.692
42 2.700
43 2.710
44 2.719
45 2.727
46 2.736
47 2.744
48 2.753
49 2.760
50 2.768
51 2.775
52 2.783
 53 2.790
54 2.798
55 2.804
56 2.811
57 2.818
58 2.824
59 2.831
60 2.837
61 2.842
62 2.849
63 2.854
64 2.860
65 2.866
66 2.871
67 2.877
68 2.883
69 2.888
70 2.893
71 2.897
72 2.903
73 2.908
74 2.912
75 2.917
76 2.922
77 2.927
78 2.931
79 2.935
80 2.940
81 2.945
82 2.949
83 2.953
84 2.957
85 2.961
86 2.966
87 2.970
88 2.973
89 2.977
90 2.981
91 2.984
92 2.989
93 2.993
94 2.996
95 3.000
96 3.003
97 3.006
98 3.011
99 3.014
100 3.017
101 3.021
102 3.024
103 3.027
104 3.030
105 3.033
106 3.037
107 3.040
108 3.043
109 3.046
110 3.049
111 3.052
112 3.055
113 3.058
114 3.061
115 3.064
116 3.067
117 3.070
118 3.073
119 3.075
120 3.078
121 3.081
122 3.083
123 3.086
124 3.089
125 3.092
126 3.095
127 3.097
128 3.100
129 3.102
130 3.104
131 3.107
132 3.109
133 3.112
134 3.114
135 3.116
136 3.119
137 3.122
138 3.124
139 3.126
140 3.129
141 3.131
142 3.133
143 3.135
144 3.138
145 3.140
146 3.142
147 3.144
148 3.146
149 3.148
protection password: "yochum"
If you unprotect this worksheet, YOU are responsible for any changes made.
 100 200 500
1 0.5 0.2
0.990 0.995 0.998
1.307 1.044 1.049
1.087 1.097 1.105
1.140 1.155 1.165
1.197 1.216 1.231
1.256 1.282 1.303
1.318 1.351 1.380
1.383 1.424 1.462
1.449 1.501 1.550
1.518 1.581 1.643
1.588 1.664 1.741
1.660 1.749 1.842
1.733 1.837 1.948
1.806 1.926 2.057
1.880 2.016 2.169
1.955 2.108 2.283
2.029 2.201 2.399
2.104 2.294 2.517
2.178 2.388 2.637
2.252 2.482 2.757
2.326 2.576 2.878
2.400 2.670 3.000
2.472 2.763 3.122
2.544 2.856 3.244
2.615 2.949 3.366
2.686 3.041 3.487
2.755 3.132 3.609
2.824 3.223 3.730
2.891 3.312 3.850
2.957 3.401 3.970
3.022 3.489 4.088
3.087 3.575 4.206
3.149 3.661 4.323
3.211 3.745 4.438
3.271 3.828 4.553
3.330 3.910 4.667
3.388 3.990 4.779
3.444 4.069 4.890
3.499 4.147 4.999
3.553 4.223 5.108
3.605 4.298 5.215
3.656 4.372 5.320
3.705 4.444 5.424
3.753 4.515 5.527
3.800 4.584 5.628
3.845 4.652 5.728
3.889 4.718 5.826
3.932 4.783 5.923
3.973 4.847 6.019
4.013 4.909 6.113
4.051 4.970 6.205