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The last update of Cisco’s Visual Networking Index con rms, one more time, the skyrocketing
need for bandwidth. Global IP traf c has increased eightfold over the past ve years and will
increase threefold over the next ve years, the report predicts.1 This traf c increase directly
affects the expected capacity requirements for the optical backbone networks that must
support the long-distance transmission of all these services. We’ll discuss how capacity demand
is addressed today and explore the next steps to further increase backbone-network capacity as
well as the associated timeframe.
It seems that 100G development has avoided the multiple modulation formats “mistake” of 40G,
especially for long-haul applications where polarization-multiplexing quadrature phase-shift
keying (PM-QPSK) clearly prevails. This commonality of approach will ensure mass production
and lower cost for the basic components required to build 100G interfaces.
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FIGURE 1. Typical axes of development at the interface cards level to go beyond the traditional
8.8-Tbps upper limit imposed by EDFA-based line equipment.
The basic principle of PM-QPSK trades speed for parallelism at the expense of added
complexity. The parallelism that PM-QPSK offers (two states of optical polarization, 2 bits per
symbol) enables 100G wavelengths to ride on a 50-GHz frequency grid.
The number of transmitted 100G waves thus depends on the optical bandwidth of the line
equipment, i.e., the in-line optical ampli ers placed along the route to periodically boost the
optical power of the signals. Although effectively enabling multichannel ampli cation, an EDFA’s
optical bandwidth is intrinsically limited to about 36 nm. Assuming 50-GHz channel spacing, the
EDFA bandwidth therefore typically allows 88 optical channels, hence the 8.8-Tbps line capacity
offered today by several equipment vendors.
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By combining higher-order modulation formats and superchannels, vendors might offer 24-
Tbps line capacity in the future via 400G wavelengths in a gridless approach. However, 400G
16-QAM transmission would have a reach limit of about 600 km. Furthermore, the gridless
approach – where the carrier wavelengths are no longer allocated to speci c spectral slots –
might work well on a simple point-to-point link but not on meshed networks.
FIGURE 2. Four axes of development to go beyond the traditional 8.8-Tbps upper limit imposed
by EDFA-based line equipment. Given today’s limitation on electronics, increasing the symbol
rate is not an option for the next two years.
Today, in spite of some lab and eld trials, there is no clear direction toward an optimal technical
option for going beyond 100G in long-haul applications.
On May 9, 2011, the IEEE 802.3 standards body announced the formation of the Ethernet
Bandwidth Assessment Ad Hoc Group to assess future bandwidth requirements for Ethernet
wireline applications. The IEEE is expected to make a recommendation on the bit rate and other
key technical parameters, which will then kick start standardization work for next generation
high-capacity networks. When the work on this recommendation concludes is not clear as of
this summer.
Another critical piece of standards work is to de ne the future OTN ODU5 frame within ITU-T
Study Group 15. Several contributions were made in ITU-T SG15 meetings on starting this
process. The group decided to wait for the bit-rate recommendation from the IEEE to
synchronize standards development.
A third part of the critical standards work rests with the Optical Internetworking Forum (OIF).
The OIF was instrumental in the development of the optical-line interface implementation
agreements (de facto standards) for 100G and is expected to play a similar role in the next rate.
Additionally, the ITU-T SG15 (Q9/15) has begun work on shared mesh protection schemes. This
effort may provide an important step toward the future implementation of higher-bit-rate
systems.
Meanwhile, with the rapid growth in Internet traf c, large data centers will become one of the
major applications for future high-bit-rate systems. These data centers will demand more
ef cient transport for server connectivity, core network switching, and other internal data-
center requirements. So standards also must be developed with data centers in mind.
These standards-related items will take time to complete. As a reference, the IEEE
recommendations on 40/100G were rati ed in June 2010 after many months of hard work. We
can expect that standards work on future high-bit-rate systems will take at least 24 months to
complete.
The ber in terrestrial networks can support an optical bandwidth much broader than the one
EDFAs provide. Consequently, combining line equipment that can tap this wider optical
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bandwidth with 100G data rates is a natural way to increase line capacity today while offering
decreasing cost per bit as 100G technology matures.
Meanwhile, improved noise performance (OSNR requirements are more stringent when the
channel rate increases) and distributed ampli cation within the line ber (too high per-channel
power leads to nonlinear effects for which today’s receiver technology cannot properly
compensate) are key parameters to enable ultra long reach.
Lastly, today’s 100G technology achieves excellent reach performance (more than 3,000 km in
real network environments with Raman-supported ampli cation). By contrast, the reach
demonstrated so far by 400G or 1T prototypes is signi cantly shorter. This factor would impose
severe limitations and extra costs not only for long-haul links, but also for highly meshed
network con gurations.
Consequently, we believe 100G should dominate for the next ve years before the commercial
deployment of any higher rates that still need to be de ned, standardized, and developed.
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In parallel to further incremental improvements (e.g., space and power consumption) brought to
100G interface cards and additional 400G/1T lab demos and eld trials, another path to explore
to increase capacity is the development and implementation of more advanced line equipment.
A larger optical bandwidth can expand line capacity signi cantly beyond 10 Tbps. Better noise
performance and distributed ampli cation within the line ber can achieve a reach longer than
3,000 km with long spans for 100G and higher rates. The other good news is that higher-end line
equipment can also reduce the relative cost of interface cards by relaxing their technical
requirements and limiting the number required throughout the network, e.g., by the elimination
of regeneration sites.
References
1. Cisco Visual Networking Index: Forecast and Methodology, 2011–2016 (May 30, 2012).
2. Forecast and Methodology, 2011–2016, Ovum analyst Ron Kline’s presentation at Terabit
Optical & Data Networking 2012 Conference (April 16–19, 2012 – Cannes, France).
BERTRAND CLESCA is head of global marketing and WILLIAM SZETO is chief technology
of cer–terrestrial systems at Xtera Communications Inc.
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