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Vivek Project Final
Vivek Project Final
INTRODUCTION
Doing project in an integral part of MBA curriculum in VTU. It is an initiative to bridge the gap
between the knowledge and its application and it helps to apply the things in practical like what
we have studied or discussed in the classroom & implement the same concept in the project
report.
This project has been conducted during the 4th semester of MBA program and it has been carried
for a period of 10 weeks on the topic called “THE ANALYSIS OF INVESTORS RISK AND
RETURN ON EQUITY SHARES” at Geojit, Bangalore. It was pleasure to do internship project
report in this company.
During this finance project, I have learnt some basic concepts about stock market and also some
information about derivative market and its product. The resolution of the study is to empower
the students to realize the practical world.
INDUSTRY PROFILE
The capital market reforms were initiated in 1991, as part of the structural reforms comprising
industrial deregulation, privatization, and financial reforms through liberalization of domestic
economic policies and foreign exchange policies.
Capital is a vital factor of production, necessary for economic development. A marketplace for
raising funds, for capital formation and investment, is stated as capital market, is so terribly
important for economic development of any country. Investment comes from savings and also
the mobilization of savings may be a major operate of the capital market.
Capital market may be a wide term use to comprise all operations within the new problems and
securities market. New problems created by the businesses represent the first market, whereas
commercialism within the existing securities relates to the secondary market. whereas we are
able to solely stock the first market, we are able to obtain and sell securities within the secondary
market.
Capital market so provides funds from public who are measure savers to investors. The surpluses
of the house sector and foreign sector square measure accustomed meet the deficits of the
government. and business, who invest more than they save, or pay more than their financial gain.
Besides the allocation of the funds and flow of funds from less profitable to additional profitable
avenues and intercession between savers and investors square measure the functions of the
capital market.
CAPITAL MARKET
Capital market is wide term use to comprise all operation in the new issue and securities market.
New issue created by the businesses constitutes the first market, whereas commerce in the
existing securities relates to the secondary market.
The term capital market encompasses all operations of F.I.s, banks, etc. At the long finish of
spectrum of maturities. The demand and supply for long run funds square measure mirrored in
the capital market, that may be a marketplace for borrowing and landing for more than one year.
STOCK MARKET
INTRODUCTION;
Stock exchange are the foremost good style of the marketplace for securities positively govt. and
semi-govt. groups or alternative public bodies also for shares and debentures issued by the joint-
stock firms. In the securities market, purchase and sales of shares are created in conditions of
free competitions. Govt. securities are traded outside the mercantilism ring in the form of over
the counter sales and purchases.
The earliest recorded securities market dealings in India were transactions in loan Stock
Exchanges of the East India company, towards the end of the eighteenth century. Wide ranges of
the banks and cotton mills securities were being traded in Bombay and Calcutta by 1830. The
company’s act 1850 introduced a new concept of limited liability with sole motive with
simulating activities in securities market.
During the boom 186-1900 brokers and bank managers were a privileged and a decent category
and police had solely “Salam” for them. once the war, brokers were thought of as a social
nuisance and were driven from post to pillar. They were shifted from place to position. Finally,
they found in a street referred to as ‘Dalal Street’ wherever they transacted their business.
STOCK EXCHANGE
“Stock exchanges suggests that anybody or individuals whether incorporated or not, accepted for
the business of buying, merchandising or dealing in securities”. it's an organization of member
dealers for the aim of self-regulation and reserves the interests of its peoples.
It will be operated only if it's recognizing by the govt. below the securities contracts (regulations)
act, 1956. The identify is granted below sec three of the act by the central government.
Bombay stock exchange restricted is that the oldest securities market in Asia with an expensive
heritage. Generally referred to as “BSE”, it had been set up as “the native shares and stock
brokers association” in 1875. It's the first securities market within the country to get perpetual
identify 1956 from govt. of India below the securities contracts(regulation) act,1956. The
exchange’s important and pre-eminent role within the development of Indian capital market is
widely identified and its index, Sensex is tracked worldwide. Earlier and association of persons
(AOP), the exchange is currently approach.
Interns of organization framework, the committee formulate bigger policy problems & exercise
over-all control. The groups accepted by committee or board based mostly the director and a
management team of skilled manage the day to day operations of the exchange. The exchange
contains a nationwide reach with occurring with 417 town and cities of India. The system &
processes of trading’s are style to trading market safeness & increase clearness in operations.
During the year 2004-05, the trading volumes on exchange showed strong growth.
The exchange contributes an effective & clear marketplace for trading in equity shares, debt
instruments and derivatives. The BSE’s on-line trading system
(BOLT) is ownership system of the exchange and is BS7799-2-2002 certified. The close
observation & clearing & settlement functions of the exchange are ISO9001:2000 certified.
In order to supply nationwide securities market facilities to investors, upgrading the facilities &
to carry the Indian capital market in line with the universal markets in 1992, the NSE was
established. The securities market has two separate segments viz, capital market segment and
money market section. Capital market segment would cover commercialism inequities,
convertible debentures, nonconvertible debentures etc. NSE provides access to investors from all
across the country on an equal footing and works as an integral part of the National securities
market system.
The growth of business on NSE since the time when exchange started its operations, i.e., on Nov
three, 1994.Over the amount, the avg commercialism volume has redoubled manifold.
The value of the traded scrip’s during the year 1999-2000 on NSE was eight, 39,052 large
integers (40% of the entire turnover of all the stocks exchange combined in India) compared to
Rs.369052/- (30.49 the entire turnover of all the securities markets combined in India) on the
country’s premium stock market the Bombay stock exchange.
TRADING IN NSE:
NSE was introduced for the first time in India, totally electrical screen based dealings. It uses a
existing, totally processed buying and selling system deliberate to supply investors across the
length and breadth of the country is harmless and guileless thanks to invest.
The NSE dealing scheme known as “National Exchange for machine-controlled trading”
(NEAT) is totally machine self-controlled screen based dealing system, that adopts the principle
of an order operated market.
•Wholesale debit market segment(WDM)
•Capital market segment(CM)
The wholesale debit market segment or market because it is usually observed is a facility of
institutions, banks, company & high network people high enter into great worth dealings in tools
like, govt. securities, treasury bills, public sector unit’s bonds, business papers, certificate of
deposits, etc. Capital market segments covers commerce in equities (presently) convertible
debentures and different innovative monetary instruments.
COMPANY PROFILE
Geojit financial Services Ltd was founded by C.J.George in 1987 as a proprietorship for doing
Broking business in cochin securities market.The partnership between promoters Mr. C.
J.George and Mr.Ranjit Kanjilal became a sole ownership on Kanjilal’s retirement in
1983.Geojit securities became a company broking house in 1995.
In 1994, the business was confiscated by Geojit securities Ltd, a joint venture between mister. C.
J. George and also the Kerala State Industrial Development Corporation Ltd(KSIDC). In the
following year, the corporate came up with AN Initial Public Offer(IPO) and also the shares
were listed in varied securities market in India in 1995.
Geojit securities Ltd, is growing as a “Financial Supermarket”. This gives all modern financial
capital market services under 1 roof. Geojit securities ltd, is the 1st “on line share broking firm”
in India.
The company stands as the first member of National Stock Exchange(NSE),in Kerala.The 1st
company to give depository services in South India.Geojit securities ltd is India’s 1st internet
brokerage firm.It has been active in the field of capital markets for fifteen years.It is a leading
retail broker listed on major stock exchanges and has 100 offices across the country. Geojit
serves a client base of around one lakh investors. The company has been growing at over three
hundredth annually and incorporates a internet price of over Rs.13 crores. The company
endeavors to provide the best services at the lowest possible cost to investors, well qualified
human resources and constant up gradation of technology support this aim. The company
possesses the largest pool of certified professionals in the Indian stock broking industry.
A Geojit security limited is a well-established corporate sector in the Indian capital market. Its
rate of return is growing per year. Its role in the market and in the worldis expanding. The
company also has an institute named as “Geojit Institute of capital market” also to train Geojit’s
staff to equip them with modern technology for trading and related services. The staff is also
trained for qualifying in the NCFM exam conducted by NSE.
The electronic share trading, including internet based trading and derivative trading are the most
modern operational technique in the capital market. Geojit is the member to start trading in index
Futures & Options being a new concept, investors are hesitating to enter this business. To spread
awareness about the derivatives among investors. Mutual fund is an important tool or product in
the capital market. It has its own mutual fund department. Now all branches are being registered
as per the statutory compliance of the ESI Act, which states that Geojit is a commercial
establishment.
COMPANY PROMOTERS
1. BNP Paribas
2. Kerala State Industrial Development
3. Eldho Abraham
4. C.J. George
5. BNP Paribas India Holding Private
6. Binoy Abraham
7. Shiny George
8. Lazar M A
9. Susan Raju
10. Emily Rajan
11. Jones George C
12. Sara Macheril George
13.Jyothis Abraham George
14. Sally Sampath
The vision of Geojit is to be leading financial and commodities markets intermediary for
individual and institutional clients from India and overseas.
They continually strive to raise their products and services standards by intelligent
application of technology and processes.
MISSION:
Quality policy
Talented, efficient and element team of youngsters rolling out high position application for the
world profession, keeping in mind true quality, total customers satisfaction, delivering on time,
every time.
They are forever effort for continuing development and improvement of our own set values in
succeeding total quality management.
The quality of the merchandise and services provided by Geojit to clients is that the concern of
each workers within the organization. All are therefore creative thinking concerned in on
condition that top quality merchandise and services through;
Responsiveness to client wants
Provision of labor satisfaction and promising careers
Constant measuring and observation of all operation
Continuous improvement of procedures, merchandise and services
Performance of operation in an exceedingly accountable manner
PRODUCTS / SERVICES PROFILE
Following are the various product and services of Geojit
1. Equity
a) NSE
b) BSE
c) Net Trading
2. Derivatives
a) Index futures
b) Index options
c) Stock futures
d) Stock options
3. Margin trading and funding scheme
4. Loan against share
5. Loan for commodity trading
6. Depository services
a) Internet services
b) DEMAT
c) All DP services are available at all the branches
d) Delivery of shares with the help of internet
e) Off market transaction
7. Portfolio management services
8. Fixed deposits
9. Non-convertible debentures
10. Distribution
a) Initial public offering (IPO)
b) Mutual funds
c) Corporate bonds and government securitiesd) Life & general insurance product
AREA OF OPERATION
Globally
Dubai Ras Al-Khaimah
Abu Dubai Sharja
Bahrain Muscat
Kuwait European country
Nationally
Delhi Andhra Pradesh
Karnataka Uttarakhand
Goa West Bengal
Tamilnadu Bihar
Pondicherry Haryana
Maharashtra Jammu & Kashmir
Gujarat Orissa
Uttar Pradesh Punjab
Kerala Rajasthan
Madhya Pradesh
Regional
Bangalore
Belgaum
Dawangere
Mysore
Mandya
Hassan
Dharwad
Mangalore
Bagalk
OWNERSHIP PATTERN
INFRASTRUCTURAL FACILITIES
Geojit provides online trading services to the clients
The co provides the various services such as,
Sending mails everyday about transaction details to the client’s ID
Company staff will provide information through telephone
The company also provides security to the clients
Company gives more importance to the cleanliness
Geojit also provides allowances facilities such as:
Travel allowance
Medical allowance
House rental allowance
The company also facilitate mobile applications like SELFI,
Company also provides refreshments for clients
Tax saving schemes
Equity linked savings scheme
Some of the bonds to reduce the risk of tax
i. Govt. bonds
ii. Rural electrical company
iii. National high way authority of India
iv. Indian railway financial corporations
COMPETITORS DETAILS
Category ‘1’
(these are the firm which provides DMAT, trading and along with the banking facilities)
ICICI Direct
Kotak securities
HDFC securities
Category ‘2’
(these are the firm which provides DMAT, trading facilities)
SWOT ANALISIS
STRENGTH
Geojit has an International expertise
It facilitates multichannel services in order to support the clients through internet, mobile
and local office etc.
It has above 550 offices, about 300 cities across India
It works for around 776000 trades
It has constantly been an initiator there by, has taken an advantage of 1st mover in
financial services
The company has qualified, experienced, well trained and industry certified employees
It offers wide range of products or services
It also creates a large employment opportunity
It has developed mobile application like selfie
WEAKNESS
It has less perforation (in some region of the country)
Lack of awareness among investors because of low promotion.
Lack of proper training.
OPPORTUNITY
It provides customized and cheaper services through growing rural market
Geojit has an opportunity to increase an investor by providing an education regarding
stock market trading.
Geojit can attract the customers through its various products and services offered.
THREATS
The major threats are banks
entry of large number of competitors
The company services mainly based on the investors and markets trends or conditions.
There are some strict procedures of SEBI
It involves inflexible economic measure by government and RBI increases entrance of
Foreign Finance companies in Indian market.
FINANCIAL STATEMENTS:
Current Ratio
2.92 2.82
3 2.64
2.37
2.5 1.99
2
1.5
0.5
0
2017 2016 2015 2014 2013
Interpretation:
From the above chart, the current ratio is varies from one year by year. However, it reached its
ideal ratio of 2.92 during 2016, which shows that the company is in good solvent position.
0.69
0.7
0.68
0.66 0.64 0.64
0.64 0.62
0.62 0.6
0.6
0.58
0.56
0.54
2017 2016 2015 2014 2013
Interpretation:
From the above chart, the company proprietary ratio in the year of 2013 is 0.64 in the year 2014
the ratio has diminishing to 0.6, in the year 2015 ratio has improved to 0.64, in the year 2016 ratio
has again improved to 0.69, in the year 2017 the ratio has come down to 0.62 percent. Finally, the
company capital structure ratio fluctuating by every year this ratio shows that the company
shareholders fund increasing year by year it indicates that company performance well.
3.Current assets of fixed assets ratio = Current Assets/Total Assets
Particulars Current Assets Total Assets current assets of fixed assets ratio
2017 645.96 818.26 0.78
2016 480.64 704.84 0.67
2015 496.45 721.7 0.68
2014 496.78 722.82 0.68
2013 597.47 174.21 0.81
current assets of fixed assets ratio
0.9 0.81
0.78
0.8 0.67 0.68 0.68
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
2017 2016 2015 2014 2013
Interpretation:
From the above chart, the company current fixed assets ratio is in the year of 2013 is 0.81and the
year 2014 & 2015 the ratio has maintain the 0.68, 78in the year 2016 ratio has go down to 0.67, in
the year 2017 ratio has again increased to 0.78. Finally, the company capital structure ratio
fluctuating by every year this ratio shows that the company shareholders fund increasing year by
year it indicates that company performance well.
CHAPTER 2
CONCEPTUAL BACKGROUND AND LITERATURE REVIEW
BACKGROUND OF STUDY
Every monetary decision contains a part of risk and a part of return. the connection between risk
and return exists within the kind of a risk-return trade-off, by that it's meant that it's only
attainable to earn higher returns by agree to receive higher risk. If an capitalist desires to earn
higher returns, then the capitalist should appreciate that this can only be achieved by agree to
receive a corresponding increase in risk. Risk and return are absolutely correlated; a rise in one is
among a rise within the different.
In financial management nowadays the treatment of risk is that the main part in monetary call
making. Key current questions involve however risk ought to be measured, and the way the
desired return related to a given risk level is decided. However, risk didn't continuously have
such a outstanding place. before 1952 the risk part was typically either assumed away or treated
qualitatively within the monetary literature.
A monetary conclusion usually involves risk. let's say, a corporation that borrows funds faces the
danger that interest rates could modification, & a corporation that builds a replacement factory
faces the danger that product sales is also less than expected. These and lots of different
selections involve future funds flows that are risky. Investors usually dislike risk, however
they're conjointly unable to avoid it. The valuation for shares and debt securities shows that the
value of a risky product depends on its expected future money flows, the duration of cash, and
risk. to create effective monetary selections, managers got to perceive what causes risk, however
it ought to be measured & also the impact of risk on the speed of return needed by investors
(Peirson, Brown, Easton, Howard, and Pinder, 2011).
Types of Risk
1. Systematic risk
2. Systematized risk
Systematic risk:
Additionally, referred to as "market risk" or "un-diversifiable risk", systematic risk is that the
uncertainty intrinsic to the complete marketplace or entire marketplace section. Additionally,
mentioned as volatility, systematic risk is that the everyday fluctuations during a stock's value.
Volatility could be a live of risk as a result of it refers to the performance, or "temperament," of
your investment instead of cause for this behavior. As a result of market movement is that the
reason why individuals will create cash from shares, fluctuation is decisive for returns, &
therefore the additional unstable the investment the additional probability there's that it'll
expertise a affected modification in either direction.
international
int rate risk
events
industrial
market risk
risk
political risk
Un systemized Risk:
Additionally, referred to as "specific risk," "diversifiable risk" this kind of uncertainty comes
with the corporate or business you invest in & may be reduced through diversification. as an
example, news that's specific to little variety of stocks, similar to an unexpected strike by the
workers of an organization you've got shares in, is taken into account to be un systemized risk.
Business risk
Non
Industrial
disputes systemati Financial risk
c risk
Uncertainity
Return:
A return is that the gain or loss of a security in a very specific duration. The return consists of the
financial gain & therefore the capital gains relative on in investment. The overall rules are that a
lot of risk you are taking, the bigger the potential for higher return.
Relationship between Risk and Return
Risk/Return Tradeoff
Less risk
Less return
Return
More risk
More return
Risk
The Risk and Return is one of the main concepts in finance subject. Every financial decision
involves in Risk and return analysis. Every time high return expecting high risk.
In case every investors demand higher return the risk level is also high. The risk and return both
have a direct relationship. The investors measure this relationship and use that measurement to
build an appropriate risk and return.
CAPM: CAPM is measuring the relationship b/w the probable return for assets and systemized
risk.
REVIEW OF LITERATURE
Bedanta Bora and Anindita Adhikary: 2011: (Dept. of management studies, Sikkim
Manipal University)
The risk and return is characterized by stock market investment. The return is yield to capital
appreciation. Risk is uncertainty of the future outcomes. The two types of risk are one is systematic
risk and another one is unsystematic risk. Risk analysis and return both have an uncertainty and it
is not measured easily, totally the study s-ays, high risks create a high return low risk create a low
return.
Narayan Gaonkar31 Dr. Kushalapp March’ 2015 -The study is undertaken with the
most objective of crucial the risk return profile of thirty stocks listed on NSE. Only thirty
prime firms shares listed on NSE are thought-about during this paper. To check the
variation within the stock returns for the study period of 1 years. To rank the businesses
on the idea of return and risk to seek out the risk and return of portfolio consisting of thirty
stocks and compare it with risk and return of individual stock. to supply meaningful
suggestions to the investors regards the findings of the study.
Franco painter and Gerald A Pogue (1983): Risk is that the main part in monetary higher
cognitive process. everybody should be expecting high return. He says that portfolio theory
deals with the measuring of the link between risk and return. It's involved with the
suggestive for security costs of the portfolio finding created by investors.
Salman (2003) Provides tried and true information to support the positive and linear
relationship between risk and return. whereas learning the big city exchange, he finds that
the CAPM’s conception is valid and he believes that each risk and come are integrated
within the data provided to the market. Similarly, a positive and important association
between risk and return within the Jordanian stock exchange.
Sangeetha and Dheeraj (2008) studied the risk return relation utilizing market &
accounting primarily based info and located that risk computed on the premise of
accounting info wasn't considerably captured by the market however monetary risk had
important influence.
Dr. Pramod Kumar Patjoshi 2015- The study on risk and return tries to identify the
correlation between the BSE and 30 companies of banking sector based on the 15 years of
data from 2001, Jan to 2015, Dec and tested the presence or absence of the risk return
tradeoff between the Indian equity markets and hypothesis testing of that information has
been done to calculate the beta of four banking stocks with the BSE sensex with the
relevance sensex.
Madhu and Tamimi (2011) in their study disclose that CAPM command smart in Indian
stock exchange in explaining the systematic risk and establishing the trade-off b/w risk and
return. So as to determine the positive risk-return relationship between equity returns &
totally different sharing and monetary risk variables.
From the study it was understood that the systematic risk was high in small corporations
when compared to the big corporations due to difference in beta and also because of
inconsistency in the market.
Shijin and others (2008) in this study the author has done an analysis on risk & return of
traditional stocks of 72 firms listed on BSE from the period 1995 to 2005 March, using
Vector Autoregressive Model, which has resulted that market risk alternative had a
deliberate impact on returns in Indian market.
Ahmed (2008)
In his investigation to recognize the connection between the financial variables and made
an undertaking in his investigation to chase out the r connection between stock cost and
differed monetary factors on the idea of supposition of the financial factors are regularly
the clarification behind determinative cost of the security with association Indian economy.
data were gathered covering twelve years on the idea of quarterly information. The
investigation utilized Indian Industrial Production, trades, remote direct venture, trade out
hand and as an intermediary for financial factors and Sensex was taken for the intermediary
of market return.
Vanitha (2008) inspected the connection between certain organization fundamental factors
and additionally the market estimation of the security. The examination known size, use,
esteem income proportion and book to advance value proportion and furthermore the
known factors were then relapsed with the arrival of the scrips gathered from 455 firms
recorded in BSE with the traverse of 10-year term result demonstrated that the scale and
esteem profit greatness connection had positive effect while obligation value size
connection and book to advance value extent connection had negative effect on scrip's
arrival in Indian setting.
Rajagopala Nair and Elsamma Joseph(2001) found the fluctuated dangers educated by
financial specialists in organization securities and additionally the measures embraced for
declining dangers. They opined that computed hazard may delaine the power of loss of
fund in organization securities. According to their examination, a few financial specialists
are holding offers of these organizations that are non-existent these days. They opined that
speculators may make due with dangers intrinsic in value, anyway they won't compromise
to the danger of extortion. Promoters shouldn't be permitted to plunder the specific
financial specialists by their untrustworthy demonstrations.
Suresh G Lalwani (1999) directed the need for chance administration inside money
markets with particular weight on the esteem chance. He remarked that the stock exchange
could be an unsafe and there's finished a decent likelihood that reserved from up, genuine
may slip.
Robert Gay (2009) examined the connection between the monetary science variable and
along these lines the securities advertise return. The examination broke down with
reference to four rising firms like Brazil, Russia, China and India by approach of particular
the interceding factors. The investigation utilized ARIMA model to look out the impact of
interceding factors on securities advertise return and extra the examination ended that there
was no imperative connection between the mediating factors and along these lines the
securities showcase return.
CHAPTER 3
RESEARCH DESIGN
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
In order to satisfy the target of the study, the information collected from each the first and
secondary sources.
• Primary information
• Secondary information
Primary Data:
The information collected initial hand by the investigator involved with the analysis drawback
refers to the first data.
Personal discussion was created with unit manager and interaction with alternative personnel
within the organization for this purpose. This can be no formal style of form employed in this
study.
Questionnaires
Interviews
Observation
Secondary Data:
The information offered at varied sources created for a few alternative purpose
but facilitating the study undertaken is termed as Secondary information.
The various sources that were used for the gathering of secondary knowledge are
• Various text books were accustomed perceive the concepts of risk and return.
• Websites of the corporate.
• Newspapers similar to Economic times, merchandise.
• Magazines similar to Business world, capital market.
We adopted descriptive research methodology. We explain the risk, return and beta.
The following measures are used to analyzing data analysis
Calculation of expected return
Analysis of expected risk
Calculation of beta
Calculation of alpha
CAPM Model
HYPOTHESES
LIMITATIONS
• The period of time of the project was restricted to only 2.5 month
• The data provided is restricted to the extent and net and journals.
• The analysis is strictly supported share value data.
• Other company performance indicators aren't thought-about.
• It focuses in each month ending closing costs of throughout the amount from first Apr 2007
to thirty first march2018.
• The calculation is simply for IT sectors
CHAPTER SCHEEM
CHAPTER 1: Introduction
The report on the study has been presented in a format consist different chapters. The chapter
one gives information about introduction to the internship and about the title of the project. And
continue with industry profile and company profile, promoters details, vision, mission, quality
policy and product and services offered by the organization and area which they are operating
and infrastructure details. It also gives information regarding competitors, what are their
Strengths, weakness, opportunities and threats. It describes what are its future growth and
financial disclosure.
CHAPTER 2: Conceptual Background and Literature Review
In the chapter second provide the information about the theoretical background of the study of
the organization and literature review of authors regarding the topic is Analysis of investors risk
and return on equity shares.
CHAPTER 3: Research Design
The chapter three explains the topic Analysis of investors risk and return on equity shares is the
statement of the problem, need of the study, objectives, scope, research methodology, research
design, hypotheses, and limitations. The hypotheses tool used for calculation is correlation.
The fourth chapter contains details regarding Data Analysis and required interpretation. In this
chapter Rate of return, Risk, Alpha, Beta, CAPM and correlation
The fifth chapter contains the findings, suggestions and conclusion about the about the subject, its
objectives, values estimated and graph.
CHAPTER 4: ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION
The following formulas are used to calculate the risk and return:
Return
Return = (P1-P0)/P0*100
Where,
P1 =Current month price
P0 = Previous month price
R1=∑R/n
n = Number of months.
Risk
Risk = √∑(R-R1)2/n
Beta
Beta = [∑(Ra-Ra1)(Rm-Rm1)]/∑(Rm-Rm1)2
Where,
Ra = Return on company
Ra1=Average return on company
Rm=Return on market
Rm1=Average return on market
Alpha =(Ra1-Rm1) *B
CALCULATION OF RETURN AND RISK OF SELECTED COMPANIES
1. Table Showing Calculation of Return and Risk of Bench Mark (BSE SENSEX)
Calculation of Return:
Return = (P1-P0)/P0*100
Where,
P1 =Current month price
P0 = Previous month price
R1=∑R/n
n = Number of months.
R1=75.363/59
=1.277
Calculation of Risk:
Risk = √∑(R-R1)2/n
=√∑1844.317/59
=5.59
Sensex
14000
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
Jul-13
Jul-14
Jul-15
Jul-16
Jul-17
Apr-13
Apr-14
Apr-15
Apr-16
Apr-17
Jan-18
Jan-14
Jan-15
Jan-16
Jan-17
Oct-14
Oct-13
Oct-15
Oct-16
Oct-17
Interpretation:
In the opening month of April 2013 the Sensex rate was 5,709.64 and that have been increased to
8,789.38 in the month of March 2014 which refers there is an increase in the Sensex rate by
3,079.74.
In the opening month of April 2014 the Sensex rate was 8,751.78 and that have been increased to
11404.12 in the month of March 2015 which refers there is an increase in the Sensex rate by
2652.34.
In the opening month of April 2015 the Sensex rate was 10,410.98 and that have been increased
to 11,387.95 in the month of March 2016 which refers there is an increase in the Sensex rate by
976.97.
In the opening month of April 2016 the Sensex rate was 11,330.17 and that have been decreased
to 10,365.51 in the month of March 2017 which refers there is a drastic change in the Sensex rate
that is been decreased by 976.97.
In the opening month of April 2017 the Sensex rate was 9618.99 and that have been increased to
12100 in the month of March 2018 which refers there is an increase in the Sensex rate by
2,481.56.
Here there is an average profit 1.277% every month.
The Risk of BSE Sensex is 5.59.
Calculation of Risk
SD = √∑(R-R1)2/n
SD =√∑2669.857/59
=6.727
WIPRO
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
Jul-13
Jul-14
Jul-15
Jul-16
Jul-17
Apr-13
Apr-14
Apr-15
Jan-16
Apr-16
Apr-17
Jan-14
Jan-15
Jan-17
Jan-18
Oct-13
Oct-14
Oct-15
Oct-16
Oct-17
Beta=1759.724/1872.303
=0.939
Alpha =(Ra1-Rm1) *B
= (1.036-1.277) *0.939
=-0.226
3.a) TABLE SHOWING CALCULATION OF RETURN AND RISK OFINFOSYS
Date Price R% R-R1 (R-R1)2
Apr-13 558.61
May-13 601.9 7.750 6.314 39.861
Jun-13 623.31 3.557 2.121 4.499
Jul-13 741.79 19.008 17.572 308.782
Aug-13 775.08 4.488 3.052 9.313
Sep-13 753.86 -2.738 -4.174 17.420
Oct-13 827.16 9.723 8.287 68.679
Nov-13 838.38 1.356 -0.080 0.006
Dec-13 871.38 3.936 2.500 6.251
Jan-14 924.86 6.137 4.701 22.103
Feb-14 955.05 3.264 1.828 3.343
Mar-14 819.71 -14.171 -15.607 243.578
Apr-14 794.3 -3.100 -4.536 20.574
May-14 735.38 -7.418 -8.854 78.391
Jun-14 811.61 10.366 8.930 79.746
Jul-14 841.42 3.673 2.237 5.004
Aug-14 898.5 6.784 5.348 28.599
Sep-14 936.91 4.275 2.839 8.059
Oct-14 1,012.86 8.106 6.670 44.495
Nov-14 1,089.81 7.597 6.161 37.962
Dec-14 985.6 -9.562 -10.998 120.961
Jan-15 1,071.38 8.703 7.267 52.814
Feb-15 1,147.42 7.097 5.661 32.051
Mar-15 1,108.30 -3.409 -4.845 23.478
Apr-15 971.2 -12.370 -13.806 190.614
May-15 1,011.20 4.119 2.683 7.196
Jun-15 985.35 -2.556 -3.992 15.939
Jul-15 1,078.05 9.408 7.972 63.550
Aug-15 1,095.20 1.591 0.155 0.024
Sep-15 1,160.45 5.958 4.522 20.447
Oct-15 1,136.05 -2.103 -3.539 12.522
Nov-15 1,088.45 -4.190 -5.626 31.651
Dec-15 1,104.55 1.479 0.043 0.002
Jan-16 1,164.85 5.459 4.023 16.186
Feb-16 1,083.75 -6.962 -8.398 70.531
Mar-16 1,217.95 12.383 10.947 119.835
Apr-16 1,210.85 -0.583 -2.019 4.076
May-16 1,249.85 3.221 1.785 3.186
Jun-16 1,170.75 -6.329 -7.765 60.291
Jul-16 1,073.95 -8.268 -9.704 94.172
Aug-16 1,036.80 -3.459 -4.895 23.963
Sep-16 1,038.10 0.125 -1.311 1.718
Oct-16 1,002.50 -3.429 -4.865 23.672
Nov-16 975.45 -2.698 -4.134 17.092
Dec-16 1,010.70 3.614 2.178 4.742
Jan-17 929.3 -8.054 -9.490 90.057
Feb-17 1,012.30 8.931 7.495 56.182
Mar-17 1,020.80 0.840 -0.596 0.356
Apr-17 919.4 -9.933 -11.369 129.263
May-17 976.95 6.260 4.824 23.266
Jun-17 935.65 -4.227 -5.663 32.075
Jul-17 1,011.30 8.085 6.649 44.213
Aug-17 915.3 -9.493 -10.929 119.437
Sep-17 898.75 -1.808 -3.244 10.525
Oct-17 921.65 2.548 1.112 1.237
Nov-17 974.95 5.783 4.347 18.897
Dec-17 1,039.30 6.600 5.164 26.670
Jan-18 1,150.65 10.714 9.278 86.080
Feb-18 1,174.25 2.051 0.615 0.378
Mar-18 1,134.40 -3.394 -4.830 23.326
84.736 2699.340
Calculation of Return:
Return= (P1-P0)/P0*100
Where,
P1 =Current month price
P0 = Previous month price
R1=∑R/n
n = Number of months.
R1=84.736 /59
=1.436
Calculation of Risk
SD = √∑(R-R1)2/n
SD =√∑2699.340/59
=6.764
INFOSYS
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
Jul-13
Jul-14
Jul-15
Jul-16
Jul-17
Apr-13
Apr-14
Apr-15
Apr-16
Apr-17
Jan-16
Jan-14
Jan-15
Jan-17
Jan-18
Oct-13
Oct-14
Oct-15
Oct-16
Oct-17
6
Analysis and Interpretation:
In the above table and graph we can understand the one percent change in market return causes
1.436 changes in the stock return with beta of 1.124 is less impulsive in the market. There is a
positive correlation 0.936 between the BSE Sensex and stock. The stock price move in the same
direction with the BSE index rate.
(Ra-Ra1)(Rm-
Date R% Rm Ra-Ra1 Rm-Rm1 (Rm-Rm1)2 Rm1)
Apr-13
May-13 7.75 6.23 6.314 4.953 24.532 31.273
Jun-13 3.557 3.129 2.121 1.852 3.43 3.928
Jul-13 19.008 19.234 17.572 17.957 322.454 315.540
Aug-13 4.488 7.634 3.052 6.357 40.411 19.402
Sep-13 -2.738 -2.346 -4.174 -3.623 13.126 15.122
Oct-13 9.723 8.145 8.287 6.868 47.169 56.915
Nov-13 1.356 -0.749 -0.08 -2.026 4.105 0.162
Dec-13 3.936 7.933 2.5 6.656 44.302 16.640
Jan-14 6.137 4.348 4.701 3.071 9.431 14.437
Feb-14 3.264 3.331 1.828 2.054 4.219 3.755
Mar-14 -14.171 -10.241 -15.607 -11.518 132.664 179.761
Apr-14 -3.1 -0.428 -4.536 -1.705 2.907 7.734
May-14 -7.418 -3.387 -8.854 -4.664 21.753 41.295
Jun-14 10.366 10.535 8.93 9.258 85.711 82.674
Jul-14 3.673 4.24 2.237 2.963 8.779 6.628
Aug-14 6.784 3.526 5.348 2.249 5.058 12.028
Sep-14 4.275 5.966 2.839 4.689 21.987 13.312
Oct-14 8.106 0.135 6.67 -1.142 1.304 -7.617
Nov-14 7.597 4.723 6.161 3.446 11.875 21.231
Dec-14 -9.562 -5.563 -10.998 -6.84 46.786 75.226
Jan-15 8.703 5.619 7.267 4.342 18.853 31.553
Feb-15 7.097 7.074 5.661 5.797 33.605 32.817
Mar-15 -3.409 -4.723 -4.845 -6 36 29.070
Apr-15 -12.37 -8.709 -13.806 -9.986 99.72 137.867
May-15 4.119 4.798 2.683 3.521 12.397 9.447
Jun-15 -2.556 -4.225 -3.992 -5.502 30.272 21.964
Jul-15 9.408 5.964 7.972 4.687 21.968 37.365
Aug-15 1.591 0.801 0.155 -0.476 0.227 -0.074
Sep-15 5.958 3.732 4.522 2.455 6.027 11.102
Oct-15 -2.103 -2.713 -3.539 -3.99 15.92 14.121
Nov-15 -4.19 -2.786 -5.626 -4.063 16.508 22.858
Dec-15 1.479 1.016 0.043 -0.261 0.068 -0.011
Jan-16 5.459 0.938 4.023 -0.339 0.115 -1.364
Feb-16 -6.962 -8.379 -8.398 -9.656 93.238 81.091
Mar-16 12.383 11.325 10.947 10.048 100.962 109.995
Apr-16 -0.583 -0.507 -2.019 -1.784 3.183 3.602
May-16 3.221 2.171 1.785 0.894 0.799 1.596
Jun-16 -6.329 -3.25 -7.765 -4.527 20.494 35.152
Jul-16 -8.268 -3.453 -9.704 -4.73 22.373 45.900
Aug-16 -3.459 -3.457 -4.895 -4.734 22.411 23.173
Sep-16 0.125 -2.014 -1.311 -3.291 10.831 4.315
Oct-16 -3.429 -1.92 -4.865 -3.197 10.221 15.553
Nov-16 -2.698 -1.806 -4.134 -3.083 9.505 12.745
Dec-16 3.614 3.294 2.178 2.017 4.068 4.393
Jan-17 -8.054 -5.795 -9.49 -7.072 50.013 67.113
Feb-17 8.931 8.238 7.495 6.961 48.456 52.173
Mar-17 0.84 -0.102 -0.596 -1.379 1.902 0.822
Apr-17 -9.933 -7.202 -11.369 -8.479 71.893 96.398
May-17 6.26 6.347 4.824 5.07 25.705 24.458
Jun-17 -4.227 -3.872 -5.663 -5.149 26.512 29.159
Jul-17 8.085 6.146 6.649 4.869 23.707 32.374
Aug-17 -9.493 -3.583 -10.929 -4.86 23.62 53.115
Sep-17 -1.808 -1.165 -3.244 -2.442 5.963 7.922
Oct-17 2.548 4.179 1.112 2.902 8.422 3.227
Nov-17 5.783 3.558 4.347 2.281 5.203 9.916
Dec-17 6.6 5.097 5.164 3.82 14.592 19.726
Jan-18 10.714 11.342 9.278 10.065 101.304 93.383
Feb-18 2.051 -0.408 0.615 -1.685 2.839 -1.036
Mar-18 -3.394 -3.24 -4.83 -4.517 20.403 21.817
84.736 75.363 1872.302 2104.242
=1.124
Alpha =(Ra1-Rm1) *B
= (1.436-1.277) *1.124
=-0.179
4.a) TABLE SHOWING CALCULATION OF RETURN AND RISK OFTCS
Calculation of Return:
Return= (P1-P0)/P0*100
Where,
P1 =Current month price
P0 = Previous month price
R1=∑R/n
n = Number of months.
R1=86.439 /59
=1.46
Calculation of Risk
SD = √∑(R-R1)2/n
SD =√∑2432.128/59
=6.42
TCS
3,500.00
3,000.00
2,500.00
2,000.00
1,500.00
1,000.00
500.00
0.00
Jul-13
Jul-14
Jul-15
Jul-16
Jul-17
Apr-13
Apr-14
Apr-15
Apr-16
Apr-17
Jan-14
Jan-15
Jan-16
Jan-17
Jan-18
Oct-13
Oct-14
Oct-15
Oct-16
Oct-17
Analysis and Interpretation:
In the above table and graph we can understand the one percent change in market return causes -
1.46 changes in the stock return with beta of 0.99 is less impulsive in the market. There is a
positive correlation 0.875 between the BSE Sensex and stock. The stock price move in the same
direction with the BSE index rate.
=0.99
Alpha =(Ra1-Rm1) *B
= (1.46-1.277) *0.99
=-0.181
Where,
P1 =Current month price
P0 = Previous month price
R1=∑R/n
n = Number of months.
R1=164.2929 /59
=2.785
Calculation of Risk
SD = √∑(R-R1)2/n
SD =√∑5463.473/59
==9.623
MINDTREE
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
Jul-13
Jul-14
Jul-15
Jul-16
Jul-17
Apr-13
Apr-14
Apr-15
Jan-16
Apr-16
Apr-17
Jan-14
Jan-15
Jan-17
Jan-18
Oct-13
Oct-14
Oct-15
Oct-16
Oct-17
Analysis and Interpretation:
In the above table and graph we can understand the one percent change in market return causes
2.785 changes in the stock return with beta of 0.981 is less impulsive in the market. There is a
positive correlation 0.551 between the BSE Sensex and stock. The stock price moves in the same
direction with the BSE index rate.
=0.981
Alpha =(Ra1-Rm1) *B
= (2.785-1.277) *0.981
=1.479
6.a) TABLE SHOWING CALCULATION OF RETURN AND RISK OFHEXAWARE
Where,
P1 =Current month price
P0 = Previous month price
R1=∑R/n
n = Number of months.
R1=180.847 /59
=3.065
Calculation of Risk
SD = √∑(R-R1)2/n
SD =√∑5667.475/59
=9.801
HEXAWARE
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
Jul-13
Jul-14
Jul-15
Jul-16
Jul-17
Apr-13
Apr-14
Apr-15
Jan-16
Apr-16
Apr-17
Jan-14
Jan-15
Jan-17
Jan-18
Oct-13
Oct-14
Oct-15
Oct-16
Oct-17
Analysis and Interpretation:
In the above table and graph we can understand the one percent change in market return causes
3.065 changes in the stock return with beta of 1.019 is less impulsive in the market. There is a
positive correlation 0.586 between the BSE Sensex and stock. The stock price move in the same
direction with the BSE index rate.
Where,
Ra = Return on company
Ra1=Average return on company
Rm=Return on market
Rm1=Average return on market
Beta=1909.314/1872.302
=1.019
Alpha =(Ra1-Rm1) *B
= (3.065-1.277) *1.019
=1.822
7. Calculation of CAPM Model
=1.231
INFOSYS = 0.521 + 1.124 (1.277-0.521)
= 0.521 + 0.8491
= 1.371
TCS =0.521 + 0.99(1.277-0.521)
=0.521 + 0.748
=1.269
=1.263
HEXAWARE =0.521 + 1.019(1.277-0.521)
=0.521 +0.770
= 1.291
(Xi)(Ri) = 0.20*1.036 + 0.20*1.436 + 0.20*1.46 + 0.20*2.785 + 0.20*3.065
= (0.2072) + (0.2872) +(0.292) + (0.557) + (0.613)
= 1.9564
8. Calculation of Correlation
Interpretation
Finally the above table showing the correlation of 5 selected major IT companies. Market and
Return are correlated each other. Whenever market return is growing in the same way the
company also growing. Both market returns and company returns are showing positive
correlation is 0.936388.
HYPOTHESIS ANALYSIS;
The mean t-test for the equality of means at 95% of confidence level for the abnormal returns
and risk of company return and risk. Here the test the Spearman’s rank method applied.
Hypothesis;
Null Hypothesis (H0): There is no negative relationship between Return and Risk.
H1: There is a relationship between Return and Risk.
D(Rank
Years
Returns Rank Risk Rank diff) D2
2013-14 1.036 5 6.727 4 1 1
2014-15 1.436 4 6.764 3 1 1
2015-16 1.46 3 6.42 5 2 4
2016-17 2.785 2 9.623 2 0 0
2017-18 3.065 1 9.801 1 0 0
Total 6
P = 1-6∑62/5(52-1)
= 1-6*6/5*24
= 1-36/120
= 1-0.3
= 0.7
t - Test Analysis
t=r√n-2/√1-r2
=0.7√5-2√1-0.72
=0.7√3√1-0.49
=0.7*1.732*1-0.49
=0.7224
Interpretation:
Above the table value of the t-test at 5% significance level of (n-2), (5-2) 3.182 and our
calculated value is 0.7224. That is less than the table value, it means null hypothesis is accepted.
So the t-test shows that there is a positive relationship between Return and Risk.
CHAPTER -5
FINDINGS, SUGGESTIONS AND CONCLUSIONS
FINDINGS
The risk of 2013 to 2018 with reference to WIPRO stock displays that 6.727%, and gives
the return on a monthly average 1.036%.
The risk of 2013 to 2018 with reference to INFOSYS stock displays that 6.764%, and
gives the return on a monthly average 1.436%.
The risk of 2013 to 2018 with reference to TCS stock displays that 6.42%, and gives the
return on a monthly average 1.46%.
The risk of 2013 to 2018 with reference to MINDTREE stock displays that 9.623%, and
gives the return on a monthly average 2.785%.
The risk of 2013 to 2018 with reference to HEXAWARE stock displays that 9.801%, and
gives the return on a monthly average 3.065%.
The study shows that, more investment in commodity market, rather than equity market.
Brokers play a very important role in investment decision of the investor.
Market is volatile; we can often find decrease and increase in share prices of the
companies.
Suggestions:
Investors should go for long term investment.
Speculators and traders can take advantage of market volatility.
Before investing shareholders should use the variables like fundamental analysis,
technical analysis, to determine the stock price effectively.
Shareholders should analyze the price earnings ratio net turnover, Sensex and nifty and
capitalization rate from the previous years, which indicates further, increase or decrease
in shares.
It is recommended that investors should opt equity shares as the best investment avenues
because of capital appreciation.
Conclusion:
Saving money is not enough. Each of also need to invest one’s savings intelligently in order to
have enough money available for funding the higher education of one’s children, buying a house,
or for one’s own golden years.
The study will guide the new investors who wants to invest in equity by providing knowledge
about how to measure the risk and return of particular scrip. The study recommends new investors
to go for commodity market, because of high risk and market instability.
For this study 5 IT sector company have been selected to know the risk and return of the selected
companies. High risk is creating a high return in the above 5 companies return to the investors the
company MINDTREE is have to get the high return and high risk in the market. The sensitiveness
of the company’s stock returns to the changes in the market returns is observed as revealed in the
data analysis. The percentage in which some securities should have been invested to gain finest
return is also calculated and characterized. When the BSE SENSEX changes, companies stock
prices also have a tendency to change. This directs that some original factors affect the market
index as well as the company’s stock price. Every investor has to calculate the risk and return
analysis before investors investing the particular organization. It is crucial to know the routine of
the securities in the market for the better investment decision. The investor has to participate in
such securities which have sensible risk and high return and if the investor is a risk taker then he
can invest in high risk securities with high return on securities.
CHAPTER – 6
BIBILOGRAPHY &ANNEXURE
BIBILOGRAPHY
Reference Books
SL.NO BOOKS AUTHOR & PUBLICATION
1 Securities Analysis & Portfolio Punithavathi pandian
Management Vikas publishing
2 Investment Management Preethi Singh
Himalaya publishing house
Journals;
Dr Narayanasamy, Ms. R.Thirugnanasoundari. R. SSRG International Journal of economic
science and Management Studies (SSRG-IJEMS) – volume3 issue2 March to April 2016
Narayan Gaonkar31 Dr. Kushalapp Volume four, Number 1, Jan – March’ 2015 ISSN
(Print):2279-0896 PEZZOTTAITE JOURNALS
Others;
Company broachers
Business line newspapers, business today, capital market
Website;
www.geojit.com
www.bseindia.com
www.moneycontrol.com