Domestic Distribution

Year Export (Y)

(Y)
1996 1,376,647 50,255
1997 1,801,090 51,816
1998 433,549 84,363
1999 487,751 99,651
2000 864,144 115,278
2001 1,575,822 74,948
2002 2,287,706 30,285
2003 2,809,896 13,806
2004 3,887,678 12,840
2005 5,074,186 15,239
2006 4,428,274 42,448
2007 4,688,263 25,632
2008 6,215,830 64,971
2009 5,851,962 29,815
2010 7,369,249 29,395
2011 8,012,540 30,995
2012 7,064,457 77,129
2013 7,743,879 27,135
2014 7,867,195 41,746
2015 6,480,155 228,229
2016 5,931,285 284,065
2017 5,886,103 434,691
2018 6,383,108 627,421
2019 4127860.41487 -28669.78261
2020 4191726.94459 -7659.39594
2021 4241248.06917 8631.73464
2022 4280046.67105 21395.44094
2023 4310736.57043 31491.60016
2024 4335228.01721 39548.63362
2025 4354933.77900 46031.30422
2026 4370910.27834 51287.14684
2027 4383955.60542 55578.71188
2028 4394678.46897 59106.24829
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.1794732377
R Square 0.0322106431
Adjusted R -0.0138745644
Standard E2586014.86672
Observatio 23

ANOVA Y = 4215009,66881286 +
df SS MS F Significance F a = 4215009,669
Regression 1 4.67E+12 4674120267090.7 0.698937 0.412553 b = 3,039759845
Residual 21 1.4E+14 6687472890901.13
Total 22 1.45E+14

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%

Lower 95,0%
Upper 95,0%
Intercept 4215009.66881 667813.6 6.3116562754 2.94E-06 2826215 5603804 2826215 5603804
Export (Y) 3.0397598451 3.63597 0.8360243447 0.412553 -4.52165 10.60117 -4.52165 10.60117

Konstanta atau Intercept = 4215009,66881286

Koefisien regresi atau Slope = 3,03975984512358
 Y = 4215009,66881286 + 3,039759845x
a = 4215009,669
b = 3,039759845

Upper 95,0%
Tahun Y (wholesale) X (Export)
2011 12312 10865
2012 1970 41572
2013 15129 46098
2014 16747 52886
2015 786326 43353
2016 28883 13802
2017 933127 52672
2018 21459 25443
2019 204569.88005159 33706.166667
2020 212542.94492214 34463.574074
2021 216456.99494949 34835.392256
2022 218532.62753976 35032.568564
2023 219703.49720606 35143.796226
2024 220398.29898607 35209.799453
2025 220828.41437369 35250.658594
2026 221104.40508075 35276.876543
2027 221287.04598983 35294.226656
2028 221411.19405875 35306.020197
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.452186
R Square 0.204472
Adjusted R 0.154752
Standard E 231667.3
Observatio 18

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 2.21E+11 2.21E+11 4.112433 0.059559
Residual 16 8.59E+11 5.37E+10
Total 17 1.08E+12

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95,0%
Upper 95,0%
Intercept -150248 191427.1 -0.78488 0.44399 -556055 255559.7 -556055 255559.7
X (Export) 10.52678 5.190944 2.027913 0.059559 -0.47752 21.53109 -0.47752 21.53109

Konstanta atau Intercept = -150247,686746032 Y = a + bx

Koefisien regresi atau Slope = 10,5267849146581 Y = -150247,686746032 + 10,5267849146581x

FORECAST PENJUALAN TOYOTA FORTUNER P

 Y = a + bx
746032 + 10,5267849146581x

TA FORTUNER PERIODE 2019-2028