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Abbreviations iv
Executive Summary v
I. Introduction 1
Appendix 22
CI CAREC Institute
COP21 21st Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on
Climate Change
MC ministerial conference
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
in data exchange, intelligence, and implement and control of communicable diseases, and
agreed common practices. prevention and treatments for noncommunicable
(ii) For trade, CAREC will help assess the diseases.
shifting landscape of global and regional trade, Institutional Arrangements
and the potential of moving toward free trade
agreements in the region, with a focus on trade in A renewed institutional framework will be required
services, including tourism. It will assist members to implement CAREC 2030, guided by strong
with the range of World Trade Organization country and development partner ownership and
(WTO)-related commitments, with respect to strengthened engagement with the private sector
and civil society. The Ministerial Conference will
trade facilitation and policy. Support for national
function as a strategy-setting and policy body,
single windows, improved border crossing points,
and exercise accountability over the results of the
and customs harmonization will be provided. CAREC Program. The Senior Officials’ Meeting
Economic corridor development and related will monitor overall operational progress and
urbanization strategies will be facilitated. consider complex multisector projects.
(iii) For regional infrastructure development, Sector committees will be further strengthened
investments in railways and logistics will with full operational authorities, and flexible
be stepped-up, commercial capabilities operating arrangements will be introduced,
strengthened, and regulatory frameworks supported by expert groups. Focus group
modernized. Aviation priorities will address discussions will be required to set agendas for
international aviation agreements, including CAREC’s new operational priorities.
open skies, and knowledge and capacity Resources
consistent with international standards. Priority
will be maintained on road safety and road Greater financial and other resources will
asset management. CAREC 2030 will support be indispensable to support CAREC 2030.
technology leapfrogging in the use of clean and Development partners will need to scale
renewable energy, and promote energy efficiency, up their financial and technical support for
besides promoting energy trade. CAREC projects and activities. As public sector
financing alone cannot meet the large investment
(iv) For agriculture, support for sanitary requirements, CAREC 2030 will help members
and phytosanitary measures will help CAREC obtain private sector financing by deploying
countries integrate into global agricultural value public funds for de-risking and leveraging private
chains. Support can also be considered for investments. Member countries may consider
transboundary animal disease control. CAREC more contributions to support and sustain the
will use its honest broker role to promote dialogue CAREC Program and its activities.
on water management issues. Irrigation, improved Results
management of rivers to reduce flood risk, and
addressing water contamination are some “early A program results framework will monitor
harvest” areas for support. Assistance could be CAREC’s progress, showing the results chain
provided in basin water management, particularly that leads from program interventions to the
in transboundary areas. expected outputs and the targeted outcomes in
each operational cluster. The CAREC Secretariat
(v) For human development, CAREC will help will support development of cluster-specific
develop a regional labor market information results frameworks that will include concrete
system focusing on skills needs, regional job indicators, baseline data, and data sources. An
search and placement, and cross-border higher online system of tracking and updating progress
education and technical training offerings. on these indicators with regular intervals will be
CAREC will help address pandemic risks established.
1
I INTRODUCTION
1. The CAREC Program,1 now 16 years in international economic environment that had
operation, has recorded impressive achievements a major impact on several CAREC countries.
in regional economic cooperation, particularly Development priorities of CAREC countries
in the four priority areas of transport, energy, have been also shifting. The Midterm Review
trade facilitation, and trade policy. Since 2001, thus recommended:
investments in member countries under CAREC
•• completing the CAREC 2020 agenda,
have amounted to more than $30 billion. 2 sharpening the focus on expanding trade
Six international development institutions and competitiveness of its members;
participate, 3 buttressing a robust program of
•• revisiting CAREC’s objectives to ensure
project investments and knowledge products
these are strategically coherent, aimed at
(see Appendix). serving the highest development priorities;
2. CAREC operations have been guided by •• broadening the CAREC agenda beyond
the strategic framework outlined in CAREC energy and transport through consultations
2020,4 that covers the period 2011–2020. The with members with possible new areas being
vision articulated in the strategic framework is private sector development, information
one of Good Neighbors, Good Partners, and Good and communication technology (ICT),
Prospects. CAREC 2020 envisages development agriculture, food security, education, health,
through cooperation, leading to accelerated and tourism; and
growth and shared prosperity, based upon trade •• preparing a new long-term strategy for
expansion and improved competitiveness. To CAREC to include an updated partnership
support these objectives, CAREC has been structure reflecting growing regional and
promoting cooperation in the four priority areas financial initiatives among its members, and
as well as economic corridors development, the emergence of new financial institutions.
“second-tier” areas,5 and the CAREC Institute.
4. CAREC 2030 was prepared in a thoroughly
3. CAREC 2020 notes that the strategic consultative and participatory manner. During the
framework is expected to undergo refinement first half of 2017, consultations were conducted in
during the strategy period. A Midterm Review of all CAREC member countries, involving more than
CAREC 2020, completed in 2016, acknowledged 350 government officials, multilateral and bilateral
the significant progress in addressing the agenda development partners, think tanks, academia, the
set out in CAREC 2020. It also recognized the private sector, and business associations. The
need to review the strategic coherence and the valuable guidance and inputs received through
relevance of CAREC. This was with the backdrop these consultations are reflected in this strategy
of the unexpected and significant changes in the paper.
1
The Central Asia Regional Economic Cooperation Program has a membership of 11 states, with the original eight members being Afghanistan,
Azerbaijan, People’s Republic of China (Xinjiang joined in 1997; Inner Mongolia in 2008), Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, Mongolia,
Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan. Pakistan and Turkmenistan joined in 2010; Georgia in 2016.
2
As of end September 2017, investments in member countries under CAREC amounted to $30.5 billion, covering 182 projects.
3
Asian Development Bank, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, International Monetary Fund, Islamic Development Bank,
United Nations Development Programme, and the World Bank Group.
4
ADB. 2012. CAREC 2020: A Strategic Framework for the CAREC Program. Manila.
5
As explained in CAREC 2020, the second-tier areas could cover control of communicable diseases, agriculture, disaster risk management,
and climate change adaptation and mitigation, in the context of addressing social impacts of trade expansion and improved competitiveness.
2
RATIONALE FOR
CAREC 2030
II
5. The CAREC strategy needs to be updated that led to stagnating economic activity, higher CAREC is
because of several national, regional, and unemployment, and a rollback of structural and repositioning
global developments that may impact CAREC’s sector reforms. On top of this, the economic
relevance and effectiveness going forward. slowdown of the major trading partners led
itself against
CAREC 2030 recognizes the following important to shrinking markets for exports originating in the backdrop
developments. CAREC countries. Against this backdrop, CAREC of a fast-
•• Growth and macroeconomic context in CAREC 2030 can provide a regional forum to develop changing global
countries common approaches, and learn from regional and regional
experience in sustaining economic growth and
6. Since 2001, CAREC’s investments have in the application of countercyclical policies to
landscape
contributed to sustained economic growth in mitigate economic downturns.
the region. The CAREC region’s gross domestic •• The global and regional trade environment
product (GDP) grew at an average rate of about
9% per year during 2003–2007. The 2007–2008 8. Historically, the world trade volume has grown
global economic and financial crisis interrupted 1.5 times faster than world GDP. However, since
this growth significantly and the adverse impacts 2012, the trade volume barely kept pace with
of the crisis have lingered. During 2012–2016, growth. More recently, a recovery is underway
the average annual growth rate nearly halved to with the global trade volume growing by 4.2%
4.7%.6 year-on-year in the first quarter of 2017. 7 In
7. The dive in commodity prices beginning the CAREC region, there was an even sharper
in 2014 further damaged the balance sheets decline in trade, from a trade to GDP ratio of 1.8 in
of hydrocarbon-exporting countries, and the 2003–2007 to below 1.0 since 2013.8 Early signs
resulting recession dampened prospects of of recovery in the region are now seen, with a
migrant labor and reduced the flow of remittances 2.3% growth in trade in 2016.
to labor exporting countries. CAREC countries 9. The waning pace of trade liberalization
faced urgent economic problems, including fiscal and the rise of protectionist sentiments could
pressures, devaluing currencies, rising current continue to affect global trade patterns. At the
account deficits, and lowered foreign reserves same time, the failure to agree on global trade
6
United Nations Congress on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) Statistics. Data for PRC not included in the calculations. http://unctadstat.
unctad.org/wds/ReportFolders/reportFolders.aspx?sCS_ChosenLang=en
7
WTO Short-Term Trade Statistics. 2017 https://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/short_term_stats_e.htm
8
Ibid.
9
The Doha Round, officially launched in November 2001 at the WTO’s fourth ministerial conference in Doha, Qatar, is the latest trade-
negotiation round among the WTO membership. It aimed to achieve a major reform of the international trading system through lowered
trade barriers and revised trade rules.
Rationale for CAREC 2030 3
deals exemplified in the stalemate in the WTO opportunities of partnerships and strengthen
post-Doha rounds 9 and the lack of progress on coordination with such regional frameworks and
the Trans-Pacific Partnership agreement may institutions to effectively respond to the region’s
provide an opportunity to seek greater progress contemporary challenges.
in regional trade agreements. CAREC 2030 will •• New development goals
consider these developments to reposition itself
as a catalyst for trade expansion and economic 11. All CAREC countries are signatories to the
diversification in the region. 2030 global development agenda, including the
•• Emerging regional players sustainable development goals (SDGs) and the
Paris agreement reached at the 21st Conference
10. Multilateral and bilateral mechanisms for of Parties of UN Framework Convention on
regional economic cooperation have multiplied Climate Change (COP21). CAREC needs to
over time. The scope for establishing constructive consider the implications of the international
regional partnerships has increased, and so development goals and the expectations from
have the risks posed by lack of coordination and member countries for support from regional
overlapping mandates. This underscores the cooperation programs to achieve these goals.
need for CAREC to carefully assess emerging
4
DRIVING PRINCIPLES
OF CAREC 2030
III
12. Five driving principles guided the preparation CAREC will deepen and scale up operations in its CAREC will
and priority-setting for CAREC 2030. These traditional areas of transport, energy, trade, and deepen support
include the following: economic corridor development to boost growth.
And, second, CAREC will support operations
in existing
•• Aligning with national strategies and supporting
SDGs and COP21 in selective new areas identified as additional sectors and
priorities (see Chapter V for details on CAREC selectively
13. First, CAREC 2030 needs to be aligned with 2030’s operational priorities). expand into
national strategies to create greater national
16. Deepening of CAREC’s support in existing new areas
ownership and will support country-level
goals and objectives (see Box). It is also closely
areas and entry into new areas will be gradual and to align with
incremental; it will be tailored to the resources
connected with the SDGs and the COP21 climate national
and capabilities made available by all member
agreement, a task facilitated by several national
countries and development partners, and it will strategies and
strategies developed in the backdrop of these international
be backed by sound institutional arrangements
international development goals.
and capacity development to ensure effective development
14. CAREC 2030 will promote regional and timely execution of operations. goals
approaches that complement national actions
17. The enlarged scope of the program will afford
to best achieve the international development
new opportunities for all CAREC’s development
goals, focusing on those where externalities
partners, both existing and new, to provide
prevail or spillover effects are strong. CAREC
support and expertise and lead operations in
will provide technical solutions in support of
areas of their respective comparative advantage.
plans, new avenues for financing, and promote
It will also provide avenues for capitalizing on
development effectiveness through coordinated
linkages and synergies between sectors, such as
approaches. Considerations of sustainability
those that exist between the water, agriculture,
and climate resilience will cut across all CAREC
and energy sectors.
investments.
18. Integrating the use of ICT across the
•• Expanding operational priorities selectively
spectrum of CAREC operations is a priority to
15. Second, CAREC’s operational priorities raise the quality of public services and support
need to be expanded in a carefully calibrated private sector growth. CAREC countries still need
manner to align with national strategies and to bridge the digital divide, which requires ICT
international goals, meet the expectations of investments and knowledge services to improve
member countries, and strengthen CAREC’s accessibility and efficiency in public services,
relevance going forward. This expansion will be upgrade productivity, enable smoother people-
two-pronged. First, building on its comparative to-people contacts and support integration
advantages and learning from its experience, in regional and global value chains. The trans-
Driving Principles of CAREC 2030 5
Eurasian information super-highway (TASIM) •• Integrating the role of the private sector and civil
project represents an example of on-going efforts society
to promote digital connectivity within the region
22. Fourth, private sector’s participation and
and beyond.
investment in the CAREC region to promote
•• Deepening policy dialogue based on CAREC’s economic stability, sustain growth, and create
standing and ability to deliver quality knowledge
jobs is crucial and needs to be promoted. In the
services.
CAREC context, the private sector can take a
19. Third, CAREC’s 16-year history of operations, lead role in transforming transport corridors
its convening power, and its role as a neutral into economic corridors, expanding trade
honest broker lend it credibility in moderating and investment, supporting agricultural value
regional discussions and negotiations. Its informal chains, developing cross-border tourism, and
structure facilitates policy dialogue, especially on spearheading regional education and health
complex and sensitive development issues. These initiatives. Thus, CAREC 2030 will promote
CAREC will business-to-business contacts among member
strengths will be preserved and emphasized
strengthen under CAREC 2030 as the program deepens its countries for embedding regional cooperation in
engagement footprint in existing areas and expands into new national plans and priorities. Mutually beneficial
with all areas requiring intensive inter-country dialogue. regional opportunities will be promoted through
stakeholders business and investment forums, bringing
20. Development dialogues facilitated by CAREC
the public and private sectors together, and
through policy will be grounded in knowledge work member
strengthening linkages between them.
dialogue, countries and development partners undertake,
and coordinated with other knowledge providers 23. Without private sector financing, the large
and project investment requirements of the CAREC region
to multiply the range of available knowledge
incubation and solutions, and minimize duplication and overlap. cannot be met. The SDGs themselves require
implementation financing in amounts that significantly exceed
21. The CAREC Institute (CI) will be central to
volumes of official development assistance;
providing knowledge solutions. The CI will play a
consideration must be given to tapping pools
key role in developing knowledge and analytical
of domestic and international private capital.10
underpinnings for policy dialogue at the CAREC’s
CAREC 2030 will help member countries leverage
Ministerial Conference (MC), Senior Officials’
private sector financing solutions by deploying
Meeting (SOM), and sector coordinating
public funds for de-risking and leveraging up
committees. By building formal links with
private investments. Due attention needs
academia and think tanks in the region, the CI
to be paid to creating incentive structures,
will make best use of local knowledge. The CI will
institutions, and the public interface to attract
be a repository of knowledge, build international
such investments.
best practices drawn from the available global
knowledge base, and provide cutting-edge 24. CAREC 2030 will strengthen engagement
capacity building and training services to help with civil society to seek its support in promoting
uplift policy development, governance, and people-to-people contacts, including among
service standards across member countries. border communities with strong traditional ties
across countries. Student exchange programs,
Multilateral development banks have noted that “achieving the SDGs will require moving from billions to trillions in resource flows. Such a
10
paradigm shift calls for a wide-ranging financing framework capable of channeling resources and investments of all kinds—public and private,
national and global.” African Development Bank et al. 2016. From Billions to Trillions: Transforming Development Finance. Washington, DC.
6 CAREC 2030: Connecting the Region for Shared and Sustainable Development
medical patients’ visits to tertiary health care 26. CAREC will seek to strengthen coordination
facilities in neighboring countries, and opening with other international and regional cooperation
of bilateral and regional tourism opportunities mechanisms active in the region including the
can help bring people together and confer direct Belt and Road Initiative, Shanghai Cooperation
and tangible benefits to cross-border populations Organization and Economic Cooperation
at large. More attention will be paid to gender Organization. In addition, CAREC will
equality as a cross-cutting issue in the above recognize the importance of economic ties
areas. with non-CAREC neighboring countries and
•• Building an open, inclusive CAREC platform will coordinate activities with relevant entities,
especially in the commercial and academic
25. Finally, CAREC should become an open and spheres.
inclusive platform to maximize its development 27. A robust communications strategy will be
partners’ resources and expertise to support developed to demonstrate CAREC’s drive for
regional cooperation. To this end, the CAREC transparency and sharing of information, as
platform will welcome both existing and new well as enhancing public awareness of its role
international development partners to contribute in member countries and beyond. Stronger
to the program on an equal footing. Development publicity from governments, greater visibility
partners will be encouraged to lead dialogue and and recognition in the development world, and
operations in CAREC 2030’s priority areas and a higher public profile would add to CAREC’s
channel their support using the CAREC platform. legitimacy and aid its effectiveness.
Driving Principles of CAREC 2030 7
V RENEWING CAREC’S
OPERATIONAL
FRAMEWORK
32. CAREC 2030 prioritizes five operational periods of economic downturns. The MC could
clusters, encompassing existing and proposed lead this dialogue. CAREC will particularly focus
areas. In addition, it supports the use of ICT to its expertise to illustrate sector linkages with
promote productivity and efficiency gains in all macroeconomic performance; for example, the
operational clusters. impact of energy pricing reforms on fiscal balance
33. Three criteria were used in selecting the and economic stability in member countries.
operational clusters and their constituent 35. To facilitate regional dialogue and minimize
sectors. First, the clusters show high returns to negative spillover effects under the CAREC
regional approaches, transcending the returns umbrella, development partners will work
to individual country efforts. Second, the together to support consistency of policy
clusters are aligned with the priorities of national approaches in member countries. At a future
development strategies and the international stage, such cooperation dialogue could evolve
development goals. And, third, CAREC’s into mutually supportive arrangements to deal
development partners enjoy strong comparative with external shocks; for example, countries
advantages in these clusters, or can build up their benefiting from an oil price rise could find ways
expertise rapidly to support member countries in of cushioning the effects on those adversely
these. affected to support demand, not least for
their non-oil exports. Another example could
A. Economic and Financial Stability be arrangements on currency swaps between
Cluster central banks based on lessons learned from the
Chiang Mai Initiative.11
i. Macroeconomic Policy Coordination
36. CAREC development partners can continue
34. With the region’s susceptibility to external
to provide medium-term lending to countries
economic shocks, CAREC will help support
affected by economic shocks and those needing
stable macroeconomic conditions and sound
financing for economic adjustment, while
banking systems and capital markets as vital
promoting cross-country coordination and
ingredients for economic growth and poverty
learning to improve the designs of subsequent
reduction. CAREC will assist with policy dialogue
interventions.
and regional learning to design and implement
appropriate countercyclical policy responses in
Multilateral currency swap arrangement among the 10 members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, PRC, Japan, and Republic of
11
Korea.
10 CAREC 2030: Connecting the Region for Shared and Sustainable Development
14
These include the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership and the Trans-Pacific Partnership, among others.
15
The WTO Trade Facilitation Agreement, which came into force in 2017, seeks to expedite the movement, release, and clearance of goods,
including those in transit. It also sets out measures for effective cooperation between customs and other authorities, and enhances technical
assistance and capacity building. The Trade Facilitation Agreement was ratified by all eight CAREC countries that are WTO members:
Afghanistan, PRC, Georgia, Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, Mongolia, Pakistan, and Tajikistan.
16
The International Convention on the Simplification and Harmonization of Customs Procedures (Kyoto Convention) of the World Customs
Organization, came into force in 1974. It was amended to become the Revised Kyoto Convention in 2006, as the blueprint for modern and
efficient customs procedures.
12 CAREC 2030: Connecting the Region for Shared and Sustainable Development
50. CAREC countries are urbanizing rapidly. support adoption of modern technologies for
Sustainable urbanization in the context of corridor improved connectivity. Support will be extended
development requires resilient infrastructure to improve policy and governance frameworks,
and connectivity, ties to a globalizing economy, and mobilize funding from the public and private
human capital, and openness to trade in services, sectors. Attracting private sector finance will
including tourism and higher education. In require improving the enabling environment
addition, border crossing conditions must for efficient leverage, risk mitigation, and
be greatly eased. CAREC 2030 can assist its securitization. CAREC 2030 can also help
members develop urban strategies from a regional bring the public and private sectors together to
corridor perspective through integrated linkages promote the development of effective public–
involving infrastructure—energy, road and rail, private partnerships.
air, telecommunications—and knowledge and
technology that will enable the production of i. Transport
both goods and services to move up the value
54. Railways. CAREC 2030 will help build the Support for
chain. CAREC can also facilitate exchanges of
potential of railways to become a leading carrier railways,
services between the cities and surrounding
of freight and passenger traffic in the region. This aviation and
regions—education, training, health, agriculture
services, logistics, tourism, services linked to city
will require operationalizing railway corridors by logistics
ensuring interoperability in conditions of three
planning, and environmental services. Finally, an infrastructure
different rail gauge systems used in CAREC
important area for cooperation is disaster risk
countries. In addition, international freight are key
management. CAREC can serve as a platform for
movements can be eased if regulations on freight elements
sharing knowledge among member countries in
logistics companies were liberalized. Finally, the of CAREC’s
mainstreaming disaster risk management within
urban planning.
establishment of a CAREC regional common rail transport
operator serving as a single point of contact will
51. The CAREC-supported Almaty–Bishkek
connectivity
be explored.
Economic Corridor found strong resonance in strategy
55. CAREC 2030 will promote investments
the governments of the two countries and the
along the designated railway corridors to
two city administrations.17 It has been designed
expand networks; improve rolling stock; and
to attract private investments, with emphasis on
modernize technologies, signals, fiber optics, and
agribusiness, tourism, the digital economy, smart
electrification. Commercialization of national
cities, health and education, and rapid intercity
railway operators and increased private sector
transport links. In the next phase, CAREC 2030
investment in railways will be facilitated by
will help further develop this corridor and assess
creating an enabling environment and improving
the potential of other corridors in the region.
competitive conditions, creating robust
management and commercial capabilities, and
C. Infrastructure and Economic
modernizing regulatory frameworks. CAREC will
Connectivity Cluster
be an important platform for investment planning
52. CAREC 2030 will continue to advance the and for promoting best-practice operating
regional infrastructure agenda, in line with conditions and associated regulations.
the SDGs’ call for reliable and sustainable 56. Aviation. Stronger air connectivity among
infrastructure, including regional and cross- CAREC countries will add tremendous value
border infrastructure. for businesses and tourism development, and
53. CAREC will build on its strong record exports of high-value consumer goods. However,
of investments in transport and energy, and the lack of comprehensive aviation agreements
among countries in the region is a current major freight and passenger operations, and driver visa
constraint. Other limiting factors are lack of facilitation will remain priority tasks for CAREC.
institutional capacity, tough challenges to air 60. Logistics infrastructure. CAREC 2030 will
safety in harsh climates, and financial constraints support investments in logistics infrastructure
for aviation infrastructure development. In all along the CAREC corridors. Greater attention
these areas, CAREC 2030 can play a facilitating will be given to those investments that create
role. economic clusters and corridors by combining
57. CAREC will explore fostering aviation trade, production, and logistic functionalities
agreements, including open skies, and building within one facility. One such endeavor is the
knowledge and capacity consistent with envisaged Trans-Caspian Multimodal Transport
international standards. Aviation agreements will Corridor. Another example of such an investment
drive a surge in traffic, not least by encouraging is the Khorgos land port on the border between
low-cost carriers, code sharing, and joint ventures; PRC and Kazakhstan, where the respective
Regional and generate resources for infrastructure and governments set up a center of regional trade
approaches human capital development. A notable example and economic cooperation that has, over
to technology is provided by the Association of Southeast time, attracted private sector investments
adoption will Asian Nations single aviation market with its in production, trade, services, logistics, and
incremental implementation of liberalization transport. The creation of other similar land
create scale over a decade that led to a strong growth in ports could be explored. Development of
economies traffic, rise in exports, among others, by greater such investment projects will require strong
to make low-cost carrier penetration. CAREC will also partnerships among the governments and private
clean energy explore the possibilities and potential of regional sector investors through innovative public–
investments collaboration on aviation through in-depth private partnership institutional and financial
analyses, regional stakeholder consultations, and arrangements.
viable capacity development activities.
ii. Energy
58. Road Transport. CAREC 2030 will continue to
assist in completing road corridor investments, 61. Clean energy. CAREC 2030 will support
paying more attention to sustainability of road technology leapfrogging in the use of clean and
infrastructure. There will be an increased focus renewable energy to help curb carbon emissions
on road safety and road asset management. to support sustainability and reduce carbon
Institutional and financial reforms in the footprints of member countries. The emergence
road transport sector will help improve road of new energy technologies together with the
maintenance practices and enhance road asset sharp drop in the cost of renewable energy
life cycles. generation are helping countries deliver on
59. Regional cross-border transport will continue national commitments under climate change
under CAREC with an aim to reduce transport agreements, but require the integration of new
and trade costs. CAREC 2030 is also well tooled options into national energy policies and into
to support the implementation of the TIR regional trade arrangements. CAREC’s value
Convention,18 by strengthening partnerships addition will be on promoting cross-country
among national governments, the International learning and introducing regional approaches to
Road Transport Association, national transport technology adoption to help create economies
associations, and development partners. Other of scale to make investments in clean energy
cross-border transport facilitation mechanisms, viable. Such investments have the potential to
such as the universal customs guarantee, cross- add greatly to the current electricity generating
border transport agreements for commercial capacity in the region. In addition to investments,
The Convention on International Transport of Goods or Transports Internationaux Routiers, establishes an international customs transit
18
system with facility to move goods in sealed vehicles or containers from a customs office of departure in one country to a customs office of
destination in another country, without requiring extensive and time-consuming border checks at intermediate borders while, at the same
time, providing customs authorities with the required security and guarantees.
14 CAREC 2030: Connecting the Region for Shared and Sustainable Development
CAREC 2030 will provide research and advice coordination, and the harmonization of veterinary
on the clean and renewable energy agenda, measures. Given the potential in many areas
including on building enabling policy and for horticultural exports, the development of
regulatory environments to attract private sector a CAREC food safety network and a common
investments. quality control system that involves the
62. Energy efficiency. CAREC countries in Central management of pesticides and improved food
Asia generally have high energy intensities, safety standards would broaden access to export
requiring attention to improving energy efficiency markets.
to support national competitiveness and address 66. Agricultural growth in the CAREC region
climate mitigation needs through reduced is threatened by its vulnerability to climate
greenhouse gas emissions. Besides investments, change. Adaptation capacities in farming,
CAREC 2030 will promote enabling policies crops, and technologies are low, as is farmers’
for energy efficiency in the region, including access to information and technologies. In
pricing and tariff reforms and building codes particular, there are gaps in the provision of CAREC will
and standards. CAREC 2030 may also promote weather data, its analysis, and predictive tools help member
emission trading systems, in the context of for farmers. CAREC 2030 can support investment countries
promoting trade and developing unified markets in hydromet services, and projects to establish, integrate
in the region, while raising efficiency in energy train, and share experiences among national and
use. subnational hydromet bodies. Assistance for
into global
environmental conservation of bioresources by and regional
63. Energy trade. CAREC has assisted developing
regional energy master plans, providing technical adopting cross-country ecosystem approaches agricultural
support to Afghanistan for connecting with can be also considered. value chains
the Central Asian grid, and financing the ii. Water Management
and promote
interconnection between Turkmenistan, cooperation
Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Afghanistan, and Pakistan. 67. Despite the obvious complexities of the in the water
Moreover, the work on the Turkmenistan– water sector, there is record of cooperation in the
Afghanistan–Pakistan power transmission region on data sharing, institutional development,
sector
interconnection project and the Turkmenistan– and joint management of the Amu Darya and
Afghanistan–Pakistan–India natural gas pipeline Syr Darya basins. CAREC 2030 can help build
project is advancing. CAREC will continue to on this record and use its strengths, including its
support these existing energy trade initiatives, honest broker role, to promote discussion and
while reinforcing further integration of energy dialogue on water issues to chart the way forward.
markets. CAREC 2030 can provide a platform to discuss
water scarcity and water productivity issues as
D. Agriculture and Water Cluster well as to eventually explore transboundary water
i. Agriculture resource management.
68. A careful identification of consensual entry
64. To promote regional trade in agriculture, points for CAREC in the water is the essential
CAREC 2030 will support alignment of SPS first step. Irrigation and efficient agriculture
measures with international standards, build development, improved management of river
capacity on product quality and diversity, flows to reduce flood risk, and addressing
and improve shipment linkages. This will help water contamination are some “early harvest”
member countries integrate into regional and areas for potential CAREC support. Moreover,
global agricultural value chains. assistance could also be provided in basin water
management, particularly in transboundary
65. Support will also be considered for
areas. To promote water sector cooperation,
transboundary animal disease control as it
CAREC can work in close partnership with the
requires cross-border collaboration, including
International Fund for the Aral Sea-associated
biotechnology information sharing, bio-safety
institutions and international partners such
Renewing CAREC’S Operational Framework 15
as the World Bank Group and the United 71. Promoting greater labor mobility to match
Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural employment opportunities in the region is
Organization’s International Hydrological important. CAREC 2030 can help develop an
Programme. integrated regional labor market information
system focusing on providing information on
E. Human Development Cluster current and future skill needs, and regional job
search and placement services.
i. Education
ii. Health
69. CAREC countries have established networks 72. Addressing pandemic risks and control of
of national and regional tertiary education and communicable diseases are critical regional public
technical and vocational education and training goods with significant positive externalities.
institutions, consisting of universities, research CAREC 2030 can support a common framework
institutes and think tanks, and vocational training
Cross-border for addressing pandemics, given the likely regional
schools. There are significant opportunities for nature of future outbreaks. The framework could
education regional trade in education services that expand include enhancing regional capacities to assess
services and supply and choice and enhance quality. The and respond to pandemic risks, and building
control of private sector can play an important role in this. preparedness to address regional health risks,
communicable 70. Collaboration can encompass instructional including the development of early warning
diseases will delivery initiatives such as student exchanges, systems and regional surveillance centers.
help improve development of branch campuses, and 73. There is also considerable room for making
introduction of dual and joint degree or diploma
quality of programs, including e-learning programs.
advances in the region for noncommunicable
diseases. CAREC can facilitate common
human capital CAREC 2030 can also support non-instructional approaches and cross-learning in prevention
initiatives such as faculty exchanges, research and treatment protocols, help modernize service
collaborations, cross-border accreditation, delivery and regulations, and develop sustainable
program and degree or diploma harmonization, financing models. CAREC can also facilitate
mutual recognition of skills and qualifications, private sector-driven trade in health services and
development of higher education and technical e-medicine in the region.
and vocational education and training
institutions networks, and institutional twinning
arrangements.
16
CAREC 2030:
INSTITUTIONAL
VI
FRAMEWORK
Operational Clusters
• Economic and financial stability • Infrastructure and economic connectivity
• Trade, tourism, and economic corridors • Agriculture and water
• Human development
ICT cuts across all the above clusters
Ministerial Conference
Development • Policy and strategic dialogue
Partners CAREC
• Decision body Institute
Technical
and financial Senior Officials’ Meeting Knowledge
support • Complex projects/initiatives approval and coordination support
• Oversight and progress monitoring
CAREC Private
Secretariat Sector
Technical and Sector committees and subworking groups Financing and
organizational public–private
support Expert groups dialogue
B. Enhanced Role for the Ministerial 78. A summit-level meeting of CAREC heads of
Conference and the Senior Officials’ states and/or governments may be considered
Meeting on a periodic basis, every 3 to 5 years, to keep
the political leadership informed and to reinforce
77. The MC will function as a high-level strategy- high-level country ownership of the CAREC
setting and policy body. It will serve as a platform program. Such summit-level meetings could
to discuss and debate important policy and provide the opportunity for decision making on
strategic issues of regional relevance, including complex policy and coordination issues related
measures to promote regional economic stability to regional cooperation that require political
and macroeconomic policy linkages of CAREC consideration at the top levels of government.
operational sectors. It will also provide overall 79. With the MC focused on policy and strategy
strategic guidance on issues of regional and issues, the SOM will be empowered to monitor
supranational nature and advise on CAREC’s progress at the cluster and sector levels. The SOM
external linkages with other regional cooperation could recommend operational improvements,
bodies and multilateral institutions. The MC will and be vested with the authority to consider and
exercise overall accountability over the results endorse complex multi-country and multisector
of the CAREC Program. Ministers will represent projects. The SOM will also serve as a mechanism
member countries at the MC, empowered with to ensure the effective implementation of the
full decision-making rights, to help build high- policy and strategic decisions made at the MC
level ownership and facilitate the achievement level.
of results under the program.
18 CAREC 2030: Connecting the Region for Shared and Sustainable Development
80. Given its enhanced responsibilities, it Committee will continue to operate under
is crucial that senior officials from member the infrastructure and economic connectivity
countries with full authority who can decide cluster. A subworking group on railways has
on sector and project issues attend the SOMs. been created for implementing the CAREC
Ensuring continuity in representation of countries Railway Strategy 2030. Similarly, the Transport
at the SOM is also important for its effective and Sector Coordinating Committee may consider
uninterrupted functioning. National focal points establishing an aviation subworking group as
will continue to play a critical role in ensuring deemed necessary to deliberate on policy actions
high-level ownership of CAREC’s operations in and investment projects in this subsector. The
their respective governments, and in ensuring Energy Sector Coordinating Committee may,
effective coordination between the governments likewise, consider establishing subworking groups
and the CAREC Secretariat. as needed.
CAREC 2030:
PROGRAM RESULTS
VII
FRAMEWORK
93. The CAREC 2030 program results framework on these indicators with regular intervals will
demonstrates the results chain, leading from be established. The CAREC Secretariat staff
CAREC interventions to the expected outputs, will lead this work with active inputs from
and the targeted outcomes in each operational sector committees and working groups. Every
cluster that will contribute to the impact of 3 years, the CAREC Secretariat will prepare a
“Sustainable economic development and shared consolidated progress report by taking stock of
prosperity in the CAREC region.” (see Table) The progress on the program results framework and
results framework will help member countries cluster and sector level indicators supporting the
and the CAREC Secretariat monitor progress on framework. Progress reports will also be made
CAREC 2030. available online.
94. No target indicators are provided at this
stage in the results framework. The CAREC
Secretariat will work closely with the sector
committees and working groups to develop
cluster and sector-specific results frameworks
with concrete indicators, baseline data, and
data sources at outcome and output levels. An
online system of tracking and updating progress
CAREC 2030: Program Results Framework 21
Impact Sustainable economic development and shared prosperity for the CAREC region
Economic and Financial Trade, Tourism, and Infrastructure and Agriculture and Human Development
Stability Economic Corridors Economic Connectivity Water
Increased regional
Increased regional Expanded trade, Enhanced economic Expanded agricultural cooperation in education
macroeconomic stability, competitive economic connectivity, and trade, and effective and health
improved investment, and corridors, and tourism increased sustainability transboundary water
Outcomes financial integration opportunities and resilience of regional resource management
infrastructure
Regular policy dialogue on National single windows Reliable, resilient and Regional and global Pandemic and
economic stability issues with improved border sustainable transportation agricultural value chains noncommunicable
institutionalized crossing points in place systems operational promoted diseases controlled
A forum of regulators Economic corridors Efficient use of energy Improved management of Students and labor
activated to exchange successfully developed increased river flows and basin water mobility increased to
information and management match employment
Tourism services and
experience on financial opportunities
infrastructure improved
stability and associated
Outputs issues
Improved investment
climate enabled
Design and implement Scale up CAREC advance Establish multimodal Align sanitary and Develop an integrated
counter-cyclical policy transit system and extend transport network, phytosanitary standards; regional labor market
responses as appropriate common information cross-border railway and build capacity on information system
exchange across customs infrastructure and product quality, diversity,
Promote cross-country Promote mutual
covering all trade and services, and strengthen and finance agriculture
coordination and adopt recognition of
transit transactions air connectivity while also infrastructure
relevant financing models qualifications and quality
investing in dry and land
Support post Invest in hydromet assurance
Reduce investor ports
WTO-accession services. Adopt cross-
transaction costs, improve Set up health-related
CAREC commitments Bridge the gap between country ecosystem
investment policies and surveillance systems for
Interventions energy supply and approaches for
regulations, and promote Improve logistics and pandemic communicable
demand by facilitating environmental
business for SMEs cost of production, and diseases
cross-border energy trade conservation of
promote regional and
Support policies that bioresources Promote trade in health
global value chains in Promote energy efficiency
increase cross-border services and e-medication
economic corridors and use of clean energy Employ international
financial integration and in the region
technologies best practices in water
promote capital flow Jointly develop tourism
management and
products and advocate
Exchange data and transboundary water
harmonization of visa
intelligence, and develop resource management
regimes
common practices to
international standards
Aligning with national Expanding operational Deepening policy dialogue Integrating the role of the Building an open, inclusive
strategies and supporting priorities selectively based on CAREC’s private sector and civil CAREC platform
SDGs and COP21 standing and ability to society
Driving deliver quality knowledge
Principles services
CAREC
CENTRAL ASIA REGIONAL ECONOMIC COOPERATION PROGRAM
TIMELINE 1996–2017
In 2001, six
CAREC-related
projects were
approved with
a combined value
of $247 million
Six multilateral
institutions commit
First CAREC Senior to the program
Technical assistance Officials’ Meeting is held in
to promote regional Manila, attended by delegations Azerbaijan and
economic from Azerbaijan, the PRC, Mongolia join
cooperation in Tajikistan Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic,
Central Asia is approved joins CAREC CAREC
Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan
Ministers endorse
the Energy Action
Plan Framework and
CAREC’s results focus
Private companies
Ministers endorse the Transport establish the CAREC Ministers
and Trade Facilitation Strategy Federation of Carrier and endorse the
Forwarding Associations CAREC 2020,
Afghanistan The CAREC Institute Prospectus and start sharing cross- the strategic
joins CAREC creates a mechanism to address border movement data framework
“second-tier” issues of communicable as the CAREC Corridors for expanding
The Energy Sector disease control, environmental protection, Performance Measurement trade and
Coordinating business development, capacity–building and Monitoring Program improving global
Committee is formed initiatives, and research is launched competitiveness
The Central Asia Regional Economic Cooperation (CAREC) Program, now 16 years in operation,
has recorded impressive achievements in regional economic cooperation, particularly in the areas of
transport, energy, trade facilitation, and trade policy. From 2001 to end September 2017, investments in
member countries under CAREC have amounted to $30.5 billion, covering 182 projects. CAREC 2030 builds
on the solid foundation of progress made under CAREC 2020, and provides the new long-term strategic
framework for the CAREC Program leading to 2030. CAREC 2030 is aligned with national strategies and with
the 2030 global development agenda. It is inspired by a mission to create an open and inclusive platform that
connects people, policies and projects for shared and sustainable development.
The Central Asia Regional Economic Cooperation (CAREC) Program is a partnership of 11 member
countries and development partners working together to promote development through cooperation,
leading to accelerated economic growth and poverty reduction. It is guided by the overarching vision of
“Good Neighbors, Good Partners, and Good Prospects.” CAREC countries include: Afghanistan, Azerbaijan,
the People’s Republic of China, Georgia, Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, Mongolia, Pakistan, Tajikistan,
Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan.
CAREC SECRETARIAT
Central and West Asia Department
Asian Development Bank
6 ADB Avenue, Mandaluyong City
1550 Metro Manila, Philippines
E-mail: info@carecprogram.org
Website: www.carecprogram.org
ISBN 978-92-9261-018-0