Professional Documents
Culture Documents
SS 061919 DVRPC REg Safety Task Force - SM
SS 061919 DVRPC REg Safety Task Force - SM
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1911
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8 Courtesy of Svenska Biografteatern
9 Courtesy of Svenska Biografteatern
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Why did we do this?
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“Easy”
“Safe”
“Clean“
“Elegant”
“Economical”
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Baltimore 1922
Monument to
children killed in
street traffic.
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Photo: Fighting Traffic Facebook
CINCINNATI SPEED GOVERNOR WAR OF 1923
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Did controlling pedestrians and
modern engineered roads
solve the problem?
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No
Today 3700 people will die worldwide
in traffic crashes
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3,700 PEOPLE DIE DAILY WORLDWIDE
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THE GOOD, THE BAD AND THE UGLY (POSSIBILITIES)
GOOD • Congestion diminishes
Shared
AVs • Crashes, injuries, and deaths plummet
+ • Disabled and low-income well-served
Transit • Energy consumption plummets
Integrated • Less pollution
• Smaller carbon footprint
• Last mile solved
• Parking demand goes way down
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THE GOOD, THE BAD AND THE UGLY (POSSIBILITIES)
Shared BAD • Traffic miles soar & congestion increases
AVs • Many jobs disappear
vs. • Peds, bikes squeezed out
Transit • Unaffordable for poor and rural dwellers
• Reverses millennial trend eschewing driving
• Competes with and undermines existing transit
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“We’re less than two years away from complete
autonomy.”
– Elon Musk, June 2016
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“Level 5 will never happen globally.”
– Thomas Sedran, CEO of Volkswagen Commercial, March 2019
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U.S.:
Humans responsible
94% of fatalities
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Sweden:
Humans fallible
Vision Zero
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Sweden fatality rate plummeted 62%
U.S. rate 4 X Sweden
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CARS CAN BE SAFER NOW
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40 countries agreed to
automatic emergency braking standard
as soon as 2020.
But, not U.S. or China
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Self-driving already safer.
Not supported by data.
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SELF-DRIVING CRASH HISTORY (WHAT WE KNOW*)
Fatalities: 4 Known in USA
• In 2017, there were 1.16 fatalities per 100 million miles, conventional driving
• 4 fatalities in conventional vehicles would take avg. 345 million miles driven
• Number of miles driven to date in AV mode unknown
Crash Frequencies: Self-Driving vs Conventional Vehicles
(December 2017- November 2018)
600,000
492,000
500,000
Miles Driven
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000 55,286
12,098
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Google/Waymo GM Cruise Conventional Vehicles *Help me get the data
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DEATHS PER 100 BILLION PASSENGER MILES
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If we spend more time in cars,
we increase our mortality rate
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Courtesy of Pixar/Disney
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Courtesy of Pixar/Disney
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WALL-E IS NOT FAR-FETCHED
Cause of Death
43 Sources: Lancet, 2013 + World Health Organization, 2018
Traffic will improve.
Not supported by
independent analysis.
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A GLIMPSE INTO THE FUTURE: TNC MODE SHIFTS
Boston Denver
Would Would not
not have have made
made the the trip
Drive
trip 12%
5% Walk or 18%
Bike Drive
12% Walk or 26%
Bike
12%
Taxi
Public Public
23% Taxi
Transportation
Transportation 10%
22%
42%
Carpool
11% Other
TNC, 5%
Source: The Adoption of Shared Mobility in California, Circella et al. 2018 Source: Impacts of Ridesourcing–Lyft and Uber, Henao 2017
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DON’T BELIEVE THE HYPE ON “ROAD TRAINS”
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47 Courtesy of copenhagenize.com All HAIL the revolution!
Cities and towns will thrive
Not if we repeat 20th-century
mistakes
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If we don’t walk we
lose the vibrancy of
cities and towns.
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BY 2030 WALKERS IN CITIES SLOWED AV TRAFFIC TO A CRAWL
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BY 2035, PEDESTRIANS WERE FENCED IN LIKE CATTLE
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DOING IT RIGHT
Government, Society, and Industry Should:
• Sell rides, not cars; integrate with transit
• Get AV $upport for roads
• Establish AV street typology plan
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Car Free Slow Streets Freeway/Highway
DOING IT RIGHT (CONTINUED)
Government, Society, and Industry Should:
• Sell rides, not cars; integrate with transi
• Utilize pricing to maintain adequate mobility
• Maintain and support good mass transit
• Emphasize last mile
• Ensure equity for low income, disabled, and elderly
• Don’t mess with bike/ped growth
• Reallocate parking for better use
• Enact legislation and enforcement policies preemptively
• Develop a counter-terrorism strategy
• Humanize street design: narrow lanes, widen sidewalks, don’t add
lanes
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Available at Amazon, Barnes &
Noble, IndieBound, Google Play,
Kobo, and eBooks.
www.samschwartz.com
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CONGESTION PRICING NYC
Sam Schwartz
CONGESTION PRICING
• FHV charge began Feb. 2019 So. of 96th
v $2.75 Uber/Lyft | $2.50 Taxi | 75¢ Shared Rides
• Traffic Mobility Act – Passed 4/1/19
• CP all vehicles So. of 60th
• Revenue goal = $15B bonds
• 80% Subways & Buses
• 20% Railroads
• Fee??
• Traffic Mobility Board report due Nov. 2020 (after
elections)
• Exemptions:
v FDR Drive & Westside Highway thru trips
v Vehicles transporting disabled
v CBD residents income < $60K
• Earliest date Jan. 2021
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