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A Treasury Market is a market where the government of a country raises money by issuing
debt. The vast majority of Treasury securities also trade in the secondary market in the same
manner as other types of bonds. Their prices rise accordingly when interest rates drop and
vice-versa. They can be bought and sold through virtually any broker or retail money
manager as well as banks and other savings
institutions. Investors who purchase Treasury
securities in the secondary market are still
guaranteed to receive the remaining interest
payments on the bond plus its face value at
maturity.
Treasury securities are used by virtually every
type of investor in the market. Individuals, institutions, estates, trusts and corporations
all use Treasury securities for various purposes. Many investment funds use
Treasuries to meet certain objectives while satisfying their fiduciary requirements, and
individual investors often purchase these securities because they can count on
receiving their principal and interest according to the specified schedule — without
fear of them being called out prematurely.
Fixed-income investors who live in staes with high-income tax rates can also benefit
from the tax exemption of Treasuries at the state and local levels.
TREASURY INSTRUMENTS
There are four types of Treasury Instruments:
1. T-Bills
2. T-Notes
3. T-Bonds
4. TIPS
1. T-BILLS: These have the shortest range of maturities of all government bonds.
Among bills auctioned on a regular schedule, there are five terms: 4 weeks, 8
weeks, 13 weeks, 26 weeks, and 52 weeks. Another bill, the cash management
bill, isn't auctioned on a regular schedule. It is issued in variable terms, usually
of only a matter of days. These are the only type of treasury security found in
both the capital and money markets, as three of the maturity terms fall under
the 270-day dividing line between them. T-Bills are issued at a discount and
mature at par value, with the difference between the purchase and sale prices
constituting the interest paid on the bill.
2. T-NOTES: These notes represent the middle range of maturities in the treasury
family, with maturity terms of 2, 3, 5, 7 and 10 years currently available. The
Treasury auctions 2-year notes, 3-year notes, 5-year notes, and 7-year notes
every month. The agency auctions 10-year notes at original issue in February,
May, August, and November, and as reopening in the other eight months.
Treasury notes are issued at a $1,000 par value and mature at the same price.
They pay interest semiannually.
EURODOLLAR
HISTORY OF EURODOLLAR
The Eurodollar market dates back to the period after World War II. Much of Europe
was devastated by the war, and the United States provided funds via the Marshall
Plan to rebuild the continent. This led to wide circulation of dollars overseas, and the
development of a separate, less regulated market for the deposit of those funds. Unlike
domestic U.S. deposits, the funds are not subject to the Federal Reserve Bank's
reserve requirements. They are also not covered by FDIC insurance. This results in
higher interest rates for Eurodollars. Many American banks have offshore branches,
usually in the Caribbean, through which they accept Eurodollar deposits. European
banks are also active in the market. The transactions for Caribbean branches of U.S.
banks are generally executed by traders physically situated in U.S. dealing rooms, and
the money is on loan to fund domestic and international operations.
EURODOLLAR MARKETS
The Eurodollar market is one of the world's primary international capital markets. They
require a steady supply of depositors putting their money into foreign banks. These
Eurodollar banks may have problems with their liquidity if the supply of deposits drops.
Deposits from overnight out to a week are priced based on the fed funds rate. Prices
for longer maturities are based on the corresponding London Interbank Offered Rate
(LIBOR). Eurodollar deposits are quite large; they are made by professional
counterparties for a minimum of $100,000 and generally for more than $5 million. It is
not uncommon for a bank to accept a single deposit of $500 million or more in the
overnight market. A 2014 study by the Federal Reserve Bank showed an average daily
volume in the market of $140 billion.
EURODOLLAR MATURITIES
Most transactions in the Eurodollar market are overnight, which means they mature
on the next business day. With weekends and holidays, an overnight transaction can
take as long as four days. The transactions usually start on the same day they are
executed, with money paid between banks via the Fed wire and CHIPS systems.
Eurodollar transactions with maturities greater than six months are usually done as
certificates of deposit (CDs), for which there is also a limited secondary market.
TRADING EURODOLLAR FUTURES
Easily confused with the currency pair EUR/USD or euro FX futures, Eurodollars have
nothing to do with Europe’s single currency that was launched in 1999. Rather,
Eurodollars are time deposits denominated in U.S. dollars and held at banks outside
the United States. A time deposit is simply an interest-yielding bank deposit with a
specified date of maturity. As a result of being outside U.S. borders, Eurodollars are
outside the jurisdiction of the Federal Reserve and subject to a lower level of
regulation. As Eurodollars are not subject to U.S. banking regulations, the higher level
of risk to investors is reflected in higher interest rates.
The name Eurodollars was derived from the fact that initially dollar-denominated
deposits were largely held in European banks. At first, these deposits were known
as euro bank dollars. However, U.S. dollar-denominated deposits are now held in
financial centers across the globe and still referred to as Eurodollars. Similarly, (and
also confusingly), the term eurocurrency is used to describe currency deposited in a
bank that is not located in the home country where the currency was issued. For
example, Japanese yen deposited at a bank in Brazil would be defined as
eurocurrency.
EURODOLLAR FUTURES
The Eurodollar futures contract was launched in 1981 by the Chicago Mercantile
Exchange (CME), marking the first cash-settled futures contract. On expiration, the
seller of cash-settled futures contracts can transfer the associated cash position rather
than making a delivery of the underlying asset. Eurodollar futures were initially traded
on the upper floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange in its largest pit, which
accommodated as many as 1,500 traders and clerks. However, the majority of
Eurodollar futures trading now takes place electronically. The underlying instrument in
Eurodollar futures is a Eurodollar time deposit, having a principal value of $1
million with a three-month maturity.
The “open outcry” Eurodollar contract symbol (i.e. used on trading floors, where orders
are communicated by shouts and hand signals) is ED and the electronic contract
symbol is GE. Electronic trading of Eurodollar futures takes place on the CME Globex
electronic trading platform, Sunday through Friday, 6 p.m. to 5 p.m. EST. The
expiration months are March, June, September and December, as with other financial
futures contracts. The tick size (minimum fluctuation) is one-quarter of one basis point
(0.0025 = $6.25 per contract) in the nearest expiring contract month and one-half of
one basis point (0.005 = $12.50 per contract) in all other contract months. The
leverage used in futures allows one contract to be traded with margin of about $1,000.
Eurodollars have grown to be the leading contract offered on the CME in terms of
average daily volume and open interest (the total number of open contracts). As of
February 2018, Eurodollars far surpassed E-Mini S&P 500 futures (an electronically
traded futures contract one-fifth the size of the standard S&P 500 futures
contract), crude oil futures and 10-Year Treasury Note futures in average daily trading
volume and open interest.
Eurodollar futures provide an effective means for companies and banks to secure an
interest rate for money it plans to borrow or lend in the future. The Eurodollar contract
is used to hedge against yield curve changes over multiple years into the future.
For example: Say a company knows in September that it will need to borrow $8 million
in December to make a purchase. Recall that each Eurodollar futures contract
represents a $1-million-time deposit with a three-month maturity. The company can
hedge against an adverse move in interest rates during that three-month period by
short selling eight December Eurodollar futures contracts, representing the $8 million
needed for the purchase.
The price of Eurodollar futures reflects the anticipated London Interbank Offered Rate
(LIBOR) at the time of settlement, in this case, December. By short selling the
December contract, the company profits from upward movement in interest rates,
reflected in correspondingly lower December Eurodollar futures prices.
Let’s assume that on Sept. 1, the December Eurodollar futures contract price was
exactly $96.00, implying an interest rate of 4.0%, and that at the expiry in
December, the final closing price is $95.00, reflecting a higher interest rate of 5.0%. If
the company had sold eight December Eurodollar contracts at $96.00 in September,
it would have profited by 100 basis points (100 x $25 = $2,500) on eight contracts,
equaling $20,000 ($2,500 x 8) when it covered the short position.
In this way, the company was able to offset the rise in interest rates, effectively locking
in the anticipated LIBOR for December as it was reflected in the price of the
December Eurodollar contract at the time it made the short sale in September.
As an interest rate product, the policy decisions of the U.S. Federal Reserve have a
major impact on the price of Eurodollar futures. Volatility in this market is normally
seen around important Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcements and
economic releases that could influence Federal Reserve monetary policy. A change
in Federal Reserve policy toward lowering or raising interest rates can take place over
a period of years. Eurodollar futures are impacted by these major trends in monetary
policy. The long-term trending qualities of Eurodollar futures make the contract an
appealing choice for traders using trend-following strategies. Consider the following
chart between 2000 and 2007, where the Eurodollar trended upward for 15
consecutive months and later trended lower for 27 consecutive months.
The high levels of liquidity along with relatively low levels of intraday volatility (i.e.
within one day) create an opportunity for traders using a “market making” style of
trading. Traders using this non-directional strategy (neither bullish nor bearish) place
orders on the bid and the offer simultaneously, attempting to capture the spread. More
sophisticated strategies such as arbitrage and spreading against other contracts are
also used by traders in the Eurodollar futures market.
Eurodollars are used in the TED spread, which is used as an indicator of credit risk.
The TED spread is the price difference between interest rates on three-month futures
contracts for U.S. Treasuries and three-month contracts for Eurodollars with the same
expiration months. TED is an acronym using T-Bill and ED, the symbol for the
Eurodollar futures contract. An increase or decrease in the TED spread reflects
sentiment on the default risk level of interbank loans.
T-BILLS
When the government is going to the financial market to raise money, it can do it by
issuing two types of debt instruments – treasury bills and government bonds. Treasury
bills are issued when the government need money for a shorter period while bonds
are issued when it need debt for more than say five years.
Treasury bills; generally shortened as T-bills, have a maximum maturity of a 364 days.
Hence, they are categorized as money market instruments (money market deals with
funds with a maturity of less than one year).
Treasury bills are presently issued in three maturities, namely, 91 days, 182 days and
364 days. Treasury bills are zero coupon securities and pay no interest. Rather, they
are issued at a discount (at a reduced amount) and redeemed (given back money) at
the face value at maturity. For example, a 91-day Treasury bill of Rs.100/- (face value)
may be issued at say Rs. 98.20, that is, at a discount of say, Rs.1.80 and would be
redeemed at the face value of Rs.100/-. This means that you can get a hundred-rupee
treasury bill at a lower price and can get Rupees hundred at maturity.
The return to the investors is the difference between the maturity value or the face
value (that is Rs.100) and the issue price. The Reserve Bank of India conducts
auctions usually every Wednesday to issue T-bills. The rational is that since their
maturity is lower, it is more convenient to avoid intra period interest payments.
Treasury bills are usually held by financial institutions including banks. They have a
very important role in the financial market beyond investment instruments. Banks give
treasury bills to the RBI to get money under repo. Similarly, they can keep it as part of
SLR.
Objective of issuing T-Bills is to fulfill the short term money borrowing needs of the
government. T-bills have an advantage over the other bills such as:
Zero Risk weightage associated with them. They are issued by the government and
sovereign papers have zero risk assigned to them, High liquidity because 91 days and
36 days are short term maturity.
The secondary market of T-Bills is very active so they have a higher degree of
tradability. Treasury Bills are issued only by the central government in India. The State
governments do not issue any treasury bills. Interest on the treasury bills is determined
by market forces. Treasury bills are available for a minimum amount of Rs. 25,000 and
in multiples of Rs. 25,000.
The above image is a Dated Security. T-Bills with long term investment period is a
Dated Securities. Dated securities are long term instruments issued by the
government for borrowing. Short term instruments are treasury bills that have a
maturity of less than one year (91 days, 182 days (now not issued) and 364 days). For
treasury bills, there is no interest payments but the bill is obtained at a discount. For
example, for a Rs 100 treasury bill can be availed at Rs 97.5 rupees and at the maturity
date, Rs 100 will be paid to the buyer.
India’s appetite for US treasury bills rising
India has once again started gaining an appetite for US treasury securities, increasing
its purchases of the US paper by almost $7 billion between November and January.
With yields on the US sovereign bond falling, India could well make some mark-to-
market (MTM) gains on its investments. The RBI held $144.9 billion of US treasury
securities at the end of January, according to the latest data released by the
Department of the Treasury. That compares with $138.2 billion at the end of October,
which was the lowest level in 2018. India’s purchases over the three months
aggregated to about $6.7 billion. “Of the many possible reasons for the rise in US
treasury investment, one could have been a redeployment from other currencies into
the US dollar, given expectations of valuation gain with the Fed increasingly moving
towards a more accommodating policy,” said Saugata Bhattacharya, chief economist
at Axis Bank. After losing almost $30 billion from its forex kitty between April and early
November, India’s forex reserves slowly started increasing in mid-November.
“Part of this might also have been due to deployment of fresh forex assets of RBI with
higher dollar inflows seen in late 2018,” said Bhattacharya. Other economists
corroborated the view. “RBI’s foreign currency reserves have increased since the end
of October 2018 and some of these additional reserves have likely been deployed into
US treasuries,” said Ananth Narayan, associate professor of finance at SP Jain
Institute of Management and Research. US treasury yields have come down this
quarter and the RBI should have revaluation MTM gains on its bond portfolio. The 10-
year US Treasury yields have fallen 60-70 bps since November and are now at 2.44
per cent. Bond yields and prices move in opposite directions. “However, such gains
are not booked as income unless they are recognised through sale of bonds,” Narayan
said. A Morgan Stanley report said the US FOMC kept the federal funds target range
unchanged at 2.25-2.5 per cent at its March meeting, leaving all the action for the
accompanying materials where policymakers indicated no plans for rate hikes this
year, and a more dovish policy path over the next couple of years, alongside plans to
wind down balance sheet normalisation beginning in May and concluding at the end
of September 2019.
This could mean that if yields move down and bond prices rise, there is a good
opportunity for the RBI to book profit by again offloading securities and moving to
other eligible investments.
TREASURY BOND
A Treasury Bond is the longest term security that the government issues into the fixed
income market. Because it is a government security it is essentially
a risk free instrument, but because of its longevity it has a higher interest rate than that
of the t bill. It is fairly liquid in the markets and is sold in denominations of $1,000 or
more for 10 years or longer.
MATURITY RANGE
Treasury bonds are issued with maturities that can range from 10 to 30 years. They
are issued with a minimum denomination of $1,000, and coupon payments on the
bonds are paid semiannually. The bonds are initially sold through auction in which the
maximum purchase amount is $5 million if the bid is noncompetitive or 35% of the
offering if the bid is competitive. A competitive bid states the rate the bidder is willing
to accept; it is accepted depending on how it compares with the set rate of the bond.
A noncompetitive bid ensures the bidder gets the bond, but he has to accept the set
rate. After the auction, the bonds can be sold in the secondary market.
There is an active secondary market for Treasury bonds, making the investments
highly liquid. The secondary market also makes the price of Treasury bonds fluctuate
considerably on the trading market. As such, current auction and yield rates of
Treasury bonds dictate their pricing levels on the secondary market. Similar to other
types of bonds, Treasury bonds on the secondary market see prices go down when
auction rates increase, as the value of the bond’s future cash flows is discounted at
the higher rate. Inversely, when prices increase, auction rate yields decrease.
Treasury notes and bonds come with maturities of 10 to 30 years. Both a 10-
year and 30-year Treasury holds a minimum face value amount of $1,000,
although both are sold in $100 increments if purchased directly from the U.S.
Treasury.
The term “fixed income” means that Treasury bonds deliver a fixed interest rate
pay out, paid to investors twice annually, or every six months.
Treasury bonds are liquid, meaning they can be sold by bondholders before
they mature. Or, the bondholder can elect to hang on to the Treasury bond until
the bond’s maturity date.
Bonds, which tend to be less volatile and less prone to big price swings than
stocks, are a great way to keep investment portfolio assets in safety mode, an
investment strategy known as capital preservation. Treasury bonds are widely
considered a risk-free investment, as they have extremely low odds of default
since they are backed fully by the U.S. government.
TAX IMPLICATION
Any interest earned on a Treasury bond investment is tax-exempt at the state and
local levels, but that interest is taxed by the federal government.
TREASURY NOTES
A treasury note is a marketable U.S. government debt security with a fixed interest
rate and a maturity between one and ten years. They mature in two, three, five, or ten
years.
The longer the maturity, the higher the note’s or bond’s exposure to interest rate
risks. In addition to credit strength, a note or bond’s value is determined by its
sensitivity to changes in interest rates. Most commonly, a change in rates occurs at
the absolute level underneath the control of a central bank or within the shape of the
yield curve.
o Duration
T-notes make semi-annual interest payments at fixed coupon rates. The notes usually
have $1,000 face values, although those with two- or three-year maturities have
$5,000 face values.
Treasury notes help fund shortfalls in the federal budget, regulate the nation's money
supply, and execute U.S. monetary policy. Like any bond issuer, the U.S. Treasury
considers the market's risk and return requirements in order to successfully and
efficiently raise capital.
As with all Treasuries, T-notes are backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S.
government. This means default is extremely unlikely and would really only occur if
the U.S. government could not print additional money to pay off its debt. For this
reason, the notes are generally considered risk-free investments and act as
benchmarks against which other investments are compared. Their low risk and
extremely high level of liquidity result in treasury notes to usually have the lowest
yields of any bonds on the market.
First, the Treasury announces the sizes of any upcoming auctions and the bidding
deadline. The Treasury then awards the securities to the highest institutional bidder
first, then the second-highest, and so on. This way, the government takes in the most
revenue. Individual investors can buy at the average price bid by the institutional
dealers.
Ways to Purchase Treasuries
Institutional investors make up most of the market for Treasuries, but individual
investors can easily purchase and trade the notes as well.
o Buy from the U.S. Treasury: Visit the Treasury Direct website and open an account.
(There is no charge.) Once your account is open, you choose the type of security
you want to buy (in this instance, a Treasury Note) and the amount. You also agree
to accept the yield that is determined at the auction.
o Make a Purchase through your Bank, a Dealer or Broker: If you decide to buy
Treasury Notes through one of these sources, you can specify the yield you will
accept (competitive) or agree to accept the yield as determined at auction (non-
competitive).
With a competitive bid, investors specify the yield they want, at the risk that their bid
may not be approved; with a non-competitive bid, investors accept whatever yield is
determined at auction.
All investors, even those who don't own treasury notes, should understand that
treasury rates affect the entire economy. This is partially because the government's
sale or repurchase of treasuries affects the money supply and influences interest
rates. For example, when the Federal Reserve repurchases treasuries, sellers deposit
the proceeds at their local banks, which in turn lend to customers, who deposit their
loan proceeds in their bank accounts, and so on. Thus, every dollar of treasuries
repurchased by the government increases the money supply by several dollars. This
causes the supply of money for lending to increase, causing lending rates to fall.
T-notes are widely regarded as some of the safest investments around. They can be
especially attractive for the most risk-averse investors and those primarily interested
in preserving capital or maintaining a consistent stream of income.
T-NOTES FUTURES
Treasury futures are derivatives that track the prices of specific Treasury securities.
To go long a Treasury futures contract is to agree to take delivery of the underlying
securities at the price at which you went long (adjusted for differences between various
deliverable bonds). Because Treasury futures (like other futures contracts) go up and
down with their underlying assets, you would go long Treasury futures for the same
reason you would buy the underlying Treasuries: You expect the underlying
Treasuries to go up in price.
U.S. Treasury futures and options contracts are available for each of the Treasury
benchmark tenors: 2-year, 5-year, 10-year, and 30-year.
Of the three t-note types, the most commonly quoted and discussed is the 10-year t-
note because it articulates long-term expectations of the market.
Underlying Unit One U.S. Treasury note having a face value at maturity of $100,000.
Deliverable U.S. Treasury notes with an original term to maturity of not more than
Grades five years and three months and a remaining term to maturity of not
less than four years and two months as of the first day of the delivery
month. The invoice price equals the futures settlement price times a
conversion factor, plus accrued interest. The conversion factor is the
price of the delivered note ($1 par value) to yield 6 percent.
Price Quote Points ($1,000) and quarters of 1/32 of a point. For example, 119-16
represents 119 16/32, 119-162 represents 119 16.25/32, 119-165
represents 119 16.5/32, and 119-167 represents 119 16.75/32. Par is
on the basis of 100 points.
Tick Size One-quarter of one thirty-second (1/32) of one point ($7.8125,
(minimum rounded up to the nearest cent per contract), including intermonth
fluctuation) spreads.
Contract Months The first five consecutive contracts in the March, June, September,
and December quarterly cycle.
Last Trading Last business day of the calendar month. Trading in expiring contracts
Day closes at 12:01 p.m. on the last trading day.
Last Delivery Third business day following the last trading day.
Day
DEMERITS:
Poor yield
Absence of competitive bids
Absence of active trading
T-BILLS CALCULATION
1. Coupon securities
2. Discount securities.
The first type pays interest every six months, plus principal at maturity. Discount
securities pay a contractually fixed amount at maturity (face value or maturity value).
The positive spread between the face value and the issue value represents the
corresponding returns. The categories of Treasury Securities available are Treasury
Bills, Treasury Notes, Treasury Bonds and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities
(TIPS). The auctions for Treasury securities are run by the US Federal Reserve of
New York and the Bureau of Public Debt (BPD) in Washington D.C. and they are
based on the competitive bidding method. Typically, a high volume of Treasury
securities is purchased at auction by "primary dealers" through the submission of
competitive bids.
Stripped US Treasury Zero Bonds: Even if the Treasury does not issue zero-coupon
bonds, these are purchased by investment and banking firms that are allowed to
create their own receipt using the process of coupon stripping. These receipts are
generally referred to as Stripped US Treasury Zero Bonds.
WHY US MARKET INSTRUMENTS?
The debt obligations of US markets are backed by the “full faith and credit” of the
government, and thus by its ability to raise tax revenues and print currency, U.S.
Treasury securities – or "Treasuries" – are generally considered the safest of all
investments. They are viewed in the market as having virtually no “credit risk,”
meaning that it is highly probable your interest and principal will be paid fully and on
time.
Because of this unique degree of safety, interest rates are generally lower for this class
of securities than for other widely traded debt, riskier debt securities such as corporate
bonds. A good rule of thumb to follow is that safer investments offer lower returns.
Conversely, the higher the risk, the higher the return.
The total amount of marketable U.S. Treasury securities, that is Treasuries that trade
on the open market, is massive with $13.9 trillion in outstanding bills, notes, bonds,
FRNs, and TIPS as of December 31, 2016. The Treasury market is one of the world’s
most liquid debt markets, meaning it is one where pricing, executing and settling a
trade is highly efficient.
The average daily trading volume of marketable Treasuries was $514.22 billion in
2016. Because of their low risk of default and relatively high level of liquidity,
Treasuries are popular with all types of investors. As of the end of 2016, the U.S.
Federal Reserve estimated that 8.8% of bills, notes and bonds were held by
individuals, 15.1% by banks and mutual funds, 14.5% by public and private pension
funds, 38.2% by foreign investors, 4.5% by state and local governments and 18.9%
by other investors.
TREASURY RISK:
The rise of electronic trading, another market feature highlighted in the Joint Staff
Report, helped to identify a third priority area: the market practices and risks
associated with the Treasury market. Market infrastructure-including the financing of
Treasury transactions, as well as the clearing and settlement of those transactions-
seldom merits investor attention until an element that is vital to smooth functioning of
the market goes awry.
A major infrastructure issue for the Treasury market has been the clearing and
settlement practices of the cash market. This can be opaque, with a majority of trades
cleared away from central counterparties (CCPs). While central clearing is more
uniformly used in other segments of the Treasury market-such as futures-many market
participants elect to clear and settle cash Treasury transactions in a bilateral fashion.
Since the financial crisis, there has been an effort to strengthen the resiliency of repo
market infrastructure, which is another important element of Treasury market
plumbing. Immediately after the crisis, the Federal Reserve was active in pushing
reform of the tri-party repo market, which had been a locus of stress in 2008. More
recently, Treasury repo markets have undergone further changes, including market
adaptations to post-financial crisis regulations, and the introduction of multiple
programs expanding access to central clearing to a wider range of market
participants. These markets also have been affected by efforts to set heightened
expectations for CCPs with regard to liquidity risk management, margins, and
governance and recovery planning.
The EURODOLLAR cash market
Eurodollar futures contract
Theoretical pricing of Eurodollar futures contracts
Arbitrage pricing of Eurodollar pricing contract
Shortening the maturity of a Eurodollar time deposit
Lengthening the maturity of a Eurodollar time deposit