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PETROLEUM TRANSACTIONS

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1<'.1'6'.11 t"I>"

A Statistical Reservoir-Zonation Technique


J. D. TESTERMAN JERSEY PRODUCTION RESEARCH CO.
TULSA, OKLA.

ABSTRACT invaded zones in relation to the rest of the formation.


Natural zones must also be adequately recognized to
A statistical technique to identify and describe naturally
account for heat transfer within the reservoir during the
occurring zones in a reservoir and to correlate these zones thermal exploitation.
from well to well is described. The technique is partic-
ularly useful in describing a reservoir where crossfiow Because of the complexity of the problem, statistics
between adjacent strata is important in determining reser- appear to offer the only practical hope of dividing a reser-
voir behavior. Although it has been used primarily for voir into physically-meaningful natural zones. This paper
permeability zonation, the technique is general and can presents a statistical technique for identifying these natural
be used to correlate any reservoir property or related data, zones and for ascertaining which ones are likely to be
such as the information contained in well logs. continuous between adjacent wells. The zones defined have
minimum variation of permeability internally and a maxi-
mum variation between zones. The technique is general
INTRODUCTION and can thus be applied to reservoir properties other than
One of the first problems encountered by the reservoir permeability.
engineer in predicting or interpreting fluid displacement The method will guide the reservoir engineer in esti-
behavior during secondary recovery processes is that of mating which zones are likely to be continuous between
organizing and using the large amount of data available wells. However, a statistical correlation based on perme-
from core analysis. Permeabilities pose particular prob- abilities in two different wells is no guarantee that the
lems in organization because they usually vary by more zones so defined are, in fact, continuous. Rather, the as-
than an order of magnitude between different strata. Due sumption of continuity must be consistent with geological
to the sheer volume, it is almost always necessary to group data concerning the depositional environment, as well as
data and to use an average value to represent a number justified on the basis of engineering judgment in combina-
of measurements. Perhaps the most common method now tion with statistics, just as judgment is required with
used to group permeability data is the capacity-fraction conventional zonation methods.
technique, which ranks permeabilities in order of magni-
tude, regardless of the physical location of the permeabili- CALCULATION PROCEDURE
ties within the reservoir. The cumulative per cent capacity
is plotted against cumulative per cent thickness. This plot The reservoir zonation technique is a two-step opera-
is divided into an arbitrary number of zones, generally of tion. The steps are individually described, and a sample
equal thickness. Five zones (or averaged groups of data) calculation is presented in the Appendix.
usually are obtained, each of which is treated as homo- ZONATION OF INDIVIDUAL WELLS
geneous in subsequent calculations. The division so ob- First, the set of permeability data at a single well is
tained has no physical meaning; strata in the same zone, divided into zones. These zones are selected so that varia-
calculation-wise, are usually not adjacent in the reservoir. tion is minimized within the zones and maximized be-
Reservoir engineering techniques being developed will tween the zones. The equations'" used to zone the data are
handle crossflow that occurs between adjacent communi-
cating reservoir strata because of imbibition and gravity
1
B =L _ 1
[L
i:: __ ]
1 nJ, (k,. - k. Y ,. (1)
segregation. Since crossflow occurs between physically
adjacent layers within the reservoir, a new zonation tech- W = -_-
1 [L~ ~
"<I _]
(k;j - k i , ) ' , (2)
nique recognizing the actual location of strata within the N L i=lj=l
reservoir is necessary. Similarly, the recognition of natural and
zones is important for predictions of oil recovery by proc- B-W
esses involving diffusion. One such process is miscible R=---, (3)
B
displacement, where predictions of lateral diffusion within
where B = the variance between zones, L = the number
the reservoir must recognize the actual location of the
of zones, i = the summation index for the number of
Original manuscript received in Society of Petroleum Engineers office zones, j = the summation index for the number of data
Feb. 28, 1962. Revised manuscript received June 29, 1962. Paper pre- within the zone, m i = the number of data in the ith zone,
sented at SPE Production Research Symposium, April 12-13, 1962, in
Tulsa, Okla. r:. = the mean of the permeability data in the ith zone,
Discussion of this and all following technical papers is invited. Dis-
cussion in writing (three copies) may be sent to the office of the
k.. = the over-all mean of the data in the well, W = the
Journal of Petroleum Technology. Any discussion offered after Dec. 31, pooled variance within zones, N = the total number of
1962, should be in the form of a new paper. No discussion should ex-
ceed 10 per cent of the manuscript being discussed. 4References given at end of paper.

AUGUST, 1962 SPE 286 889


data, the k,/s = the permeability data and R = the zona- TABLE l-POSSIBLE ZONATION INDICES
Well No.1 Well No.2
tion index.
Depth Perm. Depth Perm.
The first step in the calculation is to divide the perme- JftL (md) Indices (It)
~ Indices
ability data, in their original order of depth, into all pos- (a) Two-Zone Indices
sible combinations of two zones. Eqs. 1 and 2, and then 8801 91 880. 91
0.66 0.43
Eq. 3, are calculated for each of these possible two-zone 8802 89 8805 89
combinations. Eq. 3, the index of zonation, is the criterion *
0.99 0.90
used to denote the best division. This index, which ranges 8803 40 8806 60
0.74 0.86
between 0 and 1.0, indicates how closely the division cor- 8804 39 8807 62
responds to homogeneous zones. The closer the index is 0.18
*
0.92
to 1.0, the more homogeneous the zones. Therefore, the 8805 41 8808 29
0.0 0.47
larger index denotes the best division into two zones and 8806 40 8809 28
is retained for comparison with other indices. (b) Three-Zone Indices
After the best two-zone combination is determined, the 8801 91 8804 91
0.89
0.99
data are divided into all possible three-zone combinations, 8802 89 8805 89
with the previous two-zone point of division being one *
0.99
of the (two) points of division into three zones. Eqs. 1, 8803 .. 0 8806 60
2 and 3 are again computed for each of these divisions,
and the best division is again defined by the maximum
8804 39
0.99

0.99
8807
.
62
0.87

index. 8805 41 8808 29


0.99 0.80
Next, the data are divided into all possible four-zone 8806 40 8809 28
{c) Four-Zone Indices
combinations. The previous points of division are again
retained as two of the (three) points of division into four 8801 91 8804 91
0.99
zones. In this manner, the set of permeability data can 8802 89 8805 89
be divided into any number of zones up to the number *
8803 40 8806 60
of data.
At each extension of the number of zones in a well,
8804

8805
39

41
8807
8808
.
62
29
0.99

the new index is compared with the previous index. The 0.99
8806 40 8809 28
division into additional zones continues until two succes- *Best zonation from two-zone calculation.
sive indices show no significant increases. Our work with **8est zonation from three-zone calculation.
reservoir permeability data has indicated that the differ-
ence between two successive indices is not significant if TABLE 2-FINAL ZONATION FOR SAMPLE DATA
it is less than 0.06. Well No.1 Zone Mean
--- Well No 2 Zone Mean
91 91
To demonstrate the zonation technique, we selected 89 } 90 89
90
permeability data from two wells. These data and the 40 60
zonation results are presented in Table 1. Part (a) shows
the indices for all possible two-zone combinations. Indices
39
41
40
} 40
62
29
Q3 1
61
28.5

for the possible three-zone and four-zone combinations


are given in Parts (b) and (c), respectively. Table 2
gives the final zonation of the data and the corresponding This mathematical statement is given by Eq. 4:
average permeability for each well zone. In Part (a) of
Table 1, for example, the best two-zone index of the five -h
(k - -k,J> ~1(1
- -+-
2 n n, h
1) sz(v.p)' (4)
possible in Well No. 1 is 0.99. Because this index is so
close to 1.0, further partitioning is pointless. The well is where r:.
= the arithmetic average of the permeability
best described as two zones. This is substantiated by cal- data of the hth zone in one well and k.. = the arithmetic
culating the three-zone index of 0.99. Well No. 2 has average of the permeability data of the ith zone in an ad-
0.92 for its best two-zone index. The best three-zone joining well, n h and n, = the number of data in the hth
index of 0.99 shows that the well is better described as and ith zones, s = the standard deviationS of all the per-
three zones than as two. Again, the 0.99 index indicates meability data from the reservoir and z = a constant tab-
that no further partitioning is necessary. The indices of ulated as a function of the number of data, the number
0.99 obtained for all possible four-zone divisions sub- of zones and a probability level. v and p are used to
stantiate the three-zone description and show there is no identify z-values as functions of the probability level.
reason to subdivide beyond three zones. Harter' provides a table of z-values.
If the left side of Eq. 4 is larger than the right side,
CORRELATION OF ZONES the zones represented by the two means are considered,
BETWEEN ADJACENT WELLS on the basis of statistics, to be different. However, if the
After individual wells are zoned, the second portion of left side of Eq. 4 is smaller than the right side, the zones
the calculation is undertaken. This part correlates the correlate and can be considered to be continuous. For
zones from well to well throughout the reservoir to aid example, in Table 2 the top zone of Well 1 has an arith-
the engineer in determining continuity of the strata. The metic average permeability of 90 md. The top zone of
correlation is based on a statistical comparison of the Well 2 also has a permeability average of 90 md. If the
difference of means of two zones in adjoining wells with two averages are compared by Eq. 4, we naturally find
the difference that could be expected from variation of no significant difference. On the other hand, if the 40-md
measurements within the zones. If the difference of means average for the second zone of Well 1 and the 61-md
is less than or equal to that expected from individual data average for the second zone in Well 2 are compared, we
variation, the zones represented by the means are con- find a difference of 21 md. While we know that these
sidered to correlate and, by inference, be continuous. well-zone averages are not alike, we would like to find

890 JOURNAL OF PETROLEUM TECHNOLOGY


out if the difference of 21 md is due to different strata N
_ or to normal sampling fluctuation.
The difference of 21 md cannot be attributed to sam-
pling fluctuation because it is greater than the right side WELL NO. 11

of Eq. 4,* which has a value of 2.2 md. Therefore, the •


samples probably came from different reservoir zones.
WELL NO.8 WELL NO. 18
When the mean of the second zone in Well 1 is compared
with the mean of the third zone in Well 2, the difference
• •
I_ [000 fT _I WELL NO. 37
of 11.5 md is greater than the right side of Eq. 4, which •
has a value of 2.2 md. Thus, neither Zone 2 nor Zone 3
in Well 2 is likely to be continuous with Zone 2 in Well l.
In Table 2, a single 90-md reservoir zone at the top FIG. A·I-LoCATw:-; OF WELLS.
of the sand is apparent. Statistically, this is all we can say.
Practically, however, we could group the bottom two
zones in Well 2 into one zone with an average perme-
ability of 44.7 md and use this to correlate with Zone 2
1
= __ [L (.~' k,;)'
~ 3-1 _
(.~ .~i k
t-13-1
ij
)' 1
L - 1 i = 1 mi N
of Well 1. We emphasize this "practical" point in order
to show how engineering judgment is used with results (5)
from the statistical zonation technique.
w= N ~ L [.t=13=1
~ .1' (k'j - ki)']
ACKNOWLEDGMENT
The author wishes to express his appreciation to the
management of Jersey Production Research Co. for per-
1
= ___
N - L
[L
i
~
c~ 1 j
11"
=
~
1
k';j -
i
L(.n~
= 1 mi
kij
~ --=-3_-_1_-,--_
r1
mission to publish this paper. Acknowledgment is also (6)
due B. T. Willman for his assistance in the preparation
of this paper, and to F. A. Graybill for his ideas and Eqs. 1, 2 and 3 are computed for each division into
work in the early development of statistical zonation. two zones and tabulated in the columns labeled B, Wand
R. Note that any negative values in R are replaced by
zero in order to conform to the definition of R. For ex-
REFERENCES
ample, the first line in Table A-2 is computed as follows.
1. Beghtol, LeRoy A.: "A Statistical Approach to the Zonation
of a Petroleum Reservoir", Master's Thesis, Missouri School
of Mines (1958). TABLE A·I-RESERVOIR PERMEABILITY DATA
2. Duncan, D. B.: "Multiple Range and Multiple F Tests", Well No.8 'Well No. 11 Well No. 18 Well No. 37
Biometrics (1955) II, 1. Depth Perm. Depth Perm. Depth ferm. Depth 'Perm.
(md) ~ (md)
3. Fisher, W. D.: "On Grouping for Maximum Homogeneity", .....J!!L (md) -...i!!L.. (md) ~
lour. of Am. Stat. Assn. (1958) 53, No. 284. 1917.5' 11 1906.5' 10 1973.5* 20 1922.5' 34
1918.5 27 1907.5 52 1974.5 40 1923.5 67
4. Graybill, F. A.: An Introduction to Linear Statistical Hypo· 1919.5 157 1908.5 276 1975.5 190 1924.5 20
thesis (1961) 257. 1920.5 234 1909.5 140 1976.5 146 1925.5 197
1921.5 390 1910.5 139 1977.5 53 1926.5 186
5. Harter, H. L.: "Critical Values for Duncan's New Multiple
Range Test", Biometrics (1960) 16,671. 1922.5 110 1911.5 156 1978.5 4.8 1927.5 33
1923.5 192 1912.5 342 1979.5 0.0 1928.5 30
6. Kramer, C. Y.: "Extension of Multiple Range Tests to Group 1924.5 218 1913.5 87 1980.5 45 1929.5 21
Means with Unequal Numbers of Replications", Biometrics 1925.5 42 1914.5 0.0 1981.5 14 1930.5 117
(1956) 12, 307. 1926.5 120 1915.5 0.0 1982.5 0.0 1931.5 27
1927.5 158 1983.5 84 1932.5 27
1928.5 316 1984.5 28 1933.5 26
APPENDIX 1929.5 20 1985.5 0.0 A934.5 61
1930.5 99 1986.5 0.0
AN EXAMPLE OF STATISTICAL ZONATION 1931.5 121 1987.5 0.0
1932.5 43 1988.5 0.0
Fig. A-I shows the location of four wells selected to 1933.5 68
illustrate the use of the statistical zonation technique. 1934.5 7.4
1935.5 149
The data chosen for the illustration are permeabilities 1936.5 0.0
from a consolidated sandstone reservoir. Table A-I lists *Top of productive interval.
the permeability data and their corresponding depth for
each of the four wells.
TABLE A·2-DIVISION OF DATA INTO TWO ZONES
STEP I-ZONATION OF INDIVIDUAL WELLS Cum. Grand Sum
Sample Sum of Minus
To illustrate the calculations, we selected the data in No. Per lPerm. IPerm. Cum. Su.m B W
Well 11 because it has less data than the other wells. ~ (md) (md) ~ ~ (md 2 ) R

Table A-2 illustrates the division of the data into two '0 10 1,192 13,493 13,600 0
2 52 62 1,140 19,892 12,800 0.35
zones (the asterisk marks the point of division in Tables 15,256
3 276 338 864 243 0
A-2, A-3 and A-4). 4 140 478 724 3 15,286 0
We use Eqs. 1 and 2 in the following more-convenient 5 139 617 585 102 15,273 0
6 156 773 429 1,118 15,146 0
form for the computations.
1
B = L _ 1
[L
i: __ ]
1 m,(k .. - k. Y
7
8
342
87
*
1,115
1,202
87
0
35,646
36,120
10,830
10,771
0.69
0.70

9 0 1,202 0 16,053 13,280 0.17


10 0 1,202 0
·See the Appendix for the calculation of EQ. 4. 1,202 (Grand Sum)

AUGUST, 1962 891


TABLE A-4-FINAL ZONATION OF RESERVOIR PERMEABILITY DATA
Eq. 1:
Well No.8 We'! No. 11 We'l No. 18 Well No. 37
B = ~ [(10)' + (1192)' _ (1202)'] Perm. Perm. Perm. Perm.
1 1 9 10 13,493. Zone (md) lone (md) ZOl"e (md) Zone (md)

11 10 20 34
Eq.2: (1,8) (1,11) (1,18) {1, 37)

W = M (lOr + (52)' + (276), + (l40), + (139)'


27 52

276
40 67
20

157 190
( 10)' (1192)']
+ (342)' + (87)' + (0)' + (0)' - ---~-
1 9
234
390
140
139
(2, 18)
146 (2,37)
197

90 (2, 11) 186


192 156
13,600. (2,8) 342
218 87 53
Eq.3: 42 4.8 33
120 0.0
R = 13,493 - 13,600 = -0008 158 45 21
13,493 ., 316 0.0 14 117
13, i 1) (3, 18) 0.0 (3, 37)
0.0 20
which is replaced by 0; and the other lines are computed 84 27
20 28 26
in the same way. 99 0.0 61
121 0.0
The best division into two zones occurs after the perme- 43 0.0
(3. 8) 0.0
ability value 87 as shown in Table A-2. 88
7.4
Since we have already separated the original data into 149
0.0
two groups, our problem is now that of separating either
Group 1 or Group 2 into two additional groups. Table
A-3 gives details of the calculations. Eq. 4 is applied to the zone data in Table A-4. The
following is suggested as a convenient and efficient man-
The second point of division (the first was after the
ner of applying Eq. 4.
value 87) occurs after the value 52, and defines our data
as a set of three groups, or zones. 1. Rank well-zone means in order of decreasing mag-
nitude, as follows.
The results of the calculations for the division of the
data into four zones (not given) indicate that the largest Number of
Zone Zone Mean (md) Data in Zone
four-zone index, 0.79, is smaller than the three-zone index
of 0.81. Therefore, the well is better described as three (2,8) 192 10
(2,37) 191 2
zones.
(2,11) 190 6
The other wells were divided into zones in the same (2,18) 168 2
manner, although the details are not given in this paper. (3,8) 66 8
The final results of our work are shown in Table A-4, (3,37) 42 8
where the asterisks mark the divisions into zones. The (1,37) 40 3
identification for the zones in Table A-4 gives the zone (1,11) 31 2
number within the specified well. Thus, Zone (2, 11) is (1,18 30 2
Zone 2 in Well 11. (3.18) 19 12
(1,8) 19 2
STEP II-CORRELATION OF WELL ZONES (3,11) 0 2
On the basis of primary pressure and production-rate
WELL NO.· I [ WELL NO.8 WELL NO. 37 WELL NO. 18
histories for the four wells, there is every reason to believe
"}------c")-----,-
the formation is continuous over the area under study.
ZONE I
The second step of the statistical zonation technique is
the correlation of zones in one well with zones in adjacent . .~

wells to determine the size and location of the continuous


zones where they intercept the areas. Each of the four
wells has been divided into zones. ", . .',-
c· ~. :.'
. ZONEm
TABLE A·3-DIVISION OF DATA INTO THREE ZONES >,
Sample Grand Sum
No. Per Perm. Cum. Sum IMinus Cum. B W . :.
Gro'lJp {md) (md) Sum (md) (md') R : ...
(md') ....,
Group 1
.F~_--.:'="·:.:5 : . ':
/
.
1 10 10 1,192 29,300 9,098 0.68
2 52 62 1,140 37,021 6,893 0.81

3 276 338 864 21,450 11 ,341 0.47


4 140 478 724 21,842 11 ,229 0.48
5 139 617 585 22,866 10,937 0.52
6 156 773 429 23,564 10,737 0.54
7 342 1,115 87 20,346 11,657 0.42 AVERAGE THICKNESS (FT) AVERAGE PERMEABILITY (MO)'
8 87 1,202 0 ZONE I 2.1 33
ZONE II 5,0 189
Group 2
ZONE III 7.5 36
0.0 0 0 18,060 12,310 0.31
2 0.0 0 0 FIG. A·2-CROSS-SECTION SHOWING FINAL ZONATION.

H92 JOURNAL OF PETROLEUM TECHNOLOGY


2. Calculate Eq. 2 using all permeability data in the must exceed F'n = 212. Since it does, the well zones (or
entire reservoir. the means) are significantly different.

W = 59~12 [(11)" + (27)" + (157)" + ... + (61)"


Completing the test, we compare the mean of Zone
(2,8) with the mean of the other zones until the differ-
ence is not significant. We find the comparisons are sig-
(3~)2 _ (l~~7)' _ ... _ (3~5r] = 3,964 (md"). nificant until Zone (2,18) is reached. At this point, we
begin to compare the next largest mean with the smaller
3. Calculate the standard deviation from Step 2. mean as follows.
s = y3,964 = 62.96 (md).
4. Select z-values' for a 95 per cent probability level (191-0) ~2~2~ (~) = 191 (1.414) = 270>F'1l
(zv,p)'
p 2 3 4 5 6 7 S 9 10 II 12 and thus is significant, and so forth, until a nonsignificant
Z47,p 2.S6 3.01 3.10 3.17 3.22 3.27 3.30 3.33 3.35 3.37 3.39 difference,
5. Multiply the z-values in Step 4 by the standard devia-
tion in Step 3, e.g., F'p = SZ47,P' (191-168) ~2~2~ (~) = 23(1.414) = 32<F'3,

P 2 3 4 5 6 7 S 9 10 II 12 is found.
F'p ISO 190 195 200 203 206 20S 210 211 212 213
Finally, we can distinguish the means which are not
6. Test for significant differences among well-zone significantly different as follows.
means. First the largest mean is compared with each of
(2,S) (2,37) (2, II) (2, IS) (3,S) (3,37) (1,37) (I, II) (I, IS) (3, IS) (3,11)
the smaller means. In order for the means of Zones (2,8) 192 191 190 16S 66 42 40 31 30 19 (I,S) 0
and (3,11) to be significantly different,
(192-0) J 2(10) (2) = 350 Any two means not underscored by the same line are
significantly different, and any two means underscored by
" 10+2
must exceed F'12 = 213. It does; therefore, the well Zones the same line are not significantly different, as defined
(2,8) and (3,11) represented by the means 192 and 0 before.
are significantly different. These results and the information given in Table A-4
In order for the means of Zones (2,8) and (1,8) to be show that three reservoir zones have been defined as a
significantly different, middle zone of high permeability bordered on either side
(192-19) J2(10) (2) = 316 by zones of lower permeability. The properties of these
" 10+2 reservoir zones are summarized in Fig. A-2. ***

AUGUST, 1962 893

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