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LLY Of Swe, yee | lee eet ed daly yet adh dey PT dely eye 9 jks > Uf aes Lely pet pre JS Gai Jo H5 All SH jLety Uy WSS BVI ya 2 ge JOA BAI ANN fe Ws BE sy oly peo et Seth LA of aes Uy asl GLA S36 I OL ad TAM bs 2 OT pi HY wis JG ephf Aya oY! ae GSE Gy LIB V = (14) Sle Zils dhe of Ulby sgt Bors eres) seve le suisse Pol pede Se sil ed SY! Ob Sisk, tale | We Ge le FST dt SEY 8 SF OF es ely pe OT ge JS a Jo All GIS B Lary Ny. GiSl ghd Ge Eye Hal 22 HI LAG SIS EI ALM fe Hb i sy oly pee alt (tet) Jct wy) (Veet) Jou UA dyad! douse yale OV Ll of das KAN ode pie Ue poles Gh ¥ py JS dpby 2 ae tyaceuecl ee tee ot BSN oy4 GSH Gp Lip oles £ = (T-Y) Wel wih ple, iil 46s ell aed seve lags Stn see elec Al yu 1 ee ot AST Lb Le op tT ary OSI DU of Ub, eat Se te body. cpa pb Je Gis its bts Sad) splay yal UL) abe by del) LLY jad gh ge bee Ll! ccllgea £ LS Sy daly eye | DLE ait cee 9 AS BLY Se ab pl Alay Joly gy 9 Lt ae Latee he Le pate JS Qe tae ell ads bn abl ad peer ately pe ae yay ol fp abl 0,8 DI ode Jy ogee 0 = TH TUS ISS chp toly PPS Jy Sl! peal of sas lyase Jia! La tjLaty UA em cp slene Le OS Bye Lt ges Clb ely pga ed ae ee ef seezel Uva e ee y= pr Sdsbs Se Vol gu ob of fe = t- b= OW LAI Isl oles rhe lS SULA pabli oSey wl yaad gl leryy eee = WIS) 6 Guys pais eee T= Sy 6 tly psy O ais eee = WIS) oly pe f aie ot Ve BBB gy AN pa] cay Sy cL gsm V1) AUS lak HU, AUB oa AST aa% foe oS ot! Bll agd> dy lt “CoP chy pad? US fo bd ie i plat clots! Gill gael GL (abil Kall op al oe eI de (pee ELS of elt ty AB ibee J LW eG Mele ALL ULM otis AI pm pS Le i Tes Le Liye Ct gts cpl foe see M B85 OV Gf Lull yo OS oF Heyl ILM aie oly ll adsl dle setlie pal DW USte Leta of iS Vin oo GUI fail Glow st |S Lbs Te lg Bae ot ae ps Ig ths dey IS Ge I Bo EAI Jota Sy ogell Jo abet xy blest of of BLS JS ace Sel coed J lel 15 I Call ol all ous of Ce val IL 2 QW pall Je thst ee aS ee id bat Gait GU CE l= Gs RW AT Ce oe Pade dL pai GUN CSI le = ARV BT oe * Anderson, D.R: Dennis J. Swe ey and Thomas A. Williams, An Introduction to Manages ment Selence, Quantitative Approaches to Decision Making, Second Edition, N. Y., N.Y West Publishing company. 1979,var (Yet) See Was edges Geriplt ley AN dof ye AJU Obl! Ll Cals 13] SQN ell fe bey pty (lily Slay Glaol ) dats) day Le ca] iss | cay bud aiall dala! pls gu |} but (sty | thy | uty in ft . - 3 + L__| pel de Laat plify ly Sto J] AY) es Ss Ws : gu (=H) JeeYye oP MEL Ral ely 15 SI oly Lael OB GUS ey Seadi yd Ste 3) dali = 2 ace Nee ladolee 2 OB AUS ey JSS Eg Aa eal aL = 1 we utd ayy | bLt pli ded = 3 BU oye BUI ole] dL = ye Abt ey 9 MAY pli] ded = JSS G7 pli] dat =. belly ait gl cig lau = 5 soci d sdibee OB As dey Pues) 4 A Gill Ci lus = 16 SLD 4 ait GU CaN Jue = 8 > bUt 4 (ait GU Cal slue = 8 2 DUI 4, ait Gill C5, fame = 8 FLD 4 ait GN Cyl) fae = 8 SSI IS Sle] La of LT fe Ys Sill O55 Gust Ue Uf 6 RR JF Gy All pla GSS ay tee WWE ay Gy ald gall Sy LG Gatill Ud Halal LSI le Gli Gye lly AIS ase Ob AD VANS Uyole play $53] GUIS Jans BH oF OS SE to J | (ABN IS + Boldly Ey bald LIS OX Gadi lo Of WOU, Se ae Jot UL) LEY GILG autib lS ele sue Ea SS Boy J BLS adit op EI Lay! WISI = Ug of -LM Je jarly tay JS LAL Lt 55 gata! joes pas dash Jig abel tats de lll alo - Gail Calo psig CE SE as gail Lal lee ily JN IH J a Ge ll 4 bud) aut 1 OsSt Gal ale ob LU,PTH BNO BV so Ca Ls wr Vorbis lore CPs IS ule) GS shel pled cipal Me Gopal Lf che] Lope delay cal] BLE JS ait of Ke cay Lil ye pai ond PI al UE gt mel Of tas op ll oe Sw say es ol gy All SR hey ot Le ols spall go Ell ny SAI GG lel JS as 1B op Lest LUT aba slo SOS ole Sead gs Se git a of sett! Ne SI soe BS) BAY Bis OL de SL SAH gb Sas I MU Lyla OS LEN aay dy a! able ele ton ay ae abel C5 Le 3S BLN! LAY Gell Call of otal ody Sed oe neal) SLs « JSS gy al oy Und pio lads SES OLS, ie = at LL Ye ol ol ) Sab Qa eae a LW) ell fo opal ya epee Youd ai we t (lu -V) Se Y Sad! Ste dad = yw OF lal fe FbLt jes] a xy gill Ladll SS oe BLE Gt (IU V) NF Opi By adh ay vue Sb ai ses GN CN 6 Ble oe heBIS Ad in Ls tole] Key () VS typ Ytadl as et m1) Se Sees (as) VS Sty t ead as A Sted Call O95 LB (2) Sadt Ogle AbLs Jes of ULL wrt (04 71) Saye ret Get) Say etal Goal Of dow dell doleby op) y uF te te (&) r iA IN 309 Hig tee Croreany tt Lue T) Say byes (ey VS Lo tep tie aed hay (0) (8) 0) CT) C1) apa La OS LyyA DSSS He gail Leb! opal ab opal op GUI peu BI pall Jo ble Se gly BLS o ree (yy \ 2 Ly @) 12 (a) 12. «V*). 12 ye PES ped py AM pL] ay AF gh MN, ILI esi ly Atel thoes pLall J gy All pA phe cas LT of oe att) ABE Spb oy OS AS Hy oe VY ge (gall Cad LUT fe Se SY kal JSS US ye ell Sey -phlace Sis) Vs (1) Ve Sap oo ILS pate 25 Lil cas out tte br bre ee IN IK Fe Sh lye tye Se Gpey USAW cds be J Sheol plat pla deal Sey =i AM JI J) gL Me we ee = Var tee oe A=uy V= ae Vt =ope =e Ol pled fe Us, TAS ge ped ge TOY Led USS I) IY LI de go Gey aileyl ISS yy nape slate Gait Of Ce PDL of hI Le gy AS AS) yey Joly pe ie OF OS 9 BUSI OLS Cae Te US pha Ae pay pt rl eden Des All go Of KE go ae toe OS plo Wv cof bust (El ay pee Gee el Lie ey phe] NS OS Gey ey TUT oe eth Gp BLA Cay sar Voor =Yort lyre = pastel te US py all eee pt 8) td et Jy) Jeg ll Se ge atl aR Cigll fe feb, bl IS) LEY iy cull Cig ol yas PIS etal NS) WU so Gyey 0 oP Ati ya JS “iy ody | cy | ay cig aw ead) | eat | Gata | bust at | sti (eb ky jis da | As 3 ' po ° ° r = i je | jie x & ne 1 L} ¥ > jie A A y s Repo dat pS yh) ie ae da LS of be Leu, PEL eis bb J USAL Od Jo tole! of I ba os of Ce obs wisee =p Ul pl Je uly SASSI ye pad ae Tot Lab LSS! fo JEN Lis sop Spey LY! AIS ayy Spe sls ait Of Se T bL of AN hls guy US aNKy Gyeey dy oe nit OF OE 2 bli! OF LS case Yee AUS ULE e phy pb lke ged ey ll gl OF LSE go age Ver OTS pbl o SV ge f bltd oli] cay Gath Gye antl Is ey LALA OS Gey pee TU a Gp > BL cay ree THO = VOr + Nee = ath dy EAS! py tbl eee pp DY Led I Jud Sy og ll oe ae uth yadbll CIN fe Helly BLY JSS LEY iy call Sy! col us PASH gale N] GUS gah dans 0 PAE Ge ISI da cy} ads | bs (edu) fo | pe ° \ ° ° r ¥ ae ae x > 1 1 r 3 A A Y ~ vRpye tattle Jyh! ie > EY Ls of be Lets pl] gels Jb SASH Old > abe! of J! ba os of Ce af sisHall le OLS ab yiell ety of Se (1) dl le ag EH LS be TiN GIS ey LS WAS Feasible Vl ose USN JSUN GL yy lyb th ole fee elall Lye) his ey welpabl ella fol sale SyeasS qaly She of La ERA tel (lubed Geel Jole dhe of aay of ce Let, OF ae ail Gad ps Gil O, SY ah «paso Re fo i BS Lashy Js La be A Bde oils panel Geb A Lgaaty Lee a oe oly Let pb oe OS Ses Ram det > pill SY ode ae Y JS) Why ced RB ST ke GSI gd DU ye 08 oll oe LEY! SU Syl O8 as pail 2 US ot gue Ua Vitel hu) Bey bl! bas us Ble GG rahe Gill CII ad We de Git colby St ay Kelley and 4 JS pl aaly JSS gy AU) alls sh of ose eA ye DLL coke apes! Glee gals bt Le Al oye pels OO Futkerson Sy KE Le it SY SS Gy lt IS JE I} Gres .o))ptt Ge Capt BLS Jd aL Ps efor Ad ye Chyal le est 2B OCS GU pill oye J)\yy Set pe kes Al sob Bol StL LL) Suis | ast vA jars t oo v = \ ve \ 3 y s \ oe \ gee y 3 re glblly (GHI oljke oo) Aba, oH glall ity SI re) AILS ST ne LPL fy tll pli] i jas the 3 at! lye ety) aed Ly CHI Ll stny Kal has ALLY Me pla G5 ol CAN pent, OLS I gue] Gali 1) 2B Dy GIS BLE IS sgl ULI! pats Cully Utd!Vr reglhlly SY) AG Ca) fading GLI La by eet bd oe T LbUS JS Aly Ese Ws OLS if Soll BO, gy A pL] cay AE Sal op Joe wetlobe| aby ERE USS Jol US aed AUS OLS 15] pL Linde gy tll plél eis vant Kalle bane tele] ety ERE HUIS Job OUD Jaw a LKE the Het Gat) gules okey Alt Job doll SUL LCT)| Bpthe HLM ble | (Egy SM cay! bud! | ES * i i \e y i A ax ¥ \y > ¥ Ve s > \g 3 2 v $s jue 4 t 5 b a x eal reppllally SAD gy) tell ge ya fil Gt! Ul as peek [Sab ol wat _¥ (Ltt iit = ¥ wht ewciy df f wot et GIS Cred plo cee le Al > Cot EY pp cts how ret t\vt IN UN Aly yb GLI el SCE) SFM GN | del did | Gail cid! | gold iyi! bud t i t % ¥ v A = \ vv 2 Y " ~ va ve “7 VE Jd ) v ° v 3 Jorre ares x 4 ct hese | we ° 1 b Siggy Se ANS alm oll dab gy All ple] dae Gadd tht Be gail de ol GLA ase ERNIE ply tl de VSL all AILS CALS 13] (0 oe Al) ely el CF gy AM OS Ue CE Jy ia tl Cyl) WEY Loh! Al GUL! gy Al![eth ey gph pana ass tr at iy all bus YY te | F f ltree JM EU eee ry ¥ Wo ae gl Eyal aps ; = yes \ > SIV SM Cpa on ee y¥ a HS dae oT peal Yes \ 3 SU pelt le AaB Kt Calsywh ope gh colle gy ely aad Wl cay! of poll Je tay ip gllally Garth (le cS) ade the asl at — 1 aa tt 25 gil US UI eal BE NL aN ae Cty Jue (0) 6) HI pt SC) spel YY Sh gal (El cay patell pail el dl heels pat wiglad Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT) dade ble! sla] coy — gh plascel — aes Labs Yr JS o> ake os ASS ors De - eM! oA ser! Pe Aled — LLY 25 a td qlEe. «08 & fhe Sek Began pnb fle SPS Piigephets T wotvotiiche obtuse un got * = onlgyg 2 mal vera WD Hg woo ng, Peg ge Bun late WAR A len recep in iel pail BA SI Bel 9 path Sigh Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT) Bea CSLS CPM @ Al Ll pleted 4b gil cS oD (co he SET Le Lt el Jee LR Ja eel dee LCOPERT slat Vu ins Gly ¢ gall Leer yay ah Cigale Hamilton, Allen, Ua\ys VAOA ple G ope (Le gga pi Lad ALSs eN2YI OIL elas G Read! ols AI ste] 81) Booz Gal DLA |S LS pS pth Lb) cles Al) Se we SLE Ag LS 2 5,5) Lockheed 14959) 15 4 fe slyn_ll J She oda GS pM pba B55 del Le pp Le pb peat ph ihe La oe gl GLA! OS 5 Stl fo UB LST + Ke JK4, Polaris Gy ball cli] Ey M* bbe Bh Jeall te pend bell Jol dy CUES» 2S PERT sla Yi of cy peti de (#) of Y «Program Evaluation and Review Technique Lal jas! ya oye! J Les Sel es Jo YAW PERT Lat VI i pete cpl tall AS ae She dee Je 25 d aol, Performance Evaluation and Review Technique 4s SS Budnick, and Mojene and Vollmann, 1977, pp. 534-535. :JttNn fee SoA By Si Sey sha ee ged gy ell Shad) pay ge ET Sm Jae dhe Speed bl pls Lee Syl pitseel of jobsll gens, Ep de G yee CSAS! dl Syl gy All LG] 8 ae Sy sol fo All is G PERT OL Ba Alle Shes oF Ab SQLS ualle Thaw cn enigll daly at vole Ee ye ad pall OS af ay ole taf Sal G15 a LI Le peal FS cll Ly cely eel 5 PERT OL of go A Saas Gall ley 2M ye es ASA pba ly er Oplolen spill ola! et bo oe ple 7 SS cy Cid OEY jae SL Ob JS oy Last Sy ce SSH LAS gp UNE ole pal Jay CPM, PERT GLI CAS oF M8 of Le bag « Seaisll, daa obs Jytsi of iy bles BLN Ip all G cbaygt gill i) Sees! gg) doles Gy Lh TP LW sd LAS 56 ee ohn i OLY oF LS gay -PERT SL UL J als alread Se asl Cal JI das, S55 IF HIS Ge Cpe ek chy ply Se oy Cay sf ad 33 “PERT plies! te BUS JI Lb a Cpe plied oly Se gle] Ls Yo ge 0 0S Les!l Gull! 4S), cde bob eas His bey at fas Bey All pl SIS] Lam oe ALY CoA pal cy adit 555 Goat SA oye aff US J] BLEYL “PERT Clal pladeol tee Gla! Jraall Gala agl Bly «Crashing CPM Sight yr ejeS Shel catia ale paid 355 of oye gS adVAY op Sl label gy All Uae fs Lo G fee! paket oY Lis Lops PERT UL 3 5,Sa)) a 5 2ySokl ye Jae CPM y PERT (ABE ple ed UL LL othe! of Ga of one te A dai) tof cay bis 9S of Set OL gd dep of Ce 2 Soho el py A SUL sof oto fe 28 ope AL da old of J] PERT OL Jb GLUT HB ery 2th EAI LM cals cp Sel 2S slates yay. .CPM, PERT cys LS Cy ell Goll Says OV BUY sal i,t bls gles] c5y Bi glel TCIM Gylel Je gllay Ls Raat ells exis . Probabilistic: Jz! plat Gb PERTU Lal doy EB gy AMG BLE JS (LY p50) cal ad LS J Lolel Bis tee otal CPO SNE yh pal holy ded dad 9 CPM OyLal iy Sk Ep SiN Ci ge ped Let LI pat Qed pail Lew ASD 23 2 CPM Jb gt! U2 all Ob a es SUSI jes! SS GAN ALY obs ULE HUB ye SSI Ley SEIN ody oe old! Sua el NM 65 ye PERT pL Jb G cay ol ae ele Tapall yw Leg bd SLs Sly bUD 9DU) N iy ce pls ass JEM igll ye 3,53 She of gf take 5 bd oli] Je OF yall ye gl ea a LEW isla bla LS ple] capt sa oye Lad JS Syte Jlcoly random variable Gly te | a biel al cy deterministic 5VAY SEM gi ge BL Gd CALI ail J] SUG OW a, oll deh PY pall ¢ JS Gels SL Hl | Probability disribution soley OF pill old Syd) OVI ErZ OB HB Jey e ght! es sy C1 =f Spt J apislh SLL BUS sly. germcall tell BLN SH AS gay AL Ls ted cy pam bls ele] Cy of ee pM AL ye ast DT (lf da ye Jit G LL jl gy of LE aes BT sf LL SOG GDL has] Stet of Up ol gS OV RY hy Gol AST SI plans G BL jou] Jkt OL WLS Lee gl EN NGA ERA AIS AVEO 6 E paill OB Lis dey Line S13 OS cy USS [Sy DL od GUI jut cay ga all gltall pl KAM cll ALS ana SLY Crip! of Ll Le ge daly gabe Of Os pall ois LS OV HY tee of gl tal JEM GAS gral (\ = t) dyae PUN jes] id Je ail atl leat cul LL! sli] cyvar LA Mend abe bl peg 354 as yo 09) satis! pty el SY Gil poe bd SUL) ipl abe go LG mathematical distribution eit! dev! wists empirical distribution Slaps ALN AB oe al Joell a sill ceil sab NI Lt ler Y Ue! ae Gb yey GLA FL 2 ye SL All Ad bE FU oe Ys Se SIAL} sae deed pt th re G+ 5) WS Cag ae Frequency 51S) U3 he slay «une Pe SY pale ISB eM (lk sy 6 tll LS OS bly be ys oo SR! Sluelill sue fe Ly ee SAN LSI ogy. eomall oly! ye Je aye Ls JOE US rl Se! wish SI Une sll Las (1 £ Jyatl G (Y- 8) dyte rl NeW esl Sl Spee! Las IS] Sy ctpoue | bes, HR at te oda | Sree ally ye Yeats 6 gl Ue eu eS eyadt iet = ip to ipts ip le gh oVI sue tealAt ase ga (T=) Jyh G Sesh Olphdl oe pla oe glallyy BS RN Git oe pe Fy Us papell Je ib TL JSS le Lal py eile! ale fee Ob AHS ble! jst Of Lea bagey BLE JS let Lajg baa OS Sly ga Bald Lal BN Ubi aw ale OF Y) ell de LbLy oy gt Je al aay heals . le PUY CE CV oe 5 Ue Gy SUN jlp!] CJ tote [Saey UE G1 flats Sy Lege AU pla ney Lee e i gil SLI ob Fret) deny LN ole fol adel Jolt ya OSs fpeeeySl RUN Leo [syle Seat OSs gil pail lee Ey Jor ob. pipe pice discrete tLadll gl Ue Jul Wa GLY “es Lay ihe Gael al daly oblate § (LEVI Jet sis seca! Continuous Dadlt gill ley i +9) UU oie Gwy ce ad Uf shell oll gad Leb of ySe SIAL! Jay. gly tal Daal! al 2 fe eli £75 OST Lace dle DU ode O45 8y oS gly ULI wis cbs AY oly jal yo bole ell tha, ce a je LN a ee De Bp SS eluded Ugale Simulation #1SLal Qlow ois a ee bi aL de ob Sly (PERT-SIM Lash Wy pally) PERT SIMULATION gal Stig he I LST ye LS gh ee Let OU GE oS UleV ALT ye ado LSI je OL apr fe Lacy dey pall ode cls of —tao lel plated LF b SI le ye Vyf ast Cas ayeltce gf abe pwol b Ai lie Sid Le tel OVS ty poll Sle G pe pa LB oy dee NN LS USS US py ll ale Uy bey 5 Sl Yas Shs O45 of sl ley tl Qe G ibs Se Gil foal pees Je ey ot Oe Ephp BLE JS Lele SUL opty A} eal Le sop Ge £ Hler! gil oad ple Of Wily bl ISI Je ej all Lane cnt ip (LN ele oye 298) Gly «JSS gy Al Lote eth ody Hou dey of Ce 9 de of Le HU dels ZlerY cig! eg led 0% QI AL! Se Je St pe LW JS See 6 HG epee SEY sell Jette a Ls ols 13] Tey eo ye Uke yp At NI JV eiell Ssh dl SAM gis Ue ges pel oh yt! Ooty flptell ill pod oy ee er sL S| ed! Ole jp lly discrete distributions dash! oly ji US ges Esl I ALLL IG Gly ill ode Ulje cay . distributions At Gee wip fle 12 Le LBL, Yale ope ILL PLE cay) Atlee VI DLL OB Wily gyball GLasVly Ghd! busll alae l fel OyS5 tat te oe BK, gill «JSS gy All Dee] bags Hie thal 23 NWA cla oe ow oy wbeta Lag jy 5 Ale Gllnsy SLAW Ul chy aed alse LY US BU LSS SU CSU lye UIE yd aol Le ples (SU CaM Se ol yaa Ske Of IKI Ma Gye ed (1. ) JS!Yaa taps bled py SSW Se LS aT yay. (4) optimistic estimate ld ci f ie Syl JS of 523 Je yi gil ay SLi slay ual! jad 6s of Jet ob Gi, othe Le 230 ayiplly el be Yl fe et pa Le elle oe if ody G BLU! wh Ua CS tye BSC Pull cit (1-8) JS BL iba] Cid ky wi SEA ES LS Se... (2) pessimistic estimate Lil 5S =O Atal Sy Beal ol 23 he py BI ay pL bu all J SL jst py of Jet ob Jy bl Lia iy also bye UN de dag Vl bes eal ye all oda oe ST a Bl Leall p eday . (4) most likely estimate Gye 35VI c5,I byell Les bel gt bl Lay Ga Ss Ls Ute Se SUSI ALY G31 Cag ott glam! wy jal! modalav cell ell easelly HY Gb ys Slydisll oda Loe ry be ae Xs YULS | SlaLl NGG Wes ipl dest LF ye lyase apollo jl J bowsyl ls LI USL) 420) ou Pe Obi Laps yey (2% oe ell de ot LLY Le judy COG alae atlas ae jleg Lee af Y ut ode JOU by wig Slt (5) Symmetrical Jucall JS dst of ye Quip . place (2-1 ~£ JS GS) Skewed to lift Lat Jab Ul iss of dyes (1 =€ Le JS G [yy Skewed to ight pad! GU Jl Ss of diy Al pk we, bey (OWES ayigs dab ue tLlsy SS AB oS6 asl jg aa Llje ge ahs ULIas + Gas pladeal (heel Stall SN CEN AF oye DLAI! pl id ply dao tI ofy unimodal Jip uss al, pot ei le of Lect, ty Yale AaB ola Sym 5575 OV 2 NI pine (SN CSS ages ta oy SLA LS Ld beta WH PRIS (Gs) Expected time acl) Cig) ale jlly Gilly cases wttt+s o : = 3 ee Sly dee 3S Je pyit tl ods of Cals ws Ae GU gl 05S US ly taf aby Ls by bet ps al pol Se at BL Ci) pL ot St GS Bde pill » JS : Jul ™)JSilidl 5 yh bye AS i sn deg = cot (Ve¥~t) JS ae ee cig pa ain iu pot (~ Ye ty) JSvAa pil oy Ga OF ay het ati 1 Sail fo Malad! eda 9 Of gf. gol GL i] Slay Le Joly ay SVG eA AAI pe gale GLa of ee oy = (> 4) or cote 2(V = £) de cles tbl ob oH ould! ble Ge Sad | ASCH | Jota it bu) ae ei eve pee | gu wast w ® ) athe ney bust | jo) yy vy ° = yo) i \ Ve 0 \e = hs 3 ¥ Y A ° Y = bh ¥ \y v ) 5 ta > t \e t t mee [a-r = ° \e Vv £ ae 3 1 Y y Y zey jo-r 3 v 1 1 pe é. 01.€ t A Ve An Y ct vuo b 4 v £ ) Aud voy A i phllly eds ePERT Cyl placa eal EY dpe et edt wes, el ttVas slg YT GB GS ga cll | Jel sb Se &3 pl (lil Jel a 9 Ge gat ol UL ys Ske Gils |i] pte UE GUL eae ye Heal il pl dadgll dail od Ley YO GB G poles 1 Dalal) lade BLS JS pLEY Giga Cay) Laaagie yds Bilas) gtstt+e 4 eta Tree ay ee. Dalal pal oylsly vr (ye (Y= §) dott BIS Abs wot (6 Sell iy Pre Y= [Ws @-Vyy Y= VEEN 401) £40] t ee PVE] VER VELVe te) tHY eT of v= TNF (Y- A] o= LEIA #0) E+] ; &= Te a- iy] = VFL Hy) £47 & v v= Tee 499] os VED 7 Ae pve =49] v= VE[l +0) 8] = ° aoe Per] VEL ty bY] ; y=" eGov] = VELL +1) t+ i] = [F(t - 10] A= VE[VE tA) FY] . is Tp aHy] Em VFLV HCE) E41] 4yay Che capt ede Lene PERT phd am ASI pee pT a(t = §) JS GS BLS Js Gls (v- £) JS Sybel lapel USL abe pt Se des ail J ELEY! be 12s NYS ce ce Spe Gal) oat fo Giothy U5 fp, 08 CPM DA ode by RA, datst JP EU! pes Tyg jhe CPM hl o£ = 8) SEAN DS ptt OSis Bd cA LW LT As glob 2 air edt Geb ye Lily Be Atay AN Ly gy Al PY pp BIS BLE JS Lap cay ety sly ety cy ely yl ys LS +(8 = £) gat pewlcds etd ody ail) Gal sy] but cisel | ctydl [ety pt] cig at (4 fl aa eo \e ao pie ie A f \ WV \ pe ve ¥ A ° fi ge ° t eo v w \. " v > % WV ° ay ° ae ws i? Av Yo ae ve o + t ys Ww \E \e v ’ 4 vv yy VW Fe ¥ Y wv ae A ° ° € \ yy is wr Wwe A ’ ae Y) yy Ww W t 4 (= £) dyde 2 SSS Ea All LEY pak, aie cy iF OF J ytt Le oye cet YP oA OLS ly Y) OH +O Oe $0) Ae = Shick AEC gly Nou pie AlbayBLY! lect BV i) Lill Al ppt oe bles BW) iI of We Say Rai pll Lal sf eagle fee clue G EI Me ofp ciel random Lil, te [aise yo Ex Al pa cy ofS gay gy all Lal Ang «qu 5 pl Ne dee YY ga le 1) IH dy oly flee | qo9 4 variable Bhs Lal 2 all ys de EW LSS 5 Lal) poll of ULb Leos Le uncorrelated Lla>| Slee OLS 13] 15 Central limit theorm 1 $L.a-MI aol tI uy Tule Ula] Wis ob Ute gst olse lle Lyte Lae CoN ISS oe le th del Bl tll peal lel Ob OSS Ge Ab PLEY PUI C5, SI Ob GUS Jey normal distribution Juzall tp lS See La 5 JS Genpat stl csyl te Es aleay (0-8) JXSee soe eagle fo ace US eel ole ey be db AV ok AU tall IS a BLY! Shey WG pb S gs 5 ll let ab SEH ES TY Ea de Corley Jaeall caja)! Ula plnecel abel ole slude ums (02 8) Bal poe (pal Lhe si G Jy (Sot Glas) Z + bog = Le at ope VV ga deeds WY ge fybe gg3 Jel ULI Lf Ub $65 2 La ody 5p) gale! GLasM yo L OV Jiply OSE variance G5 OB bd Ua op degee go alli gy tll cay al Sokal ail asth fas MoE RAY de AI a BY ols yet gps eput Saal GLosM ae ySeY Ol dealt Glen Yi deal 1 wus ees Bw pls om Se Sly GoM ol cas ols Of HS Ue SBS ols cay + 9 DU ols Cay + FLL aly cay = Va\ebtl= TV = oll gy AM ola ca gahall GL pwd Ob utd Joy Y,8f4 = eV AN thy Leth La Lt) BW J oly all oda JS ayy BIS ZS Wot Se (V, £88) Z+ TV = 0F sANV =Y, £845 (VY YP) =Z lyvas bea pill Gl] cel td Se Z Jaca! wigll Syte plank i gel pol de ley Tr Gb Sal oe eB lly gael of Lab! ol eee ptt! gest PEW ALY (62 1) ga All cy Sell svard SL Jeeps Se go bed Lhe gil Leal J} ores Bla ps SIS pel Jo Ly VY Ue gy Al ell J VATA = ore + YANG = LVAT4 sole af sf (St Le pees gy Ll ele # fe lad! pp Of S ial ode sadly ol cel fa} JU Jo ed pl Spas Le pal) pet Uslae LS MN pple LAL Lage TY IIE gy ll PED Dyce ne oe 7Z.V4 TA Sela NI Na Sho ooh Gye det da J) Bae aylpe SLs] CLE eal oe taj RE gr tl bslly Gill LEY! Cay Vast clay TY DE Gs al Cat La py OF Set td JN fae Jo St te Jb tty (a2) JS dee Sly toy by rw ce YY ey Yh py te 8 Jea TV VOG lel! id 9S QUE ale 4d ney ThAS Gail 30 tsi Recall ob YN TY cy pad gil Gabel 5 (¥, £84) Z4 70 = yoty VAY = 1, £64 = (1) - Yo) =Z lary Apt! GIS EEAE ATVs YO Gy Mad Ob CUS Jey (Y, £84) Z+ VV = YG) SAVVV = Y, £645 (VV = YN) =Z hay sd yttt GUS 414 AYN VY cy taal! Ob US Jey TOE Cy pas 28D Ey Al (lel Jeet Ob Cy (fo Cy sVOLO= ,TAT4- ,£8AE = 1N0, £0 gyley ail gl PAB Seis SRW fs oe ppl ia OLS AUS I LYE aebobls Gu ah sill Gb toe, db G eid OUI a ag ES AU (eA Le GUS pty came G8 ye pleat ste até Wm G ELEY Ll Op) Se esi glly dail Lal els, NN 310 cue par tales! oF Ukey JU Ls 1A EAE pa legs Yo we G ell eli] Seat Of GUS Jey. EEE ply Yo ge ptt) leat of U3 gery sPOVV= EAE =) De Fe a aS Gay gah Ute Obs tke ols 15 Ul il old Gall Leal OB by Yo ge gy all ot JEN BB gee OV, VE Vee x ONTvay ot pet Spe yi te Lill Jo gil 25 4) Abb ky MG I Lay! Jey agli dali By 2 of oad sats) AIS] J] Stakes 5 A OSG eed Wis ob Ie Glee JI SANS pS by SVE ode fhe SUSE cele Gall sel Gg Sak Leth gy tll Lal ae gl let! PLY Ea aS SII 4 pte GU! 2 all CoM (EL coy col Ro DAI Lat be SUL pat! on Sf besly Obs GLI Lille of ye pe N ab PERT OL UL 9 JSS wee slow dtl gil Let CYL jaw gh TY nS de BLS Ol yasdly GULL ela] de hn MT apes De ps ea OL Lat 03 of CPM Cagle placed ye eh gp bonds! aly PERT 22 hey |b UKs deg a Lely Gee G1 LLL! Uyb ofllby ise ol yt F see pled Lae USAW gy Al LEY Syl Cay ALM JSD ell Laely cobs of Last asl ISB gm bs JS oth! SA GIS OULU eyiiy OVE V pad te Le IKE Uf es sols iy po Al LEY Ell Wael) ae YL Gb al Loh La Cae [S Ses of asl YUL gy All oll] oy pled shee! ppob gab Ly DL ole Git oe ob ed! OLLIL SYN GIS pas pe cea tll pal cad Lats ateels Jel cot WS fe lelNaa Las aL bee ISU cm sla oe AST ogy Ue (V4) Ste day Led ee sly Sle OLS dol dot oui ble BLS JS oth! pg all Jel ge bls JS ott cplslly Sell cay! Lag Ye oe d gy A sles Ulset ad sly A Sm alee Sr of ety, SN Gayl Ob Joby gel aou Pahl LEY byl ipl Obs AS dey VV ye late JS yh Sb, ett pLdb ult yp AST opty d ge OW USL UT py VV Jit ee lay golial Gh sc ¥! of 5 ULIS foes co art Y= LY, Ys 5 ful Obs Ua fey A= 0 + F = GUI LLL Gott onl ob allis, LYAYA = Sell fo Tete glad! Gl pul SEM cols be Ae M gary LA! Gla OL JS oe G53 LS \S ga AM pL] ci elt ej YeMl gobali Glut Ue Jidlyyaa pv fete YA AYA = gskes Sl pull AEN BO pares by re Jee Gol JH SLL, (Sake Gast) Z + gy Aad Sell cal = Je att (Y,VA)Z+ WV=Ye VV Y,ATAS (VV = TH) = Z ay go) bd OF et Z gaball Jaaall gj yall Ugur Grey Wook = Y! NV Gy pant lay To SE GS ga tll jes] Ula of AUS ges sAOE = 0884+ Poot = YAO, 08 = 8S ALN Jot ils OS of gd Last gs i gh Gul JULI LT By eel B Sate folyall nes al ae Wat Sf aS de> Seat gated! Jot 9 way Ye tl Ul! of gf tape sles} DL oda cay Jt Jul Let, . sled BOM td 3 CAN ge Ge aI GLU Te (Ff) Slee ACS Dott il Las ody SLL OG,SANG bye 2 SH slaty tae Ve DE Ea AM shoo] Sled ad : pl ded botyeg Vs cA of a is LL, clay Lay Wp gy Al AY Spell op! OF UU Jey VV = LU BLU UL LI tel all plbeay 0g eb! LUI Je agergll BAS Ea All pL cas G8 OR hs g dN LM Je te VY pete YAYTT = gules ta] BI pi plage V, FEV = NYE Y= Vy =Z 14094 = Lag Te SE GD Gs cll (lel leet Of sas a) 18+ 84yey er Fl LM ke gl Ut be sige gay oT eas OF Seb Se Sd ys ctl bh gl OF qa USA Jal Bho at gh Vy =o t= ale pl pyety Lay VV gb GUL AY, TVW = Gotall OS PLE Ue es G oul ole Le lee! OV ybely bey by Ae cette Tv = gabe Shel (Galell Gl as¥ly Z + drill Gal = ed! Lt (YW) Z 4 VTE V YOM ET KVV eV = Y= Z baey tay Ye JIE gy All ell Ula! OB LUD ey sAAMA = 088 + VAIL = «y) LAKE see OF ates (1) (1) ot JS od Led Legs gil itll tae pe Lag te Sd gy All La] Ut of const gH LM fe ls! of near critical @ A ye 2 ill JUL ly const len 1944 call obs QLLT as ees ZAK 18 ga by TH Se cA ce Bt oHrt glob wh be alee GLA DLAI eds fe ts PAI LLU wad Lal pe Sy ei AI LM op Ups Spa Vt HS eel ody Lei yp LQG US gl iv Lie, ed BSE fe Stes II i cally oe AS ye SU pl seul At cSyll lis AN oe be LLL pa le Qld pus PERT be JS LY 2, ll ee opt Gp Mia bk oye pb I fe OT Qty of le Lene Le MN beled ot IY) PERT Grell Sel Cr Bene Se pte al ella [Steg Apt OF oe WI AS ary eal TP deel) 35 ill (Seek Gio LSE pa pt ga DLS LS) oolally Gell Coal) CDSN (1) (1) ceebatall LS asd oo poh ay Ltler| i po Ye UY of sevents S1L-Yb Lal oe Gal ad Sia S ae gh LM Le toyz yl! bY one of 7 Gah ple] cis OS ob (75 gly Central limit theorm @la sc Mase buig beige gill {pans Js bane Lie Uy gape Ler bb et ci gig al- ge Ly ad Sa Ne Ste pe af Se Se cy UV Ve Sh i SP cape DLN Le Gye pail oT SLL SM oe Ud al Sh Ley M ILM Ip bh oe A5t (SLAM ale CHI pyoe OS ol odede LT eg gt LY aed PERT Gye oy bese ply deel 45 of Grubbs TA Slee DI 55 wl a jp2U PERT UyLal yh Coody Uae pe CLL, Sleytr Ya ls Beta flan 4 LOPES LI pag lp oe Ute Slee (hme peel pa all PY aid cay Of Fulkerson G1 QULS deep gp LBL Op, oT SL fos [lise 0 (ta ps PERT pL 2 SLES YI Ls Jf ody OD asst a Genel Lgl! pal pd (nal or tS bles La ch att jp of je! (=> Maciariello - Positively Skewed Suad! oLé fSh ole 05S of Jl be gs All GBH St BLES 5p 85b5 SI SoH See ge LT Ste diel of a gars ce ay LES ody a! MI op Dyce pe Leh Sytem Ul go GRAS DEN oye Gell da ayes De GF ges by eg pl 2t A> J] Uelice Sa GOS das) odd ey t JS Gd Ob I) quite optimistic ~S ae ee GH eed LY OF Sf ots ods op ae Ley Lee I) Vy CALS ple lee ye net SH Sal Ly GLY siphe Lis SLAs eyed Ggl ey All tok Kol! AW bl! th Sil,5 15] 01) PuIL) esd) Tui busi Ble but = [ j & t > ¥ s PSipllally BLS JS ell, ci otf 232) Lebel apes AI GLU Ge els gy All 3 pd KS poles Sea pAll EY Syl Cag yale (LS JS) ob Le ital jell at gy All EY ej Cid of 3b Laat ol ay Woy Sif Go tL lel pe OF ee! pe Ve BT Go sll ell aes of Ulead “te Vice Bd a Al pe of Use ya bE 2hes baba (Puy <3} GL eat a ro <<< 4c om 4x & Seplllly ctl hdl ae gly I) rul-t » SSS Ga All EY UI Ca! Gig te ode 2a elhl Cay) ae G tds dai AST ye b= JS Slack MI ESN EE Coe oy SUM CHIR s bls eae ots ale ly bp tly pre Gy All (ld) cay Gad# ats 13] BLN pli] ody at ace Vor coos of Lad! as Js ove SLC -T)res dof bie to Lo gtoly Gall Cady Lo GUL! blewry EQUI PERT JS* be [Sp pbdly Sorel ley pte wey sf plone og eal Vie oe AY! ga ot deat Tf Gard oy op ASH aH GS Gy Al Lda les as of lei bey ley tl aot (EY GoW de SY Loh a Baty EY Spall aN Sl one ey SL! pol dle Eglo IS Jets sett Gy A pe] C3 goleall GL pul jae bala Jey bls) «(Aula inte it) spill Cart EY ll ci ty CAI Loe — I ee! edad ip Qa Ey ll LEY Spl al of joe wat YY oe SiG (fy g ted SLU sles as of Jeet LAE NY GD pes oe Gy Atl ob yall Se Ja (2) dS podll SemM ity — 2) I eed eM oe l= rf(2) dpe eM deb re Sislly Let YY AST gy cl Le of et Ila of a abt 2b 2 Se A oe PAY oy bw ety! UI Ci eat ELK ey Say EF AY) adhe yo gf dai Joly gt jlaee tel pats Hal py All pL Cay fle Gp asa of G2 sly (ols Je SU a5 Sad poll Gaal PERT OyLol planet OY ta (eels 55 pti (0) Getty SILA Jed nag OF ye (gil eld! lak pas G Rodd GILG de Lhe! Ga, Zo Us eld! ph emt Say of ty ce lal gy Pol PERT Gylel cats! Lic aly «£4 opti Laks, ELSSy cay V0" 8 Ey Al Lie (ley Gill lel ee AL Sly cee il ove HLS gy AN WSS JLa| tee ree ots tes Lad pAb Lile Sly’ cep \V0 DES All AS NN ay pas Of Sy pill eUaall jlo 2 (edd + pet bl aS oleyee + byl GIA = cUbaall An) Sete pl neal tl day pb clad) AN SLAW oe Lope Oe (1) SES i ob Ole Late J] Lal oe ob Lat SE awl oe gl Sly LA OLS A sael py pele Gs po iy La SU) Syd Spe Del go Uy ett of ge dey party doen Gp Spe Ii edly ELL A Gl gd Gate Lee ELL V0 STEN Lea OY! Of 5 buat Al cil WG Sy del. Yo ala ef Spey del te viele V0 ciel Yo O55 iy Jolrea Lsaale gil OLiy¥l Of 53 ots dae de i ade LG gly Za! Zoi Mia O18 OB dele YY ys oT a Sil Jed)! oda isk Ge) a Be Ue get gM! oo OLS! at JI cle cp LG gyi LY Lage of pT Je (SS lle yh V = di! AT setts B= Epil me ee OF OF gL ella! le Cl abl se OF LS Ke oes Gye ail yo 180 tat be SEAreas of the Standard normal distribution gi dl bail gabe An entry in the table is the proportion under the entire curve which is between = 0 and a positive value of z. Areas for negative values of z are obtained by symmetry eo | oz] os | os 6 | 07 | 08 | 09 vo | cor | oo ia) a | as cas | 0178 | 057 0636 | 0675] 07a 0832 | 0871 | 0910 1026) 1064} 1103 wir] 12s | 1293 1406) 1483 J 480 sor | 1628 | 1668 17} isos] ass -1950 | ages | 2019 2123) 2137] 2190 2291 | 2328 | 2357 | 2: 2454} 2486 | 2517 2611 | 2682 | (2673 | 2703 zi] 2798] 2x23 | | 2910 | 2939 | 2967 | 2908 3078] 31078 ].3106 | 3138 318 | 3212 | 3238 | 3268 3s] 330] 3365 | 3349 saan | asi | sass assal 3577] 3500 | 3020 66s | 3080 | “3708 | 3 3770370] 3x10 | 3x30 3809 | 3888 | 3907 | 3925 -3962| 3980] 3997 | 01s 4039 | 4066 | 4082 } 4099 A131} 4147) ais | 4177 4207 | 4222 | 4236 | 2st 4279] 4292] 4306 | 4319 4345 J.43s7 | 4370 | ane 4400) .aais] 4429 | saat 4463 | 4474 | 4aya | s49s 4515] 4525] 4335 | sas aso | 4573 “A391 4608] 3616] 4625 | 4633 aoio | 4656 467! -4686| 2693 | 4099 | 4706 any | 9726 4738 47501 4950 caret | 4767 ame | 4783 A793 4803] 4808] 4812} 4817 4826 | 4834 4838 4846] 4850. | 4854 | 4857 s8o4 | 468 4875 438i] axes | 4887 | 4990 4896 | sa98 4901 4906] 4909] “49t1 | 49i6 4920 | 4922 4927 493i} 4932} 4934 | 4936 3940 | 4941 4945 4948} 4949] asi} ags2 4955 | 4956 4959 4961] 4962] 4963. | 4964 2966 | 4967 4969 uni] 4072] agra | 4974 4975 | 4976 4977 4979] 4970] 9980 | 4981 4982 | 4982 4984 4985] 4985] 4986 | 4986 087 | 4987 4988 4989] .a980) 4990. | 4990ot pail! PERT Oslul Jb § ANS! bs (PERT / COST) ll Jol SI gy Al pth - el aU eg! IS 2a Jor — GMa yaad! Ly ad fa pill sks] ENS bye — (PERT / COST) Gyglad ive — go Niel pla pu few —wth fall PERT Gglad 1b G GJIC! Le (PERT / COST) pais fe Laat CPM, PERT Gy ylal oa JS § JoM Sal ols ISL es A od GS yraa i ee by cil Lasleay ptr bw Haj Isle SI Spegll ge oles ll he Xe BLY dole ci we ote Bit GUT ead el ds Seas] USS OLA GEL PERT gual SI deel ay peti pled oT bee SUM aU Ghai saat Git) WAS gy MN Serb JH FAILS dens pled le Le fe sibl ais BM gp ode Ci iy PERTICOST pla Wh de gly PERT Lad Beat WLS 59 DOD LS AY) LN 139 gs JS Yenc 4%); see National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) 4% 4) eel ot ge WS dey Sy YI Ne pled pid By pL Lb Ges hey AU Sb ely ES pp eS a gta JS Eb bos U7 Dey LS Syl Lie Gales pA He! VE Gy! a Sl kdl Las BUS SI 45S) GIS Sl pals for gy alll lle Jb Gy AK Dll JS Le plall pa Yh cal ol yas J)ces) fol St Ry LL 4 peel GIG oda OSs LY AILS ye JS ge Epa Claglen aed Cyl Le pled ileal! 2h BS oplell Raya yo FF Gas Ly dal #la9) Ciy5 ULaall AILS at (L5 apeedll lel > VI SLAL, Lal LA, glee dl eee Ge ole MeL Si tal IG ye LL! BSH ge AS be J ae Sy SI de of JPL ey be dy eS GL Jesh ELSE (lly Crashing bLtdl iy nthe Lob! Kael Kh GILES Gin pili Unaglel ga IS OT oy gp Lotsl (SB co GUIS ak ILS odie place of Yy desl oy Lijlis Les Jo gy Ally BL ca) jal EG oye LE Abs Time/Cost Trade off (2.a53b ol4l 1 all de di All abs ube ke pf AU; Eel les] Capt te ed da fail uf Gay & yasll Llzdl yond plot a2 ya Gilly PERTICOST Uslol ye LUE Shel Jets Jr jaa GLEE Leal WY! pled] ae asl, GED -Wdedl g All BLAM lh oe Leper LT pL MI Lda pludcal ploy ae wal fol J gy All pa — Geld odd L530) GSI ue fae 7 GU & pssst pl ad 1 Ea 7M jes] ANG hg — £Spb ode pay oy LOL ESalg tl Goel Lal SL yey Er 29 Soa pall oo I ISH Ls aby Cem (1-0) [SA GS Jb gall pe iL bly ANS! ol as ie» JS) (1-9) JX GMM bale] pg A gly Eas dee oye Feedback 2M! 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GW fe EzPeRT aby place! “PRIME yay 24 pSUI jy a5SIl Je Y| VISION Gib pladeel YS ails gg Ctl pS ye Shae Ly as Smith and Mills o+ JS pi iy bla Lelia wit cr 3S She of beagle MAY. SLT ete Omainirame pS 5 yea ySI fo alice! Se rn OLye) GWE cls SI ball OY 52x Paul Levin i ell Cnt Gy microcomputers wrt} eases Fyay SUI fo Lyaldiatal Key Cig ols NHI sha pal oli Ste Gg qnssl 15, pa AUG ple 2 eld pal of Jat Vie oe ey Ole JS 5 I Gatlabi, tt Bal Ub § WL als ‘ - CPM Scheduling , by Data Consultants, PMS-II, by WPL Associates. Event Cruncher, by Notforhire Software Critical Path Schedule, by A-Systems Corp . Micropert, by Ambrose & Assoc. Easi- Path, by Enineering Analysis Software Consultants. SARUNS eV alss Stet eb Fre Leslee G sks dL Ut ~Personal Computer dead!) Lub Lelt ails para § beac PN rt SU co lgeltnce! OSE EAL Gel al of Ul Ses Project ey Ul LSyasy djla] Ue Gy disc ivy PC Softwares Apt GAS OA ye coal Li CLoke Livy management ad Ls ae led Le Packages 530th) cual ll ayy dary 35 pelo NAAT VAAY ole J Ola La G syalL wbstdst oygbBSLRa] Sem oye dag ded! IGE Spf glly MicroPERT 4 VisiSchedule pet es eal! Ls Cis ay tos scheduling Lyte Jas Leb UL (Sele rad G abi sg! gly Gantt chart eile day + 153 BLS Yee S08 oe gall toy cipal! ley Sal) VY Ghat culs Fey pL LS oy LUE Le gull AU of Be SU peg gy tall BAS de ord Atel ls (AL WU,53 lly resource leveling 2,1, iy opt ght ode Je Leelee! WU J] dal old! J Cost SGI! Jleal byes OF Se gil pale JS las [es Jah Gath pes Slay Lol alll ys Lu! See of OV Uf ie aS Gale Dees ALL ent Lyla jy Goce ake gly SY AE Ls Be J getty Su pl Myo tres ye bed Tly Se slit yy = typ bee Je pill! Gerly of oS gl Lpebat elt cy ah pons gly Sxl Ye Yow op Lyset J apie ASTUL ley All Uytong Sho] SE G optical Lanwat Cone lly Al gly Yo Ve de di bed Jee gi OW Let gata lel Computer Intelligence Corporation 25 ,2 del, \4AV ple eLazel 2 gb Dla Le J tebe Gal ll Mla oe UAT Se See 1. Harvard Total Project Manager (40 percent) 2. Microsoft Project (16 percent). 3. Time Line (14 percent), and 4, SuperProject (13 Percent). Told AG fe tyre OLS oe Qi 4a WEG ge lgshtbeal Cybill beLiol gid AB LET VAAL ple G Lay yeh Lee (au V aL NE camel iyvie ESI le Bile OS J lai lpltbeel Jo lid cael! PES I alll ai ly a Dale ed nel aw fy ll La VpiSey BL V8 Qos falas of LiSed mainframe ~ SI} ut Je O 51s Ste Lh Las ead bel HUIS. PERT 154 JS Jo ory pad Lal pl! 5s sale] WAS, resource leveling ALY Sy pu jy dolely GUbli OS OF acty JE limited resources s2ytmll ajlyll De J ASV oy SE Le Sal gy All PU] is 505 4 oe Gill jal PAN cleo dl a gal dl UG JS of le dies Spill yey . Operate on an IBM AT or PS/2. need 640k of memory and a hard disk to effectively manage projects, analyze projects that Contain 500-1000 tasks and 200-300 resources, Produce Gantt and PERT charts, automatically level resource- Constrained projects, and Contain a wide variety of report customization options. weune a UN ay he pie Ld Ell LH oe Shad ULiy sdogdadl 5 I es be Gel epee he of Uf Les a Ley! a dy, Bday 2ST ol pal pach Sy = gYy2 TO ce Sif cad — Yea paz qld ocle yay fT 1. Open Plan. 2. Promis. 3. Primavera Project Planner. LASly Lgeaytons pact ally LS [GI Lependl Sigs is ES ripetySU place py AM Lyary tal 3G pes J padswy egeloal oda gal Mya Ys ge SE ates 1. Insta F' 2.Who/ What/ When. sgh Ciblaall yay Cale yong ail cua yal gill Aalall qual tl ulligd allas rab lay. DISKETT (a sil uli de 3 gual gully fae JC Quantitative Bystems for Business Plus. QSB+ jlaidl iy edly (4 IS Adal yy AabS 4 gly Yih - Long Chang and Robert S, Sulivan, iall ja vary Lay VAAP ple (gi 0 2 ply Prentice - Hall, Inc. Saba Cayo oi alata NG cll Leasaall eal ll gle SLs yay wile tines oF ag Tate egal ola Ginny (lil Sais Gl sat of dy C8 oily Apel ip ag LES gals Lay 36h gal pall aay le Le alls bay GS ISH gi La py cull Cull aus [galas sul Lage V4A¥ ple (i Pantumsinchai, Hassan, and Gupta ga US 4 gli estlly BASIC 4iky Ayy36al gal pall ya Lepage Guacndy (sill agliS |e pti weabbanll, lay dla] Ikea da gf pats Gf Sey Catatall ally pladial Sais clos Vy Mall ejall gd Ujlsi Gipsy VY yas Gps bya a de pape yiaze DLE Ga ulliy *QSBH +PERT Gistel gle aeiny y81'Vide pati pS CPM Cashel gle Gail ple Ce sky ~ cali nal bb ol phy pa eal ass of ga 1S syle 4S (w) ATi laid pi el cee ye yA LAS tll ya — hadi sal, Diskettevir OSB gain Juaty Loe dle oles palarale cele thas Gy QSB+ gall Uri hy ail oe pe tl le pels Gold pe pd ala gi dale daa) quai Lil Y} Hard Disk -QSB+ esl cing Hard Disk 5 gle Aja a i gulp itd oy gta tuble coh shal i ALAM le agli ofall atl jlgall 225 wal (1) GN Gask Ge QSBH alias Gala co pill Aslall (ll sir lI dasass 4 () Abs CD\ QSB+ cole gM pha gi pgs Gh ENTER cliis le bil saaLall CAQSB+ Siyu.ENTER chika gle Iatcal p QSB+ AS; 68 Gali pall Juetal (") All gal ll Ue LALA] Ge yglayry aa cay pall fay culpa ye Colada Syyorere LLM Le WuSy iad ole gaye gd Mla] Glad bake watt ogi cally ay dal eer Austell AtLaN phd (A2LtI1 dial cilaball uaa) clita od le bicel (£) Cag gece pill, qali pl igl spread pall ye ALLS Glaslew Comig BL oye cgay Sy ofp any YY] glial plas pany fdas «qualia Nig! Mishel asl (as ally Lilly quad Lat) (paces ll All] LALA glad clade cl gle 450 34 datcal (0) sll JAI BLS aalyytnay galipall als! Welcome co You may choo . ayetenes ere ——r——————_—S HH Cede Code ‘No. Program 8 Program forecasting Specify printer/alsplay edeptar| Exit from g5Be Note: Use option ¥ to specify f you do not have an 18" graphica printer or color/orsphice adapter, This Wil make seveen/outpurr lean confusing. Programe I to 4 are am Q65+(I), Programe § to E are in QS6+(2T) ceil! Quantitative Nethods 4:51) calla Lats ge EyL-e shy 9 CPM gage Ugsh yey (cash 4) UglsLite Jaf gall la pany sls le (V) «(1) pBI cuss Uthys PERT ii PERT, CPM cya SS plasiel 45,5 Ml eSall i Uap GM bes sles pha Ujas JSlbe Ja CPM gyall slaall qagtal galiy :Yyl gal Wit pall galt pall cL La Rad gb (1) py tall v= phe ayvie cos Mesh ene ay AE gall jbl ka Jad pa tegs i oe gall jlasl Cy Gigi aleny pL gf poking ail alli elke Yee FAM jatledily gali yl lke puday . Project Crashing voaSja baaly Lad (yg LLuall jhail cai, (1) S(AON) aytla JSR a Util ye pall Ss cl lla, alia gly (¥) (AOA) e231 ye spall pga slassal at gf eg ipa Gala gle Ge Leola rials Ua CAily ona oy (1) Gaye (ye Wiad! Cablyy Stal gd Mell le gd Cilapanaill Jae ey (£) BACKSPACE clits gle batcall A gacly pal Ais gu jASh, Syly Aki Ga AS apne qalinal eu (9) east AS apes Tle gi Lid Ap ye ciple she ASM Ute quill sel (1) © gga shee Ge al cel ang Hat yn 230 ayn gaa gala cl oe él de (Y) coll CAS p gpl) jLatl aly (gH aang qa AU) Y] Lh Yo + Joab WLS V6 © Ugg Ala) Mata ane cgands'Y ASE pacye quali psia'Y (A) idl tog Walal (gill SA of ayiaActivity Normal Crash Normal Crash Predecessor No, Name time time _cost__cost T A 5 3 2000 2500 = 2 B 4 4 3000 3000 - 3 c 8 7 4000 © 5000 - 4 D 3 2 1200 1500 A 5 E ? 5 2000 = 3000 A 6 F 5 5 3000-3000 © 7 G 4 3 3000» 3700 c 8 H 3 3 8000 ©8000 BD 9 I 9 6 700 1600 FH J n 7 1500 2000 Fu OK 8 6 600 1500 EI 2 10 9 1000 1050 GJ (yas ats Leal, Gf aga pay gf Atal eae igi Hiner Ube pall ie le aaiey gal all GY Gy cle — Wats yyy LAD JSS gle Cd wild A pays od (1) LL ye yd satlall of Lal le) GJLall pail gle wll, Lula .(AONran Gilad! Sysall gd gall GLbsal Lait Gi (1) aby dastl las f (¥) Sass cay seky he oa Wha pL dial ot} equal dla yoy allay Sule slag!) A2LU gle yglay Gaye ENTER clits ile Licall sgl paella LS gal pal a Ug psy of Sey call Welcome to your CPM Project Scheduling Decision Support System! ‘The options available for CPM are az follows. Tf you are # first-time user, you might benefit from option 1 Function xiating problem from disk(ette) Show input data Return to the program neni Exit from Qsee spy Wadi galiza Hg! Say yal ne alla gf Abe ciety cells 2CPM qalinl ple ysaye -1 sya UY Bantp Ste Jlaal -¥ sd Oo Wajad 6 WiSe oli -1 WUgllSal gi cll calsbyll Gaye ~£ wis Ja -9 Mista oy 585 -1 -AStall ably yaad -V AS Jd (,Slgall all aye -A 2 QSB+ galiza Sai slag cpl) dayall 4 JSS QSB+ gall pladsal cya gasall-V9ri Bogie Ue Leal Galall (4) eis dysdl bse Y lial oll pall Asn (1) i Le pane TELM igle sylay Gyn ENTER clits (gle bial -3 ENTER gle daiccally gia JS gle Lal isaty gill tls alot plang Laals Wal ye ble py LiSay co. cla ual ape cl rye gy Uta AS al 2 Mat fy WDA payee Tagg LY ase # oe pull Uh gd pga ane yay) AatiNl oy Qylaall cide ane # (AON ulal + AMLadl oS] cauilly tll yaall le Cals bla! of Lye sti bea Planve mane your problem using up te 20 characters ? construction te project Construction an AOA (1) oF AON (2) network? 1 How many activities are there in project Construction (ineluding dunnien)? 2 Wuat $9 the maximum nede mimber in your AOA network? @ ASLAN gle yglad Gays ENTER hice, ibilull oka JS LS! any (£) eaLall iL Lidl ate Uyilel ye ipl yl LEY ga Le yen + (ENTER gle bitcal ob Ayliy clibtl oda 131) Bll, callly SUL SLaa) oof padud (pall Aesh Nl LAL2N) OV gh Gia (2) atlas B.S Gye hagas 6 yall AE ane Gi 4 dye Gases USI alsa, CH NL Loolal LU! otLull Ls, dss Loaf sla elsTA SLi Jusal aay Loot gle hyaes sl ‘pall gle gllall Ulbdly Zeaial SPM Entry for Construction -- AON Format Page: 1 Activity Activity Normal Crash Normal Crash munber) name duration duration coat coat 1 sé > s +3 > 2000" > «2500 > 20 3 : 4 > 4 > <3000 > 3000 > Ass > 8 > 7 > «5000 > a) > 3 > 2 > 1200 > «1800s 5 > a 75 > <2000 > «3000 > 6 > 3 2s > ©3000 > <3000 > zo 8 > 4 >a > <30ro > «3700 > a > a 23 > «000 > <8000 > ga > 3 <8 > <700 > «1600 > wo > a1 73 > «1500 > <2000 > no > <8 > 6 > «600 > 1500s wo4 > a0 25 > ao00 > «1080s oy Qgliall DL. rad .¢pAl ULE pg ENTER gle biel Laas 9d Sed Ge eagass gill (glial SYLe sae wa) UbcaY! toy LS GGL eld GGL Precedence Relationships of AON Network for Construction Page: 1 (You may enter in any sequence) Relation number" Ganediave praceding immediate succeeding ‘activity maber activity number a a ae z a> a3 3 a3 aed 4 33 > 5 33 as 6 33 ns 5 a3 ae a 33 3 > 3 as ae 30 “<3 Sto > u a3 iio > R 3 3 a2 3 u fo; aa > a a3 ai $ co) eos bya ayaal clade od ule of SPACEBAR gle biel (1) OPM qutiy dials dual Cabal esas col usa! Lik ACtally AeaLall abl Jal gs bugil aiy GV (¥) gl cast Stil oy 85 8 Maal oa od ill Sua oyG Le talerya eo he US Sal 585 co aye ye Gaal) ala ibe 8 jase « (Aallall & lal) 48 Ugly ha dasal l dead i ied i pal ela d UStall Ja shu te (A) Ke yene splat] ENTER gle bicaly alin le; Latli 4 (2) tag LS Hye ill shal Option Menu for Solvig Contruction when Solving a problem, you have the option to display the intermediate results. Up to10 Critical paths can be displayed if mutiple CP exists. Option . Solve and display the intermediate results. . Solve without displaying any result. .. Print the final Solution perform crash analysis. Return to the function menu. all ayll gle yaliy Gaya ENTER gle Jnicaly J, dps) nal (4) teal US yap SEE gf GPM Analysis for Construction ° | 5.09000] +7 00000] “8 +5, 00000) +13. occa] +12 9k +13, 0000] «17 000] +22 5900] +26: 9000] +4. 20000 200 #13: 99001 +13 000) +24 0000] #240000 | critica: o +22, 99001 +26. 0000| +30.0000| #24-0000] +4 00000 £24.0009| +24’ 0909| #340000] +24-0000| critica Expected completion tine = 34 300vrs Lagg TE ((salall Cll que) gy dell cleil cB, gh atid pass silly Cecedy all gli Mas gig T+ ct Lala Gull Lie gl, Cilajlas gle Juaail SPACEPAR le Saical .oLts SI LF «EF, ES sgl LS yall sluadl ge espa’ Critical paths for Construction with completion time = 34 Total cost = 3000 OP #1:C-F-J-L ys Vi ape Gh gal Gasca ga glad gle Zp yall iY gf ka slag gai Gigu SPACEPAR gle cepal 3p deticall aaiy. Critical aay all gl LeLaball J ga} aatl | tlgall Jal aye Akal Leaball ay Leal Wiha ll Le ygen ll endl aye oped Cipee copa ape dated isu ptall Lyn gape Sheil cy ues ae gd Ley lua cls il (1+) hed Ja Stay Last ad (£) gy Qual ll dead tm dial Updle Slay Gay Mba Gant alld sky Gays ENTER gle daiciol a Say Mt oka Tags, Maye rall g gall Lapis Ad ples yaad A passat Lolall dale, ci ,l) ably JLaal af yLS 1h] Le Gal os Wa) ab WY Lylady oblall ol Ja (gal deed alld Sy -Y Gy ENTER gle daiccall ob (Y) pals GLY Sad dab go bill Sad gg pstall SLAY pS ia all AL le yp ill gle peliy = (Alall LWlda yi Lay 1 ay) vinsidall Esotall jtesl ing ill abel ca Sl Ugh Ge las ulld sing hp By Latte Caylee oA) YSU Lal ob. (11 cpite Ge Lad pty) ADA cole pglay Ciyue ENTER gle aical a3 (Lait Lag YY ool gant! jLail‘yyy Sogngl dal LLL 3 ab Be Ube Slog Lela po a5 Mba of LLM seta Lydall (Lelaball pul) LALaHl le gly astm (N) I GLa Yl ein Mad p gli iy SPACEPAR (leo laicall any. ynpbdsll aay ASuti sala gaill le aT yeasts ae 4 2M ge Ulju ga Mata pats For this crash to reduce 2 time unit(s): Crash activity J 1 time unit(s), New duration = 10 , Incremental cost = 125 Crash activity L 1 time unit(s), New duration = 9, Incremental cost = 50 Critical paths for Construction with completion time = 32 Total cost = 30175 ce ti:c-F-3-4 Completion time without crash for Construction i= 34 How many time units do you want to reduce (0 to end) ? 5 PERT geal yall depliey pail Gulal galiy : Yat Leal Wath ll gab all cl bass! 26 5 (V) ody danall p= She hy cot ola 5 ll pall lady ala (1) Hy Sea Ls Yk ay dO (Ss gai gle Tobatel) Lal te Lite 56) Lal slat cy of ae (yl) SY Lagilly «pSltsall CN gyal Sind CS 0 ysis ray pd BIG pals ay any cay Lit te Hadne cu gy pall Slail cd, gi alld ley yaa -Estedl jhe iy Alla) Dube gli pasll le Wald tl aiczall of py 5 earrr Predecessor 1 A 3 75 = 2 B 4 yi 4 5 — 3 Cc 5 8 10 = 4 D 2 3 4 A 5 E 5 T 9 A 6 F 4 5 6 c 1 c 3 4 8 c 8 H 3 3 3 B,D 9 I 9 9 12 PH 1 J 10 u 12 FW n K 6 8 u El B.D $ 10 12 GJ cell jal gle Jal LS oS peel gle U1 of al) PERT Caghal le TaLatel 25,21 paw gf (1) gall gle paul Say Wats oy CIDE SS gle Ci yaall (AOA tell alas (VY) py aa Lia ob oi he ali LaLi ll Sua (1) phy LS gall Ika IHlay pylssl ENTER (gle haical PERT= CPM galing Ci Se go nS do cl} 4yltsy ceil, Aah ob ph aye UY stall Jlasky Galall (1) 5) uaa sal gd (1) = Alll gall gle All nal gle Please nane your problem using up to 20 characters ? Construction Im projéct Congtriction an AGA(1) or AON (2) network? 1 How.many activities are there in project Construction (including dummies)? 12 What £8 the maximum node number in your AOK network? @ WAIN pla, org Glaal sxe ye old dtu ellie gf Lua daa col MS caus AEN oy day 5 all nodes & yhscall ileal ye Hye yy pull Gd AOA Gilad le alae! aay Cladedlly dooLall LELtH ghd Gigs ENTER (le latcall aay (£) coy AGL SLA SY Queeshyl) LALA 5 gs Gaya cg pl tye banca! (LOY ead dase ge lbs aye, olittuls Gylall Cy atl ea Lassrre CLAY aay jel Caper ily calilull US Mal oof [pea dsul LL St sgh ls PERT Entry for Construction -- ACA Format Page: 1 Activity Activity Start End Optiadatic Mosthikely Pessimistic pane node nod time ime number 2 tine a xt Sa a 2s >a > 2 3 sata > 2S > a ee ee or > a0 > a 29 >a sa 3a 3 > > 3 8 25233 3S 2 73 > 6 ta 3 a 35 > 6 > 7 6 . se 8 34 ae : 8s of 3a 3 8 >a 7 > 9 4 23 38 > > aa > lor 368 58 3 0 san > a2 > ux 23 ee ry > an > mo 2a Oe > «10 > az > Jaa! 445 44d ENTER (le baicel cape Bale] J AlCl oy585 Mayall Sa gd Ky dad gu Lut Ls (2) Atal Clik Lelale J elgitily aaa sf gates PERT ually ilay Lasld ol) Eyal ety All da i ZEN Le (1) Asta Sas alall (2) of) anal gl aed gta ppl dha as py JURY of Hye pall Lali oda Usha, dlald gla ENTER gle bial Seqllall all gl) Uae ENTER gle daiial, * still ol cya 9 callTre Suite ga bltall 24, G15 als Ged LLG JS pf Jall ba Gi bY asd al late [rete oS dud gard Sheil cd, old daly. gilpte Lisall ye -(Uyanll dil pet ill Lal gay) pap MHATTE lal dade cg lll jaall le all yadda gly Gig ENTER gle coal 3 ye Critical paths for Construction with completion time = 33.83334 cP #1: (with variance = 1.361111 ) c-F-g-4 CaLeally (as MLATYE) 5 tal jal) cay buy tn iss silly ta Leggs be dye al Cat Gan ss sill, (1,A08) (ALS Also! DLS any Lilly eauy PERT Giptal gf ciszeall gs (¥) s41LAM all Solas Lal gue ys (£) Ay dal on Hens for Solving construction men solving « problem, you have the option to dizpiay the intermediate remitn,, Up to 18 eriticay paths con be displayed {7 mitt Spte cP existe ‘option —1 3 4 5 dally Gel Utju slag ENTER gle ical, (£) iy dal sls gi thas qalipall psi tye AD A ge till SY colle ca ail gh CB AN Nhe GUS I. naga pay (sill 8,1) ba JIB gy phall jlail Jlusal ihe dS Gal galinall oll ja cy PLS gin cLindbnall yoy ald Just qu otalne te ee nem Shetd, Hs gh, Halle he, tye bigibtuerr) Activity Activity Analysis Activity on Arrow (AOA) Activity on Node (AON) Arrow Diagram Beta Distribution Charts Completion Time Complexity Level Components Constraints Controlling Coordination Cost Center Cost Overrun Cost Underrun Crash Cost Crashed Time Crashing Crewsize Sle! But i BLAM Masih als PERT 2a 3 ppsall ple BLAS! pan CPM ata i 3th Jabs BUS aes MeN ce Lalied Stl! pany thy pale JLtaYl gisill legal Lil s plat! aay suid Tay lyse a Ceol sil Jk Ua WASH! ou Gunall WKS 3S Uaball e yaST UgSLaS! SU 3t LaET Sheil (5 cgill Jaall pa jal egal Lash al a Ul Ug 3LiSI (5 G31 LAK! ajleal 6d coill Jaall So eal Tegudgll AML cag! JMS Slay! GS oti cil LUG Gf gaptll 5S oy paki Ue all pile p>yry Critical Activities gyal aad! Critica! Path coll La Critical Path, Method (CPM) yall jal! ghel D Deeision Making ly) All SUSI tee Deterministic Slt Discrete Variable Highs ip acs, Discrete Simulation Ahedle al 9) ol aide pladiol sISlall Dummy Activity pstgll LLL Duration sansa E Earliest Finish (EF) Kas ala oy Jyh Earliest Start (ES) Baw ery oly Ss Empirical Distribution a gla! oe Event PLS gf ual Son Expected Time bugil = gigill call F Feasibility Study sya olule Feedback Sys bls Free Slack all yal Frequency iL Full Time Lal alga caigl Lasetall G Chart Qe Olly Dysall oile Ls ioptaeat Pyaiuation and Really pel lal GyLatl 2s TechnineHeuristics Methods sUseyl sel Hot Orders Yh Ghts Gos Il Seal al YI Immediate Predecessor Byles julull bL2att Immediate Successors Bypbke Jt bLadt Implementation " Inventory Control GRU gle LEI Information Systems olaglall pls Just in Time (JTT) QL! wie CEs ap sill abs K _Keybourd sical clis tay) L Large Scale project Management oll pgp 5 Lal Large scale projects pS leg Sl Latest Finish (LF) 4 Cpeme abst ody 3i Latest Start (LS) 8 Cee oan cy 38 Lead Time suygill 5 fa Limited Resource Model Kigsall soll e395 Linearity Ebel Gull Loud Leveling Sles¥! ol Aa Ja JL! 3515 Ghee Loading bagels SSL ple Leo ya Y Joanctt M Material Requirement Planning aly! obeptinwe Jase alas (MRP)Matrix Organization Minimze Model Monitoring Most Likely Time Near Critical Path Negative Slack Network Network Analysis Node Normal Cost Normal Distribution Normal Time Objectives Optimistic Estimate Optimistic Time Optimization Optimum Project Time Organization Under Program Management 2th WAM wl tena Ayal! ps issll cies she Lott Wath tigss SSW! LLaa! ody N cal bo gud sla! alle a tall Bad lee! otSut Jules ge sas Taylan TL JENS dyagll Cua Liat plat gles SLaBY (gall cil; Leno Lal! Gutta Lait (stead I) ase! gos LLtat Slay pall gall eal! S cilual last! of pat! BULLI caglt cof Lal lf Joos gayi slay all oll spall! Bylo pH colo pallOrganizing peti uae Overhead Cost WAY LS YM Tp tle alll GUST Packages y (LMI pS ols) Seghll Part Time eligi Gand Juul! Partial Dependence Gols MLS gle all sbced! Path “= she Perfect Forecastiag al Lats! pall jul Pessimistic Estimate Lobia! ol yall Pessimistic Time Alsat oagM ol al Planning Ass Positive Slack veut! (ail Probability Distribution lla wisi Probabilistic lla! Program Management eaball Suit 3 La} Project toe Project Background taal Ga : Project Crashing Caps 5leil od, bie Project Life Cycle Cavill The Bays Project Management taal sll Project Manager Dapill sess Project Management Programs Gael Upiay 309 Bale gale Project Objectives Qual Ghul Project Phases Qartll sles Uae Project Planning Cail daaPixject Productivity Project Productivity Index (PPL) Project Scheduling Project's Customers. Purchasing Quantity Bemand Un ty Quantity Supply Uncertainty Random variable Raw Materials Reorder Point Replacement Resource Leveling Risk Analysis Roles Saiety Stock Scheduling Scope Statement Sercen Shadow Price Simulation Skewed to Left Skewed to tart Geld nL Jala atl Ue Capteall asa eaLaall lal ale pl li Sa SSE pe sags OLAS G4 SSN se wily ais ela alt pl Sate! 455 Juayi lal GagUl all lg he EL Js Ml sulle SAN col yall Whe Cael gles sas ola fall 4} JSS Goal Ue JI ya olSlall Sybal lal) asia gllaial uss etl gate Mal eastvry Slack Smoothing Specification Standard Costs Starting Time Strategies Subcontractor Supply Supply - Quantity Problems Supply - Timing Problems Symmetrical Systematic Teamwork Terms of Reference The Politics of Selling Your Ideas Time / Cost Tradeoff Timing ‘Timing Demand Uncertainty Timing Supply Uncertainty Total Slack Unimodal Unity of Command eal (cpa uyactl Lhe collealye Ale! sat Gap! 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