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Exploring how emerging technologies affect real estate and our built environment

www.propmodo.com
JULY / AUGUST 2019
Ask What Your
Workplace Can
Do for You
Connecting our physical
workplaces with our digital lives
using Tenant Experience Software
BY FRANCO FARAUDO
Cherre’s Award-Winning
AI Platform Empowers You
To Make Better Investment
And Underwriting Decisions
DATA DISCOVERY DATA COLLECTION DATA MAPPING
Automated data discovery Proprietary and automated Industry leading data resolu-
of all relevant sources and data collection and extraction tion and mapping creates a
types ensures full access to allows for seamless leverage unified single source of truth
internal and external data. of all data sources. for the entire organization.
WE S H A PE
O U R
BUILDINGS,

A N D A F T E R WA R D S ,

OUR BUILDINGS

S H A PE
US.

PAGE 17

ARTWORK BY WRAPPED
www.wrappedla.com
5
ANALOG Who are the flamekeepers
of modern tech?
Pop quiz. science is a new field) from a century ago,
1.Name a data scientist alive today (Base- we would be no less puzzled. Then the
ball statistician Nate Silver doesn’t count). popular topics were the arithmetic of in-
2. Fine then, name a statistician who finity and the calculus of invariants. Prob-
lived in the last 150 years. I’ll wait. ably the only people who can comprehend
3. Okay, name a mathematician who the mathematics from a century ago are
lived anytime (Einstein doesn’t count, he the mathematicians and data scientists of
was a physicist). today. They are the keepers of the flame.
How did you do? Don’t feel bad. It’s a Some mathematicians have been carried
difficult test. Everybody should have an- away by the loftiness of their art. Bertrand
Travis Barrington swered number three. Plato? Archimedes? Russell said, “Mathematics rightly viewed,
PUBLISHER I’ll even accept Isaac Newton. possesses not only truth, but supreme
Question number two begins to sep- beauty—a beauty cold and austere, like
arate the sheep from the goats. A list of that of sculpture, without appeal to any
the best known statisticians of the past part of our weaker nature.” A modest take
150 years would have to include Florence for sure.
Nightingale (circular histogram), John Comparing mathematics with sculp-
Tukey (computer science), Ronald Fish- ture might suggest that perhaps mathema-
er (successor to Darwin). Some of these ticians and data scientists are like artists:
names may be familiar, but probably not nice to have around, but not essential.
for statistics. Nightingale is best remem- Even the American mathematician Mor-
CO-FOUNDER & PUBLISHER bered as the founder of modern nursing; ris Kline said, “mathematics is a body of
Travis Barrington Tukey as the inventor of the term “bit” — knowledge, but it contains no truths.” De-
travis@propmodo.com the smallest unit of data in a computer. spite this, mathematics, statistics and the
But question number one is the killer. new field of data science is more import-
CO-FOUNDER & EDITOR Without data scientists, so-called Big Data ant than ever.
is useless. And with more and more orga- The Greek geometers made possible
Franco Faraudo
nizations collecting terabytes of data, data such groundbreaking, however mundane,
franco@propmodo.com
scientists should be any CEO’s superhero. skills such as navigation and architecture.
Why? Because correct analysis of data is Later their twentieth-century disciples led
ASSOCIATE PUBLISHER leading to major cost savings in just about an ongoing physics revolution. Today’s
Logan Nagel every industry from healthcare to real es- torchbearers are using many of the same
logan@propmodo.com tate. On the other hand, bad data can cost skills to lead tech (and non-tech) organi-
organizations billions of dollars a year. zations across uncharted seas of Big Data
CONTRIBUTORS Many CEOs have developed a stutter: — the lifeblood of the future economy.
Connell McGill “I can’t explain the math behind it, but…” The modern flamekeepers of math are
Dror Poleg Can’t explain usually means “don’t under- spinners of intricate networks of logic,
Aakash Ravi stand.” The implication being that there is out of which they construct castles in the
Phil Russo someone who can explain and does under- sky. And once in a while a scientist comes
stand. Behind most tech company CEOs along, pulls one down, and finds a part he
Jeff Wheeland
is an unsung data scientist. But why un- needs. Computer scientist John von Neu-
Guy Zipori
sung? Why don’t we see him at the cock- mann put it this way: “When the most
tail party? abstract and “useless” disciplines have
Propmodo Inc. Perhaps part of the reason is that it’s dif- been cultivated for a time, they are often
PO Box 130802 ficult to talk to a data scientist about what seized upon as practical tools by other de-
Carlsbad, CA 92013 USA he does. The conversation quickly slips partments of science… as if one bought
into algorithms, machine learning, and a top hat for a wedding, and discovered
© Copyright 2019 the relentless search for bias error. It’s not later when a fire broke out, that it could
simply a matter of getting up to speed. If be used as a water bucket.” < >
Propmodo Inc. All rights we could talk with a mathematician (data
reserved.

www.propmodo.com
CONTENTS

8 11
THE LOOMING REAL DON’T BELIEVE THE
ESTATE DATA OIL PROPTECH HYPE
BOOM
13
BY FRANCO
WHY THE FUTURE OF
BY JEFF WHEELAND FARAUDO
WORK WILL LOOK A
LOT LIKE AMAZON
WEB SERVICES
22 BY DROR POLEG
HOW SMART BUILDING TECHNOLOGY
ACTUALLY WORKS
50
BY CONNELL MCGILL
PROMOTED
FINDING THE RIGHT

17 34 DEAL IS ONLY THE


FLEXIBLE WORKSPACE IN BEGINNING
ASK WHAT YOUR
THE ERA OF WEWORK ALTUS GROUP
WORKPLACE CAN
DO FOR YOU BY LOGAN NAGEL

BY FRANCO 47
MICROSOFT
FARAUDO
37
WANTS ITS AZURE
REAL ESTATE IS
PLATFORM TO
31 44 ADJUSTING TO OUR
BECOME “THE” IOT
THE MOBILITY A COMMERCIAL REAL CHANGING MORAL
CLOUD
REVOLUTION ESTATE EXECUTIVE’S COMPASS
BY FRANCO
BY JEFF GUIDE TO AI BY AAKASH RAVI
FARAUDO
WHEELAND BY GUY ZIPORI

24 26
54 REAL ESTATE DATA
ZILLOW POISED TO DEVOUR THE iBUYER
RELEARNING LEASING RIDING TO RETAIL’S
MARKET
BY TRAVIS BARRINGTON RESCUE
BY JOSHUA FRASER
BY PHIL RUSSO

57 42
THE NEXT BIG TECH FLEXIBLE
COMPANY MIGHT BE OFFICE DESIGN
MORE HUMAN BY JEFF
THAN TECH WHEELAND
BY FRANCO FARAUDO
the United States, with varying levels of
size and sophistication when adopting
technology. This means when requesting
building data from counties, the response
can range from an Excel spreadsheet—
sometimes with valuable data, but often
loaded with numbers of dubious qual-
ity—to an obsolete CD-ROM or even in
the most extreme cases a dreaded pile of
yellowing paper documents.

The lack of standardization


Salmanson agrees that the lack of
quality from public agencies greatly
exacerbates the data problem real estate
is facing. He adds that high quality,
THE LOOMING standardized data is the holy grail that
the industry needs to pursue in order to
REAL ESTATE reach “data-driven decisions from data-
driven results that lead to a higher alpha

DATA OIL BOOM for everyone in the industry.” Currently,


Salmanson noted, despite an abundance
of information on 140 million properties
in the United States, it is hard for inves-
tors to be able to trust the data coming
The genie is out of the bottle for data’s impact in, let alone understand it, due to a lack
on real estate. of homogeneity. He uses the example
of half- and quarter-bathrooms in res-
BY JEFF WHEELAND idential real estate, which he notes has
come a lot further in standardizing than
the commercial sector. In most cases,
If data is indeed the “new oil,” then in its path: a lack of quality public data, a half-bathroom is a toilet and a sink,
real estate is lingering in the era before the disparity of a standardized data for- whereas a quarter-bathroom is just a
the invention of the automobile. Prior to mat, and a death grip on proprietary data toilet.
the boom of Ford Motors, due to the lack by many large real estate firms. The problem arises, however, when
of a universal application, gasoline was a To fully examine the trends and chal- housing information comes in from
cheap and relatively useless byproduct of lenges of widely incorporating data usage countless sources and has to be standard-
oil refinement—used in lamps and stain in commercial real estate, we brought ized into one field; if a house is listed as
removal—that was often dumped into together a panel of experts—Dhinaker 2.5 bathrooms, how does an investor
rivers. That is, until the Model T was Dhandi, Vice President of Product at know if it’s one full bathroom with three
born. While data is consistently used to Altus Analytics, Josh Fraser, CEO of half bathrooms, or two full bathrooms
drive decisions, real estate is still strug- Estated, and L.D. Salmanson, CEO and one half-bathroom? This is the
gling to figure out how to unilaterally of Cherre—at our recent Propmodo inherent problem facing standardization:
harness this invaluable commodity for Metatrends event in Los Angeles. the source data of several different MLS
the benefit of the entire industry. Just as systems doesn’t have the granularity that
the oil business was awash in gasoline in Why hasn’t data been more is needed to ensure that the information
the early 1900s, it is clear that real estate effectively utilized in CRE? is reliable and easily understood. In com-
needs to find its own application for the The blame for not applying data mercial real estate, Salmanson notes that
massive trove of data it sits upon. The effectively in real estate doesn’t lie with OSCRE is moving to fix this problem,
industry needs its own Model T, in the building owners, property managers, but there is a level of cooperation that
form of high-quality, standardized data or landlords, it’s an inherent problem needs to be established before it can be
to drive smart investments, rather than underlying the entire industry. While solved.
metaphorically dumping this precious there is abundant interest in compiling Another concern is that with the adop-
asset down the river. data from the $50 trillion real estate asset tion of more robust data analysis will
The real estate industry’s sluggishness class, as noted by Fraser, the first chal- come a desire to incorporate real-time
in capitalizing on the power of data is due lenge stems from obtaining good public data into real estate investment. Both Sal-
in no small part to several sizable hurdles data. There are over 3,100 counties in manson and Fraser agree that commercial
real estate may not immediately reap the Fraser argues that there is a long way to Fraser sees a fundamental shift in the
rewards of real-time data and with such a go, primarily with the problem of propri- residential real estate market by 2030
disparity in data sources and lack of stan- etary information being the primary asset with the growth of iBuying. Zillow has
dardization, implementing real-time data that many of these long-established com- moved heavy investment into this arena
could actually end up resulting in much panies are protecting. “Trying to force and is aggregating a lot of data to ensure
poorer data quality. They both agree that a lot of these businesses that have been that they are making smart buying
standardization should come first, then around for 10, 20, 50 years, to adopt decisions on these houses, which with
quality real-time data access will follow. technology standards is not their top pri- iBuying is a nearly instantaneous pur-
ority. So, where it goes from there and chase. If the next ten years indeed shows
Proprietary data as an how much adoption we can truly have is a growth in iBuying to 60-70 percent of
advantage questionable in the next few years.” all homes sales as predicted, the quality,
The lack of standardization also faces standardization, and accuracy of data will
an inherent problem with the business What does the future hold? have to improve industry-wide. This will
model of the larger industry actors that While the silver lining on standard- be bolstered by heavyweights like Zillow
actually have access to good data. These izing data in real estate needs a major throwing their backing into the process
companies rightly understand their polishing, there is hope. Fraser explained to ensure this happens. While this change
advantage, and hold onto their data that although quality public data is dif- may initially begin with residential real
tightly to “weaponize” it for their own ficult to obtain, a lot of the counties in estate—which is typically where changes
gain. While software companies like VTS the U.S. are open to standardizing and in the industry occur—Fraser believes
are pushing the industry towards a stan- digitizing, but it’s a problem of scarce it will translate over to the commercial
dard data model like the one driven by resources and motivation. Enter technol- sector in due time. Salmanson, however,
OSCRE, the competitive advantage that ogy: both Dhandi and Salmanson agreed was skeptical that iBuying would be as
the large investment companies hold is that county tax assessors will begin to impactful of a model as Fraser believes.
driving them away from joining the push adopt tech to share their public real “The jury’s out if the model’s been tested.
for standardization. Dhandi—whose estate data in the next ten years, which It’s been tested in an upcycle, but can it
company Altus Analytics moved away will greatly help the data standardization survive a down cycle?”
from the standardized OSCRE model— process move forward. No longer will In lieu of iBuying being proven in a
explained that the problem of shared data investors have to trudge through years down cycle, Salmanson believes that the
is that while it is beneficial to the entire of data in obsolete formats to drive their productization of real estate is going to
industry, certain clients have proprietary decisions. “We’re learning every sin- drive the market forward. Homebuy-
platforms that they want to continue gle day how hard this is,” Fraser states. ers, especially younger buyers, will want
using without sharing data to maintain “But there is a lot of data out there that to see a standard level of housing that
their competitive advantage. is incredibly valuable and a lot of very they understand and can trust, such as
The holders of quality data have an smart people working on it. Give it five a gold, silver, and bronze rating system
advantage over their competitors with to ten years and it will be a significantly to clarify how each home is classified.
less data, meaning they can make wise better situation.” His belief is this productization over
investments to drive profits and gain mar- As another means of confronting poor the next ten years will drive better data
ket share. Although data standardization quality data, both Fraser’s and Salman- to be developed, helping buyers become
is clearly in the industry’s best long-term son’s companies are turning to machine more comfortable with buying real estate
interests, the holders of quality data are learning. AI has allowed Estated to map as they understand clearly what level of
stuck in a quandary: to share or not to virtually any CRE data set in twenty investment they are undertaking and
share. As Dhandi notes, sharing their minutes, freeing up valuable resources what they get in return.
proprietary data is “either the best idea in to build QA checks into the process Unleashing data’s full potency in real
the world or the worst. It’s the best idea of reviewing data. For Cherre, AI has estate will propel massive, data-driven,
in the world because you’re the source of allowed non-technical people to import intelligent investments, a seismic shift
the data, people trust you, and come to data which frees up the engineering such as the oil industry experienced
you. But it’s the worst idea in the world team’s time to build out new data schema when the automobile was invented and
because you’ve given away your com- as they arrive from new clients. mass produced. But until the day that
petitive advantage.” With this in mind, Despite progress being made, all three standardization arrives, data will still be
he notes that the most important next panelists agreed that there is a long way utilized to push smart investments in the
step in building a robust data standard is to go until data can be standardized, industry, but it may have to be manually
building effective partnerships with the aggregated, and consumed in one uni- inputted into a spreadsheet from a binder
key players in the industry to push for form way. In the short term, not much of printed public documents by the light
standardization. change will happen, but over ten years, of an oil-burning lamp. < >
While OSCRE and the Real Estate they can begin to see the ground-shifting
Standards Organization (RESO) are changes that will benefit the real estate JEFF WHEELAND is a regular
making progress in standardization, industry as a whole. contributor to Propmodo.

9
PERSPECTIVES

Don’t Believe the PropTech Hype


BY FRANCO FARAUDO

If you have been paying attention to virtual assistants are more interesting
the stream of predictions coming from than organizing a CRM or integrat-
PropTech world, you would think ing a building management system.
that we are on the precipice of a seis- Unfortunately, there is often a big gap
mic shift in how the property industry between interesting and useful. We are,
functions. There are a lot of potentially admittedly, one of the many prognos-
transformational topics being talked ticators of the narrative that real estate
about including blockchain, AI, VR, is about to be transformed by cutting
and autonomous vehicles. While these edge technology. But even though we
make for inspirational content they are have swallowed the PropTech pill and
things that might not affect the day- drank the Smart City Kool-Aid, we
to-day operations of a real estate pro- have to be open to the idea that we are
fessional for quite a few years, if at all. completely wrong.
This comes at the expense of other, less There are many examples of why it
sexy topics that are actually impacting is dangerous to be too sure of tech-
how the gears of the property industry nology’s ability to change an indus-
turn. try. At the end of the 90’s there was
The reason for this is obvious: pub- a similar sentiment. Internet compa-
lications measure success with clicks, nies were being fought over by inves-
events with ticket sales. Topics like tors looking for the returns associated
robot workers, augmented reality and with an “internet company” valuation.

A Tale of Two Property Industries

11
Everything was going to be bought draw the disdain from startups and
online soon so the race was on to be investors alike. The truth is that these
one of the retailers of the future. At one companies have all created something
point in 1999 the market cap of the 199 incredibly valuable, long before most of
internet stocks tracked by Morgan Stan- their competitor’s founders were even
ley’s Mary Meeker was $450 billion. Of out of college.
these companies, the total annual sales Small innovations from the creators
only came to about $21 billion and their of the tools that real estate professionals
collective losses totaled $6.2 billion. already use every day are silently moving
The result, we all know. From its peak the industry forward. One of the people
in March of 2000 the Nasdaq, the stock that shares this view is Jim Young. He
market that houses most of these over- is the founder of the Realcomm | IBcon
inflated internet stocks, was down 34 conference, which has been going on
percent in a month and 80 percent just for twenty years now and is by far the
two years later. Tellingly, it wasn’t the most well-attended real estate technol-
gain-hungry venture investors who were ogy event in the world that we know
on the receiving end of this downturn. of. In fact, to this day Realcomm is the

“ In
By 2002, 100 million individual (or as only place I have ever seen Anant Yardi,
one ear I hear they are affectionately referred to “main the founder of Yardi Systems, in person
street”) investors had lost $5 trillion in (although if anyone from Yardi is read-
a conversation the stock market. A Vanguard study ing and wants to invite me to Santa Bar-
showed that by the end of 2002, 70 per- bara for an interview, consider my bags
happening cent of 401(k)s had lost at least one-fifth packed).
of their value, 45 percent had lost more Jim recognizes that many of the sto-
about flying than one-fifth. ries being told in PropTech are not
One of the things that spurred this necessarily representative of what is actu-
cars and in rapid fall from grace was a slow rise in ally taking place in the boardrooms of
interest rates and an attitude from insti- brokerages and property management
the other tutional investors that technology stocks companies around the country and the
were overvalued. Sound familiar? Even world. “In one ear I hear a conversation
people are still though there are some big strides hap- happening about flying cars and in the
pening in commercial real estate tech- other people are still talking about set-
talking about nology right now, the test of time has yet ting up an integrated accounting sys-
to be passed. tem.” Of course, innovations like AI
setting up an To move the industry forward we and Augmented Reality are part of the
need to talk about the incremental gains conversation, but Jim makes sure to also
integrated as well as the breakthroughs. This means incude a lot of very useful seminars, like
having often mundane yet pertinent cybersecurity and valuation modeling—
accounting conversations around how to use and even if it doesn’t have the same kind of
improve the technology that exists—and sex appeal as some more futuristic topics.
system. has existed for years. In a recent conver- Part of our job as industry observers is
sation I had with one of the designers of to inspire. Talking about bleeding edge
the ARGUS valuation software, it struck technology and changes on the distant
me how they understood that in order to horizon achieve that goal, and so those
onboard the most users, they needed to ideas have a place in the commentary.
import and export into Excel. This goes But this should not come at the expense
against the ethos of the tech industry: of the innovations in the way the indus-
spreadsheets are old school, having every- try is using existing tech or the new
thing on a cloud based app is the future. products being rolled out from the leg-
But, spreadsheets have been around for acy companies in the space. We want to
a long time. Not because of monopolies see the industry move forward as much
or walled gardens but because they are a as anyone but we understand that there
really great tool. is danger in overhyping trends, even
It isn’t just spreadsheet that get dis- though hype can turn heads, sell tickets
missed by nascent PropTech culture. and bait clicks. < >
CoStar, Yardi, RCA and ARGUS all
Why the Starting an internet business
used to require an investment
in a server. Not only were
Future of they expensive and required
space and power, they only

Work Will allowed users to buy storage


in large blocks meaning that

Look a there was almost always


unused space. Then Amazon

Lot Like came along and decided to


create a hosting service

Amazon Web
that would allow users to
buy space in one of their
data centers. Can flexible

Services workplace providers do the


same for office leases?

BY DROR POLEG

13
THE FUTURE OF WORK

In the early days of the World Wide rise of artificial intelligence and automa- SaaS or, perhaps, SPaaS: Space-as-a-Ser-
Web, companies were forced to buy phys- tion, for the first time in history, busi- vice. Less than a decade ago, cowork-
ical servers and build their own data cen- ness growth might actually mean having ing took the real estate world by storm
ters, spending on more computing power fewer employees. These shifts mean larg- by catering to freelancers and entrepre-
than they needed or failing to respond to er companies also have significantly less neurs. Today, interest from larger enter-
demand due to lack of available resourc- insight into their future space needs than prises is driving the industry away from
es. Today, the public cloud market has they once did. the original shared spaces and is fueling
grown to $206.2 billion and business- Long-term leases have become even the growth of new companies and busi-
es have fundamentally changed the way more of a liability in 2019 now that ness models. Convene is catering to cor-
they think about assets and resource allo- IFRS 16, a new global accounting stan- porate tenants in large office buildings,
cation, scaling their usage up or down dard, has gone into effect for public com- The Office Group converts whole build-
depending on their shifting needs. panies. In 2020, we’ll see that standard ings into private and shared suites, and
Amazon Web Services has revolution- apply to private companies as well. IFRS Breather (which I advise) lets anyone
ized the way we think about digital space, 16 requires businesses to list any leases rent private workspaces for hours, days,
enabling the birth of countless enterprise with a term of more than 12 months on months or years.
software companies in the process. That their balance sheets unless the asset is val- Customers (formerly known as “ten-
revolution lowered the barriers to entry ued at less than $5,000. Many companies ants”) are not simply changing their taste
for would-be entrepreneurs, enabling currently use off-balance sheet leases as a in workspace. Instead, they are choosing
them to start businesses with much less way to bundle space costs under oper- dynamic solutions that provide access to
capital and experience than the previ- ating expenses, downplaying the size of the spaces their teams need, on demand,
ous generation. More importantly, cloud these commitments. The new accounting anywhere — in the same way that enter-
computing gradually became the pre- standard makes that impossible, impact- prises use Uber for their mobility needs
ferred solution for large organizations ing the way these companies are taxed, instead of operating a fleet of compa-
with complex technical, privacy, securi- how they are valued, and their ability to ny cars. Advancements in Internet of
ty and performance needs, such as Dow borrow. Things (IoT) technology will soon add
Jones, Kellogg’s, Netflix, Expedia, and At the same time, established norms another layer to this experience, allowing
even the CIA. around work are evolving. The best-paid employees to walk into workplaces that
Now, the dynamics that reshaped the humans are those whose jobs cannot remember their preferences and adjust to
way companies access digital space are be automated or replaced by machines. their needs.
making their way to the physical world. These employees value flexibility, and Real estate giants are waking up to this
Companies are growing and contracting while they are at the office, they need opportunity, with large players experi-
faster than ever before. Software-as-a-Ser- access to a variety of spaces to fit a vari- menting with new concepts and designs.
vice is able to move at the same pace, but ety of tasks: focused work, brainstorming They’re just in time. PWC predicts that
physical space is a constant bottleneck, sessions, client presentations, or working at least 30 percent of all urban office
limiting growth when times are good, on the road. As Leesman’s recent work- space will be delivered as a service with-
increasing costs when changes are need- place experience survey of over 400,000 in 5-10 years, offering tenants access to
ed, and impacting overall productivity. individuals in 3,000 workplaces around furnished, customer-friendly space with
the world points out, employees should maintenance and other services built-in.
From Assets to Liabilities be empowered to “do both their individ- Right now, only about two percent of
The commercial real estate industry ual and collaborative work in spaces that space in New York City is delivered this
has been relatively slow to adopt new they decide suit them best at that point way, which means we’re on the cusp of
business models, preferring the stability in their working day.” a massive transformation in a multi-tril-
of multi-year leases to the kind of inno- In a world where people have grown lion dollar market.
vation we’ve seen in other sectors. Ten- accustomed to getting just about any- We’re still in the early innings of this
ants used to prefer this kind of stability thing (a ride, a massage, a dress, a gour- shift, but the real estate game is in for a
as well, but in our “fail fast” startup cli- met meal) on-demand with just a few shakeup once companies of all sizes real-
mate, most new business owners have taps, employees increasingly expect the ize they can pay for space only when and
no idea what their staffing and space same level of flexibility in the work- where they need it. If the humble begin-
needs will be that far in advance. Mean- place. Accommodating this preference nings of AWS are any indication, Space-
while, large enterprises are constant- helps companies attract great people, and as-a-Service has the potential to mature
ly moving and reshuffling their spaces allows them to produce their best work. into one of the most consequential mar-
to accommodate new business units or kets we’ve seen. Are you ready? < >
in search of fresh talent, as exemplified The Rise of Space-as-a-Service
by recent announcements from Ama- The combination of these econom- DROR POLEG (@drorpoleg) is the
zon, Apple , and Google. Thanks to the ic forces is giving rise to a new kind of founder of Rethinking Real Estate.
She will spend
$639,000 on a new
home this year.
Make her journey great.

Your trusted source for industry-leading property data.


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estated.com/demo

15
ARTWORK BY WRAPPED
www.wrappedla.com
“We shape our buildings, and afterwards, our buildings shape us.”
There are few better words than these that define the relationship
between people and the places they occupy. They were uttered by
Winston Churchill in a speech on October of 1943, to a room full of
his fellow politicians, all of which had just weathered a Nazi bomb-
ing raid that had burnt the iconic House of Commons building to
the ground. The words were used as a tool to convince a grieving
Parliament to rebuild the House of Commons to its original layout.
And they worked.
Remember that this was in the middle of World War II, the out-
come of which was still very uncertain. The people he was selling
the idea to were likely thinking about everything but the design of a
room: war preparations, budgetary concerns and how their political
opponents were going to play this latest attack. They had just lost
one of the most important buildings in the empire. The House of
Commons, previously the Royal Chapel of St. Stephens, was given to
the newly formed Parliament during the country’s religious reforma-
tion. Once a place of godly worship, it was given a second meaning
as a room for the country to conduct its democratic experiment; the
building is the physical embodiment of one of the defining parts of
British history.
But Churchill was able to make the shape of a room the issue
of the day. He explained that, “its shape should be oblong and not
semi-circular [...] The semicircular assembly, which appeals to politi-
cal theorists, enables every individual or every group to move around
the center, adopting various shades of pink according as the weather
changes.” He was adamant that the room maintain its rectangular
shape. The shape was not intentional, of course. It was a relic of the
building’s previous life as a Catholic Church: a long hall of pews that
a priest could easily pray down from his elevated alter at the end.

Ask What Your


Workplace Can
Do for You
BY FRANCO FARAUDO

Connecting our physical


workplaces with our digital lives
using Tenant Experience Software

17
COVER STORY: TENANT EXPERIENCE

But it had become a way to divide a com- created inside of them and thus has one of matters to the price of a building, just like
plicated political system into two sides. the largest spreads in its leasing prices. any asset, is the market for it. Companies
Churchill thought that this was what So how do we get even more from our are increasingly willing to pay a premium
ultimately lead to a two-party system that offices? How can they play an even bigger for spaces that will help them increase
made governing more streamlined, if less supporting role in the work that we do productivity or retain the talent that is the
democratic. inside of them? lifeblood of the innovation economy, so
Since then there have been countless There are a number of companies that the future seems bright.
studies validating the importance of our think that this can be done by connecting We also learned that there were a lot
surroundings to our mindstate. Everything our physical workplaces with our digital of different reasons that landlords are
from the room color to the ceiling height lives. They think that if they are able to thinking about engagement, besides the
seems to have an effect on how a space is build a digital communication network immediate boost to their top or bottom
internalized. But Churchill was interested around a building they will be able to lines. From operational efficiency to mar-
in something even more powerful. He save building managers time and money, ketability, from amenity activation to
was thinking about the way that the room make tenants happier and more produc- data collection; everyone seemed to have
facilitated communication—or opposition tive, and create a sense of community in a an opinion about what the future of this
as is often the case for the House of Com- neighborhood. nascent industry might be. Many have
mons. How our spaces connect us dictates In order to find out what the impacts hopes that these apps might become a
our ability to do what humans do best: of these new digital arms of the modern new channel for retail, changing the way
communicate, build, argue, emote. What workspace we decided to do some investi- we shop much like websites like Amazon
could be more important than thinking gation. We tasked our team of researchers did just a decade ago. Others think that
about the design of such an important to examine the impact of tenant engage- connected workplaces will lead to bet-
room, even if a war was raging just on the ment technology on a building’s perfor- ter work/life balance and help create the
other side of the channel? mance and write a comprehensive report. sense of local community that we have
The idea that a room is only as valuable To do so we talked to dozens of building lost to modern rhythms. Even still, the
as what it can facilitate its occupants to do owners and managers to understand their property community still has its concerns.
is nothing new to the property industry. perspective of the benefits of using tenant Some doubt the ability to introduce yet
Offices themselves derive much of their engagement apps. We examine all the ways another app into most peoples daily rota-
value, their hard monetary value, from the that increased tenant engagement could tion, others worry that the cost of keeping
way that they facilitate the productivity boost a building’s value, both immedi- engagement in a noisy world might be too
within them. Incredible wealth has been ately and over time. We took an objective much for their teams to handle.
created in places like New York’s Wall St., approach to understand the likely future More than anything, our research made
London’s Lombard St., or Silicon Valley’s of workplace engagement technology by me realize that tenant engagement apps
Sand Hill Road, for both the tenants and throughout testing our hypothesis that represent the future in how our buildings
the landowners. these apps were able to increase a com- interact with our digital lives. As our work
People outside of the commercial real mercial office asset’s performance. requires more from us the lines between
estate world often find it hard to believe We realized early on that direct cor- our work and our workplaces, between
that office is one of the most valuable relation, with any sort of statistical sig- our offices and our homes, will start to
commercial property asset classes. In 2018 nificance, would be hard to establish. blur, requiring our buildings to be as flex-
the value of office real estate in the U.S. The industry is so young; only a tiny per- ible, customized, and intelligent as our
was estimated to be around $2.3 trillion centage of the total office space is using tech stacks.
and growing. While there is only around digital applications to increase tenant Our spaces shape us, just as we shape
half as much office space as industrial in experience. The ones that do have often them. But for them to shape us into a bet-
the US, its average market price makes not been using them long enough to have ter version of ourselves, they will need to
the total value quite a bit more. But, the gone through an entire lease cycle. This use every means possible, be it the shape
distribution of the deviation is incredibly means that the way that the property of the room or the interface of an app.
skewed. Approximately one-third of the industry values income generating assets, There is a war raging for our attention
total value of all commercial real estate based on their cash flows and profitability, and our buildings are finding new ways to
resides in “gateway” markets such as New doesn’t take these new technologies into direct that attention to what really mat-
York, Los Angeles, Boston, Atlanta, San consideration. ters, each other. < >
Francisco, and Washington D.C. Offices, Obviously, licensed appraisals and
more than any other property type, have “official” assessments of value for prop- To learn more, visit www.propmodo.
a huge disparity in how much wealth gets erties are only estimates. What really com/research

18
Tanya
ANYTHING THAT CAN BE INTEGRATED TO IMPROVE THE WORKFLOWS

NECESSARY TO OPERATE BUILDINGS

IS ANOTHER STEP TOWARDS “SMART,”


A PROCESS WHICH HAS NO DEFINED END.

BY CONNELL MCGILL

How Smart Building


Technology
Actually Works
SMART BUILDINGS

ground up to incorporate more sophistication into these workflows. For


example, The Edge developed by OVG Real Estate in Amsterdam, auto-
matically finds tenants a workspace that fits with their calendar for the day,
adjusting the light and temperature to match personal preferences.
IT’S NOT The Edge may very well be the smartest building in the world, but that
ENOUGH TO wouldn’t be due to the insane level of sophistication it displays. Sophisti-
cation and automation are expensive and simply get priced into the lease
SIMPLY SAY like anything else. The single tenant of The Edge, Deloitte, even admitted
that their philosophy on the project was that anything with a return on
“MACHINE investment of less than 10 years was worth a try. That is not a luxury many
LEARNING” OR can afford.
The goal of smart building technology is not necessarily to add sophisti-
“ARTIFICIAL cation, it’s to identify and systematically eliminate the inefficiencies within
the workflows in place, whatever those processes may be. This waste can
INTELLIGENCE.” be found everywhere, from equipment maintenance and repairs to tenant
utility cost recovery, CapEx planning and forecasts, utility costs, vendor and
staff management, due diligence, documentation storage, and more.

By now, everyone has heard the trope: Turning Data into Action
smart building technology, driven by the Everyday, millions of Americans step on the scale to read their weight
internet of things and artificial intelli- and use that number to understand their relative health. Unfortunately, in
gence, is poised to revolutionize the built addition to only being a proxy for health, weight is a lagging indicator. It is
environment by dynamically adjusting to not useful on a day-to-day level and by the time you get the information,
occupant needs in an integrated and effi- it’s not actionable.
cient fashion. Unfortunately, that string The same is true for building operators aiming to keep tenants happy
of words means almost nothing to the while keeping costs down. In most cases, the only information to go off is
people in a position to invest in technol- what can be pulled by the building management system or energy manage-
ogy for commercial real estate portfolios. ment system. Like weight for personal health, this data is only a proxy for
When the jargon overload becomes asset efficiency and is a lagging indicator, potentially interesting to review,
too much, owners and asset managers ask but not actionable.
the only sensible follow-up, how much That is why smart building technology is often synonymous with build-
money would this system deliver and ing data, although they are two different things, one cannot work without
what is the payback? While the short- the other. Granular building data can be derived from sensors placed at
term economics are obviously critical, the critical points in the electrical, mechanical and/or plumbing infrastructure
lack of clarity about what smart building as well as from digitized versions of the documentation that operators use
technology is (and isn’t) has led landlords to understand equipment such as nameplate information, operations and
to miss the big picture. maintenance manuals, and riser diagrams.
Technology is not a standalone invest- Generally, sensors are set up to capture data and send it wirelessly to a
ment, it’s a tool meant to be infused into central database. This raw data is often visualized with charts and graphs,
every team, every process, and every deci- but this does not solve the lagging indicator issue. No matter how rich the
sion. Smart building technology is no dataset, it’s like an open book test, an operator would need to know where
different; anything that can be integrated to look to find answers.
to improve the workflows necessary to More importantly, the operator would have to be able to look. The work
operate buildings is another step towards of a building operator is necessarily hands-on and largely occurs in the field.
“smart,” a process which has no defined In addition, many operators are too busy to get to their routine tasks after
end. handling the unexpected issues that occur throughout the day, let alone
On the most fundamental level, attempt to analyze unfamiliar datasets.
whether through complex automation What are needed are “insights,” meaning specific recommendations sent
or by hand, buildings are operated by a to operators the moment a problem or potential efficiency is identified.
series of workflows. The two goals these The question is how the software being fed data from sensors could do this.
workflows are straightforward: to keep It’s not enough to simply say “machine learning” or “artificial intelligence.”
the building “working” for the tenants so How is an owner or operator supposed to know which vendors’ machines
they continue to pay rent and to limit the are the most intelligent?
expenses paid by the landlord as much as It’s not as complicated as it might seem. Let’s say you wanted a com-
possible. puter to be able to pick men out of a crowd and categorize their clothing.
Some buildings are designed from the The way to do this is to simply show the computer ten million pictures of

22
men in various kinds of clothes and it will eventually start to identify pat-
terns. That’s really what is meant by machine learning. It’s not intelligence
as much as the brute force of having ten million examples to choose from.
This is exactly why most building management systems, which also lever-
age granular data from equipment, are not necessarily “smart.” These sys- THE STRENGTHS
tems never amass enough examples to determine patterns because the data AND WEAKNESSES
is often kept on premises and is only stored for a few weeks. Smart building
technology is different in that it learns from every piece of equipment across OF COMPUTERS
all the buildings it is installed in.
AND HUMANS
Patterns are Not Insights PERFECTLY
With the knowledge that “artificial intelligence” is nothing more than
access to a huge number of examples, owners can understand which ven- COMPLEMENT
dors have the most “intelligent” machines by comparing the size of their
datasets. EACH OTHER.
But that’s not the full story. Computers are smart enough to identify
patterns and anomalies, but they’re not smart enough to know what those
events “mean” without the help of humans.
The truth is that a boiler suddenly failing, and a boiler being shut down costs are low and falling every year. Every
for routine maintenance, look indistinguishable in the raw data and there- building performs maintenance and
fore to computers. But to building operators, these events couldn’t be more repairs in some way or another. To this
different; one is a drop-everything-you’re-doing type of emergency, the end, by leveraging the right technology,
other is nice to know. any building can become smart, not just
This is where technology gets infused into the workflows already in place. ground-up developments with robust
The strengths and weaknesses of computers and humans perfectly comple- automation systems.
ment each other. Computers can digest and categorize enormous amounts
of data in the blink of an eye, but struggle with context. Humans are very Conclusion
slow at digesting data and forget previous learnings, but understanding con- Smart building technology is not about
text happens unconsciously. the return on investment that can be
Instead of sending a false positive alert that the boiler is down every time achieved through recommendations on
there’s maintenance, technology can be infused into the workflow. When how to configure existing building man-
maintenance is being performed, the building operator or third-party ven- agement systems. It’s not even a stand-
dor can leverage a mobile app to tie their work to the specific boiler. alone investment that should be evalu-
By combining a logged maintenance event with verification through ated based on simple payback periods.
sensor data, the landlord has effectively streamlined their maintenance Instead, it is something to infuse into
and repair workflows, bridged the disconnect between on-site teams and the DNA of the organization and the
management, and ensured that third-party maintenance vendors are being fundamental tool to wield to evolve and
accountable to their contract. When the boiler shuts down unrelated to improve every aspect of the organization.
maintenance, operators will be notified and can be fully confident that the While smart building technology is based
alert is real and urgent. on cutting edge innovations in sensor
This streamlined process will produce the direct return on investment technology and machine learning, the
that owners are looking for. In 2018, maintenance and repairs passed util- workflows that are being targeted are as
ity expenses as the largest non-fixed operating expense line item in CRE. old as building themselves.
Much of these costs are wasted due to operators being unaware when (or Many of the problems faced in oper-
if ) maintenance has been performed and being reactive to equipment faults ating commercial real estate have no
rather than proactive. In addition, in terms of bottom line cash flows, bet- textbook solution. Landlords now have
ter maintenance extends the lifetime of equipment and thus lowers CapEx the opportunity to think through their
requirements. business, their pan points, their tenant’s
But the value is not limited to direct return. The property has gotten needs, and their physical assets and work
“smarter” because it is working better for tenants by ensuring hot water with technology companies collaborate
is available and, in some unquantifiable way, encouraging them to renew smart building technology that works,
their leases. In addition, owners and asset managers for the first time have regardless of starting point. < >
transparency into what is happening in their assets, an intangible, but enor-
mously valuable change from the status quo.
The magic of the technology described – sensors, managing an enor- CONNELL MCGILL is the co-founder
mous database, pattern recognition algorithms, mobile apps – is that the
and CEO of Enertiv.
ZILLOW POISED TO DEVOUR
THE iBUYER MARKET
Rich Barton was announced CEO in 2019 and set out a series
of longer-term goals, including buying 5,000 homes a month

BY JOSHUA FRASER

Imagine you knew nothing about


real estate. That you had never heard of
an escrow, natural hazard disclosures or
title insurance. In this world, what does a
home transaction look like? Do you have
to worry about mortgage rate increases,
all cash offers or seller contingencies?
Or, if your only frame of reference was
the frictionless process in which we buy
everything else in our daily lives, would
you assume that you would be able to
find a house that you like, enter your
payment details and buy it.
This ignorant, idealized version of the
home buying process seems like pure
thought experiment but, in fact, it’s a
lot closer than any of us ever imagined.
The end-to-end customer experience for
real estate transactions has seen billions
of dollars poured into companies called
iBuyers, who’s very business model is
to buy houses instantly and sell them
without the hassles that we have come
to accept. This trend is still in the early
stages and there are no signs of it slowing
down.
The iBuyer business model is pretty
straight forward, a real estate company
uses data science and property data,
both public and private, to create valu-
ation models that identify home with
high investment potential. They can
then make an instant offer that provides
liquidity to homeowners that doesn’t
exist on the traditional real estate
market. Typically, iBuyers charge a 7-10
percent fee compared to a standard 6

24
percent agent commission and will offer CEO, Erik Wu has said that in the a distinct advantage for Zillow and
an 80-100 percent of the market value not-so-far future, the transaction of a Redfin. Whether they are able to harness
for a home. They might charge a higher home sale will cost nothing. This is a their traffic to make better marketing
fee for convenience but many sellers will bold statement, but at the moment, decisions is yet to be seen.
be willing to pay for the benefit of being Opendoor has a ton of capital and has As for Opendoor, Offerpad, and
able to have a sale finalized within weeks taken off with 60 percent iBuyer market Knock. They will continue to use tradi-
or even days. You may take home a bit share in Phoenix. tional methods of advertising, marketing
less than the traditional method but Third, Redfin. Market cap $1.77 and direct mail to make offers to poten-
you can save time and all the headaches billion and the second largest online tial sellers. This is a solution but it will
that come along with selling or buying real estate platform next to Zillow. be harder to acquire leads with larger
a home. They recently partnered with RE/MAX, competitors joining the space.
One of my favorite industry experts, providing a unique opportunity to
The Notorious Rob recently predicted increase its reach to agents and potential Number Two: Capital
that 60 percent of home sales (not buyers and sellers. It is highly likely they Zillow wants to buy up to 5,000
transactions) will be iBuyers by 2025. will be a large competitor to Zillow in homes a month. At a median price of
Quick math, 5.3 million homes sold in this space. $300,000, that would cost $1.5B a
2018 would mean that, if the sales stay Fourth, Offerpad. Raised nearly $900 month. Yikes. You need a lot of capital
steady, 3.18 million homes sold in 2025 million from venture capital and $100 to do that. Being a public company like
via iBuyers. That’s uber growth, no pun million in debt. They are operating in Zillow or $1 billion in raised capital like
intended. In 2018, iBuyers represented 86 cities across the U.S. and had a larger Opendoor is another big advantage in
around 0.2 percent of the national price appreciation on their purchased the iBuyer space. Now, with that being
market share of home purchases and up homes than Opendoor and Zillow in said, if another 2008 happens, everyone
to 5 percent in the markets they operated 2018, fluctuating between 7 percent and is screwed. I don’t have a ton of data on
in. 9 percent. this but you can imagine how sitting on
There are five companies leading the Fifth, Knock. Full transparency, they thousands of homes with only 50 percent
charge in the U.S. with Opendoor so far are a Foundry Group portfolio company of their original value could bankrupt a
having the most activity. But will Open- so they are connected to my company in lot of companies, no matter how much
door still come out ahead at the end of a way. Raising over $430 million since cash they have on hand.
2019 with some of the largest real estate 2016, they are positioned to be a rapidly
companies entering the space? growing startup in the iBuyer space. Number Three: Data
There are three critical factors, Sean and Jamie, the founding team, Data collection, maintenance, and
customer acquisition cost, capital and bring vast industry experience (formerly quality are critical to iBuyer success. They
data, that I believe will influence who at Trulia) and are using data science and need to rely on historical public record
ultimately dominates the market this technology throughout the entire home data such as transactions and assessments
year but to no surprise, it is my predic- selling process. to make informed data-driven decisions
tion that the one with the best data will when evaluating and making an offer on
have the biggest advantage. NOW YOU KNOW THE PLAYERS, SO a property. Yet access to this data can be
WHO WILL WIN AND HOW? incredibly difficult and requires a ton of
THE PLAYERS resources.
First, Zillow. At this moment, with a Number One: Customer From looking at the current land-
market cap of $7.35 billion, they have Acquisition Cost (CAC) scape, Zillow has the most software engi-
the largest war chest, the most employees It’s all about the seller leads in the neers and data scientists attacking this
and resources to fuel their iBuyer growth. iBuyer model. Zillow and Redfin have problem and investing millions every
Rich Barton was announced CEO in the advantage here looking at the sheer year. And appropriately so, as the stakes
2019 and set out a series of longer-term amount of website traffic that each are high. Accurate data fuels accurate
goals, including buying 5,000 homes a receives. According to Alexa: valuation models and these models are
month. That’s a colossal increase from Zillow.com is ranked the 35 most integral for iBuyers to find and invest
the 500 they purchased in Q4 of 2018. visited website in the United States with in properties at scale. This is a high-risk,
They also have the most website traffic around 37 million monthly unique capital intensive business model that has
so they benefit from understanding not visitors. not been tested in a down market. But,
only where people are buying, but where Redfin.com is ranked the 155 most backed by the best data, Zillow will be
they are looking as well, which can be a visited website in the United States with most able to maintain their advantage
great leading indicator. around 15 million monthly unique and weather the storm. < >
Second, Opendoor. To date, $1.3 visitors.
billion in venture capital has been raised The ability to split-test instant offers JOSHUA FRASER (@joshppc) is the
and over $1B of it in 2018 alone. The on this amount of website traffic creates founder and CEO of Estated.

25
BY PHIL RUSSO

Attacked by the disruptive tribes of the internet, retail real es-


tate has been for years metaphorically circling the wagons, try-
ing to determine the feasibility of a continued physical presence.
At the same time, brick-and-mortar retail tenants and landlords
are trying to protect their very business existence, clinging to
already dwindling profit margins.
While digital technology is partially to blame for the changing
consumer habits that spelled the downfall of the centuries-old
retail economy, it might also be the cavalry riding to the rescue
of businesses hunkered down in their brick and mortar fortress-
es turned prisons. The innovative use of technology in retail real
estate is what’s increasingly viewed as the best defense against its
demise, with the massive use of data the high-powered repeating
rifle that’s being brought to this wild west showdown.
Recently, VTS held its annual Accelerate conference, the cen-
terpiece of which was the announcement of its $90 million raise,
bringing it to “unicorn” status, still a relative rarity in PropTech.
Almost lost in the excitement of that announcement was VTS
CEO & Co-Founder Nick Romito also announcing that the firm
had been quietly building a retail and industrial platform to aug-
ment its office offerings.
In an interview with Propmodo, Romito noted that VTS has
one billion square feet of retail space on its platform already,

Real Estate Data


Riding to Retail’s Rescue
26
27
RIDING TO RETAIL’S RESCUE

with that sector being much more trying to track the sausage making of of the complexity of building a VTS
data-intensive a business than of- lease negotiations going back to Mi- platform that encompasses virtual and
fice. “They track different things than crosoft Access and other things. We’d brick-and-mortar retail spread out
traditional office owners—sales per never had anything that worked very across geographies and companies:
square foot, monthly sales per cus- well.” Along with the challenges for “With digitally native brands or oth-
tomer—all things as an office owner NE Development in efficiently moni- er companies like that, they are touch-
you don’t pay attention to,” said Ro- toring its own accounting systems for ing every asset class. You might have
mito. “There’s a set of tools or features lease administration, it has a number Zappos, the shoe company, as your
specific to those things retailers want of joint ventures with other compa- office tenant, but guess what: Zappos
and we are building those. The impor- nies, which necessitated logging into is owned by Amazon, who’s got four
tance of the customer relationship has different systems, a major headache. industrial properties with you, and
always existed for retail, whereas in of- However, the VTS platform allowed Whole Foods has two retail centers.
fice people didn’t actually realize they NE Development to consolidate those It’s all owned by Amazon. So now the
had the same customers in other plac- external assets into a single dashboard tenant base has changed so much that
es because the east coast team didn’t and for it and other users to easily the same tenant is touching every asset
talk to the west coast team.” switch from one system to another. class. So by definition, every asset class
Gary Stevens, Senior Vice President “We normally like to be the keeper should be on the same technology.
of Leasing at Waterstone Property of our own keys, so to speak, to con- That’s kind of our thesis for building
Group, a VTS retail client, said VTS trol all our data, but moving into this this thing.”
gives his company, “an organization- hosted, cloud-based platform of VTS, As Leverton continues trying to
al tool to manage and reveal gaps in because of the accessibility problems develop the better mousetrap for ex-
the timing of our lease cycle, putting it’s solving for us, the consolidated tracting accurate retail data, “The real
a shot clock on different phases of a dashboard across multiple partners, competition is not other technology
deal.” it’s turned into a very positive venture vendors,” said Somani. “We actually
Along with such transactional effi- for us,” said Richardson. encourage more technology vendors
ciency, Waterstone’s needs are simple, Building such a platform entails to join the race because it increases in-
said Stevens: “I need sales per square having reliable data from the land- novation. The real competition is this
foot, that’s all. We’re trying to find lord and tenant side of retail, much traditional ‘if it ain’t broke don’t fix it’
where the wallets are.” To do so, Wa- of it in legacy systems that vary from mentality that we’ve had in property
terstone uses a variety of data sources, Excel spreadsheets to other analog ownership for a long time. The real
including geofencing from PlacerAI, documents to proprietary electronic challenge is converting clients from
a PropTech company that tracks con- databases, all frequently containing doing it the old way, sitting on static
sumer foot traffic through cell phone highly inaccurate information. One data, not really using data the right way
use in stores. PropTech firm addressing this issue and convincing them that the need for
In building a platform that inte- is Leverton, an AI/deep learning data structured data, the need for contract
grates and makes plain complex data extraction platform. analytics is very high. If you as a [land-
from retail tenants, landlords and as- “Data quality is a problem across the lord] aren’t going to do it, your tenants
set managers, VTS faces many chal- landlord and tenant side,” said Abhi- are. And the next time you come to the
lenges, said Romito. The largest asset nav Somani, CEO of Leverton. “Land- negotiation table, they’re going to be a
managers often have large retail port- lords are sort of lagging. Who’s put- lot smarter than you. That’s a position
folios, giving them special headaches ting resources behind that problem? I you don’t want to put yourself in.”
in dealing with all the data relating to think the tenants are a little ahead.” PropTech companies are racing to
tenants and multiple locations. “They Having huge clients like Amazon, solve these data issues, while retail
want a global operating system that Barnes & Noble, Sports Direct and real estate landlords and tenants vie
goes across every asset class,” said Ro- Walmart, Leverton’s Somani realized for who will use data to get the upper
mito. Landlords can store and com- that, “the concept of the tradition- hand in lease negotiations and asset
pare tenant data on a monthly basis al shopping mall or shopping center, management. As Waterstone’s Stevens
on VTS. “What they are constantly is morphing into a very experiential puts it: “Change has never been hap-
trying to optimize is, do we have the landscape and folks have to kind of pening this fast before and will never
right tenant mix across an asset,” said figure out how they’re going to man- be this slow again. That’s what drives
Romito. age through those data issues that help our business.” < >
Steve Richardson, Vice President them figure out what they want to do
of Information Technology at New in those locations.” PHIL RUSSO (@pfrusso) is a 16-year
England Development, describes his As Leverton works to clean the data, veteran of commercial real estate
company’s “long and sordid history of Romito gives the following example communications
One app. Equiem offers the complete
platform to engage, delight,

Everything your and improve the working lives


of your tenants. Together we’ll
tenants need. transform your building into a
vibrant, connected community.

getequiem.com
THE MOBILITY
REVOLUTION

How it will change the future of real estate

BY JEFF WHEELAND

The other day I was walking in my town own personal feelings, the mobility
and saw an older man riding his bicycle revolution is here, it is growing, and it
down the sidewalk. As he approached will fundamentally change everything
a turn, a shared Lime bike was next to from how you travel to where you live.
the path, not obstructing his way in In his illuminating article, “Our
the slightest. The man slowed his bike, Frictionless Future,” Elie Finegold, an
launched a karate kick, sent the scooter Entrepreneur in Residence at MetaProp
flying into the bushes, and continued and former SVP of Global Innovation
on his way. A few minutes later, two and Business Intelligence for CBRE,
teenagers zoomed past me on a Bird wrote about how radical mobility and
Scooter, parked it on the sidewalk outside transportation-as-a-service (TaaS) will
their high school, and ran into class change not only real estate, but the world
minutes before the morning bell rang. as we know it in the very near future.
The juxtaposition of these two At our recent Metatrends roundtable
unconnected acts perfectly summarizes held in New York City, we convened a
people’s feelings towards the growing panel to discuss the mobility revolution
mobility revolution. While some and its impact on real estate and what we
see shared scooters and bikes as a should expect in the future. The panel
menace that clogs roads and terrorizes brought together two industry experts,
sidewalking civilians, others see this Elie Finegold and Tony Hudgins, VP
transportation service as a godsend of Partnerships at TransitScreen, and
for increasing efficiency and reducing was moderated by Propmodo’s own
material ownership. Regardless of your Franco Faraudo.

31
MOBILITY REVOLUTION

Wait, so what exactly is the used a shared bike service, there is noth-
Mobility Revolution? ing more frustrating than walking out of
First and foremost, you don’t need work following your app to a location
to ditch your car at the local junk yard where a bike is supposedly waiting, only
to prep for the mobility revolution. It to find it is gone, or has two bent tires.
is already here. If you’ve ever ridden in When this happens, you have to open
a Lyft or Uber, used a shared bike or another company’s app to find another
scooter, or had food delivered to your shared bike, which may or may not be
house with DoorDash, you’ve unwit- anywhere near. It is this lack of certainty
tingly become a revolutionary. But the that pushes users to buy their own bikes
speed at which TaaS is moving forward or simply drive to work every day. As
is staggering, and these services are just Finegold notes, upon building a reliable
the tip of the iceberg, especially as auto- and efficient network of transit informa-
mated cars begin hitting the roads in full tion, usage rates will increase, and their
force in the near future. entire multimodal network will improve.
Despite its momentum, the mobility “Utilization actually drives availability.
revolution will not be complete until There’s a virtual circle and once you
these new forms of TaaS mesh with get past the tipping point within a cer-
existing forms of transportation – buses, tain radius, you’ll have a dense range of
trains, subways, and good old-fashioned services and options that will get you
walking – and are incorporated into one effective transportation.”
seamless process that is efficiently use- In other words, when a user can
able by everyone. At the outset of the quickly find several nearby alterna-
panel, Hudgins touched on the role that tive transit options, the entire system
TransitScreen is playing in the mobility improves. In my previous example—but
revolution. His company is an aggrega- instead with a single app or platform—
tor of transportation information that when the shared bike wasn’t available, I
compiles over 3,000 sources of transit could open my transit app on my phone
data on what he calls the “shared trans- and see that a bus was arriving in two
portation economy.” Hudgins explained minutes a block away, find a nearby
that while these new forms of transpor- electric scooter, or reserve a Lyft to pick
tation are exciting and innovative, there me up. By reliably and seamlessly being
are still several friction points for users able to find available transit alternatives,
to seamlessly utilize these forms of trans- the mobility revolution will continue to
port. Many people will use several modes build momentum. As stated by Hudgins,
of transportation to get from Point A to “mobility is the freedom of knowing
Point B. For example, a person could that you do not have to be tethered to
hop on a scooter to get to the bus stop, one particular option.” With reliability
take the bus to the train station, ride comes change. People will realize that
the train to their stop downtown, then the various types of TaaS are fast and
walk the final few blocks of their jour- efficient, and that they no longer have
ney. But planning this trip out requires to own a car anymore. But it is crucial
several different apps, websites of transit that people understand how to use the
schedules, and maps to understand the TaaS and can easily access it, something
routes. It’s a time-consuming endeavor. that has not yet occurred. However,
To address this, companies like Tran- when this critical mass of understanding
sitScreen are working to aggregate transit arrives, it will have seismic impacts on
information into one platform to make the way cities are built, impacting real
the process much more efficient. estate to its core.

Why is aggregating transit How will TaaS impact real


information important? estate in the future?
By aggregating this transit informa- Everyone knows the three most
tion in one (or a few) places, certainty important words in real estate: loca-
can be built among the user base, tion, location, location. But with the
increasing adoption rates. If you’ve ever arrival of the mobility revolution, this

32
fundamental principle in real estate will past, but now offers excellent access to to see more villages that offer these ser-
change. In some cases like New York transit services and will be attractive to vices outside of major city centers. With
City, which has had a form of TaaS for tenants. For developers, seeing that ten- services coming to us, we’ll need to find
decades (think: taxis, taxis, and more ants in the area tend to use TaaS much places to interact socially, which is where
taxis), location will continue to mean more than cars means that building a these centers will come into play. People
living in a densely populated area. But giant parking lot in a building will be less will choose to live close to these.”
in many other cities, the changes will be important than creating access for ride- Hudgins sees the future of real estate
much more profound. No longer will share cars to have curb space to quickly and TaaS as inextricably aligned. In
people be fighting to live close to their pull in and pick up their customers. order for developers and owners to take
jobs. With effective transportation net- Additionally, the mobility revolu- advantage of the mobility revolution, it
works and increases in tech trends like tion will bring about a change in the will be crucial to share information with
remote working, people will be able to composition of cities themselves, but their occupiers to understand how they
live much further from city centers. This not immediately. Finegold argues that use transportation and access a particu-
will have a deep impact on the way real “density will become an amenity for the lar property. By gaining this knowledge,
estate developers and owners approach next generation,” as people will want to owners and developers will be able to
buying assets. be closer to services. But as autonomous accurately size their property and make
Hudgins agrees with Finegold that vehicles improve and services—like the correct real estate purchasing deci-
real estate location will fundamentally gourmet food delivery, for example—are sions in the future.
change with the mobility revolution. brought directly to people, populations Whether you are like the man who
He argues that real estate owners can get will spread out and density will be less kicks shared scooters into the bushes or
more intelligent about what real estate important. But, ultimately, people will similar to the schoolkids who use these
they own and what they want to own by still be social creatures. “You’ll see in services to get you the last mile of your
understanding their occupants’ transit the near future, amenity and lifestyle journey to avoid detention, the mobil-
actions. With this information, owners centers and clusters,” Finegold states. ity revolution is here. Be ready to join
can find a property that may not have “Cities will still have headquarters areas it, or be left in a shared bike’s proverbial
been considered a “good location” in the for work and lifestyles, but you’ll begin dust. < >
RESEARCH

Understanding Flexible
Workspace in the Era of WeWork
BY LOGAN NAGEL

The 1990s saw the rise of a cornuco- co-working space or has a friend who that in mind, an even bigger and more
pia of new ideas and products. From often works out of them. They seem exigent question is the full scope and
the internet to the Nintendo 64, the to have popped up within the last characteristics of the market, which
decade saw a host of innovations decade and have certainly taken the continues to require clear categoriza-
change the way we live our lives. But world by storm. In truth, co-working tion and a comprehensive definition.
one of those things that exploded in spaces are not all that new, in concept at To answer these questions, we tasked
the 90s wasn’t so innovative after all, least. Flexible workspaces stretch back our research team to take a deep dive
despite its incredible influence on how decades to the 1980s with office pro- into the flexible workspace mar-
the modern (particularly urban) citi- vider Regus, who may have offered the ket, as well as develop a narrative for
zen lives his or her life: the coffee shop. concept but certainly lacked the attrac- the industry’s growth over the years.
Case in point, Starbucks had 425 stores tive trimmings and specific service Through our research, we uncovered
in 1994, and over 10,000 by 2005. Talk model we now know as co-working. a mountain of useful data. The price
about growth goals. Since those early days flexible work- spread for flexible workspace monthly
In addition to the benefits of lots spaces have come a long way, devel- access in the most expensive (Washing-
of caffeine, coffee shops offer plenty oping into the classic version we now ton, DC) vs cheapest (Houston) major
of other perks. Their explosive spread recognize. But despite the prevalence of US city is over $600. This is a partic-
ensured that one was never far from the idea of working out of a WeWork ularly intriguing data point in light of
your office, transit stop, or university. that seems to have permeated into the expansion plans of some operators,
They often serve a role as local com- today’s office ethos, the industry as a like Industrious, into less dense mar-
munity centers, with performances and whole is still very young. What flexible kets. And it underscores the compar-
meetings held amongst their benches space is and where it fits in our overall ative dearth of flexible workspaces in
and tables. There are enough of them office landscape has largely been unde- truly rural or far-flung suburban areas.
for any person to find one with a unique fined and are subject to a range of exter- We also uncovered discrepancies in dif-
style and atmosphere that matches their nal forces, as WeWork’s recent funding ferent measurement methodologies for
personality. And they’ve stood the test troubles demonstrate. which cities rank as the most expensive
of time as a spot to be productive, For one thing, the relationship flexible workspaces markets out there,
whether for studying or working. between truly remote workers who and a host of other conclusions as well.
While coffee shops grew to become choose to stay at home with their com- Our full research report includes a
get-stuff-done meccas to rival libraries, puters and those who require dedicated comprehensive discussion on flexible
the real estate world spawned another co-working spaces is as yet unclear. As workspace market sizing methodolo-
type of space, this one purpose-built remote-enabling technologies like giga- gies as well as a thorough meta-anal-
to offer a workplace for entrepreneurs, bit internet connections and virtual ysis of the existing body of research.
freelancers, and agile corporations. reality continue to improve, the long- We profile the history of the indus-
As we all know, working in a flexible term future of flexible workspaces is less try and offer some estimates as far as
workspace, like a co-working office, has than certain. Perhaps this is because the total market size and trends towards
become part of the modern-day millen- firms think that their brand position as the future. Flexible workspaces have
nial dream. Head into the office and “the office of the future” will continue seen extraordinary growth, in many
grab a complimentary coffee, grab any to help them grow, or perhaps they’re cases competing with the coffee shops
open workspace, be it a table, desk, or hoping to ignore a relatively existential that came before them. We hope our
beanbag chair, and get to work, perhaps challenge while they’re in the middle of analysis will help shed some light on
on a freelance design project or on your their funding rounds. who might be the industry’s Starbucks,
“stealth mode” side hustle. If you get With WeWork as the clear industry why they are, and how to map out the
thirst, or bored, feel free to grab an IPA standout and a range of other smaller industry to identify other standouts in
from the tap or challenge you someone operators leveraging unique partner- the future. < >
to an impromptu game of ping pong. ships or operating models to stand out,
That’s the romantic vision for these industry observers have foreseen con- To learn more, visit www.propmodo.
spaces, at least. Everyone knows of a solidation in the sector’s future. With com/research

34
How Real Estate Is
Adjusting to Our
Changing Moral Compass
BY AAKASH RAVI

In a sign of the changing times and


an increased focus on tenant needs,
large landlords are striving to attract
and retain tenants by offering an
array of perks inside their new and
existing builds—such as cocktail bars
and wine lockers.
OUR MORAL COMPASS

At the same time, we seem to have city governments, including New York, landfills. With Lovesac’s stock at an all-
reached a tipping point in ESG (environ- London, Boston, Dallas, and Chicago, time high at the time of writing, it seems
mental, social, and governance criteria) to ensure that connectivity mandates that investors also appreciate its unique
focused investing in the capital markets: become a key part of any new residential position.
the S&P has recently announced that it or commercial developments, even at the Castellum, one of the largest property
will launch a “socially-minded” index, an construction stage. developers in Sweden and Denmark,
ESG version of its S&P 500 Index. Although most of the onus on ESG is working with my company, Spaceti,
This begs the question: in a world with within the real estate industry is land- a smart building and smart workplace
a changing moral compass, will what it lord-driven, there is an increase in the solution provider, to promote a well-be-
means to be “tenant-focused” change? number of initiatives where both the ing focused environment. We realized
How can ESG impact the value and landlord and tenant are engaged in early on that they were committed to
prestige of a property or a company, as it reaching environmental and sustainabil- health and well-being in their properties.
pertains to tenant and capital attraction? ity goals by way of collaboration. They were also interested in working
To get answers to these questions, I Shifting away from the world of start- with sensors and data analytics in order
spoke to a few thought leaders to under- ups, I spoke to prominent sustainabil- to learn more about how people use the
stand their strategies regarding ESG for ity leaders of large property developers premises. They have proactively advised
2019 and beyond, and also reflect on and owners. A recurring theme was that customers about their usage which
how those of us that serve the property landlords are increasingly working with helped to manage properties with more
community can help to create a better tenants to jointly achieve sustainabil- efficient heating and ventilation.
future by working with the real estate ity goals instead of going at it alone. Indeed, by measuring and improving
industry to advance ESG imperatives. Standard triple-net leases disincentivize indoor air quality, building owners and
Arie Barendecht is the co-founder and landlords to work on sustainability and tenants can help their occupants and
CEO of WiredScore, a company whose energy efficiency initiatives due to reduc- end-users avoid so-called sick build-
mission it is to empower landlords to tions in utility bills unevenly benefitting ing syndrome. The challenge though,
understand, improve, and promote their the tenants,” explained one Director of another Sustainability Director told me,
buildings’ digital infrastructure; Wired- Sustainability at a large American prop- is in measuring the benefits: “Unless we
Score also just raised their Series A round erty owner and developer that I talked can measure the hard benefits of well-be-
at the end of 2018: to. “Nowadays, we are more often see- ing, which is somewhat of an intangible,
“There’s a lot of talk about connec- ing green leases that help landlords to it is hard for us to engage with tenants
tivity as a human right. The digital recover some of the costs of sustainabil- in promoting this aspect in their indoor
divide means that not having access to ity and energy efficiency investments by environments”. The case studies and
high-quality, reliable connectivity in introducing cost-sharing initiatives with proof for indoor well-being promotion
buildings impacts both the individual as tenants.” are increasing, however, most nota-
well as businesses. Without connectivity It seems that fundamentally, how- bly with a recent Harvard study on the
we can’t leverage technology, access nec- ever, the focus on ESG in the real estate impact of green buildings on cognitive
essary services, and tap into the power industry is being driven by end-users function empirically showing that cog-
of big data, which puts people at a dis- and consumers. Shawn Nelson, who is nitive function can improve between
advantage and adds unnecessary frustra- the founder and CEO of furniture man- 61-101% in green building conditions.
tion and stress to their lives,” Arie told ufacturer Lovesac, has modeled his entire Will well-being initiatives also be
me when I asked him why digital infra- company on the principles of ESG. included in the leases of the future, just
structure is so important for the ESG, Labeled “Designed For Life,” Shawn as sustainability is included in the green
specifically the “social” component, was inspired to design modular furni- leases of today? Who knows.
imperatives of landlords. ture that never needs to be discarded, What we can be sure of is that there
Indeed, in an age where we have all the based on feedback from his users: “We is an increasing focus on environmen-
information known to mankind in the observed how our customers were using tal, social, and governance objectives by
palm of our hand as well as increasingly and enjoying our Sactionals product, landlords, tenants, startups, and even
powerful AI and machine learning tools and the theme that made it so unique governments.
that are being released to the everyday was that it solved all these problems So forget cocktail bars and nap rooms:
consumer via digital interfaces and the that people had in real life, and more if you really want to future-proof your
internet, a difference in the connectivity specifically how people’s furniture needs building and attract and retain the ten-
ability of two individuals could lead to a needed to be adapted based on their life ants and capital of tomorrow, ESG
huge difference in their respective qual- events: getting married, welcoming new focused initiatives are your long-term
ity of lives. members to the family, and so on.” Love- answer. < >
As Arie noted, governments are sac’s products, therefore, both delight
keenly aware of this digital divide, and end-users, while also aiming to limit the AAKASH RAVI is an entrepreneur and
WiredScore has partnered with large amount of furniture that ends up in our software engineer.

38
Valuations and cash flows. Budgets and forecasts. Inflation and market rates, lease
terms and cap rates.

When your business is commercial real estate, your work life is consumed with
numbers and complexity.

Nothing handles those kinds of challenges better than ARGUS, the industry’s most
comprehensive suite of CRE software solutions. With more than 5000 active clients
and over $1 trillion in assets supported, ARGUS is the definitive choice of CRE
professionals who demand data transparency, understandable financial models,
and numbers that make sense.

Clarity for decision-making. It’s what ARGUS delivers.

To see your CRE world more clearly, contact Altus Group today at 888-692-7487
or ARGUS@altusgroup.com.

ARGUS.altusgroup.com
Flexible
Office Design
Adapts to
Fast Moving
Companies and
Employees
BY JEFF WHEELAND

40
FLEXIBLE OFFICE DESIGN

Imagine you are a commercial real are paying you handsomely. real estate owners and landlords.
estate owner. You just leased out But then, despite the best prog- To examine this topic, we brought
20,000 square feet of space to the hot- nostications, the market for their vir- together three experts, Ryland Arnoldi,
test new tech company in town that tual reality headsets for cats dries up co-founder of Wrapped LA, Brad Ship,
just closed their Series B funding. They overnight and within three years they the Director of Strategic Alliances for
make significant “upgrades” to your shutter their business and declare bank- Varidesk, and Derek Damon, the West
building by knocking out every wall ruptcy. Now you have a fancy office Coast Regional VP with Convene.
for an open office concept, installing space that no tenants in their right In this era of unrelenting techno-
a multi-story slide, ping pong tables minds can afford or utilize. Oh, how logical innovation and variable work
and hot tubs in every corner, and three you wish you had been flexible. schedules, real estate needs to adapt
giant refrigerators for their commer- At our Propmodo Metatrends 2019 to companies and employees who are
cial-grade cold brew coffee and beer event in Los Angeles, we continued our anything but traditional. With this in
station. The changes are overwhelming, ongoing discussion about flexible office mind, office spaces will have simple
but they signed a twenty-year lease and design and its value to commercial and flexible layouts that can be quickly

It is still important to ensure a “hospitality-


forward experience so that someone isn’t making
their tuna sandwich out front.”

and easily altered for new tenants and is interactive video walls. Everyone conversations that shouldn’t be public.
growing (or shrinking) companies, yet knows art is highly subjective, so if one Flexible office spaces, while trending
still designed to attract top talent. As employee hates the expensive painting toward open concept, still require areas
noted by Ship, with easily changeable that adorns the entrance to her office, for employees to meet with outside
office components, like modular walls it can subtly affect her attitude towards clients in private areas that maintain a
and workstations, owners can react to work. As opposed to costly art instal- level of professionalism and discretion.
tenant flexibility by quickly and cheaply lations that are often quickly ignored But, when arranging these private areas
making adjustments to their buildings (or worse, despised) by employees, for outside clients, it is still important
to maintain high rates of occupancy. installing a projection display with to ensure a “hospitality-forward experi-
Arnoldi agreed, stating that it is art that changes monthly or quarterly ence so that someone isn’t making their
important for building owners and creates an “element of discovery,” said tuna sandwich out front.”
landlords to standardize and simplify Arnoldi, “promoting dialogue between As many real estate professionals will
the installation process, allowing for occupants” and adding excitement each attest, shorter lease terms are becoming
quick, easy, and less expensive changes time employees walk into the office. the norm. In the office of the future,
when necessary. By standardizing the With projection displays, designers can flexibility is the key to profitability in
core components of office design, it’s experiment with infinite artwork pos- commercial real estate as it can help
easy to be flexible to create a personal- sibilities that employees will be excited increase a space’s efficiency and reduce
ity for an office space that is desirable to see each morning they enter a space. costly downtime. Unless you land that
for each new tenant. Both Ship and Ship agreed that art is a key compo- unicorn startup that would prefer leas-
Arnoldi agree that although an office nent to attracting tenants, but other ing a building long-term rather than
layout may be similar to another build- new trends in physical components can owning it outright, owners and land-
ing, companies can to distinguish their help save owners and landlords money lords must embrace flexible design
personalities through artwork. Own- and time. For example, modular light- principles to ensure they can main-
ers can focus on an identity for their ing, modular walls, and changeable tain long-lasting tenants by quickly
space that increases productivity with HVAC systems that can be altered and cheaply making the changes that
creative lighting, partitions, and show without requiring permits can keep every company needs in time. As Ship
walls. But it’s also important for own- tenants in office spaces as their compa- succinctly summarized, “you have no
ers and landlords to remember that like nies grow and change, rather than force idea what tomorrow will bring.” Flex-
the bones of an office, the personality them to seek out cheaper locations that ibility will allow owners and landlords
should also be flexible and simple to can accommodate their needs. to adapt to change, rather than be left
change. Another common trend that Damon playing on a multi-story slide to get
One of the most exciting new sees from their tenants is the need for to the ping pong table in their empty
trends in flexible office personalities privacy and dedicated space for sensitive office building. < >

42
We believe the future
of real estate will be
defined by those who
build around trendlines,
not headlines.

RESEARCH

The smartest people


in commercial
real estate turn to
Propmodo Research
for data, insights,
and the right
information to make
strategic business A new deep- Access to
and purchasing dive report our library of
decisions. every month valuable reports

www.propmodo.com/research
43
A Commercial Real Estate Executive’s
Guide to Artif icial Intelligence

BY GUY ZIPORI

The commercial real estate orbit is with the AI-authenticity of tech prod- tech-based services that may seem to be
swarming lately with terms like “AI,” ucts being offered them by vendors. In AI, but are actually not. For instance,
“big data,” “machine learning” and “pre- fact, a recent study revealed that almost many companies now offer dashboard
dictive analytics,” as yet another cluster half of all companies classified as ‘AI services which aggregate lots of data
of tech buzzwords takes center stage. startups’ actually have very little to do from various providers, such as trans-
Along with the newfound interest, big with artificial intelligence. How can actional data, rent data, etc. These
investment dollars are flowing into tech- we know that offerings claiming to be companies often market themselves as
nology companies at every niche of the AI are in fact using next-level artificial AI. Though they may provide helpful
industry. intelligence technology to bring real investor advice and value, these aggre-
With all this hype looming, sensible innovation and value to the table for gation products are rarely AI-based. As
CRE executives can’t just stay indiffer- investors and clients, and not just rid- another example, investment procedural
ent to the promises of AI tech. Many ing the publicity wave to hype their own solutions are rising in popularity. These
will tell you they are planning to incor- product? services streamline the various steps
porate AI into their processes or that it’s Now would be a good time to clearly involved along the legal investment pro-
“in the roadmap.” But what does this identify what AI is - and isn’t - and why cess. Here again, the promise of AI may
mean? What are the objectives of AI it matters for CRE executives. or may not be entirely accurate.
implementation in real estate, to what It is often possible to determine the
particular field can it be applied, and Differentiating AI from A-Try authenticity of a core AI offering by
which KPIs will measure its success? looking at its output. Where real AI is
Beyond focusing on applications, The current CRE techscape can be at work, you can expect the product
executives should also be concerned confusing, as there are a good deal of to support output decision-making

44
THE BUZZWORD insights, not just aggregated market Core AI system building requires
DICTIONARY information or recommendations. Ask highly specific specialties. This will
about the actionability of the product’s usually necessitate partnerships with
Artificial Intelligence (AI) final output as an important barometer technology professionals deeply knowl-
AI has been around for of authentic AI and to gauge what parts edgeable of AI’s building blocks and
decades, and refers to technol- of the product offering are utilizing AI. capabilities, particularly as they relate to
ogy programmed by humans Another way to detect a CRE tech real estate investment. This is not likely
that uses data and algorithms to company’s degree of intention—and to be an in-house effort.
automate a certain capacity of capability—is by looking into the orga- Define the areas most crucial to your
work that otherwise could only nization’s team. Is it comprised of real bottom line strategies and see who can
be done by humans, such as estate veterans and an IT guy? Or expert make the biggest impact there. The
play chess or detect anomalies data scientists and engineers with solid additions should be implemented seam-
in an MRI exam. backgrounds in deep tech? If the latter, lessly into your normal operations, yet
what’s the ratio between engineers and still bring quantifiable improvement to
Machine Learning (ML) AI/data scientists (ideally about 1:1)? your business goals.
Algorithmic machine learning is The answers to these questions will be Consider how AI can be directed
a subset of AI. In ML, humans very telling about the seriousness of the to create alpha for your organization.
don’t write all the code lines; company’s AI hype. Effective AI-based CRE insight should
rather, they teach the machine fuse the expertise of your company’s real
to train itself by running data Obtaining Impactful AI estate professionals with machine learn-
through the model, resulting in Applications for CRE Execs ing models to identify value creation
its ability to learn new things opportunities.
and change its own rules as So how should a real estate executive When efficiency or automation is the
it goes along. Some of the find the right AI-based solution to take objective, incorporating AI shouldn’t
machine learning algorithms in his or her investment potential to the just improve things incrementally - it
popular use today are mod- next level? Here are some crucial points needs to give you a serious exponential
eled after the human brain, in to keep in mind: jump. As such, your KPIs for relevant
what’s known as artificial neural AI is not a goal in and of itself. Define values should be through the roof. Don’t
networks. Technologies built on your objectives and KPIs and determine be misled into thinking AI implemen-
such topologies are what we that AI is the best technology for achiev- tation should be measured in any other
consider to be AI/ML. ing them. way but its effect on your bottom line.
When it comes to CRE, there is a Over the last few years, we’ve seen
Deep Learning (DL) huge difference between AI applica- AI disrupt a number of traditional
A subset of machine learning, tions being used peripherally, such as industries and the commercial real
deep learning is considered the SaaS portfolio managers or cloud ana- estate market should be no different.
“holy grail” of AI’s progressive lytics platforms, and platforms using By understanding vast amounts of data
evolution. Simply put, the great AI for core business objectives. It’s the that affect the entire real estate invest-
step forward of DL is its ability difference between an IoT house with ment lifecycle, AI technology has the
to automatically learn from all automated lights and remote heating potential to unlock billions of dollars
kinds of raw data types without capabilities, and AI-powered auton- in hidden value. Now’s the time for
human training — that is, auton- omously driving vehicles. Different real estate leaders to develop in-depth
omously teaching itself. organizations have different AI needs knowledge of the new tools available,
In its various forms, AI today - but it’s crucial to identify which solu- and how to apply them to their busi-
allows for much higher process- tions align with which organizational ness objectives. By sourcing authentic,
ing and automation than ever necessities. best-in-class AI technology, real estate
before and is currently the best There’s no such thing as one-size-fits- professionals will develop a far deeper
available way to harness big all when it comes to deep data solutions understanding of the real estate market
data. It will eventually carry out for your business. A fully bespoke AI than ever possible.
high-level predictive analytics integration must take into account
with high accuracy making the strategies and corresponding data
sense of enormous amounts groups of your particular business GUY ZIPORI (@Zipori) started
of relevant data and even model. Potential partners should display programming at the age of 14 and
improving our ability to predict a deep understanding of your business founded his first technology company
the future. goals and methods. at the age of 16.

45
Microsoft Wants Its Azure
Platform to Become
“the” IoT Cloud

CLOUD
CITIES BY FRANCO FARAUDO

1983
feels like a long time ago.
Michael Jackson first per-
formed his iconic “moon-
walk,” Apple released its boxy Lisa computer,
and Return of the Jedi broke box office records.
But even way back then, there was what we
today call “cloud storage.” The first major com-
mercial online service provider, CompuServe,
offered its consumer users a small amount of
disk space that could be used to store any files
they chose to upload.

47
47
CLOUD CITIES

While the buzz word that is “the cloud” has snow- The first was Willow, an integrated building information
balled in the last five years or so the concept is nothing software firm. Their CEO, Josh Ridley, met Microsoft’s
new. Our emails, for example, have been stored on the Bert Van Hoof at the Realcomm conference last year
cloud since the early days of the technology. Today, of where they were invited to come to Seattle and given the
course, our data landscape is exponentially more compli- opportunity to join the Azure Digital Twin pilot pro-
cated than back in the CompuServe era, and it requires gram. They partnered to bring a building in Rottweil,
much more from cloud storage than just a place to Germany onto their platforms.
upload data. Of the partnership Ridley told me that “the advantage
One of the reasons for this is the global network of to us in using Microsoft’s secure cloud environment to
connected devices that we have dubbed the ‘Internet of develop our digital twin solution is the ease of product
Things’. Again, connected devices are nothing new, but development and the security of their cloud, meaning
the sheer number of them and the amount of data that building owners have confidence that the building and
they collect is uncharted territory. In 2015 there were occupant data will be kept safe. The partnership with
15.41 billion connected devices, today there are around Microsoft lead the way in creating valued partnerships
27 billion. While that seems like a lot already we are still with independent software vendors, resulting in a con-
in the early days according to experts. 127 new devices solidated platform for our mutual customers.”
get connected every second and the number of these sen- Much like Apple’s App Store, Azure requires develop-
sors, alarms, cameras, detectors, cars, medical devices, ers to adhere to certain specifications about how their
toasters, and just about anything else you can think of programs will interact with others. Unlike Apple, Mic-
will reach 75 billion by 2025. rosoft offers a lot of help for developers that want to
A large number of these devices are installed in our create software and connect hardware to their platform.
buildings, houses and cities, created by thousands of This helps all of the applications on Azure “play nice” as
different companies and speaking hundreds of different well as significantly boosts the security of every one of
languages. Plus, many collect and analyse such dense their partners. At Realcomm this year, Microsoft hosts
information that they need to do some of their process- an entire pavilion with over twenty five of their part-
ing on site in order to eliminate latency that would ren- ners, much of which is dedicated to cybersecurity and
der many of their functions too slow to be useful. interoperability.
So, there is an obvious need for one company to step Another company that runs on an Azure backbone is
up and become the unified infrastructure on which built Cohesion. When I asked their CEO Thru Shivakumar
world IoT can connect and integrate. Microsoft thinks why they chose Microsoft he said, “We chose to part-
they can be that company. Last year they reorganized in ner with Microsoft because they provide better support
a way that, shockingly, didn’t include a division for their for hybrid solutions, such as our intelligent building
flagship Windows product. Instead it included an entire software platform, which unites information from both
business unit dedicated to “Experiences & Devices and on-premise infrastructure and cloud-based sources.”
Cloud + AI.” Hybrid cloud solutions is also not something new.
If their reorganization alone didn’t prove their desire Again, email software has been doing this for years.
to be on the forefront of what is expected to be a $457 But it has become even more important now that IoT
Billion IoT industry by 2020, then the $5 billion that sensors are collecting terabytes of data that needs to be
they have earmarked for IoT research should solidify analyzed and fed back into the overall schema in second
their intentions. and/or milliseconds.
In order to create a universal platform that IoT devel- Microsoft’s plans for Azure IoT is still in its infancy.
opers can build on and the end users can use as a single As they grow the platform they expect it to become one
dashboard for their growing stack of devices, Microsoft of the easiest ways for IoT developers and users to easily
has created what they are called Azure IoT. Azure is connect into an entire ecosystem of software and hard-
Microsoft’s cloud computing service created for build- ware. They also have plans to create a data marketplace,
ing, testing, deploying, and managing applications and where building owners and managers could sell their
services through Microsoft-managed data centers. Their usage data or buy other data sources like nearby traf-
IoT extension of the program includes an “Azure dig- fic usage or advanced weather mod==eling that could
ital twin” component that will organize all of a build- be easily plugged into their analytical systems. Like any
ing’s information within an easily understandable digital marketplace or ecosystem, this will take a while to reach
replica of a property. a critical mass. But when it does it might make for a net-
In order to understand how Microsoft was working to work of IoT providers that is too robust to pass up. < >
help PropTech technologies with their Azure platform 48
we reached out to a few companies working with them.
PROMOTED BY ALTUS GROUP

Finding the Right Deal


is Only the Beginning

50
BY FRANCO FARAUDO

E
veryone has a story about money they wasted on
technology. When buying new gadgets (just like with new
software), it is often hard to know what their real value
will be, which features will be used, or how difficult it will be to
learn or to make a habit of using them. Some of this stems from
the fact that many people see technology as a cure-all pill, to be
swallowed without thinking, blindly trusted as a sure fire way to
fix all of our problems. When it comes to software, particularly
enterprise software, the best technology integrators realize that
the tech is just one piece of the puzzle. It needs to fit into a larger
landscape that includes team dynamics, corporate culture, and
workflow processes.

51
PROMOTED BY ALTUS GROUP

This is a problem which the companies that create


technology think about a lot. Pushing out a product,
or a version of a product, that isn’t able to get trac-
tion is the slow road to failure. Good design can make
the difference between applications that get installed
and ones that actually get used. One of the first steps
in the design process is understanding overall design

acquisition teams work is fundamental


constraints and nothing can be more constraining
than (sometimes irrational) human behavior. So it
makes sense that some of the most rigorous research
into how work gets done comes from the enterprise
software providers that build products to help.
Altus Group is one such company creating technol-
ogy for real estate investment firms. Their enterprise
software, ARGUS, is one of the most trusted in the
world for understanding the valuing of income gener-

Understanding how real estate


ating properties. Since the valuation process is one of

to creating dealflow software.


the most important tasks for any real estate investor
they have spent a lot of time learning how acquisition
teams evaluate and decide on which properties to buy
and projects to fund. Over the course of a few months,
they spent hundreds of hours on calls and in meetings
with some of the world’s top acquisition teams. This
process gave them some interesting insights into how
teams work and which ones have been able to make
the transition to a more sophisticated, digital work-
flow. It also informed on how they designed their new
ARGUS Acquire acquisition software. “It was import-
ant for us to look objectively at how the industry was
incorporating technology into their daily tasks rather
than point them out as Luddites or dinosaurs,” said
Tom Hazeldine, one of the project leaders for the
ARGUS Acquire design team.
They learned early on that deal management was
only a part of what acquisition teams do. Tracking a
deal through the pipeline is the easy part. The real
work comes from the rigorous modeling that is the
culmination of a long due diligence process. In order
to understand the impact of changes in the assump-
tions, most acquisition teams will create ten to fifteen
different models and compare their outputs. These
usually get curated into three options: a “base” case
and the best and worst scenarios.
So to help analysts keep track of all of their mod-
els, the Altus Group team designed their ARGUS
Acquire application to bring KPIs like present value,
IRR, NOI, and cap rate into one place no matter
whether they originated—from their platform or an
Excel spreadsheet. This way, a quick glance can help the analysts, the managers, the principals, all of us
see the different outcomes of each forecast model. are looking for projects. Depending on the climate we
They also discovered that some of the most common might be doing a ton of deals, or none.”
addendums to an investment package were cash flow Opening the pipeline up to their entire team gives
and rent roll forecasts, so they created a tool that can them more eyes on market, each with their own exper-
generate those reports automatically within ARGUS tise. Importantly, the matchmaker’s involvement didn’t
Acquire. end after the introduction. Minckler said, “whoever
It is important not to understate the role Microsoft’s brings the deal in becomes its champion, its cheer-
iconic Excel program is to investment firms. Some leader, if you will.” This means that they need a way
analysts are incredibly sophisticated and blindingly to explain what they saw in the deal in the first place.
fast at creating models in Excel. With that knowledge, “What is helpful is that anyone from our team, even if
the Acquire designers knew that rather than trying they don’t understand the discounted cash flows as
to force everything into a separate application, they well as our investment managers, can get into Acquire
needed to allow easy integration between Excel files and talk the team through it, and figure out what will
on analysts’ computers and the Acquire platform. happen if the projected rents or cap rates change.”
Many of the teams that conduct this process have During the process of building ARGUS Acquire,
a similar workflow: analysts would do the work of Altus Group found that while there were a lot of sim-
creating, testing and curating the models and then ilarities in how commercial real estate acquisition
would present them to an investment committee. The teams work, there was also quite a bit of variation in
researchers learned that these committee meetings how they think about each deal. Many organizations
are the most pivotal moments in the entire process. use their own internal knowledge such as compa-
The committees are usually comprised of senior-level rable leases in their own portfolio to construct their
managers or partners at the firm. These executives are assumptions. Others find creative ways to understand
always incredibly busy so they need to be able to have where the local market is headed. The art of analysis
a high-level overview of all of the different investment will always be the secret sauce for an investment team
options (and all of their models) in order to make their but creating ways to bring structure to the process
decisions in a timely manner. If they are not satisfied and increase visibility of the work being done for the
with the evidence they might elect to pass on a proj- entire team helps investment companies do more of
ect. Tom and his team found out that this part of the what they do best.
process created the most anxiety for analysts. “Teams Altus Group looks at what they are doing as more
will usually put between three to ten hours into each than just creating real estate software. Successful
one of these deals so they don’t want them to get real estate investment teams have the ability to cre-
passed for lack of analysis,” Hazeldine said. For this ate massive amounts of value for their shareholders
reason they created ARGUS Acquire with the ability to and for the cities in which they invest. They want to
quickly change assumptions in models and learn the be able to empower these teams to make their most
implications on a property’s value in real-time. “Over informed decisions in the most efficient way possi-
half of the analysts we surveyed said that the ability ble. To do this they conducted extensive research and
to recalculate models during the committee meeting implemented the lessons they learned to make their
would definitely help them make their case.” new ARGUS Acquire software the most comprehen-
To get a sense of how teams used this ability to sive in the industry. They plan on continuing to use the
adjust models to their advantage I talked to some- feedback they receive to create a tool that responds
one doing just that. Jamie Minckler is an analyst at to actual pain points and integrates seamlessly into
Matan Companies, a real estate agency out of Bal- the property industry’s workflow, rather than trying to
lenger Creek, Maryland. They are a full service shop change the way successful teams have been doing
- they manage, broker, and invest, so they are a good their business for decades.
example of how numerous regional commercial real
estate companies work. “We don’t have an ‘acquisi- To learn more, visit argus.altusgroup.com/
tion team,’” Minckler explained. “The leasing team, argus-acquire

53
RESEARCH

RELEARNING LEASING
A changing market demands new perspectives
BY TRAVIS BARRINGTON

To understand the modern economy, for a business. Procurement of office happened in the office leasing market
you have to examine how businesses space can be costly in terms of time and what its future might look like.
are able to operate within it. How they and resources, as well as a potential Our team combed through dozens of
compete, grow and fail can give a sense disruption to operations. Also, leasing reports and was able to use some great
of larger trends. Unlike economists decisions can easily become conten- data from our partners at CompStak to
and politicians, who employ a set of tious within an organization, due to try and answer the question: “How is
assumptions to ground their view of the many stakeholders and competing the office real estate industry adapting
the economy, businesses are tied to real interests involved. to the modern economy?”
forces from their customers, investors For most office tenants, real estate is Our results were intriguing. We
and regulators. Since most businesses not their core business activity. Leases found that lease terms are actually
need a physical location and real estate are only signed every three or more changing. The lengths of the agree-
can often be one of the biggest costs years, and the lease term often outlasts ments are shortening and even the
for many companies, the way compa- the tenure of the decision makers. As a largest corporations are adopting
nies use office space is representative of result, most rely on third-party special- co-working as part of their corpo-
the modern business climate. ists, brokers, and consultants for advice rate occupier strategy. This is driven
And things very well might be chang- and to work through the details of the by numerous forces including an
ing. Offices have started to become a lease. Even in larger organizations with economic uncertainty after such a
more fluid piece of many companies’ an internal corporate real estate func- sustained period of growth and new
P&Ls and a more integrated part of all tion, it can be difficult to capture the accounting procedures that change
of our lives. This is, after all, the nar- thoughtful attention of senior man- the way leases are categorized. It also
rative that WeWork has been selling. agement unless driven by the business, follows a growing trend of businesses
The way we work is changing, people such as in expansion or consolidation. outsourcing any non-core part of their
are working more like contractors, and However, the tide is shifting. In operations.
businesses want their real estate to grow recent years real estate has become rec- There are a lot of larger implications
and contract at the pace that they do. ognized as a strategic tool for attracting from these findings. Since companies
Say what you want about WeWork’s and retaining the best employees, are prioritizing flexibility and full-ser-
valuation or unit economics, they have increasing productivity, shaping brand vice spaces, many real estate firms are
done a hell of a job at crafting that tale. perception, and instilling culture and either become much more involved in
But co-working companies like values. As a result, the C-suite has the day-to-day management of build-
WeWork represent only a tiny sample begun to take notice and place greater ings or are finding ways to partner with
size of the overall total of office space. emphasis on workplace and the cor- others and take on more of an asset
They might make a lot of noise but they porate real estate function. They are management role. This study and its
are not necessarily a great representa- willing to spend more for the right findings were the first of many for our
tion of how businesses are approaching space, whether that means the ameni- platform. We think that understand-
their office real estate needs. ties that they need to run their business ing what is happening in the real estate
Plus, let’s face it, real estate is emo- or the flexibility to grow and shrink world is critical for understanding the
tional and not always rational. At one teams without wasteful unused space. economy as a whole. We want to do
time or another, we’ve all heard about In order to try and understand how our part to find the signal in the noise
a company that relocated their head- office spaces are adapting to this shift in and help keep the industry informed of
quarters simply because the new CEO business strategy and corporate culture, important changes. There will still be
wanted to be closer to home. Or per- we put our researchers to work investi- surprises, of course, but we hope our
haps you know of a tenant with a space gating how lease terms have changed in research can help some of our readers
requirement that included being in a the “era of WeWork.” We broke down stay ahead of the curve, be it meander-
more prestigious building, on a higher the effects of factors like demographic ing or sharp. < >
floor or having a better view than any changes, macroeconomics, the “agile”
of their competitors in the market. transformation and, of course, tech- To learn more, visit www.propmodo.
Indeed, the leasing process isn’t easy nology to try and understand what has com/research

54
The future will be
defined by leaders
who understand
the larger context
in which the real
estate industry
operates.

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The Next Big Tech
Company Might Be
More Human Than Tech
BY FRANCO FARAUDO

N
orwegian Nobel prize laureate Christian Lous Lange once said,
“technology is a useful servant, but a dangerous master.” He was
speaking about the industrial revolution, which shaped the world he lived
in, but his words hold true for the digital revolution that we are experiencing now.
Technology’s never-ending quest for efficiency can empower us to do things
never before possible but it can also be a demanding overlord, dehumanizing and
objectifying the people that grease the gears on which it runs.
We have seen this play out in a number of ways. Employees in the supply
warehouses that make Amazon such a master at logistics have complained of
embarrassing and often cruel working conditions. Facebook, the connective
tissue of modern day extended families and casual acquaintances, was revealed
to have secretly sold the data of its users to other tech companies and is now
being sued for its role in facilitating the spread of false information before the U.S.
presidential election.

57
MORE HUMAN THAN TECH

At first glance it might seem like indentured servitude to the tech- that attention is the most important currency that we have.”
nology of the modern world is inevitable. Machines have become While all of us have chores that we would be much happier to
better than humans at most tasks so we all have to work harder outsource, some of the barriers to this type of in-home service was
to compete. Technology companies are created to extract max- a cultural aversion to asking for help. This is a rather American
imum value so they will eventually find ways to get that value ideal, dedicated in-home help is much more prevalent in other
from the people using it. But it turns out that this is not the case. countries, as we see other people doing our dirty work for us as
A new breed of tech companies are starting to design technol- an objectification of others.
ogy to empower the people that use it rather than replace, sell or But this seems to be changing and this is where Marcela sees
enslave them. her company becoming one of the most important parts of many
One of these companies might just be the biggest tech com- people’s lives. “Originally we saw that people were ashamed to
pany you have never heard of. The company is Hello Alfred, a admit that they had an Alfred but now they are going into leas-
New York-based PropTech company powering the home of the ing offices and asking for it,” Marcela said. “These are good jobs
future through technology and hospitality. They want to create that require craft, there is a lot of pride in a job that creates this
a human operating system for residential buildings by providing level of hospitality.” She said that one of her main sources of new
residents of buildings with trusted, personal help in the form of employees is new moms coming back into the workforce since
“Alfred Home Managers.” These home managers are a power- they enjoy doing things for others and understand what it takes
ful part of the building’s offering and might be a glimpse at the to make a household run. There is a certain grace and compas-
future of urban dwelling. sion that comes with helping others in their daily lives. One of
Before you think that this is a niche company that only helps the most celebrated movies of the year was Roma, which did a
you schedule cleaning services remember that, while algorithms beautiful job showing the closeness between families and their
are getting better at predicting what people want, humans are domestic employees.
still far superior. “We like to think of our Alfred’s as detectives,” The analogy behind the company’s name is telling. Hello Alfred
said Marcela Sapone, co-founder and CEO of Hello Alfred. “Our is named after Batman’s (or more precisely Bruce Wayne’s) per-
world is about the relationship that our Alfreds have with the sonal assistant but in reality he is so much more than that. Alfred
resident, built on a foundation of trust, ” she told me. “They are acts as a confidant, sidekick, co-pilot, and even father-figure for
not just help that is in the background, these trained specialists his vigilante employer. In her mind, Marcela thinks that having
are going to act as a proxy on your behalf.” Alfred is Batman’s superpower, “not only is having help not a bad
Think about it, when was the last time that Google, Amazon thing it is one of the main ways that you can be successful. Every
or Pandora introduced you to your new favorite product, book successful person has people that help them on a daily basis.”
or song? Personal preference is about so much more than past From very early on Marcela and her co-founder Jessica Beck
order history. What we need and want is tied up more in our understood the importance of putting their employees first. “We
aspirations than our browser history. “Once we are in your home were the first women to win TechCrunch Disrupt and at the time
we can learn a lot about what you care about,” Marcela said. “Do it was the era of ‘uberization of everything,’” she said. “We got a
you like houseplants but struggle to keep them alive? Not only lot of negative press because people thought that we were just a
will your Alfred start watering for you they might go out and buy way for people to click a button and get your house cleaned. They
a few more plants for your home. Do you like to entertain? Then didn’t understand that with our Alfreds, we were creating a posi-
your Alfred might find ways to make it easier for you to have your tion of very high importance in the lives of residents.”
next dinner party.” I would bet that a human would never waste Hello Alfred’s commitment to their service providers goes much
your time by showing you an ad for an item you just purchased. further than just talk. Since the beginning, they made the often
An algorithm on the other hand... unpopular decision to make every Alfred a W-2 employee with
Each Alfred is given a budget to buy things for their residents benefits rather than a 1099 contractor like many tech compa-
to try and can offer expertise or recommendations in particular nies prefer. They also created a bill of rights that they expect their
areas From there they can facilitate the order and even set it up coders to follow and consider themselves a “human technology
in your home. “We have Alfreds that buy furniture and electron- company.” “Everyone that comes on is required to be an Alfred
ics, anything really,” Sapone told me. HelloAlfred partners with for a week. Our most important customer is Alfred so you have to
vetted and values-oriented local service partners and even work understand their job. We were finding engineers who didn’t want
with other brands to get samples of products and invites to special to do that. We have said no to a lot of great engineering talent
events to their residents.This is akin to what Amazon and Google because they are not interested in the full human picture.”
want to do with their voice assistance but on a much more per- In the modern world, tech visionaries tend to be idolized for
sonal level. what they can create. But it is important to understand that they
In-home services is a quickly growing sector of the economy too need to be mindful of the consequences of their actions, or
largely due to the increasingly popular desire to spend money on the actions of their creations. Rather than ignoring the digital
experiences rather than “things.” As Marcela puts it, “We are life revolution that is permeating every aspect of our lives the next
rich and time poor. People have always been pretty bad at doing a generation of creators are designing technology so it can be our
cost-benefit analysis of what is the value of all of our time but that servant, or our assistants’ servant, rather than our master. < >
is changing, I think that as a culture we are becoming more aware

58
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