CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL DAY 1 2019

TRENDS
RACE 1 – SUPREME NOVICES HURDLE

AGE (WIN-PLACE-RUNNERS)

4YO: 0-0-3

5YO: 4-18-79

6YO: 6-11-61
7YO: 0-1-13

8YO: 0-0-4

9YO: 0-0-1

BREEDING (WIN-PLACE-RUNNERS)

GB: 1-4-38

IRE: 5-15-81

FR: 4-11-35

USA: 0-0-5

GER: 0-0-1

SWI: 0-0-1

OFFICAL RATINGS (WIN-PLACE-RUNNERS)

0: 0-1-19

91 TO 139: 1-4-59

140 TO 149: 5-14-63

150 TO 162: 4-11-20

RECENT/PAST FORM

8 OF THE PAST 10 WINNERS HAD WON LAST TIME OUT – THE OTHERS WERE 2ND AND 6TH.

10 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAD RUN WITHIN 16 AND 90 DAYS LAST TIME OUT
10 OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WINNERS HAD RUN IN A RACE 10 OR LESS RUNNERS LAST TIME OUT –
THOUGH THOSE THAT RAN IN A 4 RUNNER FIELD ARE 0 FROM 13.

10 FROM THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAD CONTESTED A NON HANDICAP RACE LAST TIME OUT

10 OF THE PAST 10 WINNERS HAD CONTESTED A NOVICES HURDLE LAST TIME OUT

10 OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WINNERS CAME FROM RUNNING 2 TO 5 TIMES IN THAT SEASON – 8 OF THE
10 HAD RUN 4 TO 5 RUNS IN THE UK AND IRELAND

10 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAD THEIR LAST WIN IN A NOVICE HURDLE RACE

10 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAD WON 2 TO 4 TIMES THAT SEASON

9 OF THE PAST 10 WINNERS HAD WON THEIR LAST RACE IN CLASS 1 OR CLASS 2 RACE

9 OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WINNERS HAD BEEN IN THE TOP 6 OF THE MARKET

8 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAD NEVER WON AT THE TRACK

8 OF THE PAST 10 WINNERS HAD PLACED IN THE TOP 3 ON THEIR FIRST EVER UK RACE

9 OF THE PAST 10 WINNERS HAD FIRST UK RUN UNDER NH RULES – THE OTHER BEING THE ALL
WEATHER. FLAT HORSES ARE 0 FROM 34 ATTEMPTS.

TRAINER TRENDS

W P MULLINS HAS 3 WINNERS FROM 27 RUNNERS AND 6 OF THE 27 HAVE PLACED IN THE PAST

N J HENDERSON HAS HAD 18 RUNNERS AND 1 WINNER WITH 9 OF HIS HORSES PLACING

GORDON ELLIOT 1 WINNER FROM 4 RUNNERS WITH 2 OF THE 4 PLACING

RACE 2 – RACING POST ARKLE

AGE (WIN-PLACE-RUNNERS)

5YO: 0-0-4

6YO: 4-7-28
7YO: 5-15-42

8YO: 1-4-12

9YO: 0-0-6

10YO: 0-0-1

BREEDING (WIN-PLACE-RUNNERS)

GB: 1-4-13

IRE: 5-15-46

FR: 4-7-29

USA: 0-0-1

GER: 0-0-2

NZ: 0-0-2

OFFICAL RATINGS (WIN-PLACE-RUNNERS)

135 TO 150: 1-10-51

151 TO 170: 9-16-42

RECENT/PAST FORM

9 OF THE PAST 10 WINNERS HAVE PLACED 1ST LAST TIME OUT

10 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAD RAN 16 TO 25(3) OR 31 TO 90 (7) DAYS AGO

10 OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WINNERS HAD RUN IN A FIELD SIZE OF 3 TO 7 LAST TIME OUT

10 OF THE PAST 10 WINNERS RAN IN A CHASE OR A NOVICE CHASE LAST TIME OUT

10 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAD RUN 2 TO 5 TIMES IN THAT SEASON

10 OF THE PAST 10 WINNERS HAD 1 TO 4 WINS IN THAT SEASON ALSO

9 OF THE PAST 10 WINNERS RAN IN A CLASS 1 RACE LAST TIME OUT

9 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAVE HAD 1 OR 2 RUNS AT THE TRACK – 5 OF THESE HAVE WON AT THE
TRACK
9 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS WON THEIR LAST RACE IN A FIELD OF 3 TO 6 RUNNERS

8 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAD EITHER PLACED 1ST OR 2ND IN THEIRE FIRST EVER RUN IN UK AND
IRELAND

7 OF THE PAST 10 WINNERS THEIRE LAST WIN CAME IN A NOVICE CHASE

TRAINER TRENDS

W P MULLINS 3 WINS FROM 10 RUNNERS AND 4 OF THE 10 HAVE PLACED

N J HENDERSON 3 WINS FROM 11 RUNNERS AND 6 OF HIS 11 RUNNERS HAVE PLACED

HENRY DE BROMHEAD 1 WIN IN 7 RUNNERS AND 4 PLACING

P J HOBBS 1 WINNER IN THE PAST FROM 4 RUNNERS AND 2 OF THE 4 PLACED FOR HIM
RACE 3 - ULTIMA HANDICAP CHASE

AGE (WIN-PLACE-RUNNERS)

6YO: 1-4-16
7YO: 2-12-41

8YO: 5-10-59

9YO: 1-9-53

10YO: 1-3-28

11YO: 0-2-16

12YO: 0-0-4

13YO: 0-0-1

BREEDING (WIN-PLACE-RUNNERS)

GB: 1-11-42

IRE: 8-23-129

FR: 1-5-39

USA: 0-0-2

GER: 0-1-2

NZ: 0-0-2

BEL: 0-0-2

WEIGHT (WIN-PLACE-RUNNERS)

9-8 TO 10-6: 2-8-49

10-7 TO 10-13: 3-13-68

11-0 TO 11-5: 3-12-63

11-6 + : 2-7-38

OFFICAL RATINGS (WIN-PLACE-RUNNERS)

122 TO 139: 2-10-82

140 TO 149: 7-23-99

150 + : 1-7-37

RECENT/PAST FORM

10 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAVE PLACE 6TH OR BETTER LAST TIME OUT

10 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAVE ALREADY RUN AT CHELTENHAM – THOUGH 2 OR 5 TIMES RACED
AT THE TRACK IS A COMBINED 0 FROM 38 ATTEMPTS.

10 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS WON BETWEEN 0 AND £21,000 PRIZE MONEY ON THEIR LAST WIN

9 OF THE PAST 10 WINNERS HAVE RUN WITHIN THE LAST 16 TO 25 DAYS OR 31 TO 45 DAYS

9 OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WINNERS HAD WON THEIR LAST RACE IN A FIELD SIZE BETWEEN 4 AND 9
RUNNERS. 5 WINNERS HAVE COME FROM 4 RUNNER FIELDS – 6 AND 8 COMBINED ARE 0 FROM 29.

9 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAVE HAD 2 TO 5 RUNS IN THE SEASON – 8 COME IN THE 3 TO 5
BRACKET

9 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAVE RUN OVER THE DISTANCE 0 TO 2 TIMES

8 OF THE PAST 10 WINNERS RAN IN A RACE WITH PRIZE MONEY BETWEEN 0 AND £21,000 – THE
OTHER TWO WINNERS CAME IN THE £31,500 AND £35,000 BRACKET

8 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAVENT HAD A CLAIMER ON BOARD

8 OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WINNERS HAD COME IN THE TOP 3 ON THEIR FIRST RUN IN THE UK AND
IRELAND

7 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS THEIR LAST WIN CAME IN A NOVICE CHASE OR HANDICAP CHASE RACE

HEADGER SHOWS – 3 WINS FOR CHEEKPIECES AND 3 WINS FOR BLINKER – 4 HORSES HAVE NOT
WORN HEADGEAR – WORTH NOTING COME THE DAY

TRAINER TRENDS

JONJO ONEIL HAS HAD 14 RUNNERS HERE WITH 3 WINNERS AND 4 OF THE 14 PLACING

D E PIPE AGAIN HAS HAD 14 RUNNERS WITH 2 WINNERS AND 5 OF THE 14 PLACING

NICK WILLIAMS HAS HAD 3 RUNNERS IN THE PAST WITH 1 WINNER AND ALL 3 HORSES PLACING

N A TWISTEN DAVIES HAS ATTEMPTED TO WIN THIS RACE WITH 14 RUNNERS AND NOT HAD A
WINNER OR PLACER.

THE SAME GOES WITH VENETIA WILLIAMS 0 FROM 14 WITH NO PLACERS

N J HENDERSON HAS HAD 13 RUNNERS WITH 0 WINNERS

P F NICHOLLS 11 ATTEMPTS WITH 0 WINNERS

RACE 4 - CHAMPION HURDLE

AGE (WIN-PLACE-RUNNERS)

5YO: 0-4-28

6YO: 4-11-30
7YO: 4-6-23

8YO: 1-5-17

9YO: 1-2-7

10YO: 0-1-4

11YO: 0-1-4

12YO: 0-0-2

13YO: 0-0-1

BREEDING (WIN-PLACE-RUNNERS)

GB: 1-5-18

IRE: 6-17-59

FR: 3-7-37

USA: 0-0-1

GER: 0-1-1

OFFICAL RATINGS (WIN-PLACE-RUNNERS)

135 TO 155: 0-0-32

156 TO 165: 6-17-61

166 TO 173: 4-12-23

RECENT/PAST FORM

10 OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WINNERS HAD PLACED IN THE TOP 4 LAST TIME OUT – 7 WINNING

10 OF THE PAST 10 WINNERS HAVE RUN WITHIN THE LAST 21 TO 90 DAYS BEFORE THE RACE – 5
WINENRS WERE IN THE 31-45 BRACKET

10 OF THE PAST 10 WINNERS HAD CONTESTED A HURDLE RACE LAST TIME OUT

10 OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WINNERS HAVE RUN 2 TO 4 TIMES IN THE SEASON – 7 WINNERS HAD RUN 3
TIMES

10 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAVE WON 1 TO 3 TIMES IN THE SEASON

10 OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WINNERS HAVE HAD 0 OR 1 WIN AT THE TRACK

9 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAVE 1 TO 3 RUNS AT THE TRACK

9 OF THE PAST 10 WINNERS HAD WON THEIR LAST WIN IN A NON HANDICAP HURDLE RACE

9 OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WINNNERS HAD WON THEIR LAST RACE IN A FIELD SIZE BETWEEN 3 AND 6
RUNNERS

9 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAD RUN IN A RACE WITH 3 TO 6 RUNNERS LAST TIME OUT – 8 WERE IN
3 TO 5

8 OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WINNERS WENT OFF ODDS OF 9/1 OR LOWER

8 OF THE PAST 10 WINNERS HAD COME 1ST OR 2ND IN THEIR FIRST RACE IN THE UK AND IRELAND

TRAINER TRENDS

W P MULLINS HAS 4 WINNERS FORM 19 RUNNERS AND OF THE 19, 9 HAVE PLACED

N J HENDERSON HAS 4 WINNERS ALSO FROM 23 RUNNERS, 10 HAVE PLACED FROM THE 23

A KING HAS HAD 8 RUNNERS IN THE PAST WITH NO WINNERS OR PLACED HORSES
RACE 5 - MARES HURDLE

AGE (WIN-PLACE-RUNNERS)

4YO: 0-0-2

5YO: 2-3-22

6YO: 1-10-50
7YO: 4-8-45

8YO: 1-7-35

9YO: 1-1-8

10YO: 1-1-3

11YO: 0-0-1

BREEDING (WIN-PLACE-RUNNERS)

GB: 0-6-71

IRE: 1-10-61

FR: 9-13-32

USA: 0-0-1

GER: 0-1-1

OFFICAL RATINGS (WIN-PLACE-RUNNERS)

0 TO 145: 0-34-139

145 TO 167: 10-17-27

RECENT/PAST FORM

10 OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WINNERS HAVE PLACED IN THE TOP 3 LAST TIME OUT – 8 HAD WON

TAKE OUT THE 5 WINS OF QUEVAGA 301-365 DAYS OUT – YOU WANT HORSES TO BE RUNNING 16-
20; 31-45 AND 46-60 DAYS OUT. THE OTHER 5 WINS HAVE COME HERE WITH COMBINED PLACES OF
19.

9 OF THE PAST 10 WINNERS HAD RUN IN A NON HANDICAP HURDLE RACE LAST TIME OUT –
RUNNING IN A HANDICAP HURDLE RACE IS 0 FROM 33 RUNNERS

9 OF THE PAST 10 WINNERS HAD RUN IN A 6 TO 10 RUNNER RACE LAST TIME OUT

9 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAD THEIR LAST WIN A NON HANDICAP HURDLE RACE
10 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAD RAN 0 TO 5 TIMES IN THE SEASON

10 OF THE PAST 10 WINNERS HAD AT LEAST 3 WINS – THOUGH HORSES WITH 5 CAREER WINS IN UK
AND IRELAND HAVE A RECORD OF 0 FROM 20.

10 OF THE PAST 10 WINNERS HAVE RECORDED A WIN OVER THE DISTANCE – HORSES THAT HAVE
NOT WON OVER THE DISTANCE ARE 0 FROM 101

10 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAVE BEEN AN SP PRICE OF 6/1 OR LOWER – 7 WINNERS HAVE BEEN
PRICE 2/1 OR LESS

TRAINER TRENDS

WP MULLINS HAS DOMINATED THIS RACE WITH 9 WINNERS FROM 16 HORSES – 12 OF THE 16 HAVE
PLACED.
RACE 6 - CLOSE BROTHERS NOVICES HANDICAP CHASE

AGE (WIN-PLACE-RUNNERS)

5YO: 1-2-12

6YO: 4-11-43
7YO: 3-14-75

8YO: 1-8-49

9YO: 1-5-17

10YO: 0-0-2

BREEDING (WIN-PLACE-RUNNERS)

GB: 2-6-35

IRE: 6-28-122

FR: 2-5-36

USA: 0-1-4

GER: 0-0-1

WEIGHT (WIN-PLACE-RUNNERS)

10-5 TO 11-0: 1-3-22

11-01 TO 11-06: 3-13-71

11-07 TO 12-0: 6-24-105

OFFICAL RATINGS (WIN-PLACE-RUNNERS)

128 TO 135: 2-8-57

136 T0 140: 7-26-118

141 + : 1-6 -23

RECENT/PAST FORM

8 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAS PLACED IN THE FIRST 3 LAST TIME OUT – 6 HAD WON

10 OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WINNERS HAD RUN WITHIN 16 TO 25 DAYS OR 31 TO 45 DAYS LAST TIME
OUT
10 OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WINNERS HAD CONTESTED LAST TIME OUT IN FIELD SIZE UNDER 13
RUNNERS – THOUGH THOSE HORSE TO RUN IN A 4 RUNNER FIELD ARE 0 FROM 27

10 OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WINNERS HAVE RUN 3 TO 7 TIMES IN THE SEASON – WITH 7 WINNERS
RUNNING 3 OR 4 TIMES IN THE SEASON

9 OF THE PAST 10 WINNERS HAD WON 0 TO 2 TIMES IN THE SEASON

9 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAD RUN 0 – 2 TIMES AT THE TRACK – 7 OF THESE WINNERS HAD 1 RUN
AT THE TRACK

HORSES THAT HAVE RUN 2 TIMES OVER THE DISTANCE ARE 0 FROM 28 RUNS

9 OF THE PAST 10 WINNERS WERE NOT THE SP FAVOURITE

10 OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WINNERS HAVE WON AT ODDS OF 13/2 TO 16/1 AT SP

8 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS DIDN’T WIN HEADGEAR – THE OTHER TWO WINNERS HAD WORN
CHEEKPIECES

9 OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WINNERS HAVE NOT HAD A CLAIMER ON BOARD

9 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS THEIR LAST WIN CAME IN A RACE WITH PRIZE MONEY BETWEEN 0 AND
£8,000

8 OF THE PAST 10 WINNERS HAD THEIR LAST WIN IN A CHASE RACE

TRAINER TRENDS

N J HENDERSON 1 WIN FROM 18 RUNNERS WITH 5 PLACERS FROM THE 18

A FLEMING HAS A WIN FROM 3 RUNNERS WITH 2 PLACING

N A TWISTON DAVIS IS 0 FROM 10 RUNNERS WITH 2 PLACES

RACE 7 - NH CHALLENGE CUP

AGE (WIN-PLACE-RUNNERS)

5YO: 0-0-1

6YO: 2-4-21
7YO: 3-12-73

8YO: 3-9-54

9YO: 1-2-16

10YO: 1-3-8

12YO: 0-0-1

BREEDING (WIN-PLACE-RUNNERS)

GB: 1-3-28

IRE: 7-23-124

FR: 1-3-19

USA: 1-1-2

GER: 0-0-1

OFFICAL RATINGS (WIN-PLACE-RUNNERS)

99 TO 125: 0-0-27

126 TO 135: 2-4-59

136 TO 145: 2-14-61

146 TO 159: 6-12-27

RECENT/PAST FORM

9 OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WINNERS HAVE PLACED 1,2,3 OR 5 LAST TIME OUT – THOSE HORSES
FINISHING 4TH LAST TIME OUT ARE 0 FROM 20

9 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAD RUN WITHIN THE LAST 16 TO 90 DAYS

10 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAD 2,4,5,9 OR 11 RUNS IN THE SEASON – HORSES WITH 3 OR 6 RUNS
IN THE SEASON ARE 0 FROM 47. 4 AND 5 TIMES ARE 3 A PIECE.

10 OF THE PAST 10 WINNERS HAVE COMPETED IN A RACE LAST TIME OUT WITH 3 TO 12 RUNNERS

9 OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WINNERS HAVE NEVER RUN OVER THE DISTANCE

9 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAVE RUN IN A NON HANDICAP RACE LAST TIME OUT
9 OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WINNERS HAD PLACED IN THE TOP 5 IN THEIR FIRST EVER UK AND IRELAND
RUN

8 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS HAVE HAD AT LEAST ONE WIN IN THE SEASON

8 OF THE PAST 10 WINNERS HAVE HAD A RUN AT THE TRACK PREVIOUSLY

7 OF THE PREVIOUS 10 WINNERS HAD CONTESTED A NOVICE CHASE LAST TIME OUT – THE ONLY
HANDICAP WINNER IN THE PAST WAS IN A HANDICAP NOVICE CHASE

TRAINER TRENDS

GORDON ELLIOT HAS WON THIS RACE 3 TIMES FROM 7 RUNNERS

W P MULLINS HAS WON 2 FROM 13 RUNNERS WITH 5 OF THE 13 PLACING