Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2017
Spring Management Meeting
MISSION STATEMENT
The Investment Casting Institute (ICI) is a trade and technical association of investment casting
foundries (and their suppliers) where castings of metal are made.
The ICI is organized to promote the common interests of the investment casting industry. The
ICI is not intended to become, and will not become, involved in the competitive business
decisions of its members, nor will it take any action which would tend to restrain competition in
the investment casting industry.
Nevertheless, it is recognized by the Board of Directors of ICI that the Institute itself, as well as
its varied activities, could be regarded by some as a forum or opportunity to promote anti-
competitive conduct. For this reason, the Board of Directors promulgates this statement of
policy to make clear its unequivocal support for the policy of competition served by federal and
state antitrust laws, as well as its uncompromising intent to comply strictly in all respects with
those laws.
In addition to stating the ICI's firm commitment to the principle of competition served by antitrust
laws, the ICI also wishes to advise that the penalties which may be imposed upon both ICI and
its individual and corporate members involved in any violation of such laws are now so severe
that prudent business judgment demands that every effort be made to avoid any such violation.
In addition to injunctions and other equitable remedies, violations of the Sherman Act, such as
price-fixing, are felony crimes for which individuals may now be imprisoned for up to ten (10)
years and fined up to one million dollars ($1,000,000.00), and corporations can be fined up to
100 million dollars ($100,000,000.00) for each offense, or twenty percent (20%) of affected
commerce. The Department of Justice has recently obtained fines of up to five hundred million
dollars ($500,000,000.00). Under the Sherman Act, state Anti Trust law, the Federal Trade
Commission Act and Robinson-Patman Act, treble (triple) damage claims based on the amount
of gain or loss by private parties (including class actions) for antitrust violations are extremely
expensive to litigate and can result in judgments of a magnitude which could destroy the ICI and
seriously affect the financial interests of its members. This includes attorney’s fees and “joint
and several liability” where one may be liable for an entire Judgement even though their role in
the antitrust violation was rather small.
It is the responsibility of every member of the ICI to be guided by ICI's policy of strict compliance
with antitrust laws in all ICI activities. It shall be the special responsibility of ICI officers, directors
and committee chairmen to ensure that this policy is known and adhered to in the course of
activities pursued under their leadership.
To assist the ICI staff and all its officers, directors and committee chairmen in recognizing
situations which may raise the appearance of an antitrust problem, the Board will as a matter of
policy furnish to each of such persons copies of ICI's General Rules of Antitrust Compliance.
The ICI will also make available general legal advice when questions arise as to the manner in
which the antitrust laws may apply to the activities of the ICI or to any committee thereof.
Antitrust compliance is the responsibility of every ICI member. If you have any questions or
information concerning potentially anti-competitive conduct, please contact the Board’s
Executive Committee orally, in writing and even anonymously. Alleged violations of the ICI
General Rules of Antitrust Compliance or of this policy statement will be vigorously investigated
and reviewed with due process pursuant to the by-laws of the ICI; violations may result in
revocation of membership in ICI and removal from any ICI office.
GENERAL RULES OF ANTITRUST COMPLIANCE
The following rules are applicable to all ICI activities and must be observed in all situations and under all circumstances,
without exception or qualification other than as noted below:
1. Neither the ICI nor any committee, conference or activity of the ICI shall be used for the purpose of bringing about,
or attempting to bring about, any understanding or agreement, whether written or oral, formal or informal, expressed or
implied, among competitors with regard to prices, terms or conditions of sale, discounts, tying provision or purchase of a
good or service with another, exclusive dealing arrangements, distribution, volume of production, allocation of territories
or customers, restrictions on non-deceptive advertising, or credit of suppliers, customers or competitors or any
understanding or agreement which could be perceived as restraining competition.
2. No ICI activity or communication shall (a) include discussion, survey, or action, for any purpose or in any fashion
of costs, prices or pricing methods, rebates or other price discrimination, production quotas or other limitations on either
the timing or volume of production or of sales; (b) take any action likely to raise prices or reduce quantity or quality of
goods available, or (c) involve allocation of territories or markets or customers in any way. “Communication” includes but
is not limited to electronic communications, such as emails, test messages, faxes, blog or web posts and/or social media
posts.
3. No ICI committee shall undertake any activity, which involves exchange or collection and dissemination among
competitors, of any information regarding prices, pricing methods, costs of production, or of sales or distribution or
individual company statistics of any kind, without first obtaining the advice of legal counsel, provided by ICI, as to those
proper and lawful methods by which these activities may be pursued.
4. No ICI activity or communication shall include any discussion or action which may tend to or may be construed as
an attempt to prevent any person or business entity from gaining access to any market or to any customer for goods or
services, or to prevent or boycott any supplier, competitor, customer, or other entity from obtaining, accessing, or selling
a supply of goods or otherwise purchasing or distributing goods or services freely in the market.
5. No ICI activity or communication shall include any discussion or action which might be construed as an agreement
or understanding to refrain from purchasing any raw materials, equipment, services or other supplies from any supplier.
6. Neither ICI nor any committee thereof, shall make any effort to bring about the standardization of any product or
method of manufacture, credentialing, listing or certification of any product or program for the purpose of preventing the
manufacture or sale of any product not conforming to a specified standard or which would tend to have the overall affect
of either lessening competition or resulting in a degree of price stabilization.
7. No person or company shall be commercially disparaged nor shall any ICI Member make statements that are
reasonably likely to have a negative reputational impact on another so as to exclude that person or company from ICI
membership or participation in any ICI activity where such exclusion is designed to or may impair such person's or
company's ability to compete effectively in the investment casting industry.
8. In conducting ICI committee meetings, the chairman thereof shall prepare and follow a formal agenda which shall
be provided to all committee members prior to the meeting; else it shall not be considered. Agenda items listed as “Any
Other Business: shall be prohibited. Minutes of each meeting shall be distributed to all persons who attended such
meetings. Approval of the minutes shall be obtained from the membership of the committee at its next meeting. Copies
of the minutes shall be transmitted to the headquarters staff.
9. ICI speakers and authors of conference papers shall be informed of the need to comply with ICI's antitrust policy
in the preparation and presentation of their papers and addresses.
10. In informal or social discussions at the site of an ICI meeting (whether such meetings are conducted in-person or
via telecommunications services), which are beyond the control of its officers and chairmen, all representatives are
expected to observe the same standards of personal conduct required of ICI in its compliance with these antitrust
guidelines. Members are reminded that even actions or discussions occurring outside of the U.S. may still be subject to
federal antitrust laws. In addition, copies of the foregoing Antitrust Policy Statement and General Rules of Antitrust
Compliance will be included in registration packets and will also be printed in the ICI Committee Directory. The Board
may from time to time require all members to sign an acknowledgement that each member has read and understood
these Rules of Antitrust Compliance.
INVESTMENT CASTING INSTITUTE SPRING MANAGEMENT MEETING 2017
PROGRAM
INVESTMENT CASTING INSTITUTE
136 Summit Avenue i Montvale, New Jersey 07645-1720
Phone: 201-573-9770 i Fax: 201-573-9771
www.investmentcasting.org
Sunday
5:30 p.m. - 7:00 p.m. Welcome Reception 5:30 p.m. - 7:00 p.m.
9:00 a.m. -10:00 a.m. Commander Kirk Lippold Keynote Address: Leadership & Accountability When it
Commander of the USS Cole Matters
Author of Front Burner
10:15 a.m. - 11:15 p.m. Rick Alaniz 2017: Labor & Employment in For Major Transition
John Cruickshank
Alaniz-Schraeder
11:15 a.m. - 12:00 p.m. Jerrod Weaver Integrated Casting Order Network (ICON)
Non-Ferrous Founders’ Society
8:05 a.m. – 9:05 a.m. Dr. Ken Mayland Has the New President Made a Difference?
ClearView Economics, LLC
9:05 a.m. - 10:00 a.m. Bernard Gingras, Philip Murphy Management & Tax Opportunities
Murphy, Miller & Baglieri, LLP
11:15 a.m. – 12:15 p.m. Don Zavis Consistent Selling Improvement…Techniques, Skills &
Don Zavis Sales Training Concepts
TUESDAY EVENING
ENTERTAINMENT &
DINNER EVENT
8:10 a.m. - 9:05 a.m. Stephanie Salmon Politics, Policy and Reality: What’s Really Going on In
Potomac Government Relations Washington
American Foundry Society - Government
Affairs
9:05 a.m. - 10:00 a.m. Ron Williams A Review of World Investment Casting Market Trend Data
Blayson Olefines Ltd. Over The Past 25 Years
10:15 a.m. – 11:15 a.m. Darren Sekiguchi A Look at The 787 Supply Chain Model and How Boeing
Director Boeing South Carolina is Changing The Face of Supply Chain Management in
Production Control and Site Supplier The Aerospace Industry
Management and Materials
Management
The Boeing Company
Closing Remarks
Meeting Adjourned
INVESTMENT CASTING INSTITUTE SPRING MANAGEMENT MEETING 2017
Speakers
2017 Labor & Employment in For Major Transition Management & Tax Opportunities
Rick Alaniz Philip Murphy
Partner Partner, CPA
Alaniz, Schraeder, Linker, Farris & Mayes Murphy, Miller & Baglieri, LLP
2500 City West Blvd. 65 Harristown Road, Suite 102
Houston, TX 77042 USA Glen Rock, NJ 07452 USA
Phone: 281/833-2200 Phone: 201/612-0015
E-mail: ralaniz@alaniz-schraeder.com E-mail: pmurphy@mmbllp.biz
SPEAKER BIOGRAPHIES
SPEAKER BIOGRAPHIES
SPEAKER BIOGRAPHIES
Frank Lysiak
Kovatch Castings
INVESTMENT CASTING INSTITUTE SPRING MANAGEMENT MEETING 2017
INCAST CORPORATION
AGENDA
1. Welcome
2. Introduction
3. To approve the Minutes of the 2016 Annual General Meeting of the Investment Casting Institute
6. Other business
INCAST CORPORATION
Copyright reserved: Neither the Investment Casting Institute nor its officers accept legal responsibility for
information, advice given or opinions expressed.
INVESTMENT CASTING INSTITUTE SPRING MANAGEMENT MEETING 2017
INTRODUCTION
Mr. Brad DeSplinter, President of the Investment Casting Institute, called the meeting to order and welcomed all
attendees at 8:00 a.m. on Monday, April 11, 2016
Mr. DeSplinter, welcomed the first time Management Meeting attendees and then introduced the Institute’s Board of
Directors.
There were no questions or comments. Mr. C. Fischer then made a motion that the Minutes be accepted. Mr. T.
Sullivan seconded the motion which was favorably approved by a majority of the attendees.
Mr. F. Lysiak announced that a copy of the 2016 Financial Statements is available to all ICI Members upon written
request.
OTHER BUSINESS
There were no items of Other Business.
MEETING ADJOURNMENT
Mr. B. DeSplinter adjourned the Annual General Meeting at 8:30 am.
INVESTMENT CASTING INSTITUTE SPRING MANAGEMENT MEETING 2017
REPORT OF THE
BOARD OF DIRECTORS
2016
INVESTMENT CASTING INSTITUTE ___________ SPRING MANAGEMENT MEETING 2017
Membership:
The following companies were admitted as new members of the Institute during 2016:
Regular Members:
Barron Industries, Inc. Materion Ti Squared Technologies
Skat–Trak Inc. TiAL Cast Corp.
Affiliate Members:
BASF ELG Utica Alloys, Inc. Engineered Alloys, LLC.
Evonik Corporation ForceBeyond, Inc. Foseco
Great Lakes Minerals, LLC. Hoosier Pattern, Inc. South Coast Mold, Inc.
Associate Members:
Bhumika Alloy Castings Ltd. DEL Technologies, Inc. Foseco International Ltd.
Hayakawa USA Corporation I Casting Solutions Technologies LLC. Lianyungang Hanming Trade Co.
Liaoning Hang’an Special Casting Materials Co., Ltd. President Co., Ltd.
Rudra Casting Private Limited Saffroshine Organics Pvt. Ltd.
Shandong Younghe Precise Metals Co., Ltd. Siddha Laxmi Engineering Ind.
Sun Precisoncast Pvt. Ltd.
Regular Members:
IBC Engineered Materials Corp. Net Shapes, Inc. Post Precision Castings Inc.
Affiliate Members:
Almatis, Inc. Berg Compliance Solutions, LLC. Brookfield Engineering
Designed Alloy Products, Inc. Transzact, Inc.
Associate Members:
ELG Utica Alloys Ltd. (ABS)
INVESTMENT CASTING INSTITUTE ___________ SPRING MANAGEMENT MEETING 2017
*EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE
Brad DeSplinter – Frank Lysiak - Mike Hendricks
*A UDIT C OMMITTEE
Brad DeSplinter - Frank Lysiak - Mike Hendricks
* AWARDS COMMITTEE
Tim Sullivan – Chairman
Casting Subcommittee
Joseph Fritz – Lead
Intern Scholarship Subcommittee
Russ Rosmait – Lead
Innovator of the Year Subcommittee
Frank Lysiak – Lead
Honorary Member Subcommittee
Nip Singh – Lead
Hall of Honor Subcommittee
Tim Sullivan - Lead
*EDUCATION COMMITTEE
Nip Singh - Grayce Albanese - Joseph Fritz - Perry Harvey - Russell Rosmait - Doug Neece
Mike Perry - Jeff Rich
*MARKETING COMMITTEE
Jenny Gladczak - Erin Almaleh - Nora D’Ambra - Dean Kirschner – Cara Lynch - Mark Rabens - Nip Singh
*MEMBERSHIP COMMITTEE
Doug Neece - Nora D’Ambra - Jerry Donohue - Phil Geers - Tina Joseff – Eric Rodriguez - Geoff Stoll
*PROGRAM COMMITTEE
Cliff Fischer – Grayce Albanese - Joseph Fritz - Jeff Lantz - Frank Lysiak - Doug Neece - Tim Sullivan
Al Torok
*PUBLICATIONS COMMITTEE
Julie Markee – Noor Alam - Erin Almaleh - Matt Cavins - Naum Cherepakhov - Barry Dahlin - Wayne
Gayford - Manuel Guerra - Mike Hendricks - Mark Oles - Christopher O’Rourke - Sean Weir - Al Torok
*TECHNICAL COMMITTEE
John Marcin – Len Ceriotti - Joseph Fritz - Mike Hendricks - Frank Lysiak - Doug Neece – Victor Okhuysen
Nip Singh - Al Torok - Bob Voigt
M ARKETI NG C OM M I TTEE
The Marketing Committee has been working with the ICI to redesign its’ website and develop promotional materials to
support HR development and new Member recruitment.
INDUSTRY PROMOTION
The Institute continues to promote the industry through various exhibitions.
In 2016, the Institute exhibited at Atlantic Design & Manufacturing at Jacob Javits in New York, NY. Business
leads generated by this activity were circulated to Regular Members for follow up.
The Institute held its annual casting contest (in conjunction with The 63rd Annual Technical Conference & Expo).
Winning entries were selected in Aerospace, Automotive, Commercial, International, Industrial, Fine Art and
Defense market segments. All finalist castings were featured in INCAST Magazine and several other metal
working publications and social media.
AUDITOR
The Board elected to re-appoint Bernie Gingras of Murphy, Miller & Baglieri, LLP as the Institute's
Auditor for 2017.
GENERAL COUNSEL
The Board elected to re-appoint Michael Breen of Price, Meese, Shulman & D’Arminio as the Institute’s
General Counsel for 2017.
INVESTMENT CASTING INSTITUTE ___________ SPRING MANAGEMENT MEETING 2017
Joseph E. Fritz
Investment Casting Institute
2016 Business Summary
Joseph E. Fritz
Executive Director
Investment Casting Institute
Business Summary 1
Business Summary 2
2016 Business Summary
“How’s Business?”
Business Summary 3
NumberofCompaniesReporting
60 10
10
50
8
40
Days
6
30
4 3
20
2
10 2 1 1
0 0
0 0
DiscountRate
2013 2014 2015 2016
CustomerPaymentTerms Top5CustomerPaymentTerms
18 16 40 36
NumberofCompaniesReporting
16 35
NumberofCustomers
14 12 30
11 26
12
25
10
7 20 17
8
15
6 4
4 10
2 1 5 2
0
0 0
30 45 60 75 90 >90 30 45 60 75 90
Days Days
AverageWageIncrease AverageSalaryIncrease
3.50% 3.50%
3.00% 3.00%
2.50% 2.50%
SalaryIncrease%
WageIncrease%
2.00% 2.00%
1.50% 1.50%
1.00% 1.00%
0.50% 0.50%
0.00% 0.00%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F
2016WageandSalarygrowthlowestin
recentyears
Business Summary 6
How’s Business Summary
Change in Personnel
Hourly Salary
6% 7%
4% 6%
ChangeinEmploymentLevel
ChangeinEmploymentLevel
5%
2%
4%
0% 3%
Ͳ2% 2%
1%
Ͳ4%
0%
Ͳ6% Ͳ1%
Ͳ8% Ͳ2%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2013 2014 2015 2016
AllPersonnel
4%
3%
ChangeinEmploymentLevel
2%
1%
Ͳ1%
Ͳ2%
Ͳ3%
Ͳ4%
Ͳ5%
Ͳ6%
Ͳ7%
2013 2014 2015 2016
Casting&Tooling CastingsOnly
$16,000 $16,000
AverageMonthlySales/Equivalent
AverageMonthlySales/Equivalent
$14,000 $14,000
$12,000 $12,000
$10,000 $10,000
Employee
Employee
$8,000 $8,000
$6,000 $6,000
$4,000 $4,000
$2,000 $2,000
$0 $0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2013 2014 2015 2016
Nonotablechangeinefficiencyfrom2015
Business Summary 8
How’s Business Summary
Workers’ Compensation
YOYCostIncrease Costasa%ofSales
20% 3.5%
3.0%
15%
2.5%
Percentage
Percentage
10% 2.0%
5% 1.5%
1.0%
0%
0.5%
Ͳ5% 0.0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2013 2014 2015 2016
AverageLostDaysDuetoInjury
120
100
80
Days
60
40
20
0
2013 2014 2015 2016
YOYCostIncrease Costasa%ofSales
9% 4.5%
8% 4.0%
7% 3.5%
6% 3.0%
Percentage
Percentage
5% 2.5%
4% 2.0%
3% 1.5%
2% 1.0%
1% 0.5%
0% 0.0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F
Healthcarecostsarestillontherise,but
theyarenotgrowingasquicklyassales
Business Summary 10
How’s Business Summary
Inventory – Average Annual Turns
TotalInventory WIPInventory
8 20
7 18
16
6
14
5 12
Turns
Turns
4 10
3 8
6
2
4
1 2
0 0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2013 2014 2015 2016
Inventoryturnsshowingdecline
Business Summary 11
Percentage
6%
5% 8%
4% 6%
3%
4%
2%
1% 2%
0% 0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2013 2014 2015 2016
64%
Days
20
62%
15
60%
58% 10
56% 5
54% 0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2013 2014 2015 2016
OnTimeDelivery
100%
95%
90%
Percentage
85%
80%
75%
70%
2013 2014 2015 2016
2016OTDperformanceattraditionallevels
Business Summary 13
8.2% 6%
Percentage
8.0% 5%
4%
7.8%
3%
7.6% 2%
7.4% 1%
7.2% 0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2013 2014 2015 2016
SalesReturnsasa%of
NetSales
1.25%
1.00%
Percentage
0.75%
0.50%
0.25%
0.00%
2013 2014 2015 2016
ReasonsforScrap
16 15
14
12
12
10
CompaniesReporting
10 9
Numberof
6 5 5
4
4
2 2
2 1 1
Processimprovement,betterprocesscontrolsand
trainingarekeyareastobeaddressed Business Summary 15
YOYSalesGrowthRate YOYToolingSalesGrowthRate
40% 6%
35% 4%
30% 2%
25% 0%
Percentage
Ͳ2%
20%
Percentage
Ͳ4%
15%
Ͳ6%
10%
Ͳ8%
5%
Ͳ10%
0% Ͳ12%
Ͳ5% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F
Ͳ14%
Ͳ10% 2013 2014 2015 2016
2016sawminordecline,butAerospace
productionatnearrecordlevels
Optimisticoutlookfor2017
Business Summary 16
How’s Business Summary
IGT Sales
Business Summary 17
YOYSalesGrowthRate YOYToolingSalesGrowthRate
60% 10%
50% 5%
0%
40%
Ͳ5%
Percentage
Percentage
30%
Ͳ10%
20%
Ͳ15%
10%
Ͳ20%
0% Ͳ25%
Ͳ10% Ͳ30%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F 2013 2014 2015 2016
2016sawcontractioninCommercialsector
Optimisticoutlookfor2017
Business Summary 18
How’s Business Summary
Sales
AverageQuoteLeadTime NewPartQuotationAwardRate
9.25 18%
16%
9.00
14%
8.75 12%
Percentage
10%
Days
8.50
8%
8.25 6%
4%
8.00
2%
7.75 0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2013 2014 2015 2016
AverageLeadTime
8.75
8.50
8.25
8.00
7.75
Weeks
7.50
7.25
7.00
6.75
6.50
2013 2014 2015 2016
TotalCapitalExpendituresasaPercentageofSales
10%
9%
8%
7%
6%
Percent
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F
Reinvestmentinthebusinesshasbeengrowing
Business Summary 20
How’s Business Summary
Foreign Competition
Respondent concerns
Business Summary 21
BusinessOutlookͲ PrimaryInternalConcerns
14
12
12
10
NumberofCompaniesReporting
10
8
7
6
5 5
4
4
3
2 2
2
Finding,TrainingandRetainingTalentis
growingexceedinglydifficult
Business Summary 22
How’s Business Summary
Business Outlook
BusinessOutlookͲ PrimaryExternalConcerns
14
13
12
10
NumberofCompaniesReporting
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
Domesticconcernshavetakenprecedence
overforeigncompetition
Business Summary 23
Leadership & Accountability When It
Matters
Rick Alaniz
John Cruickshank
Alaniz-Schraeder
2017: Labor & Employment in for Major
Transition
Presentedby:JohnCruickshank
Table of Contents
ɵ TheTransitionDefined
ɵ KeepinganEyeontheStates
ɵ 21st CenturyLaborRelations
ɵ ALongerTermLaborOutlook
ɵ BestPracticesTop10
ɵ HiringforHR
ɵ Miscellaneous
The Transition Defined
Asacountry,
weswallowed
theredpill.
Table ofWeContents
Where Were
ɵ Forthelast8years,weoperatedinaclimateof
regulatorygotcha
ɵ Regulatoryagenciesactivelysoughttoidentifytechnical
ruleviolationsinordertoassesspenaltiesandfines
– Andgeneratemediaattention
ɵ Tomakeitevenmoredifficult,theagenciesrepeatedly
changedtheguidanceortherulesandthenpromptly
institutedenforcement
– Thiswasespeciallytrueforwageandhour
Table ofWeContents
Where Are Going
ɵ Thepaceofnewrulemakingchangewillslow
enormously/halt
ɵ Manyproposedorrecentlyenactedruleswillbe
scrapped
– WhiteCollarsalarybasistest
– JointEmployertest
– BlacklistingRule
– PersuaderRule
– EnhancedEEOͲ1ReportingObligations PresidentTrumppromised
– AffordableCareAct torollbackregulations.He
ɵ Butthatwilltakeseveralyears willhaveplentytochoose
from.
Table Does
What of Contents
that Mean for Right Now?
ɵ Forseveralyears,wecanexpectdramatically
scaledbackfederalregulatoryenforcementand
expansion.
ɵ Thatmakesthenext18monthsanideal
opportunitytoexperimentwithlaborand
operationalchangesinpreparationforthereal
challengestocome.
– What’stherealchallenge? Breathingspace.
– Stayingaliveagainstyourcompetition.
Table
So Nothing
of Contents
More to Worry About?
PartyControlofState
Legislatures
State Agency Activities
ɵ Ifyouliveinabluestate,expectyourstateagencies
tobeevenmoreaggressiveoverthenextfewyears
ɵ Manyofthemareabletogeneraterevenuefortheir
agenciesthroughenforcementactivities
Seeanyone
ɵ Andmanystatesalreadyhavelittleknown yourecognize?
employmentstatutesonthebooksthattheycan
surpriseyouwith
– InOregon,itisillegalforanemployeeina
manufacturingfacilitytoworkmorethan13
hoursperday
.
How Are You Affected?
ɵ Directly
– EEs making minimum wage will get raises
– Who else will get a bump?
– Fewer applicants unless you increase wage
rates to pay more than Starbucks
ɵ Indirectly
– What about your suppliers & distributors?
– Can they afford the increases?
Sureits$2lessperhourbutits
– When they are affected, how are you
affected? climatecomfortableandthe
coffeeisfree.
Arizona’sandWashington’spaidsickleavelaws
begininJuly2017andJanuary2018.
ɵ Approximately20citieshaveenactedpaidsick
leaveordinances.
California Labor Update
ɵ PayEquity(A.B.168)
– Wouldbanemployersfromaskingabout
salaryhistory
ɵ OpportunitytoWorkBill(A.B.5)
– Offeradditionalhoursofworktoanexisting
nonexemptemployeebeforehiringan
additionalemployeeorsubcontractor.
– SanFranciscocityordinanceapplicableto
certainlargeretailersandtheCityofSan
Jose'sMeasureE—the"Opportunityto
Work“
ThePresident
meetingwithunion
leadersonDay1.
ɵ Anemployer’srights
– TheruleisthatanERmayprohibittheexpressionof
politicalspeechintheworkplace,unlessitpertainsto
termsandconditionsofemployment
– Thisincludeswalkingoffthejob
ɵ Therefore,ifEEswalkoffthejobtoprotestsomething Sheisfreetosaythatinpublic
nonͲworkrelated,youcanfirethem
spaces.Butnotinprivateones.
– Whetheryoushouldisamorenuancedquestion
Trends in Modern Union Organizing
ɵ Organizedlabor(UFCW,Teamsters,etc.)continuestoslowly
deteriorate
ɵ Moreunioncampaignsare“homegrown”ratherthandriven
byanoutsidelaborunion
– AloteasierwithmicroͲunits
– Millennialshaveprovenespeciallyadeptatorganizing
themselves(oftenoverSocialMedia)
– Petitionscannowbesignedonline(nocardneeded)
ɵ Recenthighprofileunionefforts(thatmadethenews):
– UberinCalifornia Hey,there’sanappforthat!
– WeWork inNewYork
– BoeinginSouthCarolina
– NissaninMississippi
Likewalkinginto
fog.
Ilooksoeasy
tooperate.
The Fundamental Shift in our Labor Needs
Question: What jobs are we hiring for?
Yesterday. Tomorrow?Ortoday?
Ifsomeoneisonlydoing
somethingformoney,retention
willbelousy.
Source:CNN&OxfordUniversity.
ɵ WageͲfixing:whenyouandyourneighbor
discussmutualwageratesinordertokeepwage
ratesdown
ɵ NoͲpoachingagreements
“Let’sallagree.Noonepaysmore
than$11.50/hour.”
ɵ OtherAntiͲcompetitivebehavior
#4 - Hours of Service for Drivers
ɵ Maydriveamaximumof11hours after10
consecutivehoursoffduty
ɵ Maynotdrivebeyondthe14thconsecutivehourafter
comingonduty,following10consecutivehoursoff
duty
– OffͲdutytimedoesnotextendthe14Ͳhourperiod
ɵ Maynotdriveafter60/70hoursondutyin7/8
consecutivedays
– Adrivermayrestarta7/8consecutivedayperiod
aftertaking34ormoreconsecutivehoursoffduty
ɵ Also– bewarestates(likeCalifornia)thatrequire Especiallyaproblemfordriverswho
specialrestperiodcompensationforpiecerate
drivers(bythemile) youpaybytheloadorbythemile.
Hiring for HR
Shouldbeeasy
right?
One of the Most Important Hiring Decisions
ɵ Oneofthemostchallenginghires
– Needtobuildaculturethatleads(notmanages)
yourworkplace
– Theyenforcetheworkplacerules,investigate
sensitivematters,andareresponsibleforavoiding
costlylawsuits
– Involvedinmostoftherestofyourhiring
– Abadhirewillcostyoumoney,exposeyouto
lawsuits,andmaygiveyouaunionsurprise Wealllookgoodonpaper,
– Andtheyknowwherealltheskeletonsareburied interviewwell,andareSHRM
whichisreallyawkwardifyouhavetofirethem certified.
Mental Health
ɵ EEOCreleasednewmaterialsinDecember
ɵ Youcannotfiresomeonebecauseoftheir
mentalhealthconditions
– Anemployerdoesn'thavetohireorkeeppeopleinjobsthey
can'tperform,oremploypeoplewhoposea"directthreat"to
safety(asignificantriskofsubstantialharmtoselforothers).
– Anemployer cannot relyonmythsorstereotypesaboutyour
mentalhealthcondition
– Inmostsituations,employeescankeeptheirconditionprivate
Addressing Mental Health
ɵ Encourageyouremployeestofeelcomfortable
expressingtheirneeds.Beobservantandtalkwith
youremployees.
ɵ Youneverhaveadutytoaccommodatethreatsor
violence.
ɵ InonecasetheNinthCircuitsaid,“Anessential
functionofalmosteveryjobistheabilityto
appropriatelyhandlestressandinteractwith
others.Andwhileanemployeecanbequalified
despiteadversereactionstostress,heisnot
qualifiedwhenthatstressleadshimtothreatento
killhiscoͲworkersinchillingdetailandonmultiple
occasions(here,atleastfivetimes).”
HiMark.
Nicephoto.
Eh?Isthat
somethingon
yourlaptop?
Cover the Camera on Your Laptop with
Tape
Copyright2017AlanizSchraederLinkerFarrisMayesL.L.P.Allrightsreserved.Thismaterialmaynotbepublished,broadcast,rewritten,orredistributed.
Integrated Casting Order Network
(ICON)
Jerrod Weaver
Non-Ferrous Founders’ Society
Integrated Casting Order Network
(ICON)
Non-Ferrous Founders’ Society
Jerrod Weaver
Solicitation Volume
• February 2017
– 451 solicitations distributed
– $6,227,939 in volume
– 241 of the 451 matched based upon material and
process
– 210 of the 451 matched to foundries with existing
tooling
• Contract Award Totals
– 155 contracts worth $1,418,299 in February 2017
– Since July 2015 a total of 1,474 contracts have
been issued to ICON users worth $21,404,481
Objective
• Problem
– Unfilled and unqualified DLA/DoD orders containing cast
components
– Difficult to match bid solicitations with suppliers capable of
manufacturing those items
– Difficult for industry to identify sales opportunities for castings
from DoD/DLA
– Lack of visibility in OEM supply chain makes it hard to secure
replacement components from original sub-vendors
• Objective
– Automate the matching of capable suppliers with DoD
procurement needs
– Develop advanced resources to assist DLA/DoD in hard-to-
procure cast parts acquisition
– Ensure responsive metalcasting supply chain
• Technology
– Integrated Casting Order Network (ICON)
DoD/DLA
– Enable a greater number of metal casters to identify
government/DLA/DoD business opportunities
– Increase the number of responses to open bid
solicitations
– Consolidate multiple resources into a single web
portal, such as supplier directory and tooling locator
– Reduction in component cost, administrative lead
time and production lead time (ALT & PLT)
– Replicable model to link capable industry suppliers to
DoD procurement needs with ability to scale
Needs and Benefits
Industry
– Comprehensive online portal for DoD business
tailored specifically for foundry industry
– Increase the visibility of potential sales opportunities
with DoD/DLA to industry
– Provide solicitations matched to existing tooling in
the foundry storage or in its own supply chain
– Provide solicitations matched to a supplier’s
capability based upon material, process, and
minimum order quantities and minimum order value
– Critical technical support to assist industry suppliers
with becoming vendors to DoD/DLA, leading to
becoming self-sufficient
– Opportunity to be identified as a capable supplier and
readily contacted by DoD/DLA procurement staff
Solicitation Inbox
Solicitation Details
Solicitation Details
Solicitation Details
Solicitation Details
Solicitation Details
Solicitation Details
Technical Progress
inventory.
Benefits: Reduced the First Article Testing (FAT) lead time by 19%, from 98 to 80 days. Reduced the
Production Lead Time (PLT) 66%, from 126 days to 42 days after FAT approval. It also allowed for a
single source supplier to provide a machined and primed component, simplifying the legacy supply chain
and allowing the vendor to reduce inventory levels at the same time.
“Thank you for working with Solidiform and assisting us with registering with the ICON portal. We
have seen opportunities that we might have missed using other search methods. The most recent
success involved castings we have had in stock since 2010 that we will now machine, prime and
sell for a much greater value added than the casting itself. Plus the inventory relief is an added
benefit. I look forward to working with NFFS as you continue to refine the capabilities of this
worthy program.” - Kevan Todd, Solidiform, Inc.
Additional Information
• Jacob Kornacker
– ICON Program Manager
– jacob@nffs.org
Non-Ferrous Founders’ Society
1480 Renaissance Drive, Suite 310
Park Ridge, IL 60068
847/299-0950
http://www.nffs.org
Has the New President Made a
Difference?
Today’s Agenda …
9The current state of the
economy?
9How has the economy tracked
since the election?
9What might the new policies
portend for the economy’s
future?
9The next recession: When???
2
Current State of the Economy …
• Static measure: the February
unemployment rate = 4.7%
• Dynamic measure: payroll job growth has
averaged +209k over the last 3 months
• Retail sales: rising trend (chart)
http://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
4
Conclusion…
… The U.S.
economy is
continuing to
expand, but…
5
Remember
…
6
Dissecting Slow Growth …
Sector Contributions to Total Y/Y
GDP Growth, Last 4 Quarters
Gov't
Net Ex
Inventory
Bus Invest
Res Invest
Consumer
GDP
Total GDP
8
Tracking the
Economy
Since the Election
2400
S&P 500 Index (EOP)
2350
2300 Stock Prices
2250
2200
2150
2100
2050
2000
Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan 24-Mar
10
Tracking the Economy…
59
Purchasing Managers’ Index
58
57 PMI
56
55
54
53
52
51
50
49
48
Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb
11
108
NFIB Small Business Index
106
104 Sm Business
Confidence
102
100
98
96
94
92
90
88
Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb
12
Tracking the Economy…
2.7
“Dr. Copper” ($/lb.)
Price of Copper
2.6
2.5
2.4
2.3
2.2
2.1
2
Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan 24-Mar
13
Economic Impacts
of New Economic
Policies
14
New Policy Directions…
9Personal and corporate tax reforms
and tax cuts
9Import (or border) tax “equalization”
9Infrastructure spending
9Regulatory reforms and
reductions/eliminations
9Obamacare (ACA) repeal/replacement
15
18
How Are We Doing Now?
Weekly Initial Claims…
19
20
How Are We Doing Now?
10-Yr T-Bond Vs. 3-Mo T-Bill…
21
22
Supplemental Charts…
23
Supplemental Charts…
24
Supplemental Charts…
25
Supplemental Charts…
26
Supplemental Charts…
27
Supplemental Charts…
28
Supplemental Charts…
29
Supplemental Charts…
30
Supplemental Charts…
31
Q&A
32
Management & Tax Opportunities
Bernard Gingras
Philip Murphy
Murphy, Miller & Baglieri, LLP
Accounting for Leases
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 1
AccountingforLeases
•ASC#842– “TheFly”inFinancialStatement
Ointment.
•ComingtoatheaterNEARyoufor2020
–NowyoucanrelaxͲ maybeͲ maybenot
•Comparativestatementsmustbecompliantwiththe
newrulesso…
•2019couldbeyourfirstyear…butwait
•2019youneedtorestateyouropeningbalances
•Yourtargetis2018.
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 2
AccountingforLeases
• What’salease– It’sacontractorpartofcontractthatconveysthe
righttocontroltheuseofanidentifiableassetinexchangefor
consideration
• Memorylane– thecurrentstandardforleaseaccounting:
• Capitalleasesvs.operatingleases
• CapitalLeases
– Recordtheassetsandacorrespondingshortandlongtermliabilityonthe
balancesheet
– Depreciatetheassetovertheusefullife
– Reducetheliabilityandprincipleastheleaseisrepaid
– Recordtheimputedinterestexpensebaseontheeffectiveinterestmethod
(normalamortization)
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 3
AccountingforLeases
– Whendoesaleasequalifyasa“CapitalLease”?
• Changeofownershipattheendoftheleaseterm
• Bargainpurchasepriceattheendoftheleaseterm
• Theleasetermwasgreaterthan75%oftheuseful
lifeoftheunderlyingassetbeingleased
• Thecostofthepropertybeingleasedwaslessthan
90%ofthepresentvalueoftheminimumlease
payments
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 4
AccountingforLeases
– OperatingLeases:
• Expenseleasepaymentsasincurredontheaccrual
methodofaccounting
• Noeffectonthebalancesheet(noassetorliability)
• Providedetailsoffuturerequiredminimumlease
paymentsinafootnotetothefinancialstatements
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 5
AccountingforLeases
• Whendoesleasequalifyasan“Operating”
Lease?
– SimpleIfitdoesn’tmeetanyoneofthecriteriato
beacapitallease
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 6
AccountingforLeases
• TheNewAccountingStandardsforleases:
• Capitalleases:
– Capitalleasesarenowreferredtoas“Finance
Lease”
– Theywillcontinuetobetreatedinsimilarmanner
asundertheoldrules
– Nice!Nothingtoworryaboutright,ornot.Let’s
see
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 7
AccountingforLeases
• OperatingLeases(The“Fly”)
– Operatingleasesthataregreaterthanoneyear
arerequiredto:
• Recorda“RighttoUse”assetbothcurrentandlongͲ
termonthebalancesheet
• RecordaleaseliabilitybothshortandlongͲtermonthe
balancesheetonapresentvaluebasis
• RecordtheleaseexpenseonastraightͲlinebasisonthe
incomestatementassinglecost
• Leaseextensionsandpurchaseoptionshouldbe
includedifreasonablycertain
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 8
Accounting for Leases
• CanweavoidthistreatmentunderGAAP?
– StructuredarrangementsͲ aBIG“No”
– ExceptionforsmallTicketassets– Asmaller“NO”
– VariablepaymentssuchasCPIaretreatedas
additionalrentintheyearincurred
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 9
AccountingforLeases
• Whatdoesitallmean:
– Mostifnotallleasesarenowrecordedonthe
BalanceSheet
– Theleaseliabilityfortheseleaseswilldramatically
impacttheleverageonthebalancesheet
– Bankcovenantswillneedtoberevisitednow!!
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 10
AccountingforLeases
• Whatcanbusinessesdo:
– Easy,getoffofGAAPfinancialaccounting
– ButHow:
• ChooseadifferentframeworkofAccount
– TaxBasis
– CashBasis
– SME’s– SmallandMediumSizeBusinessAccounting
FrameworkestablishedbytheAICPAin2012
– Other
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 11
Disclaimer
ƒ The purpose of this article is to provide general
information, rather than advice or opinion. It is
accurate to the best of the authorʼs knowledge as of
the date of publication. Accordingly, this article should
not be viewed as a substitute for the guidance and
recommendations of a retained professional. As
required by the U.S. Treasury Regulations (IRS
Circular 230), we advise you that any tax advice
contained in this article (including any attachments) is
not intended to be used for, and cannot be used for,
the purpose of avoiding penalties under the United
States Federal Tax Laws.
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 12
Contact Information
Philip J. Murphy, CPA
Glen Rock, NJ
pmurphy@mmbllp.biz
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 13
The R&D TAX CREDIT
ARE YOU LEAVING
TAX DOLLAR$ ON THE TABLE?
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 1
Background/Historical
Perspective
ƒ 1980’s – Code Section 41
ƒ Discovery Test
ƒ Contemporaneous Records
ƒ 2001/2003
ƒ “User friendly” modification
ƒ 2015/2016
ƒPATH Act makes it permanent
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 2
Costly Assumptions
ƒ Credits are intended for high-tech research
firms where most people work in white lab
coats.
Partially correct
ƒ Companies that have white lab coats
hanging in the break room typically do
qualify for the credit, but manufacturers
without an R&D department or an
engineering staff can qualify as well.
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 3
Costly Assumptions
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 4
Costly Assumptions
ƒ Manufacturing process improvements do not
qualify.
False
ƒ Common misconception
ƒ Qualifying activities
ƒ Resources invested in experimental design
improvements to manufacturing equipment
ƒ Changes to existing equipment
ƒ to increase efficiency and output
ƒ to decrease scrap
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 5
Costly Assumptions
ƒ Unsuccessful projects do not count
False
ƒ The credit was conceived as an incentive
for U.S. based companies to take on
riskier projects.
ƒ Success cannot come without failure
ƒ Failures can be great examples of
qualified projects.
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 6
Costly Assumptions
ƒ Research Scientists’ and engineers’ wages are the
only qualifying salary expense.
False
ƒ Include salary expenses for all contributing staff
members
ƒ Quality control
ƒ Production
ƒ Tooling
ƒ Maintenance
ƒ Include other costs
ƒ Supplies
ƒ Contract research
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 7
Project Qualifications
ƒ Elimination of uncertainty
ƒ Process of experimentation
ƒ Technological in nature
ƒ Permitted purpose
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 8
Costs Allowed
ƒ Employee time
ƒ Supplies
ƒ Contract Research
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 9
Record Keeping 1
ƒ Project authorizations, budgets or work
orders
ƒ Internal authorization policies
ƒ Project summaries, progress reports,
meeting minutes
ƒ Field and lab verification data
ƒ Research credit studies – outside
consultants
ƒ Papers, treatises
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants
10
Record Keeping 2
ƒ Complete copies of
ƒ Contracts (including modifications)
ƒ Letter agreements
ƒ Memoranda of understanding
ƒ Documents for research performed by, or on
behalf of, a third party
ƒ Email
ƒ Web site content
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 11
Record Keeping 3
ƒ All material regarding a research project,
activities and expenditures.
ƒ Brochures
ƒ Pamphlets
ƒ Press Releases
ƒ Submissions to management, board of directors,
review committees
ƒ Documents including quarterly and annual reports
ƒ Minutes or notes
ƒ Web site content
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants
12
Credit Computation
ƒ Basic Computation
ƒ Current expenditures in excess of base
amount
ƒ Computed on gross revenues and length of time
in business times 20%
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 13
Alternative Simplified
Credit
ƒ The excess of current research
expenditures over 50% of the average
qualified research expenditures of the
three (3) preceding years times 14%.
ƒ If not qualified research expenditures in
any one of the preceding three years
then the credit is 6% of current year
qualified research expenditures.
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 14
Tax Impact
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 15
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 16
When You Get Home
ƒ Document information
ƒ IRS is watching for abuses
ƒ Be aware of prepackaged submissions (off
the shelf)
ƒ IRS believes prepackaged submissions
usually lack information relevant to the
specific credit
ƒ Consult with your qualified professional
advisor
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants
17
Disclaimer
ƒ The purpose of this article is to provide general
information, rather than advice or opinion. It is
accurate to the best of the authorʼs knowledge as of
the date of publication. Accordingly, this article should
not be viewed as a substitute for the guidance and
recommendations of a retained professional. As
required by the U.S. Treasury Regulations (IRS
Circular 230), we advise you that any tax advice
contained in this article (including any attachments) is
not intended to be used for, and cannot be used for,
the purpose of avoiding penalties under the United
States Federal Tax Laws.
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 18
Contact Information
Bernard R. Gingras, CPA
Glen Rock, NJ
bgingras@mmbllp.biz
MMBLLPAccountantsandConsultants 19
Transition Planning
William R. Nicholson
Heritage Capital Group
Now is the Time
to Start Planning
ͲPeterF.Drucker Why?
2
Q: What percentage of business
owners lack any comprehensive
transition or transition strategy?
“Planningisbringingthe
futureintothepresent
sothatyoucando A: Over 75%
somethingaboutitnow.”
AlanLakein,Author–
“HowtoGetControlof
YourTimeandYourLife”
4
The Transition Planning Process – (Plan. Execute. Transition.)
Plan:
Saleofcompany
START
Developing Employment Yourfinalday
transitionplan Execute agreementw/buyer
Saleprocess atthecompany
Execution:
Plan Execute Transition
6
What Does My Company Look Like To A Buyer?
8
9
10
STEP ONE: THE PLANNING PROCESS
Step 1 typically takes 60-90 days, but can take six months or longer.
11
12
Defining Your Personal and Professional Goals
Your advisory team will assist you in achieving your goals. This team will consist of all or
most of the following professional advisors:
9 CPA/Tax Advisor
9 Banker
9 Insurance Professional
Most business owners already have at least some of these advisors in place. The
key is to complete the team and coordinate the activities of all of the advisors to
achieve your goals. THE TEAM MUST COMMUNICATE!
13
The largest single asset that most business owners have is their investment in
the business. Having a plan to convert this investment to cash safely and at the
right time is critical in achieving your personal goals.
In most cases, there are trade-offs among these objectives. This process will
craft a plan that provides the best overall result.
14
Evaluating Ownership Transition Options - (Continued)
A transition plan can be tailored for any type of transition option, including:
¾ Sale to management
¾ Sale to an ESOP
¾ Liquidation
However, how do you determine which transition option is right for your
situation?
15
16
Valuing Your Business, Identifying Key Value
Drivers and Value Enhancement Opportunities
¾ What is the business worth to you, and what is it worth
to likely buyers?
Projections Projections
History History
18
A Transition Plan Will Drive Your Personal Financial and Estate Plan
¾ Your wealth manager will develop and implement a plan to invest your
funds and insure your goals.
¾ Your estate attorney and accountant will prepare to set up trusts for
family members and charities.
¾ Your tax attorney and CPA will help you with personal tax issues and
planning.
19
¾ Your entire advisory team then helps you to implement the plan
to achieve your goals. Your Transition Planning advisor
coordinates this process.
20
STEP TWO: IMPLEMENTING THE TRANSITION PLAN
This step will take between six and 18 months to complete, and
could be the most profitable time of your life.
THINK MULTIPLES!!!
For every dollar that you increase the recurring profit of your
company, the value will increase by 3.0x to 8.0x, or more.
21
to:
or
22
Value Maximization Example
Conducted a Value Stream Analysis of the sales and marketing process that included:
¾ A two day event that included the President, CFO, and sales and marketing
team
¾ In the meeting, the team mapped the sales and marketing process, identified
non-value added steps, created a streamlined future process, and devised a
plan for implementing the changes.
The following page shows the return on investment and payback period for
implementing this recommendation.
* - Specific details regarding the subject company are omitted. The costs and benefits presented are based on actual results.
23
Cost Benefits
24
Other Value Enhancement Opportunities
¾ Shareholder issues
o Repurchase a minority shareholder’s interest
o Life insurance for shareholders and key employees
o Review provisions of shareholder agreement (e.g., drag-along provision)
9 Review Transition Options and Transition Plan, and make an transition option decision
# of Months to 6 12 18 24 30 36 Or
Complete Transition months Months Months months Months months Longer
26
Representative Transaction Timeline
(Without an transition Plan)
Estimated Transaction Execution Timeline
Months 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
The representative transaction timeline shown above is 21 months. However, the timeline could range from 12 months
to 36 months, or longer, depending on the company's circumstances.
27
904-354-9600
www.HeritageCapitalGroup.com
Consistent Selling Improvement…
Techniques, Skills & Concepts
Don Zavis
Don Zavis Sales Training
Consistent Selling Improvement…
Techniques, Skills & Concepts
Presented BY:
Don Zavis
National Sales Trainer
1302 West Stone Forest Place
Oro Valley, AZ 85755 USA
Phone: 520/903-4654
E-mail: donzavis@comcast.net
Politics, Policy and Reality: What’s
Really Going on In Washington
Stephanie Salmon
American Foundry Society-
Government Affairs
Politics, Policy and Reality: What’s
Really Going on In Washington
STEPHANIE SALMON
POTOMAC GOVERNMENT RELATIONS /AMERICAN FOUNDRY SOCIETY
– WASHINGTON OFFICE
ICI SPRING MANAGEMENT MEETING
CHARLESTON, SOUTH CAROLINA
MAY 3, 2017
Trump Administration
Key Topics for Presentation
• Trump starts his day at the center of a rectangular wood table in the
White House's Roosevelt Room — the closest thing to his Trump Tower
boardroom — and sometimes in the State Dining Room or the Cabinet
Room
- Listening Sessions - meeting with a rotating cast of business leaders, political
figures and activists – a few every week
• Cabinet industry barons – Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross, Treasury
Secretary Steven Mnuchin & Secretary of State Rex Tillerson + Gary
Cohn, National Economic Council
Trump Administration
Appointees
115th Congress
Key Figures Working to Implement
Trump Policies on Capitol Hill
Trade Reform in
Trump Administration
• Rolled out aggressive trade agenda, including 5 executive
orders in March and April
• Trump trade plan is built around these key principles:
1. Renegotiating / withdrawing from NAFTA
2. Stopping "unfair imports"
3. Ending "unfair trade practices"
4. Pursuing bilateral trade deals
5. Currency manipulation - so far lots of talk, no actions
Trade: Section 301
• Grants the President broad authority to remedy unfair trade
practices of U.S. trading partners
• Investigations can be commenced either by petition or self-initiation
by US Trade Representative
• “Mandatory” vs. “discretionary” Section 301: certain actions may
require use of WTO dispute settlement, while others may not
• This discretion and ability to take action to address distortions
outside of WTO dispute settlement will likely appeal to the new
administration and is an avenue they are likely to
explore
Tax Reform
• US business tax system increasingly uncompetitive with the rest of the world
• US corporate tax rate (plus state and local taxes) highest among advanced
economies
• U.S. House of Representatives – Tax Reform Blueprint – “Better
Way”
í Lower corporate tax rate from 35% to 20%
í New pass-through income tax system with top rate of 25% for owners of C
corporations, S corporations, partnerships and sole proprietorships
í Reduce individual tax rates to 33%
í Full expensing for business costs under border-adjustable destination-
based cash-flow business tax system
Border Tax: Could They Do It?
• Tax reform heating up
• Competing industry coalitions on border adjustment tax
• Depends how – even without a trade agreement in place there is no
obvious legal channel for the President to proclaim higher tariffs on
individual companies simply because they offshore
• But, a generally applicable “VAT-style” or “cash flow” tax on U.S.
sales, including imports, is possible to align U.S. tax with foreign tax
systems
• Consider how to adjust supply chains
Key Agencies
Changes Coming to EPA…
• Bob Casey – PA
Questions?
A Review of World Investment Casting
Market Trend Data Over The Past 25
Years
Ron Williams
Blayson Olefines Ltd.
INVESTMENT CASTING INSTITUTE 2017 SPRING MANAGEMENT MEETING
RON WILLIAMS
MANAGING DIRECTOR
THE BLAYSON GROUP LTD INCORPORATING BLAYSON OLEFINES LTD
CAMBRIDGE, UK
INTRODUCTION
Over the past 25 years or so, various Papers have been presented at Conferences around the World
reviewing market data for the investment casting industry. The majority of Presentations are
available through the various World associations and the data used for this current Presentation is a
synopsis of the information in these past Presentations. The data has been provided by such
associations as the Investment Casting Institute (ICI), European Investment Casters’ Federation
(EICF), Japan Foundry Society (JFS), China Foundry Association (CFA) and Cast Metals Federation
(CMF) together with individual contributors.
The information given is based on official figures, together with best estimates, where statistics are
not available. No legal responsibility is accepted for information, advice given or opinions expressed.
As part of their commitment to the World investment casting industry Blayson has been involved
over the years in the collation and preparation and presentation of market data and the various
Papers presented are available via the website www.blayson.com [1].
Using historical data available from the past Presentations, this current Paper endeavours to
examine how World investment casting markets have developed over recent decades and also
attempts to examine any data trends within the industry.
Firstly the methodology is explained and then we study the size of the World investment casting
market and sales by region for the period 1982 to 2001 followed by the period 2001 to 2016. A
review is made of World investment casting sales by sector and finally the latest available World
investment casting sales data is presented.
Page 1 of 10
METHODOLOGY
The first major Presentation on the subject of investment casting markets was a Paper by Gould and
Baker [2] of the then English China Clay Company, presented by Gould at the 6th World Investment
Casting Conference in Washington DC 1984. Although much of the data was estimated figures, this
Paper set the approach to the subject for subsequent studies.
At the 22nd EICF Conference in Paris 1992 a Paper on World Investment Casting Markets [3] was
presented showing information for the years from 1982 to 1991. The original Paper by Gould and
Baker estimated output in terms of annual sales for the main production areas, US, UK and Europe
combined and Japan. The 1992 Paper did the same, but included a World total by giving an estimate
for “others”, i.e. countries for which limited data was available at the time.
In Presentations from 1994 onwards, the three major geographical regions were re-designated as
North America, Europe and Asia and efforts were made to include data from more countries. Whilst
these efforts made the survey much more comprehensive, there remained one major gap in the
coverage. There was no quantitative information about the Chinese investment casting industry and
it was only at the 10th World Conference in Monte Carlo 2000 [4], that reliable information from
China was obtained.
With more reliable information now available and the introduction of meaningful data from China, a
Paper was presented at the 25th EICF Conference in Berlin 2002 [5] which set the standard for future
World sales reviews and Presentations.
In subsequent conferences from 2002 onwards the format of recording data into four main regions,
North America, Europe, China and Asia became the norm together with estimates for other markets.
It became easier to understand the World market and the contributions from individual regions.
World investment casting data has continued to be presented in this way up until the current time.
The 11th, 12th, 13th and 14th World Conferences of 2004 in Edinburgh, 2008 in Dallas, 2012 in Kyoto
and 2016 in Paris all use this method of data presentation [6].
WORLD INVESTMENT CASTING MARKET SALES BY REGION FOR PERIOD 1982 - 2001
The data presented in Figure 1 shows the size of the World investment casting market for the period
1982 to 2001. This data was presented at the 25th EICF Conference in Berlin 2002.
Although some of the earlier data was estimated, the annual sales of the investment casting industry
over this period, showed an approximate growth from US$2.08 Billion to US$6.90 Billion.
Page 2 of 10
ANNUAL SALES FOR INVESTMENT CASTING INDUSTRY, millions of US dollars
Figure 1
7000
6000
5000
N. America
4000 Europe
3000 Asia
Others
2000
World
1000
0
1982 1988 1989 1990 1991 1993 1995 1996 1999 2000 2001
Year of Data
Figure 2
The data in Figure 3 was also presented at the 25th EICF Conference in Berlin 2002 and shows the
percentage share of the World investment casting market by geographical area or region. Again as in
Figure 1 the review period is from 1982 to 2001.
Page 3 of 10
PERCENTAGE SHARE OF INVESTMENT CASTING MARKET BY GEOGRAPHICAL AREA
Figure 3
The changing designation of the major investment casting production areas to North America,
Europe and Asia, was logical and beneficial.
With the growth of investment casting in China from 2000 and with market data for this region
reliably available, the designation of the major production areas was further divided to show China
sales data as a separate category to the remainder of Asia. From this point, World sales were
designated into the following regions North America, Europe, China, Asia and Others. This formed
the basis for all subsequent market Presentations.
Using the above methodology various market Papers were subsequently presented. This sales data is
summarised in Figure 4 showing the distribution of market share for the various regions from 2001
to 2016. The North American share has consistently contributed 40% or more of the total World
market share, Europe has contributed a relatively constant 20 to 30% of market share and with
China demonstrating a growth through this period from approximately 7% to 19% of market share.
With the emergence of the BRIC economies, 2010 saw the introduction of investment casting sales
data from the additional regions of Russia and South America to present a truly global picture.
With the increasing reliability of World investment casting sales data available since 2001 we are
able to demonstrate in Figure 5 the market share by region as a percentage of total World
investment casting sales.
Page 4 of 10
World Investment Casting Sales US$M
14000
12000
0
2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2016
Est.
Figure 4
Figure 5
Page 5 of 10
WORLD INVESTMENT CASTING SALES BY SECTOR
To facilitate additional market analysis, World investment casting sales since 2001, have been
divided and reported in the three main casting sectors of High Added Value, Automotive and Other
Markets. World investment casting market Papers from 2001 have used this format for presenting
sales data. The following figures present the World investment casting sales by sector.
Figure 6 demonstrates World investment casting sector trends from 2001 to 2016, all sectors have
shown growth over this period but the high growth rate of the High Added Value sector should be
noted. Figure 7 shows the World investment casting sales for the year 2003 by sector and region and
in comparison Figure 8 shows the World investment casting sales for the year 2016 by sector and
region.
8000
7000
6000
4000 Automotive
Other Markets
3000
2000
1000
0
2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2016
Figure 6
Page 6 of 10
2003 Investment Casting Sales by Sector US$M
3000
2500
2000
500
0
N America Europe China Asia Other
Figure 7
Figure 8
Page 7 of 10
LATEST WORLD INVESTMENT CASTING SALES DATA
The latest World investment casting sales data reported in the January 2017 issue of INCAST [7]
showing the up to date position for World investment casting sales is represented in Figure 9. Sales
for the World investment casting industry for 2016 are estimated to have reached a level of
US$13.45 Billion.
Figure 10 demonstrates 2016 World investment casting sales by geographical region with the 4 main
regions contributing the following percentage share. North America 43%, Europe 24%, China 18%,
Asia (excluding China) 12% and Others 3%.
Figure 11 demonstrates 2016 World investment casting sales by sector, as to be expected the High
Added Value sector dominates at 59% with Other Markets at 28% and Automotive at 13%.
12000
Russia
10000
S America
8000 Other
Asia
6000
China
4000 Europe
N America
2000
0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Figure 9
Page 8 of 10
Sales by Region 2016
3%
12%
43% N America
18% Europe
China
Asia
Other
24%
Figure 10
28%
59%
13%
Figure 11
Page 9 of 10
SUMMARY
There have been numerous World investment casting market Presentations over the past decades,
providing sales data for the industry, the individual regions and the individual sectors. This data has
been well received at the various industry meetings and conferences and has given the industry a
valuable guide to its performance. The data demonstrates that the industry has seen steady growth
in sales with the exception of the periods during the brief financial downturns of 2001 to 2003 and
2008 to 2009.
As this Paper has demonstrated the industry saw total World investment casting sales grow from
US$2.08 Billion to US$6.90 Billion from 1982 to 2001 and from 2001 to 2016 a further growth to a
level of US$13.45 Billion.
The reliability of market data within the World investment casting industry has considerably
improved since the early days of market Presentations. A knowledge and understanding of such data
is important to everyone associated with the investment casting industry and hopefully the sharing
of World market data will continue to benefit us all.
REFERENCES
[2] – G Gould and C G Baker - Investment Casting Industry Current and Future Trends – 6th World
Conference on Investment Casting, Washington DC 1984
[3] – R B Williams - Update on Market Trends in the Investment Casting Industry – 22nd EICF
Conference, Paris 1992
[4] – R B Williams - Investment Casting Market Review – 10th World Conference on Investment
Casting, Monte Carlo 2000
[5] – R B Williams and R F Smart - A Review of Investment Casting Market Trend Data – 25th EICF
Conference, Berlin 2002
[6] – Richard Hirst and Ronald Williams - World Investment Casting Market Reviews - 11th, 12th, 13th,
14th World Conferences on Investment Casting, Edinburgh 2004, Dallas 2008, Kyoto 2012 and Paris
2016
Page 10 of 10
A Look at The 787 Supply Chain
Model and How Boeing is Changing
The Face of Supply Chain
Management in The Aerospace
Industry
Darren Sekiguchi
The Boeing Company
A Look at The 787 Supply Chain Model and
How Boeing is Changing The Face of Supply
Chain Management in The Aerospace Industry
Presented BY:
Darren A. Sekiguchi
Director, Boeing South Carolina Production Control
& Site Supplier Management
The Boeing Company
5400 International Blvd., M/C 7830-NE51
North Charleston, SC 29418 USA
Phone: 843/641-1894
E-mail: darren.a.sekiguchi@boeing.com
2017 Market Outlook
Joseph E. Fritz
Investment Casting Institute
2017 Market Outlook
Joseph E. Fritz
Executive Director
Investment Casting Institute
Market Overview 1
Market Overview 2
Investment Casting Trends – North America
Environment…
¾ Feelings about the economy are improving
¾ Aerospace and automotive continue to show growth
¾ Major downturns in several sectors due to oil over-supply
Industry Concerns…
¾ Government regulation cost
¾ Healthcare insurance
¾ Finding, retaining & developing skilled labor
Market Overview 3
Market Overview 4
North American Investment Casting
2016 Sales by Sector ($ Billion)
Aerospace/Defense 3.48
IGT 1.00
Automotive 0.43
General Industry 0.71
Market Overview 5
Superalloy 3.24
Steel 1.38
Titanium 0.57
Aluminum & Copper 0.44
Market Overview 7
2016 Business-scape
Aerospace
Automotive
General Industry
Market Overview 9
Market Overview 11
Commercial Aircraft
Deliveries, Orders and Backlog
14,000 12,072
12,000 10,032
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Analysis Based on Published Reports from Airline Monitor Speed News / Boeing / Airbus / Public Record
Market Overview 12
Commercial Aircraft
Airframe Deliveries
1,000 1,000
500 500
- -
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F
Narrow Body Wide Body Regional Jets Boeing Airbus Comac Irkut Bombardier Embraer Other
400
1,200
300
800
200
400
100
- -
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F
Analysis Based on Published Reports from Airline Monitor Speed News / Boeing / Airbus / Public Record
Market Overview 13
Commercial Aircraft
Engine Deliveries
3,000
3,000
2,000
2,000
1,000
1,000
-
- 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F
Pratt & Whitney General Electric GE/P&W Alliance
Narrow Body Wide Body Regional Jets Rolls Royce CFM International Intern'l Aero Engines
Analysis Based on Published Reports from Airline Monitor Speed News / Boeing / Airbus / Public Record
Market Overview 14
Defense – Procurement
2017 Budget
President Obama’s FY2017 defense budget totaled $610B
$551B base + $58.8 Overseas Contingency Spending
Key Program cancellations deferred
A-10 Warthog will remain in service through 2022
Extend life for F/A-18E/F Super Hornet through 2017
Market Overview 15
Defense
FY17 DoD Budget Breakdown
$7 , 2%
$7 , 1%
$112 , 22% $72 , 13%
$139 , 27% $139 , 24%
$2.3 , 5%
$2.4 , 5% $1.2 , 3% Aircraft Modification
$1.8 , 21% $1.0 , 12%
$6.3 , 14%
Unmanned Aerial
Vehicles
Technology Tactical Missile
Development Defense
Support Aircraft Tactical Ballistic Missile
Defense
Combat Aircraft Ballistic Missile
Defense System
Cargo Aircraft
$8.6 , 19%
$18.9 , 42% Aircraft Support
$5.7 , 67%
$5.6 , 12%
Market Overview 17
Defense
FY17 DoD Budget Breakdown
$0.4 , 4%
$0.8 , 8%
$1.0 , 10%
$0.4 , 4% Weapons $5.0 , 36% $2.4 , 17%
Support Equipment
Tactical Missiles
Combat Vehicles
Conventional
Heavy Tactical Ammunition
Vehicles Strategic Missiles
Heavy Tactical
Vehicles
Market Overview 18
Defense
FY17 DoD Budget Breakdown
$2.7 , 38%
$2.9 , 11%
$2.2 , 8%
$0.9 , 3% Surface Combatant
$0.7 , 3%
Support Ships
Support Satelites
Support
Technology
Development Launch
Outfitting & Post
Delivery
$3.2 , 45%
Submaring Combatant
$7.8 , 29%
$12.5 , 46% $1.2 , 17%
Market Overview 19
Defense
FY17 Modernization Accounts
$11.9 , 7% $7.1 , 4%
$8.8 , 5%
$25.6 , 14%
$8.2 , 5%
$7.4 , 4%
Space-Based Systems
Shipbuilding & Maritime Systems
$12.3 , 7% RDT&E S&T
Mission Support
$184 Billion* Aircraft
C41 Systems
Ground Systems
Missile Defense
Missiles & Munitions
$48.8 , 27%
$47.4 , 27%
Market Overview 21
Defense – Procurement
Trump Administration Requested Modifications
Market Overview 22
Defense
Potential effect of new administration
$695
$700 $700
$670
$640
$650 $650
$US Billions
$US Billions
$610
$596
$600 $580 $583 $576 $581 $600 $580
$568
$550 $550
$500 $500
$450 $450
$400 $400
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Enacted Request FYDP FYDP FYDP FYDP Enacted Request FYDP FYDP FYDP FYDP
Market Overview 23
Commercial Aerospace
2016 saw casting sales grow at ~3%
Outlook for 2017 is favorable with forecast growth of 5-7%
Defense
2016 casting sales grew by 7+% over the prior year
Continued growth at the same rate is anticipated for 2017
Market Overview 24
Industrial Gas Turbines
Market Overview 26
Industrial Gas Turbines
Forecast Unit Production % by Turbine Type
Market Overview 27
Market Overview 28
Industrial Gas Turbines
Deliveries and Forecast
800
600
400
200
-
2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017F 2018F 2019F
Market Overview 29
Market Drivers
Gasoline prices remain at low levels
Widespread credit availability and dealer incentives
Employment gains
Market Overview 30
Automotive
US Passenger Vehicle Sales
17,386,300 17,465,000
18,000,000
16,435,300
16,000,000 15,531,600
14,000,000
12,000,000
10,000,000
8,000,000
6,000,000
4,000,000
2,000,000
0
2013 2014 2015 2016
Market Overview 31
Automotive
Global Passenger Vehicle Sales (Key Markets)
70,000,000 66,817,600
62,705,700
60,905,600
60,000,000 57,617,100
50,000,000
40,000,000
30,000,000
20,000,000
10,000,000
0
2013 2014 2015 2016
Market Overview 33
14.0
12.0
10.0
FORECAST
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Market Overview 34
General Industry
Market Overview 36
General Industry – Oil & Gas
Production
8,760 8,876
9,000
8,000
7,466
Average Daily Production (Barrels 000)
7,000
6,486
6,000 5,644
5,352 5,476
5,185 5,086 5,077 4,999
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Market Overview 37
1.5 9.0
million barrels per day
1.0 6.0
0.5 3.0
0.0 0.0
-0.5 -3.0
-1.0 -6.0
Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16
Year-Over-Year Change Average Daily Oil Production (Barrels Millions)
Market Overview 38
General Industry – Oil & Gas
Rig Count showing signs of recovery
2,000
1,500
US Rig Count – Land vs Offshore
2,500 70
60
2,000
1,000
50
Off Shore
1,500 40
Land
1,000 30
20
500 500
10
- -
Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17
-
Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17
Market Overview 39
The data represented tracks orders for a key part, the performance
of which has proven indicative of the Oil & Gas segment at large
Market Overview 40
General Industry – Oil & Gas
Market Overview 41
Heavy Vehicles
Build Forecast
1,000
900 868
793
800 765
734
700 681 308 684
269
288
Units (000)
600 245
234 239
500
237
400 227
202 247 247
300 242
200
297 323
100 245 230 203 242
-
2013A 2014A 2015A 2016E 2017F 2018F
Market Overview 42
General Industry – Heavy Vehicles
Market Overview 43
10,000,000
8,000,000
6,000,000
4,000,000
2,000,000
Agriculture
2016 represents 3rd year of decline
2WD Tractors 40-100 HP down 2%
2WD Tractors over 100HP down 22%
4WD Tractors down 26%
Combines down 19%
2017 expected to be flat or slightly negative
Construction Machinery
2016 saw an abrupt change from the prior year
CAT NA Construction down 9%
Komatsu NA down 11%
2017 expected to see further declines on the order of 5%
Market Overview 45
Market Overview 46
General Industry - Orthopedic
Orthopedic Implants
The industry reports a 6.3% rise in 2016
Medical Devices
Foundries reported 2016 growth of 8.0%
Market Overview 47
Market Overview 48
North American Investment Casting
Select Market Trend Summary
2016 2017
Aerospace
IGT
Automotive
Oil & Gas
Heavy Vehicles
Recreational Firearms
General Industry
Agriculture
Construction Machinery
Orthopedic Implants
Medical Devices
Pumps & Valves
Dairy & Food Processing
Market Overview 49
2016E 2015F
Aerospace 3.48 3.71
Market Overview 50
INVESTMENT CASTING INSTITUTE
136 Summit Avenue
Montvale, New Jersey 07645-1720
Phone 201-573-9770 Fax: 201-573-9771
www.investmentcasting.org