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Since 1987, credit rating has made headway into the Indian capital market. Since their inception, credit
rating agencies have played a significant role in the Indian capital market as have their counterparts
abroad. At the same time, the working of the rating agencies has been criticized by many for not having
been able to accomplish the coveted goal of investor interest protection as they failed in predicting the
fall of big corporate concerns. Rating agencies were also under the scanner during the current global
financial crisis. Against the backdrop of their role and criticism, the paper makes an attempt to elicit
and analyze the opinion of investors on the working of credit rating agencies in India and offers some
suggestions to enable the rating system to be efficient and effective.
Introduction
The economic growth of any country depends, to a greater extent, on a vibrant capital
market as it facilitates the transformation of savings into investment. It may be noted that
the development of capital market depends, among other factors, on the dissemination of
complete information and the existence of knowledgeable investors.
The growth story of the Indian capital market started in the mid-1980s. The Indian
economy has been growing fast since the adoption of the Liberalization Policy in mid-1991.
At present, the Indian economy is integrating with the global economy. In tandem with the
economy, the capital market is also growing fast. Over the years, various tailor-made financial
instruments have been introduced in the capital market to cater to the needs of diverse
investors. The growth of the capital market and increase in the varieties of instruments created
not only opportunities for the investors, but also complexities in the market as, even the
reputation of the issuer-company is no longer a guarantee to the quality of the financial
instrument which it (i.e., the company) issues. Hence, a general caution to the customers, caveat
emptor (buyer beware), is also applicable to investors.
To demystify the complexity of the financial instruments in the capital market, to facilitate
the investors to take informed investment decisions and to enable the issuer-companies/
institutions to mobilize the required funds (at reasonable cost), various agencies like Moody’s
Investor Services, Standard and Poor’s, Fitch Ratings, etc., work in the US markets.
* Faculty Member, Department of Commerce, Kuvempu University, Jnana Sahyadri, Shankaraghatta 577451,
Karnataka, India. E-mail: bg@kuvempu.ac.in
* * Faculty Member, Department of Commerce, Kuvempu University, Jnana Sahyadri, Shankaraghatta 577451,
Karnataka, India. E-mail: madegowda@kuvempu.ac.in
©
92 2010 IUP. All Rights Reserved. The IUP Journal of Behavioral Finance, Vol. VII, Nos. 1 & 2, 2010
Credit Rating Agencies in India
The success stories of credit rating agencies in the US (particularly, in debt capital market)
encouraged a few Indian and foreign financial institutions and banks to establish rating
agencies in India. Credit rating in India is the brain child of CRISIL (Credit Rating and
Information Services of India Limited). CRISIL was incorporated in January 1987 and
commenced its rating activities in January 1988. Its first rating was released in March
1988. ICRA (Investment Information and Credit Rating Agency of India Limited) is the
second rating agency established in India (January 1, 1991) at a time when the country
was all set to embrace the economic liberalization policy. CARE (Credit Analysis and
Research Limited)) is the third credit rating agency to be set up in India (April 1993).
Duff and Phelps Credit Rating India Limited (DCR) is the fourth, but the first private
sector rating agency which commenced its operations in India in 1995. Duff and Phelps,
and Duff and Phelps India Private Limited merged in November 2001 to form a new entity
called, Fitch India Limited, a 100% subsidiary of Fitch IBCA. Brickwork Ratings India
Private Limited is the fifth credit rating agency (second private rating agency) registered
with SEBI in 2007.
Credit rating agencies came into being to evaluate the credit risk of the financial
instruments. The basic philosophy behind assigning a credit rating is to enable the
investors to take proper investment-related decisions to minimize their risk and maximize
their benefits.
Credit Rating
CRISIL1 defines credit rating as an unbiased, objective and independent opinion as to an
issuer’s capacity to meet financial obligations. It is the current opinion as to the relative
safety of timely payment of interest and principal on a particular debt instrument. ICRA2
views credit rating as a simple and easy to understand symbolic indicator of the opinion
of a credit rating agency about the risk involved in a borrowing program of an issuer with
reference to the capability of the issuer to repay the debt as per terms of issue. This is
neither a general purpose evaluation of the company nor a recommendation to buy, hold
or sell a debt instrument. According to CARE,3 credit rating is essentially the opinion of
the rating agency on the relative ability and willingness of the issuer of a debt instrument
to meet the debt service obligations as and when they arise. An analysis of these
definitions/views about rating reveals some of the important aspects of credit rating as
presented below.
• Credit rating is an expert opinion on the credit quality of the financial instrument.
It is an objective and unbiased opinion on the ability and willingness of the
borrower-company to meet its financial obligations as per the predetermined
schedule of payments;
1
CRISIL Rating document (exact source not known).
2
ICRA (1998), Investor Awareness Program (a brochure).
3
CARE (1998), Credit Rating—Answers to Some Questions.
94 The IUP Journal of Behavioral Finance, Vol. VII, Nos. 1 & 2, 2010
Managing a risk is a difficult task. It is very difficult to identify and evaluate the risk associated
with investments (instruments). Successful management of risk, to a greater extent, depends
upon the availability of complete and reliable information. Even if the information is available,
it is very difficult to understand and analyze the information to take informed investment
decisions as many a number of (individual) investors do not possess adequate knowledge and
skills to analyze and interpret information. They may not be able to understand the finer
aspects of information. There lies the significance of specialized market intermediaries who can
assist them in understanding the fundamentals of the company and market and read between
the lines. It is believed that credit rating agencies are of great help in this regard. Through the
transition of economic liberalization, the credit rating agencies in India have grown and they
are providing useful services to minimize the risk of loss due to failure of borrower organizations
to meet the financial obligations as per the schedule and to enable the investors to understand
the fundamentals of companies issuing the equity shares.
Inspite of pivotal service by the credit rating agencies, they are kept under watch.
One of the reasons for this is their failure to predict the fall of many corporate borrowers.
The big-guns of the rating industry viz., Moody’s, Standard and Poor’s and Fitch Ratings
failed in predicting the fall of the Washington Public Power Supply System (WPPSS)—a
nuclear power company in the State of Washington (1983); Executive Life (1991); Orange
County of California, Confederation Life (1994); First Capital, Hafnia (1993); HIH
Insurance Co. (2001); Monarch, Mutual Benefit Life (1994); etc. Further, the rating agencies
were also unable to predict Enron debacle (2001) and the fall of WorldCom (2002).
The rating agencies did not provide even a single clue of the Asian crisis (1997),
Russian crisis (1998) and the Brazilian crisis (1999). The East-Asian crisis, aptly called
Asian flu, caused damages to various economies. No sovereign credit rating was
downgraded throughout 1996 or the first half of 1997 for the East-Asian countries.
However, the only exception to this was that Moody downgraded the sovereign rating of
Thailand in April 1997. Recently, the sub-prime crisis shattered the financial markets all
around the world. The victims included well-known financial czars like Bear Sterns,
Countrywide Mortgage, BNP Paribas, Lehman Brothers, etc. The Indian rating agencies
are no exception as they too failed to trace the CRB capital markets fiasco.
In spite of these developments, the rating agencies are enjoying regulatory support and
popularity. Now, these agencies are also playing a pivotal role in the implementation of
Basel-II norms in the banking sector. Since 2007, the rating agencies (with regulatory
support from SEBI) started grading equity issues, hitherto an uncharted arena even by the
international rating agencies.
The above aspects and issues encouraged us to take up this study to analyze/evaluate
the investors’ perception on the working of credit rating agencies in India.
96 The IUP Journal of Behavioral Finance, Vol. VII, Nos. 1 & 2, 2010
has made IPO (equity) grading mandatory since May 1, 2007. A good number of
respondents have parked their savings in bonds/debentures (28.46%) and corporate
deposits (13.53%) where credit rating plays a predominant role.
• Majority of the respondents (33.70%) have invested their savings for a period of one
to three years followed by 25.41% of the respondents investing for a maximum of
one year. Nearly 19.34% and 21.82% of the respondents have invested their savings
for a period of 3-5 years and for more than five years, respectively.
Besides the above, the following analysis also gives further insight into the profile of
the respondent-investors.
3. No response 06 01.6
3. No response 52 14.4
Majority of the respondents (62.4%) opined that they were able to understand the ratings
assigned. About 23.2% expressed their inability to understand. The remaining 14.4% of the
respondents did not offer any response as they were not aware of the ratings. The last two
categories (viz., the respondents who cannot understand the ratings and those who did not
respond) accounted for more than one-third of the total sample size and are, in effect, not
able to understand the technicalities of ratings. Therefore, capital market regulator—SEBI—
and rating agencies should organize investor education programs to demystify the rating
activities—procedure, symbols, the message these symbols convey, etc.
98 The IUP Journal of Behavioral Finance, Vol. VII, Nos. 1 & 2, 2010
It can be seen from Table 4 that 199 respondents, constituting 55% of the total
respondents are using rating as the base in their investment decisions, whereas 25.7% of the
respondents are not using rating as base in their investments. The remaining 19.3% of the
respondents (including 14.4% the respondent investors who are not aware of rating) did not
respond to this question. This brings to the fore that the rating agencies, despite their
important role in the market, have to take steps to create awareness about the importance
of ratings and using these ratings as the base for investment-related decisions by the
investors. As this survey result shows, there is a long way to be travelled by the rating
agencies to reach common investors.
Table 4: Rating as the Base for Investment Decisions
3. No response 70 19.3
A brief profile of the respondent investors presented above clearly shows that they are
capable of commenting on the working of credit rating agencies in India. Because, majority
of them are educated, they are saving a part of their income and investing in diverse
financial instruments where credit rating is a mandatory requirement.
Reliability of Ratings
Use of rating information by the investors in their decision-making process depends on the
reliability of rating information. Hence, the respondents were asked to comment on the reliability
of rating information and the responses received from them are tabulated in Table 5.
It can be observed that 41% of the respondent investors opined that the rating
information is reliable. 72 respondents, the second major group accounting for 20% of the
sample size expressed that the rating information is not much reliable. The positive note
to be cherished by the rating agencies is that at least 11% of the respondents felt that the
rating information is very much reliable. On the basis of the opinion expressed by the first
two groups of respondents (constituting 52%), it can be concluded that the rating
information is useful to the individual investors in their investment decisions. However,
the third group of respondents accounting for 20% of the total respondents consider the
rating information as not much reliable. Of course they agree to the reliability of rating
2. Reliable 150 41
5. Cannot say 89 25
Note: As the respondents, at least some, are using the ratings by more than one credit rating agency, the total
is more than 362 or 100%.
100 The IUP Journal of Behavioral Finance, Vol. VII, Nos. 1 & 2, 2010
Influencing Factors of Investment Decisions
Investment decisions are influenced by a number of factors that vary from one investor
to another and also from one situation to another. However, the respondent investors
were given a few influencing factors and asked to tick the factor/s influencing their
investment decisions. The responses received from them are summarized in Table 7.
Preference
S.
Factors Total
No I II III IV
1. Own judgement 208 33 21 15 277
(57.46) (9.12) (5.80) (4.14) (76.52)
2. Credit rating/ 46 61 37 28 172
grading (12.71) (16.85) (10.22) (7.73) (47.51)
3. Advise of brokers/ 64 77 33 26 200
consultants (17.68) (21.27) (9.12) (7.18) (55.25)
4. Review of performance 029 2 57 50 164
of issuer-organization (8.01) (7.73) (15.75) (13.81) (45.30)
in print/e-media
5. Others 01 02 03
(0.28) (0.55) – – (0.83)
6. No response 16
– – – –
(4.42)
Note: As the respondents, at least some, were influenced by more than one factor, the total is not equal to 362
or 100%
It is obvious from the above that various factors/parties influence the investment
decisions of investors. However, majority of investors take investment decisions based on
their own judgement followed by the advice of brokers and consultants. Majority of the
respondents stated that, out of a number of parties/factors influencing their decision,
first preference was own judgement (57.46%) followed by the advise of brokers/
consultants, and review of performance of the issuer companies in print/e-media. Credit
rating/grading stands in third position in first preference, second position in second, third
and fourth preferences. This implies the importance of the rating information in
investment decisions.
Print media such as newspapers, business dailies and periodicals are important sources
of information about the changes made by rating agencies in the ratings for more number
of respondents (165 respondents account for 45.58% of the investor respondents).
E-media is another important source of information about ratings for 30.94% of the respondents.
Information on rating change has also been accessed by 16.02% of respondents through
publications of rating agencies.
102 The IUP Journal of Behavioral Finance, Vol. VII, Nos. 1 & 2, 2010
As already pointed out, the agencies should view this aspect seriously, as only 16.02%
of the respondents use the agencies’ publications to obtain relevant information about
changes in the rating. Hence, the rating agencies should give serious thought to this and
ensure that their publications are made available at reasonable prices to retail investors.
Of course, the respondents who use e-media for information might have visited websites
of rating agencies. Still, it is necessary to ensure the availability of these publications at
reasonable prices. Of the remaining respondents, 8.84% depend on brokerage firms,
advisors and friends for the information about ratings change. Out of 16.57% of respondents
who did not respond, 14.4% of respondents were not aware of rating.
1. Downgraded 138 38
2. Not downgraded 94 26
3. Do not know 130 36
Total 362 100
Thirty eight percent of the respondents said that the instruments in which they had
invested were downgraded subsequently. 26% of the respondents stated that the
instruments in which they had invested were not downgraded. Rational investors who are
interested in the safety of their funds along with good returns should continuously
monitor the changes in the market, including the financial instruments concerned. It can
be observed from the table that 36% of the respondents, including 14.4% of investors who
are not aware of rating, do not know about the rating changes of instruments in which
they have invested their funds.
1. Sold 48 34.78
2. Retained 57 41.30
3. No answer 33 23.92
Total 138 100.00
1. Purchased 148 41
2. Not purchased 160 44
3. No response 54 15
Total 362 100
104 The IUP Journal of Behavioral Finance, Vol. VII, Nos. 1 & 2, 2010
has some positive impact on the investors, as 55% of the respondents purchased the rated
financial instruments after they were upgraded. This reposes faith in rating activities.
S. No Need for Rating by More than One Agency Number of Respondents Percentage
1 Necessary 251 69
2 Not necessary 49 14
3 No response 62 17
Total 362 100
106 The IUP Journal of Behavioral Finance, Vol. VII, Nos. 1 & 2, 2010
Table 17 clearly brings out the fact that CRISIL is the most reliable rating agency as
majority of respondents preferred this agency followed by ICRA, CARE and Fitch in terms
of credibility of rating agencies. Here also, CRISIL emerges as the leader not only in volume
of business, but also in terms of credibility. Totally, 220 respondents accounting for 60.8%
back the credibility of CRISIL as compared to 53.31% each for ICRA and CARE and 40.33%
for Fitch. In the first preference, CRISIL is followed by CARE, ICRA and Fitch. Again,
19.89% of respondents did not express their opinion on the credibility of rating agencies.
1. Necessary 274 76
2. Not necessary 59 16
3. No response 29 08
Total 362 100
1. Adequate 165 45
2. Inadequate 140 39
3. No response 57 16
Total 362 100
108 The IUP Journal of Behavioral Finance, Vol. VII, Nos. 1 & 2, 2010
• To disseminate the information on rating and rating revision, wide publicity should
be given in e-media and print media. In case of print media, rating information
should be made available in all regional language newspapers. This can be done only
when rating agencies place investors at the centre of rating services.
• The publications of rating agencies should be priced at a reasonable level and
circulated widely to reach investors to enable them to have first hand information
on initial rating and rating change. Otherwise, the very purpose, as already pointed
out is defeated. Hence, the rating agencies should give a serious thought to these
two aspects—reasonable prices and wide circulation.
• Rating agencies, in collaboration with SEBI, should organize investor-education
programs to create awareness among investors and to explain the importance of
ratings in their investment decisions, because, as if the investors do not understand
and make use of the rating service, then the purpose, as already mentioned, is
defeated. Hence, it is necessary to organize investor education programs on rating—
its importance, benefits, etc.—regularly.
• The rating agencies should set-up a retail investor help desk, to assist the investors
to demystify the complex rating.
Conclusion
It can be observed from the responses of the respondent investors that the rating agencies
certainly play an important role in the development of the capital market. However, there
is scope for improvement of performance of the rating agencies. Whatever may be the
mechanism adopted in the process of the rating, the final outcome depends on the
credibility of rating agencies and genuine interest of the regulator to protect the interest
of investors. Therefore, credibility of the system as a whole should be the mantra of the
rating process. It can be concluded that the responses given by the respondent investors
go a long way in improving of the working of credit rating agencies in India.
Reference # 36J-2010-03/06-06-01