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Original Article

Low-grade albuminuria and incidence of


cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality in
nondiabetic and normotensive individuals
Fumitaka Tanaka a, Ryosuke Komi a, Shinji Makita a, Toshiyuki Onoda b, Kozo Tanno b,
Masaki Ohsawa b, Kazuyoshi Itai b, Kiyomi Sakata b, Shinichi Omama c, Yuki Yoshida c,
Kuniaki Ogasawara c, Yasuhiro Ishibashi d, Toru Kuribayashi e, Akira Okayama f,
Motoyuki Nakamura a, on behalf of Iwate-Kenco Study Group
See editorial comment on page 399

Background: Recent studies indicate that, in people with


INTRODUCTION

M
diabetes or hypertension and in the general population, icroalbuminuria (30–300 mg of albumin/24 h) is a
low-grade albuminuria (LGA) below the microalbuminuria well known independent risk factor for cardio-
threshold is a predictor for incidence of cardiovascular vascular disease (CVD) and mortality in people
disease (CVD) and mortality. However, it remains unclear with diabetes or hypertension and in the general popu-
whether LGA predicts the risk of CVD incidence and death lation [1–6]. In particular, diabetes and hypertension have
in nondiabetic and normotensive individuals. the close linkage with a greater prevalence of microalbu-
Methods: A total of 3599 individuals aged not less than minuria [7,8], and microalbuminuria is well documented to
40 years from the general population who are free of CVD correlate with CVD outcomes in these individuals [1–4].
in nondiabetic and normotensive individuals with preserved These evidences raise a question about whether the linkage
glomerular filtration rate were followed for CVD incidence between albuminuria and CVD outcomes is attributable to
and all-cause death. LGA was defined as urinary albumin elevated blood pressure and glucose intolerance, or urinary
to creatinine ratio (UACR) less than 30 mg/g. It was albumin excretion itself. This would be worth considering
examined whether there is an association between LGA to focus the target for intervention of albuminuria-related
and CVD incidence or all-cause death. risk.
The recent reports from meta-analysis documented that,
Results: During the average 5.9 years of follow-up, 61
in individuals without hypertension or diabetes, increased
individuals had first CVD events, and 85 individuals died.
CVD risk is observed in individuals with low-grade albu-
The hazard ratios (HRs) for CVD incidence and all-cause
minuria (LGA) lower than those currently employed to
death after full adjustment by potential confounders
define microalbuminuria [9–11]. Furthermore, there were
increased significantly in the top tertile of LGA (UACR
the LGA-related risk of CVD incidence and all-cause
 9.6 mg/g for men,  12.0 mg/g for women) compared
mortality also in nondiabetic individuals without hyperten-
with the first tertile [HR ¼ 2.79, 95% confidence interval
sion [12,13]. However, these studies included individuals
(CI), 1.41–5.52, HR ¼ 1.69, 95% CI, 1.00–2.84,
with prehypertension which was defined as SBP from 120
respectively]. Population-attributable fractions of the top
to 139 mmHg/diastolic blood pressure (DBP) from 80 to 89
tertile of LGA for CVD incidence and all-cause death were
mmHg. Therefore, even in individuals without hyperten-
37.9 and 20.1%, respectively.
sion, blood pressure may partially account for the associ-
Conclusion: In apparently healthy individuals with optimal ation between LGA and the risk of CVD events and death, as
blood pressure and no diabetes, LGA independently prehypertension is an independent indicator of albuminu-
predicts CVD incidence and all-cause death, particularly ria [14] and is a predictor for the risk of CVD and all-cause
with the large contribution to the excessive incidence of mortality [15,16].
CVD.
Keywords: cardiovascular disease, follow-up studies, Journal of Hypertension 2016, 34:506–512
microalbuminuria, mortality, nondiabetic, nonhypertensive a
Department of Internal Medicine, bDepartment of Hygiene and Preventive Medicine,
c
Department of Neurosurgery, dDepartment of Neurology, Iwate Medical University,
Abbreviations: AMI, acute myocardial infarction; BNP, e
Department of Health and Physical Education, Faculty of Education, Iwate University,
B-type natriuretic peptide; CI, confidence interval; CVD, Morioka and fThe Research Institute of Strategy for Prevention, Tokyo, Japan
cardiovascular disease; GFR, glomerular filtration rate; HR, Correspondence to Fumitaka Tanaka, MD, 19–1 Uchimaru, Morioka, Iwate, Japan.
hazard ratio; hsCRP, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein; Tel: +81 19 651 5111; fax: +81 19 651 0401; e-mail: ftanaka@iwate-med.ac.jp
LGA, low-grade albuminuria; PAF, population-attributable Received 27 August 2015 Revised 14 October 2015 Accepted 23 October 2015
fraction; SCD, sudden cardiac death; SD, standard J Hypertens 34:506–512 Copyright ß 2016 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights
reserved.
deviation; UACR, urinary albumin creatinine ratio
DOI:10.1097/HJH.0000000000000809

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Low-grade albuminuria and outcomes

It remains unclear whether LGA predicts the risk of CVD area. AMI was defined according to the MONICA (monitor-
events and death in nondiabetic and normotensive indi- ing of trends and determinants in CVD) criteria [20] and was
viduals. This clarification could lead to identify the albu- identified from hospital registration survey data. According
minuria-related risk which is independent of elevated to the WHO criteria for sudden death, SCD was defined as
blood pressure in no diabetes. The aim of this study was sudden unexpected death either within 1 h of symptom
to investigate the association between LGA and the risk of onset (event witnessed), or within 24 h of having been
CVD incidence and all-cause death in a community-based observed alive and symptom free (unwitnessed) [21]. SCD
sample of nondiabetic and normotensive individuals with was identified by reviewing death certificates filed at refer-
preserved glomerular filtration rate (GFR). ral hospitals and/or public health centers in the study area,
and was determined by a committee consisting of cardiol-
METHODS ogists, neurologists, and epidemiologists. The study was
approved by our institutional ethics committee.
Study participants
The Iwate-KENCO study cohort is a population-based Measurement
prospective study in Japanese residents in three districts BMI was calculated by dividing weight (in kilograms) by the
(Ninohe, Kuji, and Miyako) of the northern Iwate prefec- square of height (in meters). Participants completed a self-
ture, northeast of Honsyu, Japan. Details of this cohort are report questionnaire to document their medical history
provided elsewhere [17]. Participants were recruited from a including current medications and lifestyle factors such
government-regulated health checkup programme which as smoking habits. Blood pressure was measured twice
was conducted between April 2002 and January 2005. Of using an automatic digital sphygmomanometer after 5 min
this original cohort in the Ninohe and Kuji districts (n ¼ 15 of rest in a sitting position, and the average of these two
927), 97% of study participants agreed to participate in this values was used for analysis. The both fasting (n ¼ 1287)
cohort study. We excluded 12 328 participants for the and nonfasting (n ¼ 6644) blood samples were drawn from
following reasons: the age less than 40 years (n ¼ 583), an antecubital vein and collected into vacuum tubes con-
missing data at baseline (n ¼ 840), a urinary albumin crea- taining a serum separator gel. Tubes were stored immedi-
tinine ratio (UACR) at least 30 mg/g (micro- or macro- ately after sampling in an icebox and were transported to
albuminuria; n ¼ 3533), prevalent CVD (myocardial infarc- the laboratory less than 8 h after collection. Plasma levels of
tion, angina pectoris, or stroke; n ¼ 500), prevalent pre- B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) were measured by direct
hypertension or hypertension (SBP  120 mmHg, DBP radioimmunoassay using monoclonal antibodies specific
 80 mmHg, or use of antihypertensive medications; for human BNP (Shionoria RIA BNP kit; Shionogi & Co. Ltd.,
n ¼ 10 442), prevalent diabetes mellitus (n ¼ 1121), the Osaka, Japan). Serum levels of high-sensitivity C-reactive
estimated GFR less than 60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 (n ¼ 2141) protein (hsCRP) were measured using the Behring
or menstruating (n ¼ 156). Finally, 3599 participants (982 latex-enhanced CRP assay on a Behring nephelometer
males and 2617 females) were included in the analysis. BN-100. The eGFR was calculated using an equation
(ml/min per 1.73 m2) ¼ 194  serum creatinine1.094 
Outcome age0.278 ( 0.739 for women) from the Modification of
Patients with newly diagnosed stroke, acute myocardial Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) study [22]. Diabetes was
infarction (AMI)/sudden cardiac death (SCD), heart failure, defined as a random blood glucose level not less than
or all-cause death were registered until October 2009. 200 mg/dl, a fasting blood glucose level at least 126 mg/
Registration was initially performed by attending physicians dl, a glycosylated hemoglobin (NGSP equivalent value) not
at each hospital. To ensure complete capture of all regis- less than 6.5%, and/or current antidiabetic therapy. Dysli-
trations, investigators consisting of physicians and trained pidemia was defined as total cholesterol levels at least
research nurses visited and reviewed medical charts and/or 240 mg/dl, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels less
discharge summaries at referral hospitals within the study than 40 mg/dl, and/or current lipid lowering therapy.
area. Dates of death and relocation from the study area Smoking habits were defined as current smoking. At the
were annually or biannually confirmed by investigators baseline examination, a single-void urine sample was col-
who reviewed population-registration sheets at each local lected during the daytime and was used to measure UACR.
government office. People who were known to be alive at Urinary albumin was assessed quantitatively using an
the end of the follow-up and those who had moved away immunonephelometric method (N antiserum albumin,
from the study area were treated as censored cases. The Dade Behring) and urinary creatinine was measured quan-
follow-up rate was 99%. titatively on enzymatic colorimetric test [23]. The between-
The end point of the study was a composite cardiovas- assay coefficient of variation for urinary albumin and
cular outcome comprising stroke, AMI/SCD, and heart creatinine was within 5% throughout the range of concen-
failure; and all-cause death. Stroke was defined on the trations. The sensitivity limit for urinary albumin concen-
basis of symptoms (sudden onset of a focal neurological tration was 6 mg/l. Urinary albumin showing levels below
deficit of 24-h duration) and brain imaging including brain this limit were regarded as no LGA irrespective of their
computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging, urinary creatinine concentration.
and was identified by local stroke registry data [18]. Heart
failure was defined according to the Framingham criteria Statistical analysis
[19] and was identified by investigators from medical Data are presented as mean  standard deviation (SD)
records at all general hospitals located within the study or percentage. Skewed variables were logarithmically

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Tanaka et al.

TABLE 1. Baseline characteristics of study participants according to categories of low-grade albuminuria


Category of urinary albumin creatinine ratio
First tertile Second tertile Third tertile P value
Number 1467 939 1193
Range of urinary albumin creatinine ratio
Men 0.0 3.5–9.5 9.6–29.8
Women 0.0 4.1–11.9 12.0–29.8
Men (%) 24.9 31.1 27.2 0.004
Age (years) 56.8  9.6 55.9  10.2 60.5  9.9 < 0.001
BMI (kg/m2) 22.8  2.8 23.0  3.0 22.9  3.0 0.322
Systolic blood pressure (mmHg) 106.9  8.1 106.8  8.3 107.8  8.0 0.003
DBP (mmHg) 65.3  6.6 65.5  6.8 65.8  6.5 0.160
Current smoking (%) 13.2 17.0 12.4 0.005
Dyslipidemia (%) 19.6 19.1 17.0 0.222
BNP (pg/ml) 17.8  17.0 15.4  16.8 20.0  23.8 < 0.001
HsCRP (mg/l) 0.73  1.83 0.74  1.79 1.02  3.31 0.152

Data are presented as mean  SD or percentage. BMI, body mass index; BNP, B-type natriuretic peptide; HsCRP, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein.

transformed to improve normality prior to analysis. To to sex-specific tertiles of UACR are shown in Table 1. Age
evaluate the relationship between each parameter and and levels of SBP and BNP tended to be high in individuals
the UACR, the participants were stratified according to with the third tertile of LGA, in which, inversely, current
sex-specific tertiles of LGA (UACR < 30 mg/g). As the result, smokers were less frequent.
all individuals categorized to the first tertile of UACR had During the average 5.9  1.2 years of follow-up, 61
urinary albumin levels below the sensitivity limit (6 mg/l) in participants (1.7%) had the first CVD events which were
both sexes (n ¼ 365 for male, 1102 for female). The ranges consisting of 51 events with stroke, seven events with AMI/
of the second and the third tertiles of UACR were 3.5–9.5, SCD, and three events with heart failure. During the follow-
9.6–29.8 mg/g for males and 4.1–11.9, 12.0–29.8 mg/g for up period, 85 individuals (2.4%) died from cardiac (17.6%)
females, respectively. Analysis of covariance and logistic and no-cardiac cause (82.4%). The cumulative incidence of
regression with adjustments for CVD risk factors were CVD and all-cause death were 0.7 and 1.5% in the first tertile
conducted to compare means and proportions, respect- of LGA, 1.5 and 2.2% in the second tertile of LGA, and 3.0
ively, across the LGA tertiles. Comparison of continuous and 3.5% in the third tertile of LGA, respectively. In Fig. 1,
variables at baseline was performed by one way analysis of the Kaplan–Meier curves showed that the differences of
variance with the Scheffe’s post hoc test. Furthermore, the cumulative incidence of CVD and all-cause death were
Kruskal–Wallis analysis was used to compare BNP and significant among the LGA tertiles (P < 0.001, Fig. 1).
hsCRP levels among the LGA tertiles. x2 test was used for Table 2 shows the relationship between the LGA
comparison of categorical variables. The Kaplan–Meier category and the risk of CVD events or all-cause death
method with log-rank test was used to compare event-free after adjustment for potential confounding factors in the
rates for CVD events and all-cause death in tertiles of UACR. Cox model. The HR for the incidence of CVD after full
The multivariate regression analysis was adjusted as fol- adjustment by potential confounders including log BNP
lows: model 1: age, sex; model 2: BMI, SBP, dyslipidemia and log hsCRP increased significantly in the third tertile of
(yes or no), smoking habits (yes or no), log BNP and log LGA (HR ¼ 2.79, 95% CI,1.41–5.52) compared with the first
hsCRP in addition to model 1. Cox regression analysis was tertile. Similarly, the HR for all-cause death after full adjust-
used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and corresponding ment by potential confounders increased significantly in the
95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the risk of CVD events third tertile of LGA (HR ¼ 1.69, 95% CI, 1.00–2.84) com-
and all-cause death in tertiles of UACR. To express the pared with the first tertile (Table 2). From the PAF, we
impact of LGA categories on outcomes in the participants, estimated the positive fraction of incidence of CVD and all-
we estimated the population-attributable fraction (PAF). cause death attributable to exposure for each LGA category
This index was estimated as Pe  (HR1)/HR, in which at baseline (Fig. 2). As the results, 37.9% of CVD and 20.1%
Pe is the proportion of incident cases in the LGA category of all-cause death were excessive incidence due to the third
and HR is the full multiple-adjusted HR. All of the data were tertile of LGA, whereas 11.2% of CVD incidence and 6.8% of
analyzed with SPSS statistical software, version 11.0; SPSS all-cause death were attributable to the second tertile
Inc., Chicago, Illinois, USA). P less than 0.05, which was of LGA.
considered to be statistically significant.
DISCUSSION
RESULTS
The present study was conducted in nondiabetic and
The present cohort consisted of approximately 70% females normotensive individuals with preserved GFR and no
and 30% elderly people who were older than 65 years of cardiovascular history. Even in such apparently healthy
age. The characteristics of the study participants according population, we found the positive relation between LGA

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Low-grade albuminuria and outcomes

Incident CVD All-cause death


100 100

98 98

Survival (%)

Survival (%)
96 96

94 94

P = 0.0001 P = 0.0078
92 92
0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8
Follow-up period in years Follow-up period in years
UACR
1sttertile
2nd tertile
3rd tertile
FIGURE 1 Cumulative incidence of cardiovascular disease and all-cause death according to tertiles of baseline urinary albumin creatinine ratio (UACR) levels.

TABLE 2. Hazard ratios for cardiovascular events and all-cause death according to tertiles of baseline UACR levels
Sex and age Multivariable-
No. of No. of No./1000 adjusted HR and adjusted HRa
Tertile of LGA participants events person years 95% CI P value and 95% CI P value
Cardiovascular disease
T1 1467 11 1.3 1.00 1.00
T2 939 14 2.4 1.82 0.82–4.01 0.138 1.95 0.88–4.31 0.098
T3 1193 36 5.0 2.86 1.45–5.65 0.002 2.79 1.41–5.52 0.003
All-cause death
T1 1467 22 2.6 1.00 1.00
T2 939 21 3.6 1.32 0.72–2.40 0.365 1.38 0.76–2.52 0.295
T3 1193 42 5.8 1.71 1.02–2.88 0.043 1.69 1.00–2.84 0.049

BNP, B-type natriuretic peptide; CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; hsCRP, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein; LGA, low-grade albuminuria; UACR, urinary albumin creatinine ratio.
a
Hazard ratio in a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model including age, sex, BMI, SBP, dyslipidemia (yes or no), smoking (yes or no), log hsCRP and log BNP.
Hazard ratios for incidence of CVD

3 3
Hazard ratios for all-cause death

2 37.9%* 2

11.2%*
20.1%*
6.8%*
1 1

0 0
18.0% 23.0% 59.0% 25.9% 24.7% 49.4%
T1 T2 T3 T1 T2 T3
Frequencies of the UACR tertile in event cases Frequencies of the UACR tertile in event cases
FIGURE 2 Multivariate-adjusted hazard ratios and population-attributable fractions for cardiovascular events and all-cause death according to tertiles of baseline urinary
albumin creatinine ratio (UACR) levels. Multivariate analyses are adjusted for age, sex, BMI, SBP, dyslipidemia (yes or no), smoking (yes or no), log hsCRP and log BNP. The
population-attributable fraction from exposure for each LGA category at baseline.

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Tanaka et al.

and CVD events or all-cause mortality. In addition, this atherosclerosis [35]. This report may explain the part of
relationship was independent of not only traditional risk mechanism of our findings about a LGA-related risk of CVD
factors such as age and blood pressure, but circulating in nondiabetic and normotensive individuals. In addition,
levels of BNP and hsCRP as a predictive marker of CVD it is possible that measurable urinary albumin reflects
events. residual and unmeasured confounding effects such as
Although the association of CVD and mortality with insulin resistance [36], habits of dietary intake of protein
microalbuminuria is well documented, recent prospective [37], sodium [38] and potassium [38], and low birth weight
studies indicate that the association between urinary albu- [39].
min and the risk of CVD or all-cause death is continuous In the present study, LGA was related also to the
without threshold effects in diabetic individuals [24] and mortality risk. This result has a consistency with the
general population [9–11]. In addition, this association was previous reports in general population [10,11,13]. All-cause
documented both in individuals with and without hyper- mortality could be attributed to death due to malignant
tension or diabetes in recent reports from meta-analysis neoplasms, other than that are due to CVD. Albuminuria
[25,26]. Furthermore, the prospective cohort studies that has been reported to be associated with cancer incidence
excluded patients with hypertension and diabetes docu- and this association has been regarded to be from the
mented a similar continuous association between LGA and mechanism through a paraneoplastic phenomenon which
CVD development [12] or all-cause mortality [13]. In the is different from generalized atherosclerosis [40]. The
Framingham heart study, nondiabetic nonhypertensive Framingham and the Hoorn studies showed that albumi-
participants with UACR levels not less than 3.9 mg/mg for nuria had weaker association with all-cause death than CVD
men or at least 7.5 mg/mg for women had a nearly three- events [12,41]. In the PREVEND study, the excess risk of
fold risk of CVD [12]. The Nord-Trøndelag health study mortality from urinary albumin was more attributable to
revealed a positive association between all-cause mortality death from CVD causes [9]. These reports were consistent
and UACR levels not less than 6.7 mg/mg [13]. However, with the present finding that LGA had less association with
these data were from the participants including prehyper- all-cause death.
tensives who are likely to have more amount of urinary The present study had several limitations. First, urinary
albumin excretion and excess risk of CVD events and albumin was estimated from only single measurement. This
mortality compared with normotensives [14–16]. The raises a possibility that individuals with albuminuria who
present study demonstrated that even normotensive and occasionally passed as physiological reaction were catego-
nondiabetic individuals had an LGA-related risk of devel- rized to the albuminuria group with a higher amount of
oped CVD. This result suggests that the linkage between urinary albumin. However, this possibility could lead to an
albuminuria and CVD is not through elevated blood pres- underestimation of the true albuminuria-related risk and,
sure, which has been known to be closely associated with thus, would not weaken the relation with albuminuria and
urinary albumin excretion [27], in nondiabetic individuals. outcomes. Second, urinary albumin showing levels below
Previous literatures have advocated a hypothesis that the 6 mg/l as the sensitivity limit were regarded as no LGA
mechanism underlying association of microalbuminuria irrespective of their urine creatinine concentration. These
with CVD events involves a hypercoagulative and hypofi- individuals were 40.8% (n ¼ 1467) of the whole, so all of
brinolytic state [28], endothelial dysfunction [29], or chronic them were classified to the lowest tertile of LGA. Therefore,
inflammatory state [30]. This theory is based on previous the cutoff levels of UACR as CVD risk may be actually lower
studies which have been conducted among populations than those defined in the present study ( 9.6 mg/g for
with different proportions of hypertension, diabetes, and men,  12.0 mg/g for women). This might underestimate
renal dysfunction, which are linked with a risk of CVD. the true albuminuria-related risk. Third, individuals with
Cross-sectional studies for individuals with neither hyper- bacteriuria could have evidence of albuminuria through the
tension nor diabetes have demonstrated that microalbumi- mechanism that is different from those without bacteriuria,
nuria was associated with waist circumference [31], SBP and, however, were not excluded in the present study.
[31], serum CRP levels [32]. Our findings suggest that, in Therefore, this could possibly lead LGA to some misclassi-
normotensive individuals with no diabetes, the association fications. Fourth, the present study did not evaluate
between albuminuria and a risk of CVD was unlikely to be whether the participants had insulin resistance as the main
through blood pressure and inflammation, as this associ- pathophysiology of metabolic syndrome, which has been
ation remained significant after adjustment for SBP and known to be associated with presence of albuminuria [42]
hsCRP levels. In addition, subclinical cardiac dysfunction, and incidence of CVD [43]. Therefore, it is unclear whether
which has been shown to be correlated with presence of insulin resistance affected an LGA-related risk of developed
microalbuminuria [33,34], also is unlikely to account for CVD and mortality. Fifth, the present study did not register
albuminuria-related risk, as this risk was not almost atte- outpatients with no hospital admission even if they devel-
nuated after adjustment for the plasma BNP levels. Further- oped CVD events. This raises a possibility that CVD events
more, in participants without diabetes or hypertension with no hospital admission, such as mild cases of heart
participated in the Cardiovascular Health Study, in contrast failure, have not been captured. Sixth, the present study did
to those with diabetes or hypertension, microalbuminuria not conduct an estimation of urinary albumin, CVD risk
was associated not with subclinical vascular disease but factors and prescribed drugs during the follow-up. Finally,
with prevalent clinical CVD [35]. Thus, Cao et al. advocated in the present study conducted on Japanese population,
a hypothesis that microalbuminuria leads to clinical the cumulative incidence of stroke was higher than that of
vascular disease through destabilization of existing AMI/SCD (5.5 vs. 1.4%). This agrees with reports from

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Low-grade albuminuria and outcomes

previous Japanese epidemiological studies [16,43]. There- 9. Hillege HL, Fidler V, Diercks GF, van Gilst WH, de Zeeuw D, van
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Reviewers’ Summary Evaluations cardiovascular disease and mortality. It is very well known
that prehypertension is associated with higher cardiovas-
Reviewer 2 cular risk during follow-up. It would be interesting to asses
Strengths of the study: The authors have performed an in future studies if this level of low-grade albuminuria can
elegant prospective study conducted in normotensive explain at least a part of this increased risk.
and nondiabetic participants without prior cardiovascular Weaknesses: No data on changes in albuminuria and
disease, and they found that even within normal levels of other risk factors and the different therapeutic interventions
urinary albumin to creatinine ratio (< 30 mg/g), those in the during the follow-up are provided.
highest tertile presented an increased incidence of

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