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ZBIGNIEW W. K U N D Z E W I C Z
Research Centre of Agricultural and Forest Environment, Polish Academy of Sciences,
Bttkowska 19, 60-809 Poznan, Poland
e-mail: zkundze@.man.poznan.pl
INTRODUCTION
Since the dawn of civilization, destructive floods have jeopardized settlements located
near rivers. Despite developments in technology and extensive investments in flood
control works, neither flood occurrences nor material damage are decreasing. In the
last decade of the twentieth century, there were worldwide two dozens flood disasters
in each of which either the material losses exceeded one billion US dollars or the
number of fatalities was greater than one thousand, or both. In the most disastrous
storm surge flood in Bangladesh, during two days in April 1991, 140 000 people lost
their life. The highest material losses, of the order of 30 and 26.5 billion US dollars,
were recorded in China in the 1996 and 1998 floods, respectively (Kundzewicz &
Takeuchi, 1999). Recent floods have also exceeded absolute maximum stages recorded
during the period of instrumental observations. A possible consequence of climate
change is an increased frequency of extreme meteorological events that cause floods.
Devastating floods destroy cultural landscapes and undermine sustainable develop
ment by breaking continuity. Moreover, several options for flood defence are being
criticized in the context of sustainable development. This is so, even if the notion of
"sustainable development" m a y still mean different things to different people. Some
definitions lend themselves well to applications in the flood problem context:
(a) Assuring that the development meets the needs of the present without
compromising the ability of future generations to fulfil their own needs (best
known definition; after W C E D , 1987).
(b) Living on the "interest" from the Earth's "capital" without depleting the "capital
itself, i.e. the possessions inherited from former generations (Kundzewicz et ai,
1987).
362 Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz
(c) Improving the quality of human life (attaining non-decreasing human welfare over
time) within the carrying capacity of supporting ecosystems (IUCN, 1991).
Sustainable development should have an in-built mechanism of maintenance of
resilience against surprises and shock, such as a violent abundance of destructive
water. A common interpretation of sustainable development is that civilization, wealth
(human and natural capital) and environment (built and natural) should be relayed to
future generations in a non-depleted form. Another aspect of the definition is that,
while flood protection is necessary for the present generation to attain a fair degree of
freedom from disastrous events, it must be done in such a way that future generations
are not adversely affected. According to the UK Environment Agency (1998, p.9),
sustainable flood defence schemes should "avoid as far as possible committing future
generations to inappropriate options for defence".
F L O O D P R O T E C T I O N IN T H E C O N T E X T O F S U S T A I N A B I L I T Y
There exist a roster of strategies for reducing flood losses by flood protection and
management. They may modify:
(a) Susceptibility to flood damage.
(b) Flood waters.
(c) Impact of flooding (during and after a flood).
Flood protection measures can be structural ("hard") or non-structural ("soft"). Dams
and flood control reservoirs, diversions, etc. belong to the category of structural flood
mitigation measures. Constructing reservoirs where the excess water can be stored
allows a regulated temporal distribution of streamflow and helps alleviate the flood
problem by flattening destructive flood peaks.
364 Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz
those who live or have an interest in the flood plain should have responsibility for
development and fiscal support of flood-plain management activities (Galloway,
1999). The Committee recommended that the administration should fund the
acquisition of needed lands from willing sellers and the buyout of structures at risk in
the flood plain. The number of families voluntarily relocated from the vulnerable
flood-plain locations in the Mississippi basin and in other regions in the U S A is of the
order of 20 000 (Galloway, 1999).
The consequences of inherited non-sustainable development, such as elimination
of wetlands and replacing flood storage in flood plains by settlements and
infrastructure, can be overcome if humans move out of harm's way. When adequate
flood protection cannot be provided, permanent evacuation of flood plains is a viable
option that definitely belongs to sustainable development. This issue deserves the
development of global strategies and research activity to engender understanding and
execution of this option.
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