Outline

Part I: Preliminaries
Opening Program
Overview
Part II: Focus Group Discussion
Forest
Agriculture
Urban
Coastal
Overview
 Overview

Philippine Disaster Risk Climate Change Act People’s Survival Fund

Reduction and of 2009
Management Act of 2010
Climate & Disaster Risk Assessment

Determine potential impacts

Identify decision areas
Help formulate policy interventions
and plans
Climate & Disaster Risk Assessment

The results of CDRA integrated into plans will

create a safer and resilient human settlements
corresponding to SDG 11.
 CLIMATE
IMPACT CHAIN
ANALYSIS
Objective
To formulate impact chain diagrams for
FOREST
AGRICULTURE
URBAN
COASTAL
Objective
Impact chains will provide
the most important chains
of cause and effect leading
to potential impacts
relevant in the planning
area.
Climate Variables

Baseline Projected
(1971-2000) (2011-2040)

Medium Range High Range

(A1B Scenario) (A2 Scenario)
Seasons

SON • September, October, November

• transition from southwest to northeast monsoon

JJA • June, July, August

• Habagat or southwest monsoon

MAM • March, April, May

• Summer season

DJF • December, January, February

• Amihan or northeast monsoon
 Climate Projection
22.215
SON 22.215
22.149

22.646
JJA 22.669
Seasons

22.601

21.99
MAM 22.012
21.902

20.648
DJF 20.628
20.546

19 19.5 20 20.5 21 21.5 22 22.5 23

Temperature °C
High-Range Medium-Range Baseline
 Climate Projection
30.495
SON 30.464
30.373

31.119
JJA 31.088
Seasons

30.933

31.536
MAM 31.536
31.379

29.389
DJF 29.302
29.214

28 28.5 29 29.5 30 30.5 31 31.5 32

Temperature °C
High-Range Medium-Range Baseline
 Climate Projection
370.546
SON 362.16
310.6

372.626
JJA 413.244
Seasons

353.2

156.481
MAM 171.943
123.7

227.612
DJF 231.708
178.1

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450

Depth (mm)
High-Range Medium-Range Baseline
Climate Stimuli

Temperature

Rainfall
Ridge to Reef Approach
FOREST AGRICULTURE URBAN COASTAL
FOCUS GROUP
DISCUSSION
FOREST
Temperature

Rainfall
What are the direct and indirect effects of
increasing temperature and rainfall in the forest
sector?
AGRICULTURE
Temperature

Rainfall
What are the direct and indirect effects of
increasing temperature and rainfall in the
agriculture sector?
URBAN/HUMAN SETTLEMENTS
Temperature

Rainfall
What are the direct and indirect effects of
increasing temperature and rainfall in the
urban/human settlements sector?
COASTAL
Temperature

Rainfall
What are the direct and indirect effects of
increasing temperature and rainfall in the coastal
area?
Thank you!