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123
123
Predecessor firm
(Figures in millions of U.S. dollars) Year ending Dec 31 Year ending Dec 31
2006 2007
Sales 170,651 177,594
Other revenue 33,816 2,390
Total net sales and revenue 204,467 179,984
Cost of sales 163,214 165,573
Selling, general and administrative expenses 13,650 14,412
Other expenses, net 33,426 4,308
Total costs and Expenses 210,290 184,293
Operating gain/(loss) -5,823 -4,309
Equity in income (loss) of GMAC -5 -1,245
Interest expense -2,642 -2,983
Interest income and other non-operating income, net 2,812 2,284
Gain (loss) on extinguishment of debt 0 0
Reorganization gains, net 0 0
Income (loss) before income taxes and equity income 0 0
Income tax expense (benefit) -3,046 37,162
Equity income, net of tax 513 524
Minority interests, net of tax -324 -406
Managerial net income (loss) -2,423 -43,297
AGERIAL STATEMENT OF OPERATIONS
Sales Variability
Particulars 2006 2007 2008 2009
Revenue (in millions of euro) 204,467 179,984 148,979 73,466
Standerd deviation of Revenue 56898.45
Mean Revenue 151724.00
0.00 2007
Revenue Variability (CV) 0.38
-5.00
Variability in EBIT -10.00
Particulars 2006 2007 2008 2009 -15.00
EBIT -5,823 -4,309 -21,284 -18,961 -14.53
8766.27 -20.00
Standerd deviation of EBIT
Mean EBIT -12594.25 -25.00
Variability in EBIT (CV) -0.70 -30.00
-35.00
Degree Of Operating Leverage
Year 2006 2007 2008 2009
EBIT -5,823 -4,309 -21,284 -18,961
Change of EBIT -10,132 -25,593 -40,245
Revenue 204,467.00 179,984.00 148,979.00 73,466.00
Change of Revenue -24,483.00 -31,005.00 -75,513.00
Operating leverage -14.53 -34.48 -3.73
Financial Risk
Operating leverage
0.00 2007 2008 2009
-5.00
-1.27
-10.00
-15.00 Operating leverage
-14.53
-20.00
-25.00
-30.00
-35.00
-34.48
2006 2007 2008 2009
Degree of Financial leverage 0.69 0.59 0.90 0.98
-30.00
-40.00
-50.00
-53.26
-60.00
Ratio Analysis
2006 2007
Liquidity Ratio
Current ratio Current asset/current liability 0.976602665 0.855308073
Quick ratio current asset-inventory/current liability 0.7679452014 0.642828697
NWC to total asset NWC/total asset -0.008378779 -0.06832882
Solvency/Leverage
Total debt ratio (Total assets-Total equity)/Total assets 1.0303375129 1.24914866
Debt-equity ratio Total debt/Total equity -33.75194621 -4.9701569
Long term debt ratio Long term debt/ Long term debt+ Total equity 1.2061645085 -8.99838275
Equity multiplier Total assets/Total equity -32.96249115 -4.01366798
Profitability
Profit margin Net income/Sales -0.014198569 -0.24379765
ROA Net income/Total Assets -0.013005625 -0.29081225
ROE Net income/Total Equity 0.4286978061 1.16722381
Effeciency
Inventory turnover COGS/ Inventory 11.724301415 11.08327197
Receivables turnover Sales/ Accounts Receivable 20.77056962 18.3863754
NWC turnover Sales/NWC -109.3215887 -17.4573872
Fixed Asset turnover Sales/ Net Fixed Assets 3.9638344328 4.028627816
Total Asset turnover Sales/Total Assets 0.9159814067 1.192842702
DuPont Analysis
3 Factor Analysis
ROE Profit Margin * Total Asset Turnover * Financi 0.429 1.167
Profit Margin Net Income / Net Sales or revenue -0.014 -0.244
Total Asset Turnover Net Sales or revenue / Total Assets 0.916 1.193
Financial Leverage Total Assets / Total Equity -32.962 -4.014
5 Factor Analysis
ROE 0.000 0.000
operating profit margin EBIT/net sales -0.034 -0.024
total asset turnover net sales/total asset 0.9159814067 1.192842702
interest burden EBT/EBIT 0 0
after tax retention rate NI/EBT 0.4161085351 10.04803899
financial leverage Total asset/equity -32.962 -4.014
Efficiency
40.00
20.00
0.00
2006 2007
-20.00
-40.00
-60.00
-80.00
-100.00
-120.00
2008 2009
2006 2007 2008 2009
0.576592424 1.0853265 Current ratio 0.977 0.855 0.577 1.085
0.402073855 0.9211006 Quick ratio 0.768 0.643 0.402 0.921
-0.35164051 0.0474449 NWC to total asset -0.008 -0.068 -0.352 0.047
0.361 0.032
-0.209 -0.014 Solvency Ratio
1.623 0.680
5.00
-1.064 -3.460
0.00
2006 2007 2008 2009
-5.00
0.000 0.002 -10.00
-0.144 -0.260
-15.00
1.622733114 0.6799378
0 0.0564844 -20.00
1.449915429 0.0524234 -25.00
-1.064 -3.460
-30.00
-35.00
2009
-0.038 Profitability Ratio
-0.009 1.167
1.200
1.000
0.800
Profit margin
Profitability Ratio
1.167
1.200
0.032
1.000
0.800
Profit margin
2009
0.600 0.429 ROA
2.52 0.361 ROE
3.81 0.400
5.15 0.200 0.032
0.73
0.000
0.24 -0.013
-0.014
2006 2007 2008 -0.009
2009
-0.038
-0.200
-0.244 -0.209
-0.400 -0.291 -0.339
Efficiency
2009
Profit margin
o
Profit margin
ROA
ROE
0.032
8.009
09
Year 2006 2007 2008
Risk Distribution
Z > 2.9 Safe Zone
1.81 < Z < 2.99 Gray Zone
Z < 1.81 Distress Zone
2009
64845.00
59747.00
5098.00
107451.00
0.05
1.20
0.06 Measures the relative amount of liquid assets
-13011
-0.121088
1.40
-0.17 Determines cumulative profitability
-18,961
-0.18
3.30
-0.58 Measures earnings away from the effects of taxes and leverage]
-31,051
135,605
-0.23
0.7
-0.16 Incorporates the effects of a decline in market value of a company's shares
73,060
0.680
1.00
0.68 Measures asset turnover
Forecast Information
Sale growth 0.040685 -0.1681476 -0.5054558254
Other revenue growth -0.92932 -0.4782427 -0.6744186047
Considered growth for first three years -20%
Average growth -0.452
Cost of Sales 85.000% 0.798241 0.9199318 1.002228502 1.11940217
Selling, general and administrative
expenses 9.085% 0.066759 0.0800738 0.095671202 0.12091308
Other expenses, net 6.254% 0.163479 0.0239355 0.044966069 0.01777693
Assumptions
three years,
10% for next
Sales Growth seven years
Cost of sales 85.00%
Selling, general and administrative expenses 7.00%
Other expenses, net 5.00%
Depreciation 15.00%
Capex 3.50%
CNWC 5.00%
Tax 30.00%
WACC 17.49%
Terminal Growth rate 2.00%
PV of all CF 22,685
Add: Cash & Cash Equvalent 32,124
Value of the Firm 54,809
Less : Interest bearing debt 4,197
Value of Equity 50,612
Forecast
uccessor Firm
uly 10- 30 Sep
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
58448 46758.4 51434.24 56577.664 62235.4304 68458.9734 75304.8708 82835.3579
446.6 491.26 540.386 594.4246 653.86706 719.253766 791.179143 870.297057
58,895 47,250 51,975 57,172 62,889 69,178 76,096 83,706
49,680.80 39,744.64 43,719.10 48,091.01 52,900.12 58,190.13 64,009.14 70,410.05
8278.53876 9106.39264
5698.511 6268.36211
91,428 100,571
648 713
Assumptions
EBIT 20%
Depriciation 7.00%
Capex 65.00%
CNWC 11.00%
Tax 30.00%
WACC 13.61%
Terminal Growth rate 1.00%
2009 2010
Sale 71,563 62,994
EBIT 14,313 12,599
EBIT(1-Tax) 10019 8819
Add: Depreciation 4409.608
Less: Change in net working capital 6929.384
Less: Capital expenditure 5732.49
FCFF 566.9496
Time Factor 1
Discount Factor 0.880204
PV of FCFF 499.0314
Terminal Value
PV of Terminal Value
PV of all CF 1,717
Add: Cash & Cash Equvalent 4,819
Value of the Firm 6,536
Less : Interest bearing debt 1,722
Value of Equity 4,814
2,455.08
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
52,143 25,713 20,613 16,537 18,191 20,010 22,011 24,212 26,634
10,429 5,143 4,123 3,307 3,638 4,002 4,402 4,842 5,327
7300 3600 2886 2315 2547 2801 3082 3390 3729
3649.986 1799.917 1442.918 1157.617 1273.378 1400.716 1540.788 1694.867 1864.353
5735.692 2828.441 2267.442 1819.112 2001.023 2201.125 2421.238 2663.362 2929.698
4744.981 2339.892 1875.793 1504.902 1655.392 1820.931 2003.024 2203.327 2423.659
469.2839 231.4179 185.518 148.8364 163.7201 180.0921 198.1013 217.9114 239.7026
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
0.774759 0.681947 0.600252 0.528345 0.465051 0.40934 0.360303 0.31714 0.279148
363.5821 157.8146 111.3576 78.63691 76.13819 73.71887 71.37643 69.10842 66.91247
535.9365
149.6056
billion
Euro (€) US dollar ($)
Funds required for restructuring 3 4.7
Payment of Bridge loan 0.4 0.00 Exchange Rate 1.57
Restructuring Cost 0.1 0.16 0
Total fund needed 3.5 4.857
Financing Arrangement
Debt 0.5 0.783
loan - German 1.08 1.696
Voluntarily agreed pay-cut 1 1.377
Britain loan for Vauxhall 0.95 1
total 3.5 4.857
billion
Euro (€) US dollar ($)
Funds required for restructuring 3 4.7
Payment of Bridge loan 0.4 0.56 Exchange R 1.57
Restructuring Cost 0.1 0.16 1.393333
Total fund needed 3.5 5.414
1.393333
Financing Arrangement
Debt 0.5 0.783
loan - German 3.254
Voluntarily agreed pay-cut 1 1.377
loan Britain govt to save Vauxil
Venture Capitalist
Stakes to the workers