Winter Storm Watch

(7am Sunday – 7am Tuesday)

Current Hazards

Decision Support Briefing #2

As of: 6:30 AM Nov 30, 2019

What Has Changed?

Regarding land hazards, no changes.
Slight increase in storm total snow.
Slight increase in storm total ice.

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created

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 Main Points

Hazard Impacts Location Timing

Snowfall of 6-12 inches Much of the Lower Hud
Heavy
possible. Snow covered roads Valley, interior NE NJ, Sunday AM - Monday PM
Snow resulting in difficult travel. and Interior S CT

Mostly for the Lower

Mixed
Dangerous/Difficult Travel.
Precip
Potential for minor coastal
flooding during times of high
Coastal tide. Potential for beach erosion
Impacts and localized overwash.
• Sunday Afternoon - Early
Hud Valley, interior NE
Monday (Interior)
NJ, and Interior S CT.
• Monday into Monday night
Lesser extent for
(Elsewhere)
elsewhere
• Vulnerable coastal
locales along NY/NJ Sunday PM - Monday PM
Harbor, all of LI, and
SW CT.

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 Summary of Greatest Impacts
Heavy Snow: Much of the Lower Hud Valley, interior NE NJ, and
Interior S CT

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Mixed Precip: Interior NE NJ, Lower Hud Valley and Interior S CT

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Mixed Precip: Coastal NE NJ, NYC Metro, Long Island, Coastal CT

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Coastal Flood Impacts, NY/NJ Harbors, Long Island

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

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 Heavy Snow Potential
Hazards:
 6-12” snow for lower Hudson Valley, interior NE NJ and
interior CT
 Snow starts early Sunday morning
 Changeover to wintry mix Sunday afternoon –
Sunday night
 Changeover back to snow Monday morning

 1-4” snow for NYC metro, Long Island

 Snow starts Sunday morning
 Changeover to rain by Sunday afternoon
 Changeover back to snow by Monday afternoon
 Wintry mix possible Monday into Monday night

Impacts:
 Hazardous travel.

Uncertainty:
 A potential low pressure track away from the coast would
result in higher snowfall amounts.
 A potential track close to the coast would result in lower
snowfall amounts across the area.

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 Ice Accumulation

Hazards:
 Around 0.05 to 0.1 inch of ice for the
lower Hudson Valley, interior SW CT, and
interior NE NJ.
 Light glaze of ice possible elsewhere.

Impacts:
 Hazardous travel
 Icing on untreated and elevated surfaces

Timing:
 Icing threat from Sunday afternoon to
Monday morning and possibly Monday
night.

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 Event Summary

 Winter Storm Watch remains for Lower Hudson Valley, interior NE NJ

and interior CT starting at 7am Sunday, 12/1.

 Heavy snow is possible in the watch area. Storm total amounts of 6-

12” are possible from Sunday AM through Monday PM.

 Icing threat from Sunday afternoon to Monday morning across the

watch area and possibly Monday night elsewhere.

 Forecast uncertainty in the exact track of the storm may yield higher
or lower snowfall amounts.

 Minor coastal flooding is possible in vulnerable areas during times of

high tide Sunday evening into Monday along with beach erosion and
localized overwash.

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created

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