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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Market background
• The global economic crisis has changed the shape of the world economy. The
crisis that began in the United States in 2007 spread worldwide, with no
exception to developing countries including Indonesia. However, until the third
quarter of 2008 the Indonesian economy was still charting above 6% growth
with continued healthy performance in the financial sector reflected in a stable
exchange rate. However, toward the end of 2008, the fallout from the crisis
began to take hold. Weakening exports, pressure on the balance of payments
and turmoil on the money market took their toll on Indonesia’s economic growth.
• During 2008, Indonesian’s economy maintained adequate performance amid the
global turmoil. Overall economic growth reached 6.1% in 2008, slightly below
the 6.3% recorded in the previous year. This growth was primarily driven by
private consumption and exports.
• On the demand side, the effect of weakening global demand in the first half of
2008 was still offset by high world commodity prices. As a result, exports and
investments maintained growth. In the second half of 2008, however, Indonesian
exports were hit by the downturn in global economic growth and heightened
uncertainty on financial markets, and slowed significantly during the final quarter
of the year.
• Bank Indonesia projects a drop in economic growth in 2009 to around 4.0% with
downside risk if the global economic downturn is greater than predicted. The
more modest growth in Indonesia cannot be regarded as bad when compared to
the many other countries forecasted to record negative growth.
• One of the advantages of the Indonesian economy is the large population that
represents a potential market supporting economic growth. During 2009,
• Weak domestic and external demand will force companies in the manufacturing
sector to suspend production in a move to avoid excessive build-up of stocks.
• The market value has also increased from only US$ 117 million in 2001 to
around US$ 200 million in 2005 and rocketed to around US$ 563 million in
2008.
• The average growth of market size in the last 8 years is 32% a year, while in
the last five years the average growth is almost 50% a year.
• The spectacular market growth of over 100% in 2008 was driven by the rising
demand for flat products particularly of cold rolled products of less than 600
mm wide. These type of products are used mainly by automotive component
industry, electrical component , commercial kitchen products and gasket
manufacturing.
• The market is dominated by flat products accounting for around 75% and the
remaining share for bars & wires ( 17.5%), tubular (2.7%) and fitting and
flanges (4.6 %). In terms of value, the composition is 67 % for flat products, 16
% for bars and wires, 5 % for tubulars and 12 % flanges and fittings. There is a
trend of increasing share of bars and wires, while the shares of tubulars and
fittings tend to decrease over the last 8 years.
• The market is still fully dependent on import for stainless steel materials as
there has not any stainless steel making company yet in the country. There
are two cold rolling mills, but both of them use imported materials for their
productions. There are plans to develop nickel smelter and stainless steel
making plants, but these projects are suspended .
Flat products
• The market size of flat products totals 243 thousand tons with a value of
around US$ 394 million in 2008. However, around 30% million is used by
existing cold rolling millers. Imported hot rolled flat stainless steel amounted to
167.1 thousand tons or 61.4 % , while cold rolled flat stainless steel 105.2
thousand tons or 38.6 % of total import in 2008.
• In the meantime, since 2006, there has been a notable volume of export of
cold rolled flat stainless steel due to the operations of cold milling mill of PT
Jindal Stainless Steel which is export oriented.
• A study made to import documents in 2006 revealed that 40% of flat stainless
steel imported consist of SS 200 series and 38% of 300 series. Most of SS
• Top five importers are PT Alam Lestari Unggul ( Wire ), PT Sutindo Raya
Mulia ( stockiest), PT Avesta Welding ( welding electrodes), PT Good Rich
Pindad Aeronautical ( airacraft component), and PT MCI Prima Gasket ( Gasket
industry)
• Top five suppliers are Thengzhou Tengda ( China), Menam Stainless Wire (
Thailand), Kuang Tai Metal Industrial ( Taiwan) , Nippon Reinz Co ( Japan) and
Light Metal Sdn Bhd ( Malaysia).
• Wire and welding electrode industry is the largest segment of end users of rod
, bar and wire stainless steel , contributing 43 % to total market , followed by
bolt and nut industry ( 13.5%) and furniture industry (7.1%). PT Alam Lestari
Unggul and PT Avesta Welding are two largest users of stainless steel bars
and wires. PT Alam Lestari Unggul is a wire producer that use stainless steel
bars for their raw materials, while PT Avesta Welding uses stainless steel core
wire for their materials.
• Bolt and nut industry is also a major user of stainless steel wires. One of the
major bolt and nut producer, PT Moon Lion Industries use XM7B stainless
steel wire of of 2.17-5.25 mm diameters. . This company use 200-250 tons
stainless steel wires a year.
Tubular products
• Total market of stainless steel tubular products is estimated at 14.8 thousand
tons in 2008 valued at around US$ 60 million ( CIF value) .
• Total market of stainless steel fittings and flanges is estimated at US$ 67.0
million ( CIF value) in 2008, a sharp increase as compared to only US$ 29
million in 2007.
• Around 90% of products are imported by direct end users and only 10% by
traders/ stockist.
• Flanges and fittings of stainless steels are used mainly by Electric power
generation/ equipment, steel construction , oil and gas industries. These three
segments contributed a combined market share of 77% . PLN , the state
electricity company is the largest user of flanges and fittings .
Market prospects
The weakening global demand due to global economic recessions will effect
demand for various export products of Indonesia including those related with
stainless steel based products such as commercial kitchenwareaand home
appliances. The worsening outlook for the world economy also prompted
business to postpone investment spending and to pursue efficiency improvements,
resulting in slowed investment growth with knock-on effects on public purchasing
power.
One of the advantages of the Indonesian economy is the large population that
represents a potential market supporting economic growth. Despite predictions of
slowing, household consumption is still expected to show resilience, particularly in
view of the government plans for an added fiscal stimulus in 2009.
Although not as strong as previous years especially in 2008, the market for
stainless steel products will be still quite prospective , as some of their downstream
products such as home appliances, and automotive components have still
encouraging prospects. Although expecting a downturn in the market size as
compared to the exceptionally high market in 2008, the market size in the following
years are expected to be still larger than the situation in 2007.
Recommendations
Page
Executive Summary viii
CHAPTER I – INTRODUCTION 1
Page
Page
80
CHAPTER VIII - STAINLESS STEEL FLANGES AND FITTINGS
8.1 Product desctiptions and trade classification 89
8.2 Market overview 90
8.3. Development of imports 91
8.4. Specification of tubes imported 92
8.5. Endusers are direct importers 97
8.6. Key overseas suppliers 99
Page
11.2 PT Angkasa Perindo Sakti 135
11.3 PT Dihen Bersama 139
LIST OF TABLES
No Page
2.1. GDP growth and distribution by expenditures, 2005-2008 5
2.2. GDP and other key economic indicators, 2002-2008 7
2.3. Economic growth outlook by sector 9
2.4. Composition of GDP at current market price by sector, 2004-2008 10
2.5. Construction value completed by ICA by type of construction work, 12
2002-2007
2.6. Share of construction value completed by ICA by type of
consutruction works, 2002-2007
4.1. Development of market size of stainless steel in Indonesia, 2001- 27
2008
4.2. Development of market value of stainless steel in Indonesia, 2001- 28
2008
5.1. Market size, import and export of flat stainless steel, 2001-2008 35
5.2. Producers of stainless steel coil/ plate as recorded by the ministry of 37
Industry
5.3. Specifications of products of domestric stainless steel producers 38
5.4. Stainless steel coil/plate production by company and grade, 2008 86
5.5. Development of Indonesia/s import volume of flat stainless steel, 40
2001-2008
5.6. Development of Indonesia/s import value of flat stainless steel, 42
2001-2008
Indonesia, 2001-2008
4.2. Market structure by type of products ( in volume), 2008 29
4.3. Development of market volume of stainless steel in Indonesia by 30
type of products, 2001-2008
4.4. Development of market valueof stainless steel in Indonesia by type 30
of products, 2001-2008
4.5. Per capaitaq consumption of stainless steel in Indonesia, 2001- 31
2008
5.1. Market development , import and export of flat stainless steel, 35
2001-2008
5.2. Development of import volume and value of flat steel, 2001-2008 44
5.3. Import of flat stainless steel by grade, 2006-2008 47
6.1. Market size ( import) of stainless steel bars and wires, 2001-2008
6.2. Market structure of stainless steel bars and wires by grade
7.2. Market structure of stainless steel tubular by grade 82
8.1. The market of stainless steel fittings and flanges, 2001-2008 91
9.1. Market segmentation of flat stainless steel 102
9.2. Market segmentation of stainless steel bars and wires 103
9.3. Market segmentation of stainless steel tubulars 105
9.4. Market segmentation of stainless steel fittings and flanges 105
9.5. Summary of marke segments of stainless steel 109
APPENDICES