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Abenomics Setting the economy on course to overcome deflation and continue steady growth
Private Non-Residential
While Abenomics started as a
stimulus measure based on three
Investment
71.9 JPY tn ▶ 89.9 JPY tn
18.0 JPY tn
(167 USD bn)
Tax Revenue
42.3 JPY tn ▶ 62.5 JPY tn Record high
20.1 JPY tn
(187 USD bn)
(665 USD bn) (832 USD bn) (392 USD bn) (579 USD bn)
arrows, over the years it has
evolved into a broader blueprint for
pro-growth socioeconomic change
(JPY tn) Nominal GDP2
650
that aims to lead Japan in tackling BEFORE ABENOMICS
today’s challenges head-on.
The changes are designed to benefit 600
600
all parts of Japan’s economy—
the people, companies, investors, 566
500
494 494
Flexible fiscal policy
450
FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 TARGET
(Forecast as of
January 2019)
Growth strategy * Average exchange rate for July 2019: USD = JPY 108
** The Japanese fiscal year starts in April and concludes in March of the following year.
1. Pre-Abenomics vs. Post-Abenomics Number of Employed Persons (Female) (basic tabulation) = 2012 avg. vs. 2018 avg.
Nominal GDP = 3Q FY2012 vs. 1Q FY2019, seasonally adjusted series [annualized] Unemployment Rate = 2012 avg. vs. 2018 avg.
Corporate Pre-Tax Profit = FY2012 vs. FY2017 Tax Revenue = FY2012 vs. FY2019
01 Private Non-Residential Investment = FY2012 vs. FY2018 2. Source: Cabinet Office “National Accounts,” “Fiscal 2019 Economic Outlook and Basic Stance for Economic and Fiscal Management”
CORPORATE PERFORMANCE JOB MARKET FISCAL CONDITION
Dependency ratio on
(JPY tn) Private non-residential investment4 (%) Female labor force participation rate6 (age 15-64) (JPY tn) Japanese government bonds7 (%)
92 75 60 50
89.9 73.6
90 73.3 47.9 47.6 43.0
88 71.7 72.3 72.4 50 46.3 38.3
86.1 70.7 71.3
71.3 44.3 44.2 35.6
86 42.9 41.3 35.3 34.5
84 69.4 32.2
82.8 70 68.5 40 36.9
82 81.1 81.7 34.4 34.4
68.1 33.7 32.7
80 67.6 67.2 67.4 67.6
77.5 68.2 30 25
78
67.9 67.9
76 66.3 66.9 66.9 67.9
65 67.1 66.7 67.3 20
74
71.9 65.0 66.0
72 70.4
70 63.4 10
68
66 60 0 0
FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
3. Source: Ministry of Finance “Financial Statements Statistics of Corporations by Industry,” all industries, all (firm) sizes
4. Source: Cabinet Office “National Accounts,” private non-residential investment
5. Source: Ministry of International Affairs and Communications “Labour Force Survey,” seasonally adjusted figures; Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications “Labour force survey,” seasonally adjusted figures
6. Source: OECD. stats
7. Source: Ministry of Finance “Highlights of the Draft FY2019 Budget”
02
How Abenomics Works
Context Goal 1: Achieving Sustainable Growth Aim to reach
The greatest structural issue facing
the Japanese economy is the aging
Implement comprehensive reform to accelerate an economic
virtuous cycle, which will help grow GDP to 600 trillion yen. 600
trillion yen GDP
of society and shrinking of the
population. However, we see this
challenge as an opportunity.
03
Goal 2: Realizing Society 5.0 Solutions in Progress
Solve social problems by utilizing
1
Japan’s vast volume of real data in tandem
with cutting-edge industrial technologies.
Innovation in Societal Structures
We promote a society that is smarter and which innovates to raise productivity,
problem solving across issues such as a decline in population.
(Overloaded ▶ Organized)
Society
Hunter-Gather
2 Diversity & Empowerment of People
Society
Our goal is a society that welcomes diverse ways of working and empowers all equally,
NEXT including seniors, women, and foreign professionals.
GEN
ENERAT
ATION
IO
GENERATION
Societyy
Agrarian
(Limited ▶ Empowered)
3 Smart Regulations & Laws
As markets evolve to reflect changing social needs, we should move quickly,
Industrial
Information
Info
nformation Soc
Society
ciety and with an open mind, to help create new businesses and new demand.
5
contract and economic model. With the help of robotics, AI,
IoT, and big data we can improve not only business but also
our daily life. As new technology eases administrative burden More Competitive Business
and knowledge selection, and enhances creativity, we can
(All by Oneself ▶ Network Assisted)
discover solutions to complex social issues, such as declining Unlocking economic opportunities means opening up all of our potential, from strength in
birth rates, aging populations, and the changing environment. local regions and the SME sector, to creating an ever more friendly business environment.
04
Innovation
in Societal
Structures
1
Changing societal structures is a
chance to unlock new markets. An
aging society, for example, stimulates
FINTECH/FINANCE
Improve productivity in finance and
commercial transaction area by utilizing
new technologies to provide more stable
and efficient financial services.
●
MOBILITY
Starting with mountainous regions,
introduce drone delivery services to
include urban regions by the 2020s
●
SMART CITY
National and city governments to join forces to
encourage municipalities and local businesses
to embark on smart-city model projects that
incorporate the latest technologies and a
data-driven approach in their area
mobility options so that model cities Conference, to discuss new architectures for
demand for higher skillsets to utilize
● Install open API (Application Programming include autonomous driving, sustainable urban development
the latest technological advances, as
Interface) systems in more than shopping support and MaaS (Mobility
per the Society 5.0 vision. Many 80 banks by 2020 to further drive NEXT-GENERATION
as a Service) from the start
believe economies need population innovation INFRASTRUCTURE
growth to expand. However, history *API is a software interface within which an ● Transport data dissemination via ● Use robotics and sensors to repair and improve
application and other operations provide productivity of infrastructure, and cut costs
shows us that growth happens when separate applications with a common function.
Apps will be introduced from this
the skills of society reflect its In software development, a function provided fiscal year to ease congestion, ● Introduce data-driven operations to improve
by an API does not require further especially during peak times and
economic opportunities. precision of construction, renewal and
programming, which makes the process
more efficient. major events maintenance processes
05
HEALTHCARE AND MORE
● Integrate and store PHR (Personal Health Records)
DIGITAL GOVERNMENT OPEN DATA
by 2020 using big data to provide customized
medical care; this includes medical checkup, ● Change administration by making all services and
procedures digital
● Open up government data to promote innovative products
treatment, and nursing care records
- Eliminate attachments required in various and services, particularly in eight selected areas that
● Enhance remote medical care services and combine procedures, and modernize personal identification include healthcare, agriculture, energy and mobility
them with face-to-face examinations (enabled in part procedures
due to a FY2018 revision of medical service fees)
● Provide open access to geospatial information to promote
new business ideas (the G-Spatial Society initiative)
● Use AI and robots at long-term care facilities to
SMART AGRICULTURE
maintain/improve users’ quality of life and reduce ● Agriculture of tomorrow means utilizing sensors,
burden on caregivers big data analysis and AI to help farmers move to
larger-scale, less labor-intensive production while
● Introduce the world's fastest approval process for
integrating them into the modern
regenerative medicine and grow Japan's market for
farm-gate-to-store supply chain at minimal cost.
the same to 26 trillion yen by 2020
The approach will be expanded to forestry and
● Nominate specific geographies as hubs for cardiac, fishery industries
neurologic and ophthalmic treatment
NATIONWIDE 5G, LOCAL 5G 5G
● Create a faster R&D process to motivate innovation
in pharmaceuticals and medical devices
● Start commercial 5G (5th Generation Mobile
Communications System) services across the
country in 2020 to cope with increasing data
volumes, while ensuring cyber security
- Government to provide assistance in deployment
of base stations and optical fiber
06
Diversity &
Empowerment
of People
2
When speaking about economics,
everything starts with people.
They are the country’s top asset,
●
●
WORK-STYLE REFORM
Legislative rules and guidelines of “equal pay for equal
work”: Eliminate the irrational gaps in the working conditions
between regular and non-regular workers in order to enable
non-regular workers to be fairly evaluated and to work with
higher motivation
●
HUMAN RESOURCES DEVELOPMENT
Move toward free education for infants (from low income
households), all pre-school children, and higher-education
(university) students (from low income households)
07
WOMEN SENIORS EXPATRIATES
● Bolster health support for women at various life stages ● Provide a choice to work beyond the official retirement ● Actively attract overseas professionals who have
age for those who want to do so, as well as support expertise or experience in certain areas through easier
● Offer greater assistance to single parents, irrespective
companies that retain retiree-age staff visa procedures
of gender
- Fast-track visa screenings to 10 days
● Provide support in matching job openings and
● Make available further and recurrent education for - Set up the world’s fastest Japanese Green Card program
applications
women returning to work after child-care leave for Highly-Skilled Foreign Professionals in select fields
● Consider raising the retirement age of civil servants ● Established a new status of residence for foreign human
● Provide female candidates with executive leadership
gradually from 60 to 65 years old resources who have a certain level of professional and
training programs from the world’s leading business
technical skill, and Japanese language proficiency
scholars
● Online applications accepted from 2019
● Eliminate all forms of violence against women including
spousal violence, sex crimes, prostitution, human ● Ease quality-of-life with more non-Japanese signage,
trafficking, sexual harassment, and stalking international schools, English-speaking hospitals
● Promote men taking child-care leave and being more ● Option to invite housekeeping staff from overseas
active with domestic tasks
● Support more international students and entrepreneurs
▶ From 2012 to 2018, the number of women joining the ▶ From 2012 to 2018, employment rate of people over ▶ The number of workers from abroad reached
workforce increased by about the age of 65 increased by
2.9 million
Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and
Communications “Labour Force Survey” 4.8% 1.4 million
(Approx.) 0.91
1.08
1.28
1.46
Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications “Labour Force Survey” 0.79
0.68 0.72
▶ Women in management positions in the private
sector approaches
▶
71%
10% Source: Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare “Basic Survey on Wage Structure”
of seniors report that they would like to continue to
work past retirement age
Source: Cabinet Office “Research on daily life of seniors”2014
(mn)
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
08
Smart
Regulations &
Laws
3
Opening new frontiers requires a deft
balance of freedom, support and smart
regulation to ensure that innovation is
REGULATORY SANDBOX
A fledgling business idea or technology needs support and
understanding. In the case of government, Japan is introducing
a sandbox approach that seeks to help new ideas develop by
easing regulations for a limited period of time and participants.
▶
10 areas have been
selected since 2013
- Rules are relaxed to test these innovations within a certain
sustained. Japan’s commitment to new
ideas starts with creating a space to
explore, via a regulatory sandbox or a
contained “sandbox” (e.g. within an approved company or
project). Businesses are able to conduct demonstration tests
and pilot projects that are not envisaged under existing
▶
324 reforms were undertaken
(as of June 2019)
setting open and fair market rules. projects quickly, building up data that can lead to change in
SEMBOKU
regulations
Markets with some of the best potential NIIGATA
- If pilot demonstrations of new technologies/business models SENDAI
are related to data and digitalization.
are successful, the government aims to further implement
Thus, how our societies handle YABU
the regulatory reforms with data obtained from such field CITY TOKYO AREA
knowledge and data is of particular trials and experiments
KITA
KYUSHU
AICHI
KANSAI AREA
FUKUOKA IMABARI
importance. This can be key to solving - A dedicated office for this is set up to ease the application
AREA
09
RULES FOR DIGITAL MARKET
● Given the importance of data handling and security, Japan plans to create a task force DECARBONIZED SOCIETY
to both regulate and stimulate best practices in the digital market arena
● Rules will be prepared to ensure transparency and fairness in transactions between
● Take measures towards the reduction of GHG emissions by 80% by 2050 to
digital platform companies and users realize a decarbonized society
- Achieve a business-led virtuous cycle of protecting the environment while
● In order to promote digital market competition, data portability and API disclosure stimulating economic growth by accelerating innovations in environmentally
policies are being considered and reviewed friendly technologies
The Long-term Strategy under the Paris Agreement
(Cabinet decision, June11, 2019)
● Promote zero-carbon mobility knowing that by 2030 more than half of new
autos will use electric, fuel cell or other non-gasoline engines
D. F. F. T. (DATA FREE FLOW WITH TRUST) ● Promote a hydrogen society that ushers in carbon-free technology
- Establish 160 operating hydrogen stations by 2020 and double that number
▶
Free flow of data across borders is vital to ensure privacy, the integrity of IP,
by 2025
and even national security
- Set a target of reducing hydrogen production costs to one-tenth of current
-This is the basis of the “Data Free Flow with Trust (DFFT)” concept
levels by 2050
▶
Japan is determined to promote and lead the international discussion on DFFT to
● Stimulate green finance by promoting disclosure and transparency to drive
find global consensus on rules for data exchange with a view to harnessing the full
ESG funds, which are increasing worldwide
potential of data and the digital economy
● Utilize AI and IoT for energy use management with the commercialization of
▶
Japan will lead international policy discussion
VPP (Virtual Power Plant) systems by 2021 that offer more efficient resource
on these issues, inter alia, international
distribution
rule-making on trade-related aspects of
electronic commerce at the WTO, under ● Increase competitiveness in the power and
the umbrella of the “Osaka Track,” launched gas market through a comprehensive
at the sideline of the G20 Osaka Summit overhaul of the industry, spurring
development of new energy sources and
more focus on environmental impact
10
Attractive
International
Opportunities
4
By signing a trade deal with the
EU last July, Japan did not simply
enter into a business deal. It was
●
●
ECONOMIC PARTNERSHIP AGREEMENTS
Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for TPP11
(Trans-Pacific Partnership) entered into force in December 2018
●
EXPORT OF QUALITY INFRASTRUCTURE
For more information: https://www.japan.go.jp/infrastructure
●
Provide financing to infrastructure projects across the world
of approximately USD 200 billion by 2021
11
TOURISM JAPANESE FOOD /AGRICULTURE REGIONAL REVITALIZATION
●
Form 100 world-class Destination Marketing ●
Support further the growing popularity of Japanese food Ensure Japan’s economic recovery reaches all
Organizations by 2020, and train tourism around the world to meet rising consumer demand for corners of the country by working with all
management specialists more health-conscious cuisine stakeholders to create a more sustainable and
self-reliant society, utilizing the unique
●
Promote branding of national parks and usage of ●
Boost export potential to one trillion yen by 2019
characteristics of every region.
cultural properties, as well as encourage foreign - Strengthen export promotion through the Japan Food
tourists to visit various parts of Japan by enhancing Product Overseas Promotion Center (JFOODO) ●
Welcome foreign business and investment to
the quality and variety of experiences during their ●
Accelerate the accumulation and consolidation of areas outside of the major cities, highlighting
stay farmland for agricultural businesses through the rich opportunities in local areas
●
Improve the tourist experience with additional free full-capacity operation of Farmland Banks, which were ●
Remove geographical constraints when living in
Wi-Fi spots and cashless payment options, etc.; established in 2014 regional areas through new technologies, such
promote private lodging services under certified ●
Introduce similar approaches to modernize forestry and as IoT
procedures fishery industries ●
Pave the way for the creation of IR (Integrated
Resorts), facilities that “integrate”
Achievements Good food for good life hospitality with entertainment, conferences
▶
Inbound tourists in 2018 ▶ Ratio of ob
obesity in the Japanese population space, as well as cultural and casino options,
i 3.7%, the world’s lowest standard
(aged 15-) is in order to broaden the appeal among both
31 million
tourists
with an expenditure of
(versus a 1
19.4% average for OECD 34 nations)
expectancy in Japan is 83.9 years,
▶ Life expect
4.5 trillion
yen
40
60
▶
A
Achievements
hi t
Exports of agricultural, forestry, and fishery products
1,000
corporate travel and conventions (i.e., MICE*)
- Use up to 3 IR licenses to revitalize various
regions of Japan with a new business sector
31 15 907 - Closely regulate casino activities to address
807
745 750 gambling addiction
(mn tourists) 8 612
4.5 551 *MICE: Meetings, Incentives, Conventions, and Exhibitions
8 450
(JPY tn) 1.1
12
More
Competitive
Business
5
The key to success is unleashing your
potential. Japan has vast competitive
reserves in its regions, as well as in
ENCOURAGEMENT OF SMEs
SMEs (Small and Medium Enterprises) provide 70% of all
employment and more than 50% of all added value in Japan’s
manufacturing. As such, the potential to boost the economy via
raising SME productivity with new technology is enormous.
●
ECOSYSTEM FOR NEW STARTUPS
Create a rewarding and agile environment for those who have
passion for creating their own startups, encouraging
grass-roots innovation.
● Encourage more international expansion by SMEs, ● Make Japan’s startup ecosystem even more attractive for those
As we help SMEs, the bedrock of
especially regional firms with “hidden champions” potential overseas by promoting a new residency status for
Japan’s economy, become more
entrepreneurs
productive and ambitious, Abenomics ● Motivate SMEs to grow their overseas assets by 50% by
is building momentum to impact all 2023, compared with 2015 standing
(JPY tn)
FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
13
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE CORPORATE TAX REDUCTION FOREIGN BUSINESS PARTNERSHIPS
Realize sustainable corporate growth through strong governance Reform corporate tax to be growth-oriented For more information: https://www.jetro.go.jp/en/invest
● Drew up a Corporate Governance Code, to promote ● Reduce corporate tax rate below 30% mark in 2016 ● Optimize administrative processes
transparent, fair, timely and decisive decision-making by (%) - Reduce administrative costs by 20% by 2020 from 2017
listed companies 38 levels in areas that are considered to have the heaviest
Revised in 2018 37.00
burden, e.g., for “business approvals and licenses”
36
and “social insurance”
7%
● Formulated a Stewardship Code, to promote
34 - Consolidate scattered registration outlets for different
constructive engagement and a purposeful dialogue
documents into one convenient outlet, e.g., Tokyo
between institutional investors and investee companies 32
32.11 One-Stop Business Establishment Center
Revised in 2017
30
● Plan to update requirement for listed companies to 29.97 29.74
● Host FDI (Foreign Direct Investment) seminars
28 to disseminate FDI information
enhance corporate governance by appointing
independent outside directors 26 Source: ● Support the matching of foreign companies with
FY2013 FY2015 FY2016 FY2018 Ministry of Finance
● Published new guidelines for stronger group corporate domestic SMEs by utilizing the J-GoodTech website:
governance to enhance good corporate values at group ● Substantial tax burden on corporate profits will be http://jgoodtech.smrj.go.jp
companies reduced to as low as 25% for companies proactively
engaging in wage increases and capital investment
INVESTORS COMPANIES
Achievements
Corporate
● Companies also proactively engaging in advanced IT
Stewardship DIALOGUE Governance investment will be eligible for further tax reductions,
Code Code
bringing the substantial tax burden on corporate
▶
12,580
profits down to as low as 20% cases processed at the Tokyo One-Stop Business
Achievements Establishment Center (as of April 2019)
▶ Corporate Governance Code ▶ Net amount of inward FDI in 2018 marked a record
Achievements high of 30.7 trillion yen
- Applied to more than 2,000 companies
- Percentage of listed companies* with
two or more independent outside ▶ Annual corporate tax revenue increased by close to
24.8
28.2 28.9 30.7
35
35
trillion
directors rose from 17% to
Source: Tokyo Stock Exchange %**
*First Section **From 2012 to 2019
93 7 trillion yen compared to the previous adminis-
tration, despite the reduced corporate tax rate
yen
by 2020
(JPY tn)
Stewardship Code 2020
250 institutional investors
▶ 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018
- Accepted by more than target
Source: Financial Services Agency Source: Ministry of Finance “International Investment Position of Japan” as of May 2019
14