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INVESTMENT OBJECTIVES
NO.OF MARKET
SECTOR PROPORTION COMPANY AMOUNT
SHARES PRICE
SM PRIME
REAL ESTATE 50% HOLDINGS 14140 35.35 499,849.00
INC.
UNIVERSAL
INDUSTRIAL 35% 2710 129.00 349,590.00
ROBINACORP.
GLOBE
SERVICE 15% TELECOM. 75 2,000.00 150,000.00
INC.
TOTAL 999,439.00
Philippines economy grew at a mediocre pace of 3.5% over the past ~40
years (1980-2017), recent numbers project a different story. The average gross
domestic product (GDP) growth rate over the past 15 years (2000 onwards) has
been 5.1%, while in the past five years (2012-17) it has been 6.3%.
Philippines’ Gross Domestic Product (GDP), per se, has been growing
vigorously. It expanded by 6.9% in 2016, 6.7% in 2017, and 6.8% in the first quarter
of 2018. It is worth noting that this is the first time since our post-liberation era that
the Philippines have grown beyond 6.5% for ten consecutive quarters.
On the demand side, the drivers of the economy have been government
consumption, capital formation, and consumer spending. The latter, however,
has slowed down this year due to the rising prices of commodities.
When it comes tothe supply side, the service sector expanded by 6.8% in
2017 and further to 7% in the first quarter of 2018.The said Industry grew by 7.3%
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in 2017 against 7.9% in 2018. These numbers are relevant as it shows the extent
by which our industrial sector continues to grow faster than the service sector. It
proves that the country’s manufacturing base is expanding and that
industrialization is well on track. Meanwhile, growth in agriculture remains dismal
at 2.4% in 2017 and 1.5% in the first quarter of 2018.
Overall, GDP growth in 2017 was higher than the 5.8% recorded in 2015. The
average economic growth during the Aquino administration was 6.3%.
The real estate industry’s steady growth in the past decades is attributed
to the increase in demand for residential and commercial properties driven by
various factors. These demand drivers, according to a report by Leechiu
Property Consultants, include rising urban population growth; housing needs of
BPO (business process outsourcing) employees, since a growing number of these
workers need to live near their workplace; and remittances from overseas
Filipino workers (OFWs), more than half of which are real estate-related.
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INDUSTRY ANALYSIS- INDUSTRIAL SECTOR
The Philippine economy grew by 6.7 percent in 2017. This is within the
official target growth range of 6.5-7.5 percent, but slower than the 6.9 percent
growth recorded in 2016. Philippine economic growth is poised to be the fastest
amongst the ASEAN-5 countries, although it lagged behind that of China and
Vietnam. Production was largely driven by the output growth of the industry
sector.
The Industry sector has expanded by 7.2 percent in 2017. In particular, the
manufacturing subsector posted a robust 8.6 percent growth. The construction
subsector also recorded positive growth with public construction expanding by
13.5 percent. The closure of several mining firms during the year has led to a
decline in this subsector’s output, which in turn, stifled overall production growth.
The service sector continued to be the main growth driver, accounting for
almost 60 percent of total domestic production.
However, it grew at a slower rate of 6.7 percent during 2017 from 7.4
percent in 2016. The slow growth of transportation, storage, and communication
services as well as recreational and sports served as a drag to the service
sector’s output. In contrast, the agriculture sector expanded by 3.9 percent,
buoyed by favorable weather conditions. This is a turnaround from the sector’s
1.3 percent contraction in 2016. This is also higher than the sector’s medium-term
growth target of 2.5-3.5 percent. The sector currently employs around 25
percent of total employment but accounts for only 10 percent of the GDP. On
the expenditure side, growth was propelled by the double-digit expansion of
exports and imports. Household spending, which accounts for almost 70 percent
of GDP, decelerated to 5.8 percent from 7.0 percent in 2016. Again, this may be
due to base effects, as household expenditure growth in 2016 was boosted by
election-related spending.
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Figure I.As presented on the data above, the industry sector of the other
sectors, the industry in the country remains consistent as it expands as time
passed by.
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INDUSTRY ANALYSIS- SERVICE SECTOR
Data from the agency showed that of the more than 40 million employed
here in the country, as of April 2017, 55.4 percent are in the services sector; this is
a drop from the 56.2 percent in the same period last year. The services sector is
followed by agriculture (26.1 percent) and industry (18.5 percent).
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COMPANY ANALYSIS
As of December 31, 2017, SMPH has 67 malls in the Philippines and seven
shopping malls in China. The malls in China are located in the cities of Xiamen,
Jinjiang, Chengdu, Zibo, Chongqing, Tianjin, and Suzhou. The Company has 38
residential projects, nine commercial projects, six hotels, four convention centers
and three trade halls. SMPH also owns Sky Ranch, an amusement park in
Tagaytay City and within SM City Pampanga.
Figure II. The graph above shows the stock market movement
in the long stretch of December - the month where investing begins.
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Universal Robina Corporation (URC) was founded in 1954 when Mr. John
Gokongwei, Jr. established Universal Corn Products, Inc., a cornstarch
manufacturing plant in Pasig. The Company is involved in a range of food-
related businesses, including the manufacture and distribution of branded
consumer foods; production of hogs and poultry; manufacture of animal feeds
and veterinary products; flour milling; and sugar milling and refining. URC also
ventured in the renewables business for sustainability through distillery and
cogeneration divisions.
URC operates its food business through operating divisions and wholly-
owned or majority-owned subsidiaries that are organized into three core
business segments, namely, branded consumer foods (BCF), agro-industrial
products and commodity food products.
Figure III. The graph above also shows the stock market
movement in from the beginning month of the year 2018 to
December 3.
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Globe Telecom, Inc. (GLO) was originally incorporated on January 16, 1935 as
Globe Wireless Limited with a franchise to operate wireless long distance
message services in the Philippines. The Company eventually changed its name
to the present one in 1992, and welcomed Singapore Telecom, Inc. as a new
foreign partner the following year.
On May 30, 2016, the Board of GLO approved the acquisition of 50% of Vega
Telecom, Inc. (VTI) from San Miguel Corporation, with Philippine Long Distance
Telephone Company acquiring the remaining 50% interest. VTI owns an equity
stake in Liberty Telecom Holdings, Inc. (LIB) as well as in enfranchised companies
including Bell Telecommunication Philippines, Inc.; Eastern Telecom Philippines,
Inc.; Express Telecom, Inc.; and Tori Spectrum Telecom, Inc., among others.
On June 21, 2016, GLO exercised its rights as holder of 50% equity interest of VTI
to cause VTI to propose the conduct of a tender offer on the common shares of
LIB held by minority shareholders as well as the voluntary delisting of LIB. At the
completion of the tender offer and delisting of LIB, VTI's ownership of LIB is at
99.1%.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
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SM Prime Holdings, Inc. (SMPH)
Figure V.Based on the graph of the stock price above of the SM Prime Holdings, Inc.
(SMPH), it started to increase at the beginning of January 2018 but suddenly decrease at
June. Considering that SMPH is already a matured corporation, its stocks still continue to
increase for the next months because of its stability and resilience as top company in the
Philippines.
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Figure VI.As shown on the stock price of Universal Robina Corporation (URC, it began
to decline toward the start of 2018 and it kept on decreasing up as far as possible of June
2018. Nonetheless, the stock cost recuperated toward the start of July 2018.
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Figure VII.Based on the graph the stock price of Globe Telecom Inc. it started to
decline at the beginning of 2018 and it continued to decline up to the end of May 2018.
However, the stock price recovered at the beginning of July 2018.
FINANCIAL RATIOS
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SM Prime Holdings, Inc. (SMPH)
LIQUIDITY RATIO
Year 2016
Current Ratio= CA/CL
= 103,950,556/49,421,276
= 2.10:1
Year 2017
Current Ratio= CA/CL
= 125,576,040/78,207,732
= 1.61:1
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SOLVENCY RATIO
Year 2016
Debt to Equity= TD/EQUITY
= 230,196,588/235,363,544
= 0.97
Year 2017
Debt to Equity= TD/EQUITY
= 275,543,684/262,873,914
= 1.05
The data presents that there is a 97% of company’s debt for every 1
peso of its stock in 2016 while it has 1.05to year 2017. This generally means that
SMPHI is taking less debtrelative to the company’s equity value in 2016 than in
2017.
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PROFITABILITY RATIO
Year 2016
GPM= GP/NS
= 35,265,056/79,816,231
= 44%
Year 2017
GPM= GP/NS
= 40,628,792/90,921,850
= 45%
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OPERATING INCOME MARGIN
Year 2016
OIM= OI/NS
= 30,988,677/79,816,231
= 39%
Year 2017
OIM= OI/NS
= 35,947,861/90,921,850
= 40%
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NET PROFIT MARGIN
Year 2016
NPM= NI/NS
= 24,367,624/79,816,231
= 31%
Year 2017
NPM= NI/NS
= 28,124,463/90,921,850
= 31%
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RETURN ON ASSETS
Year 2016
ROA= NI/TA
= 28,124,463/465,560,132
= 0.06
Year 2017
ROA= NI/TA
= 28,124,463/538,417,598
= 0.05
The data above in Return on Assets shows that in 2016, SM Prime Holdings,
Inc. (SMPH) got P0.6:1 ratio compared to its P0.5:1 of 2017. This means that the
SMPH has a lowpercentage of profit earned in relation to its overall resources.
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LIQUIDITY RATIO
Year 2016
Current Ratio= CA/CL
= 53,022,654/82,401,897
= 0.64:1
Year 2017
Current Ratio= CA/CL
= 57,515,137/79,457,031
= 0.72:1
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QUICK ASSET RATIO
Year 2016
Current Ratio= CA-INV/CL
= 53,022,654-4,579,954/82,401,897
= 0.59:1
Year 2017
Current Ratio= CA-INV/CL
= 57,515,137-3,242,689/79,457,031
= 0.59:1
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SOLVENCY RATIO
Year 2016
Debt to Equity= TD/EQUITY
= 186,386,808/63,476,302
= 0.59
Year 2017
Debt to Equity= TD/EQUITY
= 211,208,551/66,557,737
= 0.68
The data presents that there is a 59% of company’s debt for every 1
peso of its stock in 2016 while it has 68% to year 2017. This generally means that
GTI is taking more debt relative to the company’s equity value.
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PROFITABILITY RATIO
Year 2016
GPM= GP/NS
= 126,400,851/120,588,003
= 1.04
Year 2017
GPM= GP/NS
= 133,643,354/135,280,731
= 0.99
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OPERATING INCOME MARGIN
Year 2016
OIM= OI/NS
= 21,937,402/120,588,003
= 0.18
Year 2017
OIM= OI/NS
= 21,541,702/135,280,731
=0.11
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NET PROFIT MARGIN
Year 2016
NPM= NI/NS
= 15,888,499/120,588,003
=0.13
Year 2017
NPM= NI/NS
= 15,084,213/135,280,331
= 0.05
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RETURN ON ASSETS
Year 2016
ROA= NI/TA
= 15,888,499/249,863,110
= 0.06
Year 2017
ROA= NI/TA
= 15,084,213/277,766,288
= 0.05
The data above shows that in 2016, GTI got P0.6:1 ratio compared to
P0.5:1 of 2017. This means that the Globe Telecom Inc. has a low profitability
ratio.
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LIQUIDITY RATIO
Year 2016
Current Ratio= CA/CL
= 52,232,044,721/28,105,175,416
= 1.86
Year 2017
Current Ratio= CA/CL
= 53,702,604,881/27,999,562,398
= 1.92
The data shows that the business of URC has P1.86:1 current asset to pay
for a peso of current liabilities in 2016 and P1.92:1 current asset to pay for a peso
of current liabilities in 2017. The two consecutive years of URC current ratio are
highly liquidable in terms of their current ratio because the rule of thumb here
must be P.1.1. This means that Universal Robina Corporation has the ability to
pay its short-term obligation which is the liability.
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QUICK ASSET RATIO
Year 2016
Current Ratio= CA-INV/CL
= 52,232,044,721-18,600,730,912/28,105,175,416
= 1.20
Year 2017
Current Ratio= CA-INV/CL
= 53,702,604,881-18,465,363,440/27,999,562,398
= 1.26
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SOLVENCY RATIO
Year 2016
Debt to Equity= TD/EQUITY
= 63,816,152,167/78,849,254,753
= 0.81
Year 2017
Debt to Equity= TD/EQUITY
= 65,954,786,902/81,686,012,597
= 0.81
The data presents that there is an 81% of company’s debt for every 1 peso
of its stock in both years. This generally means that GTI is taking more debt
relative to the company’s equity value.
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PROFITABILITY RATIO
Year 2016
GPM= GP/NS
= 36,540,833,777/111,631,792,704
= 0.33
Year 2017
GPM= GP/NS
= 39,314,468,779/125,007,824,013
= 0.31
The above data shows that in 2016, Globe got a GPM of 33% which
somehow decreases 31% in year 2017. This means that the company has a low
profitability ratio.
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OPERATING INCOME MARGIN
Year 2016
OIM= OI/NS
= 16,810,613,062/111,631,792,704
= 0.15
Year 2017
OIM= OI/NS
= 14,952,166,760/125,007,824,013
= 0.12
Year 2017
NPM= NI/NS
= 11,152,921,333/125,007,824,013
= 0.09
As you can see, low percentage of net income earned from the business
in 2016, 14% some as to year 2017 with only 9%. This means that Globe Telecom’s
earned revenue is not quite profitable.
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RETURN ON ASSETS
Year 2016
ROA= NI/TA
= 15,355,971,980/142,665,406,920
= 0.11
Year 2017
ROA= NI/TA
= 11,152,921,333/147,640,799,499
= 0.08
The data above shows that in 2016, GTI got P0.11:1 ratio and P0.08:1 in 2017. This
means that the company of Globe Telecom Inc. has a low profitability ratio.
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IV. DECISION/CONSTRUCTION OF PORTFOLIO
NO.OF MARKET
SECTOR PROPORTION COMPANY AMOUNT
SHARES PRICE
SM PRIME
REAL ESTATE 50% HOLDINGS 14140 35.35 499,849.00
INC.
UNIVERSAL
INDUSTRIAL 35% 2710 129.00 349,590.00
ROBINACORP.
GLOBE
SERVICE 15% TELECOM. 75 2,000.00 150,000.00
INC.
TOTAL 999,439.00
V. CONCLUSION
Investing into stocks can be very costly in the event that you exchange
much of the time, particularly with a little measure of cash accessible to
contribute. In consonance to this, choosing a right company to invest in stocks
must have the right decision to make.
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