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4th September 2019. Conservative party in crisis. When Boris Johnson took over as
Conservative leader, he had a small majority in the House of commons. As from today he runs a
minority government. Two Conservative MPs have defected to the Lib-Dems, and in the House
of Commons on 3rd September 21 Conservative MPs, including several former ministers, voted
against their own government in order to allow Parliament to try to pass legislation to stop Boris
Johnson from taking the UK out of the European Union on 31st October without a deal.
23rd July 2019. Boris Johnson has been chosen by the Conservative Party as their new
leader, and therefore as the new Prime Minister of the UK. Boris received 66% of the vote,
which was open to the 159,000 members of the Conservative Party.
A highly controversial politician, Boris Johnson is going to find it very hard to govern. He is
likely to have a majority of just one seat in the House of Commons (the Lib-Dems are expected
to win back a seat from the Conservatives in a by-election on August 1st), and a number of
leading members of the Conservative Party have said that they will not serve in his government.
Boris Johnson lead the campaign to take Britain out of the European Union, and has promised
to do so by 31st October, "deal or no deal"; however Parliament has already voted against a
"no-deal Brexit", and there is likely to be a strong majority in the House of Commons ready to
block "no-deal" if Johnson should appear to be moving in that direction.
18th July 2019. Parliament votes to prevent the next Prime Minister taking the UK out of
the EU without a deal, after Boris Johnson (who is expected to be chosen by the Conservative
Party as their new leader) says that he will deliver Brexit by 31st October' with or without a deal
Results: The anti-EU Brexit Partytook the largest share of the vote 31.6%
The Liberal Democrats came second, with 20.3%
Labour clung on to third place with 14.1%, closely followed by
The Green Party with 12.7%
The Conservatives could only take fifth place, with just 9.1%
The remaining votes went to smaller or regional parties, including the Scottish nationalists
24 May 2019
Theresa May resigns as Prime Minister
Theresa May has announced that she will resign as Prime Minister on 7th June. She will stay
on after that for as long as is needed for the Conservative Party to find a replacement. The
current favourite is Boris Johnson.
May is resigning because she has been unable to find a solution to the Brexit crisis.
That is not surprising, given that Britain, the Conservative government, the Cabinet and
Parliament are all deeply divided over the question of Brexit. At all levels, there are some who
are strongly in favour of Brexit, and others who are vehemently against it.
And with a third strongly in favour of Brexit, a third strongly against it, and a third undecided,
finding a compromise that will please everyone is an impossible task. May tried and failed; and
failed repeatedly.
Her successor is not likely to have any more success.
There is no satisfactory solution to this crisis. May tried for consensus, a middle-of-the-road
soft Brexit that might unite people from both sides. In the end it united nobody except the middle
third of "undecided". It displeased two thirds of her party, of Parliament, and of the people; for
those in favour of Brexit it was too little, and for those opposed to it it was too much.
Her successor may go for a "hard Brexit"... but that too will displease two thirds of people in
Britain and in Parliament. Parliament has already voted against a hard Brexit. And Parliament
will reject it again, as long as Parliament is consulted.
Alternatively May's successor may decide to cancel Brexit. That will certainly displease a third
of the people and may be displease up to two thirds of the people.
Brexit has done immense damage to the UK, to politics in general, and to the European
Union. The next British Prime Minister, whoever he/she is, will not be able to solve the problem
any more satisfactorily than Theresa May.
There remain two solutions that will be less damaging than the others. They are for the next
Prime Minister to revoke Article 50, and thus cancel Brexit; or to wash his/her hands of the
problem, and give the fate of Brexit back to the people, i.e. call a second referendum.
A change of prime-ministers will not make the problem go away. It will not lead to a
satisfactory solution to this intractable problem.
4 May 2019. In local elections, the Conservative party lost over 1300 councillors and the Labour
party lost 84 councillors.
The winners were the Liberal Democrats, campaigning on a clear stop-Brexit platform, who
gained 704 councillors, and the Greens, also campaigning against Brexit, who gained 198
seats. There were also big gains for independent candidates
March 2019 : Brexit is posponed. The British parliament cannot agree on any type of Brexit.
Theresa May's "Deal" with the EU has been rejected by parliament three times. For Brexit
hardliners, it is too soft; for those opposed to Brexit, it is too pointless.
It is clear that there the idea of finding any sort of acceptable "consensus" on Brexit among
British voters and in the British parliament is fantasy.
There can be no consensus on Brexit, as opinions are too divided.
Early March 2019. A new centrist anti-Brexit party, called ChangeUK, has been set up by 7
MPs who have defected from the Labour Party, and three from the Conservative party and one
independent.
Latest: 16th January 2019. Conservative Party split as 118 MPs rebel and
vote against Theresa May's Brexit bill.
For more on this see Brexit timeline
Latest: 12th December 2018. Theresa May wins a vote of no confidence as leader of the
Conservative Party.
This "no-confidence" vote was an internal vote just involving Conservative Members of
Parliament. Right-wing members of the party tried to remove her from office, but failed. Out of
317 Conservative MPs, 200 expressed their confidence in Mrs. May, while 117 expressed no
confidence in their leader.
Mrs. May is now safe for at least a year (unless Parliament as a whole, not just the
Conservative MPs, votes no confidence in her. For the time being, this seems improbable.) But
with 117 members of her own party ready to rebel against her, she is not in a very strong
position.
Some moderate Conservative MPs seem to be hoping that the Party will actually split, and that
the right-wing Eurosceptics will leave to form their own hard-right party, perhaps by allying with
what remains of UKIP. But this seems unlikely.
While they have shown, by the no-confidence vote, that they are in a minority in the party, the
right-wing hard-Brexit-supporting MPs are liable to believe that they will get nowhere by dividing
the party and setting up a new one; better for them to remain in the party where they can hope
one day to take control
In Britain, many ordinary people are calling for a complete realignment of parties, with a big
new centre party including moderates from both Left and Right... which would achieve more or
less the same result, by leaving the far-right to take control of a much reduced Conservative
party. But few if any Conservative or Labour party members and MPs have shown any interest
in this.
July 2018 - The Conservative Party - long divided between the free-marketing neo-liberals on
the far right, and consensual "one nation" pro-European Conservatives in the centre, is in
chaos, following the resignation of two leading Brexiteer ministers from Theresa May's cabinet.
Chief Brexit negotiator David Davis and Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson resigned from the
government today in protest against the "soft Brexit" agreement reached by the Government
last Friday. The future of Brexit is very much in the balance.
More details here : Is Brexit inevitable?
Until the early 20th century, alone or in coalition with other groups, these two political parties
in turn formed successive British governments, based on the results of parliamentary elections.
Initially, the Whigs were the party of the liberal and reforming aristocracy. In contrast to the
Tories, the Whig Party attracted people more favorable to constitutional reforms, and in 1832 led
the most significant modernization of the British Parliament, the Reform Act, which rebalanced
parliamentary constituencies, and greatly expanded the electoral base to the middle classes. In
the 1850's, the Whig Party became the most important element of a union of Whigs and
Radicals who took the name "Liberal Party". This centrist party continued until 1988, when it
merged with the new but smaller Social Democratic Party to form today's Liberal Democrats
. The word Tory designated early supporters of strong royal power; Tories were monarchists
and traditionalists, especially at the time of the Restoration of the monarchy in 1660. During the
eighteenth century, the Whigs dominated British politics, and the Tory party played a relatively
small role in the political life of the United Kingdom.
This changed in the last three decades of the eighteenth century, when the rise of reformism
and radicalism in Europe, which was to lead notably to the French Revolution (1789), gave a
new impetus to defenders of the status quo and conservatism. The Tories re-emerged as a
major force in British politics in 1770 - but this time as a modern party in favor of maintaining the
best traditions of Britain, but at the same time strongly supporting the new opportunities created
by the industrial revolution and imperial and commercial expansion. During the 19th century - as
today - the Tory party, which became the Conservative Partyin 1834, was torn between its
traditionalists and its reformers. Benjamin Disraeli, the Conservative prime minister from 1874 to
1880, was one of the great reformers of the 19th century.
After the First World War, a new party came to power in the British Parliament, the Labour
Party. The first Labour MPs had been elected in 1900 as representatives of the Independent
Labour Party. The Labour Party formed a minority government in 1924, but it did not last. Labour
first formed a majority government in 1929. The rise of the Labour Party came however at the
expense of the other non-Conservative party, the Liberals, and Labour replaced the Liberals as
the main alternative to the Conservatives.
From 1929 to 2010, power alternated between the Conservatives and the Labour Party.
Following the general election of 2010, no single party emerged with an absolute majority of
MPs; so for the first time in living memory, a coalition government was formed, with the
Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats sharing power.
Former stability of the political landscape
As this historical overview shows, the British political landscape in general has until very
recently been characterized by a remarkable stability. The British electoral system, a system of
"relative majority" (known as the " first past the post" system) 1, has not changed for more than
four centuries, and is favorable to large parties and stable governments. It tends to prevent
parties fragmenting into smaller factions or clans, and encourages consensus positions around
strong party leaders.
In a referendum in 2011, British voters reaffirmed their commitment to this historic electoral
system, rejecting a new system that would have introduced an element of proportional
representation.
Britain's three major parties are all now more than a century old, and the system makes it
very hard for new parties to get a foot on the ladder. The rise of the Labour Party in the early
20th century was the result of major changes in society. Since then, no new party has
succeeded in establishing itself in England, and new parties that are created remain marginal in
terms of representation, or merge with larger ones. The situation is different in other parts of the
United Kingdom, where nationalist parties have broken into the political landscape, even to the
point of becoming the principal political party in Scotland.
However, the result of the European elections held in May 2019 show that an earthquake has
hit the formerly stable political landcape. In the European elections,the traditional "main"
parties, the Conservatives and Labour, took just 25% of the vote between them, with the
Conservatives taking their lowest share of the vote since the nineteenth century... less than
10%. Over 66% of the votes were taken by other parties, notably the new Brexit Party (31%) ,
the Liberal Democrats (20%) and the Greens (12%).
The "Brexit" referendum has plunged the main British political parties into turmoil, with both
main parties Conservative and Labour being (irreparably?) divided about Britain's relationship
with the European Union.
The Conservative party has been split down the middle by opposition between pro- and anti-
Europeans; but with a few exceptions, most of the Conservative MP's who formerly campaigned
against Brexit have fallen silent since the election of Mrs. May.
The Labour Party is riven by dissention between a militant party membership, and the party's
generally moderate MPs. Labour MPs overwhelmingly passed a vote of no confidence in leader
Jeremy Corbyn, who nevertheless refused to stand down as he was elected overwhelmingly by
party members.
Of the three main traditional parties, only the Liberal-Democrat party has emerged intact from
the chaos: the Lib-Dems always have been, and remain, firmly pro-European.
The Labour Party remains torn between a hard-left Eurosceptic party membership, and a
largely social-democrat Parliamentary party (its MPs). Internally fractured, Labour was seen,
since the election of Jeremy Corbyn as leader, as being unable to present itself as a credible
challenge to the Conservative government. By April 2017 opinion polls showed that support for
Labour had fallen to a historic low (around 25%), prompting Mrs. May to call another general
election. However, thanks to an excellent campaign, Labour seriously narrowed the gap, and
though they did not beat the Conservatives in the June 2017 election, they increased their
representation in parliament, depriving the Conservatives of the absolute majority they had
enjoyed since 2015.
Since then Labour has been plagued by issues of anti-semitism and criticism that the party
under Corbyn is an ineffectual opposition that is not standing up to Mrs. May's Brexit dealing.
Although latest opinion polls (December 2018) show that a majority of Labour supporters want a
second referendum on Brexit, and many Labour MPs want this too, Jeremy Corbyn has refused
to give official party backing to the call for a second referendum.
The Conservative Party is made up of local Associations which play a major role in the
selection of candidates and the appointment of the party leader. The importance of this local
structure reflects the very old tradition of territorial representation in British politics, a tradition
dating back to the Middle Ages. However, "Central Office" often imposes candidates on local
associations to enable up-and-coming stars to enter parliament, as was the case with Margaret
Thatcher.
In her short speech to the press, on taking up her job as Prime Minister, Theresa
May positioned herself very clearly as a "one-nation" moderate Conservative, keen to build a
new Britain for ordinary people, not just for the wealthy. It was a speech that could equally well
have been made by David Cameron, or most of the recent leaders of the Labour Party.
In the June 2017 election, the Lib-Dems increased their number of MPs from 8 to 11, taking
seats from the Conservatives and the Scottish Nationalists. However they did not emerge as the
new party of opposition, and as well as gaining seats, they lost some.
2018. In spite of being the only one of the three major parties that is committed to opposing
Brexit, and in spite of gaining 60,000 new members in 2018 the Lib-Dems continue to show very
poorly in opinion polls compared to Conservatives or Labour.
2019. As the only party that has been clearly and consistently opposed to Brexit, the Liberal
Democrats are staging a remarkable comeback. In the European Parliamentary Elections, they
came second, beating both the Conservatives and Labour. They are expected to increase their
representation in Parliament in August by retaking the Brecon and Randnorshire seat from the
Conservatives in a by-election. The party has also been buoyed by the election of its youngest
and first female leader, Jo Swinson, aged 39.
In April 2017, polls showed the Labour party to be at a historic low level of around 25% – with
many traditional Labour voters moving towards the Conservatives on account their support for
Brexit and their rhetoric on immigration.
When Theresa May called the surprise general election, it was expected that Labour would
lose a lot of seats as more and more traditional voters in working-class areas moved over to the
Conservatives. However thanks to poor campaigning by the Conservatives and very good
campaigning by Jeremy Corbyn, Labour instead gained 29 seats and the Conservatives lost 12,
and lost their absolute majority in Parliament.
In January 2019, in spite of the Conservative government's huge unpopularity, Labour
has notsurged ahead in the opinion polls, as normally happens when a government is very
unpopular. Polls suggest that this is essentially due to Jeremy Corbyn who has refused to take
any clear personal position on Brexit. Corbyn continues to say that he is in favour of a "better"
Brexit, while opinion polls show that a big majority of Labour voters, specially the young, are
against Brexit.
Respect
The party of a populist left-wing Labour party dissident, George Galloway, who was its sole MP
until 2015.
In the 2017 General Election, the SNP lost 19 of its 50 seats in the UK parliament, as many
Scots turned away from the issue of Scottish nationalism towards parties in favour of remaining
in the UK. However the SNP still holds an absolute majority of Scottish seats in the UK
parliament.
In June 2017, the DUP agreed to support the Conservatives in the Westminster Parliament,
allowing Theresa May to form a new government in spite of losing her absolute majority in the
House of Commons. The DUP has 10 MPs. Without their support, Theresa May would have a
minority government.
Sinn Fein 2
The majority party among the Catholic minority in Northern Ireland, in favour of the withdrawal of
Northern Ireland from the United Kingdom, and the reunification of Ireland.
SDLP
Social Democratic Party and Labour Party of Northern Ireland, a non-sectarian social
democratic party made up of both Catholics and Protestants.
Notes:
1. The system of relative majority; The winner of any election is the person who gets the greatest number
of votes, even if this is not an absolute majority of the votes cast.
2. The Northern Ireland Assembly is currently in the hands of a coalition between DUP and Sinn Fein ,
once bitter enemies of each other. However the Northern Ireland Assembly was suspended in 2016
following the failure of the DUP and Sinn Fein to continue working together.
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Picture top of page: Whigs and Tories are strongly opposed on reforming the British parliament in 1832.
Satirical cartoon by Robert Cruickshank,
Boris Johnson... controversial new leader of the conservative Party, and British Prime
Minister
Debate in the Ho
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