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Judge Disposed Appealed Reversed Court Judge Disposed

Fred Cartolano 3037 137 12 Common Fred Cartolano 3037


Thomas Crush 3372 119 10 Common Thomas Crush 3372
Patrick Dinkelacker 1258 44 8 Common Patrick Dink 1258
Timothy Hogan 1954 60 7 Common Timothy Hoga 1954
Robert Kraft 3138 127 7 Common Robert Kraft 3138
William Mathews 2264 91 18 Common William Math 2264
William Morrissey 3032 121 22 Common William Morr 3032
Norbert Nadel 2959 131 20 Common Norbert Nade 2959
Arthur Ney Jr. 3219 125 14 Common Arthur Ney J 3219
Richard Niehaus 3353 137 16 Common Richard Nieh 3353
Thomas Nurre 3000 121 6 Common Thomas Nurre 3000
John O'Connor 2969 129 12 Common John O'Conno 2969
Robert Ruehlman 3205 145 18 Common Robert Ruehl 3205
J. Howard Sundermann Jr. 955 60 10 Common J. Howard Su 955
Ann Marie Tracey 3141 127 13 Common Ann Marie Tr 3141
Ralph Winkler 3089 88 6 Common Ralph Winkle 3089
Penelope Cunningham 2729 7 1 Domestic Penelope Cun 2729
Patrick Dinkelacker 6001 19 4 Domestic Patrick Dink 6001
Deborah Gaines 8799 48 9 Domestic Deborah Gain 8799
Ronald Panioto 12970 32 3 Domestic Ronald Panio 12970
Mike Allen 6149 43 4 Muni Mike Allen 6 6149
Nadine Allen 7812 34 6 Muni Nadine Allen 7812
Timothy Black 7954 41 6 Muni Timothy Blac 7954
David Davis 7736 43 5 Muni David Davis 7736
Leslie Isaiah Gaines 5282 35 13 Muni Leslie Isaia 5282
Karla Grady 5253 6 0 Muni Karla Grady 5253
Deidra Hair 2532 5 0 Muni Deidra Hair 2532
Dennis Helmick 7900 29 5 Muni Dennis Helmi 7900
Timothy Hogan 2308 13 2 Muni Timothy Hoga 2308
James Patrick Kenney 2798 6 1 Muni James Patric 2798
Joseph Luebbers 4698 25 8 Muni Joseph Luebb 4698
William Mallory 8277 38 9 Muni William Mall 8277
Melba Marsh 8219 34 7 Muni Melba Marsh 8219
Beth Mattingly 2971 13 1 Muni Beth Matting 2971
Albert Mestemaker 4975 28 9 Muni Albert Meste 4875
Mark Painter 2239 7 3 Muni Mark Painter 2239
Jack Rosen 7790 41 13 Muni Jack Rosen 7 7790
Mark Schweikert 5403 33 6 Muni Mark Schweik 5403
David Stockdale 5371 22 4 Muni David Stockd 5371
John A. West 2797 4 2 Muni John A. West 2797
182808
Appealed Reversed Court 1. The probability of cases being appealed and reversed in the three different co
137 12 Common 2. The probability of a case being appealed for each judge.
119 10 Common 3. The probability of a case being reversed for each judge.
44 8 Common 4. The probability of reversal given an appeal for each judge.
60 7 Common 5. Rank the judges within each court. State the criteria you used and provide a r
127 7 Common
91 18 Common
121 22 Common
131 20 Common
125 14 Common
137 16 Common
121 6 Common
129 12 Common
145 18 Common
60 10 Common
127 13 Common
88 6 Common
7 1 Domestic
19 4 Domestic
48 9 Domestic
32 3 Domestic
43 4 Muni
34 6 Muni
41 6 Muni
43 5 Muni
35 13 Muni
6 0 Muni
5 0 Muni
29 5 Muni
13 2 Muni
6 1 Muni
25 8 Muni
38 9 Muni
34 7 Muni
13 1 Muni
28 9 Muni
7 3 Muni
41 13 Muni
33 6 Muni
22 4 Muni
4 2 Muni
2368 320
rsed in the three different courts.
(1762 + 106 + 500)/(43,945 + 30,499 + 108,464) = .0129.

ria you used and provide a rationale for your choice.


Judge Disposed Appealed Reversed Court
Fred Cartolano 3037 137 12 Common
Thomas Crush 3372 119 10 Common
Patrick Dinkelacker 1258 44 8 Common
Timothy Hogan 1954 60 7 Common
Robert Kraft 3138 127 7 Common
William Mathews 2264 91 18 Common
William Morrissey 3032 121 22 Common
Norbert Nadel 2959 131 20 Common
Arthur Ney Jr. 3219 125 14 Common
Richard Niehaus 3353 137 16 Common
Thomas Nurre 3000 121 6 Common
John O'Connor 2969 129 12 Common
Robert Ruehlman 3205 145 18 Common
J. Howard Sundermann Jr. 955 60 10 Common
Ann Marie Tracey 3141 127 13 Common
Ralph Winkler 3089 88 6 Common
Penelope Cunningham 2729 7 1 Domestic
Patrick Dinkelacker 6001 19 4 Domestic
Deborah Gaines 8799 48 9 Domestic
Ronald Panioto 12970 32 3 Domestic
Mike Allen 6149 43 4 Muni
Nadine Allen 7812 34 6 Muni
Timothy Black 7954 41 6 Muni
David Davis 7736 43 5 Muni
Leslie Isaiah Gaines 5282 35 13 Muni
Karla Grady 5253 6 0 Muni
Deidra Hair 2532 5 0 Muni
Dennis Helmick 7900 29 5 Muni
Timothy Hogan 2308 13 2 Muni
James Patrick Kenney 2798 6 1 Muni
Joseph Luebbers 4698 25 8 Muni
William Mallory 8277 38 9 Muni
Melba Marsh 8219 34 7 Muni
Beth Mattingly 2971 13 1 Muni
Albert Mestemaker 4975 28 9 Muni
Mark Painter 2239 7 3 Muni
Jack Rosen 7790 41 13 Muni
Mark Schweikert 5403 33 6 Muni
David Stockdale 5371 22 4 Muni
John A. West 2797 4 2 Muni
Judge Disposed Appealed Reversed Appealed Reversed Court
Fred Cartolano 3037 137 12 Common
Thomas Crush 3372 119 10 Common
Patrick Dinkelacker 1258 44 8 Common
Timothy Hogan 1954 60 7 Common
Robert Kraft 3138 127 7 Common
William Mathews 2264 91 18 Common
William Morrissey 3032 121 22 Common
Norbert Nadel 2959 131 20 Common
Arthur Ney Jr 3219 125 14 Common
Richard Niehaus 3353 137 16 Common
Thomas Nurre 3000 121 6 Common
John O'Connor 2969 129 12 Common
Robert Ruehlman 3205 145 18 Common
J. Howard Sundermann Jr 955 60 10 Common
Ann Marie Tracey 3141 127 13 Common
Ralph Winkler 3089 88 6 Common
Penelope Cunningham 2729 7 1 Domestic
Patrick Dinkelacker 6001 19 4 Domestic
Deborah Gaines 8799 48 9 Domestic
Ronald Panioto 12970 32 3 Domestic
Mike Allen 6149 43 4 Muni
Nadine Allen 7812 34 6 Muni
Timothy Black 7954 41 6 Muni
David Davis 7736 43 5 Muni
Leslie Isaiah Gaines 5282 35 13 Muni
Karla Grady 5253 6 0 Muni
Deidra Hair 2532 5 0 Muni
Dennis Helmick 7900 29 5 Muni
Timothy Hogan 2308 13 2 Muni
James Patrick Kenney 2798 6 1 Muni
Joseph Luebbers 4698 25 8 Muni
William Mallory 8277 38 9 Muni
Melba Marsh 8219 34 7 Muni
Beth Mattingly 2971 13 1 Muni
Albert Mestemaker 4975 28 9 Muni
Mark Painter 2239 7 3 Muni
Jack Rosen 7790 41 13 Muni
Mark Schweikert 5403 33 6 Muni
David Stockdale 5371 22 4 Muni
John A. West 2797 4 2 Muni
Judge Disposed Appealed Reversed Court Judge Disposed Appealed
Fred Cartolano 3037 137 12 Common 1 Fred Cartolano 3037 137
Thomas Crush 3372 119 10 Common 2 Thomas Crush 3372 119
Patrick Dinkelacker 1258 44 8 Common 3 Patrick Dink 1258 44
Timothy Hogan 1954 60 7 Common 4 Timothy Hoga 1954 60
Robert Kraft 3138 127 7 Common 5 Robert Kraft 3138 127
William Mathews 2264 91 18 Common 6 William Math 2264 91
William Morrissey 3032 121 22 Common 7 William Morr 3032 121
Norbert Nadel 2959 131 20 Common 8 Norbert Nade 2959 131
Arthur Ney Jr. 3219 125 14 Common 9 Arthur Ney J 3219 125
Richard Niehaus 3353 137 16 Common 10 Richard Nieh 3353 137
Thomas Nurre 3000 121 6 Common 11 Thomas Nurre 3000 121
John O'Connor 2969 129 12 Common 12 John O'Conno 2969 129
Robert Ruehlman 3205 145 18 Common 13 Robert Ruehl 3205 145
J. Howard Sundermann Jr. 955 60 10 Common 14 J. Howard Su 955 60
Ann Marie Tracey 3141 127 13 Common 15 Ann Marie Tr 3141 127
Ralph Winkler 3089 88 6 Common 16 Ralph Winkle 3089 88
TOTAL 43945 1762

Penelope Cunningham 2729 7 1 Domestic 1 Penelope Cun 2729 7


Patrick Dinkelacker 6001 19 4 Domestic 2 Patrick Dink 6001 19
Deborah Gaines 8799 48 9 Domestic 3 Deborah Gain 8799 48
Ronald Panioto 12970 32 3 Domestic 4 Ronald Panio 12970 32
TOTAL 30499 106

Mike Allen 6149 43 4 Muni 1 Mike Allen 6 6149 43


Nadine Allen 7812 34 6 Muni 2 Nadine Allen 7812 34
Timothy Black 7954 41 6 Muni 3 Timothy Blac 7954 41
David Davis 7736 43 5 Muni 4 David Davis 7736 43
Leslie Isaiah Gaines 5282 35 13 Muni 5 Leslie Isaia 5282 35
Karla Grady 5253 6 0 Muni 6 Karla Grady 5253 6
Deidra Hair 2532 5 0 Muni 7 Deidra Hair 2532 5
Dennis Helmick 7900 29 5 Muni 8 Dennis Helmi 7900 29
Timothy Hogan 2308 13 2 Muni 9 Timothy Hoga 2308 13
James Patrick Kenney 2798 6 1 Muni 10 James Patric 2798 6
Joseph Luebbers 4698 25 8 Muni 11 Joseph Luebb 4698 25
William Mallory 8277 38 9 Muni 12 William Mall 8277 38
Melba Marsh 8219 34 7 Muni 13 Melba Marsh 8219 34
Beth Mattingly 2971 13 1 Muni 14 Beth Matting 2971 13
Albert Mestemaker 4975 28 9 Muni 15 Albert Meste 4875 28
Mark Painter 2239 7 3 Muni 16 Mark Painter 2239 7
Jack Rosen 7790 41 13 Muni 17 Jack Rosen 7 7790 41
Mark Schweikert 5403 33 6 Muni 18 Mark Schweik 5403 33
David Stockdale 5371 22 4 Muni 19 David Stockd 5371 22
John A. West 2797 4 2 Muni 20 John A. West 2797 4
TOTAL 108364 500
Probability of reversal
Reversed Probability of appeal Rank Probability of reversal Rank given appeal Rank
12 0.0451103062 14 0.0039512677 6 0.0875912409 5
10 0.0352906287 4 0.0029655991 4 0.0840336134 4
8 0.0349761526 3 0.0063593005 12 0.1818181818 14
7 0.0307062436 2 0.0035823951 5 0.1166666667 9
7 0.040471638 10 0.0022307202 3 0.0551181102 2
18 0.0401943463 7 0.00795053 15 0.1978021978 16
22 0.0399076517 6 0.0072559367 14 0.1818181818 14
20 0.0442717134 13 0.0067590402 13 0.1526717557 12
14 0.0388319354 5 0.0043491768 9 0.112 8
16 0.0408589323 11 0.0047718461 10 0.1167883212 10
6 0.0403333333 8 0.002 2 0.0495867769 1
12 0.0434489727 12 0.0040417649 7 0.0930232558 6
18 0.0452418097 15 0.0056162246 11 0.124137931 11
10 0.0628272251 16 0.0104712042 16 0.1666666667 13
13 0.0404329831 9 0.0041388093 8 0.1023622047 7
6 0.0284881839 1 0.0019423762 1 0.0681818182 3
199 0.040095574 0.0045283878 0.1129398411

1 0.0025650421 2 0.0003664346 2 0.1428571429 2


4 0.003166139 3 0.0006665556 3 0.2105263158 4
9 0.0054551654 4 0.0010228435 4 0.1875 3
3 0.0024672321 1 0.000231303 1 0.09375 1
17 0.0034755238 10 0.0005573953 0.1603773585

4 0.006993007 20 0.0006505123 7 0.0930232558 4


6 0.0043522785 9 0.0007680492 11 0.1764705882 10
6 0.0051546392 12 0.0007543374 10 0.1463414634 6
5 0.0055584281 15 0.0006463289 6 0.1162790698 5
13 0.0066262779 19 0.0024611889 20 0.3714285714 18
0 0.0011422045 1 0 1 0 1
0 0.0019747235 3 0 1 0 1
5 0.0036708861 6 0.0006329114 5 0.1724137931 9
2 0.0056325823 17 0.0008665511 13 0.1538461538 7
1 0.0021443888 4 0.0003573981 4 0.1666666667 8
8 0.0053214134 14 0.0017028523 18 0.32 16
9 0.0045910354 11 0.0010873505 14 0.2368421053 14
7 0.0041367563 8 0.0008516851 12 0.2058823529 13
1 0.0043756311 10 0.000336587 3 0.0769230769 3
9 0.0057435897 16 0.0018461538 19 0.3214285714 17
3 0.0031263957 5 0.0013398839 16 0.4285714286 19
13 0.0052631579 13 0.0016688062 17 0.3170731707 15
6 0.0061077179 18 0.0011104942 15 0.1818181818 11
4 0.0040960715 7 0.0007447403 9 0.1818181818 11
2 0.0014301037 2 0.0007150518 8 0.5 20
104 0.0046140785 0.0009597283 0.208
Sum Total of Ranks Court
25 Common
12 Common
29 Common
16 Common
15 Common
38 Common
34 Common
38 Common
22 Common
31 Common
11 Common
25 Common
37 Common
45 Common
24 Common
5 Common

6 Domestic
10 Domestic
11 Domestic
3 Domestic
Domestic

31 Muni
30 Muni
28 Muni
26 Muni
57 Muni
3 Muni
5 Muni
20 Muni
37 Muni
16 Muni
48 Muni
39 Muni
33 Muni
16 Muni
52 Muni
40 Muni
45 Muni
44 Muni
27 Muni
Muni
Ralph Winkle 5 Common
Thomas Nurre 11 Common
Thomas Crush 12 Common
Robert Kraft 15 Common
Timothy Hoga 16 Common
Arthur Ney J 22 Common
Ann Marie Tr 24 Common
Fred Cartolano 25 Common
John O'Conno 25 Common
Patrick Dink 29 Common
Richard Nieh 31 Common
William Morr 34 Common
Robert Ruehl 37 Common
William Math 38 Common
Norbert Nade 38 Common
J. Howard Su 45 Common
Ronald Panio 3 Domestic
Penelope Cun 6 Domestic
Patrick Dink 10 Domestic
Deborah Gain 11 Domestic
Number of Polishers Rented Number of Number
0 4
1 6
2 18
3 10
4 2

R e la t iv e Fr e q u e n c y
40

Re
0.5
0.45
0.4
0.35
0.3
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
0

B
Promoted
Man 500
Woman 130

0.4166666667
0.1083333333
Marginal Probability 0.525

Percentage conversion 42%


11%
Relative frequency Percentage Frequency
0.1 10%
0.15 15%
0.45 45%
0.25 25%
0.05 5%
R e la t iv e Fr e q u e n c y

Relative frequency
0.5
0.45
0.4
0.35
0.3
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
0 1 2 3 4

Number of Polishers Rented

B^
Not Promoted
460
110

0.3833333333 0.8 Marginal Probability


0.0916666667 0.2 Marginal Probability
0.475 1

38%
9%
2011 0 120.00
2012 120.00 125.00
2013 245.00 130.50
2014 375.50 136.55
2015 512.05 143.21
2016 655.26 150.53
2017 805.78 158.58
2018 964.36 167.44
2019 1131.79 177.18
1309
Age Number
18 - 24 29.8
25 - 34 40
35 - 44 43.4
45 - 54 43.9
55 - 64 32.7
65 and over 37.8
227.6

Answer No. 1

Answer No. 2

Answer No. 3
0.130931

0.306678

0.502636

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