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Residential Report Spring2017
Residential Report Spring2017
MARKET REPORT
Spring - 2017
CONTENTS
5 Foreword
6 Market overview
7 Residential price index to date
9 Price trends across main cities
11 Price trends across neighborhoods
Cluj-Napoca | Bucharest | Timisoara
21 Number of listings - for sale
22 Number of listings - for rent
23 Construction of new dwellings
25 New residential projects
28 Demand for residential properties for sale
29 Time on market in Bucharest
30 Negotiation margin
31 About us
ROMANIAN RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT - Spring 2017
FOREWORD
The Romanian real estate market is continuously developing, adapting itself not slow return to a more common rate of 15%, in less than 6 months. This major
only to new Romanian living standards but also to the new economic context. change, caused by the giving in payment law, was supposed to drop prices by at
Through this report, we want to offer our readers firsthand information about the least 10%. The reality proved that even in these precarious conditions the market
dynamics of the Romanian real estate market. Therefore, we focus on: demand continued to grow, generating a price increase per sq. m. of 4%, at a
national level.
• National price index • Residential projects
• Price trends in cities & neighborhoods • Demand levels Regarding the construction of new dwellings, the area of Bucharest-Ilfov is the only
• Number of listings • Time on market one in Romania that exceeded the level registered in 2008. The rest of the main
areas of the country are still way beyond the maximum level in 2008.
• New dwellings • Negotiation margin
Dorel Niță
2016 was a tumultuous year, full of unpredicted changes in government and bank Head of Data and Research, Imobiliare.ro
policies. We witnessed an increase of bank loans advance up to 40% and a very
“Even though the real estate market is rapidly evolving and the prices are rising in an accelerated way, we are still considerably under the
levels of 2008. Right now, the market is able to absorb the continued price increase as demand in the main cities is very high, being
stimulated by an advantageous bank loans policy and the government’s social program, Prima Casa.”
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ROMANIAN RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT - Spring 2017
MARKET OVERVIEW
1. IT IS A GROWING MARKET FROM A PRICE AND NO. OF The rapid development of residential construction encouraged financial
TRANSACTIONS POINT OF VIEW institutions to reconsider investing in this segment. In the last few months, more
and more developers obtained funding for developing residential projects. This is
The residential market started this year under much better economic conditions
clear evidence that the relationships with banks are improving.
compared to 2016, when the beginning of the year was marked by uncertainties
regarding the effects of the giving in payment law and the rapid depletion of 3. DEVELOPERS FACE MAJOR DIFFICULTIES WHEN IT COMES TO
Government funds for the Prima Casa program. AUTHORIZATIONS AND CONSTRUCTION DELIVERIES
Thus, the existence of a pre-determined threshold for the Prima Casa program, Coldwell Banker data show that about 1,800 new apartments in Bucharest and
acceptable bank loan advances of 15%-20% for mortgage financing and a varied surrounding areas have been delivered in 2017 or will be delivered in the near
and better adapted offer to existing market demand are the factors that will future, although initially announced for completion in 2016.
determine a positive evolution of the residential market in 2017.
We identified four main reasons for these delays: difficulties in obtaining
Considering the major negative impact that the giving in payment law had on the authorizations; difficulties in making the legal forms of reception of the
mortgage segment for several months in 2016, we estimate that this year banks construction works; difficulties encountered in the labor market; optimistic
will give more loans, generating an increase in the number of transactions. deadlines originally announced for delivery.
We estimate that prices for new apartments will register an average increase of 4. THE LAND MARKET AND ITS EFFERVESCENCE
5% to 7% in 2017, depending on local market conditions and demand. This
After the comeback of commercial and office spaces, the land market started to
increase is also determined by land prices that are trending higher and
register a steady and significant demand especially from developers of residential
constructions costs with materials and labor that are also likely to suffer price
projects’ side. Even if in the last two years the land market witnessed a significant
increases.
increase in number of transactions, we still encounter land owners that have
2. IS THE RELATIONSHIP WITH BANKS IMPROVING? unrealistic expectations regarding the sale price, a situation that impedes
developers from conceiving viable residential projects.
In the first quarter of 2017 we observed a major reduction of the effects of the
giving in payment law on bank mortgage conditions. Now, almost all financial Andrei Sârbu
Managing Partner Coldwell Banker
institutions have reduced the advances required for granting a mortgage,
transforming this product into a reliable and attractive alternative to finance the
acquisition of new housing.
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ROMANIAN RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT - Spring 2017
180 Romania
European Union
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INS
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60
40
Source: Analize Imobiliare,
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and Eurostat
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ROMANIAN RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT - Spring 2017
As can be seen in the graph below, we may conclude that, since 2014, the local 4%. This is actually the second largest increase in the past two and a half years,
market has recovered from the crisis. House values have been on a positive trend only being outranked by a 4.2% increase in Q4 2014. It is necessary to note that,
in the local market for the past eleven quarters (since Q3 2014, to be exact), at an although significant, current price growth rates are considerably lower than the
average rate of 2.4%. Consequently, prices today are at basically the same level as spurts registered in 2006-2008, which were generally over 5% per quarter and
in 2010. reached even as high as 16% (Q1 2008) and 13% (Q3 2006).
In the first quarter of 2017, Romanian residential property prices have registered a
pretty solid growth rate compared to the previous three months, of approximately
20
15
-5
-10
-15
3 8
1 8
1 5
3 6
3 9
1 6
1 9
4 8
4 5
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3 7
1 7
2 8
4 7
3 0
Q 010
2 6
2 9
3 5
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3 2
Q 012
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Q 016
2 7
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2 1
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ROMANIAN RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT - Spring 2017
+2.9% +3.4% +2% +2.7% +1.8% +2.6% % price change over last 12 months
% price change over last 3 months
9
ROMANIAN RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT - Spring 2017
Among the capital cities of Romanian counties, the largest price increases in the If the highest apartment asking prices may be seen in the largest cities of the
past three months have been registered in Baia Mare (11.4% growth, to 730 euros country (Bucharest, Cluj-Napoca, Timisoara, Constanta and Brasov), Resita and
per square meter), Oradea (+10%, to 780 euros per square meter) and Zalau (+10%, Giurgiu are the cheapest among the counties' capital cities, with values below
to 550 euros per square meter). On the other hand, in the last quarter there have 500 euros per square meter (430 and 440 euros per square meter, respectively).
also been noted decreases of the median asking price, such as is the case of However, local sellers' expectations have also been on the rise since the
Ramnicu Valcea (-2.7%, to 680 euros per square meter), Alexandria (-1.2%, to 520 beginning of the year.
euros per square meter) or Vaslui (-0.8%, to 620 euros per square meter).
+2.9% +3.4% +2% +2.7% +1.8% +11.4% +10% +10% +9.3% +8%
1,260 € 1,200 € 1,040 € 980 € 930 € 730 € 780 € 550 € 660 € 600 €
Cluj-Napoca Bucharest Timisoara Constanta Brasov Baia Mare Oradea Zalau Braila Miercurea-Ciuc
Source: Analize Imobiliare, data accessed from Imobiliare.ro Source: Analize Imobiliare, data accessed from Imobiliare.ro
-2.7% -1.2% -0.8% -0.7% -0.5% +1.6% +3.7% +6% +5.3% -1.2%
680 € 520 € 620 € 640 € 700 € 430 € 440 € 500 € 510 € 520 €
Ramnicu Valcea Alexandria Vaslui Piatra-Neamt Galati Resita Giurgiu Drobeta Sfantu Gheorghe Alexandria
Turnu-Severin
Source: Analize Imobiliare, data accessed from Imobiliare.ro Source: Analize Imobiliare, data accessed from Imobiliare.ro
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PRICE TRENDS ACROSS NEIGHBORHOODS
Cluj-Napoca
apartments
In Cluj-Napoca (the most expensive regional city in Romania), the cheapest Plopilor (1,430 euros per square meter) and Gheorgheni Andrei Muresanu (1,380
apartments, even below the 1,000 euros per square meter threshold, may be euros per square meter) follow closely behind. When it comes to price fluctuation
found in Floresti (a median asking price of 710 euros per square meter) and Baciu in the first quarter of 2017, the largest increases took place in Floresti (+5.8%), Iris
(910 euros per square meter). At the opposite end, in the downtown area of the (+4.5%) and Grigorescu (+4.4%), while the smallest ones were noted in Someseni
city prices reach a high of 1,440 euros per square meter, while neighborhoods like (0%), Baciu (+0.8%) and Zorilor (+1.2%).
13
ROMANIAN RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT - Spring 2017
Gheorgheni
1,380€ / +3.9% Plopilor 1,430€ / +1.7% Iris 1,120€ / +4.5%
Andrei Muresanu
14
Bucharest / price per sq. m.
1,200 € 3.4% 13%
Median price per sq. m. % price change over % price change over
last 3 months last 12 months
ROMANIAN RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT - Spring 2017
Bucharest
apartments
Compared to the other main cities of the country, the price difference between be an important advantage for buyers. In terms of price dynamics over the last
the cheapest and most expensive neighborhoods is considerably larger in quarter, the largest growths took place in Decebal-Calea Calarasilor (+6.4%), Tei
Bucharest, reaching to approximately 1,700 euros per square meter. Thus, while (+6.3%) and Parcul Carol/Cantemir-Marasesti (+5.9%). At the other end, decreases
an apartment may be bought for 2,580 euros per square meter in were registered in areas like Herastrau-Nordului (-4%), Dacia-Eminescu (-3.3%)
Kiseleff-Aviatorilor, sellers settle for an average of 870 euros per square meter in and Iancului-Mihai Bravu (-0.6%).
Ghencea. This difference suggests a larger and more diverse market, which may
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ROMANIAN RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT - Spring 2017
17
Timisoara / price per sq. m.
1,040 € 2% 6.1%
Median price per sq. m. % price change over % price change over
last 3 months last 12 months
ROMANIAN RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT - Spring 2017
Timisoara
apartments
Compared to Bucharest and even Cluj-Napoca, the difference between the most In the past quarter, prices have been on the rise in all areas of the city. However,
expensive and cheapest neighborhoods is much more subdued in Timisoara. the most significant advance was noted in the downtown area (including
Thus, while the lowest median price is about 1,010 euros per square meter (in Medicina and Piata Unirii), where sellers increased their expectations by 3.8%;
areas like Sagului, Iosefin, Steaua, Dorobantilor, Mircea cel Batran etc.), the highest growth rates of at least 3% were also registered in neighborhoods like
apartment values, of approximately 1,350 euros per square meter, may be found Torontalului, Balcescu, Circumvalatiunii, Take Ionescu, Soarelui, Girocului etc. At
in the downtown area of the city (including Medicina and Piata Unirii). the other end, house values in Lipovei and Aradului rose by just 0.7%.
19
ROMANIAN RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT - Spring 2017
20
ROMANIAN RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT - Spring 2017
8,000
4,020
2,350
1,910
1,260 1,180 1,140
1,220 920 630 560 580
9,330
6,920
2,090
1,570
1,340
1,060 950
1,680
1,210 1,010
730 750
22
ROMANIAN RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT - Spring 2017
23
ROMANIAN RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT - Spring 2017
30000
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
0 Source: INS
3 8
Q 008
Q 06
3 9
Q 009
4 8
4 9
3 7
1 7
Q 08
4 7
Q 09
Q 010
Q 010
Q 015
Q 010
Q 015
Q 012
Q 012
Q 014
Q 014
Q 016
16
Q 07
Q 015
Q 012
Q 013
Q 013
Q 014
Q 16
Q 10
Q 013
Q 15
Q 011
Q 011
Q 12
Q 14
Q 16
Q 11
Q 13
Q 011
Q 00
Q 00
Q 0
Q 00
Q 00
Q 00
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20
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2
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4
1
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Q
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NEW RESIDENTIAL PROJECTS
ROMANIAN RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT - Spring 2017
IASI
Apartments 75
Apartments & Houses 2
CLUJ-NAPOCA Houses 13
Apartments 55
Residential projects 90
Apartments & Houses 4
Houses 1
Residential projects 60
TIMISOARA
Apartments 56 BRASOV
Apartments & Houses 2 Apartments 54
Houses 11 Apartments & Houses 2
Residential projects 69 Houses 19
Residential projects 75
BUCHAREST CONSTANTA
Apartments 226 Apartments 64
Apartments & Houses 7 Apartments & Houses 2
Houses 44 Houses 5
Source: Analize Imobiliare, Residential projects 277 Residential projects 71
data accessed from Imobiliare.ro
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ROMANIAN RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT - Spring 2017
Estic Park Coldwell Banker Unirii 124 103 207 - 20 150 992
VIVA RESIDENCE
(Metalurgiei Park)
SudRezidential.ro 1,700 1,550 1,550 0 1,500 1,550 900
Gran Via Park Imoteca 289 299 336 0 252 336 1,250
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ROMANIAN RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT - Spring 2017
28
ROMANIAN RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT - Spring 2017
250
200
150
100
50
0
Source: Analize Imobiliare,
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 data accessed from Imobiliare.ro
2014 2014 2014 2014 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 2016 2016 2016 2017
Apartments Houses
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ROMANIAN RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT - Spring 2017
NEGOTIATION MARGIN
In terms of actual selling prices, statistics show a (relatively) tight negotiation margin agreed upon by the two parties. In all the analyzed major cities of the country, this
parameter now stands below the 4% threshold, ranking the highest in Cluj-Napoca (a 3.8% average) and the lowest in Timisoara (1.6%). These figures indicate that the
distance between owners' and buyers' financial expectations is pretty close at the present time, which would allow for a "normal" functioning of the market.
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ROMANIAN RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT - Spring 2017
ABOUT US
AnalizeImobiliare.ro Imobiliare.ro
AnalizeImobiliare.ro is the first real estate intelligence platform #1 property website in Romania
in Romania, developed by Imobiliare.ro in collaboration with top 17 years of experience
statisticians and property valuers in Romania. Nationwide reach: +1.4M unique visitors/month
+1,200 corporate customers (real estea agencies, developers, banks)
Main real estate data supplier for quality & business media in Romania
Database
The largest online real estate specialized team: more than 70 employess
Monitoring real estate listings in all major cities and 7,000 towns all over Offices in Timisoara and Bucharest
Romania
Monitoring transactions in more than 20 cities
Daily updates with properties for rent/sale nationwide
Solutions
Property Informations & Analytics
Real Estate Benchmarking
Appraised Values Validation
Portfolio Valuation
Collateral Risk (PreScoring, Over.Under-Valuation)
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CONTACT OUR TEAM OF EXPERTS
REPORT AUTHORS:
Dorel Niţă - Head of Data & Research, Imobiliare.ro
Alin Bănuţi - Senior SQL Developer, Imobiliare.ro
Adriana Lefter - Editor, Imobiliare.ro
Lucian Husac - Graphic Designer, Imobiliare.ro
Anca Gorgan - Marketing Consultant, Imobiliare.ro
Daniel Crainic - Head of Marketing & Communications, Imobiliare.ro