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The Increasing Burden of Myopia in Israel

among Young Adults over a Generation


Analysis of Predisposing Factors
Yinon Shapira, MD,1,* Michael Mimouni, MD,1,2,* Yossy Machluf, PhD,3,4 Yoram Chaiter, MD, MSc,3
Haitam Saab, MD,3 Eedy Mezer, MD1,2

Purpose: To determine the trends in prevalence of myopia in Israeli young adults over approximately a
generation, as well as associated factors and variation in the impact of these factors on myopia prevalence in this
region over time.
Design: Retrospective, cross-sectional study.
Participants: One hundred four thousand six hundred eighty-nine consecutive persons 16 to 19 years of age
born between 1971 and 1994 who had not yet enlisted in the Israeli Army but had completed the medical profiling
process.
Methods: Using data collected at a north Israel recruitment center, the prevalence of myopia over time was
estimated, and a polynomial regression analysis was performed to assess significance of nonlinear trends.
Associations of demographic and socioeconomic factors with myopia were assessed, and trends over time were
analyzed using a factorial logistic regression.
Main Outcome Measures: The primary outcome measure was factors associated with the prevalence of
myopia over time. The secondary outcome measure was a description of the change in prevalence of myopia over
time.
Results: The prevalence of myopia increased 1.284-fold over 24 years from 20.4% among participants born
between 1971 and 1982 to 26.2% among participants born between 1983 and 1994. A quite similar increase was
observed among males (from 17.9% to 22.7%, respectively) and females (from 23.9% to 30.8%, respectively).
The factors found to be associated with myopia were as follows: more recent date of birth, female gender, more
years of education, being the eldest child, non-Israeli ethnic origin, and urban residence. However, there were
significant trends over time in the effects of some of these factors, most notably an attenuation of the difference
between participants of different religions in the recent birth-years period. Most of these associations and trends
were observed in both males and females separately, with some gender-specific variations. Immigrants from
Ethiopia who were raised in Israel were highly more likely to demonstrate myopia than those who arrived at an
older age.
Conclusions: This study demonstrated an increase in the prevalence of myopia and the possible associa-
tions of urbanization- and higher education-related factors among several subpopulations and the risk for myopia
developing. Ophthalmology 2019;-:1e10 ª 2019 by the American Academy of Ophthalmology

Supplemental material available at www.aaojournal.org.

Uncorrected myopia is a frequent cause of visual reported to have increased by nearly 40% between 1990
impairment in the world,1 with significant socioeconomic and 2002.8
consequences.2 The cost of providing refractive High myopia, of 6 diopters (D) or more,9 has been
correction presents a major challenge in many parts of reported to be a leading cause of blindness, affecting up to
the world, especially developing countries. The 3% of the population worldwide.10 High myopia is
prevalence of myopia has risen dramatically,3 having associated with many ocular comorbidities, with more
reached nearly 90% in urban East Asia4 and roughly than 60% demonstrating peripheral vitreoretinal pathologic
40% in Western countries.5 In the United States, the features11 associated with higher rates of rhegmatogenous
prevalence of myopia has doubled in the last 30 years,5 retinal detachment.1,12 In addition, participants with
and myopia is now considered an epidemic6 and a myopia are predisposed to both posterior subcapsular and
major public health concern.7 In Israel, the prevalence nuclear cataracts13 with a higher nuclear density,14
of myopia among young military candidates was glaucoma,15 choroidal neovascularization,16 and others,17

ª 2019 by the American Academy of Ophthalmology https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ophtha.2019.06.025 1


Published by Elsevier Inc. ISSN 0161-6420/19
Ophthalmology Volume -, Number -, Month 2019

all of which may be detrimental to visual function or may Data Collection


lead to permanent vision loss.
Each participant throughout the study years underwent uncorrec-
Both genetic and environmental factors are involved in ted distance visual acuity testing using a standard calibrated pro-
the development of myopia.18 Myopia-related heterozygous jected Snellen chart examination. Visual acuity testing was carried
mutations,19 inherited retinal dystrophies,20 and high-risk out by a selected group of skilled medical technicians who were
genetic loci21 have been reported. However, genome-wide trained by experienced staff ophthalmologists and the staff of
association studies have shown that less than 5% of attending physicians. The training was based on specific and
genetic variability of refractive error can be explained by detailed protocols that were published by the Israeli Defense
identified genetic variants.22 A strong case has been made Forces Medical Corps. Care was taken to adhere to the protocol
for the importance of environmental influences in driving and to use the same principles and methods over the years by all
the current epidemic prevalence rates of myopia.23,24 technicians. Participants who could read all the letters but 1 from
Environmental factors that have been reported include lit- the 1.0 (6/6) line, that is, who had a visual acuity score of better
than 6/6e1 without optical correction were assumed to have a
tle time spent outdoors,25,26 extended near work,27,28 season refractive error of 0 D (emmetropia). Of 104 689 young adults in
of birth,29 maternal smoking during pregnancy,30 birth this study, 78 476 demonstrated uncorrected distance visual acuity
order,31 number of years of education,24,32 and study of 6/6e1 or better and thus were assumed to be emmetropic. The
habits.33 The exact interplay between environmental factors remaining participants with an uncorrected distance visual acuity
leading to increase in the prevalence and severity of myopia of 6/6e2 or worse were referred to undertake automated non-
remains a subject of intense research.1,7,34,35 cycloplegic refraction (Speedy K, Nikon Corp., Tokyo, Japan;
Large databases have been used in a broad range of KR-8000 and KR7000S, Topcon, Tokyo, Japan; and earlier
ophthalmic research studies into disease surveillance, trends, models) followed by a subjective refraction validation using a
causes, and outcomes.36 Large population studies over an standard Snellen chart for determination of best-corrected visual
extended period have provided sufficient power to study acuity. This was carried out by either a certified optometrist or an
ophthalmologist.
small effect sizes and long-term events and trends.36 The computerized medical database of all eligible recruits
Therefore, the purpose of the current study was to identify was reviewed, and the relevant data were extracted, including
factors associated with myopia and to investigate the birth year, age at presentation, gender, spherical equivalent
influence and interplay of these factors over time on the refractive error, ethnic origin, country of birth, immigration sta-
prevalence of myopia. tus, religion, residential environment, education level, socioeco-
nomic status (recording began from the year 1982 onward), birth
order, number of children in family, and the season at the time
Methods of birth.
Israeli Defense Forces Medical Corps Institutional Review Board
approval was obtained, and this research adhered to the tenets of Data Analysis
the Declaration of Helsinki. The study relies on computerized
anonymous database. No identifying information exists in the Myopia and high myopia were defined as spherical equivalent of
database that was used for analysis. e0.5 D or less and spherical equivalent of e6.0 D or less,
respectively, in at least 1 eye (excluding antimetropia, i.e., hy-
Study Participants permetropia in one eye and myopia in the other eye). Data were
analyzed with StatSoft Statistica software version 10 (StatSoft,
The Israeli National Military Service Act requires all 17-year-old Tulsa, OK). Time trend regression analyses of the general
Israelis to undergo medical profiling at a regional recruitment prevalence of myopia were conducted for 5 relatively equally
center. At the end of this process, a medical profile and appropriate spaced periods (1971e1975, 1976e1980, 1981e1985,
Functional Classifications Codes are assigned to each recruit and 1986e1990, and 1991e1994), and this grouping was constructed
stored in a computerized database. Functional Classifications a priori to ensure that the analysis would not be driven by data.
Codes describe the medical status and are similar to the Interna- A year-by-yearebased time trend analysis was performed as
tional Classification of Diseases coding. The medical process and well. A polynomial regression analysis was performed to assess
its outcomes have been described previously in detail.37 significance of nonlinear trends. Graphs are presented with their
The computerized database of the northern recruitment center of corresponding regression lines, respective equations, R2 values,
Israel was used for this study, previously shown to possess a and P values. A chi-square test was used for comparison of
stringent, high-quality medical process and reliable medical data.37 proportions.
The study population consisted of consecutive conscripts 16 to 19 To identify trends over time in the effect of the available
years of age who were born between 1971 and 1994 and who baseline parameters on the prevalence of myopia, a factorial
completed the medical profiling process between 1988 and 2011, logistic regression was conducted. Specifically, interaction effects
as previously described by the authors.38 between each of the available baseline parameters (including
There are several populations in Israel that may be underrep- gender, religion, education years, number of children in family,
resented in this study because of military service exemption: birth order, ethnic origin, immigration status, residential environ-
females who are married, pregnant, mothers, or of any minority; ment, and season of birth) and the birth year on the prevalence of
religious orthodox Jewish populations; and males of certain myopia (i.e., the dependent factor) were analyzed. To that end, a
minorities (only Druze and Circassian males are obliged to service birth-year stratification was categorized by 2 equal periods of 12
by law, whereas males of other minorities can volunteer). The years (1971e1982 vs. 1983e1994), each containing a comparable
authors describe in detail the Israeli Defense Forces’ service law, number of participants (51 496 vs. 53 193). The same analysis was
populations that are exempt from service, and representativeness of conducted separately for males and for females.
the study population in the supplementary materials of their pre- All factors reaching a P value of less than 0.1 in a univariate
vious publication.39 analysis (for differences between the categories of the factor in the

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Shapira et al 
Myopia among Israeli Young Adults

Figure 1. Graph showing the prevalence of myopia by birth year among young adults in northern Israel.

general prevalence of myopia) were included in a multiple logistic all persuasions (Christian, Druze, Muslim, and Bedouin) compared
regression analysis to test for their independent effects on the with Jewish participants in both birth-year periods (P < 0.0001).
likelihood of myopia. For all analyses, a 2-sided P value of less However, the increase in the prevalence of myopia rose much more
than 0.05 was considered statistically significant. steeply among those of Arab descent compared with those of
Jewish decent (P ¼ 0.001, for trend).
A greater percentage of participants who attained higher edu-
Results cation of 12 years or more demonstrated myopia in both birth-year
periods (P < 0.0001). The association between myopia and the
The study population consisted of 104 689 young adults born be- number of years of education did not change significantly over
tween 1971 and 1994. The mean age was 17.40.6 years (median, time (P ¼ 0.09, for trend). Of note, a substantial increase was
17.3 years; range, 16e19 years), and 58% were males. Myopia was found in the proportion of the sample with higher levels of edu-
detected in 24 431 participants (23.3%), comprising 12 267 myopic cation over the birth years; from 1971 through 1975, only
males (20.3%) and 12 164 myopic females (27.5%). approximately 72% of the population had completed 12 years or
As shown in Figure 1 (Fig S1, available at www.aaojournal.org, for more of education, and this proportion increased to 88%, 92%,
corresponding year-by-year data analysis), the prevalence of myopia 93%, and 85% in the following years (1976e1980, 1981e1985,
increased steadily over a period of 24 years of birthdfrom 18%, to 1986e1990, and 1991e1994, respectively). Furthermore,
21%, to more than 25%damong young adults born from 1971 throughout all years, a higher proportion of females attained 12
through 1975, from 1976 through 1980, and later birth year categories, years or more of education when compared with males. Namely,
respectively (R2 ¼ 0.98; P < 0.0001). The late 1970s and early 1980s the proportion in females versus males was 81% versus 66%
seemed to be when the prevalence increased substantially, with smaller (P < 0.0001), 93% versus 84% (P < 0.0001), 96% versus 89%
increases and some stabilization more recently. The prevalence of (P < 0.0001), 96% versus 91% (P < 0.0001), and 87% versus 84%
myopia was 20.4% in the population born between 1971 and 1982, (P ¼ 0.0001) from 1976 through 1980, 1981 through 1985, 1986
with a 1.284-fold (28.4%) increase to 26.2% (P < 0.0001) in the through 1990, and 1991 through 1994, respectively.
population born between 1983 and 1994. A quite similar increase Fewer children in the family during childhood was associated
(Fig 1) was observed among males (from 17.9% to 22.7%, significantly with a higher prevalence of myopia in both birth-year
respectively) and females (from 23.9% to 30.8%, respectively). periods (P < 0.0001 and P ¼ 0.01, respectively). However, this
difference diminished during the recent birth-year period compared
Sociodemographic Factors with the earlier period, in fact exhibiting a sharper rise in the rate of
The prevalence of myopia in young adults born during the earlier myopia among those with a greater number of siblings (P < 0.0001,
period of 1971 through 1982 versus the more recent years of 1983 for trend). This trend was similar among males and among females.
through 1994, stratified by various sociodemographic factors, is Similarly, the prevalence of myopia during both periods was
presented in Table 1 (Table S1, available at www.aaojournal.org, significantly higher among participants who were raised as an
depicts a corresponding substratification by gender). A higher only child (P < 0.0001 and P ¼ 0.01, respectively). However,
prevalence of myopia among females compared with males was the increase in the prevalence of myopia was least notable in
observed in both birth-year periods (P < 0.0001), and the in- participants who were an only child (þ10%), whereas the largest
crease in the prevalence of myopia was similar for both genders in rise occurred in the group who grew up as middle children
the more recent birth-year period (P ¼ 0.10, for trend). A relatively (þ34%; P ¼ 0.001, for trend). This trend was similar among
lower prevalence of myopia was found among Arab participants of males and among females.

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Table 1. Prevalence of Myopia in Young Adults Born from 1971 through 1982 versus 1983 through 1994 Stratified by Sociodemographic
Factors

Prevalence of Myopia, No./Total No. (%)


Parameter Categories Participants Born 1971e1982 Participants Born 1983e1994 % Change* P Valuey
Gender Males 5408/30 186 (17.9) 6859/30 198 (22.7) þ26 0.10
Females 5093/21 310 (23.9) 7071/22 995 (30.8) þ29
P valuez <0.0001 <0.0001
Religion Jewish 10 027/46 576 (21.5) 12 791/46 359 (27.6) þ28 0.001
Other 279/1342 (20.8) 651/2968 (21.9) þ5
Christians 25/304 (8.2) 18/120 (15.0) þ83
Druze 121/2029 (6.0) 94/1060 (8.9) þ48
Muslims 15/344 (4.4) 49/587 (8.3) þ93
Bedouins 34/901 (3.8) 93/1106 (8.4) þ115
P valuez <0.0001 <0.0001
Socioeconomic statusx High NA 306/1074 (28.5) NA
Medium NA 7505/26 836 (28.0)
Low NA 1577/6152 (25.6)
P valuez 0.001
Education (no. of yrs) 1e6 462/2748 (16.8) 4/40 (10.0) e40 0.09
7e9 144/1349 (10.7) 133/830 (16.0) þ50
10e11 692/5014 (13.8) 763/4026 (19.0) þ38
12 9205/42 403 (21.7) 13 030/48 261 (27.0) þ24
P valuez <0.0001 <0.0001
No. of children in family 1 388/1566 (24.8) 820/2992 (27.4) þ10 <0.001
2e3 4077/19 045 (21.4) 6328/24 705 (25.6) þ20
4e5 4193/20 974 (20.0) 5224/19 460 (26.8) þ34
6 1843/9922 (18.6) 1558/6034 (25.8) þ39
P valuez <0.0001 0.01
Birth order Only child 388/1566 (24.8) 820/2992 (27.4) þ10 0.001
First born 3453/15 811 (21.8) 3910/14 484 (27.0) þ24
Middle child 4421/22 990 (19.2) 5113/19 766 (25.9) þ34
Last born 2239/11 139 (20.1) 4087/15 949 (25.6) þ27
P valuez <0.0001 0.01

Boldface indicates statistical significance. P values in the third and forth columns (from the left) relate to differences between categories in each birth-year
period (either 1971-1982 or 1983-1994) and P value in the sixth column refers to significance of trend between the periods.
NA ¼ not available.
*Percent change in the prevalence of myopia per parameter category from 1971 through 1982 to 1983 through 1994.
y
Binomial logistic regression for the interaction effect between the tested parameter and the birth year (on the prevalence of myopia).
z
Chi-square test for differences between the categories of the tested parameter (in the prevalence of myopia).
x
Socioeconomic status available only from 1982 onward.

Ethnic or Environmental Factors increase of more than 3 times that of the immigrants, reaching a
higher prevalence in the recent birth-year period (P ¼ 0.001).
The prevalence of myopia in young adults born from 1971 through Among males, living in an urban residential area was associated
1982 in comparison with those who were born from 1983 through with a significantly higher prevalence of myopia in both birth-year
1994, stratified by ethnic or environmental factors, is presented in periods (Table S2; P < 0.0001). Among females, this urbanerural
Table 2 (Table S2, available at www.aaojournal.org, depicts a gradient was evident only in the recent birth-year period (Table S2).
corresponding substratification by gender). Ethnic variations in
None of the seasons of birth were associated
myopia prevalence were more pronounced among males
significantly with myopia (P > 0.05), with a similar rate of
(Table S2); participants of Israeli descent (of all religious
increase in the prevalence of myopia over time for all the sea-
backgrounds) showed the lowest prevalence of myopia compared
sons (P ¼ 0.11, for trend). This was evident among males and
with participants whose families originated abroad throughout all
among females.
birth years (P < 0.0001). However, although the highest increase
over time in the prevalence of myopia occurred in male The effect of ethnic origin, place of birth, and immigration status
participants of Israeli descent, among males and among females was analyzed further, as presented in Table 3. Among native Israelis,
there seemed to be a sharper increase among participants of there was a significant difference in the pooled (i.e., all birth years
African and Asian descent when compared with participants of included) prevalence of myopia among participants of different
American, European, and the former Soviet Union descent ethnic origins. The highest prevalence was noted among Israel-born
(P < 0.0001, for trend among males and that among females). participants of former Soviet Union origin, followed by Israel-born
Native Israelis (of all religious and ethnic backgrounds) showed participants of Ethiopian origin, followed by native Israelis of Israeli
a lower prevalence of myopia compared with immigrants in the origin (P < 0.0001). Participants of Ethiopian origin who immigrated
earlier birth-year period (P < 0.0001) but showed an (proportional) to Israel after the age of 7 years showed a 2-fold lower prevalence of

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Myopia among Israeli Young Adults

Table 2. Prevalence of Myopia in Young Adults in Northern Israel Born in 1971 through 1982 versus 1983 through 1994 Stratified by
Ethnicity and Environmental Factors

Prevalence of Myopia, No./Total No. (%)


Parameter Categories Participants Born 1971e1982 Participants Born 1983e1994 % Change* P Valuey
Ethnic origin Africa 3168/15 630 (20.3) 4634/16 615 (27.9) þ37 <0.0001
Former Soviet Union 1538/6900 (22.3) 2529/9967 (25.4) þ14
Israel 801/6647 (12.1) 1262/6971 (18.1) þ50
Europe 2756/12 301 (22.4) 2421/9135 (26.5) þ18
America 439/1822 (24.1) 555/2105 (26.4) þ10
Asia 1700/7737 (22.0) 2434/8039 (30.3) þ38
Oceania 11/44 (25.0) 21/61 (34.4) þ38
Other 88/415 (21.2) 74/300 (24.7) þ17
P valuez <0.0001 <0.0001
Immigration status Native Israelis 9154/45 552 (20.1) 11 477/43 332 (26.5) þ32 <0.0001
Immigrants 1347/5944 (22.7) 2453/9861 (24.9) þ10
P valuez <0.0001 0.001
Residential environment Urban 5699/26 153 (21.8) 7596/26 326 (28.9) þ33 0.001
Rural 4802/25 343 (18.9) 6334/26 867 (23.6) þ25
P valuez <0.0001 <0.0001
Season of birth Autumn 2618/13 167 (19.9) 3459/13 193 (26.2) þ32 0.11
Winter 2495/12 423 (20.1) 3453/13 029 (26.5) þ32
Spring 2570/12 469 (20.6) 3465/13 256 (26.1) þ27
Summer 2818/13 437 (21.0) 3553/13 715 (25.9) þ24
P valuez 0.11 0.74

Boldface indicates statistical significance.


*Percent change in the prevalence of myopia per parameter category from 1971 through 1982 to 1983 through 1994.
y
Binomial logistic regression for interaction effect between the tested parameter and the birth year (on the prevalence of myopia).
z
Chi-square test for differences between the categories of the tested parameter (in prevalence of myopia).

myopia when compared with participants of Ethiopian origin who regression analysis (excluding socioeconomic status, which was
were either born in Israel or who immigrated to Israel before the age of not recorded before 1982) to test for their effects on the likelihood
7 years (P < 0.0001). In contrast, participants of former Soviet Union of myopia. The included categorical factors, namely, the birth year,
decent showed a relatively homogenous prevalence of myopia ethnic origin, immigration status, residential environment, educa-
(Table 3). However, a smaller prevalence of myopia was noted among tion years, birth order, religion, and gender, all maintained their
participants who immigrated to Israel before the age of 7 years independent significant predictive value regarding the likelihood of
compared with those who either were born in Israel or immigrated myopia (Table S3, available at www.aaojournal.org, for the
to Israel after the age of 7 years (P < 0.0001). regression analysis details).
Specifically, birth year maintained its significant predictive
Independent Predictive Value of Baseline value for the odds of myopia, with an increasing gradient from an
odds ratio (OR) of 1.18 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.12e1.24)
Factors on Prevalence Myopia in the birth years 1976 through 1980 and up to an OR of 1.67 (95%
All factors reaching a P < 0.1 level of significance in a univariate CI, 1.58e1.77) in the birth years 1991 through 1994 versus the
analysis (for differences between the categories of the factor in the birth years 1971 through 1975, respectively. In comparison with
general prevalence of myopia) were included in a multiple logistic participants of Israeli ethnic background, all ethnicities except for

Table 3. Prevalence of Myopia in Young Adults in Northern Israel Stratified by Ethnic Origin, Place of Birth, and Age at Immigration

Ethnic Origin Categories Prevalence of Myopia, No./Total No. (%) P Value*


Israel Birth: Israel 2009/13 443 (14.9) <0.0001
Ethiopian Birth: Israel and Origin: Ethiopia 135/667 (20.2)
Birth: Ethiopia and Immigrated at the age of 0e7 yrs 91/422 (21.6)
Birth: Ethiopia AND Immigrated at the age of >7 yrs 38/373 (10.2)
P valuey <0.0001
Former Soviet Union Birth: Israel and Origin: former Soviet Union 1142/4823 (23.7)
Birth: former Soviet Union and Immigrated at the age of 0e7 yrs 1060/3987 (26.6)
Birth: former Soviet Union and Immigrated at the age of >7 yrs 1919/8333 (23.0)
P valuey <0.0001

*Chi-square test for differences in the prevalence of myopia between the Israeli-born categories of the 3 ethnic origin groups (Israel vs. Ethiopians vs. former
Soviet Union).
y
Chi-square test for differences in the prevalence of myopia between the categories of each of the ethnic groups (Ethiopians or former Soviet Union),
respectively.

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Oceania slightly increased the odds of myopia. The OR ranged The prevalence of myopia has increased over time
from 1.08 (95% CI, 1.01e1.15) for African descendants and up to worldwide. In a recent systematic review, Holden et al3
an OR of 1.27 (95% CI, 1.16e1.40) for participants of American reported that the estimated prevalence of myopia ranged
descent. Immigrants showed slightly lower odds (OR, 0.93; 95% between 3.2% (East Africa) and 46.1% (high-income Asia
CI, 0.88e0.99) for myopia when compared with native Israelis.
Pacific) in 2000 and increased to 4.9% and 48.8%,
Rural residence predicted lower odds for myopia (OR, 0.83; 95%
CI, 0.80e0.85). The number of years of education showed an respectively, in 2010. Based on additional estimates, the
increasing gradient for the odds of myopia, with an OR of 0.67 prevalence of myopia in North America (28.3%e34.5%),
(95% CI, 0.58e0.76) for 7 to 9 years of education and up to an OR Western Europe (21.9%e28.5%), and Australia (19.7%e
of 1.16 (95% CI, 1.03e1.30) for more than 12 education years 27.3%) increased by approximately 25% to 50% during
versus 12 education years. Being a middle child (OR, 0.94; 95% this period.3 In the current study of young adults in
CI, 0.91e0.98) or a last-born child (OR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.85e0.93) northern Israel, the prevalence of myopia increased from
decreased the odds of myopia when compared with first-born 18% to 26% over 2 decades (1988e2011). This estimate
participants. In comparison with Jewish participants, all other is supported by the study of Bar Dayan et al,8 who
religious backgrounds decreased the odds of myopia. The OR reported a similar increase in the prevalence of myopia
ranged from 0.30 (95% CI, 0.23e0.39) for Muslims and up to an
from 20.3% in 1990 to 28.3% in 2002. The prevalence of
OR of 0.45 (95% CI, 0.33e0.63) for (Arab) Christians. Finally,
females showed a higher likelihood of myopia (OR, 1.32; 95% CI, myopia in Israel seems to be somewhere between its
1.28e1.36). prevalence in North Africa and the Middle East and in
European countries as estimated by Holden et al. Indeed,
most participants in this study were of North African
High Myopia ethnicity, followed by the former Soviet Union, Asia, and
Europe. According to a recent publication, myopia
Of 24 431 persons with myopia in the study population, 1725
(7.1% of those with myopia; 1.65% of the entire study population)
numbers are expected to rise worldwide to 5 billion
showed high myopia (e6 D). In the birth years 1971 through persons with myopia and 1 billion persons with high
1975, the prevalence of high myopia was 1.38%, and it was 1.65%, myopia by 2050.3
1.69%, 1.80%, and 1.67% in the years 1976 through 1980, 1981 In this study, female gender was associated with myopia
through 1985, 1986 through 1990, and 1991 through 1994, (OR, 1.32; 95%, CI 1.28e1.36) and high myopia (OR, 1.26;
respectively (P ¼ 0.002 for trend; see Fig S2, available at 95% CI, 1.14e1.40). This finding supports the findings of
www.aaojournal.org). Overall, in the birth years 1971 through previous studies.41,42 In a large study of Israeli-born con-
1982, the prevalence of high myopia was 1.54%, and it rose to scripts, Mandel et al41 reported that female gender was
1.75% during the birth years 1983 through 1994 (P ¼ 0.009). associated significantly with myopia (OR, 1.14). In their
All factors included in the multiple logistic regression analysis systematic review, Rudnicka et al42 reported that although
to test for their effects on the likelihood of myopia (Table S3) were
retested in a multiple logistic regression analysis for their effects on
white and East Asian women were twice as likely to be
the likelihood of high myopia (Table S4, available at myopic than their male counterparts by the age of 18
www.aaojournal.org). For this end, the dependent variable years, there was a lack of evidence or no clear differences
constituted all those with e6 D or less of myopia versus the between genders in the other investigated ethnicities
entire nonmyopic population. Birth year, residential environment, (South Asian as well as Hispanic and Latino) after
education years, birth order, religion, and gender were adjusting for age, environmental setting, and year of
independent significant predictors of high myopia. However, survey. In the aforementioned study, the association
ethnic origin and immigration status were not significant between female gender and myopia increased as the
predictors of high myopia (see Table S4 for regression analysis participants aged from 7 to 18 years. However, Hashemi
details). et al43 reported that in Western Iran, myopia was
associated significantly with male gender (OR, 3.1). In the
current study, most baseline parameters exhibited a similar
Discussion risk for myopia in both males and females, as well as a
similar interaction with the time factor. Furthermore, the
This study assessed the prevalence of myopia as well as regression analysis incorporating all baseline factors
high myopia in young adults in northern Israel over a (including gender) confirmed the independent effect of
generation and identified associated factors and their in- these factors on the likelihood of myopia. Nonetheless, the
fluence over time using a large dataset. Uncorrected stratification by gender revealed noteworthy gender
myopia is a leading cause of vision impairment world- differences. In concurrence with the aforementioned previ-
wide and imparts an economic burden on the individual ous reports, ethnic variations were evident between males
and the state, especially in low-income countries.2 High and females both in the prevalence of myopia as well as in
myopia significantly increases the risk of associated its trend over time. Also, gender variations were observed
blinding ocular conditions. Hence, identifying such with respect to the influence of living in an urban versus
factors is an essential building block in locating high- rural environment.
risk populations that are more likely to require interven- Given the current findings and the variability in the re-
tion.24 In addition, via identification of modifiable risk ports on the association of gender and prevalence of myopia
factors, light may be shed on the pathophysiologic from various regions of the globe, it may be that the rela-
features of myopic development that remain tionship between gender and myopia is complicated and
incompletely understood today.40 may be affected by additional factors such as education

6
Shapira et al 
Myopia among Israeli Young Adults

(accounted for in the current study) and outdoor activities or myopia, given that it is light intensity and not ultraviolet
overall exposure to light (not accounted for directly in the light wavelength that seems to be important.57,60
current study), as well as other influences.44 Sufficient evidence supports the association of ethnicity
In the current study, we revealed a strong correlation with myopia.61e63 Given that less than 5% of variation in
between higher education and the prevalence of myopia as refractive error is explained by genetics in genome-wide
well as high myopia. Throughout the study years, a strong association studies,22 it seems as though differences in
association between myopia and the number of years of myopia risk between ethnic groups are more likely the
education was found, and this association did not change result of environmental exposure than genetics.
significantly over time. Interestingly, the proportion of the Participants of Ethiopian origin who immigrated to Israel
population with higher levels of education increased sub- after the age of 7 years showed a 2-fold lower prevalence
stantially, in fact corresponding with the substantial increase of myopia when compared with participants of Ethiopian
in myopia prevalence evident in the early 1980s. This could origin who either were born in Israel or immigrated to Israel
be a contributing factor to the increase in myopia prevalence before the age of 7 years (P < 0.0001). This may mirror the
over time, although the relationship between myopia and transition from an agrarian way of life in Ethiopia to the
education has remained the same. Furthermore, a signifi- urban and highly westernized state of Israel.64 In contrast,
cantly higher percentage of women attained 12 years or participants from the former Soviet Union demonstrated a
more of education compared with men throughout the study relatively homogenous prevalence of myopia regardless of
years. This may be an important factor that could explain the age of immigration, leading us to speculate that this
partially the higher prevalence of myopia in women in the depicts the high level of education and European urban
current study. The association between education and both socioeconomic background of the immigrants from the
socioeconomic status and myopia has been well estab- former Soviet Union.
lished,32 and often it is difficult to analyze each factor This study underscores sociodemographic trends with
independently.24 Lack of outdoor activities45,46 and a high regard to their influence on the risk for myopia. However,
amount of near-work activities47,48 both have been the effects of the season of birth, gender, or the number of
suggested as possible mediators. years of education did not alter over the years. However,
A plethora of data supports the association between some sociodemographic factors attenuated with regard to
urban (vs. rural) residency and myopia.3,49,50 This is most their effect on myopia prevalence. For example, Israeli
likely because of less outdoor activity and more indoor Arabs of different religions showed a catch-up trend with
activity while growing up in an urban region, further the Jewish population, with an attenuated difference be-
confounded by increased near-work activity, all of which tween the religions in the recent birth-year period. A similar
have been shown to be associated with urban environs.49 trend was evident for family structure, with both birth order
Indeed, in the current study, living in an urban residential and the size of the family (number of children) exhibiting
area was highly significantly associated with a greater less pronounced differences in myopia prevalence in the
prevalence of myopia as well as high myopia. In addition, recent birth-year period. Finally, a trend of an increasing
a relatively lower prevalence of myopia (and high ruraleurban gradient in the prevalence of myopia was
myopia) was found among participants of Arab descent found.
when compared with Jewish participants, with the This study has several limitations, the first of which is its
prevalence of myopia rising more sharply among Arabs in retrospective nature. Second, a cutoff point of e0.5 D was
the recent birth-year period (P ¼ 0.001). This may be used to define myopia, and we did not distinguish between
because of a large proportion of the Arab population in the various levels of myopia (with the exception of a high-
Israel residing in rural areas and the increasing rate of myopia subanalysis that was conducted). Third, certain
myopia reflecting urbanization and improvement in socio- populations, such as extra-orthodox males, are not repre-
economic factors, including education in this population sented in this cohort. They are characterized by a higher
sector.51 Recent interventional prospective studies have prevalence and degree of myopia (in general and compared
shown that encouraging outdoor activity and exposure to with females), probably because of a high abundance of
sunlight effectively prevents the development of myopia-related risk factors, including many hours of reading
myopia.46,52,53 Animal studies have demonstrated that the inside closed and dim rooms.8,33,65 Fourth, participants who
retina releases dopamine when exposed to higher levels of showed an uncorrected visual acuity score of 6/6e1 were
luminance,54,55 leading to inhibition of increase in axial assumed to have a refractive error of 0 D, and therefore,
length.56e60 Despite the apparent advantages of increased some myopic participants may have been missed. However,
time spent outdoors to increase exposure to light, it is still uncorrected visual acuity assessment has been shown to be a
unclear how much time is needed, and the potential sensitive method for detecting myopia.66,67 Fifth, we were
disadvantages, such as exposure to ultraviolet radiation in not able to assess or account for the influence of interre-
countries with high levels of ultraviolet light, need to be latedness between siblings in our analyses. Finally, this
taken into account as well.46 Nevertheless, it is likely that study included participants from northern Israel, and there-
adequate sun protection, including sunglasses, hats, and fore its findings may not be generalized to other geographic
sunscreen, can be worn while outdoors to prevent adverse areas. Interestingly, our group previously showed that an
effects of ultraviolet exposure, while still receiving the attempt to include recruits from various centers throughout
benefits of such exposure to reduce the development of Israel would have exposed the study to a wide variability in

7
Ophthalmology Volume -, Number -, Month 2019

the process of physical and ophthalmic examinations con- 12. Li X; Beijing Rhegmatogenous Retinal Detachment Study
ducted at different centers.68 The aforementioned could Group. Incidence and epidemiological characteristics of
explain why Bar Dayan et al8 reported a greater increase rhegmatogenous retinal detachment in Beijing, China.
in myopia (approximately 40%) from 1990 to 2002 while Ophthalmology. 2003;110(12):2413e2417.
assessing multiple recruitment centers throughout Israel. 13. Wong TY, Foster PJ, Johnson GJ, Seah SK. Refractive errors,
axial ocular dimensions, and age-related cataracts: the Tanjong
In summary, our study provides insights into the trends in Pagar Survey. Invest Ophthalmol Vis Sci. 2003;44(4):
myopia and its potential association with sociodemographic 1479e1485.
factors including immigration, education, and urbanization 14. Praveen MR, Vasavada AR, Jani UD, et al. Prevalence of
among young adults in northern Israel over a generation. cataract type in relation to axial length in subjects with high
Indeed, several factors were found to be associated in the myopia and emmetropia in an Indian population. Am J Oph-
current study with a higher prevalence of myopia: female thalmol. 2008;145(1):176e181.
gender, Jewish faith, more than 12 years of education, being 15. Jonas JB, Aung T, Bourne RR, et al. Glaucoma. Lancet.
an only child, being the eldest child, more recent date of 2017;390(10108):2183e2193.
birth, non-Israeli ethnic origin of the parents, as well as 16. Zhu Y, Zhang T, Xu G, Peng L. Anti-vascular endothelial
growing up in an urban location. This study demonstrated growth factor for choroidal neovascularisation in people with
pathological myopia. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2016;12:
that the worldwide epidemic of myopia has invaded Israel 1e67. CD011160.
during the past decade. Although many people enjoy better 17. Cho BJ, Shin JY, Yu HG. Complications of pathologic
socioeconomic status and education in Israel as well as all myopia. Eye Contact Lens. 2016;42(1):9e15.
over the world, we have shown that the consequence may be 18. Wenbo L, Congxia B, Hui L. Genetic and environmental-
an increase in the global burden of myopia. Identifying these genetic interaction rules for the myopia based on a family
causes may be the first step to providing future interventions exposed to risk from a myopic environment. Gene. 2017;626:
to prevent the progression of myopia. 305e308.
19. Wang B, Liu Y, Chen S, et al. A novel potentially causative
variant of NDUFAF7 revealed by mutation screening in a
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Footnotes and Financial Disclosures


Originally received: December 3, 2018. The human ethics committees at the Israeli Defense Forces Medical Corps
Final revision: June 3, 2019. IRB/ethics committee approved the study. All research adhered to the tenets
Accepted: June 20, 2019. of the Declaration of Helsinki.
Available online: ---. Manuscript no. 2018-2719. No animal subjects were included in this study.
1
Department of Ophthalmology, Rambam Health Care Campus, Haifa, Author Contributions:
Israel.
Conception and design: Shapira, Mimouni, Machluf, Chaiter, Saab, Mezer
2
Bruce and Ruth Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion, Israel Institute Analysis and interpretation: Shapira, Mimouni, Machluf, Chaiter, Saab,
of Technology. Mezer
3
Israel Defense Forces, Medical Corps, Israel. Data collection: Machluf, Chaiter
4
Shamir Research Institute, University of Haifa, Kazerin, Israel. Obtained funding: N/A
*Both authors contributed equally as first authors. Overall responsibility: Shapira, Mimouni, Machluf, Chaiter, Saab, Mezer
Financial Disclosure(s):
The author(s) have no proprietary or commercial interest in any materials Abbreviations and Acronyms:
discussed in this article. CI ¼ confidence interval; D ¼ diopter; OR ¼ odds ratio.
HUMAN SUBJECTS: Human subjects were not included in this study. It Correspondence:
relies on a computerized database in which subjects could not be identified. Michael Mimouni, MD, Department of Ophthalmology, Rambam Health
No identifying information exists in the database that was used for analysis. Care Campus, Haifa, Israel. E-mail: michael@intername.co.il.

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