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Screening For Ovarian Cancer
Screening For Ovarian Cancer
Author:
Karen J Carlson, MD
Section Editors:
Barbara Goff, MD
Joann G Elmore, MD, MPH
Deputy Editor:
Judith A Melin, MA, MD, FACP
Contributor Disclosures
All topics are updated as new evidence becomes available and our peer review
process is complete.
Literature review current through: Jul 2018. | This topic last updated: Jun 29,
2018.
What's New
Updated USPSTF guidelines on ovarian cancer screening (April 2018)
Despite the incidence of ovarian cancer, routine screening for ovarian cancer has not generally
shown a mortality benefit for asymptomatic women not at high risk. The US Preventive Services
Task Force (USPSTF) 2018 statement continues to recommend against screening for ovarian
cancer for asymptomatic women who are not known to have a high-risk hereditary cancer
syndrome [1]. The USPSTF notes that a woman with a family history of ovarian or breast cancer
or symptoms should talk with her clinician. These recommendations are consistent with our
approach. (See "Screening for ovarian cancer", section on 'Recommendations of expert
groups'.)
Read more
Despite the good prognosis associated with early-stage disease, overall five-year
survival in women with ovarian cancer is less than 45 percent. This poor survival rate in
large part is due to the spread of cancer beyond the ovary at the time of clinical
detection in 75 percent of patients. Mortality from ovarian cancer has decreased only
slightly in the past 30 years [4].
FACTORS THAT AFFECT RISK — Identification of women at high risk for ovarian
cancer may help to identify a group that would most benefit from screening strategies.
Known risk factors for ovarian cancer include age, genetic, endocrine and reproductive
factors; certain environmental factors also seem to affect risk. These risk factors are
discussed in detail separately (table 1). (See "Epithelial carcinoma of the ovary,
fallopian tube, and peritoneum: Epidemiology and risk factors".)
The strongest known risk factor for ovarian cancer is a family history [8]. The risk is
increased when the family history indicates a sporadic case and is substantially greater
when there is a hereditary cancer syndrome (eg, breast-ovarian cancer syndrome
usually associated with a BRCA1/BRCA2 mutation (table 2and table 3), Lynch
syndrome, or other syndromes). In these hereditary cancer syndromes, ovarian cancer
typically occurred in a first- or second-degree relative at age under 50 years, or
relatives in two or more generations had ovarian or related cancers. However, small
family size may mask the presence of a hereditable disorder [9].
Several reproductive factors appear to increase the risk of ovarian cancer, including a
history of infertility, endometriosis, hormone replacement therapy, early menarche, late
menopause, nulliparity and other obstetric factors, polycystic ovarian syndrome,
endometriosis and intrauterine devices. However, studies have found that fertility
treatment does not independently increase ovarian cancer risk.
Factors strongly associated with a reduced risk of ovarian cancer include pregnancy,
use of oral contraceptive pills, breastfeeding, tubal ligation, hysterectomy, and
salpingo-oophorectomy.
The potential risks associated with screening for ovarian cancer must also be
considered. A positive screening result suggestive of ovarian cancer most often is
followed by surgery (either laparoscopy or laparotomy). Invasive procedures are
associated with physical and psychological morbidity, a small risk for serious
complications, and substantial financial costs.
Although ovarian cancer is an important cause of cancer death, its incidence and
prevalence in the general population are relatively low. The problem of false-positive
screening tests becomes critically important in diseases with low prevalence. Unless
the test or sequence of tests is extremely accurate, a large number of healthy women
would be at risk for unnecessary surgery. (See "Evidence-based approach to
prevention".)
SCREENING TESTS — Most experts feel that a screening protocol for ovarian cancer
should have a positive predictive value of at least 10 percent (that is, no more than
nine healthy women with false-positive screens would undergo unnecessary
procedures for each case of ovarian cancer detected) [10-12]. A screening program
that targets all women over age 50 would require a test with a specificity of at least
99.6 percent (assuming a sensitivity of 80 percent) to achieve a positive predictive
value of 10 percent. (See "Evidence-based approach to prevention", section on
'Performance of screening tests'.)
Tests that have been evaluated for screening in certain circumstances include
measurement of the CA 125 tumor marker or other serologic markers,
ultrasonography, and combinations of these modalities (multimodal screening [MMS]).
Image-based screening by computed tomography (CT) scanning is unlikely to be
effective in diagnosing presymptomatic early disease [13].
●Endometriosis [16]
●Uterine leiomyoma
Mean CA 125 levels further vary with ethnicity and smoking status (lower in non-white
women and current smokers) and increase with age [21].
Studies of CA 125 in screening for ovarian cancer have focused upon postmenopausal
women, since menstrual cycle variations and the prevalence of benign gynecologic
conditions in premenopausal women would result in a substantially higher likelihood of
false-positive tests. Accumulated evidence suggests that annual CA 125
measurements alone lack sufficient specificity for use in an average-risk population of
postmenopausal women:
●Three large screening studies in Sweden and England showed that the
specificity of a single CA 125 level for detection of ovarian neoplasms in
postmenopausal women ranged from 98.6 to 99.4 percent, resulting in an
unacceptably low positive predictive value of 3 percent [23-25].
●A more definitive assessment of annual screening with CA 125 and its impact on
cancer mortality in a randomized controlled trial was conducted as a component of
the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian (PLCO) Cancer Screening Trial [26].
In the ovarian component of PLCO, 78,237 healthy women between 55 and 74
years of age were randomly assigned to screening and control groups; 39,115
women were assigned to screening with annual CA 125 and annual transvaginal
ultrasound (TVUS). Data from the baseline prevalence screen in 28,816 women
found an abnormal CA 125 in 436 women (1.5 percent); the positive predictive
value for invasive cancer was 3.7 percent [27]. At four years of follow-up, the
positivity rates of CA 125 remained essentially unchanged from baseline and the
positive predictive value was 2.6 percent [28].
The change in CA 125 levels over time is a more promising screening method. A large
prospective study in 9233 postmenopausal women, with measurements of CA 125 at
two or more times, used a modeling method to estimate risk of ovarian cancer [29].
The model incorporates age-specific incidence of cancer, absolute CA 125 level, and
rate of change over time. Compared with a specific cutoff value of CA 125, the model
improved sensitivity for detection of ovarian cancer from 62 to 86 percent when
specificity was fixed at 98 percent. An algorithm incorporating change in CA 125
measurements over time was used in the UK Collaborative Trial of Ovarian Cancer
Screening (UKCTOCS) [30]. (See 'Multimodal screening' below.)
Other tumor markers — A variety of other biomarkers have been investigated for
early detection of ovarian cancer. Studies are ongoing to evaluate combinations of bio-
markers complementary to CA 125 that could offer greater sensitivity and specificity
than CA 125 alone. Examples of these studies include:
●In a study evaluating a multi-analyte blood test that assays for genetic alterations
and tumor-specific circulation protein biomarkers in a healthy population and
among patients who had one of eight common solid tumors, including 54 patients
with ovarian cancer, the blood test had a high sensitivity (98 percent) and
specificity (>99 percent) for detection of ovarian cancer at an early stage [34]. This
test is not commercially available. Additional studies are needed to determine if
this blood test may improve detection of ovarian cancer at an early stage.
Tumors markers may be helpful to identify women at higher risk for ovarian cancer.
One study found that using a risk predictor that combined CA125 and HE4 with
epidemiologic risk factors (for example, family history of breast or ovarian cancer)
identified women who were at higher risk for ovarian cancer [38].
Ovarian cancer symptom index — An ovarian symptom index has been developed
and proposed for screening purposes [39]. The index is considered to be positive in
women who report pelvic or abdominal pain, bloating, increased abdominal size,
difficulty eating, or early satiety occurring more than 12 times a month, with symptoms
present for less than one year. Follow-up for a positive symptom index is discussed
separately. (See "Early detection of epithelial ovarian cancer: Role of symptom
recognition", section on 'Symptom index'.)
In a study of 254 healthy women at high risk for ovarian cancer, and 75 women with
ovarian cancer, the combination of symptom index and CA 125 identified more women
with cancer than CA 125 alone [39]. However, the symptom index was positive in 12
percent of high-risk women who did not have ovarian cancer, and thus specificity was
low. A case-control study, comparing retrospective reports of symptoms in women with
ovarian cancer and women in the general population, found a very low positive
predictive value for the symptom index (<0.5 percent for early-stage disease and <1.1
percent overall), reflecting the low prevalence of ovarian cancer [40].
Another study in 211 high-risk women found that the combination of the symptom
index, CA 125, and HE4 serum markers as a first-line screen had a sensitivity of 83.8
percent and specificity of 98.5 percent when two of the three tests were positive [41].
Pelvic ultrasonography — Transabdominal and TVUS have been evaluated as
potential first-line screening methods for ovarian cancer. TVUS allows better
visualization of the ovaries (independent of body habitus) and shorter examination
times.
Ultrasonography has been evaluated for screening in both lower- and high-risk women:
Pelvic exam — We do not recommend routine pelvic examination for ovarian cancer
screening [49]. Ovarian tumors are occasionally detected during bimanual pelvic
examination, although early-stage tumors are rarely found due to the deep anatomic
location of the ovary. Thus, tumors detected by bimanual pelvic examination are
usually at an advanced stage and associated with a poor prognosis [50]. The Pap
smear may occasionally reveal malignant ovarian cells, but its sensitivity for the
detection of ovarian cancer is only 10 to 30 percent. A review of 52 studies found no
data to support the use of the pelvic examination in asymptomatic, average-risk women
[51]. Indications for pelvic examination are discussed in detail elsewhere. (See "The
gynecologic history and pelvic examination", section on 'Indications and frequency for
examination'.)
At baseline, the prevalence (initial) screening of 28,816 women found 1740 with
either an abnormal CA 125 or ultrasound, and 34 had both [27]. Nearly one in
three women who had a positive screening test underwent surgery. Among 570
women who had surgery, 29 tumors were found, of which 20 were invasive (90
percent of these stage III or IV).
Ovarian cancer was detected in 212 women (5.7 per 10,000 person-years) in the
screening group and 176 women (4.7 per 10,000 person-years) in the usual care
group. There was no difference in the stage of ovarian cancer, with advanced
disease (stage III or IV) in 77 percent of the cancers in the intervention group and
78 percent in the usual care group. Both the incidence of ovarian cancer and the
mortality rate were not significantly different for women allocated to the
intervention (rate ratios 1.21, 95% CI 0.99-1.48 and 1.18, CI 0.91-1.54,
respectively). Excluding deaths from ovarian, colorectal, and lung cancer, all-
cause mortality was similar in both groups (2924 intervention deaths and 2914
control deaths).
False-positive results were found in 3285 women, and 1080 underwent surgical
follow-up. Fifteen percent of women who had surgery for a false-positive finding
(166) experienced at least one serious complication. In addition, more cancers
were diagnosed in the intervention group (212) than the usual care group (176),
raising the possibility of over-diagnosis.
Prevalence (initial) screening from this study found 42 primary ovarian and tubal
cancers in the MMS group; 8 tumors were borderline and 16 of the 34 invasive
cancers (47 percent) were stage I or II [46]. The sensitivity, specificity, and
positive predictive value were 89.4, 99.8, and 43.3 percent respectively for all
primary ovarian and tubal cancers and 89.5, 99.8, and 35.1 percent for primary
invasive cancer.
After a median follow-up of 11 years, there were 338 cancers (0.7 percent)
diagnosed in the MMS group, 314 (0.6 percent) in the TVUS group, and 630 (0.6
percent) in the no-screening group [47]. Compared with no screening, MMS
detected cancer at an earlier stage (I, II, and IIIa) (26 percent versus 39 percent).
During the trial, 148 (0.29 percent) women in the MMS group, 154 (0.30 percent)
in the TVUS group, and 347 (0.34 percent) of the unscreened women died of
ovarian cancer. The primary analysis showed a nonsignificant trend toward a 15
percent (95% CI -3 to 30) reduction in mortality from ovarian cancer. However, in
a prespecified analysis that excluded prevalent cases, the hazard ratio showed a
significant reduction in mortality, although the average absolute reduction in
mortality showed only a trend toward reduction (20 percent, 95% CI -2 to 40). The
authors suggest that there was no reduction in mortality in the initial years of
screening, with the survival curves separating later in the trial. Follow-up to
confirm the magnitude of this effect is underway. It is estimated that 641 women
would need to be screened annually for 14 years to prevent one death from
ovarian cancer.
The UKCTOCS’s more favorable results may reflect differences in trial design. The
UKCTOCS defined an abnormal CA 125 according to a sophisticated algorithm to
estimate ovarian cancer risk. In addition, the UKCTOCS utilized a centrally monitored
protocol for clinical evaluation of abnormal results, whereas in the PLCO evaluation of
abnormal screening results was at the discretion of the community clinician. The chief
limitation of the UKCTOCS was its failure to anticipate a late effect of screening on
mortality, which has been noted in other large cancer screening trials. Although initial
results of MMS in the UKCTOCS appear promising, definitive assessment awaits
additional follow-up, and cost-effectiveness needs to be determined.
High-risk women — Randomized trials of screening for women with a familial ovarian
cancer syndrome are not likely to be performed, since women at high risk for ovarian
cancer and their clinicians would not accept assignment to a no-screening arm.
Therefore, prospective cohort studies provide the available data regarding the impact
of screening for this population. Reports from surveillance programs using MMS in
women at high risk due to a genetic predisposition or family history have been largely
disappointing and include the following:
●In the largest cohort study, the United Kingdom Familial Ovarian Cancer Screen
Study (UK FOCSS), 3563 women with a familial ovarian cancer syndrome
(estimated minimum lifetime risk of 10 percent) who had declined or deferred risk-
reducing salpingo-oophorectomy (RRSO), participants were screened annually for
a mean of 3.2 years with a combination of TVUS and CA-125 [55]. The reported
sensitivity for the detection of incident ovarian cancer/fallopiantube cancer was
81.0 to 87.5 percent, depending on whether occult cancers detected at the time of
RRSO (in women who underwent the procedure prior to the end of the study
period) were classified as false negative or true positive. The positive predictive
value of incident screening was 25.5 percent, which exceeds the threshold of 10
percent considered necessary for ovarian cancer screening. Four women
underwent surgery for each case of detected cancer. (See 'Screening
tests' above.)
Among incident screen-detected cancers, 30.8 percent (4 of 13) were stage I or II.
Women who had not been screened in the year before cancer diagnosis were
more likely to have stage IIIc or higher cancer than women who had been
screened in the preceding year (85.7 versus 26.1 percent), suggesting the
importance of adherence to the screening schedule. The study was not designed
to determine whether screening improves mortality. However, the detection of
lower-stage disease in women who adhered to screening has led to a decision to
decrease the screening interval to four months for the next phase of this study.
Additionally, the Risk of Ovarian Cancer algorithm used in the UKCTOCS will be
incorporated into the next phase of this study for determining and following up on
abnormal results.
Although RRSO remains the only reliable method of decreasing mortality from
ovarian cancer in this high-risk population, this study suggests that screening may
have the potential to somewhat reduce risk for women who wish to maintain their
childbearing potential until they are ready to undergo surgery.
Other studies of screening in women at high risk have shown less favorable results,
with most cases at late stage at the time of screen detection:
●Data from the PLCO trial through the first four screening examinations (baseline
plus three annual screens with CA 125 and ultrasound) include results for high-
risk women [57]. Women who underwent screening (n = 28,460) were stratified for
risk by personal and family history: average risk (no history breast or ovarian
cancer), moderate risk (one first-degree relative with breast cancer), or high risk
(family history of ovarian cancer, ≥2 relatives with breast cancer, or personal
history of breast cancer). After three post-baseline screening exams, the positive
predictive value for abnormal screening results was 2.8 percent in the highest-risk
group.
Lack of clear benefit from intensive surveillance programs in women at high risk due to
genetic predisposition has led some experts to advocate other interventions to reduce
risk in this population, including use of the oral contraceptive pill and prophylactic
salpingo-oophorectomy. (See "Management of patients at high risk for breast and
ovarian cancer".)
Cost-effectiveness — The cost-effectiveness of an MMS protocol using annual CA
125 as a first-line test was less than USD $100,000 per year of life saved in one study
based on computer modeling in a hypothetical cohort of women aged 50 at the start of
screening [58]. Another analysis showed that annual screening could be cost-effective
(costing less than $100,000 per year of life saved) when the cost of the initial screen
was $100 or less [59]. More reliable data on cost-effectiveness await the completion of
the ongoing randomized trial in the United Kingdom.
Women at average risk — Screening for ovarian cancer with CA 125 or ultrasound is
not recommended for premenopausal and postmenopausal women without a family
history of ovarian cancer [60,61]. Randomized trials evaluating screening with the
combination of CA 125 testing and transvaginal ultrasonography (TVUS) are not
consistent. One trial did not find decreased mortality after 13 years of follow-up, but
another trial found a mortality reduction after 11 years of follow-up [47,52]. Based on
the available data, it is not clear that the benefits of screening for ovarian cancer
outweigh the harms related to the adverse effects related to false-positive findings.
(See 'Multimodal screening' above.)
Women at increased risk — For women with a family history of ovarian or breast
cancer, the possibility of a hereditary cancer syndrome should be considered. It is
important to differentiate those with the more common lower-risk family history
presentation (eg, an isolated family member with ovarian cancer, without evidence of a
hereditary pattern) and those with a high-risk family history (eg, possible hereditary
cancer syndrome) (table 4).
Lower-risk family history — Women with a family history but without evidence of a
high-risk pattern should be counseled about their individual risk (considering age,
parity, and history of oral contraceptive pill use), the limited evidence for effectiveness
of screening, and potential adverse effects of screening. There is no evidence to
support screening in this group.
Screening and preventive measures (eg, risk-reducing surgery) for women who are
carriers for hereditary and/or familial breast and ovarian cancer syndromes and Lynch
syndrome are discussed elsewhere. (See "Management of patients at high risk for
breast and ovarian cancer" and "Endometrial and ovarian cancer screening and
prevention in women with Lynch syndrome (hereditary nonpolyposis colorectal
cancer)".)
Here are the patient education articles that are relevant to this topic. We encourage
you to print or e-mail these topics to your patients. (You can also locate patient
education articles on a variety of subjects by searching on "patient info" and the
keyword(s) of interest.)
●Survival for ovarian cancer is much improved for earlier-stage disease. However,
most ovarian cancers have spread beyond the ovary at the time of diagnosis.
(See 'Biological basis for screening' above.)
●Identification of women at high risk for ovarian cancer may help to identify a
group that would most benefit from screening strategies. The strongest known risk
factor for ovarian cancer is a family history. Risk factors for ovarian cancer are
discussed in detail separately. (See "Epithelial carcinoma of the ovary, fallopian
tube, and peritoneum: Epidemiology and risk factors" and 'Factors that affect
risk' above.)
●CA 125, the most widely studied tumor marker for ovarian cancer screening, is
elevated in 50 to 90 percent of women with early ovarian cancer but also can be
elevated in numerous other conditions. We recommend NOT screening with
measurement of CA 125 in average-risk women (Grade 1B). (See 'CA
125'above.)
●We suggest not screening average-risk women for ovarian cancer (Grade 2B).
(See 'Synthesis of the evidence and approach to screening' above.)
●For women with a family history of ovarian cancer who do not have a confirmed
ovarian cancer syndrome, we suggest management as for women at average risk
(Grade 2C). (See 'Synthesis of the evidence and approach to screening' above.)
●Screening and preventive measures (eg, risk-reducing surgery) for women who
are carriers for hereditary and/or familial breast and ovarian cancer syndromes
and Lynch syndrome are discussed elsewhere. (See "Management of patients at
high risk for breast and ovarian cancer" and "Endometrial and ovarian cancer
screening and prevention in women with Lynch syndrome (hereditary
nonpolyposis colorectal cancer)".)