Professional Documents
Culture Documents
INTERNATIONAL
Iran’s desire for revenge tempered by fear of war death of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini,
leader of the Iran revolution, in 1989,
and pushed the Islamic Republic to the
brink of all-out conflict with the US.
Iran has promised to retaliate and
pulled back from all its commitments
Even hardliners say Tehran under the 2015 nuclear accord.
must strike back but avoid a Diplomats and analysts think it is
increasingly likely the UK, Germany
full-blown conflict with the US and France, the European signatories to
the accord the US abandoned in 2018,
will trigger the dispute resolution mech-
NAJMEH BOZORGMEHR — TEHRAN
anism in the deal, which could result in
As millions of Iranians poured on to the the reimposition of UN sanctions.
streets of Tehran to mourn the death of European observers say the dispute
military commander Qassem Soleim- process, which can be stretched out,
ani, the country’s supreme leader, Ayat- might provide a last opportunity to save
ollah Ali Khamenei, faced a difficult the deal by allowing a final chance for
question: how to satisfy the Islamic diplomacy and thereby avoiding the
regime’s desire for revenge for the US snapback of sanctions.
killing, while avoiding a war. Heiko Maas, Germany’s foreign min-
During four days of mourning, huge ister, said the Europeans believed the
crowds have demanded retribution for agreement was important but “wouldn’t
the assassination last week of their most just stand by and watch” as Iran
revered military leader. Publicly, the announced its withdrawal. “We can’t
regime has issued bellicose statements. shrug off announcements that commit-
But in private, even hardliners have said ments are no longer being met,” he said.
Tehran must strike back but avoid a But relations between Iran and the
full-blown conflict. European powers are fraying. Iran’s for-
“We cannot ignore this aggression eign ministry summoned the UK
easily and have to prevent the US from ambassador over the British govern-
repeating its rogue behaviour,” said ment’s public stance on Soleimani’s kill-
Hamid-Reza Taraghi, a politician close ing, while the UK said it was moving
to Iran’s hardline forces. “But our strat- non-essential staff out of Baghdad in
egy is retaliation in such a way that we neighbouring Iraq because of height-
do not go to a war.” ened security worries.
Washington and Tehran have been Concerns about a deterioration in
engaged in a game of brinkmanship security in Iraq and potential retaliatory
since the US withdrew from the Iranian attacks by Tehran on foreign assets
nuclear deal in 2018. In June, Iran shot United: Iranian emotions and the expediency of the region is not little and should not be ‘Iran and of the immediate pressure to act and there are increasing.
down a US drone and then seized a Brit- lawmakers raise political system which is not to mili- underestimated,” the insider said. “It is “put off the risk of war”, the politician Jens Stoltenberg, the Nato secretary-
ish-flagged tanker in July. In September, their hands to tarily retaliate.” similar to the months before the Islamic the US have said. general, spoke by phone with Adel
it was blamed by Washington for air vote yesterday Iran’s immediate response is more revolution when Imam Khomeini [the never been Brigadier Gen Esmail Ghaani, Soleim- Abdul Mahdi, Iraq’s prime minister,
strikes against Saudi Arabia’s biggest oil in parliament likely to include efforts to reduce US founder of the revolution] had one sim- ani’s successor as head of the Quds force after the military alliance suspended its
installation. for a bill influence in the Middle East in other ple slogan ‘Shah must go’ and he left.” this close of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, training mission in the country.
But the elimination of a senior mili- designating all ways, analysts and regime insiders said. Mr Taraghi, the hardline politician, to a war’ said on Monday Iran would remove the Mr Stoltenberg “conveyed that Allies
tary commander in targeted US air US forces as Tehran has already pulled back from all suggested that the US also wanted to US from the region “in various steps”. have called for restraint and de-escala-
strikes was an unexpected and unprece- ‘terrorists’ its commitments under the 2015 avoid a war. “If Trump were serious in The period of mourning is now tion, and for Iran to refrain from further
dented escalation that means Tehran Icana News Agency /AFP/
Getty Images
nuclear accord and on Sunday exercised his threats, why has he sent 16 coun- expected to continue for longer after provocations”, Nato said.
must proceed more carefully, Iranian its influence in Iraq’s parliament to help tries’ representatives to beg us not to hit mourners were crushed to death yester- It added that the alliance was pre-
analysts said. The previous brinkman- pass a vote to expel US forces from the back?” he said. day in the city of Kerman, where huge pared to resume training when condi-
ship was based on a calculation that country in retaliation for the air strikes. If Iran does retaliate with force, it will crowds prevented Soleimani’s burial tions permitted, as the work was crucial
Donald Trump did not want another Iran’s parliament passed a bill yesterday do so directly and not through its prox- from taking place. to help local forces counter interna-
war in the Middle East. to increase the budget of the Quds force ies in the likes of Lebanon, Iraq, Syria or More than 50 people were killed and tional terrorist groups including Isis.
Now the US president has threatened by €200m over the next two months. Yemen, Mr Taraghi added. “Their deci- 200 injured in the stampede, according Germany also reduced the presence of
to hit more than 50 targets in Iran, The vote was non-binding but if Iran sion to retaliate is theirs. We will need to to local authorities. its own troops in Iraq, moving 35 sol-
including cultural sites, if the Islamic could force the US out of Iraq — where act ourselves, separate from them.” Ultimately, the decision on how to diers from Baghdad yesterday and a
republic retaliates. the Americans have invested hundreds Pro-reform forces in Iran warn that respond will fall to the supreme leader. military base north of the capital to
“This extremely complicated situa- of billions of dollars since ousting any retaliation is too risky with unpre- “My father believed obeying the Kuwait and Jordan on Monday night.
tion is not only a dilemma for the Saddam Hussein in 2003 — it would be dictable consequences. supreme leader’s absolute authority is The move was due to the “temporary
supreme leader but the whole [Iranian] considered a big victory for Iranian for- “Iran and the US have never been this the pre-requisite to piety,” Soleimani’s cessation of the training mission and the
system,” said one Iranian analyst, who eign policy, according to one regime close to a war,” said one reformist politi- daughter, Zeinab, told mourners. “We current security situation”, the German
asked not be identified. “Iranian leaders insider. cian. The “massive funerals” of the last will sacrifice ourselves, so that you defence ministry said.
are stuck between addressing public “Iran’s call for the US to leave the few days would hopefully release some [Khamenei] do not feel alone.” Additional reporting by Tobias Buck
Trade negotiations
MAKE A SMART INVESTMENT
Subscribe to the FT today at FT.com/subscription France and US set deadline to resolve digital tax dispute
FRIDAY 31 MARCH 2017 WORLD BUSINESS NEWSPAPER UK £2.70 Channel Islands £3.00; Republic of Ireland €3.00
VICTOR MALLET — PARIS European Commission will stand Mnuchin saying the US had “serious negotiate a deal and Donald Trump and
KIRAN STACEY — WASHINGTON
Trump vs the Valley
Tech titans need to minimise
political risk — GILLIAN TETT, PAGE 13
A Five Star plan?
Italy’s populists are trying to woo
the poor — BIG READ, PAGE 11
Dear Don...
May’s first stab at the break-up
letter — ROBERT SHRIMSLEY, PAGE 12
together with France and all other concerns” about plans about a proposed Robert Lighthizer, the US trade repre-
HMRC warns Lloyd’s of Brussels Insurance market
to tap new talent pool with EU base
UK £3.80; Channel Islands £3.80; Republic of Ireland €3.80
Briefing
SATURDAY 1 APRIL / SUNDAY 2 APRIL 2017
France and the US have given them- member states who wish to have the new system of international corporate sentative, eager to ignore international
customs risks THE END
i US bargain-hunters fuel Europe M&A
Europe has become the big target for cross-border
sovereign right to impose digital taxa- taxation. institutions while punishing France and
dealmaking, as US companies ride a Trump-fuelled
equity market rally to hunt for bargains across the
HOW DRIVERLESS
OF THE
selves two weeks to resolve a bitter
Atlantic.— PAGE 15; CHINA CURBS HIT DEALS, PAGE 17
TECHNOLOGY IS
being swamped i Report outlines longer NHS waiting times
A report on how the health service can survive CHANGING AN
ROAD
more austerity has said patients will wait longer for
non-urgent operations and for A&E treatment while AMERICAN WAY OF LIFE Censors and sensitivity
by Brexit surge
some surgical procedures will be scrapped.— PAGE 4
tion on companies in a fair way.” Paolo Gentiloni, the EU’s economy the EU with trade sanctions.
i Emerging nations in record debt sales Warning: this article may be
engulfed in
EU, a Whitehall official said. “If running almost one tower a week
A computer system acquired to collect our own customs system is proving during 2016.— PAGE 4
duties and clear imports into the UK much harder than we anticipated, that
may not be able to handle the huge ought to have an impact on how we i Tillerson fails to ease Turkey tensions
surge in workload expected once Britain press for certain options in Brussels.” The US secretary of state has failed to reconcile
nies have not been paying fair levels of to revive its own plans — originally Trump did not want to go before the US
Setting up a digital customs system CDS, indicating it would be delivered on
has been at the heart of Whitehall’s time. But last month, it wrote to the i HSBC woos transgender customers
Brexit planning because of the fivefold committee saying the programme had The bank has unveiled a range of gender-neutral it followed “a strategy offull client tax
FINANCIAL TIMES
About 53 per cent of British imports apparent in a number ofkey areas”. Credit
needs Suisse hascustomers.
of transgender been targeted by
— PAGE 20 HM Revenue & Customs said it had
come from the EU, and do not require HMRC said last night: “[CDS] is on sweeping tax investigations in the UK, launched a criminal investigation into
checks because they arrive through the track to be delivered by January 2019, France and the Netherlands, setting suspected tax evasion and money laun-
single market and customs union. But and it will be able to support frictionless back Switzerland’s attempts to clean up dering by “a global financial institution
Datawatch
tax on profits generated in some of their pushed by France but ultimately foiled Senate less than a year before an elec-
Theresa May announced in January that international trade once the UK leaves its image as a tax haven. and certain ofits employees”. The UK
Brexit would include departure from the EU . . . Internal ratings are designed
Terror attacks inwith
co-operating western Europe after
authorities
Japan: Nikkei Tokyo Newspaper Printing Center, Inc.,
The Swiss bank said yesterday it was tax authority added: “The international
reach
itsattacks — of this investigation sends a clear The lure of the exotic
said yesterday.
both trading blocs. HMRC handles 60m to make sure that each project gets the Recent
declarations a year but, once outside the focus and resource it requires for suc- offices in London, Paris and Amsterdam notably the message
2011 that there is no hiding place for
customs union, the number is expected cessful delivery.” were contacted
Highlighted attack byOthers massacre bythose seeking to evade tax.”
local officials Robin Lane Fox on the flair
“concerning client tax matters”. Anders BreivikDutch in prosecutors, who initiated the
to hit 300m.
The revelations about the system,
HMRC’s letters to the select commit-
tee, which will be published today, pro- AFP Norway, the
Dutch authorities said their counter- action, said they seized jewellery, paint- of foreign flora — HOUSE & HOME
parts in Germany wereBrussels attacks in Paris
also involved, ings and gold ingots as part of their
biggest markets because they can divert by a few member states — for an EU- tion and talk about an international deal
whether Whitehall can implement a caused by Mrs May’s unexpected deci- cities in its decision to set up an will be reinsured back to the homes for the industry. But Paris bombings — have
host of regulatory regimes — in areas sion to leave the EU customs union. EU base to help deal with the syndicates at its City of London Mr Nelson said the city won on The inquiries threaten to undermine thousand” bank accounts opened in
bucked the trend
ranging from customs and immigration Timetable & Great Repeal Bill page 2 expected loss of passporting headquarters, pictured above. its transport links, talent pool efforts by the country’s banking sector Switzerland and not declared to French
of generally low
to agriculture and fisheries — by the Scheme to import EU laws page 3 rights after Brexit. The Belgian capital had not and “extremely good regula- to overhaul business models and ensure tax authorities.
fatalities from
time Britain leaves the EU. Editorial Comment & Notebook page 12 John Nelson, chairman of the been seen as the first choice for tory reputation”. customers meet international tax The Swiss attorney-general’s office
Sources: Jane’s Terrorism and Insurgency Centre terror incidents in
requirements following a US-led clamp- said it was “astonished at the way this
Central, Hong Kong Problems with CDS and other projects Philip Stephens & Chris Giles page 13 centuries-old insurance mar- London’s specialist insurance Lex page 14 western Europe
essential to Brexit could force London to JPMorgan eye options page 18 ket, said he expected other groups after the UK leaves the Insurers set to follow page 18
billions of dollars in fines.
prospect of a new round of US sanctions Mr Le Maire, who says France will French officials have been frustrated US corporations. “The problem is not
LAURA NOONAN — DUBLIN Berrys after discussions with regulators. media at work, but banks are unable to
Subscriptions and
JENNIFER THOMPSON — LONDON
Pil-Dong, Jung-Ku,
stance on Brexit Seoul, 100-728
Christopher Niehaus, a former Jeffer- ban people from installing apps on their
ies banker, passed confidential client private phones.
Brussels takes tough
A boastful WhatsApp message has cost
a London investment banker his job information to a “personal acquaint- Andrew Bodnar, a barrister at Matrix
and a £37,000 fine in the first case of ance and a friend” using WhatsApp, Chambers, said the case set “a precedent
Shutdown risk as border according to the FCA. The regulator said in that it shows the FCA sees these mes-
with Spain handed veto over Gibraltar
regulators cracking down on commu- 390_Cover_PRESS.indd 1 19/01/2017 13:57
wall bid goes over the top nications over Facebook’s popular Mr Niehaus had turned over his device saging apps as the same as everything
chat app. to his employer voluntarily. else”.
Customer Service Congressional Republicans seeking to The FCA said Mr Niehaus had shared Information shared by Mr Niehaus
champagne and other products to 100 an international minimum taxation nals from the Trump administration, cial said. “All the technical issues have
to accept the proposals. encryption system that cannot be as iPhone-loving staff spurn their work- Facebook did not respond to a request Senior EU diplomats noted that has been made on Britain’s exit bill and
US budget Q&A and accessed without permission from the issued BlackBerrys. for comment. About 2.3m people will benefit from European Council president Donald Mr Tusk’s text left room for negotiators citizen rights, which Whitehall officials
Trump attack over health bill i PAGE 8 user. Deutsche Bank last year banned Bankers at two institutions said staff Additional reporting by Chloe Cornish today’s increase in the national living Tusk’s first draft of the guidelines, to work with in coming months. Prime believe means simultaneous talks are
WhatsApp from work-issued Black- are typically trained in how to use new Lombard page 20 wage to £7.50 per hour. But the rise which are an important milestone on minister Theresa May’s allies insisted possible if certain conditions are met.
per cent tariffs, said he and Steven level is agreed at the OECD, called the US with Mr Mnuchin apparently ready to been resolved.”
www.ft.com/subscribenow new living wage and the increase is The decision to add the clause giving British officials admitted that the EU’s after Brexit with a trade deal.
STOCK MARKETS CURRENCIES INTEREST RATES
Tel: 0800 298 4708 expected to cost councils’ care services Spain the right to veto any EU-UK trade insistence on a continuing role for the Reports & analysis page 3
Advertising
Mar 30 prev %chg Mar 30 prev Mar 30 prev price yield chg
£360m in the coming financial year. deals covering Gibraltar could make the European Court of Justice in any transi- Jonathan Powell, Tim Harford &
For the latest news go to S&P 500 2365.93 2361.13 0.20 $ per € 1.074 1.075 € per $ 0.932 0.930 US Gov 10 yr 98.87 2.38 0.00
Analysis i PAGE 4 300-year territorial dispute between tion deal could be problematic. Man in the News: David Davis page 11
www.ft.com Nasdaq Composite 5902.74 5897.55 0.09 $ per £ 1.249 1.241 £ per $ 0.801 0.806 UK Gov 10 yr 100.46 1.21 -0.03
Madrid and London an obstacle to Brussels sees little room for compro- Henry Mance page 12
Dow Jones Ind 20703.38 20659.32 0.21 £ per € 0.859 0.866 € per £ 1.164 1.155 Ger Gov 10 yr 98.68 0.39 -0.01
© THE FINANCIAL TIMES LTD 2017 FTSEurofirst 300 1500.72 1493.75 0.47 ¥ per $ 111.295 111.035 ¥ per € 119.476 119.363 Jpn Gov 10 yr 100.45 0.06 0.00
No: 39,435 ★ Euro Stoxx 50 3481.67 3475.27 0.18 ¥ per £ 139.035 137.822 £ index 76.705 76.951 US Gov 30 yr 100.14 2.99 0.01
Printed in London, Liverpool, Glasgow, Dublin, FTSE 100 7369.52 7373.72 -0.06 € index 89.046 89.372 $ index 104.636 103.930 Ger Gov 2 yr 102.58 -0.75 0.00 Subscribe In print and online World Markets
S&P 500
Nasdaq Composite
Dow Jones Ind
Mar 31
2367.10
5918.69
prev %chg
CURRENCIES
0.932 US Gov 10 yr
0.801 UK Gov 10 yr
1.164 Ger Gov 10 yr
price
98.63
100.35
99.27
yield
2.41
1.22
0.33
chg
-0.01
0.02
-0.01
Mnuchin, US Treasury secretary, had sanctions plan “unfriendly, inappropri- France wants the EU to have a robust
© THE FINANCIAL TIMES LTD 2017 FTSEurofirst 300 1503.03 1500.72 0.15 ¥ per $ 111.430 111.295 ¥ per € 119.180 119.476 Jpn Gov 10 yr 100.36 0.07 0.00
“agreed to redouble the effort in the ate and illegitimate” and said France response to any further US trade sanc-
Frankfurt, Brussels, Milan, Madrid, New York, FTSE All-Share 3990.00 4011.01 -0.52 SFr per € 1.071 1.069 SFr per £ 1.252 1.244 price prev chg
Chicago, San Francisco, Washington DC, Orlando, CAC 40 5122.51 5089.64 0.65 COMMODITIES Fed Funds Eff 0.66 0.66 0.00
Tokyo, Hong Kong, Singapore, Seoul, Dubai Xetra Dax 12312.87 12256.43 0.46 Mar 31 prev %chg US 3m Bills 0.78 0.78 0.00
Nikkei 18909.26 19063.22 -0.81 Oil WTI $ 50.46 50.35 0.22 Euro Libor 3m -0.36 -0.36 0.00
Hang Seng 24111.59 24301.09 -0.78 Oil Brent $ 53.35 53.13 0.41 UK 3m 0.34 0.34 0.00
Letters to the editor in any manner is not permitted without the coming days to find a compromise on would react and take its case to the tions, but is concerned about Germany’s
letters.editor@ft.com publisher’s prior consent. ‘Financial Times’ and digital tax in the framework of the World Trade Organization if the new vulnerability to measures targeting the
‘FT’ are registered trade marks of The Financial
Published by Times Limited.
OECD”. They are due to meet again at tariffs were imposed. crucial motor industry. “Germany lives
The Financial Times (HK) Limited, the World Economic Forum in Davos “We would enter into a trade conflict in terror, in panic, about motor industry
18th Floor, Nan Fung Tower, 88 Connaught Road The Financial Times and its journalism are subject to later this month. between the United States and Europe,” sanctions,” the official said. “We mustn’t
Central, Hong Kong a self-regulation regime under the FT Editorial Code
Asia Editor: Jamil Anderlini of Practice: www.ft.com/editorialcode
Mr Le Maire was speaking after a said Mr Le Maire. “Is that what we want? let ourselves be led by the nose by the
meeting in Paris with Phil Hogan, the No one wants there to be a trade conflict Americans.”
Printed by Reprints are available of any FT article with your EU’s new trade commissioner, who . . . It’s not even a French problem, it’s a During a hearing in Washington yes-
Australia: Spotpress Pty Ltd, 24-26 Lillian Fowler company logo or contact details inserted if required described digital taxation as “a very more general problem between the US terday, representatives from industries
Place, Marrickville, NSW 2204 (minimum order 100 copies). One-off copyright
Hong Kong: Kin Ming Printing Co Ltd, licences for reproduction of FT articles are also major bone of contention with the US”. and Europe.” including wine retailers, cookware man-
15/F BLK A, 18 Ka Yip Street, Ming Pao Industrial available. Mr Hogan said: “We will look at all At the end of last year, the US reversed ufacturers and handbag importers
Centre, Chai Wan; Representative; Angela Mackay; For both services phone +44 20 7873 4816, possibilities if any tariffs or measures its previous stance on the multilateral Bruno Le Maire: US plan ‘unfriendly, warned that the proposed tariffs could
ISSN 1025-918X or alternatively, email syndication@ft.com
are imposed by the United States. The negotiations at the OECD, with Mr inappropriate and illegitimate’ cripple their businesses.
Wednesday 8 January 2020 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES 3
INTERNATIONAL
Venezuela
Flat growth tests Mexico’s Mr Austerity Chinese tourism surge boosts Moscow airport
MAX SEDDON — MOSCOW expected to top $1bn. As many as 70 per ness partner, Arkady Rotenberg, a
“They don’t know how to spend, so it’s financial crises in the 1980s and 1990s cent of tax-free receipts handed out at childhood judo sparring partner of Pres-
Investor uncertainty over better that they don’t,” said Valeria Moy, hurt Mexicans that he was determined
With a new runway operational and a
Russia’s airports go to Chinese citizens. ident Vladimir Putin, owns the remain-
gleaming new international terminal
López Obrador’s policies is head of México ¿cómo vamos?, a think- not to repeat history. Sheremetyevo, Moscow’s largest air- ing 35 per cent of the holding company,
opening this month, Moscow’s Sher-
tank, saying the president’s priorities He scathingly referred to the market- port, is looking to capitalise on that while the government owns the other
emetyevo airport has set an ambitious
adding to a slowing economy “won’t provide the structural change driven policies of the past four decades
target to double traffic to 100m passen-
growth. Signs and announcements are 30.5 per cent of the airport.
this country needs. Sensible infrastruc- as Mexico’s failed “neoliberal period”, in Mandarin throughout, while duty- Since taking over Sheremetyevo, Mr
gers a year.
ture spending and improving confi- because of rampant corruption and a free stores accept popular Chinese pay- Ponomarenko has overseen a $2.5bn
JUDE WEBBER — MEXICO CITY
dence, I don’t see that anywhere.” yawning social divide between the Nearly half are set to come from routes ment methods, including UnionPay infrastructure upgrade that includes
In his first year in office, Mexican presi- The business sector is bending over country’s rich north and poor south that that were until only recently an after- cards and online systems WeChat Pay two new passenger terminals, a cargo
dent Andrés Manuel López Obrador has backwards to be friendly to the govern- he said they spawned. thought: connecting flights between and Alipay. terminal and a train under the runway
proved a contradiction: a populist who ment and has pledged to invest in an “I think he will try to maintain fiscal Europe and Asia, boosted by breakneck More than 2.3m Chinese tourists flew linking them to the existing terminals.
does not like to spend. ambitious infrastructure programme discipline and when that isn’t possible, growth in tourism from China. into Sheremetyevo in 2019, including In addition to Chinese tourism, Mr
His frugal administration lost thou- that Gabriel Lozano, chief Mexican he can always blame the private sector The weak rouble — currently trading 1.26m who transferred via the airport. Ponomarenko sees transfer traffic
sands of seasoned staff because of wage economist at JPMorgan, said looked or rating agencies,” said Mr Lozano. at 62 to the dollar, less than half its value Sheremetyevo, which offers flights to 29 between Europe and China as key to
cuts designed to free up cash to plough “interesting, after a dismal year”. The president has accused rating five years ago — has made Russia one of Chinese cities, expects their number to growing passenger flows.
into social programmes. The inexperi- But public as well as private invest- agencies of remaining quiet when Mex- the top three destinations worldwide for grow by 30 per cent a year in the years to The airport has doubled its share of
enced new team has been slow to dis- ico was racking up debt and turning a Chinese tourists, Russian officials say. come. transfer traffic between Europe and
burse even the scant funds available. blind eye to corruption, adding that State agency Rosturizm estimated more “We think that we’re only just getting China to 10 per cent in the last half-dec-
Investors, worried about the direction 65 % 6.2 % they were wrong to be critical now that than 2m Chinese tourists visited Russia started growing Chinese passenger ade and intends to compete with more
of policy, have also been restrained. López Obrador’s Fall in sales tax the state was finally addressing prob- last year compared with just 158,000 a flows,” Alexander Ponomarenko, Sher- established hubs.
As a result, the economy has approval ratings collection in first lems by pumping money into state oil decade ago. emetyevo chairman, told the FT in an Moscow’s attractiveness as a transfer
screeched to a halt: zero growth is — off a February 9 months because company Pemex. “The rouble devaluation after 2014, interview. hub and tourist destination has seen
expected this year after 2 per cent last peak of 81 per cent of slowdown But Pemex is expected to suffer a sec- Moscow’s efforts to simplify the process Mr Ponomarenko and his business several foreign companies take shares in
year. But Mr López Obrador prides him- ond downgrade to junk status in the first for Chinese tour groups to get visas partner, Alexander Skorobogatko, own Russian airports in recent years. Qatar
self on his obstinacy and will not aban- ment is needed — and the government half as a result of a business plan the together and active marketing by Rus- a 65 per cent stake in Sheremetyevo’s Airways is in talks to conclude the pur-
don higher pensions, grants for unem- has seen a 2.5 per cent drop in income market believes is unrealistic, declining sian tourism firms have contributed to holding company, which owns about chase of a 25 per cent stake in Moscow’s
ployed young people or his controver- tax revenue and a 6.2 per cent fall output and $100bn in debt. the trend,” said Alexander Gabuev, two-thirds of the airport. Another busi- Vnukovo by the end of 2019, while the
sial refinery, airport and train projects. in sales tax collection in the first Pemex is heavily reliant on state sup- chair of the Russia in the Asia-Pacific Qatar Investment Authority and Ger-
That could strain his commitment to nine months because of the slowing port and analysts said it needed even programme at the Carnegie Moscow many’s Fraport are part of a syndicate
maintaining strict fiscal discipline in economy. more investment than the government Centre. that owns Pulkovo airport in St Peters-
Latin America’s second-biggest econ- “Private investment will remain had so far made available because of its “Russia has also allowed more flights burg.
omy. So will 2020 be the year Mexico’s defensive and public investment will strained finances. A Pemex downgrade, from regional Chinese air companies to Mr Ponomarenko said he and his
Mr Austerity turns spending taps on? remain subdued because of a lack of rev- therefore, could trigger a sovereign Moscow, which helps to turn the Rus- partners were considering selling a 30
“Abandoning fiscal restraint is not enues and the nature of the projects downgrade, although Mexico’s coveted sian capital into an air hub for Europe- per cent stake in Sheremetyevo in order
necessarily inevitable if handouts and they are choosing,” said Mr Cervera. investment grade rating is not at risk. bound Chinese tourism.” to raise funds to buy out the govern-
social programmes keep him popular,” Even without income constraints, Mr Slower US growth in 2020 will hurt Despite outcries from Russia’s culture ment’s stake should Russia exercise a
said Alonso Cervera, chief economist for López Obrador’s commitment to deliver Mexico, which has integrated manufac- ministry that Chinese tourists were put option. “We don’t think [Chinese
Latin America at Credit Suisse. a primary surplus while not raising turing supply chains with its top trading swamping popular St Petersburg tourist tourism has] peaked yet,” he said.
Indeed, Mr López Obrador’s approval taxes or debt reveals a prudent streak at partner, but “Pemex is the weak point”, sites, their big spending makes them an “Even if [China’s growth slows down],
ratings remain enviably high — 65 per odds with his leftwing nationalist dis- said Ms Moy. Economists are concerned attractive proposition. The average Chi- it’ll only go up, because it’s cheaper for
cent, according to Oraculus, a poll of course. by weakening midterm growth pros- nese tourist spends $700 on a trip to Chinese tourists to go to Russia than
polls — albeit off a peak of 81 per cent in People who have known him for dec- pects, fiscal deterioration and a worsen- Russia, according to the central bank, Sightseeing: Chinese tourists enjoy a anywhere else.”
February. ades said he was so shocked by how ing security crisis. while total spending for 2019 is guided walk through central Moscow Inside Business page 12
4 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES Wednesday 8 January 2020
INTERNATIONAL
GLOBAL INSIGHT
Parliamentary vote
SAN DIEGO
O
thin margin. ters since the 1936-39 civil war — plans “You are the Trojan horse [being tive after the failure of his gambit of trig- ver the past year, US Federal Reserve officials
Yesterday’s 167-165 vote, which came to increase taxes on big corporations, used] to destroy the state,” said Pablo leader gering November’s election, which left have become increasingly open about what
after a furious debate in the country’s bolster collective bargaining, reduce Casado, the leader of the centre-right the Socialists with a handful of seats monetary policy cannot do for economic
chamber of deputies, paves the way for carbon emissions and combat gender- People’s party. fewer than before. growth. In November, for example, Fed chair
Mr Sánchez to be sworn in today at the based violence. “If you satisfy the demands of your Yesterday’s vote only took place after Jay Powell suggested that Congress should
head of a coalition of his Socialists and The vote is a personal achievement partners against the system, Spain will weeks of negotiations between the consider ways to help train workers or make it easier for
the radical left Podemos movement. for Mr Sánchez, who had previously be broken. If you do not, they will throw Socialists and the ERC, in which the sep- women to stay in the labour force.
In a combative speech ahead of the tried and failed to win parliament’s you on to the street.” aratist party promised its abstention in Former Fed chairs Janet Yellen and Ben Bernanke have
vote, Mr Sánchez portrayed the new backing to form a government in both The Socialists and Podemos have only return for a road map for future negotia- now sent another message to Capitol Hill: should a down-
government as a break with four years 2016 and 2019. He came to power 18 155 members of the 350-seat chamber tions over Catalonia. turn come, the Fed might not be able to handle it alone.
“Although monetary policy has a meaningful role to play
in future downturns, it's unlikely to be sufficient in the
years ahead,” Ms Yellen told an economists’ conference in
San Diego on Sunday.
China’s enforcer sends message to Hong Kong sion, and I believe should do,” said Ms Yellen.
Hélène Rey of the London Business School pointed out
that government spending is even more effective during a
downturn, when private spending collapses.
“We do have some tools, but indeed they have been
ingly lost patience with its officials fol- party lines. Wang Zhimin, Mr Luo’s the National People’s Congress, China’s stretched,” she said. “Fiscal policy could do a lot.”
Appointment of hardliner lowing more than nine months of often predecessor, had none of his high-level legislator, a position normally reserved Economists puzzle over what has been dragging the nat-
viewed as shift in Beijing violent protests in the Asian financial experience. for senior officials over 65. His swift pro- ural rate down, and have formulated two explanations.
hub, the final straw being the huge The symbolism of inserting such a motion has taken many by surprise. The first is that labour forces in developed economies
approach to city’s problems defeat for pro-Beijing candidates in dis- powerful figure into the territory’s crisis “By the standards of the Chinese sys- are growing older — there are fewer workers and a higher
trict council elections in November. has not been lost on Hong Kongers who tem, this is a very last-minute decision,” savings rate as they prepare for retirement. More savings
Analysts say the appointment of such joke about him being their new “party said Ryan Manuel, China expert at chasing fewer investments drives returns down.
CHRISTIAN SHEPHERD — BEIJING
SUE-LIN WONG — HONG KONG a high-level official marks a shift in Bei- secretary”, the most senior official in Luo Huining: research firm Official China. The second is that productivity is not growing as quickly
jing’s approach to Hong Kong that could mainland Chinese hierarchies. the symbolism The abrupt axing of Mr Wang was a as it used to, which damps growth and opportunities for
Luo Huining has a record of using hard- accelerate its reform timetable for eve- In his first speech after taking up the of inserting such sign of Beijing’s dissatisfaction with the investment.
line tactics to resolve tough problems rything from the city’s national security post on Monday, Mr Luo said he looked a powerful way the demonstrations had been The Fed cannot do much about either. Benjamin Fried-
for the Chinese Communist party. laws to its economy and education sys- forward to working with Carrie Lam, figure into the allowed to escalate, according to people man, an economist at Harvard, said the Fed cannot make
In coal-producing Shanxi province he tem. Hong Kong’s chief executive, and her territory has not who speak regularly to the liaison industry more innovative or educate workers, which
helped root out corrupt officials with Such a push would put him on a colli- government to “guarantee that been lost on office. would improve productivity. The drop in the natural rate
ties to the powerful aide of former presi- sion course with the territory’s pro- [China’s] constitution and [Hong Hong Kongers It would be “naive” to consider a per- “may or may not be fixable, and it’s not the Federal
dent Hu Jintao. And before that he spent democracy camp and demonstrators Kong’s] Basic Law are fully imple- sonnel swap enough to fix the deep- Reserve’s job to fix it”, he said.
more than a decade in Qinghai, birth- who fear shrinking civil liberties. mented in Hong Kong”. rooted problems with Beijing’s attempts This will make the Fed’s job even harder when economic
place of the Dalai Lama, where along- Appointing Mr Luo is the “biggest pol- “He was successful in cleaning up the to govern in Hong Kong, according to conditions worsen. “We just have less room to manoeu-
side efforts to revive the local economy icy adjustment the party centre can mess in Shanxi,” said Willy Lam, Samson Yuen, a political scientist at vre,” said Mary Daly, president of the San Francisco Fed, in
he further tightened restrictions on make, given they are unwilling to give in adjunct professor at the Centre for Lingnan University in Hong San Diego.
Tibetan Buddhist communities. to the Hong Kong people’s demands”, China Studies at the Chinese University Kong. “It’s . . . an institutional problem In the usually understated world of monetary policy,
But up to now the little known 65- said Wu Qiang, a former politics lec- of Hong Kong. And because he has that cannot be fixed by one person,” he expressions of concern such as this are notably explicit.
year-old has operated away from the turer at Tsinghua University in Beijing. already reached retirement age and is said. “They can’t announce too loudly they have no tools left,”
limelight. His elevation to the role of Beijing has traditionally appointed not seeking promotion, he will have “no But for Mr Wu the arrival of Beijing’s said Raghuram Rajan, former governor of the Reserve
Beijing’s man in Hong Kong has moved up-and-coming career bureaucrats as qualms about carrying out Beijing's dra- enforcer is ultimately a sign that the Bank of India, now at the University of Chicago Booth
him centre stage in the biggest political director of the Central Liaison Office — conian orders”, Mr Lam added. party remains “unwilling to give in to School of Business. “Part of the magic of central banking is
crisis on Chinese soil in decades. Beijing’s de facto embassy in Hong Kong A week before being sent to Hong the Hong Kong people’s demands”. to pretend you have a bazooka behind your back.”
It has also triggered questions over — and they have tended to be viewed as Kong, Mr Luo was appointed to a finan- Additional reporting by Nicolle Liu in Hong
what Beijing plans next after it seem- functionaries who parroted official cial and economics committee under Kong and Qianer Liu in Shenzhen brendan.greeley@ft.com
Public spending debate looms over Ireland election campaign Eurozone inflation picks up
ARTHUR BEESLEY — DUBLIN
thanks to Christmas shoppers
Corporation tax revenues now tax receipts may be at risk from changes That is set to become an election
account for more than 18 per cent of all to international tax policy, trade ten- issue. Irish politicians are bracing for an
Ireland faces a general election this
tax receipts and are skewed towards a sions and industry and company-spe- election in spring, summer or even in
year with its economy in the best shape
small number of large companies: the cific risks. February, after Boris Johnson’s UK elec- MARTIN ARNOLD — FRANKFURT ECB’s core objective for inflation to be
since the financial crisis, boosted by
10 biggest contributors pay half of total One example is the forthcoming clo- tion win late last year lifted the Brexit- below but close to 2 per cent, the
Google, Apple and other US tech and Strong pre-Christmas consumer
receipts between them. sure of the “double Irish” loophole that related uncertainty that has kept Leo December rise takes the pressure off the
pharma companies whose tax pay- spending in the eurozone helped to
The business tax surge has been allows international companies to Varadkar’s minority government in central bank to cut interest rates further
ments have transformed its public boost inflation to a six-month high,
attributed to rising corporate profitabil- reduce the tax they pay on their global power, propped up by a voting pact with in the next few months.
finances. adding to signs that the region’s econ-
ity and US tax changes that made it operations. Last week one of Ireland’s Fianna Fáil, the largest opposition party. “This will please the more hawkish
omy has stabilised in recent months.
But questions over the sustainability of attractive for American groups to shift With the election campaign will come members of the ECB’s governing council
this surge in corporation tax receipts are intellectual property assets to Ireland, inevitable questions over what the next Consumer prices rose 1.3 per cent in and lowers the chance that policymak-
set to overshadow the campaign, in whose corporate tax rate is a low 12.5 €10.9bn 10 government should do to ensure more December from the year before, up ers are forced into further loosening in
which all parties will come under pres- per cent. Corporation tax Companies that housing is built and to improve the from 1 per cent in November, according the next few months,” said Jack Allen-
sure from voters to boost spending to However, ministers have warned this revenues in 2019, contribute to half health service, which are Mr Varadkar’s to a flash estimate from Eurostat. The Reynolds at Capital Economics.
address a chronic housing crisis and is unlikely to last; finance minister Pas- up from just of Ireland’s total weakest spots. His Fine Gael party’s rep- rise was in line with the average fore- A further boost to inflation could
healthcare failings. chal Donohoe said in a recent speech €4.6bn in 2014 corporation tax utation for fiscal competence has also casts of economists, said a Reuters poll. come from rising oil prices, which have
Data published last week showed that that corporate tax revenues might begin taken a hit due to large cost increases on Excluding the more volatile areas of risen about 5 per cent to hit three-
Ireland’s public finances delivered a sur- to drop as soon as next year. largest corporation taxpayers, Google, hospital and rural broadband projects. energy and food, alcohol and tobacco, month highs above $70 a barrel in
plus of €1.5bn in 2019, or 0.4 per cent of “There is a broad consensus that fur- disclosed that it had overhauled its tax Although Mr Varadkar has promised price growth was unchanged from recent days on fears about tension in the
gross domestic product; only the second ther international tax reform efforts are structure, moving intellectual property income tax cuts and a public sector pay November at 1.3 per cent. The highest Middle East after the US assassination of
time since the financial crisis it has needed in order to address the tax chal- to the US before the loophole’s closure at rise, he has insisted that “the overriding inflation was in Slovakia, the Nether- an Iranian general last week.
taken in more money than it spent. lenges arising from the digitalisation of the end of 2020. commitment will be to run a [budget] lands, Lithuania and Latvia, where Economists at Morgan Stanley said a
Corporation tax revenues grew 4.8 per the economy,” he said. “Change is com- Mr Donohoe has pre-emptively scaled surplus”. The taoiseach has also said he prices rose 2 per cent or more. sustained rise in Brent crude prices of
cent year on year to €10.9bn, beating ing and changes will have an impact on back Ireland’s public spending growth, will not cut taxes if there is a deficit. The figures are welcome news for the more than $10 a barrel “could bring
even the most optimistic government both our economic model — our ability setting out plans to achieve a budget Mr Donohoe says he is wedded to pol- European Central Bank, which in Sep- headline inflation temporarily to
forecasts and capping five years of stel- to attract inward investment — and on surplus of at least 1 per cent of GDP by icy prudence. But the Fiscal Advisory tember cited concern about falling infla- around 1.8 per cent by end-2020”.
lar growth from just €4.6bn in 2014. The our revenue stream.” 2022 and arguing that maintaining a Council has criticised the government tion as its main reason for cutting inter- However, they added that the ECB
total tax haul was a record €59.3bn, The Irish Fiscal Advisory Council, a surplus over the medium term is the for deploying the unexpected growth in est rates and restarting its quantitative was likely to look past any volatility in
almost double the €31.8bn received in statutory budget watchdog, has warned best way to counter the risk of falling corporation tax receipts to fund persist- easing (QE) bond purchase programme. energy prices and focus on core inflation
2010, the worst year of the crisis. that €2bn to €6bn of Ireland’s corporate business tax revenues. ent current spending overruns. While the figures remain below the in its rate-setting decisions.
Wednesday 8 January 2020 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES 5
6 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES Wednesday 8 January 2020
ARTS
I
sing to you of a marvellous scenes illustrating the way ancient gods,
machine — a case no larger than a heavenly bodies and patient experi-
snuffbox, its interior encrusted ments can join together to turn base
with tiny dabs of gold, silver, and metals into gold.
substances of surpassing rarity No activity was too mundane to be
such as yttrium. This miraculous vessel ennobled by ingenuity and taste. Sure, a
contains the world’s entire store of wis- scribe could work on a scarred wooden
dom. At a touch, it summons the most plank, but a sovereign’s thoughts would
illustrious musicians to a private per- be sharpened by a wood-and-ivory writ-
formance, unfurls bawdy scenes or lofty ing box intricately inlaid with polyhe-
tragedy in a theatre tiny enough to fit in drons. Drinking brought forth lavish
the palm of one’s hand. It calculates the Bohemian tankards designed to keep
motion of the stars, plots a course to any wig powder from dusting one’s beer, and
port, translates any text (ancient or a wrought iron trick chair that immobi-
modern) and brings tidings from distant lised a victim until he had guzzled objects that are at once advanced, inter-
lands within moments of their occur- enough to earn his freedom — a gizmo changeable and largely unadorned, and
rence. This magic casket confers on its that offered liberation through libation. we’re barely aware of who, precisely,
bearer knowledge that the greatest At a more advanced level of partying, reaps the information they generate
emperors of yore could only dream of. an early 17th-century automaton clock about what we do, how we think and
The only catch: I’ve got one, you’ve got from Augsburg features Diana atop her where we go. In the pre-industrial age,
one, and so does every tired commuter chariot, drawing a bow. When it was in however, sophisticated devices, with
packed into your subway car. An instru- their wondrous springs and whispering
ment that would once have conferred gears, were made to be admired, the bet-
majesty and power now makes you just ter to appreciate the discriminating per-
another schnook with a smartphone. son who had paid for them. Every
The Metropolitan Museum’s exhibi- machine was a kind of performance —
tion Making Marvels carries us back to specifically, a power play.
a time, roughly the 16th through to That fact gives the exhibition an irre-
the 18th centuries, when tools of scien- sistible theatrical quality, which is only
tific inquiry were also objects of beauty, occasionally explicit. In the 18th cen-
usually fabricated for princes. Costly, tury, stage productions often relied on
rare, spectacularly engineered and elaborate hydraulic systems to whip up
exquisitely decorated, each had a spe- storms, transform day into night, and
cific job; together they added to human- launch deities into flight. Country pal-
ity’s understanding of how nature aces boasted wizardly waterworks. The
worked, and how it could be mastered. Met offers small-scale version of these
Some were frivolous (Leonardo da June bug automaton (c.1600) Above: equation clock (1591). Above right: the draughtsman-writer (c.1800) could reproduce drawings and poems delights, including a pair of mid-
Vinci designed a wooden lion that roars, 18th-century mechanical paintings that
which unfortunately could not be full working order, the contraption was the pipe organ, which fused tech- wearing black gloves) turn the key and automatons, fountains and other gadg- flip through various scenes.
rounded up for the occasion). Others would roll across a tabletop, drawn by nology, prayer and aesthetic excitement flip a switch: the little musicians launch ets amounted to an intra-European con- But not all that glisters is bold. Several
were lethal (gilded gunner’s levels made head-bobbing leopards, while the god- into one sonorous package. Not even the into a stately whirl and the mechanism test of prestige, glory and technological showpieces, for all their silver and
the job of decimating a city with cannon dess rolled her eyes. The chariot Met has the resources to import, say, the sounds a wheezy polyphonic dance. command. As every schoolchild and whimsy, suffer from an inefficiency that
fire more efficient) or mysterious (a stopped, the arrow flew, and the person 18,000-pipe behemoth from the St Princes were doers. They operated tourist who visits the Royal Observatory still bedevils today’s robots: they look
“mechanical paradox” makes a wheel it hit had to knock back a drink. Stephen’s Cathedral in Passau, Ger- lathes that spun ivory blocks around in Greenwich learns, the British empire great and do little. Now, as then, it takes
appear to roll up an incline). Still others Beauty and science did not belong to many, but it does have an astonishing while fixed blades shaved them into ele- was built on clocks. Accurate timekeep- an awful lot of finicky human labour
represented a quasi-mystical faith in the separate categories: precious gems that miniature orchestra with a clock and a gant cylinders or elaborate shapes. John ing allowed navigators to calculate lon- before you can get an inanimate object
marriage of technology and cosmology. set off a shapely clavicle also hinted at troupe of tiny players, built in Augsburg William, a 17th-century elector pala- gitude, increasing the likelihood that a to perform a pretty dumb task with even
Augustus, elector of Saxony, possessed a mysteries stored deep in the earth. in 1625. A short video demonstrates tine, worked under the tutelage of the ship would hit the continent it was aim- a modicum of elegance. A thin line
chest-like alchemical furnace. Its steel Among the grandest and most complex what happens when you (well, not you, ivory-turning master Georg Steiner to ing for. divides awe from silliness.
walls, trimmed in brass, bear engraved apparatuses of Enlightenment Europe but a designated automaton-handler produce a magnificently loopy cup and Today, technological puissance is
cover, which sits on a base like a spiral often invisible. Ordinary people carry To March 1, metmuseum.org
staircase and culminates in a lopsided
finial, with various kinds of carved flora An automaton
germinating along the way. Works such clock in the
as these merge architecture, craftsman- form of Diana
ship, botany and wit into objects of on her chariot,
supreme flamboyance. c.1610
Europe’s rulers were also competitive
collectors. The Met show functions as a
kind of meta-Wunderkammer, with
instruments and artefacts plucked from
courts that vied for the best goodies.
These treasuries didn’t just gratify an
acquisitive nobility or stoke a keeping-
up-with-the-Habsburgs ethos of luxury.
Possession implied understanding;
understanding translated into power.
The collections of sextants, clocks,
Maurice Saatchi’s exit from M&C over an accounting scandal ended an influential and long-lasting alliance.
Brought low by a touch of hubris, his former colleagues must now regain the trust of clients and investors.
By Alex Barker
A bust-up in adland
‘Everything
T
he year was 1995 and the what went wrong, according to several Adam Crozier, the former head of ITV cost recognition, a figure raised to Maurice Saatchi,
Saatchi brothers, once lords witnesses. But it was more than just a television; and Steve Hilton, the Down- £11.6m in December in light of a near- left, departed
of global advertising, were had gone so spectacular boardroom bust-up. With ing Street adviser turned Fox News complete PwC review. The hit was from the agency
pitching to resurrect their well for so characteristic brio, the Saatchi resign- anchor. Sir Martin once described equivalent to a third of adjusted pre-tax that he helped
careers after being ousted ation ended possibly the most influen- Saatchi & Saatchi as the most effective profits last year. found, leaving
from the firm that bore their name. long we tial and long-lasting partnership in agency he had ever seen: “We were in The blow to confidence was dramatic. (from left)
British Airways executives arrived at a thought we modern advertising, one that held the coup business.” Since August the M&C share price has David Kershaw, Nosedive M&C Saatchi’s share price
swish Mayfair building. But all was not together for the best part of half a cen- An acquisition spree made Saatchi & fallen by more than two-thirds to Jeremy Sinclair tumbled after accounting scandals
what it seemed. could walk tury before being brought low by fear of Saatchi Europe’s biggest agency by around 105p, half its board has resigned and Bill were uncovered in August
Maurice and Charles had borrowed on water. failure, a touch of hubris and the per- turnover in 1981, and the biggest in the and the Financial Conduct Authority, Muirhead to
the office from a friend, shipping in art sonal wrench of a bereavement. world by 1986. The Saatchi expenses — the UK’s market watchdog, is looking at pick up the ‘Regrets, Maurice’ Lord Saatchi walked
and staff for the day to give it some Then the The three amigos, though, are stick- and debt pile — grew just as fast. The its disclosures. The group’s market pieces out of the agency in December after
Saatchi sparkle. In the pitch room itself gods looked ing with the firm: Mr Sinclair, the brothers’ reputation was compared value is down to £108m; on paper, since FT montage; Getty Images;
Rex Features; Jason
siding with the non-executives
was an even more far-fetched sight: 73-year-old creative force of the part- with “Howard Hughes or one of the August, the four founding partners have
three man-shaped cardboard cutouts. down and nership, as executive chairman; the de Medicis” in the New York Times. lost about £10m each.
Alden/Eyevine
Leaner and meaner? As well as clients
The props were the so-called “three decided, chief executive Mr Kershaw, the young- Peak exuberance came with a tilt at buy- The problems were long in gestation. and investors, it must also consolidate
amigos” — Jeremy Sinclair, David Ker- ster of the group at 65; and executive ing Midland Bank in 1987. M&C had a difficult 2018 audit and ties with its entrepreneurial network
shaw and Bill Muirhead — fellow exiles “those boys director Mr Muirhead, an Australian “Everything had gone so well for so KPMG flagged some increased risks. It
from Saatchi & Saatchi and partners in need cutting who first started working with the long we thought we could walk on later emerged that four UK subsidiaries
the new breakaway Saatchi venture. Saatchi brothers in 1969 aged 23. water,” said Lord Saatchi in 2001. “Then — including LIDA, a marketing agency private grief,” says one supporter of the
Stuck on “gardening leave”, which down to One rival ad executive says the global the gods looked down and decided, — misrepresented accounts over several non-executives.
meant in theory they were not supposed size”’ M&C agency network, made up of entre- ‘those boys need cutting down to size’.” years, with revenues booked too early The executives vehemently deny
to be involved in the pitch, the trio had preneurs who part-own the 141 compa- M&C was the atonement. The Golden and costs underplayed. Mr Kershaw reneging on the process, telling friends
recorded a video for the airline execu- nies, sometimes felt like the founders Square offices in London’s Soho were says the motivation was “covering fail- Below: M&C the claim is “absolute bollocks”. Their
tives. In it they tore around a field on “were living their past glory while other painted stark white. There was to be ure and wanting to please” rather than Saatchi’s preference, for legal reasons, was for the
tractors, wearing huge sombreros, and people were doing all the work”. Succes- no debt, and only organic growth “getting rich”. headquarters in probe to start after PwC finished its
with Mr Sinclair chewing on a Romeo y sion questions have been raised for 15 through “a federation of entrepreneurs” The August turmoil also triggered London. Below- review of accounts. Crucially they also
Julieta cigar. The chutzpah was classic years. But the financial storm has only (typically with a 20 per cent stake in something in Lord Saatchi. The peer left: Margaret wanted the audit committee — made up
Saatchi, what biographer Alison Fend- strengthened the partners’ resolve to their businesses). The creative mantra: had struggled with grief since the death Thatcher’s 1979 of the three independent directors —
ley called the executives’ modus oper- hold on and steady the ship. “Brutal simplicity of thought.” of his wife, the novelist Josephine Hart, a election held to account for mistakes. “They
andi: “Promise anything now and work Now the question is whether a trio Charles Saatchi caused an early row decade ago. He made almost daily visits campaign wanted to control the investigation into
out how it can be achieved later.” that helped sell Margaret Thatcher, by overspending on flowers, then the culpable,” Mr Sinclair wrote in the
It did the trick. BA moved from Concorde and Silk Cut cigarettes to the stepped back from M&C to concentrate Telegraph. “Perhaps not surprising but
Saatchi & Saatchi, an era-defining ad world can again reinvent themselves — on art. But the other four acted as equal certainly not acceptable . . . So they
agency for companies and politicians and the bruised Saatchi brand — in the partners, with a veto on decisions. Their walk and they talk.”
alike that became the world’s biggest face of adversity. “We will stick together, seventh floor office was designed to be Two other issues came into the fight.
before the brothers were ejected in a sort this out and then we will work to open plan, and secret-free. Until its flo- The first were sizeable bonuses paid to
boardroom coup. With BA onboard, find successors,” says Mr Sinclair. “The tation in 2004, there were no outside senior managers of M&C businesses,
overnight the new business — M&C thing I love . . . is the model of individ- investors to accommodate. based on the misstated 2018 results. The
Saatchi — had a foothold in the global ad ual entrepreneurs. I’m convinced The creative agency M&C Saatchi non-executive side wanted them
market. “I was genuinely interested to because it is the future. I would hate the London grew to become Britain’s third adjusted. The executives, citing legal
see whether lightning would strike model to die because of a financial biggest by billing in 2007, with promi- advice, said only voluntary measures
twice,” says Mr Sinclair. “I think it did.”
That goes for the good and the bad.
£11.6m screw-up.” nent campaigns for the British Army
and Carlsberg. They were also involved
were possible.
The second was M&C’s cash position.
Accounting errors In the coup business
Almost 25 years on, M&C Saatchi is in from M&C Saatchi’s in the Remain campaign during the Days before the walkout, the board was
crisis, torn apart by an accounting scan- basic revenue, the What made the early Saatchi & Saatchi a Brexit referendum. But its importance warned the coffers were running low — a
dal, boardroom intrigue and another equivalent of a third success was brazen self-confidence (the has waned — it is no longer in the top 10 situation now addressed with new
of adjusted pre-tax
extraordinary Saatchi exit. The paral- profits “nothing is impossible” motto), a knack — while the M&C network spread into financing. But for the non-executives
lels with Saatchi & Saatchi are not hard for publicity (the brothers announced the wider world of marketing, working who approved dividend increases based
to spot.
105p their arrival in 1970 with a full-page on loyalty cards, sports sponsorship and to his wife’s grave at their house in ‘This is a on over-optimistic assurances over
Like in the 1990s, the M&C Saatchi Times ad) and a nonconformist streak handling influencers on YouTube. Its Sussex — “in rain and snow I go” — often finances, it may have been a final straw.
finances were run to the brink and its M&C Saatchi’s share (no potential client was off-limits). footprint of 2,500 staff covers 25 coun- taking his grapefruit breakfast to eat holding After some testy meetings in Novem-
share price has tumbled. One more Lon- price, which has
fallen by two-thirds
They did some groundbreaking cor- tries and 141 companies. beside her. company. ber, the non-executives demanded a
don-based advertising business has porate ads. But it was Thatcher’s 1979 Hubris crept in. An annual report Apart from attending board meetings, leadership shake-up but got nowhere.
Saatchi on the nameplate, but no
since August
election campaign that really cut published last May crowed: “Whilst it he had faded from the business and What [the To Mr Sinclair’s surprise, on December
Saatchi in the building. With a hint of
141 through. After the release of their might be too early to say we’ve cracked expressed an interest in selling up; he founders] 10 the three non-executives and Lord
relish, David Herro, a US investor who “Labour Isn’t Working” poster, then- it, it does seem the strategy is proving approached Publicis chairman Maurice Saatchi arrived to hand over resignation
battled the Saatchis in the 1990s, says: Number of chancellor Denis Healey accused the itself . . . This must be how it felt to be Lévy at least once to gauge his interest in have in letters. “I said, ‘Could you delay for a
“What we are seeing today [at M&C companies M&C
Saatchi has as
Saatchis of “selling politics like soap pioneers and discoverers of a virgin buying M&C. But once the accounting common is month for the sake of the company?’
Saatchi] is not a surprise to me.” powder”. It made their name. land. Men and women with ideas, ambi- problems arose, Lord Saatchi was sud- They refused,” says Mr Sinclair. “I went
There is one big difference. This time
clients, covering
marketing, loyalty The business was a magnet for talent. tion and a vision can strike gold.” denly busy questioning the M&C model, unfettered and pressed the lift button.”
Lord Maurice Saatchi sided with the cards, sports Alumni include Martin Sorrell, the fin- Several big investors see the trio as the its finances and the dividend, which had power, Lord Saatchi’s desk in Golden Square
non-executive directors, who have criti- sponsorship and ancier who built WPP into the world’s brand and the glue for the network. But increased year on year for a decade. is now empty; he has yet to pick up his
cised the way his former partners ran YouTube biggest advertising group; Tim Bell, the some ex-board members are, in hind- Management saw one of their own, on hatred of belongings. Eventually the “three ami-
influencers
the business. On a December afternoon, late PR executive and Thatcher spinner; sight, less convinced. “The entrepre- an executive salary, challenging them being gos” will hand the reins to the loyal
he walked out with M&C Saatchi’s three neurs are in the business but not on the like a non-executive. Board tensions managers beneath them, some of whom
independent board members, a cross- board,” says one. “This is a holding com- rose, culminating in November and challenged, have been with M&C since its launch.
section of Britain’s establishment: pany . . . What [the founders] have in December with bitter, shouty, paper- and Before then, the big challenge is turn-
Michael Dobbs, a Conservative peer common is unfettered power, hatred of waving rows, and the mass walkout. At ing around M&C and regaining the con-
who wrote House of Cards; Michael Peat, being challenged, and arrogance.” issue was an accountability review — an arrogance’ fidence of their entrepreneurs, clients
a knight who once served as the Queen’s inquiry into what went wrong, who was and investors. The plan is to quickly
treasurer; and Lorna Tilbian, a City Scrutiny over responsibility to blame, and how to avoid a repeat. replace the board and revamp the UK
adviser and media industry financier. The wheels came off on a Tuesday, The non-executive directors felt arm so, in Mr Kershaw’s words, it is
His one-sentence resignation letter to August 6. The M&C finance director they had agreement over a process, “leaner, meaner and fit for purpose”.
his lifetime colleagues was signed: Mickey Kalifa walked in to see his chief reporting to them, which they claim the The Saatchi “boys”, as they were
“Regrets, Maurice”. executive and said: “It’s good you’re executives backtracked on. To the non- known, are once again betting on rest-
sitting down.” He had found accounting executive side, it encapsulated a deeper less reinvention. “This model makes it
A bruised brand errors so big the M&C results would malaise: denial of management respon- much easier for us to get into new things
The bad-tempered dispute was over have to be corrected. sibility for some chronic problems. quicker,” Mr Kershaw adds. “That’s the
M&C’s financial health, the role of inde- Within days, the company disclosed “Sinclair and Kershaw had disdain fuel, that’s the strategy. Invest in new
pendent directors and the blame for errors of £6.4m from basic revenue and for non-executives intruding on their channels and remake.”
8 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES Wednesday 8 January 2020
Letters
Email: letters.editor@ft.com
Include daytime telephone number and full address
Corrections: corrections@ft.com
If you are not satisfied with the FT’s response to your complaint, you can appeal
to the FT Editorial Complaints Commissioner: complaints.commissioner@ft.com
A political experiment growth is positive. structural policies, and by truly Bethesda, MD, US our government was approximately
$10tn in 2008, but has grown to almost
$23tn, increasing well after the
Opinion
Digital currencies will not displace the dollar The Big Four
must rethink
Gita
term. Improvements in payment tech-
nology may have lowered the cost of
progress on the euro area’s governance
framework. Uncertainty about the long-
same factors as in the past — liquidity,
stability, convertibility — but also new
WeChat Pay offer seamless integration
of multiple services on a single plat- the purpose
Gopinath switching from cash to digital pay-
ments, but there is little evidence they
have done much to reduce the expense
term stability of the eurozone does not
help. It is difficult to imagine how tech-
nology would address these issues.
concerns, such as the technological
superiority of the issuing country. This
latter issue could become a decisive fac-
form, combined with a low-cost and
user-friendly payment system. Even so,
the likelihood that one would give rise to
of auditing
of moving among currencies. Such costs The dollar’s status is bolstered by the tor, given legitimate concerns about pri- a distinct unit of account disconnected
are non-pecuniary. Widely-held percep- institutions, rule of law, and credible vacy and security with digitised monies. from a fiat currency is remote, not least
T
he global discussion on the tions of the dollar’s safety and stability investor protection that the US is seen as Few sovereigns will meet such crite- due to the complex regulatory and juris-
future of money has been have kept it dominant in the interna- providing. Simply raising the supply of ria. The US may parlay its leadership in dictional issues involved. Jane
irreversibly altered in the
six months since Facebook
tional monetary system for decades.
The dollar holds strongly reinforcing
an alternative currency will not be combating global money laundering
and terrorism finance into making the
The international monetary system
needs work. We need cheaper and faster
Fuller
announced plans for a dig- roles in trade invoicing — it accounts for dollar the dominant digital currency. cross-border payments: currently, set-
ital currency. While Libra’s own pros-
pects have dimmed, major central
five times the US share of world trade —
and global banking. These have created
Technology can improve Despite high hopes, it is difficult to see
how technology can hasten the creation
tlement of cross-border remittances is
slow, costly, and burdensome to those
financial inclusion
T
banks are considering whether “public” large network effects: the more people of a “synthetic hegemonic currency”. least able to afford it. Technology can his year could be a critical
digital currencies are needed to fill a gap
in retail payment needs.
use the dollar, the more useful it
becomes to everyone else. This has been
but cannot solve Trade and financial contracts continue
to be denominated overwhelmingly in a
bring quick gains here and improve
financial inclusion. Recognising its
one for corporate auditing.
For the second time in this
Some analysts suggest that the addi- reinforced as emerging markets, which this problem alone single currency, rather than a basket of potential and risks, the G20 has asked century, a series of scandals
tion of private and central bank-backed rely extensively on the dollar, increase currencies. For such a public synthetic the IMF to look at the macroeconomic is forcing the Big Four
digital currencies could provide the long their share of global economic activity. enough to surmount these consider- alternative to work, central banks, implications of global stablecoins. accountancy firms to rethink their
expected but elusive shock that finally Their share of global domestic product ations. Chinese efforts to internation- whose currencies underlay it, would The world would also benefit from a business models.
dislodges the US dollar from its decades- now stands at 60 per cent. alise the renminbi have met only lim- have to co-ordinate to ensure its stabil- more balanced system in which the euro After the 2001 collapse of Enron,
long dominance in global trade and Advances in payment technologies do ited success despite a policy push and ity and reduce perceived risks. But glo- and the renminbi have a bigger role. But tighter US rules on selling other services
finance. These technological advances not address fundamental issues of what liquidity support through bilateral bal needs can conflict with monetary technology cannot solve this problem to audit clients led KPMG, Deloitte, EY
could also become the ingredients for a it takes to be a global reserve currency. swaps with more than 30 central banks. policy objectives at home, significantly alone. It takes old-fashioned develop- and PwC to sell or spin off their consul-
“synthetic hegemonic currency” — a Consider the euro, which has been the When sovereign governments, inves- reducing the attraction for leading ment of institutions to improve the euro tancy arms, but those businesses have
digital basket of reserve currencies — as leading contender to replace the dollar tors, and traders are confronted with reserve currencies to participate. area’s architecture and resilience, and regrown so robustly through sales to
recently proposed by outgoing Bank of over the past 20 years. Its impact on the digital currency choices, they are likely Digital currencies issued by big tech stronger domestic institutions and fur- non-audit clients that audit revenues
England governor Mark Carney. dollar’s dominance has been modest at to reassess what currency to use for firms would undoubtedly have some ther liberalisation of markets in China. make up only a fifth of the Big Four’s
While these are intriguing possibili- best, owing to financial fragmentation, transactions across borders. Their advantages relative to fiat currencies. total revenue.
ties, they are improbable in the near inadequate fiscal risk-sharing, and slow choice will be based on many of the Large-scale offerings such as China’s The writer is IMF chief economist Now a set of high-profile UK failures —
Carillion, Thomas Cook and BHS — have
reignited concerns about conflicts of
interest and a new regulatory drive to
split up the Big Four. This time the
Stimulus has
auditing profession should take advan-
tage of the opportunity, pull away from
consulting entirely and refocus on the
users of corporate accounts and the
public interest. There are several regu-
latory initiatives pending, including
growth on track
audit to be operationally separated
from other activities.
Stricter enforcement is already pro-
viding a stick to motivate change. The
UK Financial Reporting Council levied
almost three times more penalties on
accounting firms in 2018-19 leading the
Big Four to set aside £162m to pay
recoveries, and more stimulus has future legal claims and fines. But where
ECONOMY tended to go with more growth. is the carrot? So far, audit fees have held
This has pushed unemployment up despite rules forcing companies to
Martin down and created more jobs than
Sandbu observers thought was safely possible.
The “Phillips curve” that warns of infla-
tion rising when labour markets
The profession should
become too tight has been quiescent. pull away from consulting
Second, the longer demand keeps and refocus on users
T
he right remedy for the expanding, the greater the benefits
trade cycle is not to be for the least fortunate. Those on the of corporate accounts
found in abolishing booms margins of the labour market are typi-
and thus keeping us perma- cally hurt first and worst in a downturn. former drug addicts and ex-prisoners, inflationary pressures, the benefits of would avoid premature tightening — tender their audits more frequently.
nently in a semi-slump; but Conversely, only when the economy is for example — now being not just hired driving employment higher for those on and the subsequent need to loosen. Investors may even be willing to pay
in abolishing slumps and thus keeping kept in Keynes’s “quasi-boom” does it but trained to earn their keep by the margins, and the possibility that Another would be to shift the focus higher bills for higher quality audits.
us permanently in a quasi-boom.” bring them towards acceptable levels of employers struggling to fill vacancies. supply capacity adjusts to satisfy from how the economy performs on After all, they — and their computerised
Thus wrote John Maynard Keynes in unemployment and wage growth. We are entitled to hope for a third les- demand pressures. average to how it performs for those on stock screens — rely on the audited
1936. More than 80 years on, his insist- In the US, according to researchers son: that the historical pattern of pro- Because of this sensitivity to eco- its margins. All-economy (un)employ- accounts in the investment process.
ence that governments should continue associated with the US Federal Reserve, ductivity increasing in an upswing will nomic reality, the end of demand stimu- ment and inflation rates could be com- But this debate is about more than
to stimulate demand even in a pro- “when the unemployment rate of also come through this time. The reason lus has been postponed many times. plemented by explicitly taking account money. Donald Brydon’s review of UK
longed upswing is newly relevant. whites increases by 1 percentage point, for procyclical productivity is that Without it, more policymakers would of labour market and wage performance auditing last month called for the crea-
The long, slow recovery from the the unemployment rates of African robust demand growth creates incen- have caused unnecessary slowdowns or for vulnerable groups, trading off higher tion of a new corporate auditing profes-
2008 financial crisis shows how con- Americans and Hispanics rise by well tives for businesses to do more with the downturns — as the eurozone did by tolerance for overall inflation risk sion, separate from accountancy. Its
cerns that demand stimulus had more than 1 percentage point, on aver- same resources once it becomes difficult tightening fiscal and monetary policy against greater expected benefits for ethical principles would go beyond
exhausted its purpose and should be age”. In a recent paper, they found that to expand by just hiring more. in 2011. those often left by the wayside. integrity and independence to empha-
dialled back have been at best prema- when labour markets are particularly We have been lucky in that many poli- But avoiding unforced mistakes is not Third, the effect of demand pressure sise acting in the public interest and
ture. So what have we learnt? The les- tight, this extra advantage for marginal- cymakers, especially central bankers, enough for sound policymaking. At a on productivity growth could be explic- challenging management. Importantly,
sons are remarkably similar in all ised groups becomes even stronger. In have been more willing to believe their minimum, the experiences of the past itly included in forecasts. the new profession would promote a
advanced economies. this sense, aggressive demand stimulus eyes than their theories. They have seen decade call for a much more tolerant Such steps could introduce an infla- forensic accounting mindset — with a
First, demand stimulus works. That becomes more, not less, beneficial the their policies working for longer than attitude to stimulus, whether from tionary bias — but only if there was no place for suspicion — and make clear
simple observation faces surprising longer it goes on. expected. They have noted the positive finance ministries or central banks. Bet- risk of leaving unused economic capac- that auditors must watch out for fraud.
resistance. But those who reject stimu- We can see this phenomenon in many results — often highlighting the lack of ter still would be to incorporate this data ity on the table. But as the past few years Auditors should also be encouraged to
lus because the economy is still in the of the numbers and stories that describe formally in the formulation of policy have shown, that risk is real. In the look outwards, beyond company execu-
doldrums and inflation below target the current state of our economies. In targets — whether central banks’ man- 1980s, economic theory concluded that tives, by giving them a duty to alert
have it the wrong way round. The fact
is that a persistent expansionary policy
the US and the UK, recent wage growth
has been strongest for those paid the
Without it, policymakers dates or rules for government budgets.
In practice, this could mean at least
responsible macroeconomic policy
required policymakers who were more
regulators if they have concerns about a
company’s financial viability. They
— monetary stimulus everywhere, and least. In much of Europe, more of the would have caused three things. One would be to increase hawkish than voters. Today, we need could also become an official port of call
fiscal stimulus in the US and a few other
places — has kept growth on track well
population has a job than ever before.
Anecdotes abound about those previ-
unnecessary slowdowns the burden of proof for scaling back
stimulus on the grounds that the econ-
the opposite. for whistleblowers. More positively,
firms can use external contacts to help
beyond the length of typical economic ously given up as hopeless cases — or downturns omy had reached full capacity. That martin.sandbu@ft.com improve audit quality by asking inves-
tors to suggest questions and concerns
about corporate accounts.
The audit market is set to change in
2020 just as much as it did nearly 20
Supporting your local high street is the best way to be green years ago. At that time, the US created
the Public Company Accounting Over-
sight Board to protect investors and the
public interest. Now the PCAOB is push-
ing US auditors to follow their interna-
purchase of excess food that is never energy expended in flying in stuff from amounts of power in its own right, push- own glass jar for the purpose. She’d then tional colleagues and give investors
SOCIETY eaten. Supporting the shops on your halfway across the world. What’s more, ing it close to the levels consumed by the pop along the high street to source food more information about the most
high street as much as you can is prob- goods are often freely displayed and airline industry. for the next few days, taking it all home important issues, which they call “criti-
Izabella ably one of the easiest and greenest then wrapped in biodegradable paper If shopping on Amazon makes you in her granny trolley. In doing so, she cal audit matters”. Meanwhile the UK is
things you can do. Especially if, like me, for taking home. feel guilty (and it should, since the com- not only did her shopping, she got the set to replace the FRC with a new Audit,
Kaminska you only live a five-minute walk away Compare and contrast that with the pany emitted 44.4m metric tonnes of lowdown on what was happening in the Reporting and Governance Authority
and are able-bodied enough to carry huge amounts of packaging and fuel carbon dioxide in 2018), but you go local community. She also enjoyed a that is expected to have similar clout to
groceries. expended in online delivery. From ahead with it anyway for convenience’s sense of belonging and purpose and got its US peer in dealing with auditors and,
There’s no doubt it’s expensive rela- the endless cardboard boxes to the poly- sake, it is worth considering that it’s some very useful moderate exercise. importantly, company directors.
T
here’s nothing like the hol- tive to the bargains you can get online or styrene and bubble wrap on non-perish- very unlikely we can move ahead with All of this suggests that supporting the Auditors should see these changes as
iday period to make you in car-friendly supermarkets. But, as we able purchases and the never-ending environmental goals without making local high street should become the an opportunity, not a threat. As their
realise just how big your are finally learning, there is more to the our lives more inconvenient. Inconven- green thing to do. By helping to foster a autonomy from consulting increases,
environmental footprint is. cost of produce than simply the price. ience is at the heart of sustainability. sense of local community, it gives people they can rebuild the reputation of their
From the endless packag-
ing, wrapping paper and wasted food
There are also worthwhile offsets
based on the sheer friction of having
We are finally learning Former US vice-president Al Gore inad-
vertently acknowledged this when he
a vested interest in maintaining and
looking after the local habitat.
profession. Opportunities also abound
as investors seek independent audits of
to the electricity commandeered by to go to the high street and carry your that there is more named his 2006 climate awareness film It’s not that we have to entirely aban- alternative performance measures
festive lighting, for many, Christmas is a
time when consumption is celebrated
purchases home. Click-happy impulse
purchases don’t happen when you’re
to the cost of An Inconvenient Truth.
Convenience, however, is relative. If
don online convenience. Just that we
have the means and choice to be flexi-
including those applied to environmen-
tal, social and governance factors.
for consumption’s sake. limited to what you can comfortably produce than the price we all slow down together to compen- ble. Simply doing a bit more shopping Audit firms will be more attractive to
But this Christmas I learnt how to transport in person. That makes shop- sate for the additional time needed to do on the high street is enough to make a talented recruits if they are seen as serv-
keep a check on it all without wanting, ping more informed and discerning, single-use plastic on anything fresh. things more sustainably, there’s nothing difference. ing the interests of savers, lenders and
Scrooge-like, to destroy the holiday saving on waste. Then consider unbundled deliveries, really lost in terms of relative perform- So let 2020 be the year the high street the economy. That is what the public
altogether. Forgoing online shopping There are other advantages, too. which can see products ordered simul- ance. On the contrary, there are benefits makes a comeback for the environ- interest in capital markets is about — a
on sites like Amazon and Ocado in If you’re lucky, the local grocer, fish- taneously delivered separately and at to be gained as well. ment’s sake. The revival of the granny prize well worth pursuing.
favour of the local high street can make monger, butcher and delicatessen will different times. And last but not least, My grandmother used to buy sauer- shopping trolley is optional.
a real difference in terms of plastic con- provide a fantastic range of seasonal the fact that the information technology kraut from large reusable barrels in The writer is a former member of the FRC’s
sumption, fuel expenditure and the local produce, which saves on the sector, especially servers, uses huge local markets in Poland. She’d bring her izabella.kaminska@ft.com Audit and Assurance Council
10 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES Wednesday 8 January 2020
Today’s temperatures
PRESSURE LABELS
1030
Amsterdam Cloudy 12 Malta Fair 14
Athens Fair 9 Manila Fair 32
1010 9 4 0 9 4 0
Bangkok Sun 35 Melbourne Fair 24
5 5 Barcelona Fair 16 Mexico City Sun 22
LOW HIGH 5 950 950
4 Seoul LOW Beijing Fair 5 Montreal Snow -1
1 0 3 0 Beijing 9 6 0 9 6 0
5 12 Berlin Rain 9 Moscow Cloudy 2
HIGH Tokyo Brussels Rain 13 Mumbai Sun 29
970 970
Islamabad 7 Budapest Fair 3 Munich Cloudy 5
LOW Shanghai 1000 9 8 0 Sun 9 8 0
Buenos Aires 33 Nairobi Rain 24
1010 LOW 1020 1010 Chicago Sun
990 990 -4 New York Fair 6
Delhi HIGH 19
Copenhagen Cloudy 10 Oslo Sun 8
Kolkata Taipei 1
Dallas Sun 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 18 Paris Cloudy 13
24 24 Delhi Rain 17 Perth Sun 29
27 Hong Kong 1010 1010
Mumbai Hanoi Doha Sun 23 Prague Cloudy 4
33 Dubai Sun 1020 1 0 2 0 27 Rio Thunder 33
Yangon
32 Dublin Cloudy 8 Rome Sun 14
35 Manila 1030
Edinburgh Fair 1030 7 San Francisco Fair 14
Bangkok 1010 1040
Frankfurt Rain 1040 8 Seoul Cloudy 4
34 Geneva Cloudy 7 Shanghai Fair 7
Ho Chi Minh City
Hamburg Rain 11 Singapore Shower 30
Colombo Kuala Brunei
32 Hong Kong Sun 24 Stockholm Fair 11
33 Lumpur
Istanbul Rain 7 Sydney Rain 25
30 31 Jakarta Thunder 31 Taipei Cloudy 19
Singapore
Johannesburg Drizzle 26 Tokyo Shower 12
32 00
5 30 Karachi Sun 23 Toronto Cloudy
00
-3
00
Kuala Lumpur Thunder 33 Vancouver Cloudy 5
33 Kuwait Sun 22 Venice Sun 8
00
Lisbon Sun 00 Vienna Fair
16 6
London Rain 12 Washington Sun 8
Forecasts by Los Angeles 00 Fair 18 Wellington Cloudy
00 16
Wind speed Luxembourg Rain 00 9 Yangon Sun 33
in KPH Madrid Sun 16 Zurich Cloudy 7
CROSSWORD ACROSS
1 Player taken off before victory
4 Supreme folkloric spirit of the
skies with no leader (8)
No. 16,368 Set by ARTEXLEN against Germany (4-6) 5 Girl chose to bake mixed
7 Start avoiding university money vegetables (5,10)
owed (4) 6 Fish restricted by bloody wound
9 Empty pub close to collapse (4) (6)
10 Calling for loud noises to 7 Select dress, oddly, that is
disperse (10) invaded by insect (9)
11 Look good with Cockney woman 8 Prosper as gang from the south
(6) admits defeat (7)
12 Motivate men heading off 14 Too eager a shot very botched
before capturing US soldiers (8) (9)
13 Urbane director receives an 16 Swimmer from south-east
honour when retired (8) region acquiring bye (male)
15 Host involved in popular (3,5)
mystery (4) 18 Inform journalist you heard
17 Cultural feature this writer about alien uprising (7)
duplicated (4) 20 Turned up extract from Phoebe:
19 I caught bird around small Lunar Goddess – fine piece (7)
calves, perhaps (8) 21 Begin cladding front of ugly
22 Bird’s to head-butt door (8) house (6)
23 Thwart outlaw sailors reported 24 Rules indoors most regularly
(6) ignored (5)
25 Neglected sheep attached to
tether (10) Solution 16,367
26 Apart from head, fish is & $ 1 2 3 < 6 & 5 ( : 7 2 3
thrashing (4) 2 $ 2 $ 0 ( $
1 2 7 , 1 * . 1 ( ( ' ( ( 3
27 Large sin avoiding new tax (4) 6 7 < , 7 7 $
28 Authoritarian marks a test 2 3 , $ 7 ( ( 1 7 , 5 ( 7 <
0 ( $ 2 1 ( & 5 $
JOTTER PAD wrong (10) 0 $ 6 6 , ) 9 +
( 7 / 2 % ( / , $ 5 6
DOWN $ % 8
5
1
/
2 %
6 8
7
5 (
0
7 <
0
2 Letter from Greek celebrity / 2 5 ' 6 + , 3 3 2 ' , 8 0
raised issue (7) 0 , 8 & % 1 (
2 1 ( $ 5 0 ( ' % $ 1 ' , 7
3 Engineers puncturing little part 1 ) ( 7 + ( 5
of tyre (5) ' ( 6 7 5 2 < 6 ( 1 ( 5 * <
Wednesday 8 January 2020 ★ 11
Under water Market climate changes as Hard won Oligarchs’ reluctance to pass
city debt levels spark concern — ANALYSIS, PAGE 19 on riches reflects history — INSIDE EUROPE, PAGE 12
COMPANIES
INSIDE BUSINESS
Banks
RUSSIA
A
Switzerland’s largest bank is merging utives had become concerned the bank fully pursued a similar lending-driven Mr Khan and Mr Naratil hope that sk any Russian oligarch how he made his for-
its private-bank financing, capital mar- was “too bureaucratic”, with some peo- and regional strategy during his six closing the expensive, standalone ultra- tune and you will almost certainly get a well-
kets and sales operations with those at ple suggesting that several layers of years at Credit Suisse. high net worth division and folding it rehearsed, rags-to-riches story of a plucky
the investment bank, according to a management could be eliminated with- Under Mr Khan’s predecessor Martin into the global family office will reduce self-made entrepreneur who took advantage
memo yesterday seen by the FT, which out damaging performance. Blessing, the wealth management divi- expenses and boost high-margin lend- of a lucky opportunity. Ask him how he plans
was confirmed by a spokeswoman. The memo said the changes would sion suffered a 10 per cent drop in pre- ing to a wider range of customers. to give it away and you are likely to get a blank stare.
The changes follow UBS’s plans, allow employees to spend more time tax profit in the first nine months of They also hope to source more high- Tycoons who snapped up plum industrial assets in the
reported last month, to break up its ded- with clients and create a “division 2019 as inflows slowed and clients yielding private-market investments 1990s through rigged auctions, murky bank loans or
icated unit for the ultra-wealthy. Mr agnostic approach to financing” by shifted to more conservative products, for clients trying to offset ultra-low or straightforward theft, and then deftly protected their
Khan and his US-based wealth co-head more closely linking wealth and asset or moved into cash, in light of a more negative interest rates, the memo says. gains through political manoeuvring and Kremlin ties
must soon contemplate how to pass on their empires.
The looming transition will be critical. A single genera-
tion of oligarchs in their late sixties or early seventies con-
trols vast swaths of Russia’s $1.7tn economy. All grew up in
Financials. Custody a country where private property was banned for 70 years
under Soviet rule and regulations safeguarding corporate
State Street pivots towards outsourcing ownership since 1991 have flexed to suit those in power.
Just as many are keenly watching the Kremlin for clues
to what Vladimir Putin may do as the end of his fourth
term as president approaches in 2024. The future of many
of the largest business groups, and thus control of Russia’s
most important economic assets, is also up for question.
Custody bank adds ‘front “Life is not for ever. Life is a gift. You must squeeze
office’ services to significantly sweetness from this gift from God. Some businessmen, like
Warren Buffett, find sweetness in working every day. I
reduce client operating costs think we have a much more interesting time in our life
doing things other than making money,” Alisher Usmanov,
ROBERT ARMSTRONG — BOSTON who controls the USM industrial group, told the Financial
“The industry’s pain becomes our gain,” Times last week.
says Ron O’Hanley, chief executive of Mr Usmanov said he had already drawn up plans for the
State Street — providing a neat sum- division of his $16.5bn empire, including lists of names of
mary of his strategy for the Boston- those who would be offered shares.
based custody bank. “Many people have helped me. So I want to help my
The industry in question is not bank- management and my relatives by giving them my shares,”
ing, but asset management, where State he said. “Fifty per cent to family, 50 per cent to manage-
Street’s key customers operate. ment, who deserve this, in my view.” The shares would be
In recent years asset managers have sold “at a friends and family price”.
passed plenty of their pain on to custody Mr Usmanov’s public disclosure of a plan to step down
banks such as State Street, BNY Mellon from his businesses is rare among Russian tycoons. Many
and Northern Trust. With revenues have sought to make themselves indispensable to their
under pressure from the rise of low-cost companies or have built reporting systems where even the
passive investing, money managers are smallest decisions must be
less willing to pay up for custodians’ signed off by them, down to,
back office services: settling trades, in one case, overtime pay for
‘We have a much
holding securities, keeping records and cleaners at company head- more interesting
exchanging currencies. This comes on quarters.
top of other pressures on custody banks, Aside from some form of
time doing things
notably falling interest rates and corre- advisory board or nominal other than
spondingly lower interest income. group of directors, typically
State Street is expected to report reve- created on the advice of a
making money’
nues of about $11.6bn for 2019, down 3 London-based public rela-
per cent from the year before. The tions company and stuffed with friends or retired western
decline in profitability has been more politicians, many lack any form of solid corporate govern-
dramatic: in the first three quarters of ance structure to take over in the event of an unforeseen
2019, return on equity, at 9.5 per cent, change of ownership.
was 4 percentage points lower than the But they will soon need to explain to others just how to
year before. run conglomerates that have been built and controlled, by
Mr O’Hanley thinks the shake-out in and large, by one man for more than two decades, sprawl-
asset management will continue, and ing across industries and sectors as a testament to their
with it the pressure on custodial fees. fluctuating whims.
His solution? Sell a wider range of serv- State Street Street received from competitors to management business — which pio- developed in-house, Mr O’Hanley said, Some have taken tentative steps. Vladimir Evtush-
ices, becoming a full-service adminis- shares have Charles River in front-office software. neered the index-tracking exchange- meaning there are enough potential enkov, 71, in 2018 gave 5 per cent of his Sistema holding
trative outsourcer and helping money rallied recently, (The other big players in the front-end traded fund that has undercut tradi- new clients for the Charles River busi- company to his son.
managers take costs out of their busi- appearing to space are Bloomberg and BlackRock’s tional active managers. ness without having to wrestle away Others have little idea who will run their empires when
nesses. vindicate the Aladdin platform.) Investors and their advisers have those who have already picked Bloomb- they are gone. Vagit Alekperov, 69, who controls Lukoil,
The centrepiece of the strategy was bank’s strategy Mr O’Hanley recalls with a quiet laugh always looked to drive down fund fees, erg or BlackRock. Russia’s second-largest oil producer, has admitted that he
the $2.6bn acquisition of Charles River under Ron what the offers amounted to: they he said, but after the financial crisis “it Investors will have to trust State expects to run the company into his seventies and cannot
Development in July of 2018. Charles O’Hanley, below wanted to sell State Street’s custody became seared in people’s brains: the Street on the strength of the deal pipe- imagine his son taking over in the future.
River provides order management and Albin Lohr-Jones
offering to their own clients, have access sure way to increase your investment line for now, he said, but “front-to- Russia has much to gain from the passing of control of
analytics tools for traders — what is to the data the custody business gener- returns — the only sure way — is to lower back” deals combining its traditional many of the country’s largest business groups from one
known in the asset management indus- ates, and control the client relation- your costs”. To top it off, the relative per- and newly acquired offerings are com- man to a group of shareholders.
try as “front office” software. The vision ships. formance of active managers has been ing in faster than anticipated. “There Diversified shareholdings should mean more transpar-
is that combining trading software with “Well, that sounds good; how many of poor since the financial crisis. has only been one deal announced pub- ent operations and stronger corporate governance. Pass-
State Street’s “middle office” tax and those can I have?” he says wryly. State Most asset managers use trading tools licly [with Lazard Asset Management], ing on shares to trusted lieutenants would also signal confi-
accounting software and “back office” Street was at risk of ending up “in a posi- there is a second one not public, then dence in safeguards protecting private property, the lack
custody services would allow State tion where we would be doing all the State Street’s rebound there are five or six that are working of which has damaged Russia’s standing among foreign
Street to lower clients’ total operating hard work yet being paid commodity their way through [negotiations].” investors during the past two decades.
costs significantly. rates”, he said. Share price ($) Even asset managers with trillions of Crony capitalism, where political influence reigns and
Yet investors panned the deal when it It made more sense to own all the 120 dollars under management are inter- the Kremlin-run security services and bureaucrats wield
was first announced. State Street’s value to be gained from combining trad- Acquisition of ested in outsourcing, he said. The ongo- more power than the market economy, relies heavily on a
shares fell 8 per cent on the day, and fell ing and custody tools, he said. “We went Charles River ing pain means it is an industry that will tiny group of men controlling the biggest businesses.
another 40 per cent before they bot- from viewing the situation as purely 100 continue to consolidate, with passive The starkest illustration of this becomes evident every
tomed over a year later, underperform- defensive to, ‘let’s go on the offence’.” investment strategies driving out sub- December when Mr Putin summons about 50 business-
ing even those of slumping peer custody Mr O’Hanley, who became State par active managers, and the most effi- men to the Kremlin for an annual get-together. The men
banks. That the shares have rallied since Street chief executive a year ago, knows 80 cient passive managers driving out the who control all the biggest businesses in Russia fit around
— State Street is the best-performing a thing or two about the pressure on less efficient. one meeting table. Many of them have been reluctant to
large bank stock over the past six asset managers. He founded the 60 And the winners will be decided, in share their wealth but soon will be forced to.
months — contributes to Mr investment management prac- large part, by the ability to control costs. If every oligarch left their shares to a few dozen people,
O’Hanley’s confidence in the tice at McKinsey and then “Twenty years ago, I don’t think you Mr Putin would probably find he does not have a room big
deal. served as an executive at BNY 40 could find a CEO in [asset management] enough to host them all. When it comes to reforming
The idea of acquiring Mellon’s asset management arm Jan 2018 2019 Dec who could tell you, hey, what percentage Russia’s economy, that would be a welcome sign.
Charles River had its genesis and Fidelity before joining State of your costs are operations,” he said.
Source: Bloomberg
in partnership offers State Street in 2015 to run its own asset “Now its very much on the CEOs’ henry.foy@ft.com
agenda.”
Fillip for Burford after US class action dropped Woodford pair take £13.8m in dividends
KATE BEIOLEY yesterday revealed the case had been Burford also drew criticism from OWEN WALKER — LONDON One investor caught in the fund said withdrawals in its final two years and
withdrawn by the plaintiffs and dismiss- Muddy Waters about its decision to the payments to Mr Woodford and Mr was forced to suspend the Equity
Litigation funder Burford Capital said a Neil Woodford and his business part-
ed. The company added there was “no remain listed solely on London’s Aim Newman were “reward for absolute and Income fund last summer, causing
class action against it in the US had ner shared £13.8m in dividends in his
litigation pending against Burford at despite its size, resulting in less onerous abject failure”. Europe’s biggest investment scandal for
been dropped and reiterated its plan to company’s final full financial year, even
present other than ordinary course skir- disclosure requirements. He added: “UK society is crying out a decade.
pursue a listing on the US stock market, as investors deserted its funds due to
mishing within a small number of ongo- Burford rejected Muddy Waters’ for a more moral and sustainable form Equity Income investors are due to
triggering a brief spike in the com- chronic underperformance.
ing funded investment matters”, and claims, saying they contained inaccura- of capitalism but this is the polar oppo- receive a little more than half of their
pany’s shares yesterday.
said it wanted to list on the US bourse. cies and “fallacious insinuations”, and Mr Woodford, who is in the process of site. I suspect the only reason we don’t money back this month, with 56 per
The class action was brought by a group Shares in Burford rose by almost 14 said it was to formally apply for a US list- winding up his company with a skeleton have a Fred Goodwin repeat scenario of cent of the stricken fund’s assets sold by
of shareholders invested in a less com- per cent to 779p in early trading after ing on either the New York or Nasdaq staff, received two-thirds of the final public disgrace is that legislators are too BlackRock. But the fate of the remaining
monly traded Burford security in the update, before falling back to 708p. stock exchange, and was preparing to dividend payment, which brings the focused on Brexit. Shame.” assets, which are smaller and unlisted
August last year. They alleged that Bur- The disclosure comes after US short submit a registration statement to the total personally reaped by Mr Woodford The pair recently travelled to China in companies and harder to sell, is yet to be
ford had made false and misleading seller Muddy Waters attacked the com- US SEC. It added that it did not plan to and Craig Newman to £112m since 2014. an attempt to court interest for a new determined.
statements and manipulated its finan- pany last year, accusing it of flattering issue new equity as part of the listing. At least 300,000 investors are still business, having seen UK investors In 2016 Mr Woodford and Mr New-
cial metrics to create an inaccurate pic- its performance and manipulating ret- The update set out the management trapped in Mr Woodford’s flagship desert the once feted manager in droves. man restructured their business in a
ture of returns to investors. urns in an assault that led to the comp- shake-up promised by the company last Equity Income fund which was sus- Mr Woodford’s company once man- way that enabled them to be paid in div-
Burford denied those allegations and any losing half its market value in a day. year after Muddy Waters’ criticism. pended in June. aged £15bn, but suffered heavy investor idends, reducing their personal tax rate.
Wednesday 8 January 2020 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES 13
COMPANIES
Automobiles. Strategy
Frontrunner for Renault leadership quits Seat Total and Apache hail discovery off Suriname
PETER CAMPBELL AND JOE MILLER Seat said Mr de Meo resigned “on his officer Clotilde Delbos, acting chief MYLES MCCORMICK AND since May last year. Total shares were 600,000 people. Its GDP per capita was
DAVID SHEPPARD — LONDON
own request and in common agreement executive, is also still in contention for unmoved. less than $6,000 in 2017, according to
Renault’s appointment of a new chief with the Volkswagen Group”. The the permanent position, if Mr de Meo “We are very pleased with this first the World Bank, with bauxite mining its
executive inched closer yesterday after Oil producers Total and Apache
brand’s finance director Carsten Isensee does not join. announced a “significant oil discovery” significant oil discovery,” said Kevin largest industry, alongside some small-
the external frontrunner Luca de Meo will assume the presidency of Seat until Mr de Meo, who speaks five lan- McLachlan, senior vice-president for scale oil production of less than 20,000
quit as head of Volkswagen’s Seat yesterday that they said proves oil-rich
further notice. guages, has presided over a recovery of rock formations off the coast of Guyana exploration at Total. “We are optimistic barrels a day.
brand. Renault declined to comment. the Seat brand from laggard at VW to about the large remaining potential of John Christmann, Apache chief exec-
cross into Suriname waters, where they
The Italian executive will remain Renault has been searching for a chief one of its fastest-growing marques, with are exploring. the area still to be discovered and will utive and president, said that prelimi-
employed by the German group, but has executive to replace Thierry Bolloré, profits in 2018 rising 24 per cent to test several other prospects on the same nary data from the Maka Central drill-
given up responsibilities for the Spanish who was ousted at the end of last year. €286m. The companies heralded the potential block.” ing “indicates the potential for prolific
nameplate that he has run for the past The new leader will need to deal with Sales for first nine months in 2019 for “prolific” oil production after drill- Exxon has discovered an estimated oil wells”.
four years. an increasingly tough market in rose almost 10 per cent, boosted by a ing work at the Maka Central-1 well off 6bn barrels equivalent of recoverable oil “Block 58 comprises 1.4m acres and
Mr de Meo is the favourite to take Renault’s European heartlands, invest new range of sport utility vehicles and the coast of the South American nation and gas in its Stabroek block off Guyana offers significant potential beyond the
the helm at the French carmaker, in new electric vehicles, and patch up its strong sales in the southern European showed that the neighbouring Guyanese since it started drilling in 2015, making discovery at Maka Central,” he added.
and the only remaining external candi- strained relationship with global alli- market. Cretaceous oil play — in which rival the South American nation one of the But analysts were slightly more scep-
date for the role, but must first agree ance partner Nissan. Mr de Meo, who also looked after ExxonMobil has discovered billions of world’s most promising areas for off- tical. Bob Brackett at Bernstein said it
an exit package with VW as well as Relations between the two sides has VW’s broader business in Spain, barrels equivalent of recoverable oil and shore oil exploration. was difficult to judge the significance of
joining details at Renault, according to been tested to breaking point over the was seen as a potential successor to gas — extends into local waters. A discovery of significant commercial the find “given lack of complete disclo-
two people familiar with the negotia- past year, following the arrest of Carlos VW Group’s chief executive Herbert The two companies each own a 50 per oil deposits off Suriname could have sure” in relation to it.
tions. Ghosn in Japan in November 2018 on Diess and had been passed over several cent stake in Block 58, where the well major implications for the former “The discovery could be transforma-
A non-compete clause in his current financial misconduct charges that he times for senior posts within the com- was drilled, after Total bought into it last Dutch colony, which is one of the small- tional for Apache but we lack details and
contract forms part of the negotiations, denies. pany, including at his former brand month. Shares in Apache rose 20 per est countries in Latin America and currently (and highly conservatively)
according to one of the people. The French carmaker’s chief financial Audi. cent on the news to their highest level which has a population of less than ascribe no value,” he said.
14 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES Wednesday 8 January 2020
COMPANIES
Retail
Technology Banks
MARKET DATA
S&P 500 New York S&P/TSX COMP Toronto FTSE 100 London Xetra Dax Frankfurt Nikkei 225 Tokyo Kospi Seoul
3,238.03 7,573.85
13,226.83 2,175.54
17,168.34 23,575.72
3,117.43 16,854.92 7,188.50 12,964.68 23,379.81 2,088.65
Day -0.25% Month 2.25% Year 16.69% Day 0.37% Month 1.50% Year 13.79% Day -0.02% Month 2.26% Year 11.74% Day 0.76% Month -0.07% Year NaN% Day 1.60% Month 0.22% Year 8.62% Day 0.95% Month -2.91% Year 0.64%
Nasdaq Composite New York IPC Mexico City FTSE Eurofirst 300 Europe Ibex 35 Madrid Hang Seng Hong Kong FTSE Straits Times Singapore
9,075.68 28,322.06
44,091.09 1,632.69 9,579.80
3,247.86
8,570.70 42,191.92 1,575.15 9,270.80
26,498.37 3,174.19
Day 0.05% Month 2.92% Year 20.43% Day -0.91% Month -4.94% Year 0.16% Day 0.19% Month 2.47% Year 19.83% Day -0.22% Month 3.48% Year 8.67% Day 0.34% Month -4.30% Year -1.20% Day 0.90% Month -2.08% Year 2.54%
Dow Jones Industrial New York Bovespa São Paulo CAC 40 Paris FTSE MIB Milan Shanghai Composite Shanghai BSE Sensex Mumbai
3,104.80
28,597.78 116,308.77 6,012.35 23,723.38
40,869.47
22,728.59 40,445.15
27,677.79 110,622.27 5,799.68 2,917.32
Day -0.37% Month 1.90% Year 12.30% Day -0.49% Month 6.18% Year 32.05% Day -0.02% Month 2.48% Year 25.77% Day 0.60% Month 0.94% Year 26.58% Day 0.69% Month -2.24% Year 9.90% Day 0.47% Month -0.06% Year 14.54%
Country Index Latest Previous Country Index Latest Previous Country Index Latest Previous Country Index Latest Previous Country Index Latest Previous Country Index Latest Previous
Argentina Merval 40742.51 41469.66 Cyprus
CSE M&P Gen 68.46 68.68 Italy FTSE Italia All-Share 25810.47 25656.17 Philippines Manila Comp 7840.70 7797.87 Taiwan Weighted Pr 11880.32 11953.36 Cross-Border DJ Global Titans ($) 368.37 369.51
Australia All Ordinaries 6943.60 6857.40 Czech Republic
PX 1117.64 1118.43 FTSE Italia Mid Cap 40050.05 39808.72 Poland Wig 58255.30 58603.27 Thailand Bangkok SET 1585.23 1568.50 Euro Stoxx 50 (Eur) 3763.09 3752.52
S&P/ASX 200 6826.40 6735.70 OMXC Copenahgen 20
Denmark 1121.71 1119.71 FTSE MIB 23723.38 23581.29 Portugal PSI 20 5230.07 5235.89 Turkey BIST 100 112599.92 111412.70 Euronext 100 ID 1153.09 1151.80
S&P/ASX 200 Res 5041.90 5018.30 Egypt
EGX 30 13212.66 13283.66 Japan 2nd Section 7339.74 7253.12 PSI General 3381.83 3386.10 UAE Abu Dhabi General Index 5056.74 5007.68 FTSE 4Good Global ($) 7993.53 8002.13
Austria ATX 3189.50 3202.74 Estonia
OMX Tallinn 1284.37 1278.65 Nikkei 225 23575.72 23204.86 Romania BET Index 9885.48 9865.83 UK FT 30 3282.10 3281.50 FTSE All World ($) 374.03 373.90
Belgium BEL 20 3984.73 3971.78 Finland
OMX Helsinki General 9956.70 9988.49 S&P Topix 150 1422.80 1400.33 Russia Micex Index 3078.87 3076.37 FTSE 100 7573.85 7575.34 FTSE E300 1632.69 1629.54
BEL Mid 8684.12 8690.92 France
CAC 40 6012.35 6013.58 Topix 1725.05 1697.49 RTX 1568.35 1564.18 FTSE 4Good UK 7011.30 7013.73 FTSE Eurotop 100 3172.14 3168.72
Brazil Bovespa 116308.77 116877.92 SBF 120 4729.76 4727.87 Jordan Amman SE 1827.19 1828.52 Saudi-Arabia TADAWUL All Share Index 8198.97 8206.13 FTSE All Share 4209.34 4206.97 FTSE Global 100 ($) 2018.86 2021.46
Canada S&P/TSX 60 1021.48 1018.26 Germany M-DAX 28287.08 28193.27 Kenya NSE 20 2706.38 2673.94 Singapore FTSE Straits Times 3247.86 3218.86 FTSE techMARK 100 5974.37 5965.07 FTSE Gold Min ($) 1919.92 1909.39
S&P/TSX Comp 17168.34 17105.47 TecDAX 3036.83 3001.20 Kuwait KSX Market Index 6633.44 6603.51 Slovakia SAX 345.78 350.31 USA DJ Composite 9372.58 9390.08 FTSE Latibex Top (Eur) 4440.00 4432.20
S&P/TSX Div Met & Min 632.78 641.84 XETRA Dax 13226.83 13126.99 Latvia OMX Riga 1034.95 1038.18 Slovenia SBI TOP 873.85 - DJ Industrial 28597.78 28703.38 FTSE Multinationals ($) 2249.34 2246.49
Chile S&P/CLX IGPA Gen 24505.10 24342.37 Greece Athens Gen 924.69 922.77 Lithuania OMX Vilnius 723.90 721.30 South Africa FTSE/JSE All Share 57384.41 57195.35 DJ Transport 10869.79 10848.73 FTSE World ($) 665.24 665.30
China FTSE A200 11067.75 10998.30 FTSE/ASE 20 2307.72 2302.61 Luxembourg LuxX 1365.67 1365.41 FTSE/JSE Res 20 49762.13 50037.80 DJ Utilities 869.05 870.03 FTSEurofirst 100 (Eur) 4476.83 4471.93
FTSE B35 9000.71 8988.96 Hong Kong Hang Seng 28322.06 28226.19 Malaysia FTSE Bursa KLCI 1611.04 1597.76 FTSE/JSE Top 40 51154.44 50999.61 Nasdaq 100 8854.38 8848.52 FTSEurofirst 80 (Eur) 5153.63 5141.98
Shanghai A 3253.19 3230.80 HS China Enterprise 11198.75 11165.41 Mexico IPC 44091.09 44495.30 South Korea Kospi 2175.54 2155.07 Nasdaq Cmp 9075.68 9071.47 MSCI ACWI Fr ($) 566.38 566.79
Shanghai B 264.16 261.54 HSCC Red Chip 4519.67 4520.61 Morocco MASI 12138.94 12154.94 Kospi 200 291.23 288.43 NYSE Comp 13895.42 13941.80 MSCI All World ($) 2364.49 2363.12
Shanghai Comp 3104.80 3083.41 Hungary Bux 44490.80 44658.76 Netherlands AEX 609.71 607.24 Spain IBEX 35 9579.80 9600.90 S&P 500 3238.03 3246.28 MSCI Europe (Eur) 1691.43 1699.36
Shenzhen A 1874.48 1850.21 India BSE Sensex 40869.47 40676.63 AEX All Share 876.40 872.80 Sri Lanka CSE All Share 6026.09 6069.93 Wilshire 5000 32990.65 33065.14 MSCI Pacific ($) 2818.18 2852.59
Shenzhen B 974.39 969.73 Nifty 500 9805.40 9747.40 New Zealand NZX 50 11629.86 11627.32 Sweden OMX Stockholm 30 1795.51 1785.23 Venezuela IBC 98580.19 93048.36 S&P Euro (Eur) 1709.32 1705.19
Colombia COLCAP 1676.49 1658.77 Indonesia Jakarta Comp 6279.35 6257.40 Nigeria SE All Share 27339.68 26968.79 OMX Stockholm AS 688.38 686.60 Vietnam VNI 958.88 955.79 S&P Europe 350 (Eur) 1684.99 1681.18
Croatia CROBEX 2013.05 2011.29 Ireland ISEQ Overall 7246.53 7210.63 Norway Oslo All Share 1043.78 1047.16 Switzerland SMI Index 10686.80 10665.41 S&P Global 1200 ($) 2632.57 2634.94
Israel Tel Aviv 125 1617.15 1617.15 Pakistan KSE 100 41904.47 41296.24 Stoxx 50 (Eur) 3420.52 3418.62
(c) Closed. (u) Unavaliable. † Correction. ♥ Subject to official recalculation. For more index coverage please see www.ft.com/worldindices. A fuller version of this table is available on the ft.com research data archive.
CURRENCIES
DOLLAR EURO POUND DOLLAR EURO POUND DOLLAR EURO POUND DOLLAR EURO POUND
Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's Closing Day's
Jan 7 Currency Mid Change Mid Change Mid Change Jan 7 Currency Mid Change Mid Change Mid Change Jan 7 Currency Mid Change Mid Change Mid Change Jan 7 Currency Mid Change Mid Change Mid Change
Argentina Argentine Peso 59.8246 -0.0014 66.6532 -0.2895 78.4925 -0.2384 Indonesia Indonesian Rupiah 13875.0000 -65.0000 15458.7699 -139.4937 18204.6236 -140.3986 Poland Polish Zloty 3.8075 0.0204 4.2420 0.0045 4.9955 0.0118 ..Three Month 0.7625 0.0023 0.8489 -0.0011 - -
Australia Australian Dollar 1.4559 0.0137 1.6221 0.0083 1.9102 0.0122 Israel Israeli Shekel 3.4680 -0.0058 3.8639 -0.0232 4.5502 -0.0213 Romania Romanian Leu 4.2878 0.0207 4.7772 0.0025 5.6257 0.0102 ..One Year 0.7634 0.0023 0.8481 -0.0011 - -
Bahrain Bahrainin Dinar 0.3771 0.0000 0.4201 -0.0018 0.4947 -0.0014 Japan Japanese Yen 108.6200 0.3050 121.0183 -0.1814 142.5141 -0.0281 Russia Russian Ruble 62.0057 0.2219 69.0832 -0.0501 81.3541 0.0468 United States United States Dollar - - 1.1141 -0.0048 1.3120 -0.0040
Bolivia Bolivian Boliviano 6.9100 - 7.6987 -0.0333 9.0662 -0.0273 ..One Month 108.6198 0.3046 121.0184 -0.1814 142.5140 -0.0284 Saudi Arabia Saudi Riyal 3.7514 - 4.1796 -0.0181 4.9220 -0.0148 ..One Month - - 1.1139 -0.2018 1.3122 -0.0040
Brazil Brazilian Real 4.0854 0.0350 4.5517 0.0194 5.3602 0.0298 ..Three Month 108.6195 0.3039 121.0184 -0.1813 142.5138 -0.0288 Singapore Singapore Dollar 1.3511 0.0017 1.5053 -0.0046 1.7726 -0.0031 ..Three Month - - 1.1135 -0.2018 1.3124 -0.0040
Canada Canadian Dollar 1.3017 0.0043 1.4503 -0.0014 1.7079 0.0006 ..One Year 108.6178 0.3006 121.0186 -0.1809 142.5140 -0.0298 South Africa South African Rand 14.3160 0.0850 15.9501 0.0262 18.7832 0.0553 ..One Year - - 1.1116 -0.2019 1.3133 -0.0040
Chile Chilean Peso 769.6900 -2.0950 857.5456 -6.0481 1009.8666 -5.8004 Kenya Kenyan Shilling 101.3000 0.2500 112.8628 -0.2077 132.9100 -0.0715 South Korea South Korean Won 1166.4000 -5.7500 1299.5377 -12.0469 1530.3673 -12.1789 Venezuela Venezuelan Bolivar Fuerte - - - - - -
China Chinese Yuan 6.9376 -0.0368 7.7295 -0.0746 9.1024 -0.0759 Kuwait Kuwaiti Dinar 0.3032 -0.0001 0.3378 -0.0015 0.3978 -0.0013 Sweden Swedish Krona 9.4478 0.0397 10.5262 -0.0011 12.3959 0.0148 Vietnam Vietnamese Dong 23176.0000 -1.0000 25821.4447 -112.6360 30407.9839 -92.9326
Colombia Colombian Peso 3263.0000 14.7300 3635.4528 0.7796 4281.1976 6.4822 Malaysia Malaysian Ringgit 4.0930 -0.0110 4.5602 -0.0320 5.3702 -0.0307 Switzerland Swiss Franc 0.9719 0.0031 1.0828 -0.0012 1.2751 0.0002 European Union Euro 0.8975 0.0039 - - 1.1776 0.0015
Costa Rica Costa Rican Colon 571.9200 -0.8850 637.2013 -3.7425 750.3838 -3.4261 Mexico Mexican Peso 18.8845 0.0735 21.0401 -0.0086 24.7773 0.0221 Taiwan New Taiwan Dollar 30.0545 -0.0235 33.4850 -0.1709 39.4328 -0.1498 ..One Month 0.8973 0.0039 - - 1.1775 0.0015
Czech Republic Czech Koruna 22.6720 0.1026 25.2599 0.0057 29.7466 0.0454 New Zealand New Zealand Dollar 1.5076 0.0084 1.6797 0.0021 1.9780 0.0050 Thailand Thai Baht 30.1825 0.0450 33.6277 -0.0949 39.6007 -0.0601 ..Three Month 0.8969 0.0039 - - 1.1774 0.0015
Denmark Danish Krone 6.7075 0.0288 7.4731 -0.0001 8.8005 0.0114 Nigeria Nigerian Naira 363.7500 0.8300 405.2699 -0.8217 477.2557 -0.3460 Tunisia Tunisian Dinar 2.7928 0.0072 3.1115 -0.0054 3.6642 -0.0016 ..One Year 0.8950 0.0039 - - 1.1765 0.0015
Egypt Egyptian Pound 16.0705 0.0260 17.9049 -0.0482 21.0852 -0.0293 Norway Norwegian Krone 8.8545 0.0520 9.8652 0.0156 11.6175 0.0335 Turkey Turkish Lira 5.9765 0.0043 6.6587 -0.0240 7.8414 -0.0180
Hong Kong Hong Kong Dollar 7.7763 0.0082 8.6640 -0.0282 10.2029 -0.0200 Pakistan Pakistani Rupee 155.0550 -0.0100 172.7536 -0.7573 203.4389 -0.6263 United Arab Emirates UAE Dirham 3.6732 - 4.0924 -0.0177 4.8193 -0.0145
Hungary Hungarian Forint 297.4824 2.6658 331.4383 1.5514 390.3098 2.3320 Peru Peruvian Nuevo Sol 3.3286 0.0110 3.7085 -0.0037 4.3672 0.0013 United Kingdom Pound Sterling 0.7622 0.0023 0.8492 -0.0011 - -
India Indian Rupee 71.8212 -0.1163 80.0192 -0.4757 94.2326 -0.4370 Philippines Philippine Peso 50.7600 -0.1700 56.5540 -0.4345 66.5993 -0.4244 ..One Month 0.7623 0.0023 0.8491 -0.0011 - -
Rates are derived from WM Reuters Spot Rates and MorningStar (latest rates at time of production). Some values are rounded. Currency redenominated by 1000. The exchange rates printed in this table are also available at www.FT.com/marketsdata
UK SERIES
FTSE ACTUARIES SHARE INDICES www.ft.com/equities FT 30 INDEX FTSE SECTORS: LEADERS & LAGGARDS FTSE 100 SUMMARY
Produced in conjunction with the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries Jan 07 Jan 06 Jan 03 Jan 02 Jan 01 Yr Ago High Low Year to date percentage changes Closing Day's Closing Day's
£ Strlg Day's Euro £ Strlg £ Strlg Year Div P/E X/D Total FT 30 3282.10 3281.50 3296.60 3304.50 3273.90 0.00 3314.70 3245.50 Tobacco 3.56 Household Goods & Ho 0.72 Personal Goods 0.28 FTSE 100 Price Change FTSE 100 Price Change
Jan 07 chge% Index Jan 06 Jan 03 ago yield% Cover ratio adj Return FT 30 Div Yield - - - - - 0.00 3.93 2.74 Oil & Gas Producers 3.50 Mobile Telecomms 0.71 FTSE SmallCap Index 0.27 3I Group PLC 1086.5 -2.00 Legal & General Group PLC 307.20 2.20
FTSE 100 (100) 7573.85 -0.02 6950.98 7575.34 7622.40 6861.60 4.34 1.40 16.52 0.78 7010.73 P/E Ratio net - - - - - 0.00 19.44 14.26 Oil & Gas 3.44 Telecommunications 0.71 Electricity 0.24 Admiral Group PLC 2289 8.00 Lloyds Banking Group PLC 63.11 -0.14
FTSE 250 (250) 21832.68 0.33 20037.16 21760.53 21988.19 18175.79 2.98 1.49 22.45 4.19 17002.21 FT 30 since compilation: 4198.4 high: 19/07/1999; low49.4 18/02/1900Base Date: 1/7/35 Automobiles & Parts 2.81 Fixed Line Telecomms 0.71 Travel & Leisure 0.23 Anglo American PLC 2160 15.00 London Stock Exchange Group PLC 7440 -60.00
FTSE 250 ex Inv Co (189) 23223.30 0.31 21313.42 23152.50 23392.96 19175.99 3.12 1.39 23.06 1.95 18490.32 FT 30 hourly changes Consumer Goods 1.17 Health Care Eq & Srv 0.63 Support Services 0.21 Antofagasta PLC 922.00 13.20 M&G PLC 244.80 -1.80
FTSE 350 (350) 4262.43 0.04 3911.89 4260.67 4290.29 3807.03 4.10 1.41 17.31 0.50 7880.63 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 High Low Aerospace & Defense 1.13 Equity Invest Instr 0.61 Food Producers 0.20 Ashtead Group PLC 2398 -6.00 Meggitt PLC 659.40 -2.40
FTSE 350 ex Investment Trusts (288) 4207.83 0.02 3861.78 4206.86 4235.46 3764.97 4.18 1.40 17.14 0.42 4013.51 3281.5 3296.1 3299 3120.5 3298.4 3296.8 3284.8 3283.9 3285.3 3303 3279.6 NON FINANCIALS Index 1.09 Gas Water & Multi 0.56 Consumer Services 0.09 Associated British Foods PLC 2672 57.00 Melrose Industries PLC 238.60 0.20
FTSE 350 Higher Yield (110) 3692.90 0.00 3389.20 3692.93 3708.42 3460.65 5.86 1.27 13.49 0.28 7419.69 FT30 constituents and recent additions/deletions can be found at www.ft.com/ft30 FTSE 100 Index 1.06 Financials 0.50 Media 0.07 Astrazeneca PLC 7645 22.00 Mondi PLC 1737 10.00
FTSE 350 Lower Yield (240) 4490.26 0.08 4120.98 4486.45 4530.39 3804.42 2.29 1.78 24.47 0.73 5216.77 Software & Comp Serv 1.02 Utilities 0.49 Industrial Transport -0.05 Auto Trader Group PLC 570.00 -7.00 Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets PLC 195.50 3.05
FTSE SmallCap (274) 5975.53 0.50 5484.10 5945.91 5966.52 5295.95 3.49 0.80 35.66 3.52 9268.59 FTSE All{HY-}Share Index 0.93 FTSE 250 Index 0.48 Food & Drug Retailer -0.06
FTSE SmallCap ex Inv Co (155) 4928.94 0.58 4523.59 4900.36 4910.69 4408.02 3.97 0.85 29.62 1.64 8043.66 FX: EFFECTIVE INDICES Mining 0.92 Financial Services 0.46 General Retailers -0.07
Aveva Group PLC 4724 48.00 National Grid PLC 942.60 -3.70
Aviva PLC 417.40 3.40 Next PLC 6902 -42.00
FTSE All-Share (624) 4209.34 0.06 3863.17 4206.93 4235.65 3758.89 4.08 1.39 17.63 0.57 7863.07
Jan 06 Jan 03 Mnth Ago Jan 07 Jan 06 Mnth Ago Technology 0.85 Industrials 0.43 Chemicals -0.11 Bae Systems PLC 590.20 1.60 Nmc Health PLC 1494.5 -177.00
FTSE All-Share ex Inv Co (443) 4125.94 0.03 3786.62 4124.52 4152.17 3691.88 4.17 1.39 17.29 0.43 3997.83 Leisure Goods 0.83 Industrial Eng 0.43 Beverages -0.21 Barclays PLC 183.14 2.16 Ocado Group PLC 1325.5 54.00
FTSE All-Share ex Multinationals (550) 1279.94 0.30 973.59 1276.10 1286.98 1096.75 3.57 1.20 23.41 0.33 2506.66 Australia - - - Sweden - - - Pharmace & Biotech 0.79 Life Insurance 0.39 Real Est Invest & Tr -0.29 Barratt Developments PLC 762.20 14.40 Pearson PLC 642.80 8.00
FTSE Fledgling (99) 9829.21 0.11 9020.86 9818.27 9832.64 10063.10 3.31 -0.34 -87.50 7.71 19727.93 Canada - - - Switzerland - - - Health Care 0.77 Real Est Invest & Se 0.39 Forestry & Paper -0.31 Berkeley Group Holdings (The) PLC 4844 -15.00 Persimmon PLC 2727 38.00
FTSE Fledgling ex Inv Co (44) 11771.03 0.37 10802.99 11727.24 11741.98 14607.86 5.18 -1.44 -13.39 9.78 23255.56 Denmark - - - UK 80.56 80.12 81.13 Banks 0.73 Construct & Material 0.36 Oil Equipment & Serv -0.86 Bhp Group PLC 1784.8 9.60 Phoenix Group Holdings PLC 749.60 3.50
FTSE All-Small (373) 4139.02 0.48 3798.62 4119.36 4133.19 3695.92 3.48 0.74 38.59 2.48 8236.19 Japan - - - USA - - - Basic Materials 0.73 Nonlife Insurance 0.30 Industrial Metals & -0.99 BP PLC 498.80 -5.30 Polymetal International PLC 1207 -14.50
FTSE All-Small ex Inv Co (199) 3673.60 0.58 3371.49 3652.53 3660.14 3324.74 4.00 0.76 32.82 1.28 7594.31 New Zealand - - - Euro - - - Electronic & Elec Eq 0.29 Tech Hardware & Eq -1.61 British American Tobacco PLC 3406 56.00 Prudential PLC 1442 12.50
FTSE AIM All-Share (750) 957.93 -0.29 879.15 960.68 964.07 891.96 1.56 1.34 48.15 0.05 1091.12 Norway - - -
British Land Company PLC 618.60 3.60 Reckitt Benckiser Group PLC 6138 -18.00
FTSE Sector Indices Source: Bank of England. New Sterling ERI base Jan 2005 = 100. Other indices base average 1990 = 100. Bt Group PLC 192.08 -1.16 Relx PLC 1893 -5.50
Oil & Gas (12) 8655.20 -0.78 7943.39 8723.50 8639.68 9048.54 6.10 1.40 11.71 0.00 9208.34 Index rebased 1/2/95. for further information about ERIs see www.bankofengland.co.uk Bunzl PLC 2052 -16.00 Rentokil Initial PLC 442.40 -10.10
Oil & Gas Producers (8) 8390.77 -0.79 7700.71 8457.82 8378.47 8731.09 6.10 1.41 11.65 0.00 9249.54 Burberry Group PLC 2164 -24.00 Rightmove PLC 634.80 -5.40
Oil Equipment Services & Distribution (4) 8800.70 -0.14 8076.93 8812.85 8596.35 12068.05 6.20 0.97 16.58 0.00 7564.81 FTSE GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX SERIES Carnival PLC 3466 -15.00 Rio Tinto PLC 4440 10.00
Basic Materials (25) 6317.61 0.39 5798.05 6293.20 6394.27 5893.42 5.33 2.45 7.67 0.00 7259.74 Centrica PLC 87.66 -1.92 Rolls-Royce Holdings PLC 668.20 -8.80
Chemicals (8) 14083.23 0.15 12925.03 14061.59 14175.30 14541.53 2.40 2.20 18.91 0.00 13296.49 Jan 3 No of US $ Day Mth YTD Total
YTD Gr Div Jan 3 No of US $ Day Mth YTD Total YTD Gr Div Coca-Cola Hbc AG 2620 -8.00 Royal Bank Of Scotland Group PLC 240.60 0.60
Forestry & Paper (1) 21337.31 0.58 19582.53 21214.47 21705.82 20852.09 4.15 2.44 9.88 0.00 25200.97 Regions & countries stocks indices % % % retn
% Yield Sectors stocks indices % % % retn % Yield Compass Group PLC 1861 2.00 Royal Dutch Shell PLC 2299 -14.50
Industrial Metals & Mining (2) 3977.89 1.34 3650.75 3925.32 4029.95 4827.89 17.69 1.48 3.83 0.00 4682.60 FTSE Global All Cap 8874 638.10 -0.5 4.8 0.2 963.27
0.3 2.3 Oil & Gas Producers 102 356.90 0.2 0.2 1.1 647.78 1.1 4.4 Crh PLC 3031 8.00 Royal Dutch Shell PLC 2290.5 -18.50
Mining (14) 18119.99 0.39 16629.80 18050.09 18345.73 16583.11 5.51 2.51 7.22 0.00 10969.25 FTSE Global Large Cap 1795 569.35 -0.5 5.1 0.3 884.39
0.4 2.4 Oil Equipment & Services 38 268.22 0.4 0.4 0.1 429.63 0.1 4.6 Croda International PLC 5090 -5.00 Rsa Insurance Group PLC 564.80 3.80
FTSE Global Mid Cap 2136 828.91 -0.5 4.2 0.0 1179.58
0.0 2.2 Basic Materials 351 509.80 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 839.87 -0.8 3.3 Dcc PLC 6430 26.00 Sage Group PLC 735.20 -1.00
Industrials (105) 5984.65 -0.01 5492.47 5985.29 6019.58 4864.03 2.39 1.11 37.68 2.16 6557.94
Construction & Materials (15) 7348.75 0.06 6744.39 7344.45 7413.32 5473.34 2.58 0.68 57.08 0.00 8303.88 FTSE Global Small Cap 4943 865.04 -0.3 4.2 0.0 1185.72
0.0 2.0 Chemicals 161 740.17 -1.0 -1.0 -1.3 1211.35 -1.3 2.7 Diageo PLC 3184.5 1.00 Sainsbury (J) PLC 231.00 4.40
Aerospace & Defense (10) 5308.04 -0.08 4871.51 5312.45 5273.23 4679.60 2.35 -0.18 -242.23 0.00 6016.82 FTSE All-World 3931 374.26 -0.5 4.9 0.3 597.66
0.3 2.4 Forestry & Paper 20 276.47 -1.1 -1.1 -0.6 509.49 -0.6 3.6 Easyjet PLC 1370 17.00 Schroders PLC 3266 7.00
General Industrials (6) 5173.05 0.70 4747.62 5137.33 5194.38 4284.90 3.16 0.89 35.56 0.00 6371.44 FTSE World 2582 665.56 -0.5 4.7 0.2 1426.84
0.2 2.4 Industrial Metals & Mining 91 378.06 -0.9 -0.9 0.0 626.71 0.0 4.2 Evraz PLC 393.10 6.10 Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust PLC 587.00 6.00
Electronic & Electrical Equipment (10)10166.37 -0.15 9330.29 10181.58 10261.28 7600.66 1.43 2.04 34.35 0.00 9678.55 FTSE Global All Cap ex UNITED KINGDOM In 8566 667.10 -0.5 4.7 0.3 989.34
0.3 2.2 Mining 79 727.37 -0.3 -0.3 -0.2 1219.40 -0.2 3.8 Experian PLC 2530 -6.00 Segro PLC 883.40 -7.60
Industrial Engineering (12) 14728.66 -0.11 13517.38 14745.45 14807.30 12057.25 2.32 1.52 28.39 0.00 18997.33 FTSE Global All Cap ex USA 7071 520.61 -0.3 5.3 0.4 853.47
0.4 3.0 Industrials 751 452.11 -0.4 -0.4 0.7 684.15 0.7 1.9 Ferguson PLC 6948 42.00 Severn Trent PLC 2474 -24.00
Industrial Transportation (6) 3888.62 0.99 3568.82 3850.67 3931.73 3619.03 6.22 0.86 18.69 0.00 3933.86 FTSE Global All Cap ex JAPAN 7525 656.96 -0.6 5.1 0.2 1001.36
0.2 2.3 Construction & Materials 147 553.69 -0.7 -0.7 -0.1 877.58 -0.1 2.3 Flutter Entertainment PLC 9454 88.00 Smith & Nephew PLC 1832.5 20.50
Support Services (46) 9052.06 -0.13 8307.62 9064.13 9136.98 7310.08 2.16 1.71 27.06 7.00 9952.40 FTSE Global All Cap ex Eurozone 8215 667.22 -0.5 4.8 0.2 986.68
0.3 2.3 Aerospace & Defense 37 921.17 1.0 1.0 2.9 1376.01 2.9 1.8 Glaxosmithkline PLC 1762.4 -8.00 Smith (Ds) PLC 383.10 1.40
FTSE Developed 2167 606.61 -0.5 4.5 0.2 923.38
0.2 2.3 General Industrials 64 230.30 -0.7 -0.7 1.0 379.50 1.0 2.2 Glencore PLC 237.00 0.70 Smiths Group PLC 1720 21.00
Consumer Goods (43) 20394.20 0.48 18716.99 20296.77 20371.91 17493.09 4.09 1.59 15.35 1.01 16681.65
FTSE Developed All Cap 5678 634.71 -0.5 4.5 0.1 953.01
0.2 2.3 Electronic & Electrical Equipment 133 511.14 -0.5 -0.5 0.4 702.79 0.4 1.7 Halma PLC 2093 2.00 Smurfit Kappa Group PLC 2894 24.00
Automobiles & Parts (2) 5217.91 -4.67 4788.79 5473.56 5651.82 6950.80 2.09 0.07 709.63 0.00 5334.48
FTSE Developed Large Cap 896 565.13 -0.6 4.7 0.2 874.98
0.2 2.4 Industrial Engineering 152 832.89 -0.7 -0.7 0.4 1251.81 0.4 2.4 Hargreaves Lansdown PLC 1872 - Spirax-Sarco Engineering PLC 8950 -10.00
Beverages (6) 25299.87 -0.02 23219.21 25305.15 25337.76 21895.60 2.20 1.76 25.71 0.00 18960.47
FTSE Developed Europe Large Cap 233 384.83 -0.5 5.8 0.2 700.06
0.2 3.5 Industrial Transportation 127 757.96 -0.6 -0.6 0.1 1153.70 0.1 2.2 Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC 1882.5 -29.50 Sse PLC 1423.5 -18.50
Food Producers (11) 8137.68 0.36 7468.44 8108.41 8090.78 6864.97 2.27 2.10 20.96 7.75 7462.02
FTSE Developed Europe Mid Cap 349 630.06 -1.1 6.0 -0.4 1010.39
-0.3 2.9 Support Services 91 506.62 -0.4 -0.4 0.4 726.56 0.4 1.4 HSBC Holdings PLC 583.40 -1.80 St. James's Place PLC 1151 4.00
Household Goods & Home Construction (14)15158.92 0.58 13912.25 15070.86 15163.56 12723.37 3.98 1.88 13.33 0.00 11945.70
FTSE Dev Europe Small Cap 726 897.28 -1.0 7.2 -0.1 1387.22
-0.1 2.7 Consumer Goods 542 509.46 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 804.00 -0.2 2.6 Imperial Brands PLC 1947.2 36.20 Standard Chartered PLC 701.60 -5.40
Leisure Goods (2) 16986.90 0.41 15589.90 16918.35 16768.87 9748.70 2.85 1.33 26.40 0.00 17507.28
FTSE North America Large Cap 260 698.64 -0.7 4.8 0.2 1001.32
0.3 1.9 Automobiles & Parts 132 380.97 -0.7 -0.7 0.0 587.33 0.0 3.2 Informa PLC 853.40 1.60 Standard Life Aberdeen PLC 314.40 -10.90
Personal Goods (6) 32637.52 -0.86 29953.42 32921.69 33219.42 30592.85 3.09 2.60 12.44 0.00 23758.92
FTSE North America Mid Cap 412 945.03 -0.4 3.7 -0.1 1251.27
-0.1 1.7 Beverages 65 704.64 -0.3 -0.3 -0.5 1121.91 -0.5 2.3 Intercontinental Hotels Group PLC 5074 -14.00 Taylor Wimpey PLC 194.40 1.00
Tobacco (2) 36266.02 1.71 33283.50 35654.73 35712.11 29961.91 6.79 1.10 13.37 0.00 27465.66
FTSE North America Small Cap 1329 953.62 -0.2 3.3 -0.1 1221.20
-0.1 1.6 Food Producers 132 682.81 0.5 0.5 0.1 1098.13 0.1 2.2 International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. 617.00 7.00 Tesco PLC 254.50 0.50
Health Care (18) 12835.05 0.00 11779.50 12835.33 12971.72 10493.88 3.33 1.02 29.37 0.00 10806.35
FTSE North America 672 459.64 -0.7 4.6 0.2 673.37
0.2 1.9 Household Goods & Home Construction 59 501.37 -0.6 -0.6 -1.0 786.50 -1.0 2.5 Intertek Group PLC 5708 -102.00 Tui AG 972.00 3.80
Health Care Equipment & Services (9) 8365.72 0.33 7677.72 8338.51 8504.35 6903.98 1.67 2.27 26.33 0.00 7562.14
FTSE Developed ex North America 1495 272.48 -0.3 4.5 0.2 481.21
0.2 3.1 Leisure Goods 42 242.20 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 329.89 0.0 1.2 Itv PLC 150.00 1.45 Unilever PLC 4287.5 -37.00
Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology (9) 17661.26 -0.04 16208.80 17668.99 17836.01 14421.12 3.54 0.95 29.81 0.00 13336.95
FTSE Japan Large Cap 184 399.08 0.2 1.2 2.4 Personal Goods
0.6 547.16
0.6 99 900.31 -0.3 -0.3 -0.1 1322.42 -0.1 1.8 Jd Sports Fashion PLC 816.80 0.40 United Utilities Group PLC 934.00 -3.60
Consumer Services (85) 5655.59 0.43 5190.48 5631.55 5686.89 4887.86 2.80 1.68 21.26 0.74 5699.19 FTSE Japan Mid Cap 321 632.18 0.2 1.1 0.6 823.90
0.6 2.1 Tobacco 13 1001.84 0.7 0.7 0.5 2370.47 0.5 6.0
Food & Drug Retailers (6) 4379.44 1.13 4019.27 4330.67 4358.60 3653.04 2.48 1.41 28.50 0.00 5404.03 Johnson Matthey PLC 2935 -1.00 Vodafone Group PLC 146.66 -0.42
FTSE Global wi JAPAN Small Cap 844 699.99 0.2 2.4 0.6 944.20
0.6 2.0 Health Care 280 608.16 -0.6 -0.6 -0.4 919.48 -0.4 1.9 Just Eat PLC 868.80 13.60 Whitbread PLC 4795 -7.00
General Retailers (25) 2418.64 0.94 2219.73 2396.08 2406.44 1974.51 2.78 1.66 21.66 0.24 3010.73
FTSE Japan 505 168.15 0.2 1.2 2.3 Health Care Equipment & Services
0.6 258.18
0.6 95 1167.30 -0.6 -0.6 -0.4 1395.20 -0.4 0.9 Kingfisher PLC 228.00 8.40 Wpp PLC 1071 7.00
Media (18) 9236.90 0.01 8477.25 9235.56 9292.42 7967.82 2.89 1.87 18.50 3.34 6114.86
FTSE Asia Pacific Large Cap ex Japan 935 731.89 -0.3 6.5 0.7 1236.96
0.7 2.7 Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology 185 408.66 -0.6 -0.6 -0.4 653.15 -0.4 2.4 Land Securities Group PLC 993.20 10.20
Travel & Leisure (36) 10007.13 0.30 9184.15 9977.27 10140.70 8956.66 2.84 1.62 21.68 0.00 10185.12
FTSE Asia Pacific Mid Cap ex Japan 820 869.66 -0.1 5.4 0.4 1411.14
0.4 3.0 Consumer Services 453 561.02 -0.7 -0.7 0.6 778.06 0.6 1.4
Telecommunications (6) 2271.10 -0.33 2084.33 2278.54 2289.22 2435.47 5.83 0.02 751.80 0.00 3001.10 FTSE Asia Pacific Small Cap ex Japan 1743 544.70 -0.4 5.3 0.3 864.19
0.3 3.0 Food & Drug Retailers 65 293.19 -0.5 -0.5 -0.6 433.58 -0.5 2.5
Fixed Line Telecommunications (3) 2362.77 -0.57 2168.46 2376.42 2380.57 2744.54 7.55 1.45 9.11 0.00 2582.49
Mobile Telecommunications (3) 3330.68 -0.21 3056.77 3337.78 3357.92 3447.73 5.05 -0.95 -20.76 0.00 3941.85
FTSE Asia Pacific Ex Japan
FTSE Emerging All Cap
1755 572.02
3196 799.03
-0.2
-0.3
6.4
8.0
0.7 1027.02
0.7 2.8 General Retailers
1.1 1281.59
1.1 2.9 Media
150 913.21
90 385.98
-0.7
-0.7
-0.7
-0.7
0.9 1221.32
0.5 538.89
0.9
0.5
1.0
1.4
UK STOCK MARKET TRADING DATA
Utilities (8) 7651.52 -0.79 7022.26 7712.59 7759.20 6547.79 5.69 0.39 45.37 0.00 10179.00 FTSE Emerging Large Cap 899 766.69 -0.3 8.2 1.2 1238.03
1.2 2.8 Travel & Leisure 148 520.60 -0.7 -0.7 0.5 735.66 0.5 1.9 Jan 07 Jan 06 Jan 03 Jan 02 Dec 31 Yr Ago
Electricity (3) 8273.61 -1.30 7593.19 8382.56 8408.55 6631.44 6.74 -0.30 -48.70 0.00 14332.95 FTSE Emerging Mid Cap 865 981.65 -0.1 7.9 0.8 1570.05
0.9 3.4 Telecommunication 93 159.98 -0.2 -0.2 -0.3 333.83 -0.3 4.3 - - - - - -
Gas Water & Multiutilities (5) 7077.98 -0.64 6495.89 7123.48 7172.84 6173.80 5.38 0.65 28.74 0.00 9342.07 FTSE Emerging Small Cap 1432 762.13 -0.4 6.5 0.8 1171.32
0.8 3.1 Fixed Line Telecommuniations 38 134.65 -0.2 -0.2 -0.6 313.38 -0.6 4.8 Order Book Turnover (m) 80.03 223.19 223.19 1292.39 14.21 13.45
Financials (306) 5119.80 0.13 4698.75 5112.90 5171.37 4600.97 4.08 1.33 18.48 1.35 5241.87 FTSE Emerging Europe 75 443.81 0.2 8.9 0.8 797.57
0.8 6.4 Mobile Telecommunications 55 167.04 -0.3 -0.3 0.1 307.51 0.1 3.5 Order Book Bargains 684663.00 626539.00 626539.00 683238.00 210356.00 210336.00
Banks (10) 3718.77 -0.10 3412.94 3722.32 3762.98 3718.17 5.47 1.30 14.06 0.00 3097.02 FTSE Latin America All Cap 237 1001.65 -0.5 11.7 1.7 1672.43
1.7 3.2 Utilities 187 315.61 -0.2 -0.2 -0.7 669.71 -0.7 3.4 Order Book Shares Traded (m) 1255.00 1049.00 1049.00 1088.00 514.00 487.00
Nonlife Insurance (8) 3678.57 0.23 3376.04 3670.03 3718.62 3506.02 3.88 1.53 16.82 0.00 7068.54 FTSE Middle East and Africa All Cap 332 688.43 -0.5 6.9 -0.2 1155.07
-0.2 3.6 Electricity 130 353.63 -0.1 -0.1 -0.7 739.58 -0.7 3.2 Total Equity Turnover (£m) 4875.26 9732.59 9732.59 6340.49 3106.66 3064.47
Life Insurance/Assurance (7) 8215.65 0.75 7539.99 8154.38 8245.74 7036.24 4.86 1.78 11.54 0.00 8942.40 FTSE Global wi UNITED KINGDOM All Cap In 308 356.24 -0.8 7.3 -0.4 660.48
-0.4 4.2 Gas Water & Multiutilities 57 318.80 -0.3 -0.3 -0.7 698.59 -0.7 3.7 Total Mkt Bargains 830963.00 778486.00 778486.00 807061.00 280204.00 279869.00
Real Estate Investment & Services (19) 2951.05 0.61 2708.35 2933.24 2948.34 2416.81 1.76 1.60 35.53 0.00 8368.58 FTSE Global wi USA All Cap 1803 790.51 -0.6 4.4 1.8 Financials
0.1 1095.09
0.2 849 264.94 -0.6 -0.6 0.2 467.50 0.2 3.2 Total Shares Traded (m) 4001.00 5004.00 5004.00 4389.00 2061.00 2022.00
Real Estate Investment Trusts (41) 2982.02 0.30 2736.78 2973.09 3006.73 2478.23 3.93 -0.03 -976.21 3.72 4133.38 FTSE Europe All Cap 1457 455.36 -0.6 6.0 0.1 797.53
0.1 3.4 Banks 277 213.53 -0.9 -0.9 -0.1 411.51 0.0 4.1 † Excluding intra-market and overseas turnover. *UK only total at 6pm. ‡ UK plus intra-market turnover. (u) Unavaliable.
General Financial (40) 10731.30 -0.41 9848.76 10775.73 10948.59 8271.76 2.81 1.59 22.40 1.03 13395.15 FTSE Eurozone All Cap 659 435.91 -0.8 5.1 0.2 762.77
0.2 3.1 Nonlife Insurance 71 309.27 -0.5 -0.5 0.2 474.21 0.2 2.1 (c) Market closed.
Equity Investment Instruments (181) 11263.46 0.46 10337.15 11211.88 11312.84 9696.45 2.45 1.52 26.88 7.39 6574.47 FTSE RAFI All World 3000 3271 7231.82 -0.6 4.7 0.1 10314.81
0.1 3.2 Life Insurance 60 243.30 -0.6 -0.6 0.8 420.22 0.8 3.2
Non Financials (318) 5013.14 0.03 4600.86 5011.69 5037.42 4466.53 4.08 1.41 17.34 0.44 8203.81 FTSE RAFI US 1000 1053 12863.58 -0.7 4.2 -0.2 17936.35
-0.2 2.4 Financial Services 209 372.06 -0.7 -0.7 0.5 537.22 0.5 1.7
Technology (16) 2267.44 0.32 2080.96 2260.23 2282.63 1785.57 2.74 0.83 43.67 0.00 3113.78 FTSE EDHEC-Risk Efficient All-World 3931 432.75 -0.4 4.2 0.0 638.26
0.0 2.4 Technology 274 363.04 -0.8 -0.8 1.0 460.98 1.0 1.3 All data provided by Morningstar unless otherwise noted. All elements listed are indicative and believed
Software & Computer Services (14) 2496.58 0.38 2291.26 2487.20 2503.18 1988.06 2.82 0.78 45.60 0.00 3627.43 FTSE EDHEC-Risk Efficient Developed Europe 582 337.33 -0.8 5.5 -0.2 551.26
-0.2 3.0 Software & Computer Services 144 614.80 -0.7 -0.7 1.1 732.03 1.1 0.7 accurate at the time of publication. No offer is made by Morningstar or the FT. The FT does not warrant nor
Technology Hardware & Equipment (2) 3985.22 -0.64 3657.47 4010.88 4280.81 2572.83 1.47 2.65 25.59 0.00 4869.57 Oil & Gas 151 367.07 0.2 7.6 0.9 652.12
0.9 4.4 Technology Hardware & Equipment 130 280.12 -1.0 -1.0 0.7 377.38 0.8 1.9 guarantee that the information is reliable or complete. The FT does not accept responsibility and will not be
Alternative Energy 11 124.93 -1.4 -1.4 -1.3 174.98 -1.3 1.2 liable for any loss arising from the reliance on or use of the listed information.
Hourly movements 8.00 9.00 10.00 11.00 12.00 13.00 14.00 15.00 16.00 High/day Low/day Real Estate Investment & Services 152 371.20 -0.2 -0.2 0.5 662.94 0.5 2.9 For all queries e-mail ft.reader.enquiries@morningstar.com
FTSE 100 7588.18 7581.79 7586.07 7589.04 7585.47 7590.19 7574.17 7573.69 7574.24 7603.94 7562.19 The FTSE Global Equity Series, launched in 2003, contains the FTSE Global Small Cap Indices and broader FTSE Global All Cap Indices (large/mid/small cap) as well as the enhanced FTSE All-World index Series (large/
FTSE 250 21834.46 21850.23 21860.11 21878.40 21824.84 21833.33 21800.84 21794.78 21810.82 21899.19 21781.95 mid cap) - please see www.ftse.com/geis. The trade names Fundamental Index® and RAFI® are registered trademarks and the patented and patent-pending proprietary intellectual property of Research Affiliates, LLC
(US Patent Nos. 7,620,577; 7,747,502; 7,778,905; 7,792,719; Patent Pending Publ. Nos. US-2006-0149645-A1, US-2007-0055598-A1, US-2008-0288416-A1, US-2010- 0063942-A1, WO 2005/076812, WO 2007/078399 A2,
Data provided by Morningstar | www.morningstar.co.uk
FTSE SmallCap 5953.79 5959.16 5960.48 5959.64 5959.31 5950.17 5956.15 5956.75 5961.92 5975.53 5944.37
FTSE All-Share 4215.21 4213.02 4215.27 4217.15 4213.83 4215.97 4207.97 4207.58 4208.47 4222.65 4202.34 WO 2008/118372, EPN 1733352, and HK1099110). ”EDHEC™” is a trade mark of EDHEC Business School As of January 2nd 2006, FTSE is basing its sector indices on the Industrial Classification Benchmark - please see
Time of FTSE 100 Day's high:08:13:00 Day's Low14:48:15 FTSE 100 2010/11 High: 7622.40(03/01/2020) Low: 7573.85(07/01/2020) www.ftse.com/icb. For constituent changes and other information about FTSE, please see www.ftse.com. © FTSE International Limited. 2013. All Rights reserved. ”FTSE®” is a trade mark of the London Stock Exchange
Time of FTSE All-Share Day's high:08:13:00 Day's Low14:48:00 FTSE 100 2010/11 High: 4235.65(03/01/2020) Low: 4206.93(06/01/2020) Group companies and is used by FTSE International Limited under licence.
Further information is available on http://www.ftse.com © FTSE International Limited. 2013. All Rights reserved. ”FTSE®” is a trade mark of the
London Stock Exchange Group companies and is used by FTSE International Limited under licence. † Sector P/E ratios greater than 80 are not shown.
For changes to FTSE Fledgling Index constituents please refer to www.ftse.com/indexchanges. ‡ Values are negative.
Figures in £m. Earnings shown basic. Figures in light text are for corresponding period year earlier. §Placing price. *Intoduction. ‡When issued. Annual report/prospectus available at www.ft.com/ir
For more information on dividend payments visit www.ft.com/marketsdata For a full explanation of all the other symbols please refer to London Share Service notes.
Wednesday 8 January 2020 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES 17
18 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES Wednesday 8 January 2020
MARKET DATA
FT 500: TOP 20 FT 500: BOTTOM 20 BONDS: HIGH YIELD & EMERGING MARKET BONDS: GLOBAL INVESTMENT GRADE
Close Prev Day Week Month Close Prev Day Week Month Day's Mth's Spread Day's Mth's Spread
price price change change % change change % change % price price change change % change change % change % Red Ratings Bid Bid chge chge vs Red Ratings Bid Bid chge chge vs
Tesla Mtrs 460.64 451.54 9.10 2.01 42.31 10.1 2.85 Kweichow 1094.53 1077.99 16.54 1.53 -91.27 -7.7 -1.93 Jan 07 date Coupon S* M* F* price yield yield yield US Jan 07 date Coupon S* M* F* price yield yield yield US
Nokia 3.58 3.45 0.13 3.84 0.30 9.1 10.26 AmerAir 27.09 27.32 -0.24 -0.86 -1.60 -5.6 -10.45 High Yield US$ US$
Northrop 375.29 375.83 -0.54 -0.14 31.32 9.1 0.22 Kraft Heinz 30.59 31.31 -0.72 -2.30 -1.54 -4.8 -6.19 HCA Inc. 06/25 7.69 BB- Ba2 BB 120.50 3.51 0.00 0.09 1.86 United Utilities PLC 08/28 6.88 BBB Baa1 A- 121.52 3.90 0.02 0.00 -
Occid Pet 44.64 45.05 -0.42 -0.92 3.43 8.3 -1.51 Carnival 48.40 48.38 0.02 0.03 -2.44 -4.8 0.90 High Yield Euro United Utilities PLC 08/28 6.88 BBB Baa1 A- 121.52 3.90 0.02 0.00 -
ChStConEng 6.02 6.09 -0.07 -1.15 0.46 8.3 -3.04 SBI NewA 318.40 319.00 -0.60 -0.19 -16.00 -4.8 0.77 Aldesa Financial Services S.A. 04/21 7.25 - - B 71.10 28.23 0.00 0.64 25.98 Barclays Bank plc 01/29 4.50 A A2 A+ 108.01 3.46 0.02 -0.03 -
Salesforce 175.50 173.45 2.05 1.18 12.86 7.9 -0.58 Perrigo 49.20 49.28 -0.08 -0.16 -2.46 -4.8 3.52 Barclays Bank plc 01/29 4.50 A A2 A+ 108.01 3.46 0.02 -0.03 -
Sinopec Oil 2.41 2.49 -0.08 -3.21 0.17 7.6 -0.90 GenMotors 34.91 35.84 -0.94 -2.61 -1.70 -4.6 -7.50 Emerging US$ Citigroup Inc. 06/31 3.30 BBB+ A3 A 98.99 3.41 0.02 -0.16 -
Deut Bank 7.43 7.19 0.25 3.47 0.52 7.5 13.60 MediaTek 426.00 424.00 2.00 0.47 -20.50 -4.6 -4.38 Peru 03/19 7.13 BBB+ A3 BBB+ 104.40 2.60 - - 0.34 Citigroup Global Markets Holdings Inc. 02/32 3.63 BBB+ A3 A 98.85 3.74 0.02 -0.03 -
PTT Explor 47.25 47.00 0.25 0.53 3.25 7.4 -8.20 Delphi 12.31 12.38 -0.08 -0.61 -0.53 -4.1 -0.62 Brazil 01/22 12.50 BB- Ba2 BB- 111.56 6.24 0.08 1.21 4.67
Brazil 01/23 2.63 BB- Ba2 BB- 95.75 3.80 -0.01 -0.40 1.29 Euro
GenElectric 11.94 12.14 -0.20 -1.65 0.78 7.0 0.73 Phillips66 107.01 107.81 -0.80 -0.74 -4.40 -3.9 -4.10 Electricite de France (EDF) 04/30 4.63 A- A3 A- 137.45 0.82 -0.01 0.10 -
Lockheed 412.71 413.11 -0.41 -0.10 23.33 6.0 1.86 ICICI Bk 522.90 525.70 -2.80 -0.53 -21.05 -3.9 9.17 Poland 03/23 3.00 A- A2 A- 100.62 2.83 0.01 -0.21 0.58
Turkey 03/23 3.25 - Ba3 BB 88.50 6.59 -0.30 0.91 4.34 The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. 02/31 3.00 BBB+ A3 A 121.70 0.93 0.00 0.02 -
PetroChina 4.13 4.20 -0.07 -1.67 0.23 5.9 -10.05 Firstrand 60.40 60.05 0.35 0.58 -2.40 -3.8 -11.86 The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. 02/31 3.00 BBB+ A3 A 122.92 0.83 0.02 -0.11 -
BP 498.80 504.10 -5.30 -1.05 27.20 5.8 -99.03 Target 123.34 123.58 -0.25 -0.20 -4.88 -3.8 13.14 Mexico 01/25 3.60 BBB+ A3 BBB 105.20 2.50 -0.01 -0.25 0.85
Colombia 01/26 4.50 BBB- Baa2 BBB 109.33 2.75 0.00 -0.15 1.10 AT&T Inc. 12/32 3.55 BBB Baa2 A- 125.40 1.36 0.00 -0.08 -
Hngzh HikVDT 34.40 34.41 -0.01 -0.03 1.82 5.6 -6.82 DiscFinServ 81.70 82.40 -0.70 -0.85 -3.12 -3.7 1.36
Turkey 03/27 6.00 - Ba2 BB+ 101.26 5.82 0.00 0.17 3.07 Yen
CNOOC 13.64 13.72 -0.08 -0.58 0.72 5.6 -9.46 PPG Inds 128.61 129.09 -0.48 -0.37 -4.88 -3.7 2.13
Peru 08/27 4.13 BBB+ A3 BBB+ 103.50 3.66 0.01 -0.02 0.80 Mexico 06/26 1.09 BBB+ A3 BBB 100.69 0.98 -0.02 -0.04 -
Midea 1.17 1.15 0.02 1.74 0.06 5.4 1.89 Shrwin-Will 562.46 563.41 -0.95 -0.17 -21.08 -3.6 0.57
BrAmTob 3406.00 3350.00 56.00 1.67 174.50 5.4 -98.81 Lyondell 91.09 91.31 -0.23 -0.25 -3.40 -3.6 -4.29 Russia 06/28 12.75 BBB- Baa3 BBB 171.93 3.04 -0.02 -0.02 - £ Sterling
HK Exc&Clr 269.80 268.60 1.20 0.45 13.60 5.3 -1.43 Citic Ltd 9.95 10.04 -0.09 -0.90 -0.37 -3.6 -4.32 Emerging Euro innogy Fin B.V. 06/30 6.25 BBB Baa2 A- 128.68 3.20 0.00 -0.01 0.40
Ch Rail Cons 9.07 9.02 0.05 0.55 0.43 5.0 -13.10 Marathon Ptl 58.22 58.22 0.00 0.00 -2.03 -3.4 -6.35 Brazil 04/21 2.88 BB- Ba2 BB- 103.27 0.20 -0.01 -0.10 -1.37 innogy Fin B.V. 06/30 6.25 BBB Baa2 A- 137.45 2.19 -0.03 0.02 -
EOG Res 87.92 88.44 -0.52 -0.59 4.16 5.0 3.56 Bhartiartl 445.10 449.65 -4.55 -1.01 -15.40 -3.3 19.76 Mexico 02/22 1.88 BBB+ A3 BBB 103.70 0.13 0.01 -0.09 -1.44 Interactive Data Pricing and Reference Data LLC, an ICE Data Services company. US $ denominated bonds NY close; all other London
Mexico 04/23 2.75 BBB+ A3 BBB+ 107.76 0.76 0.00 -0.07 -1.56 close. *S - Standard & Poor’s, M - Moody’s, F - Fitch.
Based on the FT Global 500 companies in local currency Based on the FT Global 500 companies in local currency
Bulgaria 03/28 3.00 BBB- Baa2 BBB 117.04 1.00 0.02 -0.15 -1.42
Interactive Data Pricing and Reference Data LLC, an ICE Data Services company. US $ denominated bonds NY close; all
other London close. *S - Standard & Poor’s, M - Moody’s, F - Fitch.
INTEREST RATES: OFFICIAL BOND INDICES VOLATILITY INDICES GILTS: UK CASH MARKET
Jan 07 Rate Current Since Last Mnth Ago Year Ago Day's Month's Year Return Return Jan 07 Day Chng Prev 52 wk high 52 wk low Red Change in Yield 52 Week Amnt
US Fed Funds 1.50-1.75 30-10-2019 2.00-2.25 2.00-2.25 1.25-1.50 Index change change change 1 month 1 year VIX 13.75 -0.10 13.85 24.81 11.03 Jan 07 Price £ Yield Day Week Month Year High Low £m
US Prime 4.75 30-10-2019 5.25 5.25 4.25 Markit IBoxx VXD 13.97 -0.07 14.04 30.37 6.00 - - - - - - - - -
US Discount 2.65 30-09-2019 2.75 2.75 1.75 ABF Pan-Asia unhedged 207.34 0.06 -0.11 -0.11 1.61 8.03 VXN 16.97 -0.22 17.19 29.42 13.58 - - - - - - - - -
Euro Repo 0.00 16-03-2016 0.00 0.00 0.00 Corporates( £) 379.24 -0.12 0.76 0.76 1.18 11.89 VDAX 15.05 -0.92 15.97 - 10.48 - - - - - - - - -
UK Repo 0.75 02-08-2018 0.50 0.50 0.25 Corporates($) 313.74 0.43 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 † CBOE. VIX: S&P 500 index Options Volatility, VXD: DJIA Index Options Volatility, VXN: NASDAQ Index Options Volatility. Tr 4.75pc '20 100.66 0.66 -1.49 0.00 -7.04 -13.16 104.60 100.66 33.70
Japan O'night Call 0.00-0.10 01-02-2016 0.00 0.00--0.10 0.00--0.10 Corporates(€) 238.72 0.01 0.44 0.44 0.47 6.97 ‡ Deutsche Borse. VDAX: DAX Index Options Volatility. Tr 1.5pc '21 100.87 0.66 1.54 3.13 -5.71 -10.81 101.58 100.87 32.84
Switzerland Libor Target -1.25-0.25 15-01-2015 -0.75--0.25 -1.25--0.25 -1.25--0.25 Eurozone Sov(€) 252.67 0.02 0.69 0.69 0.28 7.68 Tr 4pc '22 107.40 0.55 1.85 -1.79 0.00 -28.57 110.12 107.40 38.39
Gilts( £) 352.36 -0.19 1.12 1.12 0.48 8.20 BONDS: BENCHMARK GOVERNMENT Tr 5pc '25 122.27 0.61 5.17 -6.15 7.02 -36.46 126.04 122.14 35.49
INTEREST RATES: MARKET Global Inflation-Lkd 282.08 0.51 0.90 0.90 1.04 8.56 Red Bid Bid Day chg Wk chg Month Year Tr 1.25pc '27 104.37 0.65 4.84 -8.45 4.84 -42.98 107.75 99.97 23.73
Over Change One Three Six One Markit iBoxx £ Non-Gilts 368.92 -0.11 0.70 0.70 0.95 10.03 Date Coupon Price Yield yield yield chg yld chg yld Tr 4.25pc '32 139.05 0.91 1.11 -9.90 -1.09 -37.24 146.36 132.46 35.86
Jan 07 (Libor: Jan 06) night Day Week Month month month month year Overall ($) 263.94 0.49 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 Australia - - - - - - - Tr 4.25pc '36 147.12 1.07 0.94 -9.32 -2.73 -33.54 155.71 137.54 30.11
US$ Libor 1.53700 0.000 0.001 -0.022 1.69213 1.87225 1.89425 1.95488 Overall( £) 354.01 -0.17 0.99 0.99 0.63 8.77 12/21 2.00 102.32 0.80 -0.03 -0.10 0.07 -0.97 Tr 4.5pc '42 165.57 1.21 0.00 -9.02 -3.20 -30.46 176.63 151.48 26.95
Euro Libor -0.57071 -0.004 -0.001 -0.002 -0.52286 -0.41714 -0.37229 -0.27029 Overall(€) 245.52 0.03 0.61 0.61 0.28 6.81 Austria - - - - - - - Tr 3.75pc '52 169.06 1.19 0.85 -9.16 -4.03 -30.81 182.25 148.79 23.87
£ Libor 0.67025 -0.012 0.009 -0.002 0.70350 0.79438 0.86575 0.96438 Treasuries ($) 244.22 0.58 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 02/47 1.50 124.86 0.52 -0.01 -0.12 0.00 -0.84 Tr 4pc '60 192.37 1.13 0.89 -9.60 -4.24 -32.74 209.19 165.39 23.89
Swiss Fr Libor 0.001 -0.77360 -0.67720 -0.61380 -0.48280 FTSE Belgium 06/22 1.40 104.76 -0.56 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 -0.26 Gilts benchmarks & non-rump undated stocks. Closing mid-price in pounds per £100 nominal of stock.
Yen Libor -0.006 -0.09100 -0.04833 0.01500 0.10783 Sterling Corporate (£) - - - - - - 06/47 1.60 120.43 0.77 0.01 -0.07 0.03 -1.00
Euro Euribor
Sterling CDs
-0.007
0.000
-0.45000
0.75000
-0.38500
0.83000
-0.32500
0.89500
-0.24800 Euro Corporate (€) 104.47 -0.05 - - 0.54 -1.73 Canada - - - - - - - GILTS: UK FTSE ACTUARIES INDICES
Euro Emerging Mkts (€) 507.85 1.48 - - 10.32 29.48 03/22 0.50 97.61 1.64 0.03 -0.04 -0.01 -0.21
US$ CDs 0.000 2.45000 2.56000 2.65000 Eurozone Govt Bond 110.04 -0.19 - - -0.34 -0.64 Denmark - - - - - - - Price Indices Day's Total Return Return
Euro CDs - - - - 11/21 3.00 106.88 -0.68 0.00 -0.03 0.03 -0.19 Fixed Coupon Jan 07 chg % Return 1 month 1 year Yield
CREDIT INDICES Day's Week's Month's Series Series 1 Up to 5 Years 90.41 -0.04 2453.76 0.00 1.02 0.59
Short 7 Days One Three Six One Index change change change high low Finland - - - - - - -
04/21 3.50 105.23 -0.61 0.01 -0.01 0.02 -0.13 2 5 - 10 Years 182.94 -0.19 3667.54 -0.21 3.74 0.66
Jan 07 term notice month month month year Markit iTraxx 3 10 - 15 Years 218.10 -0.18 4626.96 -0.04 6.46 0.92
Euro -0.76 -0.46 -0.71 -0.41 -0.65 -0.35 -0.54 -0.24 -0.54 -0.24 -0.52 -0.22 Crossover 5Y 212.23 -0.48 4.95 -7.78 259.86 204.20 France 04/22 3.00 108.35 -0.60 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.26
4 5 - 15 Years 190.63 -0.18 3898.94 -0.15 4.38 0.78
Sterling 0.45 0.55 0.70 0.80 0.78 0.88 0.82 0.97 0.89 1.04 Europe 5Y 44.36 -0.65 0.14 -2.64 59.49 43.29 05/25 0.50 104.73 -0.37 0.00 -0.07 -0.01 -0.55
5 Over 15 Years 368.38 -0.14 5935.78 0.50 12.73 1.17
Swiss Franc - - - - - - - - - - - - Japan 5Y 44.50 -0.56 0.72 -8.49 64.12 43.21 05/48 2.00 130.96 0.78 0.00 -0.09 0.02 -0.86
7 All stocks 185.55 -0.12 3889.84 0.19 7.18 1.08
Canadian Dollar - - - - - - - - - - - - Senior Financials 5Y 54.22 -0.39 2.63 -1.25 69.82 51.13 Germany - - - - - - -
US Dollar 1.48 1.78 1.49 1.79 1.57 1.87 1.73 2.03 1.74 2.04 1.79 2.09 07/22 1.75 105.99 -0.63 0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.13 Day's Month Year's Total Return Return
Markit CDX 02/25 0.50 105.45 -0.55 0.00 -0.08 -0.01 -0.36
Japanese Yen -0.25 -0.05 -0.25 -0.05 -0.20 0.10 -0.20 0.10 -0.10 0.20 -0.10 0.20 Index Linked Jan 07 chg % chg % chg % Return 1 month 1 year
Emerging Markets 5Y 180.79 -1.17 6.88 -19.04 215.60 173.62 08/48 1.25 128.76 0.21 0.00 -0.11 0.01 -0.65
Libor rates come from ICE (see www.theice.com) and are fixed at 11am UK time. Other data sources: US $, Euro & CDs: 1 Up to 5 Years 306.40 -0.05 0.06 -0.90 2491.75 0.06 0.20
Nth Amer High Yld 5Y 280.32 -0.83 1.57 - 302.95 274.89 Greece 02/25 3.00 114.99 1.11 0.04 -0.06 -0.19 -3.46
Tullett Prebon; SDR, US Discount: IMF; EONIA: ECB; Swiss Libor: SNB; EURONIA, RONIA & SONIA: WMBA. 2 Over 5 years 769.14 -0.74 0.85 5.55 5794.59 0.85 6.03
Nth Amer Inv Grade 5Y 45.88 -0.03 0.90 -4.23 63.32 43.98 02/25 3.00 114.99 1.11 0.04 -0.06 -0.19 -3.46
Websites: markit.com, ftse.com. All indices shown are unhedged. Currencies are shown in brackets after the index names. 3 5-15 years 501.33 -0.27 -0.04 2.04 3965.89 -0.04 2.98
Ireland 03/22 0.80 102.81 -0.48 -0.03 -0.05 0.03 -0.30 4 Over 15 years 996.99 -0.89 1.12 6.69 7322.11 1.12 7.00
05/30 2.40 123.29 0.13 0.00 -0.07 0.00 -1.02 5 All stocks 690.35 -0.66 0.75 5.08 5290.15 0.75 5.65
Italy - - - - - - -
COMMODITIES www.ft.com/commodities BONDS: INDEX-LINKED 04/22 1.20 102.62 0.02 0.01 -0.04 -0.11 -1.25 Yield Indices Jan 07 Jan 06 Yr ago Jan 07 Jan 06 Yr ago
06/25 1.50 104.26 0.70 0.00 -0.05 -0.13 -1.58 5 Yrs 0.50 0.47 0.83 20 Yrs 1.23 1.22 1.74
Energy Price* Change Agricultural & Cattle Futures Price* Change Price Yield Month Value No of
03/48 3.45 122.76 2.34 0.01 -0.05 -0.07 -1.27 10 Yrs 0.81 0.79 1.27 45 Yrs 1.11 1.11 1.69
Crude Oil† Jan 62.79 -0.04 Corn♦ Mar 383.75 -1.25 - - Prev return stock Market stocks
Japan - - - - - - - 15 Yrs 1.10 1.09 1.60
Brent Crude Oil‡ 67.98 -0.45 Wheat♦ Mar 547.75 -3.25 Can 4.25%' 21 - - - - - - -
- - - - - - -
RBOB Gasoline† Jan 1.74 -0.01 Soybeans♦ Mar 943.00 10.50 Fr 2.25%' 20 - - - - - - -
06/22 0.10 100.61 -0.15 -0.01 -0.01 0.01 0.04 inflation 0% inflation 5%
Heating Oil† - - Soybeans Meal♦ Mar 302.00 4.00 Swe 0.25%' 22 - - - - - - -
09/47 0.80 111.12 0.38 -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.28 Real yield Jan 07 Dur yrs Previous Yr ago Jan 07 Dur yrs Previous Yr ago
Natural Gas† Jan 2.12 -0.04 Cocoa (ICE Liffe)X Mar 1821.00 33.00 UK 2.5%' 22 112.96 -2.451 -2.445 0.30 15.74 721491.80 28
Netherlands 07/22 2.25 107.33 -0.63 0.00 -0.04 -0.02 -0.19 Up to 5 yrs -2.15 2.87 -2.16 -2.05 -2.65 2.89 -2.67 -2.57
Ethanol♦ - - Cocoa (ICE US)♥ Mar 2505.00 15.00 UK 2.5%' 24 - - - - - - -
07/25 0.25 103.81 -0.43 0.00 -0.09 -0.01 -0.43 Over 5 yrs -1.90 24.64 -1.93 -1.67 -1.92 24.69 -1.95 -1.69
Uranium† Jan 25.15 0.00 Coffee(Robusta)X Jan 1323.00 0.00 UK 2%' 35 - - - - - - -
Carbon Emissions‡ - - Coffee (Arabica)♥ Mar 120.50 -2.05 New Zealand - - - - - - - 5-15 yrs -2.34 9.83 -2.36 -2.00 -2.39 9.84 -2.42 -2.11
US 0.625%' 21 - - - - - - -
White SugarX 363.30 -0.70 05/21 6.00 106.15 1.39 -0.02 -0.04 -0.03 -0.79 Over 15 yrs -1.86 28.95 -1.89 -1.64 -1.87 28.99 -1.90 -1.65
Diesel† - - US 3.625%' 28 - - - - - - -
Sugar 11♥ 13.70 -0.01 Norway - - - - - - - All stocks -1.90 21.91 -1.93 -1.67 -1.93 22.00 -1.96 -1.70
Base Metals (♠ LME 3 Months) Representative stocks from each major market Source: Merill Lynch Global Bond Indices † Local currencies. ‡ Total market
Aluminium 1825.50 -6.50 Cotton♥ Mar 69.80 -0.27 05/21 3.75 103.29 1.31 0.01 0.00 0.03 0.28 See FTSE website for more details www.ftse.com/products/indices/gilts
value. In line with market convention, for UK Gilts inflation factor is applied to price, for other markets it is applied to par
Aluminium Alloy 1375.00 25.00 Orange Juice♥ Mar 98.50 -0.60 Portugal 04/21 3.85 105.61 -0.55 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.42 ©2018 Tradeweb Markets LLC. All rights reserved. The Tradeweb FTSE
amount.
Copper 6148.50 5.50 Palm Oil♣ - - 10/25 2.88 116.35 0.04 0.01 -0.06 -0.07 -1.20 Gilt Closing Prices information contained herein is proprietary to
Lead 1912.50 -6.50 Live Cattle♣ Feb 127.28 0.00 BONDS: TEN YEAR GOVT SPREADS Spain - - - - - - - Tradeweb; may not be copied or re-distributed; is not warranted to be
Nickel 13860.00 50.00 Feeder Cattle♣ Jan 147.60 4.00 01/21 0.05 100.51 -0.42 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.30 accurate, complete or timely; and does not constitute investment advice.
Tin 17075.00 200.00 Lean Hogs♣ Feb 68.55 0.00 Spread Spread Spread Spread Sweden - - - - - - - Tradeweb is not responsible for any loss or damage that might result from the use of this information.
Zinc 2349.00 29.50 Bid vs vs Bid vs vs 06/22 3.50 109.19 -0.31 0.00 0.00 0.03 -0.08
% Chg % Chg Yield Bund T-Bonds Yield Bund T-Bonds Switzerland - - - - - - - All data provided by Morningstar unless otherwise noted. All elements listed are indicative and believed accurate
Precious Metals (PM London Fix)
Gold 1573.10 24.35 Jan 06 Month Year 05/22 2.00 106.65 -0.76 -0.01 -0.04 0.00 -0.05 at the time of publication. No offer is made by Morningstar, its suppliers, or the FT. Neither the FT, nor
Australia - - - Italy - - -
Silver (US cents) 1844.00 23.00 S&P GSCI Spt 441.09 1.39 3.69 United Kingdom - - - - - - - Morningstar’s suppliers, warrant or guarantee that the information is reliable or complete. Neither the FT nor
Austria - - - Japan - - -
Platinum 983.00 0.00 DJ UBS Spot 81.37 -2.39 -4.90 Belgium 0.77 - - Netherlands -0.43 - - 07/22 0.50 99.90 0.54 0.04 -0.02 -0.01 -0.26 Morningstar’s suppliers accept responsibility and will not be liable for any loss arising from the reliance on the
Palladium 2016.00 39.00 TR/CC CRB TR 197.39 3.57 5.25 Canada - - - Norway - - - 09/25 2.00 108.07 0.55 0.03 -0.07 0.01 -0.45 use of the listed information. For all queries e-mail ft.reader.enquiries@morningstar.com
Bulk Commodities M Lynch MLCX Ex. Rtn 231.14 -9.84 -33.05 Denmark - - - Portugal 0.04 - - 07/47 1.50 106.13 1.24 0.02 -0.12 -0.04 -0.57
Iron Ore 94.00 0.00 UBS Bberg CMCI TR 15.03 3.78 5.75 Finland - - - Spain - - - United States - - - - - - - Data provided by Morningstar | www.morningstar.co.uk
GlobalCOAL RB Index 86.00 6.00 LEBA EUA Carbon 26.79 9.26 8.59 France 0.78 - - Switzerland - - - 07/22 1.88 100.77 1.57 0.03 -0.03 -0.07 -0.90
Baltic Dry Index 791.00 -53.00 LEBA CER Carbon 0.19 0.00 -24.00 Germany - - - United Kingdom - - - 05/25 2.13 102.45 1.65 0.03 -0.06 -0.06 -0.90
LEBA UK Power 2720.00 -5.75 -39.61 Greece 1.11 - - United States - - - 11/47 2.75 109.58 2.28 0.03 -0.07 -0.01 -0.71
Sources: † NYMEX, ‡ ECX/ICE, ♦ CBOT, X ICE Liffe, ♥ ICE Futures, ♣ CME, ♠ LME/London Metal Exchange.* Latest prices, $ Interactive Data Pricing and Reference Data LLC, an ICE Data Services company. Interactive Data Pricing and Reference Data LLC, an ICE Data Services company.
unless otherwise stated.
Wednesday 8 January 2020 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES 19
Thai central
Climate change to raise costs bank steps up
effort to curb
for US muni bond issuers soaring baht
EVA SZALAY
Megvii makes headway towards Hong Franklin Templeton heads for sixth year
Kong debut after US sanctions setback of outflows amid hit for Hasenstab fund
GEORGE HAMMOND AND MERCEDES listing this year, after initially aiming for prompted Goldman Sachs to review its RICHARD HENDERSON — NEW YORK eign debt but was wrongfooted by two and fighting the onslaught of passive
RUEHL — HONG KONG
$1bn. There is no timetable for the IPO. role in sponsoring the IPO, though it has key developments last year. His fund investing. Morningstar’s latest esti-
Franklin Templeton is set to mark 2019
Megvii, the $4bn Chinese facial recog- The US commerce department in not withdrawn from the deal. largely missed the rally in US govern- mates show Franklin Templeton edged
with more outflows than any other US
nition company under US sanctions, October put Megvii on its so-called Megvii said in 2018 that to the best of ment bonds. He also faced steep losses ahead of Invesco, which suffered $20bn
fund manager, according to the latest
has cleared a big hurdle on its way to a entity list, accusing the company of aid- its knowledge only 1 per cent of its reve- on Argentine debt as President Maurico in outflows for the first 11 months of
data from research group Morningstar,
Hong Kong stock market debut, ing the “repression, mass arbitrary nue — which that year was about $200m Macri was swept from office with his 2019, and T Rowe Price, with $17bn.
led by an exodus of investors from a
putting its $500m initial public offer- detention and high-technology surveil- — was derived from projects in Xinjiang. holding of Argentina’s bonds falling Companies are set to confirm full-year
bond fund run by emerging markets
ing back on track. lance” against Uighurs and other pre- It said it did not generate any revenue $1.8bn in a single day. The fund fell short figures in the coming weeks.
guru Michael Hasenstab.
dominantly Muslim minorities in the from Xinjiang in the six months to the of its benchmark, the FTSE World Gov- T Rowe Price said those outflows had
The stock exchange’s 27-member listing Xinjiang region. It also accused the com- end of June 2019. Megvii was also men- Investors clawed back $21bn from the ernment Bond index, by 5.3 per cent. been offset by inflows into other funds it
committee has cleared Megvii to pub- pany of “acting contrary to the foreign tioned in a May report from Human company’s mutual funds and exchange Other funds to lose assets included runs, such as investment trusts.
lish a new prospectus, according to peo- policy interests of the US”. Rights Watch about surveillance in Xin- traded funds in the first 11 months of The share price of Franklin
ple involved in the process. The bourse The blacklisting of the company jiang but HRW has since withdrawn that last year, a rate of $430m per week, Resources, Franklin Templeton’s parent
said in November that the company had allegation. according to the data.
[Hasenstab] faced steep company, has halved over the past five
to provide more information about the The company, founded in 2011 and The outflows extend a string of annual losses on Argentine debt years and none of the dozen analysts
effect of US sanctions on its operations. known for its Face++ facial recognition investor withdrawals that stretch back that cover the company’s stock has a
The decision did not constitute formal platform, was valued at $4bn in its latest to 2014 and represent a sizeable chunk
as President Macri buy rating despite the tumble, accord-
approval to list, said the people, but it funding round in May last year. It would of the group’s assets under manage- was swept from office ing to Bloomberg. Only four have a hold
revived a process that was threatened be the first Chinese AI company to go ment, which stood at $692bn at the end rating — eight advise investors to sell.
after the US commerce department put public. of November. the Franklin Mutual SharesFund, a US- The 72-year-old company, based in
Megvii on a blacklist last year on the It reported a net loss of Rmb5.2bn This amount has fallen by a quarter in focused stock fund, which shed $3.4bn, San Mateo, California, grew into one of
grounds of alleged human rights abuses ($748m) for the first six months of 2019, the past five years despite the surging and the Franklin Mutual Global the world’s largest fund houses by
in China’s Xinjiang province. according to a stock exchange filing, markets that helped mask outflows Discovery Fund, a global stock fund, linking everyday investors with the
Megvii has now been asked to submit against revenue of Rmb949m. from active funds at many of its peers. which suffered $3.1bn in withdrawals, markets through mutual funds run by
an updated prospectus, which will again The lossmaking start-up was able to The largest outflows came from the according to Morningstar data. professional investors.
require the committee’s approval before pursue an IPO in Hong Kong after the Templeton Global Bond Fund helmed Both funds also missed their bench- But the firm was poorly prepared for
an IPO can go ahead, the people said. exchange changed rules in 2018 that by Mr Hasenstab, which suffered $4.6bn marks for the year. the dramatic swing toward passive
Beijing-based Megvii is one of China’s allowed unprofitable companies to list. in redemptions. The outflows reflect the challenges for investing over the past decade, launch-
leading artificial intelligence start-ups New angle: Megvii is known for its Additional reporting by Hudson Lockett Mr Hasenstab has gained a reputation active managers both in outpacing the ing its first suite of passive ETFs only in
and it hopes to raise about $500m with a Face++ facial recognition platform and Daniel Shane in Hong Kong for bold bets on cheap, unloved sover- benchmarks they are measured against 2017.
20 ★ Wednesday 8 January 2020
6.90
Monica Erickson
Global markets steadied while oil gave
back some of its sharp gains yesterday as
6.95
7.00
Markets Insight
investors digested the risk of further
conflict between Tehran and Washington. 7.05
I
George Lagarias, chief economist at ndividuals and institutions alike return. Other dynamics can be at play, But many financial professionals may
Mazars, said central banks’ willingness to 7.10 have grown very fond of high-qual- notably relative value investing, where be overlooking this other risk — the
underwrite risk has helped insulate global ity US corporate bonds, which are investors buy bonds that carry attrac- raised sensitivity to a change in interest
markets from major events. 7.15 prized for their relative safety. But tive spreads compared with other rates given the increase in duration.
“There is an abundance of liquidity and after a long rally, these bonds pose bonds, pushing spreads of those securi- Treasury yields and investment grade
7.20
a scarcity of equities to invest in,” he said. greater risk than many may realise. ties lower and their prices higher. corporate spreads had a historically
“Markets are pretty happy to shake off Jul 2019 Jan The duration of this class of assets — Indeed, this has happened over the negative correlation. As the economy
most risks very quickly.” 2020 its interest rate risk — has increased to past year as yields outside the US strengthened, spreads would tighten
Source: Bloomberg
The continent-wide Europe Stoxx 600 near record highs while spreads over the remain low and in some cases negative, and Treasury yields would increase. As
index rose 0.3 per cent, having fallen 0.4 yield of equivalent Treasuries have driving non-US investors into US credit. the economy got weaker, spreads would
per cent on Monday. Frankfurt’s Xetra fallen to near record lows. The last component of return, dura- widen and Treasury yields would fall.
Dax stood out among the region’s “We reckon the phase one deal should retreat in global equities on Monday, was A pick-up in interest rates, depending tion, is near an all-time high. The higher Movements in spreads and Treasury
bourses, rising 0.8 per cent following make it over the line as planned . . . while mixed yesterday. on its speed and longevity, could signifi- the duration, the higher the sensitivity yields would offset each other.
news of healthy German construction signs of green shoots in the economy also The S&P 500 dipped 0.3 per cent while cantly push down prices across the mar- to changes in interest rates. How did this But this relationship has broken
data for the close of 2019. should support the currency, though we the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite ket, which totals more than $7tn, come about? In part, because of a trend down. Over the past couple of years,
The IHS Markit purchasing managers’ still see only stabilisation in the economy index remained flat at midday in New accounting for just over a quarter of the of companies issuing longer maturity Treasury yields and corporate spreads
index revealed that construction sat at a at large and think the recovery is on York. total US bonds outstanding. That could have displayed a positive correlation.
happen even without a deterioration in In other words, rates and spreads
nine-month high in December, owing to a
sustained upturn in homebuilding.
shaky legs, for now,” said Freya Beamish,
chief Asia economist at Pantheon
Gold, which has soared since the US
attack on Baghdad last Friday, stayed credit quality.
Given the age of the have moved in the same direction —
In Asia, China’s renminbi rose 0.6 per Macroeconomics. above the $1,500-an-ounce mark, rising Returns from bonds break down into business cycle, investors lower and tighter in 2019, and higher
four basic components. The first is the and wider in 2018.
cent to reach Rmb6.9340 per dollar as
tension between Washington and Beijing
Japan’s Nikkei 225 Average rose 1.6 per
cent while the CSI 300 index of stocks
0.3 per cent. But oil slid.
Brent crude, the international security’s yield. The other three are the
are on the lookout for signs It is difficult to confirm why this rela-
cooled ahead of the expected signing of a listed in Shanghai and Shenzhen climbed benchmark, sank 1.5 per cent to $67.90 a movement in Treasury rates, the move- of credit deterioration tionship has changed but a plausible
“phase one” trade deal at the White 0.8 per cent. barrel while WTI, the US marker, fell 1.1 ment in credit spreads, and duration. cause might be found in central bank
House on January 15. Wall Street, which had bucked a wider per cent to $62.58 a barrel. Alex Janiaud The yield is the sum of the equivalent policy. As the US Federal Reserve
Treasury yield plus the spread over that bonds, looking to lock in better long- remains accommodative, Treasury
Treasury yield. The yield on the asset term borrowing costs. However, a large rates remain low, “animal spirits”
Markets update class is near all-time lows, hovering part of the increase is because of lower remain high in the market and investors
below 3 per cent. interest rates. look for yield — moving into corporate
The rate component is simply the As rates have fallen, the periodic cou- credit and pushing down spreads.
nominal government yield. In 2019, pons have decreased, meaning that a If policy were to change, as it did in
US Eurozone Japan UK China Brazil Treasury rates fell, lifting the prices of higher portion of the bonds’ return 2018, watch out. Yields and spreads
Stocks S&P 500 Eurofirst 300 Nikkei 225 FTSE100 Shanghai Comp Bovespa investment-grade bonds. comes from the return of principal at could go higher in tandem.
Level 3238.03 1632.69 23575.72 7573.85 3104.80 116308.77 The benchmark ICE Bank of America maturity. Historically, the duration of Falling Treasury yields and spread
% change on day -0.25 0.19 1.60 -0.02 0.69 -0.49 Merrill Lynch US Corporate Index the investment grade universe has hov- compression formed tailwinds for the
Currency $ index (DXY) $ per € Yen per $ $ per £ Rmb per $ Real per $ returned 14 per cent last year, the best ered around six years; it is now over 7.6 investment grade market in 2019 but we
Level 96.835 1.114 108.620 1.312 6.938 4.085 performance since 2009. years. At this level, a 1 per cent increase saw the inverse in 2018. Investors
% change on day 0.170 -0.447 0.282 -0.304 -0.528 0.863 About half of that return has come in either spreads or Treasury rates should pay attention and consider
Govt. bonds 10-year Treasury 10-year Bund 10-year JGB 10-year Gilt 10-year bond 10-year bond from a decrease in Treasury rates — now would push prices down by 7.6 per cent. reducing the duration of their invest-
Yield 1.807 -0.287 -0.015 0.715 3.153 6.668 near their lowest levels on record. As 2020 gets under way, the market is ment grade corporate holdings before
Basis point change on day 0.520 0.000 2.000 2.800 -0.300 3.800 The spread component is the addi- offering near-record lows in yield and those tailwinds — whether on rates,
World index, Commods FTSE All-World Oil - Brent Oil - WTI Gold Silver Metals (LMEX) tional yield over the Treasury rate spread and a near-record high in dura- spreads or both — turn into headwinds.
received for taking on credit risk — pri- tion. This is not a great set-up. Given the
Level 374.03 67.98 62.52 1573.10 18.44 2839.20
marily company — or industry-specific advanced age of the business cycle, Monica Erickson is head of the investment
% change on day 0.03 -0.66 -0.48 1.57 1.26 0.28
Yesterday's close apart from: Currencies = 16:00 GMT; S&P, Bovespa, All World, Oil = 17:00 GMT; Gold, Silver = London pm fix. Bond data supplied by Tullett Prebon.
risk. Factors such as credit metrics and investors are rightly on the lookout for grade corporate team at DoubleLine
cash flow growth affect this part of the signs of credit deterioration. Capital in Los Angeles
Main equity markets
S&P 500 index Eurofirst 300 index FTSE 100 index
3280 1640 7680
3200 1600
7360
3120 1560
| | | | | | | | |
3040 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
1520 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7040 | | | | | | | | | | |
Biggest movers
% US Eurozone UK
Apache 24.92 Infineon Tech 4.96 Ocado 4.25
Micron Technology 6.73 Renault 3.53 Kingfisher 3.83
Ups
Western Digital 5.85 Deutsche Bank 3.47 Associated British Foods 2.18
Microchip Technology 5.67 Publicise 2.82 Sainsbury (j) 1.94
Akamai 3.66 Grifols 2.74 Barratt Developments 1.93
%
Halliburton -4.28 Wartsila -3.21 Nmc Health -10.59
Baker Hughes -3.37 Endesa -2.11 Standard Life Aberdeen -3.35
Downs