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Session 6
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22-01-2020
Returns
Dollar Return = Dividend + Change in Market Value
dollar return
%age return dividend change in market value
beginning market value beginning market value
, =
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Risk Premium
The Risk Premium is the additional return (over and above the
risk-free rate) resulting from bearing risk.
One of the most significant observations of stock market data is
this long-run excess of stock return over the risk-free return.
The average excess return from large company common stocks for the
period 1926 through 1999 was 8.4% = 12.2% – 3.8%
The average excess return from small company common stocks for the
period 1926 through 1999 was 13.2% = 16.9% – 3.8%
The average excess return from long-term corporate bonds for the period
1926 through 1999 was 2.4% = 6.2% – 3.8%
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The variance of the rate of return on the two risky assets portfolio
is σP2 (wB σB )2 (wS σS )2 2(wB σB )(wS σS )ρBS
where BS is the correlation coefficient between the returns on the
securities in the portfolio.
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In a large portfolio the variance terms are effectively diversified away, but the covariance terms are
not.
Portfolio risk
Nondiversifiable risk; Systematic Risk;
Market Risk
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100% stock 1
return
= -1.0
= 1.0
= 0.2
100% stock 2
Relationship depends on correlation coefficient
-1.0 < < +1.0
If = +1.0, no risk reduction is possible
If = –1.0, complete risk reduction is possible
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