Population Forcasting Maheshpur - (09-08-19)

CONSULTANT : M/S. C.V.
PATIL ASSOCIATES
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POPULATION DATA
PANCHAYA SR. POP 2011 2001 1991

PANCHAYAT NAME VILLAGE NAME HH
T NO. NO. 2011 TOTAL TOTAL TOTAL
1 Abhua 1709 368
2 Jamchua 195 37
3 Kangapahari 674 137
4 Khagra 1304 292
5 Murgadangi 530 116
1 ABHUA 6340 5168 4164
6 Naraingarh 918 197
7 Radhakrishnapur 360 74
8 Sahebram 173 41
9 Saristola 303 65
10 Sasajoli 174 41
11 Arjundaha 890 203
12 Baliapatra 473 93
13 Chak Mahulbana 13 3
14 Gardaha 227 53
15 Kadamdanga 235 52
16 Kashinathpur 324 68
2 ARJUNDAHA 5331 4370 3501
17 Kharutola 876 178
18 Mahualpahari 445 95
19 Mahulbana Namo 637 134
20 Sunderpahari 224 51
21 Thakuratola 359 77
22 Uparmohulbana 628 125
23 Askandha 890 168
24 Balrampur 501 105
25 Bhagabandh 750 146
26 Binodpur 97 18
3 ASKANDHA 27 Borio 1040 226 6444 5262 4232
28 Jordiha 537 97
29 Nirbandh 659 147
30 Sahebnagar 1010 216
31 Tulsipur 960 211
32 Amarpur 436 97
33 Amladahi 119 24
34 Babudaha 1462 264
35 Basitpur 259 50
36 Jagdishpur 294 63
37 Kalabari 546 117
4 BABUDAHA 6604 5382 4337
38 Logaon 744 155
39 Nurgitola 624 141
40 Patharchali 81 19
41 Sailpahari 415 84
42 Singnia 871 187
43 Siristola 753 166
44 Bahapur 707 140
45 Barkura 2348 497
5 BARKURA 5993 4897 3936
46 Gangadah 2075 438
47 Kuarpur 863 219
________________________________________________________________________________________
PRE-FEASIBILITY REPORT FOR MAHESHPUR BLOCK AND ADJOINING VILLAGES, DIST : PAKUR
CONSULTANT : M/S. C.V.PATIL ASSOCIATES
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION DATA

48 Baliadanga 2193 420
49 Barhabad 649 133
50 Dhanjori 371 60
51 Digha 246 52
52 Dumarghati 871 202
6 BALIADANGA 6887 5591 4523
53 Hardaspur 318 62
54 Mandardanga 189 42
55 Narainpur 898 214
56 Pariardaha 1035 208
57 Saparam 117 28
58 Banskendri 3250 655
59 Bansmati 888 196
60 Dumaria 333 72
7 BANSKENDRI 6981 5687 4584
61 Harishpur 1720 329
62 Kulaipara 328 77
63 Rajapur 462 95
64 Arol 1430 307
65 Bamanpokhar 381 84
66 Barkiari 2405 543
8 BARKIARI 6356 5181 4174
67 Budharpokhar 298 61
68 Lakhiram 275 57
69 Raghunathpur 1567 324
70 Ahalyapur 340 65
71 Amladahi 757 152
72 Bara Bharatpur 299 63
73 Bhetatola 798 155
74 Chhota Bharatpur 4 1
75 Dhobna 332 64
76 Gamcha 19 5
77 Gopalnagar 246 48
78 Hiranpur 176 33
9 BHETATOLA 6029 4896 3959
79 Kalidaspur 588 112
80 Lakhanpur 446 95
81 Nandpur 208 44
82 Ramjitpur 495 90
83 Sadanandpur 67 13
84 Saldah 227 48
85 Syampur 179 42
86 Taldiha 185 39
87 Tarapur 663 149
88 Birkiti 3228 765
89 Chatorgaria 78 17
90 Darajpur 1453 300
10 BIRKITI 7848 6390 5153
91 Gadarpara 2552 599
92 Khosalpur 305 73
93 Parkara 232 52
94 Biskutia 420 94
95 Chakudhara 1766 377
96 Doniabandh 983 188
97 Karmatanr 128 26
11 CHAKUDHARA 98 Murgadanga 428 95 6520 5224 4282
99 Nunbatta 851 185
100 Partappur 1064 229
101 Pathardanga 294 61
102 Simaldahi 586 116
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POPULATION DATA

103 Benadanti 479 124
104 Bhelai 1093 222
105 Bhelai Baramasia 840 186
106 Chandalmara 1559 351
12 CHANDALMARA 6500 5287 4269
107 Jogidih 372 74
108 Litibari 748 156
109 Rampur 688 142
110 Saharpur 721 149
111 Afiapara 632 136
112 Bhatanda 444 121
113 Damdama 2544 557
13 DAMDAMA 114 Jagannathpur 451 104 5555 4622 3648
115 Kasadighi 438 111
116 Raghunathpur 448 115
117 Tetulia 598 130
118 Akharasol 532 120
119 Debinagarr 1282 281
120 Gangmuri 757 163
121 Khoridih 712 163
14 DEBINAGAR 5958 4978 3913
122 Kotalpokhar 455 102
123 Lalchua 1154 244
124 Pathardaha 473 101
125 Tithidanga 593 117
126 Chapgawan 102 22
127 Dharamkhapara 2347 526
128 Garbari 348 80
15 DHARAMKHAPARA 129 Ghansyampur 286 72 6091 4966 4000
130 Kagajpur 939 199
131 Simpur 281 63
132 Sohubil 1788 395
133 Barakhairapara 647 131
134 Baramasia 1172 274
135 Durgapur 605 120
136 Gaibathan 1414 269
16 GAIBATHAN 137 Ganeshpur 382 78 6103 4966 4008
138 Gobindpur 693 146
139 Kumhirbil 485 99
140 Majdiha 188 34
141 Nijhor 517 110
142 Amritpur 801 205
143 Bhimpur 604 112
144 Bhuighara 275 52
145 Dubalpur Khas 121 21
146 Dubrajpur 101 30
147 Jaipurabaranga 1830 395
17 JAIPURA BARANGA 148 Jaypur chit 636 113 5724 4689 3759
149 Kartikpara 79 19
150 Kartikpara 295 66
151 Patharghata 349 77
152 Pranpur 191 38
153 Saulapur 257 56
154 Syampur 185 38
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POPULATION DATA

155 Bhawanipur 179 40
156 Dhawadangal 308 66
157 Haridaspur 511 122
158 Jaynagar 806 161
159 Kharakdangal 644 144
160 Lakhijol 202 43
161 Mirpur 74 19
162 Narainpur 651 134
18 JAYNAGAR 163 Nasipur 355 73 6920 5628 4544
164 Nunadanga 380 85
165 Paharpur 462 103
166 Ranga 382 82
167 Ranipur 682 146
168 Senpur 669 144
169 Thakurainpokhar 192 45
170 Tolajainagar 171 39
171 Tolasenpur 252 66
172 Chaptura 1083 234
173 Englishpara 693 144
174 Kanijhora 1518 320
19 KANIJHORA 5775 4690 3792
175 Katsala 418 93
176 Nurai 1093 246
177 Sonarpara 970 206
178 Datoi 518 94
179 Dhanukpuja 514 100
180 Jaipurchhit Nayagram 636 113
181 Kadampur 894 194
182 Kasiadanga 423 91
183 Khanpur 1255 270
184 Madhopara 218 45
20 KHANPUR 185 Mahadebnagar 412 96 7635 5597 4471
186 Mahubona 421 88
187 Murgadanga 755 163
188 Paranpur 191 38
189 Raghopara 102 25
190 Ramnathpur 941 210
191 Sirpur 214 49
192 Tolaserpur 141 31
193 Anapur 3 2
194 Gokulnagar 109 22
Madhupur Urf
195 454 93
21 MAHESHPUR Patharchali 6776 5491 4450
196 Maheshpur 5797 1280
197 Saratpur 72 18
198 Sunderpur 341 72
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POPULATION DATA

199 Birnagar 76 18
200 Dholibandh 294 69
201 Dulalpur 103 22
202 Dumdumi 491 111
203 Giripani 243 54
204 Gopaldanga 618 121
205 Kadamara 76 14
22 MANIKPUR 206 Kankjol 689 141 6646 5396 4364
207 Khejurkura 558 116
208 Manikpur 1119 237
209 Nimdonga 1107 228
210 Nityanandpur 139 27
211 Ratanpur 250 49
212 Simaljiri 182 39
213 Sonapur 701 154
214 Bara 2344 570
23 PALSA 215 Palsa 2677 577 7061 5792 4637
216 Radepur 2040 475
217 Barakindua 982 203
219 Birkhibathan 724 153
220 Chhotakindua 951 224
24 PATHARIA 221 Kalidah 389 79 6063 4943 3982
222 Khusaldara 37 6
223 Maldhara 425 93
224 Patharia 1397 282
225 Sahari 602 122
226 Asnadanga 501 98
227 Jobdikariopara 234 47
228 Majurabari 407 83
229 Majurnacha 309 71
230 Pachaibera 841 155
25 POKHRIA 6757 5496 4437
231 Pakri 678 159
232 Patharghata 478 105
233 Pokhria 2041 379
234 Simaldhap 719 156
235 Tasaria 549 113
236 Anupdanga 766 147
237 Bajotola 38 10
238 Bilaspur 458 96
239 Bistopur 151 37
240 Ilaspur 86 17
26 RAMPUR 6058 4939 3978
241 Kulbona 278 64
242 Lakhipur 1240 280
243 Lakhipur Bajotola 327 67
244 Patkadanga 108 21
245 Rampur 2606 469
246 Ghatchora 1401 304
247 Kaira Chatar 1153 221
248 Khairbani 200 42
27 ROLAGRAM 6555 5352 4305
249 Maheshgaria 618 135
250 Radhaballabhpur 691 136
251 Rolagram 2492 554
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POPULATION DATA

252 Amalagachhi Naraintola 235 49
253 Amlagachhi 479 101
254 Bhimpur 16 3
255 Chilgaon 461 92
256 Dhawadangal 790 172
257 Jaipani 274 56
258 Kadamgachhi 376 81
259 Kalupara 171 36
28 SAHARGAON 5773 4798 3791
260 Kheribari 739 151
261 Kusumdanga 43 9
262 Manglapara 123 27
263 Parrah 215 51
264 Piparjoria 547 115
265 Sahargaon 985 207
266 Talpahari 236 58
267 Tangidaha 83 17
268 Makdumpur 1765 417
269 Rajapur 655 152
29 SALEMPUR 6391 5297 4197
270 Salempur 2119 442
271 Sirajpur 1852 404
272 Babupur 516 112
273 Baghduba 408 79
275 Bathandanga 573 130
276 Bhagwanpur 288 63
277 Chamarkhil 207 40
278 Chandrapur 297 69
279 Debpur 581 118
30 SIBRAMPUR 6446 5284 4233
280 Dhawabathan 234 53
281 Kirta 427 84
282 Laugaon 431 91
283 Nandpur 511 114
284 Nawapara 270 61
285 Ratanpur 514 118
286 Sibrampur 757 157
287 Sitanathpur 51 14
288 Ambaipahari 337 83
289 Baghmarapahari 29 8
290 Balaktola 407 90
291 Bhulipathar 857 194
292 Bishunpur 526 115
293 Chandpur 332 69
294 Darbaribathan 159 34
31 SIRAMGARIA 295 Gara Mara 462 96 5463 4487 3588
296 Ichhanagar 727 152
297 Indrapahari 206 51
298 Kadishirchhit 12 3
299 Maheshgaria 166 40
300 Musanadaha 428 98
301 Nimchua 341 71
302 Siramgaria 474 112
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POPULATION DATA

303 Baralpokhar 657 131
304 Basta 600 145
305 Bhangabandh 721 139
306 Datiarpokhar 558 108
307 Dumkadanga 423 84
32 SITARAMPUR 308 Golabari 415 93 5996 4889 3938
309 Kasiadanga 369 88
310 Kuturpur 537 117
311 Mairbandh 202 45
312 Sindri 415 77
313 Sitarampur 1099 230
314 Anandpur 206 47
315 Beliapathra 886 186
316 Chandpur 627 146
317 Dhabarna 250 63
318 Hathimara 1451 283
319 Longbehra 541 119
33 TELIAPOKHAR 6110 4950 4012
Madhopur Urf
320 31 7
Patharchali
321 Nandanpara 125 31
322 Purnadanga 77 23
323 Solapetia 370 71
324 Teliapokhar 1546 341
TOTAL 209689 44854 209689 170585 137161
NOTE :- Panchyat No. 28 - Maheshpur already having a water supply scheme.
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____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NAME OF WORK : FULL COVERAGE MAHESHPUR RURAL WATER SUPPLY SCHEME

BLOCK : MAHESHPUR, DISTRICT : PAKUR
POPULATION PROJECTION AND DEMAND CALCULATIONS
Population Demand
Sr. No. Panchyat
1991 2001 2011 2022 2037 2052 2022 2037 2052
1 ABHUA 4164 5168 6340 7758 10084 12978 0.6245 0.8118 1.0447
2 ARJUNDAHA 3501 4370 5331 6509 8423 10786 0.5240 0.6781 0.8683
3 ASKANDHA 4232 5262 6444 7880 10228 13143 0.6343 0.8234 1.0580
4 BABUDAHA 4337 5382 6604 8082 10507 13526 0.6506 0.8458 1.0888
5 BARKURA 3936 4897 5993 7327 9505 12207 0.5898 0.7652 0.9827
6 BALIADANGA 4523 5591 6887 8440 11008 14218 0.6794 0.8861 1.1445
7 BANSKENDRI 4584 5687 6981 8545 11113 14310 0.6879 0.8946 1.1520
8 BARKIARI 4174 5181 6356 7778 10109 13011 0.6261 0.8138 1.0474
9 BHETATOLA 3959 4896 6029 7388 9633 12437 0.5947 0.7755 1.0012
10 BIRKITI 5153 6390 7848 9608 12500 16104 0.7734 1.0063 1.2964
11 CHAKUDHARA 4282 5224 6520 8031 10583 13821 0.6465 0.8519 1.1126
12 CHANDALMARA 4269 5287 6500 7960 10366 13365 0.6408 0.8345 1.0759
13 DAMDAMA 3648 4622 5555 6744 8618 10886 0.5429 0.6937 0.8763
14 DEBINAGAR 3913 4978 5958 7222 9196 11569 0.5814 0.7403 0.9313
15 DHARAMKHAPARA 4000 4966 6091 7453 9686 12464 0.6000 0.7797 1.0034
16 GAIBATHAN 4008 4966 6103 7473 9728 12540 0.6016 0.7831 1.0095
17 JAIPURA BARANGA 3759 4689 5724 6991 9052 11598 0.5628 0.7287 0.9336
18 JAYNAGAR 4544 5628 6920 8475 11037 14233 0.6822 0.8885 1.1458
19 KANIJHORA 3792 4690 5775 7077 9227 11914 0.5697 0.7428 0.9591
20 KHANPUR 4471 5597 6808 8304 10719 13690 0.6685 0.8629 1.1020
21 MAHESHPUR 4450 5491 6776 8310 10853 14040 0.6690 0.8737 1.1302
22 MANIKPUR 4364 5396 6646 8145 10621 13717 0.6557 0.8550 1.1042
23 PALSA 4637 5792 7061 8619 11146 14265 0.6938 0.8973 1.1483
24 PATHARIA 3982 4943 6063 7419 9642 12408 0.5972 0.7762 0.9988
25 POKHRIA 4437 5496 6757 8275 10776 13894 0.6661 0.8675 1.1185
26 RAMPUR 3978 4939 6058 7413 9634 12397 0.5967 0.7755 0.9980
27 ROLAGRAM 4305 5352 6555 8016 10406 13373 0.6453 0.8377 1.0765
28 SAHARGAON 3791 4798 5773 7012 8968 11340 0.5645 0.7219 0.9129
29 SALEMPUR 4197 5297 6391 7770 9962 12629 0.6255 0.8019 1.0166
30 SIBRAMPUR 4233 5284 6446 7871 10185 13042 0.6336 0.8199 1.0499
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NAME OF WORK : FULL COVERAGE MAHESHPUR RURAL WATER SUPPLY SCHEME

BLOCK : MAHESHPUR, DISTRICT : PAKUR
POPULATION PROJECTION AND DEMAND CALCULATIONS
Population Demand
Sr. No. Panchyat
1991 2001 2011 2022 2037 2052 2022 2037 2052
31 SIRAMGARIA 3588 4487 5463 6666 8611 11007 0.5366 0.6932 0.8861
32 SITARAMPUR 3938 4889 5996 7336 9534 12267 0.5905 0.7675 0.9875
33 TELIAPOKHAR 4012 4950 6110 7494 9790 12667 0.6033 0.7881 1.0197
Gross Total 137161 170585 208862 255391 331450 425846 20.5589 26.6821 34.2807
Uncovered Gross Total 132711 165094 202086 247081 320597 411806 19.8899 25.8084 33.1505
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POPULATION PROJECTION FOR ABHUA

Population as per census for last three decades are collected and projection based on this has been carried
out.
Decade Incremental Geometrical

Year Population
Increase (X) Increase (Y) Growth
1991 4164
1004 0.2411
2001 5168
1172 168 0.2268
2011 6340
Average 1088 168 0.2339
Design Population for Year 2022 2037 2052
A) Arithmetic Progression Method : Pn = P + n x C

where, Pn = Population after nth decades
P = Present Population
= i.e. population of the year 2011
= 6340
C = Average decade increase
= 1088
n = number of decades
= (0.1)(Forecasting Year - Present Year)
1. Population Forecasting of the year 2022 = 6340+ [ 0.1 x (2022-2011)] x 1088

= 7537

= 9169

= 10801
B) Geometrical Progression Method :Pn = P [ 1 + ( Ig / 100 ) ]^n
where, Pn = Population at the end of nth decade

= 6340
Ig = Average Geometric Growth Mean
Ig/100 = 0.2339
1. Population Forecasting of the year 2022 = 6340+ [ 1 + 0.2339^[0.1 x ( 2022-2011)]]

= 7989

= 10950

= 15008
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________________________________________________________________________________________
C) Incremental Increase Method : Pn = P + nX + [ n ( n + 1) / 2 ] x Y .
where, Pn = Population after nth decade

= 6340
X = Average Decade Increase
= 1088
Y = Average Incremental Increase
= 168
1. Population Forecasting of the year 2022

= 6340+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 168
= 7731

= 6340+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 168
= 9956

= 6340+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*168
= 12558
D) State Average Method : Pn = P ( 1 + R )^n

where, P = Present Population
= 6340
R = Growth Rate in Percentage
= 20.33%
1. Population Forecasting of the year 2022 = 6340 ( 1 + 0.2033)^[ 0.1 x ( 2022-2011)]

= 7772

= 10258

= 13541
Abstract :
Arithmetic Geometrical Incremental State Average

Year Progression Progression Increase Average of all
Method Method Method Method Methods
2022 7537 7989.1 7731 7772 7758

2037 9169 10950.1 9956 10258 10084
2052 10801 15008.5 12558 13541 12978
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________________________________________________________________________________________

From the above table, it is seen that the population forecast by Geometrical Progression Method is high and
the population derived by Arithmetic Progression Method is low. The population forecast by State Average
Method and Incremental Increase Method is in between these two. In view of this, it is proposed to consider
the average of all the methods, which will be realistic one.
Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Projected Net Demand
Year water supply Demand in
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 7758 70 0.543 0.625 Considerin
2037 10084 70 0.706 0.812 g 15 %
2052 12978 70 0.908 1.045 losses
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POPULATION PROJECTION FOR ARJUNDAHA

out.

Year Population
1991 3501
869 0.2482
2001 4370
961 92 0.2199
2011 5331
Average 915 92 0.2341

= 5331
= 915

= 6338

= 7710

= 9083

= 5331
Ig/100 = 0.2341

= 6719

= 9211

= 12628
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PRE-FEASIBILITY REPORT FORMAHESHPUR BLOCK AND ADJOINING VILLAGES, DIST : PAKUR
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 5331
= 915
= 92

= 5331+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 92
= 6444

= 5331+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 92
= 8141

= 5331+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*92
= 10045

= 5331
= 20.33%

= 6535

= 8626

= 11386
Abstract :

2022 6338 6718.8 6444 6535 6509

2037 7710 9211.3 8141 8626 8423
2052 9083 12628.3 10045 11386 10786
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Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 6509 70 0.456 0.524 Considerin
2037 8423 70 0.590 0.678 g 15 %
2052 10786 70 0.755 0.868 losses
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POPULATION PROJECTION FOR ASKANDHA

out.

Year Population
1991 4232
1030 0.2434
2001 5262
1182 152 0.2246
2011 6444
Average 1106 152 0.2340

= 6444
= 1106

= 7661

= 9320

= 10979

= 6444
Ig/100 = 0.234

= 8121

= 11132

= 15260
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 6444
= 1106
= 152

= 6444+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 152
= 7837

= 6444+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 152
= 10031

= 6444+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*152
= 12568

= 6444
= 20.33%

= 7899

= 10427

= 13763
Abstract :

2022 7661 8120.9 7837 7899 7880

2037 9320 11132.0 10031 10427 10228
2052 10979 15259.8 12568 13763 13143
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________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 7880 70 0.552 0.634 Considerin
2037 10228 70 0.716 0.823 g 15 %
2052 13143 70 0.920 1.058 losses
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POPULATION PROJECTION FOR BABUDAHA

out.

Year Population
1991 4337
1045 0.2409
2001 5382
1222 177 0.2271
2011 6604
Average 1134 177 0.2340

= 6604
= 1134

= 7851

= 9552

= 11253

= 6604
Ig/100 = 0.234

= 8322

= 11408

= 15639
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 6604
= 1134
= 177

= 6604+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 177
= 8056

= 6604+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 177
= 10381

= 6604+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*177
= 13104

= 6604
= 20.33%

= 8096

= 10686

= 14104
Abstract :

2022 7851 8322.5 8056 8096 8082

2037 9552 11408.4 10381 10686 10507
2052 11253 15638.6 13104 14104 13526
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________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 8082 70 0.566 0.651 Considerin
2037 10507 70 0.735 0.846 g 15 %
2052 13526 70 0.947 1.089 losses
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________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR BARKURA

out.

Year Population
1991 3936
961 0.2442
2001 4897
1096 135 0.2238
2011 5993
Average 1029 135 0.2340

= 5993
= 1029

= 7125

= 8668

= 10212

= 5993
Ig/100 = 0.234

= 7553

= 10353

= 14192
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 5993
= 1029
= 135

= 5993+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 135
= 7281

= 5993+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 135
= 9301

= 5993+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*135
= 11624

= 5993
= 20.33%

= 7347

= 9697

= 12800
Abstract :

2022 7125 7552.5 7281 7347 7327

2037 8668 10352.9 9301 9697 9505
2052 10212 14191.8 11624 12800 12207
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________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 7327 70 0.513 0.590 Considerin
2037 9505 70 0.665 0.765 g 15 %
2052 12207 70 0.854 0.983 losses
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POPULATION PROJECTION FOR BALIADANGA

out.

Year Population
1991 4523
1068 0.2361
2001 5591
1296 228 0.2318
2011 6887
Average 1182 228 0.2340

= 6887
= 1182

= 8187

= 9960

= 11733

= 6887
Ig/100 = 0.234

= 8679

= 11897

= 16309
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 6887
= 1182
= 228

= 6887+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 228
= 8451

= 6887+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 228
= 11028

= 6887+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*228
= 14117

= 6887
= 20.33%

= 8442

= 11144

= 14709
Abstract :

2022 8187 8679.1 8451 8442 8440

2037 9960 11897.3 11028 11144 11008
2052 11733 16308.8 14117 14709 14218
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 8440 70 0.591 0.679 Considerin
2037 11008 70 0.771 0.886 g 15 %
2052 14218 70 0.995 1.145 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR BANSKENDRI

out.

Year Population
1991 4584
1103 0.2406
2001 5687
1294 191 0.2275
2011 6981
Average 1199 191 0.2341

= 6981
= 1199

= 8300

= 10098

= 11897

= 6981
Ig/100 = 0.2341

= 8798

= 12062

= 16537
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 6981
= 1199
= 191

= 6981+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 191
= 8521

= 6981+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 191
= 10993

= 6981+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*191
= 13894

= 6981
= 20.33%

= 8558

= 11296

= 14910
Abstract :

2022 8300 8798.4 8521 8558 8545

2037 10098 12062.3 10993 11296 11113
2052 11897 16536.9 13894 14910 14310
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 8545 70 0.598 0.688 Considerin
2037 11113 70 0.778 0.895 g 15 %
2052 14310 70 1.002 1.152 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR BARKIARI

out.

Year Population
1991 4174
1007 0.2413
2001 5181
1175 168 0.2268
2011 6356
Average 1091 168 0.2340

= 6356
= 1091

= 7556

= 9193

= 10829

= 6356
Ig/100 = 0.234

= 8010

= 10980

= 15051
________________________________________________________________________________________
PRE-FEASIBILITY REPORT FOR AMRAPARA BLOCK AND ADJOINING VILLAGES, DIST : PAKUR
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 6356
= 1091
= 168

= 6356+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 168
= 7751

= 6356+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 168
= 9979

= 6356+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*168
= 12586

= 6356
= 20.33%

= 7792

= 10284

= 13575
Abstract :

2022 7556 8010.0 7751 7792 7778

2037 9193 10980.0 9979 10284 10109
2052 10829 15051.4 12586 13575 13011
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 7778 70 0.544 0.626 Considerin
2037 10109 70 0.708 0.814 g 15 %
2052 13011 70 0.911 1.047 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR BHETATOLA

out.

Year Population
1991 3959
937 0.2367
2001 4896
1133 196 0.2314
2011 6029
Average 1035 196 0.2340

= 6029
= 1035

= 7168

= 8720

= 10273

= 6029
Ig/100 = 0.234

= 7598

= 10415

= 14277
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 6029
= 1035
= 196

= 6029+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 196
= 7394

= 6029+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 196
= 9638

= 6029+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*196
= 12322

= 6029
= 20.33%

= 7391

= 9755

= 12876
Abstract :

2022 7168 7597.9 7394 7391 7388

2037 8720 10415.1 9638 9755 9633
2052 10273 14277.0 12322 12876 12437
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 7388 70 0.517 0.595 Considerin
2037 9633 70 0.674 0.776 g 15 %
2052 12437 70 0.871 1.001 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR BIRKITI

out.

Year Population
1991 5153
1237 0.2401
2001 6390
1458 221 0.2282
2011 7848
Average 1348 221 0.2341

= 7848
= 1348

= 9331

= 11353

= 13375

= 7848
Ig/100 = 0.2341

= 9891

= 13560

= 18591
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 7848
= 1348
= 221

= 7848+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 221
= 9587

= 7848+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 221
= 12388

= 7848+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*221
= 15686

= 7848
= 20.33%

= 9620

= 12698

= 16761
Abstract :

2022 9331 9891.1 9587 9620 9608

2037 11353 13560.3 12388 12698 12500
2052 13375 18590.7 15686 16761 16104
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 9608 70 0.673 0.773 Considerin
2037 12500 70 0.875 1.006 g 15 %
2052 16104 70 1.127 1.296 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR CHAKUDHARA

out.

Year Population
1991 4282
942 0.2200
2001 5224
1296 354 0.2481
2011 6520
Average 1119 354 0.2340

= 6520
= 1119

= 7751

= 9429

= 11108

= 6520
Ig/100 = 0.234

= 8217

= 11263

= 15440
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 6520
= 1119
= 354

= 6520+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 354
= 8160

= 6520+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 354
= 11087

= 6520+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*354
= 14809

= 6520
= 20.33%

= 7993

= 10550

= 13925
Abstract :

2022 7751 8216.6 8160 7993 8031

2037 9429 11263.3 11087 10550 10583
2052 11108 15439.7 14809 13925 13821
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

the population derived by Arithmetic Progression Method is low. The population forecast by Incremental
Increase Method and State Average Method is in between these two. In view of this, it is proposed to
consider the average of all the methods, which will be realistic one.
Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 8031 70 0.562 0.647 Considerin
2037 10583 70 0.741 0.852 g 15 %
2052 13821 70 0.967 1.113 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR CHANDALMARA

out.

Year Population
1991 4269
1018 0.2385
2001 5287
1213 195 0.2294
2011 6500
Average 1116 195 0.2339

= 6500
= 1116

= 7728

= 9402

= 11076

= 6500
Ig/100 = 0.2339

= 8191

= 11226

= 15387
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 6500
= 1116
= 195

= 6500+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 195
= 7953

= 6500+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 195
= 10315

= 6500+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*195
= 13115

= 6500
= 20.33%

= 7968

= 10517

= 13882
Abstract :

2022 7728 8190.7 7953 7968 7960

2037 9402 11226.4 10315 10517 10366
2052 11076 15387.3 13115 13882 13365
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 7960 70 0.557 0.641 Considerin
2037 10366 70 0.726 0.835 g 15 %
2052 13365 70 0.936 1.076 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR DAMDAMA

out.

Year Population
1991 3648
974 0.2670
2001 4622
933 -41 0.2019
2011 5555
Average 954 -41 0.2344

= 5555
= 954

= 6604

= 8035

= 9466

= 5555
Ig/100 = 0.2344

= 7003

= 9604

= 13172
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 5555
= 954
= -41

= 5555+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x -41
= 6558

= 5555+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x -41
= 7844

= 5555+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*-41
= 9038

= 5555
= 20.33%

= 6810

= 8988

= 11864
Abstract :

2022 6604 7003.0 6558 6810 6744

2037 8035 9604.4 7844 8988 8618
2052 9466 13172.0 9038 11864 10886
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

the population derived by Incremental Increase Method is low. The population forecast by State Average
Method and Arithmetic Progression Method is in between these two. In view of this, it is proposed to consider
Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 6744 70 0.472 0.543 Considerin
2037 8618 70 0.603 0.694 g 15 %
2052 10886 70 0.762 0.876 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR DEBINAGAR

out.

Year Population
1991 3913
1065 0.2722
2001 4978
980 -85 0.1969
2011 5958
Average 1023 -85 0.2345

= 5958
= 1023

= 7083

= 8618

= 10152

= 5958
Ig/100 = 0.2345

= 7512

= 10303

= 14132
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 5958
= 1023
= -85

= 5958+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x -85
= 6986

= 5958+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x -85
= 8220

= 5958+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*-85
= 9264

= 5958
= 20.33%

= 7304

= 9640

= 12725
Abstract :

2022 7083 7511.7 6986 7304 7222

2037 8618 10303.3 8220 9640 9196
2052 10152 14132.3 9264 12725 11569
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 7222 70 0.506 0.581 Considerin
2037 9196 70 0.644 0.740 g 15 %
2052 11569 70 0.810 0.931 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR DHARAMKHAPARA

out.

Year Population
1991 4000
966 0.2415
2001 4966
1125 159 0.2265
2011 6091
Average 1046 159 0.2340

= 6091
= 1046

= 7242

= 8811

= 10380

= 6091
Ig/100 = 0.234

= 7676

= 10522

= 14424
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 6091
= 1046
= 159

= 6091+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 159
= 7426

= 6091+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 159
= 9555

= 6091+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*159
= 12042

= 6091
= 20.33%

= 7467

= 9856

= 13009
Abstract :

2022 7242 7676.0 7426 7467 7453

2037 8811 10522.2 9555 9856 9686
2052 10380 14423.8 12042 13009 12464
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 7453 70 0.522 0.600 Considerin
2037 9686 70 0.678 0.780 g 15 %
2052 12464 70 0.872 1.003 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR GAIBATHAN

out.

Year Population
1991 4008
958 0.2390
2001 4966
1137 179 0.2290
2011 6103
Average 1048 179 0.2340

= 6103
= 1048

= 7256

= 8828

= 10400

= 6103
Ig/100 = 0.234

= 7691

= 10543

= 14452
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 6103
= 1048
= 179

= 6103+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 179
= 7463

= 6103+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 179
= 9666

= 6103+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*179
= 12272

= 6103
= 20.33%

= 7481

= 9875

= 13034
Abstract :

2022 7256 7691.1 7463 7481 7473

2037 8828 10543.0 9666 9875 9728
2052 10400 14452.3 12272 13034 12540
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 7473 70 0.523 0.602 Considerin
2037 9728 70 0.681 0.783 g 15 %
2052 12540 70 0.878 1.010 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR JAIPURA BARANGA

out.

Year Population
1991 3759
930 0.2474
2001 4689
1035 105 0.2207
2011 5724
Average 983 105 0.2341

= 5724
= 983

= 6805

= 8280

= 9754

= 5724
Ig/100 = 0.2341

= 7214

= 9890

= 13559
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 5724
= 983
= 105

= 5724+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 105
= 6927

= 5724+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 105
= 8772

= 5724+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*105
= 10853

= 5724
= 20.33%

= 7017

= 9262

= 12225
Abstract :

2022 6805 7214.1 6927 7017 6991

2037 8280 9890.3 8772 9262 9052
2052 9754 13559.3 10853 12225 11598
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 6991 70 0.489 0.563 Considerin
2037 9052 70 0.634 0.729 g 15 %
2052 11598 70 0.812 0.934 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR JAYNAGAR

out.

Year Population
1991 4544
1084 0.2386
2001 5628
1292 208 0.2296
2011 6920
Average 1188 208 0.2341

= 6920
= 1188

= 8227

= 10009

= 11791

= 6920
Ig/100 = 0.2341

= 8722

= 11957

= 16392
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 6920
= 1188
= 208

= 6920+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 208
= 8468

= 6920+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 208
= 10983

= 6920+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*208
= 13966

= 6920
= 20.33%

= 8483

= 11197

= 14779
Abstract :

2022 8227 8721.5 8468 8483 8475

2037 10009 11956.9 10983 11197 11037
2052 11791 16392.4 13966 14779 14233
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 8475 70 0.593 0.682 Considerin
2037 11037 70 0.773 0.889 g 15 %
2052 14233 70 0.996 1.146 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR KANIJHORA

out.

Year Population
1991 3792
898 0.2368
2001 4690
1085 187 0.2313
2011 5775
Average 992 187 0.2341

= 5775
= 992

= 6866

= 8354

= 9842

= 5775
Ig/100 = 0.2341

= 7278

= 9978

= 13680
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 5775
= 992
= 187

= 5775+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 187
= 7083

= 5775+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 187
= 9230

= 5775+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*187
= 11798

= 5775
= 20.33%

= 7079

= 9344

= 12334
Abstract :

2022 6866 7278.4 7083 7079 7077

2037 8354 9978.4 9230 9344 9227
2052 9842 13680.1 11798 12334 11914
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 7077 70 0.495 0.570 Considerin
2037 9227 70 0.646 0.743 g 15 %
2052 11914 70 0.834 0.959 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR KHANPUR

out.

Year Population
1991 4471
1126 0.2518
2001 5597
1211 85 0.2164
2011 6808
Average 1169 85 0.2341

= 6808
= 1169

= 8094

= 9847

= 11601

= 6808
Ig/100 = 0.2341

= 8580

= 11763

= 16127
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 6808
= 1169
= 85

= 6808+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 85
= 8193

= 6808+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 85
= 10246

= 6808+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*85
= 12490

= 6808
= 20.33%

= 8346

= 11016

= 14540
Abstract :

2022 8094 8580.3 8193 8346 8304

2037 9847 11763.3 10246 11016 10719
2052 11601 16127.1 12490 14540 13690
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 8304 70 0.581 0.669 Considerin
2037 10719 70 0.750 0.863 g 15 %
2052 13690 70 0.958 1.102 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR MAHESHPUR

out.

Year Population
1991 4450
1041 0.2339
2001 5491
1285 244 0.2340
2011 6776
Average 1163 244 0.2340

= 6776
= 1163

= 8055

= 9800

= 11544

= 6776
Ig/100 = 0.234

= 8539

= 11706

= 16046
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 6776
= 1163
= 244

= 6776+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 244
= 8338

= 6776+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 244
= 10942

= 6776+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*244
= 14096

= 6776
= 20.33%

= 8306

= 10964

= 14472
Abstract :

2022 8055 8539.3 8338 8306 8310

2037 9800 11705.6 10942 10964 10853
2052 11544 16046.0 14096 14472 14040
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 8310 70 0.582 0.669 Considerin
2037 10853 70 0.760 0.874 g 15 %
2052 14040 70 0.983 1.130 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR MANIKPUR

out.

Year Population
1991 4364
1032 0.2365
2001 5396
1250 218 0.2317
2011 6646
Average 1141 218 0.2341

= 6646
= 1141

= 7901

= 9613

= 11324

= 6646
Ig/100 = 0.2341

= 8376

= 11483

= 15743
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 6646
= 1141
= 218

= 6646+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 218
= 8153

= 6646+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 218
= 10633

= 6646+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*218
= 13604

= 6646
= 20.33%

= 8147

= 10754

= 14194
Abstract :

2022 7901 8376.2 8153 8147 8145

2037 9613 11483.4 10633 10754 10621
2052 11324 15743.3 13604 14194 13717
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 8145 70 0.570 0.656 Considerin
2037 10621 70 0.743 0.855 g 15 %
2052 13717 70 0.960 1.104 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR PALSA

out.

Year Population
1991 4637
1155 0.2491
2001 5792
1269 114 0.2191
2011 7061
Average 1212 114 0.2341

= 7061
= 1212

= 8394

= 10212

= 12030

= 7061
Ig/100 = 0.2341

= 8899

= 12200

= 16726
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 7061
= 1212
= 114

= 7061+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 114
= 8526

= 7061+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 114
= 10746

= 7061+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*114
= 13223

= 7061
= 20.33%

= 8656

= 11425

= 15080
Abstract :

2022 8394 8899.2 8526 8656 8619

2037 10212 12200.5 10746 11425 11146
2052 12030 16726.4 13223 15080 14265
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 8619 70 0.603 0.694 Considerin
2037 11146 70 0.780 0.897 g 15 %
2052 14265 70 0.999 1.148 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR PATHARIA

out.

Year Population
1991 3982
961 0.2413
2001 4943
1120 159 0.2266
2011 6063
Average 1041 159 0.2340

= 6063
= 1041

= 7208

= 8770

= 10331

= 6063
Ig/100 = 0.234

= 7641

= 10474

= 14358
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 6063
= 1041
= 159

= 6063+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 159
= 7392

= 6063+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 159
= 9514

= 6063+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*159
= 11994

= 6063
= 20.33%

= 7432

= 9810

= 12949
Abstract :

2022 7208 7640.7 7392 7432 7419

2037 8770 10473.9 9514 9810 9642
2052 10331 14357.5 11994 12949 12408
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 7419 70 0.519 0.597 Considerin
2037 9642 70 0.675 0.776 g 15 %
2052 12408 70 0.869 0.999 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR POKHRIA

out.

Year Population
1991 4437
1059 0.2387
2001 5496
1261 202 0.2294
2011 6757
Average 1160 202 0.2341

= 6757
= 1160

= 8033

= 9773

= 11513

= 6757
Ig/100 = 0.2341

= 8516

= 11675

= 16006
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 6757
= 1160
= 202

= 6757+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 202
= 8267

= 6757+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 202
= 10719

= 6757+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*202
= 13625

= 6757
= 20.33%

= 8283

= 10933

= 14431
Abstract :

2022 8033 8516.1 8267 8283 8275

2037 9773 11675.2 10719 10933 10776
2052 11513 16006.3 13625 14431 13894
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 8275 70 0.579 0.666 Considerin
2037 10776 70 0.754 0.868 g 15 %
2052 13894 70 0.973 1.119 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR RAMPUR

out.

Year Population
1991 3978
961 0.2416
2001 4939
1119 158 0.2266
2011 6058
Average 1040 158 0.2341

= 6058
= 1040

= 7202

= 8762

= 10322

= 6058
Ig/100 = 0.2341

= 7635

= 10467

= 14350
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 6058
= 1040
= 158

= 6058+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 158
= 7385

= 6058+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 158
= 9502

= 6058+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*158
= 11974

= 6058
= 20.33%

= 7426

= 9802

= 12938
Abstract :

2022 7202 7635.1 7385 7426 7413

2037 8762 10467.4 9502 9802 9634
2052 10322 14350.5 11974 12938 12397
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 7413 70 0.519 0.597 Considerin
2037 9634 70 0.674 0.776 g 15 %
2052 12397 70 0.868 0.998 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR ROLAGRAM

out.

Year Population
1991 4305
1047 0.2432
2001 5352
1203 156 0.2248
2011 6555
Average 1125 156 0.2340

= 6555
= 1125

= 7793

= 9480

= 11168

= 6555
Ig/100 = 0.234

= 8261

= 11324

= 15523
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 6555
= 1125
= 156

= 6555+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 156
= 7973

= 6555+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 156
= 10211

= 6555+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*156
= 12799

= 6555
= 20.33%

= 8035

= 10606

= 14000
Abstract :

2022 7793 8260.7 7973 8035 8016

2037 9480 11323.8 10211 10606 10406
2052 11168 15522.6 12799 14000 13373
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 8016 70 0.561 0.645 Considerin
2037 10406 70 0.728 0.838 g 15 %
2052 13373 70 0.936 1.077 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR SAHARGAON

out.

Year Population
1991 3791
1007 0.2656
2001 4798
975 -32 0.2032
2011 5773
Average 991 -32 0.2344

= 5773
= 991

= 6863

= 8350

= 9836

= 5773
Ig/100 = 0.2344

= 7278

= 9981

= 13689
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 5773
= 991
= -32

= 5773+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x -32
= 6827

= 5773+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x -32
= 8200

= 5773+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*-32
= 9502

= 5773
= 20.33%

= 7077

= 9341

= 12330
Abstract :

2022 6863 7277.8 6827 7077 7012

2037 8350 9981.3 8200 9341 8968
2052 9836 13689.0 9502 12330 11340
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 7012 70 0.491 0.565 Considerin
2037 8968 70 0.628 0.722 g 15 %
2052 11340 70 0.794 0.913 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR SALEMPUR

out.

Year Population
1991 4197
1100 0.2621
2001 5297
1094 -6 0.2065
2011 6391
Average 1097 -6 0.2343

= 6391
= 1097

= 7598

= 9243

= 10889

= 6391
Ig/100 = 0.2343

= 8056

= 11047

= 15149
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 6391
= 1097
= -6

= 6391+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x -6
= 7591

= 6391+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x -6
= 9216

= 6391+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*-6
= 10826

= 6391
= 20.33%

= 7834

= 10341

= 13650
Abstract :

2022 7598 8056.2 7591 7834 7770

2037 9243 11047.5 9216 10341 9962
2052 10889 15149.3 10826 13650 12629
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 7770 70 0.544 0.626 Considerin
2037 9962 70 0.697 0.802 g 15 %
2052 12629 70 0.884 1.017 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR SIBRAMPUR

out.

Year Population
1991 4233
1051 0.2483
2001 5284
1162 111 0.2199
2011 6446
Average 1107 111 0.2341

= 6446
= 1107

= 7664

= 9324

= 10985

= 6446
Ig/100 = 0.2341

= 8124

= 11138

= 15270
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 6446
= 1107
= 111

= 6446+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 111
= 7792

= 6446+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 111
= 9844

= 6446+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*111
= 12146

= 6446
= 20.33%

= 7902

= 10430

= 13767
Abstract :

2022 7664 8124.1 7792 7902 7871

2037 9324 11137.8 9844 10430 10185
2052 10985 15269.6 12146 13767 13042
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 7871 70 0.551 0.634 Considerin
2037 10185 70 0.713 0.820 g 15 %
2052 13042 70 0.913 1.050 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR SIRAMGARIA

out.

Year Population
1991 3588
899 0.2506
2001 4487
976 77 0.2175
2011 5463
Average 938 77 0.2340

= 5463
= 938

= 6495

= 7902

= 9309

= 5463
Ig/100 = 0.234

= 6885

= 9437

= 12937
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 5463
= 938
= 77

= 5463+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 77
= 6584

= 5463+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 77
= 8263

= 5463+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*77
= 10114

= 5463
= 20.33%

= 6697

= 8840

= 11668
Abstract :

2022 6495 6884.6 6584 6697 6666

2037 7902 9437.4 8263 8840 8611
2052 9309 12936.7 10114 11668 11007
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 6666 70 0.467 0.537 Considerin
2037 8611 70 0.603 0.693 g 15 %
2052 11007 70 0.770 0.886 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR SITARAMPUR

out.

Year Population
1991 3938
951 0.2415
2001 4889
1107 156 0.2264
2011 5996
Average 1029 156 0.2340

= 5996
= 1029

= 7128

= 8671

= 10215

= 5996
Ig/100 = 0.234

= 7556

= 10358

= 14199
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 5996
= 1029
= 156

= 5996+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 156
= 7309

= 5996+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 156
= 9402

= 5996+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*156
= 11846

= 5996
= 20.33%

= 7350

= 9702

= 12806
Abstract :

2022 7128 7556.3 7309 7350 7336

2037 8671 10358.1 9402 9702 9534
2052 10215 14198.9 11846 12806 12267
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 7336 70 0.514 0.591 Considerin
2037 9534 70 0.667 0.768 g 15 %
2052 12267 70 0.859 0.988 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR TELIAPOKHAR

out.

Year Population
1991 4012
938 0.2338
2001 4950
1160 222 0.2343
2011 6110
Average 1049 222 0.2341

= 6110
= 1049

= 7264

= 8837

= 10411

= 6110
Ig/100 = 0.2341

= 7701

= 10557

= 14474
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

= 6110
= 1049
= 222

= 6110+ {0.1 x (2022-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2022-2011)}{(0.1 x (2022-2011))/2}] x 222
= 7521

= 6110+ {0.1 x (2037-2011) x 25 } + [{0.1 x ( 2037-2011)}{(0.1 x (2037-2011))/2}] x 222
= 9877

= 6110+{0.1*(2052-2011)*25}+[{0.1*(2052-2011)}{(0.1*(2052-2011))/2}]*222
= 12732

= 6110
= 20.33%

= 7490

= 9886

= 13049
Abstract :

2022 7264 7700.6 7521 7490 7494

2037 8837 10557.3 9877 9886 9790
2052 10411 14473.6 12732 13049 12667
________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________

Total Demand :
Rate of Gross
Population In MLD
in LPCD MLD
2022 7494 70 0.525 0.603 Considerin
2037 9790 70 0.685 0.788 g 15 %
2052 12667 70 0.887 1.020 losses
________________________________________________________________________________________

Population Forcasting Maheshpur - (09-08-19)

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Population Forcasting Maheshpur - (09-08-19)

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CONSULTANT : M/S. C.V.

PANCHAYA SR. POP 2011 2001 1991

PANCHAYA SR. POP 2011 2001 1991

PANCHAYA SR. POP 2011 2001 1991

PANCHAYA SR. POP 2011 2001 1991

PANCHAYA SR. POP 2011 2001 1991

PANCHAYA SR. POP 2011 2001 1991

PANCHAYA SR. POP 2011 2001 1991

NOTE :- Panchyat No. 28 - Maheshpur already having a water supply scheme.

NAME OF WORK : FULL COVERAGE MAHESHPUR RURAL WATER SUPPLY SCHEME

NAME OF WORK : FULL COVERAGE MAHESHPUR RURAL WATER SUPPLY SCHEME

POPULATION PROJECTION FOR ABHUA

Decade Incremental Geometrical

Design Population for Year 2022 2037 2052

A) Arithmetic Progression Method : Pn = P + n x C

1. Population Forecasting of the year 2022 = 6340+ [ 0.1 x (2022-2011)] x 1088

2. Population Forecasting of the year 2037 = 6340+ [ 0.1 x (2037-2011)] x 1088

3. Population Forecasting of the year 2052 = 6340+ [ 0.1 x (2052-2011)] x 1088

B) Geometrical Progression Method :Pn = P [ 1 + ( Ig / 100 ) ]^n

where, Pn = Population at the end of nth decade

1. Population Forecasting of the year 2022 = 6340+ [ 1 + 0.2339^[0.1 x ( 2022-2011)]]

2. Population Forecasting of the year 2037 = 6340+ [ 1 + 0.2339^[0.1 x ( 2037-2011)]]

3. Population Forecasting of the year 2052 = 6340+ [ 1 + 0.2339^[0.1 x ( 2052-2011)]]

POPULATION PROJECTION FOR ABHUA

C) Incremental Increase Method : Pn = P + nX + [ n ( n + 1) / 2 ] x Y .

where, Pn = Population after nth decade

1. Population Forecasting of the year 2022

2. Population Forecasting of the year 2037

3. Population Forecasting of the year 2052

D) State Average Method : Pn = P ( 1 + R )^n

1. Population Forecasting of the year 2022 = 6340 ( 1 + 0.2033)^[ 0.1 x ( 2022-2011)]

2. Population Forecasting of the year 2037 = 6340 ( 1 + 0.2033)^[ 0.1 x ( 2037-2011)]

3. Population Forecasting of the year 2052 = 6340 ( 1 + 0.2033)^[ 0.1 x ( 2052-2011)]

Arithmetic Geometrical Incremental State Average

2022 7537 7989.1 7731 7772 7758

POPULATION PROJECTION FOR ABHUA

POPULATION PROJECTION FOR ARJUNDAHA

Decade Incremental Geometrical

Design Population for Year 2022 2037 2052

A) Arithmetic Progression Method : Pn = P + n x C

1. Population Forecasting of the year 2022 = 5331+ [ 0.1 x (2022-2011)] x 915

2. Population Forecasting of the year 2037 = 5331+ [ 0.1 x (2037-2011)] x 915

3. Population Forecasting of the year 2052 = 5331+ [ 0.1 x (2052-2011)] x 915

B) Geometrical Progression Method :Pn = P [ 1 + ( Ig / 100 ) ]^n

where, Pn = Population at the end of nth decade

1. Population Forecasting of the year 2022 = 5331+ [ 1 + 0.2341^[0.1 x ( 2022-2011)]]

2. Population Forecasting of the year 2037 = 5331+ [ 1 + 0.2341^[0.1 x ( 2037-2011)]]

3. Population Forecasting of the year 2052 = 5331+ [ 1 + 0.2341^[0.1 x ( 2052-2011)]]

POPULATION PROJECTION FOR ARJUNDAHA

C) Incremental Increase Method : Pn = P + nX + [ n ( n + 1) / 2 ] x Y .

where, Pn = Population after nth decade

1. Population Forecasting of the year 2022

2. Population Forecasting of the year 2037

3. Population Forecasting of the year 2052

D) State Average Method : Pn = P ( 1 + R )^n

1. Population Forecasting of the year 2022 = 5331 ( 1 + 0.2033)^[ 0.1 x ( 2022-2011)]

2. Population Forecasting of the year 2037 = 5331 ( 1 + 0.2033)^[ 0.1 x ( 2037-2011)]

3. Population Forecasting of the year 2052 = 5331 ( 1 + 0.2033)^[ 0.1 x ( 2052-2011)]

Arithmetic Geometrical Incremental State Average

2022 6338 6718.8 6444 6535 6509

POPULATION PROJECTION FOR ARJUNDAHA

POPULATION PROJECTION FOR ASKANDHA

Decade Incremental Geometrical