THE

DAIRY
ROAD MAP
2010-2016
A Medium Term Dairy Development Plan

National Dairy Authority

PHILIPPINES

12 November 2010
DAIRY ROADMAP 2010-2016
A Medium Term Dairy Development Plan
National Dairy Authority

The Philippines‟ Dairy Road Map 2010-2016 is designed to serve as the

blueprint of achieving the vision of a vibrant local dairy industry providing
wholesome, affordable milk to delighted consumers, building a nation of
healthier children and wealthier farmers, while contributing to agribusiness
expansion and job generation in agriculture.

The existing stocks were not enough to produce the milk requirements that
will create an impact in terms of achieving sufficiency in the liquid milk
market.

The present picture of the local dairy industry shows that local milk
production captures 26% of the liquid milk supply as the local milk
production is pegged at an average of 11.67M liters.

RTD
YEAR SUPPLY LOCAL IMPORT GAP
DEMAND
1995 28.95 24.66 12.58 12.08 4.29
1996 32.13 29.88 11.50 18.38 2.25
1997 38.48 37.11 10.22 26.89 1.37
1998 41.02 31.32 9.24 22.08 9.70
1999 46.09 29.05 9.85 19.20 17.04
2000 48.63 33.02 10.21 22.81 15.61
2001 51.04 50.75 10.80 39.95 0.29
2002 53.45 54.10 11.00 43.10 (0.65)
2003 58.27 50.10 11.25 38.85 8.17
2004 60.48 55.81 11.61 44.20 4.67
2005 62.69 58.92 12.34 46.58 3.77
2006 67.11 51.61 12.87 38.74 15.50
2007 69.52 58.64 13.43 45.21 10.88
2008 71.93 51.34 13.81 37.53 20.59
2009 76.74 54.27 14.27 40.00 22.47

AVERAGE 53.77 44.71 11.67 33.04 9.06

as of
1July2010 83% 26% 74% 17%
of Demand of Supply of Supply of Demand

Planning & Management Services Department

DAIRY ROADMAP 2010-2016
A Medium Term Dairy Development Plan
National Dairy Authority

The Dairy Road Map Guide

Dairy development is about “building the local dairy industry through the
development of dairy business enterprises owned and managed by dairy
cooperatives and/or dairy federations in respective dairy zones”.

A dairy zone is the basic building

unit of the local dairy industry in
the Philippines. It is considered
full-fledged if it has a foundation
stock of 300 dairy animals
distributed to about 100 farmers
who are mostly household-based
dairy producers located within a
30-kilometer radius of an urban
center linked by a system of milk
collection and an enterprise than
handles the processing and
marketing of milk and milk-based
products.

In the right table, LEVEL Main Entities Main Products

Raw Milk
the integration of Production Dairy Farmers
Dairy Animals
the four levels of Dairy Farmers
Tested/
Collection Primary Coops or
dairy operations Dairy Federations
Pooled Raw Milk

(production, Primary Coops or

Fresh Milk and
Processing Dairy Federations
collection, Private Processor
Milk Products

processing and Primary Coops or

Fresh Milk and
Marketing Dairy Federations
marketing) is Private Processor
Milk Products

illustrated.

And in the next six years, the NDA is going to track on the infusion of about
60,000 dairy animals for the expansion of the existing dairy zones as well as
the opening of new dairy areas. Animal infusion will come from the
importation of about 10,000 head of live dairy animals and the production
of about 50,000 genetically upgraded dairy cattle out of the more than
three million beef cattle in the country.

Parallel to animal infusion is hitting the right track towards commercial

marketing of fresh milk and premium milk products to meet the various
needs of institutional markets. While doing this, the Milk Feeding Program

Planning & Management Services Department

DAIRY ROADMAP 2010-2016
A Medium Term Dairy Development Plan
National Dairy Authority

will be pursued in collaboration with the Departments of Education, Social

Welfare and Development and Health, local government units and other
political parties, foundations and welfare groups.

Dairy enterprise development programs will continue to be in place in

support to the above programs. These include, but not limited to, milk
quality assurance, infrastructure development, continuous education and
training, technical services and dairy systems development, cooperative
and enterprise development, research and development and public-
private partnerships.

OBJECTIVES
The main objective is to gain significant sufficiency level in the Ready to
Drink (RTD) Milk Market from the present 19% to more than double (43%)
by 2016.

July
PARAMETERS 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
2010
TOTAL MILK DEMAND*
(BLiters) 1.77 1.80 1.84 1.87 1.90 1.94 1.97
RTD SHARE (%) 4.5% 4.6% 4.8% 4.9% 5.1% 5.3% 5.6%
RTD DEMAND
(MLiters)
79.14 82.44 87.38 92.57 98.02 103.73 109.68

RTD MILK SUPPLY

(MLiters) 58.45 72.89 77.95 83.36 89.10 95.19 101.62

DEMAND-SUPPLY GAP
(MLiters) 20.69 9.55 9.43 9.22 8.93 8.54 8.07

GAP RATE (%) 26% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7%

RTD Milk Imports
(MLiters) 43.08 48.26 49.57 50.84 52.08 53.28 54.46

LOCAL MILK PRODUCTION

(MLiters) 15.37 24.63 28.38 32.51 37.02 41.90 47.16

LOCAL MILK SHARE

(% of Supply) 26% 34% 36% 39% 42% 44% 46%
LOCAL MILK SUFFICIENCY
(% of Demand) 19% 30% 32% 35% 38% 40% 43%

*Projected Milk demand was derived on the latest milk caput per province as gathered
from the Family Income and Expenditures Survey 2006 (see Milk Caput Table)

Planning & Management Services Department

DAIRY ROADMAP 2010-2016
A Medium Term Dairy Development Plan
National Dairy Authority

Other objectives we want to achieve by 2016 are the following:

a. Reduce the RTD milk demand-supply gap to a single digit level by

2016;

b. Increase the dairy herd to about 55,000 head and triple the daily milk
output to 131 tons per day.

c. Create some 22,000 rural jobs and generate family incomes of about
P500 per day per farmer from dairying.

d. Involve some 100,000 dairy farm families in active dairy zones in crop-
dairy systems, and dairy-related enterprises including forage
production, breeding services, calf rearing, heifer care, feed mixing,
milking equipment fabrication and maintenance, milk distribution
dealerships and others.

e. Facilitate the setting up of P300M Dairy Credit Opportunity Window

(D‟COW) to support the investment initiatives of the private and public
sector on dairy business.

f. Facilitate the setting up of P150M Buy Back Fund for the procurement
of upgraded dairy animals and local dairy crossbreds in support to
massive upgrading/crossbreeding program.

g. Institute the Milk Trust Fund to ensure timely milk payments to dairy
farmers serving the milk feeding projects.

h. Firm up the cost-sharing arrangement for milk feeding activities with

local government units and allied partners.

i. Establish and operate viable dairy businesses that will showcase good
farming and manufacturing practices under a public-private joint
venture arrangement; such as, but not limited to DFO (Dairy Farm
Operations) that will serve as a major source of local born dairy
animals as well as marketing systems that will ensure the marketing of
milk and milk products including by-products.

Planning & Management Services Department

DAIRY ROADMAP 2010-2016
A Medium Term Dairy Development Plan
National Dairy Authority

Below are the annual targets of the dairy road map per major program:
PERFORMANCE
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
INDICATOR

Market
Alliance 1 3 5 7 10 12 15
Firmed-up
MILK
Captive Local
MARKET 26% 34% 36% 39% 42% 44% 46%
Milk Share (%)
DEVT
Captive
Premium Milk
3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6%
Products
Share (%)
Growth Target 7.7% 60.2% 15.3% 14.6% 13.9% 13.2% 12.5%
Milk
Production 15.37 24.63 28.38 32.51 37.02 41.90 47.16
(M liters)
Daily Milk
42.69 68.40 78.84 90.31 102.83 116.39 131.00
Yield (Tons)
MILK & Milking Herd
HERD 16,933 21,892 22,844 23,710 24,478 25,142 25,701
(Head)
BUILD-UP
Daily Milk
Yield Per Cow 3.33 5.00 5.60 6.27 7.02 7.87 8.81
(Liters/day)
Infusion 500 4,000 1,100 1,100 1,100 1,100 1,100
Upgraded 5,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 5,000
Dairy Herd 36,255 46,897 48,956 50,836 52,513 53,974 55,218
Public-Private
Breeding
DAIRY 2 4 7 10 12 15 15
Farms
ENTERPRISE Operating
DEVT
Dairy Zones
20 25 40 60 80 100 100
Operating
Children Milk
NATIONAL Fed 0.775 0.800 0.850 0.900 0.950 1.000 1,000
MILK (M kids)
FEEDING Rehabilitation
90% 90% 90% 90% 90% 90% 90%
Rate

Planning & Management Services Department

DAIRY ROADMAP 2010-2016
A Medium Term Dairy Development Plan
National Dairy Authority

STRATEGIES
To attain the above objectives and targets, we will apply the BUILD-UP* strategy:

B uy more animals. We will need to infuse utmost 10,000 dairy animals within the
next 5 years to build the desired milking herd of about 55,000 head of cattle,
buffalo and goat producing 47 million liters of milk by 2016 capturing 43% of the
liquid milk market. Also, we will maximize the potential dairy animals from our
existing livestock population via the upgrading program.

U pgrade local animals. These upgrading efforts will be in consonance with the
Dairy Cattle Genetic Program and will be done in collaboration with Local
Government Units and Contract Breeding Arrangements will be pursued with
beef cattle ranches and farms.

I nvite Private-Public Partnership. The establishment of dairy breeding farms will

be a public- private endeavor whereby the land and the dairy animals will be
provided by the government while the private partner will provide for the
management and operating expenses. The government will also be networking
with active private associations like the Philippine Chamber of Commerce &
Industries in the establishment of processing facilities, marketing systems and
operation of viable dairy businesses.

L Ighten the credit burden by crafting special credit window and augmenting
the Dairy Credit Fund. The existing Dairy Credit Facility which now stands at
P50M will be augmented to about P300 Million for post harvest and market
facilities as well as a buy back assurance of dairy animals from upgrading
program and local breeding farms.

D evelop more Dairy Zones for rural growth. The current 19 dairy zones all over
the country will be expanded and more new dairy zones will be opened up
creating more rural employment and boosting economic growth.

U nify efforts of government and non-government agencies. Government

agencies such as Livestock Development Council, Philippine Carabao
Center, Bureau of Animal Industry and the National Dairy Authority will join
resources in developing the local dairy industry in collaboration with the Dairy
Confederation of the Philippines, Philippine Chamber of Commerce & Industries,
Academic Institutions and social-civic groups.

P romote the consumption of locally produced milk and premium milk products
in order to encourage investment in production, processing, marketing and
distribution and thus help sustain the health and economic contribution of dairy
to rural and national development

Planning & Management Services Department

DAIRY ROADMAP 2010-2016
A Medium Term Dairy Development Plan
National Dairy Authority

CRITERIA FOR MEASURING PROGRESS

Based on the identified objectives, the following criteria shall be used to
measure the achievements of the Dairy Sector:

Enhanced Food Security. A dairy farmer and his family are assured of
meeting the recommended daily allowance for calcium and protein
intake by providing them cheap access to milk which the farmer himself
harvests daily. On the other hand, the dairy farmers supply the milk
requirement for milk feeding activities.

At the end of the program, more than 1,000,000 children beneficiaries

nationwide will be served at a target improvement rate of not lower than
90% is projected to be reached.

Improved Poverty Alleviation and Social Equity. The Dairy RoadMap will
create 22,000 full-time rural jobs within the covered period. This provides
thousands of members of the rural population to improve their quality of
life by engaging in dairy-related activities. For the next six (6) years,
projected employment generated is as follows:

Employment Generation
Dairy RoadMap 2010-2016
PARTICULARS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
ON FARM
JOBS
4,269 6,840 7,884 9,031 10,283 11,639 13,100
EX-FARM JOBS 2,989 4,788 5,519 6,322 7,198 8,147 9,170
TOTAL DAIRY
7,258 11,629 13,402 15,353 17,481 19,787 22,270
JOBS

Enhanced Income and Profitability. A dairy farmer with a 5-cow module

will generate for him a family income of about P500 (3 milking cows x 8
liters/cow x P20/liter) per day from dairying. In a dairy zone complete with
processing and marketing facilities, several employment opportunities are
made available in various forms which translate to income generated by
our rural communities.

Planning & Management Services Department

DAIRY ROADMAP 2010-2016
A Medium Term Dairy Development Plan
National Dairy Authority

Enhanced Sustainability. The implementation of milk feeding activities

ensures that the program will be carried out continuously by instituting a
cost-sharing scheme with local government units and other sponsors. The
limited budget for the MFP is augmented by funds coming from
sponsorships of LGUs and allies in the industry.

Within the development period, a Milk Trust Fund will have been
established intended to generate matching funds for milk feeding
programs. This will ensure that farmers who supply milk to the MFP will
receive timely payments for their milk produce. In so doing, it further
enhances the market for raw milk coming from dairy cooperatives as they
simultaneously develop commercial niches for Philippine-made dairy
products.

Below is the working logical framework for the Dairy Road Map 2010-2016:

MAJOR FINAL
Objectively Verifiable Indicators Means of Verification
OUTPUTS
Per capita Milk consumption in dairy
zones as against Per capita RDA Dairy Project Area
Enhanced Food Profile
Increased Dairy Herd & Milk Production
Security
Expanded Milk Feeding Coverage
MFP Terminal reports
Nutrition improvement rate
Improved Poverty NDA Annual Report
Employment generated from dairying and
Alleviation and Accomplishment
dairy-related activities
Social Equity Reports
Number of dairy enterprises and farmers
Dairy Zone Profiles
engaged in dairying
Enhanced
Income and Average family income earned by dairy
Profitability farmers Family Income &
No. of dairy farmers with daily cash flow of Expenditure Survey
P500/day
Milk Fund Report &
Milk Trust Fund generated
Bank Statements
Regular Sponsorship in Milk Feeding NDA Annual Report
Enhanced activities MFP Terminal reports
Sustainability
Consultation/Dialogue
Identified and Defined Market
& Alliance with
Channels/Value Chains
Stakeholders

Planning & Management Services Department

DAIRY ROADMAP 2010-2016
A Medium Term Dairy Development Plan
National Dairy Authority

C ONTRIBUTION TO PHILIPPINE AGRICULTURE & ECONOMY

Investments on the development of the Philippine dairy industry usher in

an increase in rural economic activities with the active trading of milk,
animals and farm inputs as well as an increase in the demand for farm
labor, banking, transport, milk handling and other logistical services.

Improvement in the nutritional status and milk food supply of the dairy
communities is assured as farmers are encouraged to keep milk for home
consumption, encouraging members of their families to drink milk or use it
for day-to-day cooking. At the same time, neighbors are expected to
patronize local milk produce. The local governments units (LGUs) and
other entities would have likewise invested in the nutritional needs of
children constituents through milk feeding programs. In turn, these milk
feeding programs develop a taste for milk and act as market propellers
for the milk produce.

Steadily, albeit modest, dairy has contributed 17% to livestock growth and
will significantly contribute more should appropriate funding be made
available.

Volume- „000 MT Value – million Pesos

Livestock
Sector % %
2009 2010 2009 2010
Growth Growth
Carabao 70.16 74.39 6.03% 4,489.54 5,182.75 15.44%
Cattle 117.79 122.84 4.29% 9.153.46 10,072.88 10.04%
Hog 900.44 914.88 1.60% 79,114.19 85,806.60 12.73%
Goat 38.78 39.10 0.83% 3,413.03 3,610.89 5.80%
Dairy 6.90 8.10 17.39% 205.34 241.14 17.43%

On top of all these, about $1B dollars can be saved through the increase
in local milk production and reduction of milk importation and would thus
contribute to the creation of more stimuli for economic growth in the
country.

Clearly, dairying contributes to increasing farm incomes thus reducing

rural poverty incidence, nutritional upliftment, household food security,
employment generation and instilling discipline among dairy farmers in
producing high quality milk on time and dollar savings. It is progressing as
far as its dairy animal resources can support and will continue to do so.

Planning & Management Services Department

DAIRY ROADMAP 2010-2016
A Medium Term Dairy Development Plan
National Dairy Authority

IMPLEMENTABLE PROGRAMS
A Market Development Program (MDP) that will promote and
institutionalize marketing partnerships among government, non-
government organizations, milk/food companies and local dairy
cooperatives as a concrete mechanism to support the public-private
partnership (PPP) thrust of the current administration.

A Herd Build-Up Program via the implementation of unique projects like

Dagdag-Hayop (Animal Infusion), Sagip-Hayop (Save-the-Herd), and Palit-
Hayop (Animal for Animal) that will accelerate animal trading among
dairy entrepreneurs. This will incorporate calf rearing/grow-out schemes,
cow/heifer management and impregnation schemes; and, the
upgrading of local animals. To ensure the flow of transactions that will
direct the animals to those who find dairying more profitable, the NDA is
working out with financing institutions the appropriate guidelines that will
make financing accessible to these various schemes. A feature
appreciated by participating dairy farmers is the repayment-in-kind that
allows them to pay for a dairy animal loan with another dairy animal.
Hence, dairy genetics are preserved and the continuous local sourcing of
dairy animals is enhanced.

A Dairy Enterprise Development Program that will enhance farmers‟

income from rice, coconut and other crops through crop-dairy systems.
This program focuses on farmer profitability that will promote earning daily
cash flows through direct milk sales at the farm level and generate the
“weekly milk payroll” for dairy farmers at the enterprise level. On a higher
scale, a product development and marketing program will help launch
premium, high-end products for enhanced commercialization given
efficient design and utilization of dairy facilities and established milk
standards. Through this, a stronger leverage is gained in promoting the
absorption of local milk production by commercial processors and
institutional milk markets.

A National Milk Feeding Program that promotes cost-sharing with local

government units to attain the twin objectives of addressing malnutrition
and at the same time, creating livelihood opportunities that build the
asset base and increase farm incomes. For sustainability, the dairy
enterprise is assured of a stable market in its early stages of development
thereby ensuring prompt payment for milk. Partner LGUs are invited to
establish a co-managed Milk Trust that will pay for local milk feeding
programs.

Planning & Management Services Department

DAIRY ROADMAP 2010-2016
A Medium Term Dairy Development Plan
National Dairy Authority

BUDGET REQUIREMENT
Annual budget needed is approximately P2.41B as shown below:
Value in Million Pesos
PARTICULARS BASIS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 AVERAGE
children beneficiaries
SOCIAL MARKETING (M)
0.775 0.800 0.850 0.900 0.950 1.000 1.000 0.896
(Milk Feeding)
@P1,200.00/child 930.00 960.00 1,020.00 1,080.00 1,140.00 1,200.00 1,200.00 1,075.71
COMMERCIAL MARKETING Alliance Firmed up 1 3 5 7 10 12 15 8
(Fresh Milk & Premium Milk
Products) @P30M/alliance 30.00 90.00 150.00 210.00 300.00 360.00 450.00 227.14
Imported Animals 500 4000 1100 1100 1100 1100 1100 1429
DAIRY ANIMAL INFUSION
@P0.130M/head 65.00 520.00 143.00 143.00 143.00 143.00 143.00 185.71
Animals Upgraded 5,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 5,000 8,333
LOCAL ANIMALS UPGRADING
@P5T/head 25.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 25.00 41.67
@20% harvest rate 1,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 1,000 1,667
BUY-BACK FUND
@P75T/head 75.00 150.00 150.00 150.00 150.00 75.00 125.00
Private-Public Partnerships PPP set up/run 2 4 7 10 12 15 15 9
Promotion & Mobilization @P15M/PPP 30.00 60.00 105.00 150.00 180.00 225.00 225.00 139.29
Credit Augmentation Fund P300M/year 50.00 300.00 300.00 300.00 300.00 300.00 300.00 264.29
SUB-TOTAL 1,105.00 2,030.00 1,918.00 2,083.00 2,263.00 2,428.00 2,418.00 2,058.81
Program Management Cost 10% Thereof 110.50 203.00 191.80 208.30 226.30 242.80 241.80 205.88
General Administration 7% Thereof 77.35 142.10 134.26 145.81 158.41 169.96 169.26 144.12

TOTAL 1,292.85 2,375.10 2,244.06 2,437.11 2,647.71 2,840.76 2,829.06 2,408.81

Planning & Management Services Department

DAIRY ROADMAP 2010-2016
A Medium Term Dairy Development Plan
National Dairy Authority

IMPLEMENTING AGENCIES
LEAD AGENCY NATIONAL DAIRY AUTHORITY
LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT COUNCIL
PHILIPPINE CARABAO CENTER
BUREAU OF ANIMAL INDUSTRY
COOPERATING
DAIRY RESEARCH & TRAINING INSTITUTE
AGENCIES DAIRY CONFEDERATION OF THE PHILIPPINES
PHILIPPINE CHAMBER OF COMMERCE & INDUSTRY
PHILLIPINE ASSOCIATION OF FOOD MANUFACTURERS

Planning & Management Services Department

references
DAIRY ROADMAP 2010-2016
A Medium Term Dairy Development Plan
National Dairy Authority

PHILS 20.37
REGION
MILK CAPUT MILK CAPUT TABLE 2006
(LITERS/YR)
NCR 34.91
QUIRINO 15.27
BATANGAS 24.60
AKLAN 14.89
CAVITE 24.60
ANTIQUE 14.89
LAGUNA 24.60
CAPIZ 14.89
MARINDUQUE 24.60
GUIMARAS 14.89
OCC MINDORO 24.60
ILOILO 14.89
OR MINDORO 24.60
NEGROS OCC 14.89
PALAWAN 24.60
BOHOL 14.29
QUEZON 24.60
CEBU 14.29
RIZAL 24.60
NEGROS OR 14.29
ROMBLON 24.60
SIQUIJOR 14.29
Compostela Valley 20.94
ISABELA CITY 13.12
DAVAO 20.94
ZAMBOANGA DEL NORTE 13.12
Davao Del Sur 20.94
ZAMBOANGA DEL SUR 13.12
Davao Oriental 20.94
ZAMBOANGA SIBUGAY 13.12
AURORA 19.94
BUKIDNON 11.62
BATAAN 19.94
CAMIGUIN 11.62
BULACAN 19.94
LANAO DEL NORTE 11.62
NUEVA ECIJA 19.94
MISAMIS OCC 11.62
PAMPANGA 19.94
MISAMIS OR 11.62
TARLAC 19.94
Agusan Del Norte 10.56
ZAMBALES 19.94
Agusan Del Sur 10.56
ABRA 17.94
Surigao Del Norte 10.56
APAYAO 17.94
Surigao Del Sur 10.56
BENGUET 17.94
BILIRAN 10.30
IFUGAO 17.94
EASTERN SAMAR 10.30
KALINGA 17.94
LEYTE 10.30
MT PROVINCE 17.94
NORTHERN SAMAR 10.30
ILOCOS NORTE 16.20
SAMAR 10.30
ILOCOS SUR 16.20
SOUTHERN LEYTE 10.30
LA UNION 16.20
Cotabato 9.86
PANGASINAN 16.20
Cotabato City 9.86
ALBAY 15.46
Saranggani 9.86
CAMARINES NORTE 15.46
South Cotabato 9.86
CAMARINES SUR 15.46
Sultan Kudarat 9.86
CATANDUANES 15.46
BASILAN 8.74
MASBATE 15.46
Lanao Del Sur 8.74
SORSOGON 15.46
Maguindanao 8.74
BATANES 15.27
Sulu 8.74
CAGAYAN 15.27
Tawi-Tawi 8.74
ISABELA 15.27
NUEVA VIZCAYA 15.27

Source: Family Income & Expenditure Survey 2006

Planning & Management Services Department

references
DAIRY ROADMAP 2010-2016
A Medium Term Dairy Development Plan
National Dairy Authority

Million Liters READY-TO-DRINK MILK TREND

140.00
(WITH INTERVENTION)
120.00 DEMAND LINE
y = 0.0773x2 + 1.8672x + 31.845
100.00
SUPPLY LINE
80.00
IMPORT LINE
60.00 y = 12.795x0.4686

40.00

20.00 LOCAL LINE

y = 0.1806x2 - 2.6464x + 17.69
-
1995
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Planning & Management Services Department

references
DAIRY ROADMAP 2010-2016
A Medium Term Dairy Development Plan
National Dairy Authority

DISTRIBUTION MAP 2010

DAIRY PRODUCING AREAS

Planning & Management Services Department

references
DAIRY ROADMAP 2010-2016
A Medium Term Dairy Development Plan
National Dairy Authority

DISTRIBUTION MAP 2010

DAIRY FARMERS

Planning & Management Services Department

 references
DAIRY ROADMAP 2010-2016
A Medium Term Dairy Development Plan
National Dairy Authority

DAIRY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS

INDICATORS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

POPULATION 93.90 95.61 97.35 99.12 100.93 102.77 104.45

Population Growth 1.95% 1.82% 1.82% 1.82% 1.82% 1.82% 1.64%
FRESH MILK CAPUT (kg/yr) 0.84 0.86 0.90 0.93 0.97 1.01 1.05
%RDA (1.36kg/yr) 62% 63% 66% 69% 71% 74% 77%
ESTIMATED TOTAL RTD MILK
79.14 82.44 87.38 92.57 98.02 103.73 109.68
DEMAND (MLITERS)
DEMAND GROWTH 3% 4% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6%
ESTIMATED TOTAL RTD MILK
58.45 72.89 77.95 83.36 89.10 95.19 101.62
SUPPLY (MLITERS)
SUPPLY GROWTH TARGET 8% 25% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7%
DEMAND-SUPPLY GAP 20.69 9.55 9.43 9.22 8.93 8.54 8.07
GAP RATE 26% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7%
TOTAL RTD MILK SUPPLY
74% 88% 89% 90% 91% 92% 93%
SUFFICIENCY
RTD IMPORTS 43.08 48.26 49.57 50.84 52.08 53.28 54.46
Import Growth Rate 7.7% 12.0% 2.7% 2.6% 2.4% 2.3% 2.2%
LOCAL MILK OUTPUT (MLITERS) 15.37 24.63 28.38 32.51 37.02 41.90 47.16
Cattle Share 71% 71% 71% 71% 71% 71% 71%
CATTLE 10.87 17.48 20.15 23.08 26.28 29.75 33.48
CARABAO 4.28 6.78 7.82 8.96 10.20 11.54 12.99
GOAT 0.23 0.36 0.41 0.47 0.54 0.61 0.68
PRODUCTION GROWTH TARGET 7.7% 60.2% 15.3% 14.6% 13.9% 13.2% 12.5%
LOCAL MILK SUPPLY
19% 30% 32% 35% 38% 40% 43%
SUFFICIENCY
LOCAL MILK SHARE 26% 34% 36% 39% 42% 44% 46%
LOCAL MILK VALUE (MPESOS) 503.01 636.38 690.64 838.99 1,112.30 1,325.55 1,567.65
CATTLE 217.40 264.50 318.77 385.72 479.00 584.09 703.09
CARABAO 280.01 364.58 364.58 444.39 620.88 726.92 847.61
GOAT 5.60 7.29 7.29 8.89 12.42 14.54 16.95
RURAL FAMILIES BENEFITTED 36,290 58,144 67,012 76,766 87,406 98,933 111,346
TOTAL JOBS CREATED 7,258 11,629 13,402 15,353 17,481 19,787 22,269
ON-FARM JOBS 4,269 6,840 7,884 9,031 10,283 11,639 13,100
EX-FARM JOBS 2,989 4,788 5,519 6,322 7,198 8,147 9,170
LAND DEVELOPED 6,473.33 8,280.80 8,588.88 8,855.36 9,075.46 9,246.78 9,368.77

Planning & Management Services Department

 references
DAIRY ROADMAP 2010-2016
A Medium Term Dairy Development Plan
National Dairy Authority

DAIRY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS

INDICATORS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

DAILY MILK YIELD (TONS) 42.69 68.40 78.84 90.31 102.83 116.39 131.00
CATTLE 30.19 48.57 55.97 64.12 73.01 82.64 93.01
CARABAO 11.88 18.85 21.72 24.88 28.33 32.07 36.09
GOAT 0.63 0.99 1.14 1.31 1.49 1.69 1.90
BEGINNING MILKING ANIMALS 15,891 16,933 21,892 22,844 23,710 24,478 25,142
ANIMAL INFUSION 1,042 5,436 1,798 2,617 3,509 3,509 3,496
IMPORTS 500 4,000 1,100 1,100 1,100 1,100 1,100
HARVEST UPGRADES 1,000 2,000 2,000 2,000
NORMAL BUILD UP 542 1,436 698 517 409 409 396
DRY ANIMALS 477 847 1,751 2,741 2,845 2,937
ENDING MILKING ANIMALS 16,933 21,892 22,844 23,710 24,478 25,142 25,701

Planning & Management Services Department

references
DAIRY ROADMAP 2010-2016
A Medium Term Dairy Development Plan
National Dairy Authority

Planning & Management Services Department