Track Health Country

3 Aus
4 Can
7 Chi
5 China
4 Col1
5 Col2
6 Den1
7 Den2
4 Eng
6 Ger
3 Hun
5 Ice
4 Ind
5 Ire
6 Jap
4 Ken
4 mal
5 Pol
3 Rus
5 SA
7 SL
5 Swe
7 1
7 1
6 1
5 1
6 1
5 1
6 1
6 1
5 1
3 1
Selling Price 140
Mfg. Cost 80
Salvage Value 40

DA
Probabilty SN 55 56 57 58 59 60
0.1 55 3300 3260 3220 3180 3140 3100
0.2 56 3300 3360 3320 3280 3240 3200
0.15 57 3300 3360 3420 3380 3340 3300
0.25 58 3300 3360 3420 3480 3440 3400
0.1 59 3300 3360 3420 3480 3540 3500
0.2 60 3300 3360 3420 3480 3540 3600
Expected Payof 3300 3350 3380 3395 3385 3365

Expected Demand
Optimistic Scenario
 Demand Probability
55 0.1
56 0.2
57 0.15
58 0.25
59 0.1
60 0.2

Forecasted Demand 57.65 Weighted Average