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CHEN Taotao - Part I Understanding Position & Motivaitons PDF
CHEN Taotao - Part I Understanding Position & Motivaitons PDF
(I)
Prof.Taotao Chen
SEM, Tsinghua University
201608
Part I:
Position of Chinese Companies
investing abroad; Motivations,
capabilities & business environments
Agenda
• Question raised
• Discussions
FDI global trend and the position of
Chinese companies investing abroad
2,000,000
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000
-
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Source: UNCTAD
5
World FDI outflows
FDI Outflows
Millions of Dollars
2,500,000
2,000,000
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000
Source: UNCTAD
6
World FDI outflows
FDI Outflows
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Developing economies Developed economies Transition economies
Source: UNCTAD
7
World FDI outflows
FDI Outflows (intercontinental distribution)
Millions of Dollars
2,500,000
2,000,000
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000
-
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
-500,000
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
-20%
Europe North America Latin America Asia Africa Oceania
Source: UNCTAD
9
China FDI Outward overall condition
( From 1985 to 2014)
Millions of Dollars
140000
120000
100000
80000
60000
40000
20000
0
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Source: UNCTAD 10
11
FDI Global Trend vs. FDI from
China (FDI-outflow)
China's OFDI v.s. World
Millions of Dollars
2,500,000 9%
8.57%
8%
2,000,000 7.16%7%
6.52%
6%
1,500,000
4.83% 5%
4.69%
4.36%
4%
1,000,000
2.80% 3%
500,000 1.96%
1.81% 2%
1.48%
1.36%
1.01% 1.17% 1%
0.70% 0.91%
0.46% 0.47%
0.45% 0.46% 0.55% 0.54%
0.54% 0.38% 0.48% 0.60%
0.49%
0.34%
0.33% 0.16%
0 0.07% 0%
1991
2000
2001
2010
2011
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2012
2013
2014
World China Percentage
Source: UNCTAD 12
FDI Developing Economies Trend vs.
FDI from China (FDI-outflow)
Millions of Dollars China's OFDI v.s. Developing Economies
500,000 30%
450,000
25%
24.78%
400,000
22.24%
350,000 20.43% 19.95% 20%
300,000 17.70% 17.67%
16.55% 16.52%16.35%
250,000 15%
200,000
11.10%
10.29% 10%
150,000 9.03% 8.72%
8.69%
7.50% 8.10%
7.26% 7.33%
7.08%
100,000 5.37% 5.64%
5.51%
4.84% 5%
3.97% 4.20%
3.59% 3.49%
50,000 3.30%
2.50%
0 0.62% 0%
1987
1991
2012
1985
1986
1988
1989
1990
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2013
2014
Developing economies China Percentage
13
Source: UNCTAD
FDI Asia Trend vs. FDI from
China (FDI-outflow)
China's OFDI v.s. Asia
Millions of Dollars
600,000 25%
21.64%
500,000 20.56%21.12%
20%
19.38%
19.06%
17.89%
400,000
15.05% 15%
300,000
11.49%
9.59% 9.52% 10%
200,000 8.49% 8.21%
6.61% 7.04%
4.65% 4.60%
4.52% 5%
100,000 3.73%
3.43%
2.91% 3.22% 2.62%
2.50%
2.43% 2.27% 2.67%
1.83% 1.34%
1.29%
0 0.71% 0%
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
1985
1986
1987
YEAR 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Netherlands -1871 25543 25973 75327 5018 20772 -1948 29934
United Kingdom 5198 4519 16255 82652 36132 38547 25434 52609 18373 23931 46799 20547
Japan 3368 18754 8118 7820 14200 16466 21134 22321 6544 15805 18984 19169
Canada 774 1821 4824 27258 14868 14770 43867 16794 30366 5522 18661 16460
Netherlands 4337 6365 8191 -1871 25543 25973 75327 5018 20772 8457 37174 8322 38927
Japan 6500 8544 17489 14200 16466 21134 22321 6544 15805 17077 22436 43619 33765
United Kingdom 21267 -4385 28137 36132 38547 25434 52609 18373 30069 46316 25310 35895 -102440
Switzerland 9751 -3127 12571 6551 1177 -4279 45660 10710 41406 19894 15603 18164 23541
Canada 4611 7090 33164 14868 14770 43867 16794 30366 7357 18790 16398 24153 21116
Germany 1990 12280 7079 12101 39540 -12690 17122 12320 18760 16396 6709 16348 19124
Luxembourg -1108 14344 7301 4235 17923 16051 6802 17349 29461 11989 7788 31250 16130
France 4624 4526 10706 10053 29078 5808 12950 25369 8865 795 25510 -3765 12882
China -120 -62 150 146 315 8 500 500 1037 1105 3415 2821 968
Netherlands 197 1072 4630 13397 10061 16993 11099 5026 4136 7424 24630 2031
Russian
Federation 42.26 80.33 213.6 86.26 104.2 279.5 440.1 1234
HongKong 829 214.6 247.8 475.1 521 102 525.1 691.5
Cyprus 47.23 146.9 178 109.6 159.8 259.6 235.4 377.9
Luxembourg 9783 8135 15184 25287 -3544 7605 1380 338
China 14 1 0 3 2 0 528 -124 99 33 113 12.85
Switzerland 104 -789 1256 3681 5987 758 2956 -1398 5240 829 8259 1600.3
Austria -43 81 618 2264 1305 2178 3781 4034 713 699 5712 1226.2
Japan 201 662 703 804 -285 1362 2103 1681 538 637 1893 863.75
Netherlands 1071 3703 -999 7007 91558 25239 3192 32353 -15557 -7357 22192 3377.2
Japan 159 3714 -598 8727 -10135 6857 11613 1458 -4288 -114 921 2757.5
China
7%
Africa
12% EU
53%
Other developed
countries
9%
USA
9%
Asia
Latin except Europe
America HK 6%
45% 8% HK
Asia 58%
except
Europe HK
17% 12%
Africa
3%
SEM Tsinghua University 22
Source: 2005, 2013 Statistical Bulletin of China’s Outward Foreign Direct Investment
China’s OFDI Stock by Sector
——at the end of 2014
Production and Information Scientific Research,
Supply of Electricity, Transmission, Technical Service and
Geologic Prospecting Agriculture, Forestry,
Real Estate Gas and Water Computer Services
1% Animal Husbandry
3% 2% and Software and Fishery
Construction 1% Others 1%
Transport, Storage 3%
1%
and Post
4%
Private enterprises
46% State-owned
enterprises
54%
Private
enterprises
93%
– US & Europe
– Australia & Canada
– Africa
– Latin America
– Asia