Professional Documents
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A project submitted to
University of Mumbai for partial Completion of the degree
By
Government of Maharashtra’s
Ismail Yusuf college of Arts Science and Commerce
Re-accredited ‘A’ Grade by NAAC
Jogeshwari(East) Mumbai-60
March
2018-19
Page 1 of 88
A STUDY OF PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
A project submitted to
University of Mumbai for partial Completion of the degree
By
Government of Maharashtra’s
Ismail Yusuf college of Arts Science and Commerce
Re-accredited ‘A’ Grade by NAAC
Jogeshwari(East) Mumbai-60
March
2018-19
2
Ismail Yusuf Of Arts, Science and Commerces
Jogeshwari (East), Mumbai-400 060.
CERTIFICATE
This is to certify that Ms. RASIKA VIJAY BAMANE has worked and duly
completed her project work for the degree of Bachelor of Management Studies under
the Faculty of Commerce in the subject of ACCOUNTING AND FINANCE and her
project is entitled, “A STUDY OF PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT” under my
supervision.
I further certify that the entire work has been done by the learner under my
guidance and that no part of it’s has been submitted previous for any Degree or
Diploma of any University.
It is her own work and facts reported by her personal findings and investigations.
External Teacher
Sign
Date of Submission
3
DECLARATION
I the undersigned Miss. RASIKA VIJAY BAMANE here by. Declare that the work
embodied in this project work titled “A STUDY OF PORTFOLIO
MANAGEMENT” forms my own contribution to the research work carried out
under the guidance of MRS. RAJSHREE VYAS is a result of my own research
work and has not been previously submitted to any other University for any other
Degree/ Diploma to this or any other University.
Wherever reference has been made you previous works of others, it has been clearly
indicated as such and included in the bibliography.
I, here by further declare that all information of this document has been obtained and
presented in accordance with rules and ethical conduct.
Certified by
DR. ANJALI ALEKAR
4
Acknowledgment
To list who all have helped me is difficult because they are so numerous and the depth
is so enormous.
I would like to acknowledge the following as being idealistic channels and fresh
dimensions in the completion of this project.
I take this opportunity to thank the University of Mumbai for giving me chance to do
this project
.
I would to thank my Principal, Dr. SWATI WAVHAL for providing the necessary
facilities required for completion of this project.
I take this opportunity to thank our Coordinator, MRS. RAJSHREE VYAS for her
moral support and guidance.
I would also like to express my sincere gratitude towards my project guide Prof.
UTTAM KATARMAL whose guidance and care made the project successful.
I would like to thank my College Library, for having provided various reference
books and magazines related to my project.
Lastly, I would like to thank each and every person who directly or indirectly helped
me in the completion of the project especially my parents and peers who supported
me throughout my project.
5
INDEX
Sr. Sub Title Page No.
No Sr. No.
3 Index
4 Certificate
5 Declaration by Learner
6 Acknowledgement
7 Executive Summary 7
1 Introduction
1.9 Investment 42
6
2.3 Data Collection
2.4 Limitation of Study
2.5 Scope of study
2.6 Need of study
3 Litrture review
4 Data Analysis
5 Conclusion
Suggestion
Bibilography
Appendix
7
EXCUTIVE SUMMARY
8
PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
Page | 1
In finance, a portfolio is an appropriate mix or collection of investments held by
an institution or an individual. Holding a portfolio is a part of an investment and risk-
limiting strategy called diversification. By owning several assets, certain types of risk
(in particular specific risk) can be reduced. The assets in the portfolio could include
stocks bonds, options, warrants, gold certificates, real estate, futures
contracts, production facilities, or any other item that is expected to retain its value. In
building up an investment portfolio a financial institution will typically conduct its
own investment analysis, whilst a private individual may make use of the services of a
financial advisor or a financial institution which offers portfolio management
services.
The art of selecting the right investment policy for the individuals in
terms of minimum risk and maximum return is called as portfolio management.
They believe that a combination of securities held together will give a benefic
ial result if they are grouped in a manner to secure higher return after taking into
consideration the risk element. That is why professional investment advice through
portfolio management service can help the investors to make an intelligent
and informed choice between alternative investments opportunities without the worry
of post trading hassles.
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According to the definitions as contained in the above clauses, a portfolio
manager means any person who is pursuant to contract or arrangement with a client,
advises or directs or undertakes on behalf of the client (whether as a discretionary
portfolio manager or otherwise) the management or administration of a portfolio of
securities or the funds of the client, as the case may be. A merchant banker acting as a
Portfolio Manager shall also be bound by the rules and regulations as applicable to the
portfolio manager.
Realizing the importance of portfolio management services, the SEBI has laid
down certain guidelines for the proper and professional conduct of portfolio
management services. As per guidelines only recognized merchant bankers registered
with SEBI are authorized to offer these services.
Portfolio management or investment helps investors in effective and efficient
management of their investment to achieve this goal. The rapid growth of capital
markets in India has opened up new investment avenues for investors.
The stock markets have become attractive investment options for the common
man. But the need is to be able to effectively and efficiently manage investments in
order to keep maximum returns with minimum risk. Portfolio management refers to
the management or administration of a portfolio of securities to protect and enhance
the value of the underlying investment. It is the management of various securities
share bonds etc. and other assets to meet specified investment goals for the benefit of
the investor. It helps to reduce risk without sacrificing returns. It involves a proper
investment decision with regards to what to but and sell. It involves proper money
management. It is also known as Investment Management.
Portfolio management involves deciding what assets to include in the portfolio,
given the goals of the portfolio owner and changing economic conditions. Selection
involves deciding what assets to purchase, how many to purchase, when to purchase
them, and assets to divest. These decisions always involve some sort of performance
measurement, most typically expected return on the portfolio, and the risk associated
with this return. Typically the expected return from portfolios of different asset
bundles is compared.
The unique goals and circumstances of the investor must also be considered.
Some investors are more risk averse than others. Mutual funds have developed
particular techniques to optimize their portfolio holdings. Portfolio management is all
strengths, weakness, opportunities and threats in the choice of debt vs., equity
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domestic vs. international, growth vs. safety, and many other tradeoffs encountered in
the attempt to maximize at a given appetite for risk.
Portfolio management involves maintaining a proper combination of securities
which comprise the investor’s portfolio in a manner that they give maximum return
with minimum risk. This requires framing of proper investments policy. Investment
policy means formation of guidelines for allocation of available funds among the
various types of securities including variation in such proportion under changing
environment. This requires proper mix between different securities in a manner that it
can maximize the return with minimum risk to the investor. Broadly speaking
investors are those individuals who save money and invest in the market in order to
get return over it. They are not much educated, expert and they do not have time to
carry out detailed study. They have their business life, family life as well as social life
and the time out is very much limited to study for investment purpose. On the other
hand institutional investor are companies, mutual funds, banks and insurances
company who have surplus funds which needs to be invested profitably. These
investors have time and resources to carry out detailed research for the purpose of
investing.
Investing is an art form. It takes knowledge about the stock market, but more
importantly it requires a strategy. The top investors don't get there by hoarding, but
instead know the value of a strategized approach.
While it may take some time to become an ace investor, you can start with the basics
and work your way up from there. The first step to succeeding in your money-making
goal is to systematically create a portfolio which works for you best.
A portfolio is essentially a record of your gains and losses. Any asset which can
ultimately procure a profit, such as real estate, stocks or other investments is
considered part and parcel of this compilation of your worth. Building up a healthy
investment collection is a step by step process. The art of creating a profitable
portfolio lays in tailor-making it to fit the goals and limitations of the investor. Before
you begin to select your investments, you must determine how tolerant you are of the
risk involved. If you base your decisions on your risk profit .it will guarantee you
some peace of mind. Another point to consider while creating your portfolio is that
diversification is your safety net. Having a good mix of investments is the key to
minimizing risk while building up your profits. Apart from these essentials, a
profitable portfolio things on being well-maintained. The entire exercise of staying
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updated about the stock market and analyzing various risks and returns can be
extremely choice. To ease the process you must create some order and this is where
portfolio management comes in play.
DEFINATIONS OF PORTFOLIO
Investor’s Words.com
Investor’s words.com
The process of managing the assets of a mutual funds including choosing and
monitoring appropriate investments and allocating funds accordingly.
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market. Investors are generally charged higher initial fees and annual management
fees for active portfolio management.
Business dictionary.com
7
PERSON INVOVLED IN PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
INVESTORS
PORTFOLIO MANAGER
Portfolio manager means any person who enters into a contract or arrangement
with a client. Pursuant to such arrangements he advise the client or undertakes on
behalf of such client management or administration or portfolio of securities or
invests or managers the client’s funds. A discretionary portfolio managers means a
portfolio manager who exercise or may under a contract relating to portfolio
managements, excursive any degree of discretion in respect of the investment or
management of portfolio of the portfolio securities or the funds of the clients, as case
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may be. He shall independently or individually manage the funds of each client in
accordance with the needs of the clients in a manner which does not resemble the
mutual funds. A non discretionary portfolio manager shall manage the funds in
accordance with the direction of the client. A portfolio manager by virtue of his
knowledge, background and experience is expected to study the various avenues
available for profitable investment and advice his client to enable the latter to
maximize the return on his investments and the same time safeguard the funds
invested.
Only those who are registered and pay the required license fee are eligible to
operate as portfolio managers. An applicant for this purpose should have necessary
infrastructure with professionally qualified person and with a minimum of two people
with experience in this business and minimum net worth of Rs. 50lakh's. The
certificate one granted is valid for three years fees payable for registration are Rs.
2.5lakh's every for two years and Rs. 1lakh’s for the third year. Form the fourth year
onwards, renewal fees per alum are Rs.75000. These are subjected to change by the
S.E.B.I. The S. E.B.I. has imposed a number of obligation and a code conduct on
them. The portfolio manager should have a high standard of integrity, honesty and
should not have been convicted of any economic offence or moral turpitude. He
should not resort to rigging up of prices, insider trading or creating false markets etc.,
their books of accounts are subject to inspection to inspection and audit by S.E.B.I.
Are subjected to inspection and penalties for violation are imposed. The manager has
to submit periodical returns and documents as may be required by the S.E.B.I. from
time-to-time.
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Financial analysis: He should evaluate the financial statements of company
in order to understand, their new worth future earrings, prospectus and
strength.
Study of stock market: He should observe the trends at various stock
exchange and analysis scripts so that he is able to identify the right securities
for investments
Study of industry: He should study the industry to know its future
prospects, technical changes etc, required for investments proposal he should
also see the problems of the industry.
Decide the type of portfolio: Keeping in mind the objectives of
portfolio a portfolio manager has to decide whether the portfolio should
comprise equity preference shares, debentures convertibles, non-convertibles
or partly convertibles, money market, securities etc or a mix of more than one
type of proper mix ensure higher safety, yield and liquidity coupled with
balanced risk techniques of portfolio management.
A portfolio manager in the Indian context has been Brokers who on the basis of their
experience, mark trends, Insider trader, helps the limited knowledge person. The
one’s who use to manage the funds of portfolio, now being managed by the portfolio
of Merchant Bank’s professional like MBA’s CA’s and many financial institution
have entered the market in a big way to manage portfolio for their clients. According
to S.E.B.I. rule it is mandatory for portfolio manager to get them self’s registered.
Registered merchant bankers can act’s as portfolio managers. Investor’s must look
forward, for qualification and performance and ability and research base of the
portfolio managers.
He shall transact in securities within the limit placed by the client himself with
regard to dealing in securities under the provision of RESERVE BANK OF
INDIA Act 1934
He shall not derive any direct or indirect benefit out of the client’s funds or
securities.
He shall not pledge or give on loan securities held on behalf of his client to a
third person without obtaining a written permission from such clients.
While dealing with his client’s funds, he shall not indulge in speculative
transaction.
He shall pay the money due and payable to a client forthwith
He shall not place his interest above those of his clients
He shall not disclose to any person or any confidential information about his
client, which has come to his knowledge.
He shall deploy the money received from his client for an investment purpose as
soon as possible for that purpose
He may hold the securities in the portfolio account in his own name on behalf of
his client’s only if the contract so provides. In such a case, his records and his
report to his clients should clearly indicate that such securities are held by him on
behalf of his client.
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A day of a portfolio manager is governed by the beginning of the financial
markets and they are among the first employees who come to the office in the
morning. A portfolio manager also directs all the trades of fund or securities in the
market by taking final decisions on the securities involved.
A portfolio manager has to work in team with his team members and analysts that
conduct research on various securities. The final decisions are made by the
portfolio manager after their recommendations about buying or selling of
securities. In some cases, a portfolio manager communicates with the high-level
investors or potential investors over the phone or by meeting them in person.
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"This Second edition will not remain on the shelf, but will be continually
referenced by both novice and expert. There is a substantial expansion in both
depth and breadth on the original. It clearly and concisely explains all aspects of
the foundations and the latest thinking in active portfolio management."
Eric N. Remold, Managing Director, Head of Global Structured Equity, Credit
international Asset Management.
Mathematically rigorous and meticulously organized, Active Portfolio
Management broke new ground when it first became available to investment
managers in 1994. By outlining an innovative process to uncover raw signals of
asset returns, develop them into refined forecasts, then use those forecasts to
construct portfolios of exceptional return and minimal risk, i.e., portfolios that
consistently beat the market, this hallmark book helped thousands of investment
managers. Active Portfolio Management, Second Edition, now sets the bar even
higher. Like its predecessor, this volume details how to apply economics,
econometrics, and operations research to solving practical investment problems,
and uncovering superior profit opportunities. It outlines an active management
framework that begins with a benchmark portfolio, and then defines exceptional
returns as they relate to that benchmark. Beyond the comprehensive treatment of
the active management process covered previously, this new edition expands to
cover asset allocation, long/short investing, information horizons, and other topics
relevant today. It revisits a number of discussions from the first edition, shedding
new light on some of today's most pressing issues, including risk, dispersion,
market impact, and performance analysis, while providing empirical evidence
where appropriate. The result is an updated, comprehensive set of strategic
concepts and rules of thumb for guiding the process of-and increasing the profits
from-active investment management.
Whether you decide to use a portfolio manager or you choose to take on the role
yourself, it is important to opt for a viable strategy and ensure that it is put
forward in a logical way. The merit of maintaining a sensible portfolio is that it
cuts down the confusion while providing investments that fit the individual's
goals.
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not going to be common household names. Look online for companies with rapidly
accelerating earnings growth have not been discovered by Wall Street. The most
common sector to scrutinize would be technology, but many firms in
other sectors pursuing an aggressive growth strategy can be considered. Risk
management becomes very important when building and maintaining an aggressive
portfolio. Keeping losses to a minimum and taking profit are keys to success in this
type of investing.
DEFENSIVE PORTFOLIO
Defensive stocks do not usually carry a high beta and are fairly isolated from
broad market movements. Cyclical stocks, on the other hand, are those that are most
sensitive to the underlying economic business cycle. For example, during recessionary
times, companies that make the basic necessities tend to do better than those focused
on fads or luxuries. Despite how bad the economy is companies that make products
essential to everyday life will survive. Think of the essentials in your everyday
life and find the companies that make these consumer staple products.The benefit of
buying cyclical stocks is they offer an extra level of protection against detrimental
events. Just listen to the business news and you will hear portfolios managers talking
about "drugs," "defense" and "tobacco." These really are just baskets of
stocks the managers are recommending based upon where the business cycle is
currently and where they think it is going. However, the products and services of
these companies are in constant demand. Many of these companies offer a dividend as
well which helps minimize capital losses. A defensive portfolio is prudent for most
investors.
INCOME PORTFOLIO
An income portfolio focuses on making money through dividends or other
types of distributions to stakeholders. These companies are somewhat like the safe
defensive stocks but should offer higher yields. An income portfolio should generate
positive cash flow. Real estate investment trusts (REITs) and master limited
partnerships (MLP) are excellent sources of income-producing investments. These
companies return a great majority of their profits back to shareholders in exchange for
favorable tax status. REITs are an easy way to invest in real estate without the hassles
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of owning real property. Keep in mind however these stocks are also subject to the
economic climate. REITs are groups of stocks that take a beating during an economic
downturn, as real estate building and buying activity dries up. An income portfolio is
a nice complement to most people's paycheck or other retirement income. Investors
should be on the lookout for stocks that have fallen out of favor and have still
maintained a high dividend policy. These are the companies that can not only
supplement income but also provide capital gains. Utilities and other slow growth
industries are an ideal place to start your search.
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THE BOTTOM LINE
At the end of the day, investors should consider all of these portfolios and decide on
the right allocation across all five. Building an investment portfolio does require more
effort than a passive, index investing approach. By going it alone, you will be
required to monitor your portfolio(s) and rebalance more frequently, thus racking up
commission fees. Too much or too little exposure to any portfolio type introduces
additional risks. Despite the extra required effort, defining and building a portfolio
will increase your investing confidence, and give you control over your finances.
In order to invest for the future income, there are four levels of planning that should
be considered by the investors
Savings rate
Tax efficiency
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Broad asset allocation across various sectors, cash, real estate, funds, bonds, etc
Allocation by specific portfolio choices
Broadly, the personal portfolio management can be categorized into three phases
including o Planning, Implementing and Controlling.
Planning
As the name suggests, this phase involves planning like any other business planning
where investor has to determine his/her investment objectives and goals. It helps the
investors in providing a clear vision of his goals and set of requirements. The
planning also helps the investors in selecting efficient portfolio investment over
others.
There are various possible scenarios like inflation, market economy or changes in
law; that should be taken into consideration during the planning phase. Investor
should realize that the returns obtained may differ from the expected risks and returns
therefore all the factors that can lead to uncertainty should be taken into account.
Implementing
Once a decision is made on the basis of expected risk & return, time frame,
investment objectives and other factors, other step involves the implementation of
selected strategy. Investors should go for the selected securities and follows the
diversification rule while implementing the investment strategy. The diversification of
the securities and investment in securities helps in minimizing the losses and reduces
the risk in times of financial crisis. To achieve diversification, investors can either
select local market or select even the global markets.
Controlling
Investor should keep a constant check on the market to analysis and evaluating the
performance of portfolio in changing conditions of the dynamic market. As an
investor you should make constant modifications in your portfolio by selling
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overweight securities and purchasing underweight securities. It is a challenging task
to make all the decisions based on the market fluctuations. With the passage of time,
investor’s experience can grow and he/she can learn managing the personal portfolio
with ease.
Examples of Investors
Institutions
Insurance companies
Pension funds
Corporations
Charities
Educational establishments
private investors via investment contracts
collective investment schemes such as mutual funds
Investment styles
Investment Portfolio Management involves implementation of a wide range of
investment styles of fund management.
Growth
Value
Growth at a reasonable price (GARP)
Market neutral
Small capitalization
Indexed
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Challenges of Investment Portfolio Management
Revenue is correlated to the market valuations directly therefore major fall in asset
prices can lead to steep decline in revenues related to costs
Difficult to sustain above-average fund performance and clients may get impatient
during periods of poor performance
Successful fund managers are high-priced and are headhunted by competitors
Fund performance depends on the unique skills of the fund manager
Analysts who earn above-average returns manage their personal portfolios on their
own.
Asset Allocation
As per some research studies, the allocation of funds among asset classes exhibit more
projecting power in determining portfolio return as compared to selecting individual
holdings. The successful investment manager constructs the asset allocation and the
individual holdings separately for breaking certain benchmarks.
Long-term returns
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higher returns than cash. As per the financial theory, equities are riskier than bonds
and bonds are more risky than cash.
Diversification
The degree of diversification is considered by investment portfolio managers against
the asset allocation and planned holdings list is constructed. The list comprises of the
details regarding what percentage of the fund is required to be invested in a specific
stock or bond.
The effective diversification needs the effective management of the following factors.
Tax Sensitivity
There are many institutional equity portfolios that are not taxable like pension funds.
This provides more managerial flexibility to portfolio managers as compared to
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taxable portfolios. These non-taxable portfolios utilize greater exposure to short-term
capital gains and dividend income than their taxable counterparts.
22
Equity portfolio management involves the portfolio modeling as an effective way for
evaluating the key set of stocks to a set of portfolios in one group. It acts as an
efficient link between portfolio management and equity analysis. With the rise and
fall in outlook of individual stocks, the weightings of these stocks needs to be
changed accordingly in the portfolio model for optimizing the return of all portfolios
in the group.
The career in portfolio management is regarded as one of the most desirable and
rewarding careers in the financial industry. Portfolio managers are required to work in
collaboration with a team of analysts and researchers. They are responsible for taking
crucial decisions regarding making final investment decisions regarding various assets
or securities.
A Portfolio manager usually has the exposure to diverse array of financial fields and
project management scenarios. The portfolio manager has to play diverse kinds of
roles in the organization. The position of a portfolio manager in an organization
depends on the following criteria:
Investment Vehicles: The management of the assets for the respective investment
vehicle is the common task of various money managers. There is a wide range of
investment vehicles comprising of commodity, hedge fund products, retail or mutual
funds, high net worth investment pools, institutional funds, trust and pension funds,
etc. Portfolio managers may also perform the asset management for equity or fixed-
income investment vehicles. They may also specialize in one investment vehicle or
multiple investment vehicles.
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Investing Style: A portfolio manager may also specialize in various styles of
investing apart from the specialization in equity or fixed income investing.
The range of investment styles incorporates the following.
Hedging techniques
Growth style of management
Value style of management
Small cap specialties
Large cap specialties
Domestic fund investing
International fund investing
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are not liquid, like stocks and bonds (although investment portfolios may also include
illiquid assets), and are measured using both financial and non-financial yardsticks
(for example, a balanced score card approach a purely financial view is not sufficient.
Finally, assets in an IT portfolio have a functional relationship to the organization,
such as an inventory management system for logistics or a human resources system
for tracking employees' time. This is analogous to a vertically integrated company
which may own an oil field, a refinery, and retail gas stations.
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this neglect is overpayment, cost overruns, unmet expectations and outright
failure.
Project Portfolio - This type of portfolio management specially addresses the
issues with spending on the development of innovative capabilities in terms of
potential ROI, reducing investment overlaps in situations where reorganization or
acquisition occurs, or complying with legal or regulatory mandates. The
management issues with project-oriented portfolio management can be judged by
criteria such as ROI, strategic alignment, data cleanliness, maintenance savings,
suitability of resulting solution and the relative value of new investments to
replace these projects.
Jeffery and Leliveld (2004) have listed several benefits of applying IT portfolio
management approach for IT investments. They argue that agility of portfolio
management is its biggest advantage over investment approaches and methods. Other
benefits include central oversight of budget, risk management, strategic alignment of
IT investments, demand and investment management along with standardization of
investment procedure, rules and plans.
Nearly all organizations have more project work to do than people and money to do
the work. Often the management team has difficulty saying “no.” Instead, they try to
do everything by cramming more work onto the calendars of already overworked
project teams or by cutting corners during the project. Despite a heavy investment of
people and money in projects, the organization still gets poor results because people
are working on the wrong projects or on too many projects. Trying to do too much
causes all projects to suffer from delays, cost overruns, or poor quality.
The Solution
Effective project organizations focus their limited resources on the best projects,
declining to do projects that are good but not good enough. PPfM enables them to
make and implement these tough project selection decisions. PPfM is a funnel that
connects strategic planning to the execution of projects, making the strategic
objectives executable.
The mouth of the funnel takes in all of the ideas for projects that the organization
might do. These ideas may come from strategy, customer requests, regulatory
requirements, or ideas from individual contributors. The purpose of the funnel is to
select only those projects that meet certain criteria and to say “no” to the others. The
resulting collection of projects is a focused, coordinated, and executable portfolio of
projects that will achieve the goals of the organization. PPfM complements project
and program management. It aims the organization in the right direction by selecting
the best projects to do. The selected projects are turned over to program and project
management, which is the engine that initiates and completes them successfully.
Doing projects right, doing projects together, and doing the right projects: Project
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The Portfolio Management Process
the five primary steps of the portfolio management process. The Standard for
Portfolio Management shows a more detailed breakdown of these steps (Project
Management Institute, 2006)
Select the best projects using defined differentiators that align, maximize, and
balance
This process identifies the most important differentiators between projects, such
as Return On Investment, risk, efficiency, or strategic alignment. Then it uses these
differentiators to select the high impact projects, clear out the clutter, and set
priorities. Trade-offs are made in a disciplined way, rather than by allowing the
loudest voice to win.
1. Aligns execution with strategy. Each selected project must play a role in
carrying out the strategy of the organization. No more pet projects!
2. Maximizes the value of the entire portfolio of projects to get the “most bang for
the buck.” Taken together, the projects must have a high return on the
organization’s investment. This may be in terms of dollars or other measures
that are important to the organization.
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1.4 FIVE PHASES CAN BE IDENTIFIED AS THIS PROCESS: -
1. Security analysis
2. Portfolio Analysis
3. Portfolio Selection
4. Portfolio revision
5. Portfolio Evaluation
An investment portfolio can be thought of as a pie that is divided into pieces of
varying sizes, representing a variety of asset classes and/or types of investments to
accomplish an appropriate risk-return portfolio allocation. Many different types of
securities can be used to build a diversified portfolio, but stocks, bonds and cash are
generally considered a portfolio's core building blocks. Other potential asset classes
include, but aren't limited to, real estate, gold and currency.
PHASES OF PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
SECURITY
ANALYSIS
SECURITY PORTFOLIO
ANALYSIS ANALYSIS
PORTFOLIO PORTFOLIO
REVISION SELECTION
SECURITY ANALYSIS
This is a first phase of portfolio management. Assets with some financial
value are called securities. There are many types of securities available in the market
including equity shares, preference shares, debentures and bonds. Apart from it, there
are many new securities that are issued by companies such as Convertible debentures,
Deep Discount bonds, floating rate bonds, flexi bonds, zero coupon bonds, global
depository receipts, etc.
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It forms the initial phase of the portfolio management process and involves the
evaluation and analysis of risk return features of individual securities. The basic
approach for investing in securities is to sell the overpriced securities and purchase
underpriced securities. The security analysis comprises of Fundamental Analysis and
technical Analysis. Securities are tradable and represent a financial value. Securities
are fungible.
PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS
PORTFOLIO SELECTION
During this phase, portfolio is selected on the basis of input from previous
phase Portfolio Analysis. The main target of the portfolio selection is to build a
portfolio that offer highest returns at a given risk. The portfolios that yield good
returns at a level of risk are called as efficient portfolios. The set of efficient portfolios
is formed and from this set of efficient portfolios, the optimal portfolio is chosen for
investment. The optimal portfolio is determined in an objective and disciplined way
by using the analytical tools and conceptual framework provided by Markowitz’s
portfolio theory.
PORTFOLIO REVISION
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In such conditions, investor needs to do portfolio revision by buying new securities
and selling the existing securities. As a result of portfolio revision, the mix and
proportion of securities in the portfolio changes.
PORTFOLIO EXECUTION
The process of portfolio management involves a logical set of steps common to
any decision, plan, implementation and monitor. Applying this process to actual
portfolios can be complex. Therefore, in the execution stage, three decisions need to
be made, if the percentage holdings of various asset classes are currently different
from desired holdings. The portfolio than, should be rebalanced. If the statement on
investment policy requires pure investment strategy, this is only thing, which is done
in the execution stage. However, many portfolio managers engage in the speculative
transactions in the belief that such transactions will generate excess risk-adjusted
returns. Such speculative transactions are usually classified as timing or selection
decisions. Timing decisions over or under weight various asset classes, industries or
economic sector from the strategic asset allocation. Such timing decisions are known
as tactical asset allocation and selection decision deal with securities within a given
asset class, industry group or economic sector. The investor has to begin with
periodically adjusting the asset mix to the desired mix, which is known as strategic.
Within a given asset classified, industry group or economic sector. The investor has to
begin with periodically adjusting the asset mix to the desired mix, which known as
strategic asset allocation. Then the investor or portfolio manager can make any
tactical asset allocation or security selection decision.
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1.5 OBECTIVE OF PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
1. Security/ safety of principle: Security not only involves keeping the principal
sum intact but also keeping intact its purchasing power intact.
2. Stability of income: So as to facilitate planning more accuracy and
systematically the reinvestment consumption of income.
3. Capital growth: This can be attained by reinvesting in growth securities or
through purchase of growth securities.
4. Marketing: That is the case with which a security can be bought or sold. This
is essential for providing flexibility to investment portfolio.
5. Liquidity that is nearness to money: It is desirable to investor so as to take
advantage of attractive opportunities upcoming in the market.
6. Diversification: The basic objective of building a portfolio is to reduce risk of
loss of capital and or income by investing in various types of securities and
over a wide range of business.
7. Favorable tax status: The effective yield an investor gets form his investment
depends on tax to which it is subject. By minimizing the tax burden, yield can
effectively improved.
8. Stable Current Return: Once investment safety is guaranteed, the portfolio
should yield a steady current income. The current returns should at least match
the opportunity cost of the funds of the investor. What we are referring to her
current income by way of interest of dividends, not capital gains.
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9. Marketability: A good portfolio consists of investment, which can be
marketed without difficulty. If there are too many unlisted or inactive shares in
your portfolio, you will face problems in encasing them, and switching from
one investment to another. It is desirable to invest in companies listed on
major stock exchanges, which are actively traded.
10. Tax Planning: Since taxation is an important variable in total planning, a
good portfolio should enable its owner to enjoy a favorable tax shelter. The
portfolio should be developed considering not only income tax, but capital
gains tax, and gift tax, as well. What a good portfolio aims at is tax planning,
not tax evasion or tax avoidance.
11. Appreciation in the value of capital: A good portfolio should appreciate in
value in order to protect the investor from any erosion in purchasing power
due to inflation. In other words, a balanced portfolio must consist of certain
investments, which tend to appreciate in real value after adjusting for inflation.
12. Liquidity: The portfolio should ensure that there are enough funds available at
short notice to take care of the investor’s liquidity requirements. It is desirable
to keep a line of credit from a bank for use in case it becomes necessary to
participate in right issues, or for any other personal needs.
13. Safety of the investment: The first important objective of a portfolio, no
matter who owns it, is to ensure that the investment is absolutely safe. Other
considerations like income, growth, etc., only come into the picture after the
safety of your investment is ensured.
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risk and return is the first and usually the foremost goal. In choosing among different
investment opportunities the following aspects risk management should be
considered.
A. The selection of a level or risk and return that reflects the investor’s tolerance for
risk and desire for return.
B. The management of investment alternatives to expand the set of opportunities
available at the investors acceptable risk level.
The very risk-averse investors might choose to invest in mutual funds. The more
risk-tolerant investor might choose shares, if they offer higher return. Portfolio
management in India is still in its infancy. An investor has to choose a portfolio
according to his preferences. The first preference normally goes to the necessities and
comfort like purchasing a house or domestic appliances. His second preference goes
to make a provision for saving required for making day to day payments. The next
preference goes to short term investments in company shares and debentures. There
are number of choices and decision to be taken on the basis of the attributes of risk,
return and tax benefits from the shares and debentures. The final decision is taken on
the basis of alternatives, attributes and investors preferences.
For most investors it is not possible to choose between managing one’s own
portfolio. They can hire a professional manager to do it. The professional manager
provide a variety of service including diversification, active portfolio management,
liquid securities and performance of duties associated with keeping track of investors
money.
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Portfolio construction refers to the allocation of surplus funds in hard among a
variety of financial assets open for investment. Portfolio theory concern itself with the
principle governing such allocation. The modern view of investment so oriented more
goes towards the assembly of proper combination of individual securities from
investment portfolio. A combination of securities held together will give a biennial
result if they grouped in a manner to secure higher returns after taking into
consideration the risk elements. The modern theory is the view that by diversification
risk can be reduced. Diversification can be made by the investor either by having a
large number of share of companies in different regions, in different industries or
those producing different types of product lines. Modern theory believes in the
perspective of combination of securities under constraints of risk and returns.
1.9 INVESTMENT
Investment is an activity that is engaged in by people who have savings and
investments are made from savings. But all savers are not investors so investment is
an activity which is different from saving. If one person has advanced some money to
another, he may consider his loan as an investment. He expects to get back the money
along with interest at a future date. Another person may have purchased one kilogram
of gold for the purchase of price appreciation and may consider it as an investment.
Yet another person may purchase an insurance plan for the various benefits it
promises in future. That is his investment. Investment involves employment of funds
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with the aim of achieving additional income or growth in values or the commitment of
resources which have been saved in the hope that some benefits will accrue in future.
Thus, investment may be defined as, “a commitment of funds made in the
expectation of some positive rate of return”. In the financial sense, investment is the
commitment of a person’s funds to derive future income in the form of interest,
dividend, premiums, pension benefits or appreciation in the value of their capital.
Purchasing of shares, debentures, post office savings certificates, insurance policies
are all investments in the financial sense. Such investments generate financial assets.
In the economics sense, investment means the net additions to the economy’s capital
stock which consists of goods and services that are used in the production of other
goods and services. Investment in the sense implies the formation of new and
productive capital in the form of new constructions, plant and machinery, inventories
etc. Such investments generate physical assets. The money invested in financial
investments is ultimately converted into physical assets. Thus, all investments result
in the acquisition of some assets either financial or physical. Risk may relate to loss of
capital, delay in repayment of capital, non-payment of interest, or variability of
returns. While some investments like government securities and bank deposits are
riskless, others are more risky.
MEANING OF INVESTMENT
Investment means employment of funds in produce manner so as to
create additional income. The erode investment means many things to many person.
Investment in financial assets leads to further production and income. It is lending of
funds for income and commitment of money for creation of assets, producing further
income. Investment also means purchasing of securities. Financial instruments or
claims on future income. Investment is made out of income and savings credit or
borrowing and out of wealth. It is reward for waiting for money.
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such as plant and machinery, investor and human capital are also included in this
concept. Thus, an investment, in economic term. Means an increase in building.
Equipment. And inventory.
2. Liquidity risk
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The risk of being unable to sell your investment at a fair price and get your money
out when you want to. To sell the investment, you may need to accept a lower price.
In some cases, such as exempt market investments, it may not be possible to sell the
investment at all.
3. Concentration risk
4. Credit risk
The risk that the government entity or company that issued the bond will run into
financial difficulties and won’t be able to pay the interest or repay the principal at
maturity. Credit risk applies to debt investments such as bonds. You can evaluate
credit risk by looking at the credit rating of the bond. For example, long-
term Canadian government bonds have a credit rating of AAA, which indicates the
lowest possible credit risk.
5. Reinvestment risk
The risk of loss from reinvesting principal or income at a lower interest rate.
Suppose you buy a bond paying 5%. Reinvestment risk will affect you if interest rates
drop and you have to reinvest the regular interest payments at 4%. Reinvestment risk
will also apply if the bond matures and you have to reinvest the principal at less than
5%. Reinvestment risk will not apply if you intend to spend the regular interest
payments or the principal at maturity.
6. Inflation risk
The risk of a loss in your purchasing power because the value of your investments
does not keep up with inflation. Inflation erodes the purchasing power of money over
time – the same amount of money will buy fewer goods and services. Inflation risk is
particularly relevant if you own cash or debt investments like bonds. Shares offer
some protection against inflation because most companies can increase the prices they
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charge to their customers. Share prices should therefore rise in line with inflation.
Real estate also offers some protection because landlords can increase rents over time.
7. Horizon risk
The risk that your investment horizon may be shortened because of an unforeseen
event, for example, the loss of your job. This may force you to sell investments that
you were expecting to hold for the long term. If you must sell at a time when the
markets are down, you may lose money.
8. Longevity risk
The risk of outliving your savings. This risk is particularly relevant for people
who are retired, or are nearing retirement.
The risk of loss when investing in foreign countries. When you buy foreign
investments, for example, the shares of companies in emerging markets, you face
risks that do not exist in Canada, for example, the risk of nationalization.
The Expected Return From Individual Securities Carry some degree of risk.
Risk on the portfolio is different from the risk on individual securities. The risk is
reflected in the variability of the return from zero to infinity. Risk of the individual
assets or a portfolio is measured by the variance of its return. The expected return
depends on the probability of the returns and their weighted contribution to the risk
of the portfolio. These are two measures of risk in this context one is the absolute
deviation and other standard and deviation. Most investors invest in a portfolio of
assets, because as to spread risk by not putting all eggs in one basket. Hence, what
really matters to them is not the risk and return of stocks in isolation, but the risk and
return of the portfolio as a whole. Risk is mainly reduced by Diversification.
Following are the some of the type of risk
The risk of an investment depends on the following factors:
The longer the maturity period, the larger is the risk.
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The lower credit worthiness of the borrower, the higher is the risk.
Investments in ownership securities like equity shares carry higher risk
compared to investments in debt instruments like debentures and bonds. Risk
and return of an investment are related.
Normally, the higher the risk, the higher is the return. Return Investments are
made with the primary objective of deriving a return. The return may be received in
the form of capital appreciation plus yield. The difference between the sales price and
the purchase price is capital appreciation. The dividend or interest received from the
investment is the yield.
SYSTEMATIC RISK
In finance and economics, systematic risk (in economics often called aggregate
risk or un diversifiable risk) is vulnerability to events which affect aggregate
outcomes such as broad market returns, total economy-wide resource holdings, or
aggregate income. In many contexts, events like earthquakes and major weather
catastrophes pose aggregate risks that affect not only the distribution but also the total
amount of resources. If every possible outcome of a stochastic economic process is
characterized by the same aggregate result (but potentially different distributional
outcomes), the process then has no aggregate risk.
Properties of systematic risk
Systematic or aggregate risk arises from market structure or dynamics which
produce shocks or uncertainty faced by all agents in the market; such shocks could
arise from government policy, international economic forces, or acts of nature. In
contrast, specific risk (sometimes called residual risk, unsystematic risk,
or idiosyncratic risk) is risk to which only specific agents or industries are vulnerable
(and is uncorrelated with broad market returns). Due to the idiosyncratic nature of
unsystematic risk, it can be reduced or eliminated through diversification; but since all
market actors are vulnerable to systematic risk, it cannot be limited through
diversification (but it may be insurable). As a result, assets whose returns are
negatively correlated with broader market returns command higher prices than assets
not possessing this property.
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Systematic risk in finance
Systematic risk plays an important role in portfolio allocation.[2] Risk which
cannot be eliminated through diversification commands returns in excess of the risk-
free rate(while idiosyncratic risk does not command such returns since it can be
diversified). Over the long run, a well-diversified portfolio provides returns which
correspond with its exposure to systematic risk; investors face a trade-off between
expected returns and systematic risk. Therefore, an investor's desired returns
correspond with their desired exposure to systematic risk and corresponding asset
selection. Investors can only reduce a portfolio's exposure to systematic risk by
sacrificing expected returns.
An important concept for evaluating an asset's exposure to systematic risk is beta.
Since beta indicates the degree to which an asset's return is correlated with broader
market outcomes, it is simply an indicator of an asset's vulnerability to systematic
risk. Hence, the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) directly ties an asset's
equilibrium price to its exposure to systematic risk.
Aggregate risk in economics
Aggregate risk can be generated by a variety of sources. Fiscal, monetary,
and regulatory policy can all be sources of aggregate risk. In some cases, shocks from
phenomena like weather and natural disaster can pose aggregate risks. Small
economies can also be subject to aggregate risks generated by international conditions
such as terms of trade shocks.
Aggregate risk has potentially large implications for economic growth. For
example, in the presence of credit rationing, aggregate risk can cause bank failures
and hinder capital accumulation. Banks may respond to increases in profitability-
threatening aggregate risk by raising standards for quality and quantity credit
rationing to reduce monitoring costs; but the practice of lending to small numbers of
borrowers reduces the diversification of bank portfolios (concentration risk) while
also denying credit to some potentially productive firms or industries. As a result,
capital accumulation and the overall productivity level of the economy can decline.
In economic modeling, model outcomes depend heavily on the nature of risk.
Modelers often incorporate aggregate risk through shocks to endowments (budget
constraints), productivity, monetary policy, or external factors like terms of trade.
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Safety:
Safety is another feature which an investor desires for his investments. The safety
of an investment implies the certainty of return of capital without loss of money or
time. Every investor expects to get back his capital on maturity without loss and
without delay.
Saving tax Maximization of return:
The rate of return could be defined as the total income the investor receives during
the holding period, stated as a percentage price at the beginning of the holding period.
Increasing safety Hedging against inflation maintaining liquidity Minimization of risk
other subsidiary objectives are: Maximization of return Objectives of Investment:
Minimizing the risk:
The risk of holding securities is related to the probability of the actual return
becoming less than the expected return.
If we consider the financial assets available for investment, we can classify them
into different risk categories. Government securities would constitute the low risk
category as they are practically risk free. Debentures and preference shares of
companies may be classified as medium risk assets. Equity shares of companies
would form the high risk category of financial assets.
Maintaining Liquidity:
Liquidity depends upon marketing and trading facilities. If a portion of the
investment could be converted into cash without much loss of time, it helps the
investor to meet emergencies. Stocks are liquid only if they command a good market
by providing adequate returns through dividends and capital appreciation.
Hedging against inflation:
The rate of return should ensure a cover against inflation to protect against a rise
in prices and fall in the purchasing value of money. The rate of return should be
higher than the rate of inflation otherwise the investor will experience loss in real
terms.
Difference between investor and speculator:
Investor Speculator Time horizon Plans for a longer time horizon. His holding
period may be from one year to few years. Plans for a very short period. His holding
period varies from few days to months. Risk Assumes moderate risk. Willing to
undertake high risk. Return likes to have moderate rate of return associated with
limited risk. Like to have high returns for assuming high risk. Decision Considers
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fundamental factors and evaluates the performance of the company regularly.
Consider inside information, hearsays and market behavior. Funds Uses own funds
and avoids borrowed funds. Uses borrowed funds to supplement his personal
resources. Safety He chooses the investment alternative which has high degree of
safety. Here safety is primary and Focuses more on return than the safety.
Investment and Gambling:
A gamble is usually a very short-term investment in a game or chance. Gambling
is different from speculation and investment. Typical example of gambling is horse
races, card games, lotteries etc. The time horizon involved in gambling is shorter than
in speculation and investment. Earning an income from gambling is a secondary
factor. Risk and return trade-off is not found in gambling and negative outcomes are
expected. Investment Process involves a series of activities leading to the purchase of
securities or other investment alternatives.
The process can be divided into five stages:
1. Framing of the investment policy
2. Investment analysis
3. Valuation Portfolio
4. Construction
5. Portfolio evaluation
Objectives:
The objectives are framed on the premises of the required rate of return, need for
regular income, risk perception and the need for liquidity. The risk taker’s objective
is to earn a high rate of return in the form of capital appreciation whereas the primary
objective of the risk-averse is the safety of principal.
Knowledge:
Knowledge about investment alternatives and markets plays a key role in policy
formulation. Investment alternatives range from security to real estate. The risk and
return associated with investment alternatives differ from each other. The investor
should be aware of the stock market structure and functions of the brokers. The modes
of operations are different in the BSE, NSE and OTCEI. Brokerage charges are also
different. Knowledge about stock exchanges enables an investor to trade the stock
intelligently.
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Security Analysis:
Securities to be brought are scrutinized through market, industry and company
analyses after the formulation of investment policy. a) Market analysis the growth in
Gross Domestic product and inflation is reflected in stock prices. Recession in the
economy results in a bear market. Stock prices may fluctuate in the short run but in
the long run, they move in trends. The investor can fix his entry and exit points
through technical analysis. b) Industry analysis: An analysis of the performance,
prospectus and problems of an industry of interest is known as industry analysis. The
risk factors related to the automobile industry are different from those related to the
information technology industry. The performance of an industry reflects the
performance of the companies it consists of.
Company analysis:
The purpose of company analysis is to help the investors make better
decisions. The company's earnings, profitability, operating analysis, capital structure
and management have to be screened. A company with a high product market share is
able to create wealth for investors in the form of capital appreciation. 3) Valuation:
Valuation helps the investor determine the return and risk expected from an
investment in common stock. Intrinsic value of the share is measured through the
book value of the share and price earnings ratio. Simple discounting models can be
adopted to value the shares. Future value of securities can be estimated by using a
simple statistical technique like trend analysis. The analysis of the historical
behavioral of price enables the investor to predict the future value.
Construction of a portfolio: A portfolio is a combination of securities. By
constructing a portfolio, investors attempt to spread risk by not putting all their eggs
into one basket and it also helps to meet their goals and objectives.
Selection and allocation:
Securities have to be selected based on the level of diversification and funds are
allocated for selected securities.
Portfolio Evaluation:
It is the process which is concerned with assessing the performance of the
portfolio over a selected period of time in terms of return and risk.
a) Appraisal: Developments in the economy, industry and relevant companies
from which stocks are bought have to be appraised. The appraisal warns of the loss
and steps can be taken to avoid such losses.
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b) Revision: It depends on the results of the appraisal. Low-yielding securities
with high risk are replaced with high-yielding securities with low risk factor. The
investor periodically revises the components of the portfolio to keep the return at a
level.
Avenues: Investment Avenues Securities Deposits Postal Schemes Insurance Real
Assets
Investment Avenues:
1) Negotiable investments
2) Non-negotiable investments
I) Negotiable investments:
a) Variable income securities
b) Fixed income securities
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high potential returns. According to risk return trade-off, invested money can
render higher profits only if it is subject to the possibility of being cost. The trade
off which an investor faces between risk and return while considering investment
decisions is called Risk Return Trade-off.
.
1.11 Capital Market
Capital market deals with medium term and long term funds. It refers to all
facilities and the institutional arrangements for borrowing and lending term funds
(medium term and long term). The demand for long term funds comes from private
business corporations, public corporations and the government. The supply of funds
comes largely from individual and institutional investors, banks and special industrial
financial institutions and Government. It is the market segment where securities with
maturities of more than one year are bought and sold. Equity shares, preference
shares, debentures and bonds are the long-term securities traded in the capital market.
Capital market is classified in two ways:
1) Primary Market (New Issue Market)
2) Secondary Market (Stock Market)
PRIMARY MARKET
Primary market is the new issue market of shares, preference shares and debentures.
Stocks available for the first time are offered through the new issue market. The issuer
may be the new company or the exit company. The issuing houses, investment
bankers and brokers act as the channels of distribution for a new issue. They take
responsibility for selling the stocks to the public.
•The issuer can be considered as manufacturer. Types of Issues:
Public Issue which is a method of raising funds through the issue of shares to
investors in the primary market by companies. referential issue means when listed
companies issue securities to a selected group of persons. It may be financial
institutions, mutual funds or high net worth individuals. Rights issues means an
issue of capital offered by a company to its existing shareholders through a letter
of offer. In other words, a listed company issues fresh securities only to its
existing shareholders.
Parties involved in the new issue:
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1) Managers to the issue:
• Drafting the prospectus
• Preparing a budget expenses related to the issue.
• Suggesting the appropriate timing of the public issue
• Assisting in marketing the public issue successfully.
• Advising the company in the appointment of parties involved in it.
• Directing the various agencies
2) Registrar to the issue:
The registrar to the issue is appointed in consultation with the lead managers. They
receive the share applications from various collections centers. They arrange for the
dispatch of the share certificates. They hand over the details of the share allocation
and related documents to the company.
3) Underwriters
Underwriting is a contract in which an underwriter gives an assurance to the issuer
that the he will subscribe to the securities offered in the event of non-subscription by
the persons to whom they are offered. Ex: financial institutions, banks, brokers and
approved investment companies.
. 4) Bankers to the issue:
Bankers to the issue are responsible for collecting the application money along
with the application form. They charge commission as brokerage
Secondary Market:
Secondary market deals with securities which have already been issued and are
owned by investors. The buying and selling of securities already issued and
outstanding take place in stock exchanges. Hence, stock exchanges constitute the
secondary market in securities.
Stock Exchange:
The stock exchanges were once physical market places where the agents of
buyers and sellers operated through the auction process. These are being replaced
with electronic exchanges where buyers and sellers are connected only by computers
over a telecommunication network. Auction trading is giving way to “screen-based”
trading where bid prices and offer prices are displayed on the computer screen. Bid
price refers to the price at which an investor is willing to buy the security and offer
price refers to the price at which an investor is willing to sell the security. A stock
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exchange may be defined in different ways. In simple terms, stock exchange is “A
centralized market for buying and selling stocks where the price is determined
through supply-demand mechanisms”. According to the Securities Contracts Act,
1956, “Stock exchange means anybody of individuals, whether incorporated or not,
constituted for the purpose of assisting, regulating or controlling the business of
buying, selling or dealing in securities”.
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It plays a key role in determining your portfolio’s overall risk and return. As such, the
asset mix should reflect your goals at any point in time. Here are several different
strategies for establishing asset allocations, with a look at their basic management
approaches.
Goals factors
Goals factors are individual aspirations to achieve a given level of return or saving for
a particular reason or desire. Therefore, different goals affect how a person invest and
risk.
Risk tolerance
Risk tolerance refers to how much an individual is willing and able to lose a given
amount of the original investment in anticipation of getting a higher return in the
future. For example, risk-averse investors withhold their portfolio in favor of more
secure assets. On the contrary, more aggressive investors risk most of their
investments in anticipation of higher returns. Learn more about risk and return.
Time horizon
Time horizon factor depends on the duration an investor is going to invest. Most
of the time, it depends on the goal of the investment. Similarly, different time
horizons entail different risk tolerance. For example, a long-time investment
strategy may prompt an investor to invest in a more volatile or higher risk
portfolio since the dynamics of the economy are uncertain and may change in
favor of the investor. However, investors with short-term goals may not invest in
riskier portfolios.
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How Asset Allocation Works ?
Financial advisors usually advise that to reduce the level of volatility of portfolios,
investors must diversify their investment into various asset classes. Such basic
reasoning is what makes asset allocation popular in portfolio management because
different asset classes will always provide different returns. Thus, investors will still
receive a shield to guard against the deterioration of their investments.
In age-based asset allocation, the investment decision is based on the age of the
investors. Therefore, most financial advisors advise investors to make the stock
investment decision based on a deduction of their age from a base value of a 100. The
figure depends on the life expectancy of the investor. The higher the life expectancy,
the higher the portion. That’s why the base value may change to 110, or 120. For cash
and money market investments, most advisors recommend that the time horizon
should be less than a year.
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The tactical asset allocation strategy addresses the challenges that result from
strategic asset allocation relating to the long run investment policies. Therefore,
tactical asset allocation aims at maximizing short-term investment strategies. As a
result, it adds more flexibility in coping with the market dynamics so that the
investors invest in higher returning assets.
For investors prone to risk, the insured asset allocation is the ideal strategy to
adopt. It involves setting a base asset value from which the portfolio should not drop
from. If it drops, the investor takes the necessary action to avert the risk. Otherwise,
as far as they can get a value slightly higher than the base asset value, they can
comfortably buy, hold, or even sell.
The dynamic asset allocation is the most popular type of investment strategy
among the rest. It enables investors to adjust their investment proportion based on
the highs and lows of the market and the gains and losses in the economy.
More resources CFI offers the Financial Modeling & Valuation Analyst
(FMVA)™ certification program for those looking to take their careers to the next
level. To learn more and expand your career, explore the additional resources below:
51
value is increasing, you would sell it. There are no hard-and-fast rules for timing
portfolio rebalancing under strategic or constant-weighting asset allocation. However,
a common rule of thumb is that the portfolio should be rebalanced to its original mix
when any given asset class moves more than 5% from its original value.
Insured asset allocation may be suitable for risk-averse investors who desire a
certain level of active portfolio management but appreciate the security of
establishing a guaranteed floor below which the portfolio is not allowed to decline.
For example, an investor who wishes to establish a minimum standard of living
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during retirement might find an insured asset allocation strategy ideally suited to his
or her management goals.
CHAPTER. 02
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To carry out analysis of the expected stock returns of various fund schemes
prevailing in the market.
To understand the problems faced by fund houses in managing the funds.
To analyze the benefits of Portfolio Management services to the investors and
fund houses.
To know whether investor‘s home is biased or not while selecting the Asset
Management companies to invest into? To find out major fund management
players in India and to study their consciousness towards investors.
To study the influence of liberalization and globalization of the economy on the
flow of capital and their management thereof.
To study risk-returns mechanism and how it can be fruitfully achieved through
portfolio management.
To examine growth trail of mutual funds in India and their impact o
RESEARCH PROBLEM:-
RESEARCG DESIGN:
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It is the specification of the methods and procedures for acquiring the information
needed. According to my research design, I have performed the following steps in
project:
While deciding about the method of data collection to be used for the study, the
researcher should keep in mind two techniques of Data Collection. Data collection is
an integral part of the marketing research. There are several ways of collecting the
appropriate data, which differ considerably in context of money costs, time and other
resources at the disposal of the researcher. The researcher should keep in mind two
types of data viz. Primary and secondary.
Primary data: Primary data are collected by my regularly tracking the stock
price of various script selected.- Primary data are those, which are collected afresh
and for the first time, and thus happen to be original character. Primary data for the
study is collected through Structured Questionnaires with close ended questions.
Secondary Data: Secondary data are collected from various journals, websites
and financial news paper. The secondary data are those, which have already been
collected by someone else like various journals and publications of the company and
that are used for quick compilation of the report.
The time duration given to complete the report was not sufficient.
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The report is basically is made between the horizon of two months and the
situation of market is
very dynamic so the conclusion or the return might not reflect the true picture.
The important reason for the situation is owing to the rapid growth of the Asset
Management IN the portfolio services rendered by them.
The developments in the field of portfolio management are continuing apace. In
fact, the phases of portfolio management namely professionalism and scientific
analysis are currently advancing simultaneously.
Surprisingly the research studies dealing with portfolio management aspects of
Asset Management Companies (AMC‘s) are rarely conducted in India.
Against this background it is felt that there is a need for the study of portfolio
management to examine the scope application of the Asset Management
Companies in enhancing the growth of financial investments.
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CHAPTER.03
REVIEW OF LITERATURE
Ananth N Madhavan (2003) once a fairly esoteric subject, risk analysis and
measurement have become a critical function for both portfolio managers and traders.
Yet accurate measurement and analysis of risk presents many practical challenges,
including the choice of risk model, portfolio optimization pitfalls, horizon
mismatches, and out-of-sample testing. This detailed overview of recent
developments in risk analysis and modeling focuses on practical applications. While
risk management tools can provide invaluable insights as to portfolio risk, they must
be applied with considerable care. Risk analysis, as it stands today, is as much an art
as a science. * Peter Brooke (2009) suggested that the easiest way to build a very
diverse portfolio is via investment funds. The choice of funds is now enormous and
nearly every asset class is covered by them.
This means it is very easy and inexpensive to put several funds together and have a
very broad spread. There are now some very good ‘multi asset’ funds which provide
exposure to all of these different classes in one professionally managed place. These
multi asset managers may also be able to access some funds which are still not
available to the retail investor, such as private equity. Peter Brooke is a financial
planner to the English speaking expatriate community.
This article (Portfolio Construction) was published in the July 2009 edition of Dock
walk magazine * Anita Choir, (2011) Portfolio construction& services offered by
banks and brokerages to face heatMUMBAI : Regulators may put an end to
discretionary portfolio management services offered by banks and brokerages after a
series of frauds, including high-profile ones at City and Standard Chartered, said a
person familiar with the thinking.
RBI, SEBI and a sub-committee of the Financial Stability and Development Council
are working on the proposed guidelines for portfolio management, said the person
requesting anonymity. “RBI is likely to ask banks to stop discretionary portfolio
management,” said the person. RaghavanR. S, (2011) -Core and satellite portfolio
construction& evaluation a popular investment method; the sensex has not been in the
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pink of health for a week now. The steep fall in the global indices and teetering
economies have been weighing on the Indian quit market, which, in turn, has dented
the value of equity portfolios. It’s in times like these that the benefits of the core and
satellite strategy towards investing become obvious. How it works the core and
satellite portfolio management is a popular form of investment strategy with money
managers and their clients. * ET Bureau, (2011), How to pick a portfolio construction
; evaluation scheme; Equity portfolio management schemes (PMS) are today quite
attractive from the perspective of high net worth individuals (HNIs) or ultra HNIs.
However, investor and distributor awareness of this product category is quite low and
one must understand the benefits of using this mode for investing. Typically, the
minimum application size in PMS products is rather high? With the minimum being
Rs 10 lakhs and some even having ticket sizes running into crore. Most equity PMS
products could involve a slightly higher degree of risk as they are offered to investors
who desire that extra bit of return.
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CHAPTER.04
DATA ANALYSIS
2%
16%
Below
25-40
above 40
82%
INTERPRETATION
From the above table and figure it is close that majority of respondent that is 82%
Below 25.
Where at 16% are 25-40 years and rest 2% are above 40 years.
There majority response come from the below 25 years.
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Q.02.TABLE SHOWING MARRIED STATUS OF INVESTOR
4%
12%
Married
Unmarried
Other
84%
INTERPRETATION
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Q.03 TABLE SHOWING GENDER OF INVESTOR
0%
Female
other
INTERPRETATION
In above figure there are female are 25 there percentage ratio is 50%.
And the above figure there are male are 25there percentage ratio is 50%
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Q.04. TABLE SHOWING QUALIFICATION OF INVESTOR
26%
Graduation
Post graduation
Other
8%
66%
INTERPRETATION
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Q.05. ARE YOU HEARD ABOUT PORTFOLIO?
32%
YES
NO
68%
INTERPRETATION
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Q.06. HOW DO YOU GET KNOW ABOUT PORTFOLIO?
22%
40% FRIENDS
ONLINE SOURCE
OTHER
28%
INTERPRETATION
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Q.07. WHERE YOU PREFER TO SAVE YOUR MONEY?
16%
Banking
16% In fund
Other
68%
INTERPRETATION
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Q.08. HOW DOED THE INVESTMENT WORK?
1%
SATISFIED
44% DISSATISFIED
AVERAGE
55%
OTHER
0%
INTERPRETATION
Figure showing how investment work
Satisfied ivestor is 55% in the above figure
Average satisfied investor is 44%.
1% investor is dissatisfied
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Q.09. ARE YOU COMFORTABLE TAKING RISK FROM INVESTMENT?
32%
YES
NO
68%
INTERPRETATION
In the above figure 34 out of 50 investor satisfied with taking risk from the
investment.
Remaining 32% are say NO taking risk from investment.
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Q.10. IF YOU UNEXPECTEDLY RECEIVED RS. 10,00,000 TO INVEST .
WHAT WOULD YOU DO?
START A BUSINESS
20%
INVEST IN STOCK OR
BONDS MUTUAL
FUNDS
13% INVEST IN BONDS OR
53%
BONDS MUTUAL FUND
INTERPRETATION
Figure showing that investor get Rs. 10,00,0000. Then 20% investor start
business
13% investor invest in tock or nonds mutual funds.
14% invest in bonds or nonds mutual fund
Remaining will 53% Deposit in Bank.
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Q.11. HOW COMFORTABLE ARE YOU FINANCIALLY?
17%
35%
NOT VERY GOOD. YOU
NEED SOME HELP.
2%
INTERPRETATION
This table showing investor financial condition 1% is doing well.
2% investor getting afford to chance time to time.
35% investor have to be careful.
17% investor condition not very good. They need some help.
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Q.12. SUDDENLY, THE MARKET DROPS SWIFTY AND SHARPLY.
YOU MOST RECENT PURCHASE 20 DROPS WHAT DO YO DO ?
Sir Particular No of Percentage(%)
No. Respondents
1 You will wait to climb up back 23 47.9%
2 Buy more 12 25%
3 Sell immediately and no invest till 8 16.7%
recover los.
4 You will never purchase whose price 5 10.4%
is fluctuates.
Total 50 100
10%
BUY MORE
17%
48%
25%
YOU WILL NEVER
PURCHASE ANYTHING
WHOSE PRICE
FLUCTUATES.
INTERPRETATION
This figure is showing 23 investor out 50 wait to climb up back
25% investor buy more.
17% investor sell immediately and no invest till recover the loss
10% investor will never purchase anything whose price fluctuates.
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Q.13. WHEN YOU SUFFER FINACIAL LOSS . WHAT ARE YOUR
FEELINGS?
You think it
happened because
12% it way you destiny
26% you have many
opportunities to
cover up losses.
INTERPRETATION
The figure that 12% investor think it has happened because it way you
destiny
30% investor have many opportunities to cover up losses.
32% lookout for new investment that give high return. So, there coverup
losses.
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Q.14. WHAT IS YOUR OWN INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY?
14%
EARN MAXIMUM
51% PROFIT
LOW RISK
35%
INTERPRETATION
Investor ask their own investment philosophy. They reply 51% high earn
at lower risk.
35%investor reply that earn maximum profit.
14% investor are reply low risk accept from investment
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Q.15. WOULD TOU LIKE TO TAKE PORTFOLIO?
14%
YES
NO
86%
INTERPRETATION
Figure is showing that 42 people response say yes to taking
portfolio
Remaining 14% they don’t want to take portfolio.
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CONCLUSION
From the above discussion it is clear that portfolio functioning is based on market
risk, so one can get the help from the professional portfolio manager or the Merchant
banker if required before investment because applicability of practical knowledge
through technical analysis can help an investor to reduce risk. In other words Security
prices are determined by money manager and home managers, students and strikers,
doctors and dog catchers, lawyers and landscapers, the wealthy and the wanting. This
breadth of market participants guarantees an element of unpredictability and
excitement. If we were all totally logical and could separate our emotions from
our investment decisions then, the determination of price based on future earnings
would work magnificently. And since we would all have the same completely logical
expectations, price would only change when quarterly reports or relevant news was
released. If price are based on investors’ expectations, then knowing what a security
should sell for become less important than knowing what other investors expect it to
sell for.
I can conclude from this project that portfolio management has become an important
service for the investors to identify the companies with growth potential. Portfolio
managers can provide the professional advice to the investors to make an intelligent
and informed investment.
Portfolio management role is still not identified in the recent time but due it expansion
of investors market and growing complexities of the investors the services of the portf
olio managers will be in great demand in the near future. Today the individual
investors do not show interest in taking professional help but surely
with the growing importance and awareness regarding portfolio’s manager’s people w
illdefinitely prefer to take professional help.
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SUGGESTIONS
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One company started its annual project funding cycle in early August and did not
finish it until Thanksgiving. Submitted project requests were at least 3-times larger
than the available budget. Countless hours were expended analyzing, justifying,
reviewing, and discussing projects that had no chance of ever being funded. It was a
terrible waste of effort and sapped management focus.
The first step in the process is a quick, scoring of the projects. The scoring sheets
can be easily distributed and managed across a large number of stakeholders. The
stakeholders rate the projects independently. Then, the portfolio manager
consolidates and aggregates the results.
The second step is building a prioritized portfolio backlog of projects from those
projects with the highest scores. After the projects have been scored, the portfolio
manager works with the stakeholders to build the prioritized backlog of candidate
projects. It is an ordinal ranking of upcoming projects.
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BIBLIOGRAPHY
Notes:
Security Analysis and Portfolio Management
Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management.
Research And Methdology
Websites:
www.google.com
www. Slideshare.com
www.wikipedia.com
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APPENDIX
o Below 25
o 25-40
o Above 40
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Q.07. Where you prefer to save your money?
o Banking
o In fund
o Other
Q.10. If you unexpectedly received rs. 10,00,000 to invest . What would you do?
o Start a business.
o Invest in stock or mutual fund
o Invest in bonds or bond mutual fund
o Deposit in bank
Q.12. Suddenly, the market drops swifty and sharply. You most recent purchase
20 drops what do yo do ?
o You will wait to climb up back
o Buy more
o Sell immediately and no invest till recover los.
o You will never purchase whose price is fluctuates.
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Feelings?
o You think it has happened because it way toy destiny.
o You have many opportunity to cover up losses.
o Lookout for new investment that give high returns so that you cover
your loss.
o Others
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