24/5/2019 Basil Markesinis: The need for an old foe | Opinion | The Guardian

The need for an old foe

If chaos is to be averted in the Middle East, Washington must give Russia a more active
role
Basil Markesinis
Thu 30 Aug 2007 00.05 BST

Nearly 40 years after the Americans escaped from the rooftops of Saigon, this
great country may be on the verge of a second retreat, this time from Iraq. To be
sure, this exodus has not begun yet, and President George Bush's recent speech on
the "lessons from Vietnam" suggests that he is in denial. How superficial the
parallel was that he drew has been noted by many. The consensus is that the
speech was little more than spin, preparing official reaction to the publication of

Y
General David Petraeus's report on the effects of the "surge" of US forces in Iraq.
et no amount of spin or simplification should conceal the magnitude of
the Iraq disaster and the damage to America's reputation. On all counts,
US planners misread how their "liberation" would play in Iraq and in the
region as a whole. Today, the image of American predictive power has
sunk as low as that of its intelligence services.

Among the numerous lessons that the US must learn from its Iraq misadventure is
that the help of Russia is crucial. If Washington hopes to retreat from Iraq without
igniting a Middle East powder-keg, it cannot persist with its approach of the last
decade, in which no opportunity to humiliate its old foe has been missed. Dick
Cheney's speech in the Baltic states concerning human rights in President
Vladimir Putin's Russia is just one example. It is difficult not to feel some
sympathy for Mikhail Gorbachev's charge of hypocrisy: this from a country that
runs Guantánamo, practises extraordinary rendition and has come close to
resorting to torture in its own territory.

Worse still, American treatment of Russia on a whole range of issues has

nourished resentment and assisted the reawakening of Russian national pride.
The Russians had to stomach this in the late 90s. Not any longer, however, given
their newly discovered wealth in oil and gas. Here, too, the US has blundered,
pushing swaths of Europe to adjust their interests to fit in with Russian energy
wealth. Inviting Putin to have a lobster meal with Bush is hardly the way to make

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24/5/2019 Basil Markesinis: The need for an old foe | Opinion | The Guardian

up for blunders stemming from a philosophy which he knows full well has not
changed.

Giving a more active role to Russia in "managing a phased new settlement", along
with a genuine attempt to solve the Palestinian issue, could be the first real steps
towards neutralising the American fear of chaos and local strife. For in the region
Russia has better links with countries such as Iran than the US does, and acting in
concert with the US, it could forestall rash decisions by other neighbouring
countries to intervene during the transition. Of course that would mean that
American oil giants would henceforth have to share and not monopolise the
"action". But then, are we not told that American involvement in the Middle East
was never motivated by financial gain but mounted in the interests of a wider and
more lasting stability? Satisfying Russia's crumpled pride might also help reduce
tension even in Europe.

If we need Russia's help, we must seek an accommodation with it across a broad

spectrum of issues. This will be neither easy nor painless, but the alternative is
more of the same, as General Sir Richard Dannatt warned in a recent speech. To
some of us this looks like an unending and unnecessary clash of cultures and
religions, terrorism the only winner. Thus we must try all alternatives before
committing to a "generation of conflict", as the general described it.

The Anglo-American axis must also swallow its pride and enlist the active support
of Europeans, especially France, which was not the only major country to try,
rightly, to pull the US back from its folly in Iraq but is also the only continental
European state with a network of useful relations in the Middle East.

No amount of cosmetic enthusiasm should be allowed to disguise the formidable

problems that lie ahead. To minimise the chaos that now prevails not only in Iraq
but also in Gaza, Lebanon, Iran, Afghanistan and Pakistan, and to let us focus
squarely on the threat of international terrorism and the restoration of peace to
the Middle East, we hope that Washington learns the lesson of true unilateralism -
and also realises that the damage caused by its bad planning and likely to follow
its retreat will be mitigated only by involving global partners, not least in Russia
and Europe. In short, the days when the US decided and its "friends" demurely
followed must end.

· Sir Basil Markesinis professor of common and civil law at University College
London

b.markesinis@ucl.ac.uk

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Topics
Russia
Opinion
Iraq
Middle East and North Africa
Europe
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