Professional Documents
Culture Documents
3d
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EDITED BY
KOBI MICHAEL, DAVID KELLEN,
AND EYAL BEN-ARI
PSI Reports
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ISBN: 978-0-313-36501-0
First published in 2009
Praeger Security International, 88 Post Road West, Westport, CT 06881
An imprint of Greenwood Publishing Group, Inc.
www.praeger.com
Printed in the United States of America
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Contents
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vi CONTENTS
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More than 40 years ago, Konrad Adenauer and David Ben-Gurion laid the
foundation for reconciliation and partnership between Germany and Israel.
Carrying on the legacy of the late chancellor, the Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung
(KAS) has been active in Israel for almost 30 years.
Together with local partner organizations we work on three main
objectives:
To preserve and further develop the relations between Germany and Israel,
which are increasingly acquiring a European dimension
To support efforts to strengthen democracy and the rule of law in Israel
with our partner organizations
To strive to facilitate a peaceful coexistence between Israel and its
neighbors
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viii FOREWORD
more and more possible to seriously discuss the concrete role of foreign forces
in support of peace efforts in the region.
This book offers a number of innovative ideas and insights for peace
operations, with relevance both to the study of international involvement in
conflict and to political decision makers in Israel, Europe, and beyond.
This project, like all KAS projects, has been guided by our belief in the
benefits of democracy, freedom, market economy, and peaceful coexistence.
May it be a lasting and sustainable contribution to Israel’s peace, prosperity,
and partnership with Europe.
Dr. Lars H€ansel
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Acknowledgments
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Abbreviations
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xii ABBREVIATIONS
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ABBREVIATIONS xiii
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For the past two decades or so, various scholars, commentators, and experts
have declared that the militaries of the industrial democracies are undergoing
fundamental change. Some of these assertions have been formulated as slogans
such as the ‘‘Revolution in Military Affairs,’’ the advent of a ‘‘Postmodern
Military,’’ or the matchless emergence of ‘‘effects-based and net-centric opera-
tions.’’ Other, more reflective, contentions have centered on the emergence of
‘‘New Wars,’’ ‘‘Other Wars,’’ or new ‘‘Western Ways of Waging War.’’ While
these arguments have been the focus of intense criticism and discussion, they
nevertheless underscore the fact that since the end of the Cold War, the armed
forces of the industrial democracies have undergone very significant transfor-
mations. As of yet, however, no systematic scholarly attempt has been carried
out linking these changes to Peace Support Operations (PSOs), those operations
with major state-building components that demand broad and coherent coopera-
tion between military forces and civilian entities. It is this lacuna that our vol-
ume seeks to fill.
At the same time, however, our focus is primarily conceptual. This point
means that our volume does not offer a focus on the implications of advanced
technologies for peace-related missions. Rather, we seek to understand how
social, economic, political, and organizational transformations around the globe
are related to the complex links between armed forces and PSOs. Accordingly,
we see the challenge facing decision-makers, senior military commanders, and
scholars as filling in gaps in existing conceptual frames that link PSOs to con-
temporary conflict and warfare. We contend that this gap is to a great extent an
outcome of the dominance of militarized thinking in this area. Indeed, note the
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large number of scholars writing about PSOs who have either a direct back-
ground in military institutions or have specialized in military and security stud-
ies. Along these lines, because of the centrality of armed forces in PSOs and
because the concepts handy to actors in the field are based on martial knowl-
edge and experience, the main frames for analyzing and interpreting PSOs are
militarized.
More concretely, in this essay we argue that the dominant conceptualization
connecting the transformation of war and PSOs continues to be based on, or
derived from, two master templates or frames. The first is what has been vari-
ously termed ‘‘conventional’’ or ‘‘industrial war,’’ while the second is that of
‘‘traditional peacekeeping.’’ Whereas the first provides a conceptual lens that sit-
uates conflicts on a gradient of nearness or distance from conventional war, the
second supplies a frame that analyzes missions in terms of their similarity to or
difference from traditional peacekeeping. In fact, the basic notion of the latter is
itself derived from an idea of industrial war, where traditional peacekeeping cen-
ters on maintaining or monitoring peace between two or more states marked by
international boundaries and possessing an internal monopoly over the means of
organized violence. As we shall show, these two conceptual prisms, which are
still highly emotionally resonant both within and outside the military, provide
the basic frames through which PSOs are perceived, understood, and acted upon.
Yet an analysis of many contemporary conflicts leads us to conclude that these
templates, and more widely military-based knowledge, are not necessarily the
most suitable for analyzing and understanding these circumstances.
The wider context of our volume is a sense of failure and pessimism in dis-
cussions and commentaries about PSOs. Thus, Schindl explains that after the
end of the Cold War, the euphoria of the Gulf War of the 1990s, and the avowal
of a ‘‘New World Order,’’ peace-operations were declared the recipe for a better
world.1 Yet the debacles and failures in Cambodia, Somalia, and the Balkans led 1
to disillusionment. More concretely, a report by the Center for International
Cooperation contends that the mandates of current missions are usually the out-
come of improvised responses that lead to inconsistencies and false expecta-
tions.2 Hence, some authors contend that the United Nations’ response to law 2
and order issues in peacekeeping have been no more than ad-hoc and driven by
exigencies on the ground.3 These examples underscore a sense of strategic help- 3
lessness that combines political, organizational, and conceptual problems.
Against this background, our volume builds on emerging scholarship to sug-
gest a new set of ideas and concepts that may aid us in grasping and interpret-
ing the transformations we are witness to in the world of war and in PSOs.
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INTRODUCTION 3
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INTRODUCTION 5
Indeed, take the Israeli—Palestinian conflict, which has by now become iconic
in the sense of representing in dense form many of the problems of conflict in
the contemporary world. To be sure, Smith is well aware of the importance of
the media, but its importance extends beyond the theater of war.
Hence, the third trend can be referred to as the casualty aversion and fragil-
ity of legitimacy of many contemporary missions. Shaw sees in this trend the
development of ‘‘risk-transfer war,’’ which centers on minimizing life-risks to
the military and hence all-important political and electoral risks to their mas-
ters.19 In today’s industrial democracies, cultural transformations have led to an 19
erosion of martial values and to much less tolerance of casualties both on
‘‘our’’ side and, to an extent, civilians on ‘‘their’’ side as a consequence of mili-
tary operations.20 This is the social context that explains the emphasis found in 20
many militaries, as in the American one, on force protection.21 In many coun- 21
tries, public insistence on a minimum of casualties has been closely related to
the development of high-tech weaponry that supposedly both protects friendly
military personnel and delivers force ‘‘effectively’’ and precisely to accomplish
missions.22 Yet, as we shall see, expectations about advanced military technol- 22
ogy that have contributed to (and emanated from casualty aversion) can also
lead to a relatively easy commitment to wars of conscience.23 23
At base of this issue lies what Dandeker calls the ‘‘military covenant,’’ the
social, political, and psychological contract that connects the military (and
groups within it) and senior officers to politicians and civilian society.24 Thus, 24
the question of how many casualties the industrial democracies are willing to
suffer in missions abroad is not only related to concrete political will or risk tol-
erance. As Haltiner (Chapter Two in this volume) demonstrates, European
states with mandatory conscription are far less likely to participate in PSOs.
While he does not use the term military covenant, Haltiner argues that changes
in such states have less to do with the end of the Cold War and more with new
missions and the multi-nationalization of forces. Out-of-the-area deployments
are simply much more difficult to manage in the hard-core conscription coun-
tries. PSOs violate the ‘‘Republican Equation,’’ the contract between citizens
and their states. People are willing to sacrifice by military service and military
funding for material and symbolic rewards and accept the state political control,
but PSOs do not provide those rewards and therefore the motivation to partici-
pate in PSOs decreases.25 25
This point leads us to the fourth trend, which entails emerging international
norms that involve what have come to be called ‘‘wars of conscience.’’26 Dan- 26
deker suggests that in late modernity, accompanying a greater questioning of
the legitimacy of the unilateral use of military force to resolve international dis-
putes is the increased focus on human rights as an addition to the concept of se-
curity.27 What we are witness to in the last twenty years is the development of 27
new international norms that define what is legitimately accepted by state
actors. Certain actors or norm entrepreneurs—both domestic and external, state-
and NGO-based, and often supported by the media—have steadily been pushing
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INTRODUCTION 7
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INTRODUCTION 9
Donald contends that the confusion centering on many PSOs originates in the
three cardinal principles of traditional peacekeeping: the neutrality of the peace-
keepers, the consent of the warring parties, and the minimal or non-use of force.57 57
Each of these principles has been applied, and subsequently questioned, in current
PSOs. In our words, the confusion that Donald observes derives from the contin-
ued use of the template of traditional peacekeeping in PSOs. For instance, in con-
flicts such as Somalia or the former Yugoslavia, the belligerents recognize no
neutrals and interpret any action by external agents as helping or hindering their
cause.58 In such cases, intrastate conflict has much in common with insurgencies 58
because both involve belligerents who do not recognize or accept the legitimacy
of established states.59 Hence, while the traditional emphasis has been on the con- 59
sent of the parties, peace-enforcement missions, let alone other kinds of interven-
tions, are based on different kinds of legitimacy.60 Similarly, while older forms of 60
peacekeeping emphasized the non-use of force, many new operations are explic-
itly based on it. Along the same lines, while the earlier stress was on neutrality in
the sense of a ‘‘passive’’ absence of partiality, the newer missions involve a much
more ‘‘active’’ judgment based on the application of criteria to render assistance
or intervention. Accordingly, there is an immense difference between a cease-fire
negotiated by two governments involved in an interstate war, and a settlement
enshrined in documents of legal, political, and psychological validity and legiti-
macy between warring communities, warlords, and other parties operating in the
chaos surrounding collapsing states.61 61
But the problem is not limited to the fact that much of contemporary thinking
about PSOs is derived from traditional peacekeeping. The problem centers on the
very militarization of concepts related to such missions. Take as an example the
linguistic usages in such terms as ‘‘humanitarian intervention’’ or ‘‘human rights
protection operations,’’62 or notice the proposal by Metz and Millen that as part of 62
intervention, stabilization and transformation (IST) operations, the American mili-
tary ‘‘needs a stabilization concept that is equivalent to the rapid decisive opera-
tions in conventional war-fighting. This concept needs to be grounded in mass
psychology, with the full integrations of cultural distinctions.’’63 Finally, take the 63
militarization of ‘‘other’’ missions as in a statement by the then U.S. Secretary of
State Colin Powell, ‘‘The NGOs are such a force multiplier for us, such an impor-
tant part of our combat team.’’64 All these examples attest to the assumption that 64
current missions (and the actors participating in them) should be undertaken
within what are essentially military modes of action. Indeed, even counterinsur-
gency studies that argue that politics is paramount, in effect continue to over-
whelmingly focus on the military dimension.65 65
These premises also apply to assertions about the preeminence of security
considerations over other concerns and the primacy of the military over other
organizations in PSOs. Such assumptions are related, no doubt, to sequential
aspects of many missions in which security and stabilization must precede any
other effort. But when examined closely, it seems that the very concepts with
which PSOs are reasoned about are essentially military in nature. One example
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One concept has recently become rather popular in discussions about current
military missions: ‘‘cultural intelligence’’ (Michael & Kellen, Chapter Nine in
this volume). This term, which refers to cultural knowledge of adversaries, may
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INTRODUCTION 11
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But the problems with the new kinds of knowledge necessitated by PSOs do
not end with cultural intelligence as an organizational aspect of military action.
The past decade has been marked by new humanitarian missions explicitly
aimed at nation- and state-building. While such missions usually take place in
post-conflict theaters, during the last decade such operations are increasingly
conducted in situations of ongoing conflict. Thus, for instance, such efforts have
taken place in East Timor, Haiti, Kuwait, Somalia, Iraq, or Afghanistan. Simi-
larly, around the world there is increasing involvement of world or regional
bodies in violence reduction as part of removing hindrances to national devel-
opment.81 Canada and Germany as states have established governmental 81
structures to focus on nation-building, while the United Nations has set up its
Peace-building Commission to do the same thing. When looked at closely,
however, it appears that the models at base of most efforts at nation- and state-
building do not differ much from those used by social scientists in the 1950s,
during the heyday of modernization theory. In fact, while peacekeeping schol-
ars have adopted these terms, they have also taken on certain assumptions that
many contemporary social scientists—in sociology, anthropology, and certain
parts of political science—no longer hold.
Take a recent report published by Rand, entitled A Beginner’s Guide to
Nation-Building.82 While such handbooks are important and sometimes useful 82
for practitioners, it is important to get at the hidden assumptions at base of the
report because they are indicative of wider premises. First we are told that the
overall responsibility for any reconstruction and rebuilding efforts undertaken
by the United States has been given to its Department of Defense. Yet not only
is this an agency without experience in such projects, but it is one totally domi-
nated by security considerations. In fact, note the sentence beginning the report:
‘‘Nation-building, as it is commonly referred to in the United States, involves
the use of armed force as part of a broader effort to promote political and eco-
nomic reforms with the objective of transforming a society emerging from con-
flict into one at peace with itself and its neighbors.’’83 The objectives of peace 83
and stability are very much oriented to security and the very definition of
nation-building as a ‘‘mission’’ is indicative of its militarization. To go back to
a point we made earlier, the concept of IST operations indicates the military
point of view at base of a project, nation-building, that is far more complex
than one that can be reduced to security considerations.84 84
Second, the report assumes that nation-building is predicated on the nation-
state (or one of its permutations) as the proper unit for any kind of transforma-
tion. Part of this kind of emphasis involves the historical links between the
military and the state since troops serve the latter and their culture is rooted in
concept of honor, obedience, and sacrifice rather than in the idea of booty or
spoils.85 In other words, modern militarized thinking assumes the existence and 85
importance of the state both as a taken-for-granted matter and as the desired
end-state. It is not surprising that in the guidebook, this kind of emphasis
is, moreover, extended to adjoining states as partners in the process of
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INTRODUCTION 13
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different societies may provide different levers for change. Or, in working for
reconstruction, we need to be aware of the structures and dynamics by which
warlords or gangsters who want to legitimate themselves may be brought into
‘‘the game.’’93 Finally, the economic impact of military forces on the societies 93
in which they fight may also be a source of social transformation.94 94
Understanding that PSOs involve much more than military or security aspect
leads us to broader questions about interlinkages and interfaces between the
military and other bodies involved with such issues as livelihood, economic de-
velopment, or governance. In this respect, over the past years, many commenta-
tors have argued for an all-inclusive organizational approach to PSOs that
would center on relations with civilian movements or various forms of inter-
organizational cooperation. Rather than adding another such call, in this section
we discuss some the conceptual and practical implications of the organizational
forms involved in PSOs.
Inter-organizational cooperation. International peace operations now
involve significantly greater numbers of civilians to handle political and devel-
opmental tasks and police to handle security tasks.95 This development has 95
spelt an ever greater need for coordination and cooperation in inter-agency,
inter-ministerial, or indeed inter-governmental projects. Such projects involve
different entities (such as states) bringing different capabilities, interests, and
commitments. As a consequence, a number of administrative measures have
been put into place in order to facilitate inter-organizational collaboration and
assistance. To cite one example, in 2005, the U.S. State Department established
a new Office of the Coordinator for Reconstruction and Stabilization to help
organize the transition from conflict to ‘‘sustainable stability.’’96 But such proj- 96
ects involve more than the establishment of partnerships or increasing organiza-
tional complexity.
It is within this context that Egnell’s article (Chapter Seven in this volume)
should be seen. The complex nature of contemporary PSOs implies that inte-
grated civil-military approaches are necessary for effectiveness in achieving the
often far-reaching political aims of democratization and economic develop-
ment. Egnell’s contention is that the ‘‘comprehensive approach’’ to civil-
military relations advocates creating interdepartmental and interagency struc-
tures that overcome the stovepipe structure and culture that characterizes most
governments and presents a serious challenge to cooperation between most
political, security, and defense establishments. Such comprehensive approaches
to operations require integrated institutions at the national strategic level or at
the international organizational level in cases of multinational operations. Inte-
grated structures provide more accurate interpretations of reality, implying that
the instruments of national power, primarily the military, are better suited for
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INTRODUCTION 15
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miniaturization and mobility of equipment) that make for much less dependence
on military communications nets.103 103
The outcome of this situation is a recognition on the part of the armed forces
that one needs to deal directly with the complex set of tensions and contrasts,
and dependencies, with this other community of practitioners. One aspect of the
introduction of ‘‘media awareness’’ in military instruction thus entails an under-
standing of the logic-of-action of journalists.104 This kind of awareness entails 104
understanding not only the constraints (and possibilities) of the reports dissemi-
nated by the media but also the fact that they are run as business enterprises in
a very competitive environment. More widely, we can conjecture that the
increased move of people between the military and the media will lead, at once,
to greater understanding between the communities but also to potentially
greater and more focused critiques between these communities.
One can analyze the relations between the military and NGOs (primarily
human rights or humanitarian movements) in a similar manner. Titles such as
‘‘Strange Bedfellows’’ or ‘‘Uncertain Partners’’ underscore the tension-filled
connections between these parties in PSOs.105 Here the differences between the 105
two sides seem more far-reaching and include a hierarchical vs. egalitarian
mode of deciding and operating, national versus international loyalties,106 or 106
differing abilities to control information, and contrasting definitions of success
and the time frames for realizing it.107 But at the practical level, one often finds 107
a mutual dependence that is even more acute than in the case of military-media
relations. ‘‘Humanitarian organizations may find themselves unable to provide
relief in very dangerous areas. International military units, for their part, may
feel compelled to step into this void and begin delivering relief supplies and, in
the process, blurring the distinction between combatant and humanitarian
worker.’’108 Moreover, change may be afoot with the move of military person- 108
nel into humanitarian organizations.109 This unidirectional transfer has, ironi- 109
cally, led to a greater ‘‘militarization within’’ NGOs, making it easier for them
to work with the armed forces.110 Here too, simulations of negotiations and 110
links with humanitarian movements have been introduced into the training mili-
tary units received before deployment to PSOs.
Hybrid organizational forms. The next type of organizational form that has
developed in regard to PSOs is hybrid organizations that blend structure and
modes of action. David Last (Chapter Six in this volume) has suggested that we
stop talking about the police and the military as separate entities. At one level,
his point refers to hybrid corps such as the French gendarmerie that could per-
haps be better suited to missions of stabilization. But at a second and perhaps
conceptually more challenging level, our point involves forms that blend organ-
izations together. Thus, rather than talking about military police we should take
seriously ‘‘military policing,’’ as a set of activities that blend in hybrid form the
‘‘logics’’ of action of different organizations. The advantage of such organiza-
tional hybrids is that they combine order and disorder and thus provide a means
to answer the complexity of such missions as PSOs. Accordingly, hybrid
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INTRODUCTION 17
organizations are not only a means to control military operations (like manning
checkpoints) but also measures that the military uses to manage its relations
with groups in the civilian environment and whose values, needs, and identities
may contradict its own.
In this sense, hybrids like CIMIC officers are mediators or boundary-
spanning roles that link the military to civilian entities through embodying in
their functions the logics of two or more organizations. In effect, in CIMIC
organizations’ members wear uniforms but also represent part of the military’s
responsibility for civilians. As such, its members are, in a sense, both in and
out of the military. The strength of such hybrids lies in their ability to perceive
the needs and views of civilians and ‘‘translate’’ them into concrete suggestions
that commanders and troops can take into consideration through their actions.
CIMIC officers, moreover, sometimes find that they form a pressure group
pressing for civilian interests. More broadly, links between combat troops and
members of CIMIC, and other liaison officers, are part of the new relations
between the armed forces and various entities centered on humanitarian issues
(and to a very limited extent on human rights). In other words, they are
‘‘between and betwixt’’ the military and its environment but they are also part
of practices that are not fully military nor fully civilian. To put this point by
way of example, such cases show how the military does not leave uncontrolled
areas such as municipal issues but develops a mixed kind of control that is part
civilian and part military. Through the work of such hybrids, the military con-
currently displays its ‘‘humane,’’ caring aspects, reacts to some civilian
demands, maintains overall control of the situation, prevents potential disrup-
tions, and seeks to accomplish its military missions.
To be sure, we are not arguing that these organizations are unqualified suc-
cess stories but rather that their unique characteristics make them better able to
help the military as an organization deal with the contingencies and uncertain-
ties of PSOs. But from the strictly military point of view, the problem is that
elements of the armed forces continue to be military units but are changed by
their very relationships with others. The difficulty in many of these hybrids, in
other words, is how the constituent units collaborate (even participate in a rela-
tively coherent amalgam) but also retain their separate identity. The potential
military disadvantage of hybrids is thus the loss of identity and special skills of
the constituent units and roles.
Organizational isomorphism. Another important organizational process also
takes place in PSOs: mutual learning between militaries—the technical terms is
organizational isomorphism—which leads to the emergence of similar kinds of
practices.111 In this process, the practices of one armed force provide a model 111
for other forces that then incorporate them into their own organizational struc-
tures and actions. Joseph Soeters’ argument (presented in June 2007 at the con-
ference in Jerusalem mentioned in the acknowledgement) is that through what
he terms experiential isomorphism in Afghanistan, the Dutch forces have
become more like the Americans while the latter have become more similar to
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INTRODUCTION 19
is no less critical for altering country and region-wide balances of power.113 113
But as many commentators have noted, the core problem with the privatization
of security is the potential for weakening the state’s monopoly over the means
of violence thereby undermining the concentration of state power that began
with the peace of Westphalia.114 114
Within this overall context, Kinsey (Chapter Eight in this volume) offers an
overview of the current use of private security companies in armed conflict and
discusses prospects and obstacles for their deployment in PSOs. Kinsey demon-
strates that the use of private security forces has blossomed in recent years and
that their deployment is spreading beyond traditional administrative and logisti-
cal support roles to the battlefield and to related roles such as defensive guard-
ing, security sector-reform, and disarmament. Kinsey argues that private
security companies will most likely see more engagement in PSOs as militaries
become more specialized and defer more mission tasks. He cautions, however,
that private security companies lack the legitimacy of state actors and are more
likely to be perceived by local populations as neocolonialist agents.115 More- 115
over, Hillen cautions that some powers and functions, mainly legal aspects of
sovereignty, can never be transferred.116 116
Yet the economic benefits of private ‘‘peacekeepers, in terms of effective-
ness and efficiency, should prod us to think about other forms of security
arrangements that are akin to privatization.117 Take the form that was involved 117
in the Western forces’ use of the Northern Coalition in Afghanistan or Israel’s
utilization of the Army of South Lebanon for many years. While these armed
forces may be publicly categorized as ‘‘allies,’’ in organizational and economic
terms they are much more similar to subcontractors, that is, relatively cheap
groups that provide military services and often employ fighters as sort of day-
laborers. Politically, the advantage of using such forces for the industrial
democracies lies in averting casualties among ‘‘their’’ forces and overcoming
many of the problems of accountability to wider publics and constituencies.118 118
By way of conclusion let us emphasize two main points. The first centers on
the existing frames or templates used to interpret and act within PSOs. In this
introductory essay, we underscored the twin templates of industrial war and tra-
ditional peacekeeping, the militarization or securitization of thinking about
peace-related projects, and the assumptions based on 1950s modernization
theory in preparing for and implementing programs for the reconstruction of
war-torn societies. Instead of these templates, this introduction and many of the
contributions to this volume suggest the need to develop new concepts and
metaphors.
The second point refers to the possible impact of PSOs on military transfor-
mation. Thus, perhaps the way to think about future developments is not so
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Christopher Dandeker
INTRODUCTION
Ever since the end of the Cold War there has been a debate about the extent to
which the international order has been shifting away from states’ concerns with
preparing for, deterring, and, if required, fighting classical, interstate war, to-
ward a preoccupation with ‘‘new wars.’’2 This debate has been part of a wider 2
discussion of the supposed decline of the ‘‘Westphalian’’ state system, which
many argue is connected with an intensification of the process of globalization.3 3
Key questions arising from the literature on this subject are: with what forms of
violence will Western armed services and the actors (military and non-military)
with which they have to cooperate need to contend in the early decades of the
twenty-first century; how will they do so, and what will be the likely effects on
their organizations and the societies from which they are drawn?
Martin Van Creveld argued in 1991 that low-intensity conflict, civil war,
and guerrilla campaigns would supplant the kinds of interstate warfare that
Western militaries have traditionally been trained to fight.4 He claimed that ter- 4
ritorial states would be eroded, including the Clauswitzean distinctions between
army, state, and people, characteristic of the modern state. Police and security
organizations would become more important than regular military forces as po-
litical authorities sought to defeat armed bands in a world that would be some-
what reminiscent of medieval Europe; that is, a world where, in a fragmented
political order, wars are fought by small groups of professionals for religion,
status, and honor as much as for land or for profit. Although in the post-Cold
War period, attempts would not be made to minimize damage to civilians; in
fact, it was quite the contrary. State-on-state encounters, and the regular tech-
nology-rich armed forces designed to fight them, were a costly irrelevance for
an era of transformed war.
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Wars amongst the people are complex affairs in which confrontations shift
back and forth to conflicts in which the intervening state is unable and/or
unwilling to use force at the strategic level to produce a decisive result that
leads to a resolution of a political dispute. One of the rare examples of this after
1945 is the Falklands war of 1982. In wars amongst the people, the objective
cannot be to defeat the enemy in a trial of strength on the battlefield but,
through a contest of wills, to change the intentions of the insurgents and ulti-
mately to win over the people whose more or less active support is a key to
their success in resisting the intervening state. Military activities can be used by
intervening states but these often fall short of the use of force and, in so far as
force is used, it is confined to the tactical level. Force is limited to sub-strategic
goals, which means that the interaction between military, political, and diplo-
matic agencies of the intervening states are quite different from those character-
istic of the logic of industrial war. In a key passage on these civil-military
dynamics, Smith states:
Conflicts … are about trials of strength: military activities that may sit within a polit-
ical or diplomatic framework, but do not involve those agencies in achieving the
objective once the military activity is in process. In other words, if a confrontation
has crossed over into a conflict, the military is in the lead and it is up to the other
agencies to support it until the objective is attained, but at the same time they may
continue working to resolve the confrontation that led to the conflict at another level.
In essence, conflicts involve the application of force to attain a desired objective,
whether at the tactical, operational or strategic level. And if the strategic level is
reached, then a full war in the industrial sense is at hand. This has not happened very
often since 1945, and then only in conflicts in which there was no threat of weapons
of mass destruction.16 16
By the same token, in wars amongst the people, the lead role is not the mili-
tary, but the political and diplomatic agencies to which the military lends sup-
port by exerting pressure to change intentions. Normally, even if force is used,
the change of intentions and the achievement of an acceptable condition is the
product of non-military and military means. Force in and of itself cannot be
decisive.
Smith argues that, whenever force is used, in industrial war or war amongst
the people, ideally, it should be to achieve military objectives which, in turn,
produce an outcome, or, in the latter case, a condition likely to lead to an ac-
ceptable outcome desired by political authority. Yet the history of the use of
force in the contemporary age of war amongst the people shows a lack of
clarity and coherence in the linkage between political goals and military activ-
ities, and it also shows that the organization of the military is inadequate to deal
with the challenges of war amongst the people. Here the focus on the first set
of issues, and some of the organizational issues will be considered later on.
One suspects that Smith’s thesis will be used to assess the current imbroglio
in Iraq rather more than the case that haunts the book: Bosnia and the record of
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the United Nations Protection Force (UNPROFOR), the United Nations, and
NATO. Bosnia is the locus classicus of forces deployed for incoherent and
unrealistic objectives and where Smith himself managed to use his position as
force commander to ‘‘turn the UN key’’ in order to use NATO power to coerce
Serbia into compliance, although he recognizes that offensive operations
by Croatians and the federation for their own purposes were ‘‘ultimately
decisive.’’17 17
In a similar fashion, in the case of Kosovo, Smith as Deputy Supreme Com-
mander of Europe, faced the daunting task of making sense of Western govern-
ments’ optimistic and misplaced belief that a short period of modest bombing
would produce the desired political outcome of Serbia giving up its attempt to
dominate Kosovo. In his discussion of the need for realism and coherence con-
cerning the use of force, Smith’s anger and frustration is plain, dealing as he
had to in a very practical way with political authorities’ naivete about what
force could achieve, especially if (as in Bosnia) there was no attempt to take
any risks to achieve realistic goals.
Just as Smith felt the need to fill the gap left between political objectives
and military force by the intervening states, so now he wishes to educate those
who would countenance using force in comparable situations. Smith makes an
impassioned and persuasive plea for a more realistic appreciation of the utility
of force. He argues that, in the context of a complex world of confrontations
and conflicts, force can only be used to perform four functions, arrayed in order
of extensive and intensive use of force: ameliorate (for example, through the
delivery of humanitarian aid. Here the military does not use force but performs
useful activities as a disciplined and reliable organization, as it does in the
domestic sphere of disaster relief); to contain, as in the enforcement of no-fly-
zones; to deter or to coerce, and to change intentions or indeed form them, as
with the history of the Cold War and the use of force such as Desert Shield to
deter Iraqi forces from designs on Saudi oilfields. Interestingly, Smith argues
that with deterrence, ‘‘the employment of force is usually closely controlled at
senior political levels by means of ROE [Rules of Engagement], and in the case
of coercion, by close political attention to target lists as well as ROE.’’18; to 18
destroy (i.e., both people and objects in pursuit of a political purpose as in De-
sert Storm, from 1990–91, or the Falklands War: both cases approximate the
logic of industrial war and are the exceptions that prove the rule that, especially
since 1990, wars amongst the people are the predominant reality).
Smith groups these four functions into two subsets: to ameliorate and to con-
tain are possible to initiate without a clear political strategy, even though one is
to be preferred, but it is essential in the cases of coercion-deterrence and
destruction. The linkage between political outcome and military objectives
must be coherent and realistic and, in the case of wars amongst the people, that
means the political level must recognize that entering into such a complex sit-
uation is likely to be ‘‘timeless’’ because the most that can be expected is not
the achievement of a decisive outcome by force of arms at the strategic level,
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down for wars amongst the people from industrial war rather than to engage in
the reverse. This is why, in terms of doctrine, equipment, training, and organi-
zation, Western armed forces are loathe to cease doing what they do now: with
limited resources, to prepare for industrial war while also preparing for and
conducting operations associated with wars amongst the people. But this is not
conservatism; rather, it is based on a realistic judgment of the risks and threats
in contemporary international politics. It is far too early and risky to write off
industrial war.
Consider the following. Industrial war, far from dying out, has been a key
part of Middle Eastern politics as in the bloody attrition of the Iran-Iraq war,
which was reminiscent of the First World War.22 There is the possibility of 22
industrial war between Western states and North Korea in much the same way
that industrial war was required to deal with Saddam Hussein (in that case even
if the strategy was flawed, it could not have done without the apparatus of
industrial war). There is also the possibility of interstate industrial war as com-
petition for natural resources like oil, gas, water, and other raw materials inten-
sifies. The United States, Russia, China, and Japan come to mind as, to use
Cooper’s language, tension at the interface between modern and postmodern
states continues.23 23
Smith’s conceptual distinction between industrial war and war amongst the
people is overdrawn no matter how one views his analysis of contemporary his-
torical trends. As Adam Roberts has suggested, in some degree war has always
been amongst the people, notwithstanding Smith’s position that in the Second
World War, for example, war was against, not amongst, the people.24 In addi- 24
tion, any engagement in wars amongst the people is likely to have to include a
dimension of industrial war. The guerrilla war in Spain was effective in the end
because it was exploited by Wellington’s regular British army. The Vietcong
only triumphed because of the regular formations used adroitly by General
Giap. Building democracy via external intervention (whether to do this or not is
a debate of course) in Iraq could not have been achieved without industrial war.
States need to think hard about what they wish to achieve and to what extent
armed forces can assist them, and whether in doing so force has any utility.
They need to ensure that realism and coherence underpin their multinational
efforts and that all concerned, including the wider public, are aware that the
risks of a timeless engagement are known and judged to be worth taking. This
is the consequence of not being able to achieve political outcomes through the
decisive use of force at the strategic level but having to make do, at best, with
achieving a condition in which an acceptable outcome might be achievable later
on. Smith muses that this is all that is available to Western nation states as they
seek to manage their defense and security in a world where the principle of the
nation state may be fading away, which of course takes us back, but not quite,
to Van Creveld’s formulation on the future of war.
Smith’s pragmatic and ‘‘band-aid’’ approach to the post-Cold War world of
conflicts and confrontations implicitly treads a delicate path between two
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positions: the realist argument based on hardnosed national interest, where leav-
ing well alone may be the best policy; and two variations on idealistic interven-
tion: the cosmopolitan project or the idea of empire, which most commentators
argue has no place in contemporary public sensibilities.25 25
Smith highlights the distinctive ways in which Western states conduct war
amongst the people. That is, they are engaged in the pragmatic task of estab-
lishing a condition, rather than the pursuit of victory. Most, but not all, of these
tasks recur in those cases where strategic encounters are akin to interstate war.
As indicated above, in establishing a condition, the use of force needs to be
calibrated with other instruments of policy, and there must be coherence of the
military goals and political objectives, all of which need to be geared to win-
ning over the people and detaching the insurgents from them. In all of this,
Smith’s emphasis on the integration of politics and military strategy in achiev-
ing realistic effects chimes well with the literature on ‘‘effects based opera-
tions’’ (EBO). The evolution of the novel kinds of military operations to which
Smith refers have been accompanied by changes in military organization,
including a move away from conscription and the design of more agile and
flexible structures capable of providing rapid and effective contributions to
these international missions. These new operations have altered the ways in
which the utility of force is calibrated, and it is here that the idea of EBO has
taken root.
EBO is a complex concept partly because it has been used in different ways
by different states and their armed forces.26 In the United States, for example, 26
EBO is used to highlight the ways in which information and other leading edge
technologies offer unparalleled opportunities for the precise exercise of lethal
force and with less need for repeat use of weapons platforms or munitions
because of the greater capacity of information technology to conquer the fric-
tion produced by the fog of war. In doing so, EBO is viewed as an application
of the potential of ‘‘the revolution in military affairs,’’ or ‘‘military transforma-
tion’’ and ‘‘network centric warfare’’ to security problems.27 27
As Abrahamsson et al argue, in the United Kingdom, by contrast, there is
greater emphasis on how military and non-military means can be used to
achieve a political effect and how the military itself can be used to achieve
effects without its resorting to the use of force—for example, via defense diplo-
macy—which is a key point in Smith’s analysis. However that may be, in both
the U.S. and U.K. literature, the concept of EBO has been applied to resolving
problems encountered in asymmetric warfare: how Western states can either
prevail in, or at least nullify the worst effects of, the kinds of irregular warfare
characteristic of the twenty-first century.
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One of the difficulties faced by those involved in wars amongst the people is
that people can watch, via the media, a good deal, but by no means all, of what
is done in their name by intervening states. In this context, the ‘‘people’’ com-
prise more or less interlinked populations across the globe—what Shaw has
called global surveillance war—although that surveillance is far from constant
or even, as the lens of the media tracks some wars rather than others and can
move on from one pressing topic to another, rather like a searchlight does in its
penetration of the dark night sky.28 28
Given the imperative of winning over the people, the arts of persuasion and
media and opinion management are as critical as the conventional art of war.
Smith asks members of the military profession to be good actors, which extends
earlier formulations by Moskos on the importance of the soldier statesman and
soldier scholar.29 Moskos focused on the importance of political skills in the 29
management of the political-military interface and the need to think through the
question of the use of force in conditions other than normal war (a prescient
comment). He also focused on the importance of ‘‘courting the media,’’ whose
support is critical in the conduct of operations within the theater of operations
and amongst wider audiences. This support, he argues, not wholly convinc-
ingly, is more difficult in peace operations than in situations approximating
war, where it is far easier to manage and sometimes muzzle the press. Recently,
due to concerns about the perceived accuracy and lack of context of some news
reporting and the alleged failure to preserve the privacy of wounded personnel
being returned to the United Kingdom, the U.K. Ministry of Defense with-
drew the right of ITV news journalists to be embedded with U.K. forces in
Afghanistan.30 30
Smith is adding to this theme in interesting ways, largely because the theater
of operations is indeed a ‘‘theater,’’ in which the people are watching events
just as other observers in different states are doing. The people have to be won
over, not bludgeoned by force, and their willingness to be won over depends, in
part, on the information they have at their disposal and how they choose to
accept one or more narratives of ‘‘what is going on’’ over others that are avail-
able. The military has a key role to play in ensuring that, in the diversity of
conflicting and often confusing narratives, the political outcome or condition
that operations are seeking to achieve is translated into a ‘‘narrative’’ that, once
communicated, can play an effective part in winning over the people. In doing
this—in playing to and seeking to influence audiences—Smith is asking the
military to be more effective actors than before in recognition that success is no
longer to be had on a discrete battlefield.31 There is no ‘‘objective war’’; rather, 31
there are competing narratives, and one of the key tasks in establishing a condi-
tion is ensuring that one’s own narrative stands out as the most convincing.
Smith’s discussion of narrative as an instrument in wars amongst the people
raises a wider set of issues that have been addressed more explicitly by those
who see it as an opportunity to pinpoint the postmodern aspects of the conduct
of contemporary war. As Hammond has argued, in a perceptive essay, the idea
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of postmodern too often serves as a label with little real substance.32 For exam- 32
ple, he points out that Baudrillard’s portrait of the first Gulf war as hardly a
war at all, because of its technologically driven one-sidedness and media image
and spectacle, made it hard to distinguish real from virtual war. This view
applies a fortiori to the ‘‘shock and awe’’ invasion of Iraq in 2003 with the
(premature) image of Bush at the center of the staging of ‘‘mission accom-
plished.’’ Others have emphasized the way in which technological superiority is
facilitated by information technology, which is associated with a dramatic shift
in the balance between human and technical capital in the conduct of war. But
these features, including the ways in which applying force is akin to a visual
game in which one is both immediately in the presence of the violent act yet
detached from it, can be judged to be a ‘‘high-tech’’ part of late modernity
because they extend rather than depart from modern war.
The most interesting part of Hammond’s analysis relates to the paradox of
the power of the West being undercut by its weakness. Interestingly, this has
less to do with the well-known difficulties concerning the use of nuclear weap-
ons or the problems of asymmetric warfare and more to do with the nature of
contemporary political culture. He refers to Lyotard and the issue of grand or
metanarratives and suggests that it is perhaps the absence of metanarratives
today that explains the unique features of contemporary warfare.33 It is this lack 33
of confidence to project a meaning, Hammond suggests, which lies at the heart
of Baudrillard’s most valuable aspects of his discussion of the Gulf war.34 It is 34
this lack of self-belief that accounts for the fragility of political and public will
in the face of setbacks and casualties in contemporary war and the related ob-
session with media management and spin, to which I shall turn presently.
Before doing so it is important to ask what are the roots of this lack of belief or
self confidence, which, it is clear, shocked conservative opinion when 9/11, far
from leading to a robust and widely supported moral outrage that could under-
pin first the Global War on Terror (GWOT) and now the ‘‘long war,’’ led to
skepticism, irony, and a relativization of these efforts to give an absolute mean-
ing to the events. The recent events in Iraq, the collapse of the ‘‘neo-con’’
vision, and the ongoing government attempts to redraw the strategy of the coa-
lition accompanied by their pleas for patience surely support this line of reason-
ing. This process of relativization, in turn, has led to a continued sense of doubt
and ambivalence about the values of Western civilization within the West, and
in terms of defending those values in wider global contests. Although some
commentators have suggested that it was the Vietnam war that removed, in the
United States at least, the meaning and will to undertake any ‘‘great projects,’’
again we must refer to longer term processes in Western culture that have led
to the widening and deepening of skepticism and belief in grand narratives.
This is true not just of Marxism but of any such overarching interpretations,
including the values of liberal democracy which seemed, briefly, to have tri-
umphed and to have done so absolutely after 1989. As Hammond concludes,
‘‘The collapse of grand narratives makes war a matter of risk management at
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so far as indirect casualties are concerned (caused by, for example, enemy poli-
cies, civil war, drought, etc.), where responsibility is difficult to allocate to the
West, they are more acceptable because they are more manageable in terms of
media representation.
Shaw combines sociological observation with moral objections to these mat-
ters. He implies that the matter of military casualties being one-sided in West-
ern encounters with enemy forces is, in some way, unfair or even unchivalrous.
But why? Is not the aim of war, and war abiding by Just War principles, to
ensure that the other side dies for their country while one does not have to do
so oneself?
On direct civilian casualties, Shaw thinks that these are beyond a Just War
defense along Walzerian lines. Walzer, in his account of the rule of ‘‘double
effect,’’ Shaw reminds us, contends that, in the conduct of war, an evil act, such
as one leading to the killing of civilians, is permissible so long as it is in pursuit
of a good that is greater than the resulting (and foreseeable) evil; and, second,
that there should be proportionality so far as the respective loss of life of the
opponent’s civilians and one’s own military forces are concerned. So, even if
civilians suffer death and injury, this can be morally acceptable but only so
long as the good intention and the reduction of evil are delivered. Shaw draws
on Walzer’s claim that a state should not just give some indication of ‘‘doing
something’’ to save civilians but provide a sincere effort, which means that, if
saving civilian lives means risking soldiers’ lives, then this should be done.
But, Shaw complains, ‘‘[i]n risk-transfer war, this is precisely what is avoided
at all costs.’’38 38
Shaw then considers Walzer’s ‘‘get out clause’’ in respect of the above
restrictions: that war is inherently hellish and that how far one should actually
go in order to try and protect civilians is rather difficult to establish with preci-
sion. For Shaw the key point here is that this rather permissive stipulation might
be acceptable in past wars (presumably, say, Korea and the Second World War),
where very many Western soldiers were having to risk their lives, but is far less
so when hardly any one of them do today. The proportionality is driven not by
any decent Western military civilian/soldier death ratio, but by what will be ac-
ceptable in terms of media management. Bombing and long-range artillery bom-
bardments are undertaken in the firm knowledge that it will increase the risk to
civilians compared to other possible means, military as well as non-military.
Even if the ends of the GWOT are just, Shaw contends that the ways in
which it is being fought are not. Yet the following statements reveal the fact
that this argument is problematic.
The West is using armed force in a way that kills, directly, more enemy fighters than
civilians; it generally doesn’t target civilians except in error; it aims to minimize
‘collateral damage’ and ‘accidental’ massacres. Although civilians are still killed, in
historical, especially mid-twentieth century, terms, the numbers of victims are small.
The new Western way of war thus meets, prima facie, many of the historic demands
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for just war, even if we may question some excesses. However, if my argument has
been accepted, there is still something fundamentally awry. That disparity between
more than 1000 innocent Afghans killed, to one American (in the first months of the
Afghan campaign), says it all.39 39
The reference to the 1000 innocents implies one or more of the following:
(a) this number could have been less if operations (unspecified as to detail) had
been conducted in a way that led to more than the one American being killed;
(b) that if, somehow, more U.S. military personnel had indeed been killed then
this would have been a better outcome morally if the same number of Afghans
had been killed; (c) that from Shaw’s point of view, the preferred outcome
would have been to have had far fewer Afghan dead with more Americans
killed, and that the resulting, more balanced, Western and opposing forces’
blood sacrifice would have been worth it; and that (d) this option is not pursued
because of the fears of political and military leaders that these casualty figures
would be beyond its capacity to ‘‘spin’’ the media and public into accepting its
legitimacy. It should be pointed out here that so far, despite the decline in sup-
port for the Iraq war on both sides of the Atlantic, the point remains that the
public’s capacity to accept casualties remains dependent on well-known factors
studied since the Vietnam war: that the blood sacrifice is perceived to be worth
the strategic objectives being pursued; that suitable progress is being made in
achieving them; and that leadership is competent and in reasonable control of
events. Admittedly, all are problematic so far as the public is concerned. These
factors make any plea for patience hard to sustain.
The legitimacy problem, referred to above, is caused, in part, by the
increased value of individual human rights, which has now extended from civil-
ian society into the sphere of the military itself. Consequently, the armed ser-
vices are likely to face all sorts of moral and legal contestations on such matters
as ‘‘small massacres,’’ the shooting or maltreatment of prisoners and suspected
insurgents, the failure to prevent ‘‘blue on blue’’ (i.e., casualties caused by West-
ern, coalition forces firing on each other), or to protect troops sufficiently from
hostile fire. All of these are likely to be magnified if the ends of war are seen to
be fragile in terms of their own legitimacy or legality, as in Iraq today.
For Shaw, this means that there is a prospect for the ‘‘delegitimation of
war’’ as one outcome of the development of risk transfer militarism. This out-
come is likely to be magnified further by such acts as local allies committing
atrocities and coalition forces suffering or inflicting heavier casualties than the
media and public can bear. Shaw calls these phenomena ‘‘risk transfer
rebound.’’ Shaw contends that as people worry about their own casualties, and
not just the opponents, ‘‘the tests for justly killing get ever tighter.’’40 Precisely 40
so, and this is exactly why the West does what it does and when it can. That is
to say, it uses technology and strategy not only to meet the prima facie criteria
for Just War, but, more than that, to also manage its operations in the awareness
that it cannot do so in a political and moral vacuum but in the context of
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contemporary Western culture’s sensibility about the ends and means of war.
He appears to be arguing that in doing so, the West creates opportunities for
critics, like himself, to aggravate the delegitimation of war, and so, in this proc-
ess, the concept of risk transfer and the associated attempt to hold the West to
ever stricter criteria, can assist in exposing the unjustness of the Western way
of war.
Shaw is among a number of contemporary commentators who critique the
Western way of confronting the moral and political context of wars. Others
have called this critique an unrealistic demand for humane warfare41 and the 41
‘‘de-bellicisation of the West.’’42 Gray suggests that, for Western pubic opinion, 42
war is no longer acceptable as a means of resolving disputes; there is a greater
need to have discretionary wars always backed by the United Nations (the legal
and moral objections to U.S. unilateralism underscore the point), and there is
ambivalence over the conduct of war which involves killing and destruction.
Gray provides some telling points here, especially on the way in which live
media coverage of the reality of war leads to or causes a change in public sensi-
bility, but this underplays changes in political and cultural values since 1945.
On the one hand, war as ‘‘spectator sport’’ creates entertainment and excite-
ment—like a video game in some instances—with the possibility of the vicari-
ous pleasure of living close to violence and thrills but being detached from
them (like an exciting amusement park game where the risk is controlled in
order to maximize the immediate sense of danger but not the reality).43 On the 43
other hand, the same coverage can provide grounds for squeamishness and a
sense of the awfulness and horror of war, which in turn can lead to pressure for
the imposition of impossibly tight demands to fight in way that avoids the worst
of those realities. That such strict rules are being asked for shows how far away
from the reality of war many people are in the postmodern states of the West,
how sheltered they are from it even if they can travel and see the world and
know about it from their armchairs in ways quite beyond the imagination of
those earlier generations who, via their own military experience, had a sense of
what it was like.
Smith and other writers have highlighted a number of features that constitute
contemporary war and conflict, and thus the context in which international mis-
sions are likely to evolve. A shift away from national territorial defense to
international missions is associated with either a move to an all-volunteer force
or an attenuation of conscription.44 The greater reliance on market forces for 44
the mobilization of people for military service brings problems in its train.
Although forces involved in international missions are composed of ‘‘volun-
teers,’’ the professional or ‘‘all-volunteer forces’’ of the West should now prop-
erly be referred to as ‘‘recruited’’ forces, as is indeed the case in the United
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Kingdom. Even though ‘‘leaner and meaner forces’’ are the dominant trend, the
military continues to face a range of social, cultural, and demographic difficul-
ties in recruiting enough people to meet its demands. This means that the mili-
tary cannot rely on a flow of volunteers but has to proactively recruit and to
design ever more imaginative attempts to attract people using a variety of finan-
cial and other incentives (including, for example, in the United States, forms of
fast-track citizenship for non-nationals, or, in the United Kingdom, the use of
Commonwealth citizens to fill the gap left by the recruiting effort within the
United Kingdom).
Police and military forces are becoming more focused on the increasingly
internationalized and cooperative attempts by states to control borders and deal
with internal security threats, whether these derive from terrorism, especially
those forms associated with internecine warfare, or other problems such as the
uncontrolled movement of population and drugs. These problems arise not just
at the level of the state and its relations with other states but at lower levels.
That is to say, states are not only concerned with state-on-state military threats
but also military and non-military risks and threats that flow from non-state
actors and transnational processes, which can undermine them at sub-state lev-
els. Force projection abroad (itself requiring military cooperation with police
and other agencies), therefore, takes place in a context where security threats
(and thinking about security) has broadened from military to non-military issues
as well as deepened from the level of the state to sub-state levels.45 Designing 45
effective interagency collaboration is a real challenge for military and other
organizations.
Meanwhile, especially in states with all-volunteer forces, the public becomes
more distant from its military even if, from time to time, it finds its armed ser-
vices presented to it in the media spotlight, sometimes concerning matters about
which the military and the civilian population can be proud (courage under fire,
bravery, and the award of medals), or otherwise where embarrassment or shame
is the order of the day (the abuse of prisoners or the lack of dignity with which
the dead are treated). For most civilians, though, the default response can be
‘‘this does not have much to do with me; they volunteered, and so they can pay
the price.’’ Thus, relationships between the military and the public are a para-
doxical mix of estrangement and more or less supportive engagement, and these
affect political and military elites in interesting ways.
One of these ways is the matter of casualty sensitivity. International mis-
sions, even if supported by an international legitimate authority such as the
United Nations, are less and less likely to have the charisma of national territo-
rial missions that entail dealing with a military threat from a contiguous state.
They are likely to suffer from a ‘‘fragility of legitimacy,’’ where public support
for the mission is likely to be increasingly sensitive to perceived lack of pro-
gress or success and the blood sacrifice that has to be paid in a context where
the end state and time frame for completion are unclear. Note, for example, that
while some commentators wonder if the mission in Afghanistan can last for
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longer than a few years at most, others (including some within the military)
argue that it will take at least three decades to deliver an acceptable ‘‘con-
dition,’’ to use Smith’s concept. Contemporary ‘‘wars of choice’’ have, espe-
cially after the controversy over the rationale for the invasion of Iraq,
increasingly become what this author has referred to as ‘‘wars of contested
choice.’’46 For a while, a public attitude of ‘‘what has this to do with me?’’ can 46
keep casualties from being too sensitive a matter, but it would be imprudent to
rely on this when media dramatization of casualties can awaken public concern
to their meaning and cost. Events both in Iraq and Afghanistan reflect this de-
velopment, as does the attempt by some participating governments to ensure
their own formations bear as small a risk of death in combat as possible. The
current debate in NATO about burden sharing in Afghanistan illustrates this. So
while international politics might dictate the need for international missions
(including Peace Support Operations) to comprise contributions from a number
of different states, there will be tensions in terms of competence, doctrine, and
the attitude toward risk each country brings to a mission.
In conducting these missions, armed services do far more than apply or
threaten to apply lethal force. As we saw earlier, Smith argues they are there to
ameliorate, to contain, to deter and coerce, or to destroy. The strategic use of
force is exceptional as the military is asked to achieve political goals, and nor-
mally the most that can be expected is a condition in which an acceptable out-
come can be delivered by the political process. In doing so, the military
becomes engaged in a complex and interdependent political and military net-
work with its government as it seeks to deliver that ‘‘condition,’’ often in ways
that require the management of different missions (for example, counterinsur-
gency and reconstruction in different or even the same areas of the theater). At
the same time, tensions between coalition participants need to be mitigated
while relations with non-military actors also need to be managed. Throughout
these missions, further issues can dog military personnel: the need to manage
‘‘timeless missions’’ and deal with the scrutiny of success and when a mission
can be considered as over; the need to be a good ‘‘actor’’ and to manage the
‘‘narrative,’’ and thus to establish the political message of what the mission is
or is not achieving; dealing with the issues that can arise from the role of the
‘‘strategic corporal’’ as the levels of war become decompressed, and letting
mission command flourish or limiting it when the political and the media con-
text of ‘‘global surveillance’’ indicate it would be prudent to do so.47 47
It is not surprising that, given the above discussion, tensions can arise
between soldiers and governments. A good example was the case of the profes-
sional head of the British Army, the Chief of General Staff (CGS), General Sir
Richard Dannatt’s controversial remarks in mid-October 2006 concerning the
mission in Iraq, its relationship with operations in Afghanistan, and the implica-
tions for U.K. security and social cohesion.48 Similar rumblings occurred in the 48
United States with regard to questions such as the size of the force allocated to
the invasion and, subsequently, the appropriate strategy for counterinsurgency
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and reconstruction, which led to the recent ‘‘surge’’ of military forces to pro-
vide a more robust security framework for a political settlement amongst the
factions within Iraq.
Committing one’s armed forces to an engagement in ‘‘war amongst the peo-
ple’’ is fraught with difficulties ranging from support for the engagement from
the wider public at home to establishing the objectives of that engagement.
These difficulties, associated with ‘‘wars of contested choice,’’ will necessarily
lead the military profession to occupy the roles of soldier scholar and soldier
statesman and to become more politically active and influential. Recent devel-
opments confirm an observation made some years ago by Bernard Boene: wars
amongst the people must involve the officer corps of intervening states of the
West in a more assertive military profession.49 49
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stabilization efforts brought about mainly by the challenges of the war in the
Balkans have initiated a process of inner-European military cooperation and of
mission and structure change, both of which act in favor of the abolishment of
conscription. The growing demand for crisis management operations has radi-
cally transformed Europe’s security environment. Today it is not the defense of
national territory, but the stabilization of crisis regions at the periphery, often
far from Europe, that dominates the spectrum of military tasks.
THESIS
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populations of today’s Europe would not accept or even tolerate the compul-
sory use of their daughters and sons for purposes other than the defense of
their own countries or allied territories. It follows that the operational capabil-
ity of a country’s armed forces to participate in out-of-area peace missions
depends solely on the number of available volunteers. The more extensively a
nation is engaged in international stabilizing operations, the higher the proba-
bility that the conscript defense forces will be given up in favor of recruiting
of volunteers for the armed forces.
METHODOLOGY
The annually published Military Balance of the IISS, from which newly defined
indicators have been calculated, serves as a database for analyzing the All Eu-
ropean trend. The facts and figures in the publications from 1975 to 2007 have
been used for this study. For methodological reasons, not all European armed
forces are included in the following explanations and calculations. The database
in the Military Balance does not seem to be sufficient for all years, especially
in the case of the former USSR states and the new Balkan states. The following
states are completely excluded from the empirical calculations in the next chap-
ters because of lack of appropriate data: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Bosnia
and Herzegovina, Georgia, Macedonia, Moldavia, Montenegro, Russia, Serbia,
and the Ukraine. Additionally, because the aim of this article is to illustrate
how the increase in international peace missions has acted in favor of the phas-
ing out of conscription, we have left out the United Kingdom, Ireland, Luxem-
bourg, and Malta. The armed forces of these countries are traditionally
volunteer-based. With the above states excluded, our working sample includes
twenty-seven European countries.4 4
We will base our analysis on two main indicators. The conscript ratio (CR) is
defined as the percentage of conscripts relative to the total strength of the active
armed forces. The second indicator, the out-of-area ratio (OoAR), is defined as
the share of troops deployed outside the country in relation to the total active
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During the Cold War, active and reserve soldiers in the European conscript
armies totaled about 12 million. Since 1991, this figure has dropped by 50%, as
the post-communist states have downsized their forces by almost two thirds.
Western Europe has dropped by 40% (Figure 2.1). The downsizing was gener-
ally handled in such a manner that mainly compulsory personnel were reduced,
and contract soldiers were not affected. In this way, the social character of all
European armies began to change. Large mass armies defined by conscripts
turned into lean professional military organizations dominated by volunteers.
In 1990, with the end of the Cold War, continental Europe from the Atlantic
to the Urals was a homogenous conscription region (Table 2.1). With the
14000000
12000000
10000000
8000000
6000000
4000000
2000000
0
1975
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
FIGURE 2.1. Manning levels in European conscript armies 1975–2006. Countries as fol-
lows: Albania, Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece,
Hungary, Italy, The Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Spain, Sweden,
Switzerland, and Turkey.
Source: International Institute for Strategic Studies 1975–2007.
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TABLE 2.1. Manning systems in Europe 1990 (twenty-seven European countries with
conscription or all volunteer forces)
exception of Great Britain and Luxembourg, the forces of all European NATO-
states, as well as all members of the Warsaw Pact and almost all of the neutrals
(exception: Ireland and Malta), were large mass armies based on conscription.6 6
By 2007, just two decades later, the situation had changed significantly (Ta-
ble 2.2). In a first phase, shortly after the collapse of the Soviet Union, coun-
tries in Western Europe such as Belgium and the Netherlands decided to end
conscription.7 In May 1996, President Chirac announced the phasing out of 7
conscription in France. France was followed by Spain, which suspended con-
scription under the conservative government of Aznar, as well as by Portugal
and Italy.8 8
In a second phase, towards the end of the twentieth century, the first post-
communist countries such as Hungary, the Czech Republic, and Slovenia
decided to abolish their mostly unpopular conscription system in the near
future.9 This process accelerated with the access of other East European Coun- 9
tries to NATO or to the Partnership for Peace framework. Romania, Bulgaria,
Latvia, Macedonia, Montenegro, Slovakia, and Bosnia and Herzegovina will
have transformed their conscript systems into volunteer forces by the end of
this decade. Also, Bulgaria, Croatia, and Poland have decided to suspend their
conscript system soon. In Greece, Ukraine, and Sweden it is just a matter of
time before the government decides to make the same move. Originally, Russia
had intended to do so as well but has meanwhile postponed the step. In 2006,
Denmark decided to call up conscripts on a mandatory basis only in the event
that the Danish forces do not find enough volunteer conscripts and enlisted per-
sonnel on the labor market.
To sum up, fifteen European countries have to date abolished conscription,
and in seven countries the decision has been made or will be made soon. In the
remaining seventeen countries a public debate on whether to maintain or
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TABLE 2.2. The decline of conscription in Europe 2007 (forty-three European coun-
tries with conscription or all-volunteer forces)
Conscription in
transition or
Conscription planned to change All volunteer forces
On regular basis Bulgaria (1 January Belgium, France, Great
Germany, Estonia, Lithuania, 2008), Croatia Britain, Ireland, Italy,
Norway, Serbia, Turkey, (2008/09), Netherlands, Portugal,
Russia, Albania, Moldavia, Poland (2010) Slovenia, Spain,
Belarus, Cyprus, Azerbaijan, Denmark, Ukraine, Hungary, Latvia,
Armenia, and Georgia Greece, and Sweden Slovakia, Czech
With militia composition Republic, Romania,
Finland and Austria Bosnia and Herzegovina,
Macedonia, Montenegro,
Militia system
Malta, and Luxembourg
Switzerland
abandon conscription has been initiated, often led by political parties that are
members of a coalition government (Austria, Switzerland)
It is interesting to note that among those nations in which conscription is not
yet in question, we mainly find countries that still have territorial disputes with
their neighbors, such as Turkey, Serbia, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Moldavia, and
Cyprus, or a country like Finland which neighbors on the biggest land power in
Europe, with whom it has not had very good experiences in the past. This fact
clearly emphasizes the traditional function of the draft as a national military
concept for national defense.
The diminishing significance of conscription is best illustrated by the devel-
opment of CRs. Since 1990, the average proportion of conscripts has come
down from more than 60% during the Cold War to 26% in the average Euro-
pean force in 2006. However, the average figures conceal a significant degree
of variety among the European forces. This becomes evident when analyzing
the changing CRs in specific countries (Figure 2.2).10 The small bars in the fig- 10
ure indicate the average CRs per country during a period of the Cold War
(1975–1989) on the one hand and the situation in 2006 on the other.
All in all, it becomes evident that since 1989, with few exceptions, almost
all European states have markedly reduced the number of citizen-soldiers. Low-
ering the CR is often the first step to abandoning it completely. On the other
hand, phasing out conscription obviously does not necessarily mean abolishing
it altogether.
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100%
Mean 1975-1989
Conscript Ratio 2006
67%
33%
0%
Belgium
Netherlands
Spain
France
Portugal
Italy
Hungary
Denmark
Germany
Romania
Bulgaria
Poland
Sweden
Norway
Austria
Finland
Greece
Turkey
Switzerland
FIGURE 2.2. Conscript ratios of nineteen countries. Average 1975–1989 in
comparison to 2006 (without Albania).
In almost all European countries, multiple stages of military reform have fol-
lowed one another in waves since the Cold War. A first significant indicator of
the impact of new missions on the phasing out of conscription can be obtained
by analyzing the chronology of reform steps taken with the escalation of the war
in the Balkans and the intensified international interventions by the Europeans.11 11
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The military reforms of the third wave aim at rendering forces more flexible
with regard to organizational preparedness and deployability in order to make
them able to fulfill a large spectrum of missions abroad and at home. This, in
turn, demands a higher and transnationally standardized technological standard
in weapon systems, equipment, and transport capabilities. At the same time, the
emergence of a transnational military role is promoted within the European
state system, in which single countries develop specific competences that can
be called on in joint operations to meet specific needs.14 14
The intensification of international cooperation continues in the third phase
either in the framework of NATO or the European Union. It culminated in the
International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) Operation in Afghanistan and
the European Union’s decision in Helsinki 1999 to set up thirteen Battle Groups
by 2010, giving the European Union a military core for its common foreign and
security policy (ESDP).15 However, these beginnings of a central European
coordination of the national armed forces policies are still modest, a fact that has
not been changed by the takeover of the WEU by the European Union or by the
desire of four out of ten Europeans for a joint European defense policy.16 16
Further important impetuses for the third reform wave stem from the need to
make use of regular armed forces not only in the international war on terror but
also for the handling of domestic security issues in the aftermath of 9/11. A
close examination reveals that one can speak of a constabularization of the
military not only on an international but also on a national level.
As a consequence of the developments described, conscription is degenerat-
ing more and more into a second-rate reserve pool or is losing its function alto-
gether. Conscription, where it is upheld, serves national tradition rather than
military efficiency.17 The third wave of reform concludes what had been started 17
half-heartedly in the second wave. First, professionalism is becoming the rule
in Europe, and military service based on conscription the exception. Second,
European forces are used to an increasing extent for constabulary tasks, be they
peace or stabilization operations out of the national territory or police support
missions of all kinds at home.
How much this change of objectives mirrors the real situation concerning Euro-
pean forces’ operations, particularly their engagement abroad, is demonstrated
by a comparison of OoARs of European forces between 1995 and 2006. One
has to keep in mind that the proportion of logistic personnel expenses and
reserves for replacement ranges from 1:4 to 1:6 if one compares troops at home
bound for missions in a foreign region with those currently deployed. Thus, an
OoAR of 3% indicates that up to 18%, almost a fifth of a country’s armed
forces, are directly or indirectly involved in military engagements abroad.
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Figure 2.3 lists the OoARs of 27 European armed forces for 1995 and 2006,
respectively, arranged from left to right in decreasing magnitude.18 The follow- 18
ing becomes evident:
. With the exception of Norway, all European states have increased the number of
troops based abroad during the last decade. In most cases the increase is signifi-
cant, as Figure 2.3 indicates. In absolute numbers, in 1995, according to Military
Balance, 22,823 military personnel from these twenty-seven European countries
were sent on missions abroad. In 2006, a remarkable increase took place (47,065
persons); thus, the figure has more than doubled.
. In 1995, Norway, Denmark, and The Netherlands sent a significant number of sol-
diers in missions abroad (OoAR 3%) in relation to the strength of their armed
forces. In keeping with their military tradition, these countries have always been
classic peacekeeping countries and also participated during the Cold War. In 2006,
the situation changed dramatically. Countries that are very involved in interna-
tional crisis management at this time are Denmark, Estonia, Slovenia, The
7%
OoAR 1995
OoAR 2006
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
DNK
EST
SVN
NLD
SVK
DEU
SWE
ITA
CZE
POL
LVA
AUT
NOR
BEL
FIN
ESP
ROU
HUN
FRA
ALB
LTU
PRT
GRC
BGR
HRV
TUR
CHE
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It can be empirically documented that the trend towards European defense inte-
gration and the development towards the conduct of constabulary missions by
armed forces have to be seen as important causes for the termination of con-
scription in Europe.
First, according to our initial thesis, the increase in European cooperation on
political, social, and security policy levels implies the inclination of the cooper-
ating countries to engage increasingly in international stabilization missions. As
Table 2.3 shows, there is a clear relationship between the degree of integration
into supra- and international networks and the OoAR of a country’s armed
forces.19 This means that, if a country is a member of NATO and integrated 19
into the European Union network, there will be a higher probability that it will
be involved in international military missions of the constabulary type than a
country which by 2006 has only partial membership or none at all of NATO
and/or the European Union.
Second, we argued that with the increase of a country’s foreign military
engagements, the willingness to maintain conscription will diminish. If the CR
of 27 European countries is correlated with their OoAR we find a significant
negative correlation (R = 0.48; Figure 2.4). The direct finding is obvious and
supports our thesis that the more a country’s armed forces are engaging in out
of area-missions, the more likely it will be that conscription is phased out or
abolished completely.
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TABLE 2.3. The extent of sociopolitical and military integration in Europe (number
of memberships) and the OoAR of a country’s armed forces (%)
Memberships
OoAR 0 1 2 3
0–1 Switzerland Croatia
Turkey
1–2 Lithuania Portugal
Bulgaria Greece
2–3 Albania Norway Belgium
Finland Romania France
Hungary
3–4 Austria Latvia Czech Republic
Sweden Germany
Italy
Poland
4 or more Denmark Netherlands
Estonia
Slovakia
Slovenia
7% R= -0.48
DNK
6%
EST
5% SVN
NLD
4% SVK DEU
ITA POL
CZE
AUT
3% SWE
BEL LVA FIN
NOR
ESP
2% HUN ROU
FRA LTU ALB
PRT
1% BGR GRC
HRV CHE
TUR
0%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
FIGURE 2.4. The conscription ratio (%) by the out-of-area ratio (%) of twenty-
seven European countries. NATO country abbreviations defined in Figure 2.3
caption.
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Memberships
System 0 1 2 3
Conscription Albania Austria Bulgaria Germany
armies Switzerland Croatia Denmark Greece
Finland Estonia Poland
Sweden Latvia
Turkey Lithuania
Norway
Romania
All-volunteer Slovakia Belgium
forces
Slovenia Czech Republic
France
Hungary
Italy
Netherlands
Portugal
Spain
Indirectly, this means that the more extensively a country is integrated into a
European network of political and security political alliances, as well as supra-
national coalitions, the more likely it is to cooperate more closely on a military
level and in missions of a constabulary type as well. The conscription ratio will
thus drop until it is finally abolished.20 Countries joining security policy net- 20
works no longer see their home territory in danger and believe, therefore, that
they can do without conscription. It is no accident, and fits into the picture as
outlined, that it is primarily the neutral countries that are having a hard time
giving up their citizen forces (Switzerland, Albania, Austria, Finland, Sweden).
Table 2.4 supports this conclusion by showing a remarkably strong connection
between a European country’s recruiting system and the extent to which it is
integrated into the NATO and European Union networks.
CONCLUSION
Europe’s conscription-based armed forces have been rendered obsolete not only
by the end of the Cold War, which necessitated mass armies, but also by other
factors. On the one hand, the ongoing process of European political and secu-
rity integration into the framework of the European Union and NATO has
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eliminated the threat of interstate wars of the traditional type on European soil.
On the other hand, the trend towards a common security and military policy
accelerated by multinational interventions, mainly in the Balkans and in Af-
ghanistan, has fuelled the process of constabularization of European forces.
These two developments must be seen as important agents speeding up the
phasing out of citizen armies in Europe.
Europe’s citizen-soldiers were formally and traditionally considered ideal
defenders of their national territory; they are, however, not considered suited to
the new kind of multinational military missions abroad. No European people
would be ready to legitimize the compulsory employment of young conscripts
in missions out of national or alliance territory, nor would they be ready to tol-
erate casualties among such personnel in out-of-area missions. The tradition of
conscription is symbolically linked with national defense and with guaranteeing
national existence. The new tasks of a constabulary nature in an international
context are radically different. First, they are devoid of the character of guaran-
teeing national existence, and second, they require a much higher degree of
stand-by capability and more sustainability than traditional citizen armies with
their part-time soldiers can provide.
The consequences are obvious. To the extent to which military organizations
in Europe are used for purposes other than interstate war, conscription is prov-
ing obsolete and is being abolished in a growing number of European states.
The military future belongs, as in the United States, the United Kingdom, and
Canada, to small forces-in-being. These forces are becoming more and more
interwoven on the European level, be it within NATO or within a slowly form-
ing alliance of European forces that is manifest in several multinational corps
and is beginning to emerge in the framework of the planned European battle
groups.
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INTRODUCTION
On the 9 May 2007, near the Palestinian village of Dharia, a small group of
reserve soldiers led by their captain were captured on camera severely beating
a group of Israeli demonstrators.1 These young Jewish Israeli demonstrators, 1
which the media described as ‘‘anarchists,’’ (referring not only to their behavior
but also to their stated ideology), were trying to remove by force an army road
block near the Palestinian village in a show of support to the Palestinian cause.
In response to the demonstrator’s provocations, the small detachment of sol-
diers, who found themselves outnumbered and attacked, acted aggressively and
beat some of the demonstrators. The incident was immediately publicized by
all the main Israeli news channels and caused the Israel Defense Forces (IDF)
and the Defense Minister to swiftly condemn the behavior of the soldiers as
unnecessary and out of line.
Regardless of the fact that the IDF soldiers were not part of a peace support
operation (PSO), the basic dilemmas they faced are typical and rather universal
ones faced by soldiers that are part of any PSO. The incident serves to highlight
some of the unique and specific challenges that soldiers in PSOs are facing.
According to British doctrine, PSOs are defined as an operation that impar-
tially makes use of diplomatic, civil, and military means, normally in pursuit of
U.N. Charter purposes and principles, to restore or maintain peace. Such an
operation may include conflict prevention, peacemaking, peace enforcement,
peacekeeping, peace-building, and/or humanitarian operations. In addition, the
doctrine suggests that the use of force ‘‘should be balanced so as to enforce the
mandate without detriment to Campaign Authority.’’2 The British doctrine also 2
warns that the way in which military force is applied and the means used can
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The term ‘‘strategic corporal’’ was coined in 1999 by General Charles C. Kru-
lak from the U.S. Marines in an article he published in the U.S. Marines Corps
Journal.9 According to Krulak, modern militaries are facing what he called 9
‘‘the three block war,’’ which suggests that military intervention will include all
the following three aspects simultaneously: combat operations, humanitarian
aid, and peacekeeping. The combination inevitably puts military personnel in
very complicated and difficult situations, which often do not have a clear solu-
tion. At the same time, mistakes in these situations may be very costly. In these
situations the actions and split-second decisions of often very low-ranking
commanders can have a direct impact on not only on their immediate surround-
ings, but on the overall success of the entire mission or even the stability of the
whole region.
The quotation explains how the British Support Operations Doctrine
explains the challenge most modern militaries face today:
In PSOs, actions taken at the lowest tactical level may need to be especially respon-
sive to strategic decision making, with the tactical outcomes having immediate strate-
gic significance. For example, the comments and actions of a corporal may prompt
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ministerial statements as a result of media reporting. This may lead to political and
military leaders at the strategic level wishing directly to influence the lowest tactical
actions, missing out the intermediate operational and higher tactical levels of
command.10 10
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more important and, if discovered, the Egyptian army would immediately close
it. He chose instead to retreat quietly and reported his findings to his division
commander, who was looking for alternative ways to cross the Canal. A few
days later, the IDF exploited the same gap to cross the Suez Canal and encircle
the entire Third Egyptian Army.13 13
In contrast to these examples, PSOs rarely present opportunities for quick re-
solution, and, therefore, the mistakes of junior commanders are more likely to
worsen the existing situation. In PSOs, low-level initiative can rarely lead to
strategic resolution. However, such initiative is still ‘‘strategic’’ because actions
at the tactical level can have impacts far beyond the immediate tactical level,
often in a kinetic effect through the media and public opinion. To conclude,
then, acting wrongly on the tactical level might occupy the full attention and
energy not only of the higher military operational and strategic level, but also
the national security level, beyond the military echelons. These events are often
dealt with directly by ministers, political leaders, international organizations,
and even the courts. Unfortunately, the uninhibited behavior of resistance
fighters and terrorists, including the manipulation of women and children as
combatants, often places the corporal on the ground in the face of real life and
death situations, forcing split-second decisions with impacts on fate of the mis-
sion. The corporal is left in a catch 22, ‘‘damned if he does and damned if he
does not.’’
Uri Bar Lev, a former senior commander in an elite counterterrorism unit in
the IDF, provides an illustrative example. He describes an event whereby he
received information on a potential plot to drive a car full of explosives into a
packed synagogue. When Bar Lev spotted a car that fit the description of the
suspect car, he immediately and intentionally collided with it. The collision
injured passengers in both cars, but the attack was averted and the terrorists
were captured. When then Prime Minister Rabin came to visit the unit to praise
them for their courage, Bar Lev asked him what would have happened had he
made a mistake in identification and collided with an innocent car, injuring
innocent civilians. Rabin, in his famous frankness, told him that had he failed,
he would have found himself alone.14 14
In a different event, Bar Lev describes having to give an order to shoot at a
suspect car. When he approached the car after the shooting, he found four dead
terrorists, but he could not avoid thinking what would have happened had the
dead been four innocent people, possibly a family with young children. ‘‘That’s
our reality,’’ he says, ‘‘when we have a success, it is a bottle of champagne with
compliments from higher echelons. When it is a failure, you are left to your
own devices to face the harsh reality.’’15 15
A very similar sentiment is expressed by IDF officer Moshe (Chico) Tamir,
a veteran of many years of fighting the Hezbollah in Lebanon, starting as a pla-
toon commander and eventually reaching the rank of brigade commander.
When he reflects on his long experience as a soldier and commander in his
autobiography, he says:
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Litigation and trials of field commanders and the lack of backing from the chain of
command have had an impact on operational effectiveness. Commanders understood
that they will not receive any backing … consequently they prefer to avoid any initi-
ative and repress the offensive tendencies of their units to avoid failures.16 16
But what is the view of senior commanders in these situations? What makes
them so fearful of mistakes? General Rupert Smith helps us understand the
view from the senior commander’s perspective. Smith uses a powerful meta-
phor to explain the problematic situations he found himself in as a senior com-
mander in Bosnia and Northern Ireland. He speaks about a Roman circus where
the commander fights the enemy while everyone watches. His role is not only
to fight but to be the circus producer:
In these situations, instead of only you and a gang of gladiators, there is at least one
other producer and another gang of gladiators. … Here the commander is actually
writing and playing a story at the same time. His job is to produce the most compel-
ling narrative and act it out, and every act he does is an act of sending information
and causes an effect. The currency in these types of operations is not who has more
effective firepower, but who has more effective information, the type that will enable
him to separate the enemy from the rest of the crowd.17 17
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The resulting political scandal damaged the credibility and public image of
the United States and its allies in the execution of ongoing military operations
in Iraq. It gave ammunition for critics of U.S. foreign policy who continue to
argue that it was representative of a broader American attitude and policy of
disrespect and violence toward Arabs. The U.S. Administration and its defend-
ers argued that the abuses were isolated acts committed by low-ranking person-
nel. In a report on the incident, the New Yorker summarized it by saying that,
‘‘As the photographs from Abu Ghraib make clear, these detentions have had
enormous consequences: for the imprisoned civilian Iraqis, many of whom had
nothing to do with the growing insurgency; for the integrity of the Army; and
for the United States’ reputation in the world.’’20 20
It seems that under these circumstances, taking into account the risks and
the response of the entire strategic spectrum (or the Roman Circus according to
Smith), it is often worse to act wrongly than not to act at all. However, not act-
ing runs contrary to the basic combat training and ethos of NCOs. A former
head of the IDF officer candidate school (Bad-Ehad) stated that ‘‘an officer in
general is a term that is related to performance. … An officer is a person who
makes things happen.’’21 The famous motto ‘‘when in doubt, act’’ is part of an 21
education that sees initiative as synonymous with leadership. It stems from ma-
neuver warfare doctrine, which calls for ‘‘shock, surprise, and destruction.’’22 22
Most Western armies adopted maneuver warfare philosophy, which relies heav-
ily on the independent actions of junior commanders. Moltke the elder, one of
the most important thinkers and practitioners in this respect, said about his
expectations from junior commanders that ‘‘In doubtful cases and in unclear
conditions …, it will generally be more advisable to proceed actively and keep
the initiative than to await the blow of the opponent.’’23 However, as one Israeli 23
officer said recently, ‘‘the name of the game in LIC [low-intensity conflict] is
not about taking the initiative as in regular battle, but how to do fewer mistakes
and maintain stability.’’24 24
Nevertheless, some of the most advanced military institutions do believe that the
solution to the ‘‘strategic corporal’’ situation is not—despite the natural tend-
ency of commanders—to tighten control through detailed orders and detailed
rules of engagement (ROE). On the contrary, the message in most contemporary
doctrines of Western militaries is to reemphasize mission command.25 25
Mission command is a decentralized leadership and command philosophy
that demands and enables decision and action in every echelon of command
where there is an intimate knowledge of the battlefield situation. The approach
calls for subordinates to exploit opportunities by being empowered to use their
initiative and judgment, as long as their decisions serve the higher objective
communicated to them prior to the mission, which is referred to as intent. The
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when a day after his graduation from the Staff and Command College, a commander
receives an order to recapture Abu Snen [Palestinian village], he will do it better
because he knows what the Prime Minister’s intent was as communicated in his last
speech to the nation. He also knows the implications of exercising force through his
company’s actions.31 31
But directives from the political leadership do not arise by themselves and
must become an integral part of the planning and briefing process. That is the
reason why, in an interview with Dr. Kobi Michael, General Bogi Ya’alon, IDF
Chief of Staff during the Second Intifida, said the following:
Even in the days when I served as the Judea and Samaria Division Commander, I felt
that the regular Estimate of the Situation (EOS) processes we used to teach did not
provide us with relevant tools to cope with problems and challenges we used to face
in the years 1992–93. I felt that we were missing tools; I felt that the discourses in
Central Command as well as in other places were not deep enough. They dealt with
foam on water.… I felt it was wrong … as I began my duty as the Central Command
Commander, I understood that we had to build a different process of EOS.32 32
AN INSTITUTIONAL FAILURE
At this point, let us turn back to the case that opened this chapter: the road
block in Dharia. The series of reactions and counter reactions is arguably char-
acteristic and typify many soldiers and military organizations who find them-
selves under similar scenarios conducting peacekeeping or similar missions,
such as the coalition forces in Iraq or Afghanistan. The automatic reaction of
the IDF and the political echelon was immediately to condemn the captain’s
behavior. However, an IDF inquiry into the case a few days later came up with
following points:
The captain indeed repeatedly asked for reinforcement, saying his force was
too small to deal properly with the situation. His request was rejected, and he
was told to deal with the situation alone. The brigade commander admitted he
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made a mistake in his assessment of the impact of these anarchists and in his
final decision not to send reinforcement. Importantly, he summed up the whole
event by saying, ‘‘we failed to anticipate these developments, and from a local
event it became an all encompassing strategic event.’’33 Still, despite admitting 33
his own mistake, he wanted to see the captain suspended. He concluded that the
soldiers were not in life-threatening danger; therefore, there was no reason to
behave so aggressively.
Back at home the captain and his men, as civilians again after completing
their reserve duty, released the following statement. They complained bitterly
for not having their commanders’ backing and support, they said that they were
sent to deal with an impossible situation with neither the necessary equipment
nor a proper briefing on the relevant procedures prior to the mission. ‘‘We were
given a mission without the necessary capabilities to fulfill it, and now they
(the commanders) are not giving us any backing.’’34 34
To his defense, the captain raised another interesting point. He stated that he
understood his mission the following way: defending the road block was serv-
ing the higher purpose of preventing the demonstrators from passing down to a
major highway running from Jerusalem to Beersheba and blocking this more
strategic road. This was his understanding of his mission, and he was intent on
preventing a major road in Israel from being blocked. This is a cause that is
worth fighting for. The Captain admitted he might have got carried away, but
the negative display of normative behavior was due to professional problems
within the system that was supposed to support him.35 35
Examining this incident from a mission command perspective, it is easy to
see how almost every principle in this approach was violated. For example, mis-
sion command calls for a clear definition of resources and constraints in the con-
text of the mission. This, according to the soldiers, was not done. In addition,
the mission analysis was not adequate, the effect and intentions of groups such
as the ‘‘anarchists,’’ armed with cameras and ready to provoke, was not taken
into consideration. The result was that the commander acted in the context of
‘‘one level above’’ his own immediate mission; he interpreted the purpose of his
mission in the following way: he would maintain his post (road block) in order
to prevent demonstrators from reaching the main road, and from his point of
view, this purpose was more important than any other higher ramifications.36 36
Another problematic area that demonstrates how difficult it is to use the mis-
sion command approach in these scenarios is the area of authority versus
responsibility and accountability. First, the soldiers found themselves involved
with Israeli demonstrators against whom they had limited authority to act. Sec-
ond, although the brigade commander admits that his judgment was wrong, he
still wants to punish the captain for his misconduct and intends to suspend him.
Some critique will no doubt reveal that this case illustrates a lack of atten-
tion and professionalism, and if only the commanders across the chain of com-
mand would have paid more attention to the details and stuck to the principles
of mission command, we would have seen a different outcome. Perhaps this is
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the case, although this author doubts that the final outcome reflects only basic
professional errors. These events reflect something deeper that is imminent in
every military organization. True, major flaws were committed by all sides
involved, but what ensued was a reflection of a system that is organized,
trained, and prepared (mentally and physically) for the realities of conventional
wars and has found itself, to use General Smith’s metaphor, trapped inside the
Roman circus.
The infantry soldiers whose training emphasized a bias for action over non-
action, once outnumbered and under pressure, did what they believed they
should do as soldiers, which is to fight and fight hard to accomplish their imme-
diate mission. It should be pointed out that before the incident, this reserve bat-
talion was praised for its performance and its captain was highly appreciated.
In the aftermath of the immediate political scandal and under its pressure, the
reaction of the entire chain of command was to deliver to the public what it
wanted: a swift condemnation of the event. In PSOs, soldiers are expected to
act more like police, to use force only as a last result. In this context force is
not legitimatized, but when force is used, even police personnel expect some
form of backing from their superiors and a fair trial.
The primary victim of this behavior is the trust that serves as the main foun-
dation of the social contract between commander and subordinate. Here we
have a major break in trust between the tactical level, which does its work on
the ground and feels abandoned, and the strategic echelon, which must deal
with public opinion and political backlash. Without this trust there is little
chance that mission command can work. It seems, therefore, that while initia-
tive is a key asset in conventional wars, in the context of PSOs, it is a danger-
ous liability.37 The strategic peacekeeping corporal acts with the knowledge 37
that the senior military and political echelon is always ready to sacrifice him
for the sake of the ‘‘script’’ and to avoid the embarrassment.
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and Churchill encouraged reporters to join their own militaries.2 And this was 2
not due to momentary benevolence; as these despots and many others of their
ilk clearly understood, any regime engaged in industrial war, using soldiers
drawn from its civilian population, must communicate with this same popula-
tion in order to keep it on its side. In a dictatorship this may be deemed to be
achieved by journalists reflecting only the glories of the military, and in a de-
mocracy, it can be done through depictions of the broader, though often not
complete, picture, including horror and disaster. But in all cases, it is clear that
communication came to be crucial, and that to this end, the journalist came to
be accepted on the battlefield, as both a truthful witness, and as a necessary if
limited mediator between the military and civilian worlds.
All these assumptions survived the Second World War, and any number of
others after it, more or less intact and to this day, which is precisely the prob-
lem: the world has moved on from industrial wars and the gentlemen and ladies
of the press to complex conflicts and the global media. Most significantly, it
has moved from the journalist-as-witness reporting war as a means of commu-
nicating between the military and the civilian populations of each side, to the
media transmitting conflicts in real time and therefore serving as a means of
communication between all the opposing sides, the populations caught up in
the conflicts, and the world at large. In this manifestation of the external ob-
server, therefore, the media has moved from witnessing and reflecting conflict
to recreating the military theater of war into a global interactive show.
To date, this shift has not yet been properly explored as a factor in conflict,
even though the crucial and sometimes determining pairing of ‘‘media and con-
flict’’ is now clearly integral to the modern battlefield. Most existing research
and analysis of media and conflict tend towards four main areas: the role of
media—mostly local as opposed to international outlets—in causing conflicts;
the role of media in post-conflict situations; the creation of legal frameworks for
media activity in conflict and post-conflict areas; and the impact of the media on
political decision making in conflict.3 Whilst undoubtedly important, all these 3
fail to address the core issue of the relationship between the media and conflict
as a military event. Redressing this absence is the purpose of this chapter.
THE SHIFT FROM ‘‘WAR AND THE MEDIA’’ TO ‘‘MEDIA AND THE CONFLICT’’
To no small degree, the lacuna in understanding media and conflict is due to two
of the main protagonists themselves. In the first place, both the media on one
side and the military on the other tend to be practitioners rather than theoreti-
cians.4 Moreover, since they mostly interact within the framework of conflict, 4
which is intense and time consuming, little space is left for reflection on the
actual interaction as opposed to its outcome. In the second place, and possibly
more significantly, both sides seem unaware of the true significance of the shift
from ‘‘war and the press’’ to ‘‘media and conflict,’’ or indeed of the major
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transformation in the event known as war. For whilst acknowledging the occa-
sional change such as the impact of satellite technology on reporting, or the oft
cited ‘‘CNN factor’’ of rolling news, both tend to contend that the roles of each
and the relationship between them within a conflict remain essentially
unchanged. Such assertions are largely predicated upon fixed notions, thus that
‘‘media’’ refers to objective journalists in the service only of the truth, and ‘‘con-
flict’’ to war between defined sides, involving at least one state army. In reality,
neither notion is properly applicable to the exceedingly complex framework of
modern conflict, where peace support operations (PSOs) might be conducted
and which includes, besides the combatant protagonists, which are often non-
state, and the media, many other organizations such as the United Nations and
its agencies, the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC), non-govern-
mental organizations (NGOs), and others. Nor do they reflect the vastly
expanded role of the media, the changing nature of military intervention, and the
combined effect of both upon conflicts in the past fifteen years. In other words,
neither side seems to have internalized that the activity known as conflict in
which they are both engaged has thoroughly changed; that they are no longer
involved in industrial war but rather in ‘‘war amongst the people,’’5 in which the 5
battlefield, the combatants, and the purpose of the event of war have been funda-
mentally altered; nor that the war correspondent is not a journalist reporting or
even photographing or filming war so much as a member of the media transmit-
ting events as they happen, commenting upon them, and, by default, interpreting
them.6 And whilst these interpretations are not necessarily profound or absolute, 6
they undoubtedly stand alongside others influencing both policy-makers and the
general public—deemed the electorate by the policymakers—responsible for the
militaries and peacekeeping forces operating in conflicts.
A further complicating factor in the relationship between the military and
the media in conflict is that alongside the prefixed notions, both sides are also
operating and interacting within the confines of dated and conflicting assump-
tions regarding each other. For its part, the military still tends to somewhat dis-
miss the media and its handling, alongside civil affairs, as no more than ‘‘hearts
and minds,’’ even though it can and should be argued that hearts and minds, of
the population amongst which the military is operating as much as the folks
back home, are increasingly the strategic objective of their operation. Upon this
somewhat dire background, the military then tend to assume that what is at
stake with the media is no more than carefully monitored reproduction and dis-
semination of data, preferably to its own advantage, and that it is possible to be
in control of the monitoring and the data. There is also an assumption that the
media is ultimately reactive, in the manner of journalism; it will present itself
in response to either a defined event or else follow a lead about a potential
event, an event being anything from a battle or skirmish to a suspicion of
wrongdoing. Underpinning all these assumptions is another: that the media,
being synonymous with journalism, consists at most of papers, television, and
radio, and that those who make decisions within these organs do so on
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journalistic principles and merit alone. On the other side, the media usually still
correctly assumes the military is a closed but coherent world of hierarchy and
discipline, and as such tends to accept its separateness. However, it often tends
to incorrectly assume that officers and other ranks are in a situation of manage-
ment and workers, and that management—like in business—has a hand in
deciding as well as implementing the actions unfolding on the ground. Whilst
not necessarily assuming the military is malicious, the media does seem to
assume the military has something to hide and will seek to expose it. In the
conflict zone, it assumes itself to be separate and different from the military in
the eyes of the local population, even if it is often dependent on the same mili-
tary for protection. Above all, it also often seems to assume that journalism and
media are largely synonymous, differentiating little between the distinct natures
and capabilities of its various branches, most especially the internet, and barely
acknowledging its own impact on the actual environment it is reporting on.
Collectively, these assumptions suggest that for the military, the media is basi-
cally only a mode of external communication, which can be used to advantage on
tap. Within this perspective, failure is a question of disadvantage or unfair advant-
age by others, mostly the media. Conversely, the understanding arising from the
media is that the military world is relatively removed and narrow and thus lacking
in any broader context. Most especially, the media is unaware of its own role
within the world of conflict where it interacts most with the military, other than to
‘‘shine a light,’’ even though that is an extremely small segment of what it actually
does, more or less in proportion to the small segment of old fashioned journalism
that still exists within it. At base it is therefore clear that the worlds of the military
and the media have totally different concepts of the other, aside from one specific
issue: there is a mutual sense of distrust, which paradoxically only underlines the
inclinations of both to react to type. In this way the military tends to assume the
media is seeking to harm it by either depicting it in some negative way or else by
uncovering a dark secret, and so tends to behave furtively. The media equally
assumes this to be the case and so approaches the military somewhat accusingly.
It is a negative symbiosis that harms the military, above all. It is also one that
masks the true relationship between media and conflict, since it appears to elevate
the media to the role of player, which, as will be reflected below, is the only one it
does not have in the modern theater of war.
As a result of this comprehensive lack of awareness of the arena in which
they operate, alongside the lack of both self and mutual understanding, both
sides tend to talk past each other and the public. Indeed, they tend to thoroughly
confuse the public, which due to media transmission has now become an audi-
ence and the ultimate witness of conflict. This audience watches events of war
amongst the people unfolding live on its television and computer screens, events
such as tanks driving down a dusty street in Iraq or through a village in Afghani-
stan, or heavily armed soldiers in flak jackets and helmets in a shoot-out with
Taliban or Al Qaeda fighters in traditional dress, with a school in the background
and women and children to one side, but have it explained within the framework
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of the old concepts of industrial war. For in the vast majority of cases, both the
media and the military commentator will use jargon such as divisions, battalions
or other military units, lines of attack, strike capabilities, tactical and strategic
objectives, the technological attributes of weapons, and all of these in reference
to ‘‘the enemy,’’ as if it were an equal, formed military opponent, and ‘‘the bat-
tlefield,’’ as if it were a removed location in which the sides met, rather than
towns, villages, and streets full of regular civilians. This is a new paradigm or
form of war being explained in terms of the old, since those tend to be the terms
in which the military and the media still operate, but to the audience, they pres-
ent a cognitive dissonance, since the images and the commentary do not add up.
In order to untangle this confusion, there is a need to revert to basics: in this
case, the basic identity of both the media and the military in their current sense
rather than those attributed to them by dated assumptions. On the back of such
an enquiry, it may then be possible to establish their roles in the modern battle-
field and the manner in which they interact.
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and through it. Moreover, it can pass in more than one direction, and in many
permutations, such as back and forth, to three, four, or more sides at once, to a
known and unknown audience simultaneously, and so on. It is in the guise of a
platform that the media serves as a means of communication and messaging.
A business. Above all, the media is a business, with high margins and annual
targets to meet. As a result, it needs content as a commodity in which it deals, and
which can fill the vast stretches of time and space that are now a default of it being
global and operating 24/7. But it must on the whole be understood to have no
stake in the commodity or its impact, but rather in its ability to convey it to the
satisfaction of its customers. As such, it is dependent on specific audiences only in
the sense of attracting advertisers or other funding. In this sense there is no differ-
ence between Al-Jazeerah and CNN: even if there is an assumed bias, it is very
largely due to the respective funders (i.e., advertisers who base their decisions on
ratings and audience), rather than ideology or journalistic vigor. In the developed
world, there is also no difference between these enterprises and other commercial
media outlets and the BBC or any other state-owned outlets, since these latter are
also dependent on audiences and ratings in order to receive funding from the state.
Print and internet outlets are also market-driven, with only independent bloggers
being relatively free from financial constraints. Yet on the whole, in order to be in-
fluential, the blog must be of a size and authority such as to attract advertising to
pay for itself. As a business the media therefore has employees, some of whom
may be journalists, many of whom are simply in the media business as enter-
tainers, and nearly all of whom are driven by the bottom line.
Taken together, the media must therefore be understood as a business that
deals in conveying information. It is the total environment in which information
is presented, exchanged, digested, and commented and reacted upon. It is the
medium within which this happens and the platform upon which it is conveyed.
It provides the arena and the stage of the theater, but not the actors or the
scripts. It is the immediacy and impact of the constant and interactive nature of
this theater that can influence the script, not the media itself. And the reason for
this, and the ultimate paradox lying at the heart of the media, is that as a busi-
ness, it is part of the audience consuming this information, as a commodity, for
its own needs. Because the media deals in content, it has a constant need for it,
but without any stake or intrinsic interest in it. As such, it is a sophisticated
form of parasite; in order to survive, it lives off the activities of others, in every
field of life, including conflict.
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These four threads taken together suggest that the modern soldier, as encoun-
tered in the conflict zone, is a complex composite: a national asset perceived as
an international representative, a professional fighter assumed to sport humani-
tarian values, and an individual accountable both to the law and to the hierarchy
faced by opponents outside both. In short, this is an individual expected to
maintain the external appearance and all the capabilities of the traditional sol-
dier, though not too blatantly with regard to fighting on the streets, who is
equally expected to have the capabilities and inclinations of a humanitarian op-
erative. Furthermore, the militaries composed of these soldiers are taken to be
an amalgamation of all these qualities, as understood in civilian terms. This
applies especially to the issues of hierarchy and accountability, which, as men-
tioned above, are often translated into managerial terms in which it is assumed
that a person in command on the ground is also part of the overall decision
making process that placed him and his unit in a certain place. As such, milita-
ries and soldiers are seen as both extensions and representatives of a political
will far removed, armed with capabilities of dealing, on the one hand, with the
military opponent on military terms and, on the other, with the civilian suffer-
ing on civilian terms. Moreover, the soldier and the military—both in fact and
in perception—are deemed to be accountable for all their actions, even those
not properly in their remit, even if faced by opponents that are not, and often
cannot, be held accountable themselves, and even if it is the media doing the
deeming, though it is also accountable to no one, other than as a business to its
shareholders.
There is no doubt that this complex public understanding of the soldier in
the Western world rests partly on the phenomena of militaries becoming
increasingly remote from the societies from which they are drawn, and of con-
flicts becoming increasingly expeditionary. However awful the reality of war
amongst the people, from the vantage point of the developed world, it still takes
place far away in Africa or Iraq or Afghanistan or the Palestinian Territories.
However, this understanding is also partly—possibly mostly—the product of
media depictions and transmissions of conflict and combat zones, taking place
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THE MEDIA’S RULES AND ITS CONTRIBUTION TO THE GLOBAL SHOW THEATER
Both the military and the media have a part in this process of transformation,
but it may be of use to explain the media first. At the most obvious level, the
media has a capacity to turn conflict into a global show simply through technol-
ogy. Cameras, microphones, computers, phones, and satellites enable the imme-
diate transmission of any data, in print, picture, or audio, anywhere in the
world. However, it is the manner in which the technology is used and applied
by people that is most important when considering the show, and in this matter
there are a number of rules.
The flattening rule. This rule has two implications when applied to conflict.
First and foremost, in absolute terms and regardless of subject, all news is data
of equal value and relevance, regardless of subject, since the media is in the in-
formation business; it is a commodity. Detailed data on celebrities and soap
operas can take up the same amount of space, or more, as the War in Iraq, a mar-
ket crash, or the launching of a space shuttle. There is now a vast audience of
global TV owners, multiplied many times more through computer users, which
can choose between historic moments and YouTube or constantly flip between
the two and any number of other sites or stations. In other words, gone are the
days in which there was a hierarchy to news, decided on journalistic principle,
or a central event that could be assured full attention. Following upon this is the
second implication: all decisions on content are made centrally, often thousands
of miles away from the conflict zone. And so, whilst on the ground an event
may seem of major importance, both the decision as to whether to include it and
the size and slant of the item will be decided by editorial imperatives elsewhere.
The open exchange rule. Not only is the audience constantly dipping in and
out of the data in the media, but it is also open to reaction from any direction,
which can change its intent and meaning; a piece of footage transfers to the
internet immediately and is blogged upon; a quote in a newspaper receives
reaction in the morning radio program, a sentence of which is then commented
upon on the net. Data is a commodity that continuously changes hands, and
both alters and loses value and meaning in each permutation, and the author of
the original piece has absolutely no control over this process. In addition, every
event happens more than once, often repeated in a loop. The concept of rolling
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news stations on television and radio make this a necessity, since it is impossi-
ble to collect enough content to fill 24 hours a day every day; whilst the internet
gives access on tap not only to the present but also to the past, once again
imparting new meaning in a process that the original author has no control
over. In conflict this translates into pictures or sounds of events such as rolling
tanks or soldiers apparently shooting at civilians—because the opposing gun-
man is situated amongst them—being taken out of context, both because the
camera or recorder can take in but a small slice of action, and because any pi-
ece can be edited as it passes along the media chain. In this way the full pic-
tures or sounds may be used first as news coverage then repeated, possibly
edited, to fill time in rolling news stations, then adapted for other purposes by
other users in other outlets such as blogs or clips on YouTube. And whilst this
practice is rife in every field, in conflict it has the capacity to further inflame
passions on the various sides.
The brevity rule. Even if the media were composed only of journalists report-
ing facts and clearly distinguishing between these, analysis, and commentary,
there is still every chance that a clear image of events would not emerge due to
the need to maintain brevity. This is imposed primarily due to the massive load
of content. With so much competition, and with the need to be first and fresh,
outlets stick to extremely short presentations, whether written, oral, or visual.
Thus an average written sample in a paper or on the web is usually in the region
of 500 words, at most, and much often less, with comment pieces at a maximum
of 800 words, though often less. An oral or video piece, on radio or television,
tends to be a minute and a half, often less and sometimes more, which is in the
region of 300 words, plus a picture or a film if applicable. In addition, brevity is
also imposed due to the need to be instantaneous: technology has created the
impulse for information as events occur, however this tends to mean that the
bare facts, or a shred of a fact mixed in with opinion, is all that can be delivered
immediately. The main casualty of brevity is context: causes and clauses, espe-
cially if complex, simply get eliminated, often leaving bare facts standing in an
accusatory manner. In modern conflict the effect of this rule is near disastrous.
The context is all that gives meaning to the existence of soldiers fighting in what
is often a civilian setting, since the reasons for them actually being there and
using arms are usually very complex and often diffuse. An excellent example of
this was the 1992 to 1995 war in Bosnia, which was exceedingly complicated,
being an ethnic conflict, a civil war, and a war of succession. It was unique onto
itself, but it was also part of the break-up of Yugoslavia and its resulting con-
flicts. In addition, there were three official Bosnian sides—Bosniac, Serb, and
Croat—which sometimes had breakaway elements, whilst the latter two also had
close affiliations to their ethnic groupings in Serbia and Croatia but were consid-
ered to be solely Bosnian within the context of the conflict. These were just
some of the most salient problems, which were compounded by many others,
before one even broached far more dramatic and pressing moral issues such as
besieged cities, civilian deaths, or the utility and quantity of humanitarian aid.
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However, since all these made better pictures and were far easier to convey, over
time, nearly all the complex context was eliminated from media coverage, leav-
ing the human tragedy as a sole issue, which would not be problematic but for
the fact that many important political decisions were made on the back of the
media reporting and its impact on audiences.
The narrative rule. Narrative is the backbone of the media, in all its formats
and outlets. Whilst context gets eliminated and facts and comment often
become mixed and treated as one, the actual minute or 300 words of data will
be conveyed as a story, with a beginning, middle, and end, and with characters.
The beginning will usually be a lead in which the story is summarized. The
middle will be a lengthier expose of the summary, or a rehash if no more data
is available. The end will be a conclusion of sorts, often posing a question sug-
gesting a problem with the issue discussed. Like all narrative, characters are im-
perative, and if they are not obvious, as in a clear quote, they are usually found
in other means, such as a significant figure related to the story being mentioned,
even if there is little connection. In addition, talking heads—from think tanks,
universities, businesses, etc.—will be roped in to give a story a human voice or
to fill time, often regardless of their direct relevance to the story. In modern
conflict, coverage tends towards the human and humanitarian aspects because
they offer by far the easiest narrative option and good pictures. The very setting
of most conflicts within civilian populations makes this even easier, and it
vastly increases the cast of available talking heads to include the multitude of
NGO and humanitarian experts.
The budget rule. This rule has a dual implication. First, there is an ever
increasing inclination to cover an event or item in accordance to budget and
availability rather than intrinsic interest or importance. In conflict this has an
effect of either not covering far removed combat zones, or else to approach
them only very slightly. In following Moynihan’s Law, which holds that the
number of complaints about a nation’s violation of human rights is in inverse
proportion to its actual violation of human rights, media coverage of conflicts is
usually in inverse proportion to the violence and danger of the combat zone.
For example, most conflicts in Africa are hardly covered at all by the Western
media, being distant, difficult to get to, and expensive to cover. In Afghanistan,
the combination of distance, size, and danger has reduced most media coverage
to an absolute limit verging on none, as opposed to Baghdad or the Occupied
Palestinian Territories, which are very accessible and equipped with enough
technological infrastructure to make them viable for coverage. Second, like
many other businesses, the media tends to have periodic cuts in which rela-
tively expensive staff (i.e., experienced) and, crucially, capable of judgment
and context, will be cut. As a result, the media is increasingly staffed with
many young and eager people, who are those tasked with filling the endless
hours of time in the many outlets. By definition, therefore, they have neither
the background nor the time to understand an issue in full and will focus on a
narrow remit which they do understand or find accessible, regardless of whether
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it reflects the reality objectively. At best, they are overseen by a thin layer of
more experienced senior editors who tend to use their capabilities in shaping
stories rather than demanding context, structure, and facts. In conflict this has a
very strong impact since, in general terms, there tends to be ignorance of mat-
ters military, which is then compounded by the inexperience of the media per-
son seeking to do a quick package or story, and thus grasping upon the first and
easiest option rather than taking the story in the full.
These five rules taken together reflect that in its operation, the media is
essentially shallow and instantaneous, obsessed with costs, devoid of an aware-
ness of context, and gripped by the need for narrative and character in order to
make offerings more cogent and digestible to audiences that are constantly
switching and surfing between outlets. It is this reality that led the former Brit-
ish Prime Minister, Tony Blair, to devote one of his parting speeches to the
issue of the media, and to describe it as driven by ‘‘impact’’:
Impact is what matters. It is all that can distinguish, can rise above the clamor, can
get noticed. Impact gives competitive edge. Of course the accuracy of a story counts.
But it is often secondary to impact. It is this necessary devotion to impact that is
unraveling standards, driving them down, making the diversity of the media not the
strength it should be but an impulsion towards sensation above all else.10 10
Now, you go live, live, live, wherever you can. It’s happened because of the pressure
to be fresh and urgent, because of the way the market works.… The consequence is
that reporting now prizes emotion over much else. In this press of events there often
isn’t the time to get out and find things out. You rely upon second-hand information,
quotes from powerful vested interests, assessments from organizations which do the
work we don’t have time for.… The consequence is that what follows isn’t analysis.
It’s simply comment, because analysis takes time, and comment is free. In news, as
much as anywhere else in the industry, the question is no longer ‘what can we do?’
It’s ‘what can we afford?’ Finding things out takes time and money. Easier to stay in
the warm fug of what everyone agrees is news.11 11
This was a frank if sad analysis from one of the senior members of British
journalism who is now part of the media, which applies equally across the
globe, and to all subjects, not only politics. Even worse was his subsequent
assessment, ‘‘the problem is that news is determined not by its importance but
by its availability.’’12 This means the problem is basically endless, since the 12
crossover between fact and comment makes availability effectively endless.
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The media rules of operation clarify that it does not make the show of the mod-
ern theater of war; that is done by the sides to the conflict, the intervening mili-
taries, the civilians amongst whom they all fight, the international organizations
and NGOs sent to assist the civilians and in some cases the sides; in short, all
the producers and players of the modern theater of war. The media, as reflected
in its definition, does not belong to this cast. It is neither a player nor a pro-
ducer, but rather an enabler that offers the arena—the medium and the
platform—for this theater, then packages and transmits it as a show.
This point is often missed by the military, whether it dismisses the media as
being just irrelevant ‘‘hearts and minds’’ or else complains of improper treat-
ment by it, in both cases attributing to it the status of player. The reason for this
mistake is simple: the media is physically present in the conflict zone together
with all the players and producers and interacts daily with them all, including
the military. And since reporters have long been on the battlefield, their pres-
ence is not questioned by the military, regardless of the fact that it is the media,
not the press, that it is transmitting a show, not posthumously reporting facts;
that it is seeking content for its consumers, not broadcasting a central event that
attracts a single large audience; that in its technological capabilities and appli-
cations, it has broadened the battlefield not only into every living room in the
world, including those of the actual combat zone, but also enabled it to become
interactive, through mobile phones and especially the internet, and in so doing,
it often shapes the event without actually participating in it.
This core misunderstanding is part of the wider problem of the militaries of
the developed world still operating within the paradigm of industrial war, in
which, as noted above, the military had full control and supremacy, and civilian
life was subjugated to it.13 However, in modern conflicts amongst the people, 13
and mainly in PSOs, the inverse is true: in order to succeed, the military must
operate on civilian terms. It is its inability to do so, stemming from a basic mis-
understanding of this fact, that is often the cause of its failure. It attempts to
impose a purely military reality and operate on its terms, whilst the civilians on
the battlefield—augmented by the many actors from the aid world—tend to con-
tinue to conduct their civilian life, or a form of it, not least because they have to:
they have no other place to return to, since the opponents to the military are of-
ten amongst them. From a military point of view, this state of affairs is then
unfairly depicted by the media, which effectively recreates the reality yet again
for its own purposes and most often transmits it as an essentially dire civilian sit-
uation rather than a military one, since that is what the eye and the camera ulti-
mately capture, and it is the simplest story to convey to a wide audience.
There is thus a fundamental misalignment between the military and practi-
cally all other players on the battlefield in understanding the terms of play, and
indeed the parameters of the battlefield. In sticking to its concepts of its own
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imposed reality, the military fails to see that the real terms are dictated both by
civilians and by the media, and that in order to win, it must join in and be in a
position to affect the terms to its own advantage. Once again, this is not an
attainable goal with military force alone. Both as the guns roar and once they
are silent, the facts—in Iraq, Afghanistan, the Occupied Territories, and any
modern combat zone—remain the same: the battlefield is civilian, the civilians
do not like the guns and destruction, and unless the quality of their lives is
improved, there is no chance of attaining ‘‘a safe and secure environment’’ of
even a minimal kind. In other words, without affecting the terms, the strategic
aim is unattainable.
By sticking to its own reality and outdated concepts, the military is also
missing out in another way. Most, if not all, of the other players have realized
both the status and the value of the media as the arena provider and show trans-
mitter, and it is as such that they actively seek it out. They want to get their
points across, to provide information to other players, to glean information from
them, to shape opinions, to create constituencies, and, above all, to capture the
will of the people amongst whom the fight is taking place. Whether a warlord,
a besieged leader, or a humanitarian worker, there is an instinctive understand-
ing that the true currency of modern conflict is information, not firepower. In
order to win, it is vital to have as much information as possible in order to
influence the people amongst whom, and over whom, the fight is being had.
Getting their will can be achieved not through shelling, but through influence
based on data. To this end, the narrative is now as much part of the event as
shelling, shooting, and bombing, not a subsequent history. There is a need to
offer a version of what is a happening as it is happening, in order to secure vital
audiences, such as policy and decision makers, politicians, and the electorates
that vote for them. They are all watching the show being transmitted as it hap-
pens, and they will be gripped by the best narrative of events, regardless of
whether it reflects any objective reality. Moreover, the decision makers, de-
pendent on the electorate, will ultimately make decisions based on the show
and the narrative rather than on the hard facts of the conflict.
A classic example of this was the 2006 conflict over South Lebanon between
Israel and the Hezbollah. The latter kept an extremely professional media pres-
ence maintained throughout, largely focused on their leader Hasan Nasrallah,
who spoke directly both to his constituents in Lebanon and throughout the Mus-
lim world, and to Western public opinion rather than its leaders, directly
through the media. From the start he established extremely minor but cleverly
dependent aims for success, basically staying in the field as an informal and
apparently relatively poorly armed fighting unit as against the might of the
established Israeli military, and that this would be proof of a just cause. He
hammered this message home in his media appearances and ensured that the
few other Hezbollah spokesmen allowed access to the media, mostly guiding
cameras through the rubble left by Israeli bombings, remained on message. In
this way Hezbollah provided a continuous and plausible narrative through
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which viewers could interpret the unfolding events. This was in stark contrast
to the Israeli media effort, which was much more confused and appeared
focused on policy makers and leaders around the world, rather than public opin-
ion. The Israeli military, moreover, treated the media exactly as if it were in an
industrial war, communicating in badly staged press conferences and so without
providing a narrative in which to place its activities other than its might and its
own stated objectives, starting with the return of its kidnapped soldiers. Since it
failed in the latter, its might was also brought into question, leading to an inter-
national understanding that it was Hezbollah that won, a notion crowned by the
Economist stating on its front cover ‘‘Nasrallah wins the war.’’14 Which side 14
actually won is a moot point, but the reality that unfolded after the conflict was
one defined by the narrative of a Hezbollah win, and it was within these param-
eters that all parties, including Israel, had to maneuver.
Upon this background it may now be possible to revert to the basic issue posed
at the start of this essay: the relationship between the media and conflict as a
military event. Pulling the threads of investigation together, it is clear that the
media must be seen as a crucial factor in the battlefield, not unlike the weather;
much as the weather must be considered when timing an attack or estimating
effectiveness, so the media must be considered in calculating the impact or con-
sequences of it. But however crucial it is as a factor, the media is not a player.
Its influence lies in its omnipresence both within and outside the conflict zone
and its ability to provide the total environment and means for the transmission
of data, constantly and instantaneously, not in its own opinions or positions. As
such its influence upon conflict is essentially instrumental, in two interdepend-
ent and significant ways. First, it is the means for transforming the military the-
ater of war into a global show: a fluid and flowing, but not always coherent,
combination of reality and representation, images and words, available on tap
anywhere in the world on paper, on screen, on television, on radio, through the
phone, and in any number of other outlets. In the interchange between them all,
they constantly interpret and reinterpret the show, thereby influencing and shap-
ing it. And it is this that leads to the second element of the media’s instrumen-
tality: it is the conduit of information, which has replaced firepower as the
currency of modern conflict. To win in war amongst the people, it is necessary
to have the data to influence the intentions of the sides and, above all, to win
the people over to your side. To this end the purely military act is but part of
the effort, often not even the main event, though it appears most militaries find
this reality hard to conceive.
If modern conflicts are to be won, the military must begin to accept the
media in its real role and influence, not the one it wishes to accord it in line
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with outdated concepts of war. To this extent it must begin to operate with a
clearer definition of the media and the battlefield, and first and foremost under-
stand why it is unrealistic to suggest that the media, or the data that flows
through and on it, can be directed or manipulated to a specific end. On the other
hand, accepting the omnipresence of the media as a factor in defining the battle-
field and the show must also reflect why it is imperative to start including it in
all strategic moves, especially in a world increasingly dominated by data and
its flow.
This should not be seen as a relationship of dependency so much as symbio-
sis; whilst there is much the military needs to learn about the media, it must
never be forgotten that the media also needs the military as an integral part of
the data and narrative they are selling. Indeed, in many cases the media only
bothers entering the battlefield when the military arrives, since it is deemed a
good story to sell. On the other side, the military need the media in order to tell
their own story, to convey information, to their own advantage. Most especially
the commander on the ground needs the media in order to communicate to his
advantage with the opponents he is fighting, the people amongst whom he is
fighting, all the other actors and players on the battlefield, and then, in addition,
with his own people, leaders, and policy influencers back home.
Above all, the commander on the ground, as much as the high command that
sent him, needs the media in order to create a convincing narrative of events,
so convincing as to win over the will of the people for whom he has been
tasked to create a secure environment so that they may become citizens of a
state acceptable enough for him and his forces to leave, having achieved their
strategic aim. To this end the media must be seen as integral to the modern bat-
tlefield and strategy.
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In the last two decades, most of the military missions conducted by the industri-
alized democracies have been peace support operations (PSOs) of one variant
or another.1 With the exceptions of the Gulf War, the air campaign against Ser- 1
bia, and the initial phase of the Iraq War, military affairs have been dominated
by low-intensity intrastate conflicts and the increased frequency, scale, and
complexity of multinational operations designed to create stability and peace in
war-torn countries. However, despite this operational experience, PSOs have
been marginalized in the ‘‘Revolution in Military Affairs’’ (RMA) and ‘‘Trans-
formation’’ concepts, the two most influential ideas guiding recent develop-
ments in doctrine, force structure, and planning in the militaries of the
industrialized democracies (and especially in the United States). A disconnect
has developed between RMA and Transformation concepts, which emphasize
traditional war-fighting operations (which are rare) and the demands and
requirements of PSOs (which are common). The marginalization of PSOs in the
RMA and Transformation literature can be explained by the dominant influence
of U.S. perspectives in the intellectual and policy development of these con-
cepts. While the RMA and Transformation agendas do promise some improve-
ments in the political, organizational, and operational conduct of PSOs, both
concepts are inappropriate as foundations for the development of peace support
and stability operation capacities and may in fact be obstacles to improving
these capacities. As a result, there will be no wider ‘‘revolution’’ or ‘‘transfor-
mation’’ in the ability of the militaries of the industrialized democracies to con-
duct PSOs. Instead, ongoing and future peace support and stability operations
may have a greater impact on the RMA and Transformation agendas than the
other way around.
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In 2000, the use of the term ‘‘RMA’’ in intellectual and policy circles began
to be superseded by the term ‘‘military transformation’’ or just ‘‘transforma-
tion.’’ Although the two terms are often used synonymously, Transformation is
best conceived as a policy and organizational agenda flowing from the intellec-
tual logic of the RMA. In a report to the U.S. Congress, Ronald O’Rourke
observed, ‘‘[the] … RMA can be used to refer to a major change in the charac-
ter of warfare, while transformation can be used to refer to the process of
changing military weapons, concepts of operation, and organization in relation
to (or in anticipation of) an RMA.’’6 In the introduction to his edited volume 6
Transforming America’s Military, Hans Binnendijk suggested that ‘‘Military
transformation is the act of creating and harnessing a revolution in military
affairs.’’7 The U.S. defense establishment began calling for the transformation 7
of the U.S. military as early as 1997. The National Defense Panel report titled
Transforming Defense: National Security in the 21st Century recommended that
‘‘executing a transformation strategy for the U.S. military’’ was ‘‘the highest
priority’’ of the Department of Defense.8 The annual report of the Secretary of 8
Defense for 1998 declared that the Department had ‘‘embarked on a transfor-
mation strategy to meet the challenges of the 21st century.’’9 9
The George W. Bush Administration injected new energy into Transforma-
tion. Under the Bush Administration, Transformation might be more accurately
called ‘‘Rumsformation,’’ as the agenda was driven by Secretary of Defense
Donald Rumsfeld’s objective to change the way the U.S. military fought wars.
In a 2002 article in Foreign Affairs, Rumsfeld emphasized that transformation
was an ‘‘ongoing process’’ that required ‘‘new ways of thinking’’ and the ‘‘abil-
ity to adapt.’’ In Rumsfeld’s vision, an emphasis was placed on organizational
and doctrinal change. ‘‘All the high-tech weapons in the world,’’ he argued,
‘‘won’t transform the U.S. armed forces unless we also transform the way we
think, train, exercise, and fight.’’10 Rumsfeld placed a particular emphasis on 10
lighter, more mobile forces (particularly in the Army), joint operations between
the services, and the importance of Special Forces. Rumsfeld’s vision was not
universally popular within the U.S. military, as it threatened established views
on desirable force structure, weapons platforms, and service procurement prior-
ities. Undeterred, Rumsfeld was instrumental in the creation of the Office of
Force Transformation in the 2001 Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR).
In the U.S. military, a tree of operational concepts grew out of the RMA and
Transformation vision, often in the form of service or specialized command
vision statements. Rapid Decisive Operations (RDO) emerged out of U.S. Joint
Forces Command and was billed as the essence of military transformation:
‘‘The U.S. and its allies asymmetrically assault the adversary from directions
and in dimensions against which he has no counter, dictating the terms and
tempo of the operation. The adversary, suffering from the loss of coherence and
unable to achieve his objectives, chooses to cease actions that are against U.S.
interests or has his capabilities defeated.’’11 The RDO framework was similar 11
to the ‘‘shock and awe’’ concept that emerged in the mid-1990s and was later
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Changes in U.S. military policy, doctrine, and weapons technology have always
reverberated through the defense establishments of allied countries, and it has
been no different with the RMA and Transformation. Shortly after the emergence
of these concepts in U.S. defense circles, civilian and military defense planners in
other countries began to evaluate them in the context of their own security policies
and priorities. In a 2006 interview, the then Acting Director of the U.S. Office of
Force Transformation identified the United Kingdom, Australia, Sweden, and Sin-
gapore as the countries that had made the most effort on military transformation.22 22
Many NATO member states incorporated some components of the RMA and
Transformation into their defense organizations, doctrine, and force structure.
Many countries in Asia did the same, adopting the RMA and Transformation to
their own military requirements, budgetary constraints, technology level, geogra-
phy, and threat perceptions.23 In general, the approach of other countries to the 23
RMA and Transformation was more cautious and incremental, a function of budg-
etary constraints, policy traditions resistant to revolutionary rhetoric, and defense
strategies that do not envision a national requirement for the HIC war-fighting sce-
narios that dominate U.S. military thinking.
The implications of the RMA and Transformation for PSOs were examined
with more diligence outside the United States because for many U.S. allies, PSOs
were an important focus of civilian and military planning and the most frequent
context for the deployment of military personnel abroad. In particular, the empha-
sis in the RMA and Transformation on command and control (with the attendant
implications for interoperability) and the promise of improvements to force pro-
jection (with the attendant implications for expeditionary forces) attracted
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attention in allied countries. However, PSOs were not the primary reason why
allied countries adopted elements of the RMA and Transformation agendas. A pri-
mary motive was the retention of first-rate war-fighting capabilities. The U.K.
Strategic Defense Review (SDR) of 1998 reflected this line of thought, identifying
the United Kingdom as ‘‘… a leading member of the international community.’’24 24
The 2000 Australian White Paper on defense had a section devoted to RMA tech-
nologies, which were seen as vital to maintaining Australia’s ‘‘capability edge.’’25 25
The Australian Defense Force moved to implement Network Centric Warfare con-
cepts, with an emphasis on enhancing war-fighting capability.26 In France, the 26
RMA was viewed with considerable ambivalence, not least because it was a U.S.
concept. However, the RMA was viewed at least in part through the prism of
defining France as a great power.27 27
Another primary motive for adopting the RMA as a conceptual framework
was the need to remain an effective ally and contributor to U.S.-led alliances
and coalitions. Interoperability with the U.S. military became a watchword, as
the political implications of a technological gap between one’s own military
forces and those of the United States became evident. This theme was a promi-
nent component of the United Kingdom’s SDR, which posed the question,
‘‘How do we and our allies retain interoperability with U.S. forces given the
radical changes they envisage?’’28 The 2003 U.K. White Paper stressed the im- 28
portance of remaining interoperable with the United States ‘‘to secure an effec-
tive place in the political and military decision-making processes.’’29 In 1998, 29
the Liberal Party of Australia released an election platform document for
defense which identified the importance of the RMA and the need to embrace it
in order to ‘‘… remain a highly valued ally of the United States.’’30 In Canada, 30
interoperability with the U.S. was identified as a key concern in several defense
planning documents.31 Although advances in interoperability were generally 31
regarded as beneficial to PSOs, the central focus of such efforts was the ability
to ‘‘plug and play’’ with the U.S. military.
The surge in troop demands for peace operations placed a premium on expedi-
tionary capabilities. The RMA and Transformation concepts, already heavily per-
meated with an expeditionary consciousness given their origins in the U.S.,
provided a ready model for developing mobile, highly deployable, professional-
ized forces capable of multilateral operations overseas. Considerable emphasis
was placed on expeditionary capacities in the United Kingdom’s SDR and Aus-
tralia’s 2000 White Paper. The 2003 U.K. White Paper emphasized the move to-
ward ‘‘rapidly deployable’’ forces.32 Canada’s Defence Plan 2001 guidance 32
document identified the strengthening of Canadian Forces’ ‘‘strategic mobility
capability’’ as a priority.33 The Swedish armed forces are undergoing major trans- 33
formation towards a ‘‘Network-Based Defense’’ concept, largely in recognition of
a shift in the Swedish military’s focus from territorial defense to international
operations. While much of this discussion emphasized war-fighting scenarios, the
promise of enhanced expeditionary capabilities was directly connected to develop-
ing national capacities to carry out peace support and stability operations.
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NATO has served as the most important collective instrument for spreading
the RMA and Transformation agendas. NATO has undergone its own process
of adaptation and reform since the end of the Cold War, evolving from an
instrument of collective defense to an instrument of power projection. This evo-
lution began at the Rome Summit of 1991 when NATO adopted a new strategic
concept that established peacekeeping and crisis management as a new role for
the Alliance. However, the mid to late 1990s saw a widening gap emerge
between the capabilities of the U.S. military and the rest of the Alliance. The
extent of the capability gap was revealed by NATO operations in Bosnia and
Kosovo and the air campaign against Serbia. A combination of U.S. pressure
and a growing awareness of the negative political implications of the capability
gap for Alliance cohesion provided the energy for the incorporation of RMA
and Transformation principles into NATO planning. This led to the creation of
the Defense Capabilities Initiative (DCI) at the Washington Summit in April
1999. However, only a few years later, the DCI looked largely moribund.
NATO transformation took on a new urgency in 2002 when Rumsfeld suggested
(some would say threatened) that the United States would withdraw from NATO if
the Alliance did not transform itself.34 At the 2002 summit in Prague, member states 34
approved the Prague Capabilities Commitments (PCC), resolving to transform
NATO’s forces to increase their combat effectiveness and interoperability and to shift
planning from threat-based to capabilities-based and effects-based analysis.35 It was 35
understood that not all NATO states would attain the level of network-centric warfare
standards, but instead the Alliance as a whole would work toward ‘‘network-enabled
warfare.’’36 The Alliance also agreed to establish a NATO Response Force (NRF) that 36
would provide an effective rapid reaction capability for the Alliance and serve as the
model for incorporating transformation concepts into NATO’s force structure.37 Not 37
coincidentally, the NRF was first proposed by Donald Rumsfeld in 2002. The Alli-
ance also agreed to reform its command structure, establishing Allied Command
Operations (ACO) and Allied Command Transformation (ACT). ACT is NATO’s
‘‘forcing agent’’ for the development of new strategic concepts, an Effects-Based
Approach to Operations (EBAO), force planning, capability requirements, and train-
ing.38 The physical location of ACT has not escaped notice. As Helga Haftendoorn 38
has pointed out, the co-location of ACT with the U.S. Joint Forces Command at Nor-
folk, Virginia gives the United States a considerable influence over the alliance trans-
formation.39 Transformation is now fully a part of the NATO agenda, a fact 39
confirmed at the Riga Summit in November 2006.40 However, as an ACT document 40
points out, ‘‘The unique challenge for NATO’s transformation is the attempting of
this ‘revolution’ in an Alliance of 26 sovereign nations.’’41 41
The relative neglect of PSOs in the RMA and Transformation agendas has been
revisited in light of the operational experience in Afghanistan and Iraq, where
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‘‘theory has clashed with reality.’’42 In the wake of U.S.-led interventions, sta- 42
bility operations took on a new urgency as swift and successful military cam-
paigns were followed by interminable efforts to establish security and order.
This urgency has led to efforts to fill a doctrinal and capability gap between the
war-fighting mission and the ultimate political objective of a long-term peace.
Peace support and stability missions are seen as the means to fill this gap, and
this has increased interest in PSOs, counterinsurgency, and state-building. In
Iraq in particular, the U.S. military failed to respond effectively to lawless con-
ditions, the collapse of institutions of governance, the impact of a destroyed
national infrastructure, and attacks by insurgents. Some of this was due to
insufficient numbers of personnel, but there was also an evident lack of prepara-
tion, training, and resources for post-conflict operations. As British Brigadier
Nigel Aylwin-Foster observed, ‘‘… the U.S. Army has developed over time a
singular focus on conventional warfare, of a particularly swift and violent style,
which left it ill-suited to the kind of operation it encountered as soon as conven-
tional warfare ceased to be the primary focus in [Operation Iraqi Freedom].’’43 43
The realization that asymmetric warfare advantages lay with America’s
opponents in counterinsurgency and stability operations led to a reactive scram-
ble in intellectual and policy circles in the United States. In 2003, the U.S.
Army Peacekeeping Institute was renamed the U.S. Army Peacekeeping and
Stability Operations Institute as a center of excellence for mastering stability,
security, transition, and reconstruction (SSTR) and peace operations. Two stud-
ies by the Defense Science Board in 2004 and 2005 emphasized the need for
the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) and other U.S. government departments
to devote more energy and resources to carrying out stability operations. The
2005 report explicitly called for a ‘‘transformation’’ to establish stability opera-
tions on par with combat operations.44 In a 2005 DoD directive, the importance 44
of stability operations was highlighted: ‘‘Stability operations are a core U.S.
military mission that the Department of Defense shall be prepared to conduct
and support. They shall be given priority comparable to combat operations and
be explicitly addressed and integrated across all DoD activities including doc-
trine, organizations, training, education, exercises, materiel, leadership, person-
nel, facilities, and planning.’’45 The 2006 QDR recognized the need for U.S. 45
forces to prepare for a long war against global terrorism by ‘‘Giving greater em-
phasis to the war on terror and irregular warfare activities including long dura-
tion unconventional warfare, counterterrorism, counterinsurgency, and military
support for stabilization and reconstruction efforts.’’46 46
It remains to be seen whether these conceptual initiatives will be translated
into practical changes in the doctrinal and training emphasis of the U.S. mili-
tary. While more attention is being directed toward peace support and stability
missions in general and counterinsurgency operations in particular, there have
been no systematic studies of the relationship between Transformation and
PSOs to date. For other countries, the operational experience in Iraq and Af-
ghanistan has been less jarring, largely because of a longer and more extensive
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In the period in which the RMA was conceptualized, peacekeeping was under-
going its own revolution or transformation. The emergence of intrastate conflicts
in regional hotspots across the globe, especially in ‘‘failed’’ or ‘‘collapsed’’ states
such as Somalia, Yugoslavia, Cambodia, Rwanda, and Haiti, provoked ambitious
efforts to use peacekeeping as an instrument to stop civil wars and respond to hu-
manitarian crises.47 There was a dramatic increase in the number of U.N. and 47
U.N.-sanctioned peacekeeping operations through the 1990s. While ‘‘traditional’’
interstate peacekeeping missions were still established (between Iraq and Kuwait
and between Ethiopia and Eritrea, for example) most of the post-Cold War
‘‘second generation’’ intrastate peacekeeping missions were qualitatively different
in scope.48 They were frequently deployed into conflict zones where there was no 48
peace to keep. Operationally, rather than conducting interpositionary functions
such as patrolling a ceasefire line, missions were tasked with establishing a safe
and secure environment and facilitating humanitarian relief efforts. Many mis-
sions were invoked under Chapter VII of the U.N. Charter, giving participants a
broader mandate to use force against aggressors and ‘‘spoilers’’ (parties opposed
to peace). The United Nations also authorized regional organizations to lead some
missions (such as NATO in the Balkans and the Economic Community Of West
African States [ECOWAS] in Liberia).
The objective of PSO missions is the creation and consolidation of social
order, the prerequisite for the peace-building and reconstruction efforts neces-
sary for long-term development and a sustainable peace. C. Richard Nelson
defines stabilization operations and reconstruction efforts as ‘‘a process to
achieve a locally led and sustainable peace in a dangerous environment.’’49 49
This objective is achieved only partially through the application of military
force. For the most part, the instruments of peace support and stability missions
are political, not military. From these objectives flow a multitude of tasks char-
acteristic of most, though not all, PSOs. These tasks include: the monitoring
and supervision of ceasefire lines, safe zones, weapons cantonment sites, and
military formations; the maintenance (or supporting the maintenance) of civil
order; sanctions enforcement, demobilization, disarmament, and reintegration
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Although the assumptions underlying the RMA and Transformation are unsuit-
able as a foundation for the future development of PSO doctrine and capacity,
to what extent do the RMA and Transformation agendas promise some
improvement in PSO capabilities? Historical and contemporary PSOs have
faced a set of challenges at the political, organizational, and operational levels.
An analysis of these challenges in light of the RMA and Transformation agen-
das suggests that the ability to conduct PSOs might be improved by some of
the RMA- and Transformation-related changes in the military capacities of the
industrialized democracies. However, these positive possibilities must be
weighed against the larger conceptual gulf that exists between the RMA and
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Transformation assumptions and the nature of PSOs. On balance, the RMA and
Transformation agendas are likely to harm, rather than help, efforts to increase
the ability of armed forces to conduct PSOs more effectively.
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improve the ability of a foreign presence to maintain the order and stability
required for the success of state-building, nation-building, and peace-building.
However, military capabilities cannot provide electoral assistance, contribute to
police training, or revitalize local economies. Reconstruction efforts, on which
the success of a mission ultimately depends, are primarily political, social, and
economic endeavors, and the RMA and Transformation agenda is therefore of
little relevance to this crucial aspect of PSOs.
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their contingents has meant that certain personnel will participate in certain
operations, tasks, or initiatives only with the expressed approval of their gov-
ernments. In Afghanistan, NATO’s International Security Assistance Force
(ISAF) mission has struggled with national caveats that restrict the movement
of NATO forces deployed in the north and the west (relatively stable parts of
the country) to the south, where the insurgency is most active and where addi-
tional troops are most needed. While RMA and Transformation initiatives may
have increased the ability of NATO contingents to operate effectively together
in the field, they have not removed the political obstacle of national caveats.
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inclusion in subsequent RMA and transformation thinking does not mean that
the military forces of any country will be adequately trained or prepared for
peace support and stability missions, or that the RMA and Transformation con-
cepts will be systematically adjusted to account for such operations.
Peace-building and reconstruction. The long-term goal of most peace sup-
port and stability operations is a long-term peace. The national reconstruction
and peace-building effort required to achieve this objective is primarily a politi-
cal, social, and economic endeavor. It is an axiom among senior Canadian offi-
cials in Afghanistan that there can be no development without security and no
security without development. While RMA and Transformation weapons and
techniques may improve the ability of a foreign presence to maintain the order
and stability required for the success of reconstruction and peace-building,
these capabilities cannot enhance the prospects for successful elections, contrib-
ute to security sector and judicial reform, or revitalize the economy. Hans Bin-
nendijk and Richard Kugler have suggested the establishment of a NATO
Stabilization and Reconstruction Force alongside the NRF.68 In 2005, a pro- 68
posal was floated arguing for the creation of a Stabilization and Reconstruction
Joint Command, a military organization capable of ‘‘filling the gap’’ between
the end of major combat operations and onset of nation-building efforts by ci-
vilian agencies.69 Whether these or other initiatives come to pass, the RMA or 69
Transformation concepts will not play a significant role in the development of
post-conflict reconstruction or state-building capacities.
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100 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
disgust at being asked to carry out missions outside the traditional war-fighting
rubric combine to create a larger political effort to avoid engagement in such
contingencies in the future. This would be unfortunate. An ‘‘Iraq Syndrome’’
era of U.S. military isolation from peace support and stability operations will
only serve to reinforce the unfortunate intellectual dominance of HIC in U.S.
strategic thought and doctrine.
The RMA and Transformation will have a positive impact on the ability of
the militaries of the industrialized democracies to conduct certain specific
aspects of peace support and stability operations, particularly in the areas of
expeditionary capacity, interoperability, and surveillance technologies. How-
ever, the RMA and Transformation are not suitable conceptual or policy foun-
dations for developing PSO capabilities or doctrine. While the RMA and
Transformation remain largely focused on securing battlefield superiority, the
military component of PSOs remains defined by political and social factors, not
military-technical ones. As a result, the RMA and Transformation have had a
negative impact on the intellectual, policy, and operational development of
PSO doctrine and capacities. In the future, the RMA and Transformation will
not have a revolutionary or transformative impact on peace support or stability
operations. In fact, the opposite is more likely: peace support and stability oper-
ations of the kind encountered in the troubled campaigns in Iraq and Afghani-
stan will have more of an impact on the RMA and Transformation agendas
than the other way around. However, this impact is likely to be felt primarily in
the form of a renewed emphasis on counterinsurgency operations, with the
effect of continuing the marginalization of PSOs.
Since the first peacekeeping missions early in the Cold War and through the
‘‘second generation’’ peacekeeping experience of the 1990s, the armed forces of
the industrialized democracies have acquired an ever increasing body of experi-
ence, knowledge, and capacity to conduct PSOs. Repeatedly called upon to take
part in PSOs, military personnel continue to demonstrate that they are capable
of carrying out such missions. If the armed forces of the industrialized democra-
cies are to improve their capacity to carry out PSOs, there must be a systematic
effort to mainstream peace support and stability missions into doctrine, training,
and force structure. This is especially true in the United States, where the mar-
ginalization of PSOs has been most evident. Mainstreaming PSOs in the civilian
and military defense community in the United States (and other countries) will
require champions at the highest levels of government and the armed forces. It
remains to be seen whether such champions will emerge in the aftermath of the
Afghanistan and Iraq experiences. This is not an argument for the exclusion or
marginalization of preparations for high-intensity, high-technology warfare.
Instead, it is an appeal for balance in military planning and preparation, a bal-
ance that is sorely needed given the frequency and significance of peace support
contingencies, especially since the end of the Cold War. A true transformation
agenda for the future should position PSOs on an equal footing with traditional
high-intensity war-fighting in civilian and military planning.
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David Last1
The talk of revolution and transformation in military circles after the end of the
Cold War got fresh impetus with 9/11 and the messy campaigns of America’s
global war on terror.2 Has the Revolution in Military Affairs (RMA) contrib- 2
uted to thinking about peace and stability? My yardstick for success is the man-
tra of professional officers: the management of violence and, in particular, the
preservation of peace, order, and good government at home and abroad. When
military doctrine and practice are prepared for that task, they will have been
appropriately transformed. To get there, we have to put aside technological
panaceas and distractions and get back to basics. Violence does not occur in a
social vacuum. To deal with it, we must focus on society, not technology.
I begin by considering RMA and counterinsurgency writing. Because litera-
ture of the late twentieth century is set against a background of globalization
and neo-liberal expansion, like that of the late nineteenth, I explore the idea of
global civil war and conclude that recent thinking is flawed in isolating vio-
lence from its context. This is not new, but follows four threads running
through security thinking. Getting back to basics, we need a model for the
social context of violence, and I find this in development theory and World
Bank studies. This leads to deductions about globalization, urbanization, and
the resurgence of primitive warfare, three trends with which security transfor-
mation must come to terms. I conclude with six seeds for the transformation of
military capacity to stabilize and manage violence. Transformation starts with
an understanding of the social context of violence, working with social forces
for cohesion, not seeking out enemies to punch into submission.
The terms in use can be barriers to understanding. My understanding of the
RMA is shaped by official U.S. doctrine, particularly Joint Vision 2010 and
Joint Vision 2020, in which information dominance combines with technological
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102 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
RMA WRITING
The RMA has its parents in the birth of the U.S. Air Force and military indus-
trial complex, the strategic air campaigns of the Second World War, and Dou-
het’s atavistic fantasies of destruction with impunity which spawned them.3 3
The air force-centric RMA has made a generally self-serving and dysfunctional
contribution to the management of violence.
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104 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
Israeli Defense Forces to deal with wars of disruption. Rochlin uses RMA ideas
to explain the relative success of rebels in Columbia and establishment forces
in Mexico. What makes these authors’ works useful is that they go beyond
technology to consider its interaction with broader patterns of society, some-
thing that so little RMA literature does.
On the whole, then, RMA literature is technology-centric, originates over-
whelmingly in the United States, and fails to acknowledge changing patterns of
conflict, or political-economic-social correlates of conflict.10 A small number 10
of RMA authors link technology to its social context, but faced with the realities
of modern war, the vaunted revolution in military affairs can be seen for what it
might have been at its outset: a marketing ploy for the military-industrial com-
plex. Has it contributed anything? Ideas about integrated intelligence, surveil-
lance and target acquisition, global communications, continuous over-watch,
and (more recently) reach-back to specialized knowledge are relevant to the
problems of contemporary warfare. But the whiz-bang three-dimensional artists’
renditions of missile defenses and precision aerial attacks do not add much
to the debate; they are a distraction from the important variables in managing
violence.
The Literature on small wars has clear parents in post—Second World War
decolonization and the containment of communism, and grandparents in late
nineteenth- and early twentieth-century colonization and imperial policing.
Small wars are not universally fought by expeditionary armies on foreign soil,
but that has usually been the case for Western armies, with Irish and Indian
wars the notable exceptions (unless you conceive of colonists as foreigners fol-
lowing expeditionary armies). Both British and American doctrine, interest-
ingly, consider small wars, counterinsurgency, and peacekeeping as similar
types of conflict, occurring within a framework of rule of law and political con-
straints. Peacekeeping has generally permitted a veto by the parties to the con-
flict and requires their consent to a status of forces agreement.
A RAND Corporation collection of 2001 marks something of an intersection
between counterinsurgency (COIN) and RMA thinking. Networks and Netwars
includes multiple references to Internet mobilization, hacking, and cyberwar,
but is really focused on the social dynamics of networks and gangs that use this
new technology.11 The footnotes are mainly secondary sources from police 11
journals and news stories of contemporary mayhem, and there is no evidence of
the research literature on the sociology of violence.12 The four-decade legacy 12
of empirical studies of group violence and social behavior is not in evidence.
The absence of any work on the sociology of gangs is an obvious gap. In their
intuitive insights and creative categorizations, the authors seem to replicate
some of the work on gangs and insurgency done by Kitson in the 1970s, based
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The enormity of the task, and the disorganized grab-bag of projects, illustrates
that not much thought has gone into techniques for combining political, eco-
nomic, and social strategies; the remaining sixty pages disappoint. Hammes’
sources are better than Arquilla’s and Ronfeldt’s, but there is still a preponder-
ance of secondary military thinking and no evidence of empirical social sci-
ence. Feirabend, Organski, Midlarsky, Gurr, Azar, Rummel, Singer, and other
classics with hard data about the political, economic, and social correlates of vi-
olence appear to have gone unread.
Fishel and Manwaring have digested the social science literature and applied
it to their thinking about military doctrine, though much does not appear
directly in the footnotes to Uncomfortable Wars Revisited.19 Manwaring and 19
Fishel worked in General Max Thurman’s Small Wars Operational Research
Directorate (SWORD) of U.S. Southern Command in the early 1980s, looking
for insights into the correlates of success in counterinsurgency, to be applied to
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106 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
ongoing wars in Central and South America. The seven dimensions of the
SWORD model form an integrated whole, but legitimacy keeps turning up as
most important. In the afterword to this volume, Ambassador Ed Corr notes,
‘‘Legitimacy is statistically the most important dimension of the paradigm. In
the literature derived from the SWORD Model, the emphasis is on populace-
based governance as a means to legitimacy.’’20 But this is not the same as 20
insisting on Western-style democracy. It does mean the primacy of the political,
integrated with economic and social approaches.
On the primacy of the political, there is remarkable consensus, though the
nature of the political and its relationship with other factors are not articulated.
Returning to the thinking and practice of the late nineteenth and early twentieth
centuries, we can see where the scope for development is and we can deduce
why it has not occurred.
As colonial governors of the 1890s, the French soldiers Gallieni and Lyautey
were responsible not only for the security and policing of colonial territory, but
also for its economic integration with France and for an overarching ‘‘civilizing
mission,’’ which encompassed health, education, and welfare (albeit in pater-
nalistic colonial style). Gallieni adapted colonial policing to the indigenous po-
litical structures of French Indochina. Learning from him, Lyautey abandoned
Bugeaud’s punitive practice of the razzia in French North Africa and focused
instead on developing a middle class with values and interests congruent with
those of the colonialists.21 Similarly, in recovering from the Boer War, Lord 21
Milner’s ‘‘kindergarten’’ of young Oxford graduates developed constitutional
frameworks, rules for local governance, tax laws, and police policies, making
difficult compromises with recalcitrant Boers in the interests of stability.22 22
Baden-Powell was instrumental in developing the South African Police, a com-
promise between early twentieth-century liberal commonwealth values and an
acknowledgement of the racial insecurity of the Boers.23 Callwell was in the 23
thick of this evolution as he wrote his seminal book, Small Wars, Their Princi-
ples and Practice,24 but it is as illuminating for what it omits as for what it 24
includes. Baden-Powell gets not a mention for his policing efforts, only for his
cavalry exploits. The flying columns developed by Bugeaud and abandoned by
Lyautey, are lionized by Callwell as the last word in strategy directed against
guerrilla antagonists, without reference to Lyautey’s 1900 description of their
limitations if not accompanied by stabilizing administrative bases.25 The 25
expanding tache d’huile (oil spot) of peace and stability under effective gover-
nance gets no mention. Callwell’s Small Wars is about the tactics of fighting,
not the practice of nation building or stabilization; Baden-Powell is of interest
while riding and shooting, but not when registering and resettling.
This isolation of intellectual effort was one of the most pernicious character-
istics of early writing about small wars and continued as the twentieth century
progressed. French military thinking on stabilization was eclipsed by obsession
with the big wars of Europe, and literature in the English-speaking world
became increasingly specialized, as ‘‘practical’’ soldiers raised on military
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history overlooked social science research and the context of the wars they
studied at a tactical level. This vertical isolation of the military tactics of coun-
terinsurgency from politics, economics, and society is matched by a horizontal
divide, which continues to separate the tactics of imperial wars from their stra-
tegic context.26 26
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108 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
RMA literature is oblivious to political, economic, and social factors. The small
wars and counterinsurgency literature avows their primacy in managing insur-
gencies or civil wars but their military focus detracts. This brings us to the gaps
in thinking that make it difficult to deal with protracted social violence. They
are gaps in knowledge about the political economy and sociology of violence,
areas that have long been addressed in the academic community but that rarely
appear in the footnotes of military studies, and which seldom inform doctrine
or practice, even when the best educated and best intentioned of military lead-
ers are confronted with the most intractable of problems. So we have to ask,
how did we paint ourselves into this corner?
The problem of managing violence has long roots. I suggest that there are four
continuous threads of thinking about peace and violence that might be traced as
far back as the 1592 Wappenhandlungenbuch.35 The first thread is war-fighting 35
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doctrine: how to use military force effectively, often written with political ends
in mind, although the author’s thoughts were usually closer to the battlefield
than the King’s chambers. Clausewitz, Jomini, Schlichting, Von Schlieffen,
Moltke, Suvorov, and the post-Dupuy evolution of air-land battle are all in this
tradition.36 A culminating point for this tradition was the technologically driven 36
doctrinal revolution of air-land battle, which made American-led military
power effectively invincible, but also inevitably disconnected from politics, of
which war is a continuation. RMA thinking is in this tradition.
The second thread emerges with revolutionary ideas, which spur men to vio-
lence, including major religious movements like the expansion of Islam, the
reformation, counter-reformation, and totalitarian ideologies. Mohammed,
Luther, Marx and Engels, Lenin, Mao, Sanguinetti, and Debray are examples of
thinkers in this tradition. While it is mainly military writers addressing the first
theme, it is mainly ideologues and philosophers writing on the second. Justifica-
tions for violence in support of change often originate with weakness rather
than power, so these ideas have often been associated with innovations by the
weak in their revolutionary struggles, propaganda of the deed, people’s war,
urban guerrillas, and so on.
The third thread was largely a response to the effects of the second, and
traces the evolution of counterinsurgency and police thinking. Like the first
thread, this field tends to be dominated by practical men, often in uniform: Gal-
lieni, Lyautey, and Calwell in the nineteenth century, Gwynne, Galula, Trinqu-
ier, and Kitson in the twentieth. All these helped to catalogue the practical
lessons of fighting insurgencies or policing empires, asking the question, ‘‘What
do we do that works?’’ A common theme alluded to above is that these writers
are more concerned with symptoms than with causes. A culminating point for
this line of thinking was the SWORD project sponsored by General Max Thur-
man of the U.S. Southern Command in the 1980s and headed by Manwaring. It
is a culminating point because the study brings together understanding of the
political, economic, and social elements of insurgency and marks legitimacy as
the central variable. But it cannot offer more insight without a better model of
specific insurgencies, and here Manwaring and the SWORD project were
impaired by their Delphic approach, which relied on respondents who had
focused primarily on the military aspects of counterinsurgency struggles.
This brings me to the fourth thread. If the first is about winning wars, the
second about revolution, and the third about preserving order, then the fourth
thread might be described as the management of change to minimize violence.
It goes beyond ‘‘keeping the peace,’’ just as revolutionary theory goes beyond
insurgency and terrorism. Grotius and Kant might be its progenitors, and the
minds in the background of the Westphalian treaties might be among its early
practitioners.37 The Congress of Vienna, the Congress of Berlin, and the Treaty 37
of Versailles followed to consolidate the epistemic community of European di-
plomacy,38 punctuated by internal and imperial policing operations like the 38
four-power intervention in Crete from 1896 to1908.39 The League of Nations 39
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110 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
gave rise to Peace Observation and transition missions in the 1920s,40 and John 40
Maynard Keynes’ work on the economic causes and consequences of war influ-
enced the framers of the U.N. Charter, so that it was established with both a Se-
curity Council for political and military matters and a General Assembly and
other organs and agencies to address economic and social problems, hoping to
avoid a recurrence of the proximate causes of the First World War.41 41
Like the pre-Dupuy doctrine writers and counterinsurgency writing, early
thinking about peacekeeping was largely a matter of practical soldiers observ-
ing and recording successful practice. Notwithstanding their common origin in
1956, the soldiers of early peacekeeping forces do not show any evidence of
reading the Journal of Conflict Resolution. E. L. M. Burns, Indar Rikhye, and
Michael Harbottle described the military dimension of peacekeeping; Ralph
Bunche, Dag Hammarskjold, and Lester Pearson pioneered its diplomatic side;
and the early thinkers of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Devel-
opment set out evolving theories of economic development against the back-
ground of East-West Cold War competition.42 42
While many recent authors acknowledge the primacy of the political, they seem
incapable of getting beyond the military factors with which they are familiar. For
all the insight in Smith’s Utility of Force, it tells us nothing of the effects of force
on social cohesion, nor of the means for achieving the peace and order he avows
to be the object of ‘‘war amongst the people.’’ To understand the resilience of
social capital in the context of violence, the best work comes from the World
Bank. Nat Coletta and Michelle Cullen of the World Bank’s Center for Conflict
Prevention and Post-conflict Reconstruction drew on sociology and anthropology
to compare the resilience to violence of communities in Cambodia, Rwanda, and
Guatemala, including the sorts of social relations during and after protracted social
conflict that permit or impede peaceful coexistence.43 This is a counterinsurgency 43
goldmine ignored by the military community; it does not prescribe military action,
yet it addresses precisely the factors necessary to rebuild peaceful communities af-
ter conflict. Social capital affects social cohesion. Social cohesion refers to the ab-
sence of latent conflict (for example along racial, class, or ethnic lines), and to the
presence of strong social bonds measured by levels of trust, norms of reciprocity,
institutions to bridge differences (civil society), and institutions to resolve conflict
(democracy, judiciary, independent media, entrenched rights, and safeguards for
groups and individuals). Figure 6.1 illustrates the components of the concept
(arrows added to indicate inter-connection).
Part of the criticism of the concept arises in development circles because the
World Bank espouses it, but it has also been stretched to be too all encompass-
ing, and begins to lose its utility.44 Woolcock’s refinement is to distinguish ver- 44
tical and horizontal social capital, and Colletta and Cullen build on this. It
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social cohesion
absence of latent presence of social
conflicts bonds and institutions
Figure 6.1. Social capital and social cohesion. Derived from Violent Conflict and
the Transformation of Social Capital: Lessons from Cambodia, Rwanda, Guatemala, and
Somalia (Washington, DC: The World Bank, 2000).
helps them to describe the role of civil society in moving from low social cohe-
sion and fragmented states prone to violence towards high social cohesion and
functional societies that have the capacity to manage conflict without resorting
to violence.
Inequality and exclusion do not, by themselves, lead to violence. The risk of
violence is increased when these factors are exacerbated by manipulation or
social fragmentation. Social capital can be perverted to undermine social cohe-
sion and foster violence for the gain of one group at the expense of another,
and the real contribution of the World Bank studies has been to describe the
forms of social capital that contribute to peace and stability rather than exclu-
sion and violence. Figure 6.2 reproduces Colletta and Cullen’s understanding of
vertical and horizontal social capital, with three inserted deductions (shaded).
For anyone seeking a transformation of military capacity to stabilize and man-
age violence, the concepts of social cohesion and social capital are more useful
than a concentration on technology. Defining social capital in the context of a con-
flict allows measurement of the effects of violence and evaluation of interventions
to stabilize a society. Indicators like community events, informal networks, village
leadership, and links with external agents were used in the studies of Cambodia.
Proxies for social capital in Rwanda included trust of neighbors, intermarriage,
mechanisms for information exchange, and mutual cooperation. In Somalia and
Guatemala, social responsibility indicators included the diversification of civil
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112 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
Figure 6.2. Violence and social cohesion. Adapted from Violent Conflict and the
Transformation of Social Capital: Lessons from Cambodia, Rwanda, Guatemala, and
Somalia (Washington, DC: The World Bank, 2000).
society organizations and the quality of collective actors, and social initiative indi-
cators included material factors like mail and phone service, financial services,
and qualifications of public employees.45 Using indicators like these, we have a 45
much clearer picture of the correlates of violent conflict and resistance to it.
We now need to revisit some themes to help frame the combination of theories and
practical insights that will be useful for the future. These three themes point to areas
that are not well-developed in current military thinking. The themes are globaliza-
tion, urbanization, and the return of primitive warfare. What binds these three
themes together is the failure of military thinking to seek and incorporate necessary
social science expertise, except in the most rudimentary and ad hoc ways.
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capacity of states to establish markets and build national cohesion, but it offers
new sources of collective identity that can obviate anachronistic conflict. When
Greek- and Turkish-Cypriots are all European citizens with common European
institutions, there are new ways of managing the divided island’s conflicts.
Non-state global actors like non-governmental organizations (NGOs) and
transnational corporations can bring employment and wealth and cultural
change that may compensate for the incapacity of weak groups in a globalizing
economy.
Globalization is the restructuring of the world as a whole, ‘‘… a social proc-
ess in which the constraints of geography on social and cultural arrangements
recede and in which people are becoming increasingly aware that they are
receding.’’46 The world systems perspective describes this as a function of the 46
expansion and deepening of a global capitalist economy,47 but the impact that 47
generates conflict is social and cultural. If globalization is related to widely dis-
persed resistance and unrest (a global civil war), then neo-liberal prescriptions
for generating prosperity are part of the problem. Divorced from mechanisms
to mitigate market failures, and combined with military ventures that enforce
Western access and protect Western interests, they are part of the problem. This
suggests two components to a counterinsurgency or stabilization strategy. The
first entails exogenous mechanisms to manage the threat of exploitation. The
second entails support to local culture as an antidote to the alienation of global
pressures.
Whether it is a jihad against godless Western culture or a revolution against
capitalism, ‘‘global civil war’’ is an attractive rallying cry but a dysfunctional
strategy for oppressed and marginalized groups. By militarizing what are essen-
tially social and economic problems, it tends to bring precisely the wrong
resources to bear, deterring investment and integration when these might con-
tribute to stability, prosperity, and human security. We should consider both the
individual and collective implications of this. Shimoni and Bergmann indicate
that multinational corporations provide an alternate source of identity for indi-
viduals. As local managers start to work for corporations, they retain their core
culture, but also develop hybrid, multinational, cultural attributes, which
enhance communication within the organization and enrich the lives of the indi-
vidual managers.48 48
The collectivist criticism is that although globalization may benefit some
individuals, global penetration swamps and destroys local culture, reduces
autonomy, and usually entails extractive industries and environmental damage,
which benefit the powerful few at the expense of the poor majority. This criti-
cism is especially germane in weak states, conflict zones, or peripheral regions
with few institutions to confront corporate action. Corporations are bigger,
richer, and better connected than many national governments, let alone sub-
national or local governments. Whether they deal directly,49 or through infor- 49
mal arrangements with the shadow economy,50 they are in a position to alter 50
the power structures and economies quickly and perhaps irrevocably.51 51
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114 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
Referring back to Figure 6.2, some argue that without global governance and
with weak international civil society, global markets simply reduce the capacity
of states to serve their populations.52 52
World Bank economists Gerson and Colletta suggest a framework for peace
building and reconstruction using the private sector, but argue, ‘‘Privatizing
peace must mean more than simply opening up channels for rapacious compa-
nies.’’ They suggest that just as aid NGOs should focus on sustainable liveli-
hoods rather than just saving lives, reconstruction efforts should build
employment and local economic capacity. They cite Ericsson Response, aimed
at putting cell-phone technology quickly into disaster areas, and building on it
to achieve a permanent communications infrastructure, which may be publicly
owned or regulated.53 They propose a Peace Transition Council (PTC) made up 53
of business leaders and NGOs, incorporated in the District of Columbia as a
non-profit corporation, and financed primarily from business contributions.54 54
Gerson and Colletta describe the PTC as a single organization with global
scope, seeking to use the forces of globalization for inclusion and development
in conflict zones and working with agencies like the United Nations and the
World Bank.55 The argument for centralized decision-making is that the global 55
economy takes expertise and resources to manage and wealth to mobilize.
A global PTC would open up markets and business opportunities in the wake
of conflict; however, to be useful, it would have to be a creature of the business
world. The balance envisioned by Gerson and Colletta would come from a
trusteeship role for the United Nations and the World Bank. Key roles for the
United Nations as ‘‘trustee-occupant’’ include establishing the legitimacy of
local authorities, clarifying property ownership rules (important to reverse sys-
tematic efforts to displace and disenfranchise a population), identify sources of
capital, and pick projects.56 Perhaps most importantly, one would expect the 56
U.N. ‘‘trustee-occupant’’ to have an oversight role to prevent exploitation by
‘‘rapacious companies.’’
Swiss researchers Wenger and Mockli follow Gerson and Colletta, suggest-
ing six roles for business.57 They argue that conflict prevention has foundered 57
because governments lack the will and NGOs lack the means, but hope to find
both in the private sector, under ‘‘tri-sector governance’’: public sector, private
sector, and civil society. Businesses can help both by engaging in their normal
lines of business and by transferring private sector knowledge and practices to
local actors. In the first category, business ventures may be commercial, semi-
commercial, or non-commercial. In the second, they can engage in funding, in-
kind support, and strategic philanthropy. Surprising in a book from academics
studying the security sector is the close reading of business literature: the most
important factor in private sector development is an enabling and competitive
business environment. This includes sound macroeconomic policies, low infla-
tion, fiscal stability, stable exchange rates, reliable market institutions, a legal
framework for commerce, secure ownership, enforcement mechanisms, and
means to promote transactions (such as banks, markets, and stock exchanges).
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Urbanization
Urbanization typically serves to break down traditional bonds and form new
social groupings, a process associated with growth and innovation, but also up-
heaval and violence.58 Both counterinsurgency and policing have evolved to 58
account for different behavior in urban and rural spaces.59 If globalization per- 59
mits economic partnerships and conflict-resistant social capital, urbanization
may permit renewed civil police more attuned to their own civil society.60 60
The new battleground for third-world insurgencies and small wars is a
sprawling landscape of low-rise slums and urban gangs with echoes in the
developed world.61 Individual radio communications and GPS tracking, real- 61
time satellite film, multi-spectrum imaging, and even instantaneous communi-
cation with distant translators or cultural interpreters are just some of the
technological solutions intended to make Canadian police in cities like Toronto
or American soldiers in cities like Najaf more effective. But the changing social
landscape of the city is not well understood even at home, and it is even less
well communicated to soldiers abroad. ‘‘Cities of peasants’’ and emerging ques-
tions of citizenship will determine how stable the cities of the future will be.62 62
Technology can help hunt bad guys, but it is less helpful in building safe neigh-
borhoods and stable communities, on which stabilization ultimately depends.
Many of the challenges of urban security are most evident at neighborhood
level.63 Police make deals with crime bosses to protect some zones, and ghettos 63
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116 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
become ‘‘no-go’’ areas for officials. Low police salaries invite police involve-
ment in gangland economies.64 Those who can afford it resort increasingly to 64
private security, and the urban landscape is marked by spatial segregation and a
lethal culture of armed police for hire, whose bosses and shareholders benefit
from rising violence; the private security sector in Sao Paulo is lucrative and
unregulated, blending the legitimate and illegal economies.65 There are other 65
cases, however, of well-regulated and unarmed private security companies pro-
viding employment and discipline for unskilled demobilized young men.66 The 66
availability of firearms correlates directly to levels of violence, and both side
arms and long arms tend to become concentrated in capital cities and power
centers after protracted social conflict.67 External regulation of security and 67
tight control on small arms is clearly part of the human security picture, but it
must be balanced by social development, which makes communities resilient to
violence.
We have some examples of successful experiments in urban social develop-
ment: the Haiti Transition Initiative included road works, water and sanitation,
electrification, marketplace development, youth sports, and socio-cultural activ-
ities, and involved a high proportion of youth at risk for criminal and gang
activities. U.N. Peacekeepers were permanently stationed near some of the proj-
ects and patrolled regularly near others to increase confidence in the security of
the projects.68 This supports bridging social capital at the microscopic level by 68
implicating international players because states are unable to provide the neces-
sary framework for vertical social capital (Figure 6.2).69 The jury is still out on 69
whether international organizations like the Municipal Alliance for Peace in the
Middle East (MAP) can sponsor inter-communal projects that serve the func-
tions of bridging horizontal social capital, if a state (Israel) and nascent state
(the Palestinian Authority) do not actively support them.70 70
Just as globalization permits new actors outside the state to contribute to, or
undermine, social capital and social cohesion, so urbanization creates new dy-
namics within the state to which managers of violence must adapt.
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The recent enthusiasm of the U.S. Department of Defense for ‘‘human terrain
teams’’ with anthropological knowledge is encouraging, but anthropology falls
short of describing all the political, economic, and social factors that produce
stability. Multidisciplinary teams need a prescriptive map to guide them. If the
map always points to Western-style liberal democracy and free markets open to
global economic pressures, then we might continue to be disappointed in our
interventions, but if we can temper capitalism’s effects with some social
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118 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
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thinking is more effective when it works with society (Lyautey) than against it
(Bugaud). Thinking about peaceful change is nugatory when it focuses on secu-
rity (buffer zone missions) but powerful when it builds new institutions (from
Westphalia to the United Nations). Ideas of mimesis, the mirroring of character-
istics, offer a path to combining these intellectual threads more fruitfully in the
future.
The concept of mimesis raises two further seeds for transformation—peace-
building insurgency and the metaphor of judo before pugilism—but mimesis
requires some explanation. In a powerful book about the role of emotions in
keeping society healthy, sociologist Metta Spencer explores some of the roles
of entertainment and popular culture.79 The effects of story telling (like that of 79
clerics or television) can be beneficial, harmful, or mixed, but story telling can-
not be abolished because it is the means of transmitting culture. It is particu-
larly powerful in transmitting values to the young, through imagery and
imitation. Rene Girard’s theory of mimetic desire explains how mimesis can
lead to conflict because we adopt the desires of others and become rivals for
the object of their desire: the popular girl, land, power, or wealth, for example.
Spencer’s insight is to link mimetic desire to empathy for the other, and relate
both to the existential, moral, and spiritual problem of finding meaning in our
lives and communities through popular culture.80 80
Spencer’s image of popular culture as a vehicle for fostering a healthy soci-
ety is one that should be mobilized to address shortfalls in social cohesion. The
image is a powerful one. We know that insurgencies, revolutions, and wars
amongst the people are above all battles of ideas. The Communist Manifesto is
a powerful story of oppression and resistance. Al Qaeda recruits with poetry
and polemics.81 The next generation of violent revolutionaries is already won 81
over by stories half-remembered from early childhood. So a genuine revolution
in the management of violence may depend more on purveyors of mass culture
than purveyors of mass destruction; mothers and kindergarten teachers are more
important than combat trainers, and literature and theology are more influential
than engineering and social sciences. An investment in mass culture to support
social cohesion, avoiding radio milles collines, is likely to pay bigger dividends
than a heavy military presence within a generation.
The fifth seed is the concept of a peace-building insurgency. Mimicking
some aspects of the strategy and tactics of the insurgent may help transform the
capacity of societies to manage insurgent violence. The first requirement is a
cause, which the established authority cannot espouse without losing its power.
A revolutionary insurgency may then follow two paths in its escalation to con-
trol of the state. The traditional pattern involves creating a party, forming a
united front, conducting guerrilla warfare, escalating to maneuver warfare, cul-
minating in a conventional campaign of attrition (or annihilation). This is a
struggle that can last many years. Galula offers an alternative, or bourgeois na-
tionalist short cut, which involves a rapid move from random terrorism to gain
publicity and stimulate a repressive overreaction to selective terrorism aimed at
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120 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
severing the links of the population to the established authority.82 Galula further 82
divides the insurgent strategy into two periods: a ‘‘cold revolutionary war’’ dur-
ing which activity is largely legal and non-violent, and a ‘‘hot revolutionary
war’’ during which it is openly illegal and violent.83 83
There is a peace-building analog to these patterns. The cause of peaceful
coexistence and incremental change is an alternative to revolutionary or libera-
tion ideology. The cadre organizational structure is easy to mimic, and the
shadow structures of subversive organizations within urban settings could be
turned around to serve other causes. This is what happens as communities begin
to emerge from protracted social conflicts; trusted guerrilla or insurgent leaders
assume positions of community leadership in civilian life. When one side seizes
municipal instruments of power (such as transport, housing, utilities, taxation,
and records), this signals continuation of the inter-communal conflict by other
means.84 But equally there are examples of collaboration across conflict lines, 84
such as the Municipal Alliance for Peace in the Middle East.
‘‘Hot revolutionary war’’ is inimical to peace building, but there may be useful
analogies. Galula and Kitson both point to the problem of mutual policing in a
revolutionary society; even when populations loathe the insurgents, they will carry
out their revolutionary duty to report infiltration out of fear of reprisals if they do
not.85 Insurgent and counter-insurgent forces alike can use reprisals, but Smith’s 85
insight is that the side that tells the best stories about them is likely to gain
more. This is where a peace insurgency has a significant advantage, not by out-
brutalizing the forces of violence but by out-publicizing them, and focusing partic-
ularly on stories that expose militants and bolster moderates. It might be a vain
hope that a peace-building insurgency could be completely passive. Activist Ward
Churchill has challenged the view that pacifism works, describing it as inevitably
favoring the status quo, and if status quo is the reign of violent militants, it may
take more than bloodless community-building to deal with spoilers.86 86
Finally, the sixth seed for transformation in the management of violence
goes below the community level to look at the dynamics of families and gender
relations in the development of social cohesion. Women, children, adolescents,
and men occupy different roles in families, particularly in raising the next gen-
eration. They join different groups and behave differently when they are in
groups. They respond differently to incentives and disincentives. Efforts to de-
velop both social responsibility (which has a primarily defensive function in
mitigating the costs of conflict) and social initiative (which presents opportuni-
ties for growth and expansion of conflict managing institutions) can be tailored
more effectively to meet the needs and expectations of particular parts of the
population, and to draw on the resources they embody in the community. This
is effectively moving with the social momentum of human and communal
needs rather than fighting against it and looking for enemies that frequently can
lay some claim to representing the needs of the community. Aristophanes’ play
Lysistrata captures some of the power that is wielded within family groups,
which might be mobilized in the interests of transforming conflict management.
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‘‘We do wrong, very wrong. Ah! Great gods! What lovely thighs she has!’’
A Laconian delegate, in Lysistrata
CONCLUSION
Having dispensed with the distractions of technology and the revolution in mili-
tary affairs, we can get back to basics: how do people behave? How are com-
munities built and preserved? How do we manage conflict in ways that are not
socially destructive? This sort of question will transform the way in which we
deal with violence. There is a lot of useful military thinking about small wars,
but the best of it adopts a catholic approach to security, including policing and
governance, and socio-economic development. An all-too-common characteris-
tic, however, is the isolation of military thinking and experience from social
science research about political and economic development and processes of
social change. Four threads of security thinking that have co-evolved with the
Western world have culminated in dead ends, because violence does not occur
in a social vacuum. Concepts like social capital help us to knit together ideas
about the management of violence, and lead to deductions about the role of
globalization, urbanization, and the resurgence of primitive warfare. From
these, six seeds for the transformation of counterinsurgency thinking are
extracted: surrender the leading military role, reject the preeminence of technol-
ogy, focus on social cohesion, use mass culture to transform society, mimic in-
surgency with peace-building tactics, and work with the cleavages of gender
and age within society to isolate and tame the militants.
More sophisticated tools to find and kill enemies will avail little if we do not
understand the society within which the violence occurs. Less counterinsur-
gency pugilism; more peace-building judo.
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Robert Egnell
INTRODUCTION
The conflicts of the new millennium seem ever more bewildering, complex, and
asymmetric. The starting point of this chapter is therefore the acknowledgement
of a transformation in strategic affairs, a changing strategic context in which the
most important and frequent operations involving Western armed forces will be
different forms of complex peace support operations. This means a reversal of
interest from traditional large-scale warfare between states to different forms of
small wars.2 One of the main features of these conflicts is the far-reaching and 2
complicated aims of operations, such as state and institutions building, imposed
democratization, economic development, and respect for human rights. This
means that Western armed forces will be operating in contexts often involving a
combination of counterinsurgency, post-conflict reconstruction, humanitarian
assistance, as well as economic development and statebuilding. The military will
therefore only play a part (often not even the leading part) in operations that are
likely to include a wide range of actors, such as other civilian government
departments and agencies, international organizations, private security compa-
nies and non-governmental organizations (NGOs), host government agencies,
and security forces. British doctrine argues that, ‘‘In the light of experience
gained in Sierra Leone, Afghanistan, and Iraq, it became evident that coherence
could only be achieved if strategic processes, planning, and objectives were
harmonized across all instruments and agencies.’’3 Arguably, the most salient 3
problem of complex peace support operations is, therefore, coordinating the dif-
ferent instruments of power, multinational and multifunctional, civilian and
military, into a coherent, comprehensive strategy. The purpose of this chapter
is to discuss how different strategic level institutional arrangements in the
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124 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
notes that the field of civil-military relations theory has mainly focused on the
issue of civilian control. The impact that civil-military relations has on military
effectiveness is not nearly as well-studied within the literature.5 5
The starting point of civil-military relations theory is often the assumption
that the military institutions of any society are shaped by two forces: a func-
tional imperative stemming from threats to a society’s security, and a societal
imperative based on the ideologies, social forces, and institutions that are domi-
nant within the society.6 How the functional and societal imperatives should be 6
allowed to influence the structure and culture of the armed forces is, in other
words, one of the main issues of civil-military aspects of effectiveness.
Christopher Dandeker notes that in the search for a useful combination of
the functional and societal influences, theorists tend to employ a ‘‘zero-sum’’
view, thinking that it is only possible to maximize either military strength or ci-
vilian control.7 However, the conceptualization of the relations between func- 7
tional and societal imperatives in zero-sum terms is misleading, according to
Dandeker, as it assumes that military adjustments to civilian values necessarily
undermines military effectiveness, and that the focus on military effectiveness
must necessarily mean decreased civilian control or non-adherence to the val-
ues of civil-society.8 The aim of civil-military relations theory should, thereby, 8
not be striking a balance between the imperatives but rather finding synergies
between the imperatives, solutions that strengthen both civilian control and
military effectiveness.
It should, however, be noted that the idea of civil control goes beyond the spe-
cific nature and characteristics of different patterns of civil-military relations.
Although a number of aspects of civil-military relations differ in various cases
and theories, the logic of civil control as the mechanism that assures the superior-
ity of the civil echelon is generally the same. Kobi Michael therefore highlights
the fact that the essence and rationale of civil control is common to all patterns of
civil-military relations, or at least it should be; ‘‘The common denominator of all
definitions is the expectation that civilians will set the limits on the military’s
action and ensure concordance between those actions and the political echelon’s
objectives as well as maintain the elected echelon’s superiority.’’9 9
Samuel Huntington and Morris Janowitz have come to dominate the field of
civil-military relations for the last half century and still serve as a useful start-
ing point. Huntington treated the functional imperative of the armed forces as
an external given, which can only be interpreted and adjusted to by military
professionals without interference from the political leadership. Without inter-
ference from the political leadership or civil society, the military will automati-
cally adjust for maximum effectiveness in relation to the functional
imperative.10 Huntington, therefore, advocated a radical form of military pro- 10
fessionalism, which emphasizes isolation and autonomy of the military for
maximized effectiveness. Military professionalism, in this view, demands obe-
dience to civil authorities but allows complete control over internal organiza-
tional matters.11 The practical structure of civil-military relations should 11
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include a clear divide between the political and military leaderships in order to
allow for objective control of the armed forces and military professionalism.
Such professionalism will, according to this tradition, inevitably lead to military
effectiveness by allowing the military to define and adjust to its own functional
imperative. This view of civil-military relations and effectiveness is hereafter
referred to as the divided approach.
This approach has become problematic as the changing strategic context of
the post-Cold War has clearly placed new demands on armed forces for opera-
tional effectiveness. The changing strategic context also means that the func-
tional imperative of defending the nation not only involves winning the
nation’s wars, but also includes tasks such as maintaining international security,
defeating international terrorism, and protecting citizens overseas. The practical
application of the functional imperative has thereby changed. Many armed
forces have nevertheless been slow to recognize this fact and to adjust their or-
ganization and culture for the new tasks.
Morris Janowitz, in contrast, supports the tradition of pragmatic profession-
alism, which denounces military autonomy and instead emphasizes integration
with civilian society and even the participation of civilian officials in the for-
mulation of professional standards and the evaluation of performance.12 The 12
shape of professionalization should be determined by immediate needs, by what
is acceptable to the parent society and by what is seen to be the most effective
way of getting the job done. Anthony Forster calls this being ‘‘fit for purpose,’’
whatever the task may be.13 Significantly, Janowitz argues that the political 13
leadership must control both the criteria and information for judging the effec-
tiveness of the military establishment. ‘‘The formulation of the standards of
performance the military are expected to achieve are civilian responsibilities,
although these standards cannot be evolved independent of professional mili-
tary judgment.’’14 14
The implication of the pragmatic approach is expressed by Richard Kohn,
who argues that ‘‘[n]o decision or responsibility falls to the military unless
expressly or implicitly delegated to it by civilian leaders. Even the decisions of
command—the selection of strategy, of what operations to mount and when,
what tactics to employ, the internal management of the military—derive from
civilian authority.’’15 In structural terms, the military leadership should be inte-
grated with the political level in order to develop increased political under-
standing and sensitivity among the armed forces, and to ensure the relevancy of
the military operation to the political goal. This idea is reflected in Kobi
Michael’s useful definition of effective civil control: ‘‘the mechanism that
assures that military force is used for the implementation of those political
goals that best serve the public good as determined by the political echelon.’’16 16
The Janowitzean notion of civil-military relations is hereafter referred to as the
integrated approach.
There is general agreement regarding the notion that societal characteristics
may be reflected in the ability of a country to create military power.17 The 17
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130 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
should be noted that due to the different organizational cultures and interests of
the civilian and military echelons, the inherent nature of the relationship is
inevitably conflictual. However, as Kobi Michael argues, such conflict can be
healthy as long as it is controlled.37 One important way to control such conflict 37
and to keep it at a ‘‘healthy’’ level is to increase mutual understanding and
respect across the boundaries.
The knowledge that interpersonal trust is based on social similarities and
shared moral codes, and/or experiences of reciprocity, means that trust within
the civil-military interface can be achieved by recruiting people with similar
social backgrounds and moral codes on both sides of the divide, or to promote
a common civil-military culture of shared moral values within the interface. It
also means that the civil-military organizations, such as the department of
defense or interagency planning teams, should strive to integrate staff from both
sides of the civil-military divide in order to create interpersonal trust and mu-
tual understanding through personal experiences of reciprocity.
Understanding that different institutional arrangements may evoke and sus-
tain trustworthy behavior means that the structures of the civil-military inter-
face must be carefully constructed to promote cooperation and trust. If
interpersonal trust is lacking within the organization, there can at least be a
level of belief in the structure or culture of the organization to provide a basic
level of trust. Competition between the different agencies of the civil-military
interface may evoke distrustful behavior within interagency structures. For
example, when an operational planner does not know his or her counterpart
from the other side and feels that there a few shared values with the counter-
part, instead of instinctively distrusting the counterpart, the planner may instead
fall back on institutional trust based on the fact that the different agencies have
always cooperated well towards common goals, as well as the knowledge of a
recruitment and promotion system within the other agencies that makes it
highly unlikely that the counterpart is anything but competent and trustworthy.
Finally, the planner may also fall back on previous personal experiences of
working with people from other agencies with good results.
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132 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
Despite a massive effort, stability in Iraq remains elusive and the situation is deterio-
rating. The Iraqi government cannot now govern, sustain, and defend itself without
the support of the United States.… The ability of the United States to shape out-
comes is diminishing. Time is running out.50 50
The U.S. troops in Iraq conducted their operations in accordance with the
traditional American way of war during the invasion phase, and to a large
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134 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
Provisional Authority (CPA) remained out of touch with the conditions in the
field, adding to the lack of expertise or experience with peacemaking and nation
building.57 Key issues like jobs and economic security were, as a consequence, 57
addressed much later than should have been the case in a campaign for the
hearts and minds of the Iraqi population.58 58
The tactical behavior of U.S. troops in Iraq, especially during the first three
years of the campaign, revealed that they have neither been trained nor men-
tally prepared for post-conflict type operations or complex irregular warfare.
Instead, the U.S. military resorted to conventional tactics based on firepower
and technology, with the addition of an overemphasis on aggressive force pro-
tection policies, which separated and alienated the U.S. troops from the local
population.59 U.S. forces also lacked cultural sensitivity and understanding of 59
how the political aims of the operation must be reflected in their behavior on
the ground. The tactical principles of complex peace operations were therefore
also violated.60 Instead of heart and mind operations, force protection through 60
close connections with the local communities, and an understanding of the po-
litical primacy and consequences of operations, the strategic narrative has been
lost in heavy-handed tactics and a failure to understand local culture and the na-
ture of the enemy and its strategic aims.61 The incidents of abuse at Abu 61
Ghraib, in combination with the criminal investigations of serious crimes com-
mitted by U.S. troops in Iraq, raise questions about the warrior values at the
foundation of U.S. military training.
In conclusion, the divided patterns of civil-military relations have, in the
U.S. case, led to a conventional definition of the functional imperative and the
creation of a corresponding structure and culture in the U.S. armed forces. Indi-
rectly, the impact of the U.S.’s divided pattern of civil-military relations has
resulted in an American way of war that is not well-adjusted to the contempo-
rary strategic context. In the words of Andrew Garfield, ‘‘The U.S. military
appears to have the wrong organizational culture to fight the war in which it is
currently engaged [Iraq], which is the most likely type of warfare it will face
over the next twenty years.’’62 The direct effect of the divided U.S. approach to 62
civil-military relations is that, in the context of operations, the United States is
struggling to achieve the necessary joint civil-military planning, cooperation,
and coordination of operations. There is little trust within the system in peace
time, and this is exacerbated in times of conflict. As a link in the operational
chain of command, the U.S. civil-military interface is functioning poorly.
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cooperation and working towards common goals across Whitehall. However, de-
spite the relatively extensive interagency structure, there are, as in most political
bureaucracies, turf wars between the different departments and agencies, and
tendencies to work in ministerial stovepipes. The committee system as a form
for interdepartmental integration is also problematic as it is sometimes consid-
ered too slow for the planning and command of contemporary military opera-
tions involving high levels of complexity and a fast-moving operational pace.63 63
Within the Ministry of Defense, the integrated civil-military structures are
nevertheless more noticeable. In the everyday workings of the ministry as well
as in the command of operations, there is a joint civil-military structure that
ensures military understanding of government policy as well as politically-
informed military advice.64 In the central areas of the ministry, there is wide- 64
spread civil-military mixed management of the different divisions, where the
head is a military officer and the deputy is often civilian or vice versa.65 The 65
ministry’s integrated structure leads to a common culture of mutual understand-
ing and trust among military and civilian personnel.66 This is reinforced by 66
another important aspect of the British system: the highly professional civil
service. Its apolitical nature and the fact that it holds positions at the very top
of the ministries provide for high levels of political and military understanding
as well as an institutional memory of crisis management that the more fleeting
political and military leaderships can never provide.67 With the dual knowledge 67
and understanding, the civil-service also functions as buffers and mediators
between the political and military wills of the Ministry.
With reference to the theoretical discussion on trust, the British case of inte-
gration provides interpersonal trust within the Ministry of Defense as well as,
to a more limited extent, within the interagency and interministerial structures.
The common background and close working relationships even provide what
sociologists call thick interpersonal trust. Narrow social recruitment, close
working relationships across the civil-military divide, and the small size of the
ministry support this process. Frequent personal contact across some depart-
mental and ministerial boundaries also develops thin interpersonal trust within
the civil-military interface and the interagency structures. Although these con-
tacts do not develop close personal relationships, they provide familiarity and
trust in other organizations through the process of reciprocity.
British military professionalism and military culture were formed under
close scrutiny of the British government during the imperial era of colonial po-
licing. This meant that the British military was forced to develop political sensi-
tivity to handle the essentially civil-military operations in the colonies.68 The 68
political leadership’s effective control over military administration, promotions,
and appointments, also forced the commanders in the field to be more sensitive
to the preferences of the cabinet.69 In contrast with the U.S. case, the British 69
way of war has always taken direction from whatever task the political leader-
ship has defined for the armed forces, most often involving counterinsurgency
type operations in the colonies.
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136 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
Thus, the integrated pattern of civil-military relations has, in the British case,
led to an unconventional definition of the functional imperative and the creation
of a structure and culture of the British armed forces that can be summarized as
pragmatic and flexible, with emphasis on a minimum use of force. Another as-
pect of the British way of war, derived from the pragmatic lessons of colonial
policing, is close cooperation between the civilian and military aspects of
national power.70 The resulting British way of war is therefore theoretically 70
well adjusted to the contemporary strategic context of complex peace support
operations.
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Prime Minister Blair. The Butler Report argues that ‘‘the informality and cir-
cumscribed character of the Government’s procedures which we saw in the
context of policy-making towards Iraq risks reducing the scope for informed
collective political judgment.’’76 In essence, the traditional approach to plan- 76
ning and operations, involving interagency cooperation and coordination
through the committee system, may have been circumscribed because of a more
centralized and controlled form of leadership, as well as the need for increased
deliberation speed in the run-up to the war.
The consequences of the British ‘‘hands-off’’ approach in Iraq are contested
by academics and practitioners alike.77 While substantial results have been 77
achieved in terms of security sector reform and the handover of responsibilities
to Iraqi authorities, the British have failed to provide security for the Iraqi pop-
ulation and civilian organizations, which have not been able to operate in the
southern parts of Iraq. The small number of British troops, only 8,000 in a vast
area of operation, is a significant factor explaining these failures.78 In an impe- 78
rial policing fashion, the British seem to have found what they feel is an accept-
able level of violence without wasting too many resources and without creating
too much of an imprint on Iraqi society. However, the result is that the British
approach in Iraq has failed to establish a condition from which to achieve the
political aims of the operation by political and diplomatic means.
The British pattern of civil-military relations has had a positive impact on
operational effectiveness by providing a military culture and structure well-
adapted to the contemporary strategic context. It has also provided interagency
structures and a cooperative political culture that also often provides good
cooperation and coordination in the field of operations. The committee system
of the interagency structure, and the extensive civil-military integration within
the Ministry of Defense, provides a structure and culture that is better suited for
comprehensive approaches and civil-military coordination than the U.S. case.
Interestingly, the positive indirect impact was obvious in the tactical behavior
of British troops in Iraq. However, the direct impact was less successful as the
interagency system was not used to its full potential. The result was that the
multifunctional coordination of strategic planning and operational and tactical
execution in the field did not reach the level of coordination that is expected of
the British approach.
CONCLUSION
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INTRODUCTION
The idea of privatized security is not new. Private actors have played a signifi-
cant role in war throughout the ages. Before the establishment of the nation
state, the princes of Europe filled the ranks of their armies with mercenary sol-
diers. Even Napoleon was reliant on contractors, though he despised them for
profiteering from war, calling them rogues ‘‘[w]ho roll in … insolent luxury,
while my soldiers have neither bread nor shoes.’’1 At the start of the twenty- 1
first century, contractors are once more an important, if sometimes controver-
sial, feature in war. Importantly, their presence in the operational theater is in
part a consequence of the Revolution in Military Affairs (RMA) that has led to
a military transformation in warfare.
As state militaries have become more specialized, they have deferred more
mission tasks to the private sector, while the increasing complexity of humani-
tarian disasters has left states with little alternative but to harness the capabil-
ities of the private sector. As Duffield explains, ‘‘liberal peace embodies a new
or political humanitarianism that lays emphasis on such things as conflict reso-
lution and prevention, reconstructing social networks, strengthening civil and
representative institutions, promoting the rule of law, and security sector reform
in the context of a functioning market economy.’’2 2
No single agency, including the state, has the ability to undertake such a
range of tasks. Instead, since the 1990s, new institutional arrangements have
had to come into being to support government agencies, international organiza-
tions, the private sector, and non-governmental organizations, as they struggle
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140 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
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private actors. Such operations are no longer the sole preserve of the military, if
indeed they ever were, but involve a whole array of national, international, pub-
lic, and private actors. The fourth section examines the likely roles for PSCs in
this new environment. The final section draws together the argument that the
RMA and the rise of intrastate war have led to an increase in PSOs, which in
its turn has increased the specialization and civilianization of Western military
forces due to their growing reliance on contractors.
Even though private security has been active since the 1970s and 1980s, most
notably on the African continent, it was not until Executive Outcomes (EO)
operations in Angola in the early 1990s that the industry really came to the
attention of the international community and media.8 According to Eeben Bar- 8
low, EO’s founder, in 1993 the company was approached by an international
oil company, through a friend, who wanted to know whether the company
could assist in Soyo to recover equipment that had been lost, or that had been
laid to waste, but which the oil company wanted to recover because of its
value.9 The company agreed to help recover the equipment, though at the time 9
they did not know that Soyo was held by Uniao Nacional para a Independencia
Total do Angola (UNITA).10 10
The operations lasted two months and turned into a serious battle between EO
and UNITA. As Barlow explains, ‘‘for the first five days … all our guys did at
Soyo was defend, until through probably very disciplined fire control they had
worn UNITA down.’’11 UNITA subsequently withdrew from the Soyo area leav- 11
ing EO temporarily in control of the area. However, as Shearer remarks, ‘‘when
the company pulled out shortly afterwards, leaving the Angolan battalions in
place, UNITA recaptured the centre. The operation was nevertheless significant in
that it was the first real demonstration of EO’s combat capabilities.’’12 12
Then in July 1993 Barlow was once again approached, but this time by General
Faceira, a senior officer in the Forcas Armadas Angolanos (FAA). The Angolan
government offered EO a one-year contract worth $40 million to train 5,000
troops from the FAA’s 16th Regiment and 30 pilots, and to direct front line opera-
tions against UNITA.13 The contract was later renewed for a further 12 months in 13
September 1994 and then again for three months in 1995. The contract finally
ended in January 1996. EO’s main contribution was tactical advice, drawn from a
solid understanding of UNITA’s weaknesses and supported by intelligence on
UNITA’s activities leaked via South African sources.14 14
Even before it had finished its operation in Angola, the company was being
employed in Sierra Leone. In May 1995 the company was contracted to help
the government of Sierra Leone defeat the Revolutionary United Front (RUF).
The government signed three contracts with EO covering a twenty-one-month
period for a total of $35 million.15 By the time the company arrived in Sierra
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142 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
Leone, the RUF was only 20 miles from the country’s capital, Freetown. Within
eight months the company had forced the RUF to negotiate with the govern-
ment for the first time in five years.16 16
At the same time as the company was operating in Angola and Sierra Leone,
it was also involved in other operations in Africa and beyond. These operations
mainly involved training special forces in covert intelligence gathering for spe-
cial forces operations and not necessarily providing the direct combat support
that was the hallmark of the Angolan and Sierra Leone operations.17 Neither 17
was EO the only company operating at this time.
Established in 1987 by a group of former senior U.S. military officers, Mili-
tary Professional Resources Incorporated (MPRI) is a training, simulation, and
government services company. Unlike EO, MPRI has been directly involved
with PSOs ever since the end of the Cold War, working for the U.S. govern-
ment. Such participation has taken the form of training foreign militaries in the
same military practices employed by militaries in the West. The company is
also involved in organizing security sector reform (SSR) programs and law
enforcement related services that focus on stabilization and reconstruction
efforts. One of the company’s more high-profile contracts was with the Croatian
government. A contract was signed with the Croatian government in 1994 to
help the transition of the country’s armed forces from a Warsaw Pact to a
NATO-style force. MPRI designed a Long-Range Management Program to pro-
vide the Croatian Ministry of Defense with strategic long-term capabilities to
improve its opportunity of becoming a member of NATO.18 18
Sandline International was another company operating during this period.19 19
Established in 1996 and registered in the Bahamas, the company supplied mili-
tary and security services to governments and multinational organizations oper-
ating in high-risk areas of the world. The company became infamous towards
the end of 1997 when it allegedly broke a U.N. arms embargo to supply weap-
ons to Sierra Leone. The company argued that its actions were intended to
restore to power the democratically elected government of the country, while
the company claimed the British government knew all about the operation; a
claim denied by the government at the time. It later transpired that the Foreign
and Commonwealth Office (FCO) had been informed, while Sandline main-
tained that some officials gave it their approval, a claim dismissed by the FCO,
but accepted by the Legg enquiry. The enquiry noted that some in the FCO
might have unintentionally given the impression that the operation had govern-
ment support, when in fact it did not.20 20
Other PSCs also active in the 1990s included Defense Systems Ltd.—known
today as ArmorGroup International—and Control Risks. These companies
tended to focus on security related activities, staying away from the type of
military services supplied by EO, MPRI, and Sandline International. Indeed, in
the case of the United Kingdom, they typified the security industry. In this
respect U.K. companies such as ArmorGroup and Control Risks have tended to
work for multinational corporations, supplying them with security services as
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the company supplies point security, which is defensive in nature, for the oil infra-
structure and close protection for individuals working for the U.S. Corps of Engi-
neers and other companies working in the country. We guard things and are no
different to the tens of thousands of private guards anywhere else in the world. What
makes us different is that we are armed and the company has expatriate management
managing local people.21 21
The view that the industry provides security and not a war-fighting function
is reflected throughout the U.K. industry, while Donald makes the same point
when he explains ‘‘British PSCs will not in the short or medium term undertake
combat tasks because it would wreck their business. The sector has spent too
long separating itself from the combat end of the private security spectrum to
jeopardize it all with more ‘dogs of war’ headlines.’’22 22
Importantly, these views differ from those held by some former U.S. military
officers working for American companies. Blackwater Vice Chairman Cofer
Black, for example, proposed dispatching a brigade-size force of private sol-
diers to Darfur as part of a U.N. peacekeeping effort to stop the fighting.23 23
According to Donald, the company may have quietly dropped the idea because
of a lack of support from the U.S. government.24 24
In many respects, the 1990s prepared the industry for what was to come in
the context of 9/11, Afghanistan, and Iraq. Unlike state militaries, PSCs were
already adapting to the political changes occurring globally and especially in
Africa. The increase in intrastate war has also meant an increase in business for
PSCs protecting the assets of multinational corporations operating in hostile
environments. Moreover, some companies were already engaging with interna-
tional agencies involved with PSOs. Over the past fifteen years, ArmorGroup
International has supported more than 53 missions, providing administrative
and technical support to such organizations as the United Nations, UNICEF,
and Care International in more than thirty countries from Afghanistan to
Zaire.25 The same company is now a world leader in humanitarian mine clear- 25
ance as a result of the amount of mine clearance contracts it has undertaken in
the last decade.26 Neither is ArmorGroup alone in this respect. American PSCs 26
have also undertaken to support PSOs. DynCorp supplied personnel for the
International Police Task Force in Bosnia as well as personnel for the Kosovo
International Verification Mission.27 27
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144 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
Even so, the industry’s participation during this period was on an ad hoc ba-
sis with the focus mainly on logistical support and not the physical security that
we are now witnessing in Iraq. 9/11 changed all that. Ever since then, the indus-
try has continued to grow in importance, while militaries continue to rely on
contractors for a multitude of tasks from servicing weapon platforms to supply-
ing logistical support. Thus contractors today are a significant actor in the opera-
tional theater, notably because of the RMA, the transformation in warfare from
interstate to intrastate, and the subsequent increase in the number of PSOs now
being carried out. Nevertheless, in the case of PSCs, governments have been
slow in acknowledging their role in the operational theater. Instead, PSCs have
been left to operate in the shadows, adopting in many respects a quasi-legitimate
personality in relation to the international community. As the remainder of the
chapter explains, this is about to change. The RMA and the transformation in
warfare that has seen a marked increase in PSOs will drive the international
community to increase their reliance on contractors, especially PSCs.
From the moment the Coalition force crossed the border into Iraq in April
2003, there has been growing public concern over the role of contractors in the
war.28 While most of the focus has been on contractors engaged in reconstruc- 28
tion, such as Halliburton, and armed contractors, such as Blackwater and Aegis,
there is a third group without whom the U.S. military could not have gone to
war. These are the defense contractors who are responsible for ensuring the
weapon systems used by the military function properly. Without them, the mili-
tary would struggle to operate many of their sophisticated weapon platforms
given the degree of technical knowledge necessary to operate them. As Singer
points out, ‘‘weapons systems required to carry out the highest levels of conflict
are becoming so complex that as many as five different companies are often
required to help just one U.S. military unit carry out its operations.’’29 Such 29
equipment has revolutionized the operational side of warfare, while in the case
of high-intensity-warfare, reliance on advanced technology has increased the
need for skilled technicians from the private sector.
Although changes in weapons technology have seen military power concen-
trated into the hands of ever-smaller groups, it has also had a dramatic impact
on the political, economic, and social aspects of war, changing the nature of the
modern battlefield. In many respects, we now live in a post-heroic world
because of advances in technology. The military has become risk adverse, while
at the same time the introduction of virtual war means the public now demands
that their soldiers stay out of harm’s way. The soldier is not removed from the
act of war, but only from the dangers it entails. The U.S. Secretary of the Air
Force summed up this state of affairs when he argued, ‘‘The computer chip
may very well be a most useful war-fighting tool. For example, while it is never
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a good thing when we lose a Predator on the battlefield, given the alternatives I
look forward to many more computer chips dying for our country.’’30 30
Many might refute this claim, but the truth is that technology combined with
the ability for news agencies to instantaneously transmit pictures of the battle-
field into the homes of millions of viewers has made politicians much more
cautious about committing the lives of their soldiers to combat, especially when
there are contractors who can operate advanced weapon systems that are able
to engage the enemy instead. Indeed, this situation can only exist with the sup-
port of such highly skilled technicians.
During the first Gulf War in 1991, for every contractor there were fifty mili-
tary personnel involved. In the 2003 conflict, the ratio was one to ten.31 If war- 31
fare is being transformed as a consequence of the RMA, then the primary
transformation is technological, which in turn is leading to a secondary trans-
formation: the specialization or civilianization of the military. This has opened
up opportunities for the private sector to play a much greater role in war.
More importantly, in the case of the United States, if it is to maintain its
military superiority, it will have to embrace technology from the private sector.
Nor should we be surprised about how technology has impacted war. After
all, the origins of industrial war can be traced back to the last years of the
Napoleonic Wars.32 Then, as today, the military relied on the private sector to 32
mass-produce muskets, cannon, and ammunition. By the end of the eighteenth
century, the bureaucratization,33 industrialization, and nationalization of 33
violence were starting to have a significant impact on how war was fought.
War was becoming an activity endured by the masses.
Clausewitz himself, one of the great nineteenth century military strategists,
recognized this transformation in the organization of war when he ‘‘urged the
replacement of cabinet wars by national wars … saying in effect ‘Give the War
to the People!’ The State is the People.’’34 Today war is back in the hands of 34
cabinets, supported by contractors.
This has led some to argue that military and civilian roles are becoming
blurred, when in fact the opposite is true. Specialization and civilianization of
roles that in the past were the responsibility of the military are finding their
way back into the private sector with the support of the RMA. Rumsfeld’s
‘‘shock and awe’’ approach to war-fighting, using technology in place of man-
power to achieve regime change in Iraq, is a return to the quest for decisive
warfare. It is an approach that sees soldiers engaged in fighting while contrac-
tors undertake the other tasks involved in war, from maintaining weapon sys-
tems to organizing logistical support for frontline troops.
While the tools to fight wars today are different from the tools used between
1631 and 1815, some aspects of the nature of war are strikingly similar:
[To] keep the costs of war reasonably proportionate to the purposes obtained. [Fur-
thermore] if in a successful battle the enemy army could be substantially destroyed
… then the whole course of the war could be resolved in a single day, and wars
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146 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
thereby might be won at relatively low cost, by avoiding the prolonged expenditure
of resources and lives.35 35
These words apply as much today as they did 200 years ago. The U.S. mili-
tary’s use of advanced weapon platforms has given them an unprecedented
advantage, which means that opposing military forces can be defeated in
months if not days instead of years, as the first Iraq war demonstrated. While
on the one hand U.S. military strategists may be reassured by having a prepon-
derance of force, the country now faces a different type of threat as its enemies
adopt an asymmetric approach to warfare. Neither is asymmetric warfare con-
fined to the United States. Other Western countries also face an asymmetric
threat from the same enemies who want to wage war against the United States.
Where does this leave the role of the advanced weapon technician in war
today?
To suggest he or she is solely responsible for the increase in the number of
contractors on the battlefield is only partly true. They are nevertheless an im-
portant driving force, while a further driving force is the increasing fusion
between the corporate ethos of defense contractors and the military ethos that is
leading to a strengthening of cooperation between soldiers and civilians. This
in turn is making it easier to specialize and civilianize the future military. ‘‘The
contention here is that … defense contractors tend to recruit ex-military person-
nel ‘predisposed’ to ‘ways of acting, based on values drawn from their experi-
ences of military services,’ and who operate ‘to the same high standards’ of the
armed services ‘while exhibiting the same moral values which were first
instilled in them in the military.’’’36 Thus, it is held that contractors working 36
alongside military personnel frequently share the same experiences, dangers,
likings, and difficulties, eroding further any cultural barriers that exist between
them in a mutually beneficial relationship where values pass easily between
environments, shaping attitudes and working practices.37 37
The fusing together of the corporate and military ethos suggests a new
dynamic ethos that transcends the traditional civil-military relationship and the
divide that has existed between these two groups for generations. Uttley sums
up this new form of military ethos by suggesting that it replicates a new public
service ethos and the sharing of best practices in other areas of state activity.
Importantly, the provision of services is through a combination of public and
private service agents and not an in-house monopoly.38 38
If the military ethos is being eroded in the field of technical support, it is
also being eroded in the actual area of war-fighting and stabilization operations.
In this respect, specialization and civilianization is not confined to the sphere of
high-intensity warfare but also to the sphere of low-intensity warfare and spe-
cifically PSOs. Moreover, low-intensity warfare has become the norm for the
time being, as the rest of the world realizes that it cannot challenge the U.S.
military on its own terms. The amount of destructive power that U.S. forces
brought to bear on Saddam’s army dictates that in the short to medium term,
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those who choose to challenge the will of the United States will do so using
methods associated with asymmetric warfare.
Recognition of the asymmetric threats to the West actually emerged after
9/11 and, in the case of the United Kingdom, is identified in the New Chapter
White Paper published in 2003. The New Chapter concluded that it was better
to engage the enemy at long range and to have significant forces ready to
deploy overseas to act against terrorist groups and regimes that harbored them.
Particular U.K. strengths were identified both in find-and-strike operations and
in prevention and stabilization operations. The former were identified as requir-
ing high-intensity war fighting capacity and decision-making structures to ena-
ble forces to act rapidly and decisively.39 The analysis in the New Chapter 39
pointed to the importance of what it called network-centric capability: the link-
ing together of precision weapons and information technologies to produce a
military effect at a qualitatively higher tempo.40 The support of civilian con- 40
tractors is crucial here. At the other end, the New Chapter also recognized the
need to engage in PSOs. Moreover, as the next section discusses, PSOs are no
longer the sole responsibility of the military. The role and importance of con-
tractors is increasing in this realm as well.
PSOs cover a wide area of activity. It would be wrong to suggest that the pri-
vate sector has been able to encroach on all aspects of PSOs. It is therefore nec-
essary to define what is meant by PSOs before any discussion can take place as
to the type and level of encroachment into this area of operations by the private
sector. A PSO is an operation that impartially makes use of diplomatic, civil,
and military means, normally in pursuit of United Nations Charter purposes
and principles, to restore or maintain peace. Such operations may include con-
flict prevention, peacemaking, peace enforcement, peacekeeping, peace-build-
ing, state-building, and/or humanitarian operations. Under the present
international political climate, it is unlikely that PSCs will be allowed to engage
in peace enforcement and peacekeeping operations. Many governments are still
uneasy about using the industry and are still struggling to come to terms with
the presence of so many non-state actors, including PSCs, now operating in the
operational theater since the end of the Cold War. They seem unwilling to sepa-
rate the concept of PSCs from mercenaries and are therefore not prepared to
employ them. Even if the international community was able to reconcile the
difference between the two actors, it is still unlikely governments would turn to
PSCs to act as peace enforcers or peacekeeping forces in the place of state mili-
taries. As noted earlier, Cofer Black has suggested using private soldiers in
Darfur as part of a U.N. peacekeeping force, citing EO’s success in Angola and
Sierra Leone in support of the idea. However, Jim Hooper, who for the last
twenty years has written about the South African Defense Force’s (SADF)
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148 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
special forces combat operations, questions the validity of the claim. Hooper
argues that EO’s success is directly attributed to their operators being former
permanent forces cadres of the SADF with extensive experience in joint-
conventional or special forces combat operations in Angola.41 Other than that 41
provided by EO, there is no evidence to support the claim that a PSC could
become an effective peace enforcement or peacekeeping force. It is more likely
that such a role would be beyond their operational capability and the size of
resources necessary to guarantee operational success.
If PSCs are to be a part of PSOs, it is much more probable that they will par-
ticipate in conflict prevention, peace-building, state-building, and humanitarian
operations. These areas of PSOs reflect closely Duffield’s strategic complexes
mentioned at the start of the chapter in that they employ complementary diplo-
matic, civil, and when necessary, military means, to both monitor, identify, and
address the cause of conflict and the longer-term needs of those suffering. Fur-
thermore, peace-building requires a commitment to a long-term process that
may run concurrently with other types of PSOs.42 This last point is pertinent to 42
PSCs because unlike state militaries, which frequently have other operational
commitments to consider, PSCs can afford to commit the necessary time (cost
permitting).
What then is driving the military’s reliance on the private sector in PSOs? A
number of reasons have been put forward, of which the two most common
explanations are the end of the Cold War and the end of apartheid in South
Africa, which saw the downsizing of state militaries and the release into the
marketplace of thousands of trained soldiers. The problem with these explana-
tions is the fact they both occurred seventeen years ago. Consequently, they can
hardly be responsible for the increasing role of PSCs occurring today. Thus,
both reasons are problematic when explaining the expansion of the private se-
curity industry. The most obvious explanation is that outsourcing government
services continues to be a priority for the U.K. and U.S. governments. This may
be because they believe private companies to be more efficient than publicly
supplied services, but the most probable reason is increased pressure imposed
by operational commitments. To put it more starkly, there are too few soldiers
and resources for operational commitments. In the case of the British Army,
manpower has diminished from 160,000 immediately after the Cold War to
101,808 today, while operations have increased.43 More worrying for the Min- 43
istry of Defense (MoD) is the military’s inability to attract recruits (as of Au-
gust 2006 the infantry was short of approximately 3,500 soldiers, more than
15% of its total strength).44 The market is thus seen as a solution to a shortfall 44
in manpower linked to an increase in the operational tempo of the army. Nei-
ther is this situation likely to improve in the immediate or medium term. The
proportion of the gross domestic product (GDP) spent on Defense has fallen
from 3.5% in 1993 to just below 2.3% today.45 This reduction in Defense 45
spending has resulted in an emerging capability gap that will create opportuni-
ties that PSCs will want to fill. Nor is the United Kingdom alone in relation to
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manpower shortages and increasing operational tempo. The U.S. military faces
exactly the same problem in terms of recruitment as fewer Americans now
choose to serve in the military.
Neither is the phenomenon new as discussed above, though it was not until
9/11 that the industry really started to grow as demands for security services
increased overnight. That said, it was only after the second Gulf War that PSCs
started to sign multi-million dollar contracts. It is estimated that there are 630
companies working in Iraq on contract to the U.S. government, with personnel
from more than 100 countries offering services ranging from cooking and driv-
ing to close protection, while their 180,000 employees now outnumber 160,000
official troops.46 PSCs only represent a small percentage of this figure. The pre- 46
cise numbers, however, are unclear, with some reports estimating the figure to
be as high as 48,000 while other reports suggest the number could be as low as
25,000.47 Even so, such numbers represent a significant increase from two dec- 47
ades ago. Then, the industry only employed a small number of individuals,
probably no more than 2000 to 3000,48 and would mainly have come from a 48
special forces background, the Guards, or served with irregular forces such as
the Sultan of Oman’s Armed Forces. Today, even ordinary soldiers see the
industry as a second career after military service, especially given the U.S. gov-
ernment’s intention to rely more and more on PSCs for security functions in
conflict zones. Other governments have been much slower to react, but will in
all probability follow suit.
After all, using private security may make sense for functions such as perim-
eter Defense since it allows the military to free up personnel for combat duty.
The U.S. military sees its primary role as war-fighting, not PSOs, and therefore
prefers to give more of the latter responsibility to the private sector. Nor are
they alone here. With the majority of Western militaries struggling to attract
adequate numbers of recruits, it is quite likely they too will turn to the private
sector to fill the manpower and skills gaps. What is not clear is the degree to
which governments will become reliant on PSCs to supply services in the
future. The following section discusses the direction the emerging trend might
take; highlighting, in particular, the roles governments are likely to want to
outsource.
Donald identifies four areas where in the future we are likely to see an increase
in PSC involvement in PSOs. They include intelligence provision and analysis,
support to post-conflict stabilization and reconstruction operations, SSR, and
humanitarian and development assistance. Unfortunately, this chapter does not
have the space to allow a detailed account of the nature of PSC involvement in
these areas. Instead, only a brief analysis is possible.
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150 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
Intelligence Provision
The private sector understands intelligence differently from the government. In
the latter case, intelligence is privileged information, normally gathered cov-
ertly by intelligence services and not open for public scrutiny. For the private
sector, intelligence is simply open source or declassified information that has
been analyzed, thus making it useful to the client.49 49
In relation to PSOs and intelligence, PSCs are in a rather unique position
compared to other non-state actors operating in conflict zones because they tend
to employ former soldiers with experience in intelligence. In addition, the fact
that they normally work over large geographical areas and frequently form
close relationships with the local population, being able to adapt to a given
environment,50 make them an ideal source of additional information for the 50
military tasked with conducting a PSO. The last point is particularly pertinent
because failure to adapt can seriously jeopardize their operational effectiveness
and even threaten their survival.
As important are the implications for the military of turning to PSCs for
intelligence. As with state militaries, PSC forces have different security and
organizational cultures, usually reflecting the culture from which such forces
are drawn. Thus, some PSCs may be better placed in cultural intelligence
because their ethos is closer to a military culture that is used to operating in an
insurgency environment. British PSCs, for example, may have an advantage
over their rivals as a result of their employees having gained experience from
operating in Northern Ireland, which would have taught them the value of
adopting an open mind, cultural tolerance, and a willingness to communicate
with outsiders. The same may also be true of other PSCs whose employees
have intimate experience of insurgency operations as a result of serving in a
state military. However, employees of PSCs can also have a detrimental impact
on intelligence gathering by bringing to the operation habits and prejudices that
are not conducive to good operational conduct. Employee attitudes towards the
local community are especially important and can easily have a negative impact
on the local population. Iraq is awash with stories of security contractors behav-
ing badly towards locals, thus endangering not only their own company’s intel-
ligence gathering, but also possibly those of other organizations.51 51
Where PSCs differ from state militaries is in how they operate, and it is in
this area that they can make a contribution to intelligence culture, the military
operational function of gathering and analyzing information about the theater
and the enemy.52 In complex environments they are able to offer commanders 52
and senior officers invaluable information as a result of cultural intelligence. In
Iraq, for example, a number of PSCs operate from outside the Green Zone. This
has meant being able to communicate with the local population, understand
their culture, and remain open-minded and flexible, while also showing careful
judgment in the application of force in what is frequently a very fluid environ-
ment. At the same time, PSCs appear well placed to operate in such an
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152 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
base camp facilities for their troops,57 while the United States also use PSCs to 57
guard their bases, something British commanders are still not willing to accept.
Finally, much of the logistical support militaries in the developing world are
receiving from the U.S. government is coming from contractors. For instance,
the State Department has hired DynCorp to help equip and provide logistical
support to international peacekeepers in Somalia, giving the United States a sig-
nificant role in the critical mission without assigning combat troops.58 While at 58
present the U.S. government appears to be the only country willing to outsource
in this way, it is a trend that is set to increase, especially if Western govern-
ments want to be able to influence organizations such as the African Union
without committing ground troops or resources. Paying contractors to do your
bidding not only allows you to influence what is happening in the developing
world, it also lets you protect your national interests by proxy. In this way,
Western governments can keep an element of control over events happening
thousands of miles away without the political risk associated with committing
troops. Furthermore, Western militaries are now facing the prospect of an
emerging capability gap as a result of government willingness to act with fewer
resources, which PSCs will try and fill, but only as long as governments recog-
nize that they are part of the nation’s assets.
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time, a long-term project. Neither is their role confined to DDR. PSCs can draw
on a whole range of skills that they can place at the disposal of governments or
international organizations. The most obvious is military and police training,
which is the case in Iraq and Afghanistan, where contractors have been used
instead of uniformed personnel.60 60
Military training has been a core business activity for some U.S. PSCs for
the last decade. Most notable among them is MPRI. As mentioned earlier, the
company was involved in training the Croatian and Bosnian armed forces
throughout the early 1990s, while DynCorp trained the Liberian army,61 and 61
Vinnell is training the Saudi Arabian National Guard.62 Neither are U.S. PSCs 62
alone in marketing their SSR skills. Control Risks, a U.K. PSC, has a gover-
nance and development department that specializes in long-term stabilization
programs. It is also, according to the head of Governance and Development,
able to provide services normally provided by governments.63 This is normally 63
the result of consciously employing former government employees with the
requisite skills to provide such services. Importantly, PSCs offer surge capacity
without the government having to employ additional personnel. Whether this is
cheaper in the long run is debatable. However, what is not debatable is that
some operating areas will be dangerous and require security that will invariably
be supplied by PSCs, as is the case in Iraq and Afghanistan.
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154 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
The changing nature of warfare, which has occurred since the end of the Cold
War, has made militaries more specialized in their war-fighting and more likely to
defer mission tasks to contractors. This trend is set to continue as long as govern-
ments choose to engage in more and more PSOs. As the previous section noted,
there is a whole array of tasks that in the past would have been considered the
responsibility of the military which are now being given over to PSCs or NGOs.
Even so, certain countries are further ahead in deferring mission tasks to contrac-
tors. The American government, for example, has outsourced many security roles
in Iraq and Afghanistan instead of using the army, while the British government
appears reluctant to do the same. They prefer to use the army rather than commit
to the level of outsourcing security roles that the American government has under-
taken. Indeed, whereas the U.S. military employs PSCs to guard their bases and
protect their convoys, the British Army still uses troops with many commanders
uneasy about outsourcing such important responsibilities.
One possible reason for this unease may have to do with the fact that PSCs
lack the legitimacy of state actors, thus raising real concerns for commanding
officers. However, given the manpower shortage faced by the British Army, it
may eventually have no option but to adopt the same approach as the American
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military for certain security roles, including using PSC’s as static guards and
convoy protection.
Finally, the combination of outsourcing military responsibilities with the
military’s reliance on advanced weapons platforms has intensified the impact of
contractors on the operational environment, thus increasing the speed of which
the military is becoming more specialized as it seeks to focus on war-fighting
while leaving other non-war-fighting functions, including some mission critical
functions such as logistical support, to contractors.
CONCLUSION
What does the future hold for PSCs in respect to PSOs? While the industry is
not going to go away, there is still uncertainty about the future regarding its
potential contribution to PSOs, notably because it is dependant on other factors
over which it has no control. At present the industry appears to be settling for
less contentious roles within PSOs, in particular intelligence provision, support
to post-conflict stabilization operations, humanitarian and development assis-
tance security sector reform. Peace enforcement and peacekeeping have for the
time being been shelved because it is felt that the international community has
no stomach for outsourcing these roles.
Governments in developing countries are particularly hostile to the idea of
using PSCs, which they see as a modern manifestation of the age old merce-
nary, while also denying them a potential source of revenue for their own
troops. Western governments, on the other hand, are already relying on their
services, though there are still significant differences between countries. The
U.S. government, for example, is determined to move forward and outsource
more functions to PSCs. On the other hand, there are countries, such as South
Africa, that would like to see the industry banned.
This use of PSCs in peacekeeping has given the U.S. government a signifi-
cant role in Somalia without assigning combat troops.66 This is a trend that the 66
United States is actively pursuing. Nor is the U.S. government worried about
outsourcing to foreign PSCs. Aegis, a U.K. PSC, won the Matrix contract in
Iraq to protect U.S. government officials involved in reconstruction, while the
British PSC ArmorGroup won a contract to protect the U.S. embassy in Af-
ghanistan. What this also suggests is that in the future, U.S. contributions to
PSOs may include foreign PSCs. Several U.K. companies have already estab-
lished offices in Washington with the intention of benefiting from the govern-
ment’s move to outsource more responsibility for PSOs to the private sector.
In the United Kingdom, the government has been slow to react to the phenom-
enon and is lacking a coherent policy, instead preferring to leave it up to individ-
ual ministries to decide whether they should engage with the industry or not.
While the Foreign Office, for example, uses PSCs to protect staff working in pla-
ces such as Iraq and Afghanistan and has a clear set of rules governing their
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156 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
working relationship with PSCs, the same is not true of the Ministry of Defense
(MoD). Consequently, while military personnel frequently work alongside secu-
rity contractors on PSOs, tensions can and do arise. This is especially so concern-
ing the use of firearms by PSCs, which can make the PSO environment even more
complex for soldiers. The main worry for the industry at present, however, is
whether the government will follow the American example and increase its use of
PSCs in support of PSOs. In the immediate future, this looks doubtful. The MoD
and the Department for International Development (DFID) both appear uncom-
fortable with the idea. The MoD appears particularly worried about the legal
implication of companies being armed and the fact that they could also pose a risk
for soldiers in PSOs. This only leaves the FCO. Unfortunately for the industry,
their contribution to PSOs is usually limited to the diplomatic arena and not to
roles that are generally suitable for outsourcing to PSCs.
Other countries have also started to outsource some of their responsibilities
in the area of PSOs. They are, however, a long way behind the United States
and some way behind the United Kingdom. One of the reasons for this may
have to do with public criticism of the idea, especially if it means risking the
wrath of public opinion, which few, if any, politicians like doing. Even so,
PSCs do offer another approach for countries that want to be seen to support
PSOs but do not necessarily want to become directly involved for domestic rea-
sons; PSO by proxy, some might call it.
Finally, the pace at which aspects of PSOs are being outsourced should be
of serious concern for government. Policy makers need to understand the impli-
cations of such outsourcing for all those parties concerned. The last thing they
need to do is to sleepwalk into controversy as the British government did over
the ‘‘Arms to Africa’’ affair in the late 1990s with serious potential implications
for the future role of PSCs in PSOs.67 In this respect, governments need to start 67
addressing the issues of legitimacy, accountability, and transparency if the gen-
eral public is to have any trust in a system that allows functions which in the
past would have been the sole responsibility of the state to be undertaken by
private actors.
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INTRODUCTION
The end of the age of conventional and symmetrical wars and the growth in
number of intrastate conflicts in failed states have, in turn, led to changes in the
nature of peacekeeping operations. This change can be encapsulated in the tran-
sition from first generation peacekeeping, which focused on observing ceasefire
and armistice agreements between warring states, to second generation peace-
keeping, which emphasizes statebuilding through democratization and the reha-
bilitation of indigenous institutions and economies.1 Second generation 1
peacekeeping adopts an approach of dealing with the roots of conflict and not
only the repression of violence.
Intrastate conflicts are no longer the exclusive domain of the participating
warring factions, and the international community increasingly finds itself
involved in these conflicts, whether through the United Nations, regional organ-
izations, or the direct intervention of state actors, most often the United States.
Clear examples of this phenomenon can be found in Bosnia and Kosovo, Iraq,
and Afghanistan.
The challenge only becomes more complex when intrastate conflicts involve
terror and guerilla groups with connections to global terror networks (i.e., Iraq
and Afghanistan). Such conflicts demand increased military involvement, yet,
as Frank van Kappen, former Director of Planning at the U.N. Department of
Peacekeeping Operations (DPKO) explains, ‘‘the military operation alone will
not create a sustainable peace, it only provides the security umbrella underneath
which the real peace process has to take place.’’2 On the other hand, increased 2
military involvement has the potential to overshadow statebuilding efforts. The
hegemony of military mission components is also expressed in the dominance
of military thinking over political thinking, which leads to the militarization of
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The military intelligence necessary for combating terror and guerilla groups is
not similar to political, social, or economic intelligence, which are necessary
for the civil and governmental aspects of second generation peacekeeping. Only
the informed and methodical integration of all types of intelligence enables a
deep understanding of the theater and its various rationales. Thus, integration
should be viewed as a necessary condition for mission success. Any achieve-
ment, military, governmental, economic, or social, must serve the wider politi-
cal goals of the mission.
In this chapter we will clarify the uniqueness and necessity of intelligence in
second generation peacekeeping missions. We will briefly review the history of
intelligence in peacekeeping operations and the nature of its difficulties and
failures. We will also characterize cultural intelligence and introduce the neces-
sary conditions for its implementation.
Modern peace support operations, which we also refer to in this chapter as sec-
ond generation peacekeeping, often cannot maintain the same level of neutrality
as traditional peacekeeping operations. Intervention in an intrastate arena fre-
quently involves backing an idea or a side with the aim of creating a political
change towards stabilization and reconstruction of the arena. This is also known
as statebuilding. The key for success in such a mission is winning the support
of the local population for a new idea or a new government, a task that is essen-
tially political and psychological in nature. Winning the population’s hearts and
minds is a form of convincing that entails actively using information as a tool
to further the mission’s goals and, simultaneously, coping with the opponents’
use of information to undermine the mission’s goals. Therefore, contemporary
PSOs must take into consideration that opponents fight with information and
must be countered with information.
One of the basic assumptions of current PSOs is that protracted ethno-
national conflict cannot by resolved by military means alone, nor by the neutral
and impartial monitoring of a ceasefire or armistice agreement, because in most
cases such an agreement simply does not exist. The resolution of protracted
ethno-national conflict requires a more comprehensive and long-term approach:
stabilization and reconstruction. Using such a multidimensional approach
requires a deeper understanding of the conflict theater and its political and
social nature. The mission becomes more complex when opponents blend in
with the civilian population. Under such conditions, when ‘‘the enemy [is]
indistinguishable from the general population,’’7 the challenge is being able to 7
differentiate between opponents and innocent civilians in order to neutralize the
former and empower the latter. The absence of such an ability can become a se-
rious weakness as the Canadian experience in Afghanistan demonstrates:
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CULTURAL INTELLIGENCE FOR PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS IN THE NEW ERA OF WARFARE 161
‘‘Perhaps the most significant vulnerability facing the CF/Army is the ability to
distinguish between the ‘good guys’ and the ‘bad guys.’’’8 8
Many PSOs can be characterized as war amongst people where the civilians
are the arena, the target, and the audience to be convinced.9 Complexities like 9
these compel learning and understanding the local culture and its politics. A
useful resource in this regard is the U.S. Marine Corps Counterinsurgency Field
Manual, which provides doctrinal instructions for improving commanders’
understanding and skills for successful coping with the complexity and unique
challenges of intrastate conflict.10 10
In such theaters intelligence becomes crucial as the strategic and operational
tool that provides distinctions between different layers of society and identifies
political tendencies and cultural aspects. When rivals use the local population
to become invisible and attack peacekeeping forces, the ‘‘rules of the game’’
are changed. The asymmetry of the situation created by the encounter between
state organized PSO forces and non-state entities like terror and guerilla groups
demands intelligence that is more rigorous and sometimes of a different nature.
Such intelligence can be acquired and created by deepening engagement with
the local population and local institutions. Engagement enables mission forces
to correctly identify the required indications for understanding the operational
context and remaining relevant.11 Engagement also provides tactical intelli- 11
gence for force protection, a factor that is much more important in PSOs than
in traditional peacekeeping.12 12
Modern PSOs are concentrated on the idea of stabilization and reconstruc-
tion and therefore face challenges that are entirely different from those of tradi-
tional peacekeeping operations. PSOs have to focus on creating a political
change that will undermine the roots of violence and establish better conditions
for resolving the conflict or managing it more successfully. One of the main
tools used in this regard is building reliable and functional governments and not
simply defeating the enemy.13 Eventually, modern PSOs deal with social engi- 13
neering, which means changing the societal and political order of the society in
conflict. Building reliable and functional governance is one of the desired out-
puts of such a process, and it cannot be achieved without a deep understanding
and established knowledge of the conflict theater, and that requires political and
societal intelligence.14 14
Gathering such intelligence, however, is no easy task. As Pasi Valimaki, a
former Kosovo Force (KFOR) intelligence officer points out, ‘‘In PSOs the
indicators can be difficult to identify and follow as they can change according
to ethnic background, geographical location, and the economic and political sit-
uation.’’15 In order to understand indicators, mission commanders must, in a
sense, adopt an anthropological approach. They must acquire the methodologi-
cal tools that will enable them to investigate and research the conflict theater
and its actors in order to track trends and understand the essence of political
developments in parallel to identifying security risks and threats towards their
troops. In order to improve their effectiveness and efficiency, they have to
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PSO intelligence should deal with the organizing rationale of local politics,
understanding cultural codes and needs and the internal order of social net-
works. PSO intelligence should seek to understand opportunities required for
advancing the political change, not just threats. Therefore, PSO intelligence
should be comprehensive and coordinated in its nature and based on a broad
understanding of social and political dimensions of the conflict theater, which
are social constructions. Consequently, ‘‘[PSO] Intelligence is ‘socially con-
structed,’ and the qualitative and quantitative methodology of social science
can be used to enhance analysis work.’’18 18
All actors in the arena are intelligence producers, and a common language
should be established between them that will lead towards fruitful cooperation.
Such a level of coordination is best ensured through common training and a
common doctrine for all PSO personnel, including civilians, police, and mili-
tary units.19 Military units have to coordinate their efforts at all levels with ci- 19
vilian units. This includes local and international NGOs and the private sector,
whose influence in PSOs is increasing.20 All units must be unified by a compre- 20
hensive plan and a clear overall political goal.21 ‘‘Planning the intelligence sup- 21
port begins with a focused Intelligence Preparation of the Environment (IPE).
The traditional Intelligence Preparation of the Battlefield (IPB) has to be
adjusted to meet the local PSO requirements and situation.’’22 All actors must 22
participate in systematic and coordinated intelligence operations. The NGOs,
the police, and the private sector gather and provide information required for
intelligence, but they are still not full partners. Private military corporations
(PMCs) have their own intelligence capabilities, which can contribute to those
of the mission.23 PMCs might also be perceived as less threatening, meaning 23
they can collect the kind of information that regular troops cannot. Further-
more, PSOs planners will have to develop strong cooperation mechanisms with
the local government and use the local government as a source of informa-
tion.24 These sources help provide one of the most important kinds of intelli- 24
gence in PSO theaters: human intelligence. The American and international
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CULTURAL INTELLIGENCE FOR PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS IN THE NEW ERA OF WARFARE 163
experience in Iraq and Afghanistan indicates that such intelligence plays a cru-
cial role in bridging the cultural gap between the local population and the PSO
force. Such a gap occurs in the encounter between the ‘‘First World,’’ repre-
sented by the PSO force, and the ‘‘Third World,’’ represented by the conflict
arena mostly in failed states. As Valimaki points out, one of the major problems
for PSO forces of this encounter is that ‘‘Our own belief system does not help
in understanding the actions of an agent with a different belief system.’’25 Qual- 25
itative human intelligence can be acquired only by close work, engagement,
and cooperation with the local population and its institutions, and heightened
engagement with the local population not only produces more information, it
necessitates more information for force protection.26 More intelligence resour- 26
ces create a flow of detailed information that should be managed and analyzed
carefully and wisely and ‘‘… that can be obtained only by a comprehensive col-
lection system.’’27 27
PSOs are long-term missions in their nature and planning, therefore they have
to engage in long-term analysis using a wide variety of information sources.28 28
One of the resources in this regard is technologically-advanced intelligence. As
intelligence gathering channels become commercially available, the United
Nations has the chance to broaden its own capabilities. It can now acquire its
own satellite technology and will have access to the intelligence databases of
major powers like Russia and the United States as well as private databases.29 29
PSO intelligence should be recognized as central tool for planning and exe-
cuting PSOs. Mission planners and commanders should develop intelligence
capabilities first in the conceptual level and then in the technological and
human levels. The intelligence should be considered as one of the most impor-
tant means for bridging the cultural gaps between the intervening forces and
the local population in the conflict theater. Cultural gaps in the context of mod-
ern PSOs become an obstacle that can endanger the mission as a whole. With-
out the ability to bridge this gap, missions risk losing their relevancy, their
effectiveness, and their efficiency.
The Canadian experience in Afghanistan emphasizes the importance of these
skills and qualifications. A recent Canadian military advisory report ‘‘recom-
mends [that] the Canadian Forces put more emphasis on language skills, gather-
ing intelligence, and developing knowledge about the societies it plans to
operate in.’’ The report also deals with the relevancy of military knowledge in
intrastate conflict theaters and recommends that the military ‘‘adapt a range of
non-military knowledge and technology.’’30 30
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166 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
deployment) but he was not permitted to show the images to his U.N. com-
mander, who was a French officer.47 Finally, U.S. and allied air response teams 47
who were tasked to support the mission had better intelligence than UNPRO-
FOR itself.48 These problems underlie the fact that missions often lack, for 48
good reasons, intelligence sharing mechanisms, which makes working together
as a unified whole rather difficult.
A reliance on national intelligence also leaves a mission highly dependent
on its force composition in terms of intelligence being brought into the mission
and its ability to be shared. As Hugh Smith has noted:
The ability of national contingents to collect and process intelligence within their
area of operations will also vary. Some, perhaps most, will simply lack the resources,
expertise, and experience to conduct intelligence activities, while some may lack an
interest in doing so. A number of countries, however, will incorporate an intelligence
capacity into a contingent as a matter of routine.49 49
Despite the importance and necessity of intelligence, it is still one of the weak-
est and least developed aspects of PSOs. Ideally, as Thuenens writes, ‘‘[The]
intelligence picture should be available before the political decision to send
troops, or participate otherwise in the peace support operation, is taken. Once
this decision is taken, intelligence personnel should be among the first to be
deployed to the mission arena, before the other troops arrive.’’51 This scenario 51
is seldom how intelligence is actually handled in PSOs, and mainly because of
a set of problems that can be categorized on two levels:
1. Inherent conceptual problems. PSOs are mostly ad hoc missions and have little
preparation time. Until the United Nations has a permanent intelligence unit
with information and knowledge on every live conflict in the world, PSOs will
have to cope with the reality of entering conflict arenas with insufficient infor-
mation and knowledge. This increases the importance of intelligence gathering
and analysis in the initial stages of the mission.
An additional conceptual problem in PSO intelligence efforts is the United
Nations’ reticence to engage in intelligence collection. The reasons behind this
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reticence are both varied and largely justified. To begin with, the United
Nations sees intelligence collection as a threat to its transparency, law-abiding-
ness, and impartiality, all three of which are pillars of its legitimacy as an
international body.52 In fact, the United Nations avoids using the term ‘‘intelli- 52
gence’’ altogether, preferring the more connotation-neutral ‘‘information.’’ Yet
these concerns are well-founded. A United Nations that engaged in the same
kind of espionage as its member states would be a threat to those same states
and become a target for espionage itself. The United Nations prefers to have
as little top secret information as possible in order to avoid tempting the loy-
alty of its own workers.
Consequently, the United Nations’ standing intelligence capability is very
limited. Its largest intelligence collection body—the Situation Center (SitCen)
at UNHQ—numbers a mere twenty-six people and limits its activities to moni-
toring open sources of information.53 The SitCen does receive intelligence 53
from member states, but this intelligence is not without problems.
Another conceptual problem relates to human intelligence, which requires
engagement with the local population, a demand with which militaries have diffi-
culties. Militaries prefer differentiating themselves from civilians and perceive
engagement with the local population in the conflict arena as a kind of threat.54 54
2. Organizational and methodological problems. Because the United Nations
fears that intelligence collection might endanger its impartiality and policies of
openness and transparency, the United Nations has no intelligence gathering
structure of it own and is dependent upon contributing nations.55 Such depend- 55
ency raises at least three problems:
a. Contributing nations share what they want to share with the United
Nations, and they are not always willing or authorized to share information
with one another.56 For example, an American general cannot share infor- 56
mation obtained from NATO with an Indian general. This creates intelli-
gence discrepancies and political sensitivities across mission contingents.
The result, at the command level, is a patchwork of intelligence that is not
unified and is not necessarily complementary. Therefore, the United
Nations’ overall intelligence picture is left highly susceptible to the inter-
ests of its intelligence contributors.
b. Contributing nations sanitize intelligence before passing it on, and the lack
of context can be misleading.
c. Different approaches, methods, and modus operandi increase the difficulties
of coordination and cooperation. Different contributing nations produce
intelligence that is a product of their national doctrines, training, and
technology.57 57
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168 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
Military forces in PSOs must often deal with threats from non-state actors, usu-
ally in the form of terror and guerilla groups who operate among civilians,
using them as shelters and human shields. This complex evolution of war com-
pels professional, Western military forces to adjust their doctrines and means of
application in order to cope effectively with new challenges.
In such a theater, the utility of force is limited. The utility of force becomes de-
pendent on the quality of cooperation between the military and civilian actors in
the arena: NGOs and international organizations, as well as local populations and
institutions. Professional soldiers are often trained and educated to utilize military
force to defeat an enemy, yet civil insurgency cannot be effectively tackled using
the same principles. When civil insurgency occurs, military force should be used
differently and in a more controlled manner, yet restraining force largely contra-
dicts the professional instincts of the qualified, professional soldier.
Under these circumstances the question of ‘‘doing the right thing the right
way’’ becomes acute and challenging. Doing the right thing means being effec-
tive: correctly defining the aims of the mission and working towards their
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170 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
This word-play demonstrates the link between the psychological and opera-
tional dimensions of the mission. The first type of cultural intelligence refers to
an individual or group’s ability (cognitive and psychological) to adapt to,
select, and shape a culturally-different environment.63 The second type of cul- 63
tural intelligence refers to the military operational function of gathering and
analyzing information about the theater and the enemy. The first kind of cul-
tural intelligence is a requirement of the latter; there is always a need to under-
stand the context and differences between yourself and your adversary, but in
the context of a war amongst the people, this demand becomes more critical.
David Thomas and his colleagues have recently developed a rich conceptual
platform for the first type of cultural intelligence. They view intelligence as a
system of interacting abilities that determine the individual or group’s ability to
adapt to an environment characterized by cultural diversity and cross-cultural
interactions.64 Although they find similarities between social and emotional 64
intelligence and cultural intelligence, they do distinguish between them by
claiming that ‘‘both of these constructs are specific to the culture in which they
were developed and do not necessarily relate to cross-cultural interactions.’’65 65
Therefore, cultural intelligence is distinct in that it is ‘‘a unique construction of
interacting abilities that exists outside the cultural boundaries in which these
abilities were developed.’’66 66
The military organization, as a well-established, hierarchal, and disciplined
organization, lives by the principle of differentiating itself from other organiza-
tions, particularly civil organizations. Under such circumstances a limited
capacity to go beyond certain cultural boundaries becomes a serious obstacle.
In principle, we can claim that the cultural boundaries of the military organiza-
tion are well blocked to outside cultural influence and that the military estab-
lishment does not welcome engagement with different cultures.
Military intelligence is organized and conceptualized in a way that serves
the military organization’s rationale. It should provide commanders and the
establishment with the capacity to understand the military aspects of the theater
in order to maximize the destructive utility of military force and defeat enemies
in the shortest possible time, thereby minimizing casualties. Military intelli-
gence and knowledge are focused and developed to achieve precisely this goal.
On the other hand, the knowledge and skills associated with cultural intelli-
gence are ‘‘linked by cultural metacognition that allows people to adapt to,
select, and shape the cultural aspects of their environment.’’67 67
Thomas claims that cultural intelligence comprises knowledge and related
skills that can only be developed in a cross-cultural context. However, as men-
tioned before, the military establishment is generally less exposed to local cul-
tural intelligence, and thus its capabilities to develop such knowledge and skills
are limited. ‘‘Specific knowledge of cultures is the foundation of cultural
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CULTURAL INTELLIGENCE FOR PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS IN THE NEW ERA OF WARFARE 171
intelligence’’ says Thomas, and he explains that this knowledge forms the basis
for ‘‘decoding the behavior of others and ourselves.’’68 Such knowledge enables 68
us to recognize the existence of other cultures. Thomas believes this knowledge
is necessary to achieve ‘‘greater predictability, more accurate attributions, and
ultimately more effective intercultural behavior.’’69 Development of these skills 69
and capabilities results in improved learning processes, which lead to enhanced
adaptability.
This is an important benefit for PSOs, whose mission effectiveness requires
a focus on the specific nature of any one context and adaptation to the chang-
ing, dynamic environment of the theater in which war amongst the people takes
place. Improving adaptation in such a theater requires the systematic generation
of new knowledge, a process which ‘‘involves learning from specific experience
with culturally different others and is the result of reflective observation, analy-
sis, and abstract conceptualization, which can create new mental categories and
recategorize others in a more sophisticated category system.’’70 70
In order to achieve military mission effectiveness in the complex theater of war
amongst the people, military commanders must understand the distinctions between
the environments in which they act. This kind of warfare requires openness to the
other and to a variety of strategic military aims. Different military aims in a new
war theater require cultural intelligence, and to be effective, such intelligence
requires well-established foundations, as described by Thomas and his colleagues.
Cooperating with civilians is not a straightforward mission for professional
soldiers. Both soldiers and civilians have to be trained to acquire the necessary
capabilities to cooperate with one another. Unity of command and chains of
command are the basic modes of organization for military professionals, while
civilian organizations are far more flexible and unity of command is an almost
alien concept. Civilians talk and think in terms of management and not in terms
of command. The difference in organizational culture between military units
and civilian organizations can constitute a tremendous obstacle to successful
cooperation. However, because PSOs demand integrated mission forces, com-
posed of military units and civilian organizations, both have to establish the
means to cooperate effectively and devote their efforts to bridging the gaps. If
their cooperation is poor, both the international community and the locals are
doomed to suffer a painful failure.
CONCLUSION
The claim that the nature of conflict is changing is, by now, an adage, but its
implications, especially for peace support operations, are not. Deployment in
intrastate conflicts leaves PSOs in a situation where ‘‘warfighting and peacekeep-
ing cannot be separated. They melt into one another, and the conduct of each
determines the success of the other.’’71 It is the importance of understanding how 71
to combine these two mission aspects that brings PSO intelligence to the fore. In
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172 THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE WORLD OF WAR AND PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS
making the transition from monitoring and verification to stabilization and recon-
struction, peacekeeping commanders will need intelligence capabilities that are
not only more powerful and varied, but of a totally different scale.
Future operations will need improved intelligence at each of the three levels
mentioned in this chapter: strategic, operational, and tactical. Without the de-
velopment of enhanced strategic intelligence, future PSOs operating in war
amongst the people theaters will find it difficult to correctly discern political
trends, weakening their ability to achieve the political goals that lie at the heart
of state-building missions. Enhanced operational intelligence is and will con-
tinue to be necessary for understanding developments in the theater, their impli-
cations, and the appropriate means for responding. This function determines
mission relevance and is a task made much more difficult by the blurred dis-
tinctions between combatant and civilian, both in the local population and
among PSO forces. Finally, PSOs demand enhanced tactical intelligence for the
accomplishment of their operations on the ground and for force protection,
tasks whose importance is vital in minimizing casualties among the force and
the local population, which, when neglected, can very quickly erode domestic
support for the mission among force-contributing nations.
Sadly, these changes will not come from UNHQ. The United Nations’ diffi-
culties in collecting and analyzing intelligence place the onus of PSO intelli-
gence squarely on the shoulders of the missions themselves, which is not
necessarily a bad thing. The kind of intelligence that second generation PSOs
need most—political and cultural—can only come from prolonged and inten-
sive engagement with the local population as well as from established and
developed human intelligence capabilities. For these kinds of intelligence, the
missions themselves are best positioned. As Wilson, Sullivan, and Kempfer
write, ‘‘future commanders have to [gain] requisite insights into adaptive ene-
mies and intelligence processes that exploit available information and can
obtain the necessary fusion of data from a wider variety of non-traditional sour-
ces.’’72 The fusion of data that the authors refer to is the product of coordinated 72
intelligence, and the most important non-traditional source of intelligence in
contemporary operations is the local population. In order to produce such intel-
ligence, mechanisms must be developed to overcome the obstacles to intelli-
gence sharing within missions, and officers must overcome the military’s
traditional reticence to engage the local population.
One of the most beneficial fruits of such engagement is cultural intelligence,
which provides force commanders with an understanding of the environment in
which they operate and the strategies necessary to contain violence and eventually
reach peace. It is cultural intelligence, in combination with political intelligence,
that allows mission commanders to understand new developments on the ground,
to adapt quickly, and to react in line with the mission’s overall goals. Given the
reticence of both the United Nations and most force-contribution nations to make
long-term troop commitments, these abilities may make the difference between
gradual success and withdrawal until the next explosion.
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Notes
INTRODUCTION
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174 NOTES
Structure of the Armed Forces of the Advanced Societies,’’ British Journal of Sociology,
45, no 4 (1994): 637–654; Christopher Dandeker, ‘‘A Farewell to Arms? The Military
and the Nation-State in a Changing World,’’ in The Adaptive Military, ed. James Burk
(New Brunswick: Transaction Press, 1998), 139–161.
9. Mary Kaldor, New and Old Wars: Organized Violence in a Globalized Era
(London: Polity Press, 2001); Martin Van Creveld, The Transformation of War (New
York: The Free Press, 1991).
10. James Burk, ‘‘Ten Years after the New Times,’’ in The Adaptive Military, ed.
James Burk (New Brunswick, N.J.: Transaction, 1998), 1–24.
11. Herfried Munkler, The New Wars (London: Polity Press, 2005); Boas Shamir
and Eyal Ben-Ari, ‘‘Leadership in an Open Army? Civilian Connections, Interorganiza-
tional Frameworks and Changes in Military Leadership,’’ in Out-of-the-Box Leadership:
Transforming the Twenty-First-Century Army and Other Top-Performing Organizations,
eds. James G. Hunt, George Dodge, and Leonard Wong (Stamford, CT: JAI Press,
1999), 15–40.
12. Katrin Radtke, From Gifts to Taxes: The Mobilization of Tamil and Eritrean
Diaspora in Interstate Warfare (Berlin: Humboldt University in Berlin, 2005).
13. Kaldor, New and Old Wars; Munkler, The New Wars.
14. Fabrizio T. Ammendola Battistelli and M.G. Galantiono, ‘‘Peacekeeping and
the Postmodern Soldier,’’ Armed Forces and Society 23 (1997): 467–484.
15. Munkler, The New Wars.
16. Rupert Smith, The Utility of Force: The Art of War in the Modern World
(London: Penguin, 2005).
17. Ibid.
18. G. Frank Hoffman, Conflict in the 21st Century: The Rise of Hybrid Wars
(Arlington, VA: Potomac Institute for Policy Studies, 2007).
19. Martin Shaw, The New Western Way of War (London: Polity, 2005).
20. Christopher Bellamy, Knights in White Armour: The New Art of War and Peace
(London: Random House, 1996), 30; James Burk, ‘‘Ten Years after the New Times,’’ in
The Adaptive Military, ed. James Burk (New Brunswick, NJ: Transaction, 1998), 12;
Charles Moskos, ‘‘Towards a Postmodern Military?’’ in Democratic Societies and their
Armed Forces: Israel in a Comparative Perspective, ed. Stuart A. Cohen (London:
Frank Cass, 2000), 5–6; Smith, ‘‘The Last Casualty,’’ 55–56.
21. Andrew J. Bacevich, The New American Militarism: How Americans are
Seduced by War (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2005).
22. Burk, Ten Years after the New Times, 1.
23. Cori Dauber, ‘‘Image as Argument: The Impact of Mogadishu on U.S. Military Inter-
vention,’’ Armed Forces and Society 27, no. 2 (2001): 205–230; Paul Hirst, War and Power in
the 21st Century (London: Polity Press, 2001); Jeffrey Record, ‘‘Collapsed Countries, Casualty
Dread, and the new American Way of War,’’ Parameters Summer (2002): 4–23.
24. Dandeker, pers. comm.
25. Yigal Levy, ‘‘The War of the Peripheries: A Social Mapping of IDF Casualties
in the Al-Aqsa Intifada,’’ Social Identities 12 (2006), 309–324.
26. Dandeker, ‘‘A Farewell to Arms,’’ 35.
27. Ibid.
28. Ariel Colonomos, ‘‘Tying the Gordian Knot: Targeted Killings and the Ethics of
Prevention’’ (Paper presented at the conference ‘‘The Moral Dimension of Asymmetrical
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176 NOTES
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eds. Walter W. Powell and Paul J. DiMaggio (Chicago: Chicago University Press,
1991), 41–62.
112. Robert Mandel, ‘‘The Privatization of Security,’’ Armed Forces and Society 28,
no. 1 (2001): 132; Eugene Smith, ‘‘The Condottieri and U.S. Policy: The Privatization
of Conflict and its Implications,’’ Parameters Winter (2002): 104.
113. Peter W. Singer, Corporate Warriors: The Rise of the Privatized Military Indus-
try (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 2003).
114. Mandel, ‘‘The Privatization of Security,’’ 129–130.
115. See also Smith, ‘‘The Condottieri and US Policy.’’
116. John Hillen, Blue Helmets: The Strategy of UN Military Operations (Wash-
ington: Brassey’s, 1998).
117. Jared F. Lawyer, ‘‘Military Effectiveness and Economic Efficiency in Peace-
keeping: Public Versus Private,’’ Oxford Development Studies 33, no. 1 (2005): 99–106.
118. Jennifer K. Elsea and Nina M. Serafino, Private Security Contractors in Iraq:
Background, Legal Status, and Other Issues (Washington D.C.: Congressional Research
Service, 2005); Mandel, ‘‘The Privatization of Security.’’
CHAPTER 1
1. This chapter is adapted from a piece originally published in Eight Essays in Con-
temporary War Studies, ed. Magnus Christiansson (Stockholm: Military Academy Karl-
berg, 2007).
2. Mary Kaldor, New and Old Wars: Organized Violence in a Globalized Era
(London: Polity Press, 2001).
3. Robert Cooper, The Postmodern State and the World Order (London, Demos, 2000).
4. Martin Van Creveld, The Transformation of War (New York: The Free Press,
1991).
5. P. Hirst, ‘‘Democracy and Governance’’ in Debating Governance, Authority,
Steering and Democracy, ed. J. Pierre (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2000), 13–35.
6. Beratrice Heuser, ‘‘Wars Since 1945: An Introduction,’’ Zeithistorische For-
schungen, http://www.zeithistorische-forschungen.de/site/40208299/default.aspx.
7. Herfried Munkler, ‘‘What is Really New About New Wars? – A Reply to the
Critics,’’ In On New Wars, ed. John Adreas A. Olsen (Oslo, Norwegian Institute for
Defence Studies, 2007), 69.
8. Ibid, 69.
9. Ibid, 80–81.
10. Christopher Dandeker and James Gow, ‘‘The Future of Peace Support Operations:
Strategic Peacekeeping and Success,’’ Armed Forces and Society, 23 (1997): 327–348.
11. Cooper, The Postmodern State.
12. G. Frank Hoffman, Conflict in the 21st Century: The Rise of Hybrid Wars
(Arlington, VA: Potomac Institute for Policy Studies, 2007), 7.
13. C. Krulak, ‘‘The Strategic Corporal: Leadership in the Three Block War,’’ Maxwell-
Gunter AFB, http://www.au.af.mil/au/awc/awcgate/usmc/strategic_corporal.htm.
14. Rupert Smith, The Utility of Force: The Art of War in the Modern World
(London: Penguin, 2005).
15. Ibid, 1.
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NOTES 181
43. Michael Mann, ‘‘The Roots and Contradictions of Modern Militarism,’’ New Left
Review 162 (1987): 35–50; C. McInnes, Spectator Sport War: The West and Contempo-
rary Conflict (Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner, 2002).
44. Karl Haltiner, ‘‘The Definite End of the Mass Army in Europe,’’ Armed Forces
& Society 25 (1998): 7–36; Karl Haltiner, ‘‘The Decline of the European Mass Armies,’’
in Handbook of Military Sociology, ed. G. Caforio (New York: Plenum, 2003), 361–
384.
45. D. Lutterbeck, ‘‘Between Police and Military: The New Security Agenda and the
Rise of Gendarmeries,’’ Cooperation and Conflict: Journal of the Nordic International
Studies Association 39 (2004): 45–68.
46. Dandeker, ‘‘Surveillance and Military Transformation.’’
47. Ibid; See also Shamir, this volume.
48. There is an extensive press debate on the General’s remarks. For an argument
that CGS should have resigned see Mathew Parris, ‘‘I agree with every word Dannatt
said. But he has got to be sacked,’’ Times (London), 14 October 2006, http://www.
timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,1065-2402956.html. Some Labour and Liberal democrat
politicians also suggested the General’s remarks were unconstitutional. See Toby Helm,
‘‘Army Chief Went too Far with his Iraq Attack, Says Blunkett,’’ Telegraph (UK), 16
October 2006, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2006/10/16/
ndannatt16.xml.
49. Bernard Boene, ‘‘Western-Type Civil Military Relations Revisited,’’ in Military,
State and Society in Israel, eds. Daniel Maman, Eyal Ben-Ari and Zeev Rosenhek, (New
Brunswick, NJ: Transaction Publishers, 2001), 43–80.
CHAPTER 2
1. Karl W. Haltiner, ‘‘The Definite End of the Mass Army in Western Europe?’’
Armed Forces & Society 25 (1998): 7–36; Franz Kernic, Paul Klein, and Karl W.
Haltiner, eds., The European Armed Forces in Transition (Frankfurt: Lang, 2005); Tibor
Szvircsev Tresch, Europas Streitkr€ afte im Wandel: Von der Wehrpflichtarmee zur Frei-
willigenstreitkraft. Eine empirische Untersuchung Europ€ aischer Streitkr€
afte, 1975 bis
2003 (PhD diss., University of Z€urich, 2005); Christopher Jehn and Zachary Selden,
‘‘The End of Conscription in Europe,’’ Contemporary Economic Policy 20 (2002): 93–
100; Marjan Malesic, ed., Conscription vs. All-Volunteer Forces in Europe (Baden-
Baden, Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft, 2003).
2. Morris Janowitz, The Professional Soldier: A Social and Political Portrait (New
York: Free Press, 1960).
3. The International Institute for Strategic Studies, The Military Balance, 1975–
2007 (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2007).
4. This implies that the ‘‘micro-states’’ in Europe (Monaco, Lichtenstein, San Mar-
ino, etc.) are not included in the research because they have no armed forces. Iceland, a
NATO member, is excluded for the same reason.
5. In the case of the WEU, we have confined ourselves to full members (Belgium,
France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Netherlands, Portugal, Spain) and associated members
(Czech Republic, Hungary, Norway, Poland, Turkey).
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182 NOTES
6. Jacques van Doorn, ‘‘The Decline of the Mass Army in the West: General Reflec-
tions,’’ Armed Forces & Society 1 (1975): 147–157; Morris Janowitz, ‘‘The Decline of
the Mass Army,’’ Military Review 52 (1972): 10–16.
7. Miepke Bos-Bax, Joseph Soeters, ‘‘The Professionalization of the Netherlands’
Armed Forces,’’ in Conscription vs. All-Volunteer Forces in Europe, Marjan Malesic,
ed. (Baden-Baden, Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft, 2003), 83–99; Philippe Manigart, ‘‘The
Professionalization of the Belgian Armed Forces,’’ in Comparative Analysis of Manning
the Armed Forces in Europe, Marjan Malesic et al., eds. (Ljubljana: University of Ljubl-
jana, 2002), 115–131; Rene Moelker, ‘‘Der Umbau der Niederl€andischen Streitkr€afte
und die Sich Wandelnde Sicht des Milit€arberufes,’’ in Europas Armeen im Umbruch,
Karl W. Haltiner and Paul Klein, eds. (Baden-Baden: Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft,
2002), 159–177; Jan Van der Meulen and Philippe Manigart, ‘‘Zero Draft in the Low
Countries: The Final Shift to the All-Volunteer Force,’’ Armed Forces & Society, 24
(1997): 315–332.
8. Rafael Ajangiz, ‘‘The European Farewell to Conscription?’’ in The Comparative
Study of Conscription in the Armed Forces, Lars Mjøset and Stephan van Holde, eds.
(Amsterdam: Elsevier Science, 2002), 307–333; Fabrizio Battistelli, ‘‘The Professionaliza-
tion of the Italian Armed Forces,’’ in Conscription vs. All-Volunteer Forces in Europe,
Marjan Malesic, ed. (Baden-Baden, Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft, 2003), 151–170; Bernard
Bo€ene, ‘‘Going, Going Gone: How France Did Away With Conscription (1996–2001),’’ in
Conscription vs. All-Volunteer Forces in Europe, Marjan Malesic, ed. (Baden-Baden,
Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft, 2003), 101–131; Paul Klein and Christophe Pajon, ‘‘Die Mil-
it€arreform in Frankreich,’’ in Europas Armeen im Umbruch, Karl W. Haltiner and Paul
Klein, eds. (Baden-Baden: Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft, 2002), 109–122.
9. Karl W. Haltiner, Paul Klein, eds., Europas Armeen im Umbruch (Baden-Baden:
Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft, 2002); Tresch, Europas Streitkr€ afte im Wandel; Marie
Vlachova, The Professionalization of the Czech Armed Forces, Working Paper no. 18
(Geneva: Geneva Centre for the Democratic Control of Armed Forces, 2003).
10. For the selection of the countries, see the methodological section of the chapter.
Source: IISS, The Military Balance.
11. Kernic, Klein, and Haltiner, The European Armed Forces in Transition.
12. Anne Deighton and Victor Mauer, eds., Securing Europe? Implementing the
European Security Strategy (Z€urich: Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, 2006).
13. Ines-Jaqueline Werkner, Wehrpflicht oder Freiwilligenarmee? (Frankfurt: Lang, 2006).
14. Gilles Andreani, Christoph Bertram, and Charl Grant, Europe’s Military Revolu-
tion (London: Center for European Reform, 2000); William Hopkinson, Sizing and
Shaping European Armed Forces: Lessons and Considerations from the Nordic Coun-
tries, SIPRI Policy Paper no. 7, 2004.
15. Gustav Lindstrom, Enter the EU Battlegroups, Chaillot-Paper No. 97 (Paris: EU
Institute for Security Studies, 2007).
16. European Commission, ‘‘Standard Eurobarometer 64: Public Opinion in the EU,
June 2006,’’ European Commission, http://ec.europa.eu/public_opinion/archives/eb/
eb64/eb64_en.htm.
17. This thesis is supported by an international expert survey conducted by Tresch.
See Tresch, Europas Streitkr€ afte im Wandel.
18. IISS, The Military Balance. Troops employed in own territorries overseas and
deployment in Germany are not taken into account.
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NOTES 183
CHAPTER 3
1. The story was reported and the video was shown in all three main Israeli TV
news channels as well as all other news media, such as news sites on the internet and in
the written press, the following morning.
2. British Army, Land Operations, Army Doctrine Publication, AC 71819 (2005), 20.
3. The Military Contribution to Peace Support Operations, Joint Warfare Publica-
tion 3-50 Second Edition, The Joint Doctrine & Concepts Center, MOD (2004), 1.
4. Ibid, 2–11.
5. Ibid, 2–14.
6. Ibid, 3–4.
7. Ibid, 3.
8. Dandeker, this volume.
9. Charles C. Krulak, ‘‘The Strategic Corporal: Leadership in the Three Block
War,’’ Marine Corps Gazette 83 (1999): 18–22.
10. Joint Doctrine and Concepts Center, British Ministry of Defense, The Military
Contribution to Peace Support Operations, Joint Warfare Publication 3-50, 2nd ed.,
(2004).
11. William S. Lind, Maneuver Warfare Handbook, (Boulder, CO: Westview Press,
1985), 98–107.
12. Wener Widder, ‘‘German Army, Auftragstaktik and Inner Fuhrung: Trademarks
of German Leadership,’’ Military Review (2002), 3.
13. Ron Ben Ishay, ‘‘Hpirtza Sheshinta et Pney Hakravot,’’ Yedioth Ahronot, 12
October 2005.
14. Quoted in Uzi Ben Shalom and Eitan Shamir, ‘‘Reality Redefines Mission Com-
mand: The IDF Experience,’’ Ma’archot (forthcoming).
15. Ibid.
16. Moshe Tamir, Undeclared War (Tel Aviv: Israeli Ministry of Defense, 2006).
17. Rupert Smith, ‘‘RSA Utility of Force,’’ (lecture presented as part of RSA series
on the changing nature of war, Brussels, Belgium, 7 May 2008), emphasis added.
18. The incident was also widely published and debated in the media. See, for
example, Edward Wang and Jason Horowitz, ‘‘Italian Hostage Returns Home After 2nd
Brush With Death,’’ The New York Times, 5 March 2005, http://www.nytimes.com/
2005/03/05/international/middleeast/05italy.html?ex=1401595200&en=935183cee9a4bd
49&ei=5007&partner=USERLAND.
19. ‘‘Bush Apologizes to Italy Again for Shooting of Agent,’’ NY1 News, 4 May
2004, http://208.198.20.182/ny1/content/index.jsp?stid=3&aid=50591.
20. Seymour Hersh, ‘‘Torture at Abu Gharhib, American Soldiers Brutalized Iraqis.
How Far Up Does the Responsibility Go?’’ The New Yorker, 10 May 2004, http://
www.newyorker.com/archive/2004/05/10/040510fa_fact.
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184 NOTES
21. Haim Biny’amini as quoted in Haim Lapid and Hagai Ben Zvi, ‘‘Leadership
Concepts and Training of Commanders, a Development Over Time Among
Commanders of Bad-1,’’ in On Leadership: Theory of Leadership in the IDF, Leader-
ship Development, eds. Micha Poper and Ronen Avihu (Tel Aviv: Israeli Ministry of
Defense, 2001), 159.
22. British Army, Land Operations, 33–34.
23. Daniel J. Hughes, ed., Moltke on the Art of War: Selected Writings (Novato, CA:
Persidio Press, 1993).
24. Noam Tibon, ‘‘IDF Ground Forces Command,’’ (presentation at the IDF Ground
Forces Psychology Conference, Tel Aviv, 14 February 2006).
25. US Army Headquarters, Counterinsurgency, FM 3-24/MCWP 3-33.5, (Wash-
ington, D.C.: US Army Headquarters, 2006), 115.
26. British Army, Land Operations, 116.
27. On the circumstances of adopting maneuver warfare mission command into the
U.S. doctrine, see Richard Lock-Pullan, ‘‘How to Rethink War: Conceptual Innovation
and Airland Battle Doctrine,’’ The Journal of Strategic Studies, 28, no. 4 (2004): 679–
702; On mission command development in the IDF see Sergio Catignani and Eitan
Shamir, ‘‘Mission Command and Bitsuism in the Israeli Defense Forces: Are They Com-
plementary or Contradictory in Today’s Counterinsurgency Campaign?’’ in Dimensions
of Military Leadership Vol.1, eds. Allister MacIntyre and Karen Davis (Ontario:
Canadian Defense Academy Press, 2006), 185–215.
28. US Army, Mission Command: Command and Control of Army Forces, FM 6-0
(Washington DC: U.S. Army Headquarters, 2003); U.S. Marines, Warfighting, MCDP 1
(Washington DC: U.S. Navy Headquarters, 1997), 77–81.
29. British Army, Land Operations, 115.
30. Ibid., 133–134.
31. Moshe Shamir and Hila Sagi, 50 Years Jubilee to the IDF Command and General
Staff College (Tel Aviv: Israeli Ministry Of Defense, 2004), 58.
32. Kobi Michael, ‘‘The Israel Defense Forces as an Epistemic Authority: An Intel-
lectual Challenge in the Reality of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict,’’ Journal of Strategic
Studies, 30, no. 3, (2007): 431.
33. Amos Harel, ‘‘Report: Palestinians Abandon 1,000 Hebron Homes Under IDF,
Settler Pressure,’’ Ha’aretz, 14 May 2007, http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/objects/pages/
PrintArticleEn.jhtml?itemNo=859084.
34. Hanan Greenberg, ‘‘We Were Facing an Impossible Situation,’’ Yediot Ahranot,
13 May 2007, http://www.ynet.co.il/articles/0,7340,L-3399397,00.html.
35. Ibid.
36. In mission command, every mission must have a reason, and the commander
should understand its purpose and role as part of the greater scheme of things. Therefore
the paragraph ‘‘in order to’’ in the mission statement is a central piece in mission
command.
37. British Army, Land Operations, 130.
38. U.S. Army Headquarters, Counterinsurgency.
39. Ibid., 3–6.
40. John F. Schmitt, ‘‘A Systemic Concept for Operational Design,’’ Marine Corps
Warfighting Laboratory, http://www.mcwl.usmc.mil/concepts/home.cfm.
41. Tibon, ‘‘IDF Ground Forces Command.’’
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NOTES 185
42. Liora Sion, ‘‘Too Sweet and Innocent for War?’’ Armed Forces & Society, 32
(2006): 454–474.
43. ‘‘How to Do Better? The American Army Has Become More Intelligent and
Hopes to Be More Effective,’’ The Economist, 17 December 2005, 25.
44. Donald E. Vandergriff, Raising the Bar: Creating and Nurturing Adaptability to
Deal with the Changing Face of War (Washington DC: Center for Defense Information,
2006); Douglas Macgregor, Transformation Under Fire: Revolutionizing How America
Fights, (West Port CT: Praeger, 2003).
45. T. N. Dupuy, Genius for War: The German Army and General Staff 1807–1945,
(Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall, 1977), 116.
CHAPTER 4
1. This process was first described by Phillip Knightley in 1975 (first edition). See
Phillip Kinghtly, The First Casualty: The War Correspondent as Hero and Myth-Maker
from the Crimea to Iraq, 3rd ed., (Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins University Press,
2004).
2. For an excellent example of the disparity between the full observed reality and
the authorized and published versions of events on the Eastern front from the Soviet per-
spective, see Vasily Grossman, A Writer at War: Vassily Grossman with the Red Army,
1941–1945 (London: Harvill Press, 2005). Grossman was embedded with several mili-
tary units as a correspondent for the Red Army paper, and his book contains both his
published pieces and excerpts from his diaries, which show how much of the negative
he kept out of the reports.
3. It is often possible to see the effects of specific conflicts on research. The 1990 to
1991 Gulf War produced the first study to gain attention on the issue and establish the
term ‘‘the CNN factor.’’ See Nik Gowing, ‘‘Real-Time Television Coverage on Armed
Conflicts and International Crises: Does it Pressure or Distort Foreign Policy Deci-
sions?’’ Working Paper 94-1 (Boston: Kennedy School of Government, 1994). The Bal-
kans, and especially the Bosnian conflict, produced much writing around the media. See,
for example, Nik Gowing, ‘‘Media Coverage: Help or Hindrance in Conflict Preven-
tion?’’ A Report to the Carnegie Commission on Preventing Deadly Conflict (Wash-
ington, DC: Carnegie Commission on Preventing Deadly Conflict, 1997); James
Gow, Bosnia by Television (London: BFI, 1996); Warren P. Strobel, ‘‘The CNN Effect:
How Much Influence Does the 24-Hour News Network Really Have on Foreign
Policy?’’ American Journalism Review (1996): 32–37; Warren P. Strobel, Late-Breaking
Foreign Policy: The News Media’s Influence on Peace Operations (Washington, DC:
United States Institute of Peace, 1997); Miles Hudson and John Stanier, War and the
Media: A Random Searchlight (Stroud, Glos.: Sutton, 1997), esp. ch. 12, ‘‘The Balkan
Tragedy, 1990–1996,’’ 263–302; Ilana Bet-El, ‘‘Black and White: Journalism and the
Bosnian War,’’ Cross Currents: A Journal for Journalists (Oxford: Oxford University
Press, 1997), 2–7; Ilana Bet-El, ‘‘Playing to Different Audiences: The U.N. and the
Media in the Bosnian War,’’ Reuter Foundation Paper No. 106 (Oxford: Green College,
1998); Monroe E. Price, ‘‘Memory, the Media and NATO: Information Intervention in
Bosnia-Hercegovina,’’ in Memory & Power in Post-War Europe: Studies in the Pres-
ence of the Past, ed. Jan-Werner Mueller (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press,
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186 NOTES
2002), 137–154. More recently, the Iraq conflict has led to new research, such as Sean
Aday, Steven Livingston, and Maeve Hebert, ‘‘Embedding the Truth: A Cross-Cultural
Analysis of Objectivity and Television Coverage of the Iraq War,’’ Harvard Interna-
tional Journal of Press/Politics, 10 (2005): 3–21.
4. To be clear, the reference here and throughout this paper is to the military as the
armed forces of states, predominantly Western, that operate either on their own behalf
or as part of international interventions.
5. Rupert Smith, The Utility of Force: The Art of War in the Modern World
(London: Allen Lane, 2005).
6. On the change in paradigms of war see Smith, The Utility of Force; for a discus-
sion of the role of the media in the new paradigm see pages 284–289. For other discus-
sions on the role of contemporary media in conflict, see also Thomas Rid, War and
Media Operations: The U.S. Military and the Press from Vietnam to Iraq (London:
Routledge, 2007); Milena Michalski and James Gow, War, Image and Legitimacy:
Viewing Contemporary Conflict (London: Routledge, 2007).
7. The Shorter Oxford English Dictionary, vol. 1 (London: Guild Publishing/Oxford
University Press, 1988).
8. As a matter of simplicity and clarity, I am using the masculine in reference to
soldiers, though the entire discussion is of course relevant to the female and the many
women who now serve in armed forces and in combat zones.
9. The Shorter Oxford English Dictionary.
10. Tony Blair (speech delivered at the Reuters Institute for the Study of Journalism, 12
June 2007), http://uk.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUKZWE24585220070612?src=061207_
1647_TOPSTORY_blair_attacks_media.
11. Jeremy Paxman, ‘‘Never Mind the Scandals: What’s it All For?’’ (James Mac-
Taggart Memorial Lecture, Edinburgh Festival, 24 August 2007), http://image.guardian.
co.uk/sys-files/Media/documents/2007/08/24/MacTaggartLecture.pdf
12. Ibid.
13. Mike Capstick encapsulates this core issue in his excellent analysis of the strate-
gic failure in the Afghanistan conflict, which stemmed from ‘‘the collective failure of
American and NATO leaders to understand the true nature of conflict in failed and fail-
ing states. This failure led to the application of military force using concepts, doctrine,
tactics, and equipment optimized for ‘state—on—state’ conflicts characterized by
clashes between similarly organized military forces, but not well-adapted to the realities
of warfare waged by non-state actors in failed and failing states.’’ (Mike Capstick, ‘‘The
Civil-Military Effort in Afghanistan: A Strategic Perspective,’’ Journal Of Military And
Strategic Studies, 10 (2007): 1–19.
14. The Economist, 17 August 2006.
CHAPTER 5
1. In this chapter, I apply the contemporary term ‘‘peace support operations’’ to the
full spectrum of peacekeeping missions, past and present. Related terms such as ‘‘stabil-
ity operations’’ and ‘‘stabilization operations’’ and ‘‘stability and reconstruction opera-
tions’’ are taken to be synonymous with ‘‘peace support operations.’’
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NOTES 187
2. For a discussion of Ogarkov and his writings, see Dale R. Herspring, ‘‘Nikolai
Ogarkov and the Scientific-Technical Revolution in Soviet Military Affairs,’’ Compara-
tive Strategy, 6 (1987): 29–59.
3. For discussions of the RMA concept see Max Boot, War Made New: Technology,
Warfare, and the Course of History, 1500 to Today (New York: Gotham Books, 2006);
Elinor C. Sloan, The Revolution in Military Affairs: Implications for Canada and NATO
(Montreal: McGill-Queen’s University Press, 2002); Thierry Gongora and Harald von Riekh-
off, eds., Toward a Revolution in Military Affairs: Defense and Security at the Dawn of the
Twenty-First Century (Westport, CT: Greenwood Press, 2000); Richard Hundley, Past Revo-
lutions, Future Transformations (Santa Monica, CA: RAND, 1999); Eliot A. Cohen, ‘‘A Rev-
olution in Warfare,’’ Foreign Affairs, 75 (1996): 37–54; Andrew F. Krepinevich, ‘‘Cavalry to
Computer: The Pattern of Military Revolutions,’’ The National Interest, 37 (1994): 30–42.
4. See William A. Owens, ‘‘The Emerging System of Systems,’’ Strategic Forum,
63 (1996): 35–39; Stuart Johnson and Martin Libicki, eds., Dominant Battlespace
Knowledge (Washington, DC: National Defense University Press, 1995); Bill Owens
and Ed Offley, Lifting the Fog of War (New York: Farrar, Straus, Giroux, 2000).
5. William J. Perry, Annual Report to the President and the Congress (Washington,
DC: Department of Defense, 1995), part iv.
6. Ronald O’Rourke, Defense Transformation: Background and Oversight Issues
for Congress, CRS Report RL32238 (Washington, D.C.: Congressional Research Serv-
ice, 2006), 5.
7. Hans Binnendijk, ed., Transforming America’s Military (Washington, DC:
National Defense University Press, 2002), xvii.
8. National Defense Panel, Transforming Defense: National Security in the 21st
Century (Washington, DC: National Defense Panel, 1997), 57.
9. William S. Cohen, Annual Report to the President and the Congress.
(Washington, DC: Department of Defense, 1995), ch. 13.
10. Donald H. Rumsfeld, ‘‘Transforming the Military,’’ Foreign Affairs, 81 (2002), 31.
11. U.S. Joint Forces Command, J9 Joint Futures Lab, A Concept for Rapid Decisive
Operations, RDO White Paper Version 2.0, Coordinating Draft (2001), www.global
security.org/military/library/report/2001/RDO.doc, ii.
12. For a discussion of the early development of the ‘‘shock and awe’’ concept, see
Harlan Ullman and James P. Wade, Shock and Awe: Achieving Rapid Dominance
(Washington, DC: National Defense University Press, 1996).
13. Arthur K. Cebrowski and John J. Garstka, ‘‘Network-Centric Warfare: Its Origin
and Future,’’ Proceedings 124 (1998); David S. Alberts, John J. Garstka, and Frederick
P. Stein, Network Centric Warfare: Developing and Leveraging Information Superiority,
2nd ed., (Washington, DC: CCRP Publication Services, 1999).
14. Paul M. Mitchell, ‘‘Network Centric Warfare: Coalition Operations in the Age of
U.S. Military Primacy,’’ Adelphi Paper 385 (London: International Institute for Strategic
Studies, 2006), 7.
15. See Gordon R. Sullivan and James M. Dubik, Land Warfare in the 21st Century
(Carlisle, PA: U.S. Army Strategic Studies Institute, 1993).
16. Frederick W. Kagan, Finding the Target: The Transformation of American Mili-
tary Policy (New York: Encounter Books, 2006), esp. ch. 4.
17. Michael J. Mazarr, et al., The Military Technical Revolution: A Structural Frame-
work (Washington, DC: Center for Strategic and International Studies, 1993).
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188 NOTES
18. Michael G. Vickers and Robert C. Martinage, The Military Revolution and Intra-
state Conflict (Washington, DC: Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, 1997).
19. National Defense Panel, Transforming Defense, 31.
20. O’Rourke, Defense Transformation, 25.
21. Nina M. Serafino, ‘‘Peacekeeping and Related Stability Operations: Issues of
U.S. Military Involvement,’’ Congressional Research Service Briefing for Congress,
CRS IB940040, (Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service, 2006).
22. David H. Gurney, ‘‘An Interview with Acting Director, DOD Office of Force
Transformation, Terry J. Pudas,’’ Joint Force Quarterly 42 (2006), 34.
23. Paul Dibb, ‘‘The Revolution in Military Affairs and Asian Security,’’ Survival 39
(1997–1998), 95; Richard Bitzinger, Transforming the U.S. Military: Implications for
the Asia-Pacific (Barton, ACT: Australian Strategic Policy Institute, 2006).
24. Strategic Defence Review (Ministry of Defence, July 1998), 11.
25. Defence 2000: Our Future Defence Force (Commonwealth of Australia, 2000),
107.
26. Network Centric Warfare Roadmap (Department of Defence, Commonwealth of
Australia, 2005).
27. Patrick Bratton, ‘‘France and the Revolution in Military Affairs,’’ Contemporary
Security Policy, Vol. 23 (2002), 87–112.
28. Strategic Defence Review (London: U.K. Ministry of Defence, 1998), http://
www.mod.uk/NR/rdonlyres/65F3D7AC-4340-4119-93A2-20825848E50E/0/sdr1998_
complete.pdf, 14.
29. Delivering Security in a Changing World, Defence White Paper (London: UK
Ministry of Defence, 2003), http://www.mod.uk/NR/rdonlyres/147C7A19-8554-4DAE-
9F88-6FBAD2D973F9/0/cm6269_future_capabilities.pdf, 8.
30. Building Combat Capability, Australian policy statement, http://www.liberal.
org.au/documents/1998_election/defence/defence.html
31. Chief of the Defence Staff, Shaping the Future of the Canadian Forces: A Strat-
egy for 2020 (Ottawa: Department of National Defence, 1999); Defence Planning Guid-
ance 2001 (Ottawa: Department of National Defence, 2000); Canadian Department of
National Defence, Defence Plan 2001 (Ottawa: Department of National Defence, April
2001).
32. Delivering Security in a Changing World, 1.
33. Canadian Department of National Defence, Defence Plan 2001, 5–2.
34. Gerry Gilmore, ‘‘Rumsfeld: NATO, like U.S., Needs to Transform its Military,’’
American Forces Information Service, 22 September 2002.
35. North Atlantic Treaty Organization, ‘‘Prague Summit Declaration,’’ press release
(2002) 127, Prague NATO Summit Meeting, 21–22 November 2002, 21 November
2002, http://www.nato.int/docu/pr/2002/p02-127e.htm.
36. Daniel S. Hamilton, ed., Transatlantic Transformations: Equipping NATO for the
21st Century (Washington, DC: Center for Transatlantic Relations, 2004).
37. North Atlantic Treaty Organization, ‘‘The NATO Response Force—NRF,’’
NATO briefing, January 2005, 25 October 2005, http://www.nato.int/docu/briefing/
nrf-e.pdf; NATO, ‘‘The NATO Response Force—NRF,’’ North Atlantic Treaty Organi-
zation, http://www.nato.int/shape/issues/shape_nrf/nrf_intro.htm.
38. Understanding NATO’s Military Transformation, NATO Allied Command Trans-
formation Public Information Office, 12.
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CHAPTER 6
1. Thanks to Kobi Michael, Eyal Ben-Ari, David Kellen, and Jim Fergusson for
their leadership in this project, and to Sean Maloney, Michael Hennessy, Lew Diggs,
Galia Golan, Walid Salem, and Liora Sion for insights and comments.
2. Generals like Sir Michael Jackson, analysts like Gwynne Dyer, and even philoso-
phers like Sam Harris have all pointed out the stupidity and fuzzy thinking inherent in a
‘‘war on terror’’ so I will not belabor that point.
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3. James Carroll, House of War: The Pentagon and the Disastrous Rise of American
Power (Boston: Houghton-Mifflin, 2006); Robert F. Gass, Theory, Doctrine, and Ball
Bearings: Adapting Future Technology to Warfare (Leavenworth, KS: U.S. Army Com-
mand and General Staff College, 1996).
4. Time Benbow, The Magic Bullet? Understanding the Revolution in Military
Affairs (London: Brassey’s, 2004), 10.
5. Donald Vandergriff, The Path to Victory: America’s Army and the Revolution in
Human Affairs (New York: Presidio, 2002).
6. Thomas G. Mahnken and James R. FitzSimonds, The Limits of Transformation:
Officer Attitudes towards the Revolution in Military Affairs (Washington, DC: U.S. Navy
Headquarters, 2006).
7. Pamela Krause, Michel S. Loescher, Chris Schoreder, and Charles W. Thomas,
Proteus: Insights from 2020 (Washington, DC: Copernicus Institute Press, 2000); Ming
Zhang, ‘‘War Without Rules: Western Rules and Methods of War’’ Bulletin of the
Atomic Scientists 6 (1999), 16. Zhang reports on the book by Qiao Liang and Wang
Xianghui, Chao Xian Zhan:Dui Quanqui Hua Shidai Zhanzheng yu Zhanfa de Xiangding
(Warfare Beyond Rules: Judgment of War and the Methods of War in the Era of Global-
ization) (Beijing: People’s Liberation Army Art Press, 1999).
8. Benbow, The Magic Bullet, 154–170.
9. James F. Rochlin, Social Forces and the Revolution in Military Affairs: The
Cases of Colombia and Mexico (London: Palgrave-MacMillan, 2007); Chris Demchak,
‘‘Wars of Disruption: International Competition and Information Technology-Driven
Military Organizations,’’ Contemporary Security Policy 24 (2003): 75–112.
10. RMA might be seen as a culmination of Polanyi’s Great Transformation, in
which the modern world separated first magical thinking (religion) and then economics
from the political. Technology divorced from politics, economics, and society offers no
solutions.
11. John Arquilla and David Ronfeldt, eds., Networks and Netwars: The Future of
Terror, Crime, and Militancy (Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation for National
Defense Research Institute, 2001).
12. A chapter by Luther P. Gerlach, ‘‘The Structure of Social Movements: Environ-
mental Activism and its Opponents,’’ in Networks and Netwars cites more than 30 sour-
ces, not one of which could be classed as sociological. A third are by Gerlach himself,
and most of the rest are newspaper and website sources.
13. Frank Kitson, Low Intensity Operations: Subversion, Insurgency, and Peacekeep-
ing (St. Petersberg, FL: Hailer Publishing, 2002). Frank Kitson, Gangs and Counter-
gangs (London: Barrie and Rockliff, 1960).
14. John A. Nagl, Learning to Eat Soup with a Knife: Counterinsurgency Lessons
from Malaya and Vietnam (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2002).
15. Ibid, 195.
16. Thomas X. Hammes, The Sling and the Stone: On War in the 21st Century
(St. Paul, MN: Zenith Press, 2006), 2.
17. Ibid, 189.
18. Ibid, 231.
19. John T. Fishel and Max G. Manwaring, Uncomfortable Wars Revisited (Norman,
OK: University of Oklahoma Press, 2006).
20. Ibid., 270.
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192 NOTES
21. Stephen H. Roberts, History of French Colonial Policy 1870–1925 (London: P.S.
King and Son, 1929).
22. Walter Nimocks, Milner’s Young Men: The Kindergarten in Edwardian Foreign
Policy (Durham, NC: Yale University Press, 1968); Keith Breckenridge, ‘‘Lord Milner’s
Registry: The Origins of South African Exceptionalism,’’ (sem. paper, University of
Kwazulu-Natal, 2004).
23. Albert Grundlingh, ‘‘Protectors and Friends of the People? The South African
Constabulary in the Transvaal and the Orange River Colony, 1900–1908’’ in Policing the
Empire: Government, Authority and Control, 1830-1940, eds. David M. Anderson and
David Killingray (New York: Manchester University Press, 1991), 168–182; Sam Steele,
Forty Years in Canada: Reminiscences of the Great North-West with Some Account of
His Service in South Africa, ed. Mollie Glen Niblett (Toronto: Prospero, 2000), 365–388.
Steele’s account is interesting because it bridges the end of hostilities seen from a
military point of view, and the establishment of civil policing, including registration of
the civil population.
24. C. E. Callwell, Small Wars: Their Principles and Practice, 3rd ed., (Lincoln,
NB: University of Nebraska Press, 1996).
25. Callwell, Small Wars, 135–137; Ian F. W. Beckett, Modern Insurgencies and
Counter-Insurgencies: Guerrillas and Their Opponents since 1750 (London: Routledge,
2001), 40–41.
26. I use imperialism here as a descriptive rather than a pejorative term. It implies
wars to preserve the established order that suits the hegemonic power, in this case the
United States.
27. V. I. Lenin, Socialism and War (The Attitude of the RSDLP Towards War)
(Moscow: Progress Publishers, 1950), 13.
28. Richard E. Feinberg, The Intemperate Zone: The Third World Challenge to U.S.
Foreign Policy (New York: W.W. Norton, 1983).
29. Thomas P.M. Barnett, The Pentagon’s New Map: War and Peace in the 21st
Century (New York: Putnam’s, 2004); Thomas P.M. Barnett, Blueprint for Action: A
Future Worth Creating (New York: Penguin, 2005).
30. Immanuel Wallerstein, World System Analysis: An Introduction (Durham, NC:
Duke University Press, 2004); Leften Stavrianos, Global Rift: The Third World Comes
of Age (New York: Harper Perennial, 1981).
31. Meghnad Desai, ‘‘The Possibility of Deglobalization,’’ in Globalization, Social
Capital, and Inequality: Contested Concepts, Contested Experiences, eds. Wilfred
Dolfsma and Charlie Dannreuther (Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar Publishers, 2003).
32. Barry K. Gills and John Kenneth Galbraith, Globalization and the Politics of
Resistance (London: Palgrave Macmillan, 2001).
33. Mark Duffield, Global Governance and the New Wars: The Merging of Develop-
ment and Security (London: Zed, 2000).
34. Jonathan Nitzan and Shimshon Bichler, The Global Political Economy of Israel
(London: Pluto, 2002).
35. Maury D. Feld, The Structure of Violence: Armed Forces as Social Systems
(London: Sage, 1977).
36. Paul H. Herbert, Deciding What Has to be Done? General William E. Dupuy and
the 1976 Edition of FM100-5 Operations (Fort Leavenworth, KS: Combat Studies Insti-
tute, 1988).
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NOTES 193
37. Mai’a K. Davis Cross, The European Diplomatic Corps: Diplomats and Interna-
tional Cooperation from Westphalia to Maastricht (Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan,
2007), 60–61.
38. Ibid., 68–137.
39. Georgios (Prince of Greece) The Cretan Drama: The Life and Memoirs of Prince
George of Greece, High Commissioner in Crete, 1898–1908 (New York: R. Speller,
1959).
40. David W. Wainhouse, International Peace Observation: A History and Forecast
(Baltimore, MD: John’s Hopkins University Press, 1966).
41. Stephen C. Schlesinger, Act of Creation: The Founding of the United Nations
(Boulder, CO: Westview, 2003), 24; Margaret Macmillan, Paris 1919: Six Months that
Changed the World (New York: Random House, 2001), 478.
42. Devesh Kapur, John Lewis, and Richard Webb, The World Bank: Its First Half
Century (Washington, DC: Brookings, 1997), 59–67.
43. Nat J. Colletta and Michelle L. Cullen, Violent Conflict and the Transformation
of Social Capital: Lessons from Cambodia, Rwanda, Guatemala, and Somalia (Wash-
ington, DC: The World Bank, 2000).
44. Michael Woolcock, ‘‘Social Capital and Economic Development: Toward a The-
oretical Synthesis and Policy Framework,’’ Theory and Society 27 (1998): 151–208; Ben
Fine, ‘‘The Development State is Dead: Long Live Social Capital,’’ Development and
Change 30 (1999): 1–19.
45. Colletta and Cullen, Violent Conflict, 9.
46. Gordon Marshall, Dictionary of Sociology (New York: Oxford University Press,
1998), 258; Malcolm Waters, Globalization (New York: Routledge, 1995).
47. Philip McMichael, ‘‘World-System Analysis, Globalization and Incorporated
Comparison,’’ Journal of World Systems Research 6 (2000): 68–99.
48. Baruch Shimoni and Harriet Bergmann, ‘‘Managing in a Changing World: From
Multiculturalism to Hybridization—The Production of Hybrid Management Cultures in
Israel, Thailand and Mexico,’’ Academy of Management Perspectives 20 (2006): 76–89.
49. Ken Wiwa, ‘‘It’s the People, Stupid: When Corporations Carry the Flag to the
War Zone,’’ Corporate Knights 1 (2003): 12–13.
50. Yahaya Hashim and Kate Meagher. Cross-Border Trade and the Parallel Cur-
rency Market—Trade and Finance in the Context of Structural Adjustment: A Case
Study from Kano, Nigeria, Nordiska Afrikainstitutet Research Report no. 113 (Uppsala:
Nordiska Afrikainstitutet, 1999).
51. Toby Heaps, ‘‘The Heart of Darkness,’’ Corporate Knights 16 (2006): 19–22.
52. Mary Kaldor, New & Old Wars: Organized Violence in a Global Era (Chicago:
Stanford University Press, 1999); Duffield, Global Governance and the New Wars.
53. Allan Gerson and Nat J. Colletta, Privatizing Peace: From Conflict to Security
(Ardsley, NY: Transnational Publishers, 2002), 104–107.
54. Ibid, 175.
55. Ibid, 155–65.
56. Ibid, 191–99.
57. Andreas Wenger and Daniel Mockli, Conflict Prevention: The Untapped Poten-
tial of the Private Sector (Boulder, CO: Lynne Reinner, 2003).
58. Peter Brand and Michael J. Thomas, Urban Environmentalism: Global Change
and the Mediation of Local Conflict (New York: Routledge, 2005).
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194 NOTES
59. David H. Bayley, The Police and Political Development in India (Princeton, NJ:
Princeton University Press, 1969).
60. Charles Reith, A Short History of the British Police (London: Oxford University
Press, 1948).
61. John Sewell, Police: Urban Policing in Canada (Toronto: J. Lorimer, 1985).
62. Bryan R. Roberts, The Making of Citizens: Cities of Peasants Revisited (London:
Arnold, 1995).
63. Canadian Department of Foreign Affairs, Human Security for an Urban Century:
Local Challenges, Global Perspectives (Ottawa: Department of Foreign Affairs, 2007).
64. Sam Logan, ‘‘Public Security and Organized Armed Violence in Rio de Janeiro,’’
in Human Security for an Urban Century (Ottawa: Department of Foreign Affairs,
2007), 28–30.
65. Graham Willis, ‘‘The Privatization of Security in Sao Paulo: Sure-Fire Security
or Catalyst for Urban Conflict?’’ in Human Security for an Urban Century (Ottawa:
Department of Foreign Affairs, 2007), 30–32.
66. Author interviews with Southern Cross and Mount Everest Security managers,
U.N. Civilian Police, and British Commonwealth Police Training Team, Freetown, June
2001.
67. Nicolas Florquin, ‘‘Small Arms in Urban Environments,’’ in Human Security for
an Urban Century (Ottawa: Department of Foreign Affairs, 2007), 32–38.
68. Katherine Donohue, ‘‘Increasing Stability by Improving Urban Security:
USAID’s Haiti Transition Initiative in Port-au-Prince,’’ in Human Security for an Urban
Century (Ottawa: Department of Foreign Affairs, 2007). 92–94.
69. David Last, ‘‘Balkan Operations in the 1990s: Stepping-Stones to Improved
Peacekeeping,’’ in Give Peace a Chance, ed. Charles Pentland (Montreal: McGill-
Queen’s Press, 2003).
70. Peter Knip, ‘‘Local Governments Work Together to Build Peace in the Middle
East,’’ in Human Security for an Urban Century (Ottawa: Department of Foreign
Affairs, 2007), 104–107.
71. Hilaire Belloc, ‘‘The Modern Traveller,’’ University of Pennsylvania Online
Library, http://onlinebooks.library.upenn.edu/webbin/book/lookupid?key=olbp38186.
72. Rupert Smith, The Utility of Force: The Art of War in the Modern World (New
York: Knopf, 2007), 5–6.
73. Ibid., 377.
74. Marshall, Dictionary of Sociology, 137.
75. William Easterly, The White Man’s Burden: Why the West’s Efforts to Aid the
Rest Have Done so Much Ill and so Little Good (New York: Penguin, 2006), 79–80;
James Boyce, ‘‘Development Assistance, Conditionality, and War Economies,’’ in Prof-
iting from Peace: Managing the Resource Dimensions of Civil War, eds. Karen Ballen-
tine and Heiko Nitzschke (London: Lynne Rienner, 2005), 287–315.
76. Colletta and Cullen, Violent Conflict; Gerson and Colletta, Privatizing Peace.
77. Bruce Hoffman and Jennifer M. Taw, Defense Policy and Low-Intensity Conflict:
The Development of Britain’s ‘‘Small Wars’’ Doctrine During the 1950s (Santa Monica,
CA: RAND Corporation, 1991); Anthony James Joes, Resisting Rebellion: The History
and Politics of Counterinsurgency (Lexington, KY: Kentucky University Press, 2004);
Kitson, Low Intensity Operations.
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CHAPTER 7
1. This chapter incorporates the thoughts from the theoretical chapters of Robert
Egnell, ‘‘The Missing Link: Civil—Military Aspects of Effectiveness in Complex Irreg-
ular Warfare,’’ (PhD diss., King’s College, London, 2007).
2. Rupert Smith, The Utility of Force: The Art of War in the Modern World
(London: Allen Lane, 2005); Lawrence Freedman, The Transformation of Strategic
Affairs, Adelphi Paper, no. 379 (London: International Institute for Strategic Studies,
2006); Martin van Creveld, The Transformation of War (New York: Free Press, 1991);
Mary Kaldor, New and Old Wars: Organized Violence in a Global Era (Cambridge:
Polity Press, 2001).
3. U.K. Ministry of Defense, The Comprehensive Approach, Joint Discussion Note
4/05 (Swindon, UK: Ministry of Defense, 2006), 1–1.
4. Michael Quinlan (lecture, NATO Headquarters, 1993), cited in Christopher Dan-
deker, ‘‘Military and Society: The Problem, Challenges and Possible Answers,’’ (paper
presented at the 5th International Security Forum, 14–16 October 2002) http://www.
isn.ethz.ch/5isf/5/Papers/Dandeker_paper_V-2.pdf.
5. Suzanne C. Nielsen, ‘‘Civil—military Relations Theory and Military Effective-
ness,’’ Public Administration and Management 10 (2005): 61–84.
6. Samuel Huntington, The Soldier and the State: The Theory and Politics of
Civil—Military Relations (Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 1957), 2.
7. Christopher Dandeker, ‘‘Military and Society,’’ 2–3.
8. Ibid.
9. Kobi Michael, ‘‘The Dilemma Behind the Classical Dilemma of Civil—Military
Relations: The ‘Discourse Space’ Model and the Israeli Case during the Oslo Process,’’
Armed Forces & Society 33 (2007): 519.
10. Samuel Huntington, The Soldier and the State, 229.
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55. Ricks, Fiasco, 180–181; Paul L. Bremer and Malcolm McConnell, My Year in
Iraq: The Struggle to Build a Future of Hope (New York: Simon & Schuster, 2005),
316–317.
56. Larry Diamond, Squandered Victory: The American Occupation and the Bungled
Effort to Bring Democracy to Iraq (New York: Times Books, 2005), 299.
57. Cordesman, The Iraq War, 499–500.
58. Ibid., 500, 502.
59. Alice Hills, ‘‘Something Old, Something New: Security Governance in Iraq,’’
Conflict, Security, and Development 5 (2005), 192.
60. Cordesman, The Iraq War, 502.
61. Christopher H. Varhola, ‘‘American Challenges in Postwar Iraq,’’ Foreign Policy
Research Institute E-Notes, 27 May 2004, http://www.fpri.org/enotes/20040527.america
war.varhola.iraqchallenges.html.
62. Andrew Garfield, Succeeding in Phase IV: British Perspectives on the U.S.
to Stabilize and Reconstruct Iraq (Philadelphia: Foreign Policy Research Institute,
2006), 29.
63. Edwin Samuels and Tim Russel (lt. col.), ‘‘The Comprehensive Approach,’’ (pre-
sentation, UK Foreign and Commonwealth Office, 24 May 2006).
64. UK Ministry of Defense, ‘‘Departmental Framework,’’ www.mod.uk; UK Minis-
try of Defense, ‘‘Key Facts about Defense,’’ http://www.mod.uk.
65. William Hopkinson, ‘‘The Making of British Defence Policy,’’ RUSI Journal
(October 2000), 33.
66. Simon Mayall (brig.), interview with author, November 2004.
67. Bill Jones and Dennis Kavanagh, British Politics Today, 7th ed. (Manchester:
Manchester University Press, 2003), 186–187.
68. Thomas R. Mockaitis, British Counter-Insurgency, 1919–1960 (Basingstoke:
Macmillan, 1990), 64.
69. Avant, Political Institutions and Military Change, 38, 40.
70. Rod Thornton, ‘‘The British Army and the Origins of its Minimum Force Philos-
ophy,’’ Small Wars & Insurgencies 15, no. 1 (2004), 85.
71. Freedman, The Transformation of Strategic Affairs.
72. Louise Heywood, ‘‘CIMIC in Iraq,’’ RUSI Journal 151 (2006), 36–40.
73. House of Commons Defense Committee, Iraq: An Initial Assessment of Post-
Conflict Operations: Government Response to the Committee’s Sixth Report of Session
2004–05, HC 436 (London: The House of Commons, 2005), 15–17.
74. Christopher Meyer, cited in Mary Jordan, ‘‘Blair Failed In Dealing With Bush,
Book Says,’’ The Washington Post, 8 November 2005, http://www.washingtonpost.com/
wp-dyn/content/article/2005/11/07/AR2005110701569.html.
75. Heywood, ‘‘CIMIC in Iraq,’’ 36–40.
76. Review of Intelligence on Weapons of Mass Destruction: Report of a Committee
of Privy Counsellors, HC 898, (London: The House of Commons, 2004), 160.
77. See, for example, Human Rights Watch, Basra: Crime and Insecurity under Brit-
ish Occupation, www.hrw.org/reports/2003, 8.
78. U.K. Ministry of Defense, ‘‘U.K. Operations in Iraq: Key Facts and Figures,’’
Defense Fact Sheet, http://www.mod.uk/DefenceInternet/FactSheets/OperationsFactsheets/
OperationsInIraqKeyFactsFigures.htm.
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CHAPTER 8
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Government Accountability Office, 2005); Alec Klein, ‘‘For Security in Iraq, a Return to
British Know-How,’’ Washington Post, 24 August 2007.
48. Sewell, e-mail message.
49. Donald, After the Bubble, 46.
50. Thomas David et al refer to this as cultural intelligence, the fundamental idea of
being able to adapt to the environment. This includes the cognitive and behavioral abil-
ity required to select and shape an environment. See Kobi Michael, ‘‘Doing the Right
Thing the Right Way: The Challenges of Military Mission Effectiveness in Peace Sup-
port Operations in a War Amongst the People Theatre,’’ in Cultural Challenges in Mili-
tary Operations, Jean Dufourcq and Tibor Szvircsev Tresch, eds., (Rome: NATO
Defense College, 2007), 7.
51. See Marshall Adame, ‘‘Private Security Contractor Behavior in Iraq is Detrimen-
tal and Unacceptable,’’ American Chronicle, www.americanchronicle.com/articles/
viewArticle.asp?articleID=35753.
52. Michael, ‘‘Doing the Right Thing,’’ 7–8.
53. Andrew Kain (managing director, Andrew Kain Enterprises), interview with the
author, 11 March 2005.
54. For a detailed account of how one PSC was able to live and work outside the
Green Zone, see James Ashcroft, Making a Killing (London: Virgin Books, 2006) 129–
269.
55. Ibid., 52.
56. The total cost to the FCO of employing private security firms in (a) Iraq and (b)
Afghanistan during the years 2003, 2004, 2005, and up to 13 September 2006:
Iraq
May 2003–March 2004: £19,121,598
April 2004–March 2005: £45,705,639
April 2005–March 2006: £47,818,682
April 2006–August 2006: £14,611,529
Afghanistan
April 2004à–March 2005: £2,085,000
April 2005–March 2006: £8,534,000
April 2006–August 2006: £5,239,000
The names of each of the companies involved and the bill for each:
Iraq
Control Risks Group £112,457,849
ArmorGroup £11,888,699
Kroll Security Group £3,014,620
Figures attained from the Foreign Commonwealth Office through a Freedom of Informa-
tion request Ref. No: FOI 0784-06, 22 September 2006.
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CHAPTER 9
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3. Renaud Theunens, ‘‘Intelligence and Peace Support Operations: Some Practical Con-
cepts,’’ in Peacekeeping Intelligence: Emerging Concepts for the Future, Ben de Jong, Wies
Platje, and Robert David Steele, eds., (Oakton, VA: OSS International Press, 2003), 63.
4. Patrick C. Cammaert, ‘‘Intelligence in Peacekeeping Operations: Lessons for the
Future,’’ in Peacekeeping Intelligence: Emerging Concepts for the Future, Ben de Jong,
Wies Platje, and Robert David Steele, eds., (Oakton, VA: OSS International Press,
2003), 14. See also Van Kappen, ‘‘Strategic Intelligence,’’ 3.
5. Rupert Smith, The Utility of Force: The Art of War in the Modern World,
(London: Penguin, 2005).
6. Van Kappen, ‘‘Strategic Intelligence,’’ 5.
7. David Pugliese, ‘‘We Need to Know the Enemy: Military Must Learn about
Afghans,’’ The Gazette (Montreal), 3 October, 2007, http://www.canada.com/montreal
gazette/news/story.html?id=4fc8f9a0-5791-4ab0-a90f-74934f14fc70&k=28118 (accessed 7
May 2008).
8. Ibid.
9. Smith, Utility of Force.
10. U.S. Army, Counterinsurgency: FM 3-24 (Washington, DC: US Army Headquar-
ters, 2006). See also ‘‘Think before You Shoot: A New Field Manual Teaches American
Forces How to Fight Elusive Insurgents,’’ Economist, 23 December 2006, 74.
11. Kobi Michael, ‘‘Doing the Right Thing the Right Way: The Challenges of Mili-
tary Mission Effectiveness in Peace Support Operations in a ‘War Amongst the People’
Theater,’’ in Cultural Challenges in Military Operations, Cees, M. Coops and Szvircsev
Tibor Tresch, eds., (Rome: NATO Defense College, Research Division, 2007), 254–263.
12. Gustavo Diaz, ‘‘Intelligence at the United Nations for Peace Operations,’’ in
UNISCI Discussion Paper Number 13 (Madrid: Universidad Complutense de Madrid,
2007), 25–41.
13. Brent Ellis, ‘‘Back to the Future? The Lessons of Counterinsurgency for Contem-
porary Peace Operations,’’ Carleton University, http://www.carleton.ca/e-merge/docs_
vol5/articles/article_Ellis1.pdf.
14. Hugh Smith, ‘‘Intelligence and UN Peacekeeping,’’ Survival, 36.3 (1994), 174–
192; Michael, ‘‘Doing the Right Thing the Right Way.’’
15. Pasi Valimaki, ‘‘Bridging the Gap: Intelligence and Peace Support Operations,’’
in Peacekeeping Intelligence: Emerging Concepts for the Future, Ben de Jong, Wies
Platje, and Robert David Steele, eds., (Oakton, VA: OSS International Press, 2003), 49.
16. Diaz, ‘‘Intelligence at the United Nations.’’
17. Ibid; Ellis, ‘‘Back to the Future?’’
18. Valimaki, ‘‘Bridging the Gap,’’ 50.
19. Ellis, ‘‘Back to the Future?’’
20. Kinsey (this volume).
21. Ellis, ‘‘Back to the Future?’’; Michael, ‘‘Doing the Right Thing the Right Way.’’
22. Valimaki, ‘‘Bridging the Gap,’’ 52.
23. Bob Hoogenboom, ‘‘Grey Intelligence,’’ Crime, Law & Social Change 45
(2006): 373–381.
24. Ellis, ‘‘Back to the Future?’’
25. Valimaki, ‘‘Bridging the Gap,’’ 55.
26. Michael, ‘‘Doing the Right Thing the Right Way,’’; Diaz, ‘‘Intelligence at the
United Nations.’’
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204 NOTES
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NOTES 205
62. David C. Thomas, et al., ‘‘Cultural Intelligence: Domain and Assessment’’ (forth-
coming).
63. Ibid.
64. Ibid.
65. Ibid.
66. Ibid.
67. Ibid.
68. Ibid.
69. Ibid.
70. Ibid.
71. Howard, Michael. ‘‘A Long War?’’ Survival 8 (2006): 7–14.
72. G. I. Wilson, John P. Sullivan, and Hal Kempfer. ‘‘The Changing Nature of War-
fare Requires New Intelligence-Gathering Techniques,’’ in Louise I. Gerdes, ed., Espio-
nage and Intelligence Gathering (Farmington Hills, MN: Greenhaven Press, 2004).
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