Professional Documents
Culture Documents
RenovationCost benefitAnalysisReport Final2014 08 07
RenovationCost benefitAnalysisReport Final2014 08 07
net/publication/275595025
CITATIONS READS
0 975
4 authors, including:
Mark Dewsbury
University of Tasmania
65 PUBLICATIONS 89 CITATIONS
SEE PROFILE
Some of the authors of this publication are also working on these related projects:
Improving Thermal Efficiency in Lightweight Construction: Bulk & Reflective subfloor insulation View project
All content following this page was uploaded by Mark Dewsbury on 29 April 2015.
Report Prepared By
Energy Partners
July 2014
Master Builders Centre, 1 Iron Knob Street (PO Box 1211), Fyshwick ACT 2609, Australia
Phone: (02) 6175 5915, Fax: (02) 6249 8374
Email: Energy.Partners@exemplary.com.au, Web: www.exemplary.com.au
Energy Partners Renovation Cost-Benefit Analysis 02 6175 5915
1 TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ............................................................................... 6
1.1 Energy Efficiency Measures:....................................................................................... 6
1.1.1 Ceiling .................................................................................................................. 6
1.1.2 Roof ...................................................................................................................... 7
1.1.3 External Wall........................................................................................................ 7
1.1.4 Subfloor ................................................................................................................ 7
1.1.5 Glazing ................................................................................................................. 7
1.1.6 Draught Proofing .................................................................................................. 8
1.1.7 Lighting Type ....................................................................................................... 8
1.1.8 All Energy Efficiency Measures Applied (All Measures Best Practice) ............. 8
1.2 Heating & Cooling Systems ........................................................................................ 9
1.3 Peak Load Analysis ..................................................................................................... 9
1.4 Comfort Analysis ......................................................................................................... 9
1.5 Health Analysis.......................................................................................................... 10
1.6 Hot Water Heating ..................................................................................................... 10
1.7 Solar PV ..................................................................................................................... 11
2. INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................... 12
2 METHODOLOGY......................................................................................... 14
2.1 Base Renovation Models ........................................................................................... 14
2.2 Usage profiles ............................................................................................................ 15
2.2.1 Away During the Day ........................................................................................ 16
2.2.2 Someone Always at Home ................................................................................. 16
2.3 Climate Zones ............................................................................................................ 16
2.4 Orientation ................................................................................................................. 17
2.5 Energy Efficiency Measures ...................................................................................... 17
2.6 Measurement ............................................................................................................. 18
2.7 Energy Use ................................................................................................................ 18
2.8 Peak Load Analysis ................................................................................................... 18
2.9 Ductwork Efficiency.................................................................................................. 19
2.10 Comfort Analysis ................................................................................................... 20
2.11 Health Analysis ...................................................................................................... 20
3 RESULTS .................................................................................................... 37
3.1 Baseline ..................................................................................................................... 37
3.2 All Measures Best Practice ........................................................................................ 38
3.3 Lighting ..................................................................................................................... 39
3.4 Heating Systems ........................................................................................................ 40
4 INTERPRETATION ...................................................................................... 56
4.1 General....................................................................................................................... 56
4.2 Spreadsheets in a Workbook ..................................................................................... 57
6 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ............................................................................ 63
7 APPENDICES .............................................................................................. 64
7.1 Four Typologies ......................................................................................................... 64
7.1.1 Weatherboard cottage 1900s – 1940s................................................................. 64
7.1.2 Inter-war house 1920s – 1940s........................................................................... 64
7.1.3 Double fronted brick veneer 1960s – 1970s....................................................... 65
7.1.4 Estate style 1980s – 1990s ................................................................................. 65
7.2 Definition of Baseline versions ................................................................................. 66
7.3 Definition Best Practice versions .............................................................................. 67
7.4 Usage Profile ............................................................................................................. 69
7.5 List of Indicative Simulations for Steady State Peak Heating and Cooling .............. 72
7.6 Solar Hot Water System analysis .............................................................................. 73
7.6.1 Gas Consumed By a Solar Hot Water System ................................................... 74
8 NOTES ......................................................................................................... 94
1. Executive Summary
This report provides an analysis and evaluation of the impacts on energy, cost, health and
comfort benefits when 11 selected energy efficiency measures, which are of superior level
than the National Construction Code (NCC) minimum requirements, are applied to typical
house renovation projects in Victoria. Also the benefits from upgrading the heating/cooling
appliances, solar hot water and solar PV systems are evaluated. The NatHERS accredited
software AccuRate is used in this project for evaluating improvements to the construction of
the houses.
The results of almost 100,000 simulations are incorporated in an extensive smart Excel
Workbook which forms the basis of the planned interactive website to allow renovation
planners and customers to compare the options they have. The payback periods are all
calculated by comparing the capital costs and energy savings of the energy efficiency
measures relative to their NCC compliant alternative. As directed, in this report only the cost-
benefit of upgrading the heating system is analysed as almost all Victorian houses have some
type of heating system, not all of them have cooling appliances used in the house.
For this summary, selected results are reported below for their being indicative of common
trends. For consistency, all the results are for the average of all house types and orientations in
the Melbourne climate with:
Here, for clarity of expression of its impact, each of the energy efficiency measures is applied
to the otherwise Baseline (NCC-compliant) version. Where some other result is seen as
worthy of citation, the associated details are explicitly stated.
1.1.1 Ceiling
The NCC compliant ceiling insulation is R3.5 in the extension. R1.0 insulation is assumed to
have been already installed on the existing ceiling. The best practice ceiling insulation is R5.0
throughout the whole house. It would be unnecessary to remove the already-existing R1.0
ceiling insulation in the existing part during the renovation. The existing ceiling is
accordingly topped up to have a total of R6.0 insulation. The average payback in CZ6 is about
4 years.
1.1.2 Roof
Roof insulation is not required to comply with the NCC. The best practice roof insulation is
foil under R1.0 bulk insulation installed immediately beneath the roofing material. Cognisant
of the impracticality of retro-fitting it, this is applied to the extension part only.
On average the total cost of installation is the lowest but it is the least cost effective energy
efficiency measure. The average payback period is over 50 years (although its obvious
summer advantage is ignored in this study).
The NCC compliant external wall insulation is R1.5 except the garage walls. Existing walls
are assumed to be uninsulated. The best practice version is to use R2.5 bulk wall insulation
with reflective foil in the extension and R2.5 bulk or cavity fill insulation in the existing
walls.
It is the most cost-effective of the energy efficiency measures. It has the greatest cost savings
per annum amongst the individual energy efficiency measures (i.e. excluding the scenario
where all energy efficiency measures are applied). The average payback period in CZ6 is 3.6
years. However the Inter-War typology has an average payback period of about 8 years due to
the more expensive process of installing cavity fill wall insulation to the existing double brick
walls for the modest added R1.0 insulation.
1.1.4 Subfloor
There are two main floor construction types used in the four typologies. The Pre-War, Inter-
War and the Double Fronted Brick Veneer typologies have enclosed suspended platform
timber floors. The Estate house has concrete slab on ground (CSOG) floor construction. The
NCC compliant platform floor insulation is R1.5 and Nil for the CSOG. Various floor
coverings are used according to the purpose of each room. For the best practice floor
insulation, the platform timber floors have R2.5 insulation. For the CSOG, R1.0 waffle pod
slab is used as the improved insulation. Floor coverings remain unchanged.
It is a cost effective energy measure which has the third lowest average payback period. The
average payback period for the insulation of the timber platform floors is about 2.6 years and
the CSOG is under 9 years.
1.1.5 Glazing
NCC2013 volume 2 glazing calculator was used to determine the NCC compliant and partial
compliance for glazing sizes. All the baseline house models use standard aluminium frame
with single glazing as the fenestration wherever partial compliance was acceptable. There are,
however, some cases in which clear double glazing in standard aluminium frames were used
to achieve an initial “pass”.
This system returns the lowest average cost saving per annum and an average payback period
of over 100 years which is the highest amongst all the individually applied energy efficiency
measures scenarios, including the all measures best practice scenario.
This system provides an average payback period of over 75 years which is the second highest.
This is the most expensive single energy efficiency measure (i.e. excluding the all measures
best practice scenario). The average payback period is 184 years, which is the highest,
amongst all the individually applied energy efficiency measures scenarios and including the
all measures best practice scenario
This is the most expensive single energy efficiency measure (i.e. excluding the all measures
best practice scenario). The payback period is the lowest amongst all the glazing options used
in this study. The average payback period is 33 years.
This includes the installation of draught proofing around doors and windows, skirting boards
and above fans or fireplaces. Only the extension part of the renovation needs to be air sealed
to comply with the NCC. The best practice scenarios apply the above draught proofing
measures to both the existing rooms and extension. The average payback period is about 4
years.
Vented downlights are acceptable but the modelling has to be compliant with the NCC to
allow the correct recognition of the infiltration. In the baseline extension there is one vented
downlight per 7m². For the best practice scenario, there are no vented downlights. Both
existing and extension light fittings are surface mounted LED.
The average payback period is about 7 years. Additionally, the average cost is the second
lowest.
1.1.8 All Energy Efficiency Measures Applied (All Measures Best Practice)
This scenario is equipped with all 7 improvements from above and the highest performing of
the fenestration improvements, the generic double glazed low-e argon-filled in improved
aluminium frames, is modelled in both the existing and extension windows.
As expected the average heating and cooling energy demand is the lowest and thus the
average cost saving per annum of $3,766 is the highest. The average payback period is about
9 years.
The baseline scenario uses 3 stars ducted gas heating with add-on cooling systems. Ducts and
fittings (boots, spigots, etc.) insulation is NCC compliant at R1.0. The best practice scenario
upgrades the 3 stars systems to 5 stars and the ducts insulation to foil-sleeved R1.5. The
additional average cost for this upgrade is about $1,000 and the payback period is under about
1 year.
The hourly energy demands from the AccuRate simulations are converted to energy
consumptions to establish the impact on appliance size and demand on the electricity grid and
gas supply (metered energy). A total of 96 simulations consisting of 48 Baselines and 48 All
Measures Best Practice were chosen for this analysis. Below is a summary of the results
indicating that the Peak Load is reduced by a similar fraction to the annual energy:
This is a measurement (in Degree.Hours per year) of the capacity of the building envelope to
maintain a comfort range between18°C and 23°C when no heating or cooling is operated to
condition the house. The same set of 96 simulations used in the peak load analysis is
simulated with no heating and cooling applied. Daytime zones and night-time zones are
analysed separately to provide more detailed results.
A higher Degree.Hours means the house is less efficacious in maintaining the internal
temperature within the comfort range without heating or cooling. Table 2 provides a summary
of the results. The greater -ve % values indicate that the all measures best practice is superior
to the baseline.
This method allowed for the maximum and minimum indoor temperatures to be determined.
The average differences between the baseline and the all measures best practice are
summarised in Table 3:
The all measures best practice has a lower maximum (cooler) and higher minimum (warmer)
indoor temperature when the house is not conditioned.
Average Degree.Hours
Daytime Daytime Night-Time Night-Time
Cooling Heating Cooling Heating
Baseline 2,307 21,293 2,763 22,089
All Measures Best Practice 2,034 10,163 2,326 10,607
Difference -12% -52% -16% -52%
Table 2 – Average Degree.Hours for the comfort analysis in CZ6
Similar to the comfort analysis, this method measures the hours per year when the internal
temperature exceeded a much wider tolerable (healthy) range from 13°C to 30°C. Below is a
summary of the average Degree.Hours. . The table below provides a summary of the average
degree heating and cooling hours.
Average Degree.Hours
Night- Night-
Daytime Daytime Time Time
Cooling Heating Cooling Heating
Baseline 130 3,489 184 3,920
All Measures Best Practice 84 541 92 557
Difference (%) -35% -84% -50% -86%
Table 4 – Average degree.hours for the health analysis in CZ6
An analysis of water heating options has been undertaken. This compared the financial
benefits of solar and high efficiency gas water heaters with a standard efficiency gas water
heater that is the likely default product installed.
The money a householder needs to invest to save a MJ of gas is equivalent to, or less than, the
current cost of gas for both a gas boosted solar water heater and a six star instantaneous gas
water heater when compared to a four star gas water heater. These options are always less
expensive in homes where there are three or more occupants.
Based on annualised costs, gas boosted solar water heaters are always the most cost effective
option.
1.7 Solar PV
The option to install a solar electricity system, a photovoltaic (PV) system at the time of
renovation has been investigated to understand the financial opportunity that arises.
With current electricity tariffs and feed in tariffs the most cost effective option is to size a PV
system so that most of the electricity it produces is used on site.
A 1.5 kW system will save the household $200 to $480 annually over its operating life
including paying for the purchase and installation price. Annualised Savings are given in
Table 6Table 24:
Occupants 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Load kWh/yr 3886 4808 5691 6613 7526 8440 9355 10253
Tullamarine $207 $237 $263 $287 $ 309 $328 $344 $358
Annualised Ballarat $ 243 $278 $308 $335 $360 $381 $399 $413
$/year
Mildura $ 275 $314 $349 $383 $414 $442 $466 $ 486
Melbourne $ 180 $207 $230 $252 $272 $288 $303 $314
Table 6 - Annualised savings by location and Household size/load
The money a householder needs to invest to save a kWh of electricity is significantly less than
the current cost of electricity: 6-9 c/kWh compared to 27-30 c/kWh to purchase electricity
from the grid.
2. Introduction
The client for this project is Sustainability Victoria.
The aim of this work was to develop heating and cooling data for a range of renovation case
studies of four (4) typical Victorian house styles, using Nationwide House Energy Rating
Scheme (NatHERS) accredited software to undertake thermal modelling for each house style
in a number of different climate zones. The data from the thermal modelling is combined with
data on heating and cooling system type and efficiency, to estimate the energy savings from
upgrading the building shell and heating/cooling equipment. Additionally, modelling of
different lighting and water heating options, as well as other solar options (e.g. solar PV
panels and solar water heating) was undertaken to assess the potential costs and benefits of
these upgrades in three (3) indicative Victorian climates.
This data has formed the technical measurement of energy, cost, health and comfort benefits
that can be achieved by going beyond minimum National Construction Code (NCC)
requirements and implementing best practice energy efficiency measures. These energy, cost,
health and comfort benefits will be used in the development of a customisable online tool for
Victorian home renovators.
The typical renovations modelled in this study capture key design features and enhancements
that are common in renovations. The Victorian Building Commission’s recent work to
characterise the renovation market in Victoria from 2009 to 2011 provides some guidelines
for typical improvements:
Wall construction was mainly weatherboard or brick veneer. External foam board
cladding was prevalent in upper floor additions.
Floor constructions were mainly timber platform floors on concrete stumps or concrete
slab on ground.
Roofing materials were predominantly formed sheet-metal or concrete/clay tiles.
Generally, the construction materials of the new additions were selected to maintain a
visual similarity with the existing parts of the home.
The energy efficiency measures modelled in this study were finalised in consultation with
Sustainability Victoria at the contract inception meeting with some subsequent refinement to
that (see Table 30 and Table 31).
2 Methodology
2.1 Base Renovation Models
The team accessed designs and drawings for four (4) renovation case studies prepared by
Sustainability Victoria, with input from the Archicentre enterprise of the Australian Institute
of Architects. The case study houses were chosen based on construction typologies that
contain common Victorian building elements and have the greatest impact to improve the
existing housing stock (based on ABS data), as described in the table below.
The base renovation models contain typical house plans and room sizes of the era plus a
typical renovation for that style of house. The thermal modelling for these house plans was
undertaken by Energy Partners using NatHERS software. The heating and cooling outputs
from the NatHERS thermal modelling provided the baseline data for measuring the impact of
the ten (10) selected energy efficiency improvements, (see Appendix Definition Best Practice
versions).
The renovations were modelled to meet minimum standards according to the NCC 2013 to
form the Baseline data (see Appendix Section 7.2 for details) and for comparison with the
Best Practice alternatives.
Construction Typical
Case studies Typology Age range
elements renovation
The NatHERS software applies a standard usage profile for the heating and cooling systems
when calculating the thermal loads within the houses. For living spaces, thermal comfort is
maintained from 7 am to midnight. For sleeping spaces, thermal comfort is maintained from 4
pm to 9 am the following morning. The software makes no provision for Daylight Saving so
all times are Standard Times, including the occupancy patterns and the internal loads
associated with them.
For the heating thermostat, the following rules are applied to all the house models:
For living spaces (including kitchens and other spaces typically used during waking
hours): a heating thermostat setting of 20°C is applied.
For sleeping spaces (including bedrooms and other spaces closely associated with
bedrooms): a heating thermostat setting of 18°C is used from 7 am to 9 am and from 4
pm to midnight; and a heating setting of 15° C from midnight to 7 am the following
morning.
For the cooling thermostat, different settings are applied to different climate zones in
recognition of acclimatisation. In NatHERS software tools there are 69 climate zones (which
are subdivisions of the 8 NCC climate zones). Table 9 lists the 3 selected climate zones and
their corresponding cooling thermostat settings.
NCC NatHERS
Climate Zone Climate Zone Cooling Thermostat Settings
Mildura 4 27 25.0
Tullamarine 6 60 24.0
Ballarat 7 66 23.5
Table 9 – Cooling thermostat settings for each selected NatHERS climate zone
Rather than using the NatHERS assumed profiles, this study explores 2 different usage
profiles based on more typical usage patterns for residential heating and cooling systems, as
this allows a more accurate estimate of the likely actual heating and cooling loads. Two
general profiles were used:
Appendix Section 7.4 shows the usage profile example of the Double fronted brick veneer
typology in CZ6 which compares the standard NatHERS settings for living, living/kitchen and
bedroom with both the “Away during the day” and “Someone always at home” profiles
modelled in this study.
For Living and Bedroom zones, both sensible and latent internal heat loads from 9am to 6pm
are set to 0. Similarly the cooling and heating thermostats for hours from 9am to 6pm are set
to “off” (thermostat set to 0 in a scratch file means that at those hours the zone is not
conditioned).
In general, on cold mornings people will turn the heating on, however on hot mornings the
cooling is not turned on. The heating thermostats from 7am to 9am are set to be “on” while
the cooling thermostat is set to be “off”.
For Kitchen & Family zones, internal sensible heat load is set to the background value of
100W. This value represents consumptions from appliances which are always “on” (e.g.
fridge). Internal latent heat load is 0 and the thermostats are set to “off” from 9am to 6pm.
For other living zones, there are no internal heat loads as in the NatHERS standard. The
thermostat settings are the same as above.
For Bedrooms, the NatHERS standard schedule assumes no occupant in the bedrooms during
the day. To represent a full day occupancy pattern, both the sensible and latent internal heat
loads during the daytime hours are assumed to be the same as the evening hours in the
NatHERS standard schedule. For the thermostat settings, both heating and cooling thermostats
at 8 am and 9 am in the NatHERS standard schedule are extended to the rest of the day to
represent a full day occupancy pattern. The thermostats in these 2 hours are higher than the
hours before 7 am. This assumes the occupants are awake and having normal “household
activity” in the house.
The NatHERS modelling was undertaken for the 4 house styles modelled using three
Victorian climate zones that are representative of hot, mild and cold climates:
2.4 Orientation
The NatHERS modelling assessed the effect of orientation on the heating and cooling loads of
the 4 house styles modelled. Modelling was undertaken over the four cardinal orientations:
north, south, east and west facing rear yards.
A range of energy efficiency measures were modelled to measure their impact against the
minimum energy efficiency requirements as prescribed in the NCC 2013 or MEPS and can be
categorised into:
See Appendix Section 7.2 and 7.3 for full list of energy efficiency measures applied to the
Baseline and Best Practice models.
The analysis assesses building fabric energy efficiency improvements 1) and 2) individually
and simulates them in NatHERS software. The heating and cooling load outputs are inserted
into a spreadsheet tool developed for this project.
Once the thermal simulations were completed the benefits of upgrading 3) heating & cooling
and 4) hot water systems, as well as 5) solar systems were analysed.
1. Space heating, i.e. heating the main living areas only; and
2. Central heating, i.e. heating both the living and bedroom areas.
The effects of zoning the heating systems is measured in the best-practice renovation models,
by selected sample versions being modelled in both modes with both occupancy profiles. The
proportionalities inferred from that work is applied to the other results as estimation factors
for that house type. This aspect is particularly relevant between the ground floor and any
upper floor of the house, but all examples in this project are single storey.
The analysis also assesses and quantifies the benefits of the following upgrades:
2.6 Measurement
The results of simulating both 1) building fabric improvements and 2) lighting upgrades were
collected in a spreadsheet tool designed for the project and used for further analysis. The
annual heating and cooling outputs from NatHERS are measured in MJ/m². The out-put
energy values were multiplied by the net conditioned area of the house (m2), to calculate the
total annual heating and cooling load in MJ.
The calculated MJ/m² and its conversion to % improvement allows for customised data to be
drawn upon by the online tool for renovators. The energy efficiency measures are assessed
individually, however when the data is developed by SV into an online tool there are inter-
dependencies between the measures. These possible dependency scenarios and solutions for
estimating the total benefits of multiple measures were to be addressed in the detailed analysis
by interpreting them in their % improvement measures. Instead, the project scope was
expanded to include most combinations of interest directly using highly automated simulation
techniques including just under 100,000 EEM combinations.
It is important to note that the thermal loads calculated using the NatHERS software are not
the same as the actual heating and cooling energy use of the houses. They are simply the heat
energy input required to maintain the specified thermal comfort conditions during the ‘winter’
months and the heat energy which needs to be extracted from the house to maintain the
specified thermal comfort conditioners during the ‘summer’ months. Metered energy is
subsequently calculated. For details please refer to Section 2.13 Metered Energy Analysis.
The heat load outputs for different types of heating (space/central), cooling and different
heating/cooling usage profiles (all day / away day) was combined with data on typical
heater/cooler performance to estimate the annual energy use.
The hour-by-hour energy results from AccuRate are used to establish the impact on appliance
size and demand on the electricity grid.
The heating and cooling energy outputs from the AccuRate simulations are energy demands
rather than energy consumptions. To calculate the energy consumptions the following heating
and cooling systems are used:
Baseline: The ducts and fittings (boots, spigots, etc.) insulation are NCC compliant
(R1.0) with a 3 star gas heater. The efficiency of a 3 starsb gas heater is 60% (at
standard conditions) and the minimum rated EER for a 3 stars cooling system is 3.75.c
All Measures Best Practice: 5 stars heater (90% efficiency) and 5 stars cooling
(minimum rated EER of 4.75) with foil-sleeved R1.5 ducts zoned.
Both the Baseline and the All Measures Best Practice systems are deemed to have negligible
air leakage in operation such that all detrimental heat flow into and out of the ducts is through
the insulated duct and fitting walls. Older installations could well have some air leakage but
this should be made good during the renovation project if the system is not being replaced.
Quasi Steady State Peaks – During the daily start up hours the conditioned spaces could
begin at an extremely high or low temperature. The peak loads of these hours are not suitable
to be used for sizing the air-conditioning system or estimating its impact on the electricity and
gas distribution gridsd. Instead, the steady state peaks, which are calculated by Exemplary
NatHERS Analyzer, excluding the start-up hours, are used for sizing the heating and air-
conditioning systems. Hours excluded in the peak load calculation for the “Away during the
day” occupancy are the hours ending at 8 am and 5 pm. These are the first after start up hours
for heating on a cold morning and cooling during/after a hot afternoon and may be
misleadingly large, especially in the case of heavyweight constructions. For the “Always
home” occupancy, the hours which needed to be excluded in the calculations are different.
Only the hours ending at 8 am will be excluded in the calculation because the house is
conditioned continuously and does not have a start-up hour in the afternoon.
Thermostat settings are scheduled in Appendix Section 7.4 for the NatHERS Standard and the
two occupancy patterns used for this project.
With the heat or cool demand and the hour at which they occur identified, the COP of the
heater and/or cooler at the coincident outdoor air temperature is applied to the demand to
calculate the metered energy peak load for the whole year.
A duct plan for the central heater/cooler is schematically designed for each house as extended
to establish a schedule of duct and fitting sizes (diameters) and lengths from which the area of
duct wall facing up, down and sideways can be calculated along with the overall heat
loss/gain coefficient (W/K). Any return air duct was assumed to run inside the conditioned
space with negligible heat losses/gains and is hence ignored in this calculation. For the
Baseline case, it was assumed that new ducts were installed throughout the whole house and
the ductwork insulation complies with the minimum requirement of the NCC 2013e. Table
3.12.5.2 of Section 3.12.5.3 of the NCC 2013 Volume Two states the minimum ductwork
insulation for climate zones 4, 6 and 7 is R1.0 (with a non-foil sleeve) for a heating only
system where the ductwork was assumed to be located in the roof space, above any ceiling
insulation and below any roof level foil or insulation. (The notes to that table allow a
reduction by R0.5 for ducts run in the more moderate environment of under an enclosed
suspended timber floor, but evaluating that option in the Typologies where it might be
applicable is beyond the scope of this project.f)
This is a calculation of the degree.hours per year when the internal thermal comfort range of
18°C to 23°C is not exceeded during and unconditioned mode of operation. This allows
renovators to see the comfort benefits of energy efficiency measures.
The same set of 96 simulations used for the peak load analysis is simulated with no heating
and cooling applied (both thermostats are set to 0 in the scratch file).
Comfort improvements will not apply to all energy efficiency measures (e.g. water heating
and solar PV have no comfort impacts).
This is a calculation of the degree.hours per year when the internal thermal conditions remain
within the tolerable range of 13°C – 30°C.
Similar to the comfort analysis, the same set of 96 simulations used for the peak load analysis
is simulated with no heating and cooling applied (both thermostats are set to 0 in the scratch
file).
Each selected simulation generates a file of hourly internal temperatures by room and the
hourly average of these temperatures for the daytime zones and night-time zones are
separately analysed to find the maximum and minimum temperatures incurred, the number of
hours outside the tolerable range and the degree.hours outside the tolerable range are
calculated so that a robust estimate of the health-threatening discomfort can be inferred
Financial savings are represented as the dollar savings per annum for each of the best practice
building fabric improvements compared to the Baseline figures, and the resultant payback
periods were calculated using the differential cost.. The financial analysis (e.g. costs vs
savings) is split into (1) building fabric improvements; (2) lighting; (3) heating systems (the
financial savings for upgrading the cooling system are not calculated in this report); and (4)
water heating and (5) solar.
Table 10 shows the capital costs associated with improving the building fabric. These prices
are for reference only and they varied between locations and time of supply.
Priceg
Included GST &
Installation
R3.5 $15.40 /m²
Ceiling
R5.0 $20.50 /m²
Roof R1.0 + Foil $12.50 /m²
R1.0 (Cavity fill) $37.00 /m²
R1.5 $12.20 /m²
Wall R2.5 (90mm Batts) + Foil $18.30 /m²
R2.5 (90mm Batts) $16.30 /m²
R2.5 (Cavity fill) $37.00 /m²
R1.5 (sub-floors) $17.90 /m²
Floors* R2.5 (sub-floors) $17.90 /m²
R1.0 (CSOG) $17.90 /m²
Doors $101.00 /unit
Windows $102.00 /unit
Draught
Skirting boards $10.20 /m
Proofing
Exhaust fan $67.20 /unit
Fireplace $254.70 /unit
Incandescent Downlights (commonly 12 volts) $5.10 /unit
Lighting
LED (unvented)h $122.00 /unit
SG Standard Aluminium $350.00 /m²
Low-e Standard Aluminium $420.00 /m²
Glazing DG clear (12mm Air) Standard Aluminium $454.00 /m²
DG Low-e (12mm Argon) Standard Aluminium $558.00 /m²
DG Low-e (12mm Argon) Improved Aluminium Frame $687.00 /m²
*The price (materials only) for the two subfloor insulations – R1.5 and R2.5 Glasswool are about the same. The
installation of sub-floor insulation in an existing house involves working in an unpleasant environment (i.e.
crawling under the timber floor) and so the labour costs make the material cost difference appear to be
negligible. The material cost of R1.0 (extruded polystyrene) for CSOG is more expensive than the Glasswool but
the installation involves much less labour–intensive work. The prices including installation for the sub-floor or
the CSOG insulation are about the same.
Table 10 – Building Fabric Improvements Cost
The heating systems cost are calculated based on the peak loads and the type of system. A
ducted gas heating system is used for the central heating scenario. For the space heating
scenario, the house will be heated by a two-way flued gas wall furnace.
System sizes come in a modest range which varies between manufacturers and over time,
slowly responding to a gradual increase in house size but an increasing energy efficiency of
the building envelope. While the estimated actual cost varies in response to design loads
necessarily in a rough step function, we have developed an equivalent linear function for each
case based on the ranges currently available.
Central Heating
System sizes and their corresponding costs are available from the Rawlinsonsi Handbook.
However the data does not include the appliance’s star rating. The costs are the total price of
provision and installation of ducted heating systems. Also the cooling and heating size
combination does not match any system consistent with our simulation results (see Section
3.8) as the minimum cooling/heating system listed by Rawlinsons is 25 kW.
To find the relationship between star rating, cost and system size, additional information was
provided by the ActewAGL energy shopj and the Gstorek website. Data are plotted in Figure
1. Note that the prices in the figure exclude installation costs.
Figure 1 – Cost, Size and Star Rating of the Ducted Gas Heating System
We have assumed systems in any sizes are available to demonstrate the theoretical cost
differences between using a lower and higher star-rating appliances.
The following two equations are obtained from the above figures and they are used to
estimate the cost of the 3 and 5 Star air conditioning system for the central heating scenario.
Gas Heating:
Space Heating
Costs and star rating for the gas space heater are also obtained from Gstore website and are
plotted in Figure 2.
Figure 2 – Cost, Size and Star Rating of the Gas Space Heater
Similar to the ducted gas heating system, we have assumed systems in any sizes are available.
The equations below are used to estimate the cost of the 3 Star and 5 Star air conditioning
systems for the space heating scenario:
Gas Heating:l
The cost saving per annum is the cost difference between the energy cost of Baseline and Best
Practice approaches (with selected energy efficiency measures applied). As requested by SV,
the cost savings per annum for heating are calculated for the following 2 scenarios:
Both Baseline and Best Practice are using 3 Star systems. Therefore the annual cost saving is
a result of the improvement in building fabric alone.
Same as above but the Best Practice has a 5 Star heating system. The annual cost saving is a
result of the building fabric improvement plus the saving of using a more efficient heating
system.
The energy cost is calculated by multiplying the heating metered energy by the gas/electricity
energy cost. The total metered energy is the energy consumption of the heating systems. It is
calculated by adding up the hourly energy demands and the hourly energy losses/gains in the
ducts.
During the upgrade of the heating system, the house owner may want to keep the existing duct
system and put new ductwork in the extension only. However some of the existing ducts may
need to be replaced due to leakage and general wear of the old ducts and for the new heating
system to run better with the extra duct length within the extension. We have assumed new
ductwork is needed throughout the whole house for a better estimation of the maximum cost
needed.
The estimated cost for the R1.0 ductwork is $1200 and we assume the same price for the four
typologies. For the R1.5 ductwork it is an extra of $60 per outleto.
The installation cost of the ducted gas system is assumed to be the same regardless of the
system size, $1800. The installation cost (replacing an existing) of the gas space heater is
$200.
Below is the ductwork and installation cost summary for the ducted gas heating system:
Estimated
installation cost Total Installation
Estimated cost for ductwork
for the gas Cost
furnace
3 stars with
$1,800 $1,200 $3,000
R1.0 duct
$1200 + $60 per outlet for the R1.5
ductwork.
NatHERS software estimates the heat energy input (or heat energy required to be removed) to
meet specified thermal comfort conditions in winter and summer – it does not estimate the
actual metered energy consumption for a house as this also depends on the conversion
efficiency of any heating and cooling appliances and also the thermal efficiency of any
ductwork and fittings used with ducted systems. However, these are non-building aspects that
impinge on the energy efficiency of the house as a comfort conditioned system. To evaluate
their significance, the metered energy consumptions are calculated using the Exemplary
NatHERS Analyserp. It estimates the metered energy consumptions of the NatHERS-
calculated heating and cooling demands. Hourly calculations apply temperature-appropriate
efficiencies called Coefficients of Performance (COPs). This is where the “efficiency” of the
heating or cooling system is greater than a unit of one and is indicated by the star-rated
efficiency of the appliances and associated duct heat loss/gains wherever they are located.
Hour-by-hour calculations based on selected output files from the simulations, which record
the hourly loads and temperatures within each room, were undertaken. The peak load from all
of the non-start-up hours for heating and cooling was extracted from the AccuRate results and
later used to calculate duct losses/gains by tallying the loads for all the rooms and expressing
that as a fraction of the peak load. Hence, the temperature for any particular hour inside the
duct is a function of the load during that hour and in the range 20-35°C for heating and 14-
25°C for cooling.
The appliance energy conversion efficiency (or Coefficient Of Performance, COP), varies
subject to outside air temperature for some heating/cooling appliances. This can cause a
Reverse Cycle Air Conditioner (RCAC) or Heat Pump to be more efficient when the outside
air is close to the comfort temperature and the efficiency declines as that temperature moves
toward the extremes. That function, generalised from the values published by ASHRAEq and
scaled to ensure that the Star-rated COPs coincide at the standard rating temperatures
(Heating = 8°C and Cooling 35°C), was then fitted to the hour-by-hour total of rooms-plus-
ducts loads to estimate the annual consumption and also the annual average COP for cooling.
The efficiency of the gas furnace is largely independent of ambient temperature so this
technique is not required for the heating energy in this project but the incorporation of RCACs
in the proposed website would be a worthwhile extension of this project.
This process converts the AccuRate results to metered energy values in kWh for cooling and
MJ for heating.
2.14 RatingOptimizer
To ensure the quality of the simulations and calculations, the following precautions are
carried out:
Energy prices vary across the state and vary by time of use.
Gas has seasonally adjusted peak and off peak seasonally and electricity is consumed
predominantly as a single or two stage tariffs. For this analysis the marginal energy prices
produced by Energy Consult for SV in 2013 have been used. Electricity prices have been
increased by 3.7% and gas prices have been increased by 4.9% to account for recent price
changes.
The energy saved by implementing the measures in this study are costed at the marginal
prices relevant for the times that the technologies are active.
The marginal cost of electricity on a single rate tariff is the average electricity price. This is
27.48 cents/kWh for Metropolitan areas and 29.96 cents/kWh for Regional Victoria.
Gas prices are more complex as there are a number of price steps, which are different in peak
periods of June to October than the non-peak periods. Consequently, the marginal prices vary
depending on seasonal use profile and the amount of gas used. EnergyConsult has provided
marginal gas prices for small, medium and large gas using households. The marginal gas
prices are given in Table 11 below, updated to 2014.
Table 11 – Marginal gas prices 2014 by household size and region (after EnergyConsult 2013)
The gas prices in Mildura are different from the rest of Victoria in that there is no change
between summer and winter.
during off peak months and 30% saving during peak months. Therefore, the marginal savings
for a solar boosted gas water heater will be 70% ‘summer prices and 30% winter prices
(shown in Table 11 above).
Gas saved by using the more efficient 5 star gas water heater will be at the average of the
marginal summer and winter prices. (See Table 11)
In order to understand the savings to be made when installing a solar water heater or a 5 star
gas water heater the amount of hot water used for households of different sizes is needed.
There exists a range of discussions in the literature but there is no clear method.
A model of hot water use based on the levels specified in AS/NZS 4234 was developed. The
model is linear with consumption varying proportionally with occupancy, as listed in Table
12.
Number of
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
occupantsr
HW litres 65 99 133 167 201 235 269 303
Raised by 45K
Qave MJ/day 12.3 18.7 25.1 31.6 38.0 44.4 50.8 57.3
Qpeaks MJ/day 13.6 20.7 27.8 34.9 42.0 49.1 56.2 63.3
Table 12 – Hot water consumption vs occupant number (consumption in Litres, Average Energy per day and in Peak Energy
per day)
The water heater most likely to be installed in a Victorian home by a builder is a four star gas
storage water heater. The calculation of the Annual Energy Saving using AS/NZS 4234 is
based on a comparison with a three star gas water heater. Consequently, for this analysis the
Annual Energy Consumption for both three star and four star gas water heaters are required.
The Annual Energy Consumption (AE) of gas storage water heaters is given in Table 13.
Occupants
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
litres/day 65 99 133 167 201 235 269 303
Hot water MJ/day 12.3 18.7 25.2 31.6 38.0 44.4 50.9 57.3
consumption
MJ/year 4,489 6,837 9,186 11,535 13,883 16,232 18,580 20,929
3 Star Gas Water heater
Gas used MJ/year 14,010 16,756 19,503 22,249 24,996 27,742 30,489 33,235
4 Star Gas Water heater
Gas used MJ/year 12,170 14,871 17,572 20,273 22,974 25,675 28,375 31,076
Table 13 – Gas consumed by three and four star gas storage water heaters vs occupancy
Some solar water heaters had performance estimates for both small and medium loads. These
were used to estimate the reduction in solar contribution of solar water heaters (% saving) as
more hot water was withdrawn. Whilst the percentage saved decreased, the actual energy
saved increased as the load also increased more, i.e. at higher load the energy saved is a
smaller percentage of a larger figure. Using the two loads available, a relationship was
estimated between the number of occupants and the energy saved. Figure 4 shows the results
of this calculation.
30
25
M J / Year ( '000s)
20
4 Star Gas Heater
15 Gas saved SWH
10 Gas Used SWH
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Occupants
Figure 4 – Gas used by water heaters and saved by solar vs number of occupants
The improved performance due to the clearer skies inland has been estimated by comparing
the number of Small Technology Certificates (STCs) created for the same product for Zone 4
and Zone 3 from the Clean Energy Regulator (CER) listing. It was established that the
increase in performance is approximately 13%. Consequently savings attributable to a solar
water heater were increased by 13% for the Northern region of Victoria and the Mildura area.
Note that electricity is consumed in a high efficiency gas instantaneous water heater;
To operate the control system, a constant consumption, and
To operate the forced combustion fan when the water is being heated, a variable
consumption.
Using the parameters above the consumption of a 6 star instantaneous gas water heater and
the savings compared to a 4 star storage gas water heater are show in the result Section 3.5.
The cost of supply of all models that had more than 5 installations was analysed. There were
1040 installations where the model was installed 5 or more times in the two year period. The
relationship between solar savings and supply costs were analysed as shown in Figure 5
below. There is no significant relationship between the solar savings and the supply cost of
the appliance.
60%
40%
20%
0%
$- $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000
Supply Cost
Consequently, it is reasonable to use an average price and average savings in the model
developed for this project.
The supply and installation costs for a four star storage water heater supply and install costs
vary between $1940 and $2140. Therefore the total cost used for the base case is the average
$2040). It is assumed that the existing gas supply pipe will be sufficient to supply the new
water heater.
The cost to supply and install a six star instantaneous gas water heater often requires
upgrading the gas supply as the existing gas pipe is insufficient to provide the amount of gas
needed to these appliances. Therefore, the total cost of the high efficiency gas option is
estimated at $2735.
This difference in life is accounted for in the levelised cost of energy calculation by adding
that percentage to the cost of the gas storage water heater which accounts for the cost from the
next system purchased whilst the longer life system is still operating.
Year Reported Total Electric Storage Gas Storage Gas Instant Solar
2012 12.6 12.7 12.0 12.6 14.8
2010 12.8 12.8 12.2 12.3 17.7
2008 12.9 13.2 12.4 12.4 14.4
Average 12.8 12.9 12.2 12.4 15.6
Table 15 – The age of replaced water heatersu
The annualised cost is the total present value of the costs of a water heater divided by the
expected life of the water heater. It equalizes the differences in service lifetimes of different
technologies using an Internal Rate of Return (equivalent to a discount rate). The annualised
energy charges are the average projected energy cost over the service life of the water heater,
calculated by multiplying the projected energy tariff (c/MJ) by the energy consumed (MJ/yr)
by a water heater of that type to deliver the estimated hot water load requirement for the
household.
Equation 1
( )
( )
Equation 2
( )
Equation 3
12000
Annual Electricity Consumption
10000
8000
kWh/yr
6000
4000
2000
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Household occupancy
Consequently, this analysis will consider an array size of approximately 1.5 kW. Compared to
a 2.4 kW system a larger proportion of the locally generated electricity will be used within the
house. Note that displaced purchase of electricity is more valuable (at a price of 27.5 to 30
cents/kWh) than electricity exported from which the householder will receive income of 8
cents/kWh.
It is noted that the 1.5 kW system never outputs 1.5 kW from the inverter. Due to the inverter
not being 100% efficient, the rated panel output would never be the amount available after the
inverter. As there are a whole number of panels to be installed it is often the case that a
nominal 1.5 kW system will have a slightly higher capacity and could put out 1.5 kW after the
inverter in that case.
The modelling included a tilt of 25 degrees from horizontal and was undertaken with the
panels facing North, North East and North West.
The electrical load from the household is required to estimate the percentage exported. The
profile in Figure 37 was scaled to give the seasonal loads representative of Victorian
households as shown Table 43cc in Appendix 7.7.
Tullamarine
2,500
PV generated kWh/yr 2,000
1,500
1,000
500
-
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000
Household Load kWh/yr
Tullamarine
$600
PV impact on bills
$500
$400
$ / yr
$300
$200
$100
$-
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000
Household Load kWh/yr
In order to have a realistic price, a provider of quality systems was approached in November
2013. They suggested the appropriate range for a 1.5 kW system ‘should be $3000-$4000’ but
said that ‘There will always be someone out there doing it for less’. They also suggested that
a realistic cost for a tilt frame was $500.
From current advertising offers it seems that prices in the order of $2500 - $3000 are
available. Consequently, the model used a capital cost (purchase and installation) of $3000
with an additional cost of $500 should the roof be flat or if there is insufficient space for both
a solar water heater (~5m2) and a PV system (~10 m2) on the north facing roof.
3 Results
3.1 Baseline
Below are the estimated energy demands from the NatHERS simulation results of the four
typologies in CZ6 (Tullamarine). Figure 9 shows the results with usage profile “Away during
the day” with central heating/cooling and Figure 10 is results of “Always home” with central
heating/cooling as well.
Figure 9 – Annual Energy Demand for the Baselines in CZ6, with “Away during the day” usage profile
Figure 10 – Annual Energy Demand for the Baselines in CZ6, with “Always home” usage profile
Similarly, the all measures best practice energy demand results from NatHERS simulations
for CZ6 are presented in Figure 11 and Figure 12.
Figure 11 – Annual Energy Demand for the All Measures Best Practices in CZ6, with “Away during day” usage profile
Figure 12 – Annual Energy Demand for the All Measures Best Practices in CZ6, with “Always home” usage profile
3.3 Lighting
Climate: Ballarat
(66)
Typology: Heavyweight Inter-War
Area (m²): 135.8
Sensible Latent Total
Baseline Ceiling Heating Cooling Cooling Energy % Decimal
Insulation R3.5 (MJ/m²/yr) (MJ/m²/yr) (MJ/m²/yr) (MJ/m²/yr) Difference Stars
Uninterrupted R3.5
but with 3 vented
downlights added 441.12 16.85 1.99 459.96 0.94% 3.25
Uninterrupted R3.5
(equivalent to no
downlights) 437.08 16.63 1.96 455.67 - 3.28
R3.5 on all but 0.09
m² having no
insulation 437.48 16.74 1.96 456.18 0.11% 3.28
As above but with 3
vented downlights
added 441.48 16.86 1.96 460.30 1.02% 3.25
Table 17 – Ceiling insulation with downlight clearances test results
In rating mode the NatHERS simulation engine does not calculate the lighting energy
consumption. However the infiltration caused by using vented downlights is included as part
of the air-flow calculation which affects the heating/cooling energy demands. A low energy
lighting plan for the house (vented downlights used only in areas where needed i.e. kitchen
bench, for the Baseline) was proposed as one of the energy efficiency measures. According to
the NatHERS Technical Note 2ee, clearances are required around the downlights. The results
of the simulations performed, which explore the significance of the heat loss and gain through
the uninsulated ceiling, are listed in Table 17.
From the simulation results shown in Table 17, the loss of ceiling insulation due to the use of
downlights only affect the heating/cooling energy demands by about 1%. The “Low energy
lighting plan for house” is excluded from this study.
For details of the Baseline lighting upgrade please refer to Appendix Section 7.2 and 7.3.
Table 18 is the cost benefit analysis of upgrading the heating systems from 3 Stars to 5 Stars
(with the upgraded duct from NCC compliant R1.0 to R1.5) for the Baseline scenario with the
‘always home’ usage profile in CZ6. Note that the building shell remains unchanged.
The same analysis for the All Measures Best Practice scenario in the same CZ6 is shown in
Table 19.
For the full set of data please refer to the Excel workbook “ExcelSpreadsheetDevelopment -
2014-06-30(Variation)-v19.xlsm”
Figure 13 Annualised cost of using each of the three options - Metro Area
Figure 14 Annualised cost of using each of the three options – Regional- North Area
Figure 15 Annualised cost of using each of the three options - Regional - South Area
Figure 16 Annualised cost of using each of the three options - Mildura Area
3.5.2 Summary
Gas boosted Solar water heaters are always more cost effective than a four star
gas water heater.
High efficiency six star gas water heaters are as cost effective or better than four
star gas water heaters, especially so in households with higher hot water use and
in regions where gas prices are higher.
An average gas boosted solar water heater will save 53% in large (8 occupant)
households to 83% in Small (single occupant) households gas compared to a four
star gas water heater in Southern Victoria. It will save more in Northern Victoria.
Gas boosted Solar water heaters are always the most cost effective option
PV Generation
3,000
2,500
Generation kWh/year
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
-
Tullamarine Ballarat Melbourne Mildura
Generation 2,169 2,188 1,982 2,521
It can be seen that the generation in Tullamarine is midway between Melbourne (3.7% lower)
and Ballarat (3.8% higher). The generation in Mildura is 19.8% higher than Tullamarine
Occupants 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Load 3886 4808 5691 6613 7526 8440 9355 10253
Tullamarine $207 $237 $263 $287 $ 309 $328 $344 $358
Annualised Ballarat $ 243 $278 $308 $335 $360 $381 $399 $413
$/year
Mildura $ 275 $314 $349 $383 $414 $442 $466 $ 486
Melbourne $ 180 $207 $230 $252 $272 $288 $303 $314
Table 24 – Annualised savings by location and Household size/load
Figure 18 – PV Output and Cooling Peak Load of Estate style typology in CZ6
The comparison of PV output and the hourly cooling peak load is shown in Figure 18. The
total internal heat gain is the sum of the sensible and latent heat gain of the “always home”
occupancy pattern. The hour on the x-axis is standard time hour. Figure 19 shows the net
export (+ve) and import (-ve).
3.6.5 Summary
With current electricity tariffs and feed in tariffs the most cost
effective option is to size a PV system so that most of the electricity it
produces is used onsite.
A 1.5 kW system will save the household $200 to $480 annually over
its operating life including paying for the purchase and installation
price.
The additional cost of renovating the house’s building envelope (both existing and extension)
from Baseline to Best Practice with one of the energy efficiency measures applied are listed in
Table 25:
Double glaze clear with 12mm Air 7,509 8,001 9,687 5,862
Table 26 is the building fabric cost analysis for the All Measures Best Practice scenario in
CZ6.
For the full set of data please refer to the Excel workbook “ExcelSpreadsheetDevelopment -
2014-06-30(Variation)-v19.xlsm”.
Figure 20 to Figure 23 are the steady state peaks and metered energy of the peak load analysis
for NCC CZ6. For the full set of graphs and data please refer to the excel workbook “Peak
Load Analysis - Graphs and Data - 2014-06-30.xlsx”.
The house living areas (exclude wet areas) are divided into two types: daytime and night-time
zone according to the NatHERS Technical Note 1hh.
The daytime and night-time zone heating /cooling degree.hours for a comfort range (18°C –
23°C) are calculated and example graphs are shown below. For the full set of graphs and data
please refer to the excel workbook “Health and Comfort Data Analysis - Graphs and Data -
2014-06-18.xlsx”.
The max/min temperatures of daytime/night-time zone, together with the outdoor max/min
temperatures of the corresponding climate zone are shown in the example graphs below. For
the full set of graphs and data, which includes the time and date when the max/min
temperatures occur, please refer to the same excel workbook “Health and Comfort Data
Analysis - Graphs and Data - 2014-06-18.xlsx”.
Figure 26 – Daytime zone max temperature difference between Baseline and All Measures Best Practice in CZ6
Figure 27 – Night-time zone min temperature difference between Baseline and All Measures Best Practice in CZ6
Similar to the Comfort Analysis but with a different tolerable range (13°C – 30°C), the
daytime and night-time zone heating /cooling degree.hours are calculated and example graphs
are shown below. Full set of graphs and data are in the same excel workbook “Health and
Comfort Data Analysis - Graphs and Data - 2014-06-18.xlsx”.
4 Interpretation
4.1 General
In general, all of the energy efficiency measures simulated for this project can improve the
comfort of the occupants and reduce the extreme temperatures inside the house. Peak loads of
heating and cooling equipment can also be reduced. House owners can select a smaller
heating/cooling system to save money or use a similar amount to buy a higher efficiency
system.
When the house is not heated or cooled, the internal temperature can be uncomfortably
high/low and the dwellings will be unsuitable for occupants to stay. The maximum and
minimum indoor temperatures for daytime and night-time zones, with Baseline and Best
Practice energy efficiency measures applied are set out in Table 27 and Table 28. These
results cover all typologies in this study. Generally, with better energy efficient measurements
applied the internal temperatures can be maintained nearer to the tolerable range.
In the NatHERS simulation, when outside air is beneficial for cooling, the window and door
openings are assumed to be open and the house is cooled by cross and stack ventilation. All
the annual total cooling degree hours of the house models should have values lower than the
outdoor degree hour (+ve values in the graphs presented).
From the comfort and health data analysis results, the cooling degree hours and maximum
indoor temperature are counterintuitive. There are simulations with cooling degree hours and
maximum indoor temperature higher than the outdoor degree hour / temperature, which
implies the window opening function in AccuRate does not work. When the outside air is
beneficial for cooling, the openings are still close.
Another analysis carried out is the peak load analysis. The all measures best practice scenarios
have a reduction in peak loads and thus in heating/cooling energy consumptions as shown in
Table 29 which covers all typologies used in this study.
* Equipped with all 7 improvements and the highest performing of the fenestration improvements – Generic DG Low-e argon
in improved Aluminium frame to both existing and extension windows
On a clear and sunny day, the 1.5 kW PV system used in this analysis has a higher net export
for the All Measures Best Practice scenarios than the Baseline, either with lower or higher
efficiency heating/cooling appliances. For the Baseline scenario, the PV system has a net
export only until about 12 noon.
The cost benefit of upgrading the heating systems, from 3 stars to 5 stars, is also analysed. In
general, higher star rating heating appliances are more expensive (higher in capital cost) but
more efficient systems reduce the energy consumption (operating cost).
The payback period of upgrading from 3 Star to 5 Star heating system for the Baseline
scenario is less than 4 years. However, as shown in Section 3.4, the payback period of the
same analysis for the All Measures Best Practice scenario, is over 10 years which is usually
unattractive to house owner.
On the “Main” worksheet, the desired simulation results can be selected from the 5 drop-
down lists. The price of the gas and electricity can be input on the same worksheet for the cost
calculations. By pressing the button the excel workbook can sort, create and display the
results in the following 2 worksheets:
It is therefore recommended that these results be disseminated to the housing industry and the
home enhancement market throughout Victoria and be regularly updated to maintain currency
such as with the forecasted substantial increases in residential natural gas tariffs.
It is further recommended that other jurisdictions be fostered in applying this concept to their
own specific situations and to share any advances they might make with the initiators at
Sustainability Victoria. Such emulation can enhance this work in its completeness over time
at the lowest cost to the respective governments.
The majority of Victorian houses have gas connections and gas is currently the preferred fuel
for water heaters, either as the only fuel or as the boost fuel for a solar water heater. However,
there are a number of Victorian houses that do not have access to natural gas, so their options
for technology to supply hot water when renovating are
electric resistance storage heating (often at lower cost off peak rates),
heat pumps (most often installed on a continuous tariff, with some impact on peak
demand),
electric boosted solar water heaters (often on an off peak tariff), or in a few cases
instantaneous electric water heaters (single rate tariff often with a high demand around
peak demand times); and
bottled gas which is more expensive than natural gas.
Due to the different tariffs and service life of the technologies it is not a simple task to
undertake this evaluation. However, adding this to the existing options could be done as a
follow up task. Knowledge of the sector and research will be required for evaluation of heat
pump performance, as;
Incorporation of RCACs
Reticulated natural gas has been assumed for the heating energy in this project but the
incorporation of RCACs in the proposed website would be a worthwhile extension of this
project. This will cover the areas beyond the reticulated gas system and accommodate the
likely reduced dominance of gas, if gas prices rise relative to electricity as is widely predicted.
The exploration of the relative energy costs and greenhouse gas emissions for reverse cycle
air-conditioners does need further assessment. ‘Off-the-shelf’ split systems can provide a
heating COP of 4.6 or higher. If this is combined with a roof top solar PV system, the energy
consumption and relative greenhouse gas emissions could be significantly reduced.
Targeted Fenestration
All the glazing improvement options used in this study return very high and unacceptable
payback periods with an average of about 30-300 years. One reason for this is that the
changes in glazing are applied to all windows facing all orientations and in all rooms where
this could be unnecessary for reducing energy demands. The upgrading of glazing could be
optimized by allowing for a consideration of individual room improvement subject to
orientation, function and times of occupation.
Overlooked EEMs
A project like this inevitably must target EEMs of key consideration in the house renovation
market to meet project time and cost constraints. Other EEMs will emerge over time as
building technology improves and price relativities change. Those EEMs and performance
factors noted at present as being worthy of incorporation in an expanded project include:
Movable shading like awnings and fixed shading like eaves compared with minimal
eaves or parapets;
Tinted and reflective glazing in single and double glazed applications with and
without Low-E coatings;
Air-to-air heat exchange in forced ventilation for heat/cool reclaim;
Roof space solar heat capture with thermostatically controlled ventilation systems;
Roof colour and solar absorptivity;
Floor insulation to a high level, say, R 5.0 under all;
The uses of high insulation over-cladding systems, which are strongly supported in the
U.S and E.U. to significantly improve the thermal performance of existing housing;
Shading from landscaping and neighbouring homes (beneficial and detrimental);
Non-cardinal orientations, especially for the solar PV analysis where a north-westerly
aspect can reduce annual electricity output but increase the value of that output by
aligning its peak with the peak demand on the electricity grid; and
Comparison of simulated cooling energy demand peaks (with and without solar PV)
with historical electricity grid peaks using real time weather data in lieu of the climate
data applied in this project.
justified “climate change” climate file should be established for a theoretical 2030 and/or
2050. Many houses that are being renovated today will still be occupied in 2050. Developing
a deeper understanding of built fabric and equipment improvements for today and out to 2050
can provide homeowners with a more informed home quality improvement strategy.
6 Acknowledgements
It would not have been possible without the kind support and help of many individuals and
organizations to complete this project. We would like to extend our sincere thanks to all of
them as listed below for providing support, materials and information.
CSIRO, especially Dr Dong Chen, for providing the AccuRate infiltration calculation
algorithm to assist us in creating all the SCRATCH files for simulations.
Archicentre, especially Cameron Frazer, for providing the four typologies plans.
Andrew Bell – Energy Efficiency Advisor of Alexander Watson Energy Efficiency,
for providing the prices for the building fabric improvements.
Professor Terry Williamson of University of Adelaide for technical support and advice
on the ventilation algorithm of AccuRate.
Staff of Energy Partners (especially Zhong Ran “Talent” Deng and Chun Yin Wu) and
of the University of Tasmania, School of Architecture and Design (especially Detlev
Geard and Maxim Tooker).
Staff of Sustainability House (especially Sally Thompson) for the automated
simulations that made the consideration of thousands of EEM combinations possible.
Additionally key staff at Sustainability Victoria provided timely guidance and market
knowledge to keep this project targeted on the intended end users. In particular, comments
offered by Ian McNichol are denoted IM where they have been incorporated in this final
report.
7 Appendices
7.1 Four Typologies
i. Insulation
2 Increase the level of insulation under the roof cladding Nil Nil
4 Increase the level of insulation in sub-floors NCC = R1.5 plus Nil plus carpet in
ii
carpet in bedrooms bedrooms only, tiles in
CSOG NCC = R0.0 , CSOG carpet in bedrooms only, tiles elsewhere only, tiles in wet areas, wet areas, others bare
others bare timber timber
9 Install draught proofing around doors and windows, skirting boards, NCC Nilll
above fans or fireplaces.
10 Install LED lighting instead of vented down lights in typical lighting plan NCC
pipe lagging
i. Insulation
1 Increase the level of insulation in ceilings NCC = R5.0 R6.0 (top up R5.0)pp
2 Increase the level of insulation under the roof cladding Foil under R 1.0 Nil
3 Increase the level of insulation in walls R2.5 plus foilqq R2.5rr (or cavity fill)ss
4 Increase the level of insulation in sub-floors R2.5 plus carpet in R2.5 plus carpet in
New CSOG with R1.0 under insulationtt bedrooms only, tiles in bedrooms only, tiles in
wet areas, others bare wet areas, others bare
timber timber
5 Install low-e clear to extension single glazed windows Generic Low-e Single glazed clear in
standard Al frameuu
6 Install double glazed windows (12 mm air filled gap)vv Generic DG air Single glazed clear in
standard Al frame
7 Install double glazed windows (12mm argon filled gap) Generic DG Low-e Single glazed clear in
argon in improved Al standard Al frame
frame
8 Install double glazed windows (12mm argon filled gap) in existingww Generic DG Low-e Generic DG Low-e
argon in improved Al argon in improved Al
frame frame
9 Install draught proofing around doors and windows, skirting boards, NCC NCC
above fans or fireplaces.
2) Lighting
10xx Install LED lighting instead of vented down lights in typical lighting plan Surface mounted LED Surface mounted LED
except kitchen except kitchen
11 Install a new/or upgrade the heating system 5-star gas with R3.0 5-star gas with R3.0
ducts unzoned ducts unzoned
12 Zoning the heating system 5-star gas with R3.0 5-star gas with R3.0
ducts zoned ducts zoned
13 Install a new/or upgrade the air-conditioning system 5-star RCAC with R3.0 5-star RCAC with R3.0
ducts zoned ducts zoned
5) Solar
Hour 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 64 64 64 20 20 20 20 20 20 24 0 24
9 64 64 64 20 20 20 20 20 20 24 0 24
10 20 0 20 10 0 10 20 0 20 24 0 24
11 20 0 20 10 0 10 20 0 20 24 0 24
12 20 0 20 10 0 10 20 0 20 24 0 24
13 20 0 20 10 0 10 20 0 20 24 0 24
14 20 0 20 10 0 10 20 0 20 24 0 24
15 20 0 20 10 0 10 20 0 20 24 0 24
16 20 0 20 10 0 10 20 0 20 24 0 24
17 20 0 20 10 0 10 20 0 20 24 0 24
18 71 0 71 15 0 15 20 0 20 24 0 24
19 71 71 71 15 15 15 20 20 20 24 24 24
20 71 71 71 15 15 15 20 20 20 24 24 24
21 71 71 71 15 15 15 20 20 20 24 24 24
22 71 71 71 15 15 15 20 20 20 24 24 24
23 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 24 24 24
24 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 24 24 24
1: NatHERS Rating Standard
Schedule No
2: Away During the Day
Define:
3: Always Home
Thermostat = 0 means the system is Off.
Hour 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3
1 100 100 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 100 100 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 100 100 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 100 100 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 100 100 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
6 100 100 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
7 100 100 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 600 600 600 323 323 323 20 20 20 24 0 24
9 300 300 300 123 123 123 20 20 20 24 0 24
10 163 100 163 61 0 61 20 0 20 24 0 24
11 163 100 163 61 0 61 20 0 20 24 0 24
12 163 100 163 61 0 61 20 0 20 24 0 24
13 163 100 163 61 0 61 20 0 20 24 0 24
14 163 100 163 61 0 61 20 0 20 24 0 24
15 163 100 163 61 0 61 20 0 20 24 0 24
16 163 100 163 61 0 61 20 0 20 24 0 24
17 163 100 163 61 0 61 20 0 20 24 0 24
18 318 100 318 92 0 92 20 0 20 24 0 24
19 1318 1318 1318 692 692 692 20 20 20 24 24 24
20 468 468 468 92 92 92 20 20 20 24 24 24
21 468 468 468 92 92 92 20 20 20 24 24 24
22 468 468 468 92 92 92 20 20 20 24 24 24
23 100 100 100 0 0 0 20 20 20 24 24 24
24 100 100 100 0 0 0 20 20 20 24 24 24
1: NatHERS Rating Standard
Schedule No
2: Away During the Day
Define:
3: Always Home
Thermostat = 0 means the system is Off.
Hour 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3
1 44 44 44 22 22 22 15 15 15 24 24 24
2 44 44 44 22 22 22 15 15 15 24 24 24
3 44 44 44 22 22 22 15 15 15 24 24 24
4 44 44 44 22 22 22 15 15 15 24 24 24
5 44 44 44 22 22 22 15 15 15 24 24 24
6 44 44 44 22 22 22 15 15 15 24 24 24
7 44 44 44 22 22 22 15 15 15 24 24 24
8 0 20 20 0 22 22 18 18 18 24 0 24
9 0 20 20 0 22 22 18 18 18 24 0 24
10 0 0 20 0 0 22 0 0 18 0 0 24
11 0 0 20 0 0 22 0 0 18 0 0 24
12 0 0 20 0 0 22 0 0 18 0 0 24
13 0 0 20 0 0 22 0 0 18 0 0 24
14 0 0 20 0 0 22 0 0 18 0 0 24
15 0 0 20 0 0 22 0 0 18 0 0 24
16 0 0 20 0 0 22 0 0 18 0 0 24
17 0 0 20 0 0 22 18 0 18 24 0 24
18 0 0 20 0 0 22 18 0 18 24 0 24
19 0 0 20 0 0 22 18 18 18 24 24 24
20 20 20 20 0 0 22 18 18 18 24 24 24
21 20 20 20 0 0 22 18 18 18 24 24 24
22 20 20 20 0 0 22 18 18 18 24 24 24
23 64 64 64 22 22 22 18 18 18 24 24 24
24 44 44 44 22 22 22 18 18 18 24 24 24
1: NatHERS Rating Standard
Schedule No
2: Away During the Day
Define:
3: Always Home
Thermostat = 0 means the system is Off.
In order to understand the savings to be made when installing a solar water heater or a 5 star
gas water heater the amount of hot water used for households of different sizes is needed.
There are a range of discussions in the literature but there is no clear method.
A model of hot water use based on the levels specified in AS/NZS 4234 was developed. It is
based on the estimated consumption of the average household (2.8 persons) using
approximately 126 litres of hot water/day raised by 45K (from 15°C to 60°C) which is24
MJ/daybbb, and a five person household using approximately 200 litres (38 MJ/day) being the
medium load from AS/NZS 4234.
The model is linear with consumption varying proportionally with occupancy, as described in
Equation 4. This produces the results in Table 32
( )
Equation 4
Occupantsccc 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
HW litres raised 65 99 133 167 201 235 269 303
by 45K
Qave MJ/day 12.3 18.7 25.1 31.6 38.0 44.4 50.8 57.3
Qpeakddd MJ/day 13.6 20.7 27.8 34.9 42.0 49.1 56.2 63.3
Table 32 – Hot water consumption vs occupant number (consumption in Litres, Average Energy per day and in Peak Energy
per day)
The water heater most likely to be installed in a Victorian home by a builder is a four star gas
storage water heater. The calculation of the Annual Energy Saving using AS/NZS 4234 is
based on a comparison with a three star gas water heater. Consequently, for this analysis the
Annual Energy Consumption for both three star and four star gas water heaters are required.
The Annual Energy Consumption (AE) of a gas storage water heater is given by Equation 5
beloweee.
[ ( ) ]
Equation 5
Where
Maintenance
Product Gas Thermal gas
class consumption efficiency consumption
MJ/h % MJ/h
3 Star
28 82.4 1
storage
4 Star
24 84 0.8
Storage
Table 33 –Three and four star gas storage water heater parameters, consistent with gas consumption listed for those ratings
Using the parameters in Table 33 the gas consumed by a three and four Star Gas Storage
water heater is calculated by Equation 5 is given in Table 34
Occupants
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
litres/day 65 99 133 167 201 235 269 303
Hot water MJ/day 12.3 18.7 25.2 31.6 38.0 44.4 50.9 57.3
consumption
MJ/year 4,489 6,837 9,186 11,535 13,883 16,232 18,580 20,929
3 Star Gas Water heater
Gas used MJ/year 14,010 16,756 19,503 22,249 24,996 27,742 30,489 33,235
4 Star Gas Water heater
Gas used MJ/year 12,170 14,871 17,572 20,273 22,974 25,675 28,375 31,076
Table 34 – Gas consumed by 3 and 4 star gas storage water heater vs occupancy
Some solar water heaters had performance estimates for both small and medium loads. These
were used to estimate the reduction in solar contribution of solar water heaters (% saving) as
more hot water was withdrawn. The reduced solar contribution was on average 10 percentage
points from the small load to the medium load. Whilst the percentage saved decreased, the
actual energy saved increased as the load also increased more, i.e. at higher load the energy
saved is a smaller percentage of a larger figure. Using the two loads available, a relationship
was estimated between the number of occupants and the energy saved. Table 35 and Figure
30 show the results of this calculation. For the purposes of this study it was assumed that the
same average solar water heater was installed in all homes. This will lead to a higher cost
incurred in homes with less occupants but as the installation cost is a significant part of the
total installed cost it is unlikely to be a large consideration. Additionally, many home owners
may install a larger system than their current needs which will also provide greater running
cost savings. Note that some solar water heaters will also use a small amount of electricity.
This is included in the energy used, however, as it is very small compared to the gas
consumption it is not separately accounted for.
Occupants
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
litres/day 65 99 133 167 201 235 269 303
Hot water
MJ/day 12.3 18.7 25.2 31.6 38.0 44.4 50.9 57.3
consumption
MJ/year 4,489 6,837 9,186 11,535 13,883 16,232 18,580 20,929
3 Star Gas Water heater
Gas used MJ/year 14,010 16,756 19,503 22,249 24,996 27,742 30,489 33,235
4 Star Gas Water heater
Gas used MJ/year 12,170 14,871 17,572 20,273 22,974 25,675 28,375 31,076
Solar water heater
Savings% c.f. 3 star 85% 81% 77% 73% 68% 64% 60% 56%
Gas consumed MJ/year 2,091 3,184 4,583 6,119 7,999 9,987 12,195 14,623
Gas saved
c.f. 4 Star MJ/year 10,080 11,687 12,989 14,154 14,975 15,687 16,180 16,453
Table 35 – Gas used by a solar water heater vs occupancy
30
25
M J / Year ( '000s)
20
4 Star Gas Heater
15 Gas saved SWH
10 Gas Used SWH
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Occupants
Figure 30 – Gas used by water heaters and saved by solar vs number of occupants (Gas saved is the difference in
consumption of the solar water heater and the four star gas water heater.)
The improved performance due to the clearer skies inland has been estimated by comparing
the number of Small Technology Certificates (STCs) created for the same product for Zone 4
and Zone 3 from the Clean Energy Regulator (CER) listing. It was established that the
increase in performance is approximately 13%. Consequently savings attributable to a solar
water heater were increased by 13% for the Northern region of Victoria and the Mildura area.
Note that electricity is consumed in a high efficiency gas instantaneous water heater;
To operate the control system, a constant consumption, and
To operate the forced combustion fan when the water is being heated, a variable
consumption.
The consumption of a 6 star instantaneous gas water heater and the savings compared to a 4
star storage gas water heater are show in Table 36.
Occupants
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
6 star gas
Gas consumed MJ/yr 8571 11060 13549 16038 18526 21015 23504 25993
Gas saved MJ/yr 3599 3811 4023 4235 4447 4659 4871 5083
Electricity consumed kWh/yr 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70
Table 36 – Annual savings and consumption of a 6-Stars gas instantaneous water heater vs occupancy
VEECs and STCs the savings to the householder from these were included. The average
price was $3577 and the average installation cost was $1687, a total of $5264.
The cost of supply of all models that had more than 5 installations was analysed. There were
1040 installations where the model was installed 5 or more times in the 2 year period. The
relationship between solar savings and supply costs were analysed see Figure 31Figure 5
below. There is no significant relationship between the % solar savings and the supply cost of
the appliance.
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
$- $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000
Supply Cost
Consequently, it is reasonable to use an average price and average savings in the model
developed for this project.
A four star storage water heater supply and install costs vary between $1940 and $2140, so
the total cost used for the base case is the average $2040). It is assumed that the existing gas
supply pipe will be sufficient to supply the new water heater.
The cost to supply and install a 6 star instantaneous gas water heater often requires upgrading
the gas supply as the existing gas pipe is insufficient to provide the amount of gas needed to
these appliances. So the average total cost of the high efficiency gas option is $2735.
gas storage water heaters. Gas instantaneous water heaters last 2% longer than gas storage
water heaters.
This difference in life is accounted for in the levelised cost of energy calculation by adding
that percentage to the cost of the gas storage water heater to account for the cost from the next
system purchased whilst the longer life system is still operating.
Year Reported Total Electric Storage Gas Storage Gas Instant Solar
2012 12.6 12.7 12.0 12.6 14.8
2010 12.8 12.8 12.2 12.3 17.7
2008 12.9 13.2 12.4 12.4 14.4
Average 12.8 12.9 12.2 12.4 15.6
Table 37 – The age of replaced water heatersggg
Gas has peak and off peak seasonally and Electricity is consumed predominantly as a single
or two part tariffs. For this analysis the marginal energy prices produced by Energy Consult
for SV in 2013 have been used. Electricity prices have been increased by 3.7% and gas prices
have been increased by 4.9% to account for recent price changes. This gives current prices
(but SV needs to ensure regular updating of its intended website to keep these values current
in future years).
The energy saved by implementing the measures in this study is costed at the marginal prices
relevant for the times that the technologies are active.
The marginal cost of electricity on a single rate tariff is the average electricity price. This is
27.48 cents/kWh for Metropolitan areas and 29.96 cents/kWh for Regional Victoria.
Gas prices are more complex as there are a number of price steps, which are different in peak
periods (June to October) and non-peak periods. Consequently, the marginal prices vary
depending on seasonal use profile and the amount of gas used. EnergyConsult has provided
marginal gas prices for small, medium and large gas using households. The marginal gas
prices are given in Table 39 – Marginal gas prices 2014 by household size and region (after
EnergyConsult 2013)Table 39 below, updated to 2014.
Table 39 – Marginal gas prices 2014 by household size and region (after EnergyConsult 2013)
The gas prices in Mildura are different from the rest of Victoria in that there is no change
from summer to winter. As it is a two block tariff the summer marginal price will be within
the first (highest price block). The winter marginal price is made up of 60% of the second
block and 40% of the first block price consistent with the Energy Consult study.
Gas saved by using the more efficient 5 star gas water heater will be at the average of the
marginal summer and winter prices. (See Table 39)
The annualised cost is the total present value of the costs of a water heater divided by the
expected life of the water heater. It equalizes the differences in service lifetimes of different
technologies using an Internal Rate of Return (equivalent to a discount rate). The annualised
energy charges are the average projected energy cost over the service life of the water heater,
calculated by multiplying the projected energy tariff (c/MJ) by the energy consumed (MJ/yr)
by a water heater of that type to deliver the estimated hot water load requirement for the
household.
( )
Equation 6
Annualised costs are plotted below. The figures indicate that at solar water heater has the
lowest annualise cost, and that the two gas options are effectively the same cost on an
annualised basis, except in Mildura where the six star water heater is always the more
economical option of the gas water heaters, due to higher gas prices.
Figure 32 – Annualised cost of using each of the three options - Metro Area
Figure 33 – Annualised cost of using each of the three options – Regional- North Area
Figure 34 – Annualised cost of using each of the three options - Regional - South Area
Figure 35 – Annualised cost of using each of the three options - Mildura Area
Equation 7
( )
( )
Equation 8
This method of analysis also indicates that the cost of saving energy by buying and installing
a gas boosted solar water heater or a 6 star gas water heater when compared to the purchase
and installation of a four star gas water heater is almost always lower than the cost of
purchasing gas at current prices. This is especially apparent in homes where there are three or
more occupants.
Given that gas prices are likely to increase in the future this will mean that solar and high
efficiency gas water heaters will become even more cost effective over time.
7.6.13 Summary
Gas boosted solar water heaters are always more cost effective than a four star gas
water heater.
High Efficiency six star gas water heaters are as cost effective or better than four star
gas water heaters, especially so in households with higher hot water use and in regions
where gas prices are higher.
An average gas boosted solar water heater will save 53% in large (8 occupant)
households to 83% in Small (single occupant) households gas compared to a four star
gas water heater in Southern Victoria. It will save more in Northern Victoria.
Gas boosted solar water heaters are always the most cost effective option
The money a householder needs to invest to save a MJ of gas is equivalent to, or less
than, the current cost of gas for both a gas boosted solar water heater and a six Star
instantaneous gas water heater when compared to a four star water heater. These
options are always less expensive in homes where there are three or more occupants
( )
Equation 9
Occupants
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Summer 9.2 11.6 14 16.4 18.8 21.2 23.6 26
Seasonal Autumn 828 1081 1335 1587 1842 2096 2350 2603
Electricity
Winter 1133 1347 1562 1776 1991 2205 2420 2634
consumption
kWh/yr Spring 1085 1309 1533 1757 1981 2204 2428 2652
Total Load 3887 4796 5707 6615 7528 8437 9348 10257
Table 43 – Victorian electricity consumption vs occupancy
12000
8000
kWh/yr
6000
4000
2000
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Household occupancy
Consequently, this analysis will consider an array size of approximately 1.5 kW (The array
must be made up of a number of full modules. In this case 7 of the modules chosen gives a
nominal capacity of 1.50563 kW) as this will result in a large proportion of the energy
produced being used on site. That means it will displace the purchase of electricity at a price
of 27.5 to 30 cents/kWh rather than exporting it to receive income of 8 cents/kWh.
The modelling included a tilt of 25 degrees from horizontal and was undertaken facing North,
North East and North West.
The electrical load from the household is required to estimate the percentage exported. The
profile in Figure 37 was scaled to give the seasonal loads representative of Victorian
households as shown Table 43nnn.
The model included standard products available from the SAM database of product
performance.
The main components included in the model were chosen to be representative of a good
quality PV system. They were;
PV Generation
3,000
2,500
Generation kWh/year
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
-
Tullamarine Ballarat Melbourne Mildura
Generation 2,169 2,188 1,982 2,521
It can be seen that the Generation in Tullamarine is midway between Melbourne (3.7% lower)
and Ballarat (3.8% higher). The generation in Mildura is 19.8% higher than Tullamarine
Consequently Northern Victoria is modelled using Mildura data and Tullamarine data is used
for Southern Victoria.
Tullamarine
2,500
PV generated kWh/yr 2,000
1,500
1,000
500
-
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000
Household Load kWh/yr
Tullamarine
$600
PV impact on bills
$500
$400
$ / yr
$300
$200
$100
$-
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000
Household Load kWh/yr
It can be seen that the reduction in output from Non-North orientation is significantly less for
North East misalignment than North West. The reduction for NE is a maximum of 3.3% in
Melbourne. In Mildura it is insignificant, 0.3%. By contrast the reduction for NW is greater
for Mildura than other locations at 8.8%. This may be related to cloud cover differences
between morning and afternoon, but will also be impacted by the higher diurnal temperature
swing in inland sites leading to higher afternoon temperatures compared to morning
temperatures. Unlike Solar hot water, PV output decreases with temperature. Typical
temperature coefficients are 0.5%/K reduction.
In order to have a realistic price, a provider of quality systems was approached in November
2013. They suggested the appropriate range for a 1.5 kW system ‘should be $3000-$4000’ but
said that ‘There will always be someone out there doing it for less’. They also suggested that
a realistic cost for a tilt frame was $500.
From current advertising offers it seems that prices in the order of $2500 - $3000 are
available. Consequently, the model used a capital cost (purchase and installation) of $3000
with an additional cost of $500 should the roof be flat or if there is insufficient space for both
a solar water heater (~5m2) and a PV system (~10 m2) on the north facing roof.
generated by the PV system. The total energy generated was assumed to be over a twenty
year lifetime. Note that many systems have a longer lifetime, however, twenty years was
chosen as generation often reduces over the lifetime of the system. The results are given in
Table 45
Occupants 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Load 3886 4808 5691 6613 7526 8440 9355 10253
Tullamarine $207 $237 $263 $287 $ 309 $328 $344 $358
Annualised Ballarat $ 243 $278 $308 $335 $360 $381 $399 $413
$/year
Mildura $ 275 $314 $349 $383 $414 $442 $466 $ 486
Melbourne $ 180 $207 $230 $252 $272 $288 $303 $314
Table 46 – Annualised savings by location and Household size/load
7.7.11 Summary
With current electricity tariffs and feed in tariffs the most cost effective option is to
size a PV system so that most of the electricity it produces is used onsite.
A 1.5 kW system will save the household $200 to $480 annually over its operating life
including paying for the purchase and installation price.
If there is no suitable North facing roof available, a North Easterly orientation will
provide more Electricity than a North Westerly orientation. However, within 45
degrees of true north there is less than 10% decrease in output.
If a flat roof or an unsuitable orientation is the only option then racks to tilt and
orientate the PV modules can be used. This will add approximately 15% to 20% to the
installed cost.
8 Notes
a
The gas boosted solar water heater included in the analysis was typical of the cost and performance of the gas
boosted solar water heaters installed in Victoria in the two years up to May 2013. It was not of any particular
model or technology type.
b
The star rating and the corresponding efficiency of the ducted gas system is from Appliance Energy
Consumption in Australia – Equations for Appliance Star Ratings for Indirect gas-fired ducted air heater – AS
4556: http://www.energyrating.gov.au/wp-
content/uploads/Energy_Rating_Documents/Library/General/Labelling_and_MEPS/appliance-star-ratings.pdf
And for the cooling: Appliance Energy Consumption in Australia – Equations for Appliance Star Ratings for air
conditioning – AS/NZS 3823.2: http://www.energyrating.gov.au/wp-
content/uploads/Energy_Rating_Documents/Library/General/Labelling_and_MEPS/appliance-star-ratings.pdf
c
IM: For existing ducted heating units its more likely to be R0.6. We estimate that the current stock average gas
ducted heater is around a 3 star rating. 2 star gas ducted heaters haven’t been sold since the mid-1990s and the
current market average is around 3.5 stars, and possibly slightly higher where people are purchasing their own
unit.
It is quite rare for Victorian houses to have a ducted refrigerative air conditioner for cooling. Where a ducted
cooling system is used it is most likely to be ducted evaporative. Where refrigerative air conditioners are used
they are more likely to be split-system room air conditioners. Accordingly, use of a ducted refrigerative air
conditioner in the peak load analysis would give the “worst case” peak demand results.
Current MEPS level for ducted refrigerative coolers is and EER of 3.10. An EER of 3.25 is probably around the
market average for a new ducted refrigerative cooler, but the stock average ducted refrigerative cooler could be
less efficient than this
d
Air conditioners tend to place their peak loads on the electricity system between 4 and 5 pm on very hot
summer days, with a lot of the impact being due to people coming home from work and switching their air
conditioners on, but systems are not sized to attain conditions in 60 minutes from a worst start. For grid impact,
the start times are diversified, including those already on (always home scenario).
e
This applies to a new ducted heating/cooling installation, but existing ducted heating/cooling systems are likely
to have a lower level of insulation. Depending on how old they are, they may also have suffered from some
degradation and therefore have even higher heat loss.
f
In houses with suspended timber floors gas heating ductwork will commonly be run under the floor. The heat
losses would be similar anyway as the lower R will be in a more moderate environment and all dust losses warm
the subfloor and reduce losses through the floor. AccuRate cannot model this.
g
Prices obtained from the following sources:
Rawlinsons – Australian Construction Handbook 2012 edition 30. Prices are for Dec 2011 and they are djusted
to Dec 2013 (latest available) using the indexes report from the Australian Bureau of Statistics "6427.0 -
Producer Price Indexes, Australia, Dec 2013. Table 17. Output of the Construction industries, subdivision and
class index numbers". Index Number ; 3011 House construction Victoria.
http://www.abs.gov.au/AUSSTATS/abs@.nsf/DetailsPage/6427.0Sep%202013?OpenDocument
Andrew Bell - Andrew Bell – Energy Efficiency Advisor of Alexander Watson Energy Efficiency. Prices are
for Canberra but adjusted to Victoria using the same indexes report from the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
Index Number ; 3011 House construction Victoria and 3011 House construction Australina Capital Territory.
Dominic – State Manager (A.C.T.) of Rylock Windows and Doors. Glazing prices are for Canberra but
adjusted to Victoria using the same indexes report as above.
Peter – Sales Manager of Skyview Windows. Glazing prices are for Canberra but adjusted to Victoria using the
same indexes report as above.
h
Price includes the installation of a new light point, which is about $70 from the Rawlinsons Handbook 2012.
The LED installation cost to an existing light point will be cheaper.
i
Rawlinsons – Australian Constrction Handbook 2012 Edition 30.
j
ActwelAGL Energy Shop, Fyshwick Canberra. Packaged AC system information was provided by Craig and
Brad in Feb 2014.
k
Gstore: http://www.gstore.com.au/. Viewed on 28th Feb 2014
l
IM: There are hardly any 5 star gas room heaters on the market at present. There is an Aurora made in Victoria
but this is a gas effect log fire and the sales are likely fairly modest. The most widely sold high efficiency gas
room heaters are the Rinnai Energysaver models which have a star rating in the 4 star range. Based on the SV On
Ground Assessment study of 60 existing houses we estimate a stock average of around 2.8 stars. There is little
data on the efficiency of new gas room heaters sold but it is unlikely to be less than this.
m
IM: There are really two possible baseline scenarios:
(1) Householders do not upgrade their heating/cooling systems. This would mean that the baseline
efficiency was based on a stock average efficiency of existing equipment;
(2) Householders choose to replace their existing heating/cooling as part of the upgrade. This would mean
that the baseline efficiency was based on the market average of new equipment sold.
n
IM: Cooling upgrades have been ignored as they are the most expensive and yet the cooling energy savings are
always going to be quite small. This means that choosing such an upgrade will always result in a very long
payback period. This is especially the case as the upgrade is assessed at the full installation cost, rather than
looking at the differential cost between a high efficiency and market average efficiency systems.
o
ActwelAGL Energy Shop, Fyshwick. Price provided by Rowen in May 2014.
p
Proprietary software developed by Energy Partners. For further details see “House Energy Efficiency
Improvements - Costs of Increasing AccuRate Star Ratings for New and Existing Houses”, Report by Centre for
International Economics in association with Dr Tony Marker (pitt&sherry) and Trevor Lee (Energy Partners),
May 2010, MBA Project. This was subsequently published as “Energy-efficiency: building code star-ratings
What’s optimal, what’s not”, report for Master Builders Australia by Centre for International Economics,
Canberra & Sydney (in association with Pitt and Sherry and Energy Partners), July 2010.
q
ASHRAE, “Handbook of Fundamentals” American Society for Heating Refrigeration and Airconditioning
Engineers, Atlanta GA, USA, 2009
r
While most extension projects will be for households of 4 or more, the full range is reported here for
completeness and in recognition of the later years in each house’s life and that not all “empty nesters” will
“downsize” or take in boarders.
s
AS/NZS4234 “Heated water systems—Calculation of energy consumption” provides three loads for evaluating
solar water heaters.
w
Energy Made Easy website: https://www.energymadeeasy.gov.au/bill-benchmark
x
http://www.sunwiz.com.au/index.php/solar-market-intelligence/solar-hot-spots-target-
suburbs.html#staticChartsPVAustraliaCapacity Accessed 30 January 2014
y
Moyse Climate spectator 24/9/2013 Solar payback: Smaller is better
http://www.businessspectator.com.au/article/2013/9/23/solar-energy/solar-payback-smaller-better
z
Gill How electricity use affects PV system size http://www.phacelift.com.au/wp-
content/uploads/2013/06/Article-4-How-electricity-use-affects-PV-Size-v01.pdf
aa
In reality the optimum size will depend on whether the household is occupied during the day or usually
unoccupied during the day. Residential load profiles generally display a peak in the morning and the evening and
are fairly flat and low during the day. This can mean that much of the electricity generated is exported to the
grid.
bb
https://sam.nrel.gov/
cc
This is the shape of the distribution profile used. The profiles used were a constant multiple of this profile that
varied for each household size and season to give the seasonal totals given in Table 43 in Appendix 7.7
dd
For a solar water heater there is a cost involved in purchasing energy for backup, which, whilst lower than the
amount required for a conventional system is still an outgoing, so is a cost in annualised terms. For water
heaters the annualised cost is relevant as a comparison between product types.
ee
NatHES Technical Note 2 – Guidance for Calculating Ceiling Penetrations (Version 1.0-2012)
ff
For a solar water heater there is a cost involved in purchasing energy for backup, which, whilst lower than the
amount required for a conventional system is still an outgoing, so is a cost in annualised terms. For water
heaters the annualised cost is relevant as a comparison between product types.
gg
IM: In the On Ground Assessment study the average estimated cost for comprehensive draught sealing of
existing houses was $1,037. (Higher figures here may be due to different no of windows and doors. Note that
draught proofing includes skirting boards which the wall length in different house affect the cost.)
hh
Zone types are defined in Technical Note 1 - NatHERS Principles for Ratings in Regulation Mode (Version
1.1 – 2013)
ii
Add R0.5 for waffle pods 175 and 225 thick or R1.0 for 300 and 375 thick according to recent NatHERS
technical advice (Sent: Friday, August 02, 2013 4:32 PM, Subject: Waffle Pods - Advice for Assessors from the
NatHERS Administrator). EP recommends retaining nil insulation in the NCC case and adding the deeper waffle
pods in the Best Practice case. Confirmed by SV 25 November 2013.
jj
UTas to provide Glazing Calculators for all non-complying cases for SV to instruct which of those cases are
acceptable for “partial compliance” BA and which, if any, must have generic clear double glazing in standard
aluminium frames in their Baseline. Confirmed by SV 18 November 2013.
kk
Timber window frames in Pre-War and Inter-War typologies, aluminium in later typologies. Confirmed by
SV 25 November 2013.
ll
Existing rooms to have one wall vent per 15 m² NFA or part thereof except Estate Style which post-dates the
NCC requirement for vents. Existing kitchens and bathrooms (including en suite bathrooms) to have one
unsealed exhaust fan each. Existing windows and doors to be un-weather-stripped and have medium gaps
irrespective of age or typology. Confirmed by SV 25 November 2013.
mm
At circa 65W per halogen incandescent fitting, the limit of 5 W/m² translates to one vented downlight per 13
m² of GFA. Switching 2 or more with a motion detector, this can be modified by the adjustment factor of 0.55
allowing one vented downlight per 7 m² of GFA. Using CFL or LED vented fittings at say 15W each there
could be one vented downlight per 3 m². EP recommends Baseline extensions to have one vented downlight per
7 m² of GFA. Confirmed by SV 25 November 2013.
nn
If gas is available then a 2 star central ducted heater is most likely. We will model split heating and cooling -
i.e. MEPS AC for Cooling, 2 star gas CH ducted for heating. Confirmed by SV 18 November 2013.
oo
Electric storage isn’t used a lot where gas has been available for longer than the system lifetimes. Perhaps 2
star gas storage would be more likely, except in Mildura.
We could have 2 options here: 2 star gas storage, say, 180 litres in volume or 400 L off peak electric.
SV to instruct what alternatives are to be applied. See also endnote yy.
pp
EP expects the insulator to not want to differentiate new and old areas to install different batts in each area
with increased wastage. Confirmed by SV 25 November 2013.
qq
Batt must be no more than 90mm to preserve the air gap and reduce condensation. Rockwool batts provide
these measurements (http://www.bradfordinsulation.com.au/Products/Residential-Products/Thermal-
Insulation/Gold-trade;-Wall-Batts.aspx). With a 90 mm frame R2.5 + foil the R2.5 Rockwool batts are an
average of 86 mm thick leaving virtually no airspace. Therefore reflectance is only in one direction - outward.
However, even R1.5 batts would ordinarily be pushed against the RFL if there was any, leaving the air gap
between the batt and the plasterboard. Also, in the WB house the reflective air gap will be small - and zero near
the top of every WB. Confirmed by SV 25 November 2013. Using Emissivity 0.20 as anti-glare foil probably
used.
rr
Insulation of existing walls was agreed in phone meeting 6 December 2013. For existing external walls in the
Pre-War typology, the WBs are removed and discarded, R2.5 batts installed and held in place by breather RFL
with 35 mm timber battens fixed over studs forming an unventilated air gap and covered with new WBs
installed, trimmed and painted. For existing external walls in the BV typologies, the PB is removed and tapes
run along the outside face of the studs with R2.5 batts installed against the tape and new PB installed, trimmed
and painted. For existing external walls in the Inter-War cavity brick typology retrofit rockwool is installed
providing R1.0 added insulation.
ss
Cavity fill gives notional added insulation of R1.0 in cavity brickwork, R2.0 in weatherboard walls and R3.0 in
brick veneer walls. SV instructs 18 November 2013 cavity fill for double brick, R2.5 batts installed in
weatherboard and brick veneer walls Agreed 25 November 2013 that this retrofit of WB and BV walls is
expensive as it will require removal and replacement of internal plasterboard and repaint but, as this is part of a
renovation, it provides an opportunity when repainting may be happening anyway. Cavity fill in all traditional
wall types will be covered in future work for the online tool.
tt
Edge and/or underfloor insulation is only required by the NCC where in-slab heating is installed but we are
assuming ducted central space heating and cooling for this project. SV instructs 18 November 2013 for the best
practice model to have R1.0 edge insulation and R1.0 under floor insulation to account for Waffle Pods. EP
confirms that AccuRate models slab edge insulation (although FirstRate5 cannot) but cautions that the algorithm
is dubious and gives scant energy benefit, perhaps by emulating the relatively ineffectual detail incorporated in
the NCC (Figure 3.12.1.4). SV confirms EP advice that the slab edge modeling will provide negligible energy
benefit and agrees to remove slab edge from the project scope 25 November 2013.
uu
SV would also like to capture the benefits of improving the glazing in the whole house, EP to quote for a
variation for this work.
vv
UTas provided a table by email on 6 December 2013 for confirmation and incorporation in the project and its
report.
ww
Confirmed as a variation extra by SV 18 December 2013.
xx
Agreed in phone meeting 6 December 2013 to delete the second lighting alternative. EP will include the
rationale and supporting research in the draft report as an appendix.
yy The SHW system will be defined by its performance in Zone 4 (~65%). Does SV want to have the higher
performance in Zone 3 (~70%) accounted for in Mildura OR one performance for all the state? Do we assume
that there is no non-gas use for hot water in the Baseline case or does SV want to have two Baseline cases, which
may be relevant for Mildura (gas boosted to compare with gas storage or electric off peak boosted to compare
with electric)? EP recommends a consistent state-wide treatment but confirms that differentiating Mildura can
be done within the current contract sum. SV confirms 25 November 2013 one standard approach for all of VIC
and that gas HW will be used for the Baseline.
aaa
Indicative cost effective systems for common house electricity consumptions. It is noted that 3kW systems
are common despite their theoretically inferior cost effectiveness under current tariffs.
bbb
While the science of water heating, and especially solar water heating, is carried out in energy units (MJ)
some discussions present litres/day MJ/day is converted to approximate volumetric equivalents by assuming a 45
K temperature rise, consistent with energy labelling calculations, to aid in lay understanding of the rationales.
The L/day and MJ/day figures are annual peaks. Consumption varies seasonally due to the cold water inlet
temperatures and some behavioural seasonality too. This is particularly important to solar water heating as the
high consumption months coincide with the low solar input months of winter.
ccc
While most extension projects will be for households of 4 or more, the full range is reported here for
completeness and in recognition of the later years in each house’s life and that not all “empty nesters” will
“downsize” or take in boarders.
ddd
AS/NZS4234 “Heated water systems—Calculation of energy consumption” provides three loads for
evaluating solar water heaters.
In Zone 4 which covers Melbourne and Ballarat (different zone geography to NatHERS which in turn is different
zone geography to the NCC) the loads are:
Small load 25.2 MJ/day in winter: Approx. 120 litres raised 45K
Medium Load 42 MJ/day in Winter: Approx. 200 litres raised 45K
Large load 63 MJ/day in winter: Approx. 300 litres raised 45k
The variation of energy used to heat water by month due to different inlet temperatures and hot water
consumption from various studies is given in Table A5 in the standard. The average load multiplier is 0.904
therefore the average is 90.4% of the peak. Note that the standard refers to peak loads so the yearly consumption
is 365 times the average load or 365 x 0.904 x Peak Load.
eee
Gas water heater round robin 2005/2006 http://www.energyrating.gov.au/wp-
content/uploads/2011/02/200612-wh-round-robin.pdf
fff
4 star From Origin website https://www.originenergy.com.au/hot-water-products/?_qf_p2_display=true
Rheem 135 L $1940, 170 L $2140. Therefore use $2040
6 Star http://www.scooper.com.au/catalog/item/8454421/8856221.htm
Rinnai Infinity 26 Enviro 26 Litre Continuous Flow Gas Hot Water Heater 26 $1695
Installation $770 plus $770
$45/ m of gas pipe (extension over 4 m) so if 10 m required will be additional 6X45 = $270
Grand total $1695 + $770 + $270 = $2735
ggg
BIS Schrapnel 2012
hhh
GWA, 2010, Regulation Impact Statement: for Decision Phasing Out Greenhouse-Intensive Water Heaters in
Australian Homes http://www.energyrating.gov.au/wp-
content/uploads/Energy_Rating_Documents/Library/Water_Heating/Gas_Hot_Water/Water-Heaters-Decision-
RIS-FINAL-15-Nov-2010.pdf
iii
Energy Made Easy website: https://www.energymadeeasy.gov.au/bill-benchmark
jjj
http://www.sunwiz.com.au/index.php/solar-market-intelligence/solar-hot-spots-target-
suburbs.html#staticChartsPVAustraliaCapacity Accessed 30 January 2014
kkk
Moyse Climate spectator 24/9/2013 Solar payback: Smaller is better
http://www.businessspectator.com.au/article/2013/9/23/solar-energy/solar-payback-smaller-better
lll
Gill How electricity use affects PV system size http://www.phacelift.com.au/wp-
content/uploads/2013/06/Article-4-How-electricity-use-affects-PV-Size-v01.pdf
mmm
https://sam.nrel.gov/
nnn
This is the shape of the distribution profile used. The profiles used were a constant multiple of this profile
that varied for each household size and season to give the seasonal totals given in Table 43above.
ooo
For a solar water heater there is a cost involved in purchasing energy for backup, which, whilst lower than the
amount required for a conventional system is still an outgoing, so is a cost in annualised terms. For water
heaters the annualised cost is relevant as a comparison between product types.