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Research report
Neurocognitive and clinical predictors of functional outcome in
patients with schizophrenia and bipolar I disorder at
one-year follow-up
Rafael Tabarés-Seisdedos a,b,⁎, Vicente Balanzá-Martínez a,b , José Sánchez-Moreno b,c ,
Anabel Martinez-Aran b,c , José Salazar-Fraile a,b , Gabriel Selva-Vera a,b ,
Cristina Rubio a,b , Ignacio Mata d , Manuel Gómez-Beneyto a , Eduard Vieta b,c,⁎
a
The Teaching Unit of Psychiatry and Psychological Medicine, Department of Medicine,
University of Valencia, Blasco-Ibáñez 17, 46010 Valencia, Spain
b
Ciber en Salud Mental, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain
c
The Bipolar Disorders Program, Clinical Institute of Neuroscience, Hospital Clinic of Barcelona, IDIBAPS,
University of Barcelona, Villarroel 170, 08036 Barcelona, Spain
d
The Division of Psychological Medicine, Institute of Psychiatry, De Crespigny Park, London SE5 8AF, UK
Received 8 July 2007; received in revised form 24 December 2007; accepted 24 December 2007
Available online 4 March 2008
Abstract
Objective: Many studies have reported that cognitive ability may be predictive of the functional outcome for patients with
schizophrenia. However, no study has prospectively examined these aspects in schizophrenia and bipolar disorders simultaneously.
The present study attempted to analyze if neurocognition and clinical status predicts the real-life functioning for patients with
schizophrenia or bipolar I disorder, using a longitudinal design.
Method: Forty-seven schizophrenic and 43 bipolar I outpatients were assessed twice with a neurocognitive battery (Executive
Functions, Working Memory, Verbal Memory, Visual Memory, Visual-Motor Processing, Vigilance, Vocabulary and Motor Speed
tasks), clinical scales (the Positive and Negative Symptom Scale, the Hamilton Rating Scale for Depression and the Clinician
Administered Rating Scale for Mania) and functional outcome measures (the Global Assessment of Functioning Scale, the WHO's
Disability Assessment Scale and occupational adaptation level) over a one-year follow-up period. The cognitive performance of the
patients was compared, at baseline and one year later, with that of 25 healthy subjects.
Results: In schizophrenia patients, global functioning one year later was predicted by a composite neurocognitive score and three
specific domain (verbal memory, motor speed, vocabulary). Symptoms appeared to explain less of the variance in functioning. In
bipolar I patients, changes in the composite neurocognitive score over one year, deficits in the visual/motor processing domain,
severity of symptoms (psychotic, excitatory and affective symptoms) and premorbid adjustment at the first assessment were the
variables that better predicted functioning or disability changes over follow-up period.
Conclusions: Although the relationships between cognition, symptoms and functional capacity differ for schizophrenia or bipolar I
patients, neuropsychological performance seems to be a principal longitudinal predictor of functioning in both disorders. Baseline
⁎ Corresponding authors. Tabarés-Seisdedos, is to be contacted at the Teaching Unit of Psychiatry and Psychological Medicine, Department of
Medicine, University of Valencia, Blasco-Ibáñez 17, 46010 Valencia, Spain. Tel.: +34 96 3864744; fax: +34 96 3864767. Vieta, the Bipolar Disorders
Program, Clinical Institute of Neuroscience, Hospital Clinic of Barcelona, IDIBAPS, University of Barcelona, Villarroel 170, 08036 Barcelona, Spain.
Tel.: +34 93 2275401; fax: +34 93 227976.
E-mail addresses: Rafael.Tabares@uv.es (R. Tabarés-Seisdedos), EVIETA@clinic.ub.es (E. Vieta).
0165-0327/$ - see front matter © 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.jad.2007.12.234
R. Tabarés-Seisdedos et al. / Journal of Affective Disorders 109 (2008) 286–299 287
neurocognition and cognitive changes over 12 months predicted changes in functioning over the same period, but only in bipolar I patients.
These cognitive domains could be potential neurocognitive endophenotypes (endophenocognitypes) with regard to bipolar I disorder.
© 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Neurocognition; Endophenocognitype; Symptoms; Functional outcome; Follow-up; Schizophrenia; Bipolar disorders
(n = 25) were interviewed with the Family History-RDC Word Test); 2) Verbal Working Memory (the backward
interview (Endicott et al., 1978) and the Structured part of the Digit Span Test from the Wechsler Adult
Clinical Interview for DSM-IV (First et al., 1997). Intelligence Scale-Revised [WAIS-R]); 3) Verbal Memory
Written informed consent was obtained from all partici- (the Babcock Story Recall Test); 4) Visual Memory (the
pants following an explanation of study procedures. The Rey–Osterrieth Complex Figure Test); 5) Visual-Motor
Ethics Committee of the University Clinic Hospital of Processing/Speed of Processing (Trail Making Test, part
Valencia approved the research protocol. A; Stroop Color and Word Test with two separate tasks:
Word reading trial and Color naming trial; Digit Symbol
2.2. Clinical and functional scales Substitution Test [DSST] from the WAIS-R; Semantic
Verbal Fluency from the Category Instant Generation Test
The clinical evaluation was rated according to the [CIG]); 6) Vigilance (from the Asarnow Continuous Per-
Positive and Negative Symptom Scale (PANSS) (Kay formance Test, the total number of hits minus the total
et al., 1987), the Hamilton Rating Scale for Depression number the false alarms was calculated); 7) Motor Speed
(HSRD) (Hamilton, 1960) and the Clinician Administered (Finger-Tapping Test, average of dominant and non-
Rating Scale for Mania Factor 1 (CARS-M) (Altman et al., dominant hand scores in uni-manual and bimanual condi-
1994). We used the Positive, Negative, General, and Total tions); and 8) Language or Vocabulary (the Vocabulary
PANSS scores, and the PANSS five-dimension model Subtest of the WAIS-R. This test was also used as an
(Cuesta et al., 1998). Premorbid adjustment was measured estimate of premorbid intelligence quotient [PIQ]). These
by means of the Phillips Adjustment Scale (Phillips, 1953). eight domains and tests clustering correspond to six of the
The assessment of functioning was carried out by seven domains in the MATRICS consensus neuropsycho-
(a) the Global Assessment of Functioning Scale (Amer- logical battery (Green et al., 2004b).
ican Psychiatric Association, 1994), which evaluates Patients' scores on each measure were converted to z
both symptom severity and social adjustment; (b) the scores, based on data from the normal control group.
short version of the WHO's Disability Assessment Scale Neurocognitive domain scores represented the average z
(World Health Organization, 1988), which is specific to scores for all available tests for each patient within that
social adjustment, and was used to analyze five outcome domain. A Composite Neurocognitive Score (CNCS)
measures (personal care, occupational functioning, was created with the sum average of the z scores for all
family functioning, social functioning and total score); eight domains.
and (c) classification of occupational adaptation, which
was established as “good occupational adaptation” when 2.4. Statistical analyses
patients were working at a good or acceptable level of
functioning most of the time, or as “low occupational To control for the multiple comparison effects, we per-
adaptation” if they did not work at all or showed formed multivariate analysis of covariance (MANCOVA)
moderate or severe difficulties in their job most of the for all neurocognitive domains at baseline and one year
time (Torrent et al., 2006) Higher scores mean better later. Age and IQ were used as covariates. Factors included
functioning on the GAF scale, whereas higher scores on were group (schizophrenic, bipolar and healthy subjects)
the disability WHODAS scale mean worse functioning. and gender. Univariate analyses of covariance (ANCO-
Trained psychiatrists, blind to the results of the VAs) on dependent variables from each test, neurocognitive
neuropsychological evaluation, conducted the clinical domain and the CNCS were performed. The factors used
interview and rated patients' functioning. were group (schizophrenic, bipolar and healthy subjects, or
schizophrenic and bipolar subjects) and gender, and the
2.3. Neuropsychological measures covariates were age and the IQ. Finally, ANCOVAs with
Tukey post hoc adjustment and t tests were performed.
All patients and control subjects completed a battery of To compare changes over time for each functional
11 tests, which were described in two previous publica- outcome variable, diagnostic group (schizophrenia, bipo-
tions (Tabares-Seisdedos et al., 2003; Balanza-Martínez lar) × time (T1, T2), ANCOVAs with repeated measures
et al., 2005). These measured eight neurocognitive were performed, with age and IQ as covariates.
domains in the following sequence: 1) Executive Func- Pearson correlations were calculated between neuro-
tions/Reasoning and Problem Solving (WCST Categories cognitive measures and clinical variables at baseline, and
and Perseverative Errors; FAS Test from the Controlled functional measures at one year later (GAF and WHODAS
Oral Word Association Test; Trail Making Test, part B; at T2) and over the one-year follow-up period (GAF T2–
Color-Word Interference trial of the Stroop Color and T1 and WHODAS T2–T1).
R. Tabarés-Seisdedos et al. / Journal of Affective Disorders 109 (2008) 286–299 289
Neurocognitive variables at baseline that demonstrated was the strongest independent predictor of good or low
a significant association with functional outcome at one occupational adaptation group membership at T2. The
year later at p ≤ 0.006 (p ≤ 0.05, Bonferroni-corrected for results are presented as odds ratios and 95% confidence
eight comparisons) were entered in the follow-up intervals. All statistical analyses were processed with the
regression models. Clinical variables at T1 that demon- computer package SPSS, version 14.02 for Windows.
strated a significant association with functional measures
at one year later at p ≤ 0.05 were also entered in the 3. Results
regression models. Firstly, linear regression analyses with
backward stepwise elimination were performed to assess 3.1. Participant characteristics at baseline and one
the relative contributions of each of the neurocognitive year later
and clinical variables at baseline to explain the variance in
outcome measures at T2 and over the one-year follow-up Demographic and clinical characteristics for the three
period (T2–T1). Secondly, a logistic regression analysis participant groups, at both time points, are summarized
was performed to investigate which variable, at baseline, in Tables 1 and 2. Compared with bipolar and healthy
Table 1
Demographic and clinical characteristics of schizophrenic and bipolar I patients and healthy subjects at baseline
Demographic and clinical variables Schizophrenic Bipolar I patients Healthy subjects t-test ANOVA Bonferroni
patients
SZ (n = 47) BP (n = 43) C (n = 25)
Mean SD Mean SD Mean SD t F(p) Post hoc test
Age 33.4 8.2 41.2 11.5 41.4 11.3 8.2⁎⁎⁎ SZ b BP, C
Educational level (years) 9.8 2.9 10.1 4.1 14.3 4.4 12.9⁎⁎⁎ SZ, BP b C
Estimated premorbid IQ 44.2 15.1 47.5 14.2 62.6 10.1 15.0⁎⁎⁎ SZ, B b C
Hand dominance 4.5 1.7 4.9 0.5 4.4 2.3 NS
Age at onset (years) 24.8 6.6 29.3 9.8 − 2.6⁎⁎
Chronicity (years) 8.7 7.3 11.9 9.6 NS
Total episodes 2.4 1.9 5.3 3.5 − 5.0⁎⁎⁎
Hospitalisations 0.6 1.1 1.4 1.7 − 2.5⁎⁎
Length of hospitalisations (weeks) 0.9 1.6 2.0 2.8 2.3⁎
PANSS dimensions
Positive 2.0 1.0 1.3 0.7 3.4⁎⁎
Negative 3.4 1.3 1.5 0.7 8.5⁎⁎⁎
Cognitive 2.5 1.1 1.6 0.6 5.1⁎⁎⁎
Excitatory 1.8 0.9 1.4 0.7 2.1⁎⁎⁎
Affective 2.0 0.8 1.8 1.0 NS
Premorbid adjustment 14.2 6.4 6.8 6.0 5.5⁎⁎⁎
Gender n % n % n % χ2
Female 10 21.3 22 51.2 11 44.0 9.1⁎⁎
Male 37 78.7 21 48.8 14 56.0
Low occupational adaptation 36 76.6 27 62.8 4 16.0 25.2⁎⁎⁎
Prior psychotic symptoms 19 44.2
Positive family history of psychosis 8 17.0 14 32.6 NS
Medication
Lithium 0 0 23 53.5
Carbamazepine 3 6.4 18 41.9
Benzodiazepines 15 31.9 29 67.4
Biperiden 11 23.4 1 2.3
Antipsychotics 47 100 20 46.5
Antidepressants 6 12.8 12 27.9
Mean SD Mean SD t
Chlorpromazine equivalents 862′7 642′2 172′0 276′6 6′5⁎⁎⁎
Number of antipsychotic drugs 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.6 6.2⁎⁎⁎
Total number of psychotropic drugs 2.1 1.4 2.9 1.2 − 2.8⁎⁎
(NS = p N 0.05; ⁎p b 0.05; ⁎⁎p b 0.01; ⁎⁎⁎p b 0.0001).
290 R. Tabarés-Seisdedos et al. / Journal of Affective Disorders 109 (2008) 286–299
subjects, patients with schizophrenia were significantly and delayed verbal memory) at both time points, and to
younger and showed a lower occupational adaptation the CIG test (semantic verbal fluency) at baseline but
level. Participants with schizophrenia also had worse not at T2. Specifically, schizophrenic patients displayed
functioning at baseline and one year later, and poorer a significantly reduced performance in comparison to
premorbid adjustment. Schizophrenic patients were normal controls, while bipolar I patients were at an
younger at onset of the disorder, and showed more intermediate level between these groups (Table 2).
severe psychopathology as measured by the PANSS and Effect sizes were calculated using the On-line
HDRS scales at both time points. Patients with bipolar I Program for Cohen's d and r (Becker, 2007). Specifi-
disorder showed higher mania scores at baseline and one cally, effect size (ES) estimates (Cohen's d) were
year later. In schizophrenic patients, the ranges of the calculated by subtracting the mean score for healthy
HAMD and the CARS-M scores were 0–20 and 0–3 controls from the mean score for patient group divided by
respectively at T1, and 0–21 and 0–3 respectively at T2. the pooled standard deviation (Cohen, 1988). In all cases,
In bipolar I patients, the ranges of the HAMD and the positive ESs indicate a worse performance for the patient
CARS-M scores were 0–16 and 0–19 respectively at group compared to controls. When a lower score meant a
T1, and 0–18 and 0–16 respectively at T2. There were better performance, the sign of the ES was reversed. In
more males in the schizophrenic group. Control subjects schizophrenic patients, ESs ranged from 0.4 (Asarnow
showed more years of education and a higher PIQ than CPT) to 1.9 (CIG and delayed verbal memory) at T1, and
both diagnostic groups. similar range was found at T2. For bipolar I patients, ESs
At T1, six bipolar patients were clinically depressed, ranged from 0.6 (Asarnow CPT) to 1.5 (CIG and FAS
four were manic/mixed and 33 were euthymic (HDRS ≤ 8 tests) at T1, and similar range was found at T2.
and CARS-M factor 1 ≤ 7). Of the latter group, 27 were To compare changes over one year for each
also euthymic at T2. In addition, the bipolar sample's functional outcome variable, diagnostic groups (schizo-
mean depression and mania scores remained stable at both phrenia, bipolar) × time (T1, T2) repeated-measures
assessments (Table 2). Thus, during follow-up, most of analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) were performed
the bipolar patients were judged clinically stable. A with age, PIQ and length of illness as covariates. Gender
history of psychotic symptoms (defined as the presence of was also included as an additional inter-subjects factor.
delusions or hallucinations at any time in the course of Results showed that time had no significant effect on
illness) was confirmed by the SCAN-CATEGO for 14 GAF score (F = 0.08; df = 1; Ms = 4.4; p = 0.77) and
(33%) bipolar I patients. No bipolar patient had a rapid- WHO-DAS scores (F = 1.5; df = 1; Ms = 6.9; p = 0.22).
cycling illness. There was also no significant interaction between
diagnosis and time [GAF score (F = 0.02; df = 1;
3.2. Neurocognition, clinical status and functional outcome Ms = 1.07; p = 0.90); WHO-DAS score (F = 0.09;
at baseline and one year later df = 1; Ms = 0.4; p = 0.76)].
As expected (Daban et al., 2006), schizophrenic and 3.3. Neurocognition and clinical status at baseline as
bipolar I subjects displayed reduced performance in predictors of functioning at one year later
overall neuropsychological capacity at T1, compared
with healthy subjects (MANOVA, Pillai's F = 3.2, 3.3.1. Schizophrenic patients
p b 0.001; η2 = 0.18) and at T2 (MANOVA, Pillai's
F = 3.7, p b 0.0001; η2 = 0.2) (see Table 2). ANCOVAs 3.3.1.1. Correlational analyses. The bivariate correla-
with Tukey post hoc adjustment showed that there were tional analyses are shown in Supplementary Material 1,
significant differences between the two patient groups which is available with the online version of this article
and the healthy subjects in the CNCS, in all the at http://www.sciencedirect.com. Baseline performance
neurocognitive domains (except in the sustained atten- in all the neurocognitive domains was significantly
tion domain at T1 and at T2, working memory at T1, and associated with global functioning (less in the sustained
executive domain at T2), and in the Stroop Color and attention domain), as measured by the GAF, one year
Word Test, the Vocabulary Subtest, FAS Test, CIG Test, later. The CNCS at baseline also showed a positive
Rey–Osterrieth Complex Figure Test, DSST and Finger association with better global functioning, as measured
Tapping Test at baseline and one year later (see Table 2 by the GAF, at T2. Only two neurocognitive domains
for details). The only significant differences among (executive and vocabulary) at T1 were significantly
healthy, schizophrenic and bipolar I subjects were correlated with the WHODAS total score at T2. All
confined to the Babcock Story Recall Test (immediate observed correlations were in the expected direction,
R. Tabarés-Seisdedos et al. / Journal of Affective Disorders 109 (2008) 286–299
Table 2
Functional, clinical and neurocognitive results of schizophrenic, bipolar I and healthy subjects at baseline (T1) and one year later (T2)
Schizophrenic patients Bipolar I patients Healthy subjects
SZ (n = 47) BP (n = 43) C (n = 25)
Baseline 1 year Baseline 1 year Baseline 1 year
Mean (SD) Mean (SD) Mean (SD) Mean (SD) Mean (SD) Mean (SD)
Functional scales t-test T1 t-test T2
GAF 59.7 (12.4) 61.2 (11.6) 77.3 (12.3) 76.5 (14.5) − 6.7⁎⁎⁎⁎ − 5.5⁎⁎⁎⁎
WHO-DAS total score 5.3 (3.2) 5.6 (2.9) 2.4 (2.4) 2.6 (3.2) 4.9⁎⁎⁎⁎ 4.6⁎⁎⁎⁎
Personal care 0.3 (0.6) 0.1 (0.4) 0.05 (0.2) 0.1 (0.2) 2.4⁎ 1.8
Occupational functioning 2.2 (1.5) 2.6 (1.4) 1.1 (1.1) 1.0 (1.4) 4.0⁎⁎⁎⁎ 5.4⁎⁎⁎⁎
Family functioning 0.9 (1.1) 1.2 (1.1) 0.4 (0.9) 0.8 (1.0) 2.4⁎ 1.7
Social functioning 1.9 (1.6) 1.6 (1.4) 0.7 (1.1) 0.7 (0.9) 3.9⁎⁎⁎⁎ 3.4⁎⁎⁎
Clinical variables t-test T1 t-test T2
PANSS
Positive scale 12.9 (5.1) 13.0 (4.9) 9.8 (4.9) 8.0 (2.2) 2.9⁎⁎ 6.0⁎⁎⁎
Negative scale 21.8 (8.4) 22.0 (8.1) 10.5 (3.9) 10.5 (4.8) 8.0⁎⁎⁎ 8.1⁎⁎⁎
General scale 32.9 (8.5) 33.4 (9.1) 23.9 (7.7) 21.6 (6.3) 5.2⁎⁎⁎ 7.1⁎⁎⁎
Total score 67.6 (18.4) 68.4 (18.7) 44.2 (13.4) 40.1 (11.7) 6.8⁎⁎⁎ 8.5⁎⁎⁎
HDRS 6.4 (4.7) 7.4 (4.9) 4.2 (4.1) 4.7 (5.7) 2.4⁎⁎ 2.4⁎⁎⁎
CARS-M Factor 1 0.4 (0.8) 0.2 (0.3) 2.2 (4.2) 1.3 (2.3) − 2.8⁎⁎ − 3.5⁎⁎⁎
291
FAS 25.9 (13.6) 29.9 (13.9) 31.3 (13.5) 34.7 (14.1) 50.9 (14.8) 56.2 (15.6) SZ, BP b C d
SZ, BP b C
(continued on next page)
SZ (n = 47) BP (n = 43) C (n = 25)
Baseline 1 year Baseline 1 year Baseline 1 year
Mean (SD) Mean (SD) Mean (SD) Mean (SD) Mean (SD) Mean (SD)
292
Working memory −0.83 (1.1) − 0.86 (0.6) − 0.88 (0.7) − 0.78 (0.6) NS, b, d 7.1⁎⁎⁎ b, c, d
SZ, BP b C
Backward Digit Span 3.9 (1.2) 3.8 (1.0) 3.8 (0.9) 3.9 (1.1) 4.8 (1.1) 5.3 (1.8) NS, b, d
7.1⁎⁎⁎ b, c, d SZ, BP b C
Verbal memory −1.74 (1.0) − 1.8 (1.1) − 1.0 (0.9) − 1.1 (1.0) 10.6⁎⁎⁎⁎ d SZ, BP b C 8.9⁎⁎⁎⁎ c, d SZ, BP b C
VM immediate 7.3 (3.1) 8.2 (3.3) 9.5 (2.7) 10.1 (3.1) 12.2 (3.1) 13.7 (3.6) 9.5⁎⁎⁎⁎ c, d SZ b BP b C 8.8⁎⁎⁎⁎ c, d SZ b BP b C
VM delayed 9.7 (4.0) 10.2 (4.2) 12.2 (3.5) 13.1 (4.6) 16.1 (3.4) 16.9 (3.2) 9.2⁎⁎⁎⁎ c, d SZ b BP b C 7.8⁎⁎⁎ d SZ b BP b C
Visual memory −0.9 (0.9) − 1.0 (0.9) − 0.87 (0.9) − 1.0 (0.8) 4.1⁎ c, d SZ, BP b C 5.3⁎⁎ c, d SZ, BP b C
Figure Rey immediate 14.8 (7.7) 17.5 (7.2) 15.1 (7.0) 16.8 (7.1) 21.2 (7.9) 24.6 (7.6) 3.1⁎ c, d SZ, BP b C 5.6⁎⁎ c, d SZ, BP b C
Figure Rey delayed 14.6 (7.6) 17.2 (7.4) 14.8 (7.0) 17.5 (6.4) 21.8 (7.3) 24.8 (7.2) 4.9⁎⁎ b, c, d SZ, BP b C 4.7⁎⁎ c, d SZ, BP b C
Visual motor/processing speed −1.9 (1.7) − 1.8 (1.7) − 1.5 (1.5) − 1.7 (1.6) 7.4⁎⁎⁎ c, d SZ, BP b C 6.4⁎⁎ c, d SZ, BP b C
Trail Making A 55.9 (27.1) 59.7 (22.1) 56.0 (27.3) 49.3 (27.2) 39.4 (14.9) 32.0 (11.1) NS, c, d NS, c, d, e
16.9⁎⁎⁎⁎ d SZ b BP b C 12.8⁎⁎⁎⁎ c, d SZ, BP b C
Symptoms and other clinical factors, as follow-up lithium (n = 23). In the bipolar I patients treated with
predictors, appeared to explain less of the variance in antidepressant drugs (n = 12), the clomipramine-equiva-
functioning. Furthermore, the CNCS, motor speed lent units correlated with the WHO-DAS total score at
domain and HSRD score at baseline were associated T2. CPZ units at T1 also showed a positive correlation
with occupational functioning one year later. with WHO-DAS total score at T2 and over one year, as
measured by the WHO-DAS (T2–T1) in bipolar
3.3.2. Bipolar I patients I patients treated with antipsychotic drugs (n = 20).
Additionally, the number of antipsychotic drugs at T1
3.3.2.1. Correlational analyses. The bivariate correla- was positively correlated with the WHO-DAS total score
tional analyses are shown in Supplementary Material 2, at T2. Finally, of the other factors, age and length of illness
which is available with the online version of this article at baseline were significantly associated with global
at http://www.sciencedirect.com. The performance in functioning over one year, as measured by the GAF
three neurocognitive domains (executive, visual/motor (T2–T1). Premorbid adjustment at baseline was associated
processing and motor speed) at baseline was signifi- with the GAF score at T2. Premorbid adjustment was also
cantly associated with global functional change over one correlated with WHO-DAS total score at T2 and over one
year, as measured by the GAF (T2–T1). The CNCS at year, as measured by the WHO-DAS (T2–T1).
baseline also showed a positive association with better
general functioning over one year, as measured by the 3.3.2.2. Multivariate prediction of functional out-
GAF (T2–T1). Only the verbal memory domain at come. We used four models of linear regression
baseline showed a positive association with better global analyses with hierarchical methods (Table 4). In the
functioning, as measured by the GAF, at T2. Addition- first model, the GAF (T2–T1) score was the dependent
ally, change in the composite cognition score over one variable. In the first linear regression analysis: execu-
year, as measured by the CNCS (T2–T1), was tive, visual/motor processing and motor speed domains
significantly correlated with the WHO-DAS total (first block); PANSS Positive score (second block); and
score at T2, GAF score at T2 and better general age and length of illness (third block). The variables that
functioning over one year, as measured by the GAF better predicted functioning change over the one-year
(T2–T1). All observed correlations were in the expected follow-up period were visual/motor processing and
direction, with a higher neurocognitive performance at PANSS Positive score [F (2,42) = 8.93, p b 0.001]. The
T1 associated with a higher functioning change over the second regression analysis was identical to the first,
one-year follow-up period. Even more interestingly, except that the clinical variable of the PANSS
improvement in the composite cognition score over one Neurocognitive Dimension was entered. The visual/
year was associated with better functioning at T2 and motor processing domain was the only independent
over the one-year follow-up period. predictor of GAF (T2–T1). The third analysis was
Of the clinical symptoms, PANSS Positive score, identical to the first, but the CNCS at baseline, was
PANSS General Score, PANSS Total score, PANSS entered. The variables that better predicted functioning
Psychotic Dimension and PANSS Excitatory Dimension change over the one-year were the CNCS and PANSS
at T1 were significantly associated with global function- Positive score [F (2, 42) = 5.99, p b 0.005].
ing, as measured by the total score on the GAF, one year Finally, the fourth regression analysis was identical
later. HSRD score, PANSS General Score, PANSS Total to the first, but the CNCS (T2–T1) was included in the
score and PANSS Negative Dimension at T1 were first block. The variable that best predicted functioning
significantly correlated with WHO-DAS total score at change over the one-year was the CNCS (T2–T1) [F (1,
T2. Interestingly, a lower mania symptom rating at T1, 42) = 5.43, p b 0.025].
as measured by the CARS-M, was associated with better In the second model, the GAF score at T2 was the
general functioning over one year, as measured by the dependent variable. In the first linear regression
WHO-DAS (T2–T1). Positive symptoms, as measured analysis: CNCS (T2–T1) (first block); PANSS Positive
by the PANSS Positive score and the PANSS Cognitive and General scores (second block); and premorbid
Dimension were correlated with global functioning over adjustment (third block). The variables that better
one year, as measured by the GAF (T2–T1). predicted functioning were the CNCS (T2–T1) and
With regard to pharmacological factors, the dose of Positive PANSS score [F (2,42) = 12.8, p b 0.0001]. The
lithium at T1 showed a positive correlation with WHO- second regression analysis was identical to the first
DAS total score at T2 and over one year, as measured by analysis, except that the clinical variables of PANSS
the WHO-DAS (T2–T1) in bipolar I patients treated with Psychotic, Neurocognitive and Excitatory Dimensions
R. Tabarés-Seisdedos et al. / Journal of Affective Disorders 109 (2008) 286–299 295
Table 4
Relative contributions of cognition and clinical factors at baseline to explain the variance in outcome measures of bipolar I patients at one-year follow-up
Number of regression analyses Predictors at T1 that Percent of variance explained
and dependent variables entered in the equation (adjusted R2)
Partial (%) Total (%)
a
1° and 2° analyses PANSS Positive score 9′9
GAF (T2–T1) Visual/motor processing b 17′5 27′4
3° analysis CNCS⁎ c 9
GAF (T2–T1) PANSS Positive score d 10′2 19′2
4° analysis GAF (T2–T1) CNCS (T2–T1) e 9′5 9′5
5° analysis CNCS (T2–T1) f 13′1
GAF at T2 PANSS Positive score g 22′8 35′9
6° Analysis CNCS (T2–T1) h 13′1
GAF at T2 Excitatory dimension i 19′5 32′6
7° Analysis CNCS (T2–T1) j 6′8
WHO-DAS at T2 PANSS General score k 10′8
Premorbid adjusted l 13′5 31′1
8° Analysis WHO-DAS at T2–T1 CARS-M Score m 9′5 9′5
⁎CNCS = Composite Neurocognitive Score.
a
[t = − 2.57, β = −0.334 (95% CI = −1.29 to − 0.15), df = 42, p = 0.014].
b
[t = 3.16, β = 0.416 (95% CI = 1.03 to 4.67), df = 42, p = 0.003].
c
[t = 2.21, β = 0.308 (95% CI = 0.32 to 6.98), df = 42, p = 0.032].
d
[t = − 2.48, β = − 0.298 (95% CI = − 1.34 to − 0.14), df = 42, p = 0.017].
e
[t = 2.33, β = 0.342 (95% CI = 1.445 to 20.206), df = 42, p = 0.025].
f
[t = 2.1, β = 0.267 (95% CI = 0.446 to 23.11), df = 42, p = 0.042].
g
[t = − 3.95, β = − 0.503 (95% CI = − 2.265 to − 0.732), df = 42, p = 0.001].
h
[t = 2.46, β = 0.316 (95% CI = 2.49 to 25.33), df = 42, p = 0.018].
i
[t = − 3.59, β = − 0.461 (95% CI = − 13.9 to − 3.9), df = 42, p = 0.001].
j
[t = − 2.02, β = − 0.301 (95% CI = − 5.8 to −0.003), df = 42, p = 0.05].
k
[t = 2.52, β = 0.359 (95% CI = 0.03 to 0.27), df = 42, p = 0.016].
l
[t = 2.96, β = 0.413 (95% CI = 0.07 to 0.38), df = 42, p = 0.005].
m
[t = − 2.33, β = −0.342 (95% CI = −0.36 to − 0.025), df = 42, p = 0.025].
at T1 were entered. The variables that better predicted of admissions, hand dominance, length of illness, CNCS,
functioning were the PANSS Excitatory Dimension and HSRD, CARS-M, PANSS Positive, PANSS Negative,
the CNCS (T2–T1) score [F (2, 42) = 11.2, p b 0.0001]. and PANSS General Scores, number of antipsychotic
In the third regression model, the WHODAS score at drugs, CPZ-units and lithium. This analysis showed that
T2 was the dependent variable: CNCS (T2–T1) (first the CNCS at T1 was the strongest independent predictor
block); HSRD and General PANSS scores (second block); of good or low occupational adaptation group member-
number of antipsychotic drugs, CPZ-units and amount of ship at T2 (χ2 = 7.97; df = 1; p b 0.005). Secondly, the
lithium (milligrams) (third block); and premorbid adjust- rerunning of the logistic regression model included all
ment (fourth block). The variables that better predicted neurocognitive domains, and the specific variable that
disability were the CNCS (T2–T1), PANSS General score best predicted membership of the good or low occupa-
and premorbid adjustment [F (2,42) = 7.3, p b 0.001]. tional adaptation group was executive/reasoning domain
In the fourth regression model, the WHODAS score at baseline (χ2 = 8.1; df = 1; p b 0.004).
(T2–T1) was the dependent variable. Here, the CNCS To summarize this results in bipolar I subjects, the
(T2–T1) (first block); CARS-M score (second block); correlation and regression analyses suggest that changes
CPZ-units and amount of lithium (third block); and in a composite neurocognitive score over one year (CNCS
premorbid adjustment (fourth block). The variable that T2–T1), the speed of processing domain, Positive and
best predicted disability changes over the one-year was General PANSS scores, Excitatory dimension, CARS-M
the CARS-M score [F (2, 42) = 5.2, p b 0.01]. score and HDRS score were the variables at T1 that best
Finally, occupational adaptation was analyzed by predicted functioning or disability changes over the one-
logistic regression analysis. The analysis included the year follow-up period. Furthermore, the CNCS and
following variables at baseline: sex, age, years of executive/reasoning domain at baseline were associated
education, premorbid adjustment, age of onset, number with occupational adaptation one year later.
296 R. Tabarés-Seisdedos et al. / Journal of Affective Disorders 109 (2008) 286–299
functional recovery. Secondly, there is a measurement The identification of predictors of general functioning
problem with the measures of functional status because and change in functional outcome, by longitudinal stud-
they belong to the category of community outcome ies, could be particularly important both for our basic
measures. Previous data suggest that several measures are understanding of these disorders (e.g., identification of
necessary to understand the complexity of functional potential neurocognitive endophenotypes or endopheno-
outcomes in schizophrenia (Penn et al., 1995). Finally, cognitypes) and to develop operational criteria for long-
although the participants in this study were enrolled from term functional recovery that incorporate neurocognition,
three different psychiatric outpatient units, and their symptoms, and functionality (Harrow and Jobe, 2005;
symptom severity was similar to the subjects included in Liberman and Kopelowicz, 2005; Helldin et al., 2006).
some studies' large samples (Tohen et al., 2003; Green et
al., 2004a), the extent to which we can generalize these Role of funding source
findings is unknown. Funding for this study was provided by Spanish FIS-MSC Grant
(PI051293), GV2005-303 and Spanish Ministry of Health; they had no
further role in study design; in the collection, analysis and interpretation
4.4. Clinical implications of data; in the writing of the report; and in the decision to submit the
paper for publication.
The results of this prospective study of schizophrenia
and bipolar cohorts suggest that neurocognition may be
Disclosure of potential conflict of interest
more predictive of functional outcome than clinical Dr. Rafael Tabarés-Seisdedos has acted as consultant, advisor, or
factors in both disorders. Moreover, changes in func- speaker for the following companies: AstraZeneca, Eli Lilly and
tioning over the follow-up period were associated with Company, Janssen Pharmaceutica, Pfizer Inc.
baseline neurocognitive performance and changes in Dr. Eduard Vieta has acted as a consultant, received grants, or been
neurocognition over the same period, but only in bipolar I hired as a speaker by the following companies: Almirall, AstraZeneca,
Bial, Bristol-Myers-Squibb, Eli Lilly, GlaxoSmithKline, Janssen-
subjects. The lack of this effect in schizophrenic subjects Cilag, Lundbeck, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Novartis, Organon, Otsuka,
will probably be related to the short span of time between Pfizer, Sanofi Aventis, Servier, UCB. He has acted as consultant and
the two assessments. Furthermore, changes in neurocog- has received grants from the Spanish Ministry of Health, Instituto de
nition will become more relevant as a predictor of Salud Carlos III, RETICS RD06/0011 (REM-TAP) and from the
functional outcome in the first years of this disease (Rund, Stanley Medical Research Institute.
Dr. Vicente Balanzá-Martínez, Mr. José Sánchez-Moreno, Dr.
1998). Nevertheless, the neurocognitive improvement Anabel Martínez-Arán, Dr. José Salazar-Fraile, Dr. Gabriel Selva-
may be a longitudinal predictor of functional recovery in Vera, Mrs. Cristina Rubio, Dr. Ignacio Mata, Dr. Manuel Gómez-
bipolar subjects. Consequently, these findings suggest Beneyto, declare no conflict of interest.
that the level of functioning would benefit immediately
from neurocognition-enhancing interventions by neuro- Acknowledgments
cognitive remediation programs, or new forms of
medication (Robinson et al., 2006; McGurk et al., This study was supported by the following: Spanish
2007). This is another specific difference with schizo- FIS-MSC Grant (PI051293 and PI050206), GV2005-
phrenic subjects who possibly need the concurrence of 303 , the Spanish Ministry of Health, Instituto de Salud
both treatments to improve neurocognition and function- Carlos III, CIBERSAM, and AstraZeneca.
ing (Green et al., 2004a). On the other hand, the presence
of changes in neurocognitive capacity predicting changes Appendix A. Supplementary data
in functional outcome might indicate a direct or robust
association between these variables in bipolar I subjects. Supplementary data associated with this article
However, the intervening variables (e.g., social neuro- can be found, in the online version, at doi:10.1016/j.
cognition) may act between measures of neurocognition jad.2007.12.234.
and functional outcome in schizophrenic patients and
make the translation of neurocognitive performance gains
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