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Vol. : 12 Date : 21-8-2017 to 27-8-2017 Page : 1 Issue No. : 50
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REVIEW OF “SMART PLUS NEWS LETTER” No. 49 Dtd. 14-8-2017
Company Rate Weekly Diffrence Diffrence Company Rate Weekly Diffrence Diffrence
Recco. High (in Rs.) (in %) Recco. High (in Rs.) (in %)
CORRECTION BEGINS
SELLING PRESSURE AT HIGHER LEVEL :- As the Correction continues, markets are witnessing Selling at every higher levels and
this will continue till the market conquers the Resistance zone of Nifty 9958-9965. A closing above this level will indicate end of Correction
and resumption of prior Uptrend. On the other hand, a break of critical Support Trendline (Nifty-9712) will signal further intensification of
Correction which will have Corrective levels placed at 9280-9015-8751.
CANDLESTICK ANALYSIS :- On the daily charts, both Sensex and Nifty have formed an Opening Black body Marubuzo but it has a
smaller body and a longer shadow which indicates a reduced bearishness. On the weekly charts, both the indices have formed a small white
body candle which is on lines of Bullish Harami but it cannot be classified as it has formed near the top as per weekly chart. Thus daily as
well as weekly candlestick patterns suggest bearishness in the near term.
CRITCAL TRENDLINE SUPPORT :- Last week, the indices bounced back after taking Support at the critical Trendline which is at
Sensex - 31269 and Nifty - 9712. A breach of this Trendline will push the market lower towards testing of intermediate bottom of Sensex
30680 and Nifty 9448. A further intensification in Correction will see the indices testing the Correction levels of entire rally of Sensex 7000
points and Nifty 2200 points. The relevant Correction levels are placed at Sensex 30024-29202-28379 and Nifty 9280-9015-8751.
RESISTANCE ZONE – 9958-9965 :- The Correction will be deemed complete only when the indices close above their respective
Resistance zone of Sensex 32053-32091 and Nifty 9958-9965 which is due to the confluence of 20dma and 61.8% Corrective level of the
current fall. A closing above this Resistance zone will signal the end of Correction and a resumption of prior Uptrend.
TREND TURNS BEARISH :- This week, both the indices tested the short term average of 20dma (Sensex – 32053 and Nifty – 9958)
and fell from there whereas the medium term average of 50dma (Sensex – 31646 and Nifty – 9790) provided good Support as the market
recovered from that level. Thus a break of the medium term average will be an indication that the Correction will intensify and lower levels
will be visited. But both the indices continue to remain above the long term average of 200dma (Sensex - 29193 and Nifty – 9028). Thus
the Trend in the short term remains bearish, whereas the trend in the medium term and long term timeframe continues to remain upwards.
OSCILLATOR ANALYSIS :- MACD and Price ROC, both are negative and continue in Sell mode. RSI (46) suggests bearish momentum.
Stochastic Oscillator %K (42) is above %D and hence in Buy mode. ADX has dropped further to 26, which suggests that the trend is still
intact, but losing strength. Directional Indicators continue in Sell mode as +DI remains below –DI. MFI (46) suggests Negative Money Flow.
OBV is in Sell mode as it is making lower top, lower bottom formation. Bollinger Band continues with its Sell signal given in previous week.
Thus Oscillators are suggesting a bearish bias.
OPTION ANALYSIS :- Options data for August series indicate highest Call Open Interest remains at the strike of 10000 whereas the
highest Put build-up has shifted higher at 9800. Thus Options data suggests a narrow trading range with resistance coming at 10000 &
support at 9800.
DERIVATIVE STRATEGY :- It is suggested to construct a BEAR Spread for Axis Bank (CMP – 490).
It is looking bearish upto at least 470.
Buy 490 Put @ Rs 8 & Sell 470 Put @ Rs 3.
Cost of Construction is Rs 5. Hence Break-Even Point will be @ 485.
Max Profit can be Rs 15. Max Loss can be Rs 5.
All the above mentioned rates are from August Series.
S3 S2 S1 CLOSE R1 R2 R3
Nifty 9532 9637 9723 9837 9944 10023 10114
Sensex 30444 30798 31193 31524 31911 32289 32672
* Disclaimer :- • Smart Investment will not be responsible / for any loss arising out of investment based on its recommendation. • Though, every care has been taken, we will
not responsible for any errors / omissions • All disputes are subject to Ahmedabad jurisdiction
SMART PLUS
NEWS LETTER Page : 6
Vol. : 12 Date : 21-8-2017 to 27-8-2017 (Weekly) Issue No. : 50
All recommendation provided by Dilip K. Shah. He has not brought / sold any stock advised in this news paper during last one month Stoploos is useful for Short - Medium
term investors only
* Disclaimer :- • Smart Investment will not be responsible / for any loss arising out of investment based on its recommendation. • Though, every care has been taken, we will
not responsible for any errors / omissions • All disputes are subject to Ahmedabad jurisdiction
SMART PLUS
News Letter Page : 7
Vol. : 12 Date : 21-8-2017 to 27-8-2017 (Weekly) Issue No. : 50
In the calendar year 2017 the primary market may create history with Rs40,000 crore IPOs
In January to March 2018 quarter, around Rs50,000 to Rs60,000 crore fund might be raised through IPO
In the first seven months, 15 companies have raised Rs12,600 crore which is a record aer 20118
This week Apex Frozen Foods’ Rs 153 crore
mainboard IPO will hit the market on August 22
Seven Hills’ NSE SME IPO with fixed price of Rs 26 will open on August 18 and close on August 23
Servotech and Geekay IPOs that opened on August 9 closed with average response
- How and when will be allotment and lis!ng of Apex Frozen, Seven Hills and Lexus Granito?
- Reliance Capital Insurance Arm’s Rs.2000 crore IPO gets IRDA approval
- Kosama"am’s Rs110 crore NCDs issue closed ahead of schedule a#er ge$ng fully subscribed
- Rel Capital may come up with Rel. Home Fin IPO may come in September and Rel. Nippon
AMC may come in November
- Noida-based Dexon Tech’s Rs700 crore issue may come in September beginning
- IEX gets approval from Sebi to offer 6065009 equity shares: issue may be in September
- SREI Eq. Fin get set for Rs2000 crore public issue
- Apex Frozen Foods’ IPO belongs to Aqua Culture and it has hit the market in Paryushan so
Jain investors may keep distance from it