Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Collection
Growth and innovation
Selected articles from the Strategy and
Corporate Finance Practice
Growth and innovation articles
Disrupting beliefs:
A new approach to
business-model innovation
Marc de Jong and Menno van Dijk
Let’s face it: business models are less durable than they used to be.
The basic rules of the game for creating and capturing economic
value were once fixed in place for years, even decades, as companies
tried to execute the same business models better than their com-
petitors did. But now, business models are subject to rapid displace-
ment, disruption, and, in extreme cases, outright destruction.
Consider a few examples:
•B
itcoin bypasses traditional banks and clearinghouses with
blockchain technology.
•C
oursera and edX, among others, threaten business schools with
massive open online courses (MOOCs).1
Reframing beliefs
1 2 3
OUTLINE THE DOMINANT DISSECT THE MOST IMPORTANT TURN AN UNDERLYING BELIEF
BUSINESS MODEL IN YOUR LONG-HELD BELIEF INTO ITS ON ITS HEAD
INDUSTRY SUPPORTING NOTIONS
What if?
What are the long-held core beliefs What underpins the most important This means formulating a radical new
in your industry about how to core belief—eg, notions about hypothesis, one that no one wants to
create value? customer interactions, technology believe—at least no one currently in
performance, or ways of operating? your industry.
4 5
Many reframed beliefs will not make sense. Applying a Once you arrive at the reframe, the new mechanism for
proven reframe from another industry may succeed. Unlike creating value pretty much suggests itself—just take the
product and service innovations, business-model reframed belief to its logical implications.
innovations travel well from industry to industry.
The fuller process and the questions to ask along the way look
like this:
4
3 For
more about this transition, see Constantinos Markides and Daniel Oyon, “What
to do against disruptive business models (When and how to play two games at once),”
MIT Sloan Management Review, June 26, 2010, sloanreview.mit.edu.
6
But the pursuit of loyalty has become more complicated in the digital
world. The cost of acquiring new customers has fallen, even with-
out loyalty programs. Customers—empowered by digital tools and
extensive peer-reviewed knowledge about products and services—
now often do a better job of choosing among buying options than com-
panies do. Switching costs are low. Most significant, the former
passivity of customers has been superseded by a desire to fulfill their
own talents and express their own ideas, feelings, and thoughts.
As a result, they may interpret efforts to win their loyalty as obstacles
to self-actualization.
4 See Hanh Nguyen, Martin Stuchtey, and Markus Zils, “Remaking the industrial
economy,” McKinsey Quarterly, February 2014, mckinsey.com.
9
The authors wish to thank Karim Benammar, Berend-Jan Hilberts, and Saskia
Rotshuizen for their contributions to this article.
Most companies are seeking growth outside their core business, according to a new survey. But few have
made revenue gains as a result—or have the right capabilities to support it.
A clear majority of executives say their companies are pursuing growth in categories outside their core
business—and report a strong belief that doing so has created company value. But a McKinsey Global
Survey suggests that over time, companies’ aspirations to grow through these activities have produced only
modest results and that few companies have the right practices in place to support such growth.1
These are the key findings from a survey on how companies expand into product or service categories
beyond their core business. Nearly nine in ten respondents say that in the past five years, their companies
have either pursued at least one activity in a new category, have considered it, or plan to do so in the next
five years. Companies are most likely to pursue new activities through investments in organic growth and
with long-term interests in mind. Executives at emerging-economy companies report greater paybacks
than their peers at developed-economy firms—but few respondents overall say that over time, the activities
have added much to company revenues. This could be because, according to the results, there’s much
room for improvement in the ways that many companies identify and evaluate new opportunities.
Jean-François Martin
Significant value at stake—and modest results
At most companies, pursuing growth in new product or service categories outside the core is already on
the agenda. Three-quarters of respondents say that over the past five years, their companies have pursued
at least one business activity in a new category. Another 14 percent say their companies have either
considered pursuing this growth or plan to do so in the next five years.
For many2015
Survey of these companies, growth beyond their core business is a long-term play. Among C-suite
executives (who respondents most often say are responsible for evaluating these opportunities), only one
Diversification
in ten say1their
Exhibit of 4companies consider new activities for short-term returns. C-level respondents also say
their companies are equally likely to consider such a move to access new profit pools as to strengthen their
core business (Exhibit 1).
Exhibit 1 Companies pursue new activities both to access new profit pools and
to strengthen their core business.
Most important factors to justify expansion into activities outside companies’ core business
2
No matter the reason, though, few executives report significant top-line results over time from diversify-
ing activities. Only one-third of all respondents say their companies’ moves beyond the core generate more
than 10 percent of their revenues today. The share of revenues increases with the number of activities
that companies pursue. But even at firms that are active in more than ten product or service categories,
35 percent of executives say these activities make up more than 10 percent of revenue. What’s more,
when asked about the biggest revenue-generating activity of the past five years, respondents most often
say this move has created just some financial value for their companies.2
If your company were to pursue a new activity beyond its core business, in what ways would your home market give you
an advantage over companies based in developed markets that are also pursuing new activities?1
Other 11
1Respondentswho answered “don’t know” are not shown. This question was asked only of respondents who work at companies that are
headquartered in emerging economies.
When asked about different steps in the process of pursuing growth in new categories,4 few executives
say their companies follow the best practices that make this growth successful. According to executives,
firms most often struggle to scan for new opportunities, evaluate those opportunities, and integrate
new activities into the core business (Exhibit 3). But respondents at companies that get the practices right
are much likelier than others—about twice as likely for each of these three steps—to report that their
biggest move in the past five years has created significant company value.
4
Survey 2015
Diversification
Exhibit 3 of 4
Exhibit 3 Most companies lack best practices to expand beyond their core business, especially
when scanning, evaluating, and integrating new opportunities.
n = 695
Steps in process Companies following best practices, Likelihood that companies’ biggest
for pursuing growth % of respondents who agree their moves create significant value when
beyond the core companies have all best practices in best practices are in place,
place, by step1 rate compared with global average
Evaluating expansion
29 2.1×
opportunities
Managing performance of
55 2.7×
new activities
1Includes
respondents who “agree” or “strongly agree” that the practices describe their companies. Those who answered “somewhat agree,”
“somewhat disagree,” “disagree,” “strongly disagree,” or “don’t know/not applicable” are not included.
5
More specifically, the responses in these three areas (scanning, evaluation, and integration) suggest
which individual
Survey 2015 practices link most closely to value creation. When executives say their companies have
a clear strategy for expanding into new activities, for example, they are four times more likely than
Diversification
those whose
Exhibit 4 ofcompanies
4 have no such strategy to report significant value creation (Exhibit 4). With respect
to managing new activities, respondents are also four times more likely to report value creation when
their companies actively and regularly review the performance of these activities.
Exhibit 4 Best practices for scanning, evaluating, and integrating growth opportunities beyond
the core can drive significant value.
Total n = 666, by use or nonuse of best practice Agree that statement describes company1
Disagree that statement describes company2
% of respondents who say their companies’ biggest moves outside core business created significant value
1 Includes respondents who “agree” or “strongly agree.” Those who answered “somewhat agree” or “don’t know/not applicable”
are not included.
2Includes respondents who “disagree” or “strongly disagree.” Those who answered “somewhat disagree” or “don’t know/not
applicable” are not included.
6
Looking ahead
Understand the market context. The results indicate that a company’s opportunity to grow successfully
beyond its core business differs across regions, with respondents reporting that growth in new categories
pays off more in emerging economies than in developed economies. We have also seen that diversi-
fying activities can benefit companies in some industries more than others. For companies looking to
expand into new activities, it’s important to understand first the extent to which growth beyond
the core in their region and industry is either an opportunity or a risk.
Find growth close to home. When asked about the criteria their companies use to assess a new activity’s
potential value, the largest share of executives say unique links between the activity and the core
business are most important. Companies would do well to follow suit and start identifying growth
opportunities that are close to home—in other words, ideas or opportunities where they can
leverage existing capabilities and skills in their core business.
Build the right capabilities. Most respondents report that their companies lack the capabilities (or
even a clear strategy) to grow beyond the core, so it’s no wonder that most companies see only modest
contributions to revenue as a result of such activities. However, companies with the capabilities to
scan, evaluate, and integrate opportunities have a much higher chance to create value with these moves.
When planning to pursue new opportunities outside of their core business, leaders should assess their
companies’ capabilities to make sure the right processes and practices are in place to maximize the value
that new activities can add.
1 The online survey was in the field from November 4 to November 14, 2014 and garnered responses from 1,143 executives at
companies with annual revenues of $500 million or more, representing the full range of regions, industries, functional specialties,
and tenures. Of them, 904 executives say their companies have either pursued or considered pursuing growth in a new
product or service category, beyond their companies’ core business, in the past five years. To adjust for differences in response
rates, the data are weighted by the contribution of each respondent’s nation to global GDP.
2 The largest share (49 percent) of respondents say the biggest revenue-generating move has created some financial value; 28 percent
say the move has created significant financial value, 9 percent say it had no effect, 8 percent say it destroyed some value, and
2 percent say it destroyed significant value.
3 We also asked about joint ventures, which 37 percent of respondents cite as an approach their companies have taken to grow beyond
the business, managing the performance of new activities, and exiting activities when they no longer match the strategy.
The contributors to the development and analysis of this survey include Francisco Caudillo, a specialist in
McKinsey’s Miami office; Skief Houben, an associate principal in the Amsterdam office; and JehanZeb Noor,
a principal in the Chicago office.
They would like to acknowledge Yuval Atsmon and Sven Smit for their contributions to this work.
in nature, help set and prioritize the terms and conditions under
which innovation is more likely to thrive. The next four essentials
deal with how to deliver and organize for innovation repeatedly over
time and with enough value to contribute meaningfully to overall
performance.
Web 2015
Eight essentials
Exhibit11of 2
Exhibit
55
44
42
38 39
35
31
29
27
23
20
16 16 15 15
14
12 10 9 12
10 9
8 7 7
6 6 5
2 2 2 2
1
N = 623. Performance defined as a weighted index of measures for organic growth (% of growth from
new products or services developed in-house) and innovation performance (% of sales from new
products and self-assessment of innovation performance). Respondents who answered “yes to some
degree,” “no,” or “don’t know/not applicable” are not shown.
Source: McKinsey survey of 2,500 global executives, Nov 2012
3
Exhibit 2
Aspire
Choose
constantly assesses not only the expected value, timing, and risk
of the initiatives in the portfolio but also its overall composition.
There’s no single mix that’s universally right. Most established
companies err on the side of overloading their innovation pipelines
with relatively safe, short-term, and incremental projects that have
little chance of realizing their growth targets or staying within their
risk parameters. Some spread themselves thinly across too many
projects instead of focusing on those with the highest potential for
success and resourcing them to win.
Discover
1 See Stephen Hall, Dan Lovallo, and Reinier Musters, “How to put your money where
your strategy is,” McKinsey Quarterly, March 2012; and Vanessa Chan, Marc de Jong,
and Vidyadhar Ranade, “Finding the sweet spot for allocating innovation resources,”
McKinsey Quarterly, May 2014, both available on mckinsey.com.
7
Evolve
2 See, for example, Marla M. Capozzi, Reneé Dye, and Amy Howe, “Sparking creativity in
teams: An executive’s guide,” McKinsey Quarterly, April 2011; and Marla M. Capozzi,
John Horn, and Ari Kellen, “Battle-test your innovation strategy,” McKinsey Quarterly,
December 2012, both available on mckinsey.com.
8
Accelerate
down the barriers that stand between a great idea and the end
user. Companies need a well-connected manager to take charge of
a project and be responsible for the budget, time to market, and key
specifications—a person who can say yes rather than no. In addition,
the project team needs to be cross-functional in reality, not just
on paper. This means locating its members in a single place and
ensuring that they give the project a significant amount of their time
(at least half) to support a culture that puts the innovation project’s
success above the success of each function.
Scale
Some ideas, such as luxury goods and many smartphone apps, are
destined for niche markets. Others, like social networks, work at
global scale. Explicitly considering the appropriate magnitude
and reach of a given idea is important to ensuring that the right
resources and risks are involved in pursuing it. The seemingly safer
option of scaling up over time can be a death sentence. Resources
and capabilities must be marshaled to make sure a new product or
service can be delivered quickly at the desired volume and quality.
Manufacturing facilities, suppliers, distributors, and others must be
prepared to execute a rapid and full rollout.
Extend
Mobilize
They start back where we began: with aspirations that forge tight
connections among innovation, strategy, and performance. When
a company sets financial targets for innovation and defines market
spaces, minds become far more focused. As those aspirations come
to life through individual projects across the company, innovation
leaders clarify responsibilities using the appropriate incentives and
rewards.
The authors wish to thank Jill Hellman and McKinsey’s Peet van Biljon for their
contributions to this article.
What are the sources of corporate growth? If, like many executives,
you take an average view of markets, the answers may surprise you:
averaging out the different growth rates in an industry’s segments and
subsegments can produce a misleading view of its growth prospects.
Most so-called growth industries, such as high tech, include subindustries
or segments that are not growing at all, while relatively mature indus-
tries, such as European telecommunications, often have segments that are
growing rapidly. Broad terms such as “growth industry” and “mature
industry,” while time honored and convenient, can prove imprecise or even
downright wrong upon closer analysis.
Article at a glance
The first was that top-line growth
A large company’s top-line growth is driven mainly
is vital for survival. A company
by market growth in the subindustries and whose revenue increased more
product categories where it competes and by the slowly than GDP was five times
revenues it purchases when it acquires other
more likely to succumb in the next
companies, according to a growth analysis of more
than 200 companies around the world. cycle, usually through acquisition,
than a company that expanded
The gain or loss of market share explains only
around 20 percent of the difference in the growth more rapidly. The second, suggest-
performance of companies. ing the importance of competing
Executives should identify and allocate resources in the right places at the right
to fast-growing segments in which a company has the times, was that many companies
capabilities and resources to compete successfully. with strong revenue growth and
To make the right portfolio choices, executives high shareholder returns appeared
should benchmark the growth performance to compete in favorable growth
of a company and its peers on a segment level.
environments. In addition, many
of these companies were active
Related articles on acquirers.1
mckinseyquarterly.com
“Beating the odds in market entry” To probe deeper into the mysteries
“Strategy in an era of global giants” of what really drives revenue
“Extreme competition” growth, we have since disaggre-
gated, into three main compo-
nents, the recent growth history of
more than 200 large companies around the world. The results indicate
that a company’s growth is driven largely by market growth in the
industry segments where it competes and by the revenues it gains through
mergers and acquisitions. These two elements explain nearly 80 percent
of the growth differences among the companies we studied. Whether a com-
pany gains or loses market share—the third element of corporate growth—
explains only some 20 percent of the differences.
1
Sven Smit, Caroline M. Thompson, and S. Patrick Viguerie, “The do-or-die struggle for growth,”
The McKinsey Quarterly, 2005 Number 3, pp. 34–45.
The granularity of growth 43
growth, as this article will explain. It will also argue that a fine-grained
knowledge of the drivers of the company’s past and present growth, and
of how these drivers perform relative to competitors, is a useful basis
for developing growth strategies. To that end we will present the findings
of two diagnostic tools: one that enables companies to benchmark their
growth performance on an apples-to-apples basis with that of their peers,
and one that disaggregates growth at a segment level.
The most important reason is that European telcos make different portfolio
choices so that they have varying degrees of exposure to different seg-
ments with different rates of growth. Wireless grows faster than fixed line,
for example, and the growth rates of each vary widely by country. In
addition, these companies have different levels of exposure to fast-growing
markets outside Europe.
A fine-grained view
Which market levels must executives explore when $3.5 trillion. When we plotted the growth
they develop a company’s portfolio strategy? of industries and companies, we saw no obvious
To find out, we tested the extent to which industry correlations. This supports our point that talk
growth rates correlate with the growth rates of of “growth industries” is meaningless. The growth
companies at five levels of market granularity, which rates of different industries vary from approximately
we call G0 to G4. 2 to 16 percent—far less than the spread at the
company level, which ranges from –13 percent to
G0: the world market. Over the past 20 years, 48 percent (exhibit).
the world economy has grown by roughly 7 percent
a year. By 2005, its total output had reached G2: industries. The GICS breaks down the sectors
$81.5 trillion. This is the global pie. Global GDP into 151 industries; the food, beverages, and
growth is the yardstick used to measure the growth tobacco sector, for instance, becomes three
performance of companies. separate industries. These 151 industries—more
Q2 2007 granular than the sectors but still huge—have
Growth
G1: sectors. The Global Industry Classification an average size of around $500 billion. At the G2
Standard (GICS) carves up the
Exhibit 3 of 3 (Sidebar exhibit)global economy into level, differences in the portfolio exposure of
sectors, such as energy and capital goods. companies
Glance: The growth rate of different industries varies far lessexplain
than little more ofat
the spread thethe
variation
companyin
On average, these groups have a market size of organic top-line growth than they did at the G1 level.
level.
exhibit
Compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for selected companies by industry,1 1999–2005, %
Industries2
1 • Household and personal products
1 company 2 • Banks
• Capital goods
55 6 • Food, beverages, and tobacco
• Retailing
45 • Technology hardware and equipment
3 • Automobiles and components
Company growth (organic)
5 • Insurance
–5
6 • Consumer services
• Food and staples retailing
–15 • Materials
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 • Software and services
9 • Energy
G3: subindustries. Now it gets interesting. Our G4: categories. In a few cases we have been able
growth database builds on the finest level of data to use internal company data to dig deeper and
that companies report to the markets, so we can explore categories within subindustries (such as
look at subindustries, and sometimes at broad prod- ice cream within frozen packaged foods) or
uct categories, divided by continents, regions, customer segments in a broad product or service
or, in certain cases, countries. Examples of sub- category (such as low-calorie snacks). At this
industries within the food industry include frozen level of granularity the world economy has millions
foods, savories, edible oils, and dressings. At of growth pockets that range in value from
the G3 level, the world market has thousands of seg- $50 million to $200 million. Our analysis found that
ments ranging in size from $1 billion to $20 billion. a company’s selection of G4 segments often
explained its organic growth even better than the
The growth rates of these segments explain nearly G3 segments did. This is the level of granularity
65 percent of a typical company’s organic top- on which companies must act when they set their
line growth; in other words, at this level market growth priorities—and the level on which
selection becomes more important than a company’s they must make the real decisions about resource
ability to beat the market. That point supports allocation.
our finding that the composition of a portfolio is the
chief factor in determining why some companies
grow faster than others.
Disaggregating growth
The growth profiles of companies began to emerge when we broke down
their growth into three main organic and inorganic elements that measure
positive and negative growth.
2
Our analysis suggests that chasing revenue growth for growth’s sake alone, at the expense of profitability,
generally destroys shareholder value.
46 The McKinsey Quarterly 2007 Number 2
Portfolio momentum was by far the biggest growth driver for the group
Q2 a2007
as whole, followed by M&A . Market share performance made a negative
Growth
contribution. When we looked beyond the averages, a more nuanced
Exhibit 1 emerged.
picture of 3 (including sidebar exhibit)
Individually, these companies’ range of performance on
Glance: The range of performance on the
the three growth drivers was startling: three growth
fromdrivers
2 towas
18 startling.
percent annual
exhibit 1
A wide range
Compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of revenues for 10 large European telcos,1 1999–2005, %
Average Range
–10 –5 0 5 10 15 20 25
Growth by component
Portfolio momentum 7.1 2 to 18
M&A2 3.0 –2 to 13
Perhaps new entrants and other small and midsize companies redefine
categories, markets, and businesses rather than capture significant market
share from incumbents. There are differences among countries, however.
Our analysis suggests that over time the average large company loses a bit
of market share in the United States but gains a bit in Europe. Although
we haven’t analyzed this phenomenon in detail, we believe that the dynamism
of the US market allows young companies to challenge incumbents to a
greater extent than they can on the other side of the Atlantic.
The key point is that averages can be deceptive, so we dug deep into our
database to see if a more granular story on market share performance would
emerge. We did find a number of share gainers and losers, at the corpo-
rate (and particularly the segment) level. But we also discovered that few
companies achieve significant and sustained share gains and that those
few tend to have compelling business model advantages.
3
Our analysis covers a six-year period that we used to compare detailed segment performance year over
year, so we couldn’t look at the very long term. However, we can compare revenue growth with at least short-
to medium-term trajectories of total returns to shareholders.
4
We define outperformance as the attainment of a growth rate in the top quartile of the sample for a partic-
ular growth driver. We define underperformance as the opposite: performance in the sample’s bottom
quartile. Quartiles two and three (the middle ones) are neutral—neither outperforming nor underperforming.
The granularity of growth 49
exhibit 2
A detailed picture
Disguised example of growth for GoodsCo, a multinational consumer goods company, 1999–2005
Growth1
Revenue share
By region North America Europe Asia-Pacific Latin America Africa, Middle East Total
Total 100%
1Exceptional = outperforming on all 3 growth drivers; great = outperforming on 2 growth drivers or outperforming on 1 growth
driver at top-decile level without underperforming on more than 1; good = outperforming on 1 growth driver without under-
performing on more than 1; poor = underperforming on 2 or more growth drivers or not outperforming on any.
2Figures do not sum to 100%, because of rounding.
50 The McKinsey Quarterly 2007 Number 2
Once all the cards are on the table, GoodsCo’s managers will be in a better
position to make well-informed portfolio choices. The pros and cons
of acquiring businesses—or expanding organically by exploiting positive
market share performance—in segments where GoodsCo enjoys strong
portfolio momentum will probably be high on the top team’s agenda.
Another issue might be whether to seize divestment opportunities in seg-
ments where the company’s portfolio momentum is good, though the
company is losing market share. A third could be whether to acquire a com-
pany (and so build portfolio momentum) in lackluster segments where
GoodsCo’s management expects market growth to improve significantly.
The granularity of growth 51
@McKStrategy
McKinsey