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Gustav Kristemen
In any urban center the commuting distances are a function of the spatial structure
of the center and of the characteristics of the commuters. In this paper theoretical
relationships between commuting distances and distances of residences to city
centers are derived for monocentric and polycentric cities. These relationships are
then linked to the sociological determinants of commuting distances. An econometric
model encompassing both spatial structure variables and social variables is con-
structed and estimated using data for sixteen urban centers. Gender differences are
focused upon. The expansion method is used.
1. INTRODUCTION
The classical urban models, such as Alonso’s (1964), generally assume that the
jobs are located in the city centers. In more recent studies this assumption is
relaxed somewhat. For instance, Durbin and Sung (1987) used the presupposition
that at least one member of each household works in the city center. The
assumption that jobs are located at city centers is crucial for the derivation of price
profiles for housing and land in the monocentric urban models. The need to be
close to the center to reduce the daily commuting time is the main argument for
declining land prices with increasing distance to the center. In this paper the
relationships between commuting distances and urban structure is investigated for
both monocentric and polycentric cities.
In modern societies often both husbands and wives work outside the home. In
Denmark, in 1987, the labor force participation rates (calculated over the total
number of people aged 15 to 74) was 74.3 for men and 62.3 for women. The
gender differentials in commuting distances have been extensively studied. A
number of investigations have shown that women tend to hold jobs nearer to their
homes then men (Kuhl et d. 1966; White 1977; Madden 1981; McLafferty and
Preston 1991; Johnston-Anumonwo 1992). Lopata (1980) discussed the difficulties
that women without cars experience in Chicago’s transit facilities that are not
designed for women needing to move children and goods. Choldin (1985) notes the
changes in the women’s transportation and commuting needs as they go through
Zygmunt Tkocz and Gustav Kristensen teach in the Institute of Economics at Odense
University, Denmark.
Geographical Analysis, Vol. 26, No. 1 (January 1994) 0 1994 Ohio State University Press
Submitted 12/30/91. Revised version accepted 6/15/93.
2 / Geographical Analysis
the family’s life cycle. After the birth of the first child the women feel restricted in
their ability to move. However, this does not reduce their commuting significantly,
especially single mothers (Madden 1981). Rosenbloom (1989) emphasized that the
combined transport time for women is longer than for men, due to the women’s
socially mandated obligation to take children to kindergarten and to school.
The children’s effect on commuting distances is generally inconclusive
(Johnston-Anumonwo 1992). Madden (1981) remarks that part of the children’s
effect manifests itself in the choice of residential locations. According to Madden,
age reduces commuting distances. For married people Madden concludes that the
changes of residence with age “slightly favor the wife’s job in the residential
location choice.” Singles are more mobile and tend to live closer to the city center
(Madden 1981; Johnston-Anumonwo 1992). White (1977) notes that married
women are more likely to work in the suburbs. McLafferty and Preston (1991)
remark that “Women make up a significant share of. . . central place type activities.”
In this article the social determinants of commuting distances are linked to the
determinants of commuting distances arising from the spatial structure of urban
centers. Specifically, a relationship between commuting distances and distances
between residences and city centers is defined, and its parameters are then
respecified into functions of social variables. Gender differences are focused upon
throughout. The expansion method (Casetti 1972; 1986) is employed. The urban
models used in this paper are related to those used by Krakover (1985), Kristensen
(19911, and Hansen and Kristensen (1991).
The empirical data used in the investigation presented in this paper were
collected from different sources. The number of inhabitants, POP, and the share of
manufactured labor force, SM, for sixteen Danish urban centers were extracted
from the 1991 Statistical Yearbook of Denmark. LP will denote the logarithmic
transformation of POP. Other variables were obtained from telephone interviews.
To this effect, a total of 2,300 addresses were extracted from the telephone books
of the sixteen urban centers in the study. Specifically, the top and midpage
addresses from each printed column in telephone books were selected. Since in
Denmark almost all households have telephones, this sample can be considered
representative of Danish households. In total 2,300 numbers were selected. For
each address its distance to the city center, t, was determined.
Telephone interviews were attempted at all the addresses selected, and 1,276
responses were obtained, which corresponds to a 55 percent response rate. In the
1,276 respondent households there was a total of 689 men and 715 women who
were in the labor force. The following variables were extracted from the inter-
views: age (AGE and LAGE, where LAGE denotes the logarithmic transformation
of AGE); number of children, CH;a dummy variable, S, identifying the “status” of
the head of the household, coded 1 for single and 0 for nonsingle; annual income
before tax (MY for men and WY for women); education level (ED), in five levels
with 1 lowest, 5 highest); commuting distance (in kilometers, labelled 0,” for men,
and D, for women); and a car dummy (CAR, coded 1 for households with a car,
and 0 otherwise).
The models estimated from these data were developed in stages. The starting
point was a relationship between commuting distances (namely, the distance
between a person’s residence and his/her work place), and distances of residences
to city center (namely, distances between a person’s residence and the center of
the city in which the residence is located). The actual model building can be
divided into three steps. The first step focused on the relationship between
commuting distance and its sociological determinants. The second one is con-
cerned with the relationship between commuting distances and distances of
residences to city center. The third step involved combining these relationships by
the expansion method.
Zygmunt Tkocz and Gustav Kristensen / 3
2. THE SOCIOLOGICAL DETERMINANTS OF COMMUTING DISTANCES
Intercity Commuting
Intercity commuting (ICC) needs to be considered separately. Many people who
live in small towns work in towns other than the ones in which they reside.
Obviously, widespread intercity commuting weakens the relationship between
commuting distances and distances between residences and city centers. For
example, the town of Roskilde in the sample is predominantly inhabited by people
who work in Copenhagen, thirty kilometers away. In manufacturing towns like
Horsens and Herning (see Table 2) intercity commuting seems to be predomi-
nantly oriented toward small manufacturing towns.
For the two biggest towns (Copenhagen and Aarhus), intercity commuting was
operationally defined as involving a commuting distance at least twice as large as
the largest measured distance from a residence to the center of these cities. For
small towns, intercity commuting was operationally defined as a commuting
distance of more than fifteen kilometers. The intercity commuting in the sample
calculated using these definitions is shown in Table 1.
People such as sailors, salesmen and others who travel “all over the country”
and “all over the region” or more than two hundred kilometers away are totally
disconnected from the urban system and cannot be considered as commuters.
Consequently, they were excluded from the study.
The probability of a person not being an intercity commuter was estimated by a
logit model. The result was for men,
h o b ( ZCC = 0)
Prob( zcc = 0)
+ exp (4.63 +
= 1/ 1
( (2.32)
- .53LP - 1.92LAGE - .21CH
(-3.22) (-3.99) (-1.20)
.55ED)
(4.05)
Obs = 975. Cases with ZCC = 1 are 47.
Cases with ZCC = 0 are 928.
These results should be interpreted to mean that the probability of being an
intercity commuter increases with positive coefficients and decreases with negative
TABLE 1
Inter-City Commuting ( I C C ) in the Sample
Men Women
Observations 129 49
Commuting distance &m) 46 33
4 / Geographical Analysis
TABLE 2
Basic Statistics
Inhabitants Share mcu ation Commuting distance (incl ICC)
(looos) inmade. men women
coefficients. In a capsule, the results indicate the following. Women have a lower
ZCC probability than men. It is more difficult for more educated people to find job
opportunities in smaller urban centers. Women (but not men) with children tend
to have within-city jobs. Children hinder womens’ intercity commuting but en-
courage intercity commuting for men.
Sociological Factors
The relationship between commuting distances and distances of residences from
city centers will be sometimes in this paper referred to as “commuting distance
patterns” or “distance patterns.” The industrial structure plays an important role in
commuting distance patterns since manufacturing is more likely than, for example,
service and finance to be located in the urban peripheries. Relatively more men
than women are employed in manufacturing. Figure 1 shows the shares of men
and women in manufacturing as a fraction of total employment in manufacturing.
The data are for Denmarks sixteen regions. The manufacturing shares are calcu-
lated in percent of nonagricultural employment
A British study (Grieco et al. (1989) suggests that women’s use of means of
transportation differs from men’s, and that women spend more time commuting
because they travel by bus while men travel by car. A comparison of mean
commuting distances by gender and by transportation mode is shown in Table 3.
Train 24 31 25 24
Car 461 16 340 9
Bus 43 14 108 6
Motorcycle 24 7 2 4
Cycle 132 7 211 3
Foot 53 2 88 2
Total 738 13 774 6
For all transportation modes the commuting distances for men are longer than for
women.
The estimated equations reported earlier suggest that children may have some
influence on the probability of intercity commuting and that such influence may
differ by gender, while income does not affect these probabilities. In the results to
be presented next, income does not appear to influence the commuting distances.
When the ZCC dummy is entered neither the children variable nor the income
variable is significant.
A model relating commuting distances to their sociological determinants was
defined and estimated. After some experimentation, the sociological variables
selected for inclusion in the model were S, ED, CAR, and LACE. The data for all
the sixteen cities were pooled, and the intercept was expanded into the logarithm
of population size, LP, in order to correct for the effect of city size on commuting
distances. The intercity commuting dummy, ZCC, was used, the manufacturing
share variable, SM, was not. The estimated equation for men was
These equations show that the educational level influences the commuting dis-
tances for women, but not for men. At higher ages the commuting distances
decline significantly for women. The same tendency seems to exist for men
although it is not significant at the 5 percent level. Bigger cities are characterized
by longer commuting distances than smaller cities. Car ownership is associated
with longer commuting distances. Single men are closer to their jobs than married
men. Single women are not significantly closer to their jobs than married women.
Children influence the commuting distances through the probability for ZCC to
become 1. Within the city they do not have a significant effect on commuting
distances.
6 / Geographical Analysis
D = a, + a,t
where D denotes commuting distances, and t distances between residences and
city center. In the simplest Alonso-type model with all jobs exactly located at the
city center, a , and a , will be respectively 0 and 1. If we relax this assumption and
assume that the density of jobs increases toward the city center and that people
have some degree of preference for shorter commuting distances, a , will be
greater than 0 and a , will decline below 1.
An empirical test of model (1) was carried out using the data for the city of
Aarhus. Equation (1) was estimated separately for men,
40.
o+. . , , , , , . . . , , , . ,
t
2 4 8 a 10 IZ 14 18 18 20
FIG.3. Commuting Distance as a Function of Distance 'between Residence and City Center.
Calculated in a model with a center and one ring of secondary employment points. X1 = people with
low aversion against commuting distance; X2 = people with high aversion against commuting distance.
8 / Geographical Analysis
Fic. 4. Commuting Distance as a Function of Distance between Residence and City Center.
Calculated in a model with a center and two rings of secondary employment points. X1 = people with
low aversion against commuting distance; X2 = people with high aversion against commuting distance.
In Figures 3 and 4, the X 1 curve was produced assuming a low aversion to long
commuting distances, while the X 2 curve reflects a high aversion to long commut-
ing distances. These low and high aversions were entered into the simulations by
letting the probability of being employed in a certain point decline slowly (or
rapidly) with distance to that point.
The basic specification of the relationship between commuting distances, D , and
distances of residences to city center, t , in a nonmonocentric town is a polynomial,
as Figures 3 and 4 clearly indicate. For a third-degree polynomial the model is
aj = b, + b,,CAR. (3)
The terminal model then becomes
FIG. Commuting Distance as a Function of Distance between Resi-Lnce and City Center.
Predictc by the individual town model estimated on data for Aarhus. WCARl = women, nonintercity
commuter, car driver; WCARO = women, nonintercity commuter, non-car driver.
Figures 5 and 6 show the distance patterns for men and women produced by the
two estimated equations for Aarhus. These estimated patterns are qualitatively
similar to the ones produced by simulation and portrayed in Figures 3 and 4. They
suggest that more women then men are employed in the city center and subcen-
ters, while men to a greater degree are employed in the areas around those centers
and at the periphery. The same distance patterns were also obtained, although with
lower t values, for the other fifteen towns in the sample.
The terminal model generated from the initial model (2) and the expansion
0.0 , . . , . , , . , , , . .,...,,.. . , , . , , . , , , . , , t
5 10
FIG.6. Commuting Distance as a Function of Distance between Residence and City Center.
Predicted by the individual town model estimated on data for Aarhus. MCARl = men, non-ICC, car
driver; MCARO = men, non-ICC, non-car driver.
10 / Geographical Analysis
Equation (6) was estimated using the data for all the sixteen urban centers in the
sample, and excluding the variables that do not increase the adjusted R2. The
estimated for men are
a0
D,
1s
10
FIG. 7. Commuting Distance as a Function of Distance between Residence and City Center.
Predicted by the overall model. SM = .16%, POP = 200,000 inhabitants. WCARl = married women,
non-ICC, thirty-year-old car drivers; WCARO = married women, non-ICC, thirty-year-old non-car
drivers.
Zygmunt Tkocz and Gustuv Kristensen / 11
- 1.50LAGE - 17.99ZCC)t
( -2.55) ( - 3.87)
+ (-8.89 + .49LP + 29.87SM + .29S - .024ED
(-3.47) (3.24) (2.67) (1.77) (-1.88)
Dm
15.0.
-MCARl _____ YCARO
12.5.
10.0
FIG. 8. Commuting Distance as a Function of Distance between Residence and City Center.
Predicted by the overall model. SM = .16%, POP = 200,000 inhabitants. MCARl = mamed men.
non-ICC, thirty-year-old car drivers; MCARO = married men. non-ICC, thirty-year-old non-car drivers.
7.
FIG. 9. Commuting Distance as a Function of Distance between Residence and City Center.
Predicted by the overall model. POP = 50,000 inhabitants. WSMl5 = married women, non-ICC,
thirty-year-old car drivers, SM = .15%.WSM24 = married women, non-ICC, thirty-year-old car drivers,
SM = 24%.
it is different. Figure 9 shows, for a city with 50,000 inhabitants, the effect of
varying the manufacturing shares. The distance pattern for women is center-ori-
ented when SM = .15 and periphery oriented when SM = 24.
Age seems to influence the distance patterns differently for men and women.
For women higher ages are associated with smaller commuting distances (Figure
10); for men higher ages not only decrease their commuting distances but also
makes them center-oriented (Figure 11).
Single men experience shorter commuting distances (Figure 12), single women
do not (Figure 13).
FIG. 10. Commuting Distance as a Function of Distance between Residence and City Center.
Predicted by the overall model. SM = .16%, POP = 200,000 inhabitants. W70 = married women,
non-ICC, seventy-year-old car drivers; W20 = married women, non-ICC, twenty-year-old car drivers.
Zygmunt Tkocz and Gustav Kristensen / 13
FIG. 11. Commuting Distance as a Function of Distance between Residence and City Center.
Predicted by the overall model. SM = .16%, POP = 200,000 inhabitants. M70 = married men, non-
ICC, seventy-year-old car drivers; M20 = married men, non-ICC, twenty-year-old car drivers.
FIG. 12. Commuting Distance as a Function of Distance between Residence and City Center.
Predicted by the overall model. SM = .16%,POP = 200,000 inhabitants. MS1 = single men, non-ICC,
car drivers; MSO = married men, non-ICC, car drivers.
5 . CONCLUSION
D,
D, -w s 1 .....wso
20 -
FIG. 13. Commuting Distance as a Function of Distance between Residence and City Center.
Predicted by the overall model. SM = .16%, POP = 200,000 inhabitants. WS1 = single women,
non-ICC, car drivers; WSO = married women, non-ICC, car drivers.
14 / Geographical Analysis
d. Men in general experience longer commuting distances than women. Married
couples tend in their residential location choices to adjust to the wife’s job. This
latter conclusion is supported by the following. First, consider the theoretical
urban models considered here: even if we assume that men work in the periphery,
this by itself does not imply that the commuting distances have to be longer for
men than for woman. It is only if a married couple adjusts to the wife’s job that we
can explain the differences between the theoretical distance patterns (Figures 3
and 4) and the estimated distance patterns (Figures 5 and 6). Second, single men
experience shorter commuting distances than married men, while married women
do not experience longer commuting distances than single women. Third, in the
periphery of manufacturing towns, women acquire periphery-oriented distance
patterns; women living in the periphery nevertheless adapt to their work place,
unlike men (Figure 9). These points confirm the conclusions reached by Madden
(1981).
e. Women’s commuting patterns seem to be more dependent on the city’s
structure than those of men, and are more influenced by changes in city structure
than men’s, for example, by a change in the industrial structure of the town.
f. Age clearly reduces the commuting distances for women and men.
g. In the aggregate, these results and conclusions convey the impression that the
land price profiles a la Alonso depend more on women than on men. The typical
classic land price profile mirrors the women’s distance patterns.
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