Professional Documents
Culture Documents
To cite this article: (2019) Chapter Five: Russia and Eurasia, The Military Balance, 119:1,
166-221, DOI: 10.1080/04597222.2019.1561031
Chapter Five
80 12
US$bn, constant 2010
Year-on-year % change
60 4
40 -4
20 -12
0 -20
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Russia
Tajikistan – 5,000
Russia
Syria – 5,000 Russia
Armenia – 3,300
Short-range ballistic missile Attack helicopters, 2018 Tactical combat aircraft fleets,
launchers, 2018 2018
150 400 900
850
120 320
200
90 60
150
60 40
100
30 20
50
0 0 0
Russia – Army
Belarus
Ukraine
Armenia
Turkmenistan
Kazakhstan
Russia – Navy
Azerbaijan
Russia
Ukraine
Uzbekistan
Azerbaijan
Kazakhstan
Belarus
Turkmenistan
Armenia
Georgia
Tajikistan
Kyrgyzstan
and counter-propaganda, patriotic education and systems. Some of these were hitherto publicly
psychological support for the armed forces. The unknown. Burevestnik, a nuclear-powered ultra-long-
creation of these new organisations shows that the range cruise missile, is currently in test. According
Russian command has sharpened its attention on to Russian reports, Peresvet mobile lasers have been
confrontation in the information domain. observed at Strategic Rocket Forces bases. A squadron
of modernised MiG-31 fighters equipped with the
Personnel Kinzhal hypersonic air-to-surface missile (modelled
As a result of Russia’s demographic crisis of the on the 9M723 (SS-26 Stone) ballistic missile from the
1990s, the number of young men each year reaching Iskander-M system) is undergoing operational testing
draft age remains low. Nonetheless, according to in the Southern Military District, in the Caspian Sea
official statements, in 2017 the armed forces reached area. Less still is known about Poseidon, a nuclear-
95% of target strength. This is the result of the high powered uninhabited underwater vehicle.
S-300PM1 (SA-20 Gargoyle) surface-to-air missile 2018, both regiments of the navy’s carrier-based
(SAM) systems with S-400s. The modernisation of fighters were training in Crimea.
Belbek airfield is the largest infrastructure project on Meanwhile, plans to boost Russia’s military
the Crimean Peninsula. Once the second runway is presence in the Arctic have slowed and a new
complete, the airfield will be able to receive all types Arctic motor-rifle brigade intended for the Yamal
of strategic-aviation assets. In addition, a squadron Peninsula in northwest Siberia has been put on hold.
of Tu-22M3 Backfire bombers equipped with anti- However, there are plans to build, before the end of
ship missiles (possibly Kh-32s) may be permanently 2019, a small air-defence base near Tiksi on Russia’s
stationed there, making the peninsula even more northeast coast; there was a base near Tiksi during
important to Moscow in asserting its control over the the Cold War.
Black Sea. At the same time, recent investments in Arctic
Another significant development is the return of airfields have proved their worth. After modernisation,
Russian carrier aviation to the NITKA land-based in 2018 a Tu-160 Blackjack strategic bomber was for the
carrier simulator in Crimea. Before the peninsula first time able to land at Anadyr airfield in Chukotka.
was annexed, a new training centre was being built In the same year, a group of Tu-142 anti-submarine
by Russia in Yeysk, on the shores of the Sea of Azov, aircraft flew over the North Pole to the shores of
though this was not completed. During summer Alaska for the first time in some years. The provision
agencies and departments – as well as actors at federal, Management Centre (NDMC), sometimes also known as
regional and local levels – and between civilian and the National Defence Control Centre. Mikhail Mizintsev,
military authorities. The armed forces have criticised the commander of the NDMC, has stated that the armed
civilian authorities for their lack of readiness, for example, forces must be ready to react quickly to crises without
and their slow implementation of military orders, as having to endure a prolonged transition to a war footing
well as noting more practical problems in terms of – in other words, the goal is to minimise the mobilisation
logistics, transport, reconnaissance and communications. gap. The NDMC, which opened in 2014, facilitates
Indeed, in many ways, this is a reminder that Russia is this and has an extensive remit. It has three levels of
not monolithic, and that numerous vested interests command: a supreme command centre, which controls
throughout the chain of command and across the various the strategic nuclear forces; a combat command centre,
parts of the state mean that the orchestration of Russian which monitors the global political–military situation
state power is not always harmonious. and provides forecasting and analysis; and a centre that
Recognising such problems, the authorities have looked oversees everyday activities, coordinating the work
to improve information management and synchronisation. of security ministries and departments in peacetime,
Measures have included major exercises that not only including the Interior Ministry, foreign- and military-
rehearse rapid deployments over long distances, but also intelligence organisations, the Ministry of Emergencies
bring together actors from across the state, such as the and the Federal Security Service’s Border Guards. Indeed,
central bank and various ministries, including transport, all defence-related information flows are narrowed into
communications, health and agriculture. this single channel, to enable all military movement
Similarly, there have been strategic policing exercises, in Russia and international defence and security
such as Zaslon 2015, while the armed forces have developments to be tracked in real time.
exercised with the National Guard – a force established As the hub of a nationwide network of such centres,
in 2016 to combine the interior troops, special-forces the NDMC is intended to unify all existing command
and rapid-response troops, and other non-military and monitoring systems across Russia and act as a single
armed forces in Russia – to rehearse the protection of point of coordination for information and control over all
strategically important locations (such as energy, industry agencies. It also oversees information and cyber security,
and transport centres) against saboteurs and terrorists. and monitors social networks, unrest and protests. Since
Territorial-defence staffs are also being established to being commissioned, the NDMC has also supervised
improve coordination between regional and military equipment modernisation, strategic exercises and
authorities. combat operations in Syria. It represents a new stage in
Perhaps the most important development, however, the attempt to enhance and improve Russian command
has been the establishment of the National Defence and control.
172 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
of
▼anti-submarine capability
Map 3 Russian forces in this2018
in Crimea, sensitive region is increasingly a concern for Moscow.
Selected Russian equipment in Crimea
UKRAINE Mariupol
Name Type
T-72B3 MBT Melitopol
BTR-82A APC (W) Yeysk
Berdyansk
Su-30SM Flanker FGA ac
ersonSu-27SM Flanker FGA ac
S-400 (SA-21 Growler) SAM
3K55 Bastion (SSC-5 Stooge) AShM
3K60 Bal (SSC-6 Sennight) AShM
Sea of Azov
Navy Air force VDV
Main roads Main railroads 39th Helicopter Regiment
De facto boundary between
Russian-occupied Crimea and
Dzhankoy 382nd Naval RUSSIA
mainland Ukraine
171st Airborne Battalion Infantry Battalion
37th Mixed Aviation Regiment
43rd Mixed
Aviation Regiment Kerch
31st Air Defence Division
Yevpatoriya
8th Artillery Regiment
Potential strike
range of MiG-31 UKRAINE
equipped with
Kinzhal missile
Mariupol
Melitopol
Kherson
Berdyansk Yeysk
RUSSIA
Crimea-based aircraft could also be armed with the
130 km range Kh-35 (AS-20 Kayak) AShM and the Sea of Azov
260 km range Kh-35U (AS-20 Kayak) AShM Dzhankoy
Kerch
Yevpatoriya
Simferopol Novorossiysk
Sevastopol Gelendzhik
S-400 system: S-400 system: S-400 system: S-400 system: 3K60 Bal (SSC-6A 3K60 Bal (SSC-6 3K55 Bastion
40N6 surface- 48N6D surface- 9M96-2 surface- 9M96 surface- Sennight) coastal- Sennight) coastal- (SSC-5 Stooge)
to-air missile to-air missile to-air missile to-air missile defence cruise missile defence cruise missile coastal-defence
(improved version in cruise missile
*Potential ranges marked from notional location development)
© IISS
Russia and Eurasia 173
District in 2018. Further production of the Tornado-S However, the emphasis for the VKS remains
300 mm multiple-rocket launcher appears to have the development and acquisition of a variety of
been complicated by a legal case brought against the stand-off air-to-surface weapons for the bomber
manufacturer in July by the defence ministry. fleet. As well as continuing to buy the Kh-101/
Kh-102 (AS-23A/B Kodiak) long-range cruise missile,
Aerospace forces the development of both shorter- and apparently
The Russian Aerospace Forces (VKS) continued longer-range land-attack weapons is under way.
during 2018 to absorb the lessons from their ongoing The Kh-50 designation has been associated with a
involvement in Syria and to come to terms with smaller cruise missile likely intended for internal
the more modest ambitions of Russia’s latest State carriage on aircraft whose weapons bay will not
Armament Programme (SAP 2018–27). accommodate the larger Kh-101. Boosting the
Besides allowing new and upgraded aircraft and inventory of short-range air-launched precision-
heritage from the Novator 3M10 Granat (SS-N-21 Sampson) shipping container. An air-launched derivative has also been Frigates Admiral Grigorovich
subsonic cruise missile, first deployed in 1986. The 3M14 has advertised as a possible development. Gepard
Gremyashchiy
Vasily Bykov
▼ Figure 11 Russia: Kalibr missile family
© IISS
*Club-K is a containerised system (using commercial ISO 20/40) and may also be mounted on ship decks
Russia and Eurasia 175
proceeding slowly. Nonetheless, the first of the In 2018, the Strategic Rocket Forces completed the
improved Project 08851 Yasen-M-class submarines rearmament of three missile divisions with the RS-24
began sea trials in September 2018. Programmes to Yars (SS-27 mod 2) ICBM. The plan remains to replace
modernise the capabilities of a range of legacy large all RS-12M Topol (SS-25 Sickle) and RS-12M2 Topol-M
surface platforms also continue, at a relatively slow (SS-27 mod 1) ICBMs with Yars by 2021, though
pace. achieving this looks unlikely, given the production
Also after a considerable delay, in June the navy rates that would be required. Nonetheless, thanks to
commissioned the amphibious landing ship Ivan the rapid acquisition of new missiles, the Strategic
Gren, some 14 years after construction of the vessel Rocket Forces stand out as the most advanced branch
began. A relatively modest 120 metres in length and of the Russian armed forces: as of 2018, some 79% of
displacing just 6,600 tonnes, the ship nevertheless its weapons were classed as ‘new’.
represents a considerable improvement over the
Belarus
Ukraine
Moldova
Kazakhstan
Georgia Uzbekistan
Kyrgyzstan
Armenia Azerbaijan
Turkmenistan
Tajikistan
revealed in July 2018, spending on ‘national defence’ In 2017, an additional factor led to a reduction
(the budget chapter covering the defence ministry’s in the reported level of spending. As part of its
military outlays) will increase to a modest extent in campaign to tighten contract discipline and effective
nominal terms in 2019–21. However, it is due to fall use of budget funding, the defence ministry decided
as a share of GDP from almost 2.9% in 2018 to 2.6% late in the year to withhold payments to defence
in 2021, resulting in a share of total military spending companies until contracts for the delivery of new
of approximately 3.6%. This corresponds to its level weapons had been completed. The outcome was that
before the start of the SAP to 2020. more than 200bn roubles (US$3.4bn) was withheld,
Understanding the trend of Russian military
spending has been complicated by technical factors
that have affected the reported defence budget. ▼ Figure 12 Russia: estimated total military
In 2016 and 2017, the ‘national defence’ chapter expenditure as % of GDP
included substantial sums to cover past debts to
5 4.83
the defence industry under the system of state- 4.45
guaranteed credits. This was used to boost spending 3.81
4.07 4.03 4.00
4
in the early years of the SAP. The debt settlement
amounted to 792 billion roubles (US$11.8bn) in 2016
3
% of GDP
leading to a 6% underspend compared with the investment directly related to the deployment of new
total federal budget allocation to ‘national defence’ weapons. It is not known what share of the ministry’s
in 2017. The withheld payments were disbursed in allocation relates to the first five years of the SAP,
the early months of 2018, leading to an overspend but it is probably much more than the 31% allocated
that was not foreseen when the year’s budget was under the previous SAP to 2020. However, this time,
adopted. An amended version of the budget law for probably because of the tense international situation,
2018 was adopted in early July and this increased there has been no indication of the number of new
the allocation to ‘national defence’ by about 245bn systems to be delivered under the programme.
roubles (US$3.9bn), covering additional outlays As before, strategic missiles have first priority.
relating to the 2017 state defence order. The budget Acquisition of the RS-24 Yars (SS-27 mod 2)
was amended again in November but with only a intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) will continue,
modest increase in defence spending. It remains to be and from around 2020 the new RS-28 Sarmat (SS-X-29)
It is clear that the navy will receive very few, if and intrusive monitoring, the procurement process
any, heavy surface ships before 2027. More Project should lead to fewer diversions of funding to other
22350 frigates and Project 20380 corvettes will purposes and corruption associated with arms
be built, plus some new Project 20386 corvettes procurement. In response to sanctions, a specialised
and a larger number of small missile ships armed lead bank, Promsvyazbank – organised so as to
with Kalibr and Oniks cruise missiles. Submarine minimise its vulnerability to sanction pressures – has
building will focus on completing the series of been designated the principal bank for servicing the
Project 995A Borey-A ballistic-missile boats armed state defence order.
with Bulava missiles and Project 08851 Yasen-M
multi-role submarines, though from the early Arms exports
2020s construction is expected to begin on the In 2017, for the third year running, Russian arms-
first Khaski-class successor. The building of new manufacturing firms signed contracts totalling
non-nuclear submarines depends, to a large extent, approximately US$15bn. Once again, sales of aircraft
on whether Russia is finally able to produce a viable and air-defence systems accounted for a large
air-independent propulsion unit. proportion of total exports. By July 2018, China had
received a regimental set of S-400s, while a deal for
Defence industry the system worth a reported US$2.5bn was concluded
Rogozin now heads the state corporation for the with Turkey, notwithstanding NATO opposition,
space-missile industry, Roscosmos, which was with deliveries to begin in late 2019 or early 2020.
established in August 2015. This is now undergoing India has signed a contract for the S-400, while
a major reorganisation, with the aim of improving several other countries, including Iraq, Saudi Arabia
efficiency after a series of costly launch failures. and Qatar, have expressed interest in buying it. Most
The vast state corporation Rostec, headed by of the 24 Su-35 fighters sold to China in November
Sergey Chemezov, uniting 700 enterprises grouped 2015 have been delivered, while in February 2018 a
into 15 holding companies, looks set to absorb the deal worth US$1.14bn was concluded with Indonesia
United Aircraft Corporation as an additional holding for 11 Su-35s. India and Malaysia have also expressed
company, achieving full control of the entire aviation interest in buying the aircraft. There is an expectation
industry – fixed wing, helicopters, engines and that Russia’s use of a wide range of weaponry in
avionics. Reorganisation of the United Shipbuilding Syria will boost export sales.
Corporation now also seems likely, as it is one of the
least effective corporate structures of the defence BELARUS
sector. The building of many new naval ships has
been subject to long delays. Belarus’s armed forces are slowly completing their
A significant development for the defence industry long transformation from the force that separated
was the adoption in late 2017 of a government decree from the Soviet military into those of a middle-
establishing new pricing principles for military sized European country. While official documents
products developed and produced under the state underline the still-close military alliance with Russia,
defence order. It is designed as a cost-saving measure Minsk’s position is more nuanced. In general, this
and should increase profits for defence contractors, stems from ad hoc decisions rather than deliberate
making possible the financing of more investment policies by either Minsk or Moscow. Belarus lacks the
and re-equipping from company earnings rather funds for significant military investments and has its
than budget sources. It should also promote the own distinct priorities, while Moscow is unwilling to
development of more extensive subcontracting. This invest much in its ally without gaining more control
was discouraged by the old system of pricing, which over Belarusian armed forces and facilities.
left subcontractors with meagre profits. The new
approach is now being introduced, but it will take Security and defence policy
some time before it is operational. The Belarusian government rarely discusses its
Meanwhile, the elaborate system to closely security policy in public. However, while Minsk
monitor the use of budget funding under the state has limited military goals, it is tailoring its armed
defence order continues to function. While the defence forces to tackle contemporary security challenges.
industry still complains of excessive bureaucracy Indeed, Defence Minister Andrei Ravkov describes
Russia and Eurasia 179
the armed forces’ ongoing rearmament programme did not cite these as examples. Belarus’s military
as ‘selective’. In February 2018, the defence ministry exercises and rearmament programme reflect
revealed plans to reduce the army’s stored weapons Minsk’s preparation for these scenarios. However,
and materiel by a quarter in order to save costs, there is little evidence that Minsk is preparing for any
although the age of some of this equipment makes direct confrontation with Western states or NATO,
the prospect of selling it on unlikely. There are two even as an ally of Russia. According to the official
principal drivers for security policy: political stability military daily newspaper Belorusskaya voennaya
and relations with Russia. gazeta, ‘the preparation of Belarusian armed forces
is aimed mostly at fighting terrorist groups and not
Internal security engaging in any large-scale hostilities’.
In numerous official statements and semi-official
pronouncements, the government has demonstrated Relations with Russia
Belarus’s geography dictates much of its security establishment of such a command only in a ‘period
policy. By the mid-2000s, it had NATO neighbours to of immediate threat of aggression’.
the north and the west, and since 2014, Ukraine, to In November 2017, the Belarus–Russia agreement
the south, has developed closer ties to the West. These on supplying a joint regional group of Belarusian and
developments left Minsk with the choice of either Russian troops entered force. Both parties agreed that
risking tension with the West or adjusting its policies. each had to supply their own national army units,
Minsk chose the latter by renouncing most of its which shall become part of this group in case of an
earlier anti-Western rhetoric, increasing divergence imminent conflict – there is no permanently staffed
with Russia on foreign policy and defence matters formation. Moscow has committed to supplying
(higher transparency in exercises, maintaining its Minsk with equipment and arms only during an
obligations under the Treaty on Conventional Armed ‘increasing military threat to the Union state [of
Forces in Europe, increasing self-reliance in military Belarus and Russia] and in times of war’.
policy), and increasing contacts with NATO and its
member states. The geopolitical situation with regard The armed forces
to Russia, however, remained static. Belarus will When the independent Belarusian armed forces
always be important to Russia, as it is situated next formed in the 1990s, it was similar to its Russian
to Russia’s core regions around Moscow. Because counterpart in terms of doctrine, training, equipment
of this, Moscow considers it necessary to have at and organisation, and officers moved between
least minimal air- and missile-defence capacities in the two forces. Now the two armed forces have
Belarus, either under allied Belarusian command or different missions, identities, structures, equipment
Russian units in-country. While Moscow would like and training. Belarus switched to a brigade-based
to increase its military capabilities in Belarus, with a organisational structure before Russia and kept
view to NATO states’ capacities to the west, in 2016 that structure after Russia started re-establishing
Minsk reportedly displayed reluctance to station larger units. Belarus also maintains and modernises
Russian 9K720 Iskander-M (SS-26 Stone) short-range many of the platforms that Russia is phasing out
ballistic-missile systems under Russian command and increasingly develops its own, sometimes in
in Belarus as Moscow refused to supply the systems cooperation with other countries, such as China.
to Minsk. Prior to this, analysts had understood that However, the Belarusian armed forces are
Russia was interested in obtaining for its forces an air deployed largely as they were in Soviet times. The
base in Belarus. existing Western and Northwestern operational
In 2016, Minsk and Moscow also completed the commands, formed in 2001, reflect the tendency to
formalities around the adoption of the 2009 agree- not make changes to military deployments unless
ment on establishing a single air-defence system absolutely necessary. There have been some recent
for Belarus and Russia. The agreement essen- changes, such as a new air-defence regiment armed
tially formalised or confirmed already existing air- with Tor-M2E (SA-15 Gauntlet) surface-to-air missile
defence cooperation mechanisms. The main joint (SAM) systems and a battalion of internal troops
standby-alert duty arrangements (sovmestnoe boevoe stationed near the Lithuanian border to guard the
dezhurstvo) began in 1996, in addition to information nuclear power plant under construction there.
exchanges, joint training sessions and equipment Minsk has said it will retain obligatory military
supplies. The joint operation of Belarusian and service for all men. Most of those drafted who have
Russian military units attached to this single air- secondary education serve for 18 months, while
defence system will be coordinated from the those with a university degree serve for 12 months.
Russian air force’s central command centre. For all Conscripts can be assigned to serve in the army,
other purposes, these units remain under national special forces, air defence and air force, internal
command, but this would change in the case of troops or border troops. However, the army is
armed conflict, when a joint Belarus–Russia air- looking to introduce a more flexible military-service
defence command would be established. In 2017, system and unlike in Soviet times does not call up
Minsk and Moscow amended the 2009 agreement all conscripts. Conscripts with different educational
by specifying and limiting its scope: in the original backgrounds and qualifications serve different types
text, the joint command could be established in a of military service. According to official statements, in
‘period of a threat’; the amendments stipulated the 2018, about 80% of conscripts were not immediately
Russia and Eurasia 181
LATVIA
Daugavpils
7
LITHUANIA VITEBSK
8
6
Vilnius BELARUS
4
9
MINSK 10
2 11 Minsk
MAHILYOW Roslavl
1 12 13
GRODNO 3
14
15 RUSSIA
5 17 16
drafted for full-time military service. The armed and rocket and missile forces. No spending figures are
forces are increasing reserve service, which includes published, but the intensive involvement of special-
usually university-educated recruits serving for operations forces in exercises and the development
shorter periods over the course of two years. Later, of new weapons for the rocket and missile units
these reserves attend refresher courses and take part provides evidence for this.
in military exercises. Conscripts do not have the Minsk’s reliance on Russia for air-defence
freedom to choose whether to do full conscription equipment has led to lower levels of investment
service or reserve service. Minsk is also looking to in that domain. In recent years, however, Belarus
increase the professional component, and the share has only obtained from Russia some Tor-M2E SAM
of professional servicemen and women in the army systems, second-hand S-300PS (SA-10 Grumble)
rose from 16% in 2014 to 20% at the beginning of 2018. SAM systems (for the air force), Yak-130 aircraft and
Mi-8MTV-5 helicopters.
Army Minsk plans to modernise its T-72 tanks, in both
While the army still contains remnants of the Soviet Belarusian and Russian plants, and to purchase
era, there are lines of modernisation. The government more Belarusian-manufactured armoured vehicles,
pays particular attention to special-operations forces namely the Volat V1 armoured utility vehicle and
182 THE MILITARY BALANCE 2019
the Kaiman armoured reconnaissance vehicle, and 16, Belarus signed bilateral military-cooperation
the Belarusian-modernised BTR-70MB1 armoured agreements with its three neighbouring NATO
personnel carrier. Planned acquisitions for 2018 member countries, Latvia, Lithuania and Poland.
included Tor-M2E air-defence systems and radars Army exercises mostly focus on counter-
from Russia, and a number of uninhabited aerial insurgency and urban warfare. Minsk has retired
vehicles (UAVs), including types designed for numerous types of equipment that would be
artillery targeting and reconnaissance. required for offensive operations, especially armour
and artillery, bombers and attack helicopters, and
Air force has abandoned some military facilities; for example,
The air force has been incrementally retiring its only military-helicopter base is in Kobryn, on the
sophisticated platforms, such as Su-24 and Su-27 border with Ukraine. Belarus has not purchased
combat aircraft and Mi-24 attack helicopters, without modern mechanised armoured vehicles in significant
identified replacements. Officials insist that the numbers, except for light-armoured platforms.
Yak-130 training/light-attack aircraft can take on the
roles of most of these systems. The delivery of 12 Defence economics and industry
Su-30SM aircraft from Russia was due to start in 2018 Unlike its neighbours, Belarus has not responded to
but has been postponed. growing regional tensions with more than a modest
Annual flying hours for pilots have increased defence-budget increase. From a low point of US$506
but remain at a relatively low level. In the Soviet million in 2016, the 2018 budget reached US$629m.
era, flying hours amounted to around 120 each year Indeed, not only does Minsk see no pressing need
per fighter pilot; by the late 2010s, this had fallen for larger investments in national security, it has
to just 70–75 hours. Minsk considers the reduced little money for these. In 2012, Minsk urged Moscow
capabilities of the Belarusian Air Force to be as much to contribute to the financing of the Belarusian
a problem for Russia as for Belarus. For many years, armed forces, stressing their importance to Russia.
it seemed that Minsk expected Moscow to deliver In February 2018, Lukashenko once again criticised
newer aircraft, either for a symbolic fee or as payment Russia for failing to build up the armies of the CSTO
in goods. Conversely, Moscow has unsuccessfully members.
tried – since at least the beginning of 2013 – to have Little is spent on military equipment and Minsk
Minsk accept the deployment of a Russian Air Force looks to avoid imports, preferring to produce it
regiment in Belarus. domestically, even if this results in weaponry of
only limited capability. That is particularly true of
Training and cooperation mechanised armoured vehicles. Indeed, Belarus’s
Belarus has established military training departments defence industry is one of the few sectors of national
offering various programmes in major civilian industry that is significantly developing. The armed
universities. After establishing an aviation-training forces’ inventory is increasingly supplied by Belarusian
capability in the 2000s, pilots can now train at the firms, which is in itself an achievement. For a long
Military Academy and civilian Minsk State Higher time after independence, Belarusian industry only
Aviation College. produced limited defence products, such as electronic
The armed forces train on a bilateral and and optical equipment and various components. Now,
multilateral basis with Russia but also with CSTO government officials openly articulate the aspiration
forces – the Belarusian 103rd Airborne Brigade is part to develop more defence products, particularly
of the CSTO Collective Rapid Reaction Force (KSOR) artillery and small arms. However, with the national
– as well as China. Belarusian special-operations budget constrained, defence firms are currently
troops trained with their Chinese counterparts most focused on improving their exports. According to the
recently in 2018 in China, while People’s Liberation State Military Industrial Committee (SMIC) of Belarus,
Army troops last exercised in Belarus in 2017. In arms exports in 2017 were 15% up on the previous
May 2018, Minsk also held its first joint drills with year, exceeding US$1 billion, though these figures are
Kazakhstan. Belarus also takes part in NATO’s at variance with other public estimates, which place
Partnership for Peace programme and, according overall exports at around half that. Some Belarusian
to the foreign ministry, there have been about 125 defence firms are in private hands, although they
joint Belarus–NATO activities since 1997. In 2015– operate under the control of the SMIC.
Russia and Eurasia 183
According to an official SMIC statement, 54% While most Belarusian defence products are
of the ‘international interaction’ of the Belarusian modernised Soviet designs, there are some new
defence industry involves Russian partners, which, if products, including rockets and missiles. Belarus
anything, indicates some success in internationalising designed, with Chinese support, the Polonez
Belarus’s defence industries. Belarusian firms supply multiple-launch rocket system, then developed
many of the components for Russian arms, such and manufactured a missile for it. Together with
as electronics, tank sights and chassis for Russian China, Belarus has also for some time worked on
missiles, including for Moscow’s strategic nuclear designing a SAM system. In addition, Minsk is
systems. However, as early as 2010, Russia began to developing UAVs for the Belarusian armed forces.
replace foreign components and Belarus has been no In 2016, it demonstrated a first-strike system, the
exception. However, it is understood that Moscow Burevestnik-MB, which is armed with eight unguided
has so far failed to replace the Belarusian chassis in 57 mm rockets, and two so-called ‘kamikaze’ mini-
MANOEUVRE
Armenia ARM Mechanised
1 (1st) corps (1 recce bn, 1 tk bn, 2 MR regt, 1 maint bn)
Armenian Dram d 2017 2018 2019
1 (2nd) corps (1 recce bn, 1 tk bn, 2 MR regt, 1 lt inf regt,
GDP d 5.57tr 6.14tr 1 arty bn)
US$ 11.5bn 12.5bn 1 (3rd) corps (1 recce bn, 1 tk bn, 4 MR regt, 1 lt inf regt,
per capita US$ 3,857 4,190 1 arty bn, 1 MRL bn, 1 sigs bn, 1 maint bn)
Growth % 7.5 6.0 1 (4th) corps (4 MR regt; 1 SP arty bn; 1 sigs bn)
Inflation % 0.9 3.0
1 (5th) corps (with 2 fortified areas) (1 MR regt)
Other
Def bdgt [a] d 210bn 248bn
1 indep MR trg bde
US$ 435m 506m COMBAT SUPPORT
FMA (US) US$ 1m 0m 1 arty bde
US$1=d 482.70 490.17 1 MRL bde
[a] Includes imported military equipment, excludes military 1 AT regt
pensions 1 AD bde
Population 3,038,217
2 AD regt
2 (radiotech) AD regt
Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus 1 engr regt
Male 10.0% 3.0% 3.4% 4.3% 23.1% 4.7% EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Female 8.7% 2.7% 3.3% 4.4% 25.3% 7.0% ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
MBT 109: 3 T-54; 5 T-55; 101 T-72A/B
Capabilities RECCE 12 BRM-1K (CP)
IFV 231: 75 BMP-1; 6 BMP-1K (CP); 150 BMP-2
The armed forces’ main focus is territorial defence, given continuing
APC • APC (W) 130: 8 BTR-60; 100 BTR-60 look-a-like;
tensions with neighbouring Azerbaijan over Nagorno-Karabakh. In
early 2018, a Modernisation Programme was released for the period 18 BTR-70; 4 BTR-80
2018–24. Despite economic constraints, the document outlined ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
the ambitious goal of reorganising the command structure and AEV MT-LB
modernising the equipment inventory. The programme includes ARV BREhM-D; BREM-1
sections on cyber- and information-domain capabilities. Armenia ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
is a member of the CSTO and maintains strong defence ties with MSL • SP 22+: 9 9P148 Konkurs (AT-5 Spandrel); 13
Russia, centred on equipment-procurement, technical-advice and 9P149 Shturm (AT-6 Spiral); 9K129 Kornet-E (AT-14
personnel-training programmes. Military doctrine remains influ-
Spriggan)
enced by Russian thinking. Armenia is also engaged in a NATO Indi-
vidual Partnership Action Plan. Conscription continues, but there
ARTILLERY 232
is a growing cohort of professional officers. The armed forces have SP 38: 122mm 10 2S1 Gvozdika; 152mm 28 2S3 Akatsiya
deployed on NATO and UN missions in Afghanistan, Kosovo and TOWED 131: 122mm 69 D-30; 152mm 62: 26 2A36
Lebanon, providing learning opportunities. Personnel train regu- Giatsint-B; 2 D-1; 34 D-20
larly and take part in annual CSTO exercises and with Russia in bilat- MRL 57: 122mm 47 BM-21 Grad; 273mm 4 WM-80;
eral drills. Equipment is mainly of Russian origin. Agreements have 300mm 6 9A52 Smerch
been reached in recent years to purchase modern Russian systems. MOR 120mm 12 M120
Serviceability and maintenance of mainly ageing aircraft have been
SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE LAUNCHERS
a problem for the air force. There is some capacity to manufacture
defence equipment for the domestic market, including electro-
SRBM • Conventional 16: 8 9K72 Elbrus (SS-1C Scud B);
optics, light weapons and UAVs, but Armenia is reliant on Russia for 4 9K79 Tochka (SS-21 Scarab); 4 9K720 Iskander-E
other equipment platforms and systems. UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
ISR • Light 15 Krunk
ACTIVE 44,800 (Army 41,850 Air/AD Aviation AIR DEFENCE
Forces (Joint) 1,100 other Air Defence Forces 1,850) SAM
Paramilitary 4,300 Medium-range 2K11 Krug (SA-4 Ganef); S-75 Dvina
Conscript liability 24 months (SA-2 Guideline); 9K37M Buk-M1 (SA-11 Gadfly)
Short-range 2K12 Kub (SA-6 Gainful); S-125 Pechora
RESERVE
(SA-3 Goa)
Some mobilisation reported, possibly 210,000 with military service
within 15 years Point-defence 9K33 Osa (SA-8 Gecko); 9K310 Igla-1
(SA-16 Gimlet); 9K38 Igla (SA-18 Grouse); 9K333 Verba;
9K338 Igla-S (SA-24 Grinch)
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE GUNS
SP 23mm ZSU-23-4
Army 22,900; 18,950 conscripts (total 41,850) TOWED 23mm ZU-23-2
FORCES BY ROLE
SPECIAL FORCES Air and Air Defence Aviation Forces 1,100
1 SF bde 1 Air & AD Joint Command
Russia and Eurasia 185
FORCES BY ROLE Russia 3,300: 1 mil base with (1 MR bde; 74 T-72; 80 BMP-
GROUND ATTACK 1; 80 BMP-2; 12 2S1; 12 BM-21); 1 ftr sqn with 18 MiG-29
1 sqn with Su-25/Su-25UBK Frogfoot Fulcrum; 1 hel sqn with 8 Mi-24P Hind; 4 Mi-8MT Hip; 2
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE SAM bty with S-300V (SA-12 Gladiator/Giant); 1 SAM bty
AIRCRAFT 15 combat capable with 2K12 Kub (SA-6 Gainful)
ATK 15: 13 Su-25 Frogfoot; 2 Su-25UBK Frogfoot United Kingdom OSCE 1
TPT 4: Heavy 3 Il-76 Candid; PAX 1 A319CJ
TRG 14: 4 L-39 Albatros; 10 Yak-52
HELICOPTERS
Azerbaijan AZE
ATK 7 Mi-24P Hind Azerbaijani New Manat m 2017 2018 2019
ISR 4: 2 Mi-24K Hind; 2 Mi-24R Hind (cbt spt) GDP m 69.1bn 77.5bn
MRH 10 Mi-8MT (cbt spt)
US$ 40.7bn 45.6bn
C2 2 Mi-9 Hip G (cbt spt)
per capita US$ 4,141 4,587
TPT • Light 7 PZL Mi-2 Hoplite
Growth % 0.1 1.3
TPT 24: Medium 17: 1 Bell 412; 3 Ka-32 Helix C; 13 Mi-8 Bosnia-Herzegovina OSCE 1
Hip Light 7 PZL Mi-2 Hoplite Germany OSCE 1
UAV • ISR 16: Heavy 1 Heron; Medium 15: 4 Aerostar; 10+ Moldova OSCE 2
Hermes 450; 1 Hermes 900 Poland OSCE 1
AIR DEFENCE • SAM
United Kingdom OSCE 1
Long-range S-200 Vega (SA-5 Gammon); S-300PM/PMU2
Medium-range S-75 Dvina (SA-2 Guideline); 9K37M
Buk-M1 (SA-11 Gadfly); Buk-MB; S-125-2TM Pechora-2TM TERRITORY WHERE THE GOVERNMENT
(SA-26) DOES NOT EXERCISE EFFECTIVE CONTROL
Short-range Abisr
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES Nagorno-Karabakh was part of Azerbaijan, but mostly
AAM • IR R-60 (AA-8 Aphid); R-73 (AA-11 Archer) IR/ populated by ethnic Armenians. In 1988, when inter-
SARH R-27 (AA-10 Alamo) ethnic clashes between Armenians and Azeris erupted in
ASM Barrier-V Azerbaijan, the local authorities declared their intention
to secede and join Armenia. Baku rejected this and armed
work. A new defence white paper was published in 2017. Long- TOWED 71: 122mm 58 D-30; 152mm 13: 3 2A36
standing security cooperation with the US includes the Georgia Giatsint-B; 10 2A65 Msta-B
Defence Readiness Program, designed to boost military capabili- MRL 122mm 37: 13 BM-21 Grad; 6 GradLAR; 18 RM-70
ties. The armed forces are professional and are working to develop MOR 120mm 65: 14 2S12 Sani; 33 M-75; 18 M120
NATO compatibility, although conscription is still active. Despite
AIR DEFENCE • SAM
participation in several NATO multinational exercises, readiness
Short-range Spyder-SR
varies greatly between units and training levels tend to be vari-
able. Georgia’s armed forces have little expeditionary logistic Point-defence Grom; Mistral-2; 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7
capabilities, contributing only to NATO’s Resolute Support mission Grail)‡; 9K35 Strela-10 (SA-13 Gopher); 9K36 Strela-3 (SA-
in Afghanistan. The backbone of the armed forces’ military equip- 14 Gremlin); 9K310 Igla-1 (SA-16 Gimlet)
ment is legacy Soviet-era systems with varying degrees of obsoles-
cence. The Major Systems Acquisitions Strategy 2019–25 outlines Aviation and Air Defence Command 1,300
efforts to procure new equipment in several areas, including air (incl 300 conscript)
defence, anti-tank systems, artillery, intelligence and aviation. The 1 avn base, 1 hel air base
country has only recently begun to develop a defence-industrial
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
base, and this is intended mainly to support the armed forces. The
State Military Scientific-Technical Center has demonstrated some AIRCRAFT 3 combat capable
maintenance, repair, overhaul and design capabilities for the pro- ATK 3 Su-25KM Frogfoot (6 Su-25 Frogfoot in store)
duction of light armoured vehicles. TPT • Light 9: 6 An-2 Colt; 1 Tu-134A Crusty (VIP); 2
Yak-40 Codling
ACTIVE 20,650 (Army 19,050 National Guard 1,600) TRG 9 L-29 Delfin
Paramilitary 5,400 HELICOPTERS
Conscript liability 12 months ATK 6 Mi-24 Hind
TPT 29: Medium 17 Mi-8T Hip; Light 12 Bell 205
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE (UH-1H Iroquois)
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
ISR • Medium 1+ Hermes 450
Army 15,000; 4,050 conscript (total 19,050)
AIR DEFENCE • SAM
FORCES BY ROLE Medium-range 9K37 Buk-M1 (SA-11 Gadfly) (1-2 bn)
SPECIAL FORCES Point-defence 8 9K33 Osa AK (SA-8B Gecko) (two bty);
1 SF bde 9K33 Osa AKM (6-10 updated SAM systems)
MANOEUVRE
Light National Guard 1,600 active reservists opcon
5 inf bde
Army
Amphibious
2 mne bn (1 cadre) FORCES BY ROLE
COMBAT SUPPORT MANOEUVRE
2 arty bde Light
1 engr bde 1 inf bde
1 sigs bn
1 SIGINT bn Paramilitary 5,400
1 MP bn
Border Police 5,400
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT
1 med bn Coast Guard
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE HQ at Poti. The Navy was merged with the Coast
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES Guard in 2009 under the auspices of the Georgian
MBT 123: 23 T-55AM2; 100 T-72B/SIM1 Border Police, within the Ministry of the Interior
RECCE 5: 1 BRM-1K; 4+ Didgori-2 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
IFV 71: 25 BMP-1; 46 BMP-2 PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 21
APC 189+ PBF 6: 4 Ares 43m; 1 Kaan 33; 1 Kaan 20
APC (T) 69+: 3+ Lazika; 66 MT-LB
PB 15: 1 Akhmeta; 2 Dauntless; 2 Dilos (ex-GRC);
APC (W) 120+: 25 BTR-70; 19 BTR-80; Cobra; 8+
1 Kutaisi (ex-TUR AB 25); 2 Point; 7 Zhuk (3 ex-
Didgori-1; 3+ Didgori-3; 65 Ejder
UKR)
AUV 10+: ATF Dingo; 10 Cougar
AMPHIBIOUS • LANDING CRAFT • LCM 1 Vydra
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
(ex-BLG) (capacity either 3 MBT or 200 troops)
ARV IMR-2
ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
MSL • MANPATS 9K111 Fagot (AT-4 Spigot); 9K113 DEPLOYMENT
Konkurs (AT-5 Spandrel); FGM-148 Javelin AFGHANISTAN: NATO • Operation Resolute Support 870; 1
GUNS • TOWED ε40: 85mm D-44; 100mm T-12 lt inf bn: UN • UNAMA 2 obs
ARTILLERY 240
SP 67: 122mm 20 2S1 Gvozdika; 152mm 46: 32 M-77 ALBANIA: OSCE • Albania 1
Dana; 13 2S3 Akatsiya; 1 2S19 Msta-S; 203mm 1 2S7 Pion CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: EU • EUTM RCA 35
Russia and Eurasia 191
MALI: EU • EUTM Mali 1 lar priority, with new orders placed in 2018. However, airworthi-
ness across the air inventory remains problematic. Russia has also
SERBIA: OSCE • Kosovo 1
supplied Kazakhstan with S-300PS self-propelled surface-to-air
UKRAINE: OSCE • Ukraine 22 missile systems as part of a Joint Air-Defence Agreement, boost-
ing its long-range air-defence capability. Kazakhstan is growing its
TERRITORY WHERE THE GOVERNMENT indigenous defence industry, and exports increased in 2017–18. A
joint venture with South African firm Paramount Engineering will
DOES NOT EXERCISE EFFECTIVE CONTROL deliver Arlan 4x4 vehicles. Further joint ventures and production
Following the August 2008 war between Russia and of rotary-wing and medium-lift fixed-wing aircraft are envisaged in
Georgia, the areas of Abkhazia and South Ossetia declared cooperation with European companies.
themselves independent. Data presented here represents
the de facto situation and does not imply international
ACTIVE 39,000 (Army 20,000 Navy 3,000 Air 12,000
recognition as sovereign states. MoD 4,000) Paramilitary 31,500
Conscript liability 12 months (due to be abolished)
FOREIGN FORCES
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE LAUNCHERS TPT 19: Medium 2 An-12 Cub; Light 16: 6 An-26 Curl,
SRBM • Conventional 12 9K79 Tochka (SS-21 Scarab) 2 An-72 Coaler; 6 C295; 2 Tu-134 Crusty; PAX 1 Tu-154
Careless
Navy 3,000 TRG 18: 17 L-39 Albatros; 1 Z-242L
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE HELICOPTERS
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 12 ATK 24: 20 Mi-24V Hind (some upgraded); 4 Mi-35M
PCGM 2 Kazakhstan with 1 Barrier-BK lnchr with 4 Hind
RK-2B SSM, 1 Arbalet-K lnchr with 4 9K38 Igla (SA-18 MRH 26: 20 Mi-17V-5 Hip; 6 Mi-171Sh Hip
Grouse), 1 AK306 CIWS TPT 14: Heavy 4 Mi-26 Halo; Light 10: 4 Bell 205 (UH-
PCC 1 Kazakhstan with 1 122mm MRL
1H Iroquois); 6 H145
PBF 3 Sea Dolphin
UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES
PB 6: 3 Archangel; 1 Dauntless; 1 Turk (AB 25); 1 Other
CISR • Heavy 2 Wing Loong (GJ-1)
MINE WARFARE • MINE COUNTERMEASURES 1
MCC 1 Alatau (Project 10750E) with 1 AK306 CIWS AIR DEFENCE • SAM
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT • AGS 1 Zhaik Long-range S-200 Angara (SA-5 Gammon); S-300 (SA-10
Grumble); 40+ S-300PS (SA-10B Grumble)
Coastal Defence Medium-range 2K11 Krug (SA-4 Ganef); S-75M Volkhov
FORCES BY ROLE (SA-2 Guideline)
MANOEUVRE Short-range 2K12 Kub (SA-6 Gainful); S-125 Neva (SA-3
Mechanised Goa)
1 naval inf bde Point-defence 9K35 Strela-10 (SA-13 Gopher)
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES AAM • IR R-60 (AA-8 Aphid); R-73 (AA-11 Archer); IR/
IFV 70 BTR-82A SARH R-27 (AA-10 Alamo); SARH R-33 (AA-9 Amos);
ARH R-77 (AA-12A Adder – on MiG-31BM)
Air Force 12,000 (incl Air Defence) ASM Kh-23 (AS-7 Kerry)‡; Kh-25 (AS-10 Karen); Kh-29
FORCES BY ROLE (AS-14 Kedge)
FIGHTER ARM Kh-27 (AS-12 Kegler); Kh-58 (AS-11 Kilter)
1 sqn with MiG-29/MiG-29UB Fulcrum
2 sqn with MiG-31B/MiG-31BM Foxhound Paramilitary 31,500
FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
1 sqn with MiG-27 Flogger D; MiG-23UB Flogger C National Guard ε20,000
1 sqn with Su-27/Su-27UB Flanker Ministry of Interior
1 sqn with Su-27/Su-30SM Flanker
AIRCRAFT
GROUND ATTACK
TPT • Medium 1 Y-8F-200WA
1 sqn with Su-25 Frogfoot
TRANSPORT State Security Service 2,500
1 unit with Tu-134 Crusty; Tu-154 Careless
1 sqn with An-12 Cub, An-26 Curl, An-30 Clank, An-72 Border Service ε9,000
Coaler, C295M
Ministry of Interior
TRAINING
1 sqn with L-39 Albatros EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
ATTACK HELICOPTER AIRCRAFT 7: Light 6: 4 An-26 Curl; 1 An-74T; 1 An-
5 sqn with Mi-24V Hind 74TK PAX 1 SSJ-100
TRANSPORT HELICOPTER HELICOPTERS • TPT • Medium 15: 1 Mi-171; 14 Mi-
Some sqn with Bell 205 (UH-1H Iroquois); H145; Mi-8 171Sh
Hip; Mi-17V-5 Hip; Mi-171Sh Hip; Mi-26 Halo
AIR DEFENCE Coast Guard
Some regt with S-75M Volkhov (SA-2 Guideline); S-125 EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Neva (SA-3 Goa); S-300/S-300PS (SA-10/10B Grumble); PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 22
2K11 Krug (SA-4 Ganef); S-200 Angara (SA-5 Gammon); PBF 11: 1 Aibar (Project 0210); 8 FC-19; 2 Saygak
2K12 Kub (SA-6 Gainful) PB 11: 4 Almaty; 5 Sardar; 2 Zhuk (of which 1 may be
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE operational)
AIRCRAFT 106 combat capable
FTR 46: 12 MiG-29 Fulcrum; 2 MiG-29UB Fulcrum; 32
MiG-31/MiG-31BM Foxhound DEPLOYMENT
FGA 46: 12 MiG-27 Flogger D; 2 MiG-23UB Flogger C; 20 MOLDOVA: OSCE • Moldova 2
Su-27 Flanker; 4 Su-27UB Flanker; 8 Su-30SM
ATK 14: 12 Su-25 Frogfoot; 2 Su-25UB Frogfoot UKRAINE: OSCE • Ukraine 5
ISR 1 An-30 Clank WESTERN SAHARA: UN • MINURSO 5 obs
Russia and Eurasia 193
COMBAT SUPPORT
Kyrgyzstan KGZ 1 arty bde
1 AD bde
Kazakhstani Tenge t 2017 2018 2019
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
GDP t 521bn 551bn
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
US$ 7.57bn 8.01bn
MBT 150 T-72
per capita US$ 1,208 1,254
RECCE 30 BRDM-2
Growth % 4.6 2.8
IFV 320: 230 BMP-1; 90 BMP-2
Inflation % 3.2 2.9 APC • APC (W) 55: 25 BTR-70; 20 BTR-70M; 10 BTR-80
Def bdgt t n.k n.k ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
US$ n.k n.k MSL • MANPATS 9K11 Malyutka (AT-3 Sagger); 9K111
US$1=t 68.86 68.79 Fagot (AT-4 Spigot); 9K111-1 Konkurs (AT-5 Spandrel)
RCL 73mm SPG-9
Population 5,849,296
DEPLOYMENT and increasing Russia’s influence in the near abroad and further
afield. Russia is a leading member of both the CSTO and the SCO.
ALBANIA: OSCE • Albania 1 The armed forces comprise a mix of volunteers and conscripts.
ARMENIA/AZERBAIJAN: OSCE • Minsk Conference 2 Defence reforms launched in 2008 emphasised the shift from a
conscript-based mass-mobilisation army to smaller, more profes-
BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA: OSCE • Bosnia and sional ground forces. Morale has improved because of better pay,
Herzegovina 1 terms and conditions, and greater prestige associated with military
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: UN • MINUSCA 2; 3 obs service. The armed forces can independently deploy and sustain
forces on a global scale, although at extended distances force size
SERBIA: NATO • KFOR 41; OSCE • Kosovo 2; UN • would be modest. Its air-led intervention in Syria shows Russia can
UNMIK 1 obs deploy, sustain and maintain a high operational tempo for a fixed-
SOUTH SUDAN: UN • UNMISS 1; 2 obs and rotary-wing air force, along with the required force-protection
package for the main operating base. Russia continues to moder-
UKRAINE: OSCE • Ukraine 45
nise its nuclear and conventional weapons. The 2020 State Arma-
ment Programme (SAP) has been broadly successful, although
FOREIGN FORCES several of the more ambitious procurement goals were not met.
COMBAT SUPPORT Msta-B; 1,075 D-20; 700 D-1 (M-1943); 100 M-1937 (ML-
9 arty bde 20); 203mm 40 B-4M)
1 hy arty bde GUN/MOR 180+
4 MRL bde SP 120mm 80+: 30 2S23 NONA-SVK; 50+ 2S34
4 engr bde TOWED 120mm 100 2B16 NONA-K
1 MP bde MRL 862+ 122mm 550 BM-21 Grad/Tornado-G; 220mm
5 NBC bde 200 9P140 Uragan; some 9K512 Uragan-1M; some TOS-
10 NBC regt 1A; 300mm 112: 100 9A52 Smerch; 12 9A54 Tornado-S
COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT (3,220 in store: 122mm 2,420: 2,000 BM-21 Grad; 420
10 log bde 9P138; 132mm 100 BM-13; 220mm 700 9P140 Uragan)
AIR DEFENCE MOR 1,540+: 82mm 800+ 2B14; 120mm 700 2S12 Sani;
14 AD bde 240mm 40 2S4 Tulpan (2,590 in store: 120mm 1,900: 1,000
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE 2S12 Sani; 900 M-1938 (PM-38); 160mm 300 M-160; SP
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES 240mm 390 2S4 Tulpan)
MBT 2,750: 750 T-72B/BA; 800 T-72B3; 400 T-73B3 mod;
6 Delfin (Delta IV) with 16 R-29RMU2 Sineva/R- 27 Sizzler) AShM/3M14K (SS-N-30) dual-capable
29RMU2.1 Layner (SS-N-23 Skiff) nuclear SLBM, 4 LACM
single 533mm TT with 53-65K HWT/SET-65K HWT/ PRINCIPAL SURFACE COMBATANTS 35
USET-80K Keramika HWT AIRCRAFT CARRIERS • CV 1 Admiral Kuznetsov
3 Borey (Dolgorukiy) with 16 Bulava (SS-N-32) nuclear with 12 lnchr with 3M45 Granit (SS-N-19 Shipwreck)
SLBM, 6 single 533mm TT with USET-80K Keramika AShM, 24 8-cell 3S95 VLS with 3K95 Kindzhal (SA-N-9
HWT/UGST Fizikov HWT Gauntlet) SAM, 2 RBU 12000 Udav 1 A/S mor, 8 Kortik
(1 Akula (Typhoon)† in reserve for training with CIWS with 3M11 (SA-N-11 Grison) SAM, 6 AK630M
capacity for 20 Bulava (SS-N-32) nuclear SLBM, 6 CIWS (capacity 18–24 Su-33 Flanker D Ftr ac; MiG-
single 533mm TT with 53-65K HWT/SET-65K HWT/ 29KR FGA ac; 15 Ka-27 Helix ASW hel, 2 Ka-31R Helix
USET-80K Keramika HWT) AEW hel) (in refit since 2018)
TACTICAL 48 CRUISERS 4
SSGN 9: CGHMN 1:
8 Antey (Oscar II) with 2 12-cell lnchr with 3M45 1 Orlan (Kirov) with 20 lnchr with 3M45 Granit (SS-
Granit (SS-N-19 Shipwreck) AShM, 2 single 650mm N-19 Shipwreck) AShM, 6 6-cell B-203A VLS with
TT each with T-65 HWT/RPK-7 (SS-N-16 Stallion) S-300F Fort (SA-N-6 Grumble) SAM, 6 6-cell B-203A
ASW msl, 4 single 553mm TT with 53-65K HWT/ VLS with S-300FM Fort-M (SA-N-20 Gargoyle)
SET-65K HWT/USET-80K Keramika HWT (of SAM, 16 octuple 3S95 VLS with 3K95 Kindzhal
which 2 in refit) (SA-N-9 Gauntlet) SAM, 2 quintuple 533mm TT
1 Yasen (Severodvinsk) with 1 octuple VLS with with RPK-6M Vodopad-NK (SS-N-16 Stallion) A/S
3M54K (SS-N-27 Sizzler) AShM/3M55 Onyx (SS-N- msl, 1 RBU 6000 Smerch 2 A/S mor, 2 RBU 1000
26 Strobile) AShM/3M14K (SS-N-30) dual-capable Smerch 3 A/S mor, 6 Kortik CIWS with 9M311 (SA-
LACM; 10 single 533mm TT with USET-80K N-11 Grison) SAM, 1 twin 130mm gun (capacity
Keramika HWT/UGST Fizikov HWT 3 Ka-27 Helix ASW hel) (1 other non-operational;
SSN 16: undergoing extensive refit and planned to return
9 Schuka-B (Akula I) with 4 single 533mm TT with 53- to service in 2021)
65K HWT/TEST-71M HWT/USET-80K Keramika CGHM 3:
HWT/3M10 Granat (SS-N-21 Sampson) nuclear 3 Atlant (Slava) with 8 twin lnchr with 3M70 Vulkan
LACM (weapons in store), 4 single 650mm TT (SS-N-12 mod 2 Sandbox) AShM, 8 octuple VLS
with T-65 HWT/RPK-7 (SS-N-16 Stallion) ASW msl with S-300F Fort (SA-N-6 Grumble) SAM/S-300FM
(of which 6 in refit) Fort M (SA-N-20 Gargoyle) SAM, 2 twin lnchr with
2 Schuka-B (Akula II) with 4 single 533mm TT Osa-M (SA-N-4 Gecko) SAM, 2 quintuple 533mm
with 53-65K HWT/TEST-71M HWT/USET-80K ASTT with SET-65K HWT, 2 RBU 6000 Smerch
Keramika HWT/3M10 Granat (SS-N-21 Sampson) 2 A/S mor, 6 AK630 CIWS, 1 twin 130mm gun
nuclear LACM (weapons in store), 4 single 650mm (capacity 1 Ka-27 Helix ASW hel)
TT with T-65 HWT/RPK-7 (SS-N-16 Stallion) ASW DESTROYERS 16
msl (of which 1 in refit) DDGHM 15:
2 Kondor (Sierra II) with 4 single 533mm TT with 5 Sarych (Sovremenny) with 2 quad lnchr with 3M80
TEST-71M HWT/USET-80K Keramika HWT/3M10 Moskit (SS-N-22 Sunburn) AShM, 2 twin 3S90 lnchr
Granat (SS-N-21 Sampson) nuclear LACM with 9K30 Uragan (SA-N-7 Gadfly) SAM, 2 twin
(weapons in store), 4 single 650mm TT with T-65 533mm TT with 53-65K HWT/SET-65K HWT, 2
HWT RBU 1000 Smerch 3 A/S mor, 4 AK630M CIWS, 2
3 Schuka (Victor III) with 4 single 533mm TT with twin 130mm guns (capacity 1 Ka-27 Helix ASW
53-65K HWT/SET-65K HWT/USET-80K Keramika hel) (of which 1 in refit)
HWT/3M10 Granat (SS-N-21 Sampson) nuclear 8 Fregat (Udaloy I) with 2 quad lnchr with URK-5
LACM (weapons in store), 2 single 650mm TT Rastrub-B (SS-N-14 Silex) AShM/ASW, 8 octuple
with T-65 HWT 3S95 VLS with 3K95 Kindzhal (SA-N-9 Gauntlet)
(1 Barracuda (Sierra I) (in reserve) with 6 single SAM, 2 quad 533mm ASTT with 53-65K HWT/
533mm TT with TEST-71M HWT/USET-80K SET-65K HWT, 2 RBU 6000 Smerch 2 A/S mor, 4
Keramika HWT/3M10 Granat (SS-N-21 Sampson) AK630M CIWS, 2 100mm guns (capacity 2 Ka-27
nuclear LACM (weapons in store)) Helix ASW hel)
SSK 23: 1 Fregat (Udaloy II) with 2 quad lnchr with 3M80
16 Paltus (Kilo) (of which 2 in refit) with 6 single Moskit (SS-N-22 Sunburn) AShM, 8 octuple 3S95
533mm TT with 53-65K HWT/TEST-71M HWT/ VLS with 3K95 Kindzhal (SA-N-9 Gauntlet) SAM,
USET-80K Keramika HWT 2 Kortik CIWS with 3M11 (SA-N-11 Grison) SAM,
6 Varshavyanka (Kilo) with 6 single 533mm TT with 53- 2 quintuple 533mm ASTT with 53-65K HWT/SET-
65K HWT/TEST-71M HWT/USET-80K Keramika 65K HWT, 2 RBU 6000 Smerch 2 A/S mor, 1 twin
HWT/3M54K (SS-N-27 Sizzler) AShM/3M14K (SS- 130mm gun (capacity 2 Ka-27 Helix ASW hel)
N-30) dual-capable LACM 1 Admiral Gorshkov (Project 22350) with 2 8-cell
1 Lada (Petersburg) (in test) with 6 single 533mm TT UKSK VLS with 3M14T (SS-N-30) dual-capable
with USET-80K Keramika HWT/3M54K (SS-N- LACM/3M54T (SS-N-27 Sizzler) AShM/3M55
Russia and Eurasia 199
Oniks (SS-N-26 Strobile) AShM/91RT2 A/S msl, 4 PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 105
8-cell VLS with 3K96-2 Poliment-Redut (SA-N-28) CORVETTES 49
SAM, 2 quad 324mm TT with Paket-NK LWT, 2 FSGM 20
Palash CIWS, 1 130mm gun (capacity 1 Ka-27 Helix 6 Buyan-M (Sviyazhsk) with 1 octuple VLS with
ASW hel) 3M54 (SS-N-27 Sizzler) AShM/3M14 (SS-N-30)
DDGM 1: dual-capable LACM, 2 sextuple lnchr with 3M47
1 Komsomolets Ukrainy (Kashin mod) with 2 quad Gibka (SA-N-10 Grouse) SAM, 1 AK630-M2 CIWS,
lnchr with 3M24 Uran (SS-N-25 Switchblade) 1 100mm gun
AShM, 2 twin lnchr with Volnya (SA-N-1 Goa) 2 Sivuch (Dergach) with 2 quad lnchr with 3M80
SAM, 5 single 533mm ASTT with 53-65K HWT/ Moskit (SS-N-22 Sunburn) AShM, 1 twin lnchr with
SET-65K HWT, 2 RBU 6000 Smerch 2 A/S mor, 1 4K33AM Osa-M (SA-N-4 Gecko) SAM, 2 AK630M
twin 76mm gun CIWS, 1 76mm gun
FRIGATES 14 12 Ovod (Nanuchka III) with 2 triple lnchr with P-120
FFGHM 10: Malakhit (SS-N-9 Siren) AShM, 1 twin lnchr with
3 Admiral Grigorovich (Krivak V) with 1 8-cell VLS Osa-MA2 (SA-N-4 Gecko) SAM, 1 AK630 CIWS, 1
3 Project 775M (Ropucha III) with 2 AK630 CIWS, 1 1 sqn with Su-27/Su-27UB Flanker
76mm gun (capacity either 10 MBT and 190 troops 1 regt with Su-33 Flanker D; Su-25UTG Frogfoot
or 24 APC (T) and 170 troops) FIGHTER/GROUND ATTACK
4 Tapir (Alligator) with 2-3 twin lnchr with Strela-2 1 regt with MiG-29KR/KUBR Fulcrum
(SA-N-5 Grail) SAM, 2 twin 57mm guns (capacity 1 regt with MiG-31BM Foxhound; Su-24M/M2/MR
20 tanks; 300 troops) Fencer
1 Ivan Gren (Project 11711) with 1 AK630M-2 CIWS, ANTI-SURFACE WARFARE/ISR
2 AK630M CIWS (capacity 1 Ka-29 Helix B hel; 13 1 regt with Su-24M/MR Fencer; Su-30SM
MBT/36 AFV; 300 troops) 1 sqn with Su-24M/MR Fencer
LANDING CRAFT 28 ANTI-SUBMARINE WARFARE
LCM 26: 9 Akula (Ondatra) (capacity 1 MBT); 5 Dyugon 3 sqn with Il-38/Il-38N May*; Il-18D; Il-20RT Coot A;
(capacity 5 APC or 100 troops); 12 Serna (Project 11770 Il-22 Coot B
(capacity 2 APC or 100 troops) 8 sqn with Ka-27/Ka-29 Helix
LCAC 2 Pomornik (Zubr) with 2 22-cell 140mm MS-227 1 sqn with Mi-14 Haze A
Ogon’ MRL, 2 AK630 CIWS (capacity 230 troops; either 2 sqn with Tu-142MK/MZ/MR Bear F/J*
3 MBT or 10 APC(T)) 1 unit with Ka-31R Helix
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT 267 MARITIME PATROL/TRANSPORT
SSAN 9: 1 Orenburg (Delta III Stretch); 1 Losharik; 1 Nelma 1 sqn with An-26 Curl; Be-12 Mail*; Mi-8 Hip
(X-Ray) (Project 1851); 2 Halibut (Paltus) (Project 18511); SEARCH & RESCUE/TRANSPORT
3 Kashalot (Uniform); 1 Podmoskovye (Project 09787) 1 sqn with An-12PS Cub; An-26 Curl; Tu-134
SSA 1 Sarov (Project 20120) TRANSPORT
ABU 12: 8 Kashtan; 4 Project 419 (Sura) 1 sqn with An-12BK Cub; An-24RV Coke; An-26 Curl;
AE 9: 7 Muna; 1 Dubnyak; Akademik Kovalev (Project An-72 Coaler; An-140
20181) with 1 hel landing platform 2 sqn with An-26 Curl; Tu-134
AEM 2: 1 Kalma-3 (Project 1791R); 1 Lama TRAINING
AFS 1 Longvinik (Project 23120) 1 sqn with L-39 Albatros; Su-25UTG Frogfoot
AG 1 Potok 1 sqn with An-140; Tu-134; Tu-154, Il-38 May
AGB 5: 1 Dobrynya Mikitich; 1 Ilya Muromets; 2 Ivan ATTACK/TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
Susanin; 1 Vladimir Kavraisky 1 sqn with Mi-24P Hind; Mi-8 Hip
AGE 1 Tchusovoy TRANSPORT HELICOPTER
AGI 14: 2 Alpinist; 2 Dubridium (Project 1826); 1 Moma; 7 1 sqn with Mi-8 Hip
Vishnya; 2 Yuri Ivanov AIR DEFENCE
AGM 1 Marshal Nedelin 1 SAM regt with S-300PM1 (SA-20 Gargoyle)
AGOR 8: 1 Akademik Krylov; 1 Igor Belousov; 1 Seliger; 2 1 SAM regt with S-300PM1 (SA-20 Gargoyle); S-300PS
Sibiriyakov; 2 Vinograd; 1 Yantar (SA-10B Grumble)
AGS 69: 8 Biya; 19 Finik; 7 Kamenka; 5 Moma; 9 Onega; 1 SAM regt with S-300PM1 (SA-20 Gargoyle); S-400
5 Baklan (Project 19920); 4 Baklan (Project 19920B); 2 (SA-21 Growler); 96K6 Pantsir-S1 (SA-22 Greyhound)
Vaygach; 10 Yug 1 SAM regt with S-300PS (SA-10B Grumble); S-400
AGSH 1 Samara (SA-21 Growler); 96K6 Pantsir-S1 (SA-22 Greyhound)
AH 3 Ob† EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
AK 3: 2 Irgiz; 1 Pevek with 1 AK306 CIWS AIRCRAFT 217 combat capable
AOL 9: 2 Dubna; 3 Uda; 4 Altay (mod) FTR 67: 12 MiG-31B/BS Foxhound; 20 MiG-31BM
AOR 3 Boris Chilikin Foxhound; 17 Su-33 Flanker D; 18 Su-27/Su-27UB Flanker
AORL 2: 1 Kaliningradneft; 1 Olekma FGA 44: 19 MiG-29KR Fulcrum; 3 MiG-29KUBR
AOS 2 Luza Fulcrum; 22 Su-30SM
AR ε7 Amur ATK 46: 41 Su-24M Fencer; 5 Su-25UTG Frogfoot (trg
ARC 4: 3 Emba; 1 Improved Klasma role)
ARS 30: 1 Kommuna; 6 Goryn; 4 Mikhail Rudnitsky; 18 ASW 44: 12 Tu-142MK/MZ Bear F; 10 Tu-142MR Bear J
Project 23040; 1 Zvezdochka (Project 20180) (comms); 15 Il-38 May; 7 Il-38N May
AS 3 Project 2020 (Malina) MP 5: 4 Be-12PS Mail*; 1 Il-18D
ASR 1 Elbrus ISR 12 Su-24MR Fencer E*
ATF 55: 1 Okhotsk; 1 Baklan; ε3 Katun; 4 Ingul; 2 Neftegaz; SAR 3 An-12PS Cub
12 Okhtensky; 13 Prometey; 1 Prut; 4 Sliva; 14 Sorum ELINT 4: 2 Il-20RT Coot A; 2 Il-22 Coot B
AWT 1 Manych TPT 49: Medium 2 An-12BK Cub; Light 45: 1 An-24RV
AXL 10: 8 Petrushka; 2 Smolny with 2 RBU 2500 A/S mor, Coke; 24 An-26 Curl; 6 An-72 Coaler; 4 An-140; 9 Tu-134;
2 twin 76mm guns 1 Tu-134UBL; PAX 2 Tu-154M Careless
TRG 4 L-39 Albatros
Naval Aviation ε31,000 HELICOPTERS
FORCES BY ROLE ATK 8 Mi-24P Hind
FIGHTER ASW 83: 41 Ka-27PL Helix; 22 Ka-27M Helix; 20 Mi-14
1 sqn with MiG-31B/BS Foxhound Haze A
Russia and Eurasia 201
MANOEUVRE MANOEUVRE
Air Manoeuvre Reconnaissance
2 AB div (1 tk coy; 2 para/air aslt regt; 1 arty regt; 1 AD 1 recce bde
regt) Armoured
2 AB div (2 para/air aslt regt; 1 arty regt; 1 AD regt) 1 tk div
1 indep AB bde 1 tk bde
3 air aslt bde 2 MR div
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE Mechanised
ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES 1 MR div
MBT 60 T-72B3 3 MR bde
IFV 20 BTR-82AM SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE
APC • APC (T) 776: 700 BTR-D; 76 BTR-MDM 2 SRBM/GLCM bde with Iskander-M
AUV GAZ Tigr; UAMZ Toros 1 SRBM bde with Tochka-U
ABCV 1,291: 100 BMD-1; 1,000 BMD-2; 10 BMD-3; 30 COMBAT SUPPORT
BMD-4; 151 BMD-4M 2 arty bde
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
Tajikistan TJK ARMOURED FIGHTING VEHICLES
MBT 37: 30 T-72; 7 T-62
Tajikistani Somoni Tr 2017 2018 2019 IFV 23: 8 BMP-1; 15 BMP-2
GDP Tr 61.1bn 67.4bn APC • APC (W) 23 BTR-60/BTR-70/BTR-80
US$ 7.14bn 7.35bn ARTILLERY 23
per capita US$ 801 807
TOWED 122mm 10 D-30
MRL 122mm 3 BM-21 Grad
Growth % 7.1 5.0
MOR 120mm 10
Inflation % 7.3 5.8 AIR DEFENCE • SAM
Def bdgt Tr 1.66bn 1.99bn Medium-range S-75 Dvina (SA-2 Guideline); S-125
US$ 194m 217m Pechora-2M (SA-26)
US$1=Tr 8.55 9.16
Point-defence 9K32 Strela-2 (SA-7 Grail)‡
Army 7,300
FORCES BY ROLE
MANOEUVRE
Mechanised
3 MR bde
Air Manoeuvre
1 air aslt bde
COMBAT SUPPORT
1 arty bde
AIR DEFENCE
1 SAM regt
Russia and Eurasia 211
Mechanised
Turkmenistan TKM 1 (3rd) MR div (1 tk regt; 3 MR regt, 1 arty regt)
1 (22nd) MR div (1 tk regt; 1 MR regt, 1 arty regt)
Turkmen New Manat TMM 2017 2018 2019
4 MR bde
GDP TMM 133bn 150bn 1 naval inf bde
US$ 37.9bn 42.8bn Other
per capita US$ 6,643 7,412 1 MR trg div
Growth % 6.5 6.2 SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILE
1 SRBM bde with SS-1 Scud
Inflation % 8.0 9.4
COMBAT SUPPORT
Def exp TMM n.k n.k 1 arty bde
US$ n.k n.k 1 (mixed) arty/AT regt
USD1=TMM 3.50 3.50 1 MRL bde
1 AT regt
Population 5,411,012
1 engr regt
9K32M Strela-2M (SA-7 Grail)‡; 9K34 Strela-3 (SA-14 PCGM 8 Arkadag (TUR Tuzla) with 2 twin lnchr with
Gremlin); Mistral (reported); QW-2 Otomat AShM, 2 twin Simbad-RC lnchr with Mistral
GUNS 70 SAM, 1 Roketsan A/S mor
SP 23mm 48 ZSU-23-4 PBF 24: 10 Bars-12; 6 Nazya (Dearsan 33); 5 Grif-T; 3
TOWED 22+: 23mm ZU-23-2; 57mm 22 S-60 Sobol
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES PB 1 Point
ASM CM-502KG; AR-1 AMPHIBIOUS • LCM 1 Dearsan LCM-1
HELICOPTERS
Navy 500 MRH 2 AW139
TPT 3+: Medium some Mi-8 Hip; Light 3 AW109
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 4
PCFG 2 Edermen (RUS Molnya) with 4 quad lnchr with Ukraine UKR
3M24E Uran-E (SS-N-25 Switchblade) AShM, 2 AK630
Ukrainian Hryvnia h 2017 2018 2019
CIWS, 1 76mm gun
PCGM 2 Arkadag (TUR Tuzla) with 2 twin lnchr with GDP h 2.98tr 3.42tr
Otomat AShM, 2 twin Simbad-RC lnchr with Mistral US$ 112bn 126bn
SAM, 1 Roketsan A/S mor per capita US$ 2,656 2,964
LOGISTICS AND SUPPORT• AGHS 1 (Dearsan 41m) Growth % 2.5 3.5
Inflation % 14.4 10.9
Air Force 3,000 Def bdgt [a] h 74.4bn 88.6bn
FORCES BY ROLE US$ 2.80bn 3.27bn
FIGHTER
FMA (US) US$ 99m 0m
2 sqn with MiG-29 Fulcrum; MiG-29UB Fulcrum;
USD1=h 26.60 27.07
GROUND ATTACK
1 sqn with Su-25 Frogfoot [a] Including military pensions
1 sqn with Su-25MK Frogfoot Population 43,952,299
TRANSPORT
1 sqn with An-26 Curl; Mi-8 Hip; Mi-24 Hind Age 0–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–64 65 plus
TRAINING Male 8.2% 2.2% 2.7% 3.6% 24.1% 5.5%
1 unit with L-39 Albatros Female 7.7% 2.1% 2.6% 3.4% 26.9% 10.9%
AIR DEFENCE
Some sqn with S-75 Dvina (SA-2 Guideline); S-125 Pechora Capabilities
(SA-3 Goa); S-125 Pechora-2M (SA-26); S-200 Angara
Ukraine’s overriding security concern is Russia’s support for sepa-
(SA-5 Gammon); FD-2000 (HQ-9); KS-1A (HQ-12)
ratists in the east of the country. The armed forces were unable to
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE offer any credible resistance to the Russian annexation of Crimea
AIRCRAFT 55 combat capable and struggled to combat the Russian-backed separatist forces.
FTR 24: 22 MiG-29A/S Fulcrum; 2 MiG-29UB Fulcrum Defence policy is centred on maintaining sovereignty and ter-
ATK 31: 19 Su-25 Frogfoot; 12 Su-25MK Frogfoot ritorial integrity. Ukraine adopted a revised doctrine in 2015 that
TPT • Light 3: 1 An-26 Curl; 2 An-74TK Coaler identified Moscow as a ‘military adversary’, called for ‘comprehen-
sive reform’ of the security sector and revoked the country’s ’non-
TRG 2 L-39 Albatros
block status’. Military reforms since 2015 have addressed the weak-
HELICOPTERS nesses exposed in 2014. Ukraine joined the NATO Partnership for
ATK 10 Mi-24P Hind F Peace programme in 1994, followed in 1997 by the creation of the
MRH 2+ AW139 NATO–Ukraine commission. In 2017, parliament identified NATO
TPT 11: Medium 8: 6 Mi-8 Hip; 2 Mi-17V-V Hip; Light membership as a strategic goal. There are two conscript intakes
3+ AW109 per year, but the longer-term ambition is to professionalise the
AIR-LAUNCHED MISSILES armed forces. The defence ministry’s development programme
AAM • IR R-60 (AA-8 Aphid); R-73 (AA-11 Archer) aims to improve training, eventually aligning to NATO standards.
The armed forces participate in bilateral and multinational exer-
AIR DEFENCE • SAM
cises. Ukraine retains the notional capacity at least to deploy and
Long-range S-200 Angara (SA-5 Gammon); FD-2000 (HQ- sustain a modest force by air. Poor logistics capacity was exposed
9) after 2014 and addressing this is a priority. The equipment inven-
Medium-range S-75 Dvina (SA-2 Guideline); S-125 tory still consists predominantly of Soviet-era weaponry. Sustain-
Pechora-2M (SA-26); KS-1A (HQ-12) ing and in some cases upgrading these systems is a near-term
Short-range S-125 Pechora (SA-3 Goa); S-125-2BM Pechora concern, although much will need to be replaced over the coming
decade. If not, the armed forces will face increasing problems with
obsolescence. The country has a broad defence industry, though
Paramilitary 5,000 its capabilities remain shaped, and limited, by its Soviet heritage.
Ukraine was a key provider of guided-weapons technologies in
Federal Border Guard Service ε5,000 the Soviet Union. It retains the capability to build Soviet-era land
EQUIPMENT BY TYPE systems and can maintain and modestly upgrade Soviet-era tacti-
PATROL AND COASTAL COMBATANTS 33 cal combat aircraft.
Russia and Eurasia 213
ACTIVE 209,000 (Army 145,000 Navy 11,000 Air IFV 1,137: 193 BMP-1/BMP-1AK; 890 BMP-2; 4
Force 45,000 Airborne 8,000 Special Operations BMP-3; 50+ BTR-3DA; some BTR-3E1; some BTR-4E
Bucephalus
Forces n.k.) Paramilitary 88,000
APC 338
Conscript liability Army, Air Force 18 months, Navy 2 years.
Minimum age for conscription raised from 18 to 20 in 2015
APC (T) 15+: 15 BTR-D; some MT-LB
APC (W) 313: 5 BTR-60; 215 BTR-70; 93 BTR-80
RESERVE 900,000 (Joint 900,000)
PPV 10 Kozak-2
Military service within 5 years ABCV 30: 15 BMD-1, 15 BMD-2
ENGINEERING & MAINTENANCE VEHICLES
AEV 53 BAT-2; MT-LB
ORGANISATIONS BY SERVICE
ARV BREM-1; BREM-2; BREM-64; T-54/T-55
VLB MTU-20
Army 145,000 ANTI-TANK/ANTI-INFRASTRUCTURE
4 regional HQ MSL
FORCES BY ROLE SP 9P149 with 9K114 Shturm (AT-6 Spiral)
Production of the S-500 Prometey ballistic-missile- the new engine are planned to be delivered from
defence and air-defence system began in March at 2023.
the Nizhny Novgorod Machine-Building Plant (NMZ)
and the Kirov Machine-Building Enterprise (KMP). In September, Russia’s Rostec sold 60% of NPO
US media reported in May that the S-500 managed Molniya to Kalashnikov (51% of which is owned by
to intercept a target at a range of 480 kilometres (a Rostec). NPO Molniya is an aerospace design firm
new record). Russia wants to begin S-500 deliveries that supplies target drones to the Russian defence
ministry and led the Buran space-shuttle programme,
70
Su-27SM3
60 Su-30M2
Su-30SM
50
Su-34
Number of aircraft
40 Su-35S
MiG-29SMT
30
20
10
Armata
Kurganets
Bumerang
▼ Figure 15 Admiralty Shipyards: Project 636 Varshavyanka (Improved Kilo) and Project 677 Lada (St Petersburg)
attack submarines
Admiralty Shipyards Project 636 and 677 submarines: production rates, 1995–2017
Sep 2017
Dec 2014
Apr 2012
Jul 2009
Oct 2006
Jul 1998
Oct 1995
)
(6 )
2)
(6 3)
(6 -1)
(6 -2)
(6 -3)
(6 -4)
(6 -5)
VN (636 )
VN (063 )
VN (063 )
VN (063 )
VN (063 )
VN (063 )
(0 5)
(0 -6)
(0 -1)
(0 -2)
(0 -3)
(0 -4)
(0 -5)
)
)
-1
-2
-6
-1
-
RU 77-
7-
M M-
M 61-
M 61-
M 61-
M 61-
M 61-
77
PR 36M
PR 36M
PR 36M
PR 36M
AL 36M
AL 36M
3
63
36
36
PR (67
RU 636
RU 636
RU 636
RU 636
RU 636
RU 636
(6
(6
(6
63
C
S
PR
PR
RU
RU
© IISS