Program Evaluation

See calculator on next tab

Project: Mow Lawn

Estimated T

Task Task Description Predecessor Optimistic (a)

1 Get petrol from service station 17

2 Put Petrol in lawn mower 1 6
3 Put Petrol in edger 1 16
4 Mow lawn 2 13
5 Edge lawn 3 2
6 Dispose of lawn clippings 4,5 2
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

Project Weighted
Critical Path (Task #) Variance (s²)
Time
1 30 25
2 13 9
4 16 1
6 5 1
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
TE = 64 36
 Project Weighted
Near Critical Path 1 (Task #) Variance (s²)
Time
1 30 25
3 20 4
5 6 4
6 5 1
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
TE = 61 34

Project Weighted
Near Critical Path 2 (Task #) Variance (s²)
Time
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
TE = 0 0
m Evaluation & Review Technique (PERT) Samwww.calsta.com.au
lator on next tab

Estimated Time te
Standard
Most Likely (ml) Pessimistic (b) Weighted Time Variance (s²)
Deviation (s)
29 47 30 5 25
12 24 13 3 9
19 28 20 2 4
16 19 16 1 1
5 14 6 2 4
5 8 5 1 1
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0

Ts
Scheduled Time: 70 Probability project will be completed in scheduled time
= Critical Path (P) * Near Critical Path 1 (P1)
(𝑇_𝑠 − = 78.97%
(Z)𝑇_𝐸)/√(∑▒𝜎_(𝑡_𝑒
=
)^2 )

(Z) = 1.000

Probability (P) = 84.13%

Ts
Scheduled Time: 70

(𝑇_𝑠 −
(Z)𝑇_𝐸)/√(∑▒𝜎_(𝑡_𝑒
=
)^2 )

(Z) = 1.543

Probability (P1) = 93.86%

Ts
Scheduled Time: 70

(𝑇_𝑠 −
(Z)𝑇_𝐸)/√(∑▒𝜎_(𝑡_𝑒
=
)^2 )

(Z) = 0.000

Probability (P2) = 100.00%

w.calsta.com.au

Sample Network Diagram

2 4

1 6

3 5

ll be completed in scheduled time

al Path (P) * Near Critical Path 1 (P1) * Near Critical Path 2 (P2)
 Program Evaluation & Rev

Project:

Estimated Tim

Task Task Description Predecessor Optimistic (a)

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30

Project Weighted
Critical Path (Task #) Variance (s²)
Time
 0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
TE = 0 0

Project Weighted
Near Critical Path 1 (Task #) Time Variance (s²)

0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
 0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
TE = 0 0

Project Weighted
Near Critical Path 2 (Task #) Time Variance (s²)

0 0
0 0
0 0
0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
 0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
TE = 0 0
aluation & Review Technique (PERT) Calculatowww.calsta.com.au

Estimated Time te
Standard
Most Likely (ml) Pessimistic (b) Weighted Time Variance (s²)
Deviation (s)
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0

Ts
Scheduled Time: Probability project will be completed in scheduled time
 = Critical Path (P) * Near Critical Path 1 (P1) * N
(𝑇_𝑠 − = 100.00%
(Z)𝑇_𝐸)/√(∑▒𝜎_(𝑡_𝑒
=
)^2 )

(Z) = 0.000

Probability (P) = 1

Ts
Scheduled Time: 0

(𝑇_𝑠 −
(Z)𝑇_𝐸)/√(∑▒𝜎_(𝑡_𝑒
=
)^2 )

(Z) = 0.000

Probability (P1) = 1
 Ts
Scheduled Time: 0

(𝑇_𝑠 −
(Z)𝑇_𝐸)/√(∑▒𝜎_(𝑡_𝑒
=
)^2 )

(Z) = 0.000

Probability (P2) = 1
w.calsta.com.au

ll be completed in scheduled time

al Path (P) * Near Critical Path 1 (P1) * Near Critical Path 2 (P2)