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Therefore, the least-squares estimate of βi does not depend on whether any of the other terms are in the
model. Also,
k
(
! !
RSS = Y ! Y − β̂ X! Y = Y ! Y − β̂ i X!i Y,
i=0
!
i.e. if βi is set equal to 0, RSS increases by β̂ i X!i Y.
• Model 1A: Yi = β0 + β1 xi + εi .
The least-squares estimate of β1 is
n
( n
(
β̂1 = (xi − x̄)Yi / (xi − x̄)2 .
i=1 i=1
• Model 1B: Yi = β1 xi + εi .
The least-squares estimate of β1 is
n
( n
(
β̂1 = xi Yi / x2i .
i=1 i=1
The slope estimates in Models 1A and 1B are equal only when x̄ = 0, i.e., when x = (x1 , . . . , xn )! is
orthogonal to the intercept 1 = (1, . . . , 1)! . Note that in Model 1A, β̂1 and β̂0 are uncorrelated when x̄ = 0.
24
where E = D − B! A−1 B.
8.3 Theorem: Assume the linear model Y ∼ Nn (Xβ, σ 2 I), where the columns of X are linearly independent
and satisfy x!i xi ≤ c2i for fixed constants ci . Then
var(β̂i ) ≥ σ 2 /c2i ,
and the minimum is attained when x!i xi = c2i and the columns of X are orthogonal, i.e., x!i xj = 0, for j &= i.
8.4 Example: (2k factorial design). Suppose that k factors are to be studied to determine their effect on the
output of a manufacturing process. Each factor is to be varied within a given plausible range of values and
the variables have been scaled so that the range is −1 to +1. Then the theorem implies that the optimal
design has orthogonal columns and all variables set to +1 or −1. If n = 2k such a design is called a 2k
factorial design.