You are on page 1of 10

EVOLUTION FROM

LTE TO 5G:
GLOBAL MARKET
STATUS
FEBRUARY 2020
5G IS EXPECTED TO BE THE
FASTEST GROWING MOBILE
TECHNOLOGY - REACHING 100
MILLION SUBSCRIPTIONS AT
LEAST 2 YEARS FASTER THAN
4G

Introduction
LTE is a global success, with nearly 5 billion subscriptions and connecting
over 55% of mobile users worldwide and it is the fastest developing
mobile system technology ever. LTE is specified by 3GPP as a single global
standard for paired and unpaired spectrum users. The vast majority of the
standard is the same for FDD and TDD. LTE has evolved through various
3GPP technology releases covering the introduction of LTE-Advanced and
then LTE-Advanced Pro that have significantly improved the capabilities of
LTE networks. From 3GPP Release 15 onwards, the community has been
defining 5G networks, starting with Non-Standalone 5G systems that
integrate with existing LTE networks and then moving on to Standalone 5G
systems with substantially different network configurations. GSA’s Evolution
from LTE to 5G report provides an independent in-depth status view and
analysis of the global 4G/LTE, LTE-Advanced and 5G markets, supported by
facts, and confirms technology trends. Information is obtained, analysed
and verified by GSA. The report is published quarterly and referenced by
industry across the whole ecosystem.

©Copyright 2020 Global mobile Suppliers Association Evolution from LTE to 5G: Global Market Status |February 2020 | 2
930 OPERATORS HAVE STATED
PLANS TO INVEST IN LTE FOR
PUBLIC NETWORKS

Key market facts


• 159 operators investing in NB-IoT in 74
countries; of these, 106 NB-IoT networks industry.
are deployed/launched in 57 countries.
Sixty-nine operators are investing in Interest in LTE-Advanced Pro is high
LTE-M/Cat-M1 in 39 countries; of these, too, bringing with it new, globally
43 LTE-M/Cat-M1 networks are deployed/ standardised LPWA solutions – LTE
commercially launched in 31 countries. Cat-M1 (LTE-M, eMTC) and Cat-
• 356 operators in 121 countries are NB1 (NB-IoT) – and new business
investing in 5G mobile or 5G FWA/home opportunities. And while LTE-
broadband networks. Advanced and LTE-Advanced Pro
• 78 operators in 43 countries have solutions have yet to be deployed by
announced the deployment of 5G within the majority of operators, vendors
their live network. and network operators are already
• 62 operators in 34 countries have looking towards 5G and its potential
announced 3GPP 5G service launches (or to meet future capacity, connectivity
limited service launches). and service requirements.
Note that all references to countries
LTE global status
in this document can be read as
also including territories, special By 2020, LTE had reached into
administrative regions, disputed almost every part of the world. By
territories and dependencies. January 2020, GSA had identified
There are: 791 operators running LTE networks
LTE deployments providing mobile and/or fixed
• 930+ operators that have stated plans
to invest or are actively investing in LTE The drivers of LTE, LTE-Advanced, wireless broadband services in 229
for public networks, including those LTE-Advanced Pro and increasingly countries worldwide. GSA is aware
evaluating/testing and trialling LTE and of at least another 141 companies
5G for operators are more capacity,
those paying for suitable spectrum licences
enhanced performance and actively trialling, investing, or have
(excludes those using technology-neutral
licences exclusively for 2G or 3G services). improved efficiencies to lower previously stated plans to invest in
delivery cost. Compared with 3G, LTE for public networks.
• 791 operators running LTE networks
providing mobile and/or FWA services in LTE offered a big step up in the user
229 countries worldwide. experience, enhancing demanding
• 206 commercial VoLTE networks in 96
apps such as interactive TV, video
countries and a total of 270 operators blogging, advanced
Figure 1: Growth of LTE: number of MNO launching LTE networks
investing in VoLTE in 119 countries. gaming and
yearly, and cumulative (including mobile and FWA networks.)
• 311 deployed/launched LTE-Advanced
professional services.
networks in 138 countries. Overall, 348 Deployment of
operators are investing in LTE-Advanced LTE-Advanced
technology in 147 countries. technologies – and
• Eight launched networks that support particularly carrier
user equipment (UE) at Cat-18 DL speeds aggregation – took
within limited geographic areas and four performance to
supporting Cat-19 (in a limited area).
a new level and
• 237 operators with TDD licences suitable became a major
for LTE and at least 167 operators are focus of the
known to be actively using the spectrum
(either deploying services or have launched
LTE-TDD networks).

©Copyright 2020 Global mobile Suppliers Association Evolution from LTE to 5G: Global Market Status |February 2020 | 3
Figure 2: Countries with no identified commercial LTE network
for mobile or broadband fixed wireless services
There are now relatively few LTE not-spots (i.e. countries
with no launched LTE network of any kind, whether
mobile or broadband fixed wireless) left in the world.
Cabo Verde and Cuba both gained new LTE networks
in late 2019. Most remaining LTE not-spots are remote
island territories and states or are countries in Africa:
Central African Republic, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea,
Eritrea, Mauritania, South Sudan, and Western Sahara.
One other notable LTE not-spot is North Korea.

Spectrum for LTE


deployments
Pressure for spectrum is high and
operators need to deploy the most Band 3 (1800 MHz) global status • Portugal: in December 2019, the regulator
efficient technologies available. LTE,
LTE network deployment in the 1800 MHz Anacom approved a decision to auction
LTE-Advanced and LTE-Advanced
(Band 3) is now common throughout Europe, unused spectrum at 1800 MHz (2x15 MHz
Pro services can be deployed in
APAC, MEA, and regions of South America. FDD).
dozens of spectrum bands starting
at 450 MHz and rising to nearly In fact, usage of 1800 MHz is now almost
• Singapore: consultation launched on
6 GHz. The most-used bands in universal on a national basis in Europe
allocating spectrum at 800 MHz and 1800
commercial LTE networks are: 1800 and Asia. There are 416 companies in 158
MHz for enterprise data services.
MHz (Band 3), which is a mainstream countries licensed to deploy LTE in Band 3
(excluding those with technology-neutral • Slovakia: in December, the regulator, RU,
choice for LTE in most regions;
licences that have used the spectrum for launched a consultation on its proposal for
800 MHz (Band 20 and regional
2G or 3G networks). At least 380 operators the selection procedures for the tenders
variations) for extending coverage
(around 48% of all LTE network operators) of spectrum in various bands, including at
and improving in-building services;
in 156 countries have launched LTE services 1800 MHz.
2.6 GHz (FDD Band 7) as a major
capacity band; and 700 MHz (with using spectrum in Band 3.
• Taiwan launched an auction including 20
variations in spectrum allocated The importance of spectrum at 1800 MHz MHz of spectrum at 1800 MHz (but recived
around the world) again for coverage continues to grow steadily with regulators no bidders).
improvement. looking at unlicensed or underused
• Thailand has an auction including spectrum
The now-completed LTE standards spectrum at 1800 MHz and forming plans to
in Band 3 scheduled for Q1 2020.
enable the possibility to extend the allocate or award it for LTE usage. Since our
benefits of LTE-Advanced to unlicensed last report, regulator events related to Band • UK: Ofcom introduced Shared Access
and shared spectrum. There are several 3 include the following: Licences in various bands including at 1800
options for deploying LTE in unlicensed MHz in December 2019.
• Australia is undertaking preliminary
spectrum. The GSA report LTE in activities in relation to replanning of • Uruguay concluded an auction including
Unlicensed and Shared Spectrum: spectrum at 1800 MHz in remote areas Band 3 spectrum.
Trials, Deployments and Devices gives
details of market progress in the use of • Belgian regulator BIPT launched a
LAA, eLAA, LTE-U, LWA and activity in consultation covering,
Figure 3: Deployed/launched LTE Band 3 networks per country
the CBRS band. among other things,
(including fully mobile and FWA networks)
extension of existing
2G licences at 900
MHz and 1800 MHz
Many recent allocations/auctions of beyond their expiry
spectrum have focused on licensing unused in March 2021
spectrum – including pockets of spectrum until an auction
in the 2–4 GHz range, but also at lower procedure for the
frequencies – for LTE and future 5G services. bands is finalised.
This spectrum is sometimes dedicated
• NCell in Nepal was
to LTE, sometimes to 5G and sometimes
awarded extra
allocated on a technology-neutral basis.
spectrum at 1800
MHz.

©Copyright 2020 Global mobile Suppliers Association Evolution from LTE to 5G: Global Market Status |February 2020 | 4
Figure 4: Countries with launched Band 20 networks

Band 20 (800 MHz) global status


The 800 MHz band (Band 20) is firmly
established as a mainstream band for LTE.
There are 224 companies in 100 countries
licensed to deploy LTE in Band 20 (excluding
those with technology-neutral licences
that have used the spectrum for 2G or 3G
networks). It is used in 200 commercial • Thailand: published plans for the auction
• Portugal: approved a decision to auction
networks in 92 countries. of additional spectrum in the 2600 MHz
spectrum at 2600 MHz (2x10 MHz FDD + 25
Since the last issue of this report, regulatory MHz TDD). (2500–2690 MHz) range.
activity related to spectrum at 800 MHz • UK: Ofcom confirmed plans to make Shared
• South Africa: opened up its spectrum plans
includes the following: Access Licences available at 2600 MHz.
to consultation, including proposals to
• Mexico: published a plan to auction auction 2600 MHz (170 MHz within 2500–
After the 2.6 GHz band, the next most
segments of the 800 MHz band (814– 2690 MHz; the choice between Bands 7
widely licensed FDD bands are in the 700
824/859–869 MHz) for mobile and trunked and 38 or Band 41 still to be made).
MHz spectrum range, with 201 operators
radio use. investing in LTE across the various 700 MHz
• Singapore: consultation launched on bands.
allocating spectrum at 800 MHz and 1800
MHz for enterprise data services.

• South Africa: opened up its spectrum


plans to consultation, including proposals Figure 5: Countries with launched Band 7 LTE networks (including fully mobile and FWA
to auction 800 MHz (2x30 MHz at 791– networks)
821/832–862 MHz).

• UK: announced plans for Shared Access


Licences at 800 MHz.

Band 7 (2.6 GHz) global status


The 2.6 GHz band (Band 7) is also very
widely licensed and deployed. There are
232 companies in 92 countries licensed to
deploy LTE in Band 20 (excluding those with
technology-neutral licences that have used
the spectrum for 2G or 3G networks). It is
used in at least 190 commercial networks in
86 countries.

Recent 2.6 GHz spectrum activity relevant to


LTE includes:

• Ireland: developed plans for a multiband


auction including spectrum in Band 7.

• Malaysia: in January 2020, MCMC


published its final report on allocation of
spectrum bands for mobile broadband.
Its plan specifies retaining 2600 MHz
for maintenance of 4G networks under
existing licences until their expiry at the
end of 2021.

©Copyright 2020 Global mobile Suppliers Association Evolution from LTE to 5G: Global Market Status |February 2020 | 5
Figure 6 Distribution of spectrum licences for TD-LTE (includes regional and national
LTE-TDD global status licences, mobile or broadband FWA networks, spectrum not necessarily in active use)

LTE is an open standard


developed by 3GPP. The advanced
technological performance of LTE
came with in-built flexibility to
operate in either paired (FDD, or
Frequency Division Duplexing,
mode) or unpaired (TDD, or Time
Division Duplexing mode) spectrum
and various channel bandwidths,
all with a single technology. The
emphasis was always to leverage
synergies between the two duplex
modes to the largest extent
possible. This allows operators to
best utilise their current network
assets, spectrum allocations and
various bandwidth needs, while
securing support, choice and
economies of scale from the global
vendor ecosystem, and to limit
potential market fragmentation.
The result is major commonality
of the LTE specifications for the
FDD and TDD modes – in fact, the
vast majority of the LTE standard is
identical for both modes – and the
huge global success of LTE.
VoLTE global status
In total GSA has identified 270 operators GSA is aware of at least 30 other operators
investing in VoLTE in 119 countries, including deploying VoLTE and 34 other operators
206 operators that have launched VoLTE planning VoLTE or are testing/trialling the
Most LTE deployments use paired spectrum
voice services in 96 countries. technology.
(FDD). The LTE TDD mode is complementary
and the perfect choice for providing high- There have been recent launches in Belarus,
speed mobile broadband access in unpaired Guam, India, Hungary, Iran, Ireland, Maldives,
spectrum. Many operators have deployed Northern Marianas Islands, Kenya, Mexico,
both FDD and TDD modes in their networks. Pakistan, Philippines, Tuvalu, New Zealand,
LTE-TDD is an integral part of the 3GPP Niue, Serbia, and Spain.
standard, implementing a maximum of
commonalities with LTE-FDD and offering
comparable performance and similar high- Figure 7: Countries with launched VoLTE networks
spectral efficiency.

GSA has identified 237 operators that hold


spectrum licences enabling them to launch
LTE-TDD services. Of those, 167 operators
are deploying or have launched TD-LTE
networks.

Spectrum in Band 38 (79 licences) is the


most commonly licensed for LTE, followed by
spectrum in Bands 42 (66 licences) and 40
(57 licences).

The importance of TDD will grow. TDD bands


are of clear interest for future 4G and 5G
deployments.

For a full analysis of recent activity related


to licensing of spectrum (including key
TDD bands), see GSA’s report: Spectrum
for Terrestrial 5G Networks: Licensing
Developments Worldwide, published January
2020.

©Copyright 2020 Global mobile Suppliers Association Evolution from LTE to 5G: Global Market Status |February 2020 | 6
Figure 8: Countries with launched LTE-Advanced networks

LTE-Advanced global status


Investment in LTE-Advanced networks continues to grow.
By January 2020, there were 311 deployed/commercially
launched LTE-Advanced networks in 138 countries. Overall,
348 operators are investing in LTE-Advanced (in the form of
tests, trials, deployments or commercial service provision) in
147 countries.
Figure 9: Fastest commercial LTE-Advanced networks per
Many operators with LTE-Advanced networks are looking
country, expressed in terms of DL UE Category supported
to extend their capabilities by adding 3GPP Release 13 or
Release 14 LTE-Advanced Pro features, e.g. those making
use of carrier aggregation of large numbers of channels, or
carriers across TDD and FDD modes, LAA, massive MIMO,
Mission-Critical Push-to-Talk, LTE Cat-NB1/NB-IoT or LTE-M/
Cat-M1.

The GSA report LTE in Unlicensed and Shared Spectrum:


Trials, Deployments and Devices tracks the progress of
LAA/eLAA, LWA and LTE-U. By January 2020, there were
37 operators investing in LAA (including eight deployed/
launched networks), 12 operators investing in LTE-U
(including three launched/deployed networks) and three
investing in LWA (including one launched network). One
operator had undertaken trials of eLAA.

The figures for NB-IoT and LTE-M networks are reported


elsewhere in this document.
Figure 10: UE Categories supported by LTE Advanced networks
We also track reported fastest downlink speeds in shown as percentages
commercially launched LTE-Advanced networks. There is a
wide variation, as shown in Figure 9.

The number of commercial networks capable of delivering


peak theoretical DL throughout equivalent to Cat-18 DL
speeds in selected areas stands at eight, and four networks
are understood to be capable of delivering download speeds
in at least one location equivalent to device category 19.
The wide variation in downlink speeds is unsurprising, as
operators around the world have different amounts of
spectrum (numbers of carriers and bandwidth of those
carriers) that they can aggregate to increase maximum
throughput. They also vary in terms of their deployment of
additional features such as the use of 256QAM modulation
and 4x4 MIMO and in their use of unlicensed spectrum.
Note also that some operators report theoretical downlink
speeds, others report live-network tested speeds. GSA
carried out a detailed analysis of the development of Gigabit
LTE in its paper Progress to Gigabit LTE Networks, available
on the GSA website.

Figure 10 shows the percentage of LTE-Advanced networks Carrier aggregation has been the dominant feature of LTE-Advanced
(for which we have data) that support each UE category. networks. Varying numbers of carriers and varying amounts of
Note that where we have no confirmed speed data, total bandwidth have been aggregated in trials and demos, but in
we assume that the network is at least UE Cat 4 and is commercial networks, the greatest number of carriers aggregated
categorised as such. (where we have data) is five. Some trials and demos have also
aggregated up to ten carriers, for instance SK Telecom’s trial in South
Korea.

©Copyright 2020 Global mobile Suppliers Association Evolution from LTE to 5G: Global Market Status |February 2020 | 7
Figure 11: Launched cellular IoT networks by type
IoT global status
2020 saw strong growth in the number of cellular IoT
networks based on NB-IoT and LTE-M. By the end of the
year, 104 operators had deployed/launched networks. This
number had risen again to 106 operators in 57 countries
by the end of January 2020, up from 78 operators in 45
countries in January 2019. At that point, there were 159
operators investing in NB IoT in 74 countries.

There are 69 operators investing in LTE-M networks in 39


countries, up from 57 operators in 34 countries in January
2019. Forty-three operators have deployed/launched
LTE-M networks in 31 countries, up from 30 operators in
January 2019.

Altogether 59 countries now have at least either a


launched NB-IoT network or a launched LTE-M network
and 29 of those countries have both network types.

©Copyright 2020 Global mobile Suppliers Association Evolution from LTE to 5G: Global Market Status |February 2020 | 8
GSA has identified 356 operators
in 121 countries that have
5G Global Status
either launched, are deploying,
are licensed to deploy, have
demonstrated, are testing or Figure 12: Countries with operators known to be investing in 5G
trialling, or have been licensed to
conduct field trials of 5G-enabling
and candidate technologies. The
spread of global activity is shown
in Figure 12.

GSA has identified 78 operators


in 43 countries that have stated
that they have activated one or
more 5G sites within their live
commercial network (excludes
those that have only deployed
temporary test sites, but includes
those that are running pilots
on deployed commercial-ready
equipment). The number that
have announced the launch of
commercial services remains
lower, although now that
operators are able to source
significant numbers of 5G devices Figure 13: Operators’ 5G network investments by status
and types, a market blockage has
been removed, and the number
of service launches is growing
quickly.

GSA has identified 208 announced devices


(including regional variants, but not
prototypes) and at least 60 of these are
now available for customers to buy and
use. See GSA’s report 5G Device Ecosystem,
published monthly, for more details.

GSA knows of 62 operators in 34 countries


who have (as of end January 2020)
announced 3GPP-compatible 5G service
launches (either mobile or FWA, some with
limited availability. GSA has identified 52
operators providing commercial 5G mobile
services (four with limited availability) and 35 Figure 14: Earliest expected 5G commercial launch dates (includes
operators with 5G FWA/wireless broadband mobile or FWA, includes limited availability launches)
services (seven with limited availability).

Figure 14 shows the countries and


current planned dates for the earliest 5G
launches in those countries. We have only
included countries where operators have
announced their plans, not countries where
governments have made general statements
of intent.

GSA will continue tracking the progress of


5G deployments worldwide. This report
will be updated in April 2020. For detail
about planned 5G spectrum allocations
please see GSA’s latest edition of 5G
Spectrum for Terrestrial Networks: Licensing
Developments Worldwide, published January
2020.

©Copyright 2020 Global mobile Suppliers Association Evolution from LTE to 5G: Global Market Status |February 2020 | 9
ABOUT GSA
GSA is the voice of the global
mobile ecosystem and has
been representing mobile
suppliers since 1998.

GSA GAMBoD Database


Reports are based on data contained
in the GSA GAMBoD databases
which is a resource available to GSA
Members and Associates. Companies
and policy makers can subscribe as
a GSA Associate to the database to
gain insights into the source data
behind reports for their own research
purposes.

Discounted annual subscription are


available to regulators, government
agencies and mobile operators.

Please email info@gsacom.com for


more information.

P.O. Box 689


Farnham
Surrey.
GU9 1LU

Info@gsacom.com

https://gsacom.com

©Global mobile Suppliers Association. 2020

You might also like