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CHAPTER 3
METHODOLOGY
3.1 INTRODUCTION
3.2 METHODOLOGY
Energy
Planning
(Scenarios)
PV
Installations
Life Cycle
Analysis
Role of Incentives,
Subsidies and
credits
Conclusions
The model takes into account the data pertaining to the year 2005
and predicts additional installations that were needed for the year till 2013.
Various scenarios considering the emission reduction limits are derived and
each predicts the amount of conventional and non conventional installations
in the demand side satisfaction. Energy modeling in this case avoids
exhaustive surveys and data that are required for predicting these futuristic
energy needs as it takes into account the demand and supply side of the
energy grid of the state. The study is limited to the Tamil Nadu state only as it
requires extensive data collection. The maximum cap of permissible PV
installation can thus be a ground for analyzing the possible options by
considering various photovoltaic modules. Conserving silicon as it is already
a precious commodity in the semi conductor industry is justified by
implementing the concentrating photovoltaic modules for the permissible PV
72
The state of Tamil Nadu is one of the key players of the SREB.
The TNEB (Tamil Nadu Electricity Board) is a statutory body formed on
01.07.1957 under the Electricity Supply Act, 1948 as a successor to the
erstwhile Electricity Department of the Government of Madras.8, manages
and controls the power generation, power purchase, transmission and
distribution of electricity to the customers of the Tamil Nadu state.
73
Installed
Generation options
capacity (MW)
Coal fuelled thermal power plants 4,965.00
Lignite fuelled thermal power plants 1,177.00
Diesel Power plants 496.00
Combined cycle power plants 468.89
Cogeneration plants 390.10
Hydro and Micro Hydro power plants 2,137.00
Biomass based power generation 40.35
Nuclear power plants 495.00
Wind turbine generators 2,987.00
Total 13,156.34
generating stations coming under this category does not exclusively serve the
state but also the nearby states that are connected to the grid. It is worthwhile
to note that some of these central generating stations are physically present in
the state.
Table 3.2 shows the length of the Extra high voltage (HHV), High
Voltage (HV) and Low voltage (LV) lines available in the state and also
shows the number of HHV and HV substations and distribution transformers
Consumption
Category (GWhe )
Commercial 3,997
Total 42,825
75
Table 3.4 show the grid balance scheme of the state in 2005. The
unscheduled interchange is the energy flow to the state from the grid. Table
3.5 shows the consumption of various fuels in ktoe in 2005. Tables 3.1 – 3.4
are based on the Tamil Nadu Electricity statistics report (2005-06).
Table 3.5 Fuels consumed for energy production in the reference year
which is well ahead of the target set by the Central government. The agency
further aims to identify potential renewable resources, to enhance the
contribution of renewable energy in the overall energy mix of the state grid
for the abatement of green house gas emissions and to develop and implement
energy independence in small villages (TEDA Policy note, 2008-09).
Regional Grid
HHV
Electricity
Primary Generation
Energy Options HV Heavy Ind
Sources Including
DG
LV
Industries
Agriculture
Domestic
Commercial
Energy
Savings
Environmental
Figure 3.2 shows the structure of the energy system in Tamil nadu
connecting various voltage levels, energy supply and end users.
It includes a wide range of fuels starting from fossil fuels like coal,
lignite, natural gas and including nuclear fuels. Apart from this various
alternative sources of energy in the combustible forms like biomass,
municipal waste and non fuel types like solar, wind, hydro are also exploited.
All the primary energy inputs are quantified in terms of tones of oil equivalent
(TOE). When compared to the earlier model the production and consumption
of electricity alone from various large scale and small scale technologies are
considered in this study. Hybrid energy systems based on wind-diesel
integration are suggested in this model and their potentials comes within the
gross wind energy potentials of the state.
The End use subsystem has the energy demand in the form of
electricity. The whole purposes can be divided into 4 sub sectors namely
Industrial, Agricultural, Domestic and Commercial purposes. Demand in the 4
sub sectors are expected to grow linearly up to 59%, 58% 18% and 53%
respectively at the end of the planning period. The HV levels are dedicated to
the heavy industries and LV levels serve the domestic, commercial,
agricultural and other industries. Various energy saving options which
involve lot of public participation are also suggested in this model. A star
rated Energy labeled domestic refrigerator (250 litre model) is suggested
which is capable of saving 500 kWh of electricity. In a network where there is
always a high demand of electrical energy and frequent power outages,
energy efficient house hold appliances like the refrigerator which is very
common nowadays can play a major role in energy savings.
Min f' x
sub to (3.1)
A eq X b eq
A ineq X b ineq
where x is the state variable vector, f’x is the objective function, Aeq.X = beq
represents the set of equality constraints and Aineq.X bineq represents the set
of inequality constraints.
f' x CI CF CV CE (3.2)
C I = C A + CS (3.3)
The first term Investment cost can be further broken down into CA
Capital Investment cost and CS Stripping cost. The Capital Investment cost
includes the sum of annuities over power plant lifetime and investment cost of
energy efficient improvement measures. Table 3.6 shows the various energy
saving measures that are considered and their reference units.
82
Reference
No Measure
Unit
1 Substitution of Incandescent and Fluorescent 1 bulb
bulbs with CFL’s
2 Installation of Solar Thermal collectors 1 m2
The external cost further takes into account the impacts related to
the installations, operative life of the installations and stripping of the j th
generation option in the tth year respectively. The cost functions are available
in APPENDIX-2
Equality Constraints
Photo voltaic roofs can exploit power and the generated power can
be injected to the lower voltage levels. The power flow from the HV level and
the power from Photovoltaics can serve the low voltage demands (Q2 t,p ).
Energy saving measures (ESt,p ), from the domestic sector can contribute in
meeting the local needs.
84
6 ,12,15 11,13,14
12
PT 12 t, p auxil j P7 ,t , p Q2 t , p ES t , p (3.5)
Where,
ES t, p = Electrical savings
Inequality constraints
The first time step of each load duration curve corresponds to the
forecasted annual peak load for which the total electricity generation capacity
of this period has to cover the internal load demand and exported power, is
satisfied by the peak demand satisfaction constraint. Operation limits
85
constraint puts a limit to the net power generation of each facility so that it
does not exceed the relevant installed capacity.
Auxil j L
Photo Voltaic
Roofs Q2t,p
properties are used for comparison. As per the initial assumption the cells for
all the possible potential installation with respect to various scenarios are
uniform throughout the state. Monocrystalline cells that constitute the
commercially available panels along with the Concentrating photovoltaic cell
panel is considered.
Parameters Values
156.25
Area of the SIEMENS PV Cell cm2
Area of the CEL PV Cell 78.54 cm2
Area of the CPV cell 22.5 cm2
Area of the SIEMENS PV module 0.6 m2
Area of the CEL PV module 0.4 m2
Area of the CPV Module 0.0475 m2
Mass of Single SIEMENS cell 12.578 g
Mass of Single CEL cell 6.322 g
Mass of Single CPV cell 1.5525 g
Density of Silicon 2.3 g/cm3
MW a SIEMENS or CPV
Total module area requirement (Aj)= mod ule
m2
Wp SIEMENS or CPV
(3.6)
where
Wp SIEMENS or CPV
= Watt Peak rating of the Siemens/CPV module
89
A j m SIEMENS or CPV
Mass of Silicon required = g (3.7)
a SIEMENS or CPV cell
where
fabrication of the cells, they are connected in series and encapsulated to form
a module. The module has front cover low iron tempered glass, encapsulant,
Solar cells, copper ribbon, tedlar and aluminium channel. Heat and pressure is
used for encapsulation and they are hermetically sealed. Besides this balance
of system components like wiring for interconnections foundation, support
structure, concrete foundations may require more energy. In energy analysis
Balance of system cannot be neglected.
Aj E SIEMENS E BOS
Embodied Energy SIEMENS 6
GWh (3.8)
10
Where
energy intensive process owing to the fact that it needs pressure and
temperature for encapsulation. The Balance of system for roof top system in
building requires 404 kWh/m2 which includes the energy requirement for
support structure, battery, inverter and overall operation and maintenance of
the structures etc. (Nawaz and Tiwari 2006 and Chel et al 2009).
The embodied energy required for the CPV modules is close to that
of making Sliver cells which are also used as CPV cells. The energy required
for the making of the cell is 1863 kWh/kWp and the BOS energy requirement
is 359 kWh/kWp (Deenapanray et al 2004). Curved mirrors are important
equipment for a CPV system which requires 365 MJ/m2 of energy.
(Reflectech 2009).
Where
The energy output requires the details regarding the annual average
insolation and the cell’s respective packing. The Siemens cell has a packing
factor of 0.82 and a cell efficiency of 14.2% whereas the CPV cells are
tracked for which only direct beam radiation is considered. The CPV cells
have a packing factor of 0.84 and an efficiency of 17%. The availability of
radiation data in the country helps one to find suitable locations across the
country that is favorable for CPV installations. Besides this the CPV cells are
cooled by water which yields hot water for domestic use. While considering
300 days of sunshine across various locations the performance of the CPV
cells along with the commercially available SIEMENS cell.
Embodied Energy
Energy payback time (EPBT) = in years
Energyoutputof the system
(3.11)
Figure 3.5 Sensitivity analysis and the effect of carbon credits and
subsidies on the capital cost
2) The Energy output from the CHAPS has two distinct routes,
one electrical and the other thermal. The energy output is
determined by the system configuration and climatic
96
average daily values along the year, the average daily monthly values, G dm(0),
Ddm(0) and Bdm(n) are needed initially.
Gdm(0)
Ddm(0)
Ghm(0)
Dhm(0)
B hm(0)=Ghm(0)-D hm(0)
Bhm(n)
Bdm(n)= B hm(n)
Figure 3.6 shows the flowchart by how the available solar radiation
data is converted into a useful form. This model uses the global horizontal
component value Gdm(0) as initial data. From this value, the diffuse radiation
is calculated first Ddm(0), and then the hourly values of global, diffuse and
direct horizontal beam are calculated. Direct normal beam is calculated from
these values, and finally monthly and yearly data are obtained based on
integration. In summary, the steps are as follows.
24
Bod (0 ) Bsc 0 cos cos s cos s sin s (3.6)
360
23.45 sin dn 284 (3.7)
365
360d n
0 1 0.033 cos (3.9)
365
sunrise angle, o is the correction for others distances sun – Earth, B sc is the
solar constant, and is the latitude:
Gdm (0 )
K Tm (3.12)
B0 dm (0 )
101
K Dm 1 1.13K Tm (3.13)
cos cos S
D( 0 ) B0 (0) T
rD (3.14)
Dd (0) Bod (0)
S cos S sin S
180
G (0 )
rG rD a b cos (3.15)
Gd (0)
and where s is the solar hour, or the true solar time, or local apparent time:
LL LH
(h ) OT 12 EOT AO (3.18)
15
B(0)
Bhm (n) (3.20)
cos ZS
where S is the solar altitude (or elevation), which represents the angle
between the horizon and the solar beam in a plane determined by the zenith
and the sun. (Figure 3.7)
Figure 3.7 Position of the sun relative to a fixed point on the Earth
(Luque 2003)
103
2 1/2
cos sin sin cos cos cos cos2 sin 2 (3.22)
cos
rb (3.23)
cos z
The product of the tilt factor and the value of beam radiation (B eff)
give the value of incident radiation on the aperture plane of the collector
(Beff.n).
2 W a2
Area lost = Wa h p f Wa 1 (3.24)
3 48 f 2
2
Eh [kWh] Beff .n Ac opt rx 1 T I sc Rs PR (3.25)
where
The above Equations (3.25) and (3.26) shows the useful energy
output from the CHAPS system in kWh. The PV output is limited to 220 W p
for a size of 6.6 m2 of collector aperture area. The limitation is to account for
the edge effects. The system efficiency takes into account the efficiencies of
the charge controller CC and battery BATT , since the power stored is used
during off sunshine hours. Water which acts as a cooling medium, takes the
heat away from the rear side of the PV cells. The heated water is stored in a
storage tank which caters to urban household needs. The thermal energy
collected is based on the hybrid efficiency of the collector since a major
portion of the collector is PV/T (Photovoltaic/Thermal) whereas the
remaining portion is purely a thermal receiver. A theoretical combined
efficiency of 53% considering the purely thermal receiver efficiency and the
hybrid efficiency of the PV/T receiver is thus considered.
106
28,30,31
E m, PV [ kWh] Eh dn (3.27)
d 0
28, 30,31
Em ,thermal[kWth h] Eh ,thermaldn (3.28)
d 0
12
E y ,PV [ kWh] Em [ kWh] (3.29)
m 1
12
E y ,thermal[kWth h] Em,thermal (3.30)
m 1
107
The earlier section addresses the issue of the electrical and thermal
output of the CHAPS collector. One will be able to get two different energy
forms from a single unit. However for the techno economic analysis the
energy output of the system must be quantified as a single term. Electrical and
thermal forms of energy are not equally valuable as the former is more
superior to the later. To proceed further we must be able to represent the
energy output of the CHAPS collector as a single unit. It is so evident that
there cannot be a price attached to the thermal energy use in the country as the
thermal energy is not supplied through a centralized heating system. In this
situation the useful thermal energy in the domestic sector has to be converted
to an equivalent electrical form with suitably developed ratios for various
circumstances. The concept of usefulness of thermal energy in par with the
electrical energy is thus justified. The ratios compare the worth of the thermal
energy in par with the electrical energy.
Qg c LPG
Cost of thermal Energy generation by gas heaters [Rs/kWh] =
Hg Wg
(3.31)
where
Cy e t
Cost of thermal Energy generation by electric heaters [Rs/kWh]= UC ee
Ve
(3.32)
109
where
Levelized cost of the energy takes into account the cost of operation
of an electrical water heater of the same capacity described in the previous
section in totality by considering the operational and maintenance cost of the
equipment and the amount of thermal energy generated annually.
CC el CRF O&M ee
Levelized Cost of thermal energy [Rs/kWh] =
E th
(3.33)
where
The cost estimates are based on the sizing done and average energy
generated by the PV system is used for estimating the Levelized cost of PV
energy generated by the system.
C NET = Ci + Cb - Cs (3.34)
111
20
i 1 i
CA C NET 20
(3.35)
1 i 1
T
i1 i
Co T
mC 0
1 i 1
UC THER (3.38)
VC p T f Ti N 3 .6 e
E y ,Thermal kWhth
UE CHAPS E y , PV KWh (3.39)
EV
The Energy value ratios are developed as per the assumptions in Appendix 3.
112
CO1
SPP CHAPS (3.40)
NAMB CHAPS
The Simple payback period is the ratio of the capital cost to the net
annual monetary benefits.
MWFS CHAPS
UE CHAPS
Pf (3.41)
The Net annual monetary benefits takes into account the amount of
money spent on the maintenance of the CHAPS system
The NPV is the difference between the present value of the net
annual benefits and the capital cost, where n is the useful life of a system
(years) and d is the discount rate and S is the salvage value.
T
1 d 1 S
NPV NAMB CHAPS T T
C o1 (3.43)
d1 d 1 d
where
S = Salvage value
D = discount rate in %
T
1 d 1 S
NAMB CHAPS T T
B d1 d 1 d
(3.44)
C CHAPS Co1
114
Equating the NPV to zero and solving for d gives the internal rate
of return for a project. It is an indicator of the efficiency, quality or the yield
of the investment.
T
1 d 1 S
NAMB CJHAPS T T
Co1 0 (3.45)
d1 d 1 d
The earlier section shows the cost structure and other financial
figures of merit that are favorable to the customer, however the real cost
estimates as per the market estimates are far high than the favorable costs
which are essential to identify the extent up to which incentives and subsidies
can bridge the gap. Moreover the lifecycle analysis shows the extent up to
which the energy payback is achieved in renewable energy systems like
photovoltaic linear concentrators. The Life cycle analysis, first of all involves
the system design for a rated output (both PV and Thermal). A CHAPS unit
based on solar photovoltaic linear concentrator has both PV electricity and
thermal energy at the user’s disposal. The Life cycle cost for a reference
system having a rated output of 220 Wp and a thermal energy output of 3507
kWh is presented in this section. The procedure adopted by Chel et al (2009)
is adopted with suitable modifications. Maximum rating of the Photovoltaic
115
Charge controller
PV rating (W p )
Capacity = in Amps (3.47)
Battery bank design voltage
where
C4 = Mitigation cost
C5 = Salvage value
116
The initial capital investment C02 includes the cost of the CHAPS
unit and Power conditioning unit. The CHAPS system cost includes the cost
of the mirrors for concentration, aluminum receiver for heat removal system,
aluminum cladding, structural supports, PV cell cost, glass wool for
insulation, solar tracker and its control unit, water circulation unit, the related
pipe work, thermal storage tank and wiring cost.
Aap
C 02 C MIRROR C CELL C BOS C MISC (3.52)
C .R
20
d 1 d
CA = LCC 20
(3.53)
1 d 1
117
CA
UC CHAPS (3.54)
UEE CHAPS
The above table shows the various constituents that make up the
CHAPS unit in its entirety. The estimates are obtained from the standard
market estimates and available literature. Labor cost for laying cables and
wire interconnections are included in the cost of structural supports and PV
wiring cost individually. The estimate for the concentrating PV cost is
obtained from the estimates by Connor (2008). The estimates for the power
conditioning unit are obtained from Chel et al (2009). The effect of price
reduction on the CHAPS unit is studied by considering the reduction of
Concentrating Photovoltaic (CPV) cell prices and mirror cost by 70% and the
118
reduction of the tracker unit price by 75%. The estimates by the lowest and
intermediate values yields the other two possible cost structures along with
the actual capital cost of the system which in the real sense is much higher.
where C 02 is the capital cost and f cs is the fraction of capital cost provided as
capital subsidy
where f is ' is the fraction of capital cost provided as low interest loan available
after capital subsidy.
The above Table 3.10 shows the basic assumptions that are available in
the country for the CHAPS unit based on Solar linear concentrators, as this is a
hybrid system that generates both PV electricity and hot water, it is an ideal
candidate for attracting subsidies for both as a photovoltaic system as well as a
hot water system, however since the primary energy evolved here is Electrical
energy and the CHAPS unit is considered as a Photovoltaic system and the
available subsidies from the government are taken into account. The
120
guidelines from the JNNSM are used for fixing the fraction of the capital cost as
capital subsidies and interest subsidies. The discount rates are considered
from the life cycle analyses that were qualified from the sensitivity study
based on the net present values and benefit to cost ratio values.
(1 Euro = Rs 64.2271)
2
ACHAPS_ prototypem2
TechnicalPotentialm EdemandedkWh
Ea,CHAPS_ prototype kWh
(3.61)
where,
kWh;
in kWh.
124
The total mirror area including that for the thermal energy
collection is also considered in this study. Social acceptance of CHAPS unit
in a target area is an important factor in determining the market potential.
Much of the discussions in the technology transfer, at times overlooks the
concept of social acceptance. The respondents were enquired about their
eagerness towards the purchase of the product and then were asked about their
willingness to buy the product in a fixed time period. Respondents who were
interested in buying the CHAPS unit in the next 5 years were only considered
as potential buyers.
where
Market potential
to the PV area = m2 (3.63)
Number of mirrorsin each unit
CPV Rating in the target area = Watt peakratingof sin gle unit CPVCellarea
CPVcell areaof a sin gleunit
(kWp)
(3.65)
4.2m
PV/The rmal
Rx
The rmal Rx
Mirrors
Figure 3.11 Testing of the CHAPS unit on roof top with linear actuator
based tracking
130
Out of the three receivers one receiver has the Photovoltaic part
having a peak rating of 220 Wp capacity. The Mirrors with an optical
efficiency of 93% focuses the solar radiation on the receiver at 37x
concentration. The PV cells have a fill factor of 68% and a short circuit
current of 20.25 A. The entire mirror and receiver assembly is manually
tracked with the help of a linear actuator assembly as shown in Figure 3.11.
The Photovoltaic output is managed by a load manager in the control room as
shown in Figure 3.12. The Voltage-Current characteristics are studied by
varying the resistances. A 0.5 HP pump is used to circulate the water in the
thermal circuit for effective heat removal from the rear side of the cells and
the thermal output is collected in a insulated thermal storage tank with a
capacity of 200 liters. The thermal interconnections and piping though appear
to be bare in Figure 3.10 were insulated later to prevent heat losses.
DTI
ST
SPVLC
RM
FCV CP
CC B ATT INV AC
LOADS
DC
LOADS
BATT- Battery, CC- Charge Controller, CP- Circulating pump, DTI- Digital temperature Indicator, FCV- Flow
control Valve, INV- Inverter, RM- Rotameter, SPVLC- Solar photovoltaic linear concentrator.
Figure 3.13 shows the schematic diagram of the test facility along
with the measurements. The measurements on the thermal side is done with
the help of a PT100 type class A temperature sensor with an accuracy of
+0.15oC, temperatures were measured in the inlet and outlet of the collector
and the measurements of the thermal storage tanks are measured with PT100
probes at various levels. The flow rate of the circulating water is measured
with the help of a Rota meter with a measuring range of 62 to 620 lph. The
electrical output from the Concentrating photovoltaic cells is measured in
terms of current with the help of an Ammeter (0-30A) and Voltmeter (0-300V
AC). The electrical output is used for charging a 12 V, 150 Ah, low
132
maintenance, tubular lead acid battery. The battery output is led to the inverter
for AC loads. The V-I characteristics of the PV cells are studied with the help
of a resistive load panel with a capacity of 240 W in 20 W step arrangements.
The load is induced by a push button in steps and the respective voltage and
current measurements are noted down. The average temperatures of the tank
and the difference with the start conditions helps to determine the thermal
energy collected.
The tests were conducted on various days; flow rates are fixed for a
given day and remain unchanged throughout the testing procedure. Different
flow rates in the range of 420 lph till 620 lph is maintained for the testing.
Initial tank temperature at various levels are noted down during the start of
the testing and subsequent tank temperatures, voltage and current
measurements of the photovoltaic panel, meteorological parameters are noted
down for every fifteen minutes. The flux illumination in the focal line is
maintained with the help of the (pushing) movement of the collector by a
linear actuator. At noon the actuator is changed to the opposite direction and
the collector is pulled with the actuator. The testing is continued till the
collector’s fullest ability to track the sun is attained.
where
V = Volume of water in m3
where
where