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Coronavirus 20200405 Peru
Coronavirus 20200405 Peru
16-Jan 45
17-Jan 62 37.78%
18-Jan 121 95.16%
19-Jan 198 63.64%
20-Jan 291 46.97%
21-Jan 440 51.20%
22-Jan 571 29.77%
23-Jan 830 45.36%
24-Jan 1287 55.06%
25-Jan 1975 53.46%
26-Jan 2744 38.94%
27-Jan 4515 64.54%
28-Jan 5974 32.31%
29-Jan 7711 29.08%
30-Jan 9692 25.69%
31-Jan 11791 21.66%
1-Feb 14380 21.96%
2-Feb 17205 19.65%
3-Feb 20438 18.79%
4-Feb 24324 19.01%
5-Feb 28018 15.19%
6-Feb 31161 11.22%
7-Feb 34546 10.86%
8-Feb 37198 7.68%
9-Feb 40171 7.99%
10-Feb 48315 20.27% NOTA EN CHINA
11-Feb 55220 14.29% REGISTROS CAMBIARON CON UN SALTO DE 6000 C
12-Feb 58761 6.41%
13-Feb 63851 8.66%
14-Feb 66492 4.14%
15-Feb 68500 3.02%
16-Feb 70548 2.99%
17-Feb 72436 2.68%
18-Feb 74185 2.41%
19-Feb 75002 1.10%
20-Feb 75891 1.19% 3 3
21-Feb 76288 0.52% 20 567% 3 0%
22-Feb 76936 0.85% 79 295% 3 0%
23-Feb 77150 0.28% 150 90% 3 0%
24-Feb 77658 0.66% 227 51% 4 33%
25-Feb 78064 0.52% 320 41% 10 150%
26-Feb 78497 0.55% 445 39% 14 40%
27-Feb 78824 0.42% 650 46% 26 86%
28-Feb 79251 0.54% 888 37% 34 31%
29-Feb 79824 0.72% 1128 27% 59 74%
1-Mar 80026 0.25% 1694 50% 85 44%
2-Mar 80151 0.16% 2036 20% 121 42%
3-Mar 80270 0.15% 2502 23% 166 37%
4-Mar 80409 0.17% 3089 23% 228 37%
5-Mar 80552 0.18% 3858 25% 282 24%
6-Mar 80651 0.12% 4636 20% 401 42%
7-Mar 80695 0.05% 5883 27% 525 31%
8-Mar 80735 0.05% 7375 25% 674 28%
9-Mar 80754 0.02% 9172 24% 1231 83%
10-Mar 80778 0.03% 10149 11% 1695 38%
11-Mar 80793 0.02% 12462 23% 2277 34%
12-Mar 80813 0.02% 15113 21% 3146 38%
13-Mar 80824 0.01% 17660 17% 5232 66%
14-Mar 80844 0.02% 21157 20% 6391 22%
15-Mar 80860 0.02% 24747 17% 7988 25%
16-Mar 80881 0.03% 27980 13% 9942 24%
17-Mar 80894 0.02% 31506 13% 11826 19%
18-Mar 80928 0.04% 35713 13% 14769 25%
19-Mar 80967 0.05% 41035 15% 18077 22%
20-Mar 81008 0.05% 47021 15% 21571 19%
21-Mar 81054 0.06% 53578 14% 25496 18%
22-Mar 81093 0.05% 59138 10% 29909 17%
23-Mar 81171 0.10% 63927 8% 35480 19%
24-Mar 81218 0.06% 69176 8.21% 42058 18.54%
25-Mar 81285 0.08% 74386 7.53% 50105 19.13%
26-Mar 81340 0.07% 80539 8.27% 57786 15.33%
27-Mar 81439 0.12% 86498 7.40% 65719 13.73%
28-Mar 81470 0.04% 92472 6.91% 73232 11.43%
29-Mar 81518 0.06% 97689 5.64% 80110 9.39%
30-Mar 81898 0.47% 101739 4.15% 87956 9.79%
31-Mar 82278 0.46% 105792 3.98% 95923 9.06%
1-Apr
2-Apr
3-Apr
4-Apr
5-Apr
6-Apr
China Italia España
Promedio 10 días 0.07% 10.67% 18.75%
Promedio 20 días 0.05% 14.52% 28.28%
Promedio 30 días 0.12% 19.63% 33.78%
Cuarentena Total
Sin Cuarentena
Con Medidas Parciales
Con Restricciones de Movimiento
EE.UU. Irán Reino Unido Perú
2
5 150%
18 260%
29 61%
43 48%
64 49%
95 48%
139 46%
245 76%
388 58% 19
593 53% 23 21%
42 978 65% 35 52%
57 36% 1501 53% 40 14%
85 49% 2336 56% 51 28%
111 31% 2922 25% 85 67%
175 58% 3513 20% 114 34%
252 44% 4747 35% 160 40% 1
353 40% 5823 23% 206 29% 6
497 41% 6566 13% 271 32% 7
645 30% 7161 9% 321 18% 9
936 45% 8042 12% 373 16% 11
1205 29% 9000 12% 456 22% 17
1598 33% 10075 12% 590 29% 22
2163 35% 11364 13% 797 35% 38
2825 31% 12729 12% 1061 33% 43
3497 24% 13938 9% 1391 31% 71
4372 25% 14991 8% 1543 11% 86
5656 29% 16169 8% 1950 26% 117
8074 43% 17361 7% 2626 35% 145
12018 49% 18407 6% 3269 24% 234
17438 45% 19644 7% 3983 22% 263
23710 36% 20610 5% 5018 26% 318
32341 36% 21638 5% 5683 13% 363
42749 32% 23049 7% 6650 17% 395
52685 23% 24811 8% 8077 21% 416
64916 23% 27017 9% 9529 18% 480
81783 26% 29406 9% 11568 21% 580
100997 23% 32332 10% 14543 26% 635
121105 20% 35408 10% 17089 18% 671
141701 17% 38309 8% 19522 14% 852
160755 13% 41495 8% 22141 13% 950
186265 16% 44605 7% 25479 15% 1065
1323
1414
1595
1746
2281
20
20 0%
20 0%
23 15%
25 9% 23
25 0% 24 4%
25 0% 24 0%
26 4% 25 4%
26 0% 27 8%
26 0% 28 4%
26 0% 28 0%
28 8% 28 0%
33 18% 28 0%
41 24% 28 0%
53 29% 29 4%
59 11% 30 3%
65 10% 30 0%
73 12% 31 3%
85 16% 51 65%
93 9% 104 104%
105 13% 204 96%
132 26% 433 112%
144 9% 602 39%
157 9% 833 38%
164 4% 977 17%
186 13% 1261 29%
210 13% 1766 40%
230 10% 2337 32%
239 4% 3150 35%
254 6% 4212 34%
268 6% 4812 14%
284 6% 5328 11%
317 12% 5766 8%
349 10% 6284 9%
408 17% 6767 8% 1
500% 455 12% 7134 5% 5 400%
17% 488 7% 7382 3% 9 80%
29% 514 5% 7513 2% 9 0%
22% 568 11% 7755 3% 13 44%
55% 620 9% 7869 1% 22 69%
29% 675 9% 7979 1% 23 5%
73% 716 6% 8086 1% 26 13%
13% 780 9% 8162 1% 27 4%
65% 814 4% 8236 1% 35 30%
21% 829 2% 8320 1% 41 17%
36% 873 5% 8413 1% 50 22%
24% 914 5% 8565 2% 69 38%
61% 950 4% 8652 1% 89 29%
12% 1007 6% 8799 2% 113 27%
21% 1054 5% 8897 1% 117 4%
14% 1086 3% 8961 1% 134 15%
9% 1128 4% 9037 1% 158 18%
5% 1193 6% 9137 1% 177 12%
15% 1291 8% 9241 1% 201 14%
21% 1364 6% 9332 1% 231 15%
9% 1499 10% 9478 2% 263 14%
6% 1693 13% 9583 1%
27% 1866 10% 9661 1%
12% 1909.5 2% 9723.5 1%
12% 1953 2% 9786 1%
24%
7%
13%
9%
31%
16
18 13% 13
21 17% 18 38%
26 24% 38 111%
53 104% 57 50%
66 25% 100 75%
117 77% 130 30%
150 28% 191 47%
188 25% 212 11%
240 28% 285 34%
349 45% 423 48%
534 53% 613 45%
684 28% 949 55%
847 24% 1126 19%
1112 31% 1412 25%
1460 31% 1784 26%
1884 29% 2281 28%
2369 26% 2876 26%
3062 29% 3661 27%
3795 24% 4499 23%
4838 27% 5423 21%
6012 24% 6633 22%
7156 19% 7730 17%
8198 15% 9134 18%
10999 34% 10995 20%
13957 27% 12612 15%
16662 19% 14459 15%
18610 12% 16689 15%
22672 22% 19856 19%
27436 21% 22302 12%
31554 15% 25233 13%
36508 16% 29155 16%
42288 16% 32964 13%
48582 15% 37575 14%
52547 8% 40174 7%
64937 24% 44550 11%
71690 10% 52827 19%
Alemania Francia
19.61% 15.64%
23.06% 19.51%
29.95% 29.91%
Date Q-Day Cases % Daily % L10D Cambio %
6-Mar 1
7-Mar 6
8-Mar 7
9-Mar 9
10-Mar 11 22.22%
11-Mar 17 54.55%
12-Mar 22 29.41%
13-Mar 38 72.73%
14-Mar 43 13.16%
15-Mar 71 65.12%
16-Mar 1 86 21.13% 39.76%
17-Mar 2 117 36.05% 39.29%
18-Mar 3 145 23.93% 37.59%
19-Mar 4 234 61.38% 39.97%
20-Mar 5 263 12.39% 38.98%
21-Mar 6 318 20.91% 35.62%
22-Mar 7 363 14.15% 34.09%
23-Mar 8 395 8.82% 27.70%
24-Mar 9 416 5.32% 26.92%
25-Mar 10 480 15.38% 21.95%
26-Mar 11 580 20.83% 21.92%
27-Mar 12 635 9.48% 19.26%
28-Mar 13 671 5.67% 17.43%
29-Mar 14 852 26.97% 13.99%
30-Mar 15 950 11.50% 13.90%
31-Mar 16 1065 12.11% 13.02%
1-Apr 17 1323 24.23% 14.03%
2-Apr 18 1414 6.88% 13.84%
3-Apr 19 1595 12.80% 14.59%
4-Apr 20 1746 9.47% 13.99%
5-Apr 21 2281 30.64% 14.97%
6-Apr 22
7-Apr 23
8-Apr 24
9-Apr 25
10-Apr 26
11-Apr 27
12-Apr 28
13-Apr 29
14-Apr 30
15-Apr 31
16-Apr
17-Apr
18-Apr
19-Apr
20-Apr
21-Apr
22-Apr
23-Apr
24-Apr
25-Apr
26-Apr
27-Apr
28-Apr
29-Apr
30-Apr
1-May
16-Mar 0.0001
16-Mar 1
26-Mar 0.0001
26-Mar 1
#REF! 1
#REF! 0.0001
#REF! 1
#REF! 0.0001
#REF! 1
ln Y = m X + b
Prom Ult 10 Ln (PU 10%) Fecha Día Cuarent
Y1 39.97% ln Y1 -0.91712835 X1 19-Mar 4
Y2 14.03% ln Y2 -1.96390452 X2 1-Apr 17
m -0.08052124
Wuhan Wuhan Italy
-0.03444 -0.1829 -0.048842
7-Mar 0.00% 6
8-Mar 0.00% 7
9-Mar 0.00% 9
10-Mar 22.22% 11
11-Mar 54.55% 17
12-Mar 29.41% 22
13-Mar 72.73% 38
14-Mar 13.16% 43
15-Mar 65.12% 71
16-Mar 39.76% 21.13% 86 39.76%
17-Mar 39.29% 36.05% 117 39.29%
18-Mar 37.59% 23.93% 145 37.59%
19-Mar 39.97% 61.38% 234 39.97%
20-Mar 38.98% 12.39% 263 38.98%
21-Mar 35.62% 20.91% 318 35.62%
22-Mar 34.41% 20.24% 1.7 384 33.92%
23-Mar 33.25% 19.56% 461 32.31%
24-Mar 32.12% 18.90% 551 30.77%
25-Mar 31.04% 18.26% 655 29.30%
26-Mar 29.99% 17.64% 774 27.90%
27-Mar 28.97% 17.04% 910 26.57%
28-Mar 27.99% 16.46% 1065 25.31%
29-Mar 27.04% 15.91% 1240 24.10%
30-Mar 26.13% 15.37% 1437 22.95%
31-Mar 25.24% 14.85% 1658 21.86%
1-Apr 24.39% 12.19% 2 1867 20.81%
2-Apr 23.56% 11.78% 2095 19.82%
3-Apr 22.76% 11.38% 2341 18.88%
4-Apr 21.99% 11.00% 2607 17.98%
5-Apr 21.25% 10.62% 2894 17.12%
6-Apr 20.53% 10.26% 3202 16.30%
7-Apr 19.83% 9.92% 3531 15.53%
DC Red 8-Apr 19.16% 9.58% 3880 14.79%
0 9-Apr 18.51% 9.26% 4251 14.08%
13 10-Apr 17.89% 8.94% 4644 13.41%
11-Apr 17.28% 8.64% 5059 12.77%
12-Apr 16.70% 8.35% 5496 12.16%
13-Apr 16.13% 8.07% 5955 11.58%
14-Apr 15.59% 7.79% 6436 11.03%
15-Apr 15.06% 7.53% 6937 10.51%
16-Apr 12.54% 6.27% 7387 8.75%
17-Apr 10.44% 5.22% 7786 7.29%
18-Apr 8.70% 4.35% 8137 6.07%
19-Apr 7.25% 3.62% 8442 5.05%
20-Apr 6.03% 3.02% 8706 4.21%
21-Apr 5.03% 2.51% 8933 3.51%
22-Apr 4.19% 2.09% 9126 2.92%
23-Apr 3.49% 1.74% 9291 2.43%
24-Apr 2.90% 1.45% 9430 2.03%
25-Apr 2.42% 1.21% 9548 1.69%
26-Apr 2.01% 1.01% 9648 1.40%
27-Apr 1.68% 0.84% 9732 1.17%
28-Apr 1.40% 0.70% 9802 0.97%
29-Apr 1.16% 0.58% 9861 0.81%
30-Apr 0.97% 0.48% 9910 0.68%
1-May 0.81% 0.40% 9952 0.56%
Spain
-0.028762
0.00% 6 0.00% 6
0.00% 7 0.00% 7
0.00% 9 0.00% 9
22.22% 11 22.22% 11
54.55% 17 54.55% 17
29.41% 22 29.41% 22
72.73% 38 72.73% 38
13.16% 43 13.16% 43
65.12% 71 65.12% 71
21.13% 86 39.76% 21.13% 86
36.05% 117 39.29% 36.05% 117
23.93% 145 37.59% 23.93% 145
61.38% 234 39.97% 61.38% 234
12.39% 263 38.98% 12.39% 263
20.91% 318 35.62% 20.91% 318
27.14% 1.25 407 34.61% 20.36% 1.45 385
25.84% 515 33.63% 26.90% 492
24.61% 646 32.68% 26.14% 624
23.44% 802 31.75% 25.40% 788
22.32% 987 30.85% 24.68% 989
21.26% 1203 29.97% 23.98% 1234
20.24% 1454 29.12% 23.30% 1532
19.28% 1744 28.30% 22.64% 1891
18.36% 2075 27.50% 22.00% 2321
17.49% 2450 26.72% 21.37% 2834
16.65% 2872 25.96% 20.77% 3443
15.86% 3343 25.22% 20.18% 4162
15.10% 3865 24.51% 19.61% 5006
14.38% 4439 23.81% 19.05% 5992
13.70% 5068 23.14% 18.51% 7140
13.04% 5752 22.48% 17.99% 8469
12.42% 6491 21.84% 17.48% 10000
11.83% 7286 21.23% 16.98% 11757
11.27% 8135 20.62% 16.50% 13765
10.73% 9039 20.04% 16.03% 16049
10.22% 9995 19.47% 15.58% 18637
9.73% 11001 18.92% 15.13% 21558
9.27% 12056 18.38% 14.71% 24841
8.82% 13157 17.86% 14.29% 28517
8.40% 14302 17.35% 13.88% 32618
7.00% 15338 14.45% 11.56% 36524
5.83% 16264 12.04% 9.63% 40168
4.86% 17081 10.03% 8.02% 43506
4.04% 17796 8.35% 6.68% 46517
3.37% 18416 6.95% 5.56% 49199
2.80% 18951 5.79% 4.63% 51561
2.34% 19410 4.82% 3.86% 53623
1.95% 19801 4.02% 3.21% 55409
1.62% 20133 3.35% 2.68% 56946
1.35% 20414 2.79% 2.23% 58262
1.12% 20651 2.32% 1.86% 59383
0.94% 20851 1.93% 1.55% 60335
0.78% 21020 1.61% 1.29% 61140
0.65% 21162 1.34% 1.07% 61819
0.54% 21280 1.12% 0.89% 62392
0.45% 21379 0.93% 0.74% 62873
Date Q-Day Peru Daily 10-Day Pred. Reported Cases - Lima
6-Mar 0 1 Wuhan
7-Mar 0 6
8-Mar 0 7
9-Mar 0 9
10-Mar 0 11 22.22%
11-Mar 0 17 54.55%
12-Mar 0 22 29.41%
13-Mar 0 38 72.73%
14-Mar 0 43 13.16%
15-Mar 0 71 65.12%
16-Mar 1 86 21.13% 39.76%
17-Mar 2 117 36.05% 39.29%
18-Mar 3 145 23.93% 37.59%
19-Mar 4 234 61.38% 39.97%
20-Mar 5 263 12.39% 38.98%
21-Mar 6 318 20.91% 35.62% 242
22-Mar 7 363 14.15% 34.09% 293
23-Mar 8 395 8.82% 27.70% 353
24-Mar 9 416 5.32% 26.92% 423
25-Mar 10 480 15.38% 21.95% 504
26-Mar 11 580 20.83% 21.92% 597
27-Mar 12 635 9.48% 19.26% 704
28-Mar 13 671 5.67% 17.43% 826
29-Mar 14 852 26.97% 13.99% 964
30-Mar 15 950 11.50% 13.90% 1,120
31-Mar 16 1065 12.11% 13.02% 1,295
1-Apr 17 1323 24.23% 14.03% 1,461
2-Apr 18 1414 6.88% 13.84% 1,642
3-Apr 19 1595 12.80% 14.59% 1,838
4-Apr 20 1746 9.47% 13.99% 2,050
5-Apr 21 2281 30.64% 14.97% 2,279
6-Apr 22 2,525
7-Apr 23 2,788
8-Apr 24 3,068
9-Apr 25 3,366
10-Apr 26 3,682
11-Apr 27 4,016
12-Apr 28 4,368
13-Apr 29 4,738
14-Apr 30 5,126
15-Apr 31 5,531
16-Apr 0 5,895
17-Apr 0 6,218
18-Apr 0 6,502
19-Apr 0 6,749
20-Apr 0 6,963
21-Apr 0 7,147
22-Apr 0 7,304
23-Apr 0 7,438
24-Apr 0 7,551
25-Apr 0 7,647
26-Apr 0 7,728
27-Apr 0 7,796
28-Apr 0 7,853
29-Apr 0 7,901
30-Apr 0 7,941
1-May 0 7,975
Pred. Reported Cases - Lima Pred. Reported Cases - Peru n/Lima Pred. Reported Cases - ALL Peru
Italy Spain Wuhan Wuhan Wuhan Wuhan Italy
40.00%
Peruvian
-- Scenario
Daily % Change of Confirmed Cases
35.00%
30.00%
25.00%
20.00%
15.00%
Real Reported Cases
10.00%
Predicted based on Wuhan Scenarios
Predicted based on Italian and Wuhan Scenarios 5.00%
Predicted based on Spanish and Wuhan Scenarios
Optimistic Scenario 0.00%
End of 2nd Quarantine (12/04) 15-Mar 20-Mar 25-Mar 30-Mar
51 32
Fecha PERU 1 1 PERU
13-Mar Casos % Diario % Prom 2 LIMA
14-Mar 39 3 NO LIMA
15-Mar 62 58.97% 4 Piura
16-Mar 86 38.71% 5 Lambayeque
17-Mar 106 23.26% 6 Arequipa
18-Mar 136 28.30% 7 Cusco
19-Mar 193 41.91% 8 Callao
20-Mar 256 32.64% 9 La Libertad
21-Mar 313 22.27% 10 Loreto
22-Mar 344 9.90% 11 Junín
23-Mar 383 11.34% 29.70% 12 Huánuco
24-Mar 416 8.62% 27.59% 13 Tumbes
25-Mar 480 15.38% 23.23% 14 Ica
26-Mar 580 20.83% 21.45% 15 Ancash
27-Mar 634 9.31% 20.05% 16 Cajamarca
28-Mar 669 5.52% 17.77% 17 Madre de Dios
29-Mar 807 20.63% 15.64% 18 San Martín
30-Mar 950 17.72% 14.15% 19 Pasco
31-Mar 1065 12.11% 13.14% 20 Ayacucho
1-Apr 1319 23.85% 14.53% 21 Huancavelica
2-Apr 1413 7.13% 14.11% 22 Tacna
3-Apr 1592 12.67% 14.51% 23 Apurímac
4-Apr 1756 10.30% 14.01% 24 Moquegua
5-Apr 2281 29.90% 14.91% 25 Puno
26 Amazonas
27 Ucayali
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
4-Apr 52
PERU - Casos : 2281
Casos x Millón de Hab : 70.2
45.00%
Promedio del % Cambio Diario de los Últimos 10 Días
40.00%
35.00%
30.00%
25.00%
20.00%
15.00%
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
22-Mar 24-Mar 26-Mar 28-Mar 30-Mar 1-Apr 3-Apr 5-Apr 7-
Fecha