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RE LATIONSHIP BETWEEN
  THE UNITED
STATES AND COCOLOMBIA
  TODAY
 

CULTURE AN REGIONAL ECONOMY


  OF AMERICA
AUTOR: Luis Armando Malo Peniche / Johana
  Paola Hoyos Jiménez

 
INDEX  

1. The migration of Colombians to the United States


2. Geo-US strategy in the Andean region
3. The importance of emerging economies

THEMATIC  DEVELOPMENT    

1. The  migration  of  Colombians  to  the  United  States  

While  the  United  States  has  been  characterized  as  a  nation  of  immigrants,  the  importance  of  Latin  
American   migration   to   this   nation   is   unquestionable,   since   Hispanics   have   become   the   largest  
minority  ethno  cultural  United  States.  Throughout  the  years,  especially  since  the  beginning  of  the  
century,  the  migration  of  people  from  Latin  America  to  the  United  States  has  been  a  sensitive  
issue  in  the  relations  of  the  countries  of  this  region  with  the  United  States.    

South  American  immigrants  in  the  United  States,  though  small  in  absolute  numbers  compared  to  
those  from  Mexico  and  Central  America,  experienced  the  fastest  growth  since  1960  among  all  
Latin  American  immigrant  groups.  The  number  of  South  American  immigrants  grew  from  90,000  
in  1960  to  around  2.9  million  in  2014,  representing  a  32-­‐fold  increase.  In  1960,  South  Americans  
accounted  for  just  1  percent   of   the   total  foreign-­‐born   population  in  the   United   States;   by   2014,  
their  share  increased  to  7  percent  of  the  nation’s  42.4  million  immigrants.  In  2014,  the  five  largest  
countries   of   origin   were   Colombia   (707,000,   or   25   percent   of   all   South   American   immigrants),  
Peru   (449,000,   16   percent),   Ecuador   (424,000,   15   percent),   Brazil   (336,000,   12   percent),   and  
Guyana   (273,000,   10   percent).   Together,   they   accounted   for   more   than   three-­‐quarters   (77  
percent)  of  the  total  South  American  immigrant  population.  

Distribution  of  South  American  Immigrants  by  Country  of  Origin,  2014  (Migration  policy  institute,  
2016)  

2 POLITÉCNICO GRANCOLOMBIANO
 
Approximately   998.000   Colombian   immigrants   and   their   children   reside   in   the   United   States.  
Colombia   is   the   largest   source   of   South   American   immigration   to   the   United   States   and   the   14th  
largest  source  of  immigrants  overall,  accounting  for  1.7  percent  of  the  country’s  foreign  born-­‐
population.  Most  Colombian-­‐born  people  in  the  United  States  immigrated  during  the  1980s  and  
1990s.   Although   the   majority   of   Colombians   who   obtained   U.S   lawful   permanent   resident   (LPR)  
status   in   recent   years   gained   permanent   residence   through   family   reunification,   a   significant  
share  did  so  by  claiming  asylum  or  being  resettled  as  refugees.  

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Persons  obtaining  lawful  permanent  resident  status  by  region  and  selected  country  of  last  residence:  fiscal  years  
1820  to  2014  (HomelandSecurity,  2016)  

 
US  geostrategy  in  the  Andean  region  

In  the  scenario  of  the  global  war  for  resources,  Latin  America  is  one  of  the  main  battlegrounds,  
because   supplies   25%   of   all   natural   resources   and   energy   needed   by   the   United   States.   In  
addition,  the  peoples  of  Latin  America  and  the  Caribbean  live  in  a  territory  which  is  25%  of  forests  
and  40%  of  the  biodiversity  of  the  globe.  Nearly  a  third  of  the  world's  reserves  of  copper,  bauxite  
and  silver  are  part  of  their  wealth,  and  keeps  in  its  bowels  27%  coal,  24%  oil,  gas  8%  and  5%  of  
uranium.  And  their  watersheds  contain  35%  of  the  world's  hydropower  power.  

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At  present  it  has  regained  importance  the  colonial  international  division  of  labor,  which  is  based  
on   mining,   intensive   and   predatory   type,   of   the   countries   of   Latin   America.   This   has   meant   that  
multinational   companies   from   Canada,   Europe,   China,   have   seized,   as   in   the   old   days   of   the  
colony,   large   territorial   portions   of   the   continent,   where   mineral   deposits   are   found.   The  
insatiable  quest  for  metallic  and  nonmetallic  minerals  has  led  in  these  countries  are  implemented  
multinational  extractive,  which  has  generated  a  cyclical  boom  that  has  raised  the  prices  of  these  
minerals.  

In   this   geopolitical   context,   Colombia   plays   a   crucial   role:   its   privileged   spatial   location,   situated  
between  south  and  Central  America;  for  being  the  only  South  American  country  with  coasts  on  
two  oceans;  for  its  extraordinary  biodiversity  and  freshwater  sources;  for  its  forest  and  mineral  
wealth.  (Cantor,  2016)  

Among  the  priorities  of  the  United  States,  it  is  well  known  that  the  countries  of  the  Andean  region  
have  not  been  among  its  global  priorities.  However  it  is  undeniable  that  the  United  States  and  
Latin  America  depends  on  each  other,  on  different  aspects,  ranging  from  the  impact  of  migration  
from  Latin  America  to  the  United  States,  to  the  mutual  economic  dependence.  

The  US  strategy  in  the  region  has  been  determined  by  two  distinct  aspects:  promoting  economic  
welfare  of  the  nation  and  the  protection  of  US  security.  

It  is  for  this  reason  that  the  United  States  has  taken  controversial  decisions  that  have  been  seen  
by  some  as  a  new  strategy  for  a  new  imperialism  different  from  past  centuries.  For  example,  the  
militarization  of  the  region,  which  is  part  of  various  agreements  such  as  the  Colombia  Plan,  to  the  
deployment   of   massive   military   force   in   different   neighbors   or   set   up   military   bases   throughout  
the  continent.  

This   militarization   is   also   possible   to   perceive   when   the   US   strategy   tested   against   a   worrying  
problem  facing  the  region:  drug  trafficking.  

For  example,  in  the  early  80s,  the  drug  problem  was  tackled  from  the  national  level,  trying  to  find  
solutions   from   internal   policies,   such   as   strengthening   democracy   and   trade.   However,   as   the  
years  passed  and  the  problem  was  further  exacerbated,  the  United  States  came  closer  to  a  policy  
of  militarization  and  securitization,  but  also  accompanied  with  other  parts  of  the  regional  agenda  
as  the  launch  of  the  Free  Trade  Area  of  the  Americas  (FTAA).  

United  States  as  a  hegemonic  power  in  the  world,  used  its  victory  in  the  Cold  War  to  strengthen  
its  military  power,  using  scientific  and  technological  developments,  in  order  to  terrorize  and  crush  
the   potential   opponents   if   they   would   start   a   Formal   war   or   potential   competitors   emerge.   This  
was  reflected  in  1992  document  entitled  "Guidelines  for  Defense  Planning",  which  was  indicated  
as  a  priority  that  "the  United  States  should  prevent  competition  from  those  who  aspire  to  play  a  
leading  role  in  the  regional  or  global  level"  and  even  contemplated  the  use  of  nuclear,  biological  

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and  chemical  weapons  preemptively,  "even  in  conflicts  where  American  interests  are  not  directly  
threatened"  

The  attacks  of  September  2001  deepened  the  tendency  to  prioritize  issues  of  terrorism  and  drug  
trafficking  in  the  region,  as  the  two  backbones  of  the  US  agenda  topics.  Indeed,  the  fight  against  
terrorism  is  now  the  first  US  concern  globally.  In  fact,  in  the  National  Security  Strategy,  it  alluded  
to  links  between  extremist  terrorist  groups  and  drug  trafficking  activities  that  help  finance  these  
groups;  and  this  is  the  only  hemispheric  issue  really  significant  in  the  view  of  US  security.  (Adrián  
Bonilla,  2016)  

On  the  other  hand,  in  terms  of  economy,  the  supply  of  natural  resources  from  the  Andean  region  
to  the  United  States  is  fundamental.  While  some  would  argue  that  the  United  States  seeks  to  
maintain  its  global  hegemony  by  military  means  controlling  places  and  strategic  resources  such  
as   oil,   water,   biodiversity   and   minerals,   which   cannot   be   denied   is   that   whether   military   or  
militarily,   this   potential   world   does   depend   on   these   resources   that   America   offers.   Energy  
independence   and   access   to   oil,   it   makes   US   relations   with   countries   like   Venezuela,   Ecuador,  
Bolivia  and  Peru  join  because  of  this,  being  interdependent  in  one  way  or  another.  An  example  of  
this  is  that  the  total  imports  of  energy  products  from  Latin  America  to  the  US  is  27%  of  total  crude  
oil  imports  US.  

3.  The  importance  of  emerging  economies  

#9456342  

The  twenty-­‐first  century  could  be  the  time  when  the  balance  of  power  shifts  to  other  countries,  
such   as   Brazil,   Russia,   India,   China   and   South   Africa   (BRICS);   or   in   the   more   distant   future,  
emerging   countries   such   as   Colombia,   Indonesia,   Vietnam,   Egypt,   turkey   and   South   Africa  
(CIVETS)  could  play  a  prominent  role  in  both  the  economy  and  world  politics.        

6 POLITÉCNICO GRANCOLOMBIANO
But   before   talking   about   these   relevant   cases   the   question   must   be:   What   are   emerging  
countries?   In   this   sense,   emerging   countries   are   countries   in   transition,   which   are   among   the  
developing  and  developed  countries,  which  are  characterized  by  rapid  economic  growth.    

According  to  FTSE  (The  Financial  Times  Stock  Exchange),  emerging  countries  can  be  classified  into  
two   different   categories   of   markets.   A   first   category   is   the   Advanced   Emerging   Markets  
corresponding   to   middle-­‐income   countries   exceeding   gross   national   income   with   advanced  
market  infrastructures.  These  countries  are  Brazil,  China,  Czech  Republic,  Hungary,  India,  Mexico,  
Poland,  Russia,  South  Africa  and  Taiwan.      

In   the   category   of   Secondary   Emerging   Markets   are   countries   with   upper-­‐middle,   lower   middle  
and   low   GDP   incomes,   with   reasonable   market   infrastructures   of   significant   size,   and   some  
upper-­‐middle  income  GDP  with  less  developed  market  infrastructure.  Among  them  are  Argentina,  
Chile,   Colombia,   Egypt,   Indonesia,   Malaysia,   Morocco,   Pakistan,   Peru,   Philippines,   Romania,  
Thailand  and  Turkey.              

In  2010,  four  out  of  the  top  five  economies  in  the  world  were  part  of  the  West.  In  2050,  according  
to   Goldman   Sachs,   the   United   States   will   be   the   only   Western   power   to   make   it   into   the   top  
five.   Although   the   United   States   will   be   number   two   in   2050,   its   economy   will   be   much   smaller  
than  China's.  Goldman  Sachs  projects  that  China's  GDP  should  match  America's  by  2027,  and  then  
steadily  pull  ahead.  The  collective  GDP  of  the  four  leading  developing  countries  (the  BRICs-­‐-­‐Brazil,  
Russia,   India,   and   China)   is   likely   to   match   that   of   today's   leading   Western   nations   by   2032.   The  
World  Bank  predicts  that  the  U.S.  dollar  will  lose  its  global  dominance  by  2025  as  the  dollar,  euro,  
and  China's  renminbi  become  co-­‐equals  in  a  "multi-­‐currency"  monetary  system.  (Kupchan,  2012)  

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Undoubtedly,  these  emerging  economies  are  possibly  those  that  implement  a  certainly  different  
future,  leading  to  a  new  global  economy.  Among  this  group  of  nations  are  the  famous  BRICS.  The  
results  are  startling.  If  things  go  right,  in  less  than  40  years,  the  BRICs  economies  together  could  
be  larger  than  the  G6  in  US  dollar  terms.  By  2025  they  could  account  for  over  half  the  size  of  the  
G6.  Of  the  current  G6,  only  the  US  and  Japan  may  be  among  the  six  largest  economies  in  US  dollar  
terms  in  2050.  The  list  of  the  world’s  ten  largest  economies  may  look  quite  different  in  2050.  The  
largest  economies  in  the  world  (by  GDP)  may  no  longer  be  the  richest  (by  income  per  capita),  
making  strategic  choices  for  firms  more  complex.  (Goldmansachs,  2003)  

 
 

The  key  assumption  underlying  our  projections  is  that  the  BRICs  maintain  policies  and  develop  
institutions  that  are  supportive  of  growth.  Each  of  the  BRICs  faces  significant  challenges  in  keeping  
development  on  track.  This  means  that  there  is  a  good  chance  that  our  projections  are  not  met,  
either   through   bad   policy   or   bad   luck.   But   if   the   BRICs   come   anywhere   close   to   meeting   the  
projections   set   out   here,   the   implications   for   the   pattern   of   growth   and   economic   activity   could  
be  large.  (Goldmansachs,  2003)  

8 POLITÉCNICO GRANCOLOMBIANO
 

In   less   than   40   years,   the   BRICs’   economies   together   could   be   larger   than   the   G6   in   US   dollar  
terms.  By  2025  they  could  account  for  over  half  the  size  of  the  G6.  Currently  they  are  worth  less  
than  15%.  

The  relative  importance  of  the  BRIC  as  an  engine  of  growth  in  the  new  global  economic  power,  
could  drastically  change  the  current  dynamics  in  less  time  than  expected.  The  greatest  growth  in  
these  economies  could  offset  the  impact  of  the  aging  and  less  productive  populations  and  slower  
growth  in  developed  economies.  

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Further  growth  can  also  lead  to  higher  performance  and  greater  demand  for  capital.  At  the  same  
time,  the  weight  of  the  BRICs  in  investment  portfolios  could  increase  considerably.    

The  changing  league  table  of  world  GDP  in  PPP  terms  is  shown  in  Table  1.  China  is  already  the  
world’s  biggest  economy  in  PPP  terms,  and  we  project  that  India  could  have  the  potential  to  just  
overtake   the   US   as   the   world’s   second   largest   economy   by   2050   in   PPP   terms   (although   the  
projected   difference   is   small   relative   to   the   margin   of   uncertainty   around   any   such   projections).  
We  project  that  the  gap  between  the  three  biggest  economies  (i.e.  China,  India  and  the  US)  and  
the  rest  of  the  world  will  widen  over  the  next  few  decades.  In  2014,  the  third  biggest  economy  in  
PPP  terms  (India)  is  around  50%  larger  than  the  fourth  biggest  economy  (Japan).  In  2050,  the  third  
biggest  economy  in  PPP  terms  (the  US)  is  projected  to  be  approximately  240%  larger  than  the  
fourth  biggest  economy  (Indonesia).  The  rise  of  Indonesia  and  Nigeria  through  the  world  rankings  
throughout  the  period  to  2050  is  very  striking:  Indonesia  rises  from  9th  in  2014  to  4th  in  2050,  
and  Nigeria  rises  from  20th  in  2014  to  9th  in  2050.  However,  average  income  per  capita  (i.e.  GDP  
per   capita)   will   still   be   significantly   higher   in   the   advanced   economies   than   the   emerging  
economies   in   2050.   The   current   gap   in   income   per   capita   between   developing   and   developed  
countries  is  just  too  large  to  bridge  fully  over  this  period.  (PWC,  2015)  

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With  the  BRICs  story  largely  having  moved  into  the  mainstream,  we  are  often  asked  Who  will  be  
the   next   BRICs?   While   the   N-­‐11   may   not   have   the   same   transformative   impact   on   the   world  
economy  that  the  BRICs  may  realize,  they  nonetheless  present  interesting  growth  stories,  and  
several  countries  in  this  group  could  rival  the  G7  in  time.  As  laid  out  in  our  Global  Economics  Paper  
No.  153,  the  N-­‐11  include  Bangladesh,  Egypt,  Indonesia,  Iran,  Korea,  Mexico,  Nigeria,  Pakistan,  
Philippines,  Turkey  and  Vietnam.  (Goldmansachs,  2007  )  

Energy   Consumption   Increasing   in   N-­‐11!   The   N-­‐11   together  


account   for   7%   of   global   GDP   and   9%   of   the   world’s   energy  
consumption,  while  China  accounts  for  6%  of  GDP  and  13%  
of   energy   consumption.   This   reflects   more   industry-­‐
intensive  economies  and  less  energy-­‐efficient  technologies  
than  in  the  developed  world.  

Leading   to   Rising   CO2   Emissions’   The   N-­‐11   and   BRICs  


together  accounted  for  more  CO2  emissions  than  the  G6  in  
2004,  making  these  countries’  cooperation  critical  to  future  
global   efforts   to   curb   emissions.   In   2004,   the   N-­‐11   (with  
almost  19%  of  the  world’s  population)  accounted  for  9%  of  
total  emissions,  compared  with  29%  for  the  BRICs  and  35%  
for   the   G6   (with   population   shares   of   43%   and   11%,  
respectively)    

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Finally  there  are  the  CIVETS,  The  members  are:  Colombia,  Indonesia,  Vietnam,  Egypt,  Turkey  and  
South  Africa.  It  is  believed  that  could  potentially  contribute  to  the  growth  of  the  world  economy,  
as  are  doing  the  BRIC.  

Colombia,  Indonesia,  Vietnam,  Egypt,  Turkey  and  South  Africa  were  first  grouped  together  by  the  
Economist  Intelligence  Unit  as  a  ‘second  tier  of  emerging  markets’  in  2009.  In  2010,  former  HSBC  
Group   Chief   Executive   Michael   Geoghegan   further   popularized   the   term   by   hailing   the   CIVETS  
countries  as  ‘a  new  group  of  emerging  market  dynamos’  on  account  of  their  large,  young  and  
growing  populations,  diverse  and  dynamic  economies,  and  (comparative)  political  stability.    

While  all  countries  in  this  group  have  very  significant  differences,  they  also  have  a  common  factor:  
they   are   emerging   economies   that   reflect   a   "Potential   for   rapid   development   and   promise   to  
reward  those  willing  to  take  the  risk  of  investing  in  them"  (Sesin,  2011)  

As  mentioned  above,  a  main  focus  of  the  CIVET  is  attracting  foreign  investment.  According  to  The  
Economist,  this  group  of  countries  may  have  in  the  next  twenty  years  growth  of  4.5%  in  GDP,  
slightly   below   the   expected   for   the   BRIC   nations   is   4.9%,   but   well   above   the   set   of   developed  
nations  of  the  G-­‐7,  which  is  just  1.8%.  

But  while  the  CIVETS’  populations  are  still  large,  young  and  growing,  their  economies  and  political  
systems   have   undergone   significant   changes   in   the   last   years   –   which,   in   turn,   affects   how  
attractive  these  countries  are  for  British  businesses  looking  to  go  global.  

  CULTURE AND REGIONAL ECONOMY OF AMERICA 13


 
GLOSSARY    

GEOSTRATEGY  

A   subfield   of   geopolitics,   is   a   type   of   foreign   policy   guided   principally   by   geographical   factors   as  


they  inform,  constrain,  or  affect  political  and  military  planning.  As  with  all  strategies,  geostrategy  
is  concerned  with  matching  means  to  ends,  ,in  this  case,  a  country's  resources  (whether  they  are  
limited  or  extensive)  with  its  geopolitical  objectives  (which  can  be  local,  regional,  or  global)  

IMMIGRANT  

A  person  who  comes  to  a  country  where  they  were  not  born  in  order  to  settle  there  

PRIMARY  ENERGY    

Primary  energy  includes  all  energy  products  not  transformed,  directly  exploited  or  imported.  It  
mainly   includes   crude   oil,   oil   shale,   natural   gas,   solid   mineral   fuels,   biomass,   solar   radiation,  
hydraulic  energy,  wind  energy,  geothermic  energy  and  the  energy  taken  from  uranium  fission.  

SECURITISATION    

A  term  used  to  define  the  kind  of  foreign  policy  that  the  United  States  had  with  Colombia,  when  
based  its  economic  aid  to  security  issues  arising  from  matters  of  general  interest  such  as  the  war  
on  terror  or  drug  trafficking.  It  is  also  known  as  militarization  of  aid.  

14 POLITÉCNICO GRANCOLOMBIANO
REFERENCES  

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http://atlas.media.mit.edu/en/profile/country/col/  

Tradingeconomics.  (2016,  July  16).  Tradingeconomics.  Retrieved  from  Colombia  Balance  of  
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US.Department  of  state.  (2016,  July  17).  US.Department  of  state.  Retrieved  from  U.S.  Relations  
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Office  of  the  united  states  representative.  (18  de  July  de  2016).  Office  of  the  united  states  
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Cancilleria.  (2016,  July  16).  Cancilleria.  Retrieved  from  Principles  and  outlines  of  Colombian  
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Embajada  Estados  Unidos.  (2016,  July  17).  Embajada  Estados  Unidos.  Retrieved  from  
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Cantor,  R.  V.  (2016,  July  18).  Herramienta.  Retrieved  from  Las  bases  militares  en  América  Latina.  
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Adrián  Bonilla,  A.  P.  (2016,  November).  Nueva  sociedad.  Retrieved  from  Distancia  y  diversidad:  
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Kupchan,  C.  A.  (2012,  February  17).  theatlantic.  Retrieved  from  The  World  in  2050:  When  the  5  
Largest  Economies  Are  the  BRICs  and  Us:  

  CULTURE AND REGIONAL ECONOMY OF AMERICA 15


 
http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2012/02/the-­‐world-­‐in-­‐2050-­‐when-­‐the-­‐5-­‐largest-­‐
economies-­‐are-­‐the-­‐brics-­‐and-­‐us/253160/  

Goldmansachs.  (2003,  October  1st).  Goldmansachs.  Retrieved  from  Dreaming  With  BRICs:  The  
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