Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Bank’s Performance
Chapter 2
Banking Regulations
-Bank runs and how to
over come it
Chapter 1 - Theories of
Financial Intermediation
-What do banks do? Chapter 3 - Risks in
Banking
Chapter 4 - Credit Risks
-Introduction to other
risks
Market
Chapter 5
ALM –Liquidity, Interest Operations
rate Risk
Solvency
Chapter 5 –
Balance Sheet Management
Liquidity Risk & Interest Rate Risk
Overview
Definition of ALM
Causes of Interest rate & liquidity risk
Relationship between interest rate risk and liquidity risk
ALM
Why is ALM required
Objectives of ALM
General ALM strategies
ALM Techniques
Liquidity Gap Analysis
Interest Rate Gap Analysis
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Aim
• Explain the purpose and focus of balance sheet (Asset & Liability)
management
• Consider the relevance of liquidity risk and interest rate risk within
the context of asset and liability management
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Learning Objectives
Be able to:
• Discuss the principles of asset and liability management
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Bank’s Balance Sheet
Liabilities
Asset (Funding)
Capital
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Why ALM is Required (Rationale for ALM) – 2/3
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SIMLOCC
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Interest rate risk relates to risk of loss
Objectives of ALM incurred due to changes in market
interest rates, through reduced
1. Interest Rate Risk Management interest margins on outstanding loans
NII = (Interest revenue from assets) – (Interest cost of funding the loan)
Loan 10,000
NII
Revenue 5% 500
Net interest margin (NIM) = -------------- Interest Cost -2% (200)
Total Asset to derive NII 3% 300 NII
NIM 5% - 2% = 3%
b. Enhance profitability while: 300 / 10,000 = 3%
– controlling and limiting different risks inherent in
– modern banking
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Variable i i
Risk
time time
Interest
charged on
loans Risk
i i
Fixed
time time
Fixed Variable
Interest cost of funding loans
5 revenue
4
Revenue
Fix Float
Year 1 Year 2
Loan B Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Loan B Sibor 1.8 2.5 1.7 1.5 3 3.5 1.3 2.8
Loan Rate – 3 mth Sibor + 1% Margin above SIBOR 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Rate Payable by Borrower 2.8 3.5 2.7 2.5 4 4.5 2.3 3.8
Cost – 3% Fixed Rate Cost of Funds (3%) 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Margin -0.2 0.5 -0.3 -0.5 1 1.5 -0.7 0.8
5
4
Revenue
Fix Float
3
Fluctuating Net Margin
2
Fix Float 1
Cost 0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Year 1 Year 2
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Year 1 Year 2
Loan A Loan A Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Loan Rate – 3.5% Fixed Rate Payable by Borrower 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5
Cost of Funds (SIBID) 1.675 2.375 1.575 1.375 2.875 3.375 1.175 2.675
Cost – 3 mth Sibid Margin 1.825 1.125 1.925 2.125 0.625 0.125 2.325 0.825
4
3.5
3
Fluctuating Net Margin
Revenue
Fix Float
2.5
2
1.5
1
Fix Float
Cost 0.5
0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Year 1 Year 2
Year 1 Year 2
Loan B Loan B Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Loan Rate – 3.5% Fixed Rate Payable by Borrower 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5
3% Fixed 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Cost – 3% Fixed Rate Margin 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
3.6
3.5
3.4
Revenue
Fix Float
3.3
3.2
Constant Net Margin
3.1
3
Fix Float 2.9
Cost 2.8
2.7
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Year 1 Year 2
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Risks that are associated with a
Objectives of ALM bank finding itself unable to
meet its commitments on time,
or only being able to do so by
recourse to emergency
2. Liquidity Risk Management
borrowing
Liquidity - refers to how easily the assets can be converted into cash.
Possible
e.g. a high quality
Long Term LT government LT assets are illiquid
Maturity security may be
sold easily
Asset Maturity
Short Term
Unlikely
Maturity
Same analysis for
liabilities
Liquid Illiquid
Assets Assets
Short time needed Long time needed
for asset to be for asset to be
converted to cash converted to cash
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A15 Q5
Explain the nature of liquidity risk and interest rate risk, and analyse the relevance of
gap analysis for managing these risks.
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Pg 20 of Study Guide
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Funding of Assets
Short Term
Maturity
Short Term
Maturity
Eg. A loan Long Term
maturing in 3 Maturity
months
Assets
Short Term
Maturity
Long Term
Maturity
Eg. A loan Long Term
maturing in 10 Maturity
years
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Liquidity Risk
Risk arise due to mismatch between the sizes and
maturities of assets and liabilities
Asset Liabilities
ST
Maturity ST
Maturity
LT
Maturity LT
Maturity
Asset Liability
Management Management
Maximize return on Maximize return in the
loans granted and interbank market#
securities purchased # Interest Rate
Risk
Credit risk Minimize default risks Minimize cost of
management
funding#
Maintain adequate Minimize withdrawal
liquidity to fund risks by maintaining
loans* adequate liquidity to
prevent bank run*
* Liquidity
risk management * Liquidity risk
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In deciding on the ALM strategy, the bank has to consider many factors,
including the bank’s attitude towards risk.
Complex Hedging
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A16 Q5
Explain the general risk measurement and risk management functions of banks.
Discuss how these functions are applied by banks when they use Asset and
Liability Management and gap analysis to manage liquidity risk and interest rate
risk.
A14 Q5
Discuss the motivations and techniques of Asset and Liability Management
B08 Q5
Discuss the rationale for asset and liability management in banks, and analyse the
techniques which are employed.
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Liability
Assets
Capital
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Managing Risk of Assets Growth
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• Guarantees given
• Forward-rate agreements
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Time
Position 12 months ahead
Maturity of Asset
Now
$100m loans @ 10%
Projected Assets
Liquidity Gap
Projected Liabilities $100m funding
(liabilities @ 6%)
3 months 9 months
1 - Loan is fully 2- Initial funding 3- If bank cannot 4 – Even If bank can get
funded @ the matures get funding, it will be funding, to repay the 5 – NIM
beginning by Bank seeks unable to repay the initial liability – NOT sure Uncertainty
Liability funding again initial liability – subsequent funding cost - Interest
Liquidity Risk Rate Risk
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Relationship between Interest Rate & Liquidity Risk
Asset Funding
Funding
VR Asset
S T Maturity S T Maturity i
Liquid VR Volatile
Assets Liabilities
time
Liquid Assets FR
Non Liq Assets
FR
Volatile Liab
Interest rate risk
Non Volatile Liab
VR
Equity
VR
time
Conclusion
Above example - no liquidity risk
but have interest rate risk
Refer back to Chapter 3 - why banks wants
to have a mismatch of interest rate?
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S T Maturity
VR VR Matched
Liquid
Assets
S T Maturity
FR Interest rate risk Volatile
Liabilities
Liquidity risk
Equity
Liquid Assets
Non Liq Assets
Volatile Liab
Non Volatile Liab
Equity
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Assets Liabilities
Fixed
A Fixed B Rate 1 Fixed 2 Fixed
Rate Rate
Rate
Fixed Non- Fixed
Liquid Non-
Rate Liquid Rate Volatile
Volatile
Asset Asset Liabilities
Liabilities
C D Variable Variable
Rate 3 Variable 4
Variable Rate
Floating Rate Floating Rate
Rate Non- Rate Non-
Liquid Liquid Volatile Volatile
Asset Asset Liabilities Liabilities
• Increased competition
Liquidity 3a 3b Interest
2 Risk Rate Risk
Factors Impacting The Balance Banks’
Sheet
• Increased competition 4 Why ALM required
• Technological and financial innovation
• Bank’s diverse range of activities
• Re-regulation
• Customer needs
• Interest & exchange rate volatility
• Subset of SIMLOCC
• Securitisation & derivatives
• Most applicable to commercial banks
Objectives of ALM
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Recap 1
1. What is ALM?
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Summary of Impact
Factors Impact
Changes in economic
Affects Liquidity
environment - loan demand
Customer relationship –
Affects Liquidity
unexpected draw downs
– Ensure that funds earn the highest possible returns when not needed (e.g. funds
not deployed in loans).
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Banks have little
control over seasonal
loan demand and
deposit withdrawal
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Issue
Economic conditions are important determinants of the banks’ assets
and liabilities composition
Mitigation
Strong Economy Weak Economy
• Strong loan demand • Weak loan demand
• Banks run down their liquid asset • Banks to rely less on external
portfolios in order to support loan borrowings since there are less
demand (convert assets into loans to fund
cash for lending out)
Issue
• Regulatory capital requirements constrain bank’s abilities to manage
its portfolios. Regulators set rules on the amount of capital & types of
liabilities bank is required to have.
Liquidity
Regulations
Regulators set rules on minimum liquid assets to hold
Mitigation
• Balance sheet structure should be flexible to accommodate
unexpected loan demands and changes in customer portfolio
preferences due to:
– changing availability of funds Impacted by regulators
– rising cost of short-term funds Further discussion in following slides
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(2) Monetary Policy And Banking Supervision – Affects Interest Rate
3-Borrowed
Reserves
at the Federal
Reserve
Discount
Window.
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Strong economy –
Banks have little Monetary policy
how to fund asset
control over seasonal impacts interest
growth
loan demand and rates a and
Weak economy –
deposit withdrawal market liquidity
how to generate
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Issue
• Interest rate is determined by the market.
Mitigation
• Banks based their funding and lending strategies based on the
expected market direction of interest rates. (see next slide for more
details)
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Effects of Funding Strategy When Bank Expects
Interest Rates To Rise
Assets Liabilities
(Uses) (Funding)
LT LT
Lock in
ST ST
VR FR VR FR
Rate
time time
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Chart 1
Bank’s INTERNAL view of 3 months
Interbank Rate
15.2% x
x6
x5
x4
x3
x2 Bank believes that when the current loan
7.8% x1
x0 matures in mth 3, a new 3 mth loan (from mth
3 to mth 6 will be priced higher @x1
Now
3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24
The rate for a 3 months loan (maturing in mth
3) now is 7.8%
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Bank borrow with long a maturity as possible (e.g. 24 mth fixed rate funding) →
Lock in low cost of funds
3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24
COF 7.80% 8.20% 8.60% 8.90% 9.10% 9.30% 9.42% 9.50%
3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24
Cost of borrowing for 3 mths today 7.80%
Cost of borrowing for 6 mths today 8.20%
Cost of borrowing for 9 mths today 8.60%
Cost of borrowing for 12 mths today 8.90%
Cost of borrowing for 15 mths today 9.10%
Cost of borrowing for 18 mths today 9.30%
Cost of borrowing for 21 mths today 9.42%
Cost of borrowing for 24 mths today 9.50%
Yield Curve - A
line that plots 15.00%
http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-
Bank’s INTERNAL view of 3 months chart-center/interest-
rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=yieldYear&ye
Interbank Rate ar=2011
15.2%
9.5%
7.8%
Now
3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24
Effects of locking in long term funds now @ 9.5%
3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24
3 mth loan rolled over at 7.80% 8.6% 9.4% 10.4% 11.4% 12.6% 13.8% 15.2%
Borrow for 24 mths at 9.50% 9.50% 9.50% 9.50% 9.50% 9.50% 9.50% 9.50%
Quarterly NIM -1.70% -0.92% -0.06% 0.88% 1.92% 3.06% 4.32% 5.70%
7.8%
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Effects of strategy when Bank Expects interest
rates to fall
Assets Liabilities
(Uses) (Funding)
LT LT
Lock in
ST ST
VR FR VR FR
Rate
time time
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7.8 %
3.7%
Now 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24
3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24
Loans rate locked in for 24 months 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0%
Fund by renewing rate every 3 mths 7.8% 7.0% 6.3% 5.7% 5.1% 4.6% 4.1% 3.7%
Quarterly NIM 0.2% 1.0% 1.7% 2.3% 2.9% 3.4% 3.9% 4.3%
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Financial Markets – cont’d
Forecasted 3 months Current Yield Curve
Interbank Rate 8%
7.8 %
3.7%
Now 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24
3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24
Loan 24 months 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0%
3 mth COF 7.8% 7.0% 6.3% 5.7% 5.1% 4.6% 4.1% 3.7%
Quarterly NIM 0.2% 1.0% 1.7% 2.3% 2.9% 3.4% 3.9% 4.3%
7.8%
Margin
Result of Strategy
3.7% Cost
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• Decline of the US savings and loans (S&Ls) industry from the late
1970s onwards.
Time
1 2
• Many S&Ls had lent at fixed rates when interest rates were low 3
and yet they had to fund these by taking deposits at ever increasing
variable rates.
4
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Maturity Transformation Function
• Borrowing short to lend long was the financial structure that federal policy
effectively forced S&Ls to follow in the aftermath of the Great Depression.
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Locked in revenue
% Lend fixed
Bank Losses
Midland Bank (HSBC) £110
RBS closed
their gap in Barclay £22
million
time (details in National Westminister (RBS) £0
next slide)
Further discussion under interest
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rate gap analysis in later slides
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Original situation
Fixed Rate Var Rate
Assets 100 0 i
Liabilities 0 100
-100 Variable rate gap time
Remedied situation
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Quotation - About Interest Rate Risk
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Strong economy –
Banks have little Monetary policy Expected
how to fund asset
control over seasonal impacts interest movements in
growth
loan demand and rates a and market rates
Weak economy –
deposit withdrawal market liquidity affects the banks’
how to generate
strategies
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Customer Relationships – Affects Liquidity
Issue
• Banks have commitments to customers
– (e.g. unused overdraft and credit lines, revolving credit facilities) and
guarantees (e.g. standby letters of credit, commercial letters of credit)
Mitigation
• Bank must know
– lines of credit and guarantees that have been extended,
– expected drawdown of these facilities in the future.
(Example in next page)
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• While the line was there, Deutsche Bank did not expect Porsche to
draw down the line.
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Summary
Recap
Strong economy –
Banks have little Monetary policy Expected
how to fund asset Demands by
control over seasonal impacts interest movements in
growth customer for funds
loan demand and rates a and market rates
Weak economy – leading to liquidity
deposit withdrawal market liquidity affects the banks’
how to generate problem for banks
strategies
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Liquidity 3a 3b Interest
2 Risk Rate Risk
Factors Impacting The Balance Banks’
Sheet
• Increased competition 4 Why ALM required
• Technological and financial innovation
• Bank’s diverse range of activities
• Re-regulation
• Customer needs
• Interest & exchange rate volatility
• Subset of SIMLOCC
• Securitisation & derivatives
• Most applicable to commercial banks
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Recap 2
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Fixed Variable
Rate Rate
Assets
Liabilities
Definition
FIXED Rate Gap
fixed rate assets - fixed
rate liabilities
• The interest rate gap links variations in the net interest margin to
variations in interest rates.
– It is a standard measure of interest rate risk exposure
In other words
• Interest rate gap analysis can be used to determine
– the effect on net interest margin or net interest income
– Based on changes in the interest rate environment
• Assumption
– gap is constant over the period of investigation, (example below is for 1 year)
– interest rates on all maturities change by the same amount
• the change in interest margin (IM) due to a change in the common
interest rate, i, will be:
Var Rate Gap
Refer back to slide 56,57 on banks opening a negative variable rate gap
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Situation 1
– ↓VR Asset & ↑VR Liab Convert fixed rate funding to variable rate
funding
Fixed Rate Var Rate Fixed Rate Var Rate
Assets 0 100 Assets 0 100
Liabilities 100 0 Liabilities 0 100
VR Gap +100 VR Gap 0
Situation 2
Convert using interest rate swap
– ↑ VR Asset ↓VR Liab Convert variable rate funding to fixed rate
funding
Fixed Rate Var Rate Fixed Rate Var Rate
Assets 100 0 Assets 100 0
Liabilities 0 100 Liabilities 100 0
VR Gap -100 VR Gap 0
Prepared by Adam Wong Refer back to slide 56,57 on banks opening a negative variable rate gap
Asset Liability
Fixed Floating
Rate @ 5% Rate @ LIBOR
Underlying
Lend @ fixed rate Loan funded by variable rate transaction
Bank
VRA < VRL
Fixed Floating • -ve variable rate Gap
Interest payments to each
Rate @ Rate @ • Convert floating rate
other @ regular intervals 4.5% LIBOR liability to fixed rate
liability Hedging
transaction
Swap
Counter
Party
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Gap Analysis vs IRS
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Recap 3
21. What are the 3 factors that affect the interest margin?
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Bank makes money
through Asset 3
1 Transformation
Bank concerns
Unable to meet commitment
Liquidity 3a 3b Interest
2 Risk Rate Risk
Factors Impacting The Balance Banks’
Sheet
• Increased competition 4 Why ALM required
• Technological and financial innovation
• Bank’s diverse range of activities
• Re-regulation
• Customer needs
• Interest & exchange rate volatility
• Subset of SIMLOCC
• Securitisation & derivatives
• Most applicable to commercial banks
Liquid
Assets Volatile
Liabilities
Definition
Difference between the amount of
net liquid assets (Net LA) and
net volatile liabilities (Net VL).
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Liquidity
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Liquidity risk - relates to the eventuality that banks cannot fulfill one or
more of the above needs
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Balance Between Liquidity & Profitability
• Banks can either store liquidity in
– assets (e.g. cash or short term liquid investments) or
– purchase it in money and deposit markets (make a REPO
Recap overnight loan). – Reverse repo borrower agrees to
Ch3 – Nothern Rock depended very much on money market sell immediately a
which dried up. security to a lender
(next slide – Balance Sheet of Bank) and also agrees to
(Sources of liquidity in later slides) buy the same
security from the
• Liquid assets have lower returns, lender at a fixed
– stored liquidity has an opportunity cost that results in price at some later
a trade-off between liquidity and profitability. date.
(Generally - Shorter the term of the asset the lower the rate
of return)
• ALM aims to
1. increase the earning capacity of the bank
2. while at the same time ensuring an adequate liquidity
cushion. Liquidity Profitability
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Recap
Ch 1
$ mio
Loans 194,275 Non Bank Customers 218,992
Cash 25,304 Bank 27,601
11% of
total SGS 12,503 Others 61,185
assets Due from Banks 20,306 Total Liabilities 307,778
Others 88,459 Capital & MI 33,069
340,847 340,847
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What is a Liquidity Gap?
The liquidity gap is typically defined as the difference in amount
between
– net liquid assets (Net LA) and net volatile liabilities (Net VL).
Maturity Profile
Step 2 – Actions to
be taken
based on
Gap
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Step 1 - How Does Bank Know Whether A Gap Exist?
Maturity Profile
At a specific point in time
Liquidity Gap
Analysis
(Size of Gap)
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c
d
a-b- c-d
<7 7 to 30 to 90 to
days <30 <90 <365
(Liabilities due in < 7days) exceeds (assets maturing in <7 days) by this amount
Maturity buckets
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(Liquidity Gap Analysis) - 1-Maturity Profile
At a specific point in time
Example: Depending on
Example: Off balance interest rate strategy the
sheet commitments that bank may:
materialize needs to be E.g. Borrow ST variable &
funded & paid Lend LT fixed rate
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Maturity Profile
At a specific point in time (past data)
Liquidity Gap
Analysis
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Static vs Dynamic Gaps
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Recap 4
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Step 2
Actions Required When a Projected Liquidity Gap is Detected
Recap
Static Liquidity Gaps – differences of projected future assets & liabilities
Dynamic Liquidity Gaps - projected new loans and new deposits are added
to the amortisation profiles of existing assets & liabilities
+ve Gap
Non LA Non VL
LGap = Net LA – Net VL
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Step 2
Actions Required When a Projected Liquidity Gap is Detected
Projected Projected
Assets Liabilities
A
• If the bank’s projected liabilities L
exceed assets, the excess funds (from -ve Gap
the liabilities) must be invested. Non LA Non VL
Reason
Liquid assets have lower returns, stored liquidity has an
opportunity cost that results in a trade-off between liquidity and
profitability.
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A15 Q5
Explain the principles and application of liquidity gap analysis and interest rate gap
analysis.
A11 Q5
Explain the principles and application of liquidity gap analysis and interest rate gap
analysis.
A16 Q5
Explain the general risk measurement and risk management functions of banks.
Discuss how these functions are applied by banks when they use Asset and
Liability Management and gap analysis to manage liquidity risk and interest rate
risk.
A14 Q5
Discuss the motivations and techniques of Asset and Liability Management
B14 Q5
Explain how banks may manage interest rate risk by using gap analysis and interest
rate swaps.
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Sources of Liquidity - General
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2. Some banks find it much easier to borrow than others, a factor that
cannot be readily assessed by maturity profiles.
Equity
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(iii)
New
Assets A
L
E
(ii) (i)
Existing Sell off of
Cash Assets existing assets
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Bank makes money
through Asset 3
1 Transformation
Bank concerns
Unable to meet commitment
Liquidity 3a 3b Interest
2 Risk Rate Risk
Factors Impacting The Balance Banks’
Sheet
• Increased competition 4 Why ALM required
• Technological and financial innovation
• Bank’s diverse range of activities
• Re-regulation
• Customer needs
• Interest & exchange rate volatility
• Subset of SIMLOCC
• Securitisation & derivatives
• Most applicable to commercial banks
End
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