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THE CONFUSION ABOUT CLV IN CASE-BASED TEACHING MATERIALS

Neil T. Bendlea and Charan K. Baggab


a
Ivey Business School, Western University, London, ON, Canada; bHaskayne School of Business, University of
Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada

The authors review 33 cases and related materials to understand how customer lifetime value (CLV)
is taught. The authors examine (a) whether CLV is calculated using something other than contribu-
tion (e.g., revenue), (b) whether discounting is used, and (c) whether acquisition costs are subtracted
before reporting CLV. The authors show considerable confusion in teaching materials; they contain
incorrect formula, erroneous claims, and contradict other materials from the same school. The
solutions that the authors offer should improve the teaching of CLV. The authors recommend
educators always (a) use contribution margin, (b) discount cash flows, and (c) never subtract
acquisition costs before reporting CLV.

Customer lifetime value (CLV) is a critical marketing A BRIEF REVIEW OF CLV


concept (Bendle, Farris, Pfeifer, & Reibstein, 2010,
2015; Berger & Nasr, 1998; Gupta & Lehmann, 2006; CLV represents an attempt to objectively value custo-
Gupta, Lehmann, & Stuart, 2004; Joo, Kim, & Yang, mers. It is managerially important because given custo-
2011; Venkatesan & Kumar, 2004). Yet, many man- mers vary in their financial value to the firm, CLV can
agers do not seem to have a clear understanding of help inform decisions regarding which customers to
CLV (Bendle & Bagga, 2016). Quantifying CLV can be target and retain, and how much to spend in doing so.
challenging so some confusion is probably inevitable. In this research, we do not dig into the assumptions
This research highlights a different, and we believe behind CLV. (For challenges with CLV, see Fader &
relatively simple, problem to solve. The problem we Hardie, 2012; Pfeifer, Haskins, & Conroy, 2005; Pfeifer
see is twofold. First, there is great inconsistency & Ovchinnikov, 2011). Some scholars may question
between the materials being taught. Second, there are these assumptions but we start from the premise that
basic conceptual errors in how CLV is taught. We illus- CLV could be useful if properly understood and
trate the (a) inconsistency and (b) conceptual errors by applied. Rather than get immediately into specifics of
reviewing the available case-based teaching materials. what we mean by CLV we give a general definition
We then propose specific actionable recommendations from senior academics in Harvard Business Review.
on how CLV should be taught. “The customer lifetime value metric evaluates the
Our research has uncovered numerous statements future profits generated from a customer, properly dis-
about CLV that either do not align with best practice, counted to reflect the time value of money” (Rust,
or do not hold for the CLV formulation described in Moorman, & Bhalla, 2010). This captures three ideas
the teaching materials. The simplifications used to that we will show are confused in teaching materials.
help explain CLV to students often leave the result- We later provide specific recommendations in the
ing “CLV approximation” with no obvious manage- Conclusions section on how to tackle these issues.
rial application. Anyone who conscientiously First, the value from a customer is the profit that the
attempts to learn about CLV from the available customer generates for the firm. This is relatively uncon-
teaching materials is likely to become confused. troversial; it is the value that the firm is able to capture
that matters, and not the revenue generated from the
customer. Despite this concept being widely accepted,
we will show that teaching materials commonly erro-
neously use revenue as a measure of value.
Address correspondence to Neil T. Bendle, Ivey Business The second challenge is that marketers often do not
School, Western University, 1255 Western Road, London,
ON N6G 0N1, Canada. Email: nbendle@ivey.ca
discount future cash flows. Given that money today is

Marketing Education Review, vol. 27, no. 1 (2017), pp. 27–38.


Copyright Ó 2017 Society for Marketing Advances
ISSN: 1052–8008 (print) / ISSN 2153–9987 (online)
DOI: 10.1080/10528008.2016.1255561
28 Marketing Education Review

more valuable than money tomorrow, ignoring discount- many students. The idea of a customer with infinite life
ing in CLV calculations generally overstates the value of may puzzle some and requires a knowledge of calculus to
the customer relationship. This is especially true for cus- understand it.
tomer relationships of long duration. Compounding this The second formula, the N-period model (CLVN), is
issue further is the fact that CLV is most useful when simply the suitably discounted summation of the contri-
customer relationships are of long duration. bution margin associated with the customer over the
The final point to note is that CLV is said to relate to customer’s lifetime. The N-period model is a discrete per-
“future profits generated from a customer”. However, not iod model, and calculations are often spreadsheet based.
all CLV approaches adhere to this conceptualization. For When using historic data this model can determine what
example, one CLV approach assesses the value of custo- happened in the past. With suitable assumptions about
mers who have ceased to be customers—in other words, the future, the N-period model can also estimate future
the lifetime value is backward looking and historic. Other profitability. Mathematically, the N-period model is less
approaches look at the value of prospective customers. elegant than the infinite horizon model, and also does
Ofek (2014) does a helpful job of differentiating not capture the full lifetime value when N, the number of
between two ways to calculate CLV. The infinite horizon periods assessed, is a relatively small number, such as
approach uses finance-based techniques and assumptions 3 years. Given that the N-Period model (especially for
about future activity to project the future value of a custo- small periods) reflects only a partial lifetime Fader and
mer. It is a simple and intuitive way to provide projections Hardie (2014) recommend that the N-period customer
of the future, although the necessary assumptions (e.g., a value should not be called customer lifetime value
constant margin) may be overly restrictive in many indus- (CLV). Probably, the simpler solution they offer is to use
tries. The second approach, the N-Period model, can be a large number for N. With large Ns, e.g., 50 years, this
used when transaction data, often projected, is available formula approximates the value of the lifetime of a cus-
and is simply calculated by summing suitable discounted tomer relationship. The advantage of the N-Period model
entries over the N periods, often on a spreadsheet. is that it is more flexible and intuitive than the infinite-
period model; for example, one can easily vary margins
BASIC CLV FORMULAS and retention rates between periods.

We start with the infinite horizon CLV formula. (Note X


N
Margin  Retention Ratet1
CLVN ¼
that in order to simplify the formulas we ignore reten- t¼1 ð1 þ Discount RateÞ t1
tion spending as retention spending is not central to
our discussion. We recommend raising the issue of Throughout our research we consider the aim of CLV
retention spending after the students have mastered calculations to be to improve decision making and we
the basic formula.) The infinite horizon CLV formula echo the Rust et al. (2010) approach viewing the great-
can be written as follows: est utility of CLV as an input for future-focused man-
agerial decisions. Our conclusions start from the idea
Margin  Retention Rate that CLV should be useful to managers.
CLV1 ¼
1 þ Discount Rate  Retention Rate It is important to understand the models we detail are
not perfect and certainly cannot be applied in all situa-
ðwithout initital marginÞ tions. Fader and Hardie (2014) note that retention rates are
rarely constant across time as assumed in the infinite
Margin  Retention Rate horizon model; typically customers are more likely to
= Margin þ defect early in a relationship. Similarly, assumptions that
1 þ Discount Rate  Retention Rate
are essentially impossible, such as estimating which custo-
ðincluding initial marginÞ mers remain active, are needed in noncontractual situa-
tions. This means applying the infinite horizon formula to
This formula is especially useful as it projects lifetime noncontractual situations is likely to fail. These scholars
values from only a few variables and does not truncate also argue that if the initial margin isn’t included; this isn’t
the value after an arbitrary period (e.g., 5 years). the full lifetime value—a semantic point of importance to
Unfortunately, this formula is relatively unintuitive for our understanding of the output. Fader and Hardie (2014)
Spring 2017 29

make many excellent points, but we have observed that For all the materials, we used the latest dated version
the problems in how marketing educators teach CLV go available and excluded material for which (a) there was no
deeper than they suggest. Marketing educators must first English translation available, (b) there were no written
work to prevent (low hanging) mistakes in case-based teaching materials (a video case, syllabus, etc.), or (c) it
materials that are more rudimentary than the concerns was unclear how the writer envisaged CLV being calcu-
that Fader and Hardie (2014) raise. lated. (When given, any formula used is typically con-
tained in an attached teaching note). For background
WHAT WE DID information, we also collated a set of management articles,
e.g., HBR reprints. Our list of materials is in Table 1.
CLV is an important teaching tool. For example, In looking at teaching materials for this research, we
(Mummalaneni, 2014, page 44) describes: “A Customer examined only published work.
Lifetime Value (CLV) assignment that requires them [stu-
dents] to calculate CLV for different segments and dis- PROBLEMS IN THE TEACHING MATERIALS
cusses the managerial implications . . .students are
expected to synthesize and apply theoretical knowledge To establish the problems in CLV teaching materials we
to the solution of real-world problems.” Given CLV’s usage first note best practices. We then compare the claims made
in marketing curriculum, our research sought to uncover in the case-based teaching materials with best practices.
how CLV is explained in teaching, specifically case-based We highlight the logical problems in the materials when
materials. claims are made in a material that do not relate to the
Our basic approach was to collate the published formula given in the corresponding case-based material.
case-based teaching materials (cases, teaching notes, In highlighting the logical problems, we will use basic
and supplementary materials) that are available for theoretical and uncontroversial ideas such as the idea
the teaching of CLV. We wanted to create a set of that sunk costs should be ignored when making decisions.
cases from widely used case material providers to For example, we will show how case-based materials
ensure that we had the best and most popular materials include sunk costs in CLV and then say CLV can be used
available on the market. To do this, we reviewed the to inform decisions about current customers. Such mis-
websites of four major suppliers of cases. These were takes in teaching materials may lead students to inappro-
the Harvard Business School, Ivey Business School, The priately use sunk costs in their acquisition decisions.
Case Centre, and the Darden School of Business. These Hence, our advice should help improve quantitative
providers sell products from a range of different schools marketing.
so we were able to access materials from other top-
quality schools, such as Kellogg and IMD, through Must CLV Use Contribution?
these websites. On the websites of these four providers
we searched for “customer lifetime value” and “CLV.” A surprisingly common problem in CLV teaching mate-
We removed duplicates where cases are sold on more rials involves the use of revenue instead of contribution.
than one website; for example, Ivey cases also appear It is well known that revenue is not the basis of CLV,
on the Harvard website. To focus only on marketing (e.g., Bendle et al., 2015; Gupta & Lehmann, 2006). Best
related materials; if the website permitted filtering on practice from academic research is very clear that CLV is
only marketing-related materials, we did so. We also based upon contribution and not revenue.
dropped a number of cases which only mentioned but Furthermore, managers should never use revenue-based
did not calculate CLV, (e.g., the Starwood Hotels: projections alone to determine how much to spend on
Innovation through Marketing case from IMD). This acquiring and retaining customers. Given the variable
gave us our basic set of 33 case-based materials. In costs of serving the customers matter, it is unclear what
addition, we supplemented the cases we found from exactly lifetime values based upon revenue are useful for.
the website search with other cases that we (or other These values should certainly never be used to assess how
marketing colleagues in our network) identified as much to spend acquiring a customer. A firm doing so will
being CLV related cases. go bankrupt given it ignores the variable costs of serving
the customers.
Table 1
Relevant Materials Assessed
Short Name What Authors Version Source

1 Ad Comm Group Case Fujikawa, Yang, Main, Claiborne June 13 2008 Hitotsubashi
2 Bankinter Case Martinez-Jerez, Miller Jan 3 2011 Harvard
3 Brita Case Deighton Jan 15 2002 Harvard
30 Marketing Education Review

4 Citibank India Case Mukherjee, Kawde May 22 2014 Ivey


5 CLV at Comtel Case Van Gool, Roodhooft, Kemseke Mar 05 2015 Vlerick
6 CLV Note Note Pfeifer, Farris, Bendle Jun 19 2014 Darden
7 CLV versus CLROI Note Ofek Oct 15 2014 Harvard
8 Consumer Choice Case Jeeson, Jathar, Kumar Jun 1 2013 IIM Bangalore
9 Controy’s Acura Case Murray, Moffatt Feb 4 2008 Ivey
10 Crutchfield Corporation Case Pfeifer Apr 12 2013 Darden
11 Customer Management Note Gupta Sep 18 2014 Harvard
12 Customer Profitability Note Farris, Pfeifer, Bendle Jun 24 2005 Darden
13 Customer Profitability & Lifetime Value Note Ofek Sep 4 2014 Harvard
14 Developing & Managing Customer Relationships Note Hollensen 2006 McGraw Hill
15 Disruption in the air Case Reddy, Low,Wong Apr 17 2015 Singapore Management
16 Dunia Finance Case Bodily, Venkatesan Mar 20 2014 Darden
17 Filene’s Basement Case Avery, Fournier Jan 29 2014 Harvard
18 Hubspot Case Steenburgh, Avery, Dahod Jan 24 2011 Harvard
19 Kansai Case Martinez-Jerez, Dillon Mar 27 2007 Harvard
20 Marketing Analysis Toolkit Toolkit Steenburgh, Avery Aug 12 2011 Harvard
21 Marketing Metrics Note Stanko, Fleming Aug 1 2014 Ivey
22 Marketing Tutorial Online Avery, Steenburgh Sep 23 2014 Harvard
23 Maru Batting Center Case Hennessy, Meagher Mar 13 2015 Kellogg
24 Motorcowboy Case Farris, Maddux, Harr, Gray, Kanaparthi, Shrivastava, Weiss, Pfeifer Jun 20 2014 Darden
25 Netflix DVD Wars Case Venkatesan, Sarolli Sept 19 2011 Darden
26 Netflix: Customer Strikes Back Case Venkatesan, Shively Jun 20 2014 Darden
27 Paid Search Advertising Note Venkatesan, Gibbs May 27 2014 Darden
28 Retail Relay Case Wilcox, Brandow June 3 2014 Darden
29 Rosewood Hotels Case Dev, Stroock Jun 15 2007 Harvard
30 Starbucks Case Moon, Quelch July 10 2006 Harvard
31 Tokaibane in 2007 Case Fujikawa, Koita Jun 13 2008 Hitotsubashi
32 Using Customer Relationship Management Note Hennessy, Meagher 10/25/2012 Kellogg
33 Xiamen Honda Case Guo, Wang 12/20/2012 Ivey
Spring 2017 31

Unfortunately, marketing teaching materials suggest Another case, “The Ad Comm Group” from
using revenue as the value attributable to a customer in Hitotsubashi University (Fujikawa, Yang, Main, &
CLV calculations. Consider, for example the Starbucks Claiborne, 2008), suggest CLV is selling price multi-
case, which is designated as a “most popular” case on the plied by units sold in the lifetime. This not only ignores
Harvard website. The authors consider the lifetime value of the costs of providing the product (Porsche cars) but
a customer as the revenue generated from the customer. does not discount the cash flows received. This failure
Although they do not use the term CLV, their language is to consider the time value of money is the issue to
highly confusing, especially as they suggest that the case which we turn next.
can be used to allow “students to perform lifetime value
calculations” (Moon & Quelch, 2006). The lifetime value Should CLV Be Discounted?
of customers reported is considerably inflated by not con-
sidering the variable costs of serving customers, and so it is Given that the contribution margin can be estimated
not clear what this value can be used for. Educators should and a simple adjustment made, using revenue instead
make it clear to their students that such a figure should of contribution seems unjustifiable. Omitting discount-
certainly never be used to determine how much to spend ing as the Starbucks case (Moon & Quelch, 2006) and
on acquiring a customer or be used to compare the relative the Hubspot case (Steenburgh, Avery, & Dahod, 2011)
value of customers to the firm. does, is somewhat different. We sympathize with edu-
This use of revenue for the CLV calculation in the cators who try to simplify quantitative expressions.
Starbucks case contrasts with other materials produced This admirable aim has led to some educators simply
by the same provider (Harvard) which are very clear dropping any mention of discounting. The problem is
on the correct approach. “First, CLV is based on prof- that this ignores one of the central ideas of CLV—that
its, not revenue; specifically, it is based on contribu- it represents the present value of the customer relation-
tion—which is revenue less direct and attributable ship. Discounting is critical as it puts all cash flow
costs” (Gupta, 2014). Any students reading this and whenever it occurs on a comparable basis.
then listening to the solution to the Starbucks case are Given that not discounting typically overstates the
likely to be puzzled by this inconsistency. lifetime value of customers many academics take issue
Harvard produces high-quality teaching materials with ignoring discounting. The authors of the Harvard
and devotes considerable resources to this end. If online tutorial (Avery & Steenburgh, 2014) note that
Harvard is not getting CLV consistently right then it this simple, nondiscounted formula is problematic.
is hardly surprising that the confusion is widespread. Another Harvard case, “Filene’s Basement,” explains
The Consumer Choice case from IIM Bangalore (Jeeson, that omitting discounting “ignores a very important
Jathar, & Kumar, 2013) addresses what they call the financial fact” (Avery & Fournier, 2014) and Ofek
“CLV of revenue”; a unique and confusing version of (2014) explains, “we should discount each future net
CLV. Again, we could not infer what the managerial cash flow by an appropriate cost of capital”. We agree.
implication of this figure is. While we acknowledge the best intentions of those
Even when marketing educators do consider relevant trying to simplify CLV, we believe that when discussing
costs, other challenges arise. The “CLV at Comtel” case customer lifetime value, one simply must discount.
(Gool, Roodhooft, & Kemseke, 2015) relies on EBITDA Typically, customer relationships span multiple time
numbers because they do not have access to contribu- horizons (years) and have some cash flows with timings
tion margins. This distorts decision making because that are substantially different from other cash flows.
EBITDA includes allocations for fixed costs, which will The cash flows must therefore be discounted in order to
not change with a given decision. Such costs are theo- make the numbers comparable. The key point is that
retically irrelevant to a manager’s decision. Here, we the usefulness of CLV relative to a single-period custo-
greatly sympathize with the authors; allocating costs mer profit figure increases the longer the customer life-
is a tricky problem across marketing and using spans are. When CLV is most worth using—that is,
EBITDA recognizes that customers cost money to when customer lifespans are long—is precisely when
serve. We suggest that a brief discussion on the differ- discounting (to ensure future and current dollars are
ence between contribution and EBITDA in the teaching comparable) is critical.
note would help allay any confusion.
32 Marketing Education Review

Figure 1
Bias From Ignoring Discounting

E.g., discount rate =10%, retention rate =


90%, then bias in CLV from ignoring
discounting is 4.5 times the initial margin

Consider the bias in estimates of CLV caused by (Farris, Pfeifer, & Bendle, 2005; Gool et al., 2015;
ignoring discounting. To illustrate bias, we subtract Pfeifer, Farris, & Bendle, 2014), while others do
the CLV∞ from an estimate of CLV∞ where the discount (Avery & Fournier, 2014; Hennessy & Meagher,
rate is 0 (i.e., no discounting). Figure 1 shows the bias 2012).
in the estimates of CLV compared with the margin (set Many scholars subtract acquisition costs before
to 1). When the discount rate is 10%, retention rate is reporting the CLV of future customers but we argue
90% and CLV is 5.5, the nondiscounted CLV is 10. The that subtracting acquisition costs before reporting
bias in overestimating CLV is 4.5 times the initial mar- any CLV number is confusing. Such an approach
gin and inflates the estimate of CLV by 82% (4.5/5.5). means that marketers must use two contradictory
This major bias means that any “CLV number ignoring versions of CLV—the formula they use for assessing
discounting” should never be used as an input to stra- the CLV of future customers cannot be used for deci-
tegic deliberations. We conclude that a nondiscounting sions regarding current customers. We are not saying
approach is not worth teaching because the managerial that subtracting acquisition costs is demonstrably
use of such a biased figure is unclear. wrong when assessing the value of future customers
A less obvious problem is that omitting discount- but are arguing that the use of two contradictory
ing simplifies life for the teacher by shifting the bur- formula for the same concept in different situations
den of confusion. We sympathize with a student who leads to widespread confusion. Settling on one for-
learns the nondiscounting approach from one profes- mula—the one that does not subtract acquisition
sor and loses marks in the next professor’s class costs before reporting CLV—is advisable given it can
because they paid attention in the first class. be used in all situations.
To see the impact of the confusion caused by having
How Should We Treat Acquisition Costs? two contradictory definitions of CLV consider the
Harvard core reading on customer management authored
Arguably, the greatest confusion arises over whether by a CLV pioneer, Sunil Gupta. His text suggests that CLV
to subtract acquisition costs before reporting CLV. should be reported without subtracting the acquisition
Teaching materials use both approaches. Some do cost. Unfortunately, the interactive example built from
not subtract acquisition costs before reporting CLV the Harvard online tutorial subtracts acquisition costs
Spring 2017 33

before reporting CLV. A footnote explains that acquisi- decisions and should be added back to any CLV num-
tion cost is often subtracted before reporting CLV, but ber used before making retention decisions. Customers
does not explain that subtracting acquisition costs from with very different contributions to the firm have the
CLV before reporting it changes CLV’s meaning. Gupta same “CLVs” after subtracting their different acquisi-
asserts that “CLV is the maximum benefit that an orga- tion costs (Bendle & Bagga, 2016). Hence, a marketer
nization derives from a customer over his or her life, it who wants to identify customers making a similar con-
can be used to establish customer acquisition cost limits” tribution to the firm going forward should not use the
(Gupta, 2014). This is not true if acquisition costs are formula they give which subtracts acquisition costs.
subtracted prior to reporting CLV as the Harvard inter- Similarly, the Harvard Online Tutorial suggests when
active tool does. As Fader & Hardie (2014, page 5) say: “If CLV can be used. Three of the five suggested uses in
we are computing CLV in order to estimate an upper this piece do not apply to the formula offered in the
bound for spending on customer acquisition, the −AC tutorial without modifying the formula to add back
[i.e. the subtraction of acquisition costs] term should acquisition costs. Specifically, the text suggests that
clearly be excluded.” Marketers simply cannot work out CLV helps us decide the following:
the maximum they could pay to acquire a customer if the
● “When to fire a customer” (Avery & Steenburgh,
cost to acquire the customer has already been subtracted
2014) but acquisition costs are irrelevant for cur-
from CLV.
rent customers and should not impact any number
Similarly, when CLV is used for decision making
informing such a decision.
regarding current customers, it should be forward look-
● “How much to spend on acquiring customers”
ing; however, acquisition costs are sunk for current
(Avery & Steenburgh, 2014) but one must add
customers. The assertion that “CLV helps managers
back the acquisition costs to their CLV figure to
make investment decisions” (Gupta, 2014) is proble-
determine this.
matic for decisions regarding current customers when
● “How much to spend on retaining, serving, and
the formula subtracting acquisition costs before report-
cross selling to existing customers” (Avery &
ing CLV is used. This formula is distorted by sunk (i.e.,
Steenburgh, 2014). Again, acquisition costs are
decision irrelevant) costs.
sunk for existing customers and should not impact
Another potential confusion arises from a claim in
decisions about these customers.
the Filene’s Basement case that CLV “allows managers
to understand the overall value of their customer base” The sum of the lifetime values of a firm’s customers is
(Avery & Fournier, 2014). The authors reference the sometimes referred to as customer equity (Fader, 2013).
CLV formula in “the Marketing Analysis Toolkit” This mimics the accounting idea of equity—the value of a
(Steenburgh & Avery, 2010) but the formula in this, firm to its owners. Historic costs are irrelevant to equity
i.e. after subtracting acquisition costs, does not allow because all that matters is value now. For customer equity
you to value your current customer base. The Toolkit’s to parallel the accounting idea of equity, it is important
formula includes irrelevant sunk costs, which distorts that irrelevant (sunk) figures such as the amount spent
the forward-looking value of the current customer base. acquiring a current customer do not change the equity
Subtracting acquisition costs before reporting CLV figure.
seems often simply a mistake. For example, Hollensen Note that our recommendation to calculate CLV
(2006) said that CLV has a number of uses: “i) it shows before subtracting acquisition costs has great benefit
marketers how much they can spend to acquire a cus- in reducing confusion but loses us nothing. To consider
tomer, ii) it provides a level of profitable spending to the value that a firm will be able to claim from future
retain a customer, iii) it provides a basis for targeting customers one can simply use the formula we recom-
new customers who look like the company’s most prof- mend that reports CLV before subtracting acquisition
itable customers.” However, the CLV formula they costs. You compare this formula to a separate estimate
give, which is after subtracting acquisition spending, of acquisition costs.
does none of the three things especially well. One must
Comparing CLV to acquisition costs, rather than
add back the acquisition spend to get an idea of the
subtracting acquisitions costs before reporting CLV
maximum level of acquisition spending. Similarly, the
when considering future customers, may seem like a
acquisition spending is a sunk cost for retention
34 Marketing Education Review

minor difference. That is our point. Reporting CLV Given that it is very simple to compare CLV to
before acquisition costs and comparing this to acquisi- acquisition costs, there seems no benefit to subtract-
tion costs, versus reporting CLV after subtracting acqui- ing acquisition costs before reporting CLV.
sition costs do similar things for future customers. The
reason for our recommendation is that our approach
DO SCHOOLS HAVE PERSPECTIVES THEY ARE
preserves a single meaning for CLV—the formula that ACTIVELY DEFENDING?
we recommend also works for current customers. Our
We have outlined our thoughts but not all scholars
recommended approach achieves all that the other
may agree. It is easy to imagine a situation where one
approach achieves while eliminating the confusion
school makes a deliberate attempt to teach one defini-
that using contradictory formulas for CLV when asses-
tion to their students, while another school attempts to
sing current and future customers engenders. Why
teach an alternative approach. If this is the situation we
have an unnecessary alternative definition that
find ourselves in, it would not be surprising to see a
encourages even marketing professors to make
certain amount of confusion. Here, there would be a
mistakes?
battle of ideas occurring from which we might hope
Defenders of subtracting acquisition costs may
that the superior concept will eventually triumph. As
still suggest that this approach gives a net profit
such, we considered whether there was indeed an
associated with a customer from before they are a
ongoing battle of ideas about CLV with schools taking
customer to the end of the relationship. A historical
sides and advocating for a CLV approach that their
view of customer value may be useful but this can be
school specifically favours. This hypothesis would be
achieved using our recommended approach. One
supported by evidence of alternative definitions being
can find out full cash flows associated with the cus-
used across schools but consistent definitions being
tomer by calculating CLV as we recommend, report-
used within a school. The alternative hypothesis is
ing this as CLV. Then you subtract acquisition costs
general confusion; many schools simply have not
to create the full view from before acquisition to the
adopted any perspective. Evidence of general conclu-
end of the relationship with the customer.
sion will be shown by inconsistencies in definitions
Subtracting acquisition costs before reporting CLV
within materials from the same school.
creates a further problem. Even if an assumption
Accordingly, we examined the 33 materials that are
that the prospective customer will behave like past
listed in Table 1 to see if there was consistency between
customers is correct, acquisition costs are likely to
schools. We did this by manually searching through each
have changed in the “lifetime” since the past custo-
case and recording the CLV formula offered. This formula
mers were acquired. Given acquisition techniques
is either given in the main case text available to students
change over time there seems little reason to think
or in the teaching note supplied to the professors. Table 2
that historic acquisition costs will be the same as the
summarizes the results when we categorized each item
current acquisition costs. We should, therefore, use
from a school’s teaching materials into whether it (a) did
the new, not historic, acquisition costs in our ana-
not use contribution in CLV, (b) did not discount, or (c)
lysis. The logic is similar to that employed in the oil
subtracted acquisition cost before reporting CLV.
and gas industry: wells that were previously unviable
In this analysis, we can only form conclusions about
become viable as the cost of extraction changes.
schools with multiple publications given we need to
Thus, numbers that may have been negative (posi-
compare whether CLV is treated in the same way
tive) in the past may now be seen as positive (nega-
between publications. Inconsistency is shown when-
tive) when changes in acquisition costs are assessed.
ever more than one approach is adopted within mate-
This will be missed by those who have already sub-
rials from the same schools.
tracted historic acquisition costs in their assessments
One point to notice is the relatively low number of
of CLV. If the CLV formula used already has acquisi-
materials for each school. We believe that the discipline
tion costs subtracted, then to be useful for acquisi-
would benefit from a greater number of teaching materials
tion decisions one must add back the historic
related to CLV. However, given most schools have a rela-
acquisition costs and then subtract the current
tively small number of publications, we might expect to
acquisition costs. Such an approach adds a comple-
find consistency occur simply by chance; three coin tosses
tely unnecessary and confusing step.
Spring 2017 35

Table 2
Summary of Schools’ Approaches
Did Not Use Contribution Did Not Discount Subtracted Acquisition Cost
Total Items Yes/No Yes/No (Yes/No)

Kellogg 2 0/2 0/2 2/0


Darden 9 0/9 0/9 0/9
Hitotsubashi 2 1/1 (inconsistent) 2/0 0/2
Ivey 4 0/4 1/3 (inconsistent) 4/0
Harvard 12 1/11 (inconsistent) 2/10 (inconsistent) 9/3 (inconsistent)
Vlerick 1 0/1 0/1 0/1
SMU 1 0/1 0/1 1/0
IIM Bangalore 1 1/0 0/1 1/0
McGraw Hill 1 0/1 1/0 1/0
Total (as per Table 1) 33 3/30 6/27 18/15

are much more likely to randomly all show heads than CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
twenty tosses. This makes ours a conservative test. If we see
materials from the same school using inconsistent for- Customer lifetime value is an important element of
mula, despite having only a few publications, it is sugges- marketing curricula but many of the claims made
tive that the school has no clear perspective informing the about CLV are simply incorrect. We believe it is impor-
use of CLV formula. tant to clarify terms and that students will benefit
Table 2 shows us that three (Harvard, Ivey, and when CLV is taught in a way that is clear, correct,
Hitotsubashi) of the five schools with multiple items and likely to be useful in their future careers.
do not have a consistent approach to the CLV for- Academics will benefit if their students learn consistent
mula—despite the generally low levels of publica- approaches. Furthermore, using clear terms should
tions. The two Hitotsubashi cases treat contribution allow academics to have greater impact on business.
differently, one using contribution as the basis of To these ends, we detail a number of recommenda-
CLV, the other not doing so. Ivey does not discount tions. We hope that schools producing case-based
in one of its cases. Harvard is perhaps the best exam- teaching materials pay heed to these recommenda-
ple given its multiple publications and excellent tions. It is important to note that we also hope that
reputation for teaching materials. One of Harvard’s individual educators can adjust the teaching notes pro-
twelve cases uses revenue instead of contribution vided to them to ensure that the correct approach to
and two of the cases do not discount. Nine of the compute CLV is used.
twelve cases subtract acquisition cost before report-
ing CLV. Overall, we see little evidence that any of First, Use CLV Correctly
these schools have a policy about how CLV should
be treated in case materials. Given the widespread When writing teaching materials and when teaching
inconsistency within schools, we infer that the con- students one should always discount CLV and base
fusion in the discipline does not stem from prin- calculations upon contribution and not revenue.
cipled disagreements between schools. Instead, that
the confusion regarding CLV arises from lack of con- Formally Define CLV When You Use It
sistency within the discipline, which is reflected in
the inconsistent materials published by the same CLV should be defined when it is used so that educa-
school. tors and students can follow what CLV is trying to do.
36 Marketing Education Review

Use a Standard Definition Do Not Subtract Acquisition Costs Before


Reporting CLV
Quantitative expressions have most value when they
have a clear, commonly understood definition. We Acquisition costs should never be subtracted from CLV
advocate for a specific formula for CLV, however, our before it is reported. As noted above there is no need to
larger point is that marketing needs to move towards do this even for prospective or historic customer relation-
more consistent terminology. It is confusing for alter- ships. Having contradictory CLV formulas generates con-
native, contradictory uses of a term to be simulta- fusion when claims about CLV applicable to one formula
neously accepted. are inappropriately applied to the other formula.

Use Marketing Accountability Standards Board Explain What You Are Calculating CLV For
Definitions Where Possible
Think through how to apply CLV in any given situation
The Marketing Accountability Standards Board is run- and explicitly explain necessary assumptions (e.g., that the
ning a Common Language project, endorsed by the future will be like the past). In general, calculations must
American Marketing Association, Marketing Science impact future behavior to be useful to managers.
Institute, and the Association of National Advertisers.
This provides advice on a definition of CLV, (Marketing Academics Should Be Willing To Disagree With
Accountability Standards Board, 2015), which we fol- Colleagues
low here. Consult the Marketing Accountability
Standards Board’s Common Language project for defi- We owe it to our students, the managers who employ
nitions of terms and formulas to use (https://themasb. them, and the marketers who use academic ideas to be
org/). When standard definitions are used, a marketing clear what we mean. If you think a colleague’s materials
educator can be confident that today’s case will not are confusing say so. It is better to help each other
confuse the message from last weeks’ case. It will also correct our inevitable mistakes rather than to confuse
help educators who are not experts in an area to ensure a new generation of marketers.
that they teach accepted best practice. Furthermore,
students will not be confused by professors using con-
Business Schools Should Adopt In-House
tradictory definitions.
Quantitative Styles

Where Marketing Accountability Standards We recommend that publishing schools adopt a house
Board Terms Are Not Helpful, Improve Them style for the reporting of numbers in teaching materi-
als. This should not exclude publication of works that
Not every term is in the Common Language project. do not use the adopted style but any deviation should
If so, we recommend that scholars share their terms be explained. Teaching material should answer the fol-
with those running the project. A scholar may also lowing questions: Has the house style changed? Why
disagree with the terminology adopted by the did you choose this alternative formula? What is the
Common Language project. In such cases, we suggest effect of the change?
that the disagreement be brought to light. Those
listening can develop their own thoughts. This
Schools Should Employ Quantitative Editors
would contrast with the current situation, in which,
either through carelessness or unstated disagree- Schools have their own writing styles, use language edi-
ments, there is significant, but unacknowledged, var- tors, and maintain uniform visual identities, but can
iance in definitions. Those paying close attention can appear to pay less attention to the quantitative side of
only be confused and may wrongly blame themselves teaching materials. We found obvious mistakes in the
for the confusion. In this way, students’ and man- teaching materials that we examined. Unintended errors
agers’ confidence in their quantitative abilities may are expected so we suggest quantitative skills be a vital part
be undermined when, in reality, it is academic advice of the editorial repertoire of a publishing school. These
that is confusing. editors need not have skills to develop the new
Spring 2017 37

mathematical approaches; however, they should be profi- Bendle, N. T., Farris, P. W., Pfeifer, P. E., & Reibstein, D. J.
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